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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: It's another beautiful autumn afternoon across the nation, which means

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Speaker 1: it's time to fire up our Week nine early picks

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Speaker 1: and line movement predictions. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and

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Speaker 1: I'm very pleased to announce that I just cast my

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Speaker 1: first official ballot for the Hero Sports Group of five

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Speaker 1: Top twenty five media poll. And joining me today as

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Speaker 1: a man who some are calling the voice of the

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Speaker 1: college football betting community right now with the rises and

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Speaker 1: the falls. He's my friend, he's your friend. He Scott Bogman.

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Speaker 1: Week nine already, Scotty, Hi, can you believe it? How

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Speaker 1: you feeling about it?

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Speaker 2: Man?

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Speaker 3: We are rolling down hill five and sixth week on

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Speaker 3: my picks from my show, But obviously we had the

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Speaker 3: most units on Missouri, completely long on the process there,

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Speaker 3: but we hit so Wheel's up on that one up

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Speaker 3: money for the week. So feeling pretty good into this one.

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Speaker 3: Not feeling great about Texas, but feeling good about having

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Speaker 3: some cash. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, I don't feel great about Iowa fans right now.

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Speaker 1: The disrespect I'm seeing out there on the internet. They're

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Speaker 1: acting like that would just won the Super Bowl here, Bogman,

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Speaker 1: and they just beat Penn State, which had an interrum

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Speaker 1: head coach three and three on the season backup quarterback

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Speaker 1: in Iowa as three and a half point favorites, So

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Speaker 1: maybe that's a different program.

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Speaker 2: But they're just happy they got twenty five points.

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Speaker 3: Man. Yeah, yeah, basically what it is, you know, your

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Speaker 3: one game of thirty seven points against Wisconsin because they

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Speaker 3: can't move the ball at all. Outside that, it's you know,

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Speaker 3: they did put up thirty eight against Rutgers, they scored

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Speaker 3: forty seven against UMass, but to score over twenty against

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Speaker 3: Penn State is an accomplishment for Iowa.

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Speaker 1: So Iowa fans, come at me. Georgia tech haters, come

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Speaker 1: at me. I'm here, I'm ready for I'm fired up.

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Speaker 1: Today's program does look like this. We're gonna recap all

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Speaker 1: the week eight action, the betting risers, the betting followers,

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Speaker 1: plus we're gonna give you an early handicap of the

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Speaker 1: top ten games for week nine of the season, and

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Speaker 1: as always, shout to everyone who continues to make us

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Speaker 1: a part of their week by joining us either on

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Speaker 1: the BP YouTube channel or the audio feed. The easiest

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Speaker 1: freeways support us Please give this video a thumbs up

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Speaker 1: if you enjoy this type of content. Also, make sure

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Speaker 1: you subscribe to the channel if you're new, so you

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Speaker 1: don't miss a moment of CFB and NFL betting coverage

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Speaker 1: this fall. Also, if you want a chance to score

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Speaker 1: this signed Nick Chubb Cleveland Brown's helmet for free courtesy

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Speaker 1: of our Friendsover at Pristineauction dot com, all you need

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Speaker 1: to do is head to Bettingpros dot com slash contest,

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Speaker 1: complete the form in either a download the free Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app, b leave review for the Betting Pros podcast,

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Speaker 1: or see subscribe to our social media handles. We are

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros on x and TikTok, We're at Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros NFL on the Instagram. The more actions you go

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Speaker 1: ahead and complete, the more entries you're gonna receive, and

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Speaker 1: we will announce a winner right here on the program.

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Speaker 1: So make sure you ring the bell so you could

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Speaker 1: be alerted when new episodes are up and to claim

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Speaker 1: your prize if you are that one lucky winner. And

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Speaker 1: before we bring down what's to come, let's rewind on

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Speaker 1: another wild weekend of college football. FIU upsets Western Kentucky

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Speaker 1: twenty five to six. On Thursday, Louisville ends Number two

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Speaker 1: Miami's perfect season twenty four to twenty one. On Friday.

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Speaker 1: Also on Friday, here we have Minnesota knocking off number

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Speaker 1: twenty five Nebraska twenty four to six. As someone who

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Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily want Matt roll back in state college, I'm

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Speaker 1: alright with that one. And then on Saturday, number twelve

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Speaker 1: Georgia they stay in control of the ACC with a

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Speaker 1: twenty seven eighteen win over duke Number eighteen Virginia. They

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Speaker 1: turn it on late, winning twenty two to twenty against Wazoo.

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Speaker 1: We also said number three Indiana. They dominate Michigan State

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Speaker 1: thirty eight to thirteen. Number seventeen Vanderbilt. I'm sure Terrell

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Speaker 1: is happy about this. They prove they are here to stay.

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Speaker 1: They beat number ten LSU thirty one twenty four.

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Speaker 2: A sweat at all either no game.

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Speaker 1: No really not. The only sweat was was my under

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Speaker 1: not going to come through by halftime, and it certainly did.

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Speaker 1: Number fourteen Ou they make quick work of South Carolina

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Speaker 1: twenty six to seven. Number one Ohio State they blank

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin thirty four to zero. That's one I think we

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Speaker 1: should have both been on. I think you were on

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Speaker 1: the tee total under of that one. And then we

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Speaker 1: also had number four Texas A and m all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden, the defensive loes. They're back man forty five

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Speaker 1: forty two win over Arkansas. Number nine Georgia holds on

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Speaker 1: forty three to thirty five against number five Ole miss

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Speaker 1: Number six Alabama gets their four straight ranked win over

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Speaker 1: number eleven Tennessee thirty seven to twenty. Arizona State ends

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Speaker 1: number seven Texas techs undefeated season twenty six twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: two with our boy Sam Levitt back under center. Number

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Speaker 1: sixteen Missouri they take Auburn to double ot winning twenty

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Speaker 1: three seventeen in the ride of Boggs Life, and then

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Speaker 1: number twenty one Texas they get out of Lexington with

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Speaker 1: a win sixteen to thirteen in overtime against Kentucky. Florida

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Speaker 1: beats Mississippi State twenty three twenty one, and then they

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Speaker 1: proceed to fire head coach Billy Napier. He's out on

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Speaker 1: the streets.

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Speaker 3: Did you see after the win the fans in the

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Speaker 3: swamp were channing fire Napier. I mean they wanted this

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Speaker 3: guy gone. It is brutal college football is brutal for

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Speaker 3: head coaches. But also you know, I think he's under

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Speaker 3: five hundred, right, Yeah, you sit at home and make

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Speaker 3: a little cash. Yeah, not a bad situation.

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Speaker 1: Hey, the potential co hosts for the BP podcast are

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Speaker 1: growing week by week right now, UAB they also get

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Speaker 1: the dead cat bounds after firing Dilfer. The week Frire,

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Speaker 1: they handed number twenty two Memphis their first.

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Speaker 2: Loss yet smoked on that oh No.

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Speaker 1: Thirty one, twenty four, number thirteen Notre Dame. They send

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Speaker 1: number twenty USC home empty handed as well, thirty four

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Speaker 1: to twenty four, and then in the holy War of

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Speaker 1: all Holy wars, number fifteen byu they get the win

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Speaker 1: over the Utah. You so Boggs, obviously, so much to discuss,

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Speaker 1: so little time. Who were the betting risers and followers

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Speaker 1: for you this week?

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Speaker 3: I mean, Vandy just looks better every week, right, Like

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Speaker 3: you got to take them against Missouri this week? Missouri

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Speaker 3: looked rough on the road against Auburn. Auburn played I

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Speaker 3: heard I think it was Dalton Wasserman and Max Chadwick

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Speaker 3: talking about this for PFF, that they might have wasted

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Speaker 3: Jackson Arnold's best game, like because nobody else Jackson Arnold

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Speaker 3: actually played pretty well. Nobody else did for Auburn, So

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Speaker 3: that was a brutal game for them. I mean, look

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Speaker 3: South Carolina. We'll get into it in a little bit,

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Speaker 3: but they look miserable. Yeah, as this Wisconsin's offense. Man,

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Speaker 3: I really thought Memphis was just a dominant I thought

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Speaker 3: they were gonna roll right into the playoff and they

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Speaker 3: got beat by UAB UAB spread them out.

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Speaker 2: That was a lot of fun.

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Speaker 3: I don't think Arizona State is as good as they

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Speaker 3: were last Oh, but they were better than Texas Tech

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Speaker 3: on Saturday. That's all that matters. It wasn't a really

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Speaker 3: good game for either of these teams. Will Hammond just

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Speaker 3: didn't have it. He looked a lot like the week before,

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Speaker 3: which I thought was not gonna happen because he was

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Speaker 3: getting first team reps this week and he wasn't the

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Speaker 3: week before. But they just could not handle that defense.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the run game was not good. They held the

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Speaker 3: ball a long time too. I feel like ASU did.

