WEBVTT - Mafia Making a Racket With Chili-Pepper Inflation

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<v Speaker 1>Talk about activist central banking. We're used to stewards of

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<v Speaker 1>the economy, focusing on inflation and in some instances employment,

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<v Speaker 1>things like that, and sometimes they accused of going too far.

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<v Speaker 1>But tackling the price of chili, that's right. Bank Indonesia

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<v Speaker 1>has played a key role in cornering and breaking up

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<v Speaker 1>the chili mafia cartels. Controlling the price of the spice.

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<v Speaker 1>Busting these racketeers is essential for managing basic economic life

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<v Speaker 1>in Indonesia. Why do we care? Will hold that question

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<v Speaker 1>for just a moment. When Carlos Salna, Bloomberg's economics reporter

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<v Speaker 1>and Jakarta joins us. I'm Daniel Moss, executive editor for

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<v Speaker 1>Global Economics at Bloomberg New York. My co host Scott

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<v Speaker 1>Land and an economics editor in Washington, joins us, and

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<v Speaker 1>here are a few facts about Indonesia people they or

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<v Speaker 1>may not know. It happens to be Southeast Asia's largest economy.

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<v Speaker 1>It's also the world's largest Muslim country. It's even the

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<v Speaker 1>world's fourth most populous country and the world's third largest democracy. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so the superlatives just keep stacking up. We know it's important,

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<v Speaker 1>but what about chili? How important is chili Indonesia and

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<v Speaker 1>who is this mafia? Karlos, Good to have you enlightenness. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>hi guys. Well, first of all, let's talk about how

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<v Speaker 1>this came about. I was in Borneo looking into I

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<v Speaker 1>guess some of the unique ways that the Indonesian central

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<v Speaker 1>bait tackles inflation, and everywhere I went I kept on

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<v Speaker 1>hearing about what they were referring to as the Chubbe mafia.

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<v Speaker 1>Now Chube translates in Indonesian into Chili, and what they

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<v Speaker 1>were talking about was, I guess, a shadowy group of

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<v Speaker 1>wholesale ers and middlemen who, using illegal cartel practices and collusion,

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<v Speaker 1>had cornered the chili market so they were able to

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<v Speaker 1>manipulate supply and therefore fixed prices. And now Papa and

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<v Speaker 1>where I was part of Borneo on the east coast

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<v Speaker 1>of Borneo actually and it imports about all its food needs.

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<v Speaker 1>And so to give you an idea of the impact

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<v Speaker 1>of the Chili mafia, the price of red chili shut

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<v Speaker 1>up in Papan in February to about two hundred thousand

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<v Speaker 1>repair or about fifteen dollars a kilogram, which was about

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<v Speaker 1>three times the normal level. This is kind of outside

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<v Speaker 1>the normal remit of the central back to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>go after a specific commodity. And let's be clear, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>some of our listeners, especially in America, we're not talking

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<v Speaker 1>about the kind of chili that you eat in a

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<v Speaker 1>dish with ground beef and maybe some cheese on top.

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<v Speaker 1>This is chili, the space, the actual chili peppers that

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<v Speaker 1>are used throughout dishes, Is that right, Carlos, Yeah, that's correct,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're used to you know, how many dishes do

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<v Speaker 1>people eat with with this space? And it is that

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<v Speaker 1>something that you know is in virtually everything that goes

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<v Speaker 1>into someone's mouth every day there it's as actually, the

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<v Speaker 1>deputy director of the Bank Indonesia office in Papan said

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<v Speaker 1>to me, Indonesians eat chili for breakfast. So you're right,

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<v Speaker 1>it's in everything pretty much. It's on the table tables

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<v Speaker 1>and restaurants everywhere you go. It's in the sumble, it's

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<v Speaker 1>in all the foods, and so it's part of the

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<v Speaker 1>staple diet. Chili for breakfast, do you mean in nassi

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<v Speaker 1>la marck in in the sumble, as I said, which

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<v Speaker 1>is basically the hot source that served with nearly every meal.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a keen ingredient and nearly every recipe and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>look has a major impact on the food vendors who

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<v Speaker 1>operate what's known as the cachilem is or which translates

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<v Speaker 1>into five legs, and it's basically the Indonesian version of

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<v Speaker 1>a New York food truck. It's everywhere. Having spent two

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<v Speaker 1>years in Malaysia, just across the border from Indonesia, I

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<v Speaker 1>can tell you that these chili laden breakfasts are magnificent

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<v Speaker 1>and they definitely get your jew is flowing in the morning,

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<v Speaker 1>far more than just a cup of believe it or not,

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<v Speaker 1>Java would do. So look what else having tackled the

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<v Speaker 1>chili mafia, I mean, what else is the central bank

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<v Speaker 1>going after? Yeah, look, there's many examples of the unique

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<v Speaker 1>ways of banking the injuries. I guess it's fighting inflation.

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<v Speaker 1>That's at the core of this. They have ours. They

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't see this as an extracurricular activity at all. This

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<v Speaker 1>is not over each This is core to their mandate.

