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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the kick as.

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Speaker 1: Block the college football world stunder.

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Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, please stumble the bumble, the lateral turn,

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Speaker 4: a counter on the inside, Get you the.

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Speaker 3: Lad take them up the field to night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the sage of the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 2: It's the.

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Speaker 4: Sage of the fighting in the What's up the generate nation?

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. This is the Week

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Speaker 4: five college football betting preview. I'm stucky and with me

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Speaker 4: as always as Colin Wilson. You ready to get into

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Speaker 4: this semi ugly card.

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Speaker 2: We have a script in front of us. It has

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Speaker 2: no acron and no UMass anywhere in the discussion, so

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Speaker 2: I can assume this will be a pretty good podcast.

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Speaker 4: Uh yeah, but the little do you know? I'm gonna

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Speaker 4: make you talk about that game books are dangling. That's

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Speaker 4: seven and a half out in front of you. We'll

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Speaker 4: get to Saturday's card. You know they're from an enjoyment

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Speaker 4: or just marquee game perspective. There's not a lot if

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Speaker 4: you go to the Action app and just filter on

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Speaker 4: Top twenty five, it's like every Top twenty five team

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Speaker 4: is the thirty point favorite. There are some good games

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Speaker 4: We'll get to Friday night as well, which I think

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Speaker 4: is a really intriguing slate. But first we will start

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Speaker 4: with where we always start, and let's look ahead or

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Speaker 4: look away?

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Speaker 1: Hangovers, sleepers and the dread and sandwich spot. Is it

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Speaker 1: time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 4: That's where we look at next week and determine if

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Speaker 4: there's any good situational spots this week, if a team

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Speaker 4: could get caught flat looking ahead, you know, if they

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Speaker 4: might pull their starters a little sooner, rest people who

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Speaker 4: are on the fringe of being healthy. And there's not

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Speaker 4: that many this week, you know, there's a couple. We'll

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Speaker 4: start with Iowa and a few people on Twitter actually

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Speaker 4: asked me about this game. Iowa twenty three point favorite

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Speaker 4: against Middle Tennessee State. I get that the spot for

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Speaker 4: Iowa isn't great. I think it's a noon kick. You know,

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Speaker 4: next week they're at Michigan. You know they face a

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Speaker 4: bad Middle Tennessee State team. The problem is I can't

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Speaker 4: find enough reasons to back the Blue Raiders here, I'd

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Speaker 4: be guessing, Look, if they just want to hand it off,

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Speaker 4: they should manhandle, manhandle Middle Tennessee State in the trenches.

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Speaker 4: They could just run it right, a really bad, really

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Speaker 4: poor Middle Tennessee State run defense. I can't get behind.

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Speaker 4: That's what I'm not going to be on Iowa. But

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Speaker 4: I can't get behind the Blue Raiders. Do you agree here?

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Speaker 2: No, actually I don't. I am actually on Middle Tennessee State.

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Speaker 2: But it has nothing to do with the Blue Raiders whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: It actually has everything to do with Iowa. Now, you

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Speaker 2: have to remember Middle Tennessee State has already played Michigan,

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Speaker 2: So there's a lot of film that Iowa has already

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Speaker 2: looked at that includes Middle Tennessee State going up against

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Speaker 2: our opponent next week in Michigan. And then conversely, like

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Speaker 2: after this game, Iowa is going to be exposed on

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Speaker 2: a whole sixty minutes of play on film for Michigan

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Speaker 2: to look at after they played Middle Tennessee. So these

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Speaker 2: two teams, Iowa and Michigan should be very familiar to

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Speaker 2: each other with a common opponent. It's just the beginning

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Speaker 2: of October next week. The reason why I'm playing Middle Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Has nothing to do with how great I think Asher

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Speaker 2: O'Hara is their quarterback, the fact that he's responsible for

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Speaker 2: eighty percent of the Blue Raiders offense and he's accounted

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Speaker 2: for over half of their rushing yards. The reason why

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Speaker 2: I'm doing this is because the total is low enough to

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Speaker 2: where the side is just way too high. Iowa, if

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Speaker 2: you look at them, they're fourth in the nation in

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Speaker 2: time of possession. When they have drives, they go for

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Speaker 2: a long time. You can make a sandwich, you can

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Speaker 2: wash your dishes, you can do all kinds of shit

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Speaker 2: because Iowa's drives take forever. They're fourth in the nation

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Speaker 2: and time of possession. They are worst, one of the

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Speaker 2: worst team in the nation in gains of twenty plus

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Speaker 2: yards from scrimmage. They're not able to have any explosive

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Speaker 2: plays on the ground or through the air. At least

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Speaker 2: they haven't proved it yet, and if they haven't in

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Speaker 2: their back pocket, I doubt they're gonna show it before

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Speaker 2: they play Michigan. So I think there's gonna be a

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Speaker 2: lot of long drives in this game. I think Iowa

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Speaker 2: is gonna win. I think the twenty four is important.

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Speaker 2: So if you have to pay a little bit of

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Speaker 2: juice if you want to play this at minus one

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Speaker 2: twenty or maybe wait for some game days team to

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Speaker 2: get this to twenty four. I just think it's way

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Speaker 2: too many points look ahead spot, and this Iowa team's

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Speaker 2: offense is not explosive. It's gonna be long and drawn

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Speaker 2: out in a grind.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I would agree with you there. No ohios.

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Speaker 4: He's impressed me a little bit. And he's a dual

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Speaker 4: threat quarterback and do some stuff with his legs that's

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Speaker 4: given Iowa some problems in the past. But I just

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Speaker 4: think the advantage in the trenches here is so enormous

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Speaker 4: for Iowa. I want no part despite the spot. The

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Speaker 4: other one was Utah State. Utah State has lsu one

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Speaker 4: deck after that big conference win last week, they're laying

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Speaker 4: twenty four. There's that number again to Colorado State. Can

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Speaker 4: you make a case for the Rams Marvin Kinsey star

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Speaker 4: running back and they're wide receiver who I love, Larren Jackson.

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Speaker 4: Both look like they're going to be out. That's enormous

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Speaker 4: against his Utah State offense that wants to go, go,

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Speaker 4: go go, one of the fastest teams in the country.

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Speaker 4: What do you see here?

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Speaker 2: Oh, you're gonna makee me play Colorado State. This number

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Speaker 2: is way too high. It should be seventeen. You know.

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Speaker 2: Colorado State right now is eighth and total offense in

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Speaker 2: the nation. They're averaging five hundred and fifty two yards

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Speaker 2: per game. They can sling it, they can get it

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Speaker 2: down the field. They I mean, they had an abundance

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Speaker 2: of yards last week against one of the opponents we're

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Speaker 2: going to talk about here coming up in another game preview.

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Speaker 2: But Utah State shouldn't care about this. I haven't been

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Speaker 2: impressed with their defense so far, but one of the

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Speaker 2: worst defenses of the nation is Colorado State. I think

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Speaker 2: either the play in this game is either Colorado State

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Speaker 2: with the twenty four you take an over here, because

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Speaker 2: I just don't see anybody stopping to score, while Utah

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Speaker 2: States got overlooked and Utah State only has one gear.

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Speaker 2: I think we've already tried to fade them once this year.

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Speaker 2: And Jordan Love kind of dissen.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, all right. The last spot I have circled here

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Speaker 4: is Michigan State fourteen point favorites. You know, then they

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Speaker 4: can come out a little sleepy on offense, but they're

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Speaker 4: fourteen point favorites this week against Indiana. Next week, Michigan

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Speaker 4: State will take on Ohio State. They're at Ohio State

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Speaker 4: in one of the best games of the weekend next weekend.

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Speaker 4: Does Michigan State get caught looking ahead here? Are they

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Speaker 4: a little flat? Can you make a case for the Hoosiers?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I can't see myself playing Indiana here. The number

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Speaker 2: is too high. I think it should be nine and

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Speaker 2: a half of Michigan state projected total of fifty three.

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Speaker 2: Indiana just doesn't inspire any confidence of being able to

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Speaker 2: hold onto anything after they played Ohio State when you

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Speaker 2: know games can get away from them. I just they

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Speaker 2: don't have the defense to keep this within the number.

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Speaker 2: At the same time, I don't want to play Michigan

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Speaker 2: State if they have any kind of overlook and with

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Speaker 2: so many injuries on the offensive line, it's just, you know,

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Speaker 2: players are getting moved to different positions. It's just not

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Speaker 2: a strong bed on. You know, the numbers too high

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Speaker 2: for Michigan State, and I don't trust the Indiana defense

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Speaker 2: to keep this within range.

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Speaker 3: I hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I

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Speaker 3: want to make sure you know about the Locked On

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Speaker 3: podcast network locked On as a daily podcast on you

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Speaker 3: your favorite team.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to you Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

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Speaker 4: own of the Dallas marriage.

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Speaker 2: Came everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

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Speaker 4: Let's go.

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Speaker 3: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

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Speaker 3: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

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Speaker 3: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

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Speaker 4: So let's move on to the slate and look, let's

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Speaker 4: take a unique path down Saturday's card.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for Week five.

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Speaker 4: Let's go conference by conference, just touching on a game

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Speaker 4: or two in each one will go alphabetically. We'll start

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Speaker 4: with the AAC Georgia Tech Temple Collins returns to Temple.

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Speaker 4: Temple's a seven and a half point favorite. Temple coming

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Speaker 4: off that bad loss turnover field loss against Buffalo another game.

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Speaker 4: A lot of people are asking about SMU USF SMU

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Speaker 4: four and oh if that big win against TCU. They're

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Speaker 4: now seven and a half point favorites at USF A

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Speaker 4: SMU offense is real.

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Speaker 1: They're real and they're spectacular.

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Speaker 4: They're receivers. You know, Jones in the backfield, Bouchelle, the

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Speaker 4: Texas transfer. One thing note here is Charlie Strong. He

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Speaker 4: does know Buchelle. He was at Texas when Buchelle was

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Speaker 4: there in twenty sixteen. I don't know if I can

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Speaker 4: get behind this USF team, but it's a great by

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Speaker 4: low cell high spot for SMU and USF who's just

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Speaker 4: been dreadful.

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Speaker 2: Yes, so let me go ahead and comment on Georgia

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Speaker 2: Tech Temple because I did take Temple minus nine out

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Speaker 2: of the gate. You know, this is a highly emotional

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Speaker 2: spot for the Temple players as they get to take

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Speaker 2: on Jeff Collins as he returns up to Philadelphia. Sort

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Speaker 2: of a flat spot for Temple. And plus there's been

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Speaker 2: a lot of talk about how you know Temple's going

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Speaker 2: to go ground, Temple's going to go rush in this game.

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Speaker 2: They have been able to get the ball down deep

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Speaker 2: and it's been in long passing situations and passing downs.

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Speaker 2: Georgia Tech is horrible. Neither of these teams are having

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Speaker 2: success moving the ball. On offense, the Temple defensive line

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Speaker 2: is still tops and stuffer and power success rate, which

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Speaker 2: is why we took them against Maryland straight up. But

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Speaker 2: against Georgia Tech, they're going to be able to shut

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Speaker 2: down Georgia Tech and their running game, which is all

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Speaker 2: they have because they don't want to pass whatsoever. So

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Speaker 2: I like this number completely, you know, under the total,

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Speaker 2: and because I like it under the total more and more,

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Speaker 2: and I read into the Monday presss and I see

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Speaker 2: that it's going to be a ground game. I wanted

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Speaker 2: to get off the side because nine is a lot

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Speaker 2: of points to try to cover when you have two

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Speaker 2: teams that are just going to try to run down

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Speaker 2: each other's throat. I more favored the under in that game.

