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Speaker 1: Welcome in What's Dry with Nick Great episode three point

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Speaker 1: fifty nine. This episode has always has brought to you

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Speaker 1: by boost Mobile back in the States after a great

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Speaker 1: trip through Switzerland, Italy, France and Monico where a few

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Speaker 1: random with my wife and my wife's grandparents who are

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Speaker 1: travel with us in the summer, it's great time. The

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Speaker 1: show demons sad to report, very very unpopular in Switzerland like.

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Speaker 2: The now like to stop you out there.

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Speaker 1: I mean, could not have been more anonymous like that

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Speaker 1: over the country. As we've moved south in Europe, more

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Speaker 1: a little more and more. And then by the time

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Speaker 1: we got to Monaco, I had Eagles fans to cost me.

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Speaker 1: Oh and how about this real quick before we get

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Speaker 1: to By the way, this is one of my favorite

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Speaker 1: shows of the year. There's the first half of a

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Speaker 1: gambling show. Uh gambling preview show. It's our full we

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Speaker 1: do all thirty two over unders, so we have a

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Speaker 1: lot to do. We you know, this show could be

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Speaker 1: five hours long. We can't have to be five hours long.

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Speaker 1: So it's a lot going on to be clear. But

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Speaker 1: oh gosh, oh yeah, So I'm in because let me

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Speaker 1: set the table further. I'm I text my poker buddies,

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Speaker 1: because I'm in Monte Carlo and I know there's great

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Speaker 1: poker in Monte Carlo, but you can't find it, like

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Speaker 1: you've got to like be invited. I played in a

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Speaker 1: card game in Switzerland. I played in a card game

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Speaker 1: in Italy. I played in card games in France, elsewhere,

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Speaker 1: but Monaco. I didn't know where to go. So one

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Speaker 1: that text did not lead me to a card game.

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Speaker 1: It did lead me to end up challenging helm Youth

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Speaker 1: to this five thousand dollars a person survivor contest, which

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Speaker 1: I then and you know, I'll be honest if you

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Speaker 1: saw that long video A few cocktails in posted me

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Speaker 1: and the Hellme Youth challenge, and by the way, that's

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Speaker 1: opened everybody. Splash Sports is hosting it. Anybody can join it.

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Speaker 1: But it's five grand a person. It's a lot of money.

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Speaker 1: That then the next morning, demon'say. I had a little

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Speaker 1: like I don't know what the word is, regret, I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure fear. I was like, do I look like

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Speaker 1: an elitist? I was like, I posted because it's like

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Speaker 1: a five thousand dollars a person contest. So then I

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Speaker 1: was like, I think I have to start a new contest.

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Speaker 1: So now there's also a twenty five dollars a person

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Speaker 1: contest that that I'm gonna be a part of. And so,

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Speaker 1: like you can follow me on Twitter. It's place right

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Speaker 1: when we did the it's the same people at Splash

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Speaker 1: Sports that we did the March Madness Survivor pool with

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Speaker 1: that I talked about. Uh, it's just you know, it's

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Speaker 1: it's a version of Run your Pool, those different things.

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Speaker 1: Except to me, they're the best hosting site. But so

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Speaker 1: all so all that is going on, I then go

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Speaker 1: into the casino in Money Carlo and these three guys

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Speaker 1: like start hitting each other, like pointing at me, but

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Speaker 1: they're clearly not American, and so I kind of give

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Speaker 1: them a nod and they come over and this is

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Speaker 1: what they say, Nick, We've been watching you for ten

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Speaker 1: years from Slovenia.

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Speaker 3: They were like you, Yeah, they called out my Luca

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Speaker 3: tweet about saying you should go number one in the

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Speaker 3: draft oh years ago or whatever it is.

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Speaker 1: So that so that was really cool. So it was

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Speaker 1: a great time. Uh So that was a great trip.

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Speaker 1: And then and then we'll get to the actual news.

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Speaker 1: But I'm going to do something demands that I am

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Speaker 1: not really equiped to do here, which is an unboxing?

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Speaker 1: Oh wow?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: When I went on, yeah, I don't know how to

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Speaker 1: do it. I don't even know how to show my

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Speaker 1: tattoo on camera. How am I gonna unbox something? And

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Speaker 1: it's big and I'm not sure exactly what's gonna work.

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Speaker 1: But when I got back to the house Sunday night,

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Speaker 1: waiting at the doorstep was it was wrapped obviously, Hold on,

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Speaker 1: look at this was this. I don't know if you

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Speaker 1: guys can see what that says, but that's just fifteen

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Speaker 1: eighty seven Prime. Fifteen is Patrick Mahomes, eighty seven is

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Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey, and their steakhouse is opening very soon, so

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Speaker 1: I'm going to open whatever they sent me.

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Speaker 2: What a cool name for the steakhouse. Fifteen eighty seven,

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Speaker 2: that's tough.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen eighty seven Prime from the Visionaries, Wow at Noble

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Speaker 1: thirty three and Kansas City's own hometown Heroesatrick Mahomes and

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Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. I can't there's a there's a password on

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Speaker 1: the bottom there which I can't do. But now we're

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Speaker 1: gonna try to unbox this thing. All right, Let's see

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Speaker 1: if I'm any good at this. I really should have

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Speaker 1: gotten your mom involved with this. Yeah, hold on? Oh yeah,

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Speaker 1: we also oh look at this, hold on, hold on,

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Speaker 1: official invitation. You're invited for a collaboration between NFL icons

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mollons, Travis Kelsey and Partnership Noble thirty three bring

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Speaker 1: a modern twist to an American steakhouse in Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: I don't think I wanna hold on, let me look

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Speaker 1: at this. Make sure that's the official invite. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: set that there because I don't want anyone to uh

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Speaker 1: pirate it. And then a certificate of authenticity. Oh look

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Speaker 1: at what hold on, look at what's here? Sorry, then

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Speaker 1: we'll get to the real business in hand here. Oh

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Speaker 1: oh this is oh no, see, I'm not good at this.

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Speaker 1: But this is why we're a audio and visual medium,

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Speaker 1: so you guys can laugh me. But this is pretty sick.

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Speaker 2: Hold on?

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Speaker 1: Whoa fifteen eighty seven prime official old school football signed

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Speaker 1: by Patrick and Travis? Did I just break the case? Maybe?

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Speaker 1: So there we go. So okay, all right, well let's

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Speaker 1: go ahead and set this down. Thank you.

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Speaker 2: That's awesome. That is my guys. I thought there was.

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Speaker 1: Invited to the grand opening a state Oh, it was

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Speaker 1: gonna be invited to the grand opening. Shout out Patrick

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Speaker 1: and trav. Uh, that's really cool.

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Speaker 2: How far is that gonna be from you like where

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Speaker 2: you're at ITAs City?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so, I mean it's it's not close so far.

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Speaker 1: I'll say it's gonna be a flight. But you know what,

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Speaker 1: for my guys, it's the least I can do. All right,

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Speaker 1: onto the actual show. How that on boxing? Go give

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Speaker 1: me out of ten?

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Speaker 2: You get six out of ten. You could have done

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Speaker 2: like a little bit more like flipping it up like

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Speaker 2: a little bit higher. But for the moment, we saw

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Speaker 2: it all and you needed to protect that. You need

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Speaker 2: to protect the envelope. So honestly, it's.

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Speaker 1: Exactly yeah, I mean this. Okay, you upgraded me, sir.

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Speaker 1: Look at that certificate of authenticity.

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Speaker 2: How cool?

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Speaker 1: All right, time for the show that we are in

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Speaker 1: the show by the way, like subscribe, review, five stars,

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Speaker 1: thumbs up, bells, all of that now straight to voicemail

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Speaker 1: product to you by voice boost Mobile. Terry McLaurin gets

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Speaker 1: a real contract three years, ninety six million dollars. Trey

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Speaker 1: Hendrickson gets a race. This is difference here. Trey Hendrickson

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Speaker 1: didn't get an extension, didn't get extra years guaranteed, he

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Speaker 1: did get. You know, Trey Hendrickson was really mad. Trey

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Speaker 1: Hendrickson felt disrespected. Dray Hendrickson wanted to get you know,

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Speaker 1: have the team appreciate what he had done for them.

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Speaker 1: And they said, well, how about instead of all of that,

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Speaker 1: we just give you an extra fourteen million dollars And

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Speaker 1: he's like, okay, deal, let you know, you know what,

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Speaker 1: fourteen million will make it work and then next year

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Speaker 1: we'll go through all of this all over again. Euro

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Speaker 1: Basket starts tomorrow and this is where demands I Am

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Speaker 1: going to reveal how uncool I am justin Herbert and

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Speaker 1: Madison Bearer dating, and this is where I tell you

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Speaker 1: I have no idea who Madison Beer is.

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Speaker 2: Nun Yeah, I've heard of her a few times. I

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Speaker 2: don't I think she's probably an actor, but uh.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what we're not that. I'm first of all,

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Speaker 1: couldn't be more proud that you're as ignorant on this

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Speaker 1: topic is me. I'm sure she's lovely, she is beautiful, obviously,

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Speaker 1: I don't know why she's famed.

