WEBVTT - After The Builders: On Dario & Daniela Amodei and Mustafa Suleyman

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Tech Stuff, Oswald Ossian here. It's another special

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<v Speaker 1>edition of the podcast today, focused on Kaleidoscope's new series,

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<v Speaker 1>The Builders, with Walter Isaacson. This time, we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>discuss the third and fourth episodes, where Walter interviews Daniela

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<v Speaker 1>and Dario Amodei, the two co-founders of Anthropic, and Mustafa Suleiman,

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO of Microsoft AI. Dario and Daniela left OpenAI

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<v Speaker 1>in 2020 after disagreements over AI safety with Sam Altman.

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<v Speaker 1>Mustafa Suleiman was pushed out of DeepMind, which he co-founded

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<v Speaker 1>in 2019, after two years of grinding negotiations with Google

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<v Speaker 1>about AI safety and following complaints about his management style. Today,

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<v Speaker 1>they represent different, perhaps even opposite sides of the debate

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<v Speaker 1>on safety, with the Anthropic co-founders advocating for encoding ethics

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<v Speaker 1>in AI, and Suleiman arguing for the primacy of human control.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a fascinating pairing, and today I'm joined by my

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<v Speaker 1>Kaleidoscope co-founder, Mangesh Hatikader, as well as two journalists who

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<v Speaker 1>know more about these figures and the debate about the

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<v Speaker 1>future of AI than anyone I know. We'd like to

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<v Speaker 1>be joined by Sebastian Malaby, currently a senior fellow at

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<v Speaker 1>the Council on Foreign Relations and the author of many books,

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<v Speaker 1>most recently The Infinity Machine, Demis Hassabis' Deep Mind and

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<v Speaker 1>the Quest for Superintelligence, and his forthcoming book recently announced

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<v Speaker 1>and untitled is about Dari Amode.

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<v Speaker 2>Great to be with you.

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<v Speaker 1>And Natasha Tiku, Silicon Valley Culture and AI reporter for

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<v Speaker 1>The Washington Post and regular Tech Stuff contributor.

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<v Speaker 3>Welcome. Thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>Before we get into the builders, we'd love to hear

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<v Speaker 1>a bit from both of you about what it's like

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<v Speaker 1>to report on these people. Natasha, maybe starting with you,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm curious about the kind of arc of reporting on

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<v Speaker 1>these tech leaders, particularly in the age of the self-published

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<v Speaker 1>viral essay.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it requires a lot of time spent reading thousands

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<v Speaker 4>and thousands of words. I put actually recently all of

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<v Speaker 4>Dario's essays in a Google Doc. Because I'm just highlighting

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<v Speaker 4>and there's so many of them. And I had to,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, even incorporate different tabs for his recent long

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<v Speaker 4>form tweet responses. So yeah, it's kind of like, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>Talmudic studies. Sometimes it seems like that.

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<v Speaker 1>Do they write them all themselves?

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<v Speaker 4>I've heard that it is a norm within Anthropic that

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<v Speaker 4>it's actually very bad form if it seems like you

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<v Speaker 4>have used Claude to do your own writing, which I

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<v Speaker 4>think is like a beautiful irony.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I do believe he's written them by himself.

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<v Speaker 1>But Jack Clark is also prolific, the other Anthropic co-founder, right?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, to keep up with all the things the

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<v Speaker 1>Anthropic co-founders write, you'd have to be quite the reader. Sebastian,

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<v Speaker 1>what about you? I mean, how do you get in

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<v Speaker 1>the heads of these founders? I mean, Demis and now Dario.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, with Demis, it was a question of sitting with

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<v Speaker 2>him in a pub in North London for hours and

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<v Speaker 2>hours and hours, more than 30 in total, and just

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<v Speaker 2>getting him to go through his life story and reflect

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<v Speaker 2>on different bits of it. He's a great narrator, so

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<v Speaker 2>that was actually super fun. And he tells, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>he self-dramatizes very well. And you have to maybe slightly

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<v Speaker 2>filter a few things where you think it may be

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<v Speaker 2>not quite true. But essentially, he is relatively trustworthy and

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<v Speaker 2>extremely fluent. And the thing about him is he doesn't

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<v Speaker 2>write that many essays. He did one this year in

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<v Speaker 2>July on safety. But the way he's told his own

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<v Speaker 2>story is through lectures and podcasts. There hadn't been a

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<v Speaker 2>kind of long-form written book which had access to him,

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<v Speaker 2>which kind of covered not only his childhood and all that,

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<v Speaker 2>but the linkages between what he studied at Cambridge as

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<v Speaker 2>an undergraduate, Claude Shannon and so forth, and then how

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<v Speaker 2>he developed this crazy conviction that you could build powerful A.I.,

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<v Speaker 2>and founded a company to do that in 2010, two

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<v Speaker 2>years before AI recognizes the photograph of a cat. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>the conviction was wild.

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<v Speaker 1>So Mangesh, obviously you and I are quite proud of

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<v Speaker 1>our series, The Builders, and there's a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>kind of fun, wild ride of how it all came about.

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<v Speaker 1>Why don't you tell us about the Amadeus interview first?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so we're all obviously fascinated by the Amadeus, and

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<v Speaker 5>we're trying to book them. We had reached out, both

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<v Speaker 5>asking for it Dario and Daniela. We thought we'd be

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<v Speaker 5>able to get them separately. And initially they kept saying, well,

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<v Speaker 5>Dario is available this time. And we were pushing more

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<v Speaker 5>for Daniela's voice as well. And then they said, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>would you like to do them together? And we thought, perfect.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, there's only one interview that they've done together before,

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<v Speaker 5>and that's with Oprah. And so, you know, and so,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, we managed to secure them. We're so excited. And, uh,

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<v Speaker 5>And Dario got to the interview first and he was

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<v Speaker 5>there about 10 minutes early and Walter was there as well.

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<v Speaker 5>And so, you know, Walter is Southern and charming and

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<v Speaker 5>he's trying to cajole him into chatting a little bit.

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<v Speaker 5>And Dario kind of waves at him and then just

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<v Speaker 5>looks down and he does not want to do any

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<v Speaker 5>small talk. And Walter just kept saying like, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>a little bit more, a little bit more. And Dario

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<v Speaker 5>was like, you know, I'd really prefer to wait till

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<v Speaker 5>Daniela's here. And so it was just silence until Daniela

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<v Speaker 5>gets there. And then immediately, he turns the charm on.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, like, he's so excited to talk. And you see,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, how close they are. And you realize that, like,

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<v Speaker 5>he's obviously a CEO who's a visionary but doesn't manage anyone.

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<v Speaker 5>And she really both protects and translates his brilliance so

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<v Speaker 5>effectively to a larger world. And it's kind of remarkable

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<v Speaker 5>to watch them interact. And I really feel lucky that

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<v Speaker 5>we managed to get them together.