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Speaker 2: As far as SMU and South Florida stick. I know

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Speaker 2: you and I did some research a couple of years

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Speaker 2: ago about how we talked about what is the effect

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Speaker 2: of a team on back to back road travel going

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Speaker 2: in to face a team off of a bye. When

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Speaker 2: you look at some of these offensive systems that are

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Speaker 2: out there in college football today, they need to stay

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Speaker 2: in sync. They need to stay in rhythm, and when

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Speaker 2: you take more than ten days off, that can get

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Speaker 2: you out of rhythm. And that's why I did a

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Speaker 2: little bet Labs research to and we've got three of

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Speaker 2: these spots this week. We've got SMU going against South Florida,

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Speaker 2: ULL going against Georgia, Southern UCLA going against Arizona. All

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Speaker 2: three of these back to back road teams had straight

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Speaker 2: up wins last week. All of them were going up

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Speaker 2: to face call its opponents that are off of a

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Speaker 2: buy in this scenario. If you look at bet Labs,

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Speaker 2: they were twenty and thirty four against a spread for

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Speaker 2: the home team, which means these teams that are coming

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Speaker 2: in on back to back road travel have the advantage,

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Speaker 2: probably because they're being in sync. So South Florida had

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Speaker 2: some success, but I mean it's against a bad FCS team,

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Speaker 2: So we'll see how it goes here against SMU, who

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Speaker 2: is just on fire. I mean, Sunny Dikes is just

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Speaker 2: on fire here with this team, and it's because of

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Speaker 2: what we mentioned on the podcast the other day, which

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Speaker 2: is the Seeker. So the Seeker is this robot that

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Speaker 2: SMU has where it can accurately throw, like to the

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Speaker 2: millimeter a pass. So if you'd like type in go

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Speaker 2: route or post route or anything, it'll throw a pass.

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Speaker 2: This machine will throw a pass exactly to where you

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Speaker 2: program it. So if you want a seventy yard curl,

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Speaker 2: if you want a stop route, anything that you want

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Speaker 2: a fly pattern, this thing can throw it. So what

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Speaker 2: they've done is is it's really it's not taxing the arms,

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Speaker 2: but it's getting tons of reps for the wide receivers

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Speaker 2: at any distance, at any range. They bought this multimillion

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Speaker 2: dollar machine that I think only three colleges in college

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Speaker 2: football have, and it's shown in SMU's what they've done

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Speaker 2: so far this year. But what they've done as far

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Speaker 2: as like completion percentage yards after catch, SMU has been amazing,

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Speaker 2: and I think it's because of this robot. So the

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Speaker 2: Seeker has been a big deal. I'm not There's no

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Speaker 2: way I could take South Florida here. I don't trust

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Speaker 2: Charlie Strong. Kirwin Bell hasn't got it figured out. It

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Speaker 2: is a sweet spot, though, So I'm not looking to

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Speaker 2: write SMU and take the points here because it is

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Speaker 2: a really bad spot for SMU, especially after wearing those

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Speaker 2: beautiful uniforms with Dallas and Cursive on it and beating TCU.

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Speaker 2: It is definitely a flat spot for SMU. But I mean,

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Speaker 2: we love the Mustangs to play for the rest of

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Speaker 2: the year.

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Speaker 4: You can credit the machine, but let's give credit to

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Speaker 4: Proche and Roverson and Jones and Buchelle. I mean, the

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Speaker 4: offense is electric. The defense. Coming into the year, we

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Speaker 4: said it is underrated. This team is legit. The spot

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Speaker 4: says South Florida, but I just don't know if I

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Speaker 4: see enough out of the bulls now to skip ahead

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Speaker 4: to the Sun Belt. You mentioned another one of these

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Speaker 4: games that fits the spot, Louisiana Lafette. Georgia Southern Louisiana

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Speaker 4: Lafaette is a covering machine, one of my favorite teams.

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Speaker 4: Finally got me off this snide last week with our

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Speaker 4: money line parlay. But this is an interesting matchup in

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Speaker 4: that if you look at Georgia Southern, who, by the way,

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Speaker 4: keep your eye on the injury report Shay Wurtz, their quarterback,

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Speaker 4: and their triple option offense is questionable. Whenever you run

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Speaker 4: a triple option OFFENSEI line is going to be important.

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Speaker 4: They lost two All conference offensive linemen last year and

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Speaker 4: then this year they've had two injuries to starter, so

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Speaker 4: their offensive line has been a disaster a disaster. Same

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Speaker 4: with Florida Atlantic. I'm sure I'll ask you about the game.

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Speaker 4: Their offense line has been a disaster. But Georgia Southern's

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Speaker 4: offensive line two, they have two starters that think we're questionable.

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Speaker 4: This week has been so bad. And Louisiana their defensive

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Speaker 4: line has been so bad. I think there are one

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Speaker 4: hundred and thirtieth and stuff right in U Mass by

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Speaker 4: the ways, one hundred and twenty nine. Someone is worse

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Speaker 4: than you mess and something. So you would think on

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Speaker 4: the surface, you know this option going against Louisiana. But

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Speaker 4: if I think it depends on words and this this

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Speaker 4: offensive line has just been a mess. I don't know

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Speaker 4: if I want to get in front of this electric

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Speaker 4: Louisiana rush offense, which is I think second the Nation

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Speaker 4: of the Arts were carried behind on the Oklahoma As

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Speaker 4: I'm talking, I just got a learn on the action

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Speaker 4: that the line came down from three to from three

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Speaker 4: and a half to three. Do you see anything in

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Speaker 4: that Louisiana game that you're gonna be involved in?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm staring at the screen. It could mean Worts

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Speaker 2: is playing, But I mean still, Georgia Southern has looked

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Speaker 2: really bad this year. They're you know, they're one hundred

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Speaker 2: and twenty ninth in total offense two hundred and fifty

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Speaker 2: one yards per game, and they are predominantly triple you know,

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Speaker 2: triple option rush offense, but still rushing yards per attempt

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Speaker 2: fifty third in the nation. They're just not They're not

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Speaker 2: getting it done. Their defense has been even worse. They're

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirtieth and total first downs. That's not

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Speaker 2: good for a triple option team, especially one that's trying

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Speaker 2: to just you know, their whole entire mission objective is

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Speaker 2: to get first downs. They're they're worse in the nation.

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Speaker 2: Their third down conversion percentage has been one hundred and

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Speaker 2: twenty eighth so far. There's just nothing about this Georgia

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Speaker 2: Southern team that inspires me to get behind them and

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Speaker 2: and and put a bet here in the spot, even

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Speaker 2: though it is the spot. The one thing this whole

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Speaker 2: double road travel going into a team off of a buy.

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Speaker 2: Specifically in terms of the MAC and the Sun Belt,

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Speaker 2: it was thirty one and seventy three against the spread

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Speaker 2: for home teams. For some reason, in the MAC and

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Speaker 2: in the Sun Belt, these teams that are on double

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Speaker 2: road travel against by teams have been highly profitable. So

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Speaker 2: there's no way I'm back in Georgia Southern in the spot,

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Speaker 2: I actually think Ull should be. I have them marked

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Speaker 2: as favored by three, So that's where the line is.

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Speaker 2: I think they're the play. I'm not looking to run

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Speaker 2: out and be with the public and where all the

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Speaker 2: action is. But in the Sun Belt, I think it's

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Speaker 2: it's justified.

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Speaker 4: Fair enough, right and intelligible. What they should do with Houston?

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Speaker 4: With King now out and they're you know, their righting

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Speaker 4: receiver now out? What should we do with Houston? North Texas?

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Speaker 4: North Texas now seven and a half point favorite over

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Speaker 4: under fifty nine.

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Speaker 2: Is Deer King gonna play? Is he staying? Oh, he's staying,

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Speaker 2: But is he playing? No, he's not playing, but he's

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Speaker 2: not going to the transfer portal. And when the totals

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Speaker 2: came out, I immediately had this one marked. It came

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Speaker 2: out I think at sixty two. I had this at

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Speaker 2: fifty six and a half. And we know Houston's offense

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Speaker 2: is a lot slower than last year. Houston overall in

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Speaker 2: the season has been an under team. Saw the news

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Speaker 2: come in about Derek King, and then I just hit

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Speaker 2: it as many times as I could at sixty two,

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Speaker 2: sixty to a half Finally it stopped at fifty eight

339
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Speaker 2: and a half and now it's settled at fifty nine.

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Speaker 2: Clayton tune fifty percent completion rate last year, twelve percent

341
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Speaker 2: sack rate. That is absolutely terrible, and he's not a

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Speaker 2: mobile quarterback. As far as the total goes, last year,

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Speaker 2: North Texas was eighty second and adjusted pace. North Texas

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Speaker 2: is a highly successful offense, but they're not an explosive offense.

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Speaker 2: They'll throw for eleven yards and then they'll run out

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Speaker 2: the clock. They're not the kind of team that does

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Speaker 2: no huddle. They will run the timeout on the clock

348
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Speaker 2: before they take a snap. So North Texas is not

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Speaker 2: the fastest team in the nation.

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Speaker 4: Contrary, this is in North Texas of last year and

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Speaker 4: they lost their you know, one of the best receivers

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Speaker 4: in the conference.

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Speaker 2: There's probably going to be a comeback. Is if this

354
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Speaker 2: gets down to fifty six. It's only me trying to

355
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Speaker 2: hedge a little bit off of the three year to

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Speaker 2: window that I have on the numbers over sixty.

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Speaker 4: Houston played. They were playing really slow under Dana, but

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Speaker 4: their first four they had four games in nineteen days.

359
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Speaker 4: And he said it in an interview, he said, look,

360
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Speaker 4: defense is getting tired. I have to worry about my defense.

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Speaker 4: I can't go too fast. And he even said in

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Speaker 4: one game, I think it was against Tulane, Yeah, we

363
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Speaker 4: started to go fest with my defense was gassed. Well,

364
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Speaker 4: now you know they played last Thursday, They've had ten

365
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Speaker 4: days and now that I think they'll have a bye

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Speaker 4: after this. So maybe Dana then comes out and it's

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Speaker 4: old Dana and he's trying to push push, push, but

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Speaker 4: without King, you know, without their you know, their senior

369
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Speaker 4: wide out who also is sitting like it makes it

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Speaker 4: tough to cap. But this North Texas and Houston team

371
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Speaker 4: from what we've seen, you know, and they have key

372
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Speaker 4: players out on the outside. This isn't you know last

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Speaker 4: year's North Texas and Houston teams.

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Absolutely, And uh, you know, I think it's going

375
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:34,600
Speaker 2: to be a much slower pace. It's gonna be a different,

376
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Speaker 2: a different looking game. I just wonder what the thinking

377
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Speaker 2: is behind Dana, like now with Dear King, like that conversation,

378
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Speaker 2: Like everybody just assumes a Dear King he's gonna go

379
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Speaker 2: play for Oklahoma and they canna start giving the Heisman

380
00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:46,360
Speaker 2: trophies to to Lincoln Riley every year. But you know,

381
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Speaker 2: it's like Dana said the other day in a press conference.

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Speaker 2: He said, listen, he's he's a Houston Cougar until I

383
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Speaker 2: see his name in the in the transfer portal. So

384
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Speaker 2: you have to wonder, is Dana Holderson is he chalking

385
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Speaker 2: this year up and is he going to create an

386
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Speaker 2: offense that's conducive to what Derek King wants for the

387
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Speaker 2: rest of the season. The dynamic there is just fascinating.

388
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Speaker 4: Yep, all right, before we move off to the AA

389
00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:06,119
Speaker 4: see really good question because we got asked on Twitter

390
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Speaker 4: ECU your boys against ODU coming off that deflating, you know,

391
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Speaker 4: attempted upset against Virginia Of note here you starting running

392
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Speaker 4: back Darius Pinnix is out and then his backup Hussaining

393
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Speaker 4: Howe decided to transfer. So that's notable anything in ECU ODU,

394
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Speaker 4: which is not the toilet Bowl because we have akron UMass.