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Speaker 3: Texas looked pathetic against Kentucky. Now I will admit, you know,

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Speaker 3: Texas safety Michael Taff made a good point. He's like,

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Speaker 3: everyone's quiet in here, and we're happy we won. You

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Speaker 3: saw what Kentucky did to Georgia when they came into

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Speaker 3: town and Night came here last year. Yeah, it was

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Speaker 3: the same thing for us, So he was looking at

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Speaker 3: it a better perspective.

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Speaker 2: But you don't want to go to overtime against Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: I don't care where the game is.

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Speaker 3: Tennessee still has no defense. I think A and M's

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Speaker 3: defensive issues are going to catch up to him. But

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Speaker 3: Arkansas has been doing this to a lot of teams,

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Speaker 3: so this is not it's not a great performance, but

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Speaker 3: I don't know if it's a really terrible performance.

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Speaker 1: Arkansaw team overs. We need to consider that and keep

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Speaker 1: that in the back of the mind for the future

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Speaker 1: because they've been doing that all year.

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Speaker 3: As you said, one hundred percent. And Oregon, I mean,

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Speaker 3: Rutgers defense has been good. Did you see how many

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Speaker 3: yards Oregon had now to take a crack?

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Speaker 1: Well, all of a sudden, I looked up and it was.

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Speaker 2: Closed fifty six points.

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Speaker 1: So I looked up in the first quarter, I'm like, oh,

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Speaker 1: this is kind of a pretty tight game. And they

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Speaker 1: were on the you know, the lower box of the

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Speaker 1: of the two quad boxing.

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Speaker 2: You might be too young to remember. The price is

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Speaker 2: right guy, the yoldler.

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Speaker 3: Yes, where if you give too much, she'll go over

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Speaker 3: the cliff and fall. I don't think you can give

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Speaker 3: me a number that will go over the cliff. Well,

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Speaker 3: how many yards do you think? Ninety nine, seven hundred

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Speaker 3: and fifty Wow against Rutgers and held into two hundred

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Speaker 3: and two yards and they had the ball for twenty

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Speaker 3: seven minutes and fifty three seconds.

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Speaker 2: Wow.

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Speaker 3: They had the ball for literally less than half the

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Speaker 3: time and put up seven hundred, four hundred and fifteen

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Speaker 3: rushing yards they had on Rutgers, who had been a

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Speaker 3: good defense.

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Speaker 2: Whittington one hundred, Davison one hundred Hill.

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Speaker 3: See, that's insane. I mean you had two hundred and

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Speaker 3: ninety yards and four touchdowns, one pick and then uh,

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Speaker 3: you know, three rushes for forty nine yards a lot

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Speaker 3: of Yeah.

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Speaker 1: That's a big game. That's a big game for sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: So, I mean it was it was a fun week,

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Speaker 3: a good week.

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Speaker 2: Again.

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Speaker 3: Kind of surprised to be why you came back and

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Speaker 3: won that game. But that was like that game and

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Speaker 3: the Missouri Auburn game. I sent a message to you

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Speaker 3: in Terrell and I just said, we should have just

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Speaker 3: said we have no clue, because that's really what.

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Speaker 2: They're looking at the end of those games.

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Speaker 3: No one had any idea who was going to win

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Speaker 3: those games, so it was just lucky bounces in those ones.

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Speaker 1: I got a shout out Georgia tech man, I mean,

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Speaker 1: I look good.

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Speaker 2: I was a little brevet too.

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Speaker 1: It was too I tagged you on on socials earlier.

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Speaker 1: I took a little laugh here tuner fifty to one.

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Speaker 1: We're still riding it. They're still out there like one

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Speaker 1: hundred to one some books too, so it's not like

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Speaker 1: I have that much closing line value on that ticket.

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Speaker 1: But look, man, they've been a lot of fun. It

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Speaker 1: was a little bit of a sweater, but Haines King

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Speaker 1: and company pulled it out there and going to continue.

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Speaker 1: I think betting team total unders against anyone who's playing Oklahoma.

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Speaker 1: That defense looks awesome every single week. Bogs first week

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Speaker 1: actually in the green for me all college football season long.

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Speaker 2: So let's go.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm telling you the curse has been lifted. James

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Speaker 1: Franklin has gone. Vibes are high. We went into the

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Speaker 1: weekend hitting a big, talladega twenty to one truck series

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Speaker 1: out right as well. So all is right in the

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Speaker 1: world right now, man, I'm ready. I'm ready to fire

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Speaker 1: things up here for week number week number nine. What

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Speaker 1: about yourself?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, looking, I climb all the way back in right

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Speaker 3: and then I go one game under. So I was

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Speaker 3: thirty four and thirty four. Yeah, so now they are

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Speaker 3: going to be thirty nine and forty okay going into

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Speaker 3: this week. But units were up on the year, so

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Speaker 3: let's go We'll take that.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Let's go ahead and jump right into the noon

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Speaker 1: slate with the top twenty five matchup between two teams

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Speaker 1: towards the top of the SEC standings. The number eight

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Speaker 1: Ole miss Rebels. They're traveling to Norman four to five

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Speaker 1: point favorites depending where you're looking, against the number thirteen

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma Sooners. The revs now six and one straight up

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Speaker 1: four and three ats. They're coming off that high scoring

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Speaker 1: narrow defeat at Georgia, a game where Trinidad Shambliss he

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Speaker 1: looked certainly capable to hold his own, combining for three touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: He now leads the conference in yards per attempts and

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Speaker 1: yards per completion. However, the defense has been somewhat suspect

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Speaker 1: for the Rebels here, ranking fifty second and scoring sixty

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Speaker 1: six and total yards allowed.

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Speaker 3: Oh you.

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Speaker 1: They put the clamps on South Carolina last week six

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Speaker 1: and one ats four and three straight. Up coming in

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Speaker 1: John Mattier looked better still, maybe not one hundred percent healthy.

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Speaker 1: The defense, though elite, still second in scoring and also

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Speaker 1: first in total yards allowed. Ole Miss won and covered

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Speaker 1: last year as six point favorites. But Scottie, do you

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Speaker 1: think this fares out differently? And do you think that

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Speaker 1: this line continues to widen?

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Speaker 3: I think this line is about correct. I mean, have

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Speaker 3: the home team a little more than a few goal spread,

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Speaker 3: because whoever wins this game, I think this is going

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Speaker 3: to be the biggest win of the season for them, easily.

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Speaker 3: Ole Miss is so damn hot and cold play. They've

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Speaker 3: played only two complete games this season. Those were the

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Speaker 3: two against the G six and Georgia State and Tulane.

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Speaker 3: Every game they played against the SEC and even the

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Speaker 3: game against Wazoo, they've all been one score games. To me,

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Speaker 3: they played up for ELSU in Georgia and down for

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Speaker 3: Kentucky and Arkansas. Oklahoma has been outstanding on defense this season,

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Speaker 3: but this schedule for them has not been very impressive.

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Speaker 3: It's Michigan, Auburn, Texas, South Carolina are all below average

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Speaker 3: in the FBS. Ole Miss is sixteenth on offense. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: all those teams on offense, Michigan is Auburn, Texas, South Carolina.

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Speaker 3: That's the hard schedule that Oklahoma has faced, so really

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Speaker 3: good defenses but not good offenses. Ole Miss great on offense,

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Speaker 3: sixteenth in scoring, averaging thirty seven point four points per game.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with the over in this game. Ole

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Speaker 3: Miss has moved the ball to everyone. Even when they

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Speaker 3: only scored twenty four points on LSU, they still put

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Speaker 3: up four hundred and eighty yards and twenty eight first downs.

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma quarterback John Matier gets another week healthier removed from

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Speaker 3: this thumb surgery. He needs to throw the ball downfield.

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Speaker 3: I mean they easily beat South Carolina. He's got to

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Speaker 3: sling it down field a little bit more. I think

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Speaker 3: he was gun shy after all. The interception is against

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Speaker 3: Texas totally, so I think this will be a better

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Speaker 3: week for him. And this is a low total fifty

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Speaker 3: two point five right now, it may drop because I

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Speaker 3: feel like the under is going to be more in

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Speaker 3: play as well. So yeah, man, I just I like

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Speaker 3: the over because I think old Mis can move the

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Speaker 3: ball on anyone. Oklahoma hasn't been tested on defense quite yet, right,

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Speaker 3: at least not an Old Miss because Texas offense is

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Speaker 3: not scary and that you know they scored twenty three

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Speaker 3: points and that was with a punt return touchdown. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think I think this is gonna go over because

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Speaker 3: I think Old Mis can.

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Speaker 2: Move the ball on anybody.

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Speaker 1: Okay, stay away.

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Speaker 2: From the side. I don't care.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Like, I'm not gonna touch the side. I'm just

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Speaker 3: gonna go with the old in this game.