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Speaker 2: She's probably.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna guess TikToker can any do any of

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Speaker 1: our producers is singer. I should have looked it up.

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Speaker 1: I know it singer songwriter. Oh okay, all right, sweet again.

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Speaker 1: But I am not trying to be the the I

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Speaker 1: don't really have a well, he's a pro athlete. It's

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Speaker 1: probably some type of recovery thing. Yeah, I mean, would

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Speaker 1: I wear a leg sleeve? No, I'm not a pro athlete,

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Speaker 1: like I'm not.

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Speaker 2: But uh.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, there's no shade thrown at Madison

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Speaker 1: Beer there. And I I I just truly was unfamiliar

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Speaker 1: with why she was famous. But she was super like

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Speaker 1: super famous evidently because what she posted. Someone posted a

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Speaker 1: paparazzi picture of her and herb was like in the background,

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Speaker 1: and and Charger fans were like, I think that's justin Herbert,

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Speaker 1: and then they were the whole thing. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: get to the show to Monsday. Before we get to

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Speaker 1: our all thirty two team over unders, we have news

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Speaker 1: on the Browns quarterback competition.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. So Chador's final preseason game was a little shaky.

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Speaker 2: He threw for fourteen total yards, took five sacks, And

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Speaker 2: now Chador fans are coming out and saying that the

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Speaker 2: team and Kevin Stefanski are conspiring against you. But also

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Speaker 2: Kenny Pickett just got cut. So you know, if the

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Speaker 2: landscape wh changed up a little, Kenny Thicket traded to

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Speaker 2: the Raiders traded, so the landscape white, it changed up

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Speaker 2: over there a little bit. What's the situation looking like for.

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Speaker 1: Shadur All right, well, listen, he was he started camp

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Speaker 1: fourth string, he stayed fourth string. He's now third string

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Speaker 1: because one of the strings is on the Raiders. And

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Speaker 1: I'm going to give you the very sober analysis of this.

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Speaker 1: Then we're gonna talk bigger picture of it, and then honestly,

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Speaker 1: we are not going to talk about the Cleveland Browns

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Speaker 1: and the quarterback situation again. And god willing for months,

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Speaker 1: Shadora could not afford the type of performance he had

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Speaker 1: in the third preseason game. It is as simple as that,

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Speaker 1: when you are a late round pick rookie, you can't

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Speaker 1: have a disastrous performance. You can't, and he did. It

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Speaker 1: was not the coach's fault, it was not the offensive

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Speaker 1: line's fault. It was he had a bad game, flatly.

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Speaker 1: And the reason it is extra concerning is those of

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Speaker 1: us that were skeptical that he was ever truly a

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Speaker 1: first round talent. We were worried that his bad games

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Speaker 1: would look a lot like that, like trying to do

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Speaker 1: a little too much with his legs, overestimating his escapability

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Speaker 1: and taking those big, deep, long sacks. Schador needed to

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Speaker 1: thread a perfect needle, and he was. By the way

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Speaker 1: early on in camp. He needed to play well in practice.

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Speaker 1: It looked like he was. He needed Dylan Gabriel to

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Speaker 1: struggle in practice he was. He needed to play well

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Speaker 1: in the first preseason game. He did, He needed Gabriel

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Speaker 1: to struggle. In the first preseason game. Gabriel didn't even play.

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Speaker 1: So all of that was going best case scenario for

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Speaker 1: Shador to achieve what was the only realistic goal for

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Speaker 1: him this offseason, which was past Dylan Gabriel in the

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Speaker 1: death chart. He was never going to be the Browns

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Speaker 1: starting quarterback in Week one. It was always the Browns

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Speaker 1: plan very clearly was one of the veterans is starting,

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Speaker 1: and then the kids are backing him up, and all

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Speaker 1: of it was going according to plan. Shadoor then suffered

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Speaker 1: a slight injury which made him not able to play

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Speaker 1: at all in the second preseason game. Gabriel then, after

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Speaker 1: some really bad practices played quite well in the second

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Speaker 1: preseason game. Then in the third preseason game, Gabriel played

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Speaker 1: quite well again and Shador had a disastrous performance. And

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Speaker 1: that is now that as far as the quarterback competition goes.

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Speaker 1: That is not conspiratorial, That is not unfair, that is

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Speaker 1: not unjust. That is life in the NFL. Is a

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Speaker 1: late round draft pick. That is what happened here. Also,

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Speaker 1: Shador fans need to recognize there's not a team in

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Speaker 1: the league he'd start for.

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Speaker 2: Not one.

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Speaker 1: You're on the team with arguably the worst quarterback situation,

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Speaker 1: and he is fairly right now their third best option

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Speaker 1: to starting quarterback. Okay, that is where we're at now.

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Speaker 1: Is that a death knell for his career?

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Speaker 2: No is.

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Speaker 1: Do I think he has more potential than Gabriel because

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Speaker 1: of size and pedigree. I do, But if I had

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Speaker 1: to from what we saw in those preseason games, if

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Speaker 1: in Week one Flacco goes out, you would have to

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Speaker 1: be more comfortable putting Gabriel in. That is what it is.

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Speaker 1: That's not ridiculous, that's not unfair. That's not a vast conspiracy.

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Speaker 1: That is what it is. The reason I find this

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Speaker 1: story interesting is the reason I find a lot of

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Speaker 1: things interesting is when they are symbolic for a greater

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Speaker 1: problem or issue, and the Shadoor Sanders come and terry

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Speaker 1: to me is a case study in what has in

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Speaker 1: what is currently ailing so much of our discourse surrounding

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Speaker 1: sports and other things which is either totally uninformed actors

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Speaker 1: or outright bad actors churning the outrage mill to create

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Speaker 1: engagement and controversy. That then the current actual media feels

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Speaker 1: obligated to treat seriously because well, it's what people are

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Speaker 1: talking about, and then it becomes a valid, real story.

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Speaker 1: And so you have folks that absolutely know better saying

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Speaker 1: things like Shadoor was out there with the fifth string

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Speaker 1: offensive line, when such a thing does not exist. It's like, oh,

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Speaker 1: if there's not that offensive lineman was tenth on the

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Speaker 1: depth chart, Well there's, yeah, I get it. But there's

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Speaker 1: five offensive linemen that play at a time, and so

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Speaker 1: there is the first of all, there is no such

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Speaker 1: thing as a fifth string offensive line. You have people

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Speaker 1: who know better saying, oh, color me shocked those offensive

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Speaker 1: linemen on the field. Was Shador were cut shortly after

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Speaker 1: the game? No shit, man, you're at a ninety man

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Speaker 1: roster in your third preseason game. Thirty seven of those

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Speaker 1: guys aren't making the team. Guess who doesn't make the team?

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Speaker 1: Guys playing at the end of their preseason games. And

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Speaker 1: there is just just a kernel of enough validity to

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Speaker 1: the conspiracies. Because is it likely true that the head

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Speaker 1: coach didn't actually want Shador and the owner told him

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Speaker 1: to draft him, Yes, probably is true. Is it likely

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Speaker 1: true that the head coach wanted Dylan Gabriel to win

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Speaker 1: that competition because that's the quarterback he wanted, and Shador

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Speaker 1: is the quarterback the owner wanted. Yes, that is likely true.

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Speaker 1: Does any of that mean Shador was put set up

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Speaker 1: to fail, couldn't succeed? No man, throw the ball away,

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Speaker 1: don't retreat back twenty five yards, don't don't make the

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Speaker 1: types of mistakes that some of us were worried you

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Speaker 1: would make. And it's not again, you're fifth round pick.

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Speaker 1: It's fine. But and because the owner wanted you on

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Speaker 1: the team, you're likely going to get to play at

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Speaker 1: some point this year, because the owner said both rookies

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Speaker 1: are gonna need to play. So the way this probably

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Speaker 1: goes is the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third

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Speaker 1: of the way into the season, they pull the plug

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Speaker 1: on Flacco. They go to Dylan Gabriel. They're still quite bad.

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Speaker 1: Gabriel as in my opinion, an overdrafted third round pick.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't look like the guy. And five six games

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Speaker 1: later they give Shador a try, and Shador is a

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Speaker 1: slightly underdrafted but still not ready fifth round pick. He

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Speaker 1: doesn't look like the guy. And next year the Browns

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Speaker 1: use the pick they got from the Jags and their

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Speaker 1: own pick to draft their actual quarterback. That's probably how

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Speaker 1: this thing's going to go, but it is the the

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Speaker 1: folks out there promoting the idea league wide code read

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Speaker 1: the whole league was told don't draft him, and then

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Speaker 1: the Browns were told to draft him, and then internal

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Speaker 1: Brown's code read only call the bad plays Kevin. And

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Speaker 1: then also the same folks and I didn't understand the

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Speaker 1: Tyler Huntley signing. I said that from the beginning. I

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Speaker 1: didn't understand Tyler Huntley playing that two minute drill. But

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Speaker 1: the folks saying Shador was set up to fail with

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Speaker 1: that terrible offensive line are into the same folks saying,

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Speaker 1: and how dare you not put him in the two

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Speaker 1: minute drill? It's not that complicated guys, and this isn't

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Speaker 1: fair to Shador. He did not do this to himself, demonse.

