1 00:00:10,720 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to another episode of the podcast on 2 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:18,799 Speaker 1: Tracy Allowett and I'm Joe Wisenthal. Joe, what is my 3 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: all time favorite topic? I know the answer to this fraud? 4 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: Financial fraud. Yeah, yeah, you're actually right. I'm actually right. 5 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 1: It's such a surprise that I would get this quite sure. 6 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: You you asked it so definitively and we've been doing 7 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: this for a while. But thank you, thank you for 8 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: giving me that credit. I only say that because you 9 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: didn't know my age, uh in that one episode that 10 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:45,639 Speaker 1: we did. Uh, So thank you for um. Even if 11 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:47,280 Speaker 1: you don't know how old I am, you know what 12 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: I'm interested in and that means a lot. So yes, 13 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: I am definitely interested in financial fraud. And one of 14 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: the most interesting aspects of financial fraud, in my humble opinion, 15 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: is usually the counting let's say, chicanery that goes along 16 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:08,199 Speaker 1: with it. Right, Because business happens and people buy stuff 17 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: and sell stuff. But between the time something happens and 18 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,120 Speaker 1: the time when it actually gets recorded on paper and 19 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 1: recognized as us cells and cash coming in and out 20 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: of the business, a lot can happen. Yeah, that's right, 21 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:26,479 Speaker 1: And if you think about it, finance wall Street. It's 22 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: all a numbers game, right, And the way that we 23 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:33,839 Speaker 1: think about that those numbers is uh well, basically dictated 24 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:37,040 Speaker 1: by something that we like to call accounting, and there 25 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 1: are various accounting rules that govern how people are supposed 26 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 1: to report their earnings and the wider goings on of 27 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: their businesses. But of course there's also a lot of 28 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 1: leeway in the way that you can come up with 29 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: those numbers, and even if you're not committing outright fraud, 30 00:01:54,200 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: you can definitely utilize disingenuous accounting practices. Practice is that 31 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: can either deliberately mislead your investors or maybe unintentionally, but 32 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: usually deliberately. You know, it's funny. I'm really excited about 33 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: this topic as well. He was just reading the autobiography 34 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 1: of the Nike CEO, Phil Knight, and he was previously 35 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 1: an accountant, and he talked about that it was through 36 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: being an accountant that he really learned what made businesses 37 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:28,799 Speaker 1: fail or thrive. And it got me thinking that whereas 38 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 1: we often think of something happening in reality and then 39 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 1: the accounting being this sort of reflection of reality, that 40 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: maybe the accounting is the reality, and that there's nothing 41 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 1: more real in a sense than the process of writing 42 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 1: down a number. So I'm very excited. Uh, we're talking 43 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 1: about accounting, and so why don't you tell us what 44 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: we're gonna be talking about today specifically? Yeah? Wow, okay, 45 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: so we're definitely going to go deep in this episode. 46 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,639 Speaker 1: Our guest today is actually someone who's come through by 47 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:03,799 Speaker 1: a listener suggestions, So thank you to Harvard Winters on 48 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: Twitter for suggesting him. Our guest for today is Howard 49 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 1: schill It. He is the founder and CEO of schill 50 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 1: Itt Forensics. He's also the author of a book called 51 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: Financial Shenanigans. We're gonna be talking with him about exactly 52 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:22,679 Speaker 1: what those accounting shenanigans might be, and also about the 53 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: importance of accounting in general. To your point shows, Howard, 54 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 1: thank you so much for coming on, Tracy and my pleasure. 55 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: So I guess this is a general starting point. Do 56 00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 1: you think accounting gets enough credence when it comes to 57 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: the way we think about business or the wider economy. 58 00:03:56,240 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: So let me talk about accounting in the way it 59 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: fits into UH investors process of figuring out which company's 60 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: to own, which company is not to own. Think of 61 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 1: think of it more as a behavioral science and a 62 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 1: sort of diagram the players and what their objectives are 63 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 1: and who's winning and who's not winning. So as we know, 64 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: every public company four times a year has to present 65 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 1: themselves to the investment community, to the constituents who have 66 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: to make decisions, and the mindset of the of the 67 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: public companies, the senior executives is to tell the story 68 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: in such a way that the investors are very impressed. 