WEBVTT - Siemens CEO Dr. Roland Busch discusses factory automation growth

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<v Speaker 1>Semens says weak demand for factory automation is hitting returns

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<v Speaker 1>and revenue. Bloomboats. Guy Johnson spoke to the CEO of

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<v Speaker 1>that company, take a lessen.

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<v Speaker 2>It was driven basically by another very strong quorder of

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<v Speaker 2>some other infrastructure. Our electrical business grew by twenty one percent,

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<v Speaker 2>but you also had a very strong software business. The

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<v Speaker 2>underlying the softer business was very strong. But we also

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<v Speaker 2>had a couple of winds, large wins. They don't repeat

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<v Speaker 2>in that size again, but this helped quite a bit

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<v Speaker 2>also and drive our top line end bottom line as well.

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<v Speaker 3>So some fairly some fairly lovely numbers this time around,

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<v Speaker 3>which probably are repeatable. You have there, You have those

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<v Speaker 3>stuck to your guidance for the full year. Given what

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<v Speaker 3>you've just said, given what you see in the world

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<v Speaker 3>at the moment, how predictable is the business though right now?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, yes, we indeed we confirm our guidance our full

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<v Speaker 2>year outlook for the growth We will end up at

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<v Speaker 2>the lower end though, and we also confirm on our

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<v Speaker 2>EPs guidance the heads name holds true for our businesses

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<v Speaker 2>regarding the IVC their profitability for the full yem on

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<v Speaker 2>the lower end for the SI on the upper end.

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<v Speaker 2>So coming to the predictability, it's really there are. The

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<v Speaker 2>biggest element which we have here is that over the

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<v Speaker 2>last three years, the automation business was growing tremendously fast

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<v Speaker 2>and this ended up in quite a bit of stocking

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<v Speaker 2>in our distribution channels. And this stocking effect has to

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<v Speaker 2>go down. You have to de stock on the one side,

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<v Speaker 2>and the market has to pick come on the other.

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<v Speaker 2>This is the unpredictability. How fast does that go? When

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<v Speaker 2>will the market pick up? We see a certain light

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<v Speaker 2>in chemical industry also in China, which is a leading indicator,

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<v Speaker 2>but this is not really the momentum we need in

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<v Speaker 2>order to really grow there. Therefore, we still have a

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<v Speaker 2>muted market for automation. It is temporary effect structural. We

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<v Speaker 2>believe this market keeps on going because there's a demand

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<v Speaker 2>and for higher automation and digitalization in the whole industry.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, but just trying to figure out when that happens

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<v Speaker 3>it's proving difficult. How big a factor is China in

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<v Speaker 3>that thinking? You've talked about maybe China recovering next year,

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<v Speaker 3>looking at the latest numbers we see out of China,

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<v Speaker 3>is that still your thinking as well? Do you continue

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<v Speaker 3>to believe that we do see a recovery next year.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, there's still the assumption which we have we will see.

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<v Speaker 2>Our assumption is still that we still see a week

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<v Speaker 2>Q four and Q one, so until the end of

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<v Speaker 2>the calendar year and then let's see. We do not

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<v Speaker 2>believe that this is a kind of a fast pick

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<v Speaker 2>up in the Chinese market. It will pick up slowly gradually.

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<v Speaker 2>It depends really on the one side, on the domestic

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<v Speaker 2>consumption in China, so the market itself, how it's growing.

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<v Speaker 2>It's dements also on the global markets. Remember China's are

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<v Speaker 2>very strong export markets through in the whole economy. And

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<v Speaker 2>it depends also how fast will China goes through their

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<v Speaker 2>reduction of the GDP share coming from real estate. This

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<v Speaker 2>is something that really holds them back. All in all,

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<v Speaker 2>Chinese is then the second largest market for US and

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<v Speaker 2>it will remain this market and it will come back

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<v Speaker 2>to growth. It might take a little bit. Structure wise,

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<v Speaker 2>we don't have any dots.

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<v Speaker 3>The story over the last few days has been huge

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<v Speaker 3>debates around whether or not the US is heading for

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<v Speaker 3>a recession. Do you see any indication that the US

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<v Speaker 3>market is heading for a recession. What data are you

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<v Speaker 3>getting well.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, on the one side, inflation reduction Act is

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<v Speaker 2>the right thing to do in order really to attract

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<v Speaker 2>value added to the United States. The money is not

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<v Speaker 2>going that fast to the market, so we see a

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<v Speaker 2>slide pick up, but not really that impact that we

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<v Speaker 2>would hope to see on the one eddor on the

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<v Speaker 2>other side, I mean ahead of the elections. Obviously, maybe

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<v Speaker 2>the market is a little bit muted. But in all

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<v Speaker 2>the United States was always a market. It was quite resilient,

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<v Speaker 2>very fast, and we believe that this is another market

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<v Speaker 2>which is also driving coming. This was now the overall

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<v Speaker 2>perspective and it comes to our markets where we see

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<v Speaker 2>the demand for digitalization, for automization. We really believe that

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<v Speaker 2>this is a high growth market for US exceptionally HI.

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<v Speaker 2>Why you have labor shortage, you have high salaries in

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<v Speaker 2>the United States compared to others. If you want to

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<v Speaker 2>bring manufacturing back, and this holds true for the United

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<v Speaker 2>States maybe also for other surrounding countries, then you need

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<v Speaker 2>a high level automation digitalization. Last point, AI is driving

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<v Speaker 2>a huge demand for data centers, and electrification itself is

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<v Speaker 2>picking is taking a huge momentum you see that in

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<v Speaker 2>our smart infrastructure numbers. This goes on. This is a supercycle.

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<v Speaker 2>It will go on, so very strong business there. Last point.

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<v Speaker 2>We are one of the strongest players in the United

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<v Speaker 2>States if it comes to trains and signaling, and we

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<v Speaker 2>play that card as well, and you see our last

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<v Speaker 2>order for high speed trains for United States. That's just

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<v Speaker 2>one element in end this.

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<v Speaker 1>Cause on Okay, Bloomer's guy Johnson there speaking two seamens.

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<v Speaker 1>See yoak Ryland Bush