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Speaker 1: But here is a reality of it, this entire conversation

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Speaker 1: and media. Maelstrom is one of the reasons he fell

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Speaker 1: in the draft because he's not a stud player and

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Speaker 1: once and all and no other team is having to

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Speaker 1: answer questions about their deep end quarterback competition and it's

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Speaker 1: the only things Defanski's had to deal with. So it's

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Speaker 1: just that is what it is, and the Raiders needed pick.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, why Gabriel was ahead of him. I don't think

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Speaker 2: anybody should be calling for a conspiracy like you saw.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's the thing. And that's what's to me

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Speaker 1: so disheartening is we saw the game and people are

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Speaker 1: still like, Nope, that does not jive with my priors,

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Speaker 1: that does not jive with what I wanted to be true.

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Speaker 1: And there is an element of have you ever watched

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Speaker 1: the this this is a bridge too far, but I

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Speaker 1: don't I don't care. Have you ever watched the Flat

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Speaker 1: Earth documentary? You should watch it. It's really a truly

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Speaker 1: fascinating ninety minutes. Okay, and these aren't bad people and

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Speaker 1: it is really interesting, but the culmination of the documentary

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Speaker 1: is one of the group of flat earthers saying, or

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Speaker 1: spending a ton of money into getting the equipment. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna get this a little wrong. The optical equipment. You

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Speaker 1: would need to prove that. All right, we're gonna set

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Speaker 1: up this pole and light here, and we're gonna set

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Speaker 1: up another pole here, and if the earth was flat,

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Speaker 1: the light will shine at this place, and if the

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Speaker 1: earth was flat the light or round, the light will

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Speaker 1: shine at this place. And we're gonna prove it. And

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Speaker 1: they do it, and the light shows up where it

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Speaker 1: would show up if the earth were round, and the

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Speaker 1: reaction initially is huh, let's try it again. Then they

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Speaker 1: do it again, and it is a brief questioning is

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Speaker 1: the equipment broken? And then it immediately goes to Wow,

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Speaker 1: the conspiracies even bigger than we thought. They've somehow hacked lighting.

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Speaker 1: And there is an element of that with some of

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Speaker 1: the Shadoor stuff, which was right. It was he's clearly better,

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Speaker 1: He clearly should be the guy. He's clearly not getting

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Speaker 1: the opportunities. They're clearly if he and Gabriel were both playing,

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Speaker 1: and then they play a game. Gabriel looks good. Shador

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Speaker 1: has a really really tough performance, and instead of it

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Speaker 1: being like, oh, okay, that's why he was ahead of

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Speaker 1: him on the depth chart, it was Wow, these sons

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Speaker 1: of bitches will go to no end to stop my guy.

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Speaker 1: And it's it's a little canary in the coal mine

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Speaker 1: of some of the bigger issues we have right now

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Speaker 1: with what is truth and what is not And so

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Speaker 1: I find it interesting. I do. I know that my

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Speaker 1: favorite NFL podcast, Greg Rosenthal's NFL Daily, which I'll be

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Speaker 1: on later this week, actually, you know, they have done

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Speaker 1: they have tried to do a They have done a

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Speaker 1: really good job of like not leading with the topic

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Speaker 1: every day that you know. The show's like the shows

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Speaker 1: like mine lead with the juiciest thing because they're like

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Speaker 1: really giving you the news and information and stuff. And

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Speaker 1: I respect that entirely. But there is a deeper element

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Speaker 1: to some of the Shador stuff that I find fascinating,

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Speaker 1: just like there's a deeper element actually to some of

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Speaker 1: the Mica stuff that I find fascinating that's actually about

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Speaker 1: Jerry Jones and power and things like that. But at

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Speaker 1: the end of the day, or had a chance.

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Speaker 2: If he looked better anyways, like why would they want

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Speaker 2: to make him look bad? It would be in their

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Speaker 2: businesses for Shador to look great by the end, even

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Speaker 2: if they didn't plan on keeping him.

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Speaker 1: Of course, of course, guys who want to keep their

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Speaker 1: jobs want their quarterback, want to put the best quarterback

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Speaker 1: on the field. Yeah, I mean there's most of the

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Speaker 1: most conspiracies Demanse fall apart at the first or second question,

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Speaker 1: most like and that you just asked the first question,

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Speaker 1: which is the wait, why again? Explain it to me?

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Speaker 1: Just like the Chiefs, the you know, league rigged for

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs conspiracy. It's like, hey, remind me again, who

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Speaker 1: is the league? The thirty two teams? So why again

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Speaker 1: are the Chargers in on this? Like some explain that

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Speaker 1: to me? So most of them fall apart instantly, But

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Speaker 1: so listen, he had a chance to pass Gabriel, and

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Speaker 1: if Gabriel, and the nicer way to frame it is

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Speaker 1: Gabriel after that injury and watching Shador in preseason game one,

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Speaker 1: was under real pressure and Gabriel responded, and so shout

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Speaker 1: out to him. All right, before we get to the

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Speaker 1: micro stuff and then are over unders, the rivalries, the

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Speaker 1: marching bands, the upsets, Saturdays just got way more fun.

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Speaker 1: All right, demonse, let's do the cowboys here again, a

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Speaker 1: kind of bigger picture thing. We're gonna get to our

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Speaker 1: over unders.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so things are getting spicy and Dallas not only

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Speaker 2: has Mike Parsons not agreed on a new contract extension,

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Speaker 2: but he was seen everything but sleeping on the tin

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Speaker 2: at the last on the training table. So things are

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Speaker 2: so bad in Dallas. You had them last and last

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Speaker 2: place in your predictions a week. You also somehow connected

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Speaker 2: Micah's situation to the alleged Chiefs disrespect. Did you do

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Speaker 2: you mind explaining both of those?

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Speaker 1: Sure, I'll start with the Chiefs one real quick. And

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Speaker 1: I'm so mad it took me this long. I had

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Speaker 1: this like Eureka moment because listen, I scroll Twitter, I

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Speaker 1: see the other shows I see, and so many folks

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Speaker 1: are Chiefs are vulnerable, Chiefs are on the downturn. Ravens

431
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,800
Speaker 1: and Bills have gotten better, Chiefs have gotten worse. Like

432
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 1: you know, Chiefs are fairly you know, still really good,

433
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 1: but they're not the caliber of those other teams that

434
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 1: those takes are. It's not straw man. Those takes are

435
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 1: very common this offseason. But then I realized during the

436
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:16,240
Speaker 1: Mica conversation, so many of the people who are currently

437
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 1: arguing the Ravens are the best team in the AFC,

438
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:23,040
Speaker 1: the Bills are the best team in the AFC. When

439
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 1: the subject of who should trade for Micah Parsons comes up,

440
00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:33,040
Speaker 1: you know what, I haven't take I haven't seen, well,

441
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: Kansas City better do it in order to bridge the

442
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 1: gap between them and Baltimore. If they want to stop

443
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:44,760
Speaker 1: the best quarterback in football, Josh Allen, if they want

444
00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 1: to slow down the most dynamic duel threat we've ever

445
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 1: seen in Lamar Jackson, the Chiefs need to go all

446
00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 1: in and trade for Michael Parsons. No one's had that

447
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 1: take you know what, take you here every fing day.

448
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 1: If I'm Baltimore or Buffalo, I get on the phone

449
00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 1: with Dallas right now. So finish the thought. Why who

450
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 1: in that scenario where Baltimore or Buffalo are trading multiple

451
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 1: first round picks and giving out a record setting contract

452
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 1: to get a pass rushing edge defender, Who is it

453
00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 1: that they're acquiring that to beat? Not, of course, the Chiefs,

454
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 1: because those teams they're already better. They've already, they've already,

455
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: they've already ascended. I was watching, and I'm like, oh,

456
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 1: you all told on yourselves. You all are claiming you

457
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 1: think Buffalo or Baltimore are better, But then you're also saying, uh,

458
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 1: they might need to add the league's best defensive player

459
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 1: because they need to get over the hump. What's the

460
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 1: hump we're talking about. So that's how I connected it

461
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 1: to the chief situation. I'm one hundred percent right. Everyone

462
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:53,680
Speaker 1: knows it. Now here's the Dallas thing. And this is

463
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 1: what I find fascinating and the reason I want to

464
00:30:56,280 --> 00:31:00,719
Speaker 1: talk about it. Jerry Jones has broken the rules and

465
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: nobody but Mike Florio seems to care. He is not

466
00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 1: allowed to negotiate directly with Micah Parsons. He knows that

467
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:12,560
Speaker 1: he does not care, and he not only did it,

468
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 1: but his stances it's a binding negotiation and he is

469
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 1: fine with saying to the world at large, Yeah, there's

470
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 1: nothing more to negotiate. I negotiated it with him, and

471
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: it is so brazen, brazen, brazen, and credit to Durell

472
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,400
Speaker 1: Reeves and I think Matt Shaub are the two people

473
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 1: who have come out and said the NFLPA needs file aggrievance.