69 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 1: So we could say it's not providing the information in 70 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: a balanced fashion, it's always trying to have a very 71 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: positive spin. There are rules, there are generally accepted accounting 72 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: rules g A a P or called gap. But beyond that, 73 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: companies have a whole second universe of information they provide, 74 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: which is non gap metrics. Okay, The other constituents are 75 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: the consumers, the readers, So those are the people who 76 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,280 Speaker 1: are part of my universe and trying to help them 77 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 1: figure out whether the representations from the company is a 78 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: consistent congruent with the underlying reality as Joe was describing before, 79 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: or whether it is information that is demonstrably different and misleading. 80 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 1: So the account so think of the accounting and how 81 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: that fits in as how management can tell the story. 82 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:49,839 Speaker 1: So it's it's it became a fascinating subject to me. 83 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 1: I was an accounting professor, but it became a fascinating 84 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: subject to me when I began to understand it. Not 85 00:05:56,680 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 1: in some mechanical way of just putting numbers on on paper, 86 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:06,679 Speaker 1: but it's how management can choose to tell the story 87 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:12,279 Speaker 1: to advance what their interest is. Let's get into different 88 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 1: ways of telling the same story, because in theory it 89 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: should be simple. If you're a car company, you're like, Okay, well, 90 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 1: we sold cars this quarter, and our medals costs were 91 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 1: this much, and our labor costs were this much, and 92 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 1: we take the revenue and subtract the costs of their 93 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: dear shareholder, was your profit for the quarter. I know 94 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: it's not that simple. But where in the process does 95 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: the discretion of the accountants or management start to enter 96 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 1: the picture? Okay, wonderful question. So that the information gets 97 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 1: recorded typically when there's a transaction. So let's use an 98 00:06:55,480 --> 00:07:00,279 Speaker 1: example of somebody who's selling cars. It's your Volkswagen and 99 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 1: you are in the fourth quarter of two thousand and seventeen, 100 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: and you know, the Wall Street community has a consensus 101 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: estimate of what your revenue and what your sales will be. 102 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 1: You get a call from a customer Volkswagen, it's like 103 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: a dealer where they say, the cars that you were 104 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: going to be shipping out to us December? Uh, why 105 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 1: don't we hold off on that until because our business 106 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 1: is slow and we don't have any place for it. Okay, 107 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: So here's the pressure that Volkswagen has. The numbers that 108 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: everybody's expecting include that delivery sales get recorded when you 109 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 1: ship them out. So the decision Volkswagen has to make 110 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,560 Speaker 1: it The point is what do we do? The customer says, 111 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: don't ship the goods? Do they ship them to a 112 00:07:56,760 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 1: another location? So in order to trick the auditors, Remember 113 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 1: the line of defense for the investors is the auditor 114 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 1: can say, no company, you can't do this. So in 115 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: order to uh solve the problem that Volkswagen has, they'll 116 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 1: miss their numbers if the sales are short. So do 117 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: they act honestly and announced to their put out a 118 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 1: press release to the investors and basically say this is 119 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 1: what happened. The sales of say fifty million dollars that 120 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: we expected in the fourth quarter, it's not going to 121 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: come in until the first quarter of next year because 122 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: of you know this episode where the customer called out, 123 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:40,679 Speaker 1: that's the honest way to do it, or do they 124 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: come up with an artificial way of making the numbers? 125 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,080 Speaker 1: So that's when it gets really interesting. So the the 126 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: accounting itself is simply solving a business problem. So that 127 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: was what they would have to do if the sales 128 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 1: are a problem. Well, let's take something which actually happened 129 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: about or so years ago at Volkswagen where they change 130 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 1: their depreciable life of their planted equipment. So, as you know, 131 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:16,080 Speaker 1: most companies have uh certain assets that depreciate and that 132 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 1: is reflected as an expense. They Volkswagen was depreciating their 133 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 1: planted equipment over ten years, a short period, so they 134 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:29,680 Speaker 1: seem very conservative. And then you read the footnote in 135 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:33,440 Speaker 1: the next period and you see a slight change in 136 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: wording where the depreciation which had been over a ten 137 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 1: year period, the wording was it's now ten to fifteen years. 