1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: here we go. 3 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 2: Spreading the corn ten seconds. 4 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:16,240 Speaker 3: Or maining, So just go show under the basket. 5 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 4: Under the basket, it's. 6 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 3: The truth for the wind. 7 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: God make a miracle. 8 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 4: I'm just up the water. Hit that one from the 9 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 4: parking lot. 10 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 1: What's up, the general nation? Welcome to The Big Bets 11 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:36,199 Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by bet NNGM. This is the 12 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: initial NCAA Tournament bracket reaction show. I'm stuck he in 13 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: joining me today, should say tonight are Craig Wadell, Mike 14 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: Calgary sent Anthony Dubundo. We are going to go through 15 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 1: each region just pretty high level. Won't be an overly 16 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: in depth episode, and we'll just give some high level thoughts, 17 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: maybe some and anything that jumps out as far as 18 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: opening lines are concerned, through some initial reactions, but before 19 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:12,559 Speaker 1: we get into that, and we can yell about things 20 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:17,680 Speaker 1: as we go through each region. But your initial or 21 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: you're one thing that you're you want to gripe about 22 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: after the bracket was released, I'll start it's that. I mean, look, 23 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, I don't care all 24 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: these bubble teams. I wish Saint John's would have gotten 25 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: in just because I think that team is super high 26 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: upside and it just baffles my mind. And only three 27 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: Big East teams got in. It's like, that's just crazy me. 28 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: It's the second best league by most metrics, and we're saying, 29 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: you con is the number one overall, see which I 30 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: agree with, but Biggie's only getting three teams in that 31 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: it just doesn't sit right with me. And the fact 32 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: that Virginia gets in, it's the team that was I 33 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: don't even have them as a top seventy five team 34 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: in the country and that's outrageous. Saint John's the top 35 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: twenty five team. So and then we got to watch 36 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: more Virginia basketball, which sucks, but I'll say, just my 37 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 1: biggest gripe. Whatever. Then the teams get in, there's line set, 38 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 1: we break down the matchups, the auto brackets, try to 39 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 1: find some edges. But the seat some of the seating 40 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: was just comical. I mean, apparently New Mexico was going 41 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:28,639 Speaker 1: to be out if they didn't win the Mountain West Championship. 42 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: New Mexico it's the same seed as Dukane. I mean, 43 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: Ducaine is an eleven seed. Is outrageous. BYU falls from 44 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 1: the five to the six because they can't play on Sundays, 45 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 1: and as a result, they get Ducane in eleven, who 46 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: should be like a thirteen or fourteen seed. So some 47 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: of the seating. The Mountain West seeding was pretty bizarre. 48 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 1: Fau is an eight seed. I thought that they might 49 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: get left out. So some of the seating, I don't 50 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: know where they're coming up with some of this stuff. 51 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: And the net, the net, the net, f the net, 52 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: the net doesn't matter apparently Saint John's the twenty five 53 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: and then net who cares the bunda what do you got? 54 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 5: Yeah? 55 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 3: I think the biggest takeaway is something that we kind 56 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 3: of knew this week. You know, the more chaos there 57 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 3: tends to be during conference tournament week, where you have 58 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 3: all these number one seeded mid major teams lose and 59 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:17,639 Speaker 3: then you have all these bid Steelers come from the 60 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:21,919 Speaker 3: Power Conferences. You get weaker mid major twelve to fifteen seeds. 61 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 3: And that's absolutely the case. If you just compare efficiency 62 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 3: metrics of the teams of the past couple of years 63 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 3: to this year, they are marginally worse. Teams that were 64 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 3: fifteen's last year, like a Princeton who has similar comparabilities 65 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 3: to what Yale is this year. Will Now Yale's at thirteen, right, 66 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 3: So two full seed lines different there, And I think 67 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 3: that's kind of a microcosm of how much weaker generally 68 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 3: the field is once you get past those top teams. 69 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 3: And yeah, I'm you know, the uncertainty is annoying as 70 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 3: somebody who doesn't really care who gets in the sixty 71 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 3: fifth through sixty eighth unless you're a fan of those teams, Like, 72 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 3: do you really care who gets in? Not really, We're 73 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 3: still going to watch the games, like you said, But 74 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 3: in terms of creating fun matchups, Virginia Colorado State total 75 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 3: at one to eighteen and a half not exactly going 76 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 3: to be the most exciting matchup. But then again, last 77 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 3: year we had Pittsburgh and Mississippi State, so not exactly 78 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 3: a thriller there either, So you know, they don't always 79 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 3: tend to be the best games in the first four. 80 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 3: But ultimately, unless you're a fan of one of the teams, 81 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 3: like I don't really personally have a vested interest in 82 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 3: who plays in Dayton or who doesn't, or whether Seaton 83 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 3: Hall gets in or Saint John's, I'm just excited for 84 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 3: these matchups. My biggest complaint, Why does the number one 85 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:30,279 Speaker 3: two seed get paired with the number one one seed. 86 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 3: It doesn't make any sense to me. Iowa State being 87 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 3: the you know, I think consensus best to gets placed 88 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 3: in the same region as Yukon. 89 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:40,280 Speaker 1: I think it really weren't they. Weren't they. I think 90 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 1: they are the number one ever took. But that's not allowed. 91 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 1: That's actually not allowed. So they're the committee saying that 92 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 1: i Was State's not the number one. 93 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 3: Okay, Yeah, that's a mistake from the committee. And I think, 94 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,919 Speaker 3: you know, docking them too much for non conference strength 95 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 3: of schedule after they just beat a one seed by 96 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 3: twenty five on Saturday and had played incredibly down the stretch, 97 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 3: bet everybody they're supposed to beat. I was shocked that 98 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 3: Iowa State got I think the worst host job of 99 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 3: anybody in the committee. 100 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 4: Them in Auburn. 101 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, well, look at the I mean the 102 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:14,359 Speaker 1: and by the way, some people care gets in for 103 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,839 Speaker 1: futures and for our podcast futures. They're all in the 104 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: same fucking region. I have Houston to win the national title. 105 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: I have some Kentucky from before the season. I have 106 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: A and M to make the final four. Colorado to 107 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:33,720 Speaker 1: make the final four. They're all in the same region, 108 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 1: so some sometimes it's just how the cookie crumbles. But 109 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: you mentioned the East. The East, Yukon is the number 110 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,479 Speaker 1: one overall one. I Alway State, I think, is the 111 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: number one overall. Two. Uh, you have Illinois, the Big 112 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 1: ten champ is the three, Auburn, the SEC champions, the four. 113 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,480 Speaker 1: You could argue there are two or three. I mean 114 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: that region is brutal. Then you look at the West. 115 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 1: It's like that meme where it's like the top SpongeBob 116 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:05,919 Speaker 1: versus the the weak one. The West is a joke. 117 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: I mean North Carolina is your one, Arizona your two, 118 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 1: Baylors your three, Alabama is your four. I mean, look 119 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 1: at the difference between the East and the West. It's 120 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:23,800 Speaker 1: pretty comical. But I'll go to you Greg, what your 121 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 1: one gripe off the top? 122 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 4: You guys are nailing the entire thing. 123 00:06:28,040 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 5: I think Conference turning week is pointless, and I think 124 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:34,560 Speaker 5: the selection committee has essentially embraced that there's no way 125 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 5: that we get the what region is it the East? Yeah, 126 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,799 Speaker 5: there's no way we get the East region with four 127 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 5: teams that are each the strongest per Ken Palm of 128 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 5: their seed line one, two, three, and four that also 129 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 5: just won their respective conference tournaments, Like we have the 130 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 5: Big East champion, the Big Twelve champion, both in blowout fashion, 131 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 5: the Big Ten champion, and the SEC champion, Like three 132 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 5: of those four were blowout and here you go, here's 133 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 5: your gauntlet. North Carolina, you mentioned, is the one seed 134 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 5: in the West. Illinois as the three seed is metrically 135 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 5: the fourth best team in the East region, and they're 136 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 5: separated by like half a percentage point, Like it's a gauntlet. 137 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 5: All of these teams would be teams I'd be picking 138 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 5: deep in the tournament if they didn't have to get 139 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 5: through each other. And selfishly, it's frustrated because as much 140 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 5: as I love Conference tournament week, I also feel like 141 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 5: we sat back and watched a bunch of guys get 142 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:31,800 Speaker 5: banged up in games that the committee. 143 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 4: Is telling us don't matter. 144 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 5: Like how can we sit back and say, oh, thirty 145 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 5: five of the thirty six at large as we're seeded 146 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 5: on Friday, our work is done, but we still have 147 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 5: all these games going and then Florida loses their center. 148 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 5: I'm really frustrated by it. If there's one argument for 149 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 5: expanding the tournament. It might just be that the committee 150 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 5: wouldn't have to do their jobs anymore, and maybe we 151 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 5: would get a little more I don't know, a little 152 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 5: more sigh of relief at the end of this, because 153 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 5: I'm frustrated with the way they shook out. 154 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 1: Well, if the committe did up to their jobs, then 155 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 1: we'd have Saint John's in the tournament. But yeah, also 156 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: in this region, in the East, I believe hold on, 157 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 1: let me pull it up. 158 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 3: B Yu has got to be the strongest six too, right, 159 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 3: just had a quick glance. 160 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, b Yu is a six because they dropped down 161 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:30,239 Speaker 1: from a five, so you could argue the strongest six. 162 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:35,440 Speaker 1: And then you're five and eight seeds. We're in the 163 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:39,679 Speaker 1: final four last year, I mean, the East is uh, 164 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 1: just absolutely brutal. And then you have more head state. 165 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:44,319 Speaker 1: It should be like a two seed in minors. But 166 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:46,839 Speaker 1: we'll get to them later. Cal bruis, what do you got? 167 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, you guys are basically playing the right music here. 168 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 1: I'm not in along. 169 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 6: This is the scene out of The Departed during the 170 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 6: stakeout where Alec Baldwin talks to the surveillance guy. Can 171 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 6: talk to you for a second and he just lose 172 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 6: it in Wales off and bunches him. That's Charles mccollin 173 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 6: basically complaining it's really complicated. 174 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:05,679 Speaker 2: We were up super late last night trying. 175 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 6: To It's like, no shit, buddy, Like there's lots of 176 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 6: different permutations that lots of different things can happen. You 177 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 6: can't just slot to Caine in where VCU would have 178 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 6: been that, Like what are you talking about? Like you 179 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 6: make up multiple brackets that account for those outcomes, and 180 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 6: it's given some teams some cushier matchups, has given some 181 00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 6: teams that didn't deserve harder roads much harder roads forward, Like. 182 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 1: They screwed this whole thing up. 183 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 6: That doesn't mean this won't be an amazing tournament and 184 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 6: there won't be great upsets and the champion could be 185 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 6: justified and everything else, But in terms of putting together 186 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 6: a sixty eight team tournament, this is a steaming. 187 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:40,719 Speaker 2: Pile of crap. So they did not do a good 188 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:41,679 Speaker 2: job whatsoever. 189 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 6: And there's a few teams as well that I'm upset 190 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 6: with in terms of like I really think they had 191 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 6: Cinderella potential, but all of a sudden, their draws make 192 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 6: it nearly impossible to really get beyond the round of 193 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 6: sixty four. So I'll just get into the matchups because 194 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:58,319 Speaker 6: in terms of the committee and putting this bracket together, 195 00:09:58,360 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 6: I think we're all pretty much aligned. 196 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, so that what the I'm really curious to like 197 00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 1: is would Temple have been a twelve seed? 198 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 3: I think that's what he's saying essentially, certainly, Yeah, especially 199 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:14,360 Speaker 3: since that game ended in five thirty. 