1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: We bring you news and analysis every day on the 2 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: Sound on podcasts, but now you can get the latest 3 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:09,680 Speaker 1: news on demand whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg 4 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: News Now to get the latest headlines at the click 5 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can 6 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 1: listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg 7 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:22,640 Speaker 1: Business app, Bloomberg dot com plus Apple, Spotify, and anywhere 8 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 1: else you get your podcasts. Search Bloomberg News Now and 9 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 1: subscribe Today. 10 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Sound on podcast. Catch us 11 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:34,560 Speaker 2: live weekdays at one Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, the 12 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 2: iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg Business App, or listen on 13 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:39,959 Speaker 2: demand wherever you get your podcasts. 14 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:44,840 Speaker 1: Kevin McCarthy is out. The race for Speaker begins again. 15 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to the fastest show in politics. This day after 16 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:50,200 Speaker 1: the Speaker of the House was ousted for the first 17 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: time ever in American history, and we're already naming names 18 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 1: on a possible replacement, with one week until the Speaker's 19 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: election and just about forty five days until a possible 20 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 1: government shut down. We are joined this hour by Congressman 21 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: French Hill, the Republican from Arkansas, still in the Capitol today, 22 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: and brings us his view on what happens next with 23 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: analysis from our signature panel. Bloomberg Politics contributors Rick Davis 24 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: and Genie Shanzano are with us for the hour. We're 25 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: live on the radio, on the satellites, and on YouTube, 26 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: where you search Bloomberg Global News to find us here 27 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 1: in studio. Welcome to this Wednesday edition of Sound On, 28 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:32,319 Speaker 1: where we're hearing the term uncharted territory a lot again today. 29 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:38,319 Speaker 3: On this vote, the Ya's are two sixteen, the nay's 30 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 3: are two ten. The resolution is adopted without objection. The 31 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:47,319 Speaker 3: motion to reconsider is laid on the table. The office 32 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 3: of Speaker of the House of the United States House 33 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 3: of Representatives is hereby declared vacant. 34 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 1: How about it drops the gavel? Who never heard that before? 35 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: Happened late yesterday round four thirty in the afternoon Washington time. 36 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 1: It was later that evening that the ousted speaker made 37 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 1: clear his intentions not to try this again. 38 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,800 Speaker 4: I will not run for speaker again. I'll have the 39 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 4: conference pick somebody else. 40 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: And that's where we begin with Congressman french Hill, a 41 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: Republican from Arkansas, joins us. Of course, we talk frequently 42 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 1: about financial matters as a member of the Financial Services Committee, 43 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: but congressmen were in a different world today, and I 44 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: sure would love your take on all of this. I 45 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: know that you were not a fan of what Congressman 46 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:34,519 Speaker 1: mac Gates was up to. The language that you used 47 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: in an interaction with him was widely publicized. I know 48 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 1: that you wanted to keep Speaker McCarthy in place. But 49 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 1: now that this has happened, can your Republican conference coalesce 50 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:47,399 Speaker 1: around another speaker in just a week's time. 51 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 5: Hey, Joe, it's great to be with you. That's essential 52 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:54,799 Speaker 5: if we want to counter of the bad policies of 53 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 5: Joe Biden, if we want to be on equal footing 54 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 5: with Chuck Schumer's Democratic control Senate, we need to rally 55 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 5: behind a new leader in the House Republican Conference that 56 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 5: can lead us and represent us and represent the millions 57 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 5: of conservative voices that elected a Republican House in twenty 58 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,679 Speaker 5: twenty two. And I know we'll do that. I think 59 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 5: there's hard days ahead of us, there's a lot of 60 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 5: work ahead of us, but I believe over the next 61 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 5: week the House Republicans will coalesce around a new leader 62 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 5: and be able to move forward, and we need to 63 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 5: move fast because of the forty five day period we 64 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 5: have before November seventeenth to try to complete a spending 65 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 5: deal with the Senate. 66 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: Well, what do you think we're in for here? Would 67 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: this next week long conversation that you're having within the 68 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: family prevent what we saw in January where it's fifteen 69 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: rounds the wild West on the floor? Is your intention 70 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: to coalesce around a speaker before it gets to voting. 71 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 6: Exactly. 72 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 5: I hope that members will reflect on what a terrible 73 00:03:56,520 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 5: day yesterday was where the wishes of ninety six percent 74 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 5: of the members of the House Republican Conference were not 75 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 5: honored by aid of their colleagues, and that we reflect 76 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 5: on what that's done to the strength of the conservative 77 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 5: movement in the House and leadership of House Republicans on 78 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 5: these issues, and come back together either Monday night or 79 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,839 Speaker 5: Tuesday and begin a series of meetings that will allow 80 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 5: us to move forward with a new speaker. 81 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 1: Well, this is interesting, Congressman, because we are hearing named 82 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: Steve Scalise. Not a surprise to hear the Majority leader's 83 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 1: name floated. Jim Jordan also apparently is officially running now 84 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:35,239 Speaker 1: for speaker. I spoke with him along with my colleague 85 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: Anne Marie, just two nights ago. This was Monday evening 86 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: on the balcony of the Cannon House office building right 87 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:44,839 Speaker 1: where you are. Here is how this part of the 88 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: conversation went. Congressman, you're on a lot of short lists. 89 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 1: You went through this at the beginning of the year 90 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 1: when it was a fight for speaker. Of course, Kevin 91 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,159 Speaker 1: McCarthy survived to believe it was fifteen rounds. Yeah, But 92 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: as long as you're on these short lists, would you 93 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:57,480 Speaker 1: stand to be speaker if you want. 94 00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 7: I don't want to. 95 00:04:58,160 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 8: I don't want to be speaker. I want I want 96 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 8: Kevin Artthy to be speaker. I want to focus on 97 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 8: the job. 98 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:03,719 Speaker 9: If you were asked to serve your country in that role. 99 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:05,359 Speaker 8: Well, I want to focus on the job I have. 100 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 8: I think I'm serving the folks in the fourth disc 101 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 8: of Ohio. That's my main job is to do what 102 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 8: I told them I was going to do when they 103 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,679 Speaker 8: gave me the privilege to represent them, their families, their business, 104 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,359 Speaker 8: our communities across West central and North central Ohio. 105 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 1: So Congressman Hill, if he didn't want the job, two 106 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: days ago. Do you trust his intentions? Now? 107 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 6: You know? I do. 108 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 5: Look, Jim Jordan's a very capable leader in Congress, cheering 109 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 5: the Judiciary Committee, chairing the Subcommittee, a special select committee 110 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 5: on the weaponization of the federal government. He's been a 111 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 5: great voice and leader in the conservative movement, not only 112 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:42,599 Speaker 5: in the House but across the country. But he was 113 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 5: a firm supporter of Kevin McCarthy. He rejects what took 114 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 5: place on the House floor yesterday, and he gave a 115 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 5: tremendous speech in favor of Kevin yesterday. But yesterday was yesterday, 116 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:55,039 Speaker 5: and we now need to think about the future. 117 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:57,919 Speaker 1: Would you vote for him for speaker? 118 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 5: I think he's an eligible candidate for speaker. Personally, I'm 119 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 5: waiting over the next few days. I want to hear 120 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,039 Speaker 5: from my colleagues. Talk to my colleagues, because we have 121 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 5: a tough decision to make. We need a leader to 122 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 5: carry us through the next election, which is a presidential election, 123 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 5: and counter this Joe Biden agenda and make sure all 124 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 5: the Republicans in the House are on the same page. Joe, 125 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 5: we have a lot of work to do, and we 126 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 5: don't have time for any more Shenanigans like we've had 127 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:24,279 Speaker 5: this year. 128 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 1: Well, we heard some pretty flower language on the floor 129 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: yesterday when it came to describing the intentions motivations of 130 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:36,360 Speaker 1: Congressman Matt Gates. Now that this has happened, there's been 131 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:40,599 Speaker 1: talk of expelling him from the Republican Conference. I don't 132 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: know how exactly that would work. Congressman. What's going to 133 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 1: become of the gentleman from Florida? Now? 134 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:48,760 Speaker 5: Well, I'm glad we're in a couple of day cooling 135 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 5: off period, Joe. I think members have gone home to 136 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 5: their families and to their districts to reflect on what's 137 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 5: happened over the past few weeks, and particularly yesterday. McCarthy 138 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 5: was a solid leader of the House Republicans. He scored 139 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 5: a lot of victories, led us to some major wins, 140 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:08,600 Speaker 5: and the assertions made that he's not good on spending, 141 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 5: not good on the border, not good at negotiating with 142 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 5: Biden is all poppycock. Nobody buys that, and that's why 143 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 5: I had the support of ninety six percent of the 144 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 5: Republican Conference. So that's why I think you need to 145 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 5: have people reflecting over this weekend and coming back together 146 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 5: next Tuesday. For a family conversation about where to go forward. 