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<v Speaker 1>It's called to their mandate down because um, in a

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<v Speaker 1>country like Indonesia, what for the central bank, in fact,

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<v Speaker 1>fighting inflation is actually their core responsibility. So that look,

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<v Speaker 1>they use interest rates to to as the main weapon

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<v Speaker 1>I guess in doing that, but that that can be

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<v Speaker 1>blunted by other, you know, other factors, and so controlling

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<v Speaker 1>inflation in a country like Indonesia, which has massive legis

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<v Speaker 1>sticks issues, massive infrastructure deficits is essential. You know. Look

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<v Speaker 1>the bank for example, they pay for owls which are

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<v Speaker 1>used in rice field and East Java to stop rats.

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<v Speaker 1>The rats in this case we're eating into crops and

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<v Speaker 1>cutting production, which again was leading to price spikes. They're

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<v Speaker 1>involved in other agricultural projects in addressing the food the

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<v Speaker 1>supply side of food production in cornfield and so martra

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<v Speaker 1>and seaweed farms on the island of Lombok, cattle ranchers

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<v Speaker 1>in Kupang in the east of the country. And backing

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<v Speaker 1>all of this up, of course is the regional or

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<v Speaker 1>the regional control inflation control teams that pretty much leap

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<v Speaker 1>into action when there's there's I guess sudden price spikes

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<v Speaker 1>that are noticed. And in this case it was a

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<v Speaker 1>Chilian chili mafia. So hold on a second. Here the

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<v Speaker 1>central Bank is assisting in the placement of owls to

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<v Speaker 1>keep away the rats that are eating the rice that's

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<v Speaker 1>forcing the price of rice up. Yeah, I guess. I guess.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, look, so, as we know, central banks around

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<v Speaker 1>the world deal with macroeconomics, and I guess this is

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<v Speaker 1>this has at the granular level, isn't it. This is

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<v Speaker 1>micro economics right down into the granular level, rolling their

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<v Speaker 1>sleeves up, getting involved in in in I guess, educating

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<v Speaker 1>people on how to to grow crops, grow tomatoes, established

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<v Speaker 1>chicken farms. That's that's what this bank does. It's definitely

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<v Speaker 1>something that kinds of extracurricular activities I do not hear

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<v Speaker 1>about in our regular coverage of the Federal Reserve or

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<v Speaker 1>Janet Yellen's press conferences or Mario drag at the European

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<v Speaker 1>Central Bank. But if you listen to some members of Congress,

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<v Speaker 1>they might as well be doing that. You never know, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes the stories can get pretty fanciful. But anyway, Carlos,

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<v Speaker 1>what I'm curious about is, you know, when we talk

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<v Speaker 1>when when you used the term chili mafia, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I wonder what are the kinds of enforcement methods that

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<v Speaker 1>these mafia has used to control the chili treat Are

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<v Speaker 1>they are are dead bodies ending up at the bottom

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<v Speaker 1>of the Port of Jakarta. Are there are people's legs

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<v Speaker 1>getting broken. What are the kinds of criminal methods that

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<v Speaker 1>are being used that that the Central Bank with its

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<v Speaker 1>uh you know, these kinds of tools are trying to break.

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<v Speaker 1>What the chili mafia and other cartels like it are

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<v Speaker 1>doing is basically just holding back supply to the market.

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<v Speaker 1>That there's been cases where there's been beef mafias that

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<v Speaker 1>have been subject to investigation. In fact, in twenty fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>there was a rate of a number of feed lots

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<v Speaker 1>because they were holding back thousands of thousands of head

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<v Speaker 1>of cattle, which was again driving up prices um you know.

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<v Speaker 1>And the t p i D with the Regional Inflation

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<v Speaker 1>Control teams. They they are a collection of various ministries,

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<v Speaker 1>agricultural ministries, fisheries, the Kappa who which is I guess

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<v Speaker 1>the equivalent the Federal Trade Commission in the US, and

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<v Speaker 1>also the police and and they can roll in on

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<v Speaker 1>these groups and and and and do raids. In this

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<v Speaker 1>particular case, they found what the Chill Chili Marpia was

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<v Speaker 1>doing was selling their their supplies to big business, to

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<v Speaker 1>producers of of source that goes in instant noodle packets.

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<v Speaker 1>And in Indonesia, the law is that all the supplies

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<v Speaker 1>of a particular produce must go to market first, so

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<v Speaker 1>everyone has a fair fair crack at it. In this case,

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<v Speaker 1>they were holding it back and and then you know,

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<v Speaker 1>sending it to a place they papan last. And as

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<v Speaker 1>I said, this is a place that imports much of

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<v Speaker 1>its food, so it was really prone to and at

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<v Speaker 1>the prey of the prone to to something like these

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<v Speaker 1>cartels really taking advantage of them. So it's interesting, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's not quite rising to the level of being like

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<v Speaker 1>the Godfather movie for the chili trade. It's more of

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<v Speaker 1>just these companies are or these businesses are holding back

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<v Speaker 1>the supply. Like you said, it's not as juicy, but

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<v Speaker 1>I get it. I hear what you're saying. It's not.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know what, perhaps they should take it. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know. Well, hopefully they don't need to take a

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<v Speaker 1>leaf out of the Fisheries ministers book. Su The Fisheries

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<v Speaker 1>Ministers been known to blow up Chinese fishing vessels and

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<v Speaker 1>other fishing vessels from other countries caught illegally fishing in Indonesia.

