WEBVTT - Nick Wright’s 2025 NFL PREDICTIONS, win total OVERS/UNDERS + SLEEPER picks

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in What's Dry with Nick Great episode three point

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<v Speaker 1>fifty nine. This episode has always has brought to you

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<v Speaker 1>by boost Mobile back in the States after a great

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<v Speaker 1>trip through Switzerland, Italy, France and Monico where a few

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<v Speaker 1>random with my wife and my wife's grandparents who are

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<v Speaker 1>travel with us in the summer, it's great time. The

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<v Speaker 1>show demons sad to report, very very unpopular in Switzerland like.

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<v Speaker 2>The now like to stop you out there.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, could not have been more anonymous like that

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<v Speaker 1>over the country. As we've moved south in Europe, more

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<v Speaker 1>a little more and more. And then by the time

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<v Speaker 1>we got to Monaco, I had Eagles fans to cost me.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh and how about this real quick before we get

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<v Speaker 1>to By the way, this is one of my favorite

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<v Speaker 1>shows of the year. There's the first half of a

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<v Speaker 1>gambling show. Uh gambling preview show. It's our full we

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<v Speaker 1>do all thirty two over unders, so we have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot to do. We you know, this show could be

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<v Speaker 1>five hours long. We can't have to be five hours long.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's a lot going on to be clear. But

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<v Speaker 1>oh gosh, oh yeah, So I'm in because let me

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<v Speaker 1>set the table further. I'm I text my poker buddies,

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<v Speaker 1>because I'm in Monte Carlo and I know there's great

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<v Speaker 1>poker in Monte Carlo, but you can't find it, like

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<v Speaker 1>you've got to like be invited. I played in a

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<v Speaker 1>card game in Switzerland. I played in a card game

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<v Speaker 1>in Italy. I played in card games in France, elsewhere,

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<v Speaker 1>but Monaco. I didn't know where to go. So one

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<v Speaker 1>that text did not lead me to a card game.

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<v Speaker 1>It did lead me to end up challenging helm Youth

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<v Speaker 1>to this five thousand dollars a person survivor contest, which

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<v Speaker 1>I then and you know, I'll be honest if you

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<v Speaker 1>saw that long video A few cocktails in posted me

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<v Speaker 1>and the Hellme Youth challenge, and by the way, that's

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<v Speaker 1>opened everybody. Splash Sports is hosting it. Anybody can join it.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's five grand a person. It's a lot of money.

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<v Speaker 1>That then the next morning, demon'say. I had a little

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<v Speaker 1>like I don't know what the word is, regret, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not sure fear. I was like, do I look like

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<v Speaker 1>an elitist? I was like, I posted because it's like

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<v Speaker 1>a five thousand dollars a person contest. So then I

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<v Speaker 1>was like, I think I have to start a new contest.

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<v Speaker 1>So now there's also a twenty five dollars a person

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<v Speaker 1>contest that that I'm gonna be a part of. And so,

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<v Speaker 1>like you can follow me on Twitter. It's place right

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<v Speaker 1>when we did the it's the same people at Splash

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<v Speaker 1>Sports that we did the March Madness Survivor pool with

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<v Speaker 1>that I talked about. Uh, it's just you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's a version of Run your Pool, those different things.

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<v Speaker 1>Except to me, they're the best hosting site. But so

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<v Speaker 1>all so all that is going on, I then go

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<v Speaker 1>into the casino in Money Carlo and these three guys

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<v Speaker 1>like start hitting each other, like pointing at me, but

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<v Speaker 1>they're clearly not American, and so I kind of give

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<v Speaker 1>them a nod and they come over and this is

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<v Speaker 1>what they say, Nick, We've been watching you for ten

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<v Speaker 1>years from Slovenia.

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<v Speaker 3>They were like you, Yeah, they called out my Luca

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<v Speaker 3>tweet about saying you should go number one in the

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<v Speaker 3>draft oh years ago or whatever it is.

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<v Speaker 1>So that so that was really cool. So it was

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<v Speaker 1>a great time. Uh So that was a great trip.

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<v Speaker 1>And then and then we'll get to the actual news.

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<v Speaker 1>But I'm going to do something demands that I am

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<v Speaker 1>not really equiped to do here, which is an unboxing?

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<v Speaker 1>Oh wow?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>When I went on, yeah, I don't know how to

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<v Speaker 1>do it. I don't even know how to show my

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<v Speaker 1>tattoo on camera. How am I gonna unbox something? And

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<v Speaker 1>it's big and I'm not sure exactly what's gonna work.

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<v Speaker 1>But when I got back to the house Sunday night,

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<v Speaker 1>waiting at the doorstep was it was wrapped obviously, Hold on,

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<v Speaker 1>look at this was this. I don't know if you

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<v Speaker 1>guys can see what that says, but that's just fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>eighty seven Prime. Fifteen is Patrick Mahomes, eighty seven is

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<v Speaker 1>Travis Kelcey, and their steakhouse is opening very soon, so

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to open whatever they sent me.

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<v Speaker 2>What a cool name for the steakhouse. Fifteen eighty seven,

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<v Speaker 2>that's tough.

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<v Speaker 1>Fifteen eighty seven Prime from the Visionaries, Wow at Noble

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<v Speaker 1>thirty three and Kansas City's own hometown Heroesatrick Mahomes and

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<v Speaker 1>Travis Kelsey. I can't there's a there's a password on

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<v Speaker 1>the bottom there which I can't do. But now we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna try to unbox this thing. All right, Let's see

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<v Speaker 1>if I'm any good at this. I really should have

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<v Speaker 1>gotten your mom involved with this. Yeah, hold on? Oh yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we also oh look at this, hold on, hold on,

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<v Speaker 1>official invitation. You're invited for a collaboration between NFL icons

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<v Speaker 1>Patrick Mollons, Travis Kelsey and Partnership Noble thirty three bring

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<v Speaker 1>a modern twist to an American steakhouse in Kansas City.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think I wanna hold on, let me look

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<v Speaker 1>at this. Make sure that's the official invite. I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 1>set that there because I don't want anyone to uh

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<v Speaker 1>pirate it. And then a certificate of authenticity. Oh look

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<v Speaker 1>at what hold on, look at what's here? Sorry, then

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<v Speaker 1>we'll get to the real business in hand here. Oh

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<v Speaker 1>oh this is oh no, see, I'm not good at this.

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<v Speaker 1>But this is why we're a audio and visual medium,

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<v Speaker 1>so you guys can laugh me. But this is pretty sick.

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<v Speaker 2>Hold on?

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<v Speaker 1>Whoa fifteen eighty seven prime official old school football signed

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<v Speaker 1>by Patrick and Travis? Did I just break the case? Maybe?

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<v Speaker 1>So there we go. So okay, all right, well let's

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<v Speaker 1>go ahead and set this down. Thank you.

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<v Speaker 2>That's awesome. That is my guys. I thought there was.

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<v Speaker 1>Invited to the grand opening a state Oh, it was

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be invited to the grand opening. Shout out Patrick

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<v Speaker 1>and trav. Uh, that's really cool.

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<v Speaker 2>How far is that gonna be from you like where

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<v Speaker 2>you're at ITAs City?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so, I mean it's it's not close so far.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll say it's gonna be a flight. But you know what,

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<v Speaker 1>for my guys, it's the least I can do. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>onto the actual show. How that on boxing? Go give

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<v Speaker 1>me out of ten?

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<v Speaker 2>You get six out of ten. You could have done

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<v Speaker 2>like a little bit more like flipping it up like

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit higher. But for the moment, we saw

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<v Speaker 2>it all and you needed to protect that. You need

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<v Speaker 2>to protect the envelope. So honestly, it's.

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<v Speaker 1>Exactly yeah, I mean this. Okay, you upgraded me, sir.

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<v Speaker 1>Look at that certificate of authenticity.

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<v Speaker 2>How cool?

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<v Speaker 1>All right, time for the show that we are in

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<v Speaker 1>the show by the way, like subscribe, review, five stars,

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<v Speaker 1>thumbs up, bells, all of that now straight to voicemail

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<v Speaker 1>product to you by voice boost Mobile. Terry McLaurin gets

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<v Speaker 1>a real contract three years, ninety six million dollars. Trey

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<v Speaker 1>Hendrickson gets a race. This is difference here. Trey Hendrickson

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<v Speaker 1>didn't get an extension, didn't get extra years guaranteed, he

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<v Speaker 1>did get. You know, Trey Hendrickson was really mad. Trey

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<v Speaker 1>Hendrickson felt disrespected. Dray Hendrickson wanted to get you know,

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<v Speaker 1>have the team appreciate what he had done for them.

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<v Speaker 1>And they said, well, how about instead of all of that,

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<v Speaker 1>we just give you an extra fourteen million dollars And

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<v Speaker 1>he's like, okay, deal, let you know, you know what,

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<v Speaker 1>fourteen million will make it work and then next year

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<v Speaker 1>we'll go through all of this all over again. Euro

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<v Speaker 1>Basket starts tomorrow and this is where demands I Am

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<v Speaker 1>going to reveal how uncool I am justin Herbert and

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<v Speaker 1>Madison Bearer dating, and this is where I tell you

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<v Speaker 1>I have no idea who Madison Beer is.

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<v Speaker 2>Nun Yeah, I've heard of her a few times. I

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<v Speaker 2>don't I think she's probably an actor, but uh.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, you know what we're not that. I'm first of all,

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<v Speaker 1>couldn't be more proud that you're as ignorant on this

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<v Speaker 1>topic is me. I'm sure she's lovely, she is beautiful, obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know why she's famed.

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<v Speaker 2>She's probably.

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<v Speaker 1>I was gonna guess TikToker can any do any of

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<v Speaker 1>our producers is singer. I should have looked it up.

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<v Speaker 1>I know it singer songwriter. Oh okay, all right, sweet again.

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<v Speaker 1>But I am not trying to be the the I

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<v Speaker 1>don't really have a well, he's a pro athlete. It's

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<v Speaker 1>probably some type of recovery thing. Yeah, I mean, would

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<v Speaker 1>I wear a leg sleeve? No, I'm not a pro athlete,

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<v Speaker 1>like I'm not.

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<v Speaker 2>But uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And by the way, there's no shade thrown at Madison

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<v Speaker 1>Beer there. And I I I just truly was unfamiliar

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<v Speaker 1>with why she was famous. But she was super like

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<v Speaker 1>super famous evidently because what she posted. Someone posted a

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<v Speaker 1>paparazzi picture of her and herb was like in the background,

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<v Speaker 1>and and Charger fans were like, I think that's justin Herbert,

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<v Speaker 1>and then they were the whole thing. All right, let's

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<v Speaker 1>get to the show to Monsday. Before we get to

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<v Speaker 1>our all thirty two team over unders, we have news

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<v Speaker 1>on the Browns quarterback competition.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So Chador's final preseason game was a little shaky.

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<v Speaker 2>He threw for fourteen total yards, took five sacks, And

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<v Speaker 2>now Chador fans are coming out and saying that the

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<v Speaker 2>team and Kevin Stefanski are conspiring against you. But also

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<v Speaker 2>Kenny Pickett just got cut. So you know, if the

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<v Speaker 2>landscape wh changed up a little, Kenny Thicket traded to

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<v Speaker 2>the Raiders traded, so the landscape white, it changed up

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<v Speaker 2>over there a little bit. What's the situation looking like for.