200 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: I mean, just an absolute joke. 201 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 7: This podcast is probably desented by bet MGM use bonus 202 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 7: code action when signing up to get up to one 203 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:23,680 Speaker 7: hundred and fifty eight dollars in bonus bets when you. 204 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 1: Bet five dollars for new users in. 205 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,839 Speaker 7: Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, the Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 206 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 7: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. 207 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:36,160 Speaker 7: Tramscisions apply. 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That's twenty percent 226 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: off and free shipping with the code bboc at manscape 227 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:46,720 Speaker 1: dot com. Nothing like a little spring cleaning in your pants. 228 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 1: Let's start in the East, where Yukon is the number 229 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 1: one overall seed in the Gauntlet bracket. The Gauntlet region 230 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,599 Speaker 1: is sor the Region of Death as I'm going to 231 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 1: call it. The two seed is Iowa, State been through 232 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: some of the teams here in this region. Greg, I'll 233 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 1: grow to you to give your first thoughts on this region. 234 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,679 Speaker 1: What are you seeing in the east, and go whichever 235 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: direction in your little heart desires. 236 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 4: Yeah. 237 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 5: So look, we nailed it already the top of the show. 238 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 5: It's loaded. All of the best teams per seed line 239 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:25,080 Speaker 5: for the top four are here. For me, Iowa State 240 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 5: and Illinois for sure would have been teams that in 241 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 5: other regions I would be looking to immediately pencil into 242 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 5: the second weekend, maybe look at a final four ticket, 243 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:39,079 Speaker 5: depending on where they're at. But the elephant in the 244 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 5: room here is it's Yukon. It's the defending champ, right 245 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:46,080 Speaker 5: Like you could even talk yourselves into like, Okay, Iowa State, 246 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:48,560 Speaker 5: what can they do to Purdue. I don't know that 247 00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 5: I can do the same with Yukon here, and I'm 248 00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 5: trying to, but it's it's frustrating that that's kind of 249 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:57,240 Speaker 5: these high major teams that we feel have a ceiling 250 00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:01,200 Speaker 5: of making it all the way to Phoenix have to 251 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:04,079 Speaker 5: go through the big Dog. With that said, one thing 252 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:08,079 Speaker 5: that jumped out at me immediately is that Yukon's potential 253 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 5: second round matchups in Northwestern Florida Atlantic. 254 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:15,680 Speaker 4: Shout out to Calibris that the boy section of the podcast. 255 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 5: Calabrese loves to shout out our boy, Evan Miakawa, who 256 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 5: has the opponent adjust metric. He launched it in the 257 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:25,880 Speaker 5: middle of the season. And Northwestern and Florida Atlantic great 258 00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 5: out extremely highly at playing their best against the best 259 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 5: teams on their schedule. Remember Florida Atlantic showed up record 260 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 5: with Arizona beat them, Northwestern Purdue beat them and then 261 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 5: took them to overtime again. Like, these are teams that 262 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:43,680 Speaker 5: have demonstrated the ability to play up to the best 263 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:45,559 Speaker 5: teams in the sport Florida Atlantic. 264 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 4: I mean, we know the names on this team. 265 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:51,199 Speaker 5: There's talent they have a like Goolden is not going 266 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 5: to physically shy away from playing in even though he's 267 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:58,199 Speaker 5: not as good as a player like Elijah Martin and Johnlel. 268 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 5: Davis will not be played off the floor or by 269 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 5: Am Spencer and Tristan Newton. It does feel like one 270 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 5: of those matchups to me where there's always the narrative 271 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 5: driven oh my god, how did we put Kentucky in 272 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 5: Wichita State in the one eight pod together. That's Yukon 273 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:15,319 Speaker 5: Florida Atlantic. For me, we almost got it in the 274 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 5: National Championship. 275 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 4: Now here you go. 276 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,360 Speaker 5: But Boo Booe is probably the best player on the 277 00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 5: floor in that game, and they've been even better than 278 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 5: Florida Atlantic's been against the best teams they've played. I 279 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 5: know they're hurt, so on paper, Florida Atlantic should win that. 280 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 5: But no matter who does, the point is I don't 281 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,680 Speaker 5: think that second round game is gonna be as easy 282 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 5: for Yukon as it might seem on paper. And as 283 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 5: much as we're talking about how hard it is for 284 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 5: everybody else to have to potentially go through Yukon, man 285 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 5: for Yukon to just get to a final four to 286 00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 5: have to go through either FA or Northwestern, who are 287 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 5: great against good teams. 288 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 4: And then you know Auburn. 289 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 5: Who has been fourth on Ken Pom for the last month, 290 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 5: just to get to an elite a matchup with Iowa State, 291 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 5: who just dogged. 292 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:56,560 Speaker 4: Houston for forty minutes. 293 00:14:57,040 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 5: It's a really tough one hundred and twenty minute stretch 294 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 5: of basket. So if you are someone out there that's 295 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 5: been looking to be a skeptic of Yukon for whatever reason, 296 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 5: I think you got a draw that opens the door 297 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 5: for a bunch of different ways they could potentially get 298 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 5: picked off. But I'll open it up to the guys 299 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:15,880 Speaker 5: here if you have any other particular matchups you want 300 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 5: to talk about, because I do have my eye on 301 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 5: one upset later later down the line, after I hear 302 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 5: you guys thoughts. 303 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I will say the one the one seed 304 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 1: that no one expects to lose early. I don't know. 305 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 1: I feel like I'm gonna go back and look at this. 306 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 1: By the way, we'll have our we'll go through every game, 307 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,560 Speaker 1: like I said before, or in depth on Tuesday night, 308 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: well a Thursday episode than a Friday episode immediately following. 309 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 1: But if you want to if you're in a huge 310 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: pool and you want to get crazy, then you have 311 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 1: Yukon going down. The problem is, I'm not fully convinced 312 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:50,680 Speaker 1: I know who's gonna win that f at the Northwestern game, 313 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: which then makes it tricky. But the thing that jumps 314 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: out to me, and keep this in mind when we're 315 00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:00,400 Speaker 1: going through each region, a one versus a two in 316 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 1: any region has not happened since twenty nineteen. So the 317 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: chalk has not held since twenty nineteen in any region 318 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 1: it's gone oh of twelve. I think it was Michigan 319 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,760 Speaker 1: State Duke in twenty nineteen. The one thing that jumped 320 00:16:15,760 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 1: out of me immediately here to all two things. If 321 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: Illinois gets by Morehead and BYU gets by Ducane Illinois BYU, 322 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,480 Speaker 1: who what is that total? Two hundred and forty seven thousand, 323 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: But that I mean that should be over City in 324 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 1: BYU Illinois. But Morehead State was a team that I 325 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 1: had circled as a team I want to bet, and 326 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 1: Illinois is a team that I wanted to fade as 327 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 1: a bigger favorite, and then they happen to be matched 328 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 1: up against John I think there's gonna be money that 329 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:45,800 Speaker 1: continues to come in a more State lines come down 330 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 1: a little bit already, but Morehead State it profiles as 331 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:52,760 Speaker 1: the Cinderella or at least a good underdog to back 332 00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 1: in the first round. Why very well coached. They slow 333 00:16:56,600 --> 00:17:00,520 Speaker 1: the game down, and they have multiple guards can get hot. 334 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: They're not two reliant on any guards. Riley Minnicks is 335 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 1: a matchup problem and their biggest weakness is their turnovers. 336 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 1: Illinois is a matchup of two drop defenses. Illinois does 337 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 1: not turn you over ever. Three hundred and sixtieth in 338 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 1: the country in that department, and Illinois is so deadly 339 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 1: in transition word State doesn't really let you get in transition, 340 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: and they are an elite transition defense that's super important. 341 00:17:25,520 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 1: So I think Morehead State is a good first round bet. 342 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off the upset 343 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 1: and Illinois has you know, the teams that I'm looking 344 00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:39,240 Speaker 1: to fade are in the first round. Specifically are teams 345 00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 1: with elite offenses that have vulnerable defenses. You know, teams, 346 00:17:44,520 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 1: for example, teams that have a top ten overadjusted offensive 347 00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 1: efficiency and outside the top one hundred defensive efficiency have 348 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:55,160 Speaker 1: never made it past the Sweet sixteen, never and Illinois 349 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,879 Speaker 1: is like eightieth on defense, fourth on offense. That is 350 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 1: the exact rating of Iowa. In twenty twenty two, when 351 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 1: Keegan Barray went bananas, they won the Big Ten tournament 352 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,240 Speaker 1: and they ran into a Richmond team that slowed the 353 00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 1: game down and beat him in the first round. Anthony 354 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: al Karty what he's singing in the East and we. 355 00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 3: Were just joking about this, like fading the hot team 356 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 3: that just ran through the Big Ten. In the last 357 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 3: few years has been quite profitable Illinois went down to Loyola, 358 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 3: of course, Purdue last year, and Iowa two years ago 359 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:25,720 Speaker 3: going down to Richmond. So it's kind of just like 360 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 3: a beware of what you just saw. Teams tend to 361 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,919 Speaker 3: get overvalued off of a potential big run through a 362 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 3: conference tournament. And look, Auburn, I think they have a 363 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:37,200 Speaker 3: huge ceiling, if you wanted to say and just kind 364 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,359 Speaker 3: of do the comparison to last year. There's a certain 365 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 3: four seed that was ranking the top five and Ken 366 00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:45,119 Speaker 3: Palm entering last tournament, who had questions about their guard 367 00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,919 Speaker 3: play at various points in the regular season, who had 368 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 3: a really impressive front court and really great underlying metrics, 369 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:52,480 Speaker 3: and then they went on and just kind of buzzed 370 00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:54,919 Speaker 3: out everybody to a national title. If Auburn did that, 371 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 3: I wouldn't be shocked. But also Auburn, their guards are erratic, 372 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 3: and they have the profile of a team that also 373 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 3: could get picked off. And we've seen these IVY League 374 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,560 Speaker 3: teams play up over and over and over again, and 375 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 3: I think this Yale team is kind of comparable to 376 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 3: what Princeton just did last year playing against an Arizona 377 00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:13,640 Speaker 3: team that kept turning the ball over and that enabled 378 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 3: Yale or Princeton last year to play slow, take possessions 379 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 3: away from Arizona, shorten the game, execute in the half court, 380 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:24,920 Speaker 3: and prevent second chance looks because they were a great 381 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 3: defensive rebounding team. Well that's exactly what Yale is. Yale 382 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,600 Speaker 3: doesn't have a ton of depth and size, but like 383 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:35,280 Speaker 3: I said, it's the perfect profile to steal possessions from turnovers, 384 00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,679 Speaker 3: get to the free throw line, and execute good half 385 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:41,359 Speaker 3: court offense and slow Auburn down. All these SEC teams 386 00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 3: just want to get in track meets with Auburn. I 387 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,879 Speaker 3: don't think it's a great idea. Yale's not going to 388 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,000 Speaker 3: do that. So I think Yale is my favorite long 389 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 3: shot upset in this region. I'm gonna sprinkle some money line. 390 00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 3: But then again, if Auburn does get past this, they're 391 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,680 Speaker 3: gonna be catching what three and a half four max 392 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 3: against Yukon, So they're going to be in a potential 393 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 3: spot to really give yu kond Of a tough game, 394 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,440 Speaker 3: and they can match Yukon in the front court like 395 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:08,399 Speaker 3: a few teams can. So I think Auburn is a 396 00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:10,600 Speaker 3: very high ceiling, but I think they're profiling like we've 397 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:12,720 Speaker 3: seen Bruce Parl teams go down early before. We've seen 398 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,199 Speaker 3: IVY League teams pull up upsets. I think that's my 399 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 3: favorite upset in the first round. 400 00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:19,640 Speaker 5: I want to jump in quickly on Yale stuck because 401 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 5: that was my pick too. So Yale eighteenth in the 402 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 5: country at not turning. 403 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:27,200 Speaker 4: The ball over. Some of Auburn's. 404 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 5: Biggest wins this season, they've just been like jumping into 405 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,080 Speaker 5: teams and getting runouts. Yale slows it down, as you said, 406 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,160 Speaker 5: three hundred and twenty seven, slowest tempo Auburn fifty eighth. 