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<v Speaker 1>So look, who knows what is what kind of steps

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<v Speaker 1>these guys might take to to enforce the law and

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<v Speaker 1>is there a Don Collion type figure at the center

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<v Speaker 1>of the Chile mafia. No. Look, the police told us

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<v Speaker 1>that they gave us some initials of the people that

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<v Speaker 1>have been arrested. And there's been arrests both in Java

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<v Speaker 1>and in East Borneo, in East Kalimantan actually on the

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<v Speaker 1>east coast of Borneo, I think six arrests. There were

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<v Speaker 1>nine companies involved in this car tell operation um, but

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<v Speaker 1>no one specifically has been outed as as the Don

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<v Speaker 1>Corleone as you put it. But look, this is a

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<v Speaker 1>constant battle in Indonesia trying to stay on top of

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<v Speaker 1>of of these prices and and look, just to put

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<v Speaker 1>it into perspective, this is a this is an archipelago

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<v Speaker 1>um that would would stretch from New York to London.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a it's a huge collection of thousands and thousands

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<v Speaker 1>of islands. And the job and the task at hand

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<v Speaker 1>is one that's extremely difficult for the authorities. This is

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<v Speaker 1>this something that President Joco Widoto, that the leader of

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<v Speaker 1>Indonesia has gotten personally involved in. Yeah, we'll look, it

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<v Speaker 1>was Jocko Wedoto that in August ordered the investigation into

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<v Speaker 1>the beef cartels that I mentioned previously. You know, he's

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<v Speaker 1>been vocal in in ordering crackdowns on cartel behavior because

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<v Speaker 1>he recognizes, and he's a man of the people, so

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<v Speaker 1>to speak, he recognizes that these even small changes in

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<v Speaker 1>prices really affect the millions of people that in this country,

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<v Speaker 1>this huge country, still live below the poverty line. So

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<v Speaker 1>Janet yelling you thought your job was tough, Carlos, thanks

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<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us and walking us through your

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<v Speaker 1>reporting on the Chili mafia and what the Central Bank

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<v Speaker 1>is doing about it. No problem, gud is great to

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<v Speaker 1>join you. So, Scott, this really does put a whole

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<v Speaker 1>other dimension on the challenges facing central banks. We're used

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<v Speaker 1>to these seemingly arcane arguments about QUEI and about the

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<v Speaker 1>neutral rate of interest. This is really just a whole

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<v Speaker 1>other paradigm. Well, you think about the you know, our

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<v Speaker 1>coverage of central banks, and we're so focused on their

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the policy meetings, the statements, the speeches that

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<v Speaker 1>they give, and you know, often a criticism is that

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<v Speaker 1>they don't get out enough into the you know, onto

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<v Speaker 1>the ground level to really get their hands dirty and

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on. Uh, you know, and that's probably going

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<v Speaker 1>to be the case, but it is really fascinating to

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<v Speaker 1>see a central bank in a very large economy really

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<v Speaker 1>getting its hands dirty like this. And I was struck

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<v Speaker 1>by the way Kylos described it as a core part

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<v Speaker 1>of their mandate. This is not just some financial crisis

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<v Speaker 1>engineering where they're buying a motor company debt. This UK

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<v Speaker 1>gets to the very very hot of their mandate. You know.

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<v Speaker 1>It shows that if a central bank is really serious

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<v Speaker 1>about its mandate, has to do more than just make

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<v Speaker 1>the right decisions on interest rates. They might need to

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<v Speaker 1>go out and and uh, you know, take a personal

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<v Speaker 1>take a hammer in some way to inflation in the economy. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe johanet Yellen could learn a lesson. You know, for

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<v Speaker 1>the last few years we've just seen inflation below two.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe maybe they have to do something in reverse of

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<v Speaker 1>the Chili Mafia to pump up prices in some way.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right. Her challenge is getting it up, not cracking

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<v Speaker 1>down on it. Benchmark will be back next week and

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<v Speaker 1>until then, you can find us on the Bloomberg terminal,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, or Bloomberg App, as well as on

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<v Speaker 1>Apple Podcasts, pocketcasts, Stitcher, or wherever else you might like

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<v Speaker 1>finding podcasts. While you're there, take a minute to rate

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<v Speaker 1>and review the show so more listeners can find us

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<v Speaker 1>and let us know what you thought of the show.

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<v Speaker 1>You can follow me on Twitter at at scott Landman Dan,

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<v Speaker 1>you are at Moss Underscore Echo, and our guest Carlos

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<v Speaker 1>Salna is at Carlos sa k r l I s

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<v Speaker 1>K s o n A. Benchmark is produced by Sarah

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<v Speaker 1>Patterson and the head of Bloomberg Podcast is Alec McCabe.

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening, See you next time. A foll