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Speaker 1: I just, you know, got done saying that. I want

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Speaker 1: to continue to betting Oklahoma team total unders for their opponents,

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Speaker 1: but this is a spot I don't want too with

298
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Speaker 1: Lane Kiffen on the control sticks here, right, So I'm

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Speaker 1: with you that I do think we see some more

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Speaker 1: points in this, but I'm not betting it just because

301
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Speaker 1: I'm afraid that what happens if Oklahoma just continues to

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Speaker 1: be absolute monsters on defense. I mean, I don't know, man.

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Speaker 1: I saw I saw Venables out there earlier today. He

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Speaker 1: was running up, running up the bleachers. He was getting

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Speaker 1: a sweat on. I don't know. I think he's gonna

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Speaker 1: call a good game there.

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Speaker 3: On the defense, he can stay in shape, he could

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Speaker 3: call a defense, but he's got nothing on offense. I'd

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Speaker 3: tell you if you put him in Lincoln Riley together. Oh,

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Speaker 3: I've been pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I think they might be able to beat the

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Speaker 1: New York Jets right now.

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Speaker 2: Honestly, definitely possible.

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Speaker 1: Also in the Newslate here Bogman are two teams vying

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Speaker 1: for both an American Championship and CFP birth, the number

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Speaker 1: eighteen South Florida Bulls. They're three and a half to

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Speaker 1: four point road favorites again against the Memphis Tigers USF.

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Speaker 1: They are the top ranked G five team this week

319
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Speaker 1: once again in the poll, likely will be again after

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Speaker 1: winning and covering against FAU this last week. They have

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Speaker 1: gotten to five to one and one ats. Only game

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Speaker 1: they didn't cover in was against Miami, and they've also

323
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Speaker 1: done it primarily in their offense, ranking ninth or seventh

324
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Speaker 1: in scoring excuse me, thirteenth in total yards. They're balanced,

325
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Speaker 1: it feels high paced. It's led by senior quarterback Byron Brown,

326
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Speaker 1: who tops the conference in yards per attempt and per completion.

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Speaker 1: So when he's making these passes, they're going for a mile.

328
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Speaker 1: Here Memphis, they're coming off that first loss we talked

329
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Speaker 1: about earlier, blown cover at UAB, the dead cat bounce, Bogs,

330
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Speaker 1: you had to see it coming, man, right, like.

331
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Speaker 2: I just did.

332
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Speaker 3: You're right, Memphis has been rolling over everybody and Trent,

333
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Speaker 3: you know, I get it, like it's traditionally been the thing.

334
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Speaker 3: He just didn't think it was gonna work this week,

335
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Speaker 3: that's all, but it did. I mean, they spread them out.

336
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Speaker 3: They look good, and Brandon Lewis got hurt, the Memphis

337
00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:03,040
Speaker 3: quarterback well, and that's obviously huge coming in here.

338
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Speaker 1: And that's the thing I in my rankings this week, Bogs,

339
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Speaker 1: I put out that I think Memphis is still the

340
00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:10,240
Speaker 1: fourth best G five team. I still think they're good,

341
00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:13,920
Speaker 1: but without Brandon Lewis, who not only leads the conference

342
00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,560
Speaker 1: in completion percentage but can run all over the place

343
00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:19,400
Speaker 1: as well, I'm worried, right Like, we don't know the

344
00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:21,320
Speaker 1: status of them, but he was seen on crutches after

345
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Speaker 1: the game. Reportedly Memphis is strength of schedule also here,

346
00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:28,120
Speaker 1: I think good to know, bottom twenty in the country.

347
00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:31,040
Speaker 1: So like their signature wins against Troy. Troy's been very

348
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Speaker 1: solid in the G five and Arkansas before the firing there.

349
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Speaker 1: So Memphis downfall in this game I think will be.

350
00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:42,000
Speaker 1: They haven't played a lot of tough teams, and South Florida.

351
00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,520
Speaker 1: They've taken down the likes of Boise Stay already, North

352
00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:47,440
Speaker 1: Texas in a big game and Florida as well. So

353
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Speaker 1: where do you think this one goes?

354
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it goes to USF and UAB really

355
00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 3: spread out Memphis. They were talking about this because I

356
00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:56,880
Speaker 3: had been on Memphis, so I watched a bunch of

357
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Speaker 3: this game right, and they were talking about how, look,

358
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Speaker 3: UAB just came in here fearless, they spread them out,

359
00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:04,560
Speaker 3: they went after them, and they won. And that is

360
00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:07,320
Speaker 3: exactly what USF does. They're third in pace, they're seventh

361
00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:09,840
Speaker 3: in scoring. The only defenses that have slowed them down

362
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,960
Speaker 3: this season are Miami and Florida. I really thought that

363
00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,680
Speaker 3: Memphis was going was rolling to that playoff bit as

364
00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:17,919
Speaker 3: I mentioned before, and the offense can still put up yards.

365
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,639
Speaker 3: They went for three hundred and sixty two yards against

366
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:22,959
Speaker 3: UAB with only they held the ball for less than

367
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,520
Speaker 3: twenty five minutes, So you know, per minute, they're moving

368
00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:29,200
Speaker 3: the ball, but this game is going to come down

369
00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:32,960
Speaker 3: to USF scoring quickly. They need to hold onto the ball.

370
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:35,320
Speaker 3: But the big thing here is you have to be

371
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,760
Speaker 3: a bigger than three and a half point favorite if

372
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:39,600
Speaker 3: the quarterback is not going to play, and it does

373
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,879
Speaker 3: not look like Brendan Lewis is going to play. He

374
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:45,199
Speaker 3: was on crutches after the game, so that's not a

375
00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:48,399
Speaker 3: one for one, but it is like a you know,

376
00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:51,240
Speaker 3: ninety out of one hundred. If you're seen on crutches,

377
00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,160
Speaker 3: you're probably not playing the next week. So you're gonna

378
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:56,120
Speaker 3: have to go for the freshmen. The only benefit that

379
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,879
Speaker 3: Memphis has is that they're playing this game at home.

380
00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:01,960
Speaker 3: So yeah, I just think USF roles in this one.

381
00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:05,040
Speaker 3: I think they run their offense. It's a similar way

382
00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:09,280
Speaker 3: the uab ran their offense last weekend beat Memphis. So

383
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:12,439
Speaker 3: I think that USF with Biden Brown is gonna come

384
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,879
Speaker 3: away with a win in this game, specifically if Brendan

385
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:19,600
Speaker 3: Lewis doesn't play. And I think this line obviously is

386
00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:21,640
Speaker 3: going to move towards the Bulls. So if you want

387
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 3: the Bulls, I think get them pretty quick here.

388
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Speaker 1: I was surprised honestly that I was this small of

389
00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:28,960
Speaker 1: a spread to begin with, Like right now, South Florida

390
00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:31,680
Speaker 1: man plus one twenty to make the college football playoff,

391
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:35,000
Speaker 1: Like that's where we're at, and like it's gonna take

392
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Speaker 1: someone I think, probably in the American to keep them

393
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:40,359
Speaker 1: out of it, right Like I would think maybe Boise,

394
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:43,240
Speaker 1: if they run the table, could maybe get a spot

395
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:44,639
Speaker 1: out of the Mountain West. What do you what do

396
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Speaker 1: you think here? Just kind of looking full picture here.

397
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Speaker 3: I think it's a maybe as well. I think this

398
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Speaker 3: game is enormous. I think whoever wins this one is

399
00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,080
Speaker 3: in the catbird seat, so okay. I think this is

400
00:18:56,119 --> 00:19:00,160
Speaker 3: an enormously huge game for the playoff. And Memphis is

401
00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,960
Speaker 3: probably missing their signal caller, which is not great.

402
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:05,880
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Speaker 1: At three point thirty Eastern Time, the number four Alabama

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00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,399
Speaker 1: Crimson Tide. They are attempting to get their fifth straight

423
00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,320
Speaker 1: SEC win when they face the South Carol line of

424
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,520
Speaker 1: game Cocks. As thirteen to thirteen and a half point

425
00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:07,120
Speaker 1: favorites Bama. They have been a wagon of late man,

426
00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,680
Speaker 1: racking up four straight ranked wins to get to six

427
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 1: to six and one straight up five and two ATS.

428
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:16,240
Speaker 1: Ty Simpson now your co favorite in the Heisman odds

429
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,399
Speaker 1: after leading the conference in passing touchdowns with eighteen and

430
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 1: quarterback rating. Bama playing very suffocating I would say, kind

431
00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,439
Speaker 1: of a brand of ball right there, ranking towards the

432
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,200
Speaker 1: bottom twenty and pace put seventh in time of possession

433
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:33,720
Speaker 1: and turnover margin. South Carolina they've been getting absolutely steamrolled

434
00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:36,880
Speaker 1: right now, sitting three and two straight up and ATS

435
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:40,200
Speaker 1: one and four in SEC play this season. The offense

436
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 1: is horrendous, one hundred and fifteenth and scoring one hundred

437
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:45,120
Speaker 1: and twenty ninth in total yards, allowing the third most

438
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 1: sacks in the country. Boggs is this is just another

439
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,840
Speaker 1: spot to fade Shane Beemer, Lenor Sellers and company.