395
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Speaker 2: So Old Dominion last year beat Virginia Tech as a

396
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Speaker 2: twenty eight and a half point dog, and then that

397
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Speaker 2: following week they played East Carolina. East Carolina beat them

398
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Speaker 2: by two. So East Carolina was able to capitalize on

399
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Speaker 2: a down spot on Old Dominion. I think they kind

400
00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:40,160
Speaker 2: of do the same thing here. I don't think it's

401
00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:42,080
Speaker 2: going to be a blowout by any means, but I

402
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:44,880
Speaker 2: definitely like East Carolina to finally get something going here.

403
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:46,959
Speaker 2: I mean, they've only covered one of their last six games.

404
00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:49,720
Speaker 2: It's time for the East Carolina that I was predicting

405
00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:51,280
Speaker 2: back in July to finally show up in a game.

406
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Speaker 2: But this is a good spot to get old dominion.

407
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Speaker 4: I believe they were a three point favorite and I lost.

408
00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,440
Speaker 4: I faded. OD you there. I'm getting flashbacks here, all right,

409
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Speaker 4: So let's move on from a and move on to

410
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Speaker 4: the ACC. First question I have to ask you with

411
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Speaker 4: the ACC is about Clemson North Carolina. North Carolina has

412
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:10,760
Speaker 4: become so predictable in the fact that they get down

413
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Speaker 4: in the first half and all of a sudden their

414
00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:14,560
Speaker 4: world beaters in the fourth quarter. What we've also learned

415
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:19,159
Speaker 4: about Clemson and your now maybe trash Heisman ticket on

416
00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence is they're just taking him out as soon

417
00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:23,399
Speaker 4: as they get a big lead. It could be in

418
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Speaker 4: the second quarter. So does this not set up for

419
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:30,359
Speaker 4: a perfect storm of a North Carolina second half bet? Again,

420
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Speaker 4: just like app State last week, Clemson builds a big lead,

421
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,439
Speaker 4: they pull all their starters and then here comes, you know,

422
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,560
Speaker 4: your fourth quarter heels. Are we going back to the well.

423
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Speaker 2: Listen for somebody that's been gambling for a really long time,

424
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:44,639
Speaker 2: a really long time, and you have too. Let's just

425
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,320
Speaker 2: put a little word of advice out to people like

426
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,080
Speaker 2: Jesse Palmer and Joey Galloway. Don't ever say easy money.

427
00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:51,560
Speaker 2: Don't ever say easy money, and don't have graphics of

428
00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:54,080
Speaker 2: dollar bills floating over your face because things are not

429
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 2: easy money. Now that said, how is there any other

430
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Speaker 2: way to play this game besides Clemson first half? In

431
00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,800
Speaker 2: North Carolin light his second half. I mean, I project

432
00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,159
Speaker 2: this game at twenty six with a total of sixty two.

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00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:05,760
Speaker 2: So the numbers are spot on as far as the

434
00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,600
Speaker 2: full game goes. But Clemson is not allowed a touchdown

435
00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,240
Speaker 2: in the first half of play so far, They've only

436
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:14,360
Speaker 2: allowed one rush to go over twenty yards. They haven't

437
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,080
Speaker 2: allowed a TV in the first half. Yet you and

438
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,320
Speaker 2: c is beating opponents ninety to twelve in the fourth quarter.

439
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,320
Speaker 2: Sam Howell does not play until the fourth quarter. He's

440
00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:24,679
Speaker 2: covered all the second halves. Clemson has covered all the

441
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:27,879
Speaker 2: first halves. It seems I don't want to say easy money.

442
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 2: It seems like that's the path of the betting should go.

443
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,480
Speaker 2: First half is fourteen and a half. I did lay

444
00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:34,240
Speaker 2: some money on Clemson. Mind is fourteen and a half.

445
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 2: I hope to see the Sweeney kid, the herb Street kids,

446
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 2: the Venables kid. I hope to see all their jerseys

447
00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:41,920
Speaker 2: on the field by the time the end of the

448
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,200
Speaker 2: second quarter comes and Trevor Lawrence and t Higgins and

449
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 2: Justin Ross and everybody's taking his seat. But that seems

450
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:48,720
Speaker 2: like the path to go here is Clemson in the

451
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:50,959
Speaker 2: first half. You would see in the second half, So

452
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:55,480
Speaker 2: set your timers for about five o'clock's Eastern time. That

453
00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:57,120
Speaker 2: should be about half time. But it comes in North

454
00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 2: Carolina game, it'll be time to back up on Sam

455
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:01,440
Speaker 2: Howe again and get us a second half cover.

456
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,399
Speaker 4: Yeah but yeah, never say locks either. There's no locks.

457
00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:09,200
Speaker 4: Besides fading UMass, that's a lock. But maybe not this week.

458
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 4: All right, So before we get out of the aec

459
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,639
Speaker 4: of note, Wake Forest Boston College. This is not your

460
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:16,320
Speaker 4: older brother's Wake Forest Boston College game. You remember the

461
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:18,840
Speaker 4: game that ended zero zero vot Tech Wake. Now, there's

462
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:20,320
Speaker 4: not gonna be any zero zero these are two of

463
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:24,480
Speaker 4: the fastest teams in the country. Over under sixty nine,

464
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 4: I think it's over or nothing there. And then, obviously,

465
00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:29,680
Speaker 4: before we get out of the AEC, let's talk about

466
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:31,920
Speaker 4: one of the marquee games of the weekend. Virginia Notre

467
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:33,680
Speaker 4: Dame twelve and a half point favorite.

468
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll just say I agree with you on the

469
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:37,200
Speaker 2: wake Forest BC over. I know that the Action Network

470
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 2: projection makes it sixty three, but that doesn't take into

471
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,760
Speaker 2: account that neither of these teams, I think can have

472
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:44,120
Speaker 2: an answer at the cornerback position to stop the other

473
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:46,080
Speaker 2: from going. And everybody knows that Dazio wants to go

474
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:48,640
Speaker 2: as fast as possible as far as Virginia and Notre

475
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 2: Dame goes. Both of these teams are top twenty five

476
00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:52,520
Speaker 2: and Havoc I project this game at eight and a

477
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 2: half and fifty one, so you would think that there'd

478
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,160
Speaker 2: be a play on Virginia. But I went back into

479
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,679
Speaker 2: Notre Dame's history to see how do they respond in

480
00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 2: games after their previous national showcase game was a loss,

481
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 2: they got beat in a big primetime game or something

482
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 2: that had implications of the college football playoff, like in

483
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 2: twenty seventeen, they lost to Georgia. The next week they

484
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 2: beat Boston College by twenty nine. In twenty sixteen, the

485
00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 2: Notre Dame lost to Texas. They've beaten Nevada by twenty nine.

486
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 2: The next week, was it aqs last year too? Yeah,

487
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 2: qu's last year? And twenty fifteen Clemson. They beat Navy

488
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,840
Speaker 2: the next week by seventeen. Notre Dame has always bounced back.

489
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:26,880
Speaker 2: They've not had an emotional letdown or a hangover. That

490
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 2: speaks to coaching. How well Brian Kelly, How great of

491
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 2: a coach Brian Kelly is. I think they're going to

492
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 2: show up here. I don't think this is any kind

493
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,359
Speaker 2: of hangover spot whatsoever. You know, Virginia had no cares

494
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 2: for Old Dominion when they down seventeen, they'd score twenty

495
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 2: eight straight. Notre Dame has already seen a dual threat

496
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,880
Speaker 2: quarterback in Juwan Pass. He was limited just three runs

497
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 2: that got over ten yards. I don't know if it's

498
00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 2: Kirby's play calling or if it's Notre Dame's defense, but

499
00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:49,600
Speaker 2: Georgia's explosiveness and success rate was down in the box score.

500
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:51,639
Speaker 2: I think their success rate was about even, and the

501
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:54,679
Speaker 2: expl they did have any explosiveness whatsoever through the air

502
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:59,280
Speaker 2: or on the ground. I think that the best way

503
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 2: that ian Book. You know, Notre Dame is eleventh in

504
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:03,719
Speaker 2: the country right now with passes over twenty plus yards.

505
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 2: May be a little bit surprising to people, but ian

506
00:22:05,640 --> 00:22:08,439
Speaker 2: Book is hitting receivers down the field. Virginia defense has

507
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 2: been giving up the big play this season. They have

508
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 2: allowed plenty of plays to go over twenty plus yards.

509
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 2: From scrimmage. They are very boom or bust defense. Either

510
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 2: they're in your backfield creating havoc all day, or you

511
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:20,680
Speaker 2: can get them down the field. So I think Notre

512
00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 2: Dame's gonna I think the game plan is going to

513
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,159
Speaker 2: be up tempo. I think they're gonna go deep, and

514
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 2: I think once they get a lead, this could turn

515
00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 2: into a shootout. I think I think it's going to fast,

516
00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:30,679
Speaker 2: make everything go a little bit faster. The weather is

517
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 2: tailed off. I was a little worried about the weather.

518
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 2: That's why the number came down. I think to forty

519
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,119
Speaker 2: eight is because of the weather. But now the forecast

520
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:40,160
Speaker 2: is it's only about twenty percent in the second half

521
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 2: of this game of precipitation. So I mean, if there

522
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 2: was going to be weather in this game, then I

523
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 2: would think there would be, you know, field conditions that

524
00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 2: would not help you in book get the ball down

525
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 2: the field. But if this forecast completely clears up, I

526
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 2: think over forty eight is the play.

527
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,479
Speaker 4: Yeah, but I think it's worth noting that Bryce Perkins

528
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 4: isn't fully healthy. He has that brace on his knee,

529
00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 4: and he's just not as explosive, and I think that's

530
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 4: a huge part of this week. I think Notre Dame

531
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:06,040
Speaker 4: covers this number. I was really impressed with their defense.

532
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,399
Speaker 4: Virginia hasn't been running it well this year, and a

533
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,119
Speaker 4: lot of that has to do with Perkins, I think,

534
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 4: so I think Notre Dame covers this number. All right,

535
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:16,400
Speaker 4: let's move on to the big ten. We talked about Iowa,

536
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 4: Middle Tennessee State, by the way, Michigan. You know you're

537
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 4: gonna have a lot of people betting them on a

538
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,680
Speaker 4: bounce back against Rutgers. And I can't look at Rutgers

539
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,560
Speaker 4: because Sitkowski just got the start and Sitkowski was probably

540
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:31,359
Speaker 4: the worst quarterback in the country last year. He's going

541
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:35,120
Speaker 4: for Rutgers. You can't bet this game, right Sitkowski?

542
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,199
Speaker 2: No, No, This is two of the worst teams of

543
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,160
Speaker 2: the nation and Havoc also, So it's not like Michigan

544
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:40,960
Speaker 2: can take the ball away from Rutgers. They may be

545
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 2: able to stop them on a third down, but they

546
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 2: haven't proven they can do that either. So it's really

547
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,439
Speaker 2: interesting to see if Michigan responds. If they don't respond

548
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 2: and they don't cover this number, then they've given up.

549
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:50,640
Speaker 2: They've given up.

550
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would agree. I think it's a measuring stick

551
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 4: for the care level of the Michigan program and whether

552
00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 4: or not Harball has lost the locker room. The only

553
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 4: other game I wanted to cover in the Big Ten

554
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 4: is Minnesota Perdue. Minnesota Open is a small dog flipped

555
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 4: to one and a half point favorite. The more I

556
00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:09,359
Speaker 4: look at this Purdue team, the more it's a complete

557
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 4: dumpster fire. What is there to like? You know, obviously

558
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 4: Sindelar may or may not go, he's questionable, but there

559
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 4: is so you know, you have an explosive passing attack

560
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:20,960
Speaker 4: with one of the best receivers in the country. That's

561
00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,879
Speaker 4: about it. I mean, not all of it's their fault.

