Speaker 1: Leading off stars right now on Fantasy Pros. Brought to
Speaker 1: you by Bet MGM. I am your host today Chris
Speaker 1: Welsh brought probably with Andrew sifter Man. Andrew, I was
Speaker 1: looking forward to this week. I've had a stuttery stutter
Speaker 1: for the last couple shows and then right out the gates, I'm.
Speaker 2: Like and brought to you by Andrew Seifter.
Speaker 3: No happy to bring you on your show.
Speaker 1: Well, how apropos to the weekend of losing it? Except
Speaker 1: I lost it right here, not losing it in the
Speaker 1: ninth not losing it right on like Friday at like
Speaker 1: five minutes in Perfect Game gone, like Jim said it
Speaker 1: just right out the gates. We're not gonna screw it up.
Speaker 1: Andrew Sifter myself, I'm gonna be talking about all the
Speaker 1: baseball like the missed opportunity for me for the week.
Speaker 1: And Drew Rasmussen for a perfect game who came within
Speaker 1: two outs of a perfect game? The internet too, by
Speaker 1: the way, it was very slick this gogram. I feel
Speaker 1: like off of the last Perfect Game, no hitter and
Speaker 1: instead of like we got a perfect game, but everyone
Speaker 1: was doing their little like shenanigans online, like hey, you
Speaker 1: might want to tune in. Something's going on over here.
Speaker 1: The minute I tuned in, Bam, it was gone Drew
Speaker 1: Rasmussen two outs of a perfect game, and he went
Speaker 1: in Andrew into the ninth I believe, on a seventy
Speaker 1: nine pitch pitch count.
Speaker 2: Just absolutely phenomenal.
Speaker 1: Ras Musen was so good at the beginning of the year,
Speaker 1: really tailed off.
Speaker 2: Is it sad for you to watch.
Speaker 1: These perfect games go by? Are you kind of like,
Speaker 1: you know, are you an anarchist and you kind of
Speaker 1: just like, I'm here to watch these go away?
Speaker 4: I mean, I don't do the shot in freight of thing,
Speaker 4: So no, I'm not happy to see him lose it.
Speaker 4: You know, I do think I guess it was Bob
Speaker 4: Nightingale that was broke that little rule you were talking about,
Speaker 4: and he did actually mention it on Twitter. So there's
Speaker 4: always going to be somebody that will in this age
Speaker 4: of social media and there's no secrets left. But you know,
Speaker 4: you know, I like ras Musen. You look at his
Speaker 4: overall numbers for the season and they're actually almost identical
Speaker 4: to what he did last season. So he has his
Speaker 4: ups and downs. His peripherals are always much worse than
Speaker 4: his surface. Stats, but maybe he's just one of those
Speaker 4: guys that the you know, advanced stats don't fully capture, right.
Speaker 4: I mean, it's a little early to say that. I guess,
Speaker 4: you know, it's really only been two seasons.
Speaker 3: But I don't know. I don't. I don't mind riding
Speaker 3: Drew Rasmussen.
Speaker 2: I don't either.
Speaker 1: Almost one hundred innings under his belt under a three
Speaker 1: era x FIP is nothing crazy three and a half,
Speaker 1: so it's not like there's a major swing in the
Speaker 1: wrong direction. Strikeouts have been a little bit low, and
Speaker 1: they were a little bit low in this one, but
Speaker 1: he was completely efficient.
Speaker 2: This stat was wild to me.
Speaker 1: Wonk actually just brought something up in the chat that
Speaker 1: it's been ten years to the day since the last
Speaker 1: perfect game. Well, ESPN and MLB Metrics both shared this
Speaker 1: stat that since the last perfect game, there have been
Speaker 1: nine pitchers to take it to the ninth and lose it.
Speaker 1: Nine pitchers since the last one have gone to the
Speaker 1: ninth and lose a perfect game in the ninth.
Speaker 2: That's a wild stat. Do you want to I don't, Andrew?
Speaker 2: Did you click on the tweet it all?
Speaker 3: Uh? No, I didn't do it?
Speaker 1: Okay, you want to take a guess at any of
Speaker 1: those names that were the nine that have lost it
Speaker 1: in the ninth since Felix Hernandez is perfect game in
Speaker 1: twenty twelve.
Speaker 3: Gosh, it's so hard for me to remember.
Speaker 2: Obviously got Drew, You got Drew sure.
Speaker 1: Surezer is one in twenty fifteen, nailed that with the Nationals.
Speaker 3: Oh, I gotta keep going, Verlander.
Speaker 1: If you want to name one, you're right, I did
Speaker 1: your job, all right. I will start off twenty thirteen.
Speaker 1: Let's see if the chat mean the chat. You guys
Speaker 1: could be looking at this. I don't know if anyone's
Speaker 1: putting in there, but twenty thirteen you Darvish with the Rangers.
Speaker 1: Use Merril Petite with the Giants against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Speaker 1: Then you had Suresuer Rich Hill in twenty seventeen with
Speaker 1: the Dodgers at Pittsburgh. Jorge Lopez, How funny is that?
Speaker 1: Now with the Royals at Minnesota, and now he's there
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay in twenty nineteen lost the combined at Baltimore.
Speaker 1: Mike Leak maybe the best name on this entire one
Speaker 1: against the Angels, and the last one before Resbusen was
Speaker 1: last year Carlos Redawn at Cleveland nine pitchers who lost
Speaker 1: their perfect game in the ninth since the last perfect game.