407 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:38,240 Speaker 5: They're going to be frustrated. And lastly, Yale is great 408 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:41,399 Speaker 5: at preventing offensive rebounds thirteenth in the country. Auburn is 409 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 5: a very athletic team that just kind of wants to 410 00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:45,360 Speaker 5: throw the ball up. If their guards are missing shots. 411 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 5: Room's going to be active on the offensive rebounds. Their 412 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:49,920 Speaker 5: athletes are going to be running. I don't think that's 413 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:51,880 Speaker 5: going to work against Yale. I like Yale to win 414 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 5: this game outright as well. The Bundle beat me to it. 415 00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:58,920 Speaker 1: Yeah. Danny Wolf two a seven footer who can shoot threes. 416 00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,399 Speaker 1: That's like a potential match problem for Auburn, which is 417 00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:05,480 Speaker 1: the master promp for any team, and yeah, they play 418 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 1: super slow, they're well coached. We'll see how they deal 419 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 1: with Auburn's athleticism. They also force you like they're by design. 420 00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:16,639 Speaker 1: They forced teams into a top three, so like Auburn 421 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 1: could fall in love with bad shots here too, which 422 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 1: would be a detriment. So if you're filling out your 423 00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: bracket at home, but Yale through in the first round 424 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 1: and then Auburn winning the national title, I don't know 425 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 1: how that works. But that's the Dabundo math. Calvarys, what 426 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 1: are you saying? 427 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 6: So you guys have hit all the heavy hitters in 428 00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:37,840 Speaker 6: this region, So I'm going to go with the team 429 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 6: that you have not mentioned. And Greg teed me up 430 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 6: because I love the Eban Mia metric. Who punches up, 431 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,960 Speaker 6: who plays better against better opponents? Twenty fourth in the country, 432 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 6: the Drake Bulldogs. They got a head coach who's won 433 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 6: seventy four percent of his games since he showed up 434 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,280 Speaker 6: in twenty eighteen. They went ten and one down the stretch. 435 00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:57,960 Speaker 6: With all the pressure on them, they still had very 436 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 6: slim at large hopes. Six weeks ago, they knew that 437 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,399 Speaker 6: they needed to essentially either win out or you know, 438 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:05,919 Speaker 6: maybe just drop one game so they handle the pressure. 439 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 2: They beat Indiana State. They have one of the. 440 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 6: Best single players in this region in Tucker Debrees, and 441 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 6: he's someone I think Stuck brings up many great points 442 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 6: on this podcast throughout the year that's not necessarily just situational, 443 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,320 Speaker 6: but one that he's brought up multiple times is it's 444 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,600 Speaker 6: difficult if you're a single high scoring player from a 445 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:26,119 Speaker 6: mid major because if they can take away your scoring prowess, 446 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 6: then all of a sudden, you're a lot more mortal 447 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:29,920 Speaker 6: in a head to head matchup. Well, the thing about 448 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 6: Tucker is that he's one of the most efficient players 449 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,880 Speaker 6: in the whole country. He doesn't just impact the game 450 00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:36,680 Speaker 6: scoring the basketball. He does average twenty two but also 451 00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 6: seven rebounds, three and a half assists, he facilitates for 452 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,440 Speaker 6: his teammates. He can shoot at the outside over thirty 453 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 6: six percent from three point range. 454 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 2: So I see all of this being put into the blender. 455 00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 6: And then you pepper in the fact that they get 456 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:50,959 Speaker 6: to play in Omaha less than two hours from Des Moines. 457 00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,560 Speaker 6: They're going to have a lot of home fans against Wazoo, 458 00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 6: which you know, I think that's a rough draw for 459 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,639 Speaker 6: Wazoo in terms of what they accomplished this year, beating 460 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:02,040 Speaker 6: Arizona and you know, really being consistent for much of 461 00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,560 Speaker 6: the season. I think that's kind of a raw deal 462 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 6: for them. And then I had to head against Iowa State. 463 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:12,240 Speaker 6: I understand that they beat Baylor, you know, they dogwalked Houston, 464 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 6: but coming into the tournament, the narrative on them a 465 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,440 Speaker 6: little bit was how much. 466 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: Can they could the podcast we already cast minus ten thousand. 467 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,240 Speaker 1: We'd get a boo boo. He mentioned by Greg, is 468 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,479 Speaker 1: this the part of the podcast where you slander Lipsy? 469 00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 1: That's minus ten thousand. 470 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:30,440 Speaker 6: You know what Lipsy is someone who if I took 471 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:32,960 Speaker 6: them to go to the Elite eight and I see 472 00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 6: Lipsy with the ball in crunch time and he turns 473 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:38,920 Speaker 6: it over and the moment's too big and he doesn't 474 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 6: want it, I'm gonna the only person to blame is myself, Like, 475 00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 6: this is the only issue that I have with this team. 476 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,160 Speaker 6: Their metrics are rock solid, their head coach is brilliant, 477 00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 6: their defense is made for March to be able to 478 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 6: string wins together. But this is a guard tournament, So 479 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,639 Speaker 6: go ahead and cast your minus eighty thousand ticket. Lipsey 480 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,160 Speaker 6: is just not good enough in my opinion to win 481 00:23:58,280 --> 00:23:59,679 Speaker 6: three or four games in this region. 482 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 1: That's harsh. 483 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,440 Speaker 3: To also Ames West, Omaha, Nebraska. 484 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:10,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, Ames West, Aims South? What's Ames East? 485 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 3: Where's the final fours in Phoenix? Is ames eass TV 486 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:15,040 Speaker 3: Garden next weekend? 487 00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, we will go through who we have so so 488 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 1: if we I'll just go around the horn and I'll 489 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: do this each for each region. We're going to assume 490 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 1: that the trend continues. It might not. You might get 491 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 1: a one verse too, but if there's not a one 492 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,480 Speaker 1: verse too at all this tournament, we're gonna say that 493 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:38,359 Speaker 1: the trend continues in this region. Anyone not taking Yukon 494 00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:41,880 Speaker 1: in their bracket as of now, things changed. It's only 495 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:46,880 Speaker 1: a couple of hours. No one's gonna speak up. Yeah, 496 00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:48,960 Speaker 1: I'm trying. I mean, Auburn could give them a game 497 00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:52,320 Speaker 1: just because of their talent. But Auburn's got tricky game 498 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,679 Speaker 1: against Yale, and then like San Diego State is going 499 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:57,560 Speaker 1: to ugly up the game right like limit the possessions. 500 00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:01,159 Speaker 1: It's you know, it's not an easy path for Auburn. 501 00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 1: And that's what you get for being underseated as a 502 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,560 Speaker 1: four when and in this brutal region when they probably 503 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 1: should have been a two or three. Let's move on 504 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:14,560 Speaker 1: to the West, which is the I'm gonna call it 505 00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,720 Speaker 1: the I don't know, what's the opposite of. 506 00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:19,119 Speaker 3: The region of life. 507 00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't the region of the life. I don't know. 508 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna call it a feeble. 509 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 3: The region of no defense. 510 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:26,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, there's not a lot of defense in this region. 511 00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,440 Speaker 1: But we're gonna go to the West, and we have 512 00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:33,280 Speaker 1: something to note here is throughout is that there are 513 00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,479 Speaker 1: in the Midwest and West there are altitude games. So 514 00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:40,439 Speaker 1: we'll talk about some of them throughout. But in the 515 00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 1: West it's Dayton, Nevada and Arizona, Long Beach State. But 516 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 1: in the West, North Carolina is the overall number one seed, 517 00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:52,240 Speaker 1: despite losing to NC State and the ACC Championship, which 518 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 1: ultimately kept Oklahoma out of the tournament as the last 519 00:25:56,359 --> 00:26:01,200 Speaker 1: team out for the committee to seed Arizona pre seed 520 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 1: bail or four seed Alabama. Pretty underwhelming when you compare 521 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:09,480 Speaker 1: it to the top four seeds in the East. Calbaryes 522 00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:14,159 Speaker 1: I'll throw it to you, as our West correspondent, what 523 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 1: do you see here in the West region? 524 00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 2: As appairing. 525 00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 6: The one and two seeds are the weakest I think 526 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,840 Speaker 6: of any of the regions. North Carolina is certainly trying 527 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,280 Speaker 6: to get the band back together, make this magical run 528 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,320 Speaker 6: with Baycott like they did in twenty twenty two. Davis 529 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,399 Speaker 6: everything else, I'll put them aside for a moment. I 530 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:34,200 Speaker 6: just believe that they have serious vulnerabilities after the first weekends. 531 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,480 Speaker 6: Then you look at Arizona the past six weeks. They 532 00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,640 Speaker 6: got road losses to Oregon State, a triple overtime women 533 00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:42,200 Speaker 6: against Utah, and a thirteen point loss on the road 534 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,840 Speaker 6: to USC. I don't think anyone here is banging the 535 00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:48,320 Speaker 6: drum for Arizona to be a team that is, you know, 536 00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:52,000 Speaker 6: basically stealed off to any upsets after the first rounds. 537 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 6: I think they're going to be vulnerable in that regard. 538 00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,800 Speaker 6: So I look at the middle of the bracket. Somebody 539 00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:00,199 Speaker 6: coming out of the second round matchup at least in 540 00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 6: my projection, a Baylor in New Mexico. I think they're 541 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,800 Speaker 6: both really interesting. Baylor, the question is how deep overran 542 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 6: a they primed to make because they performed well against 543 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,560 Speaker 6: Houston and Iowa State on the offensive end, at least 544 00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 6: once against Iowa State. They're healthier with Langston Love back, 545 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 6: He's I think arguably the best six man in this 546 00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:20,719 Speaker 6: entire tournament. They do struggle against better opponents, but I 547 00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 6: still think when you look at what they do on 548 00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:24,880 Speaker 6: both ends of the floor, what Mesi's brought for them 549 00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:28,760 Speaker 6: in terms of their interior defense, they have the overall 550 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,520 Speaker 6: DNA of a potential team to go from the three 551 00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 6: line all the way to the Final four. And New 552 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,679 Speaker 6: Mexico We've mentioned it throughout the entire season. I love 553 00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,360 Speaker 6: their starting five, I love what House potentially gives them. 554 00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:41,920 Speaker 6: And you can argue that they haven't been dealing with 555 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,199 Speaker 6: a full deck for most of the season. Somebody has 556 00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 6: been banged up in their backcourt. Dent was just dealing 557 00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 6: with the flu. Like, if they come into this one 558 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,800 Speaker 6: hundred percent and are able to get past a difficult 559 00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 6: draw against Clemson in the first round, I think there's 560 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:57,760 Speaker 6: somebody who could you know, surprise goes Sweet sixteen, Elite eight, 561 00:27:57,960 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 6: So that's interesting. And then finally before I kick it 562 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,320 Speaker 6: to the group, Alabama and Auburn also being on the 563 00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:05,399 Speaker 6: four line is just comical to me, like two teams 564 00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 6: that couldn't be further away in terms of my perception 565 00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:08,280 Speaker 6: of them. 566 00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 2: Alabama away from T Town, their defense is so horrific. 567 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,439 Speaker 6: I don't know if they'll get bit by Charleston, but 568 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 6: I do think if Grant Canyon can get by Saint Mary's, 569 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 6: they have what it takes to beat a team like Alabama. 570 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:22,880 Speaker 6: So I'm gonna go ahead with my sleeper pick there. 571 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:24,879 Speaker 6: I like the Antelopes to go to the Sweet sixteen 572 00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 6: and brace Drew to get a really nice payday going 573 00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:28,880 Speaker 6: into the offseason. 574 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:31,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like I like it. I like Charleston in 575 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,640 Speaker 1: the first round got catching double digits. I take that lunch, 576 00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,080 Speaker 1: you'd be like eight and a half and I would 577 00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,480 Speaker 1: imagine that comes down probably close as like eight. But 578 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:43,400 Speaker 1: what do I know, aby not. But Alabama is similar 579 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,000 Speaker 1: to Illinois the team i'm looking the faith. Yes, great offense, 580 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 1: but no defense. So like Charleston's gonna get buckets and 581 00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 1: they can hang around there. I wouldn't be surprised if 582 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,360 Speaker 1: Charleston when that came out right, and especially at Alabama 583 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,239 Speaker 1: high variants team, if you're looking for an upset, they 584 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:00,760 Speaker 1: shoot a ton of threes. If they're off, Charleston can 585 00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:01,160 Speaker 1: win that game. 586 00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 6: Means Charleston is gonna put up thirty threes. At least 587 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 6: it is going to be that's the season average. 