440
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:54,679
Speaker 3: The under team total for South Carolina is sixteen and

441
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,800
Speaker 3: a half. I've already got a ticket on it. Look,

442
00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:05,400
Speaker 3: this offense for South Carolina this season has been absolutely.

443
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:06,560
Speaker 1: Brovell no time.

444
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:11,360
Speaker 3: The one drive that South Carolina scored against Oklahoma, all right,

445
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:14,119
Speaker 3: it started with a shank punt. It put the ball

446
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:18,320
Speaker 3: at the Oklahoma forty seven. They converted on fourth and two.

447
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 3: They got a PI down into the first and goal,

448
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 3: and then they still had to score on fourth down,

449
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 3: and they had been down to the goal line before

450
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:34,920
Speaker 3: in this game and couldn't punch it in on fourth down. Now,

451
00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:38,359
Speaker 3: Oklahoma's defense is great, right, but Alabama's defense is really

452
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 3: good too. South Carolina, you know, they're one hundred and

453
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 3: twenty ninth in time of possession this season. They are

454
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 3: allowing just under four sacks per game. And Lenora Sellers

455
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 3: had zero Mississippis before being able to throw the ball, right,

456
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:58,640
Speaker 3: he couldn't say he got to one Mississippi and then

457
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:02,440
Speaker 3: was draped on like every play in this game. So

458
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 3: this offense is just brutal right now. And ty Simpson

459
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 3: isn't making big mistakes. If ty Simpson was, you know,

460
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 3: throwing for a bunch of yards, but hey, look he's

461
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 3: good for two turnovers a game, maybe I'd stay away

462
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 3: from this team total for South Carolina, but it just

463
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,720
Speaker 3: looks miserable right now. They're missing two offensive linemen last

464
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 3: week as well. If they're still missing those guys, which

465
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,680
Speaker 3: they probably will be, this is just not a good

466
00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:28,439
Speaker 3: look right now. And Bama has not been putting pressure

467
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 3: on quarterbacks, so this is even a game that I

468
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 3: would love to see South Carolina get right, They're not

469
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 3: going to do it they have. It's the same thing

470
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 3: with Texas and Arts. We'll get to that in a

471
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 3: little bit. But the offensive line is ruining the offensive continuity.

472
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,119
Speaker 3: So this team right now and I just do not

473
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 3: expect them to score points. So the defense is fine.

474
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,560
Speaker 3: They did a pretty good job against Matier, but they're

475
00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 3: not going to do that against Simpson. I like Alabama here,

476
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 3: but I really really love this team. Total hunter for

477
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 3: South Carolina.

478
00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:02,760
Speaker 1: What do you think the future is for Sellers? Like,

479
00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 1: does he go into the draft this year? Because no,

480
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 1: it's a hold you. So then do you transfer to

481
00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:11,439
Speaker 1: find a better offensive line and better weapons? So do

482
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,800
Speaker 1: you think Lenora Sellers will be the top transfer quarterback

483
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:14,880
Speaker 1: probably in the portal this year?

484
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:15,359
Speaker 2: Yes.

485
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 3: I think they're going to fire Shane Beemer, and I

486
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,639
Speaker 3: think that's where you know, that's when Lenora Sellers was

487
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:21,679
Speaker 3: going to say, all right, don't move. You know what

488
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 3: I mean, Vandy will be looking for a quarterback. Honestly,

489
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 3: might not be a really bad spot. Yeah, honestly, you

490
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 3: know what I mean, LSU might be. Yeah, there's a

491
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:31,520
Speaker 3: bunch of big jobs that are going to come open,

492
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 3: and he can move to pretty much any of them.

493
00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:34,680
Speaker 2: He just heat.

494
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,600
Speaker 3: I think he needs another year to become, you know,

495
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,600
Speaker 3: a top tier quarterback because this year at South Carolina

496
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 3: unless they just completely flip flip things on the back half,

497
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 3: which I don't know how you do. You know, it's

498
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:50,520
Speaker 3: it's just a brutal season for Sellers and South Carolina

499
00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 3: in general.

500
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,359
Speaker 1: We might need a quarterback up here in Halfy Valley,

501
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 1: So come on up Leonora's. Yeah, we could use your

502
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 1: services for sure, can't you know, can't say that the

503
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,520
Speaker 1: protection or the weapons will be any better, but the

504
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 1: chief states.

505
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:02,719
Speaker 2: Will be different.

506
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,639
Speaker 1: The chief stakes are good and it's a little colder

507
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 1: for you, so you might enjoy that as well. Let's

508
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 1: move to Nashville, which host college game Day, and I

509
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 1: think the city will be absolutely buzzing. As the tenth

510
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,400
Speaker 1: break Vanderbilt Commodores, they host the fifteenth ranked at Missouri

511
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 1: Tigers as two and a half to three point favorites.

512
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:22,199
Speaker 1: Missouri nearly lost again to Auburn last week, but it

513
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:24,640
Speaker 1: did go to overtime. They ended up getting the cover

514
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 1: there as well. For you. Bogman six and one straight

515
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,879
Speaker 1: up five and two ats Bo Pribola. He looked mortal

516
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:35,000
Speaker 1: in that game, as did Doak Walker Award favorite Ahman Hardy,

517
00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 1: who's leading the SEC still in rushing yards, attempts, and touchdowns.

518
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 1: There's still tenth in total offense, fifth in total defense,

519
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 1: So the metrics are looking good. The vibes might not

520
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 1: be great, though, And at the same time, I don't

521
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:49,160
Speaker 1: know if that's going to be enough to slow down

522
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:52,159
Speaker 1: this red hot Vanderbilt team that just be LSU by

523
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,479
Speaker 1: a touchdown to get to six and one straight up

524
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 1: five and two ats quarterback Diego Pavia. I mean, Terrell's

525
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,160
Speaker 1: been If there's one thing Junior has been right about,

526
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,160
Speaker 1: it is that this guy has swaged moxie, that dog

527
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 1: in him. Now in the Heisman conversation down to seven

528
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 1: to one odds, he has led the Communes to the

529
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 1: eighth ranked scoring offense, Bogs. I think we're at the

530
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 1: point now where maybe the penalties, maybe the sacks allowed

531
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:19,359
Speaker 1: by the offensive line eventually catch up to Vandy. I

532
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 1: think that is their achilles heel, But I don't know

533
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:24,439
Speaker 1: if it happens here at home against Missouri with College

534
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 1: Game Day President, what are your thoughts on this one?

535
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 3: The Alabama the Alabama loser Ball is that what we're

536
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:34,400
Speaker 3: gonna call this one both of us. Vanderbilt is favored again,

537
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:37,680
Speaker 3: and after what we saw from Missouri at Auburn last week,

538
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:39,800
Speaker 3: they should be. I just don't think the O line

539
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 3: is going to be able to keep it together for

540
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 3: Missouri in this game. This game is going to depend

541
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:50,639
Speaker 3: on one man defensively for the Commodores here, Glenn Seabrooks.

542
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 3: The nose tackle elicited at three forty nine will be

543
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:57,879
Speaker 3: the difference in this game. But yeah, this will be

544
00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:00,640
Speaker 3: a top twelve rushing defense against the set and thrushing

545
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:03,399
Speaker 3: offense in the country. If Seabrooks eats up blocks and

546
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:07,120
Speaker 3: allows linebackers to hit him at hardy like Auburn did,

547
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 3: I do think this offense is going to crumble just

548
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 3: like we saw them do last week. I think that

549
00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 3: is what's gonna happen. But if this one, if he

550
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,119
Speaker 3: can't and they're not tackling him otto hardy and he

551
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 3: turns into a pinball, I think Missouri rolls in this game.

552
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 3: I think this is I think this is either a

553
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:32,200
Speaker 3: close Vandy win or a Missouri stomping. But I don't

554
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:35,480
Speaker 3: think we can trust Missouri after what we saw with

555
00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:39,400
Speaker 3: this offensive line. Every first down was brutal bo Brabula

556
00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:42,919
Speaker 3: was panic throwing. We saw that against Alabama. That started

557
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 3: against Alabama and it continued against Auburn. So I think

558
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 3: that this needs to this needs to be a Vandy

559
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:52,120
Speaker 3: We're taking Vandy here.

560
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,240
Speaker 2: I think it sticks to two and a half to three,

561
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 2: and I'll.

562
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 3: Take them, But I will say this, if the Vandy

563
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:01,879
Speaker 3: vibes are too high and this gets out to like

564
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 3: way more than a field goal, if it gets out

565
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:07,879
Speaker 3: to like four and a half five points, I think

566
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 3: he'll be back in on Missouri then. So I do

567
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,639
Speaker 3: think this is a tight Vandy win because I think

568
00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,760
Speaker 3: stopping the run is going to be harder this week.