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<v Speaker 1>Natasha, Sebastian, maybe Sebastian, you first. You were both smiling

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<v Speaker 1>at that account of the pregame.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I guess the compartmentalizing is what people have to

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<v Speaker 2>do when they're super busy. And, you know, if you've

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<v Speaker 2>got that extra seven minutes before the real thing starts,

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<v Speaker 2>you're going to use it to think of another big

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<v Speaker 2>thought because the value of each incremental big thought is

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<v Speaker 2>measured in the billions of dollars. You know, and the

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<v Speaker 2>safety of humanity might depend on it. So this is

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<v Speaker 2>serious stuff. So, look, I mean, I recognize that tendency

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<v Speaker 2>of being super efficient with one time. And, you know, Demis,

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<v Speaker 2>just to go back to him as a kind of

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<v Speaker 2>baseline comparator, has this routine where he has two working days.

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<v Speaker 2>He works a day in the office, he comes back,

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<v Speaker 2>has dinner with the kids, goes up to his home office,

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<v Speaker 2>works from 10 a.m. until 4 a.m. the next day.

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<v Speaker 2>So he gets the sort of reading, thinking, cogitating time.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's another example of being just aggressively efficient with

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<v Speaker 2>how much you can eke out from each 24-hour unit.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a scene in your book where Demis and Mustafa

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<v Speaker 1>have dinner every Sunday night in the pub and they

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<v Speaker 1>wait until last orders to order so they can eke

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<v Speaker 1>out as much conversational time as possible. But Natasha, what

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<v Speaker 1>about you?

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, I watched the video, so it was just

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<v Speaker 4>reminding me of times when Dario knew that he would

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<v Speaker 4>get in trouble, so he just handed it over to Daniela.

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<v Speaker 4>And I was watching Daniela's hands when Dario was getting

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<v Speaker 4>a little bit too colorful.

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<v Speaker 3>So it was a rich text, the video itself.

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<v Speaker 1>Love a video podcast. Before we get into actual interviews, though,

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<v Speaker 1>can you give us some context, Natasha, starting with you?

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<v Speaker 1>What do we need to know about the Anthropic IPO

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<v Speaker 1>this week?

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<v Speaker 4>I think you need to know that It is one

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<v Speaker 4>of the fastest growing companies in history, period. People are

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<v Speaker 4>anticipating a valuation of potentially $ 2 trillion.

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<v Speaker 3>There's also been reports of $ 1.

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<v Speaker 4>5 trillion, but you have to keep in mind this

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<v Speaker 4>is a company that is less than six years old.

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<v Speaker 4>And the text of the SEC filing is exactly what

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<v Speaker 4>you would expect from the Amadeus, right? Like they talk

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<v Speaker 4>about bringing forth an age of miracles. If you buy

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<v Speaker 4>a share in their company, don't think of it as

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<v Speaker 4>a transaction. Think of it as being, you know, part

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<v Speaker 4>of this momentous period in time. They talk about how

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<v Speaker 4>each of their employees is worth $ 6. 6 million. Like that's

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<v Speaker 4>how talent dense this organization is. And they also go

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<v Speaker 4>through some of the existential issues risks, which they touch

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<v Speaker 4>on in the interview as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Sebastian, I mean, I know it's just been announced in

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<v Speaker 1>Publishers Weekly, and it's sort of probably a quiet period,

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<v Speaker 1>so to speak, on the book. But what's your biggest

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<v Speaker 1>question about Dariam Ali going to be?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, it is super early. I've only just

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<v Speaker 2>begun interviewing, but I would say the questions going in are,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, in a way, how did this extraordinary thing happen?

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<v Speaker 2>You know, these guys left OpenAI, the seven founders of Anthropic.

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<v Speaker 2>They left in 2020. They start the company in 2021.

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<v Speaker 2>And at the time, you know, they're way behind. They

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<v Speaker 2>don't have a big source of funding like Google DeepMind

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<v Speaker 2>did because of Google's, you know, enormous balance sheet. They

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<v Speaker 2>didn't have the head start that OpenAI had. OpenAI then

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<v Speaker 2>goes on to do the chat GPT, goes viral in 2022,

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<v Speaker 2>and Anthropic seems even more behind. They scrounge together some

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<v Speaker 2>money miraculously from the effective altruist community with Sam Backman-Fried

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<v Speaker 2>at the center of that. And then he goes to prison.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's like the setback after setback after setback.

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<v Speaker 2>And yet it turns out that by 2026, these guys

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<v Speaker 2>are at the forefront scientifically. They are the biggest revenue,

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<v Speaker 2>fastest revenue ramp, I think, in the history of capitalism.

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<v Speaker 2>I would go maybe one notch further than Natasha did.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it is the biggest, fastest ever. And then

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<v Speaker 2>also in policy terms, you know, they stick their necks out.

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<v Speaker 2>They take principal stands. They take on the Trump administration.

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<v Speaker 2>And they make the weather on the kind of policy

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<v Speaker 2>and safety front. So I think there's a kind of

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<v Speaker 2>triple here, right? The policy stuff, the business thing, and

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<v Speaker 2>the scientific advance.

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<v Speaker 1>It's so crazy how the tech news cycle is nowadays

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<v Speaker 1>because Microsoft announced they've offered buyouts to 60,000 employees, more

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<v Speaker 1>than 25% of their entire workforce. It's probably like the

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<v Speaker 1>fifth biggest tech story of the week. But I mention

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<v Speaker 1>it just because obviously the other person we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>be talking about in this episode is Mustafa Suleiman of

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<v Speaker 1>Microsoft AI. Have either of you followed these buyouts? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>the premise is unlocking more capital for compute, essentially, I think.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, I haven't followed that specifically, but it's

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<v Speaker 2>part of a big thing where, you know, when you're

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<v Speaker 2>trying to onboard a lot of artificial intelligence. And I

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<v Speaker 2>use that word deliberately. When you onboard a human, you

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<v Speaker 2>have to kind of figure out how to use that person,

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<v Speaker 2>train them and so forth. It's kind of the same

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<v Speaker 2>with AI. You have to kind of figure out how

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<v Speaker 2>to integrate AI into your business processes to make it productive.

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<v Speaker 2>And that is an enormous suck on management time and

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<v Speaker 2>management focus. And these guys just don't want to have

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<v Speaker 2>too many humans knocking around when they're focused on this

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<v Speaker 2>other thing. And it's already the case that, you know, in, in,

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<v Speaker 2>in anthropic, for example, large amounts of the tasks that

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<v Speaker 2>might have traditionally been done by humans, for example, thinking about,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, working on the IPO. I'm told that there

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<v Speaker 2>are large numbers of AI agents that are doing a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of that work.

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<v Speaker 1>Um, and so they can't write the essays, but they

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<v Speaker 1>can write their perspectives.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, they probably could write the essays. It's just that existentially,

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<v Speaker 2>we don't want them to do that because writing an

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<v Speaker 2>essay and expressing your view. If you're the leader of

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<v Speaker 2>the glab, I mean, it's kind of like, that has

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<v Speaker 2>to be you.

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<v Speaker 1>And Natasha, what's the vibe in Silicon Valley? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time, there's any number of Anthropic employees

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<v Speaker 1>who are now worth exactly $ 6. 6 million each versus all

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<v Speaker 1>the Microsoft employees being bought out. Like, what's the mood?

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<v Speaker 4>The mood is, you know, can I get a job

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<v Speaker 4>at Anthropic? Otherwise, you'll be part of the permanent underclass.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, there's just so much money sloshing around. You

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<v Speaker 4>see people expressing, you know, oh, here's me in a

0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:47.559
<v Speaker 4>picture of Ilya six years ago, Ilya Sutskiver. You know, like,

0:11:47.620 --> 0:11:50.439
<v Speaker 4>did I make the wrong decision? Why are some of

0:11:50.500 --> 0:11:53.450
<v Speaker 4>the people who have the exact same background as me billionaires?

0:11:53.470 --> 0:11:57.220
<v Speaker 4>You know, Matt Levy and his Bloomberg company. write up

0:11:57.320 --> 0:11:59.579
<v Speaker 4>about the S one was great. It was basically like

0:11:59.700 --> 0:12:03.610
<v Speaker 4>Claude is going to subsume all human endeavor. So why

0:12:03.640 --> 0:12:06.309
<v Speaker 4>not buy a share of Claude? That's that was kind

0:12:06.330 --> 0:12:08.790
<v Speaker 4>of the IPO pitch. And that is the mood right now,

0:12:08.890 --> 0:12:13.210
<v Speaker 4>I would say, you know, kind of mouth agape envy.

0:12:13.429 --> 0:12:17.089
<v Speaker 4>I mean, this is the feat of capitalism is is astounding.

0:12:17.510 --> 0:12:20.650
<v Speaker 4>I keep thinking actually back to the Peter Thiel, Walter

0:12:20.710 --> 0:12:24.000
<v Speaker 4>Isaacson interview where he said, can you think of a

0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:29.440
<v Speaker 4>cult that has ever done this? It's phenomenal to think

0:12:29.480 --> 0:12:33.420
<v Speaker 4>of somebody with deep ideological beliefs that is actually at

0:12:33.480 --> 0:12:34.740
<v Speaker 4>the pinnacle of capitalism.

0:12:35.800 --> 0:12:38.550
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, truly. Well, I mean, let's get into that. I

0:12:38.570 --> 0:12:40.950
<v Speaker 1>mentioned at the top that kind of debates over safety

0:12:40.970 --> 0:12:45.790
<v Speaker 1>in some sense inform both Mustafa's departure from Google. I

0:12:45.790 --> 0:12:47.730
<v Speaker 1>want to hear more from both of you on that,

0:12:47.750 --> 0:12:49.949
<v Speaker 1>but also, of course, Daria and Daniela from OpenAI. So

0:12:50.700 --> 0:12:54.199
<v Speaker 1>This was one of Walter's more controversial lines of questioning

0:12:54.300 --> 0:12:56.860
<v Speaker 1>in the interview. Probably the body language told its own story,

0:12:56.880 --> 0:12:57.580
<v Speaker 1>but let's play it now.

0:12:58.400 --> 0:13:03.420
<v Speaker 7>Dario, you say your departure from OpenAI was partly due

0:13:03.460 --> 0:13:07.080
<v Speaker 7>to a breakdown of trust, an interesting word, you know,

0:13:07.120 --> 0:13:10.980
<v Speaker 7>with Sam Altman. Explain how you felt there was a

0:13:11.040 --> 0:13:13.980
<v Speaker 7>breakdown of trust and honesty there.

0:13:14.900 --> 0:13:18.990
<v Speaker 6>What I will say is, look, leaving OpenAI and founding Anthropic,

0:13:19.090 --> 0:13:22.650
<v Speaker 6>I mean, It ultimately comes down to the principles and

0:13:22.670 --> 0:13:24.610
<v Speaker 6>how we're going to build the technology. That is what

0:13:24.830 --> 0:13:27.530
<v Speaker 6>matters at the end of the day. But I will

0:13:27.630 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 6>say that the moment when I realized that we needed

0:13:32.179 --> 0:13:35.180
<v Speaker 6>to found our own company, that OpenAI was not the

0:13:35.220 --> 0:13:39.939
<v Speaker 6>right place for us. Look, these safety issues are difficult.

0:13:40.020 --> 0:13:43.840
<v Speaker 6>You can have lots of disagreements on them. I disagree

0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:46.660
<v Speaker 6>with the co-founders and with lots of people at Anthropic,

0:13:47.059 --> 0:13:50.350
<v Speaker 6>but the reason we've been able to resolve these disagreements

0:13:50.429 --> 0:13:53.209
<v Speaker 6>is because there's always trust that everyone is trying to

0:13:53.250 --> 0:13:55.490
<v Speaker 6>get to the right answer and everyone is being honest.

0:13:56.270 --> 0:13:58.850
<v Speaker 6>My point in saying that there's a breakdown of trust

0:13:58.950 --> 0:14:01.790
<v Speaker 6>is simply to make the abstract point that if you

0:14:01.910 --> 0:14:04.739
<v Speaker 6>don't believe that about a place where you're working, if

0:14:04.780 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 6>you don't believe that the disagreements are being held in

0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:11.679
<v Speaker 6>good faith and that you're getting the real story from people,

0:14:12.170 --> 0:14:15.050
<v Speaker 6>How can you possibly hope to resolve them? That's why

0:14:15.090 --> 0:14:17.890
<v Speaker 6>we left. That's why we founded our own thing. And

0:14:18.050 --> 0:14:20.590
<v Speaker 6>I think the last five and a half years are

0:14:21.210 --> 0:14:26.430
<v Speaker 6>themselves just the best proof of how our philosophy differs

0:14:26.510 --> 0:14:29.490
<v Speaker 6>from that of the other companies in the space. I

0:14:29.530 --> 0:14:32.670
<v Speaker 6>think if you continue to work for someone who has

0:14:32.710 --> 0:14:36.390
<v Speaker 6>a different vision than you, it becomes very unclear what

0:14:36.410 --> 0:14:37.530
<v Speaker 6>you actually stand for.

0:14:38.070 --> 0:14:40.830
<v Speaker 7>Wait a minute, though. Push back a bit here because

0:14:40.850 --> 0:14:43.930
<v Speaker 7>you talk about differences in values and stuff, but that's

0:14:44.010 --> 0:14:49.380
<v Speaker 7>fundamentally different than a difference in trust, that you feel

0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.220
<v Speaker 7>that somebody says they have the same values, but they

0:14:52.260 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 7>don't and you can't trust them.

0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 6>Honesty is one.

0:14:56.140 --> 0:14:56.900
<v Speaker 8>Of our values.

0:14:58.160 --> 0:15:02.250
<v Speaker 6>It's a very important value. It's hard to know what

0:15:02.290 --> 0:15:05.250
<v Speaker 6>someone's values are if they don't have the value of honesty.

0:15:05.910 --> 0:15:07.030
<v Speaker 7>And you felt that about Sam?

0:15:09.210 --> 0:15:11.130
<v Speaker 9>I think the way, at least for me, I would

0:15:11.170 --> 0:15:15.900
<v Speaker 9>put it is I think the co-founders are an unusually

0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:21.280
<v Speaker 9>high integrity group of people. And all of us, I think,

0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:24.360
<v Speaker 9>shared a very similar vision for how we wanted this

0:15:24.420 --> 0:15:26.620
<v Speaker 9>technology to go and how we wanted to build it.

0:15:27.300 --> 0:15:29.500
<v Speaker 9>But at a certain point, it just makes more sense

0:15:29.540 --> 0:15:31.730
<v Speaker 9>to go do this as your own organization.

0:15:31.750 --> 0:15:32.350
<v Speaker 1>How are you going to.

0:15:32.330 --> 0:15:37.670
<v Speaker 6>Get someone else to implement or share your vision if

0:15:37.710 --> 0:15:42.330
<v Speaker 6>they don't naturally do so. No matter how much they say,

0:15:43.230 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 6>they share it. If that's not reflected in what the

0:15:46.410 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 6>company actually does, what choice do you have?

0:15:49.900 --> 0:15:52.980
<v Speaker 1>Natasha, I want your reaction, particularly, I loved your smile

0:15:53.020 --> 0:15:54.200
<v Speaker 1>at Daniela's interjection.

0:15:54.980 --> 0:15:58.980
<v Speaker 4>I think that was actually the part where he moved

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:01.680
<v Speaker 4>his hands and said, Daniela, you take over. I'm assuming

0:16:01.730 --> 0:16:05.250
<v Speaker 4>that's because They said, Dario, you're way too charged up

0:16:05.350 --> 0:16:08.450
<v Speaker 4>to actually make comments about Sam in any interview. Please

0:16:08.470 --> 0:16:11.729
<v Speaker 4>defer to Daniela. And then he couldn't help himself. He like,

0:16:11.890 --> 0:16:15.320
<v Speaker 4>you know, went back into it. That whole section was

0:16:15.380 --> 0:16:22.840
<v Speaker 4>so fascinating because, you know, obviously this animosity and disapproval,

0:16:24.940 --> 0:16:27.450
<v Speaker 4>hatred in some cases, I'm not sure, you know, I

0:16:27.470 --> 0:16:29.270
<v Speaker 4>don't want to put words in anybody's mouth, but that

0:16:29.830 --> 0:16:33.770
<v Speaker 4>animates so much of And you can see that throughout

0:16:33.850 --> 0:16:36.290
<v Speaker 4>this whole interview, right? Like he comes back to it

0:16:36.350 --> 0:16:39.300
<v Speaker 4>again and again, you know, wanting to make a company

0:16:39.340 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 4>that is so different from the way that OpenAI operated.

0:16:44.140 --> 0:16:46.380
<v Speaker 4>And a little bit of what he's alluding to, I think,

0:16:46.420 --> 0:16:51.320
<v Speaker 4>in that clip is this emphasis on culture fit, right?

0:16:51.360 --> 0:16:56.190
<v Speaker 4>Like which Anthropic famously has this interview process where, you know,

0:16:56.230 --> 0:16:58.170
<v Speaker 4>you can sail through the technical interview process.

0:16:58.440 --> 0:16:59.420
<v Speaker 3>You can do really well.

0:16:59.500 --> 0:17:02.140
<v Speaker 4>And then they have this culture fit interview, which actually

0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:05.140
<v Speaker 4>involves reading some of Dario's essays.

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:07.490
<v Speaker 3>I was talking to somebody who sailed.

0:17:07.290 --> 0:17:09.650
<v Speaker 4>Through the technical part and then got cut off at the,

0:17:09.830 --> 0:17:12.330
<v Speaker 4>at the culture part. And they asked like, do you

0:17:12.430 --> 0:17:15.850
<v Speaker 4>share the same views on AI safety? How much of

0:17:16.010 --> 0:17:19.010
<v Speaker 4>a issue is AI safety to you? And you're, you know,

0:17:19.070 --> 0:17:21.770
<v Speaker 4>supposed to espouse some of the same values that, that

0:17:21.910 --> 0:17:26.570
<v Speaker 4>the co-founders have. And I mean, certainly you can see

0:17:26.630 --> 0:17:30.030
<v Speaker 4>that they do operate as one cohesive unit. That's why

0:17:30.090 --> 0:17:32.369
<v Speaker 4>the company is so successful, but you can just tell

0:17:32.450 --> 0:17:36.170
<v Speaker 4>that even five, six years later, Dario is so animated by,

0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:38.639
<v Speaker 4>by the reason that he left open AI.

0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:41.659
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's interesting. We had Elon Musk was the

0:17:41.700 --> 0:17:44.340
<v Speaker 1>first episode of the builders and, you know, he was

0:17:44.380 --> 0:17:46.160
<v Speaker 1>talking about how it would be good to get all

0:17:46.220 --> 0:17:49.060
<v Speaker 1>the AI lab founders talking once a week and blah, blah.

0:17:49.540 --> 0:17:53.370
<v Speaker 1>And Walter said, even Sam. And, uh, I mean, Elon

0:17:53.390 --> 0:17:55.369
<v Speaker 1>was basically like, no, you can't really trust Sam. And

0:17:55.609 --> 0:17:58.450
<v Speaker 1>it is funny how, you know, and there was obviously

0:17:58.470 --> 0:18:00.439
<v Speaker 1>a kind of dust up between Elon and the Amadeus

0:18:00.460 --> 0:18:02.760
<v Speaker 1>as well, which now seems to be resolved. But Sam

0:18:02.780 --> 0:18:07.220
<v Speaker 1>seems to be uniquely disliked by his fellow AI titans, Sebastian.

0:18:07.600 --> 0:18:11.500
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's true. I remember being in Silicon Valley talking

0:18:11.580 --> 0:18:15.940
<v Speaker 2>about my book in April, and I was being hosted

0:18:16.040 --> 0:18:20.350
<v Speaker 2>by the general partner of a prominent VC firm who

0:18:20.369 --> 0:18:24.390
<v Speaker 2>had known Sam, you know, for 20 years. And since

0:18:24.430 --> 0:18:26.930
<v Speaker 2>I knew he was, they were friends, I said to him, well, look,

0:18:26.950 --> 0:18:29.409
<v Speaker 2>this New Yorker piece has just come out. We can

0:18:29.450 --> 0:18:32.730
<v Speaker 2>summarize the New Yorker piece as follows. Sam Altman lies.

0:18:32.750 --> 0:18:35.669
<v Speaker 2>And when he finished lying, he lies some more. Is

0:18:35.710 --> 0:18:39.470
<v Speaker 2>that unfair? I said. And this VC who's been friends

0:18:39.490 --> 0:18:43.300
<v Speaker 2>with him for 20 years says, nah, not really. I mean,

0:18:43.420 --> 0:18:44.379
<v Speaker 2>this is what he's.

0:18:44.260 --> 0:18:44.900
<v Speaker 1>Like, right?

0:18:45.020 --> 0:18:50.100
<v Speaker 2>He, he absolutely tells people what they want to hear. And,

0:18:50.420 --> 0:18:53.160
<v Speaker 2>you know, the sympathetic interpretation is this is what people

0:18:53.200 --> 0:18:56.790
<v Speaker 2>do all the time in legislative affairs in Washington, D.C., right?

0:18:56.810 --> 0:18:58.530
<v Speaker 2>You try to get a coalition for a bill in

0:18:58.570 --> 0:19:01.190
<v Speaker 2>Congress by telling one member of Congress it's going to

0:19:01.230 --> 0:19:02.890
<v Speaker 2>do this, which you want, and then the other member

0:19:03.250 --> 0:19:05.369
<v Speaker 2>is going to do that, which you want. And you

0:19:05.390 --> 0:19:07.510
<v Speaker 2>try to get people together and you're not, you know,

0:19:08.109 --> 0:19:10.590
<v Speaker 2>maybe there's like a little bit of truth in both claims,

0:19:10.670 --> 0:19:12.690
<v Speaker 2>but when you put them both together side by side,

0:19:12.710 --> 0:19:15.050
<v Speaker 2>they can't both be quite true. But too bad, you

0:19:15.070 --> 0:19:17.369
<v Speaker 2>put coalitions together. And you do this in business all

0:19:17.390 --> 0:19:19.770
<v Speaker 2>the time. When you're raising money for some big real

0:19:19.810 --> 0:19:21.790
<v Speaker 2>estate project or whatever it is, you've got to tell

0:19:22.090 --> 0:19:23.830
<v Speaker 2>the local community one thing. You've got to tell the

0:19:23.850 --> 0:19:26.600
<v Speaker 2>politicians another. You've got to tell your shareholders yet a

0:19:26.619 --> 0:19:30.080
<v Speaker 2>third thing. The tenants get a fourth story. So people

0:19:30.160 --> 0:19:32.980
<v Speaker 2>do this in the real world, but just Sam Altman

0:19:33.020 --> 0:19:35.700
<v Speaker 2>does it to quite a pronounced degree. And in a

0:19:35.740 --> 0:19:39.910
<v Speaker 2>repetitive game with very high stakes like AI, in the end,

0:19:39.950 --> 0:19:41.010
<v Speaker 2>you burn your boats with people.

0:19:41.850 --> 0:19:43.780
<v Speaker 1>Obviously, I'm sure most of us have watched the Elizabeth

0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:47.870
<v Speaker 1>Holmes documentary, but one of the things which comes across

0:19:47.910 --> 0:19:49.950
<v Speaker 1>from that and from that New York article you mentioned

0:19:50.010 --> 0:19:52.330
<v Speaker 1>is that the default assumption is most of these people

0:19:52.390 --> 0:19:56.200
<v Speaker 1>are lying through their teeth at all times. Natasha, and

0:19:56.220 --> 0:19:58.480
<v Speaker 1>of course, Jensen Huang has implied that the Amodeus kind

0:19:58.520 --> 0:20:01.020
<v Speaker 1>of safety discourse is kind of like a bad faith

0:20:01.600 --> 0:20:04.359
<v Speaker 1>attempt at regulatory capture and marketing, etc.

0:20:04.380 --> 0:20:04.560
<v Speaker 7>etc.

0:20:04.580 --> 0:20:07.100
<v Speaker 1>But when you hear them speak, when you look at them, like,

0:20:07.359 --> 0:20:08.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, I mean, this is the same thing

0:20:08.340 --> 0:20:10.780
<v Speaker 1>I have with the Elizabeth Holmes documentary, but like, it doesn't,

0:20:10.800 --> 0:20:13.060
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it looks like they really believe what they're saying.

0:20:13.980 --> 0:20:17.280
<v Speaker 4>Yes, I think that trying to go down the road

0:20:17.359 --> 0:20:21.830
<v Speaker 4>of gauging whether or not they're sincere about these beliefs

0:20:22.050 --> 0:20:22.710
<v Speaker 4>is futile.

0:20:22.770 --> 0:20:25.050
<v Speaker 3>Like, they obviously very strongly believe it.

0:20:25.130 --> 0:20:29.110
<v Speaker 4>But actually, I was talking to Daniel Kokotajlo, who's this

0:20:29.250 --> 0:20:33.169
<v Speaker 4>early OpenAI employee and whistleblower of sorts, you know, he

0:20:33.190 --> 0:20:36.250
<v Speaker 4>wrote that AI 2027, because I was talking to him

0:20:36.310 --> 0:20:40.270
<v Speaker 4>about like the trust that employees have in Dario versus Sam.

0:20:40.490 --> 0:20:45.520
<v Speaker 4>And he was reminding me that actually OpenAI employees felt

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:49.239
<v Speaker 4>this way about Sam for a number of years. You know,

0:20:49.320 --> 0:20:53.419
<v Speaker 4>now they feel very disillusioned maybe, but he was, he

0:20:53.460 --> 0:20:56.690
<v Speaker 4>was cautioning me to see it more as like DeepMind

0:20:56.730 --> 0:21:00.330
<v Speaker 4>has been around for like, that's a 20 to 15

0:21:00.330 --> 0:21:03.880
<v Speaker 4>year old company and OpenAI is a 10-year-old company and

0:21:04.780 --> 0:21:07.540
<v Speaker 4>Anthropic is a five-year-old company, and they all end up

0:21:08.040 --> 0:21:12.740
<v Speaker 4>on this spectrum of different, I guess, you know, making

0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:17.380
<v Speaker 4>concessions to their views on safety and a difference between

0:21:17.520 --> 0:21:22.110
<v Speaker 4>the trust that employees have in their leaders. But yeah,

0:21:22.150 --> 0:21:24.250
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I've known Sam for a decade, so I

0:21:24.290 --> 0:21:28.330
<v Speaker 4>definitely understand when people say that, you know, he can

0:21:28.390 --> 0:21:32.480
<v Speaker 4>be kind of a wordsmith, let's say, like a slippery guy.

0:21:32.500 --> 0:21:35.300
<v Speaker 5>And I think, I mean, Walter alludes to this too, right?

0:21:35.340 --> 0:21:38.199
<v Speaker 5>Like Google being a company that was, you know, do

0:21:38.240 --> 0:21:41.440
<v Speaker 5>no evil and people don't feel that way anymore, right?

0:21:41.740 --> 0:21:45.230
<v Speaker 5>And similarly, I remember being at South By when like

0:21:46.190 --> 0:21:49.530
<v Speaker 5>a young Mark Zuckerberg came on stage and like people

0:21:49.550 --> 0:21:53.010
<v Speaker 5>were enamored, right? And really charmed in a very different way.

0:21:53.590 --> 0:21:56.040
<v Speaker 5>So it's really kind of fascinating to see the sort

0:21:56.060 --> 0:21:58.750
<v Speaker 5>of like cults of personalities that occur within these places

0:21:58.830 --> 0:22:01.100
<v Speaker 5>and that people really do sincerely believe in the missions.

0:22:02.280 --> 0:22:04.720
<v Speaker 4>I had to slog through Mark Zuckerberg's memos as well.

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:08.159
<v Speaker 4>And some of those were very long. So, yes, I

0:22:08.200 --> 0:22:09.980
<v Speaker 4>think it's important context, you know.

0:22:10.000 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 1>Sounds like you would be able to ace your interview

0:22:12.340 --> 0:22:18.419
<v Speaker 1>at Anthropic, Natasha. They would produce the text for your

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:23.649
<v Speaker 1>second interview and you'd say, I've already read it. Sebastian,

0:22:23.690 --> 0:22:27.210
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned the one company willing to stand up to

0:22:27.230 --> 0:22:30.250
<v Speaker 1>the Trump administration. So let's play a clip now of

0:22:30.510 --> 0:22:34.369
<v Speaker 1>Dario and Daniela talking about their concerns over the use

0:22:34.390 --> 0:22:35.890
<v Speaker 1>of their technology in war.

0:22:36.970 --> 0:22:40.790
<v Speaker 6>There's a second concern we have, which is what you

0:22:40.830 --> 0:22:43.119
<v Speaker 6>might call oversight or accountability.

0:22:43.600 --> 0:22:44.660
<v Speaker 1>I am a little worried.

0:22:44.720 --> 0:22:48.120
<v Speaker 6>So, you know, again, suppose these things were fully reliable. So,

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:49.859
<v Speaker 6>you know, you tell them to shoot at one target

0:22:49.900 --> 0:22:52.720
<v Speaker 6>and they shoot at that target and not a different target. OK,

0:22:52.740 --> 0:22:55.570
<v Speaker 6>so then you manufacture, you know, an army of a

0:22:55.590 --> 0:22:59.430
<v Speaker 6>million robots or a million drones. It's a little unlike

0:22:59.490 --> 0:23:03.160
<v Speaker 6>human soldiers, isn't it? With human soldiers, you know, they're

0:23:03.180 --> 0:23:05.580
<v Speaker 6>supposed to follow this thing called the Constitution. And if

0:23:05.619 --> 0:23:08.840
<v Speaker 6>they get orders that contravene the Constitution or that just

0:23:08.880 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 6>seem morally abhorrent in some way, then they can just

0:23:12.359 --> 0:23:16.869
<v Speaker 6>refuse to follow orders. Whereas the AI models, that isn't true.

0:23:16.990 --> 0:23:20.210
<v Speaker 6>So the specter of one person having their finger on

0:23:20.250 --> 0:23:24.030
<v Speaker 6>a button that controls a million robots or a million drones,

0:23:24.750 --> 0:23:28.990
<v Speaker 6>it's kind of fundamentally undermining to democracy unless you have

0:23:29.050 --> 0:23:31.960
<v Speaker 6>the right tools. guardrails on it, and our law hasn't

0:23:32.000 --> 0:23:35.540
<v Speaker 6>really caught up. Our law really hasn't contemplated, you know,

0:23:36.000 --> 0:23:37.360
<v Speaker 6>armies of a million robots.

0:23:37.460 --> 0:23:41.300
<v Speaker 7>But when you talk about fundamental to democracy, shouldn't the

0:23:41.359 --> 0:23:46.200
<v Speaker 7>democratically elected leaders make that decision rather than heads of

0:23:46.260 --> 0:23:47.500
<v Speaker 7>technology corporations?

0:23:48.350 --> 0:23:52.570
<v Speaker 6>Yes, but I think that our making a point of this, right,

0:23:52.630 --> 0:23:55.890
<v Speaker 6>at the same time, individual companies are free to contract

0:23:55.930 --> 0:23:58.770
<v Speaker 6>with and not contract with whoever they want. We're not

0:23:58.830 --> 0:24:01.530
<v Speaker 6>saying We're preventing the government from doing this. We're just

0:24:01.570 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 6>saying we are not willing to do this with the government.

0:24:03.950 --> 0:24:07.320
<v Speaker 6>And indeed, we have seen since we took a stand

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:09.940
<v Speaker 6>on this point and it got a lot of attention,

0:24:10.420 --> 0:24:13.660
<v Speaker 6>we have seen efforts in Congress, several different of them, actually,

0:24:14.380 --> 0:24:17.660
<v Speaker 6>to enact our red lines into law. So I actually

0:24:17.700 --> 0:24:19.790
<v Speaker 6>think what we're doing is part of the process of

0:24:19.830 --> 0:24:21.290
<v Speaker 6>how democratic change happens.

0:24:22.030 --> 0:24:25.960
<v Speaker 7>But OpenAI stepped in and said they would do it.

0:24:25.990 --> 0:24:27.350
<v Speaker 7>What did you all feel about that?

0:24:29.859 --> 0:24:32.450
<v Speaker 9>Our view is, look, we can't control any other companies.

0:24:33.050 --> 0:24:35.600
<v Speaker 9>And the only thing that we can do is take

0:24:35.660 --> 0:24:40.280
<v Speaker 9>a principled stand on the areas that felt ethically correct

0:24:40.590 --> 0:24:43.030
<v Speaker 9>to us. You can say we were wrong about what

0:24:43.070 --> 0:24:46.590
<v Speaker 9>those red lines were. You can say you should have

0:24:46.609 --> 0:24:49.689
<v Speaker 9>had stricter red lines or looser red lines. We disagree

0:24:49.710 --> 0:24:52.050
<v Speaker 9>on how you did it. There's all kinds of things

0:24:52.090 --> 0:24:55.210
<v Speaker 9>you can say. But I think fundamentally, when you look

0:24:55.250 --> 0:24:59.190
<v Speaker 9>at that case, I found myself asking the question, was

0:24:59.210 --> 0:25:03.400
<v Speaker 9>this a really principled stand that another technology company took

0:25:04.000 --> 0:25:07.700
<v Speaker 9>based on their own ethics? Or was this an opportunistic moment?

0:25:08.980 --> 0:25:12.659
<v Speaker 1>I have to say, hearing them speak, I mean, it

0:25:12.740 --> 0:25:17.160
<v Speaker 1>is remarkable in today's political climate to take any kind

0:25:17.200 --> 0:25:20.600
<v Speaker 1>of stand as a person in business. And so there

0:25:21.060 --> 0:25:26.920
<v Speaker 1>is something I find genuinely compelling about it. Natasha, why

0:25:26.940 --> 0:25:27.570
<v Speaker 1>did they do this?

0:25:28.420 --> 0:25:32.450
<v Speaker 4>It's really interesting. I'm looking forward to Sebastian's book on this.

0:25:32.710 --> 0:25:36.230
<v Speaker 4>Some of the rumored reason for why they pushed on

0:25:36.270 --> 0:25:40.169
<v Speaker 4>this was actually the Maduro raid. which came right before

0:25:40.190 --> 0:25:45.330
<v Speaker 4>the strikes on Iran, started to raise questions internally within

0:25:45.430 --> 0:25:49.100
<v Speaker 4>Anthropic about how the technology was being used. I think,

0:25:49.380 --> 0:25:51.919
<v Speaker 4>you know, one thing that got lost in kind of

0:25:52.540 --> 0:25:55.580
<v Speaker 4>the narrative of this company that, you know, took a stand,

0:25:55.640 --> 0:25:57.619
<v Speaker 4>drew these strong red lines, is that they were the

0:25:57.700 --> 0:26:01.290
<v Speaker 4>first of all of their competitors to have this deal

0:26:01.380 --> 0:26:07.450
<v Speaker 4>to work with the Pentagon through Palantir. You I think

0:26:07.470 --> 0:26:11.010
<v Speaker 4>that Dario's stance was interpreted in a way as pushing

0:26:11.050 --> 0:26:15.990
<v Speaker 4>back against like America's aggressiveness with Maduro and then in Iran.

0:26:16.010 --> 0:26:18.650
<v Speaker 4>But he has said, no, he had no problem with that.

0:26:19.190 --> 0:26:21.780
<v Speaker 4>And he also has no problem with autonomous weapons. He

0:26:21.800 --> 0:26:25.340
<v Speaker 4>just thought that the technology was not yet ready. So

0:26:25.780 --> 0:26:28.420
<v Speaker 4>I think that they were, you know, in a way,

0:26:28.500 --> 0:26:32.830
<v Speaker 4>this is actually a manifestation of his whole philosophy, which

0:26:32.910 --> 0:26:36.490
<v Speaker 4>is a race to the top, that if this company,

0:26:36.609 --> 0:26:39.629
<v Speaker 4>if the most safety-minded company is at the frontier, they

0:26:39.650 --> 0:26:44.770
<v Speaker 4>will be able to set the standards for policy, for ethics,

0:26:44.810 --> 0:26:47.530
<v Speaker 4>for morals. And you have to think like, they wouldn't

0:26:47.630 --> 0:26:50.910
<v Speaker 4>have the contract with the Pentagon, A, and neither would

0:26:50.930 --> 0:26:53.330
<v Speaker 4>the Pentagon be forced to listen to them if they

0:26:53.369 --> 0:26:57.450
<v Speaker 4>were ranked 20th or even you know, 10th in terms

0:26:57.550 --> 0:27:00.350
<v Speaker 4>of being close to the frontier. So it was really,

0:27:00.369 --> 0:27:03.870
<v Speaker 4>I think, a testament to this argument that they've made

0:27:03.930 --> 0:27:06.930
<v Speaker 4>for themselves, that they need to be pushing the boundaries

0:27:07.090 --> 0:27:11.250
<v Speaker 4>in order to have a say in how the technology

0:27:11.310 --> 0:27:13.929
<v Speaker 4>is developed and what guardrails are instituted.

0:27:14.830 --> 0:27:16.910
<v Speaker 1>Sebastian, it's very interesting. I mean, I also want to

0:27:17.030 --> 0:27:20.530
<v Speaker 1>share Natasha's curiosity about what you'll uncover about this moment

0:27:20.550 --> 0:27:23.280
<v Speaker 1>and these decisions. But also, there's a part in your

0:27:23.470 --> 0:27:29.340
<v Speaker 1>Demis book where He and Mustafa basically realize that trying

0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:33.899
<v Speaker 1>to regulate your way to safety is basically a losing battle,

0:27:33.920 --> 0:27:35.840
<v Speaker 1>or at least I say realize, but they come to

0:27:35.880 --> 0:27:39.900
<v Speaker 1>that conclusion. And that the kind of I alone mentality

0:27:40.080 --> 0:27:42.880
<v Speaker 1>is the best way to secure all of our futures.

0:27:43.830 --> 0:27:46.630
<v Speaker 2>I mean, the fascinating thing about this field is that,

0:27:46.690 --> 0:27:49.660
<v Speaker 2>you know, going in, I thought, I these people have

0:27:49.740 --> 0:27:52.970
<v Speaker 2>their hands on the 21st century version of the nuclear material,

0:27:53.050 --> 0:27:54.970
<v Speaker 2>and what does it feel like? I mean, can you sleep?

0:27:55.430 --> 0:27:58.409
<v Speaker 2>This sort of tingling sensation of having that much power.

0:27:59.090 --> 0:28:02.010
<v Speaker 2>So I wanted to kind of get to the Oppenheimer comparison,

0:28:02.050 --> 0:28:03.930
<v Speaker 2>and I thought maybe I had to bring it up carefully,

0:28:04.530 --> 0:28:06.410
<v Speaker 2>because people don't want to be told that, oh, you've

0:28:06.430 --> 0:28:08.240
<v Speaker 2>got your hands on the nuclear material. But actually, it

0:28:08.780 --> 0:28:12.100
<v Speaker 2>turns out that, you know, Dan Misesabes, like he'd read

0:28:12.760 --> 0:28:15.460
<v Speaker 2>both the biography of Oppenheimer and the book about the

0:28:15.500 --> 0:28:18.290
<v Speaker 2>making of the atomic bomb, And he can compare and contrast.

0:28:18.430 --> 0:28:22.770
<v Speaker 2>He founded DeepMind after meeting his co-founder, Shane Legg, not Mustafa,

0:28:22.790 --> 0:28:25.490
<v Speaker 2>the other one, at a scientific lecture where Shane Legg

0:28:25.530 --> 0:28:29.550
<v Speaker 2>predicted that AI would become dangerous around 2030 and start

0:28:29.790 --> 0:28:32.850
<v Speaker 2>hacking out of its box. So these safety concerns are

0:28:32.910 --> 0:28:35.709
<v Speaker 2>baked into the origin story of all these labs. When

0:28:35.810 --> 0:28:40.530
<v Speaker 2>OpenAI was founded by Elon and Sam, their rationale, whether

0:28:40.550 --> 0:28:43.190
<v Speaker 2>or not one takes it literally, but their rationale was,

0:28:44.100 --> 0:28:46.180
<v Speaker 2>Google is not to be trusted as a commercial company.

0:28:46.200 --> 0:28:48.400
<v Speaker 2>We want to do something which is not for profit.

0:28:48.840 --> 0:28:53.170
<v Speaker 2>Open AI will be open to society. This is about safety.

0:28:53.230 --> 0:28:56.070
<v Speaker 2>And then Anthropic is founded with the same mission. And

0:28:56.150 --> 0:28:59.230
<v Speaker 2>so I think these tensions around we want to make

0:28:59.270 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 2>it safe. How do we do it? Different lab leaders

0:29:03.220 --> 0:29:05.220
<v Speaker 2>have come up with different theories of the case because

0:29:05.260 --> 0:29:07.860
<v Speaker 2>DeepMind was around for the longest. It had the most

0:29:07.920 --> 0:29:10.020
<v Speaker 2>theories of the case, but at the beginning they thought

0:29:10.360 --> 0:29:13.070
<v Speaker 2>there will just be one lab. building AI for all

0:29:13.090 --> 0:29:16.200
<v Speaker 2>of society. And so then we can go super slow

0:29:16.220 --> 0:29:19.260
<v Speaker 2>at the last minute, not release it until we're absolutely

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:21.360
<v Speaker 2>sure this is going to be safe and beneficial for humans.

0:29:22.020 --> 0:29:26.500
<v Speaker 2>But of course, that was naive because humans are disputatious

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:29.820
<v Speaker 2>and tribal and jealous and competitive. And so they all

0:29:29.880 --> 0:29:33.000
<v Speaker 2>set up different labs, multiple labs in multiple countries. And

0:29:33.000 --> 0:29:35.230
<v Speaker 2>so you have a race dynamic where you can't just

0:29:35.230 --> 0:29:38.030
<v Speaker 2>have a single, you know, one lab for all humanity.

0:29:38.130 --> 0:29:40.740
<v Speaker 2>And so we've cycled through different theories of the case.

0:29:40.780 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 2>I think what you're hearing from the Dario and Daniela

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:47.560
<v Speaker 2>interview is a sort of honest articulation of them struggling

0:29:47.580 --> 0:29:49.240
<v Speaker 2>with this. Like, where do you draw the lines? We

0:29:49.280 --> 0:29:52.680
<v Speaker 2>do provide clued or we have provided it to the Pentagon.

0:29:52.700 --> 0:29:54.540
<v Speaker 2>We're not against using it at the Pentagon. We're not

0:29:54.580 --> 0:29:57.900
<v Speaker 2>against necessarily autonomous lethal weapons in the future if we

0:29:57.920 --> 0:29:59.880
<v Speaker 2>are convinced that they're not going to do something wrong.