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<v Speaker 1>Shadur All right, well, listen, he was he started camp

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<v Speaker 1>fourth string, he stayed fourth string. He's now third string

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<v Speaker 1>because one of the strings is on the Raiders. And

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to give you the very sober analysis of this.

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<v Speaker 1>Then we're gonna talk bigger picture of it, and then honestly,

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<v Speaker 1>we are not going to talk about the Cleveland Browns

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<v Speaker 1>and the quarterback situation again. And god willing for months,

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<v Speaker 1>Shadora could not afford the type of performance he had

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<v Speaker 1>in the third preseason game. It is as simple as that,

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<v Speaker 1>when you are a late round pick rookie, you can't

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<v Speaker 1>have a disastrous performance. You can't, and he did. It

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<v Speaker 1>was not the coach's fault, it was not the offensive

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<v Speaker 1>line's fault. It was he had a bad game, flatly.

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<v Speaker 1>And the reason it is extra concerning is those of

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<v Speaker 1>us that were skeptical that he was ever truly a

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<v Speaker 1>first round talent. We were worried that his bad games

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<v Speaker 1>would look a lot like that, like trying to do

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<v Speaker 1>a little too much with his legs, overestimating his escapability

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<v Speaker 1>and taking those big, deep, long sacks. Schador needed to

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<v Speaker 1>thread a perfect needle, and he was. By the way

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<v Speaker 1>early on in camp. He needed to play well in practice.

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<v Speaker 1>It looked like he was. He needed Dylan Gabriel to

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<v Speaker 1>struggle in practice he was. He needed to play well

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<v Speaker 1>in the first preseason game. He did, He needed Gabriel

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<v Speaker 1>to struggle. In the first preseason game. Gabriel didn't even play.

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<v Speaker 1>So all of that was going best case scenario for

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<v Speaker 1>Shador to achieve what was the only realistic goal for

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:44.800
<v Speaker 1>him this offseason, which was past Dylan Gabriel in the

0:12:44.800 --> 0:12:47.400
<v Speaker 1>death chart. He was never going to be the Browns

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<v Speaker 1>starting quarterback in Week one. It was always the Browns

0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:55.600
<v Speaker 1>plan very clearly was one of the veterans is starting,

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<v Speaker 1>and then the kids are backing him up, and all

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<v Speaker 1>of it was going according to plan. Shadoor then suffered

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<v Speaker 1>a slight injury which made him not able to play

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<v Speaker 1>at all in the second preseason game. Gabriel then, after

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<v Speaker 1>some really bad practices played quite well in the second

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<v Speaker 1>preseason game. Then in the third preseason game, Gabriel played

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<v Speaker 1>quite well again and Shador had a disastrous performance. And

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<v Speaker 1>that is now that as far as the quarterback competition goes.

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<v Speaker 1>That is not conspiratorial, That is not unfair, that is

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<v Speaker 1>not unjust. That is life in the NFL. Is a

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<v Speaker 1>late round draft pick. That is what happened here. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>Shador fans need to recognize there's not a team in

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<v Speaker 1>the league he'd start for.

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<v Speaker 2>Not one.

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<v Speaker 1>You're on the team with arguably the worst quarterback situation,

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<v Speaker 1>and he is fairly right now their third best option

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<v Speaker 1>to starting quarterback. Okay, that is where we're at now.

0:14:03.920 --> 0:14:05.880
<v Speaker 1>Is that a death knell for his career?

0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:07.280
<v Speaker 2>No is.

0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 1>Do I think he has more potential than Gabriel because

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:17.720
<v Speaker 1>of size and pedigree. I do, But if I had

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:22.840
<v Speaker 1>to from what we saw in those preseason games, if

0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 1>in Week one Flacco goes out, you would have to

0:14:28.040 --> 0:14:31.480
<v Speaker 1>be more comfortable putting Gabriel in. That is what it is.

0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:38.280
<v Speaker 1>That's not ridiculous, that's not unfair. That's not a vast conspiracy.

0:14:38.640 --> 0:14:43.200
<v Speaker 1>That is what it is. The reason I find this

0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:46.080
<v Speaker 1>story interesting is the reason I find a lot of

0:14:46.160 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 1>things interesting is when they are symbolic for a greater

0:14:54.240 --> 0:15:00.480
<v Speaker 1>problem or issue, and the Shadoor Sanders come and terry

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:11.480
<v Speaker 1>to me is a case study in what has in

0:15:11.560 --> 0:15:17.280
<v Speaker 1>what is currently ailing so much of our discourse surrounding

0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:24.760
<v Speaker 1>sports and other things which is either totally uninformed actors

0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:34.320
<v Speaker 1>or outright bad actors churning the outrage mill to create

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:45.040
<v Speaker 1>engagement and controversy. That then the current actual media feels

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:54.480
<v Speaker 1>obligated to treat seriously because well, it's what people are

0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 1>talking about, and then it becomes a valid, real story.

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:06.560
<v Speaker 1>And so you have folks that absolutely know better saying

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:12.200
<v Speaker 1>things like Shadoor was out there with the fifth string

0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:18.040
<v Speaker 1>offensive line, when such a thing does not exist. It's like, oh,

0:16:18.200 --> 0:16:22.440
<v Speaker 1>if there's not that offensive lineman was tenth on the

0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:26.600
<v Speaker 1>depth chart, Well there's, yeah, I get it. But there's

0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:30.320
<v Speaker 1>five offensive linemen that play at a time, and so

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:32.920
<v Speaker 1>there is the first of all, there is no such

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:35.720
<v Speaker 1>thing as a fifth string offensive line. You have people

0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:41.720
<v Speaker 1>who know better saying, oh, color me shocked those offensive

0:16:41.760 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 1>linemen on the field. Was Shador were cut shortly after

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:48.920
<v Speaker 1>the game? No shit, man, you're at a ninety man

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:52.680
<v Speaker 1>roster in your third preseason game. Thirty seven of those

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:56.680
<v Speaker 1>guys aren't making the team. Guess who doesn't make the team?

0:16:57.000 --> 0:17:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Guys playing at the end of their preseason games. And

0:17:03.920 --> 0:17:09.320
<v Speaker 1>there is just just a kernel of enough validity to

0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:16.520
<v Speaker 1>the conspiracies. Because is it likely true that the head

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:20.920
<v Speaker 1>coach didn't actually want Shador and the owner told him

0:17:20.960 --> 0:17:26.000
<v Speaker 1>to draft him, Yes, probably is true. Is it likely

0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:31.680
<v Speaker 1>true that the head coach wanted Dylan Gabriel to win

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:36.480
<v Speaker 1>that competition because that's the quarterback he wanted, and Shador

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:39.680
<v Speaker 1>is the quarterback the owner wanted. Yes, that is likely true.

0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:45.119
<v Speaker 1>Does any of that mean Shador was put set up

0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:49.040
<v Speaker 1>to fail, couldn't succeed? No man, throw the ball away,

0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:54.159
<v Speaker 1>don't retreat back twenty five yards, don't don't make the

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:57.159
<v Speaker 1>types of mistakes that some of us were worried you

0:17:57.200 --> 0:18:00.840
<v Speaker 1>would make. And it's not again, you're fifth round pick.

0:18:00.920 --> 0:18:05.159
<v Speaker 1>It's fine. But and because the owner wanted you on

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:07.880
<v Speaker 1>the team, you're likely going to get to play at

0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:10.960
<v Speaker 1>some point this year, because the owner said both rookies

0:18:10.960 --> 0:18:14.480
<v Speaker 1>are gonna need to play. So the way this probably

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:20.680
<v Speaker 1>goes is the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third

0:18:20.680 --> 0:18:23.080
<v Speaker 1>of the way into the season, they pull the plug

0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:27.359
<v Speaker 1>on Flacco. They go to Dylan Gabriel. They're still quite bad.

0:18:27.840 --> 0:18:32.240
<v Speaker 1>Gabriel as in my opinion, an overdrafted third round pick.

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 1>He doesn't look like the guy. And five six games

0:18:37.160 --> 0:18:40.119
<v Speaker 1>later they give Shador a try, and Shador is a

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:44.679
<v Speaker 1>slightly underdrafted but still not ready fifth round pick. He

0:18:44.760 --> 0:18:47.760
<v Speaker 1>doesn't look like the guy. And next year the Browns

0:18:47.880 --> 0:18:50.160
<v Speaker 1>use the pick they got from the Jags and their

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:55.120
<v Speaker 1>own pick to draft their actual quarterback. That's probably how

0:18:55.119 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 1>this thing's going to go, but it is the the

0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 1>folks out there promoting the idea league wide code read

0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:12.000
<v Speaker 1>the whole league was told don't draft him, and then

0:19:12.440 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 1>the Browns were told to draft him, and then internal

0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:22.320
<v Speaker 1>Brown's code read only call the bad plays Kevin. And

0:19:22.359 --> 0:19:25.919
<v Speaker 1>then also the same folks and I didn't understand the

0:19:25.960 --> 0:19:28.199
<v Speaker 1>Tyler Huntley signing. I said that from the beginning. I

0:19:28.200 --> 0:19:31.639
<v Speaker 1>didn't understand Tyler Huntley playing that two minute drill. But

0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:35.879
<v Speaker 1>the folks saying Shador was set up to fail with

0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:39.159
<v Speaker 1>that terrible offensive line are into the same folks saying,

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:41.200
<v Speaker 1>and how dare you not put him in the two

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:47.960
<v Speaker 1>minute drill? It's not that complicated guys, and this isn't

0:19:48.119 --> 0:19:51.880
<v Speaker 1>fair to Shador. He did not do this to himself, demonse.

0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 1>But here is a reality of it, this entire conversation

0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:02.000
<v Speaker 1>and media. Maelstrom is one of the reasons he fell

0:20:02.040 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 1>in the draft because he's not a stud player and

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:13.119
<v Speaker 1>once and all and no other team is having to

0:20:13.400 --> 0:20:19.560
<v Speaker 1>answer questions about their deep end quarterback competition and it's

0:20:19.600 --> 0:20:22.640
<v Speaker 1>the only things Defanski's had to deal with. So it's

0:20:22.760 --> 0:20:27.960
<v Speaker 1>just that is what it is, and the Raiders needed pick.

0:20:29.320 --> 0:20:33.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, why Gabriel was ahead of him. I don't think

0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 2>anybody should be calling for a conspiracy like you saw.

0:20:37.840 --> 0:20:40.199
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's the thing. And that's what's to me

0:20:40.359 --> 0:20:44.439
<v Speaker 1>so disheartening is we saw the game and people are

0:20:44.480 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 1>still like, Nope, that does not jive with my priors,

0:20:50.520 --> 0:20:53.919
<v Speaker 1>that does not jive with what I wanted to be true.