588 00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:09,840 Speaker 1: Point variance game of the first round and it's super 589 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,560 Speaker 1: high total. What's it? I don't think a first round 590 00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 1: games closed this high in a long time. What's the 591 00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,960 Speaker 1: total at one seventy two? I think I saw one 592 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:23,320 Speaker 1: seventy one. That total sitting at one seventy one and 593 00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 1: a half, which is super high for a tournament. No 594 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,600 Speaker 1: NCAA tournament game has closed with a total of above 595 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 1: one sixty eight since two thousand and two. So this, 596 00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:38,560 Speaker 1: if this stays here, this is the highest total by 597 00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:44,000 Speaker 1: four points in twenty plus years. That's pretty crazy. But 598 00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:47,080 Speaker 1: I'll also give you a favorite. I like Baylor laying 599 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 1: what are its twelve and a half thirteen against Colgate? 600 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:52,640 Speaker 1: I think they blow the doors off of Colgate. The 601 00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 1: athletic and talent disparity in that game is massive. And 602 00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,400 Speaker 1: this Colgate offense just isn't the same. It's not your 603 00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 1: older brothers Colgate offense. They're outside the top two hundred 604 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:06,520 Speaker 1: in offensive the justed efficiency. They live in the post. 605 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:12,600 Speaker 1: But you're not like you're not playing La Fayette anymore. 606 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:16,160 Speaker 6: Records, is going to get records? Is in big trouble 607 00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 6: in that game. 608 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, shout out Jeff Woodward pack legend, I. 609 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:25,040 Speaker 1: Mean Jeff Navy, but uh, he's not going to eat 610 00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:28,080 Speaker 1: up Baylor with a team with three pros on the floor. 611 00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:30,880 Speaker 1: That when your defenders have to fit in a submarine, 612 00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 1: that's usually a bad you know, precursor. 613 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:35,160 Speaker 2: To your performance in March Madas. 614 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you mentioned this with Baylor on our 615 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: live show, that we did two teams that profiled similar 616 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,920 Speaker 1: to Baylor that Colgate played, because I loved Colgate against Wisconsin. 617 00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 1: They had a much better offense and that game is 618 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 1: going to be slow, and that's you know, a game 619 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: that Colgate can hang around in. But you mentioned the 620 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 1: two teams that the two other teams that Colgate faced 621 00:30:55,560 --> 00:30:57,960 Speaker 1: in the past three years in the tournament profile some 622 00:30:58,120 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 1: more similarly to Bailor. They got their doors blowing on. 623 00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:02,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, Arkansas beat him by seventeen. Texas beat him by 624 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 3: twenty last year, and neither Arkansas. Remember they were down 625 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 3: like ten, must put the press on them and then 626 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:09,440 Speaker 3: it was over. 627 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, So those are my initial thoughts. Greg. 628 00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 1: I'll throw it to you I'm most curious. Greg. You 629 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,320 Speaker 1: can go wherever with this, but I want to get 630 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 1: your thoughts on Michigan State. I know you follow them closely, 631 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 1: a team that people were saying maybe they're out, but 632 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:28,240 Speaker 1: now it's like can they handle Tolu Smith? And then 633 00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: you got the one that you would want? So are 634 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 1: we back to January February, Izzo. 635 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:37,960 Speaker 4: I think by default? 636 00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'd like I'm getting the same sick feeling in 637 00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 5: my stomach that I got last year when they I 638 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 5: thought they had a favorable draw, right like they they 639 00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:49,520 Speaker 5: had shockas Smart with a banged up Tyler Kohlik in 640 00:31:49,520 --> 00:31:51,720 Speaker 5: the second round, and all of a sudden, we're rethinking, 641 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 5: can aj Hogard lead a team. 642 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:54,320 Speaker 4: To a sweet sixteen? 643 00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 5: Like, yeah, I guess you can if that's what you 644 00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:59,760 Speaker 5: get if you listen to any of the bracketology experts 645 00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,240 Speaker 5: that are way smarter than I am on this Michigan 646 00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:05,440 Speaker 5: State should have been two full seed lines further down 647 00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:06,440 Speaker 5: this list they were. 648 00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 4: The top nine. 649 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:09,960 Speaker 5: Like this team was almost an eight seed, which takes 650 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 5: me back to what is anyone on the committee doing? 651 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:15,640 Speaker 5: They're not doing their job, But no, it's very favorable. 652 00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:17,440 Speaker 5: They're gonna be a favorite in this game opened up 653 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,080 Speaker 5: minus two and a half. I believe it's already down 654 00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:21,160 Speaker 5: to minus one and a half. This is a team 655 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:24,400 Speaker 5: Mississippi State. They're twelve spots lower the Michigan State on 656 00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:27,240 Speaker 5: Kenpom like and I get the metrics have liked the 657 00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:29,240 Speaker 5: Michigan State all year. They've lost a lot of close 658 00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:32,600 Speaker 5: games and their wins have been more decisive, which is 659 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:33,040 Speaker 5: part of. 660 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:34,400 Speaker 1: The er win holds a lot. I feel like the 661 00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:37,440 Speaker 1: Baylor would win props off Michigan State. They beat Baylor 662 00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:38,800 Speaker 1: by like forty. 663 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,720 Speaker 5: Yeah, that was worth like seven other wins apparently for 664 00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:43,320 Speaker 5: any other high major team in the country. 665 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:45,400 Speaker 4: I don't know, but no, it's it's right there. 666 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,640 Speaker 5: I mean, you're looking at the Mississippi State team has 667 00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:49,920 Speaker 5: lost five of seven, and then an NC State team 668 00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:53,880 Speaker 5: that just got DJ Burns, Like, of course, if Tyson 669 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 5: Walker's hot, that's very there for the taking. I think 670 00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:58,480 Speaker 5: this entire region is there for the taking. 671 00:32:58,520 --> 00:32:58,840 Speaker 4: Boys. 672 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,520 Speaker 5: I alluded to this in messages to you before we 673 00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:04,960 Speaker 5: jumped on here. This is my chaos region. I think 674 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 5: around the other three regions, there's a lot of reasons 675 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,440 Speaker 5: to believe it's gonna be Chalky, I. 676 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:12,840 Speaker 4: Think we're gonna have a mess here. 677 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,800 Speaker 5: I don't trust any of the top four teams in 678 00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:18,520 Speaker 5: this region. This is not draw dependent, by the way. 679 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 4: I'm just saying. 680 00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:24,440 Speaker 5: Do I look at any of these teams, North Carolina, Alabama, Baylor, Arizona. 681 00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:26,880 Speaker 5: Are these teams that I want to own stock in 682 00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:29,080 Speaker 5: as teams that could win a championship or make it 683 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,800 Speaker 5: far in and win four straight games over two weeks. 684 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:35,680 Speaker 5: Absolutely not. These are extremely volatile teams. We've seen it 685 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 5: repeatedly all season long. Like Arizona. If Caleb Love is cold, 686 00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:42,000 Speaker 5: they could lose to anyone. Baylor, if AJ Dennis is 687 00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 5: throwing the ball into the seventh row, they can lose 688 00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,640 Speaker 5: to anyone. Alabama shout out to Jim Root from the 689 00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:48,680 Speaker 5: three man Weave. 690 00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 1: Anyone, But they're not losing. 691 00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:56,000 Speaker 5: Alib You're right, Maybe I still have my suspicions Coolgate 692 00:33:56,040 --> 00:34:01,800 Speaker 5: could take that game. Alabama has the worst momentum metric 693 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,240 Speaker 5: on Hazlo Metrics like that. They have the worst momentum 694 00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:07,320 Speaker 5: of any team in the country, worse than teams like 695 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:10,759 Speaker 5: Rutgers and Michigan right now, and they're four seed here 696 00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,840 Speaker 5: and then North Carolina. Yes, that they should if this 697 00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:15,600 Speaker 5: goes chalk. They're the best team in the region, but 698 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:18,040 Speaker 5: there should be a three seed. They're the ninth best 699 00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:19,960 Speaker 5: team in the country. And I get that we're rewarding 700 00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,680 Speaker 5: the acc CO champions or the regular season champs. 701 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:24,560 Speaker 4: They don't even get a trophy for that. I don't know. 702 00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:27,040 Speaker 4: I don't trust anyone here at all. That's the point. 703 00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:31,520 Speaker 5: And I'm frustrated because even on the lower seed lines here, guys, 704 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:36,720 Speaker 5: there's a lot of teams that aren't Cinderellas in this region. 705 00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:38,120 Speaker 4: I don't want to back Colgate. 706 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,320 Speaker 5: I don't want to buy stock, but like God forbid, 707 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,759 Speaker 5: if James Madison was in this region, or Morehead even 708 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 5: you mentioned at the top, like McNeice, if those teams 709 00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 5: were in this region, I think you could talk yourself 710 00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:51,680 Speaker 5: very easily into an Elite eight runner beyond. 711 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:56,080 Speaker 4: Instead, we're sitting here like, hmm, can Charleston get hot 712 00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,200 Speaker 4: and win three? I don't know. So that leads me 713 00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:00,680 Speaker 4: to my pick, which i'll s save for the end. 714 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 5: But I have four different double digit seeds winning their 715 00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:07,480 Speaker 5: first round game in this reason, Baylor, I have Colgate 716 00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:08,080 Speaker 5: beating Baylor. 717 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:08,400 Speaker 4: Stuck. 718 00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:11,799 Speaker 5: I do I do? I listened. The athletic concerns are 719 00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 5: one percent. I totally get it with that set. Colgate 720 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,719 Speaker 5: has a really good three point percentage defense. They have 721 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:20,040 Speaker 5: the nineteenth basket. 722 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:22,360 Speaker 1: That's a matter whether Baylor is dunking. 723 00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 4: We'll see about that. We'll see sometimes Baylor can't dunk. 724 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 5: Sometimes they throw the pall out of balance. 725 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:29,919 Speaker 4: I'm telling you their error prone no matter who they play. 726 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:34,560 Speaker 5: It's not necessarily opponent dependent. But we'll see they're gonna 727 00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:36,160 Speaker 5: need an a performance to beat Baylor. 728 00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,080 Speaker 4: For sure. 729 00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:40,359 Speaker 1: Cogan lost by twenty when they stepped up this year, 730 00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:43,720 Speaker 1: lost by twenty seven to Arizona, eighteen to Yale. 731 00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:49,200 Speaker 5: Illinois was seventeen that game, wasn't it. Yeah, that game 732 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:50,680 Speaker 5: was kind of competitive. 733 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,080 Speaker 4: We'll see. It's more selling Baylor than it is buying Colgate. 734 00:35:54,120 --> 00:35:56,360 Speaker 5: Like I said, but I think there's key categories that 735 00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:58,919 Speaker 5: Colgate's good at that reflect poorly on what Baylor wants 736 00:35:59,000 --> 00:35:59,200 Speaker 5: to do. 737 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:03,360 Speaker 1: Enough, by the way, I'll Anthony, I'll throw it to 738 00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:06,800 Speaker 1: you your minus ten thousand. Maybe for some Joe Girard 739 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:12,400 Speaker 1: slander and his defense against these the excuse guard against 740 00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:16,440 Speaker 1: this new Mexico backcourt, I will say, but look at Clemson. 741 00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:19,080 Speaker 1: And by the way, I have a Clemson Final horror 742 00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:23,640 Speaker 1: feature which and I b Yu gets Dukane as a 743 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:28,719 Speaker 1: six and Clemson gets New Mexico as an eleven. Give 744 00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:33,680 Speaker 1: me a Breaklet Yeah, there are minus two and a 745 00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:35,120 Speaker 1: half but two and a half point favorites of the 746 00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:38,360 Speaker 1: sixth seed. It's ridiculous. But I will say I have 747 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:41,120 Speaker 1: not seen one person say Clemson is gonna win that game. 748 00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:44,960 Speaker 3: Well, it's scary now because New Mexico just won the conference. 749 00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, so that means Clemson's gonna win. And by the way, 750 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:53,560 Speaker 1: just because don't just because of these results that happen 751 00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:57,360 Speaker 1: doesn't justify the committee or you know, even if the 752 00:36:57,360 --> 00:37:00,759 Speaker 1: committee was right, these are random results. Like just if 753 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,200 Speaker 1: Virginia could go to the sweet sixteen. It's a crazy 754 00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,359 Speaker 1: tournament and the team that always gets slannered the most 755 00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:08,840 Speaker 1: generally makes a run. So it means like Virginia is 756 00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:11,000 Speaker 1: going to go to the final four. It doesn't necessarily 757 00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:13,719 Speaker 1: mean they deserve to get in. Uh in NC State 758 00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:15,600 Speaker 1: won the AEC tournament, doesn't mean that they're the best 759 00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:19,160 Speaker 1: team in the AC state. But I'll go to you, 760 00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:20,719 Speaker 1: what are you seeing in the West. 761 00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:23,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, there's two teams that I think are really interesting. 762 00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:25,080 Speaker 3: And it kind of gets to the point about like 763 00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:27,439 Speaker 3: the committee not making a ton of sense, because yes, 764 00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:31,759 Speaker 3: the bracketologists who looked at wins and losses and net 765 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,360 Speaker 3: and resume and said, well, Michigan State, like their record's 766 00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:40,160 Speaker 3: not very good. The committee seem to benefit the fact 767 00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:42,720 Speaker 3: that they have these really good underlyings like ken Pom 768 00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:45,279 Speaker 3: because of the fact that they've lost so many close games. 