569
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 3: I mean, Vandy just hasn't you know. They haven't played

570
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 3: a rushing offense like Missouri yet, not many teams have.

571
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 3: So I think this is a tall test for Vandy.

572
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 3: But man Seabrooks looks good. I do not think that

573
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 3: Missouri's defense is slowing down what Vandy is doing. Because

574
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,000
Speaker 3: the number one roster strength defense in the country didn't

575
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:40,800
Speaker 3: LSU didn't at Vandy last week. I don't think Missouri

576
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,520
Speaker 3: is better than LSU on defense, So I don't think

577
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:47,200
Speaker 3: Diego Pavi is gonna have any issue. So I'm fully

578
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 3: relying on Diego Pavia, expecting him to have a good

579
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,639
Speaker 3: game here. It's Glenn Seabrooks in the middle of this

580
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 3: Vandy defense. If they can tighten up and play well

581
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 3: against this run game, they win this game. If they

582
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 3: let Missouri run, Missouri's going to possess the ball and

583
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 3: put them in bad spots on offense. So I expect

584
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 3: Vandy to perform here. But that I think that's the

585
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 3: key to this game is the middle of this Sandy defense.

586
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 1: Big Glenny all coming down to you, baby, better Brooks,

587
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 1: better be in the gym, better be getting to bed early,

588
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,320
Speaker 1: getting the protein in this week. We need you, buddy,

589
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:19,760
Speaker 1: We need you.

590
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 2: Git him some biscuits. We need all the weight we

591
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 2: can get.

592
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 1: Maybe Turell Furman Junior, we get him to send Big

593
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 1: Glenny a little care package this way.

594
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 2: Let's do it.

595
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 1: You got her down the eleventh ranked BYU Cougars. They

596
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 1: come off a huge Holy War win, only gonna be

597
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 1: two and a half point road dogs in games against

598
00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 1: the Iowa State Cyclones BYU once again undefeated, straight up

599
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:46,160
Speaker 1: five and two ats this season true freshman quarterback Bear Bachmeyer,

600
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 1: as well as running back LJ. Martin, who leads the

601
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 1: Big Twelve in rushing yards. They've been a problem on

602
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 1: the ground right now, combining for the tenth most rushing

603
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 1: yards per game. They're also winning games by running the ball,

604
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: chewing the clock, controlling the claw well, and after a

605
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:05,680
Speaker 1: hot start Iowa State, they've looked incredibly average, losing at

606
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 1: Sincy and Colorado their past two games as over a

607
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 1: field goal favorite. We know this a team that traditionally

608
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 1: hasn't played good on the road this season. However, Matt

609
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 1: Campbell's squad still well disciplined, eight fewest penalties. They have

610
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 1: struggled to convert in the red zone, though, and they're

611
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 1: taking way too many sacks, the fourteenth most in the

612
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 1: country per game. Personally, I'm ready to jump on BYU

613
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 1: where I can and tease this maybe up to three

614
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: and a half. Bodman, Do you suggest I do that

615
00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 1: sooner later or maybe not at all?

616
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,480
Speaker 3: I suggest you don't do it now, And look, I'm

617
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 3: not I don't like this game. I'm gonna stay away

618
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 3: from this game. But I'll say this that the public

619
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 3: betting is all all on Iowa State. And it's because, yeah,

620
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 3: it's because they're at home and this is on paper.

621
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:58,200
Speaker 3: Have you ever seen a more obvious letdown spot? Then

622
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 3: at coming off an emotional win, they said, this is

623
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 3: the biggest ranked on rank.

624
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 2: Holy Wars.

625
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 3: It's two thousand and eight last week, right, and now

626
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,920
Speaker 3: you have to go on the road and play Iowa State. Look,

627
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 3: I don't trust Iowa State at all. Sure, I've been

628
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 3: an Iowa State hater, right, but on paper, this is

629
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 3: a perfect letdown road spot for BYU. They're looking ahead

630
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,240
Speaker 3: to the bye week, They're riding high on the road.

631
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 3: These cyclones don't inspire any amount of faith. So I'm

632
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 3: not gonna take them either. Their only quality when they

633
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 3: have was against Iowa and that was sixteen thirteen. I'm

634
00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 3: not counting the Arizona win as quality. They just lost

635
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:39,000
Speaker 3: one to Colorado. They weren't even really close to being

636
00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 3: in the game against Cincinnati either. I'm gonna stay away

637
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 3: unless this one gets back to where I get points

638
00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 3: to take Iowa State. But I'm not gonna give points

639
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 3: because BYU is playing too well for.

640
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:52,520
Speaker 2: That right now.

641
00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 3: Iowa State better roster strength, right, and they're at home,

642
00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:58,600
Speaker 3: but this team has not put it together quite yet.

643
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,880
Speaker 3: One good game against Iowa and that's a hated rival.

644
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 3: You get up to play that game. This is a

645
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,960
Speaker 3: leutdown spot. But I just don't trust the Cyclones at all.

646
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna pass on this one. I don't know

647
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 3: how this goes. If I get Iowa State catching points

648
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 3: at some point this week, then I'll do that. But

649
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 3: like I said, the money is flowing incredibly high towards

650
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:20,280
Speaker 3: the Cyclones.

651
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 1: So I just so if anything, if you want BYU

652
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 1: just waited out, then.

653
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, if you want BYU waited out and see

654
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 3: where it goes. But yeah, I just I'm gonna stay

655
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 3: away from this game. I don't trust either one of

656
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 3: these teams.

657
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: Okay, Staying in the Big twelve, the number twenty one

658
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bearcats. They're laying five and a half points on

659
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 1: the Baylor Bears. Baylor is four and three straight up

660
00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:45,880
Speaker 1: one in six ats, most recently losing by six at TCU.

661
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 1: They have the top passing offense in the nation, though,

662
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 1: and their quarterback Sawyer Robertson, he leads the conference in

663
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:55,720
Speaker 1: just about everything completions, attempts, yards, touchdowns. I in t's

664
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: as well. On the other side, here, their defense is

665
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:00,880
Speaker 1: atrocious one hundred and eighteen in scoring one hundred and

666
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 1: seventh in total defense since the Meanwhile, they are six

667
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 1: and one straight up five and two ats coming off

668
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:11,040
Speaker 1: four straight conference wins, putting them tied for the lead

669
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:15,160
Speaker 1: in the Big twelve Scott Sadderfields Company. Here they have

670
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 1: been a very high scoring offense, fifteenth in the country.

671
00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 1: They also have a much more solid defense than I'd

672
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,320
Speaker 1: say Baylor does, ranking twenty six and scoring twenty ninth

673
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:28,200
Speaker 1: in total yards allowed. Maybe this is the most efficient

674
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: offense in the country by my mind. As well. Here Bogman,

675
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 1: they are allowing the least amount of sacks. They have

676
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 1: the best red zone conversion rate in the country. So

677
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 1: are you willing to get invested with the Bearcats once again? Boggs?

678
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 1: You did a few weeks ago against the Cyclones. And also,

679
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 1: do you think the five and a half will be

680
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 1: the shortest number available for you this week?

681
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:48,760
Speaker 2: I do well.

682
00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 3: I think I just don't think it moves too much

683
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 3: right like I. If it does, I think it does

684
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 3: move towards Cincinnati. So if you want the Bearcats, probably

685
00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 3: take them sooner. But I'll tell you What I like

686
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 3: in this game is the over. I like points here.

687
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 3: Baylor passes the ball very well, they play at a

688
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:04,880
Speaker 3: high pace.

689
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 1: Cincinnati.

690
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:10,760
Speaker 3: Cincinnati is dead last in time of possession you have.

691
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 1: It's like twenty two minutes or something. A game, isn't it.

692
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's one hundred and thirty six in the nation.

693
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 3: I can tell you that much. It's twenty three thirty one.

694
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 3: That is what they're averaging right now. Because they score

695
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 3: so fast, they don't have to possess the ball right

696
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 3: And Baylor's defense they're bad at every aspect of defense,

697
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,720
Speaker 3: every single aspect. They're one hundred and eighteenth in scoring,

698
00:33:30,800 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 3: ninetieth and third down conversion, ninety six in opponent red

699
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:39,040
Speaker 3: zone conversion percentage. The spread is high or the total

700
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,240
Speaker 3: is high, but I feel like this game is going

701
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 3: to rain points. The only way that I won't end

702
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,280
Speaker 3: up taking this game is, you know, I want to

703
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:50,240
Speaker 3: wait for weather. We had a lot of weather this weekend.