0:20:54.640 --> 0:20:57.720
<v Speaker 1>And there is an element of have you ever watched

0:20:58.800 --> 0:21:02.040
<v Speaker 1>the this this is a bridge too far, but I

0:21:02.040 --> 0:21:04.520
<v Speaker 1>don't I don't care. Have you ever watched the Flat

0:21:04.560 --> 0:21:10.800
<v Speaker 1>Earth documentary? You should watch it. It's really a truly

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>fascinating ninety minutes. Okay, and these aren't bad people and

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 1>it is really interesting, but the culmination of the documentary

0:21:23.880 --> 0:21:29.080
<v Speaker 1>is one of the group of flat earthers saying, or

0:21:29.480 --> 0:21:35.120
<v Speaker 1>spending a ton of money into getting the equipment. I'm

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 1>gonna get this a little wrong. The optical equipment. You

0:21:38.359 --> 0:21:43.920
<v Speaker 1>would need to prove that. All right, we're gonna set

0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:49.960
<v Speaker 1>up this pole and light here, and we're gonna set

0:21:50.040 --> 0:21:55.080
<v Speaker 1>up another pole here, and if the earth was flat,

0:21:55.480 --> 0:21:58.119
<v Speaker 1>the light will shine at this place, and if the

0:21:58.160 --> 0:22:00.680
<v Speaker 1>earth was flat the light or round, the light will

0:22:00.680 --> 0:22:03.840
<v Speaker 1>shine at this place. And we're gonna prove it. And

0:22:03.880 --> 0:22:07.920
<v Speaker 1>they do it, and the light shows up where it

0:22:07.960 --> 0:22:14.760
<v Speaker 1>would show up if the earth were round, and the

0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:23.160
<v Speaker 1>reaction initially is huh, let's try it again. Then they

0:22:23.200 --> 0:22:27.720
<v Speaker 1>do it again, and it is a brief questioning is

0:22:27.760 --> 0:22:33.480
<v Speaker 1>the equipment broken? And then it immediately goes to Wow,

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:40.400
<v Speaker 1>the conspiracies even bigger than we thought. They've somehow hacked lighting.

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:46.919
<v Speaker 1>And there is an element of that with some of

0:22:46.960 --> 0:22:53.639
<v Speaker 1>the Shadoor stuff, which was right. It was he's clearly better,

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:57.480
<v Speaker 1>He clearly should be the guy. He's clearly not getting

0:22:57.520 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 1>the opportunities. They're clearly if he and Gabriel were both playing,

0:23:03.119 --> 0:23:06.560
<v Speaker 1>and then they play a game. Gabriel looks good. Shador

0:23:06.720 --> 0:23:11.159
<v Speaker 1>has a really really tough performance, and instead of it

0:23:11.240 --> 0:23:14.399
<v Speaker 1>being like, oh, okay, that's why he was ahead of

0:23:14.440 --> 0:23:20.200
<v Speaker 1>him on the depth chart, it was Wow, these sons

0:23:20.240 --> 0:23:22.920
<v Speaker 1>of bitches will go to no end to stop my guy.

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:27.359
<v Speaker 1>And it's it's a little canary in the coal mine

0:23:27.400 --> 0:23:31.600
<v Speaker 1>of some of the bigger issues we have right now

0:23:31.640 --> 0:23:36.080
<v Speaker 1>with what is truth and what is not And so

0:23:36.200 --> 0:23:41.240
<v Speaker 1>I find it interesting. I do. I know that my

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:46.000
<v Speaker 1>favorite NFL podcast, Greg Rosenthal's NFL Daily, which I'll be

0:23:46.040 --> 0:23:48.720
<v Speaker 1>on later this week, actually, you know, they have done

0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:52.240
<v Speaker 1>they have tried to do a They have done a

0:23:52.280 --> 0:23:57.640
<v Speaker 1>really good job of like not leading with the topic

0:23:57.760 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 1>every day that you know. The show's like the shows

0:24:00.760 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 1>like mine lead with the juiciest thing because they're like

0:24:03.920 --> 0:24:07.959
<v Speaker 1>really giving you the news and information and stuff. And

0:24:08.000 --> 0:24:11.320
<v Speaker 1>I respect that entirely. But there is a deeper element

0:24:11.359 --> 0:24:13.639
<v Speaker 1>to some of the Shador stuff that I find fascinating,

0:24:13.960 --> 0:24:16.440
<v Speaker 1>just like there's a deeper element actually to some of

0:24:16.480 --> 0:24:19.640
<v Speaker 1>the Mica stuff that I find fascinating that's actually about

0:24:19.680 --> 0:24:22.199
<v Speaker 1>Jerry Jones and power and things like that. But at

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:25.600
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, or had a chance.

0:24:25.760 --> 0:24:27.920
<v Speaker 2>If he looked better anyways, like why would they want

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:29.600
<v Speaker 2>to make him look bad? It would be in their

0:24:29.640 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 2>businesses for Shador to look great by the end, even

0:24:33.280 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 2>if they didn't plan on keeping him.

0:24:36.000 --> 0:24:39.439
<v Speaker 1>Of course, of course, guys who want to keep their

0:24:39.560 --> 0:24:42.200
<v Speaker 1>jobs want their quarterback, want to put the best quarterback

0:24:42.240 --> 0:24:45.960
<v Speaker 1>on the field. Yeah, I mean there's most of the

0:24:46.119 --> 0:24:52.560
<v Speaker 1>most conspiracies Demanse fall apart at the first or second question,

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:56.359
<v Speaker 1>most like and that you just asked the first question,

0:24:56.680 --> 0:25:01.199
<v Speaker 1>which is the wait, why again? Explain it to me?

0:25:01.880 --> 0:25:07.199
<v Speaker 1>Just like the Chiefs, the you know, league rigged for

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:10.480
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs conspiracy. It's like, hey, remind me again, who

0:25:10.560 --> 0:25:16.119
<v Speaker 1>is the league? The thirty two teams? So why again

0:25:16.640 --> 0:25:20.640
<v Speaker 1>are the Chargers in on this? Like some explain that

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 1>to me? So most of them fall apart instantly, But

0:25:25.560 --> 0:25:30.040
<v Speaker 1>so listen, he had a chance to pass Gabriel, and

0:25:30.080 --> 0:25:33.479
<v Speaker 1>if Gabriel, and the nicer way to frame it is

0:25:33.880 --> 0:25:38.680
<v Speaker 1>Gabriel after that injury and watching Shador in preseason game one,

0:25:40.040 --> 0:25:45.639
<v Speaker 1>was under real pressure and Gabriel responded, and so shout

0:25:45.640 --> 0:25:48.119
<v Speaker 1>out to him. All right, before we get to the

0:25:48.119 --> 0:25:51.080
<v Speaker 1>micro stuff and then are over unders, the rivalries, the

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:55.520
<v Speaker 1>marching bands, the upsets, Saturdays just got way more fun.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, demonse, let's do the cowboys here again, a

0:27:58.720 --> 0:28:00.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of bigger picture thing. We're gonna get to our

0:28:00.800 --> 0:28:01.560
<v Speaker 1>over unders.

0:28:01.840 --> 0:28:04.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so things are getting spicy and Dallas not only

0:28:04.480 --> 0:28:07.600
<v Speaker 2>has Mike Parsons not agreed on a new contract extension,

0:28:07.640 --> 0:28:10.880
<v Speaker 2>but he was seen everything but sleeping on the tin

0:28:11.480 --> 0:28:15.840
<v Speaker 2>at the last on the training table. So things are

0:28:15.840 --> 0:28:18.520
<v Speaker 2>so bad in Dallas. You had them last and last

0:28:18.520 --> 0:28:22.000
<v Speaker 2>place in your predictions a week. You also somehow connected

0:28:22.040 --> 0:28:25.960
<v Speaker 2>Micah's situation to the alleged Chiefs disrespect. Did you do

0:28:26.000 --> 0:28:27.560
<v Speaker 2>you mind explaining both of those?

0:28:28.080 --> 0:28:30.639
<v Speaker 1>Sure, I'll start with the Chiefs one real quick. And

0:28:30.680 --> 0:28:33.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm so mad it took me this long. I had

0:28:33.880 --> 0:28:39.080
<v Speaker 1>this like Eureka moment because listen, I scroll Twitter, I

0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:42.960
<v Speaker 1>see the other shows I see, and so many folks

0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:48.600
<v Speaker 1>are Chiefs are vulnerable, Chiefs are on the downturn. Ravens

0:28:48.640 --> 0:28:51.800
<v Speaker 1>and Bills have gotten better, Chiefs have gotten worse. Like

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:55.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, Chiefs are fairly you know, still really good,

0:28:55.680 --> 0:28:58.120
<v Speaker 1>but they're not the caliber of those other teams that

0:28:59.360 --> 0:29:03.640
<v Speaker 1>those takes are. It's not straw man. Those takes are

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:10.400
<v Speaker 1>very common this offseason. But then I realized during the

0:29:10.560 --> 0:29:16.240
<v Speaker 1>Mica conversation, so many of the people who are currently

0:29:16.400 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 1>arguing the Ravens are the best team in the AFC,

0:29:19.920 --> 0:29:23.040
<v Speaker 1>the Bills are the best team in the AFC. When

0:29:23.240 --> 0:29:28.920
<v Speaker 1>the subject of who should trade for Micah Parsons comes up,

0:29:29.520 --> 0:29:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you know what, I haven't take I haven't seen, well,

0:29:34.560 --> 0:29:38.240
<v Speaker 1>Kansas City better do it in order to bridge the

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:41.760
<v Speaker 1>gap between them and Baltimore. If they want to stop

0:29:41.800 --> 0:29:44.760
<v Speaker 1>the best quarterback in football, Josh Allen, if they want

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:48.000
<v Speaker 1>to slow down the most dynamic duel threat we've ever

0:29:48.000 --> 0:29:51.320
<v Speaker 1>seen in Lamar Jackson, the Chiefs need to go all

0:29:51.360 --> 0:29:54.080
<v Speaker 1>in and trade for Michael Parsons. No one's had that

0:29:54.160 --> 0:29:57.400
<v Speaker 1>take you know what, take you here every fing day.

0:29:58.280 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 1>If I'm Baltimore or Buffalo, I get on the phone

0:30:00.520 --> 0:30:07.000
<v Speaker 1>with Dallas right now. So finish the thought. Why who

0:30:07.120 --> 0:30:11.360
<v Speaker 1>in that scenario where Baltimore or Buffalo are trading multiple

0:30:11.360 --> 0:30:14.120
<v Speaker 1>first round picks and giving out a record setting contract

0:30:14.320 --> 0:30:17.240
<v Speaker 1>to get a pass rushing edge defender, Who is it

0:30:17.360 --> 0:30:22.040
<v Speaker 1>that they're acquiring that to beat? Not, of course, the Chiefs,

0:30:22.400 --> 0:30:26.000
<v Speaker 1>because those teams they're already better. They've already, they've already,

0:30:26.240 --> 0:30:29.920
<v Speaker 1>they've already ascended. I was watching, and I'm like, oh,

0:30:30.000 --> 0:30:33.000
<v Speaker 1>you all told on yourselves. You all are claiming you

0:30:33.120 --> 0:30:37.600
<v Speaker 1>think Buffalo or Baltimore are better, But then you're also saying, uh,

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:39.720
<v Speaker 1>they might need to add the league's best defensive player

0:30:39.800 --> 0:30:42.560
<v Speaker 1>because they need to get over the hump. What's the

0:30:42.680 --> 0:30:45.800
<v Speaker 1>hump we're talking about. So that's how I connected it

0:30:45.800 --> 0:30:49.040
<v Speaker 1>to the chief situation. I'm one hundred percent right. Everyone

0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:53.680
<v Speaker 1>knows it. Now here's the Dallas thing. And this is

0:30:53.680 --> 0:30:56.280
<v Speaker 1>what I find fascinating and the reason I want to

0:30:56.280 --> 0:31:00.719
<v Speaker 1>talk about it. Jerry Jones has broken the rules and

0:31:00.760 --> 0:31:04.440
<v Speaker 1>nobody but Mike Florio seems to care. He is not

0:31:04.560 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 1>allowed to negotiate directly with Micah Parsons. He knows that

0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 1>he does not care, and he not only did it,

0:31:13.000 --> 0:31:18.320
<v Speaker 1>but his stances it's a binding negotiation and he is

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:23.600
<v Speaker 1>fine with saying to the world at large, Yeah, there's

0:31:23.600 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 1>nothing more to negotiate. I negotiated it with him, and

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:37.480
<v Speaker 1>it is so brazen, brazen, brazen, and credit to Durell

0:31:37.600 --> 0:31:40.400
<v Speaker 1>Reeves and I think Matt Shaub are the two people

0:31:40.920 --> 0:31:44.240
<v Speaker 1>who have come out and said the NFLPA needs file aggrievance.