562
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 4: Marcus Bailey and Lorenzo O'Neill are out on their defense,

563
00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:29,679
Speaker 4: which really just ruined their defense. Their offensive line is

564
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 4: so bad. They have no rushing game to speak of, none,

565
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 4: zero zip. So the more I look at this game,

566
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 4: I think Minnesota, who I have big ten futures on

567
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 4: in a win total over and I've been extremely lucky

568
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:43,919
Speaker 4: because the other side of me says Minnesota could have

569
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:45,919
Speaker 4: lost every game they've played in you know, they've just

570
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,919
Speaker 4: found a way. But I mean, this Purdue team is

571
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 4: just it's there's nothing much to like about it.

572
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,919
Speaker 2: Now, hold on, let me correct you. You said Purdue

573
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 2: has no rushing game whatsoever. They're one hundred and twenty

574
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 2: ninth and rushing yards per attempt at two point zero

575
00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 2: eight worse than them Akron one hundred and thirtieth. This

576
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:05,000
Speaker 2: acron UMass game is one for the ages.

577
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,160
Speaker 4: No, Minnesota's not much better, by the way, they haven't

578
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 4: been running it well.

579
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:10,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, two point six to one, one hundred and twenty

580
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 2: fourth in the nation. So Minnesota and Purdue is down

581
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 2: chumming with the umasses and the acrons of the world.

582
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 2: As far as the rushing game goes, Minnesota has been

583
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 2: extremely lucky. They're one hundred and fifth and yards per

584
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 2: play on offense. There's nothing for me that I like

585
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 2: this team whatsoever. They're one hundred and twenty second in

586
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,879
Speaker 2: sacks given up. It's easy to get to their quarterback.

587
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:30,960
Speaker 2: It's hard to bet this game completely similar the health

588
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 2: the concussion protocol. Have been waiting on word for that

589
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 2: to see how I'm going to bet this game. But

590
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 2: even then, I mean, what is that worth two points

591
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:39,199
Speaker 2: to the spread. It should come back down, So it's

592
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 2: tough one to play.

593
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 4: I'm really looking at Minnesota or keep an eye out

594
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 4: in the app. All right, let's move out of the

595
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:48,320
Speaker 4: Big Ten and touch on the Conference USA. The only

596
00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,720
Speaker 4: game I really wanted to talk about here is FAU.

597
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:55,200
Speaker 4: Charlotte mentioned FAU. Their offensive line has been a disaster

598
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 4: as well. You love Charlotte one point favorite here? They

599
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,200
Speaker 4: open is a one and a half point dog. Are

600
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 4: we going back to Charlotte here?

601
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 2: I do love Charlotte, I have all year. But the

602
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 2: problem is is they're not playing any defense whatsoever. Their

603
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 2: rush defense is atrocious. It's not something that you can

604
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 2: count on FAU to this point. You know, their total

605
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:17,360
Speaker 2: offenses is something that's you know, outstanding at all. They're

606
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 2: averaging three hundred and eighty six yards per game. That's good.

607
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:23,160
Speaker 2: For eighty fifth in the nation. You know Charlotte their defense,

608
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 2: you know, opponent rush yards per attempt five point four,

609
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 2: that's one hundred and seventeen. You know, they're outside the

610
00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 2: top one hundred and rushing tds allowed per game. So

611
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,120
Speaker 2: if any team has a pulse on the ground, they're

612
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,119
Speaker 2: gonna be able to keep up with Charlotte. Now, Charlotte,

613
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 2: I think score with anybody on the group of five level.

614
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,520
Speaker 2: The defense just scares me here. I mean, Charlotte should

615
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 2: be a bigger favorite. I have this game projected at

616
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,119
Speaker 2: Charlotte minus one, so I don't think the point spread

617
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,600
Speaker 2: is off by any means. But this is a whole

618
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 2: thing here where you know, Florida Atlantic I think is

619
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 2: scored on every single red zone attempt I think so

620
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,400
Speaker 2: far this year. So if there's any kind of trip

621
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 2: up for Charlotte whatsoever, like on the offense side of

622
00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:56,919
Speaker 2: the ball or a turnover, which I think they've been

623
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,440
Speaker 2: negative in turnovers every single game this year for Charlotte,

624
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:02,119
Speaker 2: that the thing where I don't trust their defense. I

625
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,400
Speaker 2: don't trust them on third downs on the defensive side

626
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 2: of the ball. They can't stop anybody that can run.

627
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,679
Speaker 2: So look for overs in this game, and then they

628
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,399
Speaker 2: have a lot of bad teams and conference play coming up,

629
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 2: the UTEPS and the and the utsays of the world

630
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:17,280
Speaker 2: coming up. That's going to be the play on spot.

631
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:19,119
Speaker 2: But Fau does have a little bit of a pulse

632
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:20,880
Speaker 2: as far as rushing the ball. So that's why I'm

633
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 2: going to probably pass on this game.

634
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:24,919
Speaker 4: I don't know, I'm looking forartt If you look at

635
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 4: Fau's as the last terrible, I trust Benny LeMay much more.

636
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:31,439
Speaker 4: I think this is a play on Charlotte and a

637
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 4: fade on Lane.

638
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 2: The one of the reasons why I had hesitation on

639
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 2: this game is because I've seen Charlotte thirty to one

640
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:38,399
Speaker 2: to win the conference. If you take a look at

641
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 2: Charlotte like for the rest of the season, and they're

642
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 2: in their schedule Florida International off of a bye week,

643
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 2: Western Kentucky on the road, not tough. They get North

644
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 2: Texas at home. I think that's their toughest game. Middle

645
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:50,399
Speaker 2: Tennessee comes to town. Then they go to UTEP and

646
00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,320
Speaker 2: they finish with Marshall and Old Dominion. They could make

647
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 2: it to the conference championship game and they're thirty to one.

648
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 2: So I think that's something that I would rather act

649
00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,080
Speaker 2: on because if I think they're gonna beat Florida Atlantic,

650
00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:00,439
Speaker 2: that means that I think they could be most of

651
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 2: the teams in the conference. So I think that thirty

652
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 2: to one on them to win that conference does have

653
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 2: some value. Actually tried to send a runner to Circa

654
00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:08,359
Speaker 2: to hit it last week. It was forty to one.

655
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,199
Speaker 2: We didn't get there in time, So I think that's

656
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:11,399
Speaker 2: what I'm gonna do. It'll be my to do the

657
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 2: next twenty four hours to get some Charlotte money down

658
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:15,520
Speaker 2: on a future rather than play against Florida Atlantic.

659
00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 4: You're given Lane inn fau Way too much credit here.

660
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,919
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to some maction. And I

661
00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 4: love the MAC card this week, which is probably a

662
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 4: terrible sign. I'll start at noon with NIU and Vanderbilt.

663
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 4: I think this is a get out your frustrations game

664
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 4: for Vandy. And look if you look at who they played,

665
00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,679
Speaker 4: they played Perdue at Purdue and lost by eighteen, and

666
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 4: then they played Georgia and LSU, two top five teams,

667
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,360
Speaker 4: so the schedule has done them no favors. I think

668
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 4: you're buying low on them here and against the Northern

669
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 4: Illinois team who also can't run the ball, and they've

670
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 4: lost now two of their starting linebackers, which is huge.

671
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 4: I was supposed to be a strength of their team.

672
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 4: Now it's a weakness showed up against Nebraska. I think

673
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 4: it'll continue to show up, and I think Vaughn can

674
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 4: have a big day. I think Vandy gets right here.

675
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 4: I'm thinking a lay in the six and a half

676
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:07,040
Speaker 4: other games. I'm looking at Buffalo Miamas Ohio. This game

677
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 4: should be ugly. Look at the under here, under forty

678
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 4: seven and a half. These teams all they can do

679
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 4: is run it. They can't neither can throw it. There're

680
00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 4: two of the heaviest non option rush offenses in the country.

681
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,760
Speaker 4: You know, you could say, hey, look, Buffalo just beat

682
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 4: Temple thirty eight to twenty two. We'll take a look

683
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,720
Speaker 4: at the box score. Buffalo averaged three point seven yards

684
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:28,440
Speaker 4: per carry, that two hundred and sixty yards and scored

685
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:30,720
Speaker 4: thirty eight points. Temple just turned it over all day A.

686
00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:34,080
Speaker 4: Buffalo only scored seventeen against Liberty, you know, thirteen against

687
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 4: Penn State and Mimama Ohio's offense is just a mess.

688
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 4: Mimica Hia was also really banged up from that Ohio

689
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 4: State game. I think you just see two rush heavy offenses,

690
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:46,800
Speaker 4: inefficient passing attacks. The totals come down from fifty three

691
00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 4: to forty seven and a half. I still like the

692
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 4: under forty seven and a half. So I'm looking at

693
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 4: NIU and the under in Buffalo Mina, Ohio. You see

694
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:55,800
Speaker 4: anything in either of those two games.

695
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 2: Yeah. The point spread for the Vandy one, I think

696
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:00,400
Speaker 2: is too high. I think I've got that projected Vanderbilt

697
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 2: minus two and a half. So and I was actually

698
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 2: impressed with their offense or the ability at least to

699
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 2: get up over thirty points against LSU. LSU is kind

700
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,040
Speaker 2: of be kind of under the microscope now after Vanderbilt

701
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:13,360
Speaker 2: puts up that many points. So, but you know, I

702
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 2: think that I think that spread is a little bit

703
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:16,640
Speaker 2: too high, and anything at seven I might have to

704
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:18,520
Speaker 2: start considering Northern Illinois.

705
00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:20,800
Speaker 4: Don't do it. I'm telling you that's probably my favorite spot.

706
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 4: It's just a bi low spot against the MAC team.

707
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,720
Speaker 4: And I mean, look, maybe I'm giving Vandy too much

708
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 4: credit here, but I think they can actually take something

709
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 4: out of that game against LSU. You know, when they

710
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 4: scored almost forty points all right, so the other other

711
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:34,880
Speaker 4: games in the MAC I wanted to mention, Well, first

712
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 4: you have to lie to us. It's time for you

713
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:42,720
Speaker 4: to lie to us. A lot of me. Take a

714
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,200
Speaker 4: stand right now, one hand up in the air. Are

715
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 4: you going to bet Akron UMass? Now that Akron is

716
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,479
Speaker 4: a seven and a half point favorite. It's awful tempting.

717
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:53,560
Speaker 4: These are the two worst teams in the country by

718
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:55,360
Speaker 4: our power ratings one hundred and twenty nine or one

719
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:57,520
Speaker 4: hundred and thirty, and you can get one hundred and

720
00:30:57,520 --> 00:31:00,520
Speaker 4: thirty catching seven and a half at home. It's tempting.

721
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 4: I will say it again. UMass is the new Yukon.

722
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 4: Don't do it. They're just going to find a way

723
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 4: to not cover. But it is tempting. Are you going

724
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 4: to bet it's so which side?

725
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 2: Absolutely not. I'm not going to bet this game. I

726
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 2: think what people don't realize is UMass only has fifty

727
00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,959
Speaker 2: six scholarship players. They could have eighty five. They already

728
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 2: lost their starting center to injury, and this week they

729
00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:24,760
Speaker 2: kicked off one of their four year starters on the

730
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 2: offensive line for violation of team rules. There's absolutely no

731
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 2: way in hell I would ever back U Mass I

732
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 2: don't care what the number is, and looking at accurate stats,

733
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,160
Speaker 2: there's no way I would ever trust them to lay

734
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 2: a point against any team, most FCS teams. So no,

735
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 2: I will not bet this game.

736
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 4: I can't wait till it comes across in the app

737
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 4: and Twitter explodes. All right, here's a game we're going

738
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 4: to disagree on. And I haven't talked to you about

739
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,480
Speaker 4: this game, but looking at your projection, you make BYU

740
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 4: your favorite team, I think you're gonna bet them every

741
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 4: week a nine point you know, right around nine to

742
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 4: ten point favorite in this game against Toledo is uh No,

743
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,479
Speaker 4: bo is only laying two and a half. Now it

744
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:05,480
Speaker 4: opened up high. I think there was a service that

745
00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 4: released Toledo and it came down. I actually like Toledo here,

746
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 4: and I've loved what I've seen from the rushing attack

747
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:15,760
Speaker 4: in Kobac. He went in bonkers against Colorado State last week.