138 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 1: Get very subtle one. What's going on there? The company 139 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 1: was struggling. See we figured it out because you don't 140 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:55,560 Speaker 1: just whimsically change your your accounting policies if if you 141 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 1: don't need to, and by stretching out their depreciable life 142 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 1: by AFT, they obviously lowered their expenses and they were 143 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,200 Speaker 1: able to meet the numbers. So so the accounting I 144 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: gave one example on the revenue side, one example on 145 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: the expense side. But each one of these situations is 146 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: there's a problem. The company has a choice of do 147 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 1: we disclose what's really going on to the investors or 148 00:10:24,400 --> 00:10:27,280 Speaker 1: do we try to cover it up? Right, So how 149 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:30,720 Speaker 1: are you just described two examples, and of course there 150 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:33,920 Speaker 1: are various ways to do these cover ups as you 151 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:38,319 Speaker 1: describe them. I'm wondering, given that you've been an accounting 152 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 1: professional for a long time, have you noticed that the 153 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: common sort of accounting fludges or cover ups have changed 154 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: over the years. Is there one that used to be 155 00:10:49,840 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 1: quite pervasive or popular and now it's maybe something else? Yeah, 156 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:58,199 Speaker 1: very very interesting questions. So the book that I described 157 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: Financial Shenanigan, the twenty five anniversary edition was is published, 158 00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 1: so I could sort of give you a retrospect. So 159 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: so the first edition came out while I was still 160 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 1: a professor. So so in terms of the tricks and tracy, 161 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: let me get to that. So in the in the 162 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 1: earlier years, we'll say, up until Sarbanes Oxley came out 163 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:24,160 Speaker 1: a little bit over a decade ago, which placed greater 164 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 1: restrictions and the possibility of jail time for the CEO 165 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 1: and CFO if they sign off on financial statements that 166 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 1: are not in compliance with the rules. Uh back, I'd 167 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 1: say until roughly a little more than a decade ago, 168 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: most of the big stories were mucking around with sales 169 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,839 Speaker 1: and expenses, things that are part of what we call 170 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 1: the gap based numbers. Okay, after that and and this, uh, 171 00:11:56,440 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 1: the takeaway should be things are more dangerous today and 172 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 1: the so so the accounting trickery has largely migrated from 173 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 1: the gap based results to what's called non gap that is, 174 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:19,599 Speaker 1: things that start with ibida. So if there's one takeaway 175 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 1: your listeners should embrace, that is, if you could ignore 176 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: ibada because ibada is simply a non gap construct which 177 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 1: is easily manipulatable. So I'd say that's again, things are, are, 178 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 1: in my judgment, moving in a in a very bad 179 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: direction because the it's so much easier for management to 180 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:51,719 Speaker 1: play games and still not be violating the rules or 181 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 1: the laws because there are no rules. Howard, I want 182 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 1: to press you on this point because it has become 183 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:01,240 Speaker 1: a really hot topic in recent a people talk about 184 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: the gap between basically adjusted earnings what you're talking about 185 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 1: do versus the gap numbers these sort of official, legally 186 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:14,400 Speaker 1: required numbers um. And we've seen some pretty let's say 187 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:18,720 Speaker 1: strong examples of adjusted earnings recently. The one that springs 188 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:20,719 Speaker 1: to mind have to be we work when they have 189 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:25,600 Speaker 1: something called community adjusted EBITDA, which seemed to be ebit 190 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 1: don minus the cost of sales, which seemed really really 191 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:33,440 Speaker 1: weird to me. So how much of a problem is 192 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:38,199 Speaker 1: this and why did adjusted earnings become so pervasive when 193 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: it comes to business reporting? So the question of why, 194 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:49,559 Speaker 1: I think it's the executive community have just gotten more 195 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: clever and the investor community have not really kept up 196 00:13:56,679 --> 00:14:00,160 Speaker 1: with sort of what what they need to do. So, 197 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,720 Speaker 1: just to sort of put this in the context of, uh, 198 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:06,240 Speaker 1: the last twenty five years, I told you that's the 199 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: the when the first book came out. So over that 200 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 1: period I've also been working helping institutional investors. And what 201 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 1: you know, what's become clear is that the the category 202 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: of tricks identifying keeps growing, or another way of saying it, 203 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:32,560 Speaker 1: management has continued to evolve in terms of the creativity 204 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 1: of tricking investors. I try to help the good guys 205 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,320 Speaker 1: and say these are the tricks I've learned. Now starts 206 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 1: stepping up your game to protect yourself. But the what's 207 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: fallen pretty far behind is once management figured out that 208 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 1: ibadah and other non gap derivative measures of that and 209 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: your example, if we were it fits exactly into that category. 210 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 1: You started out with the gap based earnings, and you decide, 211 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: as management, we're going to tell investors to ignore this expense, 212 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: and that expands. Yeah, with with we work. They're basically 213 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: saying the only expense that investors should pay attention to 214 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:21,120 Speaker 1: is the cost of good soul and all of the 215 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 1: selling and marketing and R and D. To ignore it's 216 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 1: it's ridiculous. I have so many questions listening to this, 217 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: but one of them is, and I'm kind I'm not 218 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 1: like a hardcore efficient markets hypothesis kind of guy, but 219 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 1: I generally think markets are somewhat efficient. If they put 220 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 1: out the gap numbers. I mean, I know, they say, 221 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: here's the non gap numbers with our preferred adjustments that 222 00:15:45,760 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 1: they'd like you to they'd like you to look at. 223 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 1: But the gap numbers are all there, So preadjustments and 224 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: just buy the book. Accounting in theory sits there right there. 225 00:15:56,200 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 1: Why how can investors really get fooled? And Matt, it's 226 00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 1: like I could see some people not looking. But for 227 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 1: serious investors, isn't the data there for them? Okay? So 228 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: let me use one company as a case study to 229 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:13,400 Speaker 1: sort of help us, you know, get our hands around understanding. 230 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 1: So Valiant was the big story of the last decade. 231 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,400 Speaker 1: It was a company that went from a two billion 232 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 1: dollar market value to ninety billion, which was big of 233 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 1: an en Ron back down to three billions, nineties six 234 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 1: percent of its value. Over we'll say a five year 235 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 1: period from roughly two thousand, twelve thirteen until sixteen, there 236 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 1: gap based results cumulatively. Again, this is a company that 237 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: went up. How many times you would have assumed that 238 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 1: their gap based results would have been pretty amazing. Their 239 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:53,080 Speaker 1: cumulative gap based earnings during that period was around negative 240 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:56,680 Speaker 1: three billion dollars. Okay, it was there, It was audited. 241 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: It was you know, you look at every ten k 242 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 1: and you add up the total bottom line, and that 243 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:07,119 Speaker 1: was it. The alternative universe that the company was putting 244 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: out with something called cash earnings. You do the exact 245 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 1: same drill. You add up for that five year period 246 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:18,959 Speaker 1: the total each year it was positive nine billion. It 247 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 1: was so easy to see that if it's essentially measuring 248 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 1: the same underlying health of the business. One was gap 249 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 1: based earnings, the other was this surrogate measure they call 250 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 1: cash earnings. So how does it make sense if, uh, 251 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:42,359 Speaker 1: your non gap metric is shooting to the stars and 252 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 1: the audited gap based measure is plummeting deep into the sea. 253 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 1: So Joe, you know, the question is how did people 254 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:55,400 Speaker 1: not see this? It was there, but for some reason, 255 00:17:56,119 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: the the love affair that they had with the company, 256 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 1: they kept pointing to a metric that didn't make any 257 00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: sense with billion. There was also an exciting story. People 258 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 1: thought they had found some new model riot of buying 259 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 1: up drugs using debt and slashing the R and D expenses, 260 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 1: And people thought this could be the new model of 261 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 