Speaker 4: Seems like that's that shows us there's no correlation. You
Speaker 4: could be at one of the best pictures of all time,
Speaker 4: or you could be a nobody and you could have
Speaker 4: a close to a perfect game. So I don't know
Speaker 4: what that says about. Drew rasmuson really nothing.
Speaker 1: I guess the problem with like no hitters in perfect
Speaker 1: games too, is it it is a Schmorgesborg of like, guys,
Speaker 1: you look over here and you're like, here's Dallas Brayden,
Speaker 1: and then over here here's you know, justin Verlander. You know,
Speaker 1: you have like the best and the We're not calling
Speaker 1: Dallas Braden the worst, but I mean Mike Leak, I
Speaker 1: might be willing.
Speaker 2: To call the worst like this list.
Speaker 1: Like you said, yes, Mara Betit and Mike Leak on
Speaker 1: this same list as like you, Darvish, Max Scherzer.
Speaker 2: That is yeah.
Speaker 4: It's also it's also interesting, you know, I feel like
Speaker 4: there's more no hitters now than ever before, but fewer
Speaker 4: perfect games. Maybe because it's like with all the strikeouts,
Speaker 4: it's easier to avoid giving up hits. But maybe the
Speaker 4: you know, walk rates are up some so it's interesting
Speaker 4: how that dynamic has sort of shifted over time.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I've always had the correlation to the hitting side,
Speaker 1: where the cycle is to the no hitter, as the
Speaker 1: four home run game is to the perfect game, like
Speaker 1: those are. Those have always been those correlations because I
Speaker 1: feel like we've seen cycles. I guess have tapered down
Speaker 1: a little bit, but we've had some runs. When cycles happen,
Speaker 1: I feel like they just like up above, we get
Speaker 1: like a whole bunch of them. But I would have
Speaker 1: loved it. I love the perfect game. It's such a
Speaker 1: unicorn of a thing to happen. And we almost had it,
Speaker 1: but it was lost in the ninth just like me
Speaker 1: playing on MLB the Show against Bogman. I had a
Speaker 1: no hitter going in our first game of for months
Speaker 1: last week. Oh we were streaming, and I lost it
Speaker 1: in the ninth inning, of course, because of how that goes.
Speaker 2: Uh, shame, shame, shame.
Speaker 1: Brady Singer ends the Dodgers twelve game winning streak. And
Speaker 1: Brady Singer has been quite the dude since all of
Speaker 1: us have wanted him to not be the dude, and
Speaker 1: on the year, He's got an over nine k per nine.
Speaker 1: He's crossed over the one hundred innings pitch marker three
Speaker 1: two nine ERA with a very impressive three three five FIP.
Speaker 2: Home runs of kept in check.
Speaker 1: Really, everything you look at are the underlinings of I
Speaker 1: don't want to call an elite pitcher, but like a
Speaker 1: top flight pitcher. How trustworthy are you with Brady Singer
Speaker 1: through the rest of the season, Like do you I know,
Speaker 1: like back and forth, like Nick Pollock has been a
Speaker 1: little bit questionable, but on him, but you go and
Speaker 1: look at the stuff and the results, like how much
Speaker 1: trustworthiness do you have in Singer through the end of
Speaker 1: this year.
Speaker 4: I'm feeling good about him right now. I mean, how
Speaker 4: can you not after doing that against the Dodgers. Of course,
Speaker 4: in this twelve team league I'm in my home league.
Speaker 4: People haven't really given much respect to Singer because he's
Speaker 4: been on the waiver wire more and then not. I
Speaker 4: picked him up for the one bad start he had
Speaker 4: in that stretch, and then cut him again, and now
Speaker 4: I picked him up again. You know, he's a two
Speaker 4: pitch pitcher, so I think that always gives you a
Speaker 4: little bit of cause for concern. With the starter, but
Speaker 4: he's making it work, especially with his slider. It's really
Speaker 4: effective pitch right now for him. He's got some really
Speaker 4: juicy matchups coming up here as well, So I'm absolutely
Speaker 4: going to ride the hot hand with Brady Singer right now.
Speaker 1: In June he had a five nine to seven ERA.
Speaker 1: In the month of July and August he has had
Speaker 1: a sub two five WHIP. He had a two oh
Speaker 1: five whip inly I'm sorry era in July and a
Speaker 1: two three three ERA in August. So he went from
Speaker 1: a first half of a four ERA where he gave
Speaker 1: up eleven homers a little bit short of his sort
Speaker 1: of a sample size here eleven homers batting to throwing
Speaker 1: to a two sixty two batting average in the second
Speaker 1: half a one sixty seven ERA, given up only two homers.
Speaker 2: Walks have cooled a little bit.
Speaker 1: The batting average under two hundred. He has dominated hitters
Speaker 1: on this on this second half of the year and
Speaker 1: looks really really good.
Speaker 2: And this is a little.
Speaker 1: Bit more telling of ESPN, but his ownership in ESPN's
Speaker 1: only fifty seven percent.
Speaker 2: But I mentioned this on.
Speaker 1: A couple itl shows you can tell like ESPN's so
Speaker 1: wonked because there's so many people who have just given
Speaker 1: up and not playing the major, major guys that are
Speaker 1: on a pickup list every single week. Then both of
Speaker 1: them like, don't even move over sixty percent because there's
Speaker 1: so many people, doesn't matter what the percentage just look.
Speaker 2: Like over there.