147 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: Well, nothing would keep I'm assuming a Congressman Gates from 148 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 1: doing this again. If the next Speaker, for instance, were 149 00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 1: to put up a cr and maybe get some Democratic votes, 150 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: I guess I'm just curious. Do you think he should 151 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: be in the family, Should he be serving on committees 152 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 1: as a Republican member. 153 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 5: I think this is for the conference to decide. Look, 154 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 5: if people say they want a speaker to lead us, 155 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 5: that they'll buy into and keep and pledge allegiance to 156 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 5: in the sense in the most positive sense, not in 157 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 5: a dictatorial way. But we'll work together to counter the 158 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 5: Biden agenda going into a present sidential election year and 159 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 5: let Speaker that woman or that man serve until after 160 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 5: the election in twenty twenty four. I think that would 161 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 5: give confidence to people to support a speaker. Let's lead 162 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 5: the charge, and then we can revisit who the Speaker 163 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 5: of the House is the Republican leader after the election 164 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 5: in twenty twenty four. We need some certainty here in 165 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 5: our leadership. 166 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: How about a speaker french Hill. 167 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 5: Gosh, I have a big job on the House Financial 168 00:08:28,840 --> 00:08:32,439 Speaker 5: Services Committee, the Foreign Affairs Committee, the Intelligence Committee, and 169 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:34,719 Speaker 5: I love that work, and I'm going to stick with it. 170 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: Let's talk about the backdrop here, Congressman, and that's against 171 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: the potential government shutdown we were looking at November seventeenth. Here, 172 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: does this process does the ouster of Kevin McCarthy make 173 00:08:48,520 --> 00:08:50,520 Speaker 1: it more likely that we will shut down next month? 174 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 5: Boy, this is such a good question, Joe, a smart 175 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 5: question and a very troubling question for me. Let's assume 176 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 5: that the House Republicans can elect the speaker next Tuesday 177 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 5: or Wednesday. 178 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:03,680 Speaker 6: We've lost five legislative. 179 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 5: Days of about sixteen legislative days that are scheduled left 180 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 5: to complete this work. One of the assertions by the 181 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 5: rebels in Matt Gates's corner where well we're not getting 182 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 5: these spending bills done on time. 183 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 6: Well, guess what. 184 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 5: Ejecting the speaker makes that even tougher, because you can't 185 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 5: go to the House floor and do any business of 186 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 5: the House without a speaker decided. So we're putting more 187 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 5: pressure on the process, weakening the hand in my view 188 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 5: of Republicans, because that November seventeenth date is charging at us. 189 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 5: This week, we would have done two appropriations bills, and 190 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 5: we would do two more the next week, and then 191 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 5: we would start conferencing these bills with the Senate. And 192 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 5: that's what we need to be doing in order to 193 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:48,599 Speaker 5: get a good conservative spending position of the House, negotiating 194 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:50,000 Speaker 5: with the Democrat control Senate. 195 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:53,839 Speaker 1: Well, you stayed in town. Where'd everybody go, Congress when 196 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: you could be working on this right now? 197 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 5: Well that's why I'm in town, and I am working 198 00:09:58,520 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 5: on it right now. 199 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 6: And the whole I wish was here today, but they're not. 200 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 5: As you know, the Democrats were going out to California 201 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,839 Speaker 5: to the Feinstein meeting. I mean, I'm sorry, I beg 202 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 5: your pardon, missus Feinstein's funeral, and a lot of the 203 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 5: House members were meeting today in preparation for that election 204 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 5: that we'll call for next week. 205 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: Well, let's push this forward a little bit. You and 206 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: I tend to talk about the economy when you're on 207 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: there's a great concern that the hard landing scenario is 208 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 1: looking a lot more likely as student loan payments resume, 209 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: as interest rates creep higher. Yeah, a government shut down 210 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 1: to that and an auto workers strike. Congressman, we could 211 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: be talking about a very different economy a couple of 212 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:40,559 Speaker 1: months from now. 213 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 5: What's your view, you know, Joe, that's been my view. 214 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 5: I've never been a full soft landing person. The cause 215 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 5: of the steepness of the interest rate increases, that was 216 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 5: the largest most steep increase in short term rates since 217 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 5: nineteen eighty. 218 00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:57,479 Speaker 6: It has a lagging impact. 219 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:01,119 Speaker 5: So I think we're just now feeling theer initious effects 220 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 5: from those monetary policy issues. And as you say, there's 221 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 5: some other consumer related issues and on the supply side, 222 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 5: particularly a UAW strike or more bad decisions regulatorily from 223 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 5: the Biden administration. So I'm very cautious about the economy 224 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 5: right now, and I think people have been lulled by that. 225 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 5: But when you combine economic worries and what I've seen 226 00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 5: in the response to the deficit spending two trillion dollars 227 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 5: and no idea of how to get spending under control, 228 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 5: you see the ten year rate pushing five percent. 229 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 6: Those are concerning signs to me. 230 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 1: Well, that absolutely is the five percent handle here is 231 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:46,560 Speaker 1: looking pretty scary for the stock markets, for all of 232 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:50,320 Speaker 1: the markets. Congressman, does the Fed need to stop down 233 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 1: and take another look at this? Considering the lag effect 234 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 1: of these historic interest rate hikes, This idea of higher 235 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 1: for longer is spooking a lot of folks right out 236 00:11:59,480 --> 00:11:59,959 Speaker 1: of the market. 237 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:01,680 Speaker 6: Right. 238 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:05,880 Speaker 5: Well, we've got to be concerned about financial stability, bank health, 239 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 5: market reaction, but we're also concerned about getting inflation down 240 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 5: to the two percent target. I know where how cautious 241 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 5: and prudent the chairman pal is. But as I've said 242 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,439 Speaker 5: on this show for over a year now, almost two years, 243 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:24,840 Speaker 5: the activities of fiscal stimulus and runaway spending by Joe 244 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:29,120 Speaker 5: Biden is making the attempt to rein in inflation tougher 245 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 5: for the Central Bank. They cannot do it together, Amity 246 00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 5: schlays and I wrote an op ed of the Wall 247 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:35,679 Speaker 5: Street Journal about that about. 248 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 6: A year ago, warning of this. 249 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 5: And so if we don't get spending under control, we've 250 00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 5: got a fiscal crisis. 251 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:43,359 Speaker 6: If we don't, as you say. 252 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 5: Watch the negative consequences of steep interest rate increases, we 253 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:51,440 Speaker 5: may have some instability crisis in the market. So this 254 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:54,920 Speaker 5: is a tough position for the Federal Reserve chairman, but 255 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 5: he's up to it, and I'm counting on him reading 256 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,319 Speaker 5: the data and making the right recommendations. 257 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I know this week's jobs report is going to 258 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 1: play into the future here quite a bit. We've got 259 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 1: a breaking news headline. Congressman from punch Bowl, Steve Scalise, 260 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 1: says he will run for speaker. I'm guessing that you 261 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: heard this or maybe you expected this to be coming. 262 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: Weigh in on that as you choose, But looking forward 263 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:24,680 Speaker 1: to next week's speaker election and considering the transition here, 264 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:28,720 Speaker 1: what will be the future of Matt Gates's ethics investigation 265 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:31,760 Speaker 1: under different leadership? If any. 266 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 5: Well, I'm not sure. I mean, that's really up to 267 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 5: the House Ethics Committee. They operate in a very independent manner, 268 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:42,840 Speaker 5: independent of the views of individual members of Congress, to 269 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 5: assess any assertions or allegations there. But Steve Scalise, our 270 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 5: majority leader, has been in leadership now for years. He's 271 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 5: been a very capable whip. He's been a capable majority leader, 272 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 5: so it doesn't surprise me that he's tossed his hat 273 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 5: in the ring for speaker, and now you have two 274 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:04,160 Speaker 5: to publicly address candidates that's got the talent and leadership 275 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:07,440 Speaker 5: ability to be I think high quality leaders. 276 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 6: In the Republican Conference. 277 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 5: But we'll have to wait and see what our collective 278 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 5: members think is in the best judgment. 279 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: Of the House Lastly, Congressman, do you want to see 280 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 1: a rules change that might make it more difficult for 281 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 1: Matt Gates to tip over the cart all by himself 282 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 1: like yesterday. 283 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 5: You know, we've had that rule of vak the chair 284 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 5: with one member offering it for one hundred years. The 285 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 5: only Speaker who didn't face that constraint was the one 286 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 5: and only Nancy Pelosi. So there are a lot of 287 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:39,560 Speaker 5: members that would stick with that tradition. But in a 288 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:42,440 Speaker 5: modern world, I think that'll be the subject of strong 289 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 5: debate inside the conference and an important issue for candidates 290 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 5: running for speaker. What's their view on that? Should they 291 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 5: would they support a House rule change? And how would 292 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 5: the members vote on that? And would members be bound 293 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 5: by a vote on that? For example, you're not supposed 294 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 5: to offer a motion to vac without the approval of 295 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 5: the House Republican Conference, But I don't believe any of 296 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 5: the eight followed that House rule. 297 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 1: You know, we had a conversation with Mike Lawler, your 298 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 1: colleague from New York, a Republican lawmaker who won in 299 00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 1: a Biden district. As were frequently reminded, he threatened to 300 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 1: take the gavel throw it at Matt Gates hid him 301 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:24,040 Speaker 1: between the eyes. That comment has gone viral on social media, 302 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 1: and I wonder if you share the sentiment. 