474
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 1: Of course they do. If a player has an agent,

475
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: you are not allowed to negotiate with the player directly.

476
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:57,320
Speaker 1: And Jerry is now saying we negotiated, it's done, and

477
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 1: if he doesn't agree to what, we have him under

478
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 1: contract this year and franchise have them in the next

479
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:06,760
Speaker 1: two years. So I think this has gotten far uglier

480
00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 1: then the Dack situation, and I don't think it is

481
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 1: going to be quite as simple as oh, the day

482
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 1: before the season they re sign him. Maybe they do,

483
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 1: and Jerry just sacrificed having my get full strength for

484
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 1: week one for months worth the headlines, and maybe that's

485
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 1: a good trade off for him. If I were a

486
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: Cowboys fan, I'd be livid. All right, now, we do

487
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 1: need to get to the gambling show. But first, a

488
00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 1: couple of reminders, one like rate subscribe review, the other

489
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:41,400
Speaker 1: one you asked us questions in the doc. There's it

490
00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: is roster cutdown day, Demons, but there's no big roster

491
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 1: news as yet today. Yeah, man, his agent's gonna be

492
00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 1: so bid. And uh, the US Open is going on.

493
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 1: I Am going tomorrow night. So we will have a

494
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:05,280
Speaker 1: tennis corner update fresh off a few honeyduces Thursday morning

495
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 1: on the show. But before we get to our all

496
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,560
Speaker 1: thirty two over unders, let me talk to you guys

497
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 1: about my friends at boost Mobile in you know what

498
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,680
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499
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:19,600
Speaker 1: I don't even know if they paid for that, but

500
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:23,520
Speaker 1: we look around here. This is what's right live from

501
00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:25,960
Speaker 1: the Boost Mobile studio. Send that over to them, Paul.

502
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,760
Speaker 1: They'll love it. They deserve it. They got the signage everywhere.

503
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:31,480
Speaker 1: We got this light up and running after a little delay.

504
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:33,160
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505
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: thinking wow, great price. A few months later, surprise your

506
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Speaker 1: bill's hire Boost Mobile you eight twenty five dollars a

507
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512
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Speaker 1: available in all areas after thirty gigs, customers may experience

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516
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Speaker 1: as long as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan.

517
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 1: All right, Demanse set us up on the Gambling Show

518
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 1: and how we do.

519
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,879
Speaker 2: It favorite time of the year, So it is time

520
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 2: to break down the win totals for the thirty two

521
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:29,279
Speaker 2: NFL teams you're gonna give your picks, and we were

522
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,360
Speaker 2: gonna tell us which teams you're intending to stay away.

523
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 2: So last year you went six and two on your

524
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 2: over unders, and even though you didn't bet these, you

525
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 2: went twelve and seven on your stayaways. It looks like

526
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:45,839
Speaker 2: are you trying to sin on my lean stairways?

527
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:53,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, let me so. Overall last year I went twenty

528
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:58,240
Speaker 1: and twelve total. Okay, twenty and twelve overall, I made

529
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:01,719
Speaker 1: eight actual bets. I was six and two on them.

530
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:08,879
Speaker 1: So the we're gonna give you all thirty two teams

531
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:13,239
Speaker 1: this year, there are ten actual bets I'm making, but

532
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 1: I will give you the actually you know, I will

533
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:20,759
Speaker 1: tell you which way I'm going on all thirty two.

534
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 1: But I'm only making ten actual bets. But last year,

535
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:27,319
Speaker 1: if you just bet every single team that I said

536
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:30,520
Speaker 1: over under, it would you would have had twenty wins

537
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:35,560
Speaker 1: twelve losses. And as always, all lines and odds courtesy

538
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:38,760
Speaker 1: of DraftKings. Lines and odds subject to change. So here's

539
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,239
Speaker 1: the deal, and we'll go over the full recap of

540
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 1: last year's gambling show on Thursday show Demonse I forgot

541
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:49,359
Speaker 1: this absolutely crushed in the preseason gambling show, Demonse made

542
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 1: five bets and was plus nine units on the bets

543
00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:56,440
Speaker 1: because they were all big plus odds. You crushed on those.

544
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 1: The the I believe in you. The over unders are

545
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:11,440
Speaker 1: important that you incorporate the vig on it. You can't

546
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 1: incorporate the vig on the record, but on your bet

547
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:17,359
Speaker 1: you obviously can incorporate profit loss. We're gonna do this

548
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 1: division by division. I'm gonna roll through them and demands

549
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 1: that you and I will discuss them. I'm telling you

550
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:29,759
Speaker 1: right now, in the AFC East there is not an

551
00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 1: over under that I am betting. But we'll go through

552
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:35,920
Speaker 1: them and I'll tell you which one I'm leaning. So

553
00:36:36,040 --> 00:36:39,719
Speaker 1: the Bills are being listed in most places as an

554
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:43,160
Speaker 1: over under of eleven and a half, but there's been

555
00:36:43,239 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 1: so much action on the over that it's minus one

556
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 1: seventy five viig at the eleven and a half. So

557
00:36:50,560 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 1: the the total for the Bills that is truly their

558
00:36:56,719 --> 00:37:00,759
Speaker 1: updated total is twelve and a half. Because the the

559
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 1: big on twelve and a half is plus one twenty

560
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:09,600
Speaker 1: five over minus one fifty under that I feel like

561
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:13,600
Speaker 1: the Bills are a twelve and five team. I don't

562
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 1: think they're getting to thirteen wins. I could see eleven

563
00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:23,480
Speaker 1: and six. I think that the so this would be

564
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,640
Speaker 1: to me at twelve and a half laying minus one

565
00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 1: fifty a slight under. Sean McDermott seems a little concerned

566
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:36,799
Speaker 1: about their defense to Monse but I Josh is too

567
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:43,320
Speaker 1: good and they have such an advantage of that division

568
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:46,320
Speaker 1: and owning it the way they do that, it feels

569
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:49,799
Speaker 1: like their floor is ten wins. I think they are

570
00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 1: a twelve and five team. I would go under just barely.

571
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 1: And any of these demonse that you have a big

572
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 1: issue with or want to add to just do it.

573
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,919
Speaker 2: There's a bunch of definitely on twelve and a half

574
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:07,000
Speaker 2: for the Bills, I want to schedule I season. I

575
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:09,800
Speaker 2: wouldn't feel tough going over on twelve the Bills.

576
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:11,839
Speaker 1: Issue and so and the other thing is how good

577
00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:13,840
Speaker 1: do we think the AFC East is going to be?

578
00:38:13,840 --> 00:38:17,400
Speaker 1: And this is where it gets tricky. Dolphin's total is

579
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:20,920
Speaker 1: seven and a half. They win win to a play

580
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:23,439
Speaker 1: and by the way, the veig is almost exactly even

581
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:28,359
Speaker 1: minus one oh five minus one fifteen over under. The

582
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:33,440
Speaker 1: vibes with the Dolphins seem to be wretched right they

583
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 1: also win win to a plays and they have a

584
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 1: very good d line, but Tyreek doesn't seem to want

585
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 1: to be there. This feels like the perfect number. I

586
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:56,919
Speaker 1: am going to gosh darn it. This is why I'm

587
00:38:56,920 --> 00:39:01,759
Speaker 1: not betting these I'm going to buy the slightest of margins,

588
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:04,920
Speaker 1: say under. I definitely can see them going eight and nine,

589
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: but I will say it's a seven and ten Dolphins year,

590
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 1: and I will go slightly under. It would not shock

591
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:17,840
Speaker 1: me if the Dolphins start off hot and it looks

592
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:20,560
Speaker 1: like you know the Dolphins from a couple of years ago,

593
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 1: but over the course of the season, I just can't

594
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 1: trust them. And it seems like the team might be

595
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 1: souring on Mike McDaniel a bit, or at least not

596
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 1: taking them as seriously. I'm a slight under.

597
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:37,640
Speaker 2: Aren't those things kind of reversed though, to be there?

598
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:41,839
Speaker 2: And the team also isn't souring on McDaniel. No, correct, Oh,

599
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 2: you were just saying in that case.

600
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:48,120
Speaker 1: Yes, and so no, it could. That's why I'm saying.

601
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,879
Speaker 1: I'm I'm a little anxious about it, but I will

602
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:55,640
Speaker 1: go slight under. This one shocked me. Patriots over under

603
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 1: eight and a half when that number came out, I

604
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:01,040
Speaker 1: thought it was way too high. The juice is even

605
00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:04,880
Speaker 1: on both sides, minus one ten and yet despite that, Demons,

606
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 1: I'm going over.

607
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 2: Wow.

608
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:10,319
Speaker 1: I believe in Mike rabel.

609
00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:12,880
Speaker 2: I.