748
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 4: But this is really a fade of BYU, and it

749
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 4: goes back to what I said last week. BYU, you

750
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 4: know they could they have an argument in the Vanderbilt

751
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 4: category of hardest schedule. They started with Utah, then at Tennessee,

752
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 4: then USC and then Washington. That included in their two

753
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:34,959
Speaker 4: and two that includes two overtime games. They're playing again,

754
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 4: you know, fifth time, basically in September. They're going to Toledo.

755
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 4: From what I saw last week, I was able to

756
00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 4: catch some of the game, they look exhausted. This team

757
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 4: needs a buy, which they get next week. But I

758
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 4: cannot see. You know, BYU should get theirs against Toledo's defense,

759
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:52,480
Speaker 4: But I think BYU is going to wear down in

760
00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:55,480
Speaker 4: this game. They're I mean, just going to Toledo for

761
00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 4: a noon kick. I think this is just a nightmare spot.

762
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,600
Speaker 4: I'll be on the rock. It's I'm hoping to get three.

763
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,000
Speaker 4: You gotta like BYU because you're a line. Are you

764
00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 4: staying away now?

765
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 2: I'm staying away from this game. I mean I make

766
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 2: the game nine, so I should be playing on BYU.

767
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 2: You know, Toledo is just atrocious. I mean, for as

768
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 2: much as we talk about what they did against Colorado State,

769
00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 2: they gave up six hundred and ninety four yards to

770
00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 2: Colorado State. So Toledo's defense is horrid. Their defensive line

771
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 2: is eightieth in line yards, they're one hundred and eighth

772
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:23,959
Speaker 2: and an opportunity rate one hundred and seventeenth and sack right,

773
00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:27,440
Speaker 2: But you're right, BYU should be completely exhausted. It's got

774
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 2: to be on the kids' minds that they have a

775
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 2: buy coming up after this. They can get some rest,

776
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:33,320
Speaker 2: get back on track, you know. BYU is tough to

777
00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 2: back them, even though my power rating is way over

778
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 2: what the number is.

779
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 4: All right, moving on to the Mountain West. We won't

780
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 4: spend too much time here. We obviously have to bring

781
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:45,640
Speaker 4: up Liberty. Liberty is a seven point favorite at home

782
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 4: against New Mexico, and then the other game, I wanted

783
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,720
Speaker 4: to bring up the fraudulent pokes of Wyoming. They're laying

784
00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:55,920
Speaker 4: nine against UNLV. I'm really tempted to bet YOUNLB as

785
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 4: a dog here against Wyoming. One of the funniest things

786
00:33:58,240 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 4: you'll see if you go and look at you know,

787
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:03,000
Speaker 4: complete percentage, you know, and just filter it by team,

788
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 4: you'll start laughing at what Wyoming is. Wyoming is way

789
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 4: at the bottom. Thirty five point nine percent is their

790
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:13,240
Speaker 4: completion percentage. Next is Army, but Wyoming can't complete a pass.

791
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,360
Speaker 4: So I'm really tempted. And by the way, if you

792
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:16,799
Speaker 4: just go up a little more, there's Buffalo and then

793
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:18,759
Speaker 4: there's mind Hio. That's why I really love that under

794
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:23,440
Speaker 4: are we betting either Liberty or are we fading wyoming

795
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 4: any few on either of those two games.

796
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:27,239
Speaker 2: I think Liberty is the one that we have to bet.

797
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 2: I haven't put it in yet because I definitely don't

798
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,360
Speaker 2: want to bet the seven and a half. If you

799
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 2: look at New Mexico's pass defense, it's it's pretty bad.

800
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 2: It's one hundred and eighteenth in pass yards per attempt

801
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 2: at nine point oh four per pass. Their opponent yards

802
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:40,920
Speaker 2: per play is one hundred and twenty third in the nation.

803
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:43,799
Speaker 2: They're allowing seven yards per play. The big thing that

804
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:46,120
Speaker 2: we can't put in the power ratings and we can't

805
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:47,960
Speaker 2: adjust to is the fact that Hugh Freeze is back

806
00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 2: on the field.

807
00:34:48,600 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 4: Big Ray to start the game, but at halftime, if

808
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 4: things aren't going so well, we're going to go to Bazuka.

809
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 2: He had no way to get to Buckshot through those

810
00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,040
Speaker 2: you know, the dental chair and the hospital beds and

811
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 2: being in the steel cage, the hell and the cell

812
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:05,680
Speaker 2: there on the sidelines, like the Liberty improved and finally

813
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:07,719
Speaker 2: you know, won a game and Blue blew a team out.

814
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,040
Speaker 2: Once he got he got back on the field and

815
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 2: he was able to connect with Buckshot Calvert after each drive,

816
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,320
Speaker 2: after they were able to make adjustments after each series.

817
00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 2: So I think that's the biggest difference, and it doesn't

818
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 2: reflect in the power ratings. So I think liberty is

819
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 2: definitely the play here. But you don't want to have

820
00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:21,399
Speaker 2: the hook.

821
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:25,279
Speaker 4: You have sacrificed and labored for years to make this

822
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:28,600
Speaker 4: day a reality. And we're proud of you. Congratulations yep.

823
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 4: And are we fading Wyoming here with you?

824
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 2: And I don't know what to do with Wyoming, the

825
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 2: biggest box score frauds. You know, their rush defense isn't

826
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 2: that great, And that's what UNLV is based upon. The

827
00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 2: number is spot on. It's exactly where I have it.

828
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 2: And so you know, as much as I want to

829
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,399
Speaker 2: expose Wyoming, I've got this number with minus nine point eight,

830
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,480
Speaker 2: so it's right on. I would love to back you

831
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:49,800
Speaker 2: and OLV on the road here, but you know, Wyoming,

832
00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:51,480
Speaker 2: we're gonna get Wyoming one of these weeks. They've been

833
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:52,919
Speaker 2: the biggest box score fraud of the year.

834
00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, well we got him last week with TOLS some moneyline,

835
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:57,799
Speaker 4: but they found a way to cover again. All right,

836
00:35:57,880 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 4: let's move on here. Let us know, guys, by the way,

837
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 4: give us feedback on if you like this format. There's

838
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 4: not a ton of marquee games, you know, huge you know,

839
00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:09,000
Speaker 4: three thirty CBS games and Top twenty five matchups, which

840
00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 4: normally we would spend a lot of time digging into.

841
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:13,839
Speaker 4: So we decided to just go through as many games

842
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 4: as possible because you know that it's an odd slate

843
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 4: when you're getting questions about ECU, ODU, Louisiana, Lafayette, Georgia Southern,

844
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:23,439
Speaker 4: So we're trying to hit as many games as we can.

845
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 4: Let's move on to the Wild Pac twelve, where expect

846
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:30,160
Speaker 4: the unexpected. As we've seen, the only undefeated team in

847
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:32,880
Speaker 4: the conference is Cal. We'll get to their game in

848
00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:37,240
Speaker 4: Friday night lights later. Myle my, how far Stanford has fallen.

849
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:39,600
Speaker 4: You're going to touch on that later in a little teaser.

850
00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:42,439
Speaker 4: Washington ten and a half point favorite out at the

851
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:46,319
Speaker 4: line has crossed the ten over USC. USC obviously off

852
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:49,919
Speaker 4: that big win over Utah. Now, look we talked about

853
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 4: last week when USC and their air raid. The air

854
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:54,719
Speaker 4: raid has had a lot of success against Utah and

855
00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,399
Speaker 4: their man defense. If you look at what Washington State

856
00:36:57,440 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 4: has done. And by the way, Washington State plays Utah,

857
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:02,920
Speaker 4: which we'll get you next, but Washington State hasn't had

858
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,400
Speaker 4: a lot of success against Washington. Washington knows how to

859
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 4: play this. You know, they'd rush three, they drop eight,

860
00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:10,799
Speaker 4: They'll have two deep safeties to take away, you know,

861
00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 4: deep balls. You're not going to get those one as

862
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:14,600
Speaker 4: many one on one matchups to throw it up to

863
00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:17,799
Speaker 4: those elite USC wide receivers. You have Matt Fink going

864
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:19,640
Speaker 4: on the road here against the defense that can cover

865
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:23,480
Speaker 4: the air raid, that has seen it. Is not why

866
00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:26,359
Speaker 4: you like Washington. See, I think I saw a play

867
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 4: come through on the Huskies here. I think it's a

868
00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:31,160
Speaker 4: good spot for Washington. Crossing the ten makes it a

869
00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:32,600
Speaker 4: little tougher. What do you see here?

870
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely a great spot for Washington here. The number

871
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 2: I actually made, you know, Washington minus seven, so I

872
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:41,719
Speaker 2: should be back in USC. But the thing is is

873
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:43,920
Speaker 2: Matt Fink. All he did was use the air raid

874
00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 2: to his advantage to take it against a Utah team

875
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 2: that's never been able to defend the air raid.

876
00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 4: Stanford. You know, jump ball and go.

877
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 2: Tip ball central, throw it up, chuck it, let the

878
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 2: guys go up. And get it, and that for some reason,

879
00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:57,840
Speaker 2: Utah safeties year after year after year always has problems

880
00:37:57,880 --> 00:37:59,359
Speaker 2: with the air raid and that kind of offense. It's

881
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 2: not gonna work again. It's Washington. They've beaten the tar

882
00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 2: out of Washington State the last few years because they've

883
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,120
Speaker 2: always made comments on the defensive side of the ball

884
00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:08,719
Speaker 2: that defending the air raid is the same thing every year.

885
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 2: There's nothing new about the scheme. We know how to

886
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 2: defend it. It's something to easily coach. I don't know

887
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:16,560
Speaker 2: why they can figure it out and why Utah can't

888
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:19,480
Speaker 2: figure it out, but I expect Washington to be completely

889
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:21,879
Speaker 2: prepared for this attack. And Matt Fink, now that there's

890
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:23,799
Speaker 2: tape out and he's kind of exposed to what his

891
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:26,200
Speaker 2: tendencies are. I think that's also to the advantage of

892
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 2: Washington too. Jacob Eeson is going to be able to,

893
00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 2: you know, throw it, probably throw it all over the

894
00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:35,920
Speaker 2: place and hit some guys deep. The USC's power is

895
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 2: in the trench. I think they would be able to

896
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 2: hang with teams that you know, are rushing center kind

897
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:41,760
Speaker 2: of like what they did. They were able to overpower

898
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 2: Stanford in the trenches, but that's not how this game

899
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 2: is going to go. You got to think about what

900
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:47,319
Speaker 2: USC's path has been to this game. They've had just

901
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:51,759
Speaker 2: some high level games against Utah, against BYU, Stanford, they

902
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:53,399
Speaker 2: haven't really had a break and like we said last

903
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 2: week with BYU, the gas has to run out of

904
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 2: the take at some point. I think this is it

905
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:57,000
Speaker 2: for USC.

906
00:38:57,480 --> 00:38:59,919
Speaker 4: Yeah, there's two schools of thoughts in you know, gard

907
00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 4: the air raid and you're going to see a lot

908
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,560
Speaker 4: of NFL teams look to you know, the college ranks.

909
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:06,000
Speaker 4: That's where the a raid came from. And then how

910
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 4: do you defend it? One of those teams we're going

911
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:09,439
Speaker 4: to get through next Big twelve. We didn't forget about

912
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:12,880
Speaker 4: you Iowa State, who's you know, their defense is really

913
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:15,680
Speaker 4: revolutionizing how teams defend the ARAI. They're in the Big

914
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 4: twelve and they've been the most successful team at defending it.