303 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 5: Well, I think my views on what happened last week 304 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 5: are pretty well known and pretty well covered. I don't 305 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 5: know that throwing gabbles is the way to build comedy 306 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 5: inside the House Republican Conference. We need to remember what 307 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 5: the mission is here. We need to be taking this 308 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 5: battle to the American people to end the Biden administration's 309 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 5: failed policies on the border, economically, in national security policy, 310 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 5: and elect a president that's a Republican and re elect 311 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 5: our House and good members like Mike Lawler and God 312 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 5: Willing reelect a Republican Senate. That's what we need to do. 313 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 5: We need to be focused on that, not throwing gavels 314 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 5: at each other. 315 00:16:07,400 --> 00:16:10,080 Speaker 1: Very diplomatics today, Congressman, I appreciate your time. 316 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 6: I'm doing the best. 317 00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 5: I'm trying to earn a new place and also keep 318 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 5: the show a little more family friendly than last week. 319 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: Well, thank you, I appreciate that very much. Congressman Frenchhill, 320 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 1: Republican from Arkansas. 321 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 2: With us, you're listening to The Bloomberg sound on podcast. 322 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 2: Catch the program live weekdays at one Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, 323 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 2: the tune in alf Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg 324 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:40,680 Speaker 2: Business app. You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa 325 00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 2: from our flagship New York station, Just say Alexa Play 326 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 2: Bloomberg eleven thirty. 327 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:51,720 Speaker 1: You have two official announcements for Speaker, Jim Jordan, who 328 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 1: told us the other night he didn't want this job, 329 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 1: and Steve Scalise. They're both going for it. We have 330 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 1: a speaker's race, and we're joined now by Jeanie Schanzano 331 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 1: and Rick Davis, Bloomberg Politics contributors. Rick, the news has 332 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 1: been fast and furious. Around this time yesterday, we knew 333 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 1: that Democrats would not back Kevin McCarthy. He is no 334 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 1: longer Speaker. Patrick McHenry is in place as acting Speaker, 335 00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:15,160 Speaker 1: and we heard from french Hill a bit earlier this hour. 336 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 1: Looking ahead one week to a speaker's election, will Republicans 337 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 1: have coalesced around a candidate by then. 338 00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:25,120 Speaker 10: Well, I think that's one of the reasons you're seeing 339 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 10: people announce right now is because they're having a trouble 340 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,680 Speaker 10: getting communications. People are en route back to their districts, 341 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 10: some stuck around Washington. They have these presentations today. Some 342 00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:37,600 Speaker 10: of the candidates are afforded time with the Texas delegation 343 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 10: twenty five members strong, probably the biggest single coalition Republicans 344 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 10: from any one state. And so the clock was taken. 345 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:49,280 Speaker 10: And I think that Jim Jordan's a great example, told 346 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 10: you two days ago, you know that he didn't want 347 00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 10: to be speaker. A day ago, right after the vote, 348 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:56,359 Speaker 10: he said he's going to leave that to the caucus. 349 00:17:56,400 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 10: And today he announces he's a candidate for speaker, so 350 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 10: that other members know that he's actually interested in the job, 351 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 10: and he doesn't have to call him all individually to 352 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:11,800 Speaker 10: tell him that. This is a difficult communications problem for 353 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 10: these people who want to run, because they've got four 354 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 10: days until they make a presentation to the caucus, and 355 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 10: none of them want that to be the reason that 356 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:21,680 Speaker 10: they're going to win. 357 00:18:21,760 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 7: They want to already lined. 358 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:27,360 Speaker 10: Up votes, and then Wednesday's the vote, so you know, 359 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 10: the clock is really ticking down to the eleventh hour already. 360 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:33,880 Speaker 7: And you can see. 361 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 10: Why Congressman McHenry, the speaker pro tempt gambled everybody out 362 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 10: and said go home till Tuesday, because there literally would 363 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,280 Speaker 10: have been no time if they'd gone right into a 364 00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 10: speaker's election so well, caught us by surprise. Yesterday makes 365 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 10: some sense today. 366 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:55,720 Speaker 1: Fascinating take from Rick Davis, Geenie, what did you make 367 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: of the president? First of all, he sounded exhausted. I 368 00:18:57,960 --> 00:18:59,879 Speaker 1: don't know if that had anything to do with the 369 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 1: events in the past twenty four hours, but the dysfunction 370 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 1: always concerns me. What would this mean for his agenda? 371 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 11: I think the President is going to continue to move 372 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 11: forward and focus on the business of the people, and 373 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 11: that's what he was talking about today. Student loan forgiveness. 374 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 11: I've just been doing some work on this. The phones 375 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,960 Speaker 11: are jam packed for people who need to repay their 376 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 11: student loans. It is a very, very stressful time. So 377 00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:29,200 Speaker 11: while the chaos is consuming the Republicans in the House, 378 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 11: this is what millions and millions of Americans, families, parents, 379 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 11: former students, current students are deeply concerned about. And that's 380 00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 11: what the President is going to be doing. And he 381 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 11: ended with a question on Ukraine. And there is a big, 382 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:49,879 Speaker 11: big question looming over the speaker's fight, whether it is 383 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:53,119 Speaker 11: Jim Jordan, whether it is Steve Scalise or somebody else 384 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 11: who and they're all vying for this position. Are they 385 00:19:56,040 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 11: going to make a concession on Ukraine funding which so many, 386 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 11: an increasing number of Republicans the House are gearing for it, 387 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:07,400 Speaker 11: to tie it to the border security And if they 388 00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 11: do that, what position does it leave Ukraine in? You 389 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:14,119 Speaker 11: know who's happy about yesterday, Vladimir Putin and Moscow. We 390 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,800 Speaker 11: are seeing Eastern Europe move away from support for Ukraine, 391 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 11: and we are seeing that in the US Congress. That 392 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 11: is an enormous, enormous concern for the United States, and 393 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 11: the President is going to need to do a lot 394 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,600 Speaker 11: to shore up support for that, as are Republicans like 395 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 11: Mitch McConnell who truly support this funding. 396 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: Well, let's get into this a little bit. I do 397 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 1: want to ask you both about a little bit more 398 00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 1: about the Speaker's election next week. But the view from 399 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 1: the White House is important here, Rick, the President couldn't 400 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,200 Speaker 1: keep secret that he was planning a major address on this. 401 00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,160 Speaker 1: This is clearly what the conversation was in the room 402 00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,520 Speaker 1: before he walked out in front of reporters. But you've 403 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:55,400 Speaker 1: made the case that a couple of people up here 404 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 1: who say, you know, not another dollar for Ukraine, do 405 00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 1: not compare to the majority of Democrats and Republicans who 406 00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 1: support this funding effort. How much of a challenge will 407 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 1: this be for Joe Biden. 408 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:08,920 Speaker 10: Yeah, I think he's actually doing the right thing, and 409 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 10: I think the calculus that I'm hearing from this news 410 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,439 Speaker 10: is that he's got to convince the American public to 411 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 10: be on his side, who then will help him convince 412 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 10: Congress to be on his side for Ukraine funding. Part 413 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,919 Speaker 10: of what is happening in Congress is a realization that 414 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,080 Speaker 10: there's less and less support amongst the American electorate and 415 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 10: that needs to change otherwise Ultimately that will undermine support 416 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 10: to Congress. And so going to a presidential speech, hopefully 417 00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 10: prime time, hopefully he'll have a little bit more energy 418 00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 10: in that speech that he just gave on student loans, 419 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,840 Speaker 10: he can be a layout compelling reason why it's in 420 00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:53,680 Speaker 10: our national interests to see Ukraine victorious in this war 421 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,240 Speaker 10: of Russian aggression. And that will in and out but 422 00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:01,480 Speaker 10: self add momentum to his effort for funding on Capitol Hill. 423 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 10: A part of its parliamentary maneuvering, the House has got 424 00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 10: to figure out a way to operate on every issue, 425 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 10: not just Ukraine funding. But they do need to determine 426 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:14,480 Speaker 10: whether or not they can get a fair vote, an 427 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,920 Speaker 10: open vote for Republicans and Democrats who support this, an 428 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:21,200 Speaker 10: overwhelming majority to allow this fundy to move forward. 429 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 1: If Joe Biden's going to do this, genie, he needs 430 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:26,399 Speaker 1: to tear down this wall kind of speech. Is he 431 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:27,360 Speaker 1: capable of doing that? 432 00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,480 Speaker 11: Yeah? I think he is. You know, he has surprised us. 433 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:35,160 Speaker 11: It was not that long ago that many of us 434 00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 11: were surprised by the way he maneuvered, for instance, in 435 00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:42,119 Speaker 11: the State of the Union to make Republicans agree that 436 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,200 Speaker 11: they weren't going to touch Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, 437 00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:47,720 Speaker 11: and he did that publicly. So I do think he 438 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,440 Speaker 11: is capable of doing it. But I also think this 439 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 11: is not just up to Joe Biden. Let's not forget again. 