0:31:44.320 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Of course they do. If a player has an agent,

0:31:48.000 --> 0:31:51.920
<v Speaker 1>you are not allowed to negotiate with the player directly.

0:31:52.280 --> 0:31:57.320
<v Speaker 1>And Jerry is now saying we negotiated, it's done, and

0:31:59.080 --> 0:32:00.800
<v Speaker 1>if he doesn't agree to what, we have him under

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:03.200
<v Speaker 1>contract this year and franchise have them in the next

0:32:03.200 --> 0:32:06.760
<v Speaker 1>two years. So I think this has gotten far uglier

0:32:07.040 --> 0:32:10.160
<v Speaker 1>then the Dack situation, and I don't think it is

0:32:12.120 --> 0:32:16.280
<v Speaker 1>going to be quite as simple as oh, the day

0:32:16.320 --> 0:32:19.080
<v Speaker 1>before the season they re sign him. Maybe they do,

0:32:19.560 --> 0:32:23.160
<v Speaker 1>and Jerry just sacrificed having my get full strength for

0:32:23.240 --> 0:32:25.800
<v Speaker 1>week one for months worth the headlines, and maybe that's

0:32:25.840 --> 0:32:27.760
<v Speaker 1>a good trade off for him. If I were a

0:32:27.760 --> 0:32:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Cowboys fan, I'd be livid. All right, now, we do

0:32:31.120 --> 0:32:34.000
<v Speaker 1>need to get to the gambling show. But first, a

0:32:34.000 --> 0:32:37.400
<v Speaker 1>couple of reminders, one like rate subscribe review, the other

0:32:37.440 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>one you asked us questions in the doc. There's it

0:32:41.520 --> 0:32:45.720
<v Speaker 1>is roster cutdown day, Demons, but there's no big roster

0:32:45.880 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 1>news as yet today. Yeah, man, his agent's gonna be

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:56.360
<v Speaker 1>so bid. And uh, the US Open is going on.

0:32:56.880 --> 0:32:59.600
<v Speaker 1>I Am going tomorrow night. So we will have a

0:32:59.640 --> 0:33:05.280
<v Speaker 1>tennis corner update fresh off a few honeyduces Thursday morning

0:33:05.720 --> 0:33:08.600
<v Speaker 1>on the show. But before we get to our all

0:33:08.640 --> 0:33:11.560
<v Speaker 1>thirty two over unders, let me talk to you guys

0:33:11.600 --> 0:33:14.840
<v Speaker 1>about my friends at boost Mobile in you know what

0:33:14.920 --> 0:33:17.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm just calling it. This is the boost Mobile studio.

0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:19.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't even know if they paid for that, but

0:33:19.800 --> 0:33:23.520
<v Speaker 1>we look around here. This is what's right live from

0:33:23.560 --> 0:33:25.960
<v Speaker 1>the Boost Mobile studio. Send that over to them, Paul.

0:33:26.000 --> 0:33:28.760
<v Speaker 1>They'll love it. They deserve it. They got the signage everywhere.

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0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:36.760
<v Speaker 1>thinking wow, great price. A few months later, surprise your

0:33:36.760 --> 0:33:39.240
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0:33:39.240 --> 0:33:43.840
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0:33:59.280 --> 0:34:02.280
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0:34:02.360 --> 0:34:05.800
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0:34:12.800 --> 0:34:16.480
<v Speaker 1>as long as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan.

0:34:16.920 --> 0:34:21.239
<v Speaker 1>All right, Demanse set us up on the Gambling Show

0:34:21.280 --> 0:34:22.000
<v Speaker 1>and how we do.

0:34:22.000 --> 0:34:24.879
<v Speaker 2>It favorite time of the year, So it is time

0:34:24.920 --> 0:34:26.759
<v Speaker 2>to break down the win totals for the thirty two

0:34:26.840 --> 0:34:29.279
<v Speaker 2>NFL teams you're gonna give your picks, and we were

0:34:29.280 --> 0:34:32.360
<v Speaker 2>gonna tell us which teams you're intending to stay away.

0:34:33.160 --> 0:34:35.279
<v Speaker 2>So last year you went six and two on your

0:34:35.320 --> 0:34:38.120
<v Speaker 2>over unders, and even though you didn't bet these, you

0:34:38.200 --> 0:34:42.120
<v Speaker 2>went twelve and seven on your stayaways. It looks like

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:45.839
<v Speaker 2>are you trying to sin on my lean stairways?

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, let me so. Overall last year I went twenty

0:34:53.120 --> 0:34:58.240
<v Speaker 1>and twelve total. Okay, twenty and twelve overall, I made

0:34:58.360 --> 0:35:01.719
<v Speaker 1>eight actual bets. I was six and two on them.

0:35:03.320 --> 0:35:08.879
<v Speaker 1>So the we're gonna give you all thirty two teams

0:35:09.560 --> 0:35:13.239
<v Speaker 1>this year, there are ten actual bets I'm making, but

0:35:13.440 --> 0:35:16.759
<v Speaker 1>I will give you the actually you know, I will

0:35:16.800 --> 0:35:20.759
<v Speaker 1>tell you which way I'm going on all thirty two.

0:35:21.160 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 1>But I'm only making ten actual bets. But last year,

0:35:24.239 --> 0:35:27.319
<v Speaker 1>if you just bet every single team that I said

0:35:27.400 --> 0:35:30.520
<v Speaker 1>over under, it would you would have had twenty wins

0:35:30.560 --> 0:35:35.560
<v Speaker 1>twelve losses. And as always, all lines and odds courtesy

0:35:35.600 --> 0:35:38.760
<v Speaker 1>of DraftKings. Lines and odds subject to change. So here's

0:35:38.800 --> 0:35:41.239
<v Speaker 1>the deal, and we'll go over the full recap of

0:35:41.320 --> 0:35:45.120
<v Speaker 1>last year's gambling show on Thursday show Demonse I forgot

0:35:45.160 --> 0:35:49.359
<v Speaker 1>this absolutely crushed in the preseason gambling show, Demonse made

0:35:49.480 --> 0:35:52.920
<v Speaker 1>five bets and was plus nine units on the bets

0:35:52.960 --> 0:35:56.440
<v Speaker 1>because they were all big plus odds. You crushed on those.

0:35:58.360 --> 0:36:04.040
<v Speaker 1>The the I believe in you. The over unders are

0:36:04.080 --> 0:36:11.440
<v Speaker 1>important that you incorporate the vig on it. You can't

0:36:11.440 --> 0:36:13.960
<v Speaker 1>incorporate the vig on the record, but on your bet

0:36:14.120 --> 0:36:17.359
<v Speaker 1>you obviously can incorporate profit loss. We're gonna do this

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:21.440
<v Speaker 1>division by division. I'm gonna roll through them and demands

0:36:21.480 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 1>that you and I will discuss them. I'm telling you

0:36:24.239 --> 0:36:29.759
<v Speaker 1>right now, in the AFC East there is not an

0:36:29.800 --> 0:36:33.239
<v Speaker 1>over under that I am betting. But we'll go through

0:36:33.320 --> 0:36:35.920
<v Speaker 1>them and I'll tell you which one I'm leaning. So

0:36:36.040 --> 0:36:39.719
<v Speaker 1>the Bills are being listed in most places as an

0:36:39.760 --> 0:36:43.160
<v Speaker 1>over under of eleven and a half, but there's been

0:36:43.239 --> 0:36:46.759
<v Speaker 1>so much action on the over that it's minus one

0:36:47.120 --> 0:36:50.520
<v Speaker 1>seventy five viig at the eleven and a half. So

0:36:50.560 --> 0:36:56.560
<v Speaker 1>the the total for the Bills that is truly their

0:36:56.719 --> 0:37:00.759
<v Speaker 1>updated total is twelve and a half. Because the the

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:04.200
<v Speaker 1>big on twelve and a half is plus one twenty

0:37:04.239 --> 0:37:09.600
<v Speaker 1>five over minus one fifty under that I feel like

0:37:09.640 --> 0:37:13.600
<v Speaker 1>the Bills are a twelve and five team. I don't

0:37:13.640 --> 0:37:17.600
<v Speaker 1>think they're getting to thirteen wins. I could see eleven

0:37:17.640 --> 0:37:23.480
<v Speaker 1>and six. I think that the so this would be

0:37:23.640 --> 0:37:26.640
<v Speaker 1>to me at twelve and a half laying minus one

0:37:26.800 --> 0:37:31.480
<v Speaker 1>fifty a slight under. Sean McDermott seems a little concerned

0:37:31.480 --> 0:37:36.799
<v Speaker 1>about their defense to Monse but I Josh is too

0:37:36.840 --> 0:37:43.320
<v Speaker 1>good and they have such an advantage of that division

0:37:43.560 --> 0:37:46.320
<v Speaker 1>and owning it the way they do that, it feels

0:37:46.360 --> 0:37:49.799
<v Speaker 1>like their floor is ten wins. I think they are

0:37:49.800 --> 0:37:54.400
<v Speaker 1>a twelve and five team. I would go under just barely.

0:37:55.000 --> 0:37:58.120
<v Speaker 1>And any of these demonse that you have a big

0:37:58.120 --> 0:38:00.000
<v Speaker 1>issue with or want to add to just do it.

0:38:00.600 --> 0:38:03.919
<v Speaker 2>There's a bunch of definitely on twelve and a half

0:38:03.960 --> 0:38:07.000
<v Speaker 2>for the Bills, I want to schedule I season. I

0:38:07.000 --> 0:38:09.800
<v Speaker 2>wouldn't feel tough going over on twelve the Bills.

0:38:09.560 --> 0:38:11.839
<v Speaker 1>Issue and so and the other thing is how good

0:38:11.880 --> 0:38:13.840
<v Speaker 1>do we think the AFC East is going to be?

0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:17.400
<v Speaker 1>And this is where it gets tricky. Dolphin's total is

0:38:17.560 --> 0:38:20.920
<v Speaker 1>seven and a half. They win win to a play

0:38:20.960 --> 0:38:23.439
<v Speaker 1>and by the way, the veig is almost exactly even

0:38:23.440 --> 0:38:28.359
<v Speaker 1>minus one oh five minus one fifteen over under. The

0:38:28.480 --> 0:38:33.440
<v Speaker 1>vibes with the Dolphins seem to be wretched right they

0:38:34.520 --> 0:38:40.200
<v Speaker 1>also win win to a plays and they have a

0:38:40.320 --> 0:38:44.319
<v Speaker 1>very good d line, but Tyreek doesn't seem to want

0:38:44.360 --> 0:38:49.719
<v Speaker 1>to be there. This feels like the perfect number. I

0:38:49.760 --> 0:38:56.919
<v Speaker 1>am going to gosh darn it. This is why I'm

0:38:56.920 --> 0:39:01.759
<v Speaker 1>not betting these I'm going to buy the slightest of margins,

0:39:01.800 --> 0:39:04.920
<v Speaker 1>say under. I definitely can see them going eight and nine,

0:39:05.400 --> 0:39:08.160
<v Speaker 1>but I will say it's a seven and ten Dolphins year,

0:39:08.760 --> 0:39:12.640
<v Speaker 1>and I will go slightly under. It would not shock

0:39:12.800 --> 0:39:17.840
<v Speaker 1>me if the Dolphins start off hot and it looks

0:39:17.960 --> 0:39:20.560
<v Speaker 1>like you know the Dolphins from a couple of years ago,

0:39:21.120 --> 0:39:23.960
<v Speaker 1>but over the course of the season, I just can't

0:39:24.000 --> 0:39:28.600
<v Speaker 1>trust them. And it seems like the team might be

0:39:28.719 --> 0:39:31.239
<v Speaker 1>souring on Mike McDaniel a bit, or at least not

0:39:31.239 --> 0:39:33.920
<v Speaker 1>taking them as seriously. I'm a slight under.