704
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:51,920
Speaker 3: I want to wait for weather reports for the weekend

705
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:55,160
Speaker 3: obviously to get a little more clear. So I might

706
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 3: wait to see if this one comes down too. Because

707
00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:00,560
Speaker 3: it's sixty seven and a half. It's a big total. Specifically,

708
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:02,680
Speaker 3: early in the week, unders are taken a lot, so

709
00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 3: my way to see if this one comes down. But

710
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,920
Speaker 3: this game really feels like a forty two to thirty five, right.

711
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 3: I think both teams are going to be able to score.

712
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 3: I think Baylor's going to have the ball more, and

713
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:16,480
Speaker 3: they play at an incredibly high pace. Let me just

714
00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 3: double check it. I have it here fourth in the country,

715
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 3: twenty third for Cincinnati. Obviously, they have to play at

716
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 3: a high pace, never possessing the ball, you know, like

717
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,440
Speaker 3: you mentioned before, number one red zone conversion they have.

718
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 3: Every time they've gotten in the red zone this year,

719
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 3: they've scored, whether it's field goal or touchdown, they score

720
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:36,720
Speaker 3: every single time. So a bunch of both these teams,

721
00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 3: specific specifically Cincinnati seven point one penalties per game. That

722
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:43,200
Speaker 3: a one hundred because they're spending so much time on defense, right,

723
00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 3: so easy, so easy to get flags on defense. That

724
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:48,800
Speaker 3: will help Baylor and it will stop the clock as well.

725
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 3: So yeah, man, I just I think there's going to

726
00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:52,799
Speaker 3: be a ton and ton of points in this game.

727
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:54,880
Speaker 3: So I'm on the over. Even at a high total.

728
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,920
Speaker 1: We need like a new Little John Song points points

729
00:34:57,960 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 1: points point.

730
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 2: Points points, point points. Yeah, I like it. It's a

731
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:01,920
Speaker 2: good idea.

732
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:04,000
Speaker 1: Takes you back, takes me back, man, takes me back

733
00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 1: to my high school days when flasting that in the gym.

734
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,480
Speaker 1: Those those are the times. Those are the times. Guys.

735
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,120
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736
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:16,680
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737
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738
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739
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742
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743
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744
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash premium. At four fifteen Eastern Time,

745
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 1: the twenty second ranked Texas Longhorns, they travel to Starkville

746
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 1: as six and a half to seven and a half

747
00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 1: point favorites against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Texas is coming

748
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:59,439
Speaker 1: off that overtime slugfest against Kentucky, moving them to five

749
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:03,000
Speaker 1: and two straight up two to five ats. Quarterback Arch

750
00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:06,320
Speaker 1: Manning to me, just still doesn't look right. Offense suffering

751
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 1: because of that, ranked eightieth in scoring, eightighth until yards

752
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 1: plus eighty six in explosive plays. The Bulldogs were on

753
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:16,160
Speaker 1: an absolute heater to begin the season, but they've now

754
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 1: lost three straight SEC matchups, dropping them to four and

755
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:22,120
Speaker 1: three straight up six and one ATS though their offense,

756
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:25,879
Speaker 1: led by fifth year senior quarterback Blake Shapin, rates statistically

757
00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 1: better than Texas and almost every single metric, but the

758
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:31,560
Speaker 1: defense appears to be far worse than the long Horns,

759
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,880
Speaker 1: especially against the run. So Boggs, this was one of

760
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:38,080
Speaker 1: those few teams that Arch played before, but will that

761
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:41,480
Speaker 1: help him here? As the cowbells will be rocking on Saturday.

762
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 3: The Florida loser ball right, Like both these teams lost

763
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:51,439
Speaker 3: the Florida Kentucky. But you can't take Texas here. They're

764
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,160
Speaker 3: two and five against the spread. They just didn't cover

765
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 3: against Kentucky and Kentucky could barely move the ball. You're right,

766
00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:01,760
Speaker 3: Mississippi State is moving backward from that big win against

767
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 3: ASU earlier this season. They weren't even in the game

768
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 3: against A and M. They made it close against Florida,

769
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:09,960
Speaker 3: but Florida has been bad all year and up and down.

770
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:12,759
Speaker 3: But the story of this game to me is the

771
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:16,680
Speaker 3: old line for Texas has been miserable and Arch nearly

772
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 3: got killed against Kentucky. The Texas defense will beat up

773
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:24,160
Speaker 3: Mississippi State's line, They'll harass Blake Shaping, and likely keep

774
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 3: them to well below their normal thirty one point nine

775
00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:29,359
Speaker 3: points per game. I think the best bet here might

776
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 3: be Texas under twenty seven and a half. They've scored

777
00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:34,760
Speaker 3: no points, they can't move the ball. Arch is getting

778
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:37,920
Speaker 3: beat to crap. Now, look, you're right, he played Mississippi

779
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,960
Speaker 3: State and he looked great against him last year, so

780
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 3: being the one team that he's familiar with might be good.

781
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 3: But you have to go on the road and play

782
00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:50,600
Speaker 3: at Starkville. Yeah, lowd rocous crowd here. I don't like it.

783
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 1: I don't either.

784
00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:53,839
Speaker 3: I might wait for it to see if it gets

785
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,160
Speaker 3: up to twenty eight and a half. Right, he gets

786
00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 3: up to twenty eight and a half, I think I'll

787
00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 3: hammer it. But twenty seven and a half is probably

788
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 3: going to be okay. Texas just you know, they haven't

789
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:05,799
Speaker 3: put up many points even against OU when they had

790
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 3: the ball, and they have four turnovers. They put up

791
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 3: twenty three points and one of those was on a

792
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,880
Speaker 3: kick return or punt return from Nibblet. So uh, yeah,

793
00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:15,879
Speaker 3: I just I don't really like Texas's score points because

794
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 3: they've been looking bad, specifically on the O line.

795
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,080
Speaker 1: Well, how you attack this Mississippi State defense is on

796
00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:23,919
Speaker 1: the ground, and like Weisner has been banged up. He's

797
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:27,040
Speaker 1: back now, but he hasn't looked exceptional yet. No, Baxter

798
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,279
Speaker 1: doesn't seem like he is coming back anytime soon. Maybe

799
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 1: you have more information on that than I do, but yeah,

800
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,600
Speaker 1: I just don't really And even Arch like when he runs,

801
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 1: he's just not necessarily effective because he's doing it kind

802
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 1: of out of necessity, scrambling just trying to avoid sacks

803
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 1: rather than you know, designed runs with big gape and

804
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 1: holes or anything like that.

805
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean the run blocking grades were almost

806
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:49,120
Speaker 3: as bad as the pass blocking grades, which is saying something.

807
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:52,759
Speaker 3: And Nick Brooks, the left guard has been miserable. Gooseby

808
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:56,440
Speaker 3: has looked bad, but Arch is beat up right now.

809
00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 3: You don't want Arch running? Yeah, A lot in this

810
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,839
Speaker 3: kid want to sit in the pocket and pass and

811
00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:03,839
Speaker 3: he hasn't looked good doing that. He's a happy feet

812
00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 3: he's throwing the ball across his body, So think I

813
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 3: think the game plan is going to be to have

814
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 3: Arch take less hits, quick passes and stuff like that,

815
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:15,879
Speaker 3: and he's been ineffective, so I think the first half

816
00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 3: is problem. Specifically, a first quarter is going to look

817
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 3: real bad for Arch, so maybe a first quarter under

818
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 3: is better. But I like the team total under for

819
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 3: Texas because they are not moving the ball right now.

820
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 1: Moving to the primetime slate, the number three Texas A

821
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 1: and M. Maggie's they roll into Baton Rouge as two

822
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against the number twenty LSU

823
00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:38,399
Speaker 1: Tigers Mike Elko's men. They were just in a barn

824
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 1: burner at Arkansas, winning by seven, failing to cover in

825
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 1: that one as well. They're just one of six undefeated

826
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:48,480
Speaker 1: FBS team for maining crazy, We're already there at that

827
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:50,840
Speaker 1: point in the season, but they haven't been great to

828
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:54,520
Speaker 1: the Gambler, sitting just three and four ats their quarterback

829
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 1: Marcel Reid. He is now ten to one in the

830
00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:59,240
Speaker 1: Heisman odds, as he's led this team to the seventeenth

831
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:02,879
Speaker 1: best total off thirteenth most big plays as well, coming

832
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,360
Speaker 1: against the tenth toughest strength of schedule, but this defense

833
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 1: very suspect at times, including last week. LSU. They picked

834
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:13,160
Speaker 1: up their second loss in three of their last in

835
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:16,600
Speaker 1: their last three games here last week against Vandy, moving

836
00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:19,520
Speaker 1: to three and four ats this season. Their offense looked

837
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:22,480
Speaker 1: a bit better in that one. Saw some pretty explosive plays.

838
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:24,279
Speaker 1: Some of those were kind of fluky though, you know,

839
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 1: some tip balls, mistackles, that type of thing. The defense

840
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:32,359
Speaker 1: let Vandy score four touchdowns as well, So I just

841
00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 1: really bogs. I don't think these are two teams that

842
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:38,799
Speaker 1: are heading in a good direction specifically LSU. Like I

843
00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: think A and M still everything out in front of them.