Speaker 1: There's so many dead leagues and you know, just dead
Speaker 1: ownership across the board that it doesn't move the table
Speaker 1: quite enough. And or actually, you know what that was
Speaker 1: Yahoo and ESPN's the same thing. It's even the lower
Speaker 1: but Yahoo only fifty seven percent for some of the
Speaker 1: same reason.
Speaker 4: That's what I was gonna say. I was gonna say
Speaker 4: it's fifty seven percent of Yahoo. I think it maybe
Speaker 4: it's just the Royals too.
Speaker 3: I feel like there's.
Speaker 4: Certain teams that just haven't had a lot of great
Speaker 4: pitchers over the years, and people just sort of start
Speaker 4: giving up on certain franch and having biases towards, you know,
Speaker 4: franchises that are always pumping out top pictures. I think
Speaker 4: we've seen this maybe with the Orioles as well. People
Speaker 4: don't want to ever trust Orioles pitchers just because of
Speaker 4: past history. But we got to look at the numbers
Speaker 4: and we you know, I think that what you brought
Speaker 4: up about Singer's walk rate is really important. I mean,
Speaker 4: that's way down from last season. It's barely over two
Speaker 4: walks per nine right now, which is a much more
Speaker 4: manageable rate for him.
Speaker 3: So I like what.
Speaker 4: He's doing and don't don't hold that Royal's affiliation against him.
Speaker 1: You know, it's something to think about, Like it'll probably
Speaker 1: be something down the line. It's impossible to read engage
Speaker 1: from this guy, but you really got to wonder, like
Speaker 1: what maybe rubbed off from Zach Granky. You know, hopefully
Speaker 1: the good stuff and not the bad stuff.
Speaker 2: But you know, Granky goes in in.
Speaker 1: The Diamondbacks and they got Zach Gallon, and Zach Gallen
Speaker 1: kind of even retransformed who he was.
Speaker 2: Same thing is happening here.
Speaker 1: I don't know if there's a direct correlation, but you
Speaker 1: have like those veteran pitchers that if you want to
Speaker 1: talk about a guy that understands pitching pitching, that's Zach
Speaker 1: Grank and really may have rubbed.
Speaker 2: Off in a positive way.
Speaker 1: A couple of the headline notes here Dustin May recorded
Speaker 1: ten strikeouts or five innings on Sunday in his last
Speaker 1: minor League rehab start in Triple A. He also tossed
Speaker 1: an immaculate inning.
Speaker 2: Which is crazy.
Speaker 1: He needed just seventy pitches in those five innings and
Speaker 1: this is coming back from Tommy John. He is slated
Speaker 1: to return to the Dodgers rotation on Saturday against the Marlins.
Speaker 1: Are you a full trust Dustin May? Guy? Put him
Speaker 1: in no worries. We don't really have a gauge of
Speaker 1: like how far.
Speaker 2: They'll push him.
Speaker 1: They pushed him seventy in his last I could see
Speaker 1: him going seventy five to eighty in his first start
Speaker 1: if they're pushing him like that in Triple A. But Andrew,
Speaker 1: what's your trust level on Dustin May? For this weekend?
Speaker 4: I'm happy to just plug him right into my lineup.
Speaker 4: I don't know what we're going to get for the
Speaker 4: entire season. I think that's a little more unclear, but
Speaker 4: I feel like when he's starting, you just go with it,
Speaker 4: you know. I Mean it was only five starts last year,
Speaker 4: but he took this massive step forward last year in
Speaker 4: the swinging strike rate, the k per nine. He just
Speaker 4: looked like the dominant pitcher that he was supposed to
Speaker 4: be in the first place, and he's looked like that
Speaker 4: dominant pitcher as well in his rehab outings, so you know,
Speaker 4: he looks like he could step right in and just
Speaker 4: miss a ton of bats. And you love the Dodgers situation.
Speaker 4: I mean, if you're hunting for wins, it's always a
Speaker 4: good place. It's a team with a great track record
Speaker 4: with pitchers. I mean, we're seeing guys like you know,
Speaker 4: Tyler Anderson, Tony Goslin, you name it. These guys are
Speaker 4: all coming in and they are awesome fantasy options. So
Speaker 4: I would I would love to just have Dustin May
Speaker 4: on my roster and in my lineup.
Speaker 1: One thing I'm going to be really monitoring to is
Speaker 1: how they treat the innings of all three of those
Speaker 1: guys you just said obviously May, but throwing in Gonsolin
Speaker 1: and Tyler Anderson just because you gotta wonder if you
Speaker 1: get into September, if they start to screw around and
Speaker 1: maybe try to piggyback. That's always been the big worry
Speaker 1: for me, is if they tried any type of piggyback
Speaker 1: to lower the innings on any of these guys. There's
Speaker 1: don't really signs yet. Maybe it's just going to be
Speaker 1: a six man rotation is something they would consider over piggybacking,
Speaker 1: but just an eye on it, and you know, coming
Speaker 1: off with Tommy John's always a little scary. But Dustin
Speaker 1: May's arsenal that like two seemy just flipping fastball is
Speaker 1: just one of I think it's one of the best
Speaker 1: pitches in baseball, if you especially for fastball usage.
Speaker 2: It's just it's absolutely absurd to me.
Speaker 1: And if his command is there, he's gonna put up
Speaker 1: some really good results. Early on last on the big headlines,
Speaker 1: Jeff Passing over the Weekend Reporter that the Nationals are
Speaker 1: finally going to promote C. J.
Speaker 2: Abrams from Triple A.
