1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:13,120 Speaker 2: All Right, here we go fifteen Funny, twenty five, thirty, 3 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 2: thirty five, forty, forty five fifty and the Kick as 4 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 2: Black Look College Football World Stunners. 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, he stumbled. 6 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: And Football The lateral to the counter of the. 7 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 1: Episode, Get you the lad. 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 2: Table off the veil to Night. It's not the sage 9 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 2: of the dog in the fight, It's the sage of 10 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 2: the fight in the roll. Welcome into the Group of 11 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 2: five Deep Dives. It's the BBOC Podcast presented by bet MGM. 12 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 2: I'm Tim Kalanowski. I'm filling in from Mike Calabreys today, 13 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 2: joined by myelo Mike. How you doing. I guess I'm 14 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 2: called off the bench this week. No Calibres, so I 15 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 2: guess we'll just. 16 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: Get right into it, right Yeah, let's just start off 17 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: with how we always do G five here of the week. 18 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: This week our G five here of the week is 19 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 1: Mike Calbres. As you said, unfortunately Breeze cannot be here. 20 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: He lost his father on Sunday, so tough week for him. 21 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: On behalf of everybody here at the Action Network. We 22 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: just want to send all of our thoughts, all of 23 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: our love to Mike, our producer Matt Mitchell, who's actually 24 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: Breeze's cousin, and the entire Calbrey's family. We're thinking you, guys, 25 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: and I hope everybody listening take some time today after 26 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: you listen to the pod, call your dad talk about 27 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 1: college football for fifteen minutes. I know my dad listens 28 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: to every episode, just like Mike's did so love you, 29 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: Dano Calbre's love you, buddy. We're all thinking to you. 30 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 2: Yeah. And just to put a bow on that, I 31 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 2: started working doing college football player props this year at 32 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 2: Calbre's and there has not been anyone I've worked with 33 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 2: who has been more kind, more generous. I'm just so appreciative. 34 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 2: He's working with a twenty five year old kid. You know, 35 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 2: he could be I don't want to work at this guy. 36 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 2: He could be real cold to me, and quite the opposite. 37 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 2: He's I consider him not just a colleague but a friend, 38 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 2: So I am. I'm happy to step in for Calbreys, 39 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 2: but we're all thinking of him and all of our love. 40 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 2: You have no idea, people who listen to this, how 41 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 2: good of a person you listen to every week? In 42 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,520 Speaker 2: my Calbrey so great at. 43 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 1: Sammy Calbary lives like fifteen minutes for me. You know, 44 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 1: I've met his wife Abby, She's awesome, two great kids, 45 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 1: his whole family, and yeah, our heart everyone at actually Eric, 46 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: our heart absolutely breaks for his family, and you know 47 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:40,959 Speaker 1: we're thinking of you. 48 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 2: Calbrey's obviously r G five hero this week. So I 49 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 2: guess it's tough to switch it to the betting. You know, 50 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 2: but I was texting Calibrese earlier today and I think 51 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 2: you'd be happy for us to just get into the 52 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 2: bets and get his mind off things, as I'm sure 53 00:02:57,880 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 2: he's gonna listen, so fire away. 54 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: Yep, he texted me and said, can't wait to listen. 55 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: Pick some winners and tim. As much as we appreciate 56 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 1: you filling in this week, I'm going to officially welcome 57 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: you to the Group of five with just a miserable 58 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: gross under give me Kent State Eastern Michigan under forty two. 59 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 1: Thank god this game is not being played on a Tuesday, 60 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:27,640 Speaker 1: so nobody has to actually watch it. Eastern Michigan has 61 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: sneaky been decent on defense, and they have a bend, 62 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: don't break approach and they're really good at it. Their 63 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: ninety second in success right on defense, that's not good, 64 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 1: but they're fifteenth in preventing finishing drives, twenty ninth at 65 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: preventing nine, fifteenth at preventing explosive plays, twenty ninth at 66 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 1: preventing finishing drives. Teams move the ball, but they don't 67 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: score and they don't pick up chunks. They wild Minnesota 68 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 1: to twenty five points. You massed the seventeen, Jacksonville State 69 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: to twenty one, Central Michigan at twenty six, ball State 70 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 1: to ten last week. They have not allowed them within 71 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: twenty six points all season. Well, They've also only scored 72 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 1: more than twenty six once, and it was thirty three 73 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: against an FCS school. This offense is a mess. They're 74 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: one hundred and fourteenth in the country. They don't pick 75 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 1: up big plays, they don't finish drives. Austin Smith is 76 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 1: averaging one hundred and thirty nine yards per game passing. 77 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: Samson Evans can't run the ball, their offensive line is atrocious, 78 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:23,040 Speaker 1: and then you have Kent State, who's bad at everything. 79 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 1: They're the single worst team in the country. There are 80 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty third in our Action Network Power ratings. 81 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: There are one hundred and thirty third in sp plus. 82 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: It's hard to keep track how many teams are these days, 83 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 1: but I'm pretty sure it's one hundred and thirty three. 