1: how format works. So, yes, it's true that the non 262 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: gap numbers a accelerated and be there was a huge 263 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 1: gap between non gap and gap, But people also fell 264 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:33,440 Speaker 1: in love with Let me sort of jump in and 265 00:18:33,520 --> 00:18:36,159 Speaker 1: say that's the problem where they fell in love with 266 00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:41,479 Speaker 1: a story. Right, you use the term platform company, people 267 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:45,680 Speaker 1: melt right. The term platform company is sort of the 268 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:49,160 Speaker 1: current iteration of what in the sixties was called a conglomerate, 269 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 1: in the nineties was called a roll up. So you're 270 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:56,840 Speaker 1: absolutely right. For people who who fall in love with 271 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:03,400 Speaker 1: stories and don't actually look at the numbers, that's that's 272 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,199 Speaker 1: exactly what was happening in that situation. They fell in 273 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 1: love with the story and they they saw the two 274 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 1: point nine billion or whatever that losses I was describing, 275 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 1: but they said, but their cash earnings, and they built 276 00:19:16,880 --> 00:19:20,919 Speaker 1: a better mouse trap. Right, instead of being like Merk 277 00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 1: or the other big pharmaceuticals where they spend so much 278 00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 1: on R and D and most of it doesn't result 279 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:31,719 Speaker 1: in successful products, h Valiant figured out a better model. 280 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 1: And I looked at that and said, you really think 281 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 1: that people that Fiser and Merk are so stupid that 282 00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 1: they didn't know that there was an alternative by versus 283 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:44,199 Speaker 1: make Why did they figure something out which seems so 284 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:48,160 Speaker 1: obvious but it wasn't. Because when you are a drug company, 285 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 1: you know the cost of being in that business is 286 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 1: you have to spend a lot of money in the 287 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 1: drug discovery and uh, So if you want to de 288 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: risk yourself, which is Alliance Pitch, you buy Bosh and Loom, 289 00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:07,440 Speaker 1: you buy other companies forty billion dollars, Well, nobody's giving 290 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:11,120 Speaker 1: it to you for free, so you are buying. Yeah. 291 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: So the the notion was I think completely misguided, right. 292 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:19,200 Speaker 1: And in the case of Valiant, from what I remember 293 00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 1: and to Show's point, the story was almost embedded in 294 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,719 Speaker 1: the numbers, right because a big part of what they 295 00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:30,199 Speaker 1: were doing were add backs based on the acquisitions that 296 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 1: they were making, so sort of immediately embedding that growth 297 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:38,159 Speaker 1: story into their numbers. One of the things that I 298 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 1: want to press you on, just on that note is, um, 299 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 1: you know, we talked about how Valiant would basically borrow 300 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,720 Speaker 1: from capital markets at a very cheap rate or a 301 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:50,679 Speaker 1: relatively cheap rate, predicated on this notion that it was 302 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:55,120 Speaker 1: this huge growth company that was going to monetize any second. 303 00:20:56,240 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 1: Is there a sort of feedback loop between capital markets 304 00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: and market valuations that tends to be aided by loose accounting. 305 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:12,080 Speaker 1: So uh, if you were trying to put together a 306 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 1: portfolio of what would be interesting shorts, you probably would 307 00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,080 Speaker 1: want to get a list of the companies that are 308 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,719 Speaker 1: the biggest customers of the investment banks, that is, the 309 00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:29,119 Speaker 1: ones that uh true, it's you know, Endron back in 310 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:35,360 Speaker 1: thousand was probably the most profitable client for the investment 311 00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:39,080 Speaker 1: banks because if you think of it, companies that are 312 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 1: really generating substantial cash flow, they're funding most of their 313 00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:51,680 Speaker 1: operations and their expansion through their cash flow. Whereas companies 314 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:55,920 Speaker 1: that have a dearth of cash flow coming from their business, 315 00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,920 Speaker 1: they always have their hand down, they always need more 316 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:03,640 Speaker 1: and more. So sort of this this virtuous loop where 317 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 1: the ones that are are in need of cash, right, 318 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 1: the ones who keep coming back to the capital markets 319 00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:15,240 Speaker 1: are probably not the strongest players. In fact, just the opposite. 