440 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 11: Whoever runs for speaker needs two hundred and eighteen votes. 441 00:22:58,720 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 12: To get there. 442 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 11: Need to deal not with the majority of the Republican caucus, 443 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 11: but with the hardliners who are going to demand concessions 444 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:11,879 Speaker 11: presumably again, and that will likely involve Ukraine funding. So 445 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 11: it is Republican leadership we need to see in the 446 00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:19,320 Speaker 11: House on Ukraine funding. And yes, it is critically important 447 00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,399 Speaker 11: that Joe Biden tell the American people why this is 448 00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:25,119 Speaker 11: in our interest and needs to say it over and 449 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,760 Speaker 11: over again. But Republican leadership in the House needs to 450 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 11: stand up and say it as well. Kevin McCarthy said 451 00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 11: it was critically important, and then what did he do. 452 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 11: He bent to the hardliners to keep his job. And 453 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,800 Speaker 11: that is the fear as we move forward with another 454 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,720 Speaker 11: concession out of whoever is the next speaker going you 455 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 11: know when this vote occurs next week or the week after. 456 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,879 Speaker 1: Spending time with our panel, Genie Shanzano and Rick Davis, 457 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:55,880 Speaker 1: I want to hear from you both on the future 458 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: of Matt Gates, and I'm going to just walk through 459 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: a couple of moments over the past twenty four hours 460 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 1: that might help us paint the picture here of what 461 00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 1: he is now looking at. Of course, the motion to 462 00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:11,440 Speaker 1: vacate was successful. We'll start with Kevin McCarthy, the now 463 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:15,760 Speaker 1: former Speaker, said this whole thing was personal, and he 464 00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:19,399 Speaker 1: makes a reference to the ethics investigation into Matt Gates. 465 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:23,800 Speaker 4: Listen, look, you all know Matt Gates. 466 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:26,800 Speaker 7: You know it was personal. 467 00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:31,119 Speaker 4: It had nothing to do about spending, It had nothing 468 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,080 Speaker 4: to do about everything he accused somebody of he was 469 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:38,760 Speaker 4: doing it. All was about getting attention from you. I mean, 470 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 4: we're getting email fundraisers from him as he's doing it. 471 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:44,639 Speaker 1: Join in quickly. 472 00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 4: That's not governing, that's not becoming of a member of Congress. 473 00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,480 Speaker 4: And regardless of what you think, I've seen the texts. 474 00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 1: It was all about his ethics. But that's all right, 475 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:02,840 Speaker 1: I've seen the text. Yes, it was all about his ethics. 476 00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 1: Let's go to the floor. Congressman Garrett Graves, of course, 477 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,840 Speaker 1: an ally of Speaker McCarthy, helped to negotiate the debt 478 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 1: ceiling deal. Outraged by Matt Gate's fundraising. What's going on in. 479 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,200 Speaker 13: This country today, what's going on in this body where 480 00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:22,400 Speaker 13: you have Freedom Works, Heritage, shipbroy and Jim Jordan say 481 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 13: something's conservative and these folks say it's not, and they're right. 482 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:28,879 Speaker 13: And all of a sudden, my phone keeps sending text messages, 483 00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 13: text messages saying, hey, give me money. Oh look at that, 484 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:37,639 Speaker 13: Oh look give me money. I filed the motion to 485 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:42,960 Speaker 13: vacate using official actions, official actions to raise money. 486 00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:44,119 Speaker 1: It's disgusting. 487 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,360 Speaker 13: It's what's disgusting about Washington. 488 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,680 Speaker 1: It's what's disgusting. He's not holding back in this case, 489 00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:54,200 Speaker 1: and Matt Gates did answer to those charges. 490 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 14: Listen, I take no lecture on asking patriotic Americans to 491 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,400 Speaker 14: weigh in and country tribute to this fight from those 492 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 14: who would grovel and bend mee for the lobbyists and 493 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 14: special interests who own our leadership, who have followed Boo 494 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:11,399 Speaker 14: all you want, who have followed out this town and 495 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 14: have borrowed against the future of our future generations. I'll 496 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,200 Speaker 14: be happy to fund my political operation through the work 497 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,959 Speaker 14: of hardworking Americans ten and twenty and thirty dollars at 498 00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 14: a time, and you all keep showing up at the 499 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:25,960 Speaker 14: lobbyist fundraisers and see how that goes for you. 500 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:31,280 Speaker 1: Okay, Rick Davis, what do you think of Matt Gates 501 00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 1: here also being accused of preparing a run for governor 502 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:38,120 Speaker 1: of Florida? How does this wash out? Is he expelled 503 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:41,320 Speaker 1: from the conference? Can they do that? Will he lose 504 00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,720 Speaker 1: committee assignments? What's next? 505 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 10: Sounds like we need a GOP therapist for that caucus. 506 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,399 Speaker 7: I mean, it has only gotten worse. 507 00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:55,720 Speaker 10: And I think that press conference you know last night 508 00:26:55,760 --> 00:27:00,240 Speaker 10: after the vote by Kevin McCarthy, now just Congressman McCarthy 509 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:03,880 Speaker 10: was really telling, I mean really through all these eight 510 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,960 Speaker 10: people who voted against him for the speakership under the 511 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 10: bus talked about actually running primaries against him and said 512 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,200 Speaker 10: they are not conservatives. And if you want to talk 513 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 10: about people who just did business with the Democrats, it's 514 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 10: those eight people who just joined with the Democrats decide 515 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,160 Speaker 10: who's going to be this next speaker. So, I mean, 516 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 10: I don't know how you put this all back together. 517 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:27,960 Speaker 10: I mean, like you can't make these kinds of statements, 518 00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 10: Garrett Graves. Uh, you know, Kevin McCarthy, I mean, you know, 519 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,960 Speaker 10: you look at the reaction yesterday and it was hot, 520 00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:38,199 Speaker 10: and these are these are not relationships that are going 521 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 10: to get repaired anytime soon, and certainly not between now 522 00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,879 Speaker 10: and the next vote for speaker. So who in the 523 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 10: in the caucus is able to have a conversation with 524 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 10: these various factions in a way that is anything other 525 00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 10: than going to ignite them into all out war like 526 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 10: they were in yesterday. So, uh, if Steven Scalize wants 527 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 10: to be the speaker, and evidently Matt Gates thinks he'd 528 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,880 Speaker 10: be great, then the question is going to be if 529 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,040 Speaker 10: you are going to do business with Matt Gates, then 530 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:11,679 Speaker 10: how about the other two hundred and ten people who 531 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:12,600 Speaker 10: disagree with them? 532 00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 7: So, I mean, I think you're really stuck in a 533 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 7: bind in this caucus. 534 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,639 Speaker 10: It will be seriously interesting to see who can prevail 535 00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:24,200 Speaker 10: and how many of those ballots we suffered through fifteen 536 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:26,520 Speaker 10: with Kevin McCarthy. I mean, you better get out the 537 00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:29,440 Speaker 10: mattresses because next week could be a long week. 538 00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 1: We're going to be going to the mattress's Genie talk 539 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: about the hot as Rick Davis puts it. Mike Lawler, 540 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,280 Speaker 1: the congressman from New York, who was not happy about 541 00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 1: this process and is obviously concerned about a difficult reelection. 542 00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:47,960 Speaker 1: He joined us on Balance of Power last evening on 543 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:54,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg TV, and I asked him about Patrick McHenry's slamming 544 00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:56,960 Speaker 1: of the gavel, which to me might be the enduring 545 00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: image of yesterday. I mean, he put his back into 546 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 1: what I thought the gavel was going to break at 547 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:05,239 Speaker 1: the end of the session, and Mike Lawler suggested that 548 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 1: he might have taken it a step further. If you're 549 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: with us on YouTube, look at that. My god, I'd 550 00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,600 Speaker 1: have to see a chiropractor after that. Here's Lawler. 551 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 15: The only thing that I would have done differently is 552 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 15: flung it in the direction of one person. Look, he 553 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:26,719 Speaker 15: absolutely epitomized the frustrations of the conference and the American people. 554 00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:31,320 Speaker 15: This is not what they elected us to do, to squabble, 555 00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:35,280 Speaker 15: to fight amongst ourselves. They elected us to govern and 556 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:39,760 Speaker 15: we need to get Oh yeah, I would have hit 557 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 15: him square between the eyes. 558 00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:43,880 Speaker 1: I would have hit him square between the eyes. We 559 00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:47,600 Speaker 1: talk about the cage match with Elon and Zuckerberg, Genie, 560 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:52,000 Speaker 1: I mean Rick mentions a therapist. How about a fight club. 561 00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:53,640 Speaker 1: Where do we get the anger out here? 562 00:29:56,600 --> 00:30:00,400 Speaker 11: I don't know, but you know, Lawler is a really, 563 00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:04,360 Speaker 11: really interesting figure. He is from a Biden district. Of course, 564 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 11: he's worried about his own re election bid, and he 565 00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:11,400 Speaker 11: has been a voice of reason because from his perspective 566 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 11: and the perspective of most Republicans who want to win 567 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 11: and govern, this is the height of insanity. You know, 568 00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 11: You've got a president with very low approval ratings and 569 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,680 Speaker 11: what are you doing. You are showing that you cannot 570 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:28,400 Speaker 11: be trusted with one third of the government to govern. 571 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:31,719 Speaker 11: And so all Joe Biden has to sit back to 572 00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 11: do is sit back and watch this chaos play out. 573 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 11: You know, people talk about Joe Biden's age, but when 574 00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:42,520 Speaker 11: you're looking at twenty twenty four and you are sitting 575 00:30:42,840 --> 00:30:47,280 Speaker 11: in a suburban district or you are trying to attract 576 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 11: independence and moderates and women, old is probably better than crazy. 