84 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 1: They can't move the ball, and the one area that 85 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,720 Speaker 1: they aren't outside the top one hundred is actually explosiveness. 86 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:44,720 Speaker 1: They're seventy fifth. Like I said, Eastern Michigan doesn't give 87 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:47,720 Speaker 1: up big plays. So again, thank god, nobody has to 88 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,040 Speaker 1: actually watch this game. Eastern Michigan's gonna win this like 89 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 1: seventeen to six or something. Gross. What better way to 90 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:55,840 Speaker 1: walking you to the show and with an under forty 91 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: two between two bad MAC teams. 92 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 2: Oh you gotta know is I was doing my prep 93 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:06,160 Speaker 2: for the show and I never, not one time looked 94 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 2: at that game. I never, not one time stopped the 95 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 2: screen from scrolling to look at that game. I stepped 96 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 2: right over it probably fifty different times as I was 97 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,839 Speaker 2: looking at the board. Because I don't have enough TV 98 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:21,480 Speaker 2: screens for that. I know, I can't. 99 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 1: Hey you, I don't even know. Tell me they might 100 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 1: not even be carrying it. 101 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 2: I have a lot, but I don't have enough to 102 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 2: put up with that. So I will I will pivot 103 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 2: to something that we all should be watching. And I'm 104 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 2: trying not to be the College Game Day guest picker 105 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 2: that just says, yeah, my sister went to Fresno State, 106 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 2: so I'm gonna pick them. I'm trying not to be that. 107 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 2: I'll tell you what partly is it because of this 108 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 2: game is being played at eleven PM. Yes, but I 109 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 2: like Hawaii plus six against San Diego State. Listen, both 110 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 2: these teams are procious and the team that's favored San 111 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 2: Diego State shouldn't really be favored first many teams at all. 112 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 2: And I as I broke this down, I found one 113 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 2: spot for an edge. Because it's a lot of it's 114 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 2: a lot of red, it's a lot of no good, 115 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:19,839 Speaker 2: it's a lot of bottom bottom ranked things. But Hawaii's 116 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:25,840 Speaker 2: pass explosiveness against San Diego State's defensive pass explosiveness, their 117 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 2: ability to defend explosive plays through the air, there's a 118 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 2: monster edge. If you just comb through it, you can 119 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:37,360 Speaker 2: find something. And that's what I found. I know, you know, 120 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 2: I guess I don't need your approval on every one 121 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 2: of them, but you know, tell me I'm barking up 122 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 2: the right tree. 123 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: Look anyone who knows me, and listen to the show. Now, 124 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 1: I'm never gonna argue with fade. In San Diego State, 125 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: they are consistently a team. I think it's the most 126 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 1: overrated in the country. Jalen Maiden stinks. They cannot pass 127 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:53,840 Speaker 1: the ball, and people just think them and they think defense. 128 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:57,480 Speaker 1: Their defense is atrocious. And I also don't like Hawaii, 129 00:06:57,520 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 1: which is why I didn't bet this or didn't have 130 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:01,720 Speaker 1: written down because I don't think WHI he's good, but 131 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 1: they have you mentioned it. They have sort of found 132 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 1: something with Brayden Schreger. While I don't know that he's 133 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 1: necessarily good, They're opening the offense up a little bit more. 134 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 1: You'll get the last two games two hundred and forty 135 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 1: five yards three hundred and thirteen yards against UNLV. They 136 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 1: still can't run the ball. But I agree with you. 137 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: I think Santierra State is just kind of always overrated. 138 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: So I'm never gonna argue with fading them. 139 00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 2: Nice Chuck the Rock late night on Saturday night or 140 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 2: late night all right, G five High five, the G 141 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 2: five High five High five High five, I know you 142 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 2: walk me through a baby, all right. 143 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: For my first pick of the G five High five, 144 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 1: I'm going with one. I kind of flip flopped on 145 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Memphis plus four and a half against 146 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 1: Tulane here. When this line opened to Laane minus three, 147 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 1: I was planning to take the Green Wave if it 148 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 1: dropped to two and a half, but then it moved 149 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 1: up to four and a half, and now I like 150 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: Memphis here. I think Toulaine probably wins this game by 151 00:07:59,200 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 1: field goal. I think this is going to be a 152 00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: close game. I like both teams. Pratt is fully healthy. 153 00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: He looks terrific once again, eight touchdowns, one pick, but 154 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 1: he just does not have the same cast weapons he 155 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: had last year. Yes, Lawrence Keys looks great at receiver, 156 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: but Makai Hughes is not Tajy Spears, who, by the way, 157 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: just scoor for the Titans and still looks sick. Deulaane's 158 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifteenth in rushing success there are one 159 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 1: hundred and thirteenth in rushing explosiveness. Those Spears' home runs 160 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: were such a big part of this offense, especially against 161 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 1: better teams. He had one hundred and twenty five yards 162 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: in a touchdown against Memphis last year, and they held 163 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: Pratt to one hundred and fifty eight yards passing so 164 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: in this new this team, all the pressure falls on 165 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 1: Pratt and this Tulane passing attack, and Memphis has been 166 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,559 Speaker 1: fantastic defending the pass. They're twelfth in the country and 167 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: passing success Dangel Brumfield has seven passes broken up this year, 168 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,560 Speaker 1: the most in the American As much as I love Pratt, 169 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: I also love Satan again. He's tossed ten scores this year. 170 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 1: He's having two to seventy five per game. Rock Taylor 171 00:08:57,200 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 1: and Demir Blunkens me both really good receivers, are dynamic. 172 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: They're averaging eighty to fifty yards. Taylor lit up Missouri 173 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: and Boise State. But I really love that Blake Watson 174 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: has added to this offense. A lot of people might 175 00:09:11,240 --> 00:09:13,960 Speaker 1: remember him from Old Dominion, but he's come to Memphis. 176 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 1: He's averaging ninety one yards per game rushing and also 177 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: adding forty six point six yards per game receiving. He's 178 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: averaging more than five catches per game as a running back. 179 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 1: He has seven total touchdowns this year. And the Twilling 180 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: defense just isn't what it was last year. All the 181 00:09:29,920 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: stars they lost, they've lost so much. They're outside the 182 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 1: top one hundred A defending the pass heading in through 183 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: for three hundred and twelve yards and three scores against 184 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: this team last year, but Memphis had four turnovers, so 185 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 1: that was kind of where they lost it. Here, I 186 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:44,079 Speaker 1: think we see another good game from Hendiga in. I 187 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 1: think they clean up the mistakes. I think this game 188 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 1: is a fieldal either way. So now that it's crept 189 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: up to four and a half, give me Memphis here. 190 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 2: I was looking at this game. I was I went 191 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:56,439 Speaker 2: back and forth too many times to play something, and 192 00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 2: the fact that you tell me Memphis, well, I'm gonna 193 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 2: probably throw it into some sort of a round robin, 194 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 2: some sort of little taste, little pizza money. So just 195 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:09,599 Speaker 2: to have something on that game, because I expect to 196 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 2: be a fantastic that is great Friday night game. Any 197 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 2: excuse to watch more Tulane is like just the gorgeous uniforms. 198 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 2: They do it right down there. I'm all in, Count 199 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 2: me in, count me in. I am going to go 200 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:33,719 Speaker 2: to a team that I think is a little underrated 201 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 2: in a team that is I guess sort of overrated 202 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic. They're catching two and a half at USF 203 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 2: and people, you know, I think that the general college 204 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 2: football landscape saw USF keep it close with Alabama and 205 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 2: they're like, oh, this team, you know, maybe they're actually 206 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 2: one of those better G five teams I've seen. I 207 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,400 Speaker 2: don't watch a lot of that G five stuff, but 208 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:03,840 Speaker 2: that team looked pretty good. Not so fast Florida Atlantic 209 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 2: they're not too great either, but I think that they've 210 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 2: kind of found something. In terms of Daniel Richardson, he 211 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 2: replaced Casey Thompson. He's been serviceable, he's been good enough, 212 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:19,679 Speaker 2: and I think that the market's just not accounting for 213 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 2: how capable he has been. And you know, USF like 214 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,199 Speaker 2: they're still dreadful, Like you're giving me two and a 215 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:29,040 Speaker 2: half points. Yeah, sure, I'm gonna take it. What do 216 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:29,360 Speaker 2: you think? 217 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:32,080 Speaker 1: Well, Tim, this is what we in the business call teaser. 218 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:34,200 Speaker 1: I'll talk about that game a little bit later. 219 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 2: Okay, Okay, I'm going with. 220 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 1: Ohio minus six and a half against Northern Illinois. I 221 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:45,599 Speaker 1: think people are forgetting how good this Ohio team was 222 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:47,680 Speaker 1: last year because they got off to a weird start 223 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,320 Speaker 1: this year. They were ten four last year. More importantly, 224 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 1: they were ten four against the spread, and I think 225 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 1: most people outside of the city of Toledo would agree. 226 00:11:56,120 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 1: They would have won the MAC. If Curtis Rourke didn't 227 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 1: get hurt last year, I think they're still under value 228 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:03,320 Speaker 1: because that if they're the defending MAC champion, their numbers 229 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 1: are all out of whack. Here. Also, Work got banged 230 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 1: up at the start of the season in a gross 231 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: game against that San Diego State team that we mentioned. 232 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,719 Speaker 1: They beat FAU in an ugly game, and Rourke was 233 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 1: clearly not one hundred percent. Over the last three weeks, 234 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: they'd beat Iowa State, I think is much better than 235 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 1: people expected. They'd be dreadful, and they look like their 236 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 1: old selves the over the last two games. They crushed 237 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,680 Speaker 1: Bowling Green, they crushed Ken State. Roork has eight touchdowns, 238 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:27,960 Speaker 1: two picks. He's been nearly perfect over the last two weeks. 239 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 1: Sam Wiggles is their top receiver, probably the best year 240 00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:32,199 Speaker 1: in the MAC. Was also banged up early, but he's 241 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:34,839 Speaker 1: back for health. Fangera and Alyson are running the ball 242 00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 1: a lot better, and this defense has been lights out. 243 00:12:37,320 --> 00:12:39,599 Speaker 1: And look, I don't care who they played. This is 244 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:42,079 Speaker 1: a MAX school and they're twelfth in the country in 245 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 1: success rate on defense. They are second in the nation 246 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: at preventing finishing drives, seventh in creating havoc in the country. 247 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 1: I watched every player that FAU game, and they were 248 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 1: up Casey Thompson's ass the entire game. They're especially elite 249 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 1: against a run and that's pretty much all Northern illinoisants 250 00:12:59,960 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 1: to do is run the ball. They have Rocky Lombardi, 251 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 1: and yes, he looks like he could be your older brother, 252 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,319 Speaker 1: but I'm sorry if he is. He's not good at football. 253 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:09,920 Speaker 1: Despite the fact, I mean, you guys look on Canny, 254 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 1: despite the fact that he's thirty years old. He's not good. 255 00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 1: He's got five touchdowns, four interceptions. They've been playing Ethan 256 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 1: Hampton more. Even Justin Lynch has getting some wildcat packages. 257 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,719 Speaker 1: To further illustrate why I think Ohio is being undervalued, 258 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:28,680 Speaker 1: Toledo was a thirteen and a half point favorite against 259 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 1: Northern Illinois two weeks ago. You're telling me Toledo is 260 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:36,559 Speaker 1: a touchdown favorite against Ohio. I think that's crazy. I 261 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: in this game should be closer to nine and a 262 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: half ten. So I love getting Ohio under a touchdown here. 263 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 2: I didn't know I an older brother out there. Sweear 264 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:48,679 Speaker 2: long lost brothers. So one of my strongest takes is 265 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 2: I always said you know. I'm I'm five foot seven. 266 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 2: I ish i'd say, but I always say if I 267 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 2: was over six feet, I could have done what Joe 268 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:02,680 Speaker 2: Burrow did at LSU with that receiving core. I firmly 269 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 2: believe I could chuck the ball to Jefferson and chase 270 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 2: over and over, and if you. 271 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:10,319 Speaker 1: Were over six two, you could do what Rocky Lombardi's 272 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: doing at Northern Illinois. 273 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:16,640 Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I saw Northern Illinois play against Boston 274 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 2: College earlier this year, not a game that I would 275 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,880 Speaker 2: put on my instant classics. And you know, I went 276 00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 2: to watch over the over the summer, although it was 277 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 2: an overtime games, so you know, I guess the twelve 278 00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 2: fans in attendance got something to watch. I Am going 279 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 2: to get really ugly with it as well here or 280 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 2: you know, as you did earlier. That's the show, baby, Yeah, 281 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 2: I mean it's ugly. It's Uly. And I did my 282 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 2: homework and I had a long drive today and made 283 00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 2: sure to listen to what you guys were talking about 284 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 2: last week, and you told me San Jose State is broken. 285 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 2: So what am I doing. I'm taking New Mexico plus 286 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 2: the points. I see the line here at plus eight 287 00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 2: and a half. Look, when you look at this matchup 288 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 2: on PAP, it should be a billion points scored in 289 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 2: this game. I don't think any either team can stop 290 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 2: each other. But you're telling me I get eight and 291 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 2: a half points in what I think could be a 292 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 2: total seesaw high variance type game. Like I said, both 293 00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 2: teams cannot stop. You picked the number pass explosiveness. The 294 00:15:19,720 --> 00:15:22,880 Speaker 2: other defense is terrible at pass expulsiveness. You know, rush rate, 295 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 2: the other team's terrible rushing. The offense versus defense matchup 296 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 2: here is green, red, green, red, green, red, all across 297 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 2: the board. Advantage just flip flops back and forth, back 298 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 2: and forth. In Mexico, Santa say state, So I'm getting 299 00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 2: too many points for a game that could have oh 300 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 2: so much variance. What do you think? 301 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 1: I love it? I like it's one of those things 302 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 1: where it's just I didn't even think of it. It 303 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 1: makes sense you're talking me into it over. But if 304 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 1: you like fifty eight and a half, like you said, 305 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 1: getting over getting over a touchdown, what are the odds 306 00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 1: that one of these teams puts like draw a touchdown, 307 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,600 Speaker 1: stop touchdown together to win by twos. 308 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 2: Fours exactly exactly like in back door wide as open 309 00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 2: wide Open. So I just it's too many for two 310 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 2: teams that are pretty identical in terms of incompetence and 311 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 2: then can throw it for some big plays. 312 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 1: I like ya. 313 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 2: All right. 314 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 1: For my last pick of the high five, I'm gonna 315 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 1: go with a game where I'm hoping I don't have 316 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:27,240 Speaker 1: to worry about any backdoor tim Why is I know 317 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: you know you do your your BCS show with Colin 318 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: Stockey and Brett great show, by the way, and you 319 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: asked them all these hard hitting questions about is this 320 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: team for real? And why the tim? Why is nobody 321 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 1: talking about how UNLV is four and one? 322 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 2: I don't know how many people know. No UNLV is 323 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 2: four and one. 324 00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 1: UNLV this team hasn't made a bowl since twenty thirteen, 325 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: and they might be Bowl eligible by Halloween. Give me 326 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: the Rebels minus nine against Nevada, the un lv's five 327 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,440 Speaker 1: and zero against the spread this season. They covered against Michigan, 328 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 1: they beat Vanderbilt, they crushed UTAP, they crushed Hawaii, and 329 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:06,400 Speaker 1: guess what, Brumfield went down half through the year. True 330 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:10,200 Speaker 1: freshman Jaden Mayalva stepped in. Hasn't missed a beat three 331 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:14,640 Speaker 1: touchdowns another one rushing, But it's the running rebels show 332 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 1: over here. Jiden Thomas, Vincent Davis, Jonavan, Leicster, Courtney Reese 333 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 1: all have over twenty seven yards per game. They have 334 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:25,200 Speaker 1: like six guys that get carries. The best part is 335 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 1: Thomas as a freshman and the other three are singers, 336 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 1: but Thomas has quickly established himself as the lead guy. 337 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:33,760 Speaker 1: He's got seven touchdowns already. As a team, they averaged 338 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: two hundred and fourteen yards per game on the ground 339 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 1: and have seventeen rushing scores. Only Air Force and Texas 340 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 1: State have more this season. They are twelve in rushing 341 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 1: explosive this and have thirteen plays of twenty plus yards 342 00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 1: on the ground this year, the eighth most in the country. 343 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,679 Speaker 1: Do you want to guess what Nevada ranks one hundred 344 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 1: and thirty first in the country and you tell me 345 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:01,879 Speaker 1: defending rushing explosiveness. Only one team in the country has 346 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:05,440 Speaker 1: allowed more twenty plus yards rushing than Nevada U and 347 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:07,879 Speaker 1: V's gonna just torch them on the ground. They're the 348 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 1: worst defense in the country in terms of success right. 349 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 1: They're also dead last to preventing havoc, which is one 350 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:15,160 Speaker 1: thing the unv defense does pretty well. Wolf Packer owned 351 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: five this year. Brandon Lewis has no touchdowns, none, four interceptions. 352 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 1: He was bench last week for freshman aj Bianco, but 353 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,280 Speaker 1: apparently they came out and said Louis is gonna start 354 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:29,119 Speaker 1: again this week. Despite completing less than sixty percent of 355 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:32,640 Speaker 1: his passes, he's averaging four point eight yards per attempt. 356 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,399 Speaker 1: Put that in comparison, UNOV has four running backs to 357 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 1: ravaging more than that. We've seen UNLV blow out two 358 00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: bad teams in a row. Well, Nevada's a really bad team, 359 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,040 Speaker 1: so I like them to win another one by double 360 00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:48,120 Speaker 1: digits and get one step closer to bowling in October. 361 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, you, UNLV, they don't really chuck the rock. Well, 362 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 2: but that's okay. Nevada can't defend the pass either, so 363 00:18:55,119 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 2: you even pick you pick. I have the season win 364 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 2: total under So I'm hoping that this is another l 365 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 2: for them, And I think, maybe what why this spread 366 00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 2: is sitting in the nine to nine and a half area? 367 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:15,399 Speaker 2: Do people just remember Nevada playing Kansas type? Is that 368 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:18,560 Speaker 2: what it could be? Like? I the way you, the 369 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,480 Speaker 2: way you laid it out, it seems like a you know, 370 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 2: sealed case in my eyes hope. So yeah, yeah, famous 371 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 2: last words. 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Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. All right, 398 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 2: let's talk money line dogs. 399 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, you mentioned it. I tased it. Give me FAU 400 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 1: on the money line plus one ten A little short 401 00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 1: one here. I just think you kind of said everything. 402 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:26,320 Speaker 1: It's like you kind of danced around it. That's how 403 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:27,920 Speaker 1: I feel. I think this game just has a ton 404 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,760 Speaker 1: of uncertainty, like we still don't know what FAU is. 405 00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: They played Ohio, Clemson, Illinois three tough games. Casey Thompson 406 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,200 Speaker 1: went down against Clemson and Daniel Richardson's first start with 407 00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: FAU was on the road against Illinois and he didn't 408 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:43,119 Speaker 1: look bad, but they lost that one. He didn't look 409 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,240 Speaker 1: great against Tulsa, and you know, frankly, I only Richardsons 410 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:48,639 Speaker 1: looked great since like twenty twenty one, but he was 411 00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 1: really really good that year. So I don't know if 412 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,240 Speaker 1: he's just like broken, but like we've seen him have talent. 413 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,200 Speaker 1: But we really saw them get the running game going 414 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 1: out of the bye week, which I think is big. 415 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 1: They had forty three attempts last week, two hundred and 416 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 1: thirty four yards, two touchdowns. Larry McCammon looked awesome. Kobe 417 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:07,440 Speaker 1: Lewis is talented as well. They have a ton of 418 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 1: good receivers. So if Ridge can just like get the 419 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 1: ball out short quick passes, I think they can do stuff. 420 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,479 Speaker 1: And I still don't really think South Florida is all 421 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 1: that great. So for starters, they can't stop the run, 422 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,440 Speaker 1: which is I just said should be a problem in 423 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 1: this game if FAU continues to do that. And yeah, 424 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,320 Speaker 1: they beat Rice and Navy, but they just lost by 425 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 1: three touchdowns to UAB and everyone on this pod knows 426 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 1: how me and Calburies feel about UAB. UV put up 427 00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 1: six hundred and eight yards against them. They had three 428 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,720 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty five yards and four touchdowns passing and 429 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:39,639 Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty three yards and four touchdowns were rushing. 430 00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:43,320 Speaker 1: UAB had eight touchdowns against them. And yeah, you know, 431 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:45,040 Speaker 1: I was high on FAU coming into the year. I 432 00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 1: think they're winning totals. Cook. I've downgraded FAU a bunch, 433 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,159 Speaker 1: but I still think they're better than South Florida, and 434 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:54,399 Speaker 1: I certainly think they're better than UAB. So I just 435 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 1: think there's a lot of uncertainly in this game. I 436 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,440 Speaker 1: think fa uould be a small favorite. I wouldn't bet 437 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: them as a favorite, but if you're gonna give them 438 00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,240 Speaker 1: as a dog, I'll take it. I know those games 439 00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,200 Speaker 1: in Tampa, but I don't know if you're familiar with Florida. 440 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,719 Speaker 1: But like, how far is Boca Raton from Tampa. They 441 00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 1: can't really have a home field advantage here, so I 442 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,119 Speaker 1: think we're getting FU at the complete bottom of the market. 443 00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna buy low with a money line dog 444 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:15,800 Speaker 1: pick here on the Owls. 445 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:20,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, regardless, there's not much home field doesn't really matter 446 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 2: where the team is coming from. It's really more about 447 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:28,360 Speaker 2: is that team used to playing in heat and humidity. 448 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:31,120 Speaker 2: But I don't know it's October tenth. Now, I don't 449 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:32,119 Speaker 2: know how. 450 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:34,680 Speaker 1: They're both from Florida, So yeah, yeah, they're both from Florida. 451 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,800 Speaker 2: I mean, it's not like you're getting the Green Bay 452 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:39,680 Speaker 2: Packers going down to Tampa Bay. This is saying totally 453 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,640 Speaker 2: that they should be used to it. I have one 454 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:49,399 Speaker 2: that is pretty pretty gutsy. I got my Clemson jacket 455 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,400 Speaker 2: on here. It's b yog bring your own guts type pic. 456 00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:58,720 Speaker 2: And it's because if you can't beat them, join them Wyoming. 457 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 2: I like them plus ten and a half. I'm gonna 458 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 2: sprinkle on the money line as well, plus two to eighty. Listen, 459 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:11,440 Speaker 2: there might be three total possessions in this entire game. 460 00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 2: These teams hold on the rock. In the pace report 461 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:18,960 Speaker 2: from Action Network, Wyoming ranks one hundred and twenty two 462 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:23,400 Speaker 2: air Force. I can top that one hundred and thirty three. 463 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:28,920 Speaker 2: So you're telling me a situation where, like I said, 464 00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:33,480 Speaker 2: I don't know, four five drives these teams might get 465 00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 2: and it's almost like an NHL shootout. Whoever scores doesn't score, 466 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 2: Like that's gonna be the ballgame. And I talked about 467 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 2: high variants in terms of a high total and when 468 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,280 Speaker 2: I expected a lot of points to be. This game 469 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,800 Speaker 2: is super low variance, and I think they're pretty even 470 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 2: teams and tends too big of a number. I think 471 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 2: it could be a coin flip either way in terms 472 00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:58,960 Speaker 2: of not going to turn the rock over. Someone punch 473 00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 2: it in and have it please be the Cowboys. 474 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 1: I would be fully behind you, as we saw last week, 475 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 1: if this game was in Laramie, because we backed them there. 476 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 1: I think they're totally different on the home run. So 477 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:11,239 Speaker 1: I don't know that I can follow you on that one. 478 00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:13,159 Speaker 1: But I don't completely hate it because I agree with you. 479 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:15,919 Speaker 1: I'm one of those people that pretty much never bets 480 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 1: on or against Service Academy because I just always think 481 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,399 Speaker 1: you never know which honestly lends itself well to a 482 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: money line. Probably i'd love it if it was in Laramie. 483 00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:26,119 Speaker 1: I don't hate it. But what I mostly like is 484 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,400 Speaker 1: if you pair up Fau and Wyoming and a money 485 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:33,200 Speaker 1: line parlay plus seven hundred, so hey, even if it 486 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:37,639 Speaker 1: does cash, boy, are we sitting pretty so I'll be 487 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:38,720 Speaker 1: for you, that's for sure. 488 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 2: While we're here. Okay, this is like, let's look at 489 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:46,359 Speaker 2: what the like Action Analytics projects this spread to be 490 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,440 Speaker 2: at okay, oh, right on the money nine and a half. 491 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 2: I just I thought it would be closer. That was 492 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 2: well done. It was well done. Temp. 493 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,840 Speaker 1: Congratulations, you played yourself. 494 00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 2: Look, you just can't convince me that like you have 495 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,760 Speaker 2: to score every time you touch the ball, because these 496 00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 2: possessions are so precious and it's just gonna be a 497 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,320 Speaker 2: whole lot of clock bleeding. And I could just see 498 00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,040 Speaker 2: a couple of field goals going my way and like 499 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:14,879 Speaker 2: I said, can't beat them, join them. I was on 500 00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 2: Fresno State last week, so I part of this is 501 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 2: zig zag effect. That's fair. 502 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:20,920 Speaker 1: I was on Wyoming cause that's kind of why. I'm like, 503 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:22,160 Speaker 1: I'll just enjoy my one way. 504 00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:27,040 Speaker 2: Fair enough, fair enough. I think we're headed to the 505 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 2: cutting room floor here. 506 00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, speaking of Fresne State, Look, I bet against Utah 507 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,240 Speaker 1: State every single week. Everyone knows this. I still think 508 00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: their garbage. They crushed me last week. Carrao Steak got 509 00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 1: off to a hot star. I think it was like 510 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,680 Speaker 1: seventy to nothing and then Uta State scored like thirty 511 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 1: five unanswered, and it crushed me. We mentioned the weird 512 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,120 Speaker 1: shit happens in Laramie. So I'm pretty much thrown out 513 00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,160 Speaker 1: that game. Kan got hurt too, so especially if Keane's back. 514 00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,480 Speaker 1: Fresne State is still much better than Utah State, so 515 00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:52,360 Speaker 1: I would like Fresno State minus five and a half. 516 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:53,720 Speaker 1: So that's when I had I just don't feel like 517 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 1: picking on Utah State anymore. And then the other one 518 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: I had written down but I didn't love it enough 519 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,640 Speaker 1: to throw it out here was I think Marshall Beach 520 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,399 Speaker 1: Georgia State. They're plus one. I could have considered that 521 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: as my moneyline dog. I bet the money line already. 522 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,040 Speaker 2: I would like, I would have given you the hardest 523 00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:10,520 Speaker 2: time if that was your money line dog. 524 00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 1: It's like plus it's like mins one o five. 525 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 2: Because I actually looked at it, and I I thought 526 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,240 Speaker 2: I was gonna get yelled at if I had that. 527 00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:25,880 Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, there's a couple of short dogs here 528 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 2: that I'm you know, considered, you know, this one being 529 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 2: a short favorite, Like what do we do with Troy? 530 00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,440 Speaker 2: Like I heard you guys say last week, you know, 531 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,560 Speaker 2: I believe, I think I believe Troy is still good? 532 00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:40,520 Speaker 2: What what is happening? They're four and a half point 533 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:41,920 Speaker 2: favorites at Army. 534 00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, that kind of again goes back to my principal. 535 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 1: I just don't like betting on service academies. So, like 536 00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 1: I always, I'm just never right. Like I think Army, 537 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: I don't think Army and Navy are good. I think 538 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,159 Speaker 1: air Force is really good. So it's like I always. 539 00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,240 Speaker 1: If someone said to me, Mike, pick this game, I'd 540 00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:00,440 Speaker 1: say bet Troy. But like again, it's probably the only 541 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:02,360 Speaker 1: time I ever bet a game involving his service academy 542 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 1: is the Army Navy under Yeah, I mean, and I 543 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 1: stupidly bet Navy plus twenty one agin saturd Dame and 544 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 1: I lost by seven hundred. So that learned my lasting quick. 545 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:12,640 Speaker 1: I will do it again. 546 00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,560 Speaker 2: I waited all summer to get plus twenty one and 547 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:18,000 Speaker 2: a half. That's all I did all summer. 548 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,359 Speaker 1: God we waiting for the hook, tim, That's all I 549 00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:22,480 Speaker 1: did all summer. 550 00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:25,200 Speaker 2: Wake up, have a cup of coffee. Check the Notre 551 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:26,199 Speaker 2: Dame line. Wake up. 552 00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:31,040 Speaker 1: It was I was like living in and I'm gonna lose. 553 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, that's some people do summer reading. I just 554 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 2: tracked that line the entire summer. I want to ask 555 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 2: you about what could be the game of the week 556 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:47,280 Speaker 2: here it's on ESPN two twelve o'clock Georgia Southern and 557 00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:53,400 Speaker 2: James Madison. That's another one where like James Madison's a 558 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,040 Speaker 2: four and a half point fav By the way, that's. 559 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 1: Another one where I've kind of gone back and forth. 560 00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 1: I think if I had to bet it, I would 561 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,720 Speaker 1: take James Madison. I think they seem to also kind 562 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 1: of just I think because they can't you know, they 563 00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:09,880 Speaker 1: can't win the sum Belt, they can't go bowling, people 564 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,040 Speaker 1: just don't talk about them, and like they're consistently just 565 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 1: so good. I don't like David Brinn. I think he 566 00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 1: throws too many turnovers and that's kind of always working 567 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,760 Speaker 1: in there. I love this JMU defense and what they 568 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 1: do just works. They run the ball and they play defense. 569 00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:27,960 Speaker 1: It's pretty hard to beat unless you have a team 570 00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 1: that runs the ball and plays defense better than they do. 571 00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 1: And George Stuthern kind of plays the opposite style. So again, 572 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 1: I don't I don't know that i'll bet it, but 573 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:38,960 Speaker 1: if I was gonna bet it, I think I would 574 00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 1: take the Dukes there. 575 00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, you talked about the other side of this from 576 00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:51,760 Speaker 2: last week, the team that lost to Utah State, Colorado State, 577 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,960 Speaker 2: and Boise State. This week, Boise State say seven and 578 00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:59,240 Speaker 2: a half point favorite in Fort Collins. I was like 579 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 2: a huge believer in Colorado State, and it was just 580 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,280 Speaker 2: I was on them big from listening to you know 581 00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:09,880 Speaker 2: you guys last week and you know reading calbarys. I 582 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:13,400 Speaker 2: now I don't know what to do with them and 583 00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:18,320 Speaker 2: boys the State could break the longest Bowl Bowl eligible 584 00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:23,080 Speaker 2: streak or they uh winning uh winning season streak in 585 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:24,080 Speaker 2: college football. 586 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: I learned that on Tuesday. 587 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 2: Yes, pretty perfect, Uh yeah, I would. 588 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,960 Speaker 1: I think the numbers too I but I think I'm 589 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,480 Speaker 1: trying to be self aware that I bet on Colorado 590 00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 1: State pretty much every week and they don't seem to 591 00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:42,640 Speaker 1: ever win or cover. I'm starting at so who's the 592 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,320 Speaker 1: problem is? Yeah, to think I'm wrong, and because I 593 00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:48,640 Speaker 1: have so much invested in their preseason win total, I 594 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:50,440 Speaker 1: think I have to like put myself in time out 595 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,720 Speaker 1: and just like, hey, if they win, it gets my 596 00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:57,800 Speaker 1: bet closer again, knocking to bet it gun ahead. You're 597 00:30:57,800 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 1: in a pool, you have to pick every game. For 598 00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:02,080 Speaker 1: some reason, I think the numbers too high. I think 599 00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:05,920 Speaker 1: the Boy's date has just I don't know what you're 600 00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 1: on with the quarterback situation. Tayling Green was like the 601 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,200 Speaker 1: best quarterback in the conference coming in, and now he's 602 00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:14,040 Speaker 1: like bench. I think he's still starting, but like he's 603 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:16,240 Speaker 1: kind of I don't he didn't really play much last week. 604 00:31:16,280 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 1: They're kind of mixing in. Uh, I forget his name, 605 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,200 Speaker 1: Maddix Matt Madison. Is that is Madison? 606 00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 2: Last I saw them was San Diego State. 607 00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:27,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, so like he got benched last week and they're 608 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,000 Speaker 1: like mixing in this other kid. Yeah, Maddix Madson started 609 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 1: against San Jose State, not Taylor Green. So I don't 610 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: know what's going on with that situation, but I don't 611 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 1: love it. I think the Boisse State's one weakness is 612 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,320 Speaker 1: their past defense, so that obviously lends itself well to 613 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 1: Colorado State. But I've just been hurt too many times. 614 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:47,680 Speaker 1: I think I'm I like them too much that I 615 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:50,120 Speaker 1: need to just put myself in a little time out 616 00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:52,719 Speaker 1: and take a cold shower and stay away from Colorado 617 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:53,560 Speaker 1: State for the time being. 618 00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 2: Uh, brock Myer's not the quarterback of Boys of State anymore. 619 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,960 Speaker 1: No, he's law of text quarterback. Well, he got hurt 620 00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:05,560 Speaker 1: obviously because he's Yank Bachmer. So he made it. I 621 00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 1: think three and a half weeks was the overunder. I 622 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:11,840 Speaker 1: don't think he cashed it. He's hurt again, obviously, but 623 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:14,120 Speaker 1: he'll probably get another year eligibility because of it, so 624 00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:16,240 Speaker 1: I'm sure will pop up somewhere next year. 625 00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:20,840 Speaker 2: Been in college football for forty five years. Every time 626 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,040 Speaker 2: I just close my eyes and think of the blue jerseys. 627 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 2: Some people think Kellen Moore. I think Hank Brockmer. 628 00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's like him and your brother Rockylbrty. They've both 629 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:30,440 Speaker 1: been in college since two thousand and seven. 630 00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,800 Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, I've had a blast. I don't know 631 00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 2: if you have any more on the cutting room floor, 632 00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 2: but I think we did a pretty good I think 633 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:38,920 Speaker 2: we touched on almost everything. 634 00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:41,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's all I had. Tim, Thank you again for 635 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 1: joining us. And you know, like you said at the top, 636 00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 1: Calbary's whole Action Network family. I know all o Reggie 637 00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:49,720 Speaker 1: five listeners are thinking of you. Everyone is hoping and 638 00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 1: praying for you and your family, and we're all sending 639 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 1: all of our love. 640 00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 2: You're the man, Love you love working with you. I 641 00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:59,000 Speaker 2: just kept your seat warm. Gonna need you back in 642 00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:02,080 Speaker 2: here so I can keep learning from you and not 643 00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,560 Speaker 2: having to make my own picks, so thank you cal Breese. 644 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:09,120 Speaker 2: And just as we take us out here, make sure 645 00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:13,960 Speaker 2: that you remember to listen to the Thursday edition of 646 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 2: the BBOC Podcast, presented by Bett MGM. That'll be Stucky 647 00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:23,520 Speaker 2: and Colin given their whole rundown, best bets, picks, just 648 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:27,600 Speaker 2: going through it all, dumpster diving, it's the best. And 649 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 2: then they will be back, of course on Saturday morning 650 00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:37,280 Speaker 2: for BBOC Live. It's a blast. I want to come more. 651 00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:40,440 Speaker 2: G five. It's just so nice here, it's so I 652 00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,040 Speaker 2: feel I feel so safe here. If there's no pressure, 653 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:46,800 Speaker 2: playing the mud, be playing the mud, and I love 654 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:50,920 Speaker 2: it so Ianello. It was a pleasure. I'm excited for 655 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 2: this weekend in college football. We got great stuff in 656 00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,120 Speaker 2: G five, great stuff in P five. Can't wait to 657 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,200 Speaker 2: nail my ass to the couch for hours on end. 658 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 659 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,960 Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 660 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler