1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:00,120 Speaker 1: Now. 2 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,400 Speaker 2: Of course, Disney Earning is out a day after that 3 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 2: exclusive ESPN deal with Pen Entertainment. Let's discuss the future 4 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:10,200 Speaker 2: of sports broadcasting with Leo Hendry. He's the Yes Network 5 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 2: founding chairman, and it's so good to speak with you. 6 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 2: I want to start a big picture here with ESPN 7 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 2: because we know linear TV and that's what ESPN is. 8 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 2: It's cable television is dying, but it's not dead yet. 9 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 2: It's still profitable and it still generates meaningful cash flow. 10 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 2: You can't fix court cutting. So Disney is managing a 11 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 2: declining business. What's the best way for Disney to manage 12 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 2: that declining business? When Disney, when ESPN plus is subscribers 13 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 2: is a paltree twenty five million. 14 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,839 Speaker 1: You know, today's announcement, Scarlett is a lot more than 15 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: about Disney and its earnings. Every morn of the major 16 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:50,559 Speaker 1: rules that dominated the media entertainment industry literally for decades 17 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: is broken or breaking. And I look at Disney this 18 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: afternoon more like a canary and nicoal mine. The linear 19 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: side is really broken. There were one hundred and ten 20 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: million cable subscribers is just a handful of years ago. 21 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: That numbers down to fifty six million and falling. Still. 22 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: The sports side on the RSNS, particularly the regional sports networks, 23 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 1: is very challenged right now, and there's no good there's 24 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: no good news on the horizon. The cord cutting is 25 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: a pandemic. It's not going away. It's continuing to follow 26 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: all of the secular changes that are underway or negative 27 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 1: in their formation. And you're going to learn from the 28 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 1: Disney announcement here in a few minutes some of the 29 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 1: specifics of that company. But the larger issue for your 30 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: for your listeners and viewers, Charlotte, is what does this 31 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: mean for the industry as a whole? And I'm not 32 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 1: optimistic about any part of its sports speed No, yes, 33 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 1: as well. 34 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 2: You clearly aren't. I guess that raises the question. Netflix 35 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,200 Speaker 2: is the only streamer that is profitable. What parts of 36 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 2: Netflix's business model is replicable or do the legacy media 37 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,919 Speaker 2: companies need to find their own unique path of profitability. 38 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 2: They can't just take something Netflix has done and do 39 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 2: it themselves. 40 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: Well. Netflix is in a unique position because it was 41 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 1: the first out of the box, so it's working off 42 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: of early momentum. But there are thirteen or so streaming 43 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: services Scarlotte today, not one of which other than Netflix, 44 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 1: is profitable. And these aren't profit losses that are manageable. 45 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: They're massive losses. They're in the billions of dollars. And 46 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 1: as you try to transition from the old linear world 47 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 1: of the cable bundle to the streaming world, both sides 48 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 1: are at this particular point in time deeply challenged. Sports 49 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 1: is part of that cable bundle. It's strange for me 50 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 1: to watch. And I was there at the start of 51 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: all of these services. ESPN was the very foundation of 52 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: the cable bundle. It was the scene que on of 53 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 1: the cable bundle, and now it's talking about itself going streaming. 54 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: So what does that lead behind? What leaves nothing but 55 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: detritus behind. 56 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 3: I am curious as about whether they can pivot. I mean, 57 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 3: let's just say on the sports angle, because there's been 58 00:02:58,040 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 3: a lot of the news about what they're going to 59 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 3: do with ESPN, how they leveraged that, And Bloomberg was 60 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 3: reporting just the other day that Disney was actually, along 61 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 3: with some other media companies, in acquiring a lot of 62 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:13,079 Speaker 3: these local teams. But the whole idea was that they 63 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,800 Speaker 3: wanted to have all this sort of a critical mass 64 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 3: of broadcast rights for a lot of local content, and 65 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 3: the idea that they could create something akin to the 66 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 3: Yes Network. But probably I guess maybe on a much 67 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 3: more broader scale. Is that something that you see as viable. 68 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: You know, we used to live and for decades Romaine, 69 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: we lived in the world called the Walled garden, and 70 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 1: it was sort of in the restaurant analogy. You ate 71 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: when I served, and you paid what I charged. ESPN 72 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: was an integral part of those hundred channels or so 73 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 1: in the bundle. Well, the number of subscribers that are 74 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 1: taking the bundle now is down by half, and following 75 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: further sports is not the panacea. It's not the it's 76 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: not the blessing down the road. It's going to turn 77 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: all of this around. All of the linear services, all 78 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 1: of the linear channels are deep distress. Advertising losses are 79 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: now secular, they're not cyclical. And watching ESPN lead the 80 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: bundle behind and try to do this in a streaming 81 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 1: fashion is It's a challenge that I would pay a 82 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: lot of attention to if I were mister Aiger. 83 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 3: Well, I mean, what's the other option? Though, I mean 84 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,599 Speaker 3: it's almost like you're darned if you do, darned if 85 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 3: you don't, I mean, if you stay within that ecosystem, 86 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 3: you're probably going to continue to see at the climb, 87 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 3: both in viewership because let's face it, most of us 88 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:36,359 Speaker 3: don't have those bundles anymore. And if you move to streaming, 89 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:38,719 Speaker 3: then there's a cost proposition that is just out of 90 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 3: whack with I think what at least in the past, 91 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:42,359 Speaker 3: what they've had to pay for the work of some 92 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 3: of these rights. 93 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: There's no correlation anymore between the costs of production remain 94 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: and the and the and the subscriber model. When you 95 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 1: destroy the subscriber model, the alikart model, and you blew 96 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,919 Speaker 1: it up as card cutting came in the passing, you 97 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: destroyed the linear model. But in the streaming side, is 98 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 1: not the answer, as Romaine we heard from Scarlette a 99 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: minute ago. Of the thirteen streaming services out there today, 100 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:13,279 Speaker 1: twelve of them lose money, massive amounts of money. Yeah, 101 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,840 Speaker 1: they're how to control and their production costs, they're how 102 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: to control as they've abandoned the subscription model and advertising, 103 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,919 Speaker 1: which for the deck the real help for all of 104 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: us we lived off of the decade the advertising world. Sure, 105 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 1: these losses are secular, not cycnical. 106 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 2: So Leo. Moving forward, a lot of people say there's 107 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: going to be consolidation M and A and certainly ESPN 108 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 2: is looking for potential boss for its traditional TV channels. 109 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 2: There's also the question that there is no controlling shareholder 110 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:46,159 Speaker 2: of Disney the company to potentially block any kind of takeover. 111 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 2: There's no CFO or CEO with a conflicting agenda versus shareholders. 112 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 2: Is Disney a takeover target for a big tech company. 113 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: I don't think so. I think it's too big to takeover. 114 00:05:57,680 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: I think it will try its own M and A act, 115 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 1: But he will try to buy some of the losers 116 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: that did that today in the gaming side, when it 117 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: bought a pissant little gaming service. It's got the balance 118 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 1: sheet to do whatever it wants. But it doesn't have 119 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 1: is the capability to change these fundamental rules that have 120 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 1: been broken. 121 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 3: Well, this is a great conversation. You have to talk 122 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 3: once again here, of course, is Bob Iger really tries 123 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 3: to navigate what is a much different world, I think 124 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 3: than what he was used to in his previous tenure. 125 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 3: Leo Hendry there he's the founding chairman over at the 126 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 3: Yes Network