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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Day the Juwics podcast. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Perolt. You can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk BANT. This podcast always being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM and you can always find it off

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Speaker 1: of bettingpros dot com. Well, this is about as close

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Speaker 1: to what I would call postgame reaction to what happened

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Speaker 1: just moments ago here. We taped this on Friday night,

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Speaker 1: and it was tough. I mean, it was really really

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Speaker 1: tough to watch app State blow that game, and they

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Speaker 1: had numerous opportunities when a kid can't even snap the

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Speaker 1: football and you get three snaps over the punter's head

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Speaker 1: one in the beginning part of the game. We've had

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Speaker 1: some really weird things happen this week, Okay, just some

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Speaker 1: very strange things. I don't know what the referees is called.

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Speaker 1: On that first drive where it was off, I mean,

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Speaker 1: the ESPN guy said they looked at the entire tape

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Speaker 1: and they couldn't find anything for an unsportsmanlike conduct or

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Speaker 1: a late hit or unnecessary roughness or something. But it

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Speaker 1: backed up app State and they got a touchdown on

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Speaker 1: the drive. But it was weird. I mean, it was

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Speaker 1: sort of like, what in the world is going on here?

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Speaker 1: Like why did this not get why did you get

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Speaker 1: called back? But you know that was rough. Play calling

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Speaker 1: was horrible. Thomas the quarterback played awful. Yet they were

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Speaker 1: right there and I don't know what the heck lot

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Speaker 1: Louisiana was doing with taking that safety there that got

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Speaker 1: us a chance to kick a field go to overtime.

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Speaker 1: But college kickers, I mean just you know, horrible college

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Speaker 1: kickers can't do much and you know, special teams nightmare.

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Speaker 1: So we go one and two. We got Oregon, correct,

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Speaker 1: that was an automatic I told du Daniel. Almost not

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Speaker 1: losing back to back games inside that building, Okay, no way,

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Speaker 1: not with the Creighton logos there at center court against

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Speaker 1: Seaton Hall. So they win by double digits over Seaton

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Speaker 1: Hall and then Wisconsin. That game goes to overtime and

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Speaker 1: we maybe get a chance to cover the three and

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Speaker 1: a half, but then with point nine seconds left, they

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Speaker 1: don't box out tap up in game over. You know,

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Speaker 1: Marquette wins, which you know, just a you know stunner

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Speaker 1: win the game by two and a loss for us

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Speaker 1: with Wisconsin, so it's just been one of those weeks.

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Speaker 1: So you know, I'm I'm not gonna dwell too much

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Speaker 1: on it. I can't get angry about it. I just

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Speaker 1: got to kind of pick it up, you know, putting down,

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Speaker 1: pick up your feet, put que putting down, moving forward

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Speaker 1: and just trying to get ourselves some victories here. And

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Speaker 1: I do like this card today, and I do like

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Speaker 1: the card on Sunday for us. And remember we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be doing the live stream on Sunday morning again at

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Speaker 1: eleven am Eastern eight a m. Pacific time off of

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Speaker 1: our YouTube channel. And that thing's been growing and it's

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Speaker 1: been really fun and I've had a ton of fun

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Speaker 1: doing it. We get up, you know, first thing in

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Speaker 1: the morning to make prop bets and then we we

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Speaker 1: keep going back and forth with you guys on the

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Speaker 1: YouTube chat, just questions and what you guys are bringing

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Speaker 1: up and you know, things that they're looking for, so

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Speaker 1: you know, you just this is gambling, okay. And we

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Speaker 1: went two and oh yesterday. We go one and two today,

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Speaker 1: so you know, we're pretty much we're flat again. We've

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Speaker 1: been flat for three days is really now count the

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Speaker 1: last two days as one and then two other days

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Speaker 1: we've been flat, and then the other three days or

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Speaker 1: four days we've been down. So it's just been one

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Speaker 1: of these, you know, bad stretches, and you know, we'll

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Speaker 1: take the good days like we did yesterday, and we'll

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Speaker 1: look to grow and look to build and keep moving forward.

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Speaker 1: It's all you can do is keep on moving forward.

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Speaker 1: So I've got three plays today at one unit, and

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Speaker 1: I've got one play at a quarter unit. That's a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a play on Well. It's just like

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Speaker 1: a what if bet, and I'm not going heavy on it.

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Speaker 1: I'm going point two to five units. But there is

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Speaker 1: so much action on this one side of this bet

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Speaker 1: that I don't know what to do with it other

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Speaker 1: than bet against it. It's just it's screaming bet against it,

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Speaker 1: bet against it, and everybody in their mother is on it.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna bet against it, and I could be

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Speaker 1: dead wrong. So I'm not gonna go heavy on it,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna, you know, look at it, and i'm

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Speaker 1: gonna throw you know, point two five units down on

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Speaker 1: it coming up here today. So before I do that,

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Speaker 1: remember we have got a college back basketball offer going

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Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars or a three pointer goes down.

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Speaker 1: Here it's paid out in free bets from bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: It's available in all states that are available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: and West Virginia all available for you guys. So it's

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Speaker 1: a one dollar money line bet when you're using that

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Speaker 1: and you win one hundred bucks if the team in

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Speaker 1: a game that you bet on one dollar money line

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Speaker 1: and a three pointer goes down. For terms and conditions,

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Speaker 1: go to betemgm dot com. You're mostly twenty one years

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Speaker 1: or older and physically look at it. In Colorado, Tennessee, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, or West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem

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Speaker 1: code called on one hundred five to two to two

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Speaker 1: forty seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler in New

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Speaker 1: Jersey or West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with

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Speaker 1: it in Indiana. All right, let's start with the game

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Speaker 1: that everyone's going to be watching. This game's on ESPNU.

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Speaker 1: Game Day is gonna be there. They thought they were

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Speaker 1: going for Coastal versus Liberty. Instead it's BYU at Coastal. Look,

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Speaker 1: this number opened seven and a half at most places,

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Speaker 1: and it shot up. It went to eight, went to nine,

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Speaker 1: went to ten, it crossed ten, and now ten and

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Speaker 1: a half. Some books are at eleven. All right, it

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Speaker 1: is Everyone is saying that Coastal is not going to

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Speaker 1: be able to hang with BYU. Here's the problem, though,

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Speaker 1: You're going across the country. If you're BYU to play

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Speaker 1: a team that is seven to one and one against

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Speaker 1: the number. Now BYU also is seven to one and

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Speaker 1: one against the number. But you're going across the country

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Speaker 1: to play in their place. They've got game day there.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I think it's the first time ever.

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Speaker 1: Dustin Johnson's gonna be making picks because he's from the region.

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Speaker 1: You got a ton of attention. You think the Chantaliers

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Speaker 1: are gonna back down here, But to BYU, do you

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Speaker 1: think they're just gonna lay down? I know that BYU

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Speaker 1: has a ton of kids who go on missions and

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Speaker 1: come back and they're twenty four years old, and they're

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Speaker 1: basically men. They're not college kids, and they manhandle people, right,

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Speaker 1: they just run over people. But that defense for the

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Speaker 1: Chantilliers is better than people think. Their offense is great.

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Speaker 1: Their quarterback is electric. It's not Zach Wilson, but he's

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Speaker 1: really talented. That's some really big and talented wide receivers.

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Speaker 1: I'm catching ten and a half points for a team

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Speaker 1: at home. I'm catching ten and a half, not seven,

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Speaker 1: but ten and a half in BYU's truck had to

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Speaker 1: leave forty eight hours, right, I mean right before the

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Speaker 1: game got they went and book the game. They had

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and move and take all their stuff

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Speaker 1: and moving across the country to South Carolina. Not easy

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Speaker 1: to do this, okay. Plus you got to talk about

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Speaker 1: the coaches turning around, and I get it, same problem

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Speaker 1: for the Chantilliers. But they're not traveling. They're in their

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Speaker 1: home state, they're in their home area. They're exactly where

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Speaker 1: they want to be. They don't have to worry about

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Speaker 1: having all these different problems. So to me, I'm catching

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Speaker 1: ten and a half points. My goodness, great, just I'm

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Speaker 1: taking coastal plus ten and a half. Gimme Coastal. I

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Speaker 1: know everyone's gonna be on BYU. I'm taking the chandeliers. Here,

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Speaker 1: give me plus ten and a half for Coastal against

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Speaker 1: BYU for one unit. Now I have a second bet

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Speaker 1: on this game, and it's only because at one point

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Speaker 1: on Friday at FanDuel, ninety nine percent of the money

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Speaker 1: and ninety eight percent of the bets were on the over. Now,

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Speaker 1: at the time of taping, I'm not exactly sure where

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Speaker 1: that number is. And check it again before you place

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Speaker 1: this wager as to exactly where it is. If you can,

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Speaker 1: oddsfire dot com can normally show you the money for

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Speaker 1: FanDuel or NumberFire dot com can show you the numbers

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Speaker 1: for FanDuel in terms of their gambling sides ninety nine percent.

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Speaker 1: How do I not bet the under? I mean, seriously,

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Speaker 1: how do I not bet the under? Everyone is on

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Speaker 1: the over. It could be the play, It very well

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Speaker 1: might be the play. But for bleep and giggles point

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Speaker 1: two to five units, we're betting the under sixty two.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting under sixty two. Maybe it's a blowout, maybe

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Speaker 1: BYU runs and wins, you know, fifty to ten. But

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the under sixty two because everyone is on

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Speaker 1: the over everyone so point twenty five units on the

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Speaker 1: under sixty two plus coastal at plus ten and a

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Speaker 1: half second play. I got two big ten plays going here.

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Speaker 1: Next first one, Ohio State on the road at Michigan State.

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Speaker 1: We didn't know this game was gonna get played. We

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Speaker 1: weren't sure about this game yet. Michigan State's at home.

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Speaker 1: Michigan State's a bad football team, but they beat Michigan Matt.

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Speaker 1: But they beat Northwestern Matt. They're turning a corner. They're

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Speaker 1: playing better. Okay, I give it to you. I get it.

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Speaker 1: Here's the thing. This might be the last game of

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Speaker 1: the year for Ohio State. For real, this might be

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Speaker 1: the last game of the year for the Buckeyes. So

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Speaker 1: justin fields your draft stock, Hey, every other draft eligible

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Speaker 1: player on that Ohio State team. Michigan's got COVID problems,

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Speaker 1: and there is a real big chance because of the

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Speaker 1: rules for COVID nineteen with the Big ten that positive

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Speaker 1: tested kids with COVID can't play for twenty one days,

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Speaker 1: that Michigan's not going to be able to play the game,

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Speaker 1: and they're not going to be able to have Ohio

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Speaker 1: State in the Big Ten Championship game. Now there are

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Speaker 1: rumors that are stating that, well, maybe Iowa will step

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Speaker 1: in and play Ohio State during the week of the

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Speaker 1: championship game, so you'll have the Big Ten Championship game,

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Speaker 1: but then you'll have Ohio Ohio State play Iowa maybe

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Speaker 1: the week before to let them qualify, or maybe the

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Speaker 1: same week so they get a game to get into

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Speaker 1: the College Football playoffs to get them another ranked win.

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Speaker 1: There's all these conspiracy theories running around right now about

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Speaker 1: what Ohio State is going to do for the number

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Speaker 1: of games. But what they do have in front of

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Speaker 1: them is Michigan State, and what they do have in

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Speaker 1: front of them is a chance to wallop somebody and

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Speaker 1: put up a number. I think the Buckeyes are going

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Speaker 1: to destroy the Spartans for this very reason. There is

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Speaker 1: a ton of pressure on them, and even without Ryan

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Speaker 1: Day there, I don't think it matters. Okay, this is

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Speaker 1: an offense that can run itself a defense. This game's

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Speaker 1: not going to be close, but they need style points.

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Speaker 1: They need to run this score up. They need to

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Speaker 1: hang a fifty to seven type of number on Michigan

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Speaker 1: State to go ahead and showcase to the Committee that

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Speaker 1: they are one of the four best teams. There are

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Speaker 1: real conversations happening right now about TISA and m leap

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Speaker 1: frogging Ohio State because Ohio State hasn't played enough games

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Speaker 1: and Texa and m has played. You know, I think

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Speaker 1: that they'll get their full allotment, right, They'll get to

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Speaker 1: nearly ten games. I think it is that they'll play

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Speaker 1: so huge problems for Ohio State when it comes to

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Speaker 1: the committee. I'm gonna lay the twenty three points here.

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Speaker 1: Ohio State big on the road. I don't care big

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Speaker 1: win over Michigan State. I don't think they scored very

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Speaker 1: many points, even with that Buckeye defense not being as

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Speaker 1: good as it's been in the year's past. Ohio State

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Speaker 1: layings laying twenty three minus twenty three for the Buckeyes

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Speaker 1: number three third play staying in the Big Ten. Indiana

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Speaker 1: and Wisconsin total is forty five. This seems really low

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Speaker 1: to me, and maybe I'm just off, but Wisconsin's offense

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Speaker 1: is really good. Wisconsin is favored by fourteen points, so

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Speaker 1: the total opened up at forty seven. It's been going

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Speaker 1: down because everyone's saying that Michael Pennock's injury means that

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Speaker 1: the Indiana offense can't do anything. I'm not so sure

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Speaker 1: that's the truth. Jack Tuttle is a decent quarterback. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's a former four star recruit. He's a kid who

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Speaker 1: can at least move the offense a little bit. Here's

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Speaker 1: the thing, though, I think Wisconsin is gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to do whatever they want in this game. Wisconsin could

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Speaker 1: score forty five by themselves. In fact, they scored forty

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Speaker 1: five back in twenty seventeen when these two teams played.

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Speaker 1: It was forty five to seventeen was the final. So

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin by themselves. You could say, wait, Matt, that Indiana

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Speaker 1: defense has really taken a big step forward. Yeah, but

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Speaker 1: how much gas do they have left in the tank

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Speaker 1: Against a Wisconsin team that has had COVID issues and

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Speaker 1: COVID problems and you know they're a tough team to

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Speaker 1: go up against. Their offense is sneaky good. I mean,

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Speaker 1: when you start really breaking down the game and start

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Speaker 1: breaking down the sides here, I'm wondering I might be

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Speaker 1: missing something and this might be just a game where

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Speaker 1: neither offense does anything and it's a really low scoring game.

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Speaker 1: I just find it kind of hard to believe. I

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Speaker 1: feel like I believe in that Michigan offense more than

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Speaker 1: other people do, and I mean it's at Camp Randall.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think Wisconsin's going to be able to

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Speaker 1: move the football. I think Wisconsin can be able to score.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Wisconton's offense is averaging thirty three points per game. Again,

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Speaker 1: Pennock's injury is significant. So you're saying, Okay, the under

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Speaker 1: is gonna happen because Indiana's not gonna score. But I

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Speaker 1: think they'll be able to do something. They'll be able

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Speaker 1: to move ball a little bit, run the football, at least,

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Speaker 1: got good wide receivers. I don't know. I think this

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Speaker 1: is a high scoring game. I think both teams are

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Speaker 1: gonna be able to move the ball at least a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Neither defense is outstanding. Wisconsin's defense is fairly good,

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Speaker 1: but scoring defense the number two of the country eleven

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Speaker 1: point two eleven point seven points per game. But you

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Speaker 1: know who they played in number of games and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: It's all sorts of different things you can factor in

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Speaker 1: there with Wisconsin. This is our fourth game of the year. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin just hasn't played a lot of games, so I

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Speaker 1: mean to me, Wisconsin scores a lot, all right. So

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Speaker 1: they won their first game by thirty eight points. They

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Speaker 1: won their second game by thirty eight. Yeah, they lost

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Speaker 1: to Northwestern. That was a brutal loss. But I mean

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Speaker 1: Indiana has played well. Okay, and yes, one injury is significant,

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Speaker 1: but I think there's enough weapons there to move the football.

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Speaker 1: I think there's enough weapons for Indiana to score. And

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Speaker 1: look at the record against the spread. I mean to

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Speaker 1: the over the overs four and two. Now that's with Pennix,

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Speaker 1: I get it. But the over is four and two

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Speaker 1: here last time and against Maryland, Indiana did not go over,

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Speaker 1: but it was sixty four and a half. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is by far the lowest total of the season

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Speaker 1: right now for Indiana. Sixty two, fifty four, fifty four

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Speaker 1: and a half, fiftifty to fifty three, sixty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half and sixty four and a half. This is

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Speaker 1: forty five. This number. I'm playing the over Michigan, sorry, Wisconsin,

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Speaker 1: Indiana forty five. I'm playing the over for Indiana and Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: For Indiana and Wisconsin here for one unit, all right,

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Speaker 1: So to recap our plays here on a Saturday, we're

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Speaker 1: going coastal plus ten and a half Ohio State minus

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Speaker 1: twenty three over Wisconsin, Indiana forty five. And we're going

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Speaker 1: under sixty two fer point twenty five units for the

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Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina BYU simply because I'm fading the public and

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Speaker 1: everyone is on that. It's a public play or public

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Speaker 1: fade rather not the most aggressive of reason aside from

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Speaker 1: everyone's on it, so I'm going the other way. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna lay a lot of money down on it,

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Speaker 1: but zero point two to five units, I'm laying that

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Speaker 1: down on the under sixty two for Coastal and b

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Speaker 1: Why you those are our four plays coming up here

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Speaker 1: for a college football Saturday. My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We're back

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Speaker 1: Sunday for the Daily Juice podcast plus our live stream

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Speaker 1: off of our YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: You got that at eleven am Eastern for one hour

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Speaker 1: breaking down Week thirteen of the NFL in a card

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Speaker 1: that I actually really do like a lot. Coming up tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: Join us tomorrow for the podcast in the live stream

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Speaker 1: every morning. It's the Daily Juice Podcast presented by BETMGM.

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Speaker 1: Right here on bettingpros dot com