769 00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:49,080 Speaker 3: They've had incredible run, bad shot quality, you know, luck metrics, 770 00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,280 Speaker 3: close game luck, all of it has gone against Michigan 771 00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 3: State this year, all season, and thus the committee said, oh, 772 00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:58,160 Speaker 3: we think you're better than your record, so we're going 773 00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:00,399 Speaker 3: to give you a bump. But then they also said 774 00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:04,160 Speaker 3: New Mexico, who played half the season without Jamal Mashburn, 775 00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:07,080 Speaker 3: wasn't going to be in the tournament unless they won 776 00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:10,400 Speaker 3: the Mountain West, even though the metrics had them close 777 00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:14,479 Speaker 3: as a favorite against Boise and Colorado two days ago, 778 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:18,040 Speaker 3: teams who they've had in the tournament. So it is 779 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:19,640 Speaker 3: interesting that they pick and choose what they want to 780 00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,480 Speaker 3: use and they what they value us as betters, Like 781 00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:25,160 Speaker 3: we know, like New Mexico is a favorite over Clemson, 782 00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:28,560 Speaker 3: for a reason. I get kind of scared because it's 783 00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:31,000 Speaker 3: like the Utah State Missouri vibes from last year when 784 00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:33,600 Speaker 3: Utah State closed two two and a half against Missouri 785 00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:36,320 Speaker 3: and then couldn't make a three the whole game against 786 00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:38,400 Speaker 3: Missouri and they lost. That got kind of out athleted 787 00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:42,160 Speaker 3: at the rim. But yeah, Clemson's perimeter defense has real holes. 788 00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:45,279 Speaker 3: Not just Joe Girard, but generally speaking, you can get 789 00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,279 Speaker 3: at this Clemson team. And I think that when we've 790 00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:51,520 Speaker 3: seen House Mashburn and Dent healthy, they've combined that with 791 00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:55,960 Speaker 3: improved rim defense this year consistently to be a threat. 792 00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:57,640 Speaker 3: So I think New Mexico, you know, you look at 793 00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:00,200 Speaker 3: this draw. You mentioned Baylor, that would just be like 794 00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:03,960 Speaker 3: a guards just cooking, And I think New Mexico's got 795 00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,000 Speaker 3: the better defense, So I think New Mexico would have 796 00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:08,439 Speaker 3: a very real chance there. They're probably a short dog, 797 00:39:08,560 --> 00:39:11,319 Speaker 3: so there's like some two fifty two sixty five plus 798 00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,360 Speaker 3: two sixty five to make a sweet sixteen. That's interesting 799 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:16,120 Speaker 3: to me. The problem is I kind of want to 800 00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:19,520 Speaker 3: go against Zona, but I don't really like Dayton. I'm 801 00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:23,520 Speaker 3: not really a big believer in Nevada. Questions about Nevada's 802 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:26,440 Speaker 3: offense being sustainable, and I have questions about Dayton's defense. 803 00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,360 Speaker 3: And then if Zona gets slowed down, I think you 804 00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:31,880 Speaker 3: can beat them. But New Mexico is not gonna do 805 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:33,719 Speaker 3: that if they get them in the sweet sixteen, nor 806 00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:36,760 Speaker 3: is Baylor. So I think it's hard to out Zona Zona. 807 00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,240 Speaker 3: So I might just have Zona in my elite eate anyway, 808 00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,920 Speaker 3: even though I don't really love them in this region. 809 00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:44,759 Speaker 3: And then Michigan State for me, is a team that 810 00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:47,320 Speaker 3: everybody in the world is going to be so shocked 811 00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,759 Speaker 3: if you're not like in the gambling community when they 812 00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,839 Speaker 3: see the line for this game and it's UNC minus three, 813 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,919 Speaker 3: three and a half, four, four, fourth thoughts and they're 814 00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,800 Speaker 3: gonna be like, oh, well, you know what's the Vegas knows. 815 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:02,040 Speaker 3: You're gonna hate a lot of that. And I don't know, 816 00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:06,080 Speaker 3: I think like Michigan State has seven. Yeah, that's my thought. 817 00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:07,799 Speaker 3: So I think UNC is the one seed that goes 818 00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:09,960 Speaker 3: down the first weekend. We're gonna havet Michigan State in 819 00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:10,680 Speaker 3: this week sixteen. 820 00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:13,600 Speaker 1: Yeah I will, yeah, I will. Like New Mexico's an 821 00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:17,400 Speaker 1: eleven and Utah State got an eight. New Mexico just 822 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:20,040 Speaker 1: won their conference tournament and would be favored over Utah State. 823 00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:24,440 Speaker 1: The Mountain West seating was just bizarre all around. Hey, guys, 824 00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:26,760 Speaker 1: stuck here. You ever wanted to try the best version 825 00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,320 Speaker 1: of the Action Network out, well, now is the perfect 826 00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,840 Speaker 1: opportunity to do so, because we have a special offer 827 00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:35,520 Speaker 1: to celebrate the month of March and the NCAA tournament. 828 00:40:35,600 --> 00:40:38,399 Speaker 1: You can get pro access for just nine to ninety nine. 829 00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:41,960 Speaker 1: For the first month, we'll give you access to things 830 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:46,000 Speaker 1: like Sean Kerner's player prop projections, which are invaluable real 831 00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:50,640 Speaker 1: time money percentages, and our model's biggest edges and much more. 832 00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:53,480 Speaker 1: All you have to do is head over to Actionnetwork 833 00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:58,000 Speaker 1: dot com slash madness. That's Actionnetwork dot com slash madness. 834 00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,520 Speaker 1: Make sure you get there before the deal expires. Cheers. 835 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:04,640 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff in the West. Let's move on 836 00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:12,200 Speaker 1: to the Midwest, where Perdue is the overall number one seed. 837 00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:14,400 Speaker 1: You know, the only thing I've filled out my brackets 838 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,360 Speaker 1: of ours, I have the winner of Montana State Grambling 839 00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:19,719 Speaker 1: advancing past Purdue. I don't know what to do from there. 840 00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:25,239 Speaker 1: Tennessee is the two seed in the Midwest, Creighton is 841 00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:31,120 Speaker 1: the three, Kansas is the four. And I think that this, 842 00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:36,960 Speaker 1: you know, this region overall was you know, it looks 843 00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:40,880 Speaker 1: to me it's like a pretty fair balanced like region. 844 00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:43,440 Speaker 1: Like I think that the East is a gauntlet, the 845 00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,000 Speaker 1: West is pretty easy. Like the East and West should 846 00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 1: be mixed, like some of the lower seeds they should swamped. 847 00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:52,600 Speaker 1: But I think the Midwest is a pretty fair bracket. 848 00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:57,400 Speaker 1: With Purdue is the one, Tennessee is the two. You 849 00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:00,279 Speaker 1: have the narrative game that'll kick the tournament off between 850 00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:03,560 Speaker 1: Virginia and Colorado State to see who plays Texas. If 851 00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:10,640 Speaker 1: Virginia wins, the Mountain West sucks. If Virginia loses, Virginia sucks, 852 00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,360 Speaker 1: and I can tweet all night about it. So the 853 00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,080 Speaker 1: narrative one half of the narrative. Police are going to 854 00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:19,359 Speaker 1: be out in full force on Twitter for that one. 855 00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:23,320 Speaker 1: Got a pretty fun one between Gonzaga and McNeice State 856 00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:26,520 Speaker 1: as well in a five to twelve. That should be 857 00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:30,680 Speaker 1: a fascinating game. And then Kansas Stanford is you know 858 00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,439 Speaker 1: what's going to be looming all week with that game, 859 00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:36,000 Speaker 1: and you could see some interesting line movement. Is like 860 00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:40,080 Speaker 1: when there's intel on Kansas's injury situation, it's been reported 861 00:42:40,080 --> 00:42:42,719 Speaker 1: that they should have mcculluor and Dickinson fully healthy, but 862 00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:45,560 Speaker 1: you'll start to have practices and reports like how healthy 863 00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:48,440 Speaker 1: are they? That game, for what it's worth, will be 864 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,800 Speaker 1: played in altitude in Salt Lake City, along with Gonzaga 865 00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:58,279 Speaker 1: and McNeese State. Anthony as our Midwest correspondent, I will 866 00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:00,960 Speaker 1: throw it to you, what do you see here Midwest? 867 00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:03,400 Speaker 3: I'm calling it the region of the Chalk because I 868 00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:05,239 Speaker 3: do like all three of the top seeds here to 869 00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,920 Speaker 3: make the Sweet sixteen. And I think the most interesting 870 00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:11,440 Speaker 3: thing for Purdue is that they are going to be 871 00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:14,680 Speaker 3: the biggest Utah State fans you'll find in that first 872 00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,560 Speaker 3: round matchup, because you know Utah statee strength. Running their 873 00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:22,759 Speaker 3: offense through the post through osibor works for them in 874 00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:24,680 Speaker 3: the Mountain West. But they were not great in the 875 00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:26,920 Speaker 3: non Con. They didn't really play anybody in the non 876 00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:29,680 Speaker 3: con in that sense they played well and that they 877 00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:33,160 Speaker 3: won games, but they didn't really beat anybody worthy of really. 878 00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,680 Speaker 3: Note they had a whole roster turnover. 879 00:43:36,040 --> 00:43:36,520 Speaker 4: They get a. 880 00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:39,880 Speaker 3: TCU team who doesn't really shoot the ball well. Utah 881 00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:42,279 Speaker 3: State likes to take away the three. They kind of 882 00:43:42,640 --> 00:43:44,239 Speaker 3: cheat out on guards a little bit, and you saw 883 00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:46,640 Speaker 3: even like Fresno and San Diego State using this to 884 00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:49,640 Speaker 3: their advantage, cutting behind them, using the athleticism and getting 885 00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:52,120 Speaker 3: easy looks at the rim over and over again. That's 886 00:43:52,200 --> 00:43:54,200 Speaker 3: kind of what TCU can do. And I don't love 887 00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:57,840 Speaker 3: the matchup for the Aggies against the athleticism of TCU. 888 00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:00,040 Speaker 3: I think that's a big problem for them. But ma 889 00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:04,200 Speaker 3: is already a three guards could get issues. Is that 890 00:44:04,239 --> 00:44:07,319 Speaker 3: what you're and that's the thing? Yes, yeah, right, we've 891 00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:09,480 Speaker 3: seen that before. They could press them, they could run 892 00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:12,799 Speaker 3: in transition. But the problem is if Purdue gets their 893 00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,640 Speaker 3: pace that they want, how is TCU scoring in the 894 00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:19,200 Speaker 3: half court? H I'm not sure they can. So that's 895 00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:23,040 Speaker 3: that's the one issue for them. The Gonzaga McNeice Kansas 896 00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:25,040 Speaker 3: Samford quadrant is going to be the one that I 897 00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:28,040 Speaker 3: stare at the most between now and Thursday, because I 898 00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:32,640 Speaker 3: really think Gonzaga is a little overseateed and Kansas is 899 00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:35,200 Speaker 3: just such a walking question mark with their injuries. It 900 00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:37,360 Speaker 3: wouldn't shock me if they lost to Stanford Sanford. It 901 00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:39,560 Speaker 3: wouldn't shock me if the whole world picked Samford and 902 00:44:39,600 --> 00:44:42,560 Speaker 3: then they just get smoked, because like you said, it's 903 00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,480 Speaker 3: not necessarily a great matchup. Kansas's biggest weakness is that 904 00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,759 Speaker 3: they don't have consistent three point shooting to me, and 905 00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:51,080 Speaker 3: I think that's why their ceiling is pretty low in 906 00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:53,080 Speaker 3: this tournament, in the sense that I don't really see 907 00:44:53,080 --> 00:44:57,280 Speaker 3: them getting past a game. But maybe they'll get McNeese 908 00:44:57,280 --> 00:45:00,680 Speaker 3: and then it's a different conversation, So that section is 909 00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:03,360 Speaker 3: a little uncertain. I'm much more confident in Creighton and Tennessee. 910 00:45:03,440 --> 00:45:05,600 Speaker 3: I think crighton Tennessee have pretty high floors that they're 911 00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:06,960 Speaker 3: going to make the second weekend, and a lot of 912 00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:09,200 Speaker 3: it is that, uh, you know, South Carolina is an 913 00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:12,640 Speaker 3: overseeded six. Oregon is the classic darling that everybody's going 914 00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:15,160 Speaker 3: to fall in love with. But if they get Kaalkbrenner 915 00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,439 Speaker 3: in the second, you know, second round, I think they're 916 00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:19,319 Speaker 3: well equipped to deal with the pick and roll that 917 00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:22,480 Speaker 3: Colorado seem to not know how to guard on Saturday, 918 00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:24,439 Speaker 3: I think they would deal with that much better because 919 00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:27,520 Speaker 3: Calkbrenner is so adept with the with the drop coverage. 920 00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:29,400 Speaker 3: So I think Cran's got a pretty high floor to 921 00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:32,200 Speaker 3: get to the second weekend, setting up Creighton and Tennessee, 922 00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:35,440 Speaker 3: which I think is a true coin flip game. You know, 923 00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:37,720 Speaker 3: when in doubt, I trust Connect to get a bucket 924 00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:41,040 Speaker 3: over anybody else on Creighton. But you know, the Jays 925 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,239 Speaker 3: have so much more versatility offensively in the half court, 926 00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:46,839 Speaker 3: so I would lean toward Creighton. And I just really 927 00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,080 Speaker 3: want p Due to play Creighton because it would be 928 00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:52,760 Speaker 3: the epic matchup of the most fouled team and player 929 00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:56,279 Speaker 3: in the country against Creighton who never fouls. And I 930 00:45:56,320 --> 00:45:59,200 Speaker 3: think the refs, the ref discourse has the potential to 931 00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:00,840 Speaker 3: be off the charts for that game if it's in 932 00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:02,719 Speaker 3: the Elite eight. So I'm gonna go with Purdue and 933 00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:05,239 Speaker 3: Creighton is my Elite eight. Here one other note, you 934 00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:10,000 Speaker 3: know Colorado State they get an interesting matchup because you know, 935 00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,319 Speaker 3: we've seen Brian Dutcher for San Diego State have really 936 00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:16,799 Speaker 3: effective physical defense to kind of take Colorado State out 937 00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:19,719 Speaker 3: of their motions. And I trust Tony Bennett as a 938 00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:22,240 Speaker 3: defensive game planner as much as anybody in the country. 939 00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,279 Speaker 3: I'm not sure one eighteen and a half is high enough. 940 00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:29,319 Speaker 3: Is high enough for that matchup. I think it's going 941 00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:30,600 Speaker 3: to be played in the fifties. 942 00:46:30,880 --> 00:46:32,880 Speaker 1: So you mean low enough. Do you think the total lower? 943 00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:33,839 Speaker 4: Yes? 944 00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:34,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, low enough. 945 00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:41,239 Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, I will say Purdue Kansas would be Dickinson 946 00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:48,720 Speaker 1: Dickinson rematches. I like. Now the help for Kansas throws 947 00:46:49,080 --> 00:46:51,880 Speaker 1: a wrench into that, but I do like Kansas against Stanford. 