610
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 1: They get the Dolphins in Week eighteen in New England.

611
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:21,920
Speaker 1: You love that for them. It'll be zero degrees. They

612
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,279
Speaker 1: get two games against the Jets, who I'll get to

613
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:28,319
Speaker 1: in a moment. Drake may will be better than he

614
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:32,759
Speaker 1: was last year. I think the Patriots win nine or

615
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: ten games, can make the playoffs, and I will go

616
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:42,880
Speaker 1: over on the New England Patriots. His schedule's bad, you

617
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 1: meaning easy or hard?

618
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 2: Easy schedule?

619
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, I mean that's a huge piece of it.

620
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 1: The huge piece of it is who they ended up drawing.

621
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:58,759
Speaker 1: Scheduleise Jets six and a half with heavy juice on

622
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:03,200
Speaker 1: the under. I still have to go under because all

623
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:06,719
Speaker 1: of the reports out of Jets training camp Demanse are

624
00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:10,319
Speaker 1: that that offense is in real, real trouble. I like

625
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:12,719
Speaker 1: Aaron Glenn. I think he's trying to build something. I

626
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:14,960
Speaker 1: think he'll build it in the mold of Dan Campbell

627
00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:18,160
Speaker 1: and Detroit. But Dan Campbell's first year in Detroit it

628
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:20,840
Speaker 1: was not good. I think it will be similar with

629
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:24,360
Speaker 1: the Jets, and again I'm not betting it, but for

630
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: the AFC East, Bill's Dolphins, Jets all unders, Patriots overs,

631
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:33,120
Speaker 1: and then we move to a division. I have strong

632
00:41:33,160 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 1: feelings on a lot of these teams, but only one

633
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 1: win total that I want to bet, and that's the

634
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 1: AFC North. So Ravens demonse over under eleven and a

635
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:48,480
Speaker 1: half juice slightly to the over. I am not betting it,

636
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:54,120
Speaker 1: but you cannot. You can't pick a Ravens under until

637
00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:59,239
Speaker 1: proven otherwise, and so to me, they are an over

638
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:03,240
Speaker 1: in Lamar. Like last year, it felt like they lost

639
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:08,120
Speaker 1: a ton of dumb games, they still won twelve and

640
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 1: I like the move the moves they made this offseason.

641
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:18,880
Speaker 1: I think they will continue to be a regular season juggernaut.

642
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:23,440
Speaker 1: With that said, the reason this is not a bet

643
00:42:23,520 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 1: for me is the slight concern that Derek hen we

644
00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 1: saw the last great Derek Henry season, and if that's

645
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:37,440
Speaker 1: the case, I could see them only winning eleven games.

646
00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:41,480
Speaker 1: But it wouldn't shock me if this team goes fourteen

647
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:45,280
Speaker 1: and three. It would shock me if this team goes

648
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:49,160
Speaker 1: ten and seven. So because of that, I'm an over.

649
00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:53,880
Speaker 1: I imagine you Demonse are a strong over for Baltimore.

650
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:56,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely, yeah, definitely the best team in the NFL

651
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:57,040
Speaker 2: right now.

652
00:42:57,880 --> 00:42:59,720
Speaker 1: Definitely the best team in the NFL.

653
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:02,120
Speaker 2: I mean easily the top two or three. But yeah,

654
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 2: so that's good for Listen, a lot of people think

655
00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:04,520
Speaker 2: they're the.

656
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:07,759
Speaker 1: Best team in the NFL. Mena. Kimes got very mad

657
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 1: at me because I did not, But I certainly think

658
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:15,000
Speaker 1: they are. They are set up for massive regular season success.

659
00:43:15,160 --> 00:43:18,319
Speaker 1: I also think that when you were talking about like

660
00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:22,840
Speaker 1: the Patriots schedule the Ravens schedules in the other direction,

661
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:29,520
Speaker 1: it is brutality for the Ravens. Now what does that

662
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:32,959
Speaker 1: mean for him? I they they typically have a tough

663
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 1: schedule this year. To me, if you want it to

664
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:40,160
Speaker 1: hear it player, it's.

665
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:44,200
Speaker 2: Not it's not that bad. I mean, obviously you got

666
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:47,000
Speaker 2: the divisional games, but then outside of that, like you

667
00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:48,800
Speaker 2: got the Rams.

668
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:52,880
Speaker 1: Then you have the divisional Yeah that's what. Yeah, you

669
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:58,880
Speaker 1: have the divisional games plus the NFC North plus the

670
00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 1: other I have it right here? What's the other division

671
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:06,239
Speaker 1: that they play? Sorry I had it and now I

672
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:12,800
Speaker 1: closed it. But regardless, I think that and the AFC East.

673
00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:17,600
Speaker 1: So the AFC East is not brutal, but it's certainly

674
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:20,840
Speaker 1: not an easy schedule. But there, Listen, they win seventy

675
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:23,200
Speaker 1: five percent of their games in the regular season. With Lamar,

676
00:44:24,080 --> 00:44:26,279
Speaker 1: they would be an over. It's not a bet for me.

677
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 1: Here is our first bet. The Bengals under nine and

678
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:36,239
Speaker 1: a half wins at minus one fifteen. Why is the

679
00:44:36,280 --> 00:44:40,480
Speaker 1: defense going to be better than last year's And if

680
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:43,359
Speaker 1: the answer is lu an Arumo was a was a

681
00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 1: you know, an inside agent for the opposition, so be it.

682
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:53,399
Speaker 1: But I disagree. And so the the They did get

683
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:58,040
Speaker 1: Drey Hendrickson back, that does matter. I'm not dismissing that. However,

684
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:00,960
Speaker 1: sure they had him like last year and he led

685
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 1: the NFL in sacks. I think the offensive line could

686
00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:09,799
Speaker 1: be a real problem and because of that demands I

687
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:12,680
Speaker 1: think Burrow. Listen, Burrow, Chase and Higgins are gonna be great.

688
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:15,600
Speaker 1: Are they gonna be as good as they were last year?

689
00:45:16,080 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 1: I don't know. And because of that, to me, the

690
00:45:19,680 --> 00:45:23,040
Speaker 1: Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They

691
00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:27,280
Speaker 1: win nine games, they missed the playoffs, and they fire

692
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:32,440
Speaker 1: their head coach. That is my major Cincinnati Bengals prediction

693
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 1: is this is Zach Taylor's last year there. And here's

694
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:40,480
Speaker 1: the other thing with the Bengals. When you look at

695
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:44,720
Speaker 1: their schedule, you like to say, oh, it opened soft

696
00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:49,439
Speaker 1: at Cleveland home for the Jags. They start every year

697
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:53,240
Speaker 1: so terribly. I don't know that I want my easy games.

698
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:56,720
Speaker 1: Early last year they started against New England and found

699
00:45:56,760 --> 00:46:00,319
Speaker 1: a way to lose. I also think Miles Ga it

700
00:46:00,680 --> 00:46:04,040
Speaker 1: could wreak some havoc in Week one against them. I

701
00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 1: just again, I'm not saying the Browns are gonna beat them.

702
00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:09,839
Speaker 1: I think the Bengals aren't under and that that is

703
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:17,000
Speaker 1: a bet. This next one, Demons is such a disrespectful number. Now,

704
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:22,440
Speaker 1: the Browns total set it four and a half minus

705
00:46:22,520 --> 00:46:25,160
Speaker 1: one forty five on the over, plus one twenty on

706
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:30,880
Speaker 1: the under. It's an absolute stay away. But I will

707
00:46:31,920 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 1: if I have to pick, I will pick over. Yeah,

708
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:40,320
Speaker 1: I mean the four and a half wins when you

709
00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:48,320
Speaker 1: get seventeen games. Now, now it is given the fact

710
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,920
Speaker 1: that they were a last place team, you look at

711
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:54,840
Speaker 1: the schedule and you're like, where are the super easy

712
00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:58,440
Speaker 1: games and then you realize, like one of their strength

713
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:03,360
Speaker 1: of schedule last place games is the Niners. Like that's unlucky.

714
00:47:04,160 --> 00:47:07,759
Speaker 1: The Titans is a last place schedule game. But they

715
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:11,320
Speaker 1: get the Titans demanday late in the year when cam

716
00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:14,280
Speaker 1: Ward should be better. So you know that's a bummer

717
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:17,680
Speaker 1: for them. They get the.

718
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 2: Honest the bet. Yeah, you don't even with things right?

