Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey b Joe P's APA,
Speaker 1: and this is VP NFL. It's week seventeen. It's time
Speaker 1: to talk about the props and I am rested from
Speaker 1: the holidays, ready to go. Shout out to my boy
Speaker 1: Seth for holding things down on yesterday's program. I'm sure
Speaker 1: Terrell was happy not to see me after the butt
Speaker 1: kicking the Baltimore Ravens gave the Steelers last week. That's right,
Speaker 1: t that's right, it happened, but it's in the spirit
Speaker 1: of the holidays. I let it go, gentlemen. Last night
Speaker 1: we also got a football game, or so I was told.
Speaker 1: I was at Madison Square Garden watching WWE with my kids,
Speaker 1: so I didn't have to watch it, but Welsh I
Speaker 1: heard it was a barn burner of a game.
Speaker 2: It was the worst game I've ever seen. The words
Speaker 2: I want to use, we can't use here.
Speaker 3: It was bad.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was really really bad to watch. Tough spot
Speaker 2: classic Thursday night football, speechless, speechless about what we got
Speaker 2: in this year?
Speaker 1: Is it possible maybe the guys just don't want to
Speaker 1: play around the holidays ericson. I mean, everybody wants time
Speaker 1: with their friends and families, a little break. Why don't
Speaker 1: they just give these guys a holiday bye week. Why
Speaker 1: didn't they make a play. Oh it's Christmas Day. Oh
Speaker 1: it's a day after Christmas. Everyone's got to play.
Speaker 4: No, they don't.
Speaker 1: They really don't have to play on Christmas Day. And
Speaker 1: I don't even know how many people were sitting around
Speaker 1: watching all those games, to be honest, not like Thanksgiving,
Speaker 1: there's gifts, there's all these other things going on at
Speaker 1: Christmas time. The holiday games were kind of blowouts too.
Speaker 1: On Christmas Day. What do you make of it? As
Speaker 1: the NFL continues to put games every single moment of
Speaker 1: our lives on Well.
Speaker 5: The thing you have to keep in mind is with
Speaker 5: all these holiday games, like, it's all teams playing on
Speaker 5: short weeks, right, so it's harder for them to prepare.
Speaker 5: And that's why the better teams come out on top
Speaker 5: by a lot, because they're more prepared than the teams
Speaker 5: that are inferior, and that's why they get blown out.
Speaker 5: So yeah, I mean that's just gonna I mean, that's
Speaker 5: why Thursday night games, right, are usually bad for the
Speaker 5: most part, like no one's gonna surprise Seahawks Bears. Oh
Speaker 5: six to three, Yeah, that smells like a Thursday night game. Again,
Speaker 5: well said was bad from my perspective, is great because
Speaker 5: I four and out with my picks, get first half spread,
Speaker 5: the Bears can't score on the first half nailed it.
Speaker 5: DJ Moore over five and a half catches nailed it.
Speaker 5: Gino Smith under his past attempts nailed it. So and
Speaker 5: DeAndre Swift to get that keeps on giving the lock
Speaker 5: of the week. There's a night football under his rushing yards.
Speaker 5: So it was a I enjoyed the game, to be honest.
Speaker 2: Can you bet how many guys the times the guy
Speaker 2: gets sacked, because if you can give me five and
Speaker 2: a half over, I'm taking Caleb in Week eighteen, he's
Speaker 2: gonna get annihilated. And if I could bet on body
Speaker 2: language too, like most shrugs in a game, we would
Speaker 2: go probably eleven and a half would be the line
Speaker 2: of over under for Caleb Williams first half. We're gonna
Speaker 2: cash that because it'll be like, oh.
Speaker 3: Man, it's crazy.
Speaker 2: That was a horrible, horrible, horrible post Christmas game. But
Speaker 2: that's what you get with Thursday at football games, and
Speaker 2: you know what, we should have known better than even
Speaker 2: betting on it, unless you're betting the unders.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, the funny thing is all the home teams.
Speaker 1: You would think a home field advantage in short weeks,
Speaker 1: all that stuff. Now, I think you're right. Does the
Speaker 1: better teams win? But we're gonna try to win this
Speaker 1: week in props and got some touchdown calls later on
Speaker 1: the show for you two. So without further ado, download
Speaker 1: the betting pros apps. Start betting smarter, not harder. We
Speaker 1: still got college football playoffs going, We've still got NFL
Speaker 1: playoffs around the corner, and some more regular season games
Speaker 1: two weeks left. So let's start with Jamison Williams here,
Speaker 1: because you've got a feeling about an over on the
Speaker 1: receiving yards fifty three and a half Welsh, let's talk
Speaker 1: about it.
Speaker 2: Well, the Lions are going to make the forty nine
Speaker 2: ers look like the Bears on Thursday ninth Football. They're
Speaker 2: gonna win by thirty forty points. They're not going to
Speaker 2: rest anybody. The forty nine ers are a disaster, and
Speaker 2: it's going to center around a big play from Jamison Williams.
Speaker 2: Jamison Williams at fifty three point five is his receiving
Speaker 2: yard marker. He is four or five games he has
Speaker 2: had seven or more targets. He has hit this yard
Speaker 2: prop in four of his last six games. Many projections
Speaker 2: already got him at the sixty yard marker, So fifty
Speaker 2: nine and a half is where I've seen it right
Speaker 2: around sixty.
Speaker 3: It's gonna be big play.
Speaker 2: And the funny thing is is the forty nine ers
Speaker 2: they don't rank super high as far as like receiving
Speaker 2: yards given up, but this is going to be a
Speaker 2: primetime game where they are going to get annihilated.
Speaker 3: They're going to get annihilated.
Speaker 2: We know Perdy plays bad at home, not saying that
Speaker 2: Juwan Jennings and stuff can't put a play in here.
Speaker 2: You can throw on the Lions at the end of
Speaker 2: the day, So that might put a little wrinkle in
Speaker 2: I'm ladder betting the spread for the Lions up to
Speaker 2: nine and a half. I've already done it. I've already
Speaker 2: done some versions of it, so that might put a
Speaker 2: roll into it. But Jameson Williams had a bunch of
Speaker 2: big targets. He's a huge yack guy, makes big plays.
Speaker 2: A manra is going to stay on the inside. This
Speaker 2: team is banged up. Dray Greenlaw he's shut down for
Speaker 2: the season. Don't be surprised if you get a couple
Speaker 2: more shutdowns from the forty nine ers. They're eliminated. They're
Speaker 2: not playing for anything. Jamison Williams is going to catch
Speaker 2: one around right around the middle. He's going to turn
Speaker 2: it up field, make a big play. Fifty three point
Speaker 2: five might hit on one play, I believe. Also looking
Speaker 2: at this, I believe he has had had five plays
Speaker 2: of fifty yards or more this season. Or maybe I'm
Speaker 2: thinking of someone else that's on my betting card here,
Speaker 2: but big plays for Jamison Williams going to have another
Speaker 2: big one.
Speaker 1: Oh He's had some big ones this year for sure,
Speaker 1: and that's been his MO. So I like this one.
Speaker 1: Betting the over on the longest reception is always a
Speaker 1: good one too. Let's talk about the change of quarterback
Speaker 1: in Tennessee because Mason Rudolph took over and hit both
Speaker 1: of the NWY and Calvin Riley touched on calls last
Speaker 1: week because of it. But there's another guy that benefits
Speaker 1: from having Mason Rudolph under center. Who is it? Andrew Erickson.
Speaker 5: So I'm rolling with chigakon Quo as my receiver tight
Speaker 5: end to go over his receiving arts prop for the
Speaker 5: Tennessee Titan. So it's listed over thirty seven and a half.
Speaker 5: So this was a prop I was on. It wasn't
Speaker 5: on the show last week. I did go three and
Speaker 5: two on the show last week. Depends on the Ramandra
Speaker 5: Stevenson number. You got closed at thirteen and a half.
Speaker 5: He hit thirteen receiving yards, but on the show it
Speaker 5: was twelve and a half, so I'm taking that as
Speaker 5: a hit for MESA three and two.
Speaker 4: But I did like the Chicka Congo play last week.
Speaker 4: It was lower. Last week it's been moved up almost
Speaker 4: nine yards.
Speaker 5: I don't care. It's still too low. I mean, he
Speaker 5: had eighty one receiving yards last week. He is Mason
Speaker 5: Rudolph's number one target. In the last two weeks, it
Speaker 5: hasn't been Calvin Ridley, and I like the matchup against
Speaker 5: the Jacksonville Jaguars. Though the third most touchdowns the Titands
Speaker 5: this season, They've been one of these tight end funnel defenses.
Speaker 5: So Mason Rudolph has looked pretty good. I mean, at
Speaker 5: least he's competent.
Speaker 4: He's not. Will Levis like that's the thing, Like, well,
Speaker 4: I just have so many low bar in all fairs,
Speaker 4: exactly low bar. But it is the holiday season.
Speaker 5: His last name is Rudolph, so why not back him
Speaker 5: here in this spot here, So I just think it's
Speaker 5: a very low number here again, eighty one.
Speaker 1: Receiver on the app Like seasonal betting based upon names.
Speaker 1: I feel like that's one of the betting systems. Right,
Speaker 1: guys named Rudolf in the month of the center.
Speaker 5: Definitely remember writing streaming tight end articles about Kyle Rudolph
Speaker 5: like around this time of year, like constantly like.
Speaker 4: Oh, the red Zone rain deer, Kyle Rudolph.
Speaker 1: Here we go, red zone Reindeer.
Speaker 3: Are there any other Christmas based player names.
Speaker 1: I'm sure there are not named Rudolphila.
Speaker 4: Williams did his best Grinch impression last night.
Speaker 1: That's true. That's true. Yeah, regardless his contract ruth three
Speaker 1: sizes anyway, so it doesn't matter. Let's talk about Mike Evans,
Speaker 1: a guy who is certainly trying to finish the season
Speaker 1: with a bang. There's no doubt about that. The receptions
Speaker 1: number is five and a half in Welsh. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about you going over or under that number.
Speaker 2: Now we're going to go over. And by the way,
Speaker 2: keeping with the accountability plays, it was also three and
Speaker 2: two last week. Hit the reception parlay to throw out
Speaker 2: to everybody, but fell apart.
Speaker 1: With the two.
Speaker 2: When we didn't hit, guys got injured. So I have
Speaker 2: this bad luck right now. If I'm not going to
Speaker 2: hit a prop, I'm going to hurt a player, and
Speaker 2: hopefully it's not going to be Mike, because Mike is
Speaker 2: playing for some stuff. He had eight his last game
Speaker 2: receptions versus the Carolina Panthers. The number is five point
Speaker 2: five this week from Mike Evans. He has had eight
Speaker 2: or more targets in three of his last four games.
Speaker 2: And whether you like it or not, there's an incentive
Speaker 2: narrative that's been out there. There's obviously the one thousand
Speaker 2: yard season that he wants to hit, but some people
Speaker 2: have put together you can find it out online. From
Speaker 2: an incentive base standpoint, he needs thirteen receptions. He needs,
Speaker 2: you know, whatever the yard marker is, it's like one
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty or one hundred and fifty or something
Speaker 2: like that, and he needs a touchdown. So one touchdown
Speaker 2: thirteen receptions and quite a bit more yards to get
Speaker 2: to that thousand, and that is a three million dollar bonus,
Speaker 2: by the way, So receptions, yards, and touchdown equate to
Speaker 2: a really big bonus on the incentive side. So I
Speaker 2: throw that all out to you to say that Baker
Speaker 2: Mayfield has also been out there talking about these. He's like,
Speaker 2: you know, I'm paying attention to it. For Mike Kevins,
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure if there's a three million dollar bonus
Speaker 2: that's in play here, that's kind of wonky stuff, sure,
Speaker 2: but it's Carolina Panthers.
Speaker 3: He's hit this before. He's got to have a big
Speaker 3: reception game to be in toe with it into week eighteen.
Speaker 2: So that's why I'm also hitting the reception marker because
Speaker 2: the yards are high.
Speaker 3: It's eighty one.
Speaker 2: He does need to hit that because again I'm forgetting
Speaker 2: what the yards are. I'd have to go look for it,
Speaker 2: but it's a high number on the eighty one, and
Speaker 2: it's probably going to move up to like eighty three
Speaker 2: by the time we lock into games. But it's a
Speaker 2: high receiving yard total. Going to get to that total,
Speaker 2: let me play six receptions, which he did against this
Speaker 2: team before and there's an incentive based into it. So
Speaker 2: five point five over receptions for Mike Evans, that's a
Speaker 2: play that I like.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Cooper Rush. The Dallas Cowboys
Speaker 1: are going to go into Philadelphia this week, and the
Speaker 1: number is pretty low here, and it's only one ninety
Speaker 1: four and a half for the passing total. Now, he's
Speaker 1: actually hit this every week since Week eleven except one, ironically,
Speaker 1: of all weeks against the Cincinnati Bengals, one where you
Speaker 1: think you would smash this. So Eric said, I know
Speaker 1: the Eagles secondary has played very well this year, but
Speaker 1: it is a low number. Do you struggle with the
Speaker 1: under here because I know you're on that this week.
Speaker 5: No, I don't struggle with it because one of his
Speaker 5: other games that he didn't hit it was against the
Speaker 5: Eagles and he threw for forty five yards.
Speaker 1: And Cede Lamb. I guess that's the big ceedee.
Speaker 5: Lamb's like, it's all matchups, base like, look at who
Speaker 5: Cooper Rush has faced when he's been hitting the overs. Oh,
Speaker 5: the Buccaneers, bad defense, Panthers bad defense. Again, you mentioned
Speaker 5: the Bengals. He didn't even get it against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Speaker 5: Giants commanders text like this is all about the matchup,
Speaker 5: the fact that Ceedee Lamb is not playing, and the
Speaker 5: fact that Jalen Hurts is probably not gonna play. This
Speaker 5: game is gonna scream towards. There's not gonna be a
Speaker 5: lot of points in this game, Like, this is a
Speaker 5: game where I think it's going to be known. There's
Speaker 5: a reason why the total is I think at forty
Speaker 5: and a half points, probably going down more once Hurts
Speaker 5: is are immediately ruled out. So if the Eagles want
Speaker 5: to win this game, it's going to come on the
Speaker 5: back of their defense. So I think they're really going
Speaker 5: to put the clamps down on this Dallas Cowboys offense.
Speaker 5: And this is where we've seen Cooper Rush struggle before
Speaker 5: in the past. Now you're playing on the road in
Speaker 5: Philadelphia without Ceedee Lamb. I don't Thinkop Rush is coming
Speaker 5: anywhere near two hundred passing yards. So I'm taking the
Speaker 5: under here at one hundred ninety four and a half
Speaker 5: passing arts for Cooper Rush.
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next one here,
Speaker 1: let's talk about Breeze Hall as the Jets try to
Speaker 1: finish up their season. Ticketmaster last couple of weeks, by
Speaker 1: the way, just keeps on sending me messages Jets tickets available,
Speaker 1: Giants stickts available. Yeah, I get it. I know why
Speaker 1: they're available. I don't want to go just because they
Speaker 1: live in this region. So stop sending me those messages, please,
Speaker 1: Pa Brisol. Let's talk about it, because you guys are
Speaker 1: both in on the same thing here, which is the
Speaker 1: receiving yards prop. The numbers twenty one and a half
Speaker 1: on the over Welsh. Let's start with you on this
Speaker 1: one too. Why is this prop so appealing to you
Speaker 1: this week in the matchup against the Buffalo Bills. Is
Speaker 1: it just a matter of game.
Speaker 2: Script as a squad This is a squad ride, by
Speaker 2: the way, Yeah, I mean I think it's twofold.
Speaker 3: It's the Bills.
Speaker 2: First off, Bills have given up the most receiving yards
Speaker 2: to running backs on the season, so that would be
Speaker 2: your number one reason. It's like over seven hundred yards
Speaker 2: receiving to RB's. Hall had nineteen touches last week, five
Speaker 2: of which were receptions where he went over thirty eight yards.
Speaker 2: Three of his last five games he has hit this
Speaker 2: and the one miss was twenty one yards, So you
Speaker 2: know there was that worry about him being shut down.
Speaker 2: Then he publicly came out and said, hey, if the
Speaker 2: veterans can play, I can go. They got him back involved.
Speaker 2: That was the big key, was just getting him back.
Speaker 2: By the way, the one if you don't count the
Speaker 2: twenty one yard one, the other one was when he
Speaker 2: just did like nine touches or ten touches when he
Speaker 2: first came back. You got the touches back. You've got
Speaker 2: a defense where you literally can do this. You can
Speaker 2: as a running back mass get yards and the receiving side,
Speaker 2: and that's what Bruce Haall does. And I think, you know,
Speaker 2: you might have some of the younger guys going between
Speaker 2: the tackles, but this is all just about touches and
Speaker 2: the script against the Buffalo Bills. Twenty one point five
Speaker 2: is a wildly low number for Bresall. Projections have him
Speaker 2: over thirty right now. The only thing that takes me
Speaker 2: out of this is if he were to come out
Speaker 2: of the game and not get a full workload. But
Speaker 2: he had nineteen touches last week, so I feel really
Speaker 2: good about that. And I would guess for the most
Speaker 2: part that's why we're both on this one. Ericson because
Speaker 2: it just kind of screams.
Speaker 1: Eric's in your thoughts on the twenty one and a half.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that's why I put it on here
Speaker 5: because I wasn't trying to just pick another prop that
Speaker 5: probably was gonna miss, Like if you're gonna make one
Speaker 5: prop like it would be the brisaw one for me.
Speaker 5: As we're talking through these top props for this week,
Speaker 5: I think the thing that's cool about the prop at
Speaker 5: Chichi in like the analyzer, what you can do is
Speaker 5: you can filter whether the team is a favorite or
Speaker 5: an underdog, so you're kind of considering taking into what
Speaker 5: can the game script be. So it's funny because the
Speaker 5: Jets have barely been underdogs all year long, which is
Speaker 5: commical based on their record because they've just been terrible.
Speaker 5: But they are underdogs in this spot playing on the
Speaker 5: road against Buffalo, and this is when bris Hall is
Speaker 5: more involved in the passing game. So he's averaged over
Speaker 5: thirty six receiving arts per game where it just have
Speaker 5: been underdogs this season and in his career he's ten
Speaker 5: and three towards the over on his receiving arts prop
Speaker 5: when they're underdogs. So yes, they're not going to have
Speaker 5: the opportunity to feed Breese.
Speaker 4: Haul the ball.
Speaker 5: Oh, let's try to run out the clock. No, like
Speaker 5: they're going to be throwing most likely in this spot.
Speaker 5: The Bills have been giving up to running backs all
Speaker 5: year long in the passing game, and he kind of
Speaker 5: took over that backfield last week after coming in a
Speaker 5: little bit slower right when he was coming back from
Speaker 5: his injuries. So yeah, I love Breesaw on the spot
Speaker 5: and his receivers. DeVante's a little bit banged up dealing
Speaker 5: with the hip injury, Garrett Wilson is he's looking like
Speaker 5: he might be checked out, but breeseall looks like he's
Speaker 5: trying to play and put up some numbers. So again,
Speaker 5: I got Brisaw in a couple of Fantasy championships. I
Speaker 5: need him to get those receiving yards. So I'm looking
Speaker 5: forward to getting some points with the Bresall this week.
Speaker 2: I also want to point out this is the second
Speaker 2: squad ride of the year. First squad ride we cashed,
Speaker 2: so I just want to throw this out the official
Speaker 2: squad ride meter. This is number two on the line
Speaker 2: and we I will say the other one was pretty ugly.
Speaker 2: It was Jaalen Wattle. Well, we smashed it. We smashed it.
Speaker 5: It is funny that it was Wattle because like Wattle
Speaker 5: in Bresaw were probably my favorite like picks in like
Speaker 5: the first and second rounds of fantasy drafts.
Speaker 1: And oh they were values there and they were both.
Speaker 4: They did not pan out either of them.
Speaker 1: Turns out they were values for a reason. But who knew?
Speaker 1: Who knew twenty twenty four would kick us in the
Speaker 1: pants quite the way it did on certain players. But
Speaker 1: let's talk about a match up here between the Denver
Speaker 1: Broncos and Cincinnati Bengals. This is one that I've invested
Speaker 1: in already and I want our of Courtland something here
Speaker 1: because I did mention earlier too talking about the secondary
Speaker 1: struggling all year with Cincinnati. This is one that keeps
Speaker 1: bearing fruit pretty much every single week. And Suton has
Speaker 1: a very achievable number. I think that's the best way
Speaker 1: to put it here, sixty three and a half of
Speaker 1: the receiving yards. And to me, this is one of
Speaker 1: the safer bets on this week seventeen board. Do you agree?
Speaker 2: Yeah, one hundred percent. It's a very good number. Only
Speaker 2: thing it would be a slight worries we're doing. This
Speaker 2: is there, there's a little bit of a weather concern.
Speaker 2: Nothing crazy, but yeah, you just see rain and stuff
Speaker 2: like that. It messed up the Thursday night. I mean,
Speaker 2: it can go either way. People say, like, you know,
Speaker 2: don't bet against the rain, but we've also seen some
Speaker 2: messy games when there is a little bit of that.
Speaker 2: So there's a little bit floating out there. But back
Speaker 2: to your point, it's a very achievable number. Sixty three
Speaker 2: point five. He's had eight or more targets in seven
Speaker 2: of his last eight games, Courtland Sutton has and he
Speaker 2: has hit this total in six of his last eight.
Speaker 2: And just to throw this back to you, if you're
Speaker 2: playing the incentive market, let's also talk about a veteran
Speaker 2: wide receiver with a rookie quarterback who's like, hey, this
Speaker 2: is what I need to hit half a million dollars.
Speaker 2: He has to average seventy yards per game over the
Speaker 2: last two games of the season and he'll hit a
Speaker 2: half a million dollar marker. So even a little bit
Speaker 2: more incentive if you want to throw that out here, whatever,
Speaker 2: you know, they can actually do for that.
Speaker 3: But I have absolutely players.
Speaker 2: And a guy like Courtland's is going to pay attention
Speaker 2: to that. While it's a very achievable number, so projections
Speaker 2: are right in marker here. He's the number one target
Speaker 2: for bow Knicks. Also, this isn't even mentioning just the
Speaker 2: Bengals in general from a fantasy perspective.
Speaker 3: Their defense stinks, so you're going to be able to throw.
Speaker 2: The only thing that takes you off is the Green
Speaker 2: Bay Packer nests that they do to the offense, or
Speaker 2: they'll rotate wide receivers. But luckily, unlike the Packers, Courtland
Speaker 2: Sutton just doesn't come off the field.
Speaker 3: They'll just rotate the rest of the guys.
Speaker 2: So I feel really good about this against a really
Speaker 2: garbage defense and with bow Knicks and Courtland Sutton has
Speaker 2: been kind of smashing this so it's one of my
Speaker 2: favorite briessall probably the number one this week, but I really.
Speaker 3: Like this bet.
Speaker 1: Speaking of bow Knicks, by the way, to nineteen and
Speaker 1: a half is the rushing yards prop for him. He's
Speaker 1: hit this ford of his last five games, and ericson
Speaker 1: you think he can go forward again this week?
Speaker 5: Yeah, because this is a matchup where the Broncos should
Speaker 5: be chasing points. Right going back to projected game script,
Speaker 5: they are underdogs here six of the eight games where
Speaker 5: the Broncos have been underdogs, he's gone over his rushing
Speaker 5: yards prop and the way that you look at his
Speaker 5: game logs, he either has a a lot of rushing
Speaker 5: yards or a very very small amount of rushing yards,
Speaker 5: and it's basically all based on well, when they're controlling
Speaker 5: the game, they don't need to be more aggressive. He
Speaker 5: doesn't run, but in games of hey, we're down, like
Speaker 5: you got to use your legs, bon Nix. We saw
Speaker 5: that last week against the Chargers he had twenty five
Speaker 5: rushing yards on three carries. They were an underdog in
Speaker 5: that game. I was on that that in that particular matchup.
Speaker 5: So I'm going right back to it and the fact
Speaker 5: that the Bengals they have a lot of the most
Speaker 5: rushing yards and most rushing attempts to quarterbacks this season.
Speaker 5: Now it's a little bitflate because they played Lamar Jackson
Speaker 5: twice this year Jayden Daniels, et cetera. But it is
Speaker 5: on film right that mobile quarterbacks are getting there against
Speaker 5: the Cincinnati Bengals defense that we know is just bad overall,
Speaker 5: like they're bad agains throwing the bat against the pass
Speaker 5: and if it's not going to colet and and you're
Speaker 5: gonna see BONICKX using his legs a lot in this spot.
Speaker 5: So yeah, maybe a little SGP action. You got the
Speaker 5: quarrel and some and over you got the bon Nicks
Speaker 5: rushing over.
Speaker 4: Have some fun on Saturday.
Speaker 1: All right, We're gonna have some fun on Saturday, everybody.
Speaker 1: Let's get to the last one for the guys, where
Speaker 1: we turn our attention to the touchdown calls. And remember,
Speaker 1: if you want to look at props for the Denver
Speaker 1: Broncos game or any game, go to the prop bet
Speaker 1: cheat sheet bettingpros dot com slash props or if you
Speaker 1: have the app and you should buy now it's week seventeen.
Speaker 1: What have you been doing with your life? Just look
Speaker 1: for the prop beet cheat sheet on there too. It
Speaker 1: is the way to go. As soon as you sort
Speaker 1: through all the props by again, by position, by game,
Speaker 1: however you want to do it, it gives you the
Speaker 1: ability to see the fantasy projections against the props and
Speaker 1: then the best place to bet them so you make
Speaker 1: sure that you get the value every single time out.
Speaker 1: You can use some of the ones from the guys here,
Speaker 1: or of course go and find ones on your own
Speaker 1: using the prop bet cheat sheet only on Betting Pros.
Speaker 1: It's my favorite thing. Honestly, it's my favorite thing on
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app Let's get to the last pick
Speaker 1: here for the guys. Let's start with Jordan Love here
Speaker 1: for you. So you're looking for a big day out
Speaker 1: of Jordan Love. Here, let's talk about it Welsh because
Speaker 1: the Packers right now starting to get hot at the
Speaker 1: right time. And also Jordan Love doing a really good
Speaker 1: job in the last few weeks two of also living
Speaker 1: any turnovers, which is what he did last year in
Speaker 1: the second half, and that was the secret sauce for
Speaker 1: the Packers. Don't turn the ball over, be efficient, and
Speaker 1: that young team went out there and performed very well
Speaker 1: all the way through the playoffs.
Speaker 2: Well, and I'm going to say I've been talking about
Speaker 2: this earlier week that I love this matchup for Jordan Love.
Speaker 2: And we're not just playing the yard total. I'm gonna
Speaker 2: make my bet just an alt line bet. And this
Speaker 2: isn't a ladder. I mean, you can ladder it obviously
Speaker 2: if I'm playing an ALLT line. But the bet here
Speaker 2: is we are alt lining to three hundred passing yards
Speaker 2: and we're getting three and a half to one on that,
Speaker 2: So obviously, you know, two forty something is I think
Speaker 2: his current line. You'll get your minus one ten or
Speaker 2: minus one fifteen or whatever nonsense. We're going to play
Speaker 2: to the over and we're going to go right at
Speaker 2: the three hundred alt line. Minnesota is giving up the
Speaker 2: third most passing yards on the season overall, over the
Speaker 2: last month, the third most passing yards as well. Now,
Speaker 2: the worry when you do talk about Jordan Love is
Speaker 2: he's kind of struggled getting to three hundred this year.
Speaker 2: You've also seen some of the past attempts go down
Speaker 2: a little bit. He's actually only hit three hundred once
Speaker 2: this season against the Minnesota Viking, where he dropped three
Speaker 2: forty eight. You can pass against them. It's a divisional matchup.
Speaker 2: It means a lot. They're gonna go back and forth.
Speaker 2: If Kristian Watson's out. You don't necessarily love that for
Speaker 2: some of the deep game. You know what big Jaydan
Speaker 2: Reid plays. Tucker Kraft is involved screen passes to Josh
Speaker 2: Jacobs alt line three hundred. Jordan Love is my play
Speaker 2: because it's three and a half to one. Again, I
Speaker 2: don't know how coverable. I would feel ladering that, but
Speaker 2: I just love the odds instead of just playing you know,
Speaker 2: a forty or fifty yard marker down just because what
Speaker 2: you can do against this and the thing I point
Speaker 2: out to you, go and look at like Matt even
Speaker 2: our own stuff, our matchup ratings. It grades Minnesota out
Speaker 2: as like a bad matchup for Jordan Love.
Speaker 3: It's not. It's not again.
Speaker 2: Three forty eight is what he dropped on Minnesota earlier
Speaker 2: this year. And they have consistently. You see teams where
Speaker 2: it's like you look at the total for the year
Speaker 2: and it's like, oh, look they're giving up the fifth
Speaker 2: most passing yards, but then they lock it down the
Speaker 2: last month. Minnesota, it's just all year consistently you can
Speaker 2: slang the ball against them, and that is what I
Speaker 2: think they are going to do. Jordan Love alt three
Speaker 2: hundred passing yards, go get it at three and a
Speaker 2: half to one.
Speaker 1: All right, one here, small numbers are really good. We
Speaker 1: like small numbers. Two and a half receptions. What we
Speaker 1: have here for Trey Tucker and the undertaker says that
Speaker 1: small number isn't small enough, is what you're saying here. Now,
Speaker 1: The Jews is very extreme too, So you got to
Speaker 1: walk me through this because plus money on the small
Speaker 1: numbers signed me up. I'm very excited, but small number
Speaker 1: where it might be easily achievable, and the heavy juice ericson.
Speaker 1: Undertaker's got to walk me back from the grave here.
Speaker 5: Can't go broke make a profit, right If he doesn't
Speaker 5: go over two and a half catches, then they're still
Speaker 5: making money. So I'm knowing trade Tucker under two and
Speaker 5: a half receptions. He's under this in four straight games.
Speaker 5: How do I know that because the prop bet cheet
Speaker 5: sheet the analyzer, the little icicle snowflake is next to
Speaker 5: his name, which means he's on a cold streak. But
Speaker 5: for me, it's like a hot streak because I like
Speaker 5: matting on these unders. So he's just not an integral
Speaker 5: part of the Raiders passing game. Like Aidan O'Connell is
Speaker 5: looking for brock Bowers, he's looking for Jacobe Myers, and
Speaker 5: even last week he was hyper targeting the running backs
Speaker 5: out of the backfield, a Mirror Abdullah and Alexander Madison.
Speaker 5: So Trey Tucker really kind of falls like fifth or
Speaker 5: even in like the pecking order in terms of who
Speaker 5: do I want to get the ball to in this
Speaker 5: matchup again, they're playing the Saints. It doesn't really have
Speaker 5: to do with the particular. I mean, Trey Tucker could
Speaker 5: rip off a big play like That's why I'm staying
Speaker 5: away from his receiving yards. But he's not a volume receiver. Like,
Speaker 5: he doesn't see volume unless one of these guys gets hurt.
Speaker 5: So the fact four straight unders under six of his
Speaker 5: last eight games, I'm just gonna trust the process here
Speaker 5: and just take the under a trade tugger.
Speaker 1: Okay, let's take a look at the touchdown scores four
Speaker 1: week seventeen, and just a reminder to a betting pros
Speaker 1: dot com slash touchdown, you can get the edge when
Speaker 1: it comes as betting touchdowns, and our touchdown score report
Speaker 1: compares anytime touchdown stats to the prop bet odds and
Speaker 1: projects you the best possible opportunities to guys to find
Speaker 1: pay dirt. So head over to betting pros dot com
Speaker 1: slash touchdown today for the latest touchdown prop analysis to
Speaker 1: make you a winner so you can score big with
Speaker 1: touchdowns over on Betting Pros Welsh. Let's start with you here.
Speaker 1: You actually are doubling down on some of your props,
Speaker 1: not just to go over, but also the score. And
Speaker 1: I think that makes a lot of sense. If we
Speaker 1: love a guy during that week, you might as well
Speaker 1: go all in.
Speaker 2: Yes, sir, we are going right back to Mike Evans.
Speaker 2: By the way, I can clean up the Mike Evans
Speaker 2: thing from earlier. The incentive is he's got to average
Speaker 2: around ninety yards receiving per game to get to that
Speaker 2: thousand yard marker. So that's why you know eighty one
Speaker 2: is out there, the thirteen receptions and what did I
Speaker 2: say before a touchdown, He's got to get a touchdown
Speaker 2: in there, Carolina Panthers touchdown. So that's why I love
Speaker 2: this One's there's juice to it. It's minus money, it's
Speaker 2: minus one twenty five. I already bet it. I don't
Speaker 2: know where it's going to move. If it moves up
Speaker 2: any amount, I'll re bet it again.
Speaker 3: But this isn't a cute week.
Speaker 2: I looked at all of our touchdowns, by the way,
Speaker 2: none of us are getting really cute. We want to
Speaker 2: score this week, we want to hit, and I'm playing
Speaker 2: a minus money on Mike Evans. And then, as you
Speaker 2: mentioned on the double down, I think Jared Goff and
Speaker 2: them are going to be slaying the ball against the
Speaker 2: forty nine ers, and I think Jamison Williams is going
Speaker 2: to be the beneficiary of a big touchdown, so I'm
Speaker 2: going to bet him. And by the way, it's not
Speaker 2: crazy juice, I mean around, but I got it around
Speaker 2: like one fifteen. There might be some better odds out there,
Speaker 2: but I mean the market is telling you that Jamison Williams'
Speaker 2: odds on scoring a touchdown are getting closer and closer
Speaker 2: to even money. So I'm getting a little bit of
Speaker 2: extra benefit on it. But yes, I am tailing my
Speaker 2: actual props touchdowns Mike Evans and Jamison Williams.
Speaker 1: All right. For me, I'm looking at the matchup of
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers against Carolina Panthers on the ground there and
Speaker 1: being obviously favorable. Now I like to bet Bucky Irving,
Speaker 1: but the juice is a little bit too much for me.
Speaker 1: So instead of going Bucky Irving, I'm gonna go with
Speaker 1: another running back. How about Rashad White at plus one
Speaker 1: point thirty much better number on him Bucky Way and
Speaker 1: the minus there, which is obvious reasons, but Shad White
Speaker 1: gets some attention around that red zone area as well
Speaker 1: in the goal line, so I would not be shocked
Speaker 1: to see Rashad White be the guy that slams the
Speaker 1: ball in there. Also in that same game, before that,
Speaker 1: Welsh was talking about I'm gonna look for some touchdowns too.
Speaker 1: He might be looking at Jordan Love and I'm looking
Speaker 1: at Jordan Addison here plus one sixty five, another guy
Speaker 1: who's been a touchdown machine for Sam Darnold the Vikings
Speaker 1: this year. So Jefferson's was a little bit lower, barely
Speaker 1: in the plus Buddy me a little bit more on
Speaker 1: that positivity when it comes to Jordan Adison getting in
Speaker 1: the end zone. That leaves you undertaker, Andrew Erickson, give
Speaker 1: me a couple of touchdowns a week seventeen.
Speaker 5: Well, these are going to hit because there's no trade
Speaker 5: McBride to be found here on the touchdown calls.
Speaker 2: That's goodness, But hold on, let's stop for one second.
Speaker 2: What how can you just not go because of again?
Speaker 5: I mean, I'm not going to make this again two
Speaker 5: weeks cetera. I'm not making this public anymore. If you
Speaker 5: want to follow me see if I'm gonna bet it
Speaker 5: or not, follow me in the BPS and you'll find
Speaker 5: out if I'm a sicko.
Speaker 1: Spoiler alert, he's a sick Oh he's.
Speaker 4: Gonna bet it this week. I just can't. I need
Speaker 4: to give the people a break. Okay, it's not fair
Speaker 4: for me. Just like every week, trading pride touchdown, Here
Speaker 4: we go, but it never will happen this week because you.
Speaker 1: Know how you go broke betting trade McBride touchdowns. That's
Speaker 1: how you you.
Speaker 2: Know, remember that thing where it was like if you
Speaker 2: parlayed your winnings of Christian McCaffrey. Remember last year, you
Speaker 2: would be blah blah blah. If you would have done
Speaker 2: trade McBride.
Speaker 3: You'd be on the stream of giving it all back
Speaker 3: on the street.
Speaker 4: So they call it Boxing day because that's my new
Speaker 4: home in the box.
Speaker 1: There you go.
Speaker 5: So the ones I like this week, Davante Adams plus
Speaker 5: one seventy five.
Speaker 4: I think that this is crazy value.
Speaker 5: Look, Aaron Rodgers, his next touchdown is going to be
Speaker 5: his five hundredth regular season passing touchdown. It is not
Speaker 5: going to Garrett Wilson, Sorry, It's going to Devontae Addams.
Speaker 5: Like that's the guy he wants to have catch it,
Speaker 5: even if it takes ten targets in the red zone
Speaker 5: and DeVonta Adams's bank up. He's going to be out
Speaker 5: there when the Jets have red zone opportunities, and he's
Speaker 5: gonna score a touchdown. So I like Devontae plus one
Speaker 5: seventy five. I think it should be honestly in minus
Speaker 5: odds because I just think he's gonna score. He's scores
Speaker 5: every week, So I like Davante and then the other
Speaker 5: guy like a lot. Aaron Jones again, high scoring game
Speaker 5: Vikings versus Packers. The last time these teams played very
Speaker 5: earlier in the year. This was in Green May, but
Speaker 5: the Vikings tried every way to get Aaron Jones a touchdown.
Speaker 5: He didn't score, though he did not get end up
Speaker 5: finding the end zone against his old team. They're going
Speaker 5: to make sure that he scores in this game, and
Speaker 5: they're going to need him to score in a game
Speaker 5: that should be high scoring. So Aaron Jones minus one
Speaker 5: thirty five, it's the juicy. But if he's rocking a sombrero, baby,
Speaker 5: you know he's gonna find the end zone. So Aaron Jones,
Speaker 5: I'm gonna try to actually get guys at score it
Speaker 5: up fun this week.
Speaker 4: Eric Jones touchdown there you go.
Speaker 1: You have fun this week to everybody, download the Betting
Speaker 1: Pros app, use the prop bet cheat sheet and also
Speaker 1: follow everybody too. You can follow ericson you can fall
Speaker 1: Welsh myself all on the app as well, and you
Speaker 1: get the free trial of the premium. If you haven't
Speaker 1: tried it, this is the time to do so. Shout
Speaker 1: out to everybody also who's been hanging out with us
Speaker 1: all year. Hope everyone's having a nice holiday season and
Speaker 1: in the new year lots of fun, exciting stuff coming
Speaker 1: at you for Betting Pros. To make sure wherever you
Speaker 1: are you subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel, Ring
Speaker 1: the Belt Thatthosting for notifications and of course wherever you
Speaker 1: get your podcasts as well. That'll do it for us.
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the
Speaker 1: Undertaker and the Welsh. I'm Joey p. We'll see you
Speaker 1: next time. Kids. Enjoy Week seventeen and don't bet Trey
Speaker 1: McBride touchdowns. Don't do it. Thanks for listening to the
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