948 00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:55,000 Speaker 1: I want to get some health reports first, but because 949 00:46:55,640 --> 00:46:57,759 Speaker 1: if they're not fully healthy, they have depth issues and 950 00:46:57,760 --> 00:46:59,960 Speaker 1: you're playing an altitude against Stanford, who's a million guys 951 00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:04,000 Speaker 1: as they play. But Samford wants to play so fast 952 00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:06,960 Speaker 1: and as we're talking, this line is probably gonna go 953 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:08,120 Speaker 1: all over the place. It was like eight and a half, 954 00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:09,359 Speaker 1: it got out of six and a half, just bounce 955 00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:12,040 Speaker 1: up to seven. You know, Samford wants to play so fast. 956 00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:14,680 Speaker 1: No one gives up more transition possessions in the country 957 00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:18,440 Speaker 1: than Sanford. And they play zone. They extend their pressure, 958 00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:23,399 Speaker 1: and Kansas' press de press offense hasn't been great this year. 959 00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:25,640 Speaker 1: But you don't I don't. If you cannot, you should 960 00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:29,239 Speaker 1: not ever zone Kansas. Kansas's own offense is elite, and 961 00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:32,840 Speaker 1: you don't want to let Kansas run like Kansas in 962 00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:36,040 Speaker 1: transition if they're healthy, that just spells disaster. So like 963 00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:38,640 Speaker 1: that's what scares me about Sanford. It's like they're a 964 00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:41,680 Speaker 1: team that wants to play super fast and let a 965 00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:45,759 Speaker 1: more talented team just get buckets in transition. So a 966 00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,439 Speaker 1: lot of it's going to depend on Kansas's help, though, Greg, 967 00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:49,480 Speaker 1: let me throw it to you. What do you sing 968 00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:50,080 Speaker 1: in the Midwest? 969 00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:53,799 Speaker 5: So I like that the Bundo talked about chalk is 970 00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:56,200 Speaker 5: the word here because to me, this is how much 971 00:47:56,239 --> 00:48:01,120 Speaker 5: do you like your potential Cinderella in McNeice here. Now, 972 00:48:01,280 --> 00:48:06,279 Speaker 5: Gonzaga is a good basketball team, but not particularly imposing, 973 00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:07,759 Speaker 5: Like I think a lot of people are gonna pick 974 00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:09,799 Speaker 5: mcnese to win that game. Then they're in a pod 975 00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:13,279 Speaker 5: with the injuries we mentioned mccullor and Dickinson. Okay, Then 976 00:48:13,320 --> 00:48:16,240 Speaker 5: all of a sudden, you're imagining a Sweet sixteen matchup 977 00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:19,400 Speaker 5: with Purdue, where I would honestly argue you, guys perdue 978 00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:22,680 Speaker 5: might be hoping that it goes chalk and they avoid 979 00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:26,680 Speaker 5: the demons of Hey, we got the Saint Peter's break again. 980 00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,400 Speaker 5: We have a twelve seed with the elite eight on 981 00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:31,799 Speaker 5: the line, and all of a sudden, the nerves build and. 982 00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:35,160 Speaker 4: We've been here before. Mcneesse has the firepower to beat 983 00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:36,400 Speaker 4: Purdue in my opinion. 984 00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:41,239 Speaker 5: That said, I think matchup wise if it falls in 985 00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:45,719 Speaker 5: Purdue's favor. Here, Utah State and TCU both are not 986 00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:48,520 Speaker 5: great at protecting the rim, like they're two hundred and 987 00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:52,560 Speaker 5: three hundreds at two point percentage defense. Kansas, we have 988 00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:55,480 Speaker 5: no idea how ready to play Dickinson will be. If 989 00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:57,680 Speaker 5: you believe Bill self for the Big twelve tournament, like 990 00:48:57,760 --> 00:49:00,920 Speaker 5: mccullor would have played Dickinson. Absolutely, we wouldn't have. That 991 00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:04,359 Speaker 5: was the report. So that seems ominous to me. I 992 00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,239 Speaker 5: know people thought that injury wasn't serious, but I don't 993 00:49:07,280 --> 00:49:10,520 Speaker 5: know necessarily that we are confident something has changed from 994 00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:12,480 Speaker 5: last week to this week with Dickinson. 995 00:49:12,400 --> 00:49:13,279 Speaker 4: So I do. 996 00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:16,000 Speaker 5: I'm gonna trust my gut that Purdue makes it out 997 00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:19,360 Speaker 5: of that top region the bottom man, A lot of 998 00:49:19,360 --> 00:49:22,680 Speaker 5: people are gonna like Creighton and stylistically them in South 999 00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:26,440 Speaker 5: Carolina would be fun, same as Texas and Tennessee. Like 1000 00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:28,279 Speaker 5: that would be a really really fun Round of thirty 1001 00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:31,600 Speaker 5: two matchup. I can't shake the feeling back to Chalk 1002 00:49:31,640 --> 00:49:34,799 Speaker 5: here we could get Zach Edy versus Dalton connect with 1003 00:49:34,880 --> 00:49:37,520 Speaker 5: the whole There was supposed to be some Twitter drama 1004 00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:39,760 Speaker 5: right of National Player of the Year with Dalton connects 1005 00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:43,000 Speaker 5: trying to chase down Zach Edie's heels all season long. 1006 00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:46,200 Speaker 5: I think of the four regions, to me, I am 1007 00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:48,839 Speaker 5: most confident that we would see the one in the 1008 00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:51,399 Speaker 5: two meet in the Elite eight here for that first 1009 00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:54,120 Speaker 5: time since twenty nineteen. But like you said, stuck, that 1010 00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:55,880 Speaker 5: doesn't always happen, so we'll have to see. 1011 00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:59,279 Speaker 3: Yeah'm Purdue and Jenesse put that crazy cage crazy Goo 1012 00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:00,320 Speaker 3: twin nineteen. 1013 00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:06,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, McNeese, I don't like what what's their tallest guy is? 1014 00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:10,880 Speaker 1: What six's eight? Uh So that is a bit worrisome 1015 00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:17,080 Speaker 1: against ah EK And then how are they stopping Edie? 1016 00:50:17,520 --> 00:50:21,239 Speaker 1: Like if McNeese gets there, Like that's they don't have 1017 00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:25,480 Speaker 1: any size at the rim. And against Gonzaga, you could 1018 00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:27,720 Speaker 1: have shot at Wells. By the way, playing Gonzaga again 1019 00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:33,239 Speaker 1: for the second straight tournament. The TCU transfer who's on 1020 00:50:33,280 --> 00:50:35,279 Speaker 1: the team of one of my most favorite gambling moments 1021 00:50:35,280 --> 00:50:38,200 Speaker 1: because I bet TCU and they hit that three at 1022 00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:41,640 Speaker 1: the buzzer after rolled off the court. Uh but kin 1023 00:50:41,680 --> 00:50:46,759 Speaker 1: Nebhart lock him down and then IK just eat and 1024 00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:49,920 Speaker 1: that scares me a little bit. But Gonzaga, mcne I 1025 00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:52,480 Speaker 1: agree with you. I think Gonzagas is definitely overseeded, and 1026 00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:54,360 Speaker 1: we know that for sure because they've moved up to 1027 00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:58,000 Speaker 1: the five, because b Yu moved to the stick down 1028 00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:01,040 Speaker 1: to the sick because they can't play on Sundays. Calgary's 1029 00:51:01,040 --> 00:51:02,400 Speaker 1: what are you seeing in the Midwest? 1030 00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:06,160 Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm basically on board with the Chalky assessment. 1031 00:51:06,239 --> 00:51:09,040 Speaker 2: I have Purdue over Creighton in the Elite eight. The 1032 00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:12,640 Speaker 2: only thing I'll push back on do I do get. 1033 00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,600 Speaker 6: The rationale that it's not an ideal matchup for Sanford, 1034 00:51:15,640 --> 00:51:18,879 Speaker 6: But what has Kansas done on the road in three 1035 00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:21,080 Speaker 6: and a half months. One of their best wins added 1036 00:51:21,080 --> 00:51:22,359 Speaker 6: Oklahoma at Oklahoma State. 1037 00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:22,920 Speaker 1: That's it. 1038 00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:26,920 Speaker 6: Lose into UCF, lose into West Virginia, lose into all 1039 00:51:26,920 --> 00:51:29,680 Speaker 6: the top teams, and that they are banged up, and 1040 00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:33,160 Speaker 6: it's a question of mccullor getting the green light. But 1041 00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:35,520 Speaker 6: with the boat and Bruce, does he have a limp off? 1042 00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:37,839 Speaker 6: Is he like, you know, not actually at one hundred percent, 1043 00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:40,560 Speaker 6: He's just gutting it out and the Dickinson news that's 1044 00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:42,239 Speaker 6: enough for me to take a swing here. I just 1045 00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:45,439 Speaker 6: think this Kansas team, I talked about it on the. 1046 00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,240 Speaker 2: Live bracket reveal show. 1047 00:51:47,840 --> 00:51:51,719 Speaker 6: It's just a different animal psychologically when you're always either 1048 00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:54,120 Speaker 6: winning the Big Twelve or right in the thick of 1049 00:51:54,160 --> 00:51:56,640 Speaker 6: it till to the eleventh hour. This was a weird 1050 00:51:56,719 --> 00:51:58,520 Speaker 6: year for them, and then they just roll into the 1051 00:51:58,520 --> 00:52:01,400 Speaker 6: Big twelve tournament and I understand that they didn't have, 1052 00:52:01,680 --> 00:52:04,000 Speaker 6: you know, a full deck by any stretch, but they 1053 00:52:04,040 --> 00:52:07,160 Speaker 6: basically just lay down for Cincinnati. So I have real 1054 00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:10,160 Speaker 6: motivation concerns for a team that, Okay, if you get 1055 00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:14,000 Speaker 6: two wins, your reward is potentially getting fit fed into 1056 00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:18,719 Speaker 6: the woodshipper by Purdue. I don't see it. That's just 1057 00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:21,480 Speaker 6: me on Kansas. So I'm gonna take my swing there. 1058 00:52:21,480 --> 00:52:23,880 Speaker 6: I'm probably gonna take both those teams in the twelve, 1059 00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:27,200 Speaker 6: five and four thirteen matchups to have an upset and 1060 00:52:27,239 --> 00:52:27,759 Speaker 6: maybe push. 1061 00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:30,480 Speaker 1: By the way, you wonder what the road over the 1062 00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:32,400 Speaker 1: past month, Sanford is zero to two on the road 1063 00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:34,080 Speaker 1: as bosses to Mercer and Wawford. 1064 00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:38,239 Speaker 6: Okay, I mean, listen, I somehow built self lost to 1065 00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:39,600 Speaker 6: Bucknell in two thousand and five. 1066 00:52:39,680 --> 00:52:43,040 Speaker 2: Somehow, these things happen. So I'm just gonna say. 1067 00:52:42,840 --> 00:52:46,839 Speaker 6: The Sanford team, which is an incredibly veteran team, they 1068 00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:48,960 Speaker 6: play fast, and they have all the bodies to do it. 1069 00:52:49,080 --> 00:52:51,439 Speaker 6: They got ten players who average over twelve minutes per game. 1070 00:52:51,520 --> 00:52:54,000 Speaker 6: They're planing at altitudes, so that's that is an advantage 1071 00:52:54,040 --> 00:52:57,080 Speaker 6: for them. They're going to take chances defensively. I agree 1072 00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,399 Speaker 6: that it's probably a mistake to get into a track 1073 00:52:59,480 --> 00:53:02,080 Speaker 6: meet with can this, but if they can force turnovers, 1074 00:53:02,160 --> 00:53:04,520 Speaker 6: they're the sixth best team in the country doing it. 1075 00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:07,839 Speaker 6: I like that, And seven other top eight players are 1076 00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:09,640 Speaker 6: all juniors or seniors, so I think. 1077 00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:10,280 Speaker 1: They have the makeup. 1078 00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:12,279 Speaker 6: They probably going to need to make a whole bunch 1079 00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:15,160 Speaker 6: of threes, but I just see it happening. So I'm 1080 00:53:15,200 --> 00:53:17,239 Speaker 6: gonna put my put my neck out there and say 1081 00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:18,320 Speaker 6: the Bulldogs get it done. 1082 00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:20,480 Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, the only thing that scares me about 1083 00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:23,520 Speaker 1: Sanford like they just don't profile as a good upset team, 1084 00:53:23,560 --> 00:53:28,920 Speaker 1: like the way that they play historically, and I know 1085 00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:32,239 Speaker 1: it was early. They stepped up in class twice all year. 1086 00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:35,319 Speaker 1: They lost by ten to ECU and they lost by 1087 00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:36,360 Speaker 1: fifty three. 1088 00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:41,880 Speaker 3: I bet them in that game, Sanford, they could have 1089 00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:42,200 Speaker 3: been in it. 1090 00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:46,160 Speaker 4: They got Yeah. 1091 00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:48,680 Speaker 5: I have two quick takes. I have two quick tikets 1092 00:53:48,719 --> 00:53:49,520 Speaker 5: before we move on here. 1093 00:53:49,560 --> 00:53:50,840 Speaker 4: Stock one one. 1094 00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:54,319 Speaker 1: On Samford could get Sanford Sanford Purdue revenge game in 1095 00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:58,920 Speaker 1: sixteen fifty three, get their revenge, go to the Elite. 1096 00:53:58,640 --> 00:54:02,080 Speaker 2: Eight, the stuff to beat a team twice in one season. 1097 00:54:02,200 --> 00:54:04,920 Speaker 4: Night, the pregame tip heard around the world. 1098 00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:07,879 Speaker 5: Boys, we had Draziani right against die to kick off 1099 00:54:07,920 --> 00:54:09,080 Speaker 5: college basketball season. 1100 00:54:09,120 --> 00:54:11,160 Speaker 4: We could see that in the NCAA tournament. You kidding me? 1101 00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:14,120 Speaker 5: I will say this on Purdue as someone who watches 1102 00:54:14,160 --> 00:54:17,719 Speaker 5: a lot of Big Ten basketball. If you're looking to 1103 00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:21,680 Speaker 5: try and identify where you might pick off Perdue matchup wise, 1104 00:54:22,080 --> 00:54:26,440 Speaker 5: I actually think it is worth finding teams that will 1105 00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:29,440 Speaker 5: not try to defend him traditionally. 1106 00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:30,160 Speaker 4: One on one in the post. 1107 00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:35,480 Speaker 5: And that's why, like an imaginary hunter Dickinson, Perdue matchup 1108 00:54:35,520 --> 00:54:38,600 Speaker 5: to me, Edie torches him, especially if he's slightly banged up. 1109 00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:42,200 Speaker 5: If you find a team like McNeese, who, like you said, stuck, 1110 00:54:42,280 --> 00:54:45,680 Speaker 5: goes very small, would have to get creative and has 1111 00:54:45,719 --> 00:54:48,080 Speaker 5: a bunch of guys who can shoot physical guards Shahada 1112 00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:50,640 Speaker 5: Wells against Braden Smith who's a little banged up based 1113 00:54:50,640 --> 00:54:52,560 Speaker 5: on what he did in the Big Ten tournament, that 1114 00:54:52,640 --> 00:54:54,759 Speaker 5: would be much more interesting to me than a team 1115 00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:57,680 Speaker 5: trying to like single cover Zach Edie for forty minutes. 1116 00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:00,320 Speaker 5: The way to beat them is use a bunch of 1117 00:55:00,400 --> 00:55:03,360 Speaker 5: junk guys foul the crap out of him, forced the 1118 00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:06,680 Speaker 5: officials to make calls. Yeah, it's that's why they lost 1119 00:55:07,480 --> 00:55:08,320 Speaker 5: that That's. 1120 00:55:08,160 --> 00:55:09,760 Speaker 3: What Ny Dickinson did that. 1121 00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:13,479 Speaker 5: In Ohio State, like zed Key and Akpara, two different bigs, 1122 00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:15,640 Speaker 5: you can get ten fouls out of So I do 1123 00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:18,000 Speaker 5: think that would profile well for McNeice. And then uh, 1124 00:55:18,239 --> 00:55:20,080 Speaker 5: final thing, I just we have to mention. 1125 00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:21,319 Speaker 4: Someone has to mention this. 1126 00:55:21,920 --> 00:55:25,440 Speaker 5: Despite the concerns with Kansas's injuries, and despite the concerns 1127 00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:28,640 Speaker 5: about who Gonzaga is as a team, isn't there a 1128 00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:31,120 Speaker 5: world where Mark Few and Bill self are looking around 1129 00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:35,319 Speaker 5: like they gave us Matt Painter and Rick Barnes and 1130 00:55:35,440 --> 00:55:39,759 Speaker 5: Rodney Terry, Like coaching does matter at this point in 1131 00:55:39,760 --> 00:55:40,240 Speaker 5: the season. 1132 00:55:40,440 --> 00:55:43,120 Speaker 4: And if Kansas is healthy, I'm. 1133 00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:45,560 Speaker 5: Not saying they are, but if they are, if they 1134 00:55:45,600 --> 00:55:47,680 Speaker 5: flip a switch, they still are one of the only 1135 00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:49,279 Speaker 5: teams in the country, maybe the only team in the 1136 00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:52,360 Speaker 5: country with three wins against kempon top five opponents. 1137 00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:54,640 Speaker 4: So I just wouldn't. 1138 00:55:54,280 --> 00:55:56,520 Speaker 5: Forget the fact, like there's a lot of coaches who 1139 00:55:56,520 --> 00:55:59,840 Speaker 5: have underachieved in this tournament in this region outside of 1140 00:55:59,840 --> 00:56:02,440 Speaker 5: the two teams, were saying we're skeptical of their rosters. 1141 00:56:02,960 --> 00:56:05,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, Calbrey's any other thoughts in the Midwest. 1142 00:56:06,320 --> 00:56:07,920 Speaker 2: No, that basically wraps it up for me. 1143 00:56:08,600 --> 00:56:11,120 Speaker 6: You have in the final four, I mean Sanford up 1144 00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:12,759 Speaker 6: well all the way to the national title, cutting down 1145 00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:15,400 Speaker 6: the nuts. I do like Colorado State to get past 1146 00:56:15,680 --> 00:56:19,440 Speaker 6: Virginia and then also get by Texas using the traditional 1147 00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:23,279 Speaker 6: playing game as a springboard. That UVA game is going 1148 00:56:23,360 --> 00:56:26,319 Speaker 6: to be a battles. First fort team to fifty two 1149 00:56:26,360 --> 00:56:27,000 Speaker 6: I think wins it. 1150 00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:30,239 Speaker 3: Yeah, if anybody, I didn't bring my Colorado State shirt 1151 00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:31,640 Speaker 3: to New York because I didn't think we were going 1152 00:56:31,680 --> 00:56:34,040 Speaker 3: to need the play in, so I'm might have to 1153 00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:36,840 Speaker 3: quickly get one for Tuesday night. Calbarys and if anybody 1154 00:56:36,840 --> 00:56:38,640 Speaker 3: knows of a Colorado State bar in New York City, 1155 00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:39,800 Speaker 3: hit my line. 1156 00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:43,759 Speaker 1: South Carolina Oregon underbound. All right, let's move on to 1157 00:56:45,160 --> 00:56:51,600 Speaker 1: the South where Houston is the one seed, Marquette is 1158 00:56:51,640 --> 00:56:57,560 Speaker 1: the two, the three seed Kentucky Wildcats, and four seed 1159 00:56:57,640 --> 00:57:03,279 Speaker 1: Duke the Cup all the blue bloods there. Wisconsin is 1160 00:57:03,280 --> 00:57:06,200 Speaker 1: the five Texas Tech is the six, playing NC State 1161 00:57:06,200 --> 00:57:11,600 Speaker 1: at the eleven. I'll lead this off here. I you know, 1162 00:57:11,680 --> 00:57:14,080 Speaker 1: the first thing that jumped out to me was great 1163 00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:18,680 Speaker 1: path for Kentucky. You have you play Oakland in the 1164 00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:20,760 Speaker 1: first one out. Granted, there could be some variants here. 1165 00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:23,840 Speaker 1: Oakland plays his own defense, pay as much a zone 1166 00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:26,680 Speaker 1: as anyone in the country. I don't think you want 1167 00:57:26,680 --> 00:57:32,000 Speaker 1: his own Kentucky in that offense. But you know there 1168 00:57:32,240 --> 00:57:34,600 Speaker 1: there will be shooting variants right that Kentucky could just 1169 00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:37,720 Speaker 1: be chucking threes and missing them all. But it's not like, 1170 00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:39,600 Speaker 1: you know, Townshend's a good player for Oakland, but it's 1171 00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:42,200 Speaker 1: not like they're a rim attacking offense. They're jump shooters. 1172 00:57:42,240 --> 00:57:45,040 Speaker 1: And it's hard for me to see Kentucky getting upset 1173 00:57:45,960 --> 00:57:48,320 Speaker 1: this year. And then you get either NC State or 1174 00:57:48,360 --> 00:57:52,200 Speaker 1: Texas Tech. We'll see how healthy Warren Washington is. I 1175 00:57:52,280 --> 00:57:54,960 Speaker 1: tend to think Texas Tech could bow NC State out. 1176 00:57:56,160 --> 00:57:57,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back and look, I'm gonna do this 1177 00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:00,720 Speaker 1: for our podcast on Tuesday, to look at all of 1178 00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:06,440 Speaker 1: the shocking past conference tournament winners and then see what 1179 00:58:06,440 --> 00:58:10,880 Speaker 1: they've done in their first game, like NC State physically 1180 00:58:10,920 --> 00:58:15,800 Speaker 1: and mentally, emotionally has to be exhausted. Now it will 1181 00:58:15,840 --> 00:58:18,480 Speaker 1: matter if Warren Washington plays, because you need Warren Washington 1182 00:58:18,520 --> 00:58:22,760 Speaker 1: for DJ Burns, and DJ Burns can just eat up 1183 00:58:23,680 --> 00:58:25,400 Speaker 1: Tech if he has anything left in the Tech can 1184 00:58:25,400 --> 00:58:28,880 Speaker 1: eat up Texas Tech Text. That just loses size drastically 1185 00:58:28,960 --> 00:58:33,480 Speaker 1: without Warren Washington. But at NC State might be like 1186 00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:36,000 Speaker 1: a public darn thing after what they did, and there 1187 00:58:36,080 --> 00:58:37,680 Speaker 1: might be some value faded in there, but I'm gonna 1188 00:58:37,680 --> 00:58:40,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna dig into that a little bit more. But 1189 00:58:40,320 --> 00:58:43,440 Speaker 1: Kentucky good path like n C State Texas Tech winner. 1190 00:58:44,080 --> 00:58:47,520 Speaker 1: And then in the bottom half it's you have injury concerns. 1191 00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:50,720 Speaker 1: Florida lost hand glotten. I mean he matters a bit 1192 00:58:51,400 --> 00:58:54,160 Speaker 1: in their posts. They do a good post depth. And 1193 00:58:54,200 --> 00:58:55,880 Speaker 1: then you have Mark keV. We don't know how healthy 1194 00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:59,560 Speaker 1: Tyler Kollok will be dealing with an oblique injury. So 1195 00:59:00,120 --> 00:59:03,680 Speaker 1: just a ton of injury uncertainty in Kentucky's bottom half 1196 00:59:03,760 --> 00:59:06,160 Speaker 1: of the South Texas Tech with Warren Washington one of 1197 00:59:06,200 --> 00:59:10,720 Speaker 1: the most important players, you have Marquette Tyler Kolek their 1198 00:59:10,760 --> 00:59:13,760 Speaker 1: most important player. Florida just lost someone in the post, 1199 00:59:13,840 --> 00:59:17,120 Speaker 1: so like you know, not the worst draw in the 1200 00:59:17,120 --> 00:59:19,720 Speaker 1: world for Kentucky. We'll see if they can finally get 1201 00:59:19,760 --> 00:59:23,520 Speaker 1: to a second weekend. Seems to be a chore under Calipari. 1202 00:59:24,600 --> 00:59:31,439 Speaker 1: And in the top half. Houston I think should get 1203 00:59:31,480 --> 00:59:35,520 Speaker 1: through here. Like the teams who could threaten them, you know, 1204 00:59:37,360 --> 00:59:40,640 Speaker 1: I feel like they would just bully every like a 1205 00:59:40,640 --> 00:59:43,040 Speaker 1: lot of these teams, like Duke, for example, people might 1206 00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:47,480 Speaker 1: have Duke over Houston. I've said before all year Duke soft, 1207 00:59:47,680 --> 00:59:49,720 Speaker 1: Like that's what we've seen in the Big especially against 1208 00:59:49,720 --> 00:59:53,400 Speaker 1: North Carolina, Like they're physically soft. And the one team 1209 00:59:53,400 --> 00:59:56,480 Speaker 1: that they you don't want to play if you're physically 1210 00:59:56,520 --> 00:59:59,560 Speaker 1: sought is Houston. I specifically caught out this matchup before 1211 00:59:59,560 --> 01:00:01,480 Speaker 1: the brackets, like the Duke kind of play at Houston, 1212 01:00:01,720 --> 01:00:03,960 Speaker 1: they would get bullied. Reminds me of like what Duke 1213 01:00:04,040 --> 01:00:06,360 Speaker 1: last was that last year against Tennessee or a couple 1214 01:00:06,360 --> 01:00:08,320 Speaker 1: of years ago, was that last year? 1215 01:00:08,800 --> 01:00:09,320 Speaker 3: Last year? 1216 01:00:09,760 --> 01:00:10,200 Speaker 2: Last year? 1217 01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:14,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, same thing, like Duke, Like, so I don't I'm 1218 01:00:14,200 --> 01:00:16,920 Speaker 1: not even considering Duke. Like the one scary team is 1219 01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:19,400 Speaker 1: A and M. Just like A and M won't is 1220 01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:22,200 Speaker 1: physical and they won't be afraid of Houston. And then 1221 01:00:22,200 --> 01:00:25,520 Speaker 1: you just have like the variants of Wade Taylor, Like 1222 01:00:25,560 --> 01:00:28,760 Speaker 1: does Wade Taylor go for fifty or not? And like 1223 01:00:28,880 --> 01:00:32,480 Speaker 1: Houston was up like twenty five on them, and A 1224 01:00:32,520 --> 01:00:34,560 Speaker 1: and M came back and tied the game. I think 1225 01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:38,040 Speaker 1: it was in Houston, or it was it was neutral. 1226 01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:41,240 Speaker 2: Site, a neutral site in Houston. Yeah, that's Toyotas and. 1227 01:00:41,200 --> 01:00:42,680 Speaker 1: They came back and tied the game with like a 1228 01:00:42,720 --> 01:00:47,480 Speaker 1: minute ago. But I'm probably gonna have Houston going through 1229 01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:51,800 Speaker 1: to the final four here, they're just too many question marks. 1230 01:00:52,680 --> 01:00:55,000 Speaker 1: I don't trust Duke against Houston. And then in the 1231 01:00:55,000 --> 01:00:59,760 Speaker 1: bottom half, you know, Kentucky I think has a favorable 1232 01:00:59,760 --> 01:01:01,720 Speaker 1: path because of all the like I can't trust Marquet 1233 01:01:01,760 --> 01:01:05,600 Speaker 1: because a coolik you know Texas, all these other injuries. 1234 01:01:06,200 --> 01:01:08,200 Speaker 1: So I think I'm gonna have Houston coming through the 1235 01:01:08,240 --> 01:01:11,400 Speaker 1: final four. It would be a fascinating matchup if it 1236 01:01:11,560 --> 01:01:17,440 Speaker 1: was Houston versus Kentucky because I think at their peak, 1237 01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:22,040 Speaker 1: so at their peak, Kentucky has the best offense when 1238 01:01:22,040 --> 01:01:24,600 Speaker 1: they're all making shots like talent wise, and Houston is 1239 01:01:24,640 --> 01:01:28,440 Speaker 1: the best defense. And I think Houston would end up 1240 01:01:28,720 --> 01:01:31,240 Speaker 1: prevailing in that matchup. But it would be like just 1241 01:01:31,280 --> 01:01:36,240 Speaker 1: from an x's and o's and contrasting styles would be fascinating. 1242 01:01:36,320 --> 01:01:39,400 Speaker 1: I think Houston would just gobble up offensive rebounds and 1243 01:01:40,040 --> 01:01:43,320 Speaker 1: get their stops. But I have Houston coming out of here. 1244 01:01:43,720 --> 01:01:46,000 Speaker 1: A lot of question marks in the South, a lot 1245 01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:48,200 Speaker 1: of uncertainty du bundo. 1246 01:01:49,200 --> 01:01:51,040 Speaker 3: The region of uncertainty is what I wrote down. 1247 01:01:52,240 --> 01:01:54,360 Speaker 1: So do you have anything in the South or is 1248 01:01:54,360 --> 01:01:55,440 Speaker 1: too much uncertainty for you? 1249 01:01:58,080 --> 01:02:01,640 Speaker 3: I'm kind of interested in Colorado. I know they just 1250 01:02:01,640 --> 01:02:03,200 Speaker 3: got beat in the conference. 1251 01:02:02,920 --> 01:02:04,720 Speaker 1: Year more because I have a Colorado future. 1252 01:02:05,720 --> 01:02:07,960 Speaker 3: I think it's a it's a matchup. I think there's 1253 01:02:07,960 --> 01:02:09,919 Speaker 3: a few matchups here that that work out well for them. 1254 01:02:10,320 --> 01:02:12,120 Speaker 3: You know, they can, I think, have a ton of 1255 01:02:12,120 --> 01:02:15,480 Speaker 3: size advantages inside if they were to get Marquette. Florida 1256 01:02:15,600 --> 01:02:18,040 Speaker 3: has some major flaws defensively, especially at the rim now 1257 01:02:18,080 --> 01:02:20,960 Speaker 3: with the injury situation. Once he went out, Auburn got 1258 01:02:21,040 --> 01:02:23,760 Speaker 3: lay up after lay up after lay up after layup today, 1259 01:02:24,400 --> 01:02:26,600 Speaker 3: and you know it's hard when you it's your first 1260 01:02:26,680 --> 01:02:28,920 Speaker 3: game and they're gonna get challenged right away. I think 1261 01:02:28,960 --> 01:02:32,760 Speaker 3: with Colorado in the in the potential seven to ten 1262 01:02:32,800 --> 01:02:34,280 Speaker 3: game there calibiate. 1263 01:02:34,280 --> 01:02:35,840 Speaker 1: There's always one of these teams that's in the plan 1264 01:02:36,120 --> 01:02:39,320 Speaker 1: every year that seems to make a run and like 1265 01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:43,240 Speaker 1: gets to the Sweet sixteen. Boise State uses their size 1266 01:02:44,280 --> 01:02:47,800 Speaker 1: into their advantage in Mountain West play. That will be 1267 01:02:47,840 --> 01:02:52,440 Speaker 1: the case against Lampkin and De Silva and the Colorado 1268 01:02:52,520 --> 01:02:55,240 Speaker 1: guards who are all long, right, So that's a pretty 1269 01:02:55,240 --> 01:02:56,280 Speaker 1: good matchup for Colorado. 1270 01:02:56,880 --> 01:02:59,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, I like it, and I think, you know, if 1271 01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:01,640 Speaker 3: you're betting on talent, they've got two guys who were 1272 01:03:01,640 --> 01:03:04,240 Speaker 3: going in the top twenty of the draft, Colorado. 1273 01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:05,920 Speaker 1: You guys who will get drafted, right. 1274 01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:07,600 Speaker 3: And that's a that's a lot of talent. And they're 1275 01:03:07,600 --> 01:03:10,040 Speaker 3: a team that struggled early but really put it together right. 1276 01:03:10,080 --> 01:03:12,800 Speaker 3: They finally started winning away from Colorado down the stretch 1277 01:03:12,960 --> 01:03:14,800 Speaker 3: in Pac twelve play. And yeah, they got beat by 1278 01:03:14,880 --> 01:03:16,520 Speaker 3: Dante in the in the final because they had some 1279 01:03:16,520 --> 01:03:19,080 Speaker 3: foul trouble and he was just on one you know, 1280 01:03:19,160 --> 01:03:21,800 Speaker 3: you tip your cap kind of game. But I think 1281 01:03:21,800 --> 01:03:23,760 Speaker 3: Colorado is live to make a run here, mainly because 1282 01:03:23,760 --> 01:03:26,160 Speaker 3: I agree I think that Kentucky is. You know, I 1283 01:03:26,280 --> 01:03:28,520 Speaker 3: kept trying to say, like, you can make the same 1284 01:03:28,600 --> 01:03:30,880 Speaker 3: case for Kentucky because they have two top ten picks, 1285 01:03:31,120 --> 01:03:35,439 Speaker 3: but the defense just never figures it out. Then they're 1286 01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:37,720 Speaker 3: they're in the list of teams like you mentioned earlier, 1287 01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:40,120 Speaker 3: stuck where if your defense is so bad, you're just 1288 01:03:40,280 --> 01:03:43,800 Speaker 3: gonna lose because somebody's gonna keep scoring. 1289 01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:47,360 Speaker 1: On you and would be a shootout where like the 1290 01:03:48,080 --> 01:03:51,000 Speaker 1: ball wins, and that's what I have them at sixteen. 1291 01:03:51,120 --> 01:03:54,800 Speaker 3: Question make a run and some of the other teams 1292 01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:57,000 Speaker 3: that went on runs that immediately came to mind. Virginia 1293 01:03:57,120 --> 01:03:59,240 Speaker 3: Tech a couple of years ago went four and four, 1294 01:04:00,120 --> 01:04:04,280 Speaker 3: got beat pretty comfortably by Texas. Georgetown got smoked by 1295 01:04:04,280 --> 01:04:06,960 Speaker 3: Colorado in the first round, and then Oregon State, who 1296 01:04:07,000 --> 01:04:09,439 Speaker 3: somehow made the Elite eight and almost made the Final four. 1297 01:04:10,120 --> 01:04:11,640 Speaker 3: So those are the three that I that I had. 1298 01:04:11,680 --> 01:04:14,880 Speaker 3: But in terms of the top half, I agree. I 1299 01:04:14,880 --> 01:04:17,880 Speaker 3: don't see a ton of pass for Houston. Juwan Roberts. 1300 01:04:18,680 --> 01:04:20,440 Speaker 3: Did he just pick up an injury that I missed, 1301 01:04:21,160 --> 01:04:22,080 Speaker 3: So that's a concern. 1302 01:04:23,160 --> 01:04:24,960 Speaker 1: I think they just basically said because he's been dealing 1303 01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:28,040 Speaker 1: with injuries that they just didn't want to He had 1304 01:04:28,080 --> 01:04:32,439 Speaker 1: like a hand injury, then his shin. He was healthy 1305 01:04:32,520 --> 01:04:34,800 Speaker 1: enough to play, but I think they were down and 1306 01:04:34,840 --> 01:04:37,959 Speaker 1: then they just said we're resting in for the second half. 1307 01:04:38,440 --> 01:04:41,600 Speaker 3: M Yeah, that's been certned. They've already taken a couple 1308 01:04:41,600 --> 01:04:42,160 Speaker 3: of hits. 1309 01:04:42,440 --> 01:04:44,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's certainly worth watching. Do you see anyone in 1310 01:04:44,440 --> 01:04:47,400 Speaker 1: the top half that could take them out? No, Greg, 1311 01:04:47,440 --> 01:04:49,040 Speaker 1: let me start to you what he's seeing in the sound. 1312 01:04:49,920 --> 01:04:53,919 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think you're hard pressed to find any alternative 1313 01:04:53,920 --> 01:04:56,280 Speaker 5: solution to Houston for all the reasons that you guys said, 1314 01:04:56,280 --> 01:04:57,440 Speaker 5: just too many questions marks. 1315 01:04:57,520 --> 01:05:02,200 Speaker 4: I have this, I don't know, this dwelling feeling. 1316 01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:05,360 Speaker 5: I can't shake that, Like I know I should pick 1317 01:05:05,400 --> 01:05:08,440 Speaker 5: Kentucky because the draw opened up on the bottom half, 1318 01:05:08,520 --> 01:05:11,440 Speaker 5: and I like all the reasons are well documented that 1319 01:05:11,680 --> 01:05:14,360 Speaker 5: if Tyler Kollaks banged up, Marquet's not who they should be. 1320 01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:16,600 Speaker 5: Texas Tech and NC State are both just kind of 1321 01:05:16,600 --> 01:05:21,400 Speaker 5: blan Florida now lost their center, like it is wide open. 1322 01:05:21,480 --> 01:05:25,160 Speaker 5: They're begging Kentucky to make a run here. And I 1323 01:05:25,280 --> 01:05:27,160 Speaker 5: just have this shaking feeling we're gonna end up with 1324 01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:30,080 Speaker 5: like Texas Tech in the Elite eight, because that's always 1325 01:05:30,160 --> 01:05:32,640 Speaker 5: what happens. Whatever, there's a darling team we want to 1326 01:05:32,680 --> 01:05:37,160 Speaker 5: get there. I actually on green Dot Daily the other 1327 01:05:37,240 --> 01:05:40,640 Speaker 5: day I gave out James Madison and Oakland as two 1328 01:05:40,720 --> 01:05:44,200 Speaker 5: teams I thought could pick somebody off, and I do 1329 01:05:44,360 --> 01:05:47,640 Speaker 5: like JMU over Wisconsin in round one. I just think 1330 01:05:48,400 --> 01:05:50,880 Speaker 5: it's a bit of a cell high on Wisconsin given 1331 01:05:51,280 --> 01:05:53,600 Speaker 5: the shooting performance they just put on in the Big 1332 01:05:53,640 --> 01:05:55,440 Speaker 5: Ten tournaments stuck and you know, my head to head 1333 01:05:55,440 --> 01:05:58,800 Speaker 5: battle with Greg Guard this week and they were really impressive. 1334 01:05:58,840 --> 01:06:01,160 Speaker 5: That's not the team that they've been over the last 1335 01:06:01,200 --> 01:06:04,760 Speaker 5: fifteen games, so I'll trust the fifteen game sample size 1336 01:06:04,880 --> 01:06:08,160 Speaker 5: over the three game sample size. In Minneapolis, JMU, to 1337 01:06:08,200 --> 01:06:10,400 Speaker 5: me has been the best mid major team in the 1338 01:06:10,440 --> 01:06:12,440 Speaker 5: country this season. I think that's going to be a 1339 01:06:12,440 --> 01:06:15,440 Speaker 5: popular public pick. A JMU Duke game in round two 1340 01:06:15,440 --> 01:06:18,880 Speaker 5: would be really fun. I don't think JMU is particularly physical, 1341 01:06:18,920 --> 01:06:22,120 Speaker 5: but they're certainly skilled. And like you said, you have 1342 01:06:22,200 --> 01:06:24,400 Speaker 5: that S word, the four letter S word concerns with 1343 01:06:24,520 --> 01:06:27,400 Speaker 5: duke on when are those going to show up? But 1344 01:06:27,640 --> 01:06:29,600 Speaker 5: either way, the winner gets Houston, So I'm not even 1345 01:06:29,600 --> 01:06:31,640 Speaker 5: gonna spend too much time debating it in my head. 1346 01:06:31,960 --> 01:06:34,640 Speaker 5: I will be very, very surprised if Houston does not 1347 01:06:34,760 --> 01:06:36,640 Speaker 5: emerge as the winner of this region. 