915
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 4: That's where the third three to three five came from.

916
00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 4: But what Washington does is though you know rush three

917
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,359
Speaker 4: and they're dropping eight, same kind of thing. And look,

918
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:29,880
Speaker 4: b why you copied that. That's what BYU did against USC.

919
00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 4: Utah is just a man team. But did they learn

920
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,279
Speaker 4: from last week? They were mixing in some zone. Do

921
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:39,319
Speaker 4: they come out and play completely different This week looks

922
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 4: like Zach Moss is doubtful against Washington State. Washington State

923
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:47,560
Speaker 4: coming off that crazy loss against UCLA when they were

924
00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 4: up by fifty or who knows in the third quarter,

925
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,440
Speaker 4: and then Utah's coming off that loss to US. It

926
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:56,320
Speaker 4: is a huge game in the PAC twelve at Utah

927
00:39:56,400 --> 00:40:00,280
Speaker 4: under the lights. Believe it's a tenant ten Eastern k

928
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:04,319
Speaker 4: Utah because of how they play, has been owned by

929
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:06,120
Speaker 4: Washington State. They won four straight in the series.

930
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:08,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Utah's best plan of action here which

931
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 2: I do like them to win this game. Maybe not

932
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:11,919
Speaker 2: to cover, but I do like Utah to win this game.

933
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:14,280
Speaker 2: I think their plan of action is to use Devin Brumfield.

934
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:16,839
Speaker 2: He's the backup running back. He's a power running back.

935
00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:18,400
Speaker 2: He'll be able to go through the tackles. He'll be

936
00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:20,120
Speaker 2: able to eat up a bunch of clock. Time of

937
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:22,319
Speaker 2: possession is a big deal for Utah. They're seventh in

938
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:24,840
Speaker 2: the nation thirty five minutes per game and holding the ball.

939
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 2: The best way to not let the air raid beat

940
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:29,960
Speaker 2: you is to just keep on getting first downs over

941
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:32,600
Speaker 2: and over and running the ball, eating the clock. Listen

942
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,879
Speaker 2: this wash His State defense soft, I mean Leech called

943
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 2: them all kinds of names. And Utah should be able

944
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:40,759
Speaker 2: to turn around, hand the ball to Devin Brumfield, and

945
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:42,800
Speaker 2: he should be able to get eight yards per carry,

946
00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:44,640
Speaker 2: and I expect that to be the plan of attack

947
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:46,640
Speaker 2: for Utah. I like the under in this game because

948
00:40:46,680 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a lot slower paced

949
00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:51,040
Speaker 2: and people realize, I mean Washington State, they're never fast,

950
00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 2: and I think Utah's best plan of attack is to

951
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 2: hand the ball off, keep the air raid off the field.

952
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:56,920
Speaker 2: So I think Utah is going to keep it straight

953
00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:58,560
Speaker 2: and I think they're going to do their best to

954
00:40:58,640 --> 00:40:59,840
Speaker 2: keep watching the State off the field.

955
00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:03,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm interested to see the adjustments that Winninghamton company make,

956
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:05,720
Speaker 4: could you Talh, I think you're gonna see more zone

957
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,799
Speaker 4: and look, Washington State passes more than any team in

958
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 4: the country. Obviously they usually do. You know, they're the

959
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:15,520
Speaker 4: most pass heavy offense in the country. And I don't

960
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:17,640
Speaker 4: think Utah can keep doing what they've been doing, and

961
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 4: they saw it not work again last week versus USC

962
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:23,319
Speaker 4: hasn't worked the last four times against Washington State, so

963
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 4: I think they can learn from last week, and you'll

964
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 4: see more zone concept. They come out with a vengeance here.

965
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:30,680
Speaker 4: I just wish Washington State would have held on to

966
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:33,080
Speaker 4: beat UCLA. It would have made this spot a lot better.

967
00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 4: But yeah, I agree with you. I think Utah bucks

968
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:38,680
Speaker 4: the trend here and gets to win.

969
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 2: All right.

970
00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:42,920
Speaker 4: I mentioned the Big Twelve. Let's go there. I didn't

971
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 4: skip over you TCU Kansas. TCU is banged up, Kansas

972
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 4: think is live dog. We'll cover that more on our

973
00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:52,080
Speaker 4: live show on Saturday mornings ten thirty Eastern. Check us

974
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:55,239
Speaker 4: out on Twitter. We'll tweet out the link. Texas Tech Oklahoma.

975
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,080
Speaker 4: I'll get to later in the show. But let's talk

976
00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:01,400
Speaker 4: Iowa State Baylor. These are two of our favorite coaches

977
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 4: to back. Iowa State's a three point favorite here. I

978
00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 4: mentioned that Iowa State defense they're running at three three five.

979
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:10,200
Speaker 4: It's been the best defense in the Big Twelve. Baylor

980
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 4: has felt the wrath of it in the last two meetings.

981
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 4: The last two years, they scored just fourteen points in

982
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:17,279
Speaker 4: each meeting. What I think this comes down to is

983
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:20,360
Speaker 4: Iowa State's offense finally have the explosion they've been waiting

984
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:22,319
Speaker 4: for last week. But I think the difference in this

985
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:25,440
Speaker 4: game is the offensive lines. Iowa State has an excellent

986
00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:29,399
Speaker 4: offensive line. Baylor does not. That's the last thing that

987
00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:33,520
Speaker 4: you want playing Iowa State's excellent defensive front. So I

988
00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:36,400
Speaker 4: think Brewer will get his yards and they'll be chucking

989
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:38,880
Speaker 4: it all over. But Iowa State knows how to play

990
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 4: that type of defense. I think this is one in

991
00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:44,279
Speaker 4: the trenches, and that's the difference in this game. I

992
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:47,719
Speaker 4: think Iowa State wins. I like them minus three. What

993
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,320
Speaker 4: do you see they're in Baylor down in Waco.

994
00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:52,520
Speaker 2: I'm not taking a side in this game. I think

995
00:42:52,560 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 2: it's gonna be one of those kinds of games you

996
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:55,279
Speaker 2: could play live and you can get plus three on

997
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 2: both sides. So I mean I project this to be

998
00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 2: Baylor minus one. So obviously with Iowas you know, minus three,

999
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:02,799
Speaker 2: I would think that there's value on that. But I

1000
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:04,320
Speaker 2: think this game is going to be back and forth,

1001
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:06,879
Speaker 2: and so I would rather play the side live.

1002
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 4: Now.

1003
00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 2: I do think that this is going to be an

1004
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 2: over game. As I watch it tick down even further

1005
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 2: down to fifty four and a half, both teams are

1006
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:15,040
Speaker 2: top twenty five in yards per play on offense and

1007
00:43:15,080 --> 00:43:17,920
Speaker 2: in defense. They have huge gaps in yards per play differential,

1008
00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:20,759
Speaker 2: which is over four. You know, the temperature needs to

1009
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:22,960
Speaker 2: be at least recognized as a part of the handicap.

1010
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:24,799
Speaker 2: It's going to be ninety three degrees, it's going to

1011
00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:26,399
Speaker 2: be clear, and it's going to be hot, and I'm

1012
00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:29,200
Speaker 2: wondering if that plays a Baylor's favor in the second half. Listen,

1013
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:31,640
Speaker 2: I love Rock Purty, but this Baylor defense is excellent,

1014
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:33,440
Speaker 2: especially getting you off the field. They're number one in

1015
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:36,080
Speaker 2: the country opponent third down conversion percentage. You know, Iowa

1016
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:39,400
Speaker 2: States no slouch, but they's seventy fifth and sacray. Baylor's defense,

1017
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 2: I think is up to the task of holding down

1018
00:43:42,920 --> 00:43:45,080
Speaker 2: Iowa State at least keeping them in the game. So

1019
00:43:45,400 --> 00:43:47,520
Speaker 2: I like the over end this game. I'd rather roll

1020
00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:48,879
Speaker 2: the dice with the over and play in the side

1021
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:50,920
Speaker 2: live Baylor has.

1022
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 4: Who's Baylor played right? So far? This year? They played,

1023
00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:59,879
Speaker 4: They struggled with Rice, they beat Utsa, and they beat

1024
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:02,640
Speaker 4: Steve n f Austin. I don't really trust their defense numbers,

1025
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 4: and even in those games, their offensive line was struggling.

1026
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:07,920
Speaker 4: I saw their offense on struggling against Rice. The right

1027
00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:10,600
Speaker 4: side of the offensive line is really raw last year

1028
00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:13,320
Speaker 4: they let up. I believe a big twelve high. I

1029
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,279
Speaker 4: think forty sacks somewhere around the thirty nine sacks. I

1030
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:19,120
Speaker 4: just think this offensive line is going to have its

1031
00:44:19,120 --> 00:44:23,440
Speaker 4: hands full against Liman Company and that really outstanding Iowa

1032
00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:27,040
Speaker 4: State defensive front. All right. Elsewhere in the big twelve,

1033
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:29,839
Speaker 4: Kansas State, Oklahoma State, this line has come way down.

1034
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,319
Speaker 4: Oklahoma State now only a four point favorite. I think

1035
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 4: you make this significantly higher. Over unders dropped from sixty

1036
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 4: three and a half to sixty at first glance. I

1037
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:40,799
Speaker 4: like this under Now it's a pace clash. You know,

1038
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 4: Kansas State is one of the slowest teams in the country.

1039
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:46,840
Speaker 4: They are a straight snail. They're going to run at

1040
00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 4: a ton. You know, they're gonna short passes, and then

1041
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:53,240
Speaker 4: Oklahoma State's opos. They're gonna go fast, fast, fast, fast fast.

1042
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:55,359
Speaker 4: I think the over runner is actually a little too high.

1043
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:58,720
Speaker 4: I'm a huge believer in this Kansas State team in Klinman,

1044
00:44:58,800 --> 00:44:59,719
Speaker 4: but what do you see here?

1045
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:01,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kansas State is coming off of a bye, so

1046
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 2: they should be freshtionnary to go. They've had two weeks

1047
00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 2: for prepares to where Oklahoma State is coming off of

1048
00:45:06,080 --> 00:45:08,799
Speaker 2: a road trip down to Texas where they actually kept

1049
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 2: you know, even in total yards they had four hundred

1050
00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:13,760
Speaker 2: ninety four Texas four ninety eight. The total I actually

1051
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:16,080
Speaker 2: make spot on we projected this at sixty one. It's

1052
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:17,799
Speaker 2: kind of hanging out right right around there. And I

1053
00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 2: do think at Oklahoma State, I've got it actually a

1054
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:23,080
Speaker 2: little bit higher at Oklahoma State minus eight point five

1055
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 2: over Kansas State. I don't know how to make heads

1056
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:26,879
Speaker 2: or tails, but what we've seen with Nichols and Bowling

1057
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:28,920
Speaker 2: Green Missisippi State, Kansas State has done everything that they

1058
00:45:28,960 --> 00:45:31,399
Speaker 2: needed to do definitely not a play for me. I'm

1059
00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 2: not comfortable with money on Kansas State yet. I still,

1060
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 2: you know, like Oklahoma State, especially offensively, where you know,

1061
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:39,880
Speaker 2: we've had games of five hundred and fifty five five

1062
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:42,279
Speaker 2: hundred eighty yards against Oregon State McNeice and over five

1063
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:44,919
Speaker 2: hundred yards against Tulsa and almost five hundred yards against Texas.

1064
00:45:45,000 --> 00:45:47,440
Speaker 2: It's just seems like shootout to me. So you know,

1065
00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:49,399
Speaker 2: I probably will look over more than anything else.

1066
00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:52,160
Speaker 4: Yep. All right, before we get to the SEC, let's

1067
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:56,480
Speaker 4: quickly go through the belt. Don't let the latest come

1068
00:45:56,520 --> 00:46:00,200
Speaker 4: between you and the beil Troy Arkansas State. If you

1069
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:03,719
Speaker 4: don't know Arkansas State, you gotta feel bad for them.