320 00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:17,920 Speaker 1: And when you think about the ones that are pitched 321 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 1: the most vociferously by the analyst of the firm, doesn't 322 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,399 Speaker 1: make sense that they're going to be pitching the companies 323 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 1: for investors to buy of the ones that they have 324 00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:31,160 Speaker 1: the most merchandise to sell, you know, think of the Uh, 325 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:35,199 Speaker 1: the investment bank no different than merchants. They they are 326 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 1: would deny that they're right. They would say, oh, there's 327 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 1: definitely a wall between you know. But but I'm saying, 328 00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:43,879 Speaker 1: just look at the reality of the business. Whatever the 329 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:47,439 Speaker 1: whatever the the constructs are inside is not the point. 330 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:52,000 Speaker 1: It's if your job is to raise a large amount 331 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:56,520 Speaker 1: of capital for X y Z company, what does that mean? 332 00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:59,760 Speaker 1: Not just put together the the consortium of who's going 333 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:02,200 Speaker 1: to be buying it, but you have to sell a 334 00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,199 Speaker 1: whole bunch of shares, right, So your your client is 335 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:09,520 Speaker 1: the corporate American expressesn't pick any company and you need 336 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,080 Speaker 1: to sell that. So that I'm saying that sort of 337 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,480 Speaker 1: the analogy to a merchant is you have a whole 338 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,880 Speaker 1: bunch of inventory that you have to move. In order 339 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 1: to move the inventory, you have to get people excited 340 00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 1: about it, and you get people excited by saying, we've 341 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:26,200 Speaker 1: upped our opinion on this company from you know, neutral 342 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: to buy, from buy to strong buy. So that's so again, 343 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,639 Speaker 1: I don't care what kind of you know, structural walls. 344 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 1: There are Chinese, French, Italian walls, whatever you're gonna call them. Um, 345 00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 1: the the the companies that uh generate the great fees 346 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 1: from investment banking are the ones that I would put 347 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:50,360 Speaker 1: on the list of be careful. You mentioned in Valiant, 348 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,240 Speaker 1: and that brings me back to another question I had, 349 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:57,280 Speaker 1: which is how much of the the fudges or the 350 00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 1: cover ups changed since you first wrote the book thanks 351 00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:06,359 Speaker 1: to the growth of intellectual property based business models. So 352 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: you know, it's one thing if you're selling cars and 353 00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,400 Speaker 1: you record the sale when the car leaves the factory gate, 354 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:17,360 Speaker 1: versus companies that don't really have much factories and instead 355 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: maybe they have a drug or some sort of really 356 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,720 Speaker 1: strong brand, or they sell ads or something like that. 357 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 1: How much has that changed the type of fudges that 358 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 1: you've seen. Yes, that that's actually a very interesting question 359 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 1: in that the accounting rules were written many many years ago, 360 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:38,399 Speaker 1: before the information based society. So think of back in 361 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 1: the forties and fifties and the railroads and so okay, 362 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,679 Speaker 1: So so that's the time the accounting rules were written. 363 00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:48,119 Speaker 1: Now we're in a world where you have, you know, 364 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 1: a group on coming on and you know, just different 365 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:56,280 Speaker 1: type of models where uh, the there are no specific 366 00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,280 Speaker 1: thou shout nots in the accounting rules for type of 367 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 1: transactions that were not envisioned back when the accounting rules 368 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 1: are written. So think about the opportunity set for companies 369 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:14,920 Speaker 1: to play games, where in the accounting rule book there 370 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 1: is no thou shall not do this, right, So you 371 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:22,960 Speaker 1: then as management come up with a funky way of 372 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 1: recording revenue, you then have it reviewed by your auditor, 373 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 1: and the auditor it's hard for the auditor to push 374 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,879 Speaker 1: back and say, well, this is a violation of the 375 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 1: rule if there's no thing, nothing specific in any rule 376 00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: book that addresses that type of transaction. So, in terms 377 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: of what makes the challenges so great is that there's 378 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:50,320 Speaker 1: a lot of interpretation of whether it's GAP compliant or 379 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,719 Speaker 1: whether it's non gap compliants. Right, Howard, I would love 380 00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,240 Speaker 1: to press you more on the role of the auditors 381 00:25:56,280 --> 00:26:00,159 Speaker 1: and also the accounting standards bodies, but I'm aware that 382 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,680 Speaker 1: we if we start going down that road, will probably 383 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 1: go on for an hour. And there's something slightly more 384 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:08,879 Speaker 1: immediate that I want to ask you, which is lately 385 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 1: there's been some discussion prompted by a tweet from Donald 386 00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:17,520 Speaker 1: Trump where he's sort of vaguely mused about