844
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 1: Maybe something catches up with them eventually. Do you have

845
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:46,640
Speaker 1: a play or maybe a lien on this one?

846
00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 3: Just a lean and it's towards the aggies, right. Neither

847
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:51,439
Speaker 3: of these teams are good against the spread this year,

848
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:54,400
Speaker 3: and they split totals right down the middle. A and

849
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,480
Speaker 3: M is five and two, less, he's two and five

850
00:40:57,040 --> 00:40:59,279
Speaker 3: and death Valley's a weird place at night. There's a

851
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 3: lot of pressure for him. And during the seven and

852
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:03,920
Speaker 3: wins streak, I just don't think els you can move

853
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 3: the ball.

854
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 2: I think that's the real problem.

855
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:07,839
Speaker 3: The twenty four points they put up against Fandy last

856
00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,040
Speaker 3: week is the most they've scored against the P fourteen

857
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:13,279
Speaker 3: this year. I don't think that LSU is going to

858
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:15,759
Speaker 3: be able to stick with the Aggies on the scoreboard.

859
00:41:15,800 --> 00:41:18,839
Speaker 3: But I do hate this game being in death Valve

860
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:22,400
Speaker 3: exactly right, right, So I think A M wins here.

861
00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:25,200
Speaker 3: I think they win by a touchdown or more. But

862
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:27,360
Speaker 3: I hate the fact that LSU is at home in

863
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 3: this game, and just traditionally, this is where A and

864
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 3: M starts to chunk the year.

865
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 4: Right.

866
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 3: They look great, They're up here high in the rankings,

867
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 3: and they fold like Origami a lot of the time.

868
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,240
Speaker 2: So, and the only.

869
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 3: Thing I care about Texas can still make the playoff,

870
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:47,279
Speaker 3: which is a disgusting thought. They're not good enough to

871
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:50,960
Speaker 3: win in the playoff unless Art just completely flips his

872
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 3: play and the O lionchills together somehow. They're not good

873
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 3: enough to win in the playoffs. All I care about

874
00:41:57,160 --> 00:41:59,120
Speaker 3: is beating A and M. That's it, That's all I

875
00:41:59,160 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 3: care about. How do you how do you beat them?

876
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:03,279
Speaker 3: You have to get them off the scoreboard. LSU has

877
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:05,919
Speaker 3: the defense to do that. I just don't think they will.

878
00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 3: They didn't keep Fandy off the scoreboard last week, and

879
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:11,640
Speaker 3: I just don't think they're going to slow down Marcel

880
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:14,160
Speaker 3: Reed at all right now. He's just playing too well.

881
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 3: So yeah, give me the Aggies in a lean. But

882
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,280
Speaker 3: I probably won't have much money on this game because

883
00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:21,719
Speaker 3: traditionally this has been a weird game. We expected Elis

884
00:42:21,719 --> 00:42:23,279
Speaker 3: you to win an A and M one last year.

885
00:42:23,560 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 3: Now that we're expecting A and M to win, could

886
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:27,399
Speaker 3: easily be an LC year.

887
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:31,800
Speaker 1: Also in the late window is the number seventeen Tennessee

888
00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 1: volunteers their attemption to get back on track here in

889
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 1: Lexington as nine to nine and a half point favorites

890
00:42:37,680 --> 00:42:41,200
Speaker 1: against the Kentucky Wildcats. The Vaults are five and two,

891
00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:44,080
Speaker 1: but have looked kind of rough lately, losing four straight

892
00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:47,560
Speaker 1: ats after cashing in three of the first three games

893
00:42:47,560 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 1: to start the season. It hasn't been the fall of

894
00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:53,760
Speaker 1: Josh Josh Hiepoul's offense, though honestly, they're still second in scoring,

895
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 1: fifth in total yards. Quarterback Joey Aguilor. He leads the

896
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,800
Speaker 1: conference in passing yards. They're running back to Sean Bishop.

897
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,440
Speaker 1: He also leads the conference in yards per carry, so

898
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:05,440
Speaker 1: he's a fishing on the ground. The defense, though one

899
00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:08,520
Speaker 1: hundred and tenth in scoring ninety six in total yards,

900
00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:11,880
Speaker 1: allowing the twenty fourth most of big plays. UK comes

901
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:14,520
Speaker 1: off a classic drag you through the mud type of game,

902
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,880
Speaker 1: taking Texas to overtime. They're now two and four straight

903
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:21,320
Speaker 1: up and ats, but they're dead last in the SEC standings.

904
00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 1: Their offense, now under Cutter Bowlie, has been better but

905
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:29,560
Speaker 1: still not great, ranking outside the top one hundred in

906
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 1: scoring and total yards. The defense is average but has

907
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 1: seem to give up some big plays. We saw in

908
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:38,360
Speaker 1: Week one against Toledo, we saw it last week a

909
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 1: few times against Texas as well. So Boggs Tennessee obviously

910
00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:44,200
Speaker 1: the better team in this one. But can Mark stoops

911
00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 1: Men continue to muddy the water against ranked opponents like

912
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 1: he has all season long.

913
00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:53,840
Speaker 3: A normal team should be able to go into Kentucky

914
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:56,320
Speaker 3: and beat the breaks off of them. A normal high

915
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 3: level SEC team should be able to go in now,

916
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 3: but they bow up. They voted up against Texas this year,

917
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 3: they voted up against Georgia last year. And by the way,

918
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:07,240
Speaker 3: the two and four seth you know the two teams

919
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:10,399
Speaker 3: they beat against the spread Texas and oll Miss, so.

920
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly.

921
00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:12,839
Speaker 2: Yeah.

922
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 3: I hate Kentucky, man, I hate their guts, lose me

923
00:44:16,560 --> 00:44:20,319
Speaker 3: money every year. Tennessee's only not scored against SAMA this year.

924
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:22,800
Speaker 3: Kentucky played great against Texas offense, but I think that

925
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:25,440
Speaker 3: was more about Texas offense than it was Kentucky's defense.

926
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:29,800
Speaker 3: Tennessee can be beat on defense, but Kentucky hasn't scored

927
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:32,920
Speaker 3: more than twenty three against anyone yet this season. I

928
00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 3: like the over. I think Tennessee the over four Tennessee's team.

929
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 3: It's thirty one and a half. Lots of cash on

930
00:44:39,600 --> 00:44:43,360
Speaker 3: Kentucky right now. So let's see if this one moves

931
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:47,120
Speaker 3: more towards Kentucky so we can get more value on Tennessee.

932
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:50,279
Speaker 3: Like if this drops to seven seven and a half

933
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,440
Speaker 3: because currently at nine right or is it?

934
00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:54,320
Speaker 2: Did it slip down at eight and a half.

935
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:57,120
Speaker 1: Yet only nine to nine and a half tickets out

936
00:44:57,360 --> 00:44:57,719
Speaker 1: right now?

937
00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:00,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, so if it sticks there, I don't like. But

938
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 3: if we can get this down to seven six and

939
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:05,560
Speaker 3: a half even maybe since the cash is flown towards

940
00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:09,000
Speaker 3: Kentucky so far to start, and it is, it's like

941
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:12,840
Speaker 3: over ninety percent cashes on Kentucky right now. So if

942
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:14,920
Speaker 3: it sticks that way, I mean, they just had a

943
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:18,200
Speaker 3: good performance at home, right And I think people remember

944
00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:21,759
Speaker 3: Georgia going to Kentucky last year at night, but they

945
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:26,920
Speaker 3: don't remember South Carolina going to Kentucky and just murdering

946
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,799
Speaker 3: them last year. I feel like this is more of that.

947
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:32,839
Speaker 3: We've seen Kentucky bow up. They bowed up against Ole Miss,

948
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:34,920
Speaker 3: they bowed up against Texas. I think they might be

949
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:37,480
Speaker 3: out of those punch cards right so. I think Tennessee

950
00:45:37,560 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 3: is gonna be able to rain points in this one.

951
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 3: Don't know about the team total or the game total

952
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 3: because I don't know how much Kentucky scores. I think

953
00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:47,560
Speaker 3: most teams should be able to score against Tennessee's defenses.

954
00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:49,040
Speaker 2: Here Syracuse did so.

955
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:53,319
Speaker 3: I think Kentucky should be able to, specifically looking better

956
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 3: last week, but I don't trust it at all. So

957
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:57,680
Speaker 3: give me this over thirty one and a half for

958
00:45:57,719 --> 00:45:59,160
Speaker 3: Tennessee team total, that's what I want.

959
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, that's that's a you know, a good

960
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 1: twelve thirteen points below their season average. While the Kentucky

961
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:06,520
Speaker 1: defense is good, they can drag you down. I don't

962
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 1: hate that at all. And I think You're disdain for

963
00:46:09,120 --> 00:46:11,080
Speaker 1: Kentucky might be like right up there with mine for

964
00:46:11,160 --> 00:46:15,800
Speaker 1: Iowa right now. So there are rivals, bugs, there are rivals.

965
00:46:16,120 --> 00:46:18,480
Speaker 2: Do you know have you looked up the team total

966
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:19,960
Speaker 2: for Wisconsin yet this week?

967
00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:20,480
Speaker 1: No?

968
00:46:20,600 --> 00:46:21,040
Speaker 5: What is it?

969
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:23,240
Speaker 2: Seven and a half. Guess the juice.

970
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:26,520
Speaker 1: I would say minus one forty at least minus one

971
00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:28,840
Speaker 1: thirty five to forty minus.

972
00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,680
Speaker 2: They're not gonna score a point. They might not score

973
00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 2: a point again this year.

974
00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:36,680
Speaker 1: I mean I might be. I might be tempted, honestly

975
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:39,719
Speaker 1: at that point then to take a team total over

976
00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:41,760
Speaker 1: six and a half on them one touchdown and probably

977
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:44,200
Speaker 1: get you get your two to one back right seven.

978
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:45,920
Speaker 2: And a half, so they have to score twice.

979
00:46:46,239 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 1: But well, I'm teasing that down, you know me. You

980
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:52,600
Speaker 1: can't even Oh it's set right now. Huh yeah, yeah,

981
00:46:52,640 --> 00:46:55,279
Speaker 1: it's you. They would not allow you to tease it

982
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:58,360
Speaker 1: any lower than seven and a half. They're playing Oregon.

983
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:01,000
Speaker 1: Someone might someone might take that action.

984
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:02,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, somebody might.

985
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:05,239
Speaker 3: I was yeah, I was only looking at one site,

986
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 3: so maybe, but yeah, I mean seven and a half

987
00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:09,919
Speaker 3: is gross.

988
00:47:11,000 --> 00:47:13,520
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead here, man, Let's let's round out this

989
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:17,320
Speaker 1: program with the Houston Cougars in Tempe as eight to

990
00:47:17,360 --> 00:47:19,439
Speaker 1: eight and a half point dogs against the twenty fourth

991
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 1: ranked Arizona State Sun Devils. The Kugs. They're coming in.

992
00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:25,440
Speaker 1: Their only loss was getting smacked by Texas Tech in

993
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:27,680
Speaker 1: the mouth. They come in six and one straight up

994
00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:30,640
Speaker 1: five and two ATS as well. Quarterback Connor Wegman like

995
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 1: this has been about as serviceable as he's been in

996
00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:35,799
Speaker 1: his entire career. He's got this offense at least to

997
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:38,640
Speaker 1: average numbers sixty second in scoring, seventy third and total

998
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:41,959
Speaker 1: yards as well, the defense still ranking inside the top

999
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:45,640
Speaker 1: thirty five, and Arizona State they kept their college football

1000
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 1: hopes alive with that upset win over Texas Tech last

1001
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:51,319
Speaker 1: week to get to five and two straight up three

1002
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:54,800
Speaker 1: three and one ats. They combined for three hundred and

1003
00:47:54,880 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 1: ninety four total yards against one of the nation's best defenses.

1004
00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:00,760
Speaker 1: Sam Levitt looked close to full strength, at least, throwing

1005
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,000
Speaker 1: the ball for three hundred nineteen yards and a score

1006
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:05,800
Speaker 1: to Jordan Tyson, who's pacing right now to lead the

1007
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:09,200
Speaker 1: Big Twelve in the receiving a Triple Crown category. So

1008
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 1: Boggs does Kenny Dillingham and company keep it rolling against

1009
00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 1: a very good in the Houston team this season, but

1010
00:48:15,960 --> 00:48:18,319
Speaker 1: they're at home in Tempe where the crowd should be

1011
00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:20,760
Speaker 1: fired up once again with this Yo Yo club.

1012
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:23,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, for the record, I do think Arizona State gets

1013
00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 3: caught this year.

1014
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:25,919
Speaker 2: Not gonna be this week though.

1015
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:29,319
Speaker 1: Really anything, I'm getting a cash out for almost my

1016
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:31,200
Speaker 1: full unit back that I put. I put on them

1017
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:32,000
Speaker 1: to make the playoff.

1018
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 3: Look, if we get if we get Tech in Arizona

1019
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 3: State rematch for the Big Twelve title, but Barren Morton

1020
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 3: is playing.

1021
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:40,680
Speaker 1: I get rolled, so thank you.

1022
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:43,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's what will end up happening. But

1023
00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:46,280
Speaker 3: I also think they got a game at Iowa State.

1024
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:48,239
Speaker 1: The YU is looking good.

1025
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:49,279
Speaker 2: I think that's.

1026
00:48:49,360 --> 00:48:51,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, if they have to play BYU that would be

1027
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 3: a tough game as well in the Big Twelve title.

1028
00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:55,200
Speaker 3: But so I do think Arizona State gets caught, but

1029
00:48:55,200 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 3: it's not gonna be this week against Houston.

1030
00:48:57,200 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 2: I just don't.

1031
00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:01,239
Speaker 3: Houston's been playing better on defense than offense. Actually, just

1032
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 3: statistically if we're looking at the numbers. So but again,

1033
00:49:05,320 --> 00:49:09,440
Speaker 3: strength to schedule ninety third right haven't really been tested.

1034
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:13,080
Speaker 3: It's Arizona State is battle tested. They have played the

1035
00:49:13,120 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 3: seventeenth hardest strength to schedule so far this season. You know,

1036
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:21,239
Speaker 3: they're allowing some sacks Texas or Houston can can get

1037
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:23,680
Speaker 3: to the quarterback a little bit. So I think on paper,

1038
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:27,120
Speaker 3: maybe this is one that people look and say, I

1039
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:29,560
Speaker 3: think Houston can get in here, right And it actually,

1040
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 3: as it stands right now, the more tickets are on Houston,

1041
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:38,560
Speaker 3: but cash is leaning towards Arizona State. But they're both

1042
00:49:39,200 --> 00:49:41,759
Speaker 3: that either one of those could flip this week, and

1043
00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 3: I do think it will. I hope it's so towards

1044
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:48,399
Speaker 3: Houston because I don't like this line. We show that

1045
00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:50,120
Speaker 3: this should be closer to a six and a half

1046
00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:54,600
Speaker 3: point game, so I'll I'll wait and hope that this

1047
00:49:54,680 --> 00:49:58,520
Speaker 3: comes down towards Houston and makes this a six or

1048
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:00,520
Speaker 3: a five and a half later in the week. I

1049
00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:02,479
Speaker 3: just don't think it does, though, so I'm probably gonna

1050
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:05,760
Speaker 3: end up staying away from this game. I know Arizona

1051
00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:08,759
Speaker 3: State a lot of people are into right now, I'm

1052
00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:11,239
Speaker 3: just not quite there. I just don't think this is

1053
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:13,719
Speaker 3: the same team they had last year. So they beat

1054
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:16,560
Speaker 3: Texas Tech is a great win. Kenny Dillingham is an

1055
00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:20,240
Speaker 3: amazing coach, and I don't mean to be. I'm definitely

1056
00:50:20,239 --> 00:50:24,680
Speaker 3: not a hater. I'm a doubter of Arizona State, so

1057
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,520
Speaker 3: I'm gonna stay away from this one. I lean towards

1058
00:50:27,520 --> 00:50:30,680
Speaker 3: the devils, but I do think that ASU is gonna

1059
00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:33,680
Speaker 3: get clapped here at some point, just not this week, all.

1060
00:50:33,640 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 1: Right, Bogman, Well, I appreciate all the information today. Man,

1061
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:38,360
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for us on this early Picks

1062
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 1: episode of the Betting Pros College Football Show, still to

1063
00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:43,719
Speaker 1: come later this week and every week right here on

1064
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:47,000
Speaker 1: the BP YouTube channel and the audio feed, our official

1065
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 1: picks and prediction show with throw Firman Junior and Bog's

1066
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:53,080
Speaker 1: best bets and player props episode. Let us know down

1067
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:55,560
Speaker 1: in the comments below your favorite week eight picks. We

1068
00:50:55,640 --> 00:50:57,640
Speaker 1: want to hear from you, and while you're here, make

1069
00:50:57,640 --> 00:51:00,640
Speaker 1: sure you're smashing that like Bud at subscribing to the channel.

1070
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 1: If you're new for Scott Bogman, I'm Sepablecock. Take care

1071
00:51:03,520 --> 00:51:03,920
Speaker 1: of y'all.

1072
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:06,759
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast.

1073
00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:09,400
Speaker 5: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1074
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:12,320
Speaker 5: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

1075
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,440
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1076
00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:19,279
Speaker 5: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

1077
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:22,320
Speaker 5: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.