1070
00:46:04,040 --> 00:46:07,160
Speaker 4: It is a disaster. Logan Bonner is out for the year.

1071
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:11,120
Speaker 4: He had thumb surgery. Their quarterback now is a kid

1072
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:16,080
Speaker 4: who transferred from Alabama, Lane Hatcher. He's a three star kid.

1073
00:46:16,200 --> 00:46:20,239
Speaker 4: He'll get the start. Ryan Graham, one of their running backs,

1074
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:22,600
Speaker 4: is out for the season. Their other running back, Marcel Mary,

1075
00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:25,479
Speaker 4: is questionable with an ankle injury. He's nursing. They lost

1076
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:29,200
Speaker 4: their top corner. A mess. It's risen from fifty five

1077
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 4: and a half to fifty eight and half. I think

1078
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 4: a touch fifty nine and a half. It's come down

1079
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:33,359
Speaker 4: a little bit. I like the under. I think Troy

1080
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 4: can name it. This Arkansas State team is just beat up.

1081
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:39,000
Speaker 4: And the only other game that I think is we're

1082
00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:42,320
Speaker 4: talking about is app State Coastal Carolina line is ticked down.

1083
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:44,879
Speaker 4: Any interest in Coastal or Arc State?

1084
00:46:44,960 --> 00:46:47,400
Speaker 2: Troy, Yeah, I think you're right on with Troy. I mean,

1085
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:49,160
Speaker 2: the number is up from our projection. We had a

1086
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:50,959
Speaker 2: four and a half. It's at seven and a half.

1087
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:52,839
Speaker 2: And that you know, it could be Logan Bonner in there.

1088
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 2: It could be a lot of reasons. Arkansas State's been

1089
00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:56,799
Speaker 2: through a lot on the field, and they've been through

1090
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 2: a lot off the field. Troy's yards per place so

1091
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:01,879
Speaker 2: far as fourteenth the nation at seven point three five,

1092
00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:04,440
Speaker 2: and Arkansas State is outside the top one hundred opponent

1093
00:47:04,520 --> 00:47:06,840
Speaker 2: yards per play allowed, So I definitely like Troy in

1094
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:07,920
Speaker 2: that spot to take advantage.

1095
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:12,239
Speaker 4: All right, let's go through the sec rapid fire. We'll

1096
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:15,840
Speaker 4: start miss State Auburn. Look, bow Nicks, bo Picks, whatever

1097
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:20,839
Speaker 4: you want to call him, bow Nicks season, then full effect. Look,

1098
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 4: he's been inefficient. I will say Mississippi State's offensive line,

1099
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:28,000
Speaker 4: which was a problem early in the year, has been better,

1100
00:47:28,080 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 4: and it was better against Kentucky. Auburn should win the

1101
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 4: battle in the trenches here. I think Auburn will win

1102
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:35,920
Speaker 4: the game. I made it less than ten, and I

1103
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:37,719
Speaker 4: could get it at eleven. I believe it just took

1104
00:47:37,760 --> 00:47:39,640
Speaker 4: down the nine and a half as we're recording this.

1105
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:42,279
Speaker 4: That's it to play on the number for me. I

1106
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:44,600
Speaker 4: think this got a little inflated at eleven. That's why

1107
00:47:44,600 --> 00:47:46,200
Speaker 4: I played in miss State. Any thoughts there?

1108
00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:48,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, Tommy Stevens is practice this week. It was kind

1109
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:51,520
Speaker 2: of a close practice Tuesday and Wednesday, and all Morehead

1110
00:47:51,520 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 2: would say was that he definitely did practice. So it

1111
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:56,000
Speaker 2: looks like I think the number is coming down because

1112
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 2: it's starting to lead to Tommy Stevens is going to

1113
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 2: be under center for Mississippi State. I made the game

1114
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:02,600
Speaker 2: with Tommy Stevens Auburn minus seven, so I think there's

1115
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:04,719
Speaker 2: value And especially if Tommy Stevens is gonna start and

1116
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:06,360
Speaker 2: he's fine, then I think there's definitely value on the

1117
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:07,000
Speaker 2: number at ten.

1118
00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:10,239
Speaker 4: Texas A and m Arkansas. You're fading your boys here

1119
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:13,640
Speaker 4: catching twenty three and a half at home Arkansas against

1120
00:48:13,640 --> 00:48:14,200
Speaker 4: Texas A.

1121
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:16,560
Speaker 1: And m woo pig suy.

1122
00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:19,319
Speaker 4: Absolute dumpster fined, dumpster fine.

1123
00:48:19,360 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1124
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:22,440
Speaker 2: of the year, just blowing program up.

1125
00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:23,600
Speaker 4: Give us a death sentence.

1126
00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:26,400
Speaker 1: Collins talking razorback football.

1127
00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:29,560
Speaker 2: I think this is a first half play on Arkansas.

1128
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 2: You're gonna get the best effort you can get out

1129
00:48:31,040 --> 00:48:34,239
Speaker 2: of Arkansas. Between all this club dub nonsense bullshit with

1130
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:36,160
Speaker 2: them dancing in the locker room and saying they're going

1131
00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:38,240
Speaker 2: to be you know, San Jose State by one hundred

1132
00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:41,120
Speaker 2: and seventy three and Nick Starkles being crabby with people

1133
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:44,279
Speaker 2: on his Instagram and practice. You know, Chad Morris has

1134
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,239
Speaker 2: come out and said that practice has been perfect this week.

1135
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:49,520
Speaker 2: The execution has been spot on, the best that they've

1136
00:48:49,520 --> 00:48:52,200
Speaker 2: had the entire year. And I like John Chavis in

1137
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 2: this spot. Are our defensive coordinator. He's formerly of Texas

1138
00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:56,439
Speaker 2: A and M. He kept this game tight last year,

1139
00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 2: So I think a first half play is worth it.

1140
00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:00,719
Speaker 2: I mean, we picked off Kellen mont Weis last year.

1141
00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:03,440
Speaker 2: Arkansas's defense is thirty fifth and Havoc. They're just getting

1142
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:06,160
Speaker 2: gashed on the ground. They're absolutely terrible on the ground

1143
00:49:06,160 --> 00:49:08,960
Speaker 2: and controlling the run. So I think Arkansas is worth

1144
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:10,919
Speaker 2: a play because of the effort factor and the line

1145
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 2: is inflated a little bit for the first half. But

1146
00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:15,319
Speaker 2: besides that, I can't trust him full game.

1147
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:17,839
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I'll look at him full game though, too.

1148
00:49:17,840 --> 00:49:19,560
Speaker 4: If it gets a twenty four. Yeah, you make a

1149
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:22,759
Speaker 4: good point. This is in Arlington noon kick Bama Ole

1150
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 4: Miss who cares Kentucky South Carolina. Both teams are dealing

1151
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:29,719
Speaker 4: with quarterback injury. Sawyer Smith for Kentucky's even banged up now.

1152
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:32,279
Speaker 4: He looks like he's gonna play. Looked awful last week.

1153
00:49:32,320 --> 00:49:35,759
Speaker 4: Against Mississippis. Kentucky's owned this series, owned it. I think

1154
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:38,000
Speaker 4: they're going for six wins in a row for South Carolina,

1155
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:40,399
Speaker 4: which is crazy to think for Kentucky football. The South

1156
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:42,680
Speaker 4: Carolina bounce back here two and a half point favorite

1157
00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:43,719
Speaker 4: at home over the.

1158
00:49:43,680 --> 00:49:46,200
Speaker 2: Cats Kentucky, I don't know who's going to be under center.

1159
00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:49,160
Speaker 2: They were then coming into the season already. I can't

1160
00:49:49,160 --> 00:49:51,600
Speaker 2: back either team in this spot. It's musical chairs of

1161
00:49:51,640 --> 00:49:52,839
Speaker 2: the bottom of the SEC East.

1162
00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:56,600
Speaker 4: Yep. All right, before we go three and out, let's

1163
00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 4: talk FCS or.

1164
00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:11,120
Speaker 1: No, Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big ten. It's

1165
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:17,800
Speaker 1: time to play EPC. Yes or no.

1166
00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:20,680
Speaker 4: Now this might be just one second because there's not

1167
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:23,120
Speaker 4: many matchups, there's not many intruing ones. I just wanted

1168
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:26,880
Speaker 4: to use this time to tell Flacco, not Joe, Tom

1169
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:30,360
Speaker 4: and talsand they have a pretty good offense. They're playing Florida.

1170
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:33,800
Speaker 4: I think Florida really just cares about they've done with

1171
00:50:33,840 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 4: a lot of injuries. Florida just cares about getting out

1172
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:39,279
Speaker 4: of this game healthy, not showing anything. You know, they're

1173
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:43,279
Speaker 4: coming off that win, you know over Tennessee over Kentucky,

1174
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:46,439
Speaker 4: and you know on deck they have Auburn. I doubt

1175
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:48,000
Speaker 4: they want to show anything. They want to get out healthy.

1176
00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:49,760
Speaker 4: I think talisand can put up a couple of touchdowns

1177
00:50:49,880 --> 00:50:53,080
Speaker 4: worth a look at thirty seven and the elite Tom Flacco.

1178
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:56,040
Speaker 4: Anything in the FCS space for you, maybe.

1179
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:57,800
Speaker 2: A Texas State plus three and a half against Nichols.

1180
00:50:57,840 --> 00:50:59,920
Speaker 2: My heartburn with that is that Nichols is an app

1181
00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:03,360
Speaker 2: absolutely really good rushing team at the FCS level. Texas

1182
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:06,400
Speaker 2: State struggles against the rush terribly. They have some of

1183
00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:09,239
Speaker 2: the worst defensive line metrics out there and all of

1184
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:11,839
Speaker 2: the FBS on Football Outsiders, So we'll see there may

1185
00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 2: be a play come across the app for that.

1186
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:16,399
Speaker 4: Look, I'm okay with this now. Texas State took care

1187
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:19,439
Speaker 4: of me last week. I'm now able to bet them

1188
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:21,759
Speaker 4: without vomiting. All Right, before we get out of here,

1189
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:25,440
Speaker 4: let's go three and out.

1190
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:27,839
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1191
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:30,680
Speaker 4: Let's start first with Friday night lights.

1192
00:51:31,000 --> 00:51:33,920
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1193
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:37,720
Speaker 4: Hey, let's go play some football. We're gonna have betting

1194
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:40,320
Speaker 4: guys out on Action Network dot Com and the Action app,

1195
00:51:40,640 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 4: so check those app But we'll mention our favorite game

1196
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:46,360
Speaker 4: on Friday night Maryland, I got them plus seven. I

1197
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:48,760
Speaker 4: like them six or above. These teams are really similar,

1198
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:50,440
Speaker 4: both coming off buys. You know, this will be in

1199
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:53,239
Speaker 4: College Park on a weird Friday night, eight o'clock kick

1200
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:55,719
Speaker 4: the Penn State offense. And this is ever since Joe

1201
00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:58,120
Speaker 4: Moore had left. The passing is just it's been all

1202
00:51:58,160 --> 00:52:00,160
Speaker 4: out of whack. The timing's out of whack. It in

1203
00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:02,560
Speaker 4: that way again this year. Both teams, you know, their

1204
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:05,480
Speaker 4: defensive lines have played well, they've defended the run well.

1205
00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:08,640
Speaker 4: I just trust McFarlane better. There's not you know, a

1206
00:52:08,719 --> 00:52:10,680
Speaker 4: running back that has really emerged as the guy yet

1207
00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:13,120
Speaker 4: for Penn State. You have a new quarterback here going

1208
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:15,000
Speaker 4: on the road. And yeah, Penn State's three and zero.

1209
00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:17,360
Speaker 4: Yes they're ranked in the top fifteen, but what do

1210
00:52:17,360 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 4: they do. They beat Buffalo, they were trailing at the

1211
00:52:19,040 --> 00:52:20,960
Speaker 4: half in a game they're out gained in. They beat

1212
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:23,080
Speaker 4: pit by seven at home, they were out gained in

1213
00:52:23,080 --> 00:52:25,680
Speaker 4: that game also, And then yeah, they beat Idaho in August.

1214
00:52:25,719 --> 00:52:28,960
Speaker 4: Who cares? So I think Penn State's a little inflated here.

1215
00:52:29,040 --> 00:52:31,120
Speaker 4: I think Maryland might pull off this upset.

1216
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:32,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. I already took them on the app

1217
00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:34,879
Speaker 2: at seven, I would lay some money down on money

1218
00:52:34,880 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 2: line because we have not been fans of Penn State

1219
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 2: all year, completely overrated. So Virginia Tech is a play

1220
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:40,960
Speaker 2: because of the number. I think it should be at

1221
00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:42,840
Speaker 2: eight and a half. Duke's only won this game twice

1222
00:52:42,840 --> 00:52:45,279
Speaker 2: in the last fifteen tries against Virginia Tech. But I'll

1223
00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:47,480
Speaker 2: take air Force as my second favorite bet of the night,

1224
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:49,279
Speaker 2: and it's really because of the spot the number that

1225
00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:51,239
Speaker 2: I actually made this game eighteen and a half that

1226
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:52,960
Speaker 2: some offerings you can get an eighteen and a half

1227
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 2: or nineteen.

1228
00:52:53,760 --> 00:52:55,840
Speaker 4: You're not just saying bitter with San Jose State, right.

1229
00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 2: No, I mean I'm not being bitter with San Jose State.

1230
00:52:57,560 --> 00:52:59,399
Speaker 2: I mean they got five interceptions to win that game,

1231
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:01,040
Speaker 2: but they I mean they may. Arkansas looks stupid. I

1232
00:53:01,040 --> 00:53:02,960
Speaker 2: mean they're just running them over. In what world am

1233
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:04,920
Speaker 2: I living in where San Jose State is running over

1234
00:53:05,040 --> 00:53:08,200
Speaker 2: Arkansas defenders? The real world? We paid them one point

1235
00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:11,000
Speaker 2: five million dollars. You got paid one point five million

1236
00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:14,200
Speaker 2: dollars to come beat an SEC team in their own house. Amazing.

1237
00:53:14,480 --> 00:53:17,279
Speaker 2: So they fly back, biggest win in program history. They

1238
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:19,000
Speaker 2: have a short week of practice now, They're going to

1239
00:53:19,000 --> 00:53:21,840
Speaker 2: Colorado Springs where the elevation is over six thousand feet.

1240
00:53:22,520 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 2: Air Force is for real in the trenches on the

1241
00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:27,399
Speaker 2: offensive line, the defensive line. San Jose State I don't

1242
00:53:27,400 --> 00:53:29,440
Speaker 2: think has seen a triple option of any form. I

1243
00:53:29,480 --> 00:53:31,600
Speaker 2: think I looked back last couple of years on their schedule,

1244
00:53:31,760 --> 00:53:34,240
Speaker 2: so it's gonna I mean, a short week in elevation

1245
00:53:34,400 --> 00:53:36,640
Speaker 2: against a triple option against a team that has legit

1246
00:53:36,960 --> 00:53:39,120
Speaker 2: trenches on both sides of the ball. I do make

1247
00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:40,440
Speaker 2: the number eighteen and a half, but I think it's

1248
00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:41,920
Speaker 2: a great spot for Air Force.

1249
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:44,839
Speaker 4: Service Academies is huge favorites. It's always tough to get

1250
00:53:44,840 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 4: them home. I think it's like forty percent double digit

1251
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:49,279
Speaker 4: favorites over the last fifteen years. But yes, I agree

1252
00:53:49,280 --> 00:53:51,560
Speaker 4: with you on the trenches on both sides. Air Force

1253
00:53:51,840 --> 00:53:54,879
Speaker 4: has done nothing but impress. I also am looking forward

1254
00:53:54,880 --> 00:53:58,439
Speaker 4: to the Arizona State cal potential rock fight late night

1255
00:53:58,600 --> 00:54:03,239
Speaker 4: in Pac twelve. After for second down, let's go with

1256
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:06,319
Speaker 4: our favorite overdog. Let's bring that segment back.

1257
00:54:07,600 --> 00:54:09,280
Speaker 2: It's called the overdogs parlay.

1258
00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:12,719
Speaker 4: For those who are not familiar, overdog is the opposite

1259
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:15,640
Speaker 4: of underdog. We had someone calling him the voicemail and

1260
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:19,239
Speaker 4: say that we should stop betting underdogs and start betting overdogs.

1261
00:54:19,239 --> 00:54:22,359
Speaker 4: So now we refer to favorites sometimes as overdogs. Here,

1262
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:25,200
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with a team that you would think

1263
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:27,399
Speaker 4: is overvalued, but I think there's value here, and that's

1264
00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:32,640
Speaker 4: Oklahoma against Texas Tech, who doesn't have their starting quarterbacks.

1265
00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:34,840
Speaker 4: They're going to play two quarterbacks here, but I just

1266
00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:37,120
Speaker 4: don't think it matters. They're not going to stop this

1267
00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:40,920
Speaker 4: Oklahoma offense. And look David Yost, the offensive coordinator for

1268
00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:45,600
Speaker 4: Texas Tech, he wants to fly and I mean a lie.

1269
00:54:45,640 --> 00:54:47,319
Speaker 4: I saw an interview with him when he's like, yeah,

1270
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:48,960
Speaker 4: we were snapping it with thirty seconds and that's not

1271
00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:50,520
Speaker 4: good enough. We want to be at thirty one seconds

1272
00:54:50,520 --> 00:54:53,200
Speaker 4: and we want to snap before the defense's players hands

1273
00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:55,759
Speaker 4: are down. Guess what that can work some weeks, not

1274
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:57,800
Speaker 4: this week. You don't want to be giving Oklahoma the

1275
00:54:57,880 --> 00:55:00,520
Speaker 4: ball and increasing possessions. I think under four time touchdowns

1276
00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:02,640
Speaker 4: there's value with Oklahoma. So I'll go with Oklahoma. Who's

1277
00:55:02,640 --> 00:55:03,919
Speaker 4: your favorite overdog of the week.

1278
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:06,719
Speaker 2: I'm going to go with Western Michigan. Western Michigan is

1279
00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:09,720
Speaker 2: one of the best teams in the country at explosive plays.

1280
00:55:09,840 --> 00:55:12,480
Speaker 2: Central Michigan is I think one hundred and nineteenth in

1281
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:15,360
Speaker 2: the country and allowing twenty plus yard plays from scrimmage,

1282
00:55:15,400 --> 00:55:17,600
Speaker 2: and this is a battle for the canyon. Jim mcawayan

1283
00:55:17,719 --> 00:55:19,879
Speaker 2: came out and his presser on Monday and he said

1284
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:22,400
Speaker 2: the speed of Western Michigan on the outside and on

1285
00:55:22,400 --> 00:55:24,520
Speaker 2: their defensive line is going to be a serious problem

1286
00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:26,640
Speaker 2: for Central Michigan. Western Michigan is probably going to be

1287
00:55:26,680 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 2: able to do whatever they want. John was sink, the

1288
00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:31,040
Speaker 2: quarterback is going to be able to throw all of

1289
00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:33,800
Speaker 2: them covered. Last year won this game big overdogwise, Western

1290
00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:35,800
Speaker 2: Michigan NINEUS seventeen. It's a good play.

1291
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:37,640
Speaker 4: Gotta love it some mach right, and then before we

1292
00:55:37,640 --> 00:55:40,560
Speaker 4: get out of here, finally we'll go quickly here with

1293
00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 4: our underdog money line parlay.

1294
00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:50,960
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends in two great weekends, it's time for

1295
00:55:51,080 --> 00:55:52,640
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

1296
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:56,520
Speaker 4: I'll start. I already mentioned mine. I'm rolling with Toledo.

1297
00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:58,560
Speaker 4: I think it's a bad spot for an exhausted VYU

1298
00:55:58,640 --> 00:56:00,719
Speaker 4: team who also lost a running back. I love the

1299
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:02,960
Speaker 4: way that their offense looks y. He just wants to

1300
00:56:02,960 --> 00:56:04,200
Speaker 4: get to their buy who you going.

1301
00:56:04,080 --> 00:56:06,200
Speaker 2: With going to the Oregon State. I mean everybody out

1302
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:07,799
Speaker 2: there is like, call them, did you really put three units?

1303
00:56:07,800 --> 00:56:09,919
Speaker 2: So yeah, I really did. I really liked Oregon State

1304
00:56:09,960 --> 00:56:11,799
Speaker 2: at four and a half. Hit that as much as

1305
00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:13,960
Speaker 2: I could on Monday, just a really great spot against

1306
00:56:13,960 --> 00:56:16,720
Speaker 2: the Stanford team that's had to play by u USC.

1307
00:56:16,960 --> 00:56:20,760
Speaker 2: I mean Stanford and UC injuries all over. kJ Costello

1308
00:56:20,760 --> 00:56:22,440
Speaker 2: has not looked the same since he got banged in

1309
00:56:22,480 --> 00:56:24,319
Speaker 2: the head. I mean, their offense is broken, their one

1310
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:26,480
Speaker 2: hundred and eighteenth in total offense. Two of the past

1311
00:56:26,520 --> 00:56:28,839
Speaker 2: three times Stanford has played with good teams played at

1312
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:31,319
Speaker 2: Reester Stadium, they've escaped with their lives, like in the

1313
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:33,960
Speaker 2: final second. Jonathan Smith, this is a big game for him.

1314
00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:35,920
Speaker 2: He told everybody this week was going to be an

1315
00:56:35,920 --> 00:56:38,560
Speaker 2: Orange out. We're gonna honor Dennis Erickson sometime during the

1316
00:56:38,560 --> 00:56:40,640
Speaker 2: game for being like the greatest organ State coach ever.

1317
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:42,799
Speaker 2: Organ State's gonna get Jamar Jefferson back. He got hurt

1318
00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:45,000
Speaker 2: during the Hawaii game. They had that Hawaii Game one,

1319
00:56:45,320 --> 00:56:47,319
Speaker 2: and then there was some shenanigans there at the end

1320
00:56:47,360 --> 00:56:49,839
Speaker 2: on the island that Oregan State's still covered, but they

1321
00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:52,200
Speaker 2: did not get the underdog money line dirty parlay down.

1322
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:54,640
Speaker 2: Oregon State is legit. They want this conference to win

1323
00:56:54,719 --> 00:56:55,120
Speaker 2: pretty bad.

1324
00:56:56,080 --> 00:56:59,040
Speaker 4: State is legit, st leg legit on the ground.

1325
00:56:58,800 --> 00:57:00,759
Speaker 2: They actually are the Oregon State and rush the ball.

1326
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:03,120
Speaker 2: They're achroing UMass ish on the defense.

1327
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:05,439
Speaker 4: That's our underlog moneyline Parlay of the Week pays about

1328
00:57:05,440 --> 00:57:08,200
Speaker 4: five to one. Either one of us has hit in

1329
00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:10,359
Speaker 4: all four weeks, but not both at the same week,

1330
00:57:10,400 --> 00:57:13,319
Speaker 4: So it's time let's hit this. Thanks for listening. Thanks

1331
00:57:13,360 --> 00:57:16,520
Speaker 4: for joining me. Colin, you know the drill. Subscribe on

1332
00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 4: subscribe rate review. Tell a friend catch us on Saturday

1333
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:22,680
Speaker 4: morning for the live show at ten thirty Eastern. Good

1334
00:57:22,760 --> 00:57:26,040
Speaker 4: luck everyone this weekend. Will catch you all later. Cheers.

1335
00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 4: He's out.