577 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 11: And this has been crazy crazy. So for Lawler, he 578 00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 11: knows where this is headed, and he has every right 579 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 11: to be frustrated. And I'm not recommending he engage in violence, 580 00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:05,400 Speaker 11: but I wish you had been on with him later 581 00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:08,800 Speaker 11: to ask him what he thinks about McHenry throwing this 582 00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 11: former speaker out of her office while she is attending 583 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 11: the yeah for a senator. So you know, I'm not 584 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:20,200 Speaker 11: sure that's what the American people elected them to do either. Petty, petty, 585 00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 11: petty and crazy crazy crazy seems to rule to day. 586 00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,080 Speaker 1: I'm glad that you mentioned, by the way, the line 587 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:29,080 Speaker 1: of the hour so far, Jeanie Shanzano, old is better 588 00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 1: than crazy. I think we can put that on a 589 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 1: bumper sticker, Rick, But talk to me about the eviction. 590 00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:36,200 Speaker 1: I'm glad you mentioned this, Genie. The first move from 591 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 1: the acting speaker is to throw Nancy Pelosi out of 592 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,360 Speaker 1: the so called hideaway. This is not her actual office, 593 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,760 Speaker 1: but the hideaway, you know, prize real estate in the Capitol. 594 00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:48,840 Speaker 1: And Stenny Hoyer got booted as well. They're pulling the 595 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 1: furniture out of there while Nancy Pelosi is at a 596 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,240 Speaker 1: funeral in California. Is that the right move? 597 00:31:57,800 --> 00:31:58,959 Speaker 7: You want me to answer that? 598 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:04,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, honestly, right, maybe maybe internal politics say that is 599 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:05,240 Speaker 1: a good move. 600 00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:09,880 Speaker 7: Now, I mean it was pretty random. Uh. 601 00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:12,240 Speaker 10: And and look, I mean this shows you just the 602 00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:16,640 Speaker 10: level of anger and uh that exists inside the Republican Caucus. 603 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,440 Speaker 10: I mean, you know, McHenry was upset that his friend 604 00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:23,520 Speaker 10: Kevin McCarthy had been just posed, and and and and 605 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 10: Nancy Pelosi was piling on saying no way would she 606 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:28,440 Speaker 10: ever allow the caucus to vote for this guy. 607 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:30,680 Speaker 7: To some degree was the bet he made. 608 00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:34,280 Speaker 10: Himself, Kevin McCarthy, because he basically gave the message to 609 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 10: the Democrats that he didn't want their support. 610 00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 7: So, I mean, it was a confusing day. 611 00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:42,440 Speaker 10: But the idea that you react to that by turning 612 00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,680 Speaker 10: on the Democrats and kicking Nancy Pelosi out, you know, 613 00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 10: it's just a bad precedent. Uh. Former speakers have always 614 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 10: been afforded to hideaway. It's part of the gentilneus genteelness 615 00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:56,360 Speaker 10: of the House of Representatives. You don't want to see 616 00:32:56,360 --> 00:33:00,160 Speaker 10: that go away just because people are angry. I think 617 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 10: everybody needs to just calm down. And I'm glad Speaker 618 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:07,360 Speaker 10: pro Tem McHenry actually told people to go home because 619 00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:09,880 Speaker 10: the last thing we want is any more of that 620 00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:11,320 Speaker 10: kind of thing happening today. 621 00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:15,240 Speaker 1: And well, I guess there's something to be said for it, though, Genie, 622 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,640 Speaker 1: I have to admit, look at what happened to Liz 623 00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,920 Speaker 1: Cheney and Kevin McCarthy had a lot to do with that. 624 00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:24,600 Speaker 1: Thrown out of the House, thrown out of the Republican family, 625 00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:28,160 Speaker 1: and lost her job over it. Are we in a 626 00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:31,880 Speaker 1: world in which Liz Cheney is punished more severely for 627 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:35,560 Speaker 1: what she did to stand up for the Constitution effectively 628 00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:40,040 Speaker 1: than Matt Gates is for what happened yesterday. 629 00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 11: We certainly are. I mean, I don't think we see 630 00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:46,160 Speaker 11: any inkling at this point that Matt Gates will lose 631 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 11: his seat over what he has done. He may be 632 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 11: expelled from the conference. I don't see how they let 633 00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:54,440 Speaker 11: him into those conference meetings. Then he goes out and 634 00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:57,560 Speaker 11: he reveals all their secrets. So I do think it 635 00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:00,720 Speaker 11: is very possible that this is the moment that we 636 00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 11: are in. And I think that is such an important point, Joe, 637 00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 11: because what are we seeing. We are seeing populism run 638 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,680 Speaker 11: amok in the Republican Party. It is run by the 639 00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:14,040 Speaker 11: Maga wing. And you know Jim Jordan saying to you 640 00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:16,160 Speaker 11: two days ago he doesn't want the job. Now he's 641 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 11: going forward. If he gets this job. It is another 642 00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:23,880 Speaker 11: nail in that coffin where MAGA is controlling this party, 643 00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,960 Speaker 11: and that is a problem. We've seen Mitt Romney leeve, 644 00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:30,840 Speaker 11: We've seen Liz Cheney leave, Mike Pence making really important 645 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 11: speeches against it has gotten no traction. And Matt Gates 646 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:37,719 Speaker 11: is ruling this caucus even though it is against the 647 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:40,719 Speaker 11: interests and the votes of ninety six percent of his 648 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:45,440 Speaker 11: fellow party members. This is a very very dangerous moment 649 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,080 Speaker 11: for the Republican Party, and because they have the majority 650 00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:51,400 Speaker 11: for all of us, and again it stretches around the 651 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:55,280 Speaker 11: world to Ukraine, and that is the most troubling aspect 652 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:55,839 Speaker 11: of all of this. 653 00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,800 Speaker 1: Something to think about. Rick Janey was kicked out of 654 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:03,880 Speaker 1: the leadership and eventually lost her job. What will happen 655 00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 1: to Matt Gates. 656 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 7: You know, it's hard to tell. 657 00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:12,279 Speaker 10: I mean, I believe Kevin McCarthy when he throws down 658 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,000 Speaker 10: the gauntlet that the Ethics Committee is working on this, 659 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:18,560 Speaker 10: But there is an investigation by the Ethics Committee into 660 00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:23,000 Speaker 10: mac Gates, and I suspect they're all the members of 661 00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,239 Speaker 10: that group are all under a lot of pressure to, 662 00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:29,839 Speaker 10: you know, get their job done. I would say all 663 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:31,640 Speaker 10: of this may be mood a year from now, like 664 00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:34,440 Speaker 10: the next Speaker may have another very short tenure because 665 00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:38,319 Speaker 10: at the rate they're going, the Republicans in Congress are 666 00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,920 Speaker 10: going to convince the American people that they are crazy 667 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:45,680 Speaker 10: and that nothing gets done on their watch, and that 668 00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:49,560 Speaker 10: they will be cast out like any good electorate would 669 00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:53,120 Speaker 10: do to a bunch of cowboys like this. And we 670 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,840 Speaker 10: don't have to worry about Jim Jordan being Speaker anymore, 671 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,200 Speaker 10: or Steven Scalize or anybody else, because it'll be a 672 00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 10: dark day and you know, Washington before Republicans can claim 673 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 10: leadership of the House of Representatives by this kind of Conduct's. 674 00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:11,680 Speaker 1: Genie, right, Rick is old better than crazy. 675 00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:16,800 Speaker 7: I'd rather have a better set of choices. 676 00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:21,200 Speaker 10: You know, nobody loves crazy, no matter what age you're at. 677 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess that's right, man. This is why we 678 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:28,080 Speaker 1: have Rick Davis and Jeanie Shanzeno. Rick and Jeannie. I'm 679 00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:34,160 Speaker 1: Joe Matthew. This is Bloomberg. You're listening to the Bloomberg 680 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:38,360 Speaker 1: Sound on podcast. Catch us live weekdays at one Eastern. 681 00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:41,280 Speaker 2: On Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg 682 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:44,719 Speaker 2: Business app, or listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts. 683 00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:48,520 Speaker 1: Here we are already with Kaylee Lines in Washington. Nice 684 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:51,840 Speaker 1: to see you, as always, Welcome back to the Capitol. 685 00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:53,880 Speaker 1: You picked the perfect time to join us here. I 686 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,880 Speaker 1: know you were up covering the trial in New York yesterday. 687 00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,160 Speaker 1: Not the Trump trial, we have to be specific about 688 00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:03,200 Speaker 1: this going down, but the Sam Bankman freed trial each other, Yeah, 689 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:05,560 Speaker 1: which we'll have an opportunity to talk a lot more about. 690 00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,719 Speaker 1: But we needed you back here. This has been a 691 00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:11,680 Speaker 1: wild twenty four hours, wild seventy two hours. I guess 692 00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:13,520 Speaker 1: we thought that the government was going to shut down 693 00:37:13,520 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 1: a couple of days ago. 694 00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:16,880 Speaker 12: Yeah, and wild seems like it's almost under selling it. 695 00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:21,360 Speaker 12: Probably chaotic, yes, right, tumultuous, vitriolic could think of a 696 00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:25,120 Speaker 12: few other descriptors. But yeah, that's where we are, Joe. 697 00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:29,040 Speaker 1: Two grown men want this job. They want to go there. 698 00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:32,960 Speaker 1: Steve Scalise, whose name has floated every time you have 699 00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:36,040 Speaker 1: this conversation, a majority leader. He's been in Republican leadership 700 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:37,800 Speaker 1: for a long time, but he's being treated for cancers, 701 00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:40,719 Speaker 1: going through chemotherapy at the same time as Speaker's race 702 00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:42,839 Speaker 1: is happening. I don't know how you do that. Then again, 703 00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:45,600 Speaker 1: we've seen him recover from a gunshot wound. And then 704 00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,520 Speaker 1: there's Jim Jordan, the Chairman of the Judiciary, who we 705 00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:49,680 Speaker 1: thought didn't want that job. 706 00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:51,799 Speaker 12: Isn't that what he told you? 707 00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:55,400 Speaker 1: Well, that's true, Anne, Marie and I talked to the 708 00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,600 Speaker 1: chairman two days ago. This was Monday, when everyone was 709 00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:00,359 Speaker 1: celebrating the government not closing. 710 00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,640 Speaker 12: Before the motion to vacate even had been That's correct. 711 00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:03,920 Speaker 9: You're on a lot of short lists. 712 00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:05,399 Speaker 1: You went through this at the beginning of the year 713 00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:06,760 Speaker 1: when it was a fight for speaker. 714 00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:10,000 Speaker 9: Of course, Kevin McCarthy survived. I believe it was fifteen rounds. 