1348 01:06:37,000 --> 01:06:38,960 Speaker 1: Kwan Robertson is bruised. Wright Schinn by the way, just 1349 01:06:39,000 --> 01:06:42,040 Speaker 1: sare nothing too crazy. Sat the second after rest up 1350 01:06:42,040 --> 01:06:44,439 Speaker 1: for the NCAA tournament, so I would imagine you should 1351 01:06:44,440 --> 01:06:46,600 Speaker 1: be okay. Yeah, I don't think I'll have to work 1352 01:06:46,640 --> 01:06:50,120 Speaker 1: too hard against Longwood cal reasoning thought you want to 1353 01:06:50,120 --> 01:06:51,760 Speaker 1: add on the South region. 1354 01:06:52,120 --> 01:06:54,800 Speaker 6: Yeah, a lot of what you guys have been saying, 1355 01:06:55,080 --> 01:06:57,720 Speaker 6: I've been agreeing with. I do think Kentucky is live 1356 01:06:57,760 --> 01:07:00,520 Speaker 6: here because of the draw. I am interested in fading 1357 01:07:00,560 --> 01:07:03,240 Speaker 6: Florida off of their run. I think their tank is 1358 01:07:03,240 --> 01:07:06,480 Speaker 6: empty a little bit. Hanklington, you know, going down I 1359 01:07:06,520 --> 01:07:08,760 Speaker 6: think definitely hurts in terms of their best calling card, 1360 01:07:08,760 --> 01:07:11,480 Speaker 6: which is their offensive rebounding. So I would be more 1361 01:07:11,480 --> 01:07:13,440 Speaker 6: interested in Colorado if they were to win the playing 1362 01:07:13,520 --> 01:07:17,520 Speaker 6: game than Boise Jam. You also an upset that I 1363 01:07:17,640 --> 01:07:19,000 Speaker 6: picked the one. 1364 01:07:19,040 --> 01:07:20,680 Speaker 2: I'll push back to the group here. 1365 01:07:22,040 --> 01:07:23,960 Speaker 6: We're confident that Houston's just going to blow out in 1366 01:07:24,000 --> 01:07:27,000 Speaker 6: Nebraska if they draw them. We've basically been talking about 1367 01:07:27,000 --> 01:07:29,600 Speaker 6: every other team except for Nebraska in the top half 1368 01:07:29,640 --> 01:07:34,080 Speaker 6: of this bracket. You know, before they match up against Illinois, 1369 01:07:34,080 --> 01:07:37,320 Speaker 6: who Houston is never going to be confused for Illinois Offensively, 1370 01:07:37,880 --> 01:07:40,320 Speaker 6: they were all the way up to what two in 1371 01:07:40,600 --> 01:07:44,960 Speaker 6: ken palm defense or Bartrovic defense since February first, they 1372 01:07:44,960 --> 01:07:47,880 Speaker 6: have the potential to get hot in tom and Aga, Like, 1373 01:07:48,880 --> 01:07:49,280 Speaker 6: I don't know. 1374 01:07:49,320 --> 01:07:53,520 Speaker 1: I think that game though, is the question. Like it, 1375 01:07:53,800 --> 01:07:55,920 Speaker 1: I don't know if he's physical enough, it might be 1376 01:07:55,920 --> 01:07:57,840 Speaker 1: a game where he gets benched for long stretches. 1377 01:07:58,360 --> 01:08:00,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, but I think to pack too. 1378 01:08:01,080 --> 01:08:03,760 Speaker 6: Does Houston go on a drought in the second half 1379 01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:05,800 Speaker 6: as they've been wont to do, particularly. 1380 01:08:05,440 --> 01:08:06,840 Speaker 2: When they play better defensive teams. 1381 01:08:07,880 --> 01:08:11,400 Speaker 6: So I do like Houston to at least make it 1382 01:08:11,400 --> 01:08:13,480 Speaker 6: to the Elite eight because I think the matchups are 1383 01:08:13,760 --> 01:08:16,160 Speaker 6: are good. But in terms of circling a spot to 1384 01:08:16,200 --> 01:08:19,160 Speaker 6: take the points, I think the Cornhuskers could surprise. And 1385 01:08:19,160 --> 01:08:20,840 Speaker 6: I think they're the opposite of a public team. We've 1386 01:08:20,840 --> 01:08:23,559 Speaker 6: talked about this before. They never make the second weekend. 1387 01:08:23,680 --> 01:08:26,000 Speaker 6: I think everybody views them kind of as like a 1388 01:08:26,080 --> 01:08:27,280 Speaker 6: lark just to make the tournament in. 1389 01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:27,760 Speaker 2: The first place. 1390 01:08:27,800 --> 01:08:29,200 Speaker 6: But I think it's a lot of teams, a lot 1391 01:08:29,200 --> 01:08:32,000 Speaker 6: of people just not watching Big ten basketball this year. 1392 01:08:32,280 --> 01:08:33,320 Speaker 2: I think when they bring their a. 1393 01:08:33,439 --> 01:08:35,759 Speaker 6: Game, I think they can go forty minutes with Houston 1394 01:08:36,040 --> 01:08:38,519 Speaker 6: and then it's a question of can anyone other than 1395 01:08:38,840 --> 01:08:40,559 Speaker 6: Shed make a shot down the stretch. 1396 01:08:41,439 --> 01:08:42,559 Speaker 2: I wouldn't put it on Crier. 1397 01:08:42,680 --> 01:08:45,280 Speaker 6: Cryer has certainly shrunk in big moments, and he's really 1398 01:08:45,320 --> 01:08:47,839 Speaker 6: kind of underwhelmed me in the second half of this season. 1399 01:08:47,960 --> 01:08:52,400 Speaker 6: So yeah, I think that's just a matchup potentially care 1400 01:08:52,479 --> 01:08:54,160 Speaker 6: about if they're able to get past an A and 1401 01:08:54,280 --> 01:08:55,719 Speaker 6: M team that it's one hundred percent. 1402 01:08:55,600 --> 01:08:56,519 Speaker 2: On three point variants. 1403 01:08:56,520 --> 01:08:58,800 Speaker 6: When they shoot and make ten threes, they're one of 1404 01:08:58,800 --> 01:09:01,800 Speaker 6: the top five best teams the country, and when they don't, 1405 01:09:01,920 --> 01:09:03,799 Speaker 6: they look like they should be in the CBI. 1406 01:09:04,640 --> 01:09:07,880 Speaker 5: The interesting thing on A and M with this matchup 1407 01:09:07,920 --> 01:09:10,080 Speaker 5: with Nebraska is it reminds me a lot of their 1408 01:09:10,080 --> 01:09:13,000 Speaker 5: first round matchup last year that you're a Big ten team. 1409 01:09:13,439 --> 01:09:16,360 Speaker 5: They shot a bunch of threes Penn State, and State 1410 01:09:16,400 --> 01:09:17,160 Speaker 5: ran them off the floor. 1411 01:09:17,160 --> 01:09:19,200 Speaker 4: Of the threes were falling, they made fifty nine percent. 1412 01:09:19,280 --> 01:09:22,400 Speaker 5: Now, Jalen Pikett is a more physical player than anybody 1413 01:09:22,479 --> 01:09:27,000 Speaker 5: in Nebraska's backcourt, so the physicality concerns are real. 1414 01:09:27,439 --> 01:09:29,439 Speaker 4: But if the threes are falling, I. 1415 01:09:29,439 --> 01:09:32,559 Speaker 5: Do definitely see a world where Waye Taylors aren't variant 1416 01:09:32,760 --> 01:09:33,840 Speaker 5: and it's snowballs. 1417 01:09:34,080 --> 01:09:36,800 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff, let's get for the audio. We'll 1418 01:09:36,800 --> 01:09:42,120 Speaker 1: do our preliminary final fours. Mine will almost certainly change. 1419 01:09:42,280 --> 01:09:44,960 Speaker 1: I'll probably have like three the same that I'll give 1420 01:09:44,960 --> 01:09:48,759 Speaker 1: out now, but I'm going to spend the next set 1421 01:09:48,840 --> 01:09:51,679 Speaker 1: eighteen hours. I have dedicated I'm not sleeping the night 1422 01:09:51,960 --> 01:09:57,439 Speaker 1: going through every single one of these games, so I 1423 01:09:57,800 --> 01:10:00,920 Speaker 1: inevitably will probably change one or two. I have to 1424 01:10:01,000 --> 01:10:03,920 Speaker 1: go through all matchups and future potential matchups, but I'll 1425 01:10:04,520 --> 01:10:10,759 Speaker 1: I'll say mine first. I'm gonna go Yukon, Baylor, Houston, 1426 01:10:10,840 --> 01:10:15,320 Speaker 1: and Tennessee, so I'm probably gonna come out where I'll change. 1427 01:10:16,240 --> 01:10:20,160 Speaker 1: So I'm probably gonna have a crazier seed get there, 1428 01:10:21,080 --> 01:10:22,360 Speaker 1: but I don't know. I got to go through the 1429 01:10:22,360 --> 01:10:26,080 Speaker 1: matchups for that. For what it's worth, we've had a 1430 01:10:26,080 --> 01:10:28,559 Speaker 1: double digit seed make the Sweet sixteen in each of 1431 01:10:28,560 --> 01:10:34,599 Speaker 1: the past fifteen tournaments, so that crazy, you know, that crazy. 1432 01:10:34,640 --> 01:10:38,200 Speaker 1: Finding that crazy team is very difficult to do, and 1433 01:10:38,439 --> 01:10:41,479 Speaker 1: I might end up having it come out of the West, 1434 01:10:41,840 --> 01:10:45,519 Speaker 1: where I think the top seeds are vulnerable. But like, 1435 01:10:46,000 --> 01:10:48,240 Speaker 1: you know, like who's you know, like no one, no 1436 01:10:48,280 --> 01:10:50,320 Speaker 1: one in the world's gonna have Clemson getting to the 1437 01:10:50,320 --> 01:10:54,360 Speaker 1: final four. But like if Clemson could beat New Mexico, 1438 01:10:54,400 --> 01:10:57,160 Speaker 1: which I'm not sure they can. They can beat Baylor, 1439 01:10:59,000 --> 01:11:01,960 Speaker 1: you know, Arizona that could be picked off by anyone, 1440 01:11:02,240 --> 01:11:04,200 Speaker 1: and then like what coose clumps are going to get 1441 01:11:04,200 --> 01:11:08,080 Speaker 1: in the Elite eight, Like North Carolina, who they already beat, 1442 01:11:08,400 --> 01:11:12,280 Speaker 1: Michigan State, Saint Mary's, Like that Elite eight opponent is 1443 01:11:12,320 --> 01:11:18,400 Speaker 1: not scary. So if Alabama, like, come on. So if 1444 01:11:18,400 --> 01:11:20,360 Speaker 1: you want to pick someone like a lower seed, I 1445 01:11:20,400 --> 01:11:24,880 Speaker 1: think that West, like it could be New Mexico. It's 1446 01:11:24,920 --> 01:11:28,360 Speaker 1: definitely not Colgate unless you're filling out Greig's bracket. But 1447 01:11:28,360 --> 01:11:32,439 Speaker 1: if you want to get crazy, even Nevada, I think 1448 01:11:32,439 --> 01:11:34,479 Speaker 1: that's like a good place to target, not only because 1449 01:11:34,479 --> 01:11:38,040 Speaker 1: I think Arizona's vulnerable, but because I think North Carolina 1450 01:11:38,120 --> 01:11:39,479 Speaker 1: might not make it there. But even if they do, 1451 01:11:39,520 --> 01:11:41,559 Speaker 1: whoever comes out of that top half you're not really 1452 01:11:41,600 --> 01:11:46,360 Speaker 1: gonna be scared of. So that's my initial final four, 1453 01:11:46,600 --> 01:11:52,599 Speaker 1: Connecticut's Houston Baylor in Tennessee. H Greg you were itching 1454 01:11:52,640 --> 01:11:55,719 Speaker 1: to give out your final four of Colgate and whoever else? 1455 01:11:55,760 --> 01:11:56,400 Speaker 1: So who do you got? 1456 01:11:57,200 --> 01:12:00,000 Speaker 5: I was I was more itching to unveil my Elite 1457 01:12:00,000 --> 01:12:02,240 Speaker 5: eight matchup in the West, and maybe this is where 1458 01:12:02,240 --> 01:12:06,200 Speaker 5: you'll stumble to after your sleep insomnia tonight, stuck in 1459 01:12:06,240 --> 01:12:06,920 Speaker 5: that matchup. 1460 01:12:06,960 --> 01:12:07,559 Speaker 4: I have St. 1461 01:12:07,680 --> 01:12:11,760 Speaker 5: Mary's in New Mexico in my Chaos region, and I 1462 01:12:11,800 --> 01:12:14,200 Speaker 5: have Saint Mary's making the final four, and then I'm 1463 01:12:14,320 --> 01:12:18,840 Speaker 5: chalk everywhere else. Yukon Houston, Purdue Saint Mary's is my 1464 01:12:18,920 --> 01:12:19,800 Speaker 5: initial run at it. 1465 01:12:20,240 --> 01:12:22,920 Speaker 4: And on the one seeds, it never feels good. 1466 01:12:25,800 --> 01:12:30,040 Speaker 5: No comment, no comment. On the one seeds, it never 1467 01:12:30,080 --> 01:12:32,719 Speaker 5: feels good. I never enjoy writing in three one seeds, 1468 01:12:32,720 --> 01:12:34,360 Speaker 5: but I do just want to throw this out there. 1469 01:12:35,280 --> 01:12:38,120 Speaker 5: I think the story of this season, even if we've 1470 01:12:38,160 --> 01:12:41,000 Speaker 5: talked around it a little bit in circles, is legitimately 1471 01:12:41,080 --> 01:12:43,320 Speaker 5: that there are three teams that are worthy of being 1472 01:12:43,400 --> 01:12:46,479 Speaker 5: like the number one overall seed in any given college 1473 01:12:46,479 --> 01:12:49,479 Speaker 5: basketball year. This isn't last year where there was no 1474 01:12:49,520 --> 01:12:51,720 Speaker 5: elite team and we're looking around at what's going on. 1475 01:12:52,120 --> 01:12:54,760 Speaker 5: There's three elite teams in college basketball to me, and 1476 01:12:55,640 --> 01:12:58,639 Speaker 5: if for various reasons, there are good draws for each 1477 01:12:58,680 --> 01:13:01,320 Speaker 5: of them here, but if you go back through season 1478 01:13:01,360 --> 01:13:03,920 Speaker 5: by season and you look how many years have there 1479 01:13:03,960 --> 01:13:07,920 Speaker 5: been with teams that are plus thirty adjusted efficiency margin 1480 01:13:08,040 --> 01:13:11,920 Speaker 5: in Ken palm, and yes, looking backwards, there's been boosted 1481 01:13:12,280 --> 01:13:13,640 Speaker 5: numbers by the runs. 1482 01:13:13,360 --> 01:13:14,280 Speaker 4: That these teams made. 1483 01:13:14,320 --> 01:13:17,960 Speaker 5: But Yukon and Houston thirty two point two one thirty 1484 01:13:17,960 --> 01:13:20,479 Speaker 5: one point seven two right now produced right below the 1485 01:13:20,520 --> 01:13:22,720 Speaker 5: thirty clip at twenty nine point one two. 1486 01:13:23,760 --> 01:13:24,880 Speaker 4: The only two years in the. 1487 01:13:24,920 --> 01:13:28,679 Speaker 5: Last nine that we've had teams above thirty multiple were 1488 01:13:29,200 --> 01:13:32,280 Speaker 5: the Goodzaga Baylor clear year where we had two elite 1489 01:13:32,320 --> 01:13:34,800 Speaker 5: teams they met in the championship, and then a couple 1490 01:13:34,800 --> 01:13:38,160 Speaker 5: of years before that there were actually five teams, and 1491 01:13:38,280 --> 01:13:40,400 Speaker 5: three of them that were above the thirty clip made 1492 01:13:40,400 --> 01:13:43,439 Speaker 5: the final four. When you have teams this good, don't 1493 01:13:43,479 --> 01:13:45,439 Speaker 5: look to get creative for us. The teams that are 1494 01:13:45,439 --> 01:13:48,680 Speaker 5: this good, I think it goes Chalky in those three regions. 1495 01:13:48,720 --> 01:13:51,880 Speaker 2: Abonda what we have got, Yeah, I agree. 1496 01:13:52,280 --> 01:13:55,880 Speaker 3: I think Yukon is a class above everybody in their region, 1497 01:13:55,920 --> 01:13:57,800 Speaker 3: even though it is a tough region. Like who would 1498 01:13:57,840 --> 01:14:02,920 Speaker 3: you confidently say will be Yukon or even like could 1499 01:14:02,920 --> 01:14:04,840 Speaker 3: go all the way. I think Auburn has the best chance, 1500 01:14:05,200 --> 01:14:06,760 Speaker 3: but I think Auburn might lose in the first round. 1501 01:14:06,800 --> 01:14:09,679 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go with Yukon. I'm gonna take Houston 1502 01:14:09,800 --> 01:14:14,200 Speaker 3: in the South. My surprise is that Colorado makes a 1503 01:14:14,280 --> 01:14:18,559 Speaker 3: run to the Elite eight because I you know, and 1504 01:14:18,680 --> 01:14:20,639 Speaker 3: I can always change it if they lose to Boise 1505 01:14:20,880 --> 01:14:23,720 Speaker 3: before the where the brackets lock. But yeah, Colorado to 1506 01:14:23,760 --> 01:14:25,920 Speaker 3: the Elite eight for me beating Kentucky in the Sweet sixteen. 1507 01:14:26,880 --> 01:14:31,559 Speaker 3: Perdue Creighton, I think that's Perdue would get Calk Brenner 1508 01:14:31,600 --> 01:14:33,880 Speaker 3: and Foul trouble just because Edie gets every call he wants, 1509 01:14:34,360 --> 01:14:37,160 Speaker 3: and I think that would be enough that they would 1510 01:14:37,160 --> 01:14:39,400 Speaker 3: have Crate would have enough depth to take them down. 1511 01:14:39,479 --> 01:14:45,200 Speaker 3: So Perdue, and then I'm gonna go Michigan State to 1512 01:14:45,280 --> 01:14:49,040 Speaker 3: the final four in a surprise. I'm gonna lean into 1513 01:14:49,080 --> 01:14:51,760 Speaker 3: the Zone narratives. I really think they upset NC. And 1514 01:14:51,800 --> 01:14:53,680 Speaker 3: then like you said, you know, we're not. I'm not 1515 01:14:53,680 --> 01:14:55,639 Speaker 3: too high on Mary's. I'm not too high on Bama. 1516 01:14:56,400 --> 01:14:58,559 Speaker 3: And then I have Arizona, New Mexico on the other side, 1517 01:14:58,560 --> 01:15:01,760 Speaker 3: with Zona getting through and Zone of Michigan State. My 1518 01:15:01,800 --> 01:15:04,720 Speaker 3: preliminary is Michigan State to the Final four on the 1519 01:15:04,800 --> 01:15:05,479 Speaker 3: Izzo train. 1520 01:15:05,640 --> 01:15:12,400 Speaker 1: But I am championing, championing Anthony's bracket because I have 1521 01:15:12,439 --> 01:15:15,120 Speaker 1: a Houston National title future and I have a Colorado 1522 01:15:15,160 --> 01:15:22,200 Speaker 1: Final four future. So Colorado Houston Elite eight matchup has 1523 01:15:22,280 --> 01:15:27,240 Speaker 1: my full blessing and I have a Kentucky future. Something 1524 01:15:27,240 --> 01:15:28,880 Speaker 1: in the South has to happen good for me because 1525 01:15:28,880 --> 01:15:31,240 Speaker 1: all of my futures are in there. If not, who 1526 01:15:31,360 --> 01:15:33,280 Speaker 1: it'll be Duke Duke comes out of the South, I'm 1527 01:15:33,320 --> 01:15:38,880 Speaker 1: going to lose it, absolutely lose it. All of the 1528 01:15:38,920 --> 01:15:41,440 Speaker 1: three is go in for Duke Calibreys. 1529 01:15:42,600 --> 01:15:44,600 Speaker 6: Are we doing Elite eight or Final four here? I 1530 01:15:44,600 --> 01:15:46,160 Speaker 6: feel like everyone's want to stretching it. 1531 01:15:46,280 --> 01:15:48,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll start in the East. 1532 01:15:48,160 --> 01:15:51,920 Speaker 6: I got Yukon against Drake, and I got Yukon winning 1533 01:15:51,960 --> 01:15:55,960 Speaker 6: it going to the final four. Out West, I'm going 1534 01:15:56,040 --> 01:15:58,400 Speaker 6: to get real gutsy and I'm gonna go New Mexico 1535 01:15:58,800 --> 01:15:59,679 Speaker 6: to the final four. 1536 01:15:59,760 --> 01:16:01,000 Speaker 2: That's my chaos pick. 1537 01:16:01,960 --> 01:16:04,240 Speaker 6: It's balanced out by the fact that in the Midwest, 1538 01:16:04,280 --> 01:16:06,840 Speaker 6: I purdueing creating with Purdue going to the Final four, 1539 01:16:07,240 --> 01:16:10,479 Speaker 6: and then Houston Kentucky. In the South, I just have 1540 01:16:10,600 --> 01:16:13,160 Speaker 6: this hunch that Houston's finally gonna get bit in a 1541 01:16:13,200 --> 01:16:15,800 Speaker 6: big moment by not being able to score the basketball. 1542 01:16:15,800 --> 01:16:17,680 Speaker 6: So I'm gonna go with a Kentucky team that I 1543 01:16:17,720 --> 01:16:20,400 Speaker 6: know exactly what their their warts are, where their issues are. 1544 01:16:20,479 --> 01:16:23,280 Speaker 6: But when I look at this potential road, whether it's 1545 01:16:23,280 --> 01:16:26,639 Speaker 6: Colorado or Marquette in that's Sweet sixteen. I'm not scared there, 1546 01:16:26,840 --> 01:16:28,679 Speaker 6: and I think they just find a way to score 1547 01:16:28,760 --> 01:16:29,719 Speaker 6: enough to get by Houston. 1548 01:16:29,760 --> 01:16:33,360 Speaker 2: So go in Yukon, Kentucky, Perdue, and New Mexico. 1549 01:16:33,200 --> 01:16:35,040 Speaker 1: A Mountain Wist team in the final four. What could 1550 01:16:35,080 --> 01:16:35,439 Speaker 1: go wrong? 1551 01:16:35,720 --> 01:16:35,960 Speaker 4: Yeah? 1552 01:16:36,000 --> 01:16:37,080 Speaker 2: Nothing, absolutely nothing. 1553 01:16:37,320 --> 01:16:39,320 Speaker 6: They're going to play all the games at altitude somehow, 1554 01:16:39,320 --> 01:16:41,240 Speaker 6: They're gonna put balloons on top of the arena and 1555 01:16:41,280 --> 01:16:42,920 Speaker 6: just get it up to twenty five hundred feet. 1556 01:16:43,680 --> 01:16:47,559 Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it for us. Appreciate Mike, Greg 1557 01:16:47,680 --> 01:16:49,439 Speaker 1: and Anthony for joining me, thanks to our producing the 1558 01:16:49,439 --> 01:16:52,360 Speaker 1: back end. Sputly, thanks to all of you for listening. 1559 01:16:52,680 --> 01:16:54,040 Speaker 1: It's time for us to go get to work or 1560 01:16:54,080 --> 01:16:56,120 Speaker 1: to start breaking down these games even more. And we 1561 01:16:56,160 --> 01:16:58,920 Speaker 1: will have two episodes on Tuesday night. Will be out 1562 01:16:58,960 --> 01:17:02,879 Speaker 1: overnight Tuesday. Go through every game of an episode for Thursday, 1563 01:17:02,960 --> 01:17:06,200 Speaker 1: an episode for Friday. We'll also have a tournament live 1564 01:17:06,240 --> 01:17:10,160 Speaker 1: show Wednesday afternoon, and then we will have live BBOC 1565 01:17:10,320 --> 01:17:14,479 Speaker 1: episodes ten thirty Eastern on Thursday for Friday, Saturday and Sunday. 1566 01:17:15,040 --> 01:17:16,720 Speaker 1: So make sure you tune in for those tons of 1567 01:17:16,720 --> 01:17:20,880 Speaker 1: content coming your way. Good luck on all of your bets. 1568 01:17:21,040 --> 01:17:25,679 Speaker 1: By the way, Purdue n even Wake Forest app State. 1569 01:17:25,960 --> 01:17:27,920 Speaker 1: I don't think wake farts really gonna care here. App 1570 01:17:27,920 --> 01:17:30,719 Speaker 1: State revenge game they lost with the buzzer got Wake 1571 01:17:31,000 --> 01:17:33,760 Speaker 1: last year. I like that State. I haven't seen a 1572 01:17:33,760 --> 01:17:37,519 Speaker 1: line though, anyway. Try to get some N talk in 1573 01:17:37,600 --> 01:17:39,720 Speaker 1: some of these episodes. If there's anything I like, but 1574 01:17:39,800 --> 01:17:41,720 Speaker 1: make sure you subcribe on Subscribe, subscribe to a friend, 1575 01:17:41,720 --> 01:17:43,800 Speaker 1: tell on enemy, leave a review, I five star review. 1576 01:17:43,840 --> 01:17:46,880 Speaker 1: Do some giveaway soon. It's the best time of the year. 1577 01:17:47,680 --> 01:17:51,520 Speaker 1: Xavier Georgia N I first Round, Get excited, enjoy the madness, 1578 01:17:52,040 --> 01:17:53,960 Speaker 1: and we'll see you on Tuesday night. Cheers. 1579 01:18:07,640 --> 01:18:12,160 Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1580 01:18:12,160 --> 01:18:14,960 Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1581 01:18:15,000 --> 01:18:18,080 Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler