WEBVTT - Trumpland vs. Elon vs. Tariffs

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me tell you we have a new star. A

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<v Speaker 2>star is born.

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<v Speaker 3>Elon comed up on mars Juson Kennemy.

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<v Speaker 4>He is the Thomas Edison plus plus plus of our age.

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<v Speaker 2>Probably his whole life is from a position of insecurity.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel for the guy.

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<v Speaker 5>I would say ninety eight percent really appreciate what he does.

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<v Speaker 5>But those two percent that are nasty, they are up

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<v Speaker 5>in four post.

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<v Speaker 2>We're meant for great things in the United States of America,

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<v Speaker 2>and Elon reminds us of that.

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<v Speaker 6>We don't have a fourth branch of governments called Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to elan Ink, Bloomberg's weekly podcast about Elon Musket's Tuesday,

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<v Speaker 2>April eighth. I'm your host, David Popotopolis. Now Here at Bloomberg,

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<v Speaker 2>the news has been dominated by last week's tariff announcements.

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<v Speaker 2>They've upended markets, sparked of imported olive oil and iPhones,

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<v Speaker 2>and created the first major policy rift between Musk and

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<v Speaker 2>President Donald Trump. All the CEOs in America, Musk, the

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<v Speaker 2>White House first buddy, has arguably been the loudest critic

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<v Speaker 2>of Trump's tariffs, like calling Trump's trade architect a quote

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<v Speaker 2>total moron, kind of loud. A very dangerous game here

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<v Speaker 2>with very high stakes. So we'll get into what the

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<v Speaker 2>tariffs mean for Musk's many businesses and then talk about

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<v Speaker 2>the political fall and the potential beginning of the end

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<v Speaker 2>for Doge. As always, I'm joined by our regulars, Dana

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<v Speaker 2>Hull and Max Chafkin. Dana, Hello there, Hey, hey, hey,

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<v Speaker 2>and Max how are you hey? David, how are you doing? Excellent? Okay?

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<v Speaker 2>And Craig Trudell, our global autozar, is on to talk

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<v Speaker 2>tariff nitty gritty Craig, welcome, thanks for having me. And later

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<v Speaker 2>on Nancy Cook, a senior reporter in Washington, will hop

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<v Speaker 2>on to talk politics with us. Before we talked tariffs

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<v Speaker 2>for one second, Max, I listened to the debut last

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<v Speaker 2>week of your new podcast, Did you wow Everybody's Business?

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<v Speaker 2>I thought it was great.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, Everybody's Business. We had our first episode on Friday.

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<v Speaker 6>If you didn't listen, it is a weekly show in

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<v Speaker 6>which myself and Stacey Mannix Smith, who's a wonderful financial journalist,

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<v Speaker 6>a longtime reporter, talked through the news of the week

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<v Speaker 6>and what it means it's going to be in this feed.

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<v Speaker 6>The elon ink feed every Friday for the next few weeks,

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<v Speaker 6>and then eventually if David, if you like it, we'll

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<v Speaker 6>move to our own feed and you can subscribe. And

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<v Speaker 6>we did get into the tariff talk last week in

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<v Speaker 6>a big way.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, there are other things to talk about besides

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<v Speaker 2>everybody's business, like the tariffs, Craig Chudell. They were announced

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<v Speaker 2>last Wednesday, shocked, I think just about everybody. Markets collapsed,

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<v Speaker 2>tesla'st collapsed, everybody up in arms. I will note at

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<v Speaker 2>here as we record Tuesday morning, markets are relief, rebounding

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit, but still a whole lot of anxiety

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<v Speaker 2>out there. Craig, tell us exactly how you expect this

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<v Speaker 2>to affect the price of Tesla vehicles and how it

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<v Speaker 2>will affect their operations.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, so, I think we should start by talking about,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, acknowledging the fact that Tesla does sort of

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<v Speaker 5>lay claim to having the most you know, sort of

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<v Speaker 5>American made cars.

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<v Speaker 3>And they do this in large part.

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<v Speaker 5>There's a an annual study that this group at cars

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<v Speaker 5>dot Com does. It's called the American Made Index. They

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<v Speaker 5>look not just at the final assembly locations for vehicles,

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<v Speaker 5>but also parts content, and I think, you know, I've

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<v Speaker 5>sort of actually taken a closer look at the most

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<v Speaker 5>recent index that cars dot Com release. One of the

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<v Speaker 5>things that I found so interesting is that one of

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<v Speaker 5>the ways that they sort of one of the inputs

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<v Speaker 5>for this data is actually from a US law where

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<v Speaker 5>they include Canadian content along with US content as a

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<v Speaker 5>measure of americanness. That speaks to just, you know, just

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<v Speaker 5>how crazy the last few weeks have been for this industry.

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<v Speaker 5>That you know, it was a given that you know,

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<v Speaker 5>in the past and since nineteen ninety four, when you

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<v Speaker 5>look at, you know, a window sticker on a car

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<v Speaker 5>for what percentage of the parts content for that vehicle

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<v Speaker 5>is quote unquote made in America, Canada gets thrown in there.

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<v Speaker 5>That that speaks to just how international this industry is.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, and it also, I suppose speaks to how, of

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<v Speaker 2>course America is more than the United States. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>it's America and the broadest sense of America. Yeah, And

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<v Speaker 2>it was just it is what is America? What is America?

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<v Speaker 2>Canada was always just assume it was just part of US.

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<v Speaker 2>It was all just one big market. And this trade

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<v Speaker 2>war is so vast that even that is very very

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<v Speaker 2>very much in doubt.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's up in the air.

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<v Speaker 5>And so, you know, I think while Tesla was coming

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<v Speaker 5>into this trade war from a sort of relative point

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<v Speaker 5>of strength in the fact that, you know, the vehicles

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<v Speaker 5>that they sell in the US, they make in the US,

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<v Speaker 5>they don't entirely have a US supply chain, and they

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<v Speaker 5>acknowledge that themselves back in March, in March eleventh, they

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<v Speaker 5>sent a letter to the Trump administration where they said,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, even with the aggressive localization of their supply chain,

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<v Speaker 5>there are certain parts and components that are, in their words,

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<v Speaker 5>difficult or impossible to source within.

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<v Speaker 3>The United States.

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<v Speaker 5>And an instance of there not being any winners in

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<v Speaker 5>this trade war for the auto industry, that there may

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<v Speaker 5>be sort of you know, relative losers in terms of

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<v Speaker 5>who's losing the most.

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<v Speaker 3>But Tesla absolutely is being hit by this.

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<v Speaker 5>And I think there's also real concern about sort of

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<v Speaker 5>second order effects here that when the US puts tariffs

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<v Speaker 5>on other parts of the world, that Tesla will be

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<v Speaker 5>sort of caught up in the crossfire, that they will

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<v Speaker 5>be targeted as a result of these tariffs.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and especially if China. I mean, I think the

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<v Speaker 4>big thing to think about with regards to Tesla is

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<v Speaker 4>on the one hand, they have really worked very hard

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<v Speaker 4>to localize their supply chain in every country where they

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<v Speaker 4>sell vehicles. But on the other hand, they are very

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<v Speaker 4>exposed in China, which accounts for roughly twenty percent of

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<v Speaker 4>their sales. And if the trade war escalates with China,

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<v Speaker 4>like you could see this big knockoff effect where like

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<v Speaker 4>the Chinese government encourages people to not buy Tesla's and

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<v Speaker 4>to buy domestic suppliers.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, conventional wisdom around tariffs, and Tesla has been that,

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<v Speaker 6>like Craig is saying that it's going to be the

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<v Speaker 6>least big loser among car companies. I have to say,

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<v Speaker 6>as I've watched Elon mus react to these tariffs.

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<v Speaker 2>It's giving me reason to doubt.

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<v Speaker 6>I am wondering how much we should credit this cars

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<v Speaker 6>dot Com list in the first place. And you know,

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<v Speaker 6>looking at the methodology, it seems like they count the

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<v Speaker 6>number of parts and then divide how many of those

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<v Speaker 6>parts come from these It's the.

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<v Speaker 2>Same mathematical formula they used to set the terror It just.

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<v Speaker 6>Sounds I'm just saying, are we sure that there are

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<v Speaker 6>not big unknown vulnerabilities in Tesla's supply chain? That maybe

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<v Speaker 6>people are are not considering or underrating battery components in particular,

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<v Speaker 6>that is a business that China has long dominated. I

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<v Speaker 6>know that Tesla has has battery making in the US,

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<v Speaker 6>but I have to say, like watching Elon Musk react

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<v Speaker 6>to this stuff, just it does not look like a

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<v Speaker 6>guy who's approprating from a position of strength.

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<v Speaker 2>I see, I see so certainly very possible. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>his protestations have indeed been very very loud. But Craig,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm to go back to the beginning and the first

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<v Speaker 2>question I asked you, because you tap danced around it,

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<v Speaker 2>you can't trick me, pal. Are there car prices going

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<v Speaker 2>up already? And if not, how soon do we expect

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<v Speaker 2>them to go up? If at all?

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<v Speaker 5>We have not seen Tesla make moves to its vehicle

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<v Speaker 5>prices on its website, and I do think that that

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<v Speaker 5>will be something that we ought to watch over the

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<v Speaker 5>next you know, a few weeks in the sense that

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<v Speaker 5>they are very different from the rest of the industry.

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<v Speaker 5>Right where the manufacturers suggested retail prices you know, tend

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<v Speaker 5>to be kept pretty static by the rest of the industry.

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<v Speaker 5>Other automakers, they don't, you know, sort of mess around

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<v Speaker 5>with MSRPs. Tesla is very different in that, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>and we saw that coming out of the pandemic right

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<v Speaker 5>where or early on in the pandemic, we saw them

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<v Speaker 5>jack up prices in this is very open way along

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<v Speaker 5>with the rest of the industry, where because everybody was

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<v Speaker 5>production constrained.

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<v Speaker 2>Let me pause there for a second, So you're saying

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<v Speaker 2>that when we had the last major supply shock, which

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<v Speaker 2>is essentially what this is. These tariffs are a supply

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<v Speaker 2>side shock, Tesla was the first and the most aggressive

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<v Speaker 2>in jacking up prices of the major automakers.

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<v Speaker 3>I think they were.

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<v Speaker 5>They were both aggressive and the way that they moved,

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<v Speaker 5>but also just much more open where because they don't

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<v Speaker 5>have a dealer base, because they don't have dealers and

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<v Speaker 5>independent retailers who in the end get to go with

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<v Speaker 5>the manufacturers suggested retail price are not.

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<v Speaker 3>They set their own prices.

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<v Speaker 5>And they do so very openly for everyone to see

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<v Speaker 5>on their website, and so they're unique. And yeah, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>just as Musk is loud and the way he protests

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<v Speaker 5>and the way he does virtually everything, Tesla is very

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<v Speaker 5>loud and how they set their prices. I also think,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, whereas other manufacturers may have, you know, no

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<v Speaker 5>choice but to jack up prices. I do wonder how

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<v Speaker 5>much you know, sort of ability Tesla has to use

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<v Speaker 5>pricing power, given the fact that they really, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>have started from such a hole in terms of you know,

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<v Speaker 5>the first quarter delivery numbers that they reported last week

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<v Speaker 5>were awful, and you know, they were off of a

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<v Speaker 5>awful base a year ago. So for them to start

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<v Speaker 5>the year by saying, you know, we expect to return

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<v Speaker 5>to growth, they've really got to sort of you know, move.

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<v Speaker 3>The metal this year.

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<v Speaker 5>And will we see them keeping pricing steady and eating

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<v Speaker 5>these tariffs.

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<v Speaker 3>More so than other carmakers.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, we are going to leave the teriff side of

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<v Speaker 2>this for here, at least the mechanical and the nitty

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<v Speaker 2>gritti sid of the teriff side. Here, Craig driudell as always, sir,

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<v Speaker 2>thank you for joining us.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks chuys.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh and by the way, Craig, shout as soon as

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<v Speaker 2>you see price increases, if you do see them.

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, thanks gus.

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<v Speaker 2>Awesome man. Okay, we're now joined by Nancy Cook, a

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<v Speaker 2>senior correspondent for US in Washington. Nancy, Hello, thanks for

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<v Speaker 2>having me. Okay, now, So, Nancy, as I got it say,

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<v Speaker 2>it seems as I watched the ixing and the posting

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<v Speaker 2>on social media, it seems to be getting pretty hot

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<v Speaker 2>and heavy right now between Elon Musk and several members

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<v Speaker 2>of the Trump inner circle, in particular with one Peter Navarro. Navarro,

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<v Speaker 2>of course, helped steer Trump to these very aggressive tariffs,

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<v Speaker 2>Musk is dead set against them. Tell us, how do

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<v Speaker 2>you see this playing out and what does it look

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<v Speaker 2>like up close and personal there in DC.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, so, I think that what is happening is that

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<v Speaker 1>Elon musk time in the White House is coming to

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<v Speaker 1>an end, and you know he is going to leave,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, roughly at the one hundred and thirty day mark.

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<v Speaker 1>How the White House Counsel's Office kind of calculates that

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<v Speaker 1>is still up for grubs, but we're expecting him to

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<v Speaker 1>leave around May or June. You know, he has driven

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of White House aids nuts and has stepped

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<v Speaker 1>on a lot of toes. And I think you know

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<v Speaker 1>now that Trump is also previewing that he's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be leaving. I just think that everything, things that were

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<v Speaker 1>happening behind the scenes are sort of spilling out into

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<v Speaker 1>the open. A bit more.

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<v Speaker 2>And when you say he's driving members of the inner

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<v Speaker 2>circle nuts, who and exactly how is that playing it?

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<v Speaker 2>What does that look like?

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<v Speaker 1>So what has happened is that I think people have

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<v Speaker 1>been very cautious around him. A lot of Trump sort

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<v Speaker 1>of people in the White House but also advisors and

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<v Speaker 1>allies around him have been very cautious.

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<v Speaker 2>But when you say cautious, seem me like fearful.

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<v Speaker 1>Fearful exactly. That's a good word, better word. They have

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<v Speaker 1>been fearful to criticize Musk because he was like Trump's

0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:42.439
<v Speaker 1>bff for a long time and sort of still is

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:44.679
<v Speaker 1>around all the time. You know, he was at Mar

0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:47.400
<v Speaker 1>A Lago, he was kind of like living down there,

0:12:47.520 --> 0:12:50.520
<v Speaker 1>but also in DC. He was on Air Force one

0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:53.160
<v Speaker 1>all the time. He had given so much money to

0:12:53.240 --> 0:12:56.319
<v Speaker 1>the campaign, And it was funny because I would make

0:12:56.360 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 1>all these calls to you know, Trump people when Elon

0:13:00.360 --> 0:13:02.040
<v Speaker 1>first really stowed up in the White House and was

0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:04.480
<v Speaker 1>doing all these dotge cuts, and people were so fearful

0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:08.360
<v Speaker 1>to kind of say anything negative about him, even on background.

0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 1>And I do think that that has changed a little bit.

0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:13.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, they take their cues from the President. I think,

0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, President Trump still is, I think, on pretty

0:13:17.280 --> 0:13:19.480
<v Speaker 1>good terms with Elon, but is starting, I think to

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:22.360
<v Speaker 1>see that he has is becoming at a little bit

0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:26.160
<v Speaker 1>of a political liability. And Trump himself has sort of

0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:28.320
<v Speaker 1>said Elon is going to be leaving, like this is

0:13:28.360 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 1>not a permanent thing, and so the aids are taking

0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:31.720
<v Speaker 1>their cues from him.

0:13:32.240 --> 0:13:36.680
<v Speaker 2>So, Nathan, when you say your sources, people close to

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:41.600
<v Speaker 2>Trump were so fearful of Elon they wouldn't even you know,

0:13:41.760 --> 0:13:45.480
<v Speaker 2>talk about him or throw shade, I should say at

0:13:45.559 --> 0:13:49.720
<v Speaker 2>him on background, they are doing so now I think.

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 1>They're just they're not as fearful as they once were.

0:13:52.640 --> 0:13:55.600
<v Speaker 1>They are tired of him. He has worn out his welcome.

0:13:56.280 --> 0:13:59.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, they lost that key state Supreme Court race.

0:14:00.240 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 2>Remind our listeners a little bit about that for a minute.

0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 1>So I think Elon's been driving people in the White

0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:07.800
<v Speaker 1>House crazy for months, and you know, all these doze

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:10.680
<v Speaker 1>things were you know, viewed as things that he sort

0:14:10.679 --> 0:14:13.920
<v Speaker 1>of did, you know, without vetting them with the White House,

0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of went ahead and charged ahead. And so a

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:18.920
<v Speaker 1>real test case of his standing in Trump world was

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.280
<v Speaker 1>with this, you know, state Supreme Court seat in Wisconsin.

0:14:23.160 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 1>Elon was out there campaigning the weekend before, he raised

0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:28.280
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of money to try to you know, in

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 1>the race to back his candidate, and they lost and

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:34.760
<v Speaker 1>it was, you know, an embarrassment. And I do think

0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:37.760
<v Speaker 1>Trump world right now, like the people immediately around Trump

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:40.440
<v Speaker 1>are very political people. And so that is led by

0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:42.560
<v Speaker 1>his chief of staff, Susie Wilds, who is like a

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:46.840
<v Speaker 1>longtime political operative. Trump calls her the ice Maiden. You know,

0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:50.760
<v Speaker 1>she looks sort of grandmotherly, but but do not fall

0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 1>for that. You know, she is a tough woman. Trump

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:55.960
<v Speaker 1>loves her, the family loves her, and.

0:14:55.920 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 4>She's really into like as like a political person. She's

0:14:58.920 --> 0:15:01.720
<v Speaker 4>really into like message discipline and I think that and

0:15:01.760 --> 0:15:05.600
<v Speaker 4>like running like a disciplined political operation. And the thing

0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:08.280
<v Speaker 4>that people need to learn very quickly about Elon is

0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:11.200
<v Speaker 4>he is not disciplined. I mean, he will post at

0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:15.000
<v Speaker 4>all hours, he will wildly cream from one position to another.

0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 4>He will be off message, he will be at odds

0:15:17.840 --> 0:15:20.160
<v Speaker 4>with the Trump administration. And you're seeing that play out

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 4>in real time today with what he's saying about Peter Navarro,

0:15:24.000 --> 0:15:26.920
<v Speaker 4>who is like the lead person along with Lutnik on

0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 4>this whole tariff issue. So that's got to be causing

0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:32.200
<v Speaker 4>more consternation internally.

0:15:32.600 --> 0:15:35.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you know, Max as Dennis saying here, Musk was

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 2>out this morning hammering Navarro, hammering him.

0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:42.520
<v Speaker 6>I don't even know if I could say I believe

0:15:42.600 --> 0:15:45.280
<v Speaker 6>he called Peter Navarro Peter Retardo.

0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:49.000
<v Speaker 2>I didn't see that one. He called him a total moron.

0:15:49.520 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 2>No no, no, no, truly a more truly a moron,

0:15:52.560 --> 0:15:55.880
<v Speaker 2>excuse me, and that what he says here is demonstrably false.

0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 2>He also says apparently that he is dumber than a

0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 2>sack of bricks. So yeah, I'm guessing at Susie wilds

0:16:03.320 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 2>ain't loving now I was.

0:16:04.600 --> 0:16:06.560
<v Speaker 6>I want to add a point out that, just I

0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:07.960
<v Speaker 6>believe it was a week ago or a week and

0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 6>a half ago, Elon Musk was in a cabinet meeting

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:14.320
<v Speaker 6>wearing a hat that said Trump was right about everything.

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:17.120
<v Speaker 2>That was different than the cheese had had that was.

0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 6>It was it was not shaped like a wedge of cheese.

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:23.880
<v Speaker 6>It was shaped like a normal baseball cap. So huge,

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:28.560
<v Speaker 6>huge difference there. So Dan is right like Elon Musk,

0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 6>He's an impulsive guy. I think the inciting thing here,

0:16:33.040 --> 0:16:36.080
<v Speaker 6>beyond just the tariffs and the fact that that is

0:16:36.440 --> 0:16:39.200
<v Speaker 6>hurting his business. But we know for a fact that

0:16:39.240 --> 0:16:42.000
<v Speaker 6>Elon Musk is willing to accept some pain, some business

0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 6>pain on behalf of Donald Trump. But Navarro went on,

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:49.680
<v Speaker 6>I can't remember, I think it was CNBC and he

0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:54.160
<v Speaker 6>was asked a question about this, and he said that

0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:58.479
<v Speaker 6>Tesla is not an American auto manufacturer, It's an American assembler,

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:01.760
<v Speaker 6>which is the worst thing you could say to Elon.

0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:06.640
<v Speaker 6>I cannot imagine a worse like something that would hurt

0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:11.119
<v Speaker 6>Elon Musk more than that. Number one, because he he

0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 6>values being a manufacturer.

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:17.439
<v Speaker 2>But number two, there is just the faintest kernel of

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:18.080
<v Speaker 2>truth to.

0:17:18.040 --> 0:17:23.920
<v Speaker 6>That statement, because Tesla is modeled after these consumer electronics companies.

0:17:24.080 --> 0:17:27.400
<v Speaker 2>Car similar is DEM's fighting words. I know, look you're

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:29.199
<v Speaker 2>saying to his face, and don't call me a car

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 2>similar either, But I gotta say, like, you know, Elon

0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:35.720
<v Speaker 2>doesn't even want the cars really to be about the hardware.

0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:38.119
<v Speaker 2>They're all about the software, which is which is what

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:40.600
<v Speaker 2>is really the other big dig right. It's like, no,

0:17:40.680 --> 0:17:45.440
<v Speaker 2>I'm some great, you know, brilliant, you know, technologist, And

0:17:45.560 --> 0:17:48.800
<v Speaker 2>so I suppose that's what really is is part of

0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.960
<v Speaker 2>what's got him calling Navarro Trulia moron and a set

0:17:52.119 --> 0:17:55.080
<v Speaker 2>dumber than a sack of bricks. Okay, so, Nancy, we've

0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:58.359
<v Speaker 2>established that he's warring with Peter Navarro. Who are his

0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:01.480
<v Speaker 2>other big enemies? As do you understand it there in

0:18:01.520 --> 0:18:02.720
<v Speaker 2>and around that White House?

0:18:03.119 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think he's made everyone mad. Like we

0:18:05.000 --> 0:18:06.960
<v Speaker 1>don't need to name names. I think you could just say,

0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:11.160
<v Speaker 1>like the waterfront of top White House, aids have been

0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:14.240
<v Speaker 1>annoyed by Elon or gotten into it with him, or

0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:17.840
<v Speaker 1>been disappointed by his lack of message discipline, or how

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>he's gone and done things with Doje that they didn't

0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:22.240
<v Speaker 1>know about ahead of time. I mean, it has just

0:18:22.280 --> 0:18:25.320
<v Speaker 1>been a problem, and people have been fearful to say anything.

0:18:25.680 --> 0:18:28.199
<v Speaker 1>And I think that you know, what's happening with Navarro

0:18:28.240 --> 0:18:31.440
<v Speaker 1>and Musk. It's interesting, you know. Navarro is like one

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:35.000
<v Speaker 1>of the most people who escalates, goes from like zero

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:38.399
<v Speaker 1>to one hundred faster than anyone I've ever seen. You know,

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:41.640
<v Speaker 1>in the first Trump term, he really got into it

0:18:41.680 --> 0:18:45.240
<v Speaker 1>with like you know, Republicans on Capitol Hill, they hated him,

0:18:45.600 --> 0:18:47.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, people in the White House hated him. But

0:18:47.840 --> 0:18:52.879
<v Speaker 1>he went to jail for four months for defying a subpoena.

0:18:53.040 --> 0:18:57.320
<v Speaker 1>And you cannot underestimate in Trump's mind how much that

0:18:57.400 --> 0:19:00.800
<v Speaker 1>demonstrated his loyalty and the currents that he has in

0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:03.560
<v Speaker 1>the West wing because of that, I think Peter Navarro

0:19:03.720 --> 0:19:06.119
<v Speaker 1>is at the apex of his power right now. Whether

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:09.240
<v Speaker 1>that last, we'll see. But with these tariffs, he's really

0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 1>at a height of power, and for Elon to be

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 1>picking a fight with him, it is just like, not

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:14.320
<v Speaker 1>good for Elon.

0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:18.199
<v Speaker 2>I gotcha, No, that's fantastic stuff. I had forgotten about

0:19:18.240 --> 0:19:20.240
<v Speaker 2>that time in jail he did. So let me ask

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:23.720
<v Speaker 2>you this, though, are you saying that your sense is

0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:27.960
<v Speaker 2>that loyalty that I'm willing to spend time in the

0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:32.760
<v Speaker 2>clink loyalty is worth more to Trump than Elon Musk's money.

0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:35.439
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I wouldn't put it that way, but I

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:40.679
<v Speaker 1>just say, like, Musk is messing with someone who, in

0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:44.200
<v Speaker 1>Trump's mind, is like just on this high perch because

0:19:44.240 --> 0:19:46.679
<v Speaker 1>of the jail time, and it's just probably not a

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:47.440
<v Speaker 1>good fight to pick.

0:19:47.720 --> 0:19:47.920
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Is Trump going to exile Elon? Nope, because he wants

0:19:50.960 --> 0:19:54.160
<v Speaker 1>that money for the midterms. Republicans will need that money

0:19:54.160 --> 0:19:56.879
<v Speaker 1>for the midterms. But I think that my sense is

0:19:56.880 --> 0:20:00.560
<v Speaker 1>that I think Trump's inner circle hopes that Elon just

0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:04.199
<v Speaker 1>goes away after you know, May or June, late May

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 1>or June. He can still be a friend of the

0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:08.880
<v Speaker 1>White House. You know, he'll still be able to come

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:11.440
<v Speaker 1>into the West Wing. You know, maybe once or twice

0:20:11.440 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 1>a week he'll show up at mar A Lago. No

0:20:13.119 --> 0:20:15.960
<v Speaker 1>one thinks he's going away. Doge is there to stay.

0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 1>They're going to stay in the agencies. But I think

0:20:18.359 --> 0:20:20.800
<v Speaker 1>that people are hoping maybe Doge is like less of

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 1>a lightning rod for Democrats if Musk himself is not

0:20:24.160 --> 0:20:26.480
<v Speaker 1>like jumping up on stage all the time, or with

0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:29.080
<v Speaker 1>Trump all the time, or at mar A Lago, sort

0:20:29.119 --> 0:20:30.800
<v Speaker 1>of like in this Buddy Cop movie.

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:32.119
<v Speaker 2>I totally agree.

0:20:32.119 --> 0:20:35.359
<v Speaker 6>I think, like it's not that it's not that Musk

0:20:35.560 --> 0:20:37.679
<v Speaker 6>is not going to be in Trump's orbit or whatever.

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.800
<v Speaker 6>It's just it's just like a mutual away that they

0:20:40.840 --> 0:20:44.320
<v Speaker 6>can mutually take a step away from one another. I

0:20:44.359 --> 0:20:47.920
<v Speaker 6>will say this Wisconsin race, like, I don't think we can.

0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 6>I don't think you'd be right to blame Elon Musk

0:20:50.320 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 6>for like losing the race.

0:20:52.000 --> 0:20:55.920
<v Speaker 2>Filon Musk is you can extract that variable from the

0:20:55.960 --> 0:20:58.280
<v Speaker 2>whole picture. The Dems still win.

0:20:58.840 --> 0:21:00.920
<v Speaker 6>I don't think we would be surprised if the Dems

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:02.800
<v Speaker 6>had won even without Elon.

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:04.040
<v Speaker 2>Musk being such a factory.

0:21:05.080 --> 0:21:08.919
<v Speaker 6>But listen, like it's a low turnout election and then

0:21:09.200 --> 0:21:12.760
<v Speaker 6>you know, like there been there are historical examples like

0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:16.440
<v Speaker 6>like this where the candidate who just who just lost

0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 6>the presidency overperforms in a special lee.

0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:21.320
<v Speaker 2>But I'm distracting you, But it's just.

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:25.959
<v Speaker 6>Like Nancy's right, Like Elon's big value to Trump is

0:21:26.000 --> 0:21:29.159
<v Speaker 6>the mid term is like putting I don't know, hundreds

0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:33.080
<v Speaker 6>of millions of dollars into midterm elections and then using

0:21:33.440 --> 0:21:37.760
<v Speaker 6>the thread of that to intimidate like like other Republicans

0:21:37.800 --> 0:21:40.520
<v Speaker 6>into kind of falling in line. We just saw Elon

0:21:40.640 --> 0:21:44.160
<v Speaker 6>Musk put a huge amount of money like basically press

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:47.640
<v Speaker 6>the button as hard as he could for the Republican candidate,

0:21:48.000 --> 0:21:50.720
<v Speaker 6>and and like nothing happened, right, Like like that's the

0:21:50.720 --> 0:21:51.240
<v Speaker 6>best case.

0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:53.840
<v Speaker 2>I mean nothing. I think something happened. I think he

0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:57.280
<v Speaker 2>drove right, maybe he even made it worse.

0:21:57.600 --> 0:22:02.760
<v Speaker 6>And so like the value of Elon Musk's presence is

0:22:02.800 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 6>probably lower than it has been at any point because

0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:08.199
<v Speaker 6>we're seeing Musk create all of these scandals. You know,

0:22:08.240 --> 0:22:10.560
<v Speaker 6>he goes on Twitter and makes a Nazi joke, right,

0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:13.040
<v Speaker 6>like that is not what that wasn't on you know,

0:22:13.080 --> 0:22:16.960
<v Speaker 6>Susie Wiles's like plan for the week or whatever, and

0:22:17.440 --> 0:22:20.440
<v Speaker 6>his money just is not moving the needle, or maybe

0:22:20.520 --> 0:22:22.439
<v Speaker 6>is moving the needle in the wrong direction. So like

0:22:22.480 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 6>there are reasons why, like somebody like Navarro would feel

0:22:26.560 --> 0:22:31.239
<v Speaker 6>comfortable like going on TV and saying something that is

0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:35.119
<v Speaker 6>not like one hundred percent laudatory of Elon Musk or privately,

0:22:35.440 --> 0:22:38.560
<v Speaker 6>maybe you're seeing people in Trump's inner circle starting to

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:41.720
<v Speaker 6>let things slip about how they truly feel.

0:22:46.920 --> 0:22:50.159
<v Speaker 4>I think originally with with Doge, like Elon was the

0:22:50.200 --> 0:22:52.919
<v Speaker 4>public face of Doze, and he was like the buffer,

0:22:53.040 --> 0:22:55.639
<v Speaker 4>like he absorbed the blast radius. Right, So like as

0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:59.440
<v Speaker 4>people got upset about Doge, as you know, as government

0:22:59.480 --> 0:23:03.640
<v Speaker 4>workers and lawsuits were filed, like Elon absorbed the blast.

0:23:03.720 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 4>But now, like his his brand is so toxic nationally

0:23:08.040 --> 0:23:10.560
<v Speaker 4>that like it's no longer an asset to have him

0:23:10.600 --> 0:23:13.439
<v Speaker 4>so closely aligned. And you saw that in Wisconsin, and

0:23:13.480 --> 0:23:16.440
<v Speaker 4>you saw that this weekend where there were massive protests

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:18.639
<v Speaker 4>like not just in New York City but in like

0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:24.040
<v Speaker 4>Utah and Montana and in red states of people protesting

0:23:24.680 --> 0:23:27.400
<v Speaker 4>Trump and Musk. I mean, so many of the signs

0:23:27.440 --> 0:23:30.520
<v Speaker 4>that people were caring were about Musk and about Doge,

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:34.879
<v Speaker 4>and like that's got to have impact because they're seeing

0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:37.080
<v Speaker 4>now like, oh, you know, like we thought, like we

0:23:37.119 --> 0:23:38.880
<v Speaker 4>thought we were going to like waltz into the midterms

0:23:38.920 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 4>with all of this advantage and that we were gonna

0:23:40.800 --> 0:23:42.639
<v Speaker 4>have delivered all this stuff for the American people. And

0:23:42.680 --> 0:23:49.280
<v Speaker 4>you're also seeing like Kimball Musk, Elon's younger. No, I'm sorry,

0:23:49.320 --> 0:23:51.880
<v Speaker 4>I mean I meant like also like chiming in about

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:54.919
<v Speaker 4>how the tariffs are a bad idea, and Bill Ackman,

0:23:55.040 --> 0:23:57.600
<v Speaker 4>I mean like all the billionaire the billionaires are not

0:23:57.640 --> 0:23:58.399
<v Speaker 4>happy about this.

0:23:58.520 --> 0:24:01.600
<v Speaker 2>Drunk the billionaires. But I mean, I don't know. I

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:05.880
<v Speaker 2>do feel like, though, Max, it is pretty insane that

0:24:05.960 --> 0:24:10.240
<v Speaker 2>while Acman's out there and Jamie Diamond of JP Morgan

0:24:10.359 --> 0:24:12.600
<v Speaker 2>started to make some comments and the Drunke and Miller

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:14.800
<v Speaker 2>stand Druck and Millers and others are saying things. Man,

0:24:14.880 --> 0:24:17.720
<v Speaker 2>I don't know that anyone's making a bigger fuss about

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:20.359
<v Speaker 2>the tariffs than Elon Musk than the first buddy, And

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:22.320
<v Speaker 2>if you think about it, that's kind of crazy.

0:24:22.600 --> 0:24:24.800
<v Speaker 6>I mean, I don't think that's totally true. There are

0:24:24.800 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 6>lots of people who are mad about.

0:24:25.880 --> 0:24:28.720
<v Speaker 2>The No no, no, no, I'm sorry I misspoke of major

0:24:28.920 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 2>CEOs of major American companies or you know, and actually

0:24:33.760 --> 0:24:35.960
<v Speaker 2>forget about Acman and druck A Miiller because they're not

0:24:36.000 --> 0:24:38.320
<v Speaker 2>really CEOs of a major American companies. I mean, Jamie

0:24:38.320 --> 0:24:41.359
<v Speaker 2>Diamond said some words yesterday. Then we're exactly fighting words.

0:24:41.600 --> 0:24:44.679
<v Speaker 2>I mean, Elon Musk is calling the chief architect of

0:24:44.720 --> 0:24:48.960
<v Speaker 2>these tariffs a moron and dumber than a second David.

0:24:49.000 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 4>That's that's that's because he was.

0:24:51.000 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 2>Just like normal, got to watch stuff, David. He's got to.

0:24:53.520 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 4>Wind it back like that's like, because if Navarro hadn't

0:24:57.440 --> 0:25:00.679
<v Speaker 4>said what he said about Tesla being an assent maker,

0:25:01.119 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 4>I don't.

0:25:01.400 --> 0:25:06.359
<v Speaker 2>Think so let's wind okay, let's wind investigating that for

0:25:06.520 --> 0:25:09.760
<v Speaker 2>terrorism actually, but let's wind it back before then the

0:25:09.800 --> 0:25:14.639
<v Speaker 2>car assembler comment, what did had Musk said to prompt

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:17.400
<v Speaker 2>Navarro to say that? What did? What did? What Musk

0:25:17.400 --> 0:25:20.000
<v Speaker 2>had been saying was these tariffs are a crap idea.

0:25:19.800 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 6>No, and he had he had very gently criticized it.

0:25:23.160 --> 0:25:25.920
<v Speaker 6>He had said Tesla had written a letter not from

0:25:25.920 --> 0:25:29.680
<v Speaker 6>Elon Musk, but from the company just warning about retaliation,

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:31.720
<v Speaker 6>which is not exactly the same thing as saying the

0:25:31.720 --> 0:25:35.240
<v Speaker 6>tariffs are bad. And Musk had said had in response

0:25:35.560 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 6>to some stories maybe two weeks ago, essentially saying that

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:43.400
<v Speaker 6>Musk that Tesla was the best positioned automaker, basically a

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:46.760
<v Speaker 6>reply tweet that said we are not unaffected. So he

0:25:46.800 --> 0:25:49.080
<v Speaker 6>had he had pushed back, but like he was not

0:25:50.080 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 6>the Navarro thing is what has been the real Like Spark,

0:25:54.080 --> 0:25:56.879
<v Speaker 6>I want to just say, to the point about protests,

0:25:56.920 --> 0:26:01.160
<v Speaker 6>it's not just nationwide protests. He has also oh lost

0:26:01.200 --> 0:26:04.680
<v Speaker 6>the gamers. So he went on a live stream recently

0:26:04.680 --> 0:26:08.080
<v Speaker 6>in the last couple of days, and I guess now

0:26:08.080 --> 0:26:11.840
<v Speaker 6>I'm reading this in a blog called futurism, so perhaps

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:14.399
<v Speaker 6>they're cherry picking quotes, but there are a lot of

0:26:14.520 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 6>quotes from these gamers on Elon Musk's own live stream

0:26:18.119 --> 0:26:20.840
<v Speaker 6>that were very negative. People you know, say he had

0:26:20.840 --> 0:26:25.760
<v Speaker 6>no friends, siding with his strange daughter. Just kind of

0:26:25.800 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 6>an ugly scene, even in a domain where like Elon Musk,

0:26:29.800 --> 0:26:32.840
<v Speaker 6>you know, might otherwise expect to have mastery.

0:26:33.320 --> 0:26:36.600
<v Speaker 2>He's losing friends and allies everywhere right now as we speak,

0:26:36.800 --> 0:26:39.399
<v Speaker 2>I will note though, Nancy that and I'm going to

0:26:39.440 --> 0:26:40.919
<v Speaker 2>bring this up in a large part to try to

0:26:41.240 --> 0:26:43.720
<v Speaker 2>refute Max and Dana here, who are feuding with me

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:50.080
<v Speaker 2>right now. Senator Ted Cruz yesterday really imploring President Donald

0:26:50.119 --> 0:26:53.320
<v Speaker 2>Trump to listen to the better angel perched on his shoulder,

0:26:53.720 --> 0:27:00.720
<v Speaker 2>that being Elon Musk. Does Musk actually have the President's

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:04.040
<v Speaker 2>ear on this topic right now? I mean, certainly, looking

0:27:04.119 --> 0:27:06.080
<v Speaker 2>at the facts, looking at the things that are coming

0:27:06.119 --> 0:27:08.760
<v Speaker 2>out of Trump's mouth and the things he's doing, the

0:27:08.800 --> 0:27:10.960
<v Speaker 2>answer would seem to be no. But is there any

0:27:11.040 --> 0:27:13.480
<v Speaker 2>kind of line of communication on this one issue?

0:27:13.840 --> 0:27:16.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Musk spend so much time with Trump and

0:27:16.600 --> 0:27:18.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, has to cell phone and you know, talks

0:27:18.560 --> 0:27:21.280
<v Speaker 1>to him all the time. But my reporting shows that,

0:27:21.359 --> 0:27:24.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, he's not in these like final meetings about

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:26.760
<v Speaker 1>the tariffs. You know that group is that there was

0:27:26.800 --> 0:27:30.120
<v Speaker 1>a dinner at mar A Lago the Friday night before

0:27:30.480 --> 0:27:33.200
<v Speaker 1>they put out the tariffs. I'm like losing track of time.

0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:36.919
<v Speaker 2>I guess this is classic and we all are and

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:38.480
<v Speaker 2>we're in Trump time now.

0:27:38.359 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 1>Right, We're in Trump time. But like Lutnik was there,

0:27:40.640 --> 0:27:43.440
<v Speaker 1>Howard Lutnik, for instance, the Commerce Secretary Scott Besson, the

0:27:43.440 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Treasury Secretary, was there. I have no reporting that suggests

0:27:46.280 --> 0:27:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk was there at that dinner or like in

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:52.199
<v Speaker 1>these final White House meetings about what they should do

0:27:52.240 --> 0:27:55.119
<v Speaker 1>about the tariffs. And granted this was a contentious issue

0:27:55.119 --> 0:27:58.600
<v Speaker 1>and there was differing views among Trump's economic aids. You know,

0:27:58.680 --> 0:28:01.719
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk was not in those meetings. And so of

0:28:01.760 --> 0:28:04.440
<v Speaker 1>course he has influence, Like you know, one Trump person

0:28:04.520 --> 0:28:06.560
<v Speaker 1>told me, you know, he will always have influence. He

0:28:06.600 --> 0:28:09.000
<v Speaker 1>will always be able to access the West wing. You know,

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:11.520
<v Speaker 1>he will always be able to call Trump. Trump is

0:28:11.520 --> 0:28:14.119
<v Speaker 1>impressed by the fact that he's a billionaire, you know,

0:28:14.280 --> 0:28:17.280
<v Speaker 1>loves that brand name support. But but no, he was

0:28:17.320 --> 0:28:20.119
<v Speaker 1>not like in the core group of people deciding what

0:28:20.160 --> 0:28:22.240
<v Speaker 1>the tariffs were going to look like and going back

0:28:22.280 --> 0:28:22.960
<v Speaker 1>and forth on them.

0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:26.320
<v Speaker 6>I wonder how this would be playing out if if

0:28:26.359 --> 0:28:28.560
<v Speaker 6>Tesla were doing a little bit better, if they weren't

0:28:28.560 --> 0:28:33.600
<v Speaker 6>having these serious demand challenges, if the stock wasn't there

0:28:33.720 --> 0:28:36.560
<v Speaker 6>had fallen by fifty percent. Elon Musk had lots of

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 6>opportunity during the campaign to you know, like like you

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 6>go back and listen to those X spaces he had,

0:28:44.200 --> 0:28:46.200
<v Speaker 6>Like he didn't bring up the tariffs as a potential

0:28:46.240 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 6>point of contention. I'm not sure if he even saw

0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 6>them as a potential point of contention back then.

0:28:51.400 --> 0:28:54.080
<v Speaker 2>And so you think that's because he didn't think they

0:28:54.080 --> 0:28:56.160
<v Speaker 2>were going to be a big issue, or he too

0:28:56.280 --> 0:28:59.200
<v Speaker 2>was blindsided by the nature of these terrors. I think.

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:03.040
<v Speaker 6>I think think it's a combination of him, like many

0:29:03.080 --> 0:29:08.520
<v Speaker 6>business leaders sort of not expecting Trump to take such

0:29:08.520 --> 0:29:12.520
<v Speaker 6>a hard line here, expecting what basically Trump one point zero,

0:29:12.600 --> 0:29:16.880
<v Speaker 6>the kind of more restrained version of Donald Trump. And

0:29:16.920 --> 0:29:19.560
<v Speaker 6>I think it's also that he just felt like he

0:29:19.680 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 6>was in a position of much greater strength. I mean,

0:29:22.280 --> 0:29:26.240
<v Speaker 6>his his position has just gotten so much weaker over

0:29:26.280 --> 0:29:29.720
<v Speaker 6>the past few months, and like you look at Tesla's

0:29:29.720 --> 0:29:32.200
<v Speaker 6>market value, you look at the demand, you look at

0:29:32.280 --> 0:29:36.160
<v Speaker 6>these protests, like he is just under a threat in

0:29:36.200 --> 0:29:39.080
<v Speaker 6>a way that I don't think he anticipated. I think

0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:41.360
<v Speaker 6>he thought that this was going to go a lot

0:29:41.440 --> 0:29:42.800
<v Speaker 6>differently than it has gone.

0:29:43.120 --> 0:29:45.560
<v Speaker 1>And also I'll just chime in, like I also think

0:29:45.640 --> 0:29:49.720
<v Speaker 1>Trump has changed as a leader since he was president

0:29:49.760 --> 0:29:52.440
<v Speaker 1>the first time. I think he is more self assured.

0:29:52.920 --> 0:29:55.360
<v Speaker 1>He cares a lot less what people think, and a

0:29:55.400 --> 0:29:57.600
<v Speaker 1>lot less like what the world thinks. You know, he

0:29:57.680 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 1>used to view the stock market as a barometer, like

0:30:00.160 --> 0:30:02.400
<v Speaker 1>almost like an approval rating poll. I don't think he

0:30:02.480 --> 0:30:05.600
<v Speaker 1>cares that much anymore. You know, he's not running for reelection.

0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 1>I just think he is much more confident making decisions

0:30:08.680 --> 0:30:11.160
<v Speaker 1>and letting the chips fall where they may. And also

0:30:11.200 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I think he's interested in a very small group of

0:30:14.560 --> 0:30:17.640
<v Speaker 1>people's opinions. You know, donors and Wall Street people are

0:30:17.800 --> 0:30:20.520
<v Speaker 1>largely freaking out about the tariffs. And I talked to

0:30:20.520 --> 0:30:23.000
<v Speaker 1>one person yesterday. He was like, yeah, donors could call him,

0:30:23.000 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 1>but there's like a very small circle of people who

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 1>he would actually listen to on this, And I'm just

0:30:27.960 --> 0:30:29.160
<v Speaker 1>not sure you would listen to Elon.

0:30:29.920 --> 0:30:32.760
<v Speaker 2>Well, no, he's not so far listen. I wanted to

0:30:32.840 --> 0:30:38.720
<v Speaker 2>ask this because Doze briefly came up here and I'm wondering, Nancy,

0:30:38.840 --> 0:30:43.120
<v Speaker 2>what of Doze? As I've been asking periodically the last

0:30:43.120 --> 0:30:45.800
<v Speaker 2>few weeks. It's from Afar. It seems to be petering

0:30:45.800 --> 0:30:48.800
<v Speaker 2>out a little bit and losing momentum. Is that true?

0:30:48.960 --> 0:30:51.760
<v Speaker 2>Or is it just going on and beavering away and

0:30:51.800 --> 0:30:52.800
<v Speaker 2>doing its things? What do you mean?

0:30:52.840 --> 0:30:52.920
<v Speaker 3>What?

0:30:53.080 --> 0:30:55.640
<v Speaker 4>I'm sorry, what do you mean petering? Out and losing moments.

0:30:56.600 --> 0:30:58.960
<v Speaker 4>Federal workers are still getting fined.

0:30:58.720 --> 0:31:01.480
<v Speaker 2>Like, what are they the savings? I thought the saving

0:31:01.520 --> 0:31:03.560
<v Speaker 2>they had one hundred billion they were reporting in savings

0:31:03.600 --> 0:31:05.400
<v Speaker 2>in the first two weeks. What's that number up to now?

0:31:06.000 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'm not tracking that that closely, like what

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:10.800
<v Speaker 1>the savings are. But I will say DOGE is not

0:31:10.920 --> 0:31:13.320
<v Speaker 1>going anywhere, and people in the White House have made

0:31:13.360 --> 0:31:15.920
<v Speaker 1>that clear to me. So there are still DOGE people

0:31:16.000 --> 0:31:19.080
<v Speaker 1>embedded in tons of the agencies. They're still doing work

0:31:19.160 --> 0:31:21.320
<v Speaker 1>to sort of, you know, they say, make the tech

0:31:21.400 --> 0:31:25.120
<v Speaker 1>systems more efficient, but also define savings. They just put

0:31:25.160 --> 0:31:28.240
<v Speaker 1>out another email at some agencies and then other people

0:31:28.240 --> 0:31:30.480
<v Speaker 1>at other agencies are getting it, sort of offering like

0:31:30.520 --> 0:31:33.240
<v Speaker 1>the second fork in the road, bigger buyout packages. I

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:36.520
<v Speaker 1>think more federal employees are thinking about taking it. So

0:31:36.640 --> 0:31:40.280
<v Speaker 1>DOGE lives on, and I think will live past Elon.

0:31:40.840 --> 0:31:44.680
<v Speaker 1>It just may not have sort of the controversial frontman

0:31:45.320 --> 0:31:47.280
<v Speaker 1>that it had before. But there are other people in

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:49.400
<v Speaker 1>the administration who want to shrink the size of the

0:31:49.400 --> 0:31:52.479
<v Speaker 1>federal government, like Russ Vote, who's the head of the OMBE,

0:31:52.720 --> 0:31:55.240
<v Speaker 1>Like they haven't He doesn't necessarily like the way that

0:31:55.280 --> 0:31:57.600
<v Speaker 1>Elon's gone about doing it, but there are other people

0:31:57.640 --> 0:31:59.800
<v Speaker 1>in the Trump orbit who are interested in cutting the

0:31:59.800 --> 0:32:01.000
<v Speaker 1>guvernant way down.

0:32:01.240 --> 0:32:03.680
<v Speaker 6>So it's like a dessert fork or a fish fork

0:32:03.840 --> 0:32:05.680
<v Speaker 6>instead of the main course forks.

0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:08.280
<v Speaker 4>Nancy, do you think that the tariff dispute is going

0:32:08.320 --> 0:32:11.360
<v Speaker 4>to be like the undoing between Musk and Trump or

0:32:11.400 --> 0:32:13.959
<v Speaker 4>was it already sort of underway post Wisconsin?

0:32:14.200 --> 0:32:17.520
<v Speaker 1>I think it was already frame. This is just another data.

0:32:17.320 --> 0:32:21.320
<v Speaker 2>Point, Max, Dana, Nancy, thanks for joining.

0:32:21.120 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 1>Me, Thanks for having me.

0:32:22.640 --> 0:32:32.120
<v Speaker 2>Thank you great to be here. This episode was produced

0:32:32.120 --> 0:32:35.440
<v Speaker 2>by Stacy Wong. Anna Masirakis is our editor and Rayhan

0:32:35.480 --> 0:32:39.160
<v Speaker 2>Harmansi our senior editor. The idea for this very show

0:32:39.360 --> 0:32:43.040
<v Speaker 2>also came from Rayhun Blake Maples handles engineering, and Dave

0:32:43.080 --> 0:32:48.080
<v Speaker 2>Purcell fact checks. Our supervising producers Magnus Henrickson. The Elining

0:32:48.240 --> 0:32:51.280
<v Speaker 2>theme is written and performed by take Yasuzawa and Alex

0:32:51.320 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 2>Sugi Eerra. Brendan Francis Newnham is our executive producer, and

0:32:54.840 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 2>Sage Bauman is the head of Bloomberg Podcasts. A big

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:01.640
<v Speaker 2>thanks to our supporters Joel Webber and Brad Stone. I'm

0:33:01.720 --> 0:33:05.040
<v Speaker 2>David Papadopoulos. If you have a minute, rate and review

0:33:05.040 --> 0:33:08.200
<v Speaker 2>our show, it'll help other listeners find us. See you

0:33:08.240 --> 0:33:08.680
<v Speaker 2>next week.