719
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:28,279
Speaker 1: Well, no, they start unbelievable Bengals, Ravens, Packers, Lions is

720
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 1: how they start, Like, give me a break. And then

721
00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:36,399
Speaker 1: but I don't think the Steelers and Bengals are gonna

722
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:41,719
Speaker 1: be great. And the numbers four and a half, I've

723
00:47:41,760 --> 00:47:44,880
Speaker 1: got to go over four and a half, and so

724
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:48,200
Speaker 1: I will go over four and a half, but it's

725
00:47:48,239 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 1: not a bet for me. And then we get the Steelers,

726
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:55,560
Speaker 1: who cost me a ton of money last year. I

727
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:59,560
Speaker 1: faded the Steelers left and right, and they somehow found

728
00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:02,879
Speaker 1: a way in to the playoffs. Their total is eight

729
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:06,960
Speaker 1: and a half. They are minus one fifteen minus one

730
00:48:07,080 --> 00:48:13,239
Speaker 1: oh five. I am an under for Pittsburgh, but it

731
00:48:13,320 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 1: is not a bet. I said this two months ago

732
00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:23,319
Speaker 1: and I will stick with it. I think that we

733
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:28,120
Speaker 1: have Mike Tomlin's first losing season as Aaron Rodgers' final season.

734
00:48:28,520 --> 00:48:31,719
Speaker 1: That was a take I had before they signed Rogers.

735
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:34,440
Speaker 1: Brew then made it his own take. But then he

736
00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:39,359
Speaker 1: flip flopped it, so I took it back. And so

737
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:44,640
Speaker 1: I know, doubting that Tomlin can get to nine wins

738
00:48:45,160 --> 00:48:48,400
Speaker 1: has only ever been a losing bet or doubting that

739
00:48:48,440 --> 00:48:50,239
Speaker 1: he can get to five hundred. He did go what

740
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:52,759
Speaker 1: eight eight and one one year or something. He's never

741
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:54,960
Speaker 1: been below five hundred out of at some point, right,

742
00:48:55,920 --> 00:49:00,520
Speaker 1: I would think so, And I just I I think

743
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 1: they will have a good but not overwhelmingly dominant defense.

744
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:07,880
Speaker 1: I don't think the Rogers dk metcalf fit is a

745
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:11,360
Speaker 1: smart one like one that makes sense, and so because

746
00:49:11,360 --> 00:49:15,680
Speaker 1: of that, I am going to go under on the

747
00:49:15,680 --> 00:49:20,880
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers, which also means through two divisions, I only

748
00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:24,440
Speaker 1: have one bet. The bet is Bengals under nine and

749
00:49:24,440 --> 00:49:29,719
Speaker 1: a half, but I am also skewing towards unders. The

750
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:32,920
Speaker 1: only I have under for Bills twelve and a half,

751
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:35,520
Speaker 1: Dolphins seven and a half, Jets six and a half,

752
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 1: Bengals nine and a half, Steelers eight and a half,

753
00:49:39,560 --> 00:49:42,680
Speaker 1: over Brown's four and a half, over Patriots eight and

754
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:47,960
Speaker 1: a half, and over Bengals I'm sorry, and over Ravens

755
00:49:48,000 --> 00:49:51,760
Speaker 1: eleven and a half. Thank you. Also, in the least

756
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:54,960
Speaker 1: shocking news ever, we are only going to do the

757
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 1: AFC today because we're not gonna get through thirty two

758
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:02,080
Speaker 1: teams in thirty minutes. This is exactly what happened last

759
00:50:02,160 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 1: year where Tuesday's show I tried to do some actual news,

760
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:09,839
Speaker 1: then all thirty two teams, and then what we ended

761
00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:15,279
Speaker 1: up doing was some actual news sixteen teams, and then

762
00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:18,640
Speaker 1: Thursday we do the NFC and all our other bets.

763
00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 1: Remind me in twenty twenty six, guys, just format it

764
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 1: as such. But in the meantime, we still have half

765
00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:30,360
Speaker 1: the conference to go through, and we have one, two, three,

766
00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:35,719
Speaker 1: five bets we are making from the AFC South and

767
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:38,240
Speaker 1: the AFC West. But before we do that, I gotta

768
00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:42,160
Speaker 1: tell you, guys, I am so excited it's finally here.

769
00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:48,000
Speaker 1: Tomorrow night, I am going to the US Open, and

770
00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:51,360
Speaker 1: that's why I want to shout out our great sponsor

771
00:50:51,440 --> 00:50:57,400
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Speaker 1: to the US Open. I am not going today, I

780
00:51:24,719 --> 00:51:28,640
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786
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787
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Speaker 1: Danny is going Demon's are you know. Dear friend Mark

788
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Speaker 1: friends at seat Geek. All right, Deman's now to the

807
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:04,560
Speaker 1: AFC out. We have the Texans nine and a half

808
00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:11,600
Speaker 1: wins with minus one thirty on the under, so Vegas

809
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:14,400
Speaker 1: favoring the under for the Texans.

810
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:16,799
Speaker 2: I will go.

811
00:53:17,640 --> 00:53:21,280
Speaker 1: This is a lean, not a bet, but a lean.

812
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:26,000
Speaker 1: I will go by the slightest of bits and over

813
00:53:26,160 --> 00:53:31,160
Speaker 1: for the Texans. I like don't love I like the quarterback,

814
00:53:32,160 --> 00:53:36,120
Speaker 1: I really like the coach. I love the defense. I

815
00:53:36,160 --> 00:53:40,719
Speaker 1: think the Texans defense has a chance to be the

816
00:53:40,719 --> 00:53:43,080
Speaker 1: best defense in football this year. They certainly should have

817
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:46,760
Speaker 1: the best pass defense, pass rush plus secondary in football.

818
00:53:46,800 --> 00:53:50,879
Speaker 1: They could be vulnerable against the run. I'm worried about

819
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:54,960
Speaker 1: the offensive line. I'm worried about some of the receiving options,

820
00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:59,319
Speaker 1: and that you know. The injuries are running back, I

821
00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:03,640
Speaker 1: think are a real thing. But I like CJ. I

822
00:54:03,680 --> 00:54:05,960
Speaker 1: think he needs a bounce back year. I don't think

823
00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:08,359
Speaker 1: they're a dominant team. I don't think they're a super

824
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:11,400
Speaker 1: Bowl contender, but I think they can get to ten wins.

825
00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:14,440
Speaker 1: So I'm and I'm getting plus money on it theoretically,

826
00:54:14,480 --> 00:54:16,960
Speaker 1: even though I'm not betting it. So I'm a slight

827
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 1: over for the Houston Texans. You were very high on

828
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 1: the Texans last year to Monsey. Have you cooled a bit?

829
00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:25,280
Speaker 1: How do you feel about CJ and Houston?

830
00:54:26,040 --> 00:54:29,439
Speaker 2: I thought CJ was kind of dealing with some shoulder stuff, yes,

831
00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:33,920
Speaker 2: earlier this offseason over over nine and a half. I'm

832
00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,400
Speaker 2: honestly gonna go under nine and a half. I just

833
00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:38,600
Speaker 2: don't want them to do that. I've got a bet,

834
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:42,640
Speaker 2: but I probably can't disclose now, I know. But yeah, that.

835
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:44,479
Speaker 1: Was just oh one of your bets that you're gonna

836
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:48,359
Speaker 1: talk about on Thursday. Yeah, okay, all right, but I.

837
00:54:48,280 --> 00:54:51,800
Speaker 2: Mean they wait to go over. But yeah, the defense

838
00:54:51,960 --> 00:54:55,839
Speaker 2: is nice, honestly, Like, logically, i'd say over six nine

839
00:54:55,880 --> 00:54:59,520
Speaker 2: and a half is a little low for the Texans, but.

840
00:54:58,520 --> 00:55:01,879
Speaker 1: But yeah, you're going with your I understand, and nine

841
00:55:01,880 --> 00:55:03,920
Speaker 1: and a half is not necessarily low for the Texans.

842
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:06,360
Speaker 1: Like I I think that's I think it's a fair number.

843
00:55:07,600 --> 00:55:13,680
Speaker 1: The next team listed, it's the Indianapolis Colts. Their number

844
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:17,120
Speaker 1: is seven and a half. It is the same slight

845
00:55:17,200 --> 00:55:20,080
Speaker 1: juice minus one thirty on the under. And this is

846
00:55:20,120 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 1: a bet, and this is a bet that I love,

847
00:55:23,239 --> 00:55:29,600
Speaker 1: and I am taking the under on the Colts. I

848
00:55:29,640 --> 00:55:34,880
Speaker 1: am so dismayed by how they continue to handle the

849
00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:36,040
Speaker 1: quarterback situation.

850
00:55:36,440 --> 00:55:39,520
Speaker 2: How do they not get on the over under?

851
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:44,080
Speaker 1: Well, because Stiken always finds a way to win games.

852
00:55:44,120 --> 00:55:50,959
Speaker 1: Like where they do deserve credit is they rarely bottom out? Yeah,

853
00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:54,399
Speaker 1: I mean they they so screwed. They last year they

854
00:55:54,400 --> 00:55:57,800
Speaker 1: won eight games, the year before they won nine games,

855
00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:00,160
Speaker 1: the year before that they won they won four or

856
00:56:00,239 --> 00:56:03,280
Speaker 1: that's how they ended up drafting Richardson. But then before

857
00:56:03,320 --> 00:56:06,799
Speaker 1: that nine eleven, seven, ten, like you know what I mean,

858
00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:10,000
Speaker 1: they have been an under stich and they've been they've

859
00:56:10,040 --> 00:56:13,200
Speaker 1: been in the mix. I think that ends this year.

860
00:56:13,880 --> 00:56:16,680
Speaker 1: I do not like their weapons, I do not like

861
00:56:17,000 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 1: their defense, I do not like Daniel Jones. And I

862
00:56:21,719 --> 00:56:25,359
Speaker 1: think it is on the board that the Cults are

863
00:56:25,400 --> 00:56:28,160
Speaker 1: the worst team in the league. I think that's possible.

864
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:32,440
Speaker 1: I think that there's let me put it like this,

865
00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:36,000
Speaker 1: there there aren't If we did a worst team in

866
00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:38,799
Speaker 1: the league draft, there wouldn't be five teams I would

867
00:56:38,840 --> 00:56:43,640
Speaker 1: take before him and the.

868
00:56:45,280 --> 00:56:45,720
Speaker 2: Yeah.

869
00:56:45,800 --> 00:56:51,400
Speaker 1: The the other piece of it is, listen, I'm not

870
00:56:54,480 --> 00:56:57,640
Speaker 1: going to act like I think Anthony Richardson's going to

871
00:56:57,680 --> 00:57:01,520
Speaker 1: be good. I don't. My best would be He's never good.

872
00:57:02,800 --> 00:57:05,799
Speaker 1: I also, though, think if you take a player that

873
00:57:06,080 --> 00:57:12,480
Speaker 1: raw fourth overall and he's has less than one season's

874
00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:17,360
Speaker 1: worth of starts, and you throw in the towel for

875
00:57:17,560 --> 00:57:22,680
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones after Daniel Jones has a mediocre at best preseason,

876
00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:28,480
Speaker 1: I just think that process is so backwards that you

877
00:57:28,520 --> 00:57:31,920
Speaker 1: should not be rewarded for it. And I think that

878
00:57:32,440 --> 00:57:36,640
Speaker 1: they are going to have a very very difficult season

879
00:57:37,440 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 1: and Daniel, you know, wonders if they start slow, should

880
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:45,160
Speaker 1: they trade Jonathan Taylor? I don't. I'm I'm also not

881
00:57:45,200 --> 00:57:47,920
Speaker 1: sure Jonathan Taylor at this point will be as you know,

882
00:57:48,040 --> 00:57:50,280
Speaker 1: continue to be as good as he's been. I just

883
00:57:50,640 --> 00:57:53,400
Speaker 1: I do not believe in this team. They are a

884
00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:57,480
Speaker 1: heavy under for me. I think that number their win

885
00:57:57,600 --> 00:57:59,680
Speaker 1: total should have been six and a half, and I

886
00:57:59,760 --> 00:58:02,520
Speaker 1: still probably would have taken the under at seven and

887
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:06,080
Speaker 1: a half. I love the under almost as much as

888
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:10,440
Speaker 1: I love this over. We are so back, We are

889
00:58:10,760 --> 00:58:17,520
Speaker 1: so so back. Jags over seven and a half minus

890
00:58:17,600 --> 00:58:21,640
Speaker 1: one twenty five. Oh my god, I love it. I

891
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:29,040
Speaker 1: love it so much better. Coach two legit receiving threats,

892
00:58:30,880 --> 00:58:37,680
Speaker 1: a real commitment this offseason. I felt to getting some

893
00:58:37,880 --> 00:58:42,120
Speaker 1: of the fundamental things that were wrong with the team

894
00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:47,840
Speaker 1: last year, most notably the lines better. I think Travis

895
00:58:47,920 --> 00:58:53,040
Speaker 1: Hunter is going to make a legitimate and quick impact.

896
00:58:53,640 --> 00:58:58,600
Speaker 1: I think that the two new offensive linemen are significant.

897
00:58:58,760 --> 00:59:02,360
Speaker 1: I don't mind that they lost Kirk and Gabe Davis

898
00:59:02,400 --> 00:59:07,600
Speaker 1: because I didn't think those guys were substantial players for them.

899
00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:14,120
Speaker 1: And I just think that Trevor also understands this is

900
00:59:14,200 --> 00:59:17,880
Speaker 1: the last year anyone cares about where he was drafted.

901
00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:22,040
Speaker 1: And the fact that I can they could be below

902
00:59:22,240 --> 00:59:27,440
Speaker 1: five hundred and I win this bet is just remarkable

903
00:59:27,480 --> 00:59:32,480
Speaker 1: to me, And so Jaggs over seven and a half

904
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:36,440
Speaker 1: at minus one twenty five. I am all over that one, buddy,

905
00:59:36,800 --> 00:59:41,000
Speaker 1: I am all over that one. Do you think I'm crazy?

906
00:59:41,160 --> 00:59:42,320
Speaker 2: I think the train will was off.

907
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:42,400
Speaker 1: No.

908
00:59:42,680 --> 00:59:44,320
Speaker 2: I think that this this has got to be the year.

909
00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:45,959
Speaker 2: It's got to be the year for Trevor.

910
00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:49,400
Speaker 1: Well, I would one would. If it's not. Listen, if

911
00:59:49,400 --> 00:59:51,880
Speaker 1: it's not this year, then if it's not this year,

912
00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:54,600
Speaker 1: then I just have to admit defeat. Yeah, you gotta

913
00:59:54,640 --> 00:59:57,400
Speaker 1: be done, you know what I mean the five years

914
00:59:57,400 --> 00:59:59,000
Speaker 1: and if it's not this year, I have to admit

915
00:59:59,040 --> 01:00:01,960
Speaker 1: defeat and last one Titans over under six and a

916
01:00:02,000 --> 01:00:04,880
Speaker 1: half plus one ten on the over, minus one thirty

917
01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:11,200
Speaker 1: on the under. It it feels like a slight slight,

918
01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:17,040
Speaker 1: slight under. I'm my hesitancy is as bad as I

919
01:00:17,080 --> 01:00:19,080
Speaker 1: think the Colts are gonna be. Do I think they're

920
01:00:19,080 --> 01:00:21,200
Speaker 1: gonna get two wins against the Colts and then all

921
01:00:21,200 --> 01:00:23,440
Speaker 1: of a sudden, you know what I mean, you're right there.

922
01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:26,640
Speaker 1: But even if you believe in cam Ward, I don't

923
01:00:26,680 --> 01:00:28,440
Speaker 1: know that I believe in the coach. I don't know

924
01:00:28,440 --> 01:00:30,880
Speaker 1: if I believe in the infrastructure of the team. It

925
01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:35,560
Speaker 1: also feels like a six and eleven season would be like, Okay,

926
01:00:36,040 --> 01:00:39,400
Speaker 1: step in the right direction and that would still be

927
01:00:39,440 --> 01:00:44,720
Speaker 1: an under, so slim margin. I'm an under for the Titans.

928
01:00:45,400 --> 01:00:50,720
Speaker 1: Now to my division that I'm all over, Yeah, just

929
01:00:50,840 --> 01:01:00,720
Speaker 1: absolutely all over the AFC West. The Denver Broncos nine

930
01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:06,240
Speaker 1: and a half. Never has a team that last year

931
01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:11,560
Speaker 1: beat two quarterbacks all year that are currently starters in

932
01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:16,680
Speaker 1: the league, went zero to seven in its games against

933
01:01:16,760 --> 01:01:20,920
Speaker 1: playoff teams, unless you include beating the Chiefs backups as

934
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:27,960
Speaker 1: a playoff team. Gotten this much preseason smoke, under nine

935
01:01:28,160 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 1: and a half gets me plus one ten. I think

936
01:01:33,160 --> 01:01:37,040
Speaker 1: it is more than on the board that this team

937
01:01:38,360 --> 01:01:41,400
Speaker 1: goes seven and ten. They are more let me put

938
01:01:41,440 --> 01:01:43,800
Speaker 1: it like this, they are more likely to go seven

939
01:01:43,880 --> 01:01:47,520
Speaker 1: and ten than ten and seven. I will take the

940
01:01:47,560 --> 01:01:54,080
Speaker 1: Broncos and fading bow Knicks, who again was good last year.

941
01:01:54,160 --> 01:01:56,920
Speaker 1: I don't doubt that he was good last year. I

942
01:01:57,080 --> 01:02:00,160
Speaker 1: do doubt that he is going to have similar success

943
01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:04,200
Speaker 1: this year. I will take that and I and here's

944
01:02:04,320 --> 01:02:06,320
Speaker 1: the thing that I say on the front end of

945
01:02:06,320 --> 01:02:11,160
Speaker 1: that demanse. They start the year off with four straight

946
01:02:11,240 --> 01:02:15,960
Speaker 1: games against teams I don't really believe in. I think

947
01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:20,560
Speaker 1: there is going to be a lot of Broncos, folks.

948
01:02:20,800 --> 01:02:24,640
Speaker 1: I'm planning my flag on this. I think there is

949
01:02:24,680 --> 01:02:30,320
Speaker 1: a chance the Broncos start like four and two, and

950
01:02:30,400 --> 01:02:37,040
Speaker 1: I'm dealing with a lot of chirping because they go Titans, Colts, Chargers, Bengals, Eagles,

951
01:02:37,080 --> 01:02:41,320
Speaker 1: really tough, Jets, Giants, Cowboys. How many games is that

952
01:02:41,520 --> 01:02:41,760
Speaker 1: was that?

953
01:02:41,840 --> 01:02:42,080
Speaker 2: Eight?

954
01:02:43,040 --> 01:02:45,840
Speaker 1: That's eight games? So I think they you know what,

955
01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:49,080
Speaker 1: I think they might be able to even start six

956
01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:51,840
Speaker 1: and two. Don't care?

957
01:02:52,240 --> 01:02:55,040
Speaker 2: Is this Sean Pete? I think year? Is this the second?

958
01:02:55,160 --> 01:02:56,640
Speaker 1: Third year? Year? Third year?

959
01:02:57,320 --> 01:03:00,480
Speaker 2: You don't believe? You don't think that. I mean, the

960
01:03:01,120 --> 01:03:04,360
Speaker 2: Bicks just connected, they got they got ten wins last year.

961
01:03:05,400 --> 01:03:07,600
Speaker 2: You're that confident in the under on the nine and

962
01:03:07,680 --> 01:03:12,000
Speaker 2: a half that like, I've seen some good Bonix in

963
01:03:12,040 --> 01:03:12,640
Speaker 2: the preseason.

964
01:03:14,040 --> 01:03:18,480
Speaker 1: Everybody listen, everybody loves him, I get it. And everybody

965
01:03:18,520 --> 01:03:22,800
Speaker 1: loves Sean Payton. Everybody loves Sean Payton almost as much

966
01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:29,120
Speaker 1: as Sean Payton loves Sean Payton. I I think they

967
01:03:29,120 --> 01:03:32,919
Speaker 1: could start the year off quite strong and then come

968
01:03:33,000 --> 01:03:40,880
Speaker 1: November when it goes Texans, Raiders, Chiefs, Commanders, Raiders, Packers, Jaguars, Chiefs,

969
01:03:41,160 --> 01:03:46,320
Speaker 1: Chargers a significant well, no, obviously not lose them all,

970
01:03:46,800 --> 01:03:52,880
Speaker 1: but a significant down swing that leaves them under five

971
01:03:52,960 --> 01:03:56,160
Speaker 1: hundred and on the outside looking in on the playoffs.

972
01:03:56,520 --> 01:04:01,840
Speaker 1: Everyone loves the Broncos this year, but me and they

973
01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:07,800
Speaker 1: better start off super strong. But I am here saying

974
01:04:08,040 --> 01:04:12,200
Speaker 1: I expect de Mons, a big topic in September and

975
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:15,800
Speaker 1: October on the show, to potentially be Nick ready to

976
01:04:15,920 --> 01:04:19,320
Speaker 1: admit you were wrong about the Broncos. And when I

977
01:04:19,400 --> 01:04:24,680
Speaker 1: tell you, guys, no, I am not. Now to the

978
01:04:24,720 --> 01:04:28,760
Speaker 1: easiest bet every single year, the Chiefs hitting there over

979
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:33,080
Speaker 1: under Andy Reid. It has failed to happen one time,

980
01:04:33,200 --> 01:04:36,160
Speaker 1: and they made up for it that year by winning

981
01:04:36,600 --> 01:04:41,640
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. The Chiefs win total getting even money

982
01:04:42,160 --> 01:04:45,720
Speaker 1: over eleven and a half wins. That's an easy one.

983
01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:49,360
Speaker 1: I will take over eleven and a half every day

984
01:04:49,400 --> 01:04:54,040
Speaker 1: with Kansas City. Twelve and five would disappoint me. I

985
01:04:54,200 --> 01:04:58,320
Speaker 1: expect thirteen and four or better. They are not going

986
01:04:58,360 --> 01:05:01,720
Speaker 1: eleven and six Chiefs. We don't need to spend more

987
01:05:01,760 --> 01:05:04,080
Speaker 1: time on it. Everyone knew I was going Chiefs over

988
01:05:04,400 --> 01:05:07,400
Speaker 1: because it is the right bet. I am going over

989
01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:15,440
Speaker 1: with the Kansas City Chiefs, and there is that. Now

990
01:05:16,720 --> 01:05:22,680
Speaker 1: to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders total is six

991
01:05:22,760 --> 01:05:26,920
Speaker 1: and a half. It is minus one forty five on

992
01:05:27,000 --> 01:05:32,000
Speaker 1: the over. I like Gino, I love Pete Carroll. I

993
01:05:32,040 --> 01:05:35,560
Speaker 1: believe in the Raiders. I am going over with the

994
01:05:35,640 --> 01:05:40,400
Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders. It is six and a half. I

995
01:05:40,440 --> 01:05:43,360
Speaker 1: think the schedule is soft. I think Genti will be

996
01:05:43,480 --> 01:05:46,600
Speaker 1: a force. I think brock Bowers is going to have

997
01:05:46,680 --> 01:05:50,040
Speaker 1: the best statistical season of any tight end. I believe

998
01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:53,840
Speaker 1: in the Oakland Raiders one hundred percent. As far as

999
01:05:53,880 --> 01:05:56,680
Speaker 1: being able to win seven games, I think they can

1000
01:05:56,720 --> 01:05:58,680
Speaker 1: do better than that, and we'll talk more about that

1001
01:05:58,760 --> 01:06:02,480
Speaker 1: on Thursday show. But I am in on the Raiders.

1002
01:06:03,960 --> 01:06:05,320
Speaker 1: Any objections there to Monts.

1003
01:06:06,480 --> 01:06:08,080
Speaker 2: I like the Raiders too this year with all the

1004
01:06:08,160 --> 01:06:10,600
Speaker 2: new stuff. Yeah.

1005
01:06:10,640 --> 01:06:13,760
Speaker 1: And then last but not least, the Chargers numbers nine

1006
01:06:13,800 --> 01:06:17,120
Speaker 1: and a half. This number, to me is just about correct.

1007
01:06:17,880 --> 01:06:21,560
Speaker 1: I will lean under, but it is not a bet.

1008
01:06:21,920 --> 01:06:24,920
Speaker 1: I think they probably go nine and eight and just

1009
01:06:25,120 --> 01:06:28,400
Speaker 1: miss out on the playoffs. But it's a lean under

1010
01:06:28,440 --> 01:06:31,600
Speaker 1: on the Chargers. The Rashaun Slater injury is enough to

1011
01:06:31,680 --> 01:06:34,760
Speaker 1: tip me over to the underside if I had em

1012
01:06:34,800 --> 01:06:39,120
Speaker 1: at ten wins before. So to recap, we have the

1013
01:06:39,320 --> 01:06:42,600
Speaker 1: Jags over seven and a half, the Chiefs over eleven

1014
01:06:42,640 --> 01:06:44,840
Speaker 1: and a half, the Raiders over six and a half.

1015
01:06:45,360 --> 01:06:47,880
Speaker 1: We have the Bengals under nine and a half, the

1016
01:06:47,880 --> 01:06:50,840
Speaker 1: Colts under seven and a half, the Broncos under nine

1017
01:06:50,880 --> 01:06:54,640
Speaker 1: and a half. Thursday, we will do the NFC. We

1018
01:06:54,680 --> 01:06:56,960
Speaker 1: will do our make miss playoff bets. We'll do our

1019
01:06:57,000 --> 01:07:01,240
Speaker 1: division winners, the Super Bowl EXACTA and Demand's top five bets,

1020
01:07:01,640 --> 01:07:06,960
Speaker 1: which were again plus nine units on five one unit

1021
01:07:07,040 --> 01:07:10,400
Speaker 1: bets last year. One of the more underrated features of

1022
01:07:10,440 --> 01:07:14,680
Speaker 1: our show last season. It's a great show. I have

1023
01:07:14,800 --> 01:07:18,040
Speaker 1: to run. Save our questions from today's show for Thursday.

1024
01:07:18,480 --> 01:07:21,600
Speaker 1: I have to go. We are late for everything. I

1025
01:07:21,640 --> 01:07:25,680
Speaker 1: can't believe football's finally here. Like great, subscribe review, do

1026
01:07:25,800 --> 01:07:27,960
Speaker 1: the whole thing. Talk to you guys soon. Thank you

1027
01:07:28,000 --> 01:07:33,680
Speaker 1: to Volume, DraftKings, Blue Duck, Boost, Mobile, Seat Geek, and

1028
01:07:33,840 --> 01:07:36,560
Speaker 1: who else am I forgetting here? I think I got

1029
01:07:36,560 --> 01:07:39,640
Speaker 1: everybody in. If I didn't, I apologize talk to you.

1030
01:07:40,560 --> 01:07:42,480
Speaker 1: I think I said Volume on the front end to

1031
01:07:42,520 --> 01:07:43,480
Speaker 1: talk to you guys all later.

1032
01:07:43,640 --> 01:07:44,080
Speaker 2: What's right