0:39:33.960 --> 0:39:37.640
<v Speaker 2>Aren't those things kind of reversed though, to be there?

0:39:37.680 --> 0:39:41.839
<v Speaker 2>And the team also isn't souring on McDaniel. No, correct, Oh,

0:39:41.880 --> 0:39:43.560
<v Speaker 2>you were just saying in that case.

0:39:44.239 --> 0:39:48.120
<v Speaker 1>Yes, and so no, it could. That's why I'm saying.

0:39:48.160 --> 0:39:50.879
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm a little anxious about it, but I will

0:39:50.920 --> 0:39:55.640
<v Speaker 1>go slight under. This one shocked me. Patriots over under

0:39:55.760 --> 0:39:58.480
<v Speaker 1>eight and a half when that number came out, I

0:39:58.520 --> 0:40:01.040
<v Speaker 1>thought it was way too high. The juice is even

0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:04.880
<v Speaker 1>on both sides, minus one ten and yet despite that, Demons,

0:40:05.040 --> 0:40:05.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm going over.

0:40:06.719 --> 0:40:07.200
<v Speaker 2>Wow.

0:40:08.480 --> 0:40:10.319
<v Speaker 1>I believe in Mike rabel.

0:40:12.120 --> 0:40:12.880
<v Speaker 2>I.

0:40:12.960 --> 0:40:17.640
<v Speaker 1>They get the Dolphins in Week eighteen in New England.

0:40:18.280 --> 0:40:21.920
<v Speaker 1>You love that for them. It'll be zero degrees. They

0:40:21.920 --> 0:40:24.279
<v Speaker 1>get two games against the Jets, who I'll get to

0:40:24.360 --> 0:40:28.319
<v Speaker 1>in a moment. Drake may will be better than he

0:40:28.560 --> 0:40:32.759
<v Speaker 1>was last year. I think the Patriots win nine or

0:40:32.800 --> 0:40:37.160
<v Speaker 1>ten games, can make the playoffs, and I will go

0:40:37.400 --> 0:40:42.880
<v Speaker 1>over on the New England Patriots. His schedule's bad, you

0:40:43.000 --> 0:40:44.080
<v Speaker 1>meaning easy or hard?

0:40:44.280 --> 0:40:45.680
<v Speaker 2>Easy schedule?

0:40:46.320 --> 0:40:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Yes, yeah, I mean that's a huge piece of it.

0:40:49.920 --> 0:40:53.160
<v Speaker 1>The huge piece of it is who they ended up drawing.

0:40:53.200 --> 0:40:58.759
<v Speaker 1>Scheduleise Jets six and a half with heavy juice on

0:40:58.800 --> 0:41:03.200
<v Speaker 1>the under. I still have to go under because all

0:41:03.280 --> 0:41:06.719
<v Speaker 1>of the reports out of Jets training camp Demanse are

0:41:06.760 --> 0:41:10.319
<v Speaker 1>that that offense is in real, real trouble. I like

0:41:10.440 --> 0:41:12.719
<v Speaker 1>Aaron Glenn. I think he's trying to build something. I

0:41:12.719 --> 0:41:14.960
<v Speaker 1>think he'll build it in the mold of Dan Campbell

0:41:15.040 --> 0:41:18.160
<v Speaker 1>and Detroit. But Dan Campbell's first year in Detroit it

0:41:18.320 --> 0:41:20.840
<v Speaker 1>was not good. I think it will be similar with

0:41:20.920 --> 0:41:24.360
<v Speaker 1>the Jets, and again I'm not betting it, but for

0:41:24.440 --> 0:41:29.680
<v Speaker 1>the AFC East, Bill's Dolphins, Jets all unders, Patriots overs,

0:41:30.200 --> 0:41:33.120
<v Speaker 1>and then we move to a division. I have strong

0:41:33.160 --> 0:41:36.040
<v Speaker 1>feelings on a lot of these teams, but only one

0:41:36.320 --> 0:41:38.759
<v Speaker 1>win total that I want to bet, and that's the

0:41:38.800 --> 0:41:44.480
<v Speaker 1>AFC North. So Ravens demonse over under eleven and a

0:41:44.520 --> 0:41:48.480
<v Speaker 1>half juice slightly to the over. I am not betting it,

0:41:48.840 --> 0:41:54.120
<v Speaker 1>but you cannot. You can't pick a Ravens under until

0:41:54.200 --> 0:41:59.239
<v Speaker 1>proven otherwise, and so to me, they are an over

0:42:00.120 --> 0:42:03.240
<v Speaker 1>in Lamar. Like last year, it felt like they lost

0:42:03.280 --> 0:42:08.120
<v Speaker 1>a ton of dumb games, they still won twelve and

0:42:09.000 --> 0:42:13.520
<v Speaker 1>I like the move the moves they made this offseason.

0:42:13.960 --> 0:42:18.880
<v Speaker 1>I think they will continue to be a regular season juggernaut.

0:42:18.960 --> 0:42:23.440
<v Speaker 1>With that said, the reason this is not a bet

0:42:23.520 --> 0:42:30.480
<v Speaker 1>for me is the slight concern that Derek hen we

0:42:30.560 --> 0:42:34.040
<v Speaker 1>saw the last great Derek Henry season, and if that's

0:42:34.120 --> 0:42:37.440
<v Speaker 1>the case, I could see them only winning eleven games.

0:42:37.920 --> 0:42:41.480
<v Speaker 1>But it wouldn't shock me if this team goes fourteen

0:42:41.520 --> 0:42:45.280
<v Speaker 1>and three. It would shock me if this team goes

0:42:45.719 --> 0:42:49.160
<v Speaker 1>ten and seven. So because of that, I'm an over.

0:42:49.680 --> 0:42:53.880
<v Speaker 1>I imagine you Demonse are a strong over for Baltimore.

0:42:54.040 --> 0:42:56.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, definitely, yeah, definitely the best team in the NFL

0:42:56.719 --> 0:42:57.040
<v Speaker 2>right now.

0:42:57.880 --> 0:42:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Definitely the best team in the NFL.

0:43:00.160 --> 0:43:02.120
<v Speaker 2>I mean easily the top two or three. But yeah,

0:43:02.160 --> 0:43:04.160
<v Speaker 2>so that's good for Listen, a lot of people think

0:43:04.160 --> 0:43:04.520
<v Speaker 2>they're the.

0:43:04.440 --> 0:43:07.759
<v Speaker 1>Best team in the NFL. Mena. Kimes got very mad

0:43:07.800 --> 0:43:11.080
<v Speaker 1>at me because I did not, But I certainly think

0:43:11.160 --> 0:43:15.000
<v Speaker 1>they are. They are set up for massive regular season success.

0:43:15.160 --> 0:43:18.319
<v Speaker 1>I also think that when you were talking about like

0:43:18.840 --> 0:43:22.840
<v Speaker 1>the Patriots schedule the Ravens schedules in the other direction,

0:43:23.719 --> 0:43:29.520
<v Speaker 1>it is brutality for the Ravens. Now what does that

0:43:29.600 --> 0:43:32.959
<v Speaker 1>mean for him? I they they typically have a tough

0:43:33.000 --> 0:43:36.840
<v Speaker 1>schedule this year. To me, if you want it to

0:43:37.000 --> 0:43:40.160
<v Speaker 1>hear it player, it's.

0:43:39.960 --> 0:43:44.200
<v Speaker 2>Not it's not that bad. I mean, obviously you got

0:43:44.200 --> 0:43:47.000
<v Speaker 2>the divisional games, but then outside of that, like you

0:43:47.120 --> 0:43:48.800
<v Speaker 2>got the Rams.

0:43:49.080 --> 0:43:52.880
<v Speaker 1>Then you have the divisional Yeah that's what. Yeah, you

0:43:52.880 --> 0:43:58.880
<v Speaker 1>have the divisional games plus the NFC North plus the

0:43:59.080 --> 0:44:03.280
<v Speaker 1>other I have it right here? What's the other division

0:44:03.320 --> 0:44:06.239
<v Speaker 1>that they play? Sorry I had it and now I

0:44:06.560 --> 0:44:12.800
<v Speaker 1>closed it. But regardless, I think that and the AFC East.

0:44:13.200 --> 0:44:17.600
<v Speaker 1>So the AFC East is not brutal, but it's certainly

0:44:17.600 --> 0:44:20.840
<v Speaker 1>not an easy schedule. But there, Listen, they win seventy

0:44:20.840 --> 0:44:23.200
<v Speaker 1>five percent of their games in the regular season. With Lamar,

0:44:24.080 --> 0:44:26.279
<v Speaker 1>they would be an over. It's not a bet for me.

0:44:27.160 --> 0:44:30.920
<v Speaker 1>Here is our first bet. The Bengals under nine and

0:44:30.960 --> 0:44:36.239
<v Speaker 1>a half wins at minus one fifteen. Why is the

0:44:36.280 --> 0:44:40.480
<v Speaker 1>defense going to be better than last year's And if

0:44:40.520 --> 0:44:43.359
<v Speaker 1>the answer is lu an Arumo was a was a

0:44:43.520 --> 0:44:47.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, an inside agent for the opposition, so be it.

0:44:47.600 --> 0:44:53.399
<v Speaker 1>But I disagree. And so the the They did get

0:44:53.440 --> 0:44:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Drey Hendrickson back, that does matter. I'm not dismissing that. However,

0:44:58.360 --> 0:45:00.960
<v Speaker 1>sure they had him like last year and he led

0:45:01.000 --> 0:45:05.160
<v Speaker 1>the NFL in sacks. I think the offensive line could

0:45:05.239 --> 0:45:09.799
<v Speaker 1>be a real problem and because of that demands I

0:45:09.840 --> 0:45:12.680
<v Speaker 1>think Burrow. Listen, Burrow, Chase and Higgins are gonna be great.

0:45:13.280 --> 0:45:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Are they gonna be as good as they were last year?

0:45:16.080 --> 0:45:19.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. And because of that, to me, the

0:45:19.680 --> 0:45:23.040
<v Speaker 1>Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They

0:45:23.080 --> 0:45:27.280
<v Speaker 1>win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire

0:45:27.320 --> 0:45:32.440
<v Speaker 1>their head coach. That is my major Cincinnati Bengals prediction

0:45:33.000 --> 0:45:36.640
<v Speaker 1>is this is Zach Taylor's last year there. And here's

0:45:36.719 --> 0:45:40.480
<v Speaker 1>the other thing with the Bengals. When you look at

0:45:40.560 --> 0:45:44.720
<v Speaker 1>their schedule, you like to say, oh, it opened soft

0:45:44.960 --> 0:45:49.439
<v Speaker 1>at Cleveland home for the Jags. They start every year

0:45:49.640 --> 0:45:53.240
<v Speaker 1>so terribly. I don't know that I want my easy games.