Speaker 1: For whatever reason, they sent him down there to, you know,
Speaker 1: get a better look at Caesar or Hernandez. But Luis
Speaker 1: Garcia is going on the injured list. And in a
Speaker 1: short period of time, I believe it was eight games
Speaker 1: over in Triple A, Abrams was hitting two ninety and
Speaker 1: had four stolen bases. No real big power. I think
Speaker 1: he had two doubles. I think eleven hits, so not
Speaker 1: you know, only two extra base hits of that of
Speaker 1: any variety, but the stolen bases were there. He got
Speaker 1: to get acclimated a little bit and he's gonna come
Speaker 1: up and he's just one of those guys. Maybe not
Speaker 1: in a points league because he's not showing off like
Speaker 1: really impressive anything power whatsoever, but anytype a category row C. J.
Speaker 2: Abrams is a.
Speaker 1: Must attempt pick up in my eyes, if he can
Speaker 1: finish out the year. What say you on Abrams?
Speaker 4: Yeah, And he did hit seven homers in thirty Triple
Speaker 4: A games with the Padres at the beginning of the year,
Speaker 4: so there is still some power potential there, I think
Speaker 4: as well. And you know, oftentimes with these prospects, it's
Speaker 4: enough pressure having to come up to the big leagues,
Speaker 4: but when you're coming up to a title contending team
Speaker 4: and a team where there's a lot of competition for
Speaker 4: playing time, I.
Speaker 3: Think that just really adds extra pressure. And I think C. J.
Speaker 4: Abrams is a player that might benefit now from being
Speaker 4: out of the spotlight, just getting to play every day
Speaker 4: without a lot of huge expectations on him. So because
Speaker 4: the physical tools, the hit tool, it's all there. We've
Speaker 4: seen it in the minors, and I think he could
Speaker 4: put it together this year. I mean, you never know
Speaker 4: with rookies, but I like the situation being out of
Speaker 4: the spotlight of San Diego.
Speaker 1: And he's aggressive on the base paths too. I remember
Speaker 1: I was at his first major league game this year,
Speaker 1: was against the Diamond, and you know, he was like
Speaker 1: first first played appearance. I think I don't remember if
Speaker 1: he got on by uh, you know, a lineout or
Speaker 1: whatever it was. He just got on first and he
Speaker 1: immediately went to steal on the first one. So I
Speaker 1: mean he has been hyper, hyper aggressive on stolen bases.
Speaker 1: He has next let I've called it used to be
Speaker 1: the buckst in power. How I've referred to the minor
Speaker 1: league speed. I'm sorry, the Bucks and speed. The I've
Speaker 1: referred to as the Abram speed because the guy flies.
Speaker 1: He does have power when he's really seeing the ball. Well,
Speaker 1: it's been a little crazy over the last couple years
Speaker 1: in his adjustment period, but Abrams is a guy if
Speaker 1: you're trying to get stolen bases with a decent hit tool,
Speaker 1: you should pick him up.
Speaker 2: I don't know if they'll put him high in the lineup.
Speaker 1: I doubt they will early on, but there's always that
Speaker 1: possibility to be.
Speaker 2: Able the lookout for that. Some injuries.
Speaker 1: Travis Darnaut should return tonight versus the Mets. Dustin may As,
Speaker 1: we talked about how that rehab stent could tell Marte
Speaker 1: is considered day to day with some hamstring tightness and
Speaker 1: Ramon Lariano left Sunday's game with left side soreness.
Speaker 2: Always speculate wonder could tell, uh, maybe get a little
Speaker 2: bit banged up.
Speaker 1: Maybe they consider putting him on the IL and maybe
Speaker 1: they say, you know what, let's bring up that Corbyn Carrol.
Speaker 2: Let's just bring him up.
Speaker 1: We'll slide someone over at second, we get another body
Speaker 1: in there. Just be on the lookout for that. Here
Speaker 1: was a fun fact to this day in baseball Wonky
Speaker 1: put on here. In nineteen fifty five, pitcher Warren Span
Speaker 1: of the Milwaukee Brewers hit a home run off of
Speaker 1: Mel Wright of the Saint Louis Cardinals to give Span
Speaker 1: a home run in every National League park in nineteen
Speaker 1: fifty five.
Speaker 2: That seems like, what is that? What do you I
Speaker 2: would love to know what does that look like? Right now?
Speaker 1: As far as like guys hitting, they're making a bigger
Speaker 1: deal about this stat when you know it was the
Speaker 1: AL versus the NL, and they were all these separate
Speaker 1: league type of things. I use air quotes, but like,
Speaker 1: I would kind of love to see an active player
Speaker 1: board of hitting homers in separate leagues or maybe even
Speaker 1: more so, how many active players do you think of
Speaker 1: hit a home run in every ballpark in Major League Baseball?
Speaker 1: There's got to be some, right, or do you think
Speaker 1: it's low like to none?
Speaker 3: Well, I think that.
Speaker 4: I mean, the real part of that stat was that
Speaker 4: he's a pitch sure, right, and it was Waukee Braves
Speaker 4: back then. Actually, but yeah, I mean I don't know
Speaker 4: how many I would assume some of these guys that
Speaker 4: have been in you know, playing for twenty years or
Speaker 4: something like that, like maybe like a Nelson Cruise or
Speaker 4: someone like that.
Speaker 2: Pool Holes Cruise, Yeah, pool.
Speaker 4: Holes, Yeah, exactly, some of those guys maybe. But you know,
Speaker 4: I think back then in the fifties, there wasn't as
Speaker 4: much specialization, so the pictures had to, you know, know
Speaker 4: how to work the bat a little bit, maybe more
Speaker 4: than they do now. I mean now, I think with
Speaker 4: you know, with these high school kids, even you're seeing
Speaker 4: I mean a lot of times the pictures are the
Speaker 4: best player on the team in a high school team,
Speaker 4: they're the best hitter and the best picture. You know,
Speaker 4: but then they get into the minor league system and
Speaker 4: they stop ever focusing on the hitting aspect at all.
Speaker 4: So by the time they get up to the big leagues,
Speaker 4: they're not much of a hitter anymore. But but you know,
Speaker 4: I think back then that was not something that happened.
Speaker 4: So maybe you saw some pictures that could swing the
Speaker 4: bat a little bit.
Speaker 1: I wasn't and I wasn't even like processing that when
Speaker 1: I was saying that one. Ki's a hundred percent right,
Speaker 1: adds any even more interesting stat also on what you
Speaker 1: were just saying. I want to talk about two way players.
Speaker 1: Just throwing it out there for everybody. Brenda McKay with
Speaker 1: a red Race, just did a little rehab start the
Speaker 1: other day, so I don't know if he's coming back.
Speaker 1: Be very interesting to see if the Rays continue looking
Speaker 1: at him as a two way player because of all
Speaker 1: of the injuries. Here's a little deep dive. We don't
Speaker 1: have to go too crazy into it, but you know,
Speaker 1: we haven't done. This is something Joe and I did
Speaker 1: a whole lot, and this was more so because of
Speaker 1: one of these Races moving across. I went and took
Speaker 1: a look at all of the future MLB futures for
Speaker 1: awards and bets, and there is still one bet on
Speaker 1: here that I think you can take, but almost every
Speaker 1: other bet probably no shocker. It's mid August.
Speaker 2: You should see it like this.
Speaker 1: But there are no tight races but one and the
Speaker 1: Furthest Race. This is actually probably shocker number two. The
Speaker 1: furthest race of any of these is the al MVP.
Speaker 1: Aaron Judges moved to minus six point fifty six and
Speaker 1: a half on the favorite and Otani now a plus
Speaker 1: four point fifty. Andrew, Joe and I have been very
Speaker 1: very heavy about what O'tani had been doing mid season
Speaker 1: as a two way player. It's I think it's still
Speaker 1: hard to not give that to him. But my god,
Speaker 1: the books have moved.
Speaker 2: There is no.
Speaker 1: Bigger deficit or favorite, if you will, on any of these,
Speaker 1: but the al MVP race.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, this is just one of those things
Speaker 4: where it's like, really, if Otani keeps doing this, like
Speaker 4: he should be the MVP every year, like there should
Speaker 4: Like you can't really compare the value, but I know,
Speaker 4: like Judge is having a truly special season, and I
Speaker 4: mean he could challenge the home run record even and
Speaker 4: you know the Yankees are a great team, and uh,
Speaker 4: you know this is a this is a career season,
Speaker 4: I think for Aaron Judge. So I understand wanting to
Speaker 4: recognize that. So you know, the MVP is not it's
Speaker 4: not a statistical competition. It's judged by people who have
Speaker 4: bias sees and you know, make up their own minds
Speaker 4: about these things. So we hear this all the time
Speaker 4: about how much it matters how good the team is.
Speaker 4: You know, how valuable can you be if your team's
Speaker 4: not that good and things like that. But so, yeah,
Speaker 4: I mean, I understand why the betting is in favor
Speaker 4: of Judge, but I do think that if you want
Speaker 4: to just talk about who is the most valuable player,
Speaker 4: it has to be Otani.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And like Wonky brings up this point saying, don't
Speaker 1: you throw ten bucks on Atani at this point? Sure,
Speaker 1: But I said this a long long time ago that
Speaker 1: I felt like, and this is like a commonplace that
Speaker 1: will happen with like writers and stuff, is there'll be
Speaker 1: a point where it's like they give it to somebody
Speaker 1: and they're going to look at themselves in the mirror
Speaker 1: and go, we can't give this guy this award every
Speaker 1: single year. So they're literally going to give him a
Speaker 1: strike because he's so amazing, and it's like, well, now
Speaker 1: you got to do something more amazing for us, and
Speaker 1: that could be something that leads to Otani not winning
Speaker 1: this as if it's literally just like yeah, this is
Speaker 1: great and all, but like, look at this guy.
Speaker 2: He did this really cool thing.
Speaker 1: This is different from who he was when you're right
Speaker 1: at the end of the day, it probably should be Otan.
Speaker 1: This will be an Otani Award. It's a really fascinating number.
Speaker 1: And I don't disagree with Wonky, you know, don't throw
Speaker 1: it on there. But the problem has been is Judge
Speaker 1: is never cool down this whole season. We've had little
Speaker 1: you know, ups and downs, ebbs and flows with Otani,
Speaker 1: and I think that's hurting the odds on a daily basis.
Speaker 1: But why not make the bet.
Speaker 4: It's kind of like the Oscars, you know, like in
Speaker 4: the Oscars, they always want to give an actor the
Speaker 4: award when they think it's like the one chance they
Speaker 4: have left to give it to them or something like that.
Speaker 4: You know, this is the chance to give it to
Speaker 4: Judge Otani. They know there's going to be more chances
Speaker 4: in the future to give it to them, or at least.
Speaker 3: They think there are, so I think that could be working.
Speaker 1: Against them, Like they're more of a disaster than they've
Speaker 1: been in kind of a long time, especially with losing Trout,
Speaker 1: so that might be part of it. There's some other
Speaker 1: races that, look, you know, I think they're kind of locked.
Speaker 1: Goldi in the NL is minus one forty. Riley is
Speaker 1: plus three fifty. That one, I guess it could be open.
Speaker 1: That one feels a lot more locked. You've got the
Speaker 1: AL Awards very interesting. Verlander minus one fifty five ceases
Speaker 1: plus two hundred. McClanahan is two six or six hundred.
Speaker 1: I still think Verlander is still kind of a walk
Speaker 1: on that. Sandy Alcontra is a huge push over on
Speaker 1: the NL side, he's minus two eighty. And then when
Speaker 1: you go over to the Rookie Awards, the number two
Speaker 1: biggest deficit is Julio And I'm actually I was actually
Speaker 1: a little bit surprised at this, not because Julio has
Speaker 1: been incredible, but I just thought with some of the mistime,
Speaker 1: Wit could have gained a little bit of ground. Uh No,
Speaker 1: it's gotten worse. It is minus six hundred six to
Speaker 1: one on your money for Julio in the opposite direction
Speaker 1: minus six hundred, Wit is ten to one for your
Speaker 1: money plus one thousand.
Speaker 2: That's a huge deficit.
Speaker 1: But the one bet I think you can make is
Speaker 1: the NL Rookie of the Year Award. Spencer Streider currently
Speaker 1: has a lead. He's actually pitching today. He's incredible minus
Speaker 1: one fifteen, but his teammate Michael Harris is plus one fifteen.
Speaker 1: The thing you do have to worry about that is
Speaker 1: them monopolizing each other and eating themselves both up. But
Speaker 1: I thought I was going to look at this and
Speaker 1: I was going to see Michael Harris as a leader
Speaker 1: with Strider right behind. This is a bet, though I'm
Speaker 1: not getting a lot of good mind, I think it's
Speaker 1: the only bet that I can make. I feel like,
Speaker 1: with any chance whatsoever, that is not the favorite.
Speaker 4: Andrew, Yeah, I mean, I actually do like Michael Harris
Speaker 4: in that competition, But it is real close. I mean,
Speaker 4: when guys are, you know, on the same team, it's
Speaker 4: kind of makes it more complicated, I guess. But yeah,
Speaker 4: I mean, you know, with Wit, I sort of get it,
Speaker 4: just because the Royals aren't competitive, and you know, the
Speaker 4: Mariners are surprising some people by being in the Pennant race,
Speaker 4: being in the playoff chase. So I think that that's
Speaker 4: working in Julio's favor for sure. But you know al
Speaker 4: Contra too, I get it. But at the same time, like,
Speaker 4: why do we think he's such.
Speaker 3: A lock for that award?
Speaker 4: I mean, like, there are other good pitchers in the
Speaker 4: National League who are on winning teams.
Speaker 3: I mean, like, could.
Speaker 1: Plus eight hundred, he's eight to one, he's that Look
Speaker 1: at that deficit.
Speaker 2: Two eighty two plus eight.
Speaker 1: Hundred is the deficit between al Contra and the number
Speaker 1: two better?
Speaker 4: What if, like what if Scherzer just dominates the rest
Speaker 4: of the season, could he get in that race?
Speaker 2: I don't think so.
Speaker 1: I think Sandy has been too dominant with how far
Speaker 1: he's gone into games. I mean, maybe the numbers don't
Speaker 1: look like astronomical as far as like strikeouts and stuff,
Speaker 1: but he has been maybe the most he's been the
Speaker 1: most valuable player of all of that. And I think
Speaker 1: it's it's a very like textbookie type of bet that
Speaker 1: I think, like purists would do. I get what you're saying.
Speaker 1: I totally get what you're saying, because it's like if
Speaker 1: you had six weeks of one of these guys six
Speaker 1: weeks of Joe Musgrove taken the team on his back,
Speaker 1: or you know, even Corbyn Burns.
Speaker 2: Or sures Are, Like you said, you could do it,
Speaker 2: but I.
Speaker 1: Think it's too much ground to push. Like I'm looking here,
Speaker 1: Suresier is forty to one if you wanted to make
Speaker 1: that bet, but that was so much ground in time, well,
Speaker 1: he had time lost on the year.
Speaker 2: I think it's a lost cause.
Speaker 1: I think anything may maybe you place a bet on
Speaker 1: like fandle or something so you can cash out if
Speaker 1: you're getting close. But I just I think this is
Speaker 1: an oucontra run away with it. So I'm taking my ba.
Speaker 4: I guess, I just I guess I just don't really
Speaker 4: understand it, because I mean, the Marlins are not a
Speaker 4: good team. It's not a major media market. Really, I
Speaker 4: just I don't really get why he's such an overwhelming favorite.
Speaker 3: I guess. I mean he's a great pitcher, don't get
Speaker 3: me wrong.
Speaker 1: You get forty to one if you want to bet
Speaker 1: yours right now, that's pretty good, right you want to
Speaker 1: make that bet.
Speaker 2: Here's some stats.
Speaker 1: Drew Rasmussen, as we talked about when eight and one
Speaker 1: third did give up that earned run a hit seven
Speaker 1: strikeouts in his almost perfect bid. Michael Waka struck out
Speaker 1: nine over seven, only giving up two hits for Boston.
Speaker 1: Blake Snell a ten strikeout game over six. Bryce Elder
Speaker 1: struck out ten and seven for Atlanta, and Brady Singer
Speaker 1: struck out seven over six, giving up only one hit.
Speaker 2: That did walk three. We talked about the walk rate was.
Speaker 1: A little bit walk eh in that game. Over on
Speaker 1: the hitter side, Brian Reynolds at a homer with a
Speaker 1: five RBI game this weekend, Christian Walker hit a bomb
Speaker 1: and he actually had.
Speaker 2: Other hits, which is incredible. Four for five.
Speaker 1: That's not something he does. Albert Poolholes had two homers
Speaker 1: in his Do you think Albert Pooles legitimately could get
Speaker 1: to that seven hundred marker. I think he's eleven away
Speaker 1: in six. Do you think like some mirror, do you
Speaker 1: see a miracle of baseball where he gets his seven
Speaker 1: hundred or is he gonna just have one of those?
Speaker 1: To me, it's super depressing when a guy in some
Speaker 1: things so close, like if I were at six ninety eight,
Speaker 1: I would have to play for another month next year
Speaker 1: to get to seven hundred. Maybe it's an OCD thing,
Speaker 1: but you think you can get to seven.
Speaker 4: Well, the triggy thing is, you know, a lot of
Speaker 4: it I think comes down to how much playing time
Speaker 4: he gets, really, you know, And the problem is that
Speaker 4: the Cardinals need to win games, so they're not going
Speaker 4: to be in a situation at the end of the year.
Speaker 4: I don't think where they can be like, oh, let's
Speaker 4: just play auber Pools every day for two weeks so
Speaker 4: you can get there. You know, like, they're not going
Speaker 4: to be able to make that sort of decision. They
Speaker 4: have to decide what lineup gives them the best chance
Speaker 4: of winning each and every day. So I would lean
Speaker 4: against it just for that reason. But it will be
Speaker 4: a sad trombone if you finishes a couple homers short
Speaker 4: totally agree.
Speaker 1: I hate that stuff, and they're not going to count.
Speaker 1: They don't count the playoff run to it, because you
Speaker 1: can have like six ninety eight, then go into the
Speaker 1: playoffs hit a couple and then we could all just
Speaker 1: like be like, well, it's seven hundred.
Speaker 3: Do we get a month of pooholes next season?
Speaker 2: Then yeah, that's what I mean, That's what I would do.
Speaker 2: But he seems like he's done. I just wouldn't be.
Speaker 1: Able to help myself. I'm at Rosario, guy, I'm Rosario.
Speaker 1: Homer and stolen based combo meal looking very very good.
Speaker 1: Eight homers eleven stolen bases on the year, with a
Speaker 1: two eighty eight batting average and a very low strikeout rate,
Speaker 1: sixty four runs as well, pushing to maybe that ninety,
Speaker 1: maybe even one hundred of things go well on the
Speaker 1: back half. Any pas Quentino had a homer, Alex Bregman
Speaker 1: a homer, Pollock Buxton combo meal byro Estrada had a
Speaker 1: combo meal, and Raphael Devers homer going.
Speaker 2: Two for four.
Speaker 1: Some stat Zeros Ryan felt their six earned runs and
Speaker 1: four and one third. Justin Dunn gave up five earned
Speaker 1: runs and seven hits, walked a couple didn't get to
Speaker 1: the fourth. Kevin Gousman Kevin Gousman four and two thirds,
Speaker 1: five earned runs, give up nine hits, a couple, Thompson,
Speaker 1: Zach and Keegan five and runs, four earned runs expect respectively.
Speaker 1: Kevin Gousman Andrew like a little bit of a taper off.
Speaker 1: Like I know, we all want to talk about the
Speaker 1: Seaan McClanahan taper off, but Gossman's been a little bit
Speaker 1: uh wonky on this second half.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm disappointed. I'm a big Kevin Gasman. I was
Speaker 4: a kool Aid drinker, so that is frustrating. But I mean,
Speaker 4: look at his peripherals though still. I mean, he's got
Speaker 4: a ten point four or five k per nine, which
Speaker 4: is virtually identical to last season with the Giants. The
Speaker 4: walk rate is the best of his entire career. It's
Speaker 4: one point five to four walks per nine. He's not
Speaker 4: giving up home runs either. I mean, like he's he's
Speaker 4: on pace to shatter his best home run allowed number.
Speaker 4: So it's kind of like hard to understand a little
Speaker 4: bit why he's struggling. I mean, is it just maybe
Speaker 4: a babep thing. I mean, his underlying numbers are still
Speaker 4: very good, so I don't know. I'm a take it
Speaker 4: from a hopelessly biased Kevin Gosman cheerleader, but I'm not
Speaker 4: I still would be buying Kevin Gosman.
Speaker 1: Gossman in the second half a four let's see a
Speaker 1: four to one three era compared to his two eight
Speaker 1: seven first half era, not as his disappointing for sure,
Speaker 1: disappointing right there on the zeros for the hitters. Willie
Speaker 1: Pastro four strikeouts on you know Cruise for strikeouts. Would
Speaker 1: you look at that? Matt Verlin four strikeouts, Berdie Chapman,
Speaker 1: Judge and Cedric Mullins all over with three strikeouts.
Speaker 2: So no point.
Speaker 1: Oh drop them yeah, drop them all, yeah, drop every
Speaker 1: single one them, Drop that Judge, drop that Mullins, get
Speaker 1: them out of there. The home end contest Friends is
Speaker 1: getting very very tricky because we have a tie high.
Speaker 1: Cubby and Dee Blum are tied at forty two. None
Speaker 1: of them hit homers. It looks like this weekend or
Speaker 1: maybe one of them to Goldie one so too. Maybe
Speaker 1: this red is for yesterday. Yeah, that's for the eight
Speaker 1: to fourteen, so yesterday. Note they didn't have it. Terry
Speaker 1: Mayer and Go Cards all at forty and then the
Speaker 1: list kind of tapers down. I did not hit a
Speaker 1: Julio one unfortunately for this weekend, so I didn't play
Speaker 1: any catch.
Speaker 2: Up on the bets.
Speaker 1: I've pulled the number one on the total basin strikeout
Speaker 1: and then the number one positive, so the number one
Speaker 1: total base bet. According to betting pros MLB prop cheat
Speaker 1: sheet algorithm is Matt Chapman today because he's at a
Speaker 1: total base marker of one. You just have to get
Speaker 1: one total base today, but it is juiced to minus
Speaker 1: one seventy five, so that might be dicey. The number
Speaker 1: one plus money bet is Taskar Hernandez over at Rivers Casino.
Speaker 2: Apparently they've got.
Speaker 1: On here at plus one twelve for one and a
Speaker 1: half total bases, So those are you total base markers.
Speaker 1: Spencer Streider your number one algorithm strikeout guy, it's juiced
Speaker 1: at one sixty five, but you only got to get six.
Speaker 1: That is on bet MGM. And the number one plus
Speaker 1: money is Freddy Peralta on DraftKings against the Dodgers, and
Speaker 1: it's plus money at one ten at five and a half.
Speaker 1: So if you had to pick one Andrew, which one
Speaker 1: of these bets are you picking?
Speaker 2: Understanding the juice?
Speaker 3: I mean, I like that Paralta bet.
Speaker 4: I mean he's got tons of strikeout potential and that's
Speaker 4: a pretty low number. I mean, he is facing the Dodgers,
Speaker 4: so that makes it a little tougher, but I don't
Speaker 4: think that necessarily prevents him from getting the case.
Speaker 3: So I take that one.
Speaker 1: Well, if you want to do it go over to
Speaker 1: bet MGM. I think that one was that one was DraftKings,
Speaker 1: But you can do and make it over at bet
Speaker 1: mgm and use our promo code leading Off. You get
Speaker 1: one thousand dollars risk free bet if you do it today,
Speaker 1: download the app, go on the website bet MGM one
Speaker 1: thousand dollars risk free bet. Use the promo code at
Speaker 1: leading Off. Home Runs, Andrew, let's get it. Let's get
Speaker 1: a home run call. What do you got for the
Speaker 1: beginning of this week?
Speaker 4: I'm going to go with Matt Olsen. He's facing Carlos Carrasco.
Speaker 4: He's a decent pitcher, but Olsen is hitting four fifty
Speaker 4: five career off him, with two homers and two doubles
Speaker 4: in eleven at bats. So and of course Olsen also
Speaker 4: has three homers in his last three games, so swing
Speaker 4: in a hot bat right now. We know the kind
Speaker 4: of power he brings to the table each and every day.
Speaker 4: So going with Matt Olson.
Speaker 1: I didn't realize Wonky and I are going in the
Speaker 1: same direction. We're both going with Rehes Hoskins up against
Speaker 1: a lefty. Implied run totals I think are very nice
Speaker 1: over there. The top five run imply. Total teams for
Speaker 1: today are Toronto, Cleveland and Philly, and we're both going
Speaker 1: with Reez Hoskins. Mike Mayer is going with the BVP
Speaker 1: play of gm an Choi, and of course our boy
Speaker 1: Joe Piezipia just has judge and perpetuity.
Speaker 2: That is it.
Speaker 1: Andrew Sifter on Twitter at Andrew underscore Sifter. I am
Speaker 1: on Twitter at is it the Welsh? We gave up
Speaker 1: the perfect, the no hitter just right out of the gates.
Speaker 1: We had a little bit. This is like, none of
Speaker 1: this is a quality start matchup if we are doing
Speaker 1: the matchup on my performances here Internet, a little bit wonky.
Speaker 2: Little bit of screws ups.
Speaker 1: So I think we're at like a five and two
Speaker 1: thirds four runs if you guys are scoring my hosting today.
Speaker 1: Everybody but Andrew, you hit it out of the park.
Speaker 1: You nailed it again, my friend. Anything going on people
Speaker 1: need to know about?
Speaker 3: Sure. Yeah.
Speaker 4: So I'm writing my weekly Fantasy pros Waiver Wire article
Speaker 4: on The most recent one just came out on Saturday,
Speaker 4: so it's still pretty fresh. You can hear my love
Speaker 4: for von Grissom there. I'm also updating my rest of
Speaker 4: season fantasy baseball rankings tonight, as well as football rankings
Speaker 4: if you're into that kind of thing. So those are
Speaker 4: over at ros Rankings dot Com. You can hear my podcast,
Speaker 4: the Rest of Season Rankings Fantasy Podcast on Apple or Spotify.
Speaker 3: We do two pods a week.
Speaker 4: We're going to be looking at football a lot here
Speaker 4: coming up, but we'll be doing some baseball pods here
Speaker 4: and there as well.
Speaker 1: Great stuff find me over at in this League, in
Speaker 1: this League dot com and our twitch Twitch dot tv
Speaker 1: slash in this League later today doing live stream friends.
Speaker 2: That is it for leading off.
Speaker 1: We'll be back again tomorrow. We love you all, buy
Speaker 1: my friends. We'll hit some homers, see yea