715 00:38:10,080 --> 00:38:12,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, but as long as you're on these short lists, 716 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:14,319 Speaker 1: would you stand to be speaker if you don't want to? 717 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:15,879 Speaker 8: I don't want to be speaker. I want I want 718 00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:17,759 Speaker 8: Kevin McCarthy to be speaker. I want to focus on 719 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:18,040 Speaker 8: the job. 720 00:38:18,040 --> 00:38:19,560 Speaker 9: And if you were asked to serve your country in 721 00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:20,120 Speaker 9: that role. 722 00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:21,719 Speaker 8: Well, I want to focus on the job I have. 723 00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:23,320 Speaker 8: I think I'm serving the folks in the fourth this 724 00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:24,080 Speaker 8: reg of Ohio. 725 00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:26,960 Speaker 1: That's my main I don't want to be speaker, and 726 00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:29,560 Speaker 1: I guess that's what you say, though, when Kevin McCarthy 727 00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:33,360 Speaker 1: still has the job, they were allied. Did he know 728 00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:36,360 Speaker 1: he was going to do this in just two days. 729 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:37,839 Speaker 1: There's no way we'll know that. 730 00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,280 Speaker 12: But you wonder, well, maybe he was hoping he wouldn't 731 00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:41,800 Speaker 12: be in a position where he could. 732 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:42,920 Speaker 1: Everybody was gaming this. 733 00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:46,040 Speaker 12: Everything's conditional, right, Joe, I don't want to be speaker, 734 00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:50,640 Speaker 12: right if Kevin McCarthy is. If Kevin McCarthy is not speaker, 735 00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:53,960 Speaker 12: maybe you answer that question differently. Clearly, he is considering. 736 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:55,799 Speaker 12: He is now in this race. 737 00:38:56,280 --> 00:38:58,520 Speaker 1: So we've got a week. I guess candidates will present 738 00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:00,920 Speaker 1: their positions next Tuesday. To Patrick McHenry. 739 00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:02,160 Speaker 12: YEP votes begin Wednesday. 740 00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:05,360 Speaker 1: Votes begin Wednesday, and boy, it's anyone's guest, I asked, 741 00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,960 Speaker 1: as french Hill the Congressman from Arkansas earlier if coalescing 742 00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:12,480 Speaker 1: around a candidate might prevent another fifteen rounds. And that's 743 00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:14,320 Speaker 1: their hope right now, is that what happens in the 744 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,080 Speaker 1: next week makes this nice and clean on the floor 745 00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:19,680 Speaker 1: next Wednesday. But then there's reality. 746 00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,680 Speaker 12: Well, and there's the consideration that a lot of members 747 00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:25,640 Speaker 12: of Congress are going home if they haven't already. So 748 00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:28,279 Speaker 12: what are they going to be doing between now and 749 00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:30,399 Speaker 12: next week when they have to come back to vote? 750 00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,120 Speaker 12: And you know, there was a meeting with the Texas 751 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:33,080 Speaker 12: Republican delegation. 752 00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:34,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, now you were down there for that. What'd you 753 00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:36,640 Speaker 1: get out of there? Anything? Did they run past you? 754 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:40,840 Speaker 12: Well, all of the Texas delegates have representatives have decided 755 00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:42,960 Speaker 12: not at this time to say who they are supporting 756 00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,279 Speaker 12: for speaker. They agreed to that as a group. So 757 00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:47,840 Speaker 12: none of them were answering that question in the hallway. 758 00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,440 Speaker 12: But it was interesting. Congressman Michael McCall said that not 759 00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:53,239 Speaker 12: only Scalice and Jordan said that they were running that. 760 00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 12: Kevin Hearn, the Congressman, told them that he was going 761 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:56,480 Speaker 12: to get in there too. 762 00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:57,480 Speaker 1: Well, that's news. 763 00:39:57,520 --> 00:40:00,479 Speaker 12: We haven't actually gotten the letter to college. 764 00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:02,680 Speaker 1: It's not official official, but that's coming. 765 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 12: Apparently that's what was suggested, but really no real sign. 766 00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,279 Speaker 12: And I was speaking with Congressman Pete Sessions, of course 767 00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,440 Speaker 12: of Texas, and I said, as any of them, are 768 00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:11,719 Speaker 12: any of them going to be able to get two 769 00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:13,560 Speaker 12: hundred and eighteen votes? And he just looked me dead 770 00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:15,880 Speaker 12: in the eye and said, well, that's the question, isn't it. 771 00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:17,799 Speaker 1: That's why I still say I don't know. They would 772 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:21,000 Speaker 1: be remarkable. After a round after out of that's not happening. 773 00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:24,959 Speaker 1: This guy named Kevin stands up this drafted they pull 774 00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:29,560 Speaker 1: me back in. I don't know, Terry Haynes, maybe I'm dreaming. 775 00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,800 Speaker 1: We were talking about this on the radio this morning. 776 00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,880 Speaker 1: Everybody says what they mean until they don't mean it anymore. 777 00:40:37,160 --> 00:40:39,560 Speaker 1: Are we actually ruling out I know he says he's 778 00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:41,319 Speaker 1: not going to run, but are we ruling out Kevin 779 00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:45,239 Speaker 1: McCarthy in a world in which no one else can 780 00:40:45,239 --> 00:40:46,080 Speaker 1: get to to eighteen? 781 00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:50,960 Speaker 16: Good afternoon to both of you. I'm glad Kayley's been 782 00:40:51,920 --> 00:40:55,920 Speaker 16: sprung from purgatory here and he was back in Washington 783 00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:59,839 Speaker 16: meetso particularly you know two things. 784 00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:00,319 Speaker 14: Thing. 785 00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:03,440 Speaker 16: I'll get to Henry in a second, but you know 786 00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:06,560 Speaker 16: they're gonna run because it's a loose analog to like 787 00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:09,560 Speaker 16: running for president, right, they're people that are actually credible 788 00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:12,279 Speaker 16: presidential candidates. There are people that want stuff, There are 789 00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:17,279 Speaker 16: people that want to be cabinet secretaries, and you know, 790 00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:20,840 Speaker 16: so people get in for all kinds of reasons. And 791 00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:23,840 Speaker 16: so you know, you know why Scalisee is in. I mean, Jordan, 792 00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:25,799 Speaker 16: I don't know, you know, I mean, I don't think 793 00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:29,239 Speaker 16: he can get there, but but you know he can. 794 00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:32,080 Speaker 16: He can get some stuff out of Scalisee or somebody 795 00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,280 Speaker 16: else or whoever's running. So you know, they're all jockeying 796 00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:38,200 Speaker 16: in that sort of way. Now, you know McHenry is 797 00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:42,439 Speaker 16: you and I talked this morning on daybreak. I think 798 00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:45,120 Speaker 16: McHenry is a real dark horse here. There are not 799 00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:47,560 Speaker 16: a lot of people who are trusted by both sides, 800 00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:52,880 Speaker 16: and he's got a he's got a real facility for 801 00:41:52,960 --> 00:41:55,439 Speaker 16: being able to listen and come up with good compromises. 802 00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:59,680 Speaker 16: He was McCarthy's lieutenant in the whole debt ceiling fight, 803 00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:03,719 Speaker 16: and you know he has the ability here and may 804 00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:09,920 Speaker 16: end up being the reluctant guy. So you know, we 805 00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:10,640 Speaker 16: had a ways to go. 806 00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:14,720 Speaker 12: Well, well, and Terry. Congressman Garrett Graves, who of course 807 00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:17,520 Speaker 12: is very close, was very close to McCarthy and along 808 00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:19,319 Speaker 12: with mckenry, was one of those key players in the 809 00:42:19,360 --> 00:42:22,359 Speaker 12: dead Sealing talk. Suggested to Bloomberg reporters earlier that mc 810 00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:24,560 Speaker 12: henry might be needing to stay in that seat through 811 00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:28,600 Speaker 12: November seventeenth, when that Continuing Resolution expires and we could 812 00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:31,840 Speaker 12: potentially be staring down the barrel of another government shutdown. 813 00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:34,640 Speaker 12: Does all of this just make that pretty much a 814 00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:36,520 Speaker 12: guarantee at this point. 815 00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:41,120 Speaker 16: I wouldn't say it's a guarantee there is, but I 816 00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:46,640 Speaker 16: see the logic, and mister Graves is a very savvy guy. 817 00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:51,319 Speaker 16: The thing is with the speakership is that and I say, 818 00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,400 Speaker 16: this is somebody that was involved in the continuity of 819 00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:56,600 Speaker 16: government plans twenty years ago and helped to set up 820 00:42:56,680 --> 00:43:01,960 Speaker 16: the system that we're now seeing. The temporary speaker existed, 821 00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,040 Speaker 16: you know, in case a bomb dropped on the Capitol, 822 00:43:04,160 --> 00:43:06,840 Speaker 16: or you know, there was you know, something else happened. 823 00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,839 Speaker 16: It wasn't really envisioned for situations like this, but what 824 00:43:10,920 --> 00:43:13,480 Speaker 16: it was envisioned to be was a it was a 825 00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 16: temporary stopgap for as short a period of time as possible. 826 00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:19,800 Speaker 16: So you know, the onus has been in the Parliamentarians. 827 00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:23,200 Speaker 16: I think we'll tell the Republicans that. So the onus 828 00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:26,040 Speaker 16: is really on the Republicans to come up with a 829 00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:28,520 Speaker 16: with a real candidate that can get to two eighteen 830 00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:33,160 Speaker 16: as too, as soon as possible. And that's reflected in 831 00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,960 Speaker 16: McHenry's own time frame where he wants a He wants 832 00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:40,839 Speaker 16: to vote next Wednesday. Now all that said, you know 833 00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:43,719 Speaker 16: there might be a number of different candidates. McHenry may 834 00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:46,520 Speaker 16: want to be out out like not really do it, 835 00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:51,120 Speaker 16: and he really doesn't want to do it. So we're 836 00:43:51,160 --> 00:43:53,719 Speaker 16: in a situation, I think where where there could be 837 00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:56,200 Speaker 16: a prolonged period of time and if it and if 838 00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,319 Speaker 16: something doesn't happen within a week or two, at the 839 00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:03,360 Speaker 16: very outside, for stability purposes alone, you need somebody to 840 00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:04,920 Speaker 16: be in that seat. So it may end up being 841 00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:07,320 Speaker 16: McHenry through the November seventeenth. 842 00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:12,600 Speaker 1: Yes, fascinating. It's because you were a part of crafting 843 00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,520 Speaker 1: that continuity of government plan. That's in part why we 844 00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:18,840 Speaker 1: wanted to talk to you today, Terry. I just wonder 845 00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:21,719 Speaker 1: how much wiggle room there is in the powers of 846 00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:26,680 Speaker 1: this acting Speaker, this protempt speaker, particularly if this becomes 847 00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:29,560 Speaker 1: protracted as we consider the idea of a possible shutdown, 848 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:33,120 Speaker 1: could there be an agreement between an acting speaker and 849 00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:37,960 Speaker 1: the Conference that would allow him to have more powers 850 00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:40,760 Speaker 1: to introduce legislation dectually act as a speaker. 851 00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:46,320 Speaker 16: I don't think the theoretically, yes, Joe. In reality, I 852 00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:50,759 Speaker 16: think that is almost impossible. The Speaker's powers are what 853 00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:54,360 Speaker 16: they are, including constitutional You know, the only the Speaker 854 00:44:54,360 --> 00:44:56,480 Speaker 16: of the House is the only constitutional officer in the 855 00:44:56,520 --> 00:45:00,640 Speaker 16: House and represents the entire House, so you've got that, 856 00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:04,840 Speaker 16: But you know they're not going to be in as 857 00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:08,880 Speaker 16: long as the speaker is the temporary speaker. The speaker 858 00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:14,120 Speaker 16: pro temporary formally is in that position. You know that 859 00:45:14,160 --> 00:45:18,279 Speaker 16: person has many of the powers of the speaker, but 860 00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:23,480 Speaker 16: due to his now his temporary status, he doesn't really 861 00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:27,000 Speaker 16: have the ability to compel much of anything. So I 862 00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:30,320 Speaker 16: think I think McHenry starts from a pretty weak position 863 00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:35,279 Speaker 16: and would find it difficult to impossible to build out 864 00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:40,000 Speaker 16: strengths as you suggest in order to in order to 865 00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:42,520 Speaker 16: expedite the work of the House. Not impossible, but I 866 00:45:42,520 --> 00:45:43,760 Speaker 16: think right now it's unlikely. 867 00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:47,160 Speaker 12: So on the subject of the work of the House 868 00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:49,640 Speaker 12: and when it realistically is going to be able to 869 00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:52,960 Speaker 12: get done, knowing we are up against that November seventeenth deadline, 870 00:45:53,640 --> 00:45:56,640 Speaker 12: Congressman Michael McCall, who, as I was mentioning to Joe 871 00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:58,920 Speaker 12: we caught up with in the hallway earlier, said he's 872 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:00,800 Speaker 12: pretty worried about a shutdown, that this whole thing is 873 00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:02,959 Speaker 12: just going to get a lot harder now that Kevin 874 00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:06,120 Speaker 12: McCarthy is gone. Where do you put the probability of 875 00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:08,240 Speaker 12: a shutdown come November seventeenth. 876 00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:11,239 Speaker 16: Terry, I was, as both of you know, I was 877 00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:16,560 Speaker 16: early two months early in telling people that a shut 878 00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:21,000 Speaker 16: down with seventy percent likely, way before most people got there, 879 00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:27,440 Speaker 16: you know, the moment that McCarthy was vacated out of 880 00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:31,440 Speaker 16: his position, I told markets, I thought the shutdown likelihood 881 00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:36,759 Speaker 16: was eighty percent. The difficulty to me is, i'd say ministerial, 882 00:46:36,840 --> 00:46:39,799 Speaker 16: and I've said that, I've said that before, but is 883 00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:41,920 Speaker 16: you know, the House is not really going to It's 884 00:46:41,960 --> 00:46:43,840 Speaker 16: not going to be able to do its work as quickly. 885 00:46:44,400 --> 00:46:46,880 Speaker 16: They're going to find difficulties getting to the floor. Technically 886 00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:49,279 Speaker 16: they can get to the floor and pass rules to 887 00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:52,200 Speaker 16: put things together and all the rest, but they're going 888 00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:54,120 Speaker 16: to be in a practical sense, they're going to be 889 00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:56,960 Speaker 16: hamstrung by not having a speaker there. It's going to 890 00:46:56,960 --> 00:46:59,560 Speaker 16: make it that much more difficult to referee disputes and 891 00:46:59,600 --> 00:47:02,040 Speaker 16: get things to the floor and be successful on the floor. 892 00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:05,520 Speaker 16: So so you know, I think this this puts a 893 00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:09,200 Speaker 16: new weight W E I G H T on the 894 00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:11,799 Speaker 16: House's ability to do its business, and that alone, I 895 00:47:11,800 --> 00:47:17,360 Speaker 16: think justifies a ramped up and more negative look at it. 896 00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:22,000 Speaker 12: Also probably a wait, W A I T if this 897 00:47:22,080 --> 00:47:23,360 Speaker 12: is going to take a while for them. 898 00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:25,680 Speaker 1: To be able to do these guys, you guys work 899 00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:28,759 Speaker 1: that out in advanced very mode. We're very The headline, 900 00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:32,600 Speaker 1: I know you're amazing. The headline on your client note. 901 00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:36,879 Speaker 1: Yesterday this went out at five in the afternoon. Everyone's waiting, 902 00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:40,640 Speaker 1: what does Terry you think about this house speaker? Ouster 903 00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:46,200 Speaker 1: markets negative market c Washington incompetent to govern? Terry? Does 904 00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:47,960 Speaker 1: this ensure a downgrade from Moody's. 905 00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:53,400 Speaker 16: I don't think insure as I think my gut is 906 00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:57,040 Speaker 16: they'd probably wait until November seventeenth. The way they put it, 907 00:47:57,040 --> 00:47:59,759 Speaker 16: the way Moodies put it out there was that they 908 00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:04,520 Speaker 16: saw downgrade possibility should there be a shutdown. So assuming 909 00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:07,000 Speaker 16: they think the same, and I have no reason to 910 00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:10,000 Speaker 16: know what they think right now, but assuming they think 911 00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:12,440 Speaker 16: the same, well then you know, should there be a shutdown, 912 00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:16,160 Speaker 16: then uh then you know, I think that's probably likely 913 00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:18,360 Speaker 16: er than not. Yeah, I mean, because they've already telegraphed 914 00:48:18,360 --> 00:48:21,799 Speaker 16: that very short, very shortly. I mean, you know what 915 00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:25,080 Speaker 16: I've said all along is that you know, it's it's 916 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:27,839 Speaker 16: this is kind of interesting Washington small ball, but what 917 00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:31,000 Speaker 16: markets see is very different. What markets are already spooked 918 00:48:31,040 --> 00:48:35,480 Speaker 16: by is out of control fiscal Uh no, no sense 919 00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:38,560 Speaker 16: of when there when the Washington's going to deal with 920 00:48:38,640 --> 00:48:41,520 Speaker 16: debt and deficit. And now you know that that's ramped 921 00:48:41,640 --> 00:48:45,440 Speaker 16: up even more and uh, you know, so that's a danger. 922 00:48:45,840 --> 00:48:49,120 Speaker 16: And compounded with that is is the idea that you know, 923 00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:51,840 Speaker 16: I mean, French hill Aside and who's a very astute 924 00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:56,440 Speaker 16: guy and gets it. Somebody like French Aside though uh, 925 00:48:56,960 --> 00:49:00,360 Speaker 16: Washington's oblivious to everything that I just said, get it 926 00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:04,920 Speaker 16: at all. And and you know, the John Farah was 927 00:49:04,960 --> 00:49:08,640 Speaker 16: asking me yesterday about something that French said to surveillance, 928 00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:11,680 Speaker 16: which was you know that the you know, kind of 929 00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:13,120 Speaker 16: the right to be I think the right to be 930 00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:16,600 Speaker 16: reckless or you know, had gone. And you know, did 931 00:49:16,640 --> 00:49:18,640 Speaker 16: I think that was the case? And I said absolutely, 932 00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:21,040 Speaker 16: you know, but Washington has, you know, for a generation, 933 00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:23,520 Speaker 16: lived in this world where they can deal you know, 934 00:49:23,560 --> 00:49:26,000 Speaker 16: they can deal with fiscal things kind of recklessly because 935 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,680 Speaker 16: there's no consequence well you know, coming down the pike, 936 00:49:28,760 --> 00:49:33,600 Speaker 16: our potential real consequences, and those consequences are being stoked 937 00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:35,279 Speaker 16: by what they're doing right now. 938 00:49:36,880 --> 00:49:38,839 Speaker 12: Well, Terry, speaking of what's happening right now, I want 939 00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:40,560 Speaker 12: to get your take on a headline that just crossed 940 00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:43,399 Speaker 12: the bloomberg. The minority leader in the Senate, Senator Mitch 941 00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:45,640 Speaker 12: McConnell is speaking to reporters and he said the next 942 00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,560 Speaker 12: speaker needs to ditch the motion to vacate. There's been 943 00:49:48,560 --> 00:49:50,239 Speaker 12: a lot of talk in the last twenty four hours 944 00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:52,560 Speaker 12: about maybe needing to change this rule where any one 945 00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:55,759 Speaker 12: individual can trigger this. Do you think there's a real 946 00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:59,239 Speaker 12: probability of that happening or could we be, say a 947 00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:01,680 Speaker 12: couple of months from now, talking about ousting another speaker, 948 00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:02,560 Speaker 12: whoever that may be. 949 00:50:03,760 --> 00:50:06,640 Speaker 16: I think in the I think in the next congress, uh, 950 00:50:06,719 --> 00:50:09,560 Speaker 16: dealing with that differently is likely. I think in this congress, 951 00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:13,080 Speaker 16: it's very unlikely. In this situation, it's very unlikely. And 952 00:50:13,120 --> 00:50:15,400 Speaker 16: the reason is it really comes down to hubris. 953 00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:16,280 Speaker 13: Uh. 954 00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:18,680 Speaker 16: You know, the Gates faction. 955 00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:19,560 Speaker 11: Uh. 956 00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:22,000 Speaker 16: You know, it has a lot of hubris going right now. 957 00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:25,920 Speaker 16: And I'll look forward to the five o'clock interview and 958 00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:27,120 Speaker 16: watch that very closely. 959 00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:29,399 Speaker 14: But the. 960 00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:33,600 Speaker 16: But you know, I know you're waiting for it too, Joe, 961 00:50:33,960 --> 00:50:38,160 Speaker 16: But the uh, the situation is, I keep going, I 962 00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:40,120 Speaker 16: keep thinking about how Anne Marie is going to handle this. 963 00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:41,680 Speaker 16: I know how you're going to handle it. But it's 964 00:50:41,680 --> 00:50:45,600 Speaker 16: like you know, and real dig right and as you will. 965 00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:48,799 Speaker 12: Different the best tease of all time. 966 00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:54,160 Speaker 16: You know, I'm very much looking forward to seeing it. 967 00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:57,320 Speaker 16: But the uh and see how he justifies himself this time. 968 00:50:57,719 --> 00:50:59,960 Speaker 16: But you know, the hubris at this point will be 969 00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:03,919 Speaker 16: such that, you know, any news speaker won't have any 970 00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:07,719 Speaker 16: more rope than the old speaker did. And for a 971 00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:10,080 Speaker 16: couple of reasons. One is they feel, like you know, 972 00:51:10,120 --> 00:51:13,360 Speaker 16: that maximizes their leverage. And secondly, to the extent that 973 00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:16,799 Speaker 16: this is personal between Gates and McCarthy and my moone 974 00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:18,960 Speaker 16: of you is that it is what you get is 975 00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:21,359 Speaker 16: a situation where they back off and all the same 976 00:51:21,400 --> 00:51:24,880 Speaker 16: they back off the single vote nakate, then it looks 977 00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:27,839 Speaker 16: like it actually was. It's an additional additional proof. 978 00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:31,560 Speaker 1: Terry Haynes. Email me your questions from Matt Gates from 979 00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:44,840 Speaker 1: Pangaea Policy. Terry Haynes on Bloomberg you're listening to The 980 00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:49,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sound on podcast. Catch the program live weekdays at 981 00:51:49,040 --> 00:51:52,560 Speaker 1: one Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the tune in app, Bloomberg 982 00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:54,720 Speaker 1: dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App. 983 00:51:54,840 --> 00:51:57,719 Speaker 2: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 984 00:51:57,719 --> 00:51:58,959 Speaker 2: flagship New York station. 985 00:51:59,440 --> 00:52:05,719 Speaker 1: Just say play Bloomberg eleven. As we feel our way 986 00:52:05,719 --> 00:52:09,200 Speaker 1: through the woods here, uncharted territory is what I keep hearing, 987 00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:12,000 Speaker 1: and I'd say that's fair. After all, it was the 988 00:52:12,040 --> 00:52:15,320 Speaker 1: first time in history a speaker of the House was ousted. 