0:45:53.239 --> 0:45:56.720
<v Speaker 1>Early last year they started against New England and found

0:45:56.760 --> 0:46:00.319
<v Speaker 1>a way to lose. I also think Miles Ga it

0:46:00.680 --> 0:46:04.040
<v Speaker 1>could wreak some havoc in Week one against them. I

0:46:04.320 --> 0:46:06.880
<v Speaker 1>just again, I'm not saying the Browns are gonna beat them.

0:46:07.200 --> 0:46:09.839
<v Speaker 1>I think the Bengals aren't under and that that is

0:46:09.960 --> 0:46:17.000
<v Speaker 1>a bet. This next one, Demons is such a disrespectful number. Now,

0:46:17.360 --> 0:46:22.440
<v Speaker 1>the Browns total set it four and a half minus

0:46:22.520 --> 0:46:25.160
<v Speaker 1>one forty five on the over, plus one twenty on

0:46:25.239 --> 0:46:30.880
<v Speaker 1>the under. It's an absolute stay away. But I will

0:46:31.920 --> 0:46:35.440
<v Speaker 1>if I have to pick, I will pick over. Yeah,

0:46:35.480 --> 0:46:40.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean the four and a half wins when you

0:46:40.600 --> 0:46:48.320
<v Speaker 1>get seventeen games. Now, now it is given the fact

0:46:48.600 --> 0:46:51.920
<v Speaker 1>that they were a last place team, you look at

0:46:51.960 --> 0:46:54.840
<v Speaker 1>the schedule and you're like, where are the super easy

0:46:54.920 --> 0:46:58.440
<v Speaker 1>games and then you realize, like one of their strength

0:46:58.480 --> 0:47:03.360
<v Speaker 1>of schedule last place games is the Niners. Like that's unlucky.

0:47:04.160 --> 0:47:07.759
<v Speaker 1>The Titans is a last place schedule game. But they

0:47:07.800 --> 0:47:11.320
<v Speaker 1>get the Titans demanday late in the year when cam

0:47:11.360 --> 0:47:14.280
<v Speaker 1>Ward should be better. So you know that's a bummer

0:47:14.360 --> 0:47:17.680
<v Speaker 1>for them. They get the.

0:47:18.680 --> 0:47:23.560
<v Speaker 2>Honest the bet. Yeah, you don't even with things right?

0:47:23.840 --> 0:47:28.279
<v Speaker 1>Well, no, they start unbelievable Bengals, Ravens, Packers, Lions is

0:47:28.320 --> 0:47:32.640
<v Speaker 1>how they start, Like, give me a break. And then

0:47:33.120 --> 0:47:36.399
<v Speaker 1>but I don't think the Steelers and Bengals are gonna

0:47:36.440 --> 0:47:41.719
<v Speaker 1>be great. And the numbers four and a half, I've

0:47:41.760 --> 0:47:44.880
<v Speaker 1>got to go over four and a half, and so

0:47:45.120 --> 0:47:48.200
<v Speaker 1>I will go over four and a half, but it's

0:47:48.239 --> 0:47:51.200
<v Speaker 1>not a bet for me. And then we get the Steelers,

0:47:52.200 --> 0:47:55.560
<v Speaker 1>who cost me a ton of money last year. I

0:47:55.719 --> 0:47:59.560
<v Speaker 1>faded the Steelers left and right, and they somehow found

0:47:59.560 --> 0:48:02.879
<v Speaker 1>a way in to the playoffs. Their total is eight

0:48:02.880 --> 0:48:06.960
<v Speaker 1>and a half. They are minus one fifteen minus one

0:48:07.080 --> 0:48:13.239
<v Speaker 1>oh five. I am an under for Pittsburgh, but it

0:48:13.320 --> 0:48:18.680
<v Speaker 1>is not a bet. I said this two months ago

0:48:18.840 --> 0:48:23.319
<v Speaker 1>and I will stick with it. I think that we

0:48:23.360 --> 0:48:28.120
<v Speaker 1>have Mike Tomlin's first losing season as Aaron Rodgers' final season.

0:48:28.520 --> 0:48:31.719
<v Speaker 1>That was a take I had before they signed Rogers.

0:48:32.080 --> 0:48:34.440
<v Speaker 1>Brew then made it his own take. But then he

0:48:34.560 --> 0:48:39.359
<v Speaker 1>flip flopped it, so I took it back. And so

0:48:39.760 --> 0:48:44.640
<v Speaker 1>I know, doubting that Tomlin can get to nine wins

0:48:45.160 --> 0:48:48.400
<v Speaker 1>has only ever been a losing bet or doubting that

0:48:48.440 --> 0:48:50.239
<v Speaker 1>he can get to five hundred. He did go what

0:48:50.440 --> 0:48:52.759
<v Speaker 1>eight eight and one one year or something. He's never

0:48:52.800 --> 0:48:54.960
<v Speaker 1>been below five hundred out of at some point, right,

0:48:55.920 --> 0:49:00.520
<v Speaker 1>I would think so, And I just I I think

0:49:00.520 --> 0:49:04.160
<v Speaker 1>they will have a good but not overwhelmingly dominant defense.

0:49:04.320 --> 0:49:07.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't think the Rogers dk metcalf fit is a

0:49:07.960 --> 0:49:11.360
<v Speaker 1>smart one like one that makes sense, and so because

0:49:11.360 --> 0:49:15.680
<v Speaker 1>of that, I am going to go under on the

0:49:15.680 --> 0:49:20.880
<v Speaker 1>Pittsburgh Steelers, which also means through two divisions, I only

0:49:20.920 --> 0:49:24.440
<v Speaker 1>have one bet. The bet is Bengals under nine and

0:49:24.440 --> 0:49:29.719
<v Speaker 1>a half, but I am also skewing towards unders. The

0:49:29.760 --> 0:49:32.920
<v Speaker 1>only I have under for Bills twelve and a half,

0:49:33.000 --> 0:49:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins seven and a half, Jets six and a half,

0:49:36.160 --> 0:49:39.120
<v Speaker 1>Bengals nine and a half, Steelers eight and a half,

0:49:39.560 --> 0:49:42.680
<v Speaker 1>over Brown's four and a half, over Patriots eight and

0:49:42.719 --> 0:49:47.960
<v Speaker 1>a half, and over Bengals I'm sorry, and over Ravens

0:49:48.000 --> 0:49:51.760
<v Speaker 1>eleven and a half. Thank you. Also, in the least

0:49:51.760 --> 0:49:54.960
<v Speaker 1>shocking news ever, we are only going to do the

0:49:55.000 --> 0:49:58.440
<v Speaker 1>AFC today because we're not gonna get through thirty two

0:49:58.520 --> 0:50:02.080
<v Speaker 1>teams in thirty minutes. This is exactly what happened last

0:50:02.160 --> 0:50:06.520
<v Speaker 1>year where Tuesday's show I tried to do some actual news,

0:50:06.840 --> 0:50:09.839
<v Speaker 1>then all thirty two teams, and then what we ended

0:50:09.920 --> 0:50:15.279
<v Speaker 1>up doing was some actual news sixteen teams, and then

0:50:15.440 --> 0:50:18.640
<v Speaker 1>Thursday we do the NFC and all our other bets.

0:50:19.320 --> 0:50:22.600
<v Speaker 1>Remind me in twenty twenty six, guys, just format it

0:50:22.719 --> 0:50:27.040
<v Speaker 1>as such. But in the meantime, we still have half

0:50:27.080 --> 0:50:30.360
<v Speaker 1>the conference to go through, and we have one, two, three,

0:50:31.360 --> 0:50:35.719
<v Speaker 1>five bets we are making from the AFC South and

0:50:35.760 --> 0:50:38.240
<v Speaker 1>the AFC West. But before we do that, I gotta

0:50:38.280 --> 0:50:42.160
<v Speaker 1>tell you, guys, I am so excited it's finally here.

0:50:42.239 --> 0:50:48.000
<v Speaker 1>Tomorrow night, I am going to the US Open, and

0:50:48.040 --> 0:50:51.360
<v Speaker 1>that's why I want to shout out our great sponsor

0:50:51.440 --> 0:50:57.400
<v Speaker 1>of today's show, seat Geek twenty eight million app downloads.

0:50:57.719 --> 0:51:00.879
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0:51:13.160 --> 0:51:15.680
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0:51:15.719 --> 0:51:17.920
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0:51:17.960 --> 0:51:21.560
<v Speaker 1>it works. So I already open the app. I go

0:51:21.640 --> 0:51:24.680
<v Speaker 1>to the US Open. I am not going today, I

0:51:24.719 --> 0:51:28.640
<v Speaker 1>am going to go Wednesday. So Wednesday I'm gonna go

0:51:28.680 --> 0:51:32.560
<v Speaker 1>to the night session. Get ASH tickets. Remember, if you

0:51:32.600 --> 0:51:35.520
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0:51:35.560 --> 0:51:38.840
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0:51:43.880 --> 0:51:47.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm right there. Here's the thing I'm going. I think

0:51:47.239 --> 0:51:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Danny is going Demon's are you know. Dear friend Mark

0:51:52.080 --> 0:51:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Carmon is in from Chicago. He's going. So I'm gonna

0:51:55.520 --> 0:51:58.640
<v Speaker 1>need three seats on seat geek. You know what, it's

0:51:58.640 --> 0:52:01.160
<v Speaker 1>probably easier to get four, or there's probably someone else

0:52:01.200 --> 0:52:04.239
<v Speaker 1>coming as well. Four seats on seat geek right there.

0:52:04.320 --> 0:52:07.680
<v Speaker 1>And the way it works is as always, look for

0:52:07.760 --> 0:52:11.399
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0:52:54.760 --> 0:52:59.279
<v Speaker 1>friends at seat Geek. All right, Deman's now to the

0:52:59.320 --> 0:53:04.560
<v Speaker 1>AFC out. We have the Texans nine and a half

0:53:04.719 --> 0:53:11.600
<v Speaker 1>wins with minus one thirty on the under, so Vegas

0:53:12.239 --> 0:53:14.400
<v Speaker 1>favoring the under for the Texans.

0:53:15.600 --> 0:53:16.799
<v Speaker 2>I will go.

0:53:17.640 --> 0:53:21.280
<v Speaker 1>This is a lean, not a bet, but a lean.

0:53:22.160 --> 0:53:26.000
<v Speaker 1>I will go by the slightest of bits and over

0:53:26.160 --> 0:53:31.160
<v Speaker 1>for the Texans. I like don't love I like the quarterback,

0:53:32.160 --> 0:53:36.120
<v Speaker 1>I really like the coach. I love the defense. I

0:53:36.160 --> 0:53:40.719
<v Speaker 1>think the Texans defense has a chance to be the

0:53:40.719 --> 0:53:43.080
<v Speaker 1>best defense in football this year. They certainly should have

0:53:43.080 --> 0:53:46.760
<v Speaker 1>the best pass defense, pass rush plus secondary in football.

0:53:46.800 --> 0:53:50.879
<v Speaker 1>They could be vulnerable against the run. I'm worried about

0:53:50.880 --> 0:53:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the offensive line. I'm worried about some of the receiving options,

0:53:55.440 --> 0:53:59.319
<v Speaker 1>and that you know. The injuries are running back, I

0:53:59.320 --> 0:54:03.640
<v Speaker 1>think are a real thing. But I like CJ. I

0:54:03.680 --> 0:54:05.960
<v Speaker 1>think he needs a bounce back year. I don't think

0:54:06.000 --> 0:54:08.359
<v Speaker 1>they're a dominant team. I don't think they're a super

0:54:08.400 --> 0:54:11.400
<v Speaker 1>Bowl contender, but I think they can get to ten wins.

0:54:11.800 --> 0:54:14.440
<v Speaker 1>So I'm and I'm getting plus money on it theoretically,

0:54:14.480 --> 0:54:16.960
<v Speaker 1>even though I'm not betting it. So I'm a slight

0:54:17.120 --> 0:54:20.080
<v Speaker 1>over for the Houston Texans. You were very high on

0:54:20.120 --> 0:54:23.200
<v Speaker 1>the Texans last year to Monsey. Have you cooled a bit?

0:54:23.320 --> 0:54:25.280
<v Speaker 1>How do you feel about CJ and Houston?

0:54:26.040 --> 0:54:29.439
<v Speaker 2>I thought CJ was kind of dealing with some shoulder stuff, yes,

0:54:29.880 --> 0:54:33.920
<v Speaker 2>earlier this offseason over over nine and a half. I'm

0:54:33.960 --> 0:54:36.400
<v Speaker 2>honestly gonna go under nine and a half. I just

0:54:36.440 --> 0:54:38.600
<v Speaker 2>don't want them to do that. I've got a bet,

0:54:38.800 --> 0:54:42.640
<v Speaker 2>but I probably can't disclose now, I know. But yeah, that.

0:54:42.680 --> 0:54:44.479
<v Speaker 1>Was just oh one of your bets that you're gonna

0:54:44.520 --> 0:54:48.359
<v Speaker 1>talk about on Thursday. Yeah, okay, all right, but I.

0:54:48.280 --> 0:54:51.800
<v Speaker 2>Mean they wait to go over. But yeah, the defense

0:54:51.960 --> 0:54:55.839
<v Speaker 2>is nice, honestly, Like, logically, i'd say over six nine

0:54:55.880 --> 0:54:59.520
<v Speaker 2>and a half is a little low for the Texans, but.

0:54:58.520 --> 0:55:01.879
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, you're going with your I understand, and nine

0:55:01.880 --> 0:55:03.920
<v Speaker 1>and a half is not necessarily low for the Texans.

0:55:03.960 --> 0:55:06.360
<v Speaker 1>Like I I think that's I think it's a fair number.

0:55:07.600 --> 0:55:13.680
<v Speaker 1>The next team listed, it's the Indianapolis Colts. Their number

0:55:13.760 --> 0:55:17.120
<v Speaker 1>is seven and a half. It is the same slight

0:55:17.200 --> 0:55:20.080
<v Speaker 1>juice minus one thirty on the under. And this is

0:55:20.120 --> 0:55:22.640
<v Speaker 1>a bet, and this is a bet that I love,

0:55:23.239 --> 0:55:29.600
<v Speaker 1>and I am taking the under on the Colts. I

0:55:29.640 --> 0:55:34.880
<v Speaker 1>am so dismayed by how they continue to handle the

0:55:34.960 --> 0:55:36.040
<v Speaker 1>quarterback situation.

0:55:36.440 --> 0:55:39.520
<v Speaker 2>How do they not get on the over under?

0:55:40.360 --> 0:55:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Well, because Stiken always finds a way to win games.

0:55:44.120 --> 0:55:50.959
<v Speaker 1>Like where they do deserve credit is they rarely bottom out? Yeah,

0:55:51.000 --> 0:55:54.399
<v Speaker 1>I mean they they so screwed. They last year they

0:55:54.400 --> 0:55:57.800
<v Speaker 1>won eight games, the year before they won nine games,

0:55:58.080 --> 0:56:00.160
<v Speaker 1>the year before that they won they won four or

0:56:00.239 --> 0:56:03.280
<v Speaker 1>that's how they ended up drafting Richardson. But then before

0:56:03.320 --> 0:56:06.799
<v Speaker 1>that nine eleven, seven, ten, like you know what I mean,

0:56:06.840 --> 0:56:10.000
<v Speaker 1>they have been an under stich and they've been they've

0:56:10.040 --> 0:56:13.200
<v Speaker 1>been in the mix. I think that ends this year.

0:56:13.880 --> 0:56:16.680
<v Speaker 1>I do not like their weapons, I do not like

0:56:17.000 --> 0:56:21.560
<v Speaker 1>their defense, I do not like Daniel Jones. And I

0:56:21.719 --> 0:56:25.359
<v Speaker 1>think it is on the board that the Cults are

0:56:25.400 --> 0:56:28.160
<v Speaker 1>the worst team in the league. I think that's possible.

0:56:29.000 --> 0:56:32.440
<v Speaker 1>I think that there's let me put it like this,

0:56:32.960 --> 0:56:36.000
<v Speaker 1>there there aren't If we did a worst team in

0:56:36.040 --> 0:56:38.799
<v Speaker 1>the league draft, there wouldn't be five teams I would

0:56:38.840 --> 0:56:43.640
<v Speaker 1>take before him and the.

0:56:45.280 --> 0:56:45.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:56:45.800 --> 0:56:51.400
<v Speaker 1>The the other piece of it is, listen, I'm not

0:56:54.480 --> 0:56:57.640
<v Speaker 1>going to act like I think Anthony Richardson's going to

0:56:57.680 --> 0:57:01.520
<v Speaker 1>be good. I don't. My best would be He's never good.

0:57:02.800 --> 0:57:05.799
<v Speaker 1>I also, though, think if you take a player that

0:57:06.080 --> 0:57:12.480
<v Speaker 1>raw fourth overall and he's has less than one season's

0:57:12.520 --> 0:57:17.360
<v Speaker 1>worth of starts, and you throw in the towel for

0:57:17.560 --> 0:57:22.680
<v Speaker 1>Daniel Jones after Daniel Jones has a mediocre at best preseason,

0:57:23.560 --> 0:57:28.480
<v Speaker 1>I just think that process is so backwards that you

0:57:28.520 --> 0:57:31.920
<v Speaker 1>should not be rewarded for it. And I think that

0:57:32.440 --> 0:57:36.640
<v Speaker 1>they are going to have a very very difficult season

0:57:37.440 --> 0:57:40.880
<v Speaker 1>and Daniel, you know, wonders if they start slow, should

0:57:40.880 --> 0:57:45.160
<v Speaker 1>they trade Jonathan Taylor? I don't. I'm I'm also not

0:57:45.200 --> 0:57:47.920
<v Speaker 1>sure Jonathan Taylor at this point will be as you know,

0:57:48.040 --> 0:57:50.280
<v Speaker 1>continue to be as good as he's been. I just

0:57:50.640 --> 0:57:53.400
<v Speaker 1>I do not believe in this team. They are a

0:57:53.960 --> 0:57:57.480
<v Speaker 1>heavy under for me. I think that number their win

0:57:57.600 --> 0:57:59.680
<v Speaker 1>total should have been six and a half, and I

0:57:59.760 --> 0:58:02.520
<v Speaker 1>still probably would have taken the under at seven and

0:58:02.560 --> 0:58:06.080
<v Speaker 1>a half. I love the under almost as much as

0:58:06.120 --> 0:58:10.440
<v Speaker 1>I love this over. We are so back, We are

0:58:10.760 --> 0:58:17.520
<v Speaker 1>so so back. Jags over seven and a half minus

0:58:17.600 --> 0:58:21.640
<v Speaker 1>one twenty five. Oh my god, I love it. I

0:58:21.680 --> 0:58:29.040
<v Speaker 1>love it so much better. Coach two legit receiving threats,

0:58:30.880 --> 0:58:37.680
<v Speaker 1>a real commitment this offseason. I felt to getting some

0:58:37.880 --> 0:58:42.120
<v Speaker 1>of the fundamental things that were wrong with the team

0:58:42.240 --> 0:58:47.840
<v Speaker 1>last year, most notably the lines better. I think Travis

0:58:47.920 --> 0:58:53.040
<v Speaker 1>Hunter is going to make a legitimate and quick impact.

0:58:53.640 --> 0:58:58.600
<v Speaker 1>I think that the two new offensive linemen are significant.

0:58:58.760 --> 0:59:02.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't mind that they lost Kirk and Gabe Davis

0:59:02.400 --> 0:59:07.600
<v Speaker 1>because I didn't think those guys were substantial players for them.

0:59:07.960 --> 0:59:14.120
<v Speaker 1>And I just think that Trevor also understands this is

0:59:14.200 --> 0:59:17.880
<v Speaker 1>the last year anyone cares about where he was drafted.

0:59:18.760 --> 0:59:22.040
<v Speaker 1>And the fact that I can they could be below

0:59:22.240 --> 0:59:27.440
<v Speaker 1>five hundred and I win this bet is just remarkable

0:59:27.480 --> 0:59:32.480
<v Speaker 1>to me, And so Jaggs over seven and a half

0:59:32.640 --> 0:59:36.440
<v Speaker 1>at minus one twenty five. I am all over that one, buddy,

0:59:36.800 --> 0:59:41.000
<v Speaker 1>I am all over that one. Do you think I'm crazy?

0:59:41.160 --> 0:59:42.320
<v Speaker 2>I think the train will was off.

0:59:42.360 --> 0:59:42.400
<v Speaker 1>No.

0:59:42.680 --> 0:59:44.320
<v Speaker 2>I think that this this has got to be the year.

0:59:44.360 --> 0:59:45.959
<v Speaker 2>It's got to be the year for Trevor.

0:59:46.760 --> 0:59:49.400
<v Speaker 1>Well, I would one would. If it's not. Listen, if

0:59:49.400 --> 0:59:51.880
<v Speaker 1>it's not this year, then if it's not this year,

0:59:51.920 --> 0:59:54.600
<v Speaker 1>then I just have to admit defeat. Yeah, you gotta

0:59:54.640 --> 0:59:57.400
<v Speaker 1>be done, you know what I mean the five years

0:59:57.400 --> 0:59:59.000
<v Speaker 1>and if it's not this year, I have to admit

0:59:59.040 --> 1:00:01.960
<v Speaker 1>defeat and last one Titans over under six and a

1:00:02.000 --> 1:00:04.880
<v Speaker 1>half plus one ten on the over, minus one thirty

1:00:04.920 --> 1:00:11.200
<v Speaker 1>on the under. It it feels like a slight slight,

1:00:11.360 --> 1:00:17.040
<v Speaker 1>slight under. I'm my hesitancy is as bad as I

1:00:17.080 --> 1:00:19.080
<v Speaker 1>think the Colts are gonna be. Do I think they're

1:00:19.080 --> 1:00:21.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna get two wins against the Colts and then all

1:00:21.200 --> 1:00:23.440
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden, you know what I mean, you're right there.

1:00:23.840 --> 1:00:26.640
<v Speaker 1>But even if you believe in cam Ward, I don't

1:00:26.680 --> 1:00:28.440
<v Speaker 1>know that I believe in the coach. I don't know

1:00:28.440 --> 1:00:30.880
<v Speaker 1>if I believe in the infrastructure of the team. It

1:00:30.960 --> 1:00:35.560
<v Speaker 1>also feels like a six and eleven season would be like, Okay,

1:00:36.040 --> 1:00:39.400
<v Speaker 1>step in the right direction and that would still be

1:00:39.440 --> 1:00:44.720
<v Speaker 1>an under, so slim margin. I'm an under for the Titans.

