1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Hello everyone, I'm Matthew Freeman, Matt F. 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:02,840 Speaker 2: The Oracle. 3 00:00:02,880 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros Podcast, brought to you by 4 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: bet MGM, where you can get a risk free bet 5 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:08,559 Speaker 1: of up to one thousand dollars with the promo code 6 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: betting Pros on first deposit. All right, Here with me 7 00:00:11,119 --> 00:00:14,320 Speaker 1: to talk NFL Week sixteen best bets for the Saturday 8 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:18,280 Speaker 1: Christmas Eve games is Joe Osborne, host of the Chasing 9 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 1: That Paper podcast. Joe, it is a busy time of year. 10 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: Thanks for joining the show. 11 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:25,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, it is a busy time of year. A fun 12 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: time of year, though, a stretch run of a season, 13 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 2: figuring out who's going to get into the playoffs, who's 14 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,560 Speaker 2: going to be on the outside looking in? So yeah, 15 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 2: I love it. And some great spots here this weekend too. 16 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:38,919 Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely. How's this season gone for you? 17 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 2: Pretty good? I play more totals than sides, and I 18 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 2: think I'm up around eight units on totals. I'm losing 19 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 2: on everything else, so so nice. So you know, I 20 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 2: kind of you figure out the hard way what you're 21 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 2: good at and what you're bad at. I stay away 22 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,639 Speaker 2: from props for the most part. I do a lot 23 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: of teasers, now teasers. I got off to a pretty 24 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,759 Speaker 2: rough spot. As you probably recall, underdogs were hitting at 25 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 2: a very high percentage to start the season. I had 26 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 2: some bad beats. I got burned on a few of 27 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 2: them that you and I we go back to last 28 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,960 Speaker 2: Thursday night, the Raiders versus the Rams, Like a lot 29 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 2: of people had the Raiders on a teaser because you 30 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 2: were able to gently put them inside the three points there. 31 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 2: That one didn't worked out. But yeah, those have kind 32 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 2: of written in the shift a little bit, I guess 33 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 2: you could say, with teasers. But yeah, it's been it's 34 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 2: been a fun season. Just try to learn from your mistakes, right, yep. 35 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 1: Absolutely, teasers were brutal early there, especially for people who 36 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 1: were teasing down as opposed to teasing. But even people 37 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,479 Speaker 1: who were teasing up weren't having all that much success either. 38 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: It's just it's been a weird year for teasers, especially 39 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 1: a weird beginning of the season. But all right, so 40 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: great to have you on the show and looking forward 41 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 1: to talking with you about the Saturday slate. A quick 42 00:01:57,320 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 1: programming note, we're going to have a special episode for 43 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 1: the Christmas Day games and Monday Night football. Pat Fits Morrison. 44 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: I will break down all four of those games, so 45 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:08,520 Speaker 1: check out that episode, which will be released after this one. 46 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: In this episode, hitting on our favorite bets for all 47 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,079 Speaker 1: of those Saturday games, and we're going to start with 48 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: Bengals on the road in New England. This was three 49 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 1: and a half and it is bumped down to three. 50 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: And I got to say, I haven't taken a position 51 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 1: on this game, but this move down might tempt me. 52 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: If I'm betting on anything here, it is the Bengals, 53 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 1: and that's the side that you are on. Talk to 54 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: me about what you're seeing in this line here. 55 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 2: And very reasonable number here. So I'll start with a 56 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 2: trend and then a few stats to back it up. 57 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 2: In the stats, which I think will be the difference 58 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:46,360 Speaker 2: maker in this scheme. So the Bengals are on this 59 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 2: ridiculous run where they're nineteen and three. That's the spread 60 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 2: over their last twenty two games, that includes the playoffs 61 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,639 Speaker 2: and the Super Bowl last year. And sometimes I see 62 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 2: a trend like this and I say, hey, is the 63 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 2: market reacting to it? They don't appear to be here 64 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 2: because this is a very fair number favored by a 65 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 2: field goal in New England versus a Patriots team who 66 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 2: looks like the wheels might be ready to fall off 67 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 2: here right, free losses in the last four games, although 68 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 2: some bad luck last week, but still a loss is 69 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 2: a loss. I guess you could say, but they're being undervalued, 70 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 2: and I think New England's being overvalued. I think New 71 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 2: England continues to be overvalued based on who their head coaches, 72 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 2: the greatness of Bill Belichick. You know, you hear from 73 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 2: time to time people handicapping a Patriots game and they'll say, well, 74 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 2: you know, Bill Belichick versus a divisional opponent, or Bill 75 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 2: Belichick in primetime, or Bill Belichick on a short week. 76 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 2: I don't think you should be incorporating the greatness of 77 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 2: Bill Belichick into your handicapping anymore, right, Like, I wonder 78 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 2: what this line would be if it was a first 79 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 2: year head coach or something, or Matt Patricia even as 80 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 2: a head coach of the Patriots. So yeah, I think 81 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 2: it's a fair number on the Bengals, especially, you know, 82 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 2: they've been a covering machine. And this comes down to 83 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 2: two key areas where the Bengals are fantastic at and 84 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 2: the Patriots are awful at. Third down offense and red 85 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 2: zone offense. So the Bengals ranked fourth and both third 86 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:21,039 Speaker 2: down conversion percentage and red zone touchdown conversion percentage. The 87 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:26,240 Speaker 2: Patriots are twenty ninth and dead last in those categories. Right, so, 88 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: I think the ability to extend drives will be key 89 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:34,039 Speaker 2: for the Bengals, and also being able to score touchdowns 90 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 2: not field goal attempts in the red zone. That could 91 00:04:35,880 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 2: be the difference in this game. Right. And you know 92 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 2: the Bengals, they got a lot of breaks last week, 93 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,600 Speaker 2: didn't they. They really didn't play that well. I mean 94 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 2: that the box there. You take a look at the 95 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 2: final score and you say, well, the Bengals killed them, 96 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 2: didn't they. Not really, They lost the yards for played 97 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 2: battle five point seven to three point eight. They benefited 98 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,360 Speaker 2: from those four turnovers. I think we get a much 99 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 2: more efficient game out of them this week. You take 100 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 2: a look at Mac Jones. They still haven't officially named 101 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 2: him as a starter, idly enough, but this guy is regressing. 102 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 2: He has one touchdown pass in three games this month. 103 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 2: He went up against I starred him on my DraftKings 104 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 2: and do a DraftKings with a bunch of guys every weekend, 105 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 2: and I say, hey, this is an excellent opportunity for 106 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 2: mac Jones. You know, we saw him perform very well 107 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 2: against a bad pass defense in the Vikings here on Thanksgiving. 108 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 2: The Raiders awful against the pass, one hundred and twelve 109 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 2: yards on forty one point nine percent completion percentage versus 110 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:40,039 Speaker 2: the Raiders. So yeah, I think the wheels might be 111 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 2: falling off for the Patriots. So truly two teams going 112 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 2: in different directions. 113 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, in the Patriots defense, it has been really strong 114 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 1: against subpar opponents, you know, like offenses that really can't 115 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,719 Speaker 1: do anything. It's been great. And so like they they accumulate, 116 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: they pile up all of their gaudy production against these 117 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:04,559 Speaker 1: subparwers and then whenever they play actually good offenses, they're 118 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: just not the same. And so you know, what they're 119 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 1: able to do, Like the numbers that they've had, I 120 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:13,279 Speaker 1: don't think it really means much for what they're going 121 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: to see going against this Bengals offense. And as you mentioned, 122 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 1: the Bengals actually weren't all that great last week and 123 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,679 Speaker 1: they still found a way to put up the points, 124 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,760 Speaker 1: which is pretty promising. You know, like even when a 125 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 1: team is not playing well that they can go out 126 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: and cover the spread like that is the sign of 127 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 1: a team that is really coming into its own. And 128 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow you mentioned the stat of I think, nineteen 129 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 1: and three against the spread in their past twenty two games. 130 00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: Burrow has been particularly effective on the road, like that's 131 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 1: not always the case with a lot of quarterbacks. In fact, 132 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 1: a lot of them have those kind of home road 133 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: splits where maybe it's better at a play like think 134 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 1: of Aaron Rodgers, who's been like for his entire career 135 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: just you know, almost like an auto play at lambeau 136 00:06:56,680 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: Field and been about break even on the road. It's 137 00:07:00,440 --> 00:07:05,039 Speaker 1: for Burrow, like he's godlike on the road, and so 138 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:09,480 Speaker 1: I'm not really thinking that the normal road disadvantage that 139 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: some teams will have really applies to him. So I 140 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 1: mentioned I haven't taken a position on this game yet, 141 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 1: but with this number going down to three, there's a 142 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: decent chance I'm gonna be betting on it. A game 143 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: that has caught my eye here is the Lions. And 144 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,440 Speaker 1: it feels very chalky to say, like, oh, hey, I'm 145 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: gonna betting on the Lions, But I mean, Dan Campbell 146 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: is a covering machine last year and then once again 147 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: this year and they have been especially good since Week eight, 148 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,239 Speaker 1: when a mon Ross Saint Brown returned from injuries seven 149 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: to one against this spread, And so we know what 150 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: that offense is capable of doing. Even though you know 151 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: Jared Goff, he's not like a world beating, talent elevating 152 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: kind of quarterback. He's someone when he's clean in the pocket, 153 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: is able to do what he needs to do to 154 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 1: keep the offense going. And that defense is starting to 155 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 1: get incrementally just a little bit better. It's not as 156 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: if they're they're good now, They're probably not even average. 157 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:15,239 Speaker 1: They're just not the worst defensive unit in the league. 158 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 1: And that is enough to help them get to the 159 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: point where they can consistently cover this s bread. And 160 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 1: I think the key matchup for me is this Lions 161 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 1: offensive line against the Panthers defensive line. The Lions offensive 162 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: line I have them ranked number one my personal unit 163 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: power rankings. The Panthers defensive line is number twenty one. 164 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: The Lions offense is number two an adjusted sack rate. 165 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:40,839 Speaker 1: The Panthers defensive line number twenty seven in adjusted sack rate. 166 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 1: So I think you know the Lions back to back 167 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 1: road games, Jared Goff, he doesn't have the benefit of 168 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: playing in the dome, but he was outdoors last week 169 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 1: in cold weather. He had an effective seven point two 170 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 1: adjusted yards per attempt against a tough Jets pass defense. 171 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: By the way, and you know the forecast weather in Carolina. 172 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 1: It's not great, but it's not like the apocalypse we're 173 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 1: seeing in so many of the other games. It's clear 174 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 1: thirty degrees fahrenheit, six miles per hour with the wind 175 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: like that's reasonable enough. Like that's hardly enough to cause 176 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,679 Speaker 1: concerns in terms of weather. And so the Panthers are 177 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:18,600 Speaker 1: without number one cornerback Dante Jackson, who's out for the 178 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 1: year with his achilles injury. I expect the Lions to 179 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: be able to attack through the air, and when they do, 180 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: I think Goff is going to have a pretty clean pocket, 181 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:28,839 Speaker 1: and we've seen when he has a clean pocket when 182 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:31,320 Speaker 1: he's not under pressure, he can stay upright, he's a 183 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:33,839 Speaker 1: he's able to deliver the ball to whoever he needs 184 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: to get it to, and they have the weapons in 185 00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: that offense. So I do like the Lions here on 186 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: the road in Carolina at minus two and a half. 187 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:45,960 Speaker 1: If you have any thoughts on the Lions, great If not, 188 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:47,959 Speaker 1: we can move on to another game that you want 189 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 1: to talk about. 190 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Lions there mine inside of the 191 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 2: field goal. I think that's like you look at that, 192 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,559 Speaker 2: and I'm not the type of battery who says, oh, 193 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,439 Speaker 2: this is a trap or you know, there's something fishy 194 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 2: going on. I just see a number and hey, if 195 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 2: a lot of public people are on it, then that's 196 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 2: that doesn't really matter to me. I think this will 197 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:11,199 Speaker 2: be a heavy public side. It's no exaggeration to say 198 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 2: that the Lions have been one of the best teams 199 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 2: in football since the seat in November. There's six and one. 200 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:19,679 Speaker 2: The only loss was on Thanksgiving, a three point loss 201 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 2: to the current Super Bowl favorite. Yeah, the bubble of Bills. 202 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 2: So yeah, I do a bunch of like spread pools 203 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:28,839 Speaker 2: and things like that, and the Lions two and a 204 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 2: half on there. How far can the Panthers keep going here? 205 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:37,200 Speaker 2: With Sam Donald at quarterback? You know, their defense is 206 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:39,679 Speaker 2: pretty good, their offense doesn't have it. I think that 207 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 2: comes down to just the mantra gap you have between 208 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 2: the two offenses there. So yeah, I absolutely love the 209 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 2: Lions in that spot. 210 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I do power ratings, you know, update 211 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 1: them every week after we get new data from the 212 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 1: games that were just played. I think at this point 213 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: it's pretty fair to say the Lions are solidly an 214 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: above average team. You know, that wasn't the market opinion, 215 00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 1: the consensus opinion entering the year, but I think that 216 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 1: has to be the opinion that people have now, And 217 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:12,200 Speaker 1: regardless of what we have seen out of the Steve 218 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 1: Wilkes Panthers, I don't think there's any question there's still 219 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: a below average team. They're a below average team that 220 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: is outperformed very low expectations, but they are still a 221 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:27,199 Speaker 1: below average team. So yes, I'm very much on the 222 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 1: Lions here at anything less than a field goal. I mentioned, 223 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: you know, weather concerns and how we don't have weather 224 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 1: concerns for that game, but maybe we got weather concerns 225 00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 1: for a whole host of other games here, and one 226 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 1: of them Falcons Ravens thirty five and a half unbelievable 227 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:45,720 Speaker 1: that you know in the quote unquote modern NFL thirty 228 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 1: five and a half is a real total that is 229 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: out there. But you know, a lot of these totals 230 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,439 Speaker 1: this week are low for weather concerns, but you know, 231 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 1: totals have been creeping down this year just because scoring 232 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 1: isn't doing what we saw in previous years. And in 233 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:02,199 Speaker 1: this Falcons Ravens game, you've got two backup quarterbacks. Well, 234 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 1: I guess Desmond Ritter is now technically the starter, but 235 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:08,439 Speaker 1: he's not a starter caliber type of player. For the Falcons, 236 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 1: just you know, rookie making his second NFL start. And 237 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 1: then for the Ravens we have Lamar Jackson missing his 238 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 1: third straight game, Tyler Huntley going to be the starter 239 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: in place of the injured Lamar Jackson. You like the 240 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: under here of thirty five and a half? What are 241 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: you seeing in this game? 242 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 2: Yeah? I love the under in this game. You know, 243 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 2: sometimes people see these low numbers and they're like, ah, 244 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:31,280 Speaker 2: I'm not even gonna bother. They look away or might 245 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 2: consider the over. And what I will say about whether 246 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:38,359 Speaker 2: sometimes people do overreact to the weather. It's not necessarily 247 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 2: the cold or the rain or the snow that would 248 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 2: affect an offense. It's the wind, and we're seeing a 249 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:46,559 Speaker 2: lot of wind heavy wins in these games, especially one. 250 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 2: Then we'll talk about shortly the Saints Browns. But yeah, 251 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 2: like I said, this looks like a low number. But 252 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:55,640 Speaker 2: the Ravens have actually stayed under this number of thirty 253 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 2: five and a half in four of their last five games. 254 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:05,120 Speaker 2: Those four games, none of them cross thirty points even, 255 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 2: and I think it's flying under the radar. How fantastic 256 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 2: this Ravens defense has been lately. They've been absolutely lights out. 257 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 2: They've alled fourteen or fewer points in five of their 258 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:19,040 Speaker 2: last six games. Now, and you take a look at 259 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,440 Speaker 2: the quarterback situation Tyler Huntley official. Now, his last three 260 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:26,080 Speaker 2: times out, the Ravens have scored three points, sixteen points, 261 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 2: and ten points. So, regardless of the opponent or weather conditions, 262 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 2: the potential for rock bottom scoring seems to be there 263 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 2: in Ravens games. Here lately, I've been riding the under 264 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:40,080 Speaker 2: on their games and I'll continue to do it here. 265 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,319 Speaker 2: But of course we're going to look into the opponent, 266 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:47,199 Speaker 2: the Falcons. They're not scoring a lot either. They scored 267 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 2: eighteen or fewer points in five of their last six games. 268 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 2: Now you take Desmond Ritter, who looked pretty bad last 269 00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 2: week in a controlled environment playing in a dome, he 270 00:13:56,920 --> 00:14:00,319 Speaker 2: threw for ninety seven yards on twenty six passt ms 271 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 2: and now we're going to throw him into ice cold 272 00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 2: windy conditions. It does not set up well for him 273 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 2: or this offense. You know, the Falcons are a team 274 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 2: that lean a lot on the run. They run at 275 00:14:11,920 --> 00:14:16,200 Speaker 2: the second highest percentage in the NFL, and they're facing 276 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 2: one of the best running defenses in the NFL. The 277 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 2: Ravens are third in yards allowed per rush attempt, also 278 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 2: third on third down, and not a lot of big 279 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 2: playability for either of these offenses. No matter who the 280 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 2: quarterback is, their second and fourth, second and four fewest 281 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:35,200 Speaker 2: passing plays of twenty plus yards. I don't know how 282 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 2: much passing will be taking place in this game. So 283 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 2: I think we're going to see each team running it 284 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 2: a lot. And what happens when you're running it a lot, 285 00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 2: The clock keeps moving too, so that's gonna help us. 286 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 2: So yeah, a lot of ammo here, I think to 287 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 2: the fort a low scoring game in Baltimore, those ice 288 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:52,600 Speaker 2: school conditions here Saturday. 289 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I haven't I haven't bet it yet, but this 290 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 1: this is intriguing here. You know, for all the reasons 291 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 1: that you mentioned in Roquan Smith, like, I tend not 292 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 1: to think that the addition of a new linebacker into 293 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 1: a defense is going to make that big of a difference, 294 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 1: you know, And you know, maybe this is just sort 295 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:14,920 Speaker 1: of correlation and not causation, but since Roquan Smith arrived 296 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: that then I mean that that Broncos defense, Broncos, that 297 00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:24,840 Speaker 1: Ravens defense has seemingly really toughened up. It's almost impossible 298 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 1: to run against him now. And that's the one thing 299 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 1: that the Falcons have been able to do well. Their 300 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: offense is highly predicated on being able to run the ball. 301 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: And if they're going to be challenged running the ball, 302 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 1: and they've got a rookie quarterback out there making his 303 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:43,120 Speaker 1: second NFL start in horrible conditions which you just mentioned there, Yeah, 304 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 1: I mean it's it's pretty easy to see how the 305 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: Falcons won't be scoring points. And I mean, yeah, Tyler 306 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 1: Huntley is not going to be scoring a lot of 307 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 1: points either, if what we've seen recently continues to hold. 308 00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 1: So uh yeah, intriguing number there under thirty five and 309 00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 1: a half. I might be I might be betting that 310 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:03,000 Speaker 1: when once we jump off the show, the next game 311 00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 1: that I'm looking at here, I'm looking I hate to 312 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: do it, but the Vikings minus three and a half 313 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 1: hosting the Giants, I think the Vikings are I don't 314 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 1: want to say a fraudulent team, but they are a 315 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 1: team whose record doesn't really align with some of the 316 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:27,000 Speaker 1: underlying performances that we've seen. But it's not as if 317 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 1: they're like, quote unquote fraudulent because they're not getting respect 318 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 1: in the market. You know, they don't have the market 319 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 1: respect that you would expect to see from a team 320 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: that is, you know, one of the best or in 321 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 1: terms of records, has one of the best records in 322 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 1: its conference, you know, a clear division winner at this 323 00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: point of the year. So I'm sort of conflicted on 324 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 1: this one, but I have this number projected more like 325 00:16:54,400 --> 00:16:56,800 Speaker 1: five and a half five point seventy five points, and 326 00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: so at three and a half, even though I'm not 327 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 1: moving through a key number here, I still think that 328 00:17:01,640 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: there's value And the matchup that I'm focusing on most 329 00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:09,480 Speaker 1: is really Justin Jefferson and TJ. Hawkinson going against a 330 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 1: Giants pass defense that is missing some of its main defenders. 331 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 1: So since moving from the slot to the perimeter in 332 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 1: week three of his you Know twenty twenty rookie campaign, 333 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson his averaged over one hundred yards per game, 334 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 1: one hundred and one point five yards per game on 335 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 1: nine point nine targets per game. That is, that is 336 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 1: unbelievable production and usage. And you know, you just look 337 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:35,239 Speaker 1: at what he's done this year, number one among all 338 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 1: NFL wide receivers and just basically anything you'd want to 339 00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: look at, but receptions overall receptions of ten, twenty thirty 340 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 1: and forty plus yards, number one among all NFL wide 341 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:53,119 Speaker 1: receivers in yards receiving in his first three NFL seasons. Like, 342 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 1: we are talking about a guy who could be historically great. 343 00:17:57,440 --> 00:18:00,959 Speaker 1: And the Giants are without number one cornerback Dori Jackson. 344 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,680 Speaker 1: They've been without him since week eleven. He didn't practice 345 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,040 Speaker 1: on Tuesday. I'm highly doubtful that he plays in this game. 346 00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,440 Speaker 1: And without him, the Giants they just do not have 347 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 1: a cover corner who can hang with Jefferson. And then similarly, 348 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 1: they are also without safety Xavier McKinney, who's on IR 349 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,480 Speaker 1: with the hand injury. They haven't had him for a 350 00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 1: few weeks I guess maybe like six weeks at this point, 351 00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:24,440 Speaker 1: and they're number thirty two in defensive pass DVA against 352 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 1: tight ends. So a total smash bot for TJ. Hawkinson. 353 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:31,440 Speaker 1: And since joining the Vikings in week nine. Hawkinson is 354 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:35,400 Speaker 1: number two on the team in targets, receptions and yards receiving. 355 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:38,720 Speaker 1: Like he's really kind of put Adam Thielen into the 356 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:42,320 Speaker 1: third role within that offense in the receiving game. And 357 00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 1: so if the Vikings have like a very strong edge 358 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:52,119 Speaker 1: for their top two passing weapons, you know, Jefferson and Hawkinson, 359 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,359 Speaker 1: and they're you know, in a dome and one of 360 00:18:55,400 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 1: the few like perfectly controlled environmental games this week, I 361 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,560 Speaker 1: think that edge is enough to push them over the 362 00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:05,520 Speaker 1: field goal. And so I think three and a half 363 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: here provides pretty good value. Do you have any thoughts 364 00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:08,520 Speaker 1: on this game? 365 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:13,399 Speaker 2: I like the Giants on a teaser based primarily on 366 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:16,200 Speaker 2: the vikings inability to pull away. I think they only 367 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,399 Speaker 2: had the one double digit win on the season that 368 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:22,159 Speaker 2: was back in Week one actually versus the Green Bay Packers. 369 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 2: But you know, the Vikings have a lot more talent, 370 00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:31,040 Speaker 2: There's no doubt about that. But ultimately, you know, you 371 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:34,160 Speaker 2: dig into the numbers and I don't think that there's 372 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 2: a whole lot separating these teams. There are twenty six 373 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:40,439 Speaker 2: and twenty seventh and net yards per play. The Giants 374 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,920 Speaker 2: have been a fantastic bet as an underdog if you're 375 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,000 Speaker 2: in the trends eight and two against the spread. Their 376 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 2: defense has been pretty good on both third down and 377 00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:49,119 Speaker 2: in the red zone. I think maybe that could be 378 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:52,680 Speaker 2: a bit of a difference. I just find the Vikings frustrating, 379 00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,800 Speaker 2: and the same with the Giants are frustrating too, because 380 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 2: it's like you dig into everything and it's like these 381 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 2: teams they shouldn't be winning all these games, right, And 382 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:02,879 Speaker 2: it's the same. But there's been so many times this 383 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:05,679 Speaker 2: season with the Vikings I'm like, oh Jesus, looks like 384 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 2: a good number on the Vikings and you start digging 385 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:09,960 Speaker 2: into the stats and stuff and you're like, wait a minute, 386 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:12,720 Speaker 2: this doesn't add up that they're what's their record now, 387 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 2: eleven in three or what is second seed in the 388 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:21,199 Speaker 2: And you know, I think most people are like minded 389 00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:23,280 Speaker 2: on the Vikings unless you're a Vikings fan. A lot 390 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,160 Speaker 2: of people think they're a bit fraudulent and stuff like that. 391 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, It's it's kind of one 392 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,359 Speaker 2: of those things. People seem to hold it against the 393 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:37,960 Speaker 2: team if they win a lot of close games, Like 394 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,159 Speaker 2: people with the Vikings will be like, yeah, but x 395 00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,520 Speaker 2: percent of their wins are only by one score, so 396 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,280 Speaker 2: they're not that great. It's like, okay, well, what about 397 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 2: the Raiders, who are a big punching bag. The majority 398 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 2: of their losses are by one score, you know. So, 399 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,160 Speaker 2: And it is the thing with the Vikings. The majority 400 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:57,879 Speaker 2: of their losses last season were by one score. The 401 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 2: majority of the wins this year are by once so 402 00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:03,040 Speaker 2: they're just getting that lock at the end. And I 403 00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 2: don't know, man, maybe there's something to be said about 404 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 2: the ability to close out games too. People seem to 405 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:13,879 Speaker 2: discredit teams for close wins, but who knows. Yeah, but 406 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:17,399 Speaker 2: it's I don't love this game, but if the betting 407 00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,679 Speaker 2: option I like best would be Giants on a teaser 408 00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 2: for sure. 409 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 1: Yeah that's fair. And I gotta say Daniel Jones as 410 00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 1: a road underdog for his career has been lights out. 411 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 1: And so there is on my part some trepidation of, 412 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 1: you know, betting against the teeth of that trend. But yeah, 413 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: I kind of I gotta go with the number that 414 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: I have here, and it's it's enough to make me 415 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:42,959 Speaker 1: think that there's value on this. Okay, the game that 416 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:47,400 Speaker 1: people are kind of obsessing about for this this weekend 417 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 1: the game that is, you know, like the sign and 418 00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:53,680 Speaker 1: symbol of all of the weather issues we have across 419 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,879 Speaker 1: the slate, the Browns hosting the Saints. Thirty two and 420 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 1: a half is the total here, and I mean it 421 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,879 Speaker 1: got down to thirty one maybe at one point, and 422 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:08,480 Speaker 1: it's bumped up a little bit, but I mean, no 423 00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: question about it, this is the weather game, not only 424 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:16,439 Speaker 1: of just this season, but maybe of like the past 425 00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 1: few years. Like we got to think of like that 426 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 1: Buffalo Patriots game. You know that's maybe one with all 427 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,240 Speaker 1: of the win that they had there, But I still 428 00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 1: nothing nothing like this in terms of the total and 429 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 1: what expectations might be heading into this game. So you 430 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 1: are on the under here, thirty two and a half, 431 00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:36,480 Speaker 1: one of the lowest totals that we are ever going 432 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:40,439 Speaker 1: to see. I mean unless the NFL changes significantly and 433 00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,560 Speaker 1: you know, the defense is favored and all these situations 434 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 1: for the future, but I mean we might never see 435 00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:49,400 Speaker 1: an another game like this. You're taking the under here. 436 00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 1: I mean, break it down. 437 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 2: I love the under. This fun potential for a fifty 438 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,919 Speaker 2: mile per hour wins. That's gonna be very impactful. You know, 439 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:03,399 Speaker 2: how bad would it's suck playing these conditions, especially the 440 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 2: Dome team coming up from New Orleans who has nowhere 441 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,160 Speaker 2: to go this season. I'm sure they're not looking forward 442 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:13,679 Speaker 2: to this game. But extreme wind, extreme cold, potential for 443 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:17,080 Speaker 2: some snow to be flying around. You know, I don't 444 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 2: are these offenses going to be able to throw it 445 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:24,119 Speaker 2: further than ten yards? What about field goal kicking? I 446 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,120 Speaker 2: think that's probably going to be out of the question too. 447 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 2: And you take the weather out of it for a second. 448 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 2: This Brans offense has been brutal since Deshaun Watson took over. 449 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,560 Speaker 2: He's been with the team for three games now. The 450 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:42,159 Speaker 2: offense has scored twenty nine points in those three games. 451 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,359 Speaker 2: Twenty nine points from the offense now that Texans game. 452 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,600 Speaker 2: Of course, there was some defensive and special teams touchdowns, 453 00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:55,040 Speaker 2: but just brutal. And you dig into their numbers. They've 454 00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,560 Speaker 2: been awful on third down years per playing near the 455 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:00,239 Speaker 2: bottom of the league over that three game span they 456 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 2: just combined for There was only sixteen total points in 457 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:07,600 Speaker 2: the Browns Ravens game last week. And then you take 458 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 2: a look at the Saints on the road. They don't 459 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,439 Speaker 2: travel well. I don't know what it is, but you 460 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,680 Speaker 2: take a look at what they've done offensively on the 461 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:16,399 Speaker 2: road this season, games of sixteen points. They were shut 462 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,880 Speaker 2: out in San Francisco, they had a ten point game 463 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:22,080 Speaker 2: in Pittsburgh, they had a fourteen point game earlier in 464 00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:25,000 Speaker 2: the season. Now we're taking them out of that dome 465 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,720 Speaker 2: and they're being forced to play in historically bad weather. 466 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:33,440 Speaker 2: So same with the Ravens game, Ravens Falcons game. It 467 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 2: seems they're going to be running it a lot. What 468 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:37,159 Speaker 2: happens when you're running the ball a lot, The clock 469 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 2: keeps moving. So you know, I'm going to take the under. 470 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:44,199 Speaker 2: I feel pretty good about it. But you know, that 471 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 2: win does have the impact to screw us over on 472 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 2: some punts potentially, who knows, some bad passes might hang 473 00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 2: up there, a little bit could lead to a pick 474 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 2: six or two. You know, for total this low, it 475 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:59,680 Speaker 2: might only take you know, one crazy thing, a bad 476 00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,520 Speaker 2: found like you know what I mean, Like, how bad 477 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 2: does it suck when you're on an under and there's 478 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 2: a pick six or a kick return or yeah, a 479 00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 2: bad turnover in the wrong end. But but yeah, just 480 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 2: the wind is going to be insane. So I think 481 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:17,560 Speaker 2: the clock's going to be moving all game long, and 482 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 2: a lot of running, not a lot of big play 483 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 2: ability in this game, and you will be able to, 484 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:24,879 Speaker 2: you know, know that the run is coming essentially, so 485 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:26,440 Speaker 2: probably a lot of three and outs as well. 486 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,479 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the chaos of the weather tends towards 487 00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:31,560 Speaker 1: the under in the spot. And I gotta say early, 488 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,280 Speaker 1: and by earlier, I mean like Sunday night when I 489 00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:36,440 Speaker 1: saw this line come out, and I believe it was 490 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:40,280 Speaker 1: around thirty four. I you know, I'm a skeptical person 491 00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:43,200 Speaker 1: by nature, and I'm thinking like, okay, you know, like, yeah, 492 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 1: people can say the weather is going to be bad, 493 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:47,960 Speaker 1: but this is like already at thirty four's like, this 494 00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:51,040 Speaker 1: is a really low line. So I just, you know, 495 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 1: I took the over. I hate that position now now 496 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:56,520 Speaker 1: that we're like, you know, I was thinking, like we're 497 00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,919 Speaker 1: a week out, you know, like weather forecast can change. 498 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:02,120 Speaker 1: Maybe all this bad weather, you know, is delayed by 499 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: a day, or it gets here, you know, a day earlier, 500 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: whatever it is. But no, if anything, the weather forecast 501 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 1: has gotten worse. And so I had the over thirty 502 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 1: four basically just burning money at that point. I might 503 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,600 Speaker 1: need the warmth from burning that ticket on fire. Based 504 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:20,560 Speaker 1: on the weather that we're gonna get. So yeah, I'm 505 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:22,199 Speaker 1: with you. If I had to take a position on 506 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,120 Speaker 1: the total now, I would definitely be going under here. 507 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 1: And I do like the Saints actually in the spot. 508 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,479 Speaker 1: Even though they are the Dome team, I think they 509 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 1: are the team that is better equipped to be running 510 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: the ball. Nick Chubb is dealing with injuries. Deshaun Watson, Yeah, 511 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:40,280 Speaker 1: he's a Dome quarterback from all of his time in Houston. 512 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 1: And you know, I think we could see a little 513 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,639 Speaker 1: more Taysom Hill in this spot. It feels like a 514 00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,480 Speaker 1: Taysom Hill like running the wildcat way more than we've 515 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,680 Speaker 1: seen at any other point this year. And with him 516 00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 1: in Kamara, they're going against a run defense that really 517 00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 1: hasn't been able to do much the entirety of this season. 518 00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: I could see the Saints not dominating on the ground, 519 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:04,920 Speaker 1: but doing enough to be able to cover this bread here. 520 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:07,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, the Saints have the better defense as well. I 521 00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:10,320 Speaker 2: don't think there's much debate there, So yeah, I wouldn't 522 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 2: be surprised to see the Saints win that one out right. 523 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, And a final game here that I'm 524 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: looking at, Tennessee minus three and a half and This 525 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:26,040 Speaker 1: was three when I bet it on Wednesday, and so 526 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,040 Speaker 1: that's the line I lodged in the Betting pros app 527 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:29,840 Speaker 1: where you can sync up with sports books, get free 528 00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:32,560 Speaker 1: betting advice and picks, and track different experts in your 529 00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:34,959 Speaker 1: own bets, and you can set alerts. We monitor all 530 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 1: the major sports books, so when one of them has 531 00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: a line move that hits a threshold you set, you 532 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,080 Speaker 1: get an alert that tells you where to make the 533 00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 1: bet at the book that provides the most value. Download 534 00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:46,439 Speaker 1: the app today in the Apple or Google Play Store. 535 00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 1: So yeah, three and a half. I bet this at three. 536 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 1: The line has moved, but I still think that there's 537 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,359 Speaker 1: some value here. I have this projected at four and 538 00:27:55,400 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 1: a half and the thesis is pretty simple. Houston is beat. 539 00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 1: That's that's my analysis. At minus three, this number one 540 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:06,159 Speaker 1: too far. I still think there's value at three and 541 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:09,399 Speaker 1: a half. The Texans played really hard in back to 542 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,879 Speaker 1: back games against championship contenders. I doubt they have it 543 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,920 Speaker 1: within them to do it for a third straight game. 544 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 1: And yes, the Titans are injured, you know, like up 545 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:24,080 Speaker 1: and down offense, defense. They are injured, there's no question 546 00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:26,480 Speaker 1: about that. But they still have Derrick Henry, and we 547 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 1: have seen them with Malik Willis play against the Texans 548 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 1: before and that spread was three and a half, you know, 549 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:41,040 Speaker 1: And now you have the Titans not in drastically different 550 00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:43,320 Speaker 1: circumstances in terms of all of the other players. You 551 00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:46,840 Speaker 1: have the Titans at home in this spot, and the 552 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,120 Speaker 1: line is still three and a half, and the Titans 553 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 1: were able to cover. And I don't look at the 554 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 1: Texans and think that they are a significantly better football 555 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:57,280 Speaker 1: team than they were when these teams met earlier in 556 00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,960 Speaker 1: the season. And I don't think the Titans are significant 557 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:03,959 Speaker 1: worse than they were in that first meeting. So, uh, 558 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 1: you know, three and a half, you know, divisional matchup outdoors, 559 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 1: maybe you know, potential for crazy weather. You know, I 560 00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 1: can see why there might be trepidation, but we're still 561 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 1: getting the better team, uh, with a a running back 562 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,720 Speaker 1: who has been able to trash his opponents. I mean, 563 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,360 Speaker 1: the Texans have just been unable to stop Derrick Henry 564 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: for the last few years. And we certainly saw that 565 00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:29,520 Speaker 1: earlier when these teams met, and Derrick Henry went for 566 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,560 Speaker 1: over two hundred yards. So I like the spot here 567 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 1: of the Titans minus three minus three and a half 568 00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:40,520 Speaker 1: at home hosting the Texans. Joe, you have any thoughts 569 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:41,840 Speaker 1: on this one. You might you might be on the 570 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 1: opposite side here. 571 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:45,040 Speaker 2: No, I'm with you here, I vee this is a 572 00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 2: good Bilo spot versus a decent cell High spot. You know, 573 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:54,760 Speaker 2: Tennessee coming off four straight losses, you know, it's it's 574 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:58,560 Speaker 2: hard to guess motivation coming into these games. But you 575 00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 2: can't have to assume four straight losses. You know they're 576 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:06,200 Speaker 2: still holding on to that playoffs. You gotta assume this 577 00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:09,640 Speaker 2: is probably gonna be their best effort of the season. 578 00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:13,240 Speaker 2: And we have seen situations like this with Malik Willis 579 00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:16,200 Speaker 2: going into Kansas City on Sunday night. The Chiefs needed 580 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:20,400 Speaker 2: overtime to beat the Titans in that game, And for 581 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 2: the Texans, you got to wonder how much how much 582 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:26,480 Speaker 2: they got left in the tank after those two games. 583 00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:28,320 Speaker 2: I don't know if it was a playing down to 584 00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:32,680 Speaker 2: the competition or taking them lightly or look ahead, whatever 585 00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:35,480 Speaker 2: you call it. For the Chiefs and Cowboys, what is 586 00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:37,720 Speaker 2: going on there? You give the Texans credit for that, 587 00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:39,920 Speaker 2: but at the end of the day, you pull back 588 00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 2: and you take a look at the bigger picture. They're 589 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:47,880 Speaker 2: the worst team in football. So yeah, absolutely, I think 590 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,680 Speaker 2: coach Mike should have the Titans up for this one. 591 00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:54,160 Speaker 2: So yeah, I think it's a good by low spot 592 00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 2: versus the worst team in the NFL. 593 00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:58,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, one more game here that I want 594 00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 1: to get your thoughts on. You know, we opened the 595 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,360 Speaker 1: show talking about like it's that time of year, everything 596 00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 1: is coming together. We got the the MVP race, and 597 00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:11,520 Speaker 1: you know, Patrick Mahomes versus Josh Allen versus Jalen Hurts, 598 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,080 Speaker 1: who was the front runner and now is not the 599 00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:16,920 Speaker 1: front runner anymore with the shoulder injury that he is 600 00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 1: dealing with. And you know, my instinct is that I 601 00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: think Patrick Mahomes is the most Valuable Player. I think 602 00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 1: he probably will win the award. But there's something in 603 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:31,160 Speaker 1: the back of my neanderthal brain that makes me interested 604 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 1: in Josh Allen. And you know, he was the front 605 00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:38,640 Speaker 1: runner entering the season. The Bills currently have the number 606 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 1: one seed. Josh Allen beat Patrick Mahomes head to head 607 00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 1: and had a really good game in that performance. Josh 608 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 1: Allen had a really great game last week. And if 609 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:58,080 Speaker 1: Josh Allen puts together three more games where he's lights out, 610 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,800 Speaker 1: you know, does Josh Alleny type of things. The Bills 611 00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 1: finished the season with the number one seed. Like, if 612 00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:08,040 Speaker 1: you had given me this general setup and told me 613 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:11,440 Speaker 1: this before the season started, I would say, Okay, if 614 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 1: all of that has taken place, Josh Allen is the 615 00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 1: MVP front runner in Week sixteen. But he's not. He's 616 00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 1: you know, plus five hundred, plus five fifty at various books. 617 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:26,120 Speaker 1: Do you have any thoughts on Josh Allen and you 618 00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,200 Speaker 1: know how we might see this MVP race play out 619 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:30,320 Speaker 1: at the end of the year. 620 00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:32,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's a good take. It's a narrative 621 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 2: driven award, right, It's not like they're using a bunch 622 00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:37,719 Speaker 2: of different metrics and they're like, Okay, this guy has 623 00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:40,480 Speaker 2: the most points, so he wins the MVP. Right. It's 624 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,320 Speaker 2: a bunch of writers and stoff voting for this. So 625 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,120 Speaker 2: if Josh Allen Monday Night Football, I think it's next 626 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,800 Speaker 2: week against the Cincinnati Bengals. That's cheeping up to be 627 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:52,400 Speaker 2: one of the games of the year. If Josh Allen 628 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:54,800 Speaker 2: once again has a great game, and if he can, 629 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 2: you know, have put together a great final drive in 630 00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,560 Speaker 2: the fourth quarter, something of that nature, absolutely I could 631 00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,320 Speaker 2: see him getting it you know you've seen Kansas City. 632 00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:08,920 Speaker 2: They play down to the competitions. It's time after time. 633 00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,280 Speaker 2: Like I like the Seahawks here a plus ten against 634 00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:15,960 Speaker 2: them on Saturday. But I don't know, do you hold 635 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 2: that against Patrick Mahomes at all, that they need overtime 636 00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,800 Speaker 2: to beat the Texans, overtime to beat Malik Willis. You 637 00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:24,840 Speaker 2: know they let the Broncos hang around in that game. 638 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 2: They barely covered against it the Rams a few weeks ago. 639 00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:32,080 Speaker 2: But yeah, at plus five point fifty, I mean, this 640 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 2: is something that could turn on its head this weekend. 641 00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,400 Speaker 2: Josh Allen could go out and run for one hundred 642 00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 2: yards in Chicago, for example, and maybe Mahomes comes out 643 00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:44,440 Speaker 2: and has a two touchdown, two interception game. It looks 644 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 2: kind of average and they win by three points. I 645 00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:51,760 Speaker 2: think you could see the odds shift in that instance, right. 646 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:54,040 Speaker 2: So a lot can be because these are the most 647 00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:57,720 Speaker 2: important games of the week of the season, stretch around 648 00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,800 Speaker 2: of the season. Teams are trying to sele by their 649 00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 2: playoff positioning. So Josh Allen can outplay Mahomes in two 650 00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 2: of the three games. I don't see much of an 651 00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,280 Speaker 2: argument against him. I mean, there's good arguments for both 652 00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:16,160 Speaker 2: of the guys, but I don't necessarily understand why Allen's 653 00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:17,680 Speaker 2: are a plus five fifty right now. 654 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's yeah, that's what I'm seeing. And yeah, 655 00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:24,080 Speaker 1: as you mentioned this Bills game in Chicago, you know 656 00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:26,319 Speaker 1: it's one of the three games we could see Alan 657 00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,400 Speaker 1: go out there and just run for a ton of yardage, 658 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:29,920 Speaker 1: and you know that would be something that kind of 659 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 1: distinguishes him from what we normally see outa mahomes And 660 00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,160 Speaker 1: by the way, we're giving away a free sign speaking 661 00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:37,800 Speaker 1: of the Bills, a free signed Isaiah McKenzie Buffalo Bill's 662 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:39,960 Speaker 1: mini helmet for Pristine auction. If you want a chance 663 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 1: to win it, subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel 664 00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:43,960 Speaker 1: right now and comment below on the video. We will 665 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:47,239 Speaker 1: announce a winner in a future episode. Joe, thanks for 666 00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,600 Speaker 1: joining us. Tell all the people where to find you 667 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:51,120 Speaker 1: on social and find your work. 668 00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:53,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, find me a very active on Twitter. You can 669 00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:57,880 Speaker 2: find me at jtfo Z. I work for a company 670 00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,359 Speaker 2: called Vegas Insider. A host they show Monday day through 671 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:04,160 Speaker 2: Friday called Chasing That Paper. We cover pretty much every 672 00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:06,080 Speaker 2: sport that there is to cover. It's a very to 673 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:09,279 Speaker 2: the point program. Kind of like yours. It's just frontloaded 674 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:13,240 Speaker 2: with picks for that day's games. That's on the Vegas 675 00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:17,160 Speaker 2: Insider YouTube channel eleven Eastern Monday through Friday, so find 676 00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:20,600 Speaker 2: us there. Check that out and the podcast comes out 677 00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:22,600 Speaker 2: every afternoon and replay of every show. 678 00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:25,839 Speaker 1: All right. He is Joe Osborne. I'm Matthew Friedman at 679 00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:28,240 Speaker 1: Matt f The Oracle. Check out Betting Pros and Fantasy 680 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,640 Speaker 1: Pros for all of my work best Bets, player props, 681 00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 1: Fantasy Favorites, player projections and rankings and more. If you 682 00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:36,560 Speaker 1: like the show, please rate and review on your favorite 683 00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:38,719 Speaker 1: podcast app. That is going to do it for this 684 00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:42,440 Speaker 1: week sixteen Christmas Eve Best Bets edition of the Betting 685 00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:45,160 Speaker 1: Pros Pod. Thanks for tuning in, good luck, have a 686 00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:48,320 Speaker 1: great holiday weekend, and see you next episode.