maybe changing 387 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:21,680 Speaker 1: the quarterly reporting period to maybe a sort of bi 388 00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 1: annual one, so companies reporting earnings every six months instead 389 00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 1: of every three months as it is currently. As an accountant, 390 00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:33,399 Speaker 1: how how do you feel about that and would it 391 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:39,240 Speaker 1: ultimately be a good or a bad thing for investors. Okay, 392 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 1: so short answer, it would be a terrible move. But 393 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 1: let me give a little more flavor to that. So, 394 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:54,639 Speaker 1: the way companies should be thinking about their business is 395 00:26:55,000 --> 00:27:00,080 Speaker 1: long term. So having pressure to every quarter on a 396 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 1: very short basis uh report to the investors puts a 397 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:08,440 Speaker 1: lot of pressure on short term thinking versus long term. 398 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: So there is a problem, and I'll sort of tell 399 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,679 Speaker 1: you what I think the solution is, but it's not 400 00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:17,119 Speaker 1: why Donald Trump had suggested. So again, so long term 401 00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:22,720 Speaker 1: thinking and managing business is good. Short term gaming toward 402 00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:29,919 Speaker 1: whatever bad. However, it is very important that investors have 403 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:34,439 Speaker 1: current information in order to make decisions. So if you 404 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:38,120 Speaker 1: stretch out with now every three months, every six months, 405 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:44,120 Speaker 1: the void, the information void is going to be filled 406 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,440 Speaker 1: by folks who are trying to drive the stock price, 407 00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:52,800 Speaker 1: so they're always unintended consequences. So the problem is not 408 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:58,080 Speaker 1: that companies are reporting four times a year. I think 409 00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:03,960 Speaker 1: the problem is a circus around the earnings and you know, 410 00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,359 Speaker 1: sort of the the earnings call and the Wall Street 411 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,600 Speaker 1: consensus estimate. I think if if I were going to 412 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 1: change the events, I would say, absolutely, you keep the 413 00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:22,560 Speaker 1: requirement that companies file with the SEC every three months 414 00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:28,479 Speaker 1: in accordance with gap and not allowed to say anything 415 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:33,000 Speaker 1: about non gap metrics. Go back to when the rules 416 00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 1: were written. The rules were written for a reason that 417 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,600 Speaker 1: all these numbers, certainly the audit the annual numbers are audited, 418 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 1: but even accordly, uh, those are going to be reviewed 419 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: by the outside auditor. So again, the best solution is 420 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:53,720 Speaker 1: continue to have h the quarterly filings with the SEC, 421 00:28:54,880 --> 00:29:03,760 Speaker 1: eliminate non gap in any document, and eliminate the earnings calls. 422 00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:06,440 Speaker 1: So give people the information, but then don't make a 423 00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:11,040 Speaker 1: big circus of explaining it and massaging it. I want 424 00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:14,520 Speaker 1: to sort of make this very useful to our listeners. 425 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 1: So earning season is perpetually right around the corner. So 426 00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 1: short of reading your book, which I am actually going 427 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:23,960 Speaker 1: to go out and buy your book now because I'm 428 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 1: very interested in this and want to learn more. But 429 00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,000 Speaker 1: what are the sort of basic guide you would give 430 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 1: to investors to spot red flags? I touched on the 431 00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:40,400 Speaker 1: point about behavioral analysis. When you're reading any document, you 432 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,160 Speaker 1: just want to be alert to see if there's anything 433 00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:47,600 Speaker 1: unusual or different. Give you an example, so the company 434 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 1: in a press release, So a press release is different 435 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:55,800 Speaker 1: than the tank you the press release around that can 436 00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 1: begin with whatever title you know heading you want to 437 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 1: have for them. So if the the standard way the 438 00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:08,640 Speaker 1: company begins that and how they structure that information is 439 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:13,200 Speaker 1: the company the revenue gap based revenue is up ten 440 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 1: and the profits are up this, which is more standard. 