989 00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:18,839 Speaker 1: Kaylee lyons, we've got one week to figure out potentially 990 00:52:19,400 --> 00:52:21,200 Speaker 1: who the next speaker is, or at least what the 991 00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,239 Speaker 1: field looks like. Maybe that's a better way to put it, 992 00:52:23,560 --> 00:52:26,120 Speaker 1: having gone through what we did in January with fifteen rounds, 993 00:52:26,160 --> 00:52:29,440 Speaker 1: remembering people can be drafted or nominated right there on 994 00:52:29,480 --> 00:52:31,239 Speaker 1: the floor. That's how Donald Trump got in the mix 995 00:52:31,320 --> 00:52:31,799 Speaker 1: last time. 996 00:52:32,040 --> 00:52:34,760 Speaker 12: It's very true. And I do have that question about 997 00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:38,239 Speaker 12: Kevin McCarthy because he said he's not going to run. 998 00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:42,840 Speaker 12: That's right, But could that mean that people still nominate 999 00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:45,200 Speaker 12: him even if he's not, like Jim Jordan and Steve's 1000 00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:47,440 Speaker 12: glee saying I'm actively running for this. I'm going to 1001 00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:50,680 Speaker 12: pursue it. They could just you know, it's like a shove. 1002 00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:52,920 Speaker 1: I threw this up in the air earlier today. It 1003 00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:55,279 Speaker 1: was it was batted down. But I'm glad that you're 1004 00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:57,880 Speaker 1: open to this idea because if we go through, you know, 1005 00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:00,640 Speaker 1: fifteen ballots, nobody can get to two eight. And Kevin's 1006 00:53:00,640 --> 00:53:02,359 Speaker 1: sitting back there. I know he said this. 1007 00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:06,280 Speaker 4: Will not run for speaker again. I'll have the conference 1008 00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:07,120 Speaker 4: pick somebody else. 1009 00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:10,560 Speaker 1: But imagine the cameras zooming in on him watching all 1010 00:53:10,600 --> 00:53:15,719 Speaker 1: of this, the sentimental music starts playing, somebody nominates him. 1011 00:53:16,200 --> 00:53:18,759 Speaker 1: I don't know. It's entirely possible, isn't it. 1012 00:53:19,120 --> 00:53:21,520 Speaker 12: But could even he get to eighteen if there's eight. 1013 00:53:21,400 --> 00:53:24,640 Speaker 1: Who votes, Well, there's a fair point. Maybe no one can. 1014 00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:26,480 Speaker 1: We'll just operates a. 1015 00:53:26,560 --> 00:53:27,759 Speaker 12: Very real probability. 1016 00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:30,960 Speaker 1: Can we do that for a while? Lester Munson is 1017 00:53:31,000 --> 00:53:33,080 Speaker 1: with us now, of course, co head of the international 1018 00:53:33,120 --> 00:53:35,279 Speaker 1: practice at BGR Group, but it's spent quite a bit 1019 00:53:35,320 --> 00:53:37,960 Speaker 1: of time on Capitol Hill, in both the House and 1020 00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:40,359 Speaker 1: the Senate. Lester, it's good to have you talk us 1021 00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:43,520 Speaker 1: off the ledge here. Kevin McCarthy says he's not going 1022 00:53:43,600 --> 00:53:45,440 Speaker 1: to run. Do we have our field? Is this going 1023 00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,760 Speaker 1: to be Jim Jordan versus Steve Scalise? 1024 00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:52,200 Speaker 17: It seems like it's Jordan versus Scales to me. But 1025 00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:56,160 Speaker 17: what if they can't get to the requisite number of votes? 1026 00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:58,879 Speaker 17: That opens it back up. I don't think you can 1027 00:53:58,920 --> 00:54:01,640 Speaker 17: really rule out any thing at this point. I don't 1028 00:54:01,640 --> 00:54:03,359 Speaker 17: know if that keeps you on the ledge or gets 1029 00:54:03,360 --> 00:54:06,520 Speaker 17: you off the ledge, but I think we're in for 1030 00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:08,720 Speaker 17: a lot of chaos in the near future. 1031 00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:12,280 Speaker 12: Well, Lester, as we talk about the requisite number of votes, 1032 00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:15,400 Speaker 12: is anyone who can get support of some of these hardliners, 1033 00:54:15,400 --> 00:54:18,600 Speaker 12: some of which Austin McCarthy, even those that didn't vote 1034 00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:21,640 Speaker 12: to oust him still had voiced a lot of disappointment 1035 00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:24,960 Speaker 12: with him in not advancing the conservative policies that they wanted. 1036 00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:28,080 Speaker 12: Can you get those people and also get the moderates? 1037 00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:30,200 Speaker 12: Is this even really, really possible. 1038 00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,360 Speaker 17: You know, I think some of this stuff is so 1039 00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:40,240 Speaker 17: personal and so idiosyncratic, going member my member, they almost 1040 00:54:40,320 --> 00:54:43,280 Speaker 17: have each one has different reasons for doing what they're doing, 1041 00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:47,120 Speaker 17: and so can Scalice be the person who rises above 1042 00:54:47,160 --> 00:54:50,799 Speaker 17: all of that stuff and get enough support from the 1043 00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:55,160 Speaker 17: Republican Conference to become speaker? Maybe can Jordan do it? 1044 00:54:55,520 --> 00:54:57,560 Speaker 17: I do think it's less likely Jordan can do it, 1045 00:54:57,560 --> 00:54:58,960 Speaker 17: but I wouldn't rule it out. 1046 00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:01,040 Speaker 2: This. 1047 00:55:01,280 --> 00:55:04,960 Speaker 17: You know, Kevin McCarthy did some amazing stuff in just 1048 00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:06,799 Speaker 17: the few months he was speaker, a lot of things 1049 00:55:06,840 --> 00:55:09,960 Speaker 17: people didn't think he could do, but we all kind 1050 00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:12,640 Speaker 17: of knew that he was going to this judgment day 1051 00:55:12,760 --> 00:55:16,160 Speaker 17: was coming based on the number of people who were 1052 00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:19,040 Speaker 17: skeptical of his speakership and how thin a majority he 1053 00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:21,600 Speaker 17: had at the end of the day. The reason Republicans 1054 00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:24,000 Speaker 17: are in this position is because they have such a 1055 00:55:24,120 --> 00:55:27,799 Speaker 17: small majority. If that doesn't change this, this is just 1056 00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:28,840 Speaker 17: going to keep ongoing. 1057 00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:32,799 Speaker 1: The closer you get to the sun here, though, when 1058 00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:36,399 Speaker 1: it comes to allies of Kevin McCarthy, the more problematic 1059 00:55:37,000 --> 00:55:39,200 Speaker 1: this could be next week, right, I mean, Steve Scalise 1060 00:55:39,400 --> 00:55:43,319 Speaker 1: is not too many shades away from Kevin McCarthy when 1061 00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:46,280 Speaker 1: it comes to policy, and he's certainly been an avid 1062 00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:50,239 Speaker 1: supporter or was of Kevin McCarthy as speaker. So if 1063 00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:52,480 Speaker 1: you're a Matt Gates, are one of these ten Republicans 1064 00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:54,720 Speaker 1: who didn't like McCarthy, would you like Scalise? 1065 00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:55,560 Speaker 5: Well? 1066 00:55:55,560 --> 00:55:58,480 Speaker 17: I think I think Gates has specifically said he would 1067 00:55:58,760 --> 00:56:02,000 Speaker 17: he would think favorably about scalise candidacy. But but does 1068 00:56:02,040 --> 00:56:04,680 Speaker 17: that matter to the other voices or are there other 1069 00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:08,920 Speaker 17: voices within the conference that that don't like Congressman Scalise. 1070 00:56:09,040 --> 00:56:13,520 Speaker 17: There it just takes five really to oppose the nominee 1071 00:56:13,600 --> 00:56:16,440 Speaker 17: for that nominee to not become speaker, and then we're 1072 00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:19,880 Speaker 17: back where we were in January, where no one member 1073 00:56:19,920 --> 00:56:23,680 Speaker 17: can get a majority of the votes of those who 1074 00:56:23,760 --> 00:56:26,520 Speaker 17: are present on the floor at that time, and so 1075 00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:28,319 Speaker 17: we're going to all be going back to doing math. 1076 00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:32,000 Speaker 17: So who can who can get you know, the Republican 1077 00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:35,960 Speaker 17: Conference enough enough of those votes only lose two or 1078 00:56:35,960 --> 00:56:38,960 Speaker 17: three votes and get to be speaker. I don't think 1079 00:56:39,000 --> 00:56:42,000 Speaker 17: we know yet, and it's it's not it may take 1080 00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:45,080 Speaker 17: a few a few turns, you know, times around the 1081 00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:47,760 Speaker 17: block to figure out who's going to prevail. Here, this 1082 00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:49,600 Speaker 17: this could drag on for a few days. 1083 00:56:51,440 --> 00:56:53,719 Speaker 12: Well, we've seen it drag on for a few days 1084 00:56:53,719 --> 00:56:56,200 Speaker 12: back in January when it was Speaker McCarthy trying to 1085 00:56:56,200 --> 00:56:58,239 Speaker 12: get this done. It took four days, fifteen rounds, as 1086 00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:00,560 Speaker 12: we all know quite well. And no knowing that this 1087 00:57:00,600 --> 00:57:03,080 Speaker 12: fight is going to go down within just weeks of 1088 00:57:03,640 --> 00:57:07,760 Speaker 12: November seventeenth, when government funding is going to expire, Lester, 1089 00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:10,440 Speaker 12: is the House going to be so focused on its 1090 00:57:10,480 --> 00:57:13,840 Speaker 12: own internal dynamics that the regular business just does not 1091 00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:14,680 Speaker 12: get done. 1092 00:57:15,520 --> 00:57:19,000 Speaker 17: Well, like, yeah, for a long time. Yeah, Because because 1093 00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:21,200 Speaker 17: you can't do anything on the floor until you have 1094 00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:25,200 Speaker 17: an elected speaker. So the demands of the kind of 1095 00:57:25,240 --> 00:57:29,400 Speaker 17: the chaos caucus here, which is we want votes on 1096 00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:31,760 Speaker 17: the individual appropriation spills, which by the way, is kind 1097 00:57:31,760 --> 00:57:37,240 Speaker 17: of a sensible thing. Strangely, you can't do that until 1098 00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:41,320 Speaker 17: you have a speaker. So the longer time they spend 1099 00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:43,400 Speaker 17: on picking a speaker, the less time they have to 1100 00:57:43,400 --> 00:57:45,440 Speaker 17: do the things they say they want to do on 1101 00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:49,120 Speaker 17: the floor before we run into the time limit on 1102 00:57:49,160 --> 00:57:51,160 Speaker 17: the currency area and the other kind of tick and 1103 00:57:51,160 --> 00:57:54,320 Speaker 17: time bomb here is ad Ukraine. At a certain point, 1104 00:57:54,320 --> 00:57:56,600 Speaker 17: we're we're going to see a date emerge where we 1105 00:57:56,640 --> 00:57:58,560 Speaker 17: really where Congress is really going to need to act 1106 00:57:59,040 --> 00:58:02,040 Speaker 17: or to keep that pipe line of assistance going to 1107 00:58:02,200 --> 00:58:05,360 Speaker 17: Ukraine to sustain the effort against Russia. And so there's 1108 00:58:05,520 --> 00:58:09,240 Speaker 17: there are multiple complicating factors here, and the more time 1109 00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:12,360 Speaker 17: they spend on selecting the speaker, the harder those other 1110 00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:13,200 Speaker 17: things are going to become. 1111 00:58:14,600 --> 00:58:16,640 Speaker 1: We're going to be spending some time with Congressman Matt 1112 00:58:16,680 --> 00:58:20,479 Speaker 1: Gats a little bit later on today, Lester, what would 1113 00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:23,600 Speaker 1: you ask him? 1114 00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:30,560 Speaker 17: Well, I think I think you might want to ask him, 1115 00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:35,600 Speaker 17: how does he is he willing to compromise on any 1116 00:58:35,680 --> 00:58:38,040 Speaker 17: of his issues in order to get done the things 1117 00:58:38,040 --> 00:58:40,680 Speaker 17: he wants to get done? In other words, at a 1118 00:58:40,680 --> 00:58:43,200 Speaker 17: certain point, don't you have to trade? Don't you have 1119 00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:47,520 Speaker 17: to go for the good, good solution rather than the 1120 00:58:47,520 --> 00:58:51,040 Speaker 17: perfect solution. Are you willing to support a candidate for 1121 00:58:51,200 --> 00:58:53,600 Speaker 17: speaker who will do the things that you say you 1122 00:58:53,640 --> 00:58:55,720 Speaker 17: want to have done, even if you don't agree with 1123 00:58:55,760 --> 00:58:57,880 Speaker 17: that person on every single thing? Like, is there any 1124 00:58:57,920 --> 00:59:00,680 Speaker 17: compromising you at all on these issues? Because if you 1125 00:59:00,760 --> 00:59:03,320 Speaker 17: keep insisting on the one thing, you're not going to 1126 00:59:03,400 --> 00:59:05,400 Speaker 17: get the other thing. So at what point does that 1127 00:59:06,000 --> 00:59:08,000 Speaker 17: are you willing to compromise to balance out the things 1128 00:59:08,000 --> 00:59:08,880 Speaker 17: that you're asking for. 1129 00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:15,240 Speaker 12: I look forward to seeing how he answers that question. Lester. 1130 00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:17,720 Speaker 12: Just finally, because if you're watching on YouTube, you see 1131 00:59:17,760 --> 00:59:21,320 Speaker 12: Lester has a Chicago Bears pillow in the background. Lester, 1132 00:59:21,360 --> 00:59:24,200 Speaker 12: I'm a Broncos fan, good and I think last weekend 1133 00:59:24,200 --> 00:59:27,160 Speaker 12: maybe the only game we will win this season potentially. 1134 00:59:27,240 --> 00:59:28,920 Speaker 12: But he did beat you, guys. I'm very sorry for 1135 00:59:28,960 --> 00:59:29,480 Speaker 12: your loss. 1136 00:59:30,680 --> 00:59:32,680 Speaker 17: It's hard to be a Bears fan today. It's also 1137 00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:35,360 Speaker 17: hard to be a Republican these days. But you know 1138 00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:38,920 Speaker 17: we will. We will soldier on. 1139 00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:42,440 Speaker 1: Only Lester could get out of that so smoothly, Lester 1140 00:59:42,560 --> 00:59:47,800 Speaker 1: Munson with apologies, Kayley Lines, well done. I'm Joe Matthew 1141 00:59:47,800 --> 00:59:52,040 Speaker 1: in Washington. Thanks for listening to the sound On podcast. 1142 00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:55,240 Speaker 1: Make sure to subscribe if you haven't already, at Apple, Spotify, 1143 00:59:55,280 --> 00:59:57,720 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts, and you can 1144 00:59:57,760 --> 01:00:00,600 Speaker 1: find us live every weekday from Washington, d C. At 1145 01:00:00,600 --> 01:00:05,320 Speaker 1: one pm Eastern time at Bloomberg dot com.