1:00:45.400 --> 1:00:50.720
<v Speaker 1>Now to my division that I'm all over, Yeah, just

1:00:50.840 --> 1:01:00.720
<v Speaker 1>absolutely all over the AFC West. The Denver Broncos nine

1:01:00.960 --> 1:01:06.240
<v Speaker 1>and a half. Never has a team that last year

1:01:06.360 --> 1:01:11.560
<v Speaker 1>beat two quarterbacks all year that are currently starters in

1:01:11.640 --> 1:01:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the league, went zero to seven in its games against

1:01:16.760 --> 1:01:20.920
<v Speaker 1>playoff teams, unless you include beating the Chiefs backups as

1:01:20.960 --> 1:01:27.960
<v Speaker 1>a playoff team. Gotten this much preseason smoke, under nine

1:01:28.160 --> 1:01:33.040
<v Speaker 1>and a half gets me plus one ten. I think

1:01:33.160 --> 1:01:37.040
<v Speaker 1>it is more than on the board that this team

1:01:38.360 --> 1:01:41.400
<v Speaker 1>goes seven and ten. They are more let me put

1:01:41.440 --> 1:01:43.800
<v Speaker 1>it like this, they are more likely to go seven

1:01:43.880 --> 1:01:47.520
<v Speaker 1>and ten than ten and seven. I will take the

1:01:47.560 --> 1:01:54.080
<v Speaker 1>Broncos and fading bow Knicks, who again was good last year.

1:01:54.160 --> 1:01:56.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't doubt that he was good last year. I

1:01:57.080 --> 1:02:00.160
<v Speaker 1>do doubt that he is going to have similar success

1:02:00.200 --> 1:02:04.200
<v Speaker 1>this year. I will take that and I and here's

1:02:04.320 --> 1:02:06.320
<v Speaker 1>the thing that I say on the front end of

1:02:06.320 --> 1:02:11.160
<v Speaker 1>that demanse. They start the year off with four straight

1:02:11.240 --> 1:02:15.960
<v Speaker 1>games against teams I don't really believe in. I think

1:02:16.000 --> 1:02:20.560
<v Speaker 1>there is going to be a lot of Broncos, folks.

1:02:20.800 --> 1:02:24.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm planning my flag on this. I think there is

1:02:24.680 --> 1:02:30.320
<v Speaker 1>a chance the Broncos start like four and two, and

1:02:30.400 --> 1:02:37.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm dealing with a lot of chirping because they go Titans, Colts, Chargers, Bengals, Eagles,

1:02:37.080 --> 1:02:41.320
<v Speaker 1>really tough, Jets, Giants, Cowboys. How many games is that

1:02:41.520 --> 1:02:41.760
<v Speaker 1>was that?

1:02:41.840 --> 1:02:42.080
<v Speaker 2>Eight?

1:02:43.040 --> 1:02:45.840
<v Speaker 1>That's eight games? So I think they you know what,

1:02:46.640 --> 1:02:49.080
<v Speaker 1>I think they might be able to even start six

1:02:49.160 --> 1:02:51.840
<v Speaker 1>and two. Don't care?

1:02:52.240 --> 1:02:55.040
<v Speaker 2>Is this Sean Pete? I think year? Is this the second?

1:02:55.160 --> 1:02:56.640
<v Speaker 1>Third year? Year? Third year?

1:02:57.320 --> 1:03:00.480
<v Speaker 2>You don't believe? You don't think that. I mean, the

1:03:01.120 --> 1:03:04.360
<v Speaker 2>Bicks just connected, they got they got ten wins last year.

1:03:05.400 --> 1:03:07.600
<v Speaker 2>You're that confident in the under on the nine and

1:03:07.680 --> 1:03:12.000
<v Speaker 2>a half that like, I've seen some good Bonix in

1:03:12.040 --> 1:03:12.640
<v Speaker 2>the preseason.

1:03:14.040 --> 1:03:18.480
<v Speaker 1>Everybody listen, everybody loves him, I get it. And everybody

1:03:18.520 --> 1:03:22.800
<v Speaker 1>loves Sean Payton. Everybody loves Sean Payton almost as much

1:03:22.800 --> 1:03:29.120
<v Speaker 1>as Sean Payton loves Sean Payton. I I think they

1:03:29.120 --> 1:03:32.919
<v Speaker 1>could start the year off quite strong and then come

1:03:33.000 --> 1:03:40.880
<v Speaker 1>November when it goes Texans, Raiders, Chiefs, Commanders, Raiders, Packers, Jaguars, Chiefs,

1:03:41.160 --> 1:03:46.320
<v Speaker 1>Chargers a significant well, no, obviously not lose them all,

1:03:46.800 --> 1:03:52.880
<v Speaker 1>but a significant down swing that leaves them under five

1:03:52.960 --> 1:03:56.160
<v Speaker 1>hundred and on the outside looking in on the playoffs.

1:03:56.520 --> 1:04:01.840
<v Speaker 1>Everyone loves the Broncos this year, but me and they

1:04:02.120 --> 1:04:07.800
<v Speaker 1>better start off super strong. But I am here saying

1:04:08.040 --> 1:04:12.200
<v Speaker 1>I expect de Mons, a big topic in September and

1:04:12.280 --> 1:04:15.800
<v Speaker 1>October on the show, to potentially be Nick ready to

1:04:15.920 --> 1:04:19.320
<v Speaker 1>admit you were wrong about the Broncos. And when I

1:04:19.400 --> 1:04:24.680
<v Speaker 1>tell you, guys, no, I am not. Now to the

1:04:24.720 --> 1:04:28.760
<v Speaker 1>easiest bet every single year, the Chiefs hitting there over

1:04:29.320 --> 1:04:33.080
<v Speaker 1>under Andy Reid. It has failed to happen one time,

1:04:33.200 --> 1:04:36.160
<v Speaker 1>and they made up for it that year by winning

1:04:36.600 --> 1:04:41.640
<v Speaker 1>the Super Bowl. The Chiefs win total getting even money

1:04:42.160 --> 1:04:45.720
<v Speaker 1>over eleven and a half wins. That's an easy one.

1:04:46.120 --> 1:04:49.360
<v Speaker 1>I will take over eleven and a half every day

1:04:49.400 --> 1:04:54.040
<v Speaker 1>with Kansas City. Twelve and five would disappoint me. I

1:04:54.200 --> 1:04:58.320
<v Speaker 1>expect thirteen and four or better. They are not going

1:04:58.360 --> 1:05:01.720
<v Speaker 1>eleven and six Chiefs. We don't need to spend more

1:05:01.760 --> 1:05:04.080
<v Speaker 1>time on it. Everyone knew I was going Chiefs over

1:05:04.400 --> 1:05:07.400
<v Speaker 1>because it is the right bet. I am going over

1:05:07.880 --> 1:05:15.440
<v Speaker 1>with the Kansas City Chiefs, and there is that. Now

1:05:16.720 --> 1:05:22.680
<v Speaker 1>to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders total is six

1:05:22.760 --> 1:05:26.920
<v Speaker 1>and a half. It is minus one forty five on

1:05:27.000 --> 1:05:32.000
<v Speaker 1>the over. I like Gino, I love Pete Carroll. I

1:05:32.040 --> 1:05:35.560
<v Speaker 1>believe in the Raiders. I am going over with the

1:05:35.640 --> 1:05:40.400
<v Speaker 1>Las Vegas Raiders. It is six and a half. I

1:05:40.440 --> 1:05:43.360
<v Speaker 1>think the schedule is soft. I think Genti will be

1:05:43.480 --> 1:05:46.600
<v Speaker 1>a force. I think brock Bowers is going to have

1:05:46.680 --> 1:05:50.040
<v Speaker 1>the best statistical season of any tight end. I believe

1:05:50.080 --> 1:05:53.840
<v Speaker 1>in the Oakland Raiders one hundred percent. As far as

1:05:53.880 --> 1:05:56.680
<v Speaker 1>being able to win seven games, I think they can

1:05:56.720 --> 1:05:58.680
<v Speaker 1>do better than that, and we'll talk more about that

1:05:58.760 --> 1:06:02.480
<v Speaker 1>on Thursday show. But I am in on the Raiders.

1:06:03.960 --> 1:06:05.320
<v Speaker 1>Any objections there to Monts.

1:06:06.480 --> 1:06:08.080
<v Speaker 2>I like the Raiders too this year with all the

1:06:08.160 --> 1:06:10.600
<v Speaker 2>new stuff. Yeah.

1:06:10.640 --> 1:06:13.760
<v Speaker 1>And then last but not least, the Chargers numbers nine

1:06:13.800 --> 1:06:17.120
<v Speaker 1>and a half. This number, to me is just about correct.

1:06:17.880 --> 1:06:21.560
<v Speaker 1>I will lean under, but it is not a bet.

1:06:21.920 --> 1:06:24.920
<v Speaker 1>I think they probably go nine and eight and just

1:06:25.120 --> 1:06:28.400
<v Speaker 1>miss out on the playoffs. But it's a lean under

1:06:28.440 --> 1:06:31.600
<v Speaker 1>on the Chargers. The Rashaun Slater injury is enough to

1:06:31.680 --> 1:06:34.760
<v Speaker 1>tip me over to the underside if I had em

1:06:34.800 --> 1:06:39.120
<v Speaker 1>at ten wins before. So to recap, we have the

1:06:39.320 --> 1:06:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Jags over seven and a half, the Chiefs over eleven

1:06:42.640 --> 1:06:44.840
<v Speaker 1>and a half, the Raiders over six and a half.

1:06:45.360 --> 1:06:47.880
<v Speaker 1>We have the Bengals under nine and a half, the

1:06:47.880 --> 1:06:50.840
<v Speaker 1>Colts under seven and a half, the Broncos under nine

1:06:50.880 --> 1:06:54.640
<v Speaker 1>and a half. Thursday, we will do the NFC. We

1:06:54.680 --> 1:06:56.960
<v Speaker 1>will do our make miss playoff bets. We'll do our

1:06:57.000 --> 1:07:01.240
<v Speaker 1>division winners, the Super Bowl EXACTA and Demand's top five bets,

1:07:01.640 --> 1:07:06.960
<v Speaker 1>which were again plus nine units on five one unit

1:07:07.040 --> 1:07:10.400
<v Speaker 1>bets last year. One of the more underrated features of

1:07:10.440 --> 1:07:14.680
<v Speaker 1>our show last season. It's a great show. I have

1:07:14.800 --> 1:07:18.040
<v Speaker 1>to run. Save our questions from today's show for Thursday.

1:07:18.480 --> 1:07:21.600
<v Speaker 1>I have to go. We are late for everything. I

1:07:21.640 --> 1:07:25.680
<v Speaker 1>can't believe football's finally here. Like great, subscribe review, do

1:07:25.800 --> 1:07:27.960
<v Speaker 1>the whole thing. Talk to you guys soon. Thank you

1:07:28.000 --> 1:07:33.680
<v Speaker 1>to Volume, DraftKings, Blue Duck, Boost, Mobile, Seat Geek, and

1:07:33.840 --> 1:07:36.560
<v Speaker 1>who else am I forgetting here? I think I got

1:07:36.560 --> 1:07:39.640
<v Speaker 1>everybody in. If I didn't, I apologize talk to you.

1:07:40.560 --> 1:07:42.480
<v Speaker 1>I think I said Volume on the front end to

1:07:42.520 --> 1:07:43.480
<v Speaker 1>talk to you guys all later.

1:07:43.640 --> 1:07:44.080
<v Speaker 2>What's right