441 00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,400 Speaker 1: If you see a change and they start talking about, oh, 442 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:24,000 Speaker 1: the d S O S the day sales of receivables 443 00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:30,960 Speaker 1: improved by twenty days, your listeners should say, why is 444 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 1: this different? Why are they starting to push a metric 445 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,680 Speaker 1: that they never talked about before. It's it's just spotting 446 00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:44,719 Speaker 1: things that they haven't done before. You need to simply 447 00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 1: be alert and question something. A company is often trying 448 00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:55,920 Speaker 1: to cover something up, but when they cover up, often 449 00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,880 Speaker 1: is putting a spotlight on something that they want you 450 00:30:59,920 --> 00:31:02,840 Speaker 1: to look at. And by them putting the spotlight on it, 451 00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:06,240 Speaker 1: they're actually leading you to where they're playing the game. 452 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:11,240 Speaker 1: So so un unbeknownst to the company that's playing the game, 453 00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:15,360 Speaker 1: just by them jump, you know, climbing to the top 454 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:18,520 Speaker 1: of the mountain and screaming something that's so proud of, 455 00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 1: they're actually telling you, as the investor, pay close attention, 456 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:26,320 Speaker 1: not necessarily believe what they just said, But why are 457 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 1: they screaming about something that they've never mentioned before? And 458 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:34,120 Speaker 1: often the irony is they've just led you to where 459 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:37,800 Speaker 1: the Shenanigan is. Definitely sounds like a magician's tricks of 460 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: something exciting going on in one hand while the more 461 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 1: interesting thing happens in the other. All right, well, um, 462 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:49,000 Speaker 1: that was Howard chill It, the founder and CEO of 463 00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:53,480 Speaker 1: Chilett Forensics and also the author of Financial Shenanigan. Thank 464 00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 1: you so much for being on, Howard. It's really a 465 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:59,480 Speaker 1: fascinating conversation. Well, thank you so much, Tracy, And thank you, Joe. 466 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 1: Thank you. I was great, so Joe. Based on that conversation, 467 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,480 Speaker 1: I'm slightly tempted to do an All Thoughts spinoff called 468 00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 1: Audit Trails. I love it. I think I want let's 469 00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:27,720 Speaker 1: do more accounting, Let's do more accounting related episodes, because 470 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 1: I really do feel like accounting probably is sort of 471 00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:36,040 Speaker 1: denigrated in the world of business in terms of people 472 00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:39,600 Speaker 1: realizing it's significance. But the more I hear about it, 473 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 1: read about it, and listen to people like Howard, the 474 00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 1: more I suspect that there's a lot of the real 475 00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:50,240 Speaker 1: important stuff about business is happening on the accounting side, 476 00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: and that I don't know, it just feels like there's, uh, 477 00:32:55,240 --> 00:32:58,280 Speaker 1: we need to be talking about accounting more. Basically, No, 478 00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 1: you're You're absolutely right, And I think we alluded to 479 00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,560 Speaker 1: this in the intro. But if you think about investing 480 00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:06,600 Speaker 1: in finance as a numbers game, well then you better 481 00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,760 Speaker 1: be thinking about how those numbers are actually created and presented. 482 00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,800 Speaker 1: But the other really interesting thing I thought was a 483 00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:16,840 Speaker 1: point that you brought up, which is about whether or 484 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 1: not the current accounting rules are well adjusted for the 485 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:25,840 Speaker 1: way our economy is heading in terms of intellectual property. 486 00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:27,880 Speaker 1: And you know, so much of the value of the 487 00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:33,160 Speaker 1: economy now being through intangible items like the importance of 488 00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:37,120 Speaker 1: the brand, and and that just leads down a really 489 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 1: interesting sort of wormhole um into all sorts of things. Yeah, 490 00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:42,720 Speaker 1: and you know, we had an episode I think it 491 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 1: was a couple of years ago. Remember we talked to 492 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 1: the those accounting professors about why valuation models weren't working, 493 00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: and they also talked about so I feel like that 494 00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 1: also is pretty interesting rabbit hole to explore it. There's 495 00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,160 Speaker 1: actually a lot more I'm now curious about and thinking 496 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:05,600 Speaker 1: about I'm curious about whether machine learning can help identify 497 00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:08,440 Speaker 1: some of those patterns that get broken all of a sudden, 498 00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:13,279 Speaker 1: such as the depreciation schedules or other areas like that. 499 00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:17,400 Speaker 1: So let's let's revisit this topic soon. All right, accounting 500 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:22,760 Speaker 1: series coming up that has been another episode of the podcast. 501 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,600 Speaker 1: I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me on Twitter at 502 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:28,520 Speaker 1: Tracy Alloway, and I'm Joe wise of Thought. You could 503 00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,680 Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at the Stalwart, and you can 504 00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:35,239 Speaker 1: follow Howard on Twitter at Howard schill It. And you 505 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,320 Speaker 1: should follow our producer to for Foreheads. He's on Twitter 506 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:41,799 Speaker 1: at for hest, as well as the Bloomberg head of podcasts, 507 00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:46,880 Speaker 1: Francesca Levi at Francesca Today. As always, thanks for listening. 508 00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 1: Three year