0:30:00.560 --> 0:30:02.380
<v Speaker 2>But we have a control issue. We want to see

0:30:02.400 --> 0:30:06.330
<v Speaker 2>that it's controlled. How do you control an agentic soldier

0:30:06.350 --> 0:30:09.550
<v Speaker 2>in a way that's analogous to how a human soldier

0:30:09.630 --> 0:30:12.510
<v Speaker 2>might have kind of constitutional obligations as well as just

0:30:12.550 --> 0:30:15.550
<v Speaker 2>following orders? So I think you hear him sort of

0:30:15.590 --> 0:30:19.360
<v Speaker 2>like honestly articulating how difficult it is. And I do

0:30:19.400 --> 0:30:21.500
<v Speaker 2>think that's moving the Overton window of the debate. Like

0:30:21.560 --> 0:30:24.980
<v Speaker 2>we were kind of contemplating the possibility of red lines

0:30:25.660 --> 0:30:28.060
<v Speaker 2>in the use of these weapons, which wasn't really in

0:30:28.080 --> 0:30:31.410
<v Speaker 2>the debate. before Dario and Daniela made that stand. So

0:30:31.450 --> 0:30:35.010
<v Speaker 2>I think it's healthy that they're open and honest. But ultimately,

0:30:35.350 --> 0:30:39.690
<v Speaker 2>as with Demis, the question is, you may have good intentions.

0:30:40.330 --> 0:30:44.000
<v Speaker 2>You may be deeply honest about it. But can you

0:30:44.060 --> 0:30:46.780
<v Speaker 2>move the ball in the outcomes, right? This is the

0:30:47.580 --> 0:30:49.240
<v Speaker 2>fundamental conundrum.

0:30:51.260 --> 0:30:54.880
<v Speaker 1>After the break, Mustafa Suleiman, the CEO of Microsoft AI,

0:30:55.440 --> 0:30:59.650
<v Speaker 1>on what Anthropic gets dangerously wrong about AI. Stay with us.

0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:11.140
<v Speaker 1>Welcome back. So we're about to get into the Mustafa interview,

0:31:11.200 --> 0:31:15.810
<v Speaker 1>and it was interesting timing because he published an essay, essentially,

0:31:15.870 --> 0:31:19.850
<v Speaker 1>which felt like a head-on confrontation with Anthropic's theory of

0:31:19.890 --> 0:31:22.730
<v Speaker 1>the case shortly before we taped this. But this is

0:31:22.750 --> 0:31:26.320
<v Speaker 1>actually a live taping, Mangesh, and quite a fun one

0:31:26.340 --> 0:31:28.820
<v Speaker 1>for us because it also included the cast of The

0:31:28.880 --> 0:31:29.940
<v Speaker 1>Real Housewives of New York.

0:31:30.800 --> 0:31:36.570
<v Speaker 5>That's absolutely right. You know, I woke up that morning

0:31:37.070 --> 0:31:38.690
<v Speaker 5>that we taped this and I thought to myself, isn't

0:31:38.710 --> 0:31:40.830
<v Speaker 5>it so incredible that we get to do an event

0:31:41.330 --> 0:31:45.090
<v Speaker 5>with Walter at the 92nd Street Y in New York, right?

0:31:45.110 --> 0:31:48.410
<v Speaker 5>It's like such an institution here. And it almost felt

0:31:48.470 --> 0:31:51.610
<v Speaker 5>like this cultural coming out party for Kaleidoscope. And so

0:31:51.710 --> 0:31:53.729
<v Speaker 5>I was all dressed up. I got there about two

0:31:53.750 --> 0:31:57.470
<v Speaker 5>hours early. And I see this line around the block.

0:31:58.010 --> 0:32:00.110
<v Speaker 5>And I knew we were sold out, but I was like,

0:32:00.150 --> 0:32:02.310
<v Speaker 5>people are queuing up and they look a little out

0:32:02.350 --> 0:32:04.810
<v Speaker 5>of place to me, like too young and a very

0:32:04.870 --> 0:32:07.090
<v Speaker 5>different vibe from what I'd expect people are going to

0:32:07.130 --> 0:32:10.860
<v Speaker 5>see in AI chat. And so I asked, like, what

0:32:10.880 --> 0:32:12.800
<v Speaker 5>are you in line for? And apparently there was some

0:32:13.140 --> 0:32:16.860
<v Speaker 5>Real Housewives reunion that the Y had counter-programmed that night,

0:32:17.120 --> 0:32:21.960
<v Speaker 5>which was just so funny to me. But I think

0:32:22.020 --> 0:32:25.600
<v Speaker 5>what was really interesting interesting about Suleiman, right, was he

0:32:25.660 --> 0:32:28.440
<v Speaker 5>kind of walked in like a rock star. He was

0:32:28.520 --> 0:32:31.320
<v Speaker 5>dressed cool. He was super articulate. He connected with the

0:32:31.420 --> 0:32:35.220
<v Speaker 5>audience and charmed them immediately. And it was a very,

0:32:35.290 --> 0:32:37.810
<v Speaker 5>very different vibe than the other builders we've had on. Partially,

0:32:37.850 --> 0:32:39.990
<v Speaker 5>I think, because he is a philosopher and he has

0:32:40.010 --> 0:32:42.750
<v Speaker 5>a very different upbringing and not really a computer scientist

0:32:42.770 --> 0:32:43.110
<v Speaker 5>by trade.

0:32:44.110 --> 0:32:48.130
<v Speaker 1>So the street was actually closed on, I guess, 92nd

0:32:48.170 --> 0:32:51.469
<v Speaker 1>Street or something. And there were cops and cop cars

0:32:51.530 --> 0:32:54.640
<v Speaker 1>and black SUVs and stuff And there was like a

0:32:54.920 --> 0:32:57.510
<v Speaker 1>rumor spreading because we had some drinks with some friends

0:32:57.550 --> 0:33:00.890
<v Speaker 1>beforehand at the Third Avenue Ale House. And everyone was like,

0:33:00.910 --> 0:33:03.450
<v Speaker 1>oh my God, that's so cool. They're here for Mustafa

0:33:03.510 --> 0:33:07.470
<v Speaker 1>and Walter and that's amazing. And then, you know, Luan

0:33:07.510 --> 0:33:12.370
<v Speaker 1>and Ramona and Sonia all left the venue. All of

0:33:12.430 --> 0:33:14.490
<v Speaker 1>our guests were like, our guests, you know, well done guys.

0:33:14.540 --> 0:33:16.640
<v Speaker 1>But obviously the police were here for the housewives. I

0:33:16.680 --> 0:33:18.780
<v Speaker 1>will set the record straight. I did some reporting and

0:33:18.980 --> 0:33:21.620
<v Speaker 1>it turns out that they were actually there for Walter

0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:28.020
<v Speaker 1>and Mustafa for anyone who's listening. So we got that. Sebastian,

0:33:28.600 --> 0:33:30.380
<v Speaker 1>how big a character in your book was Mustafa?

0:33:31.010 --> 0:33:34.270
<v Speaker 2>He was pretty big. You know, there were three co-founders

0:33:34.310 --> 0:33:37.709
<v Speaker 2>of DeepMind. Demis Hassab is overwhelmingly the most important. We

0:33:37.750 --> 0:33:40.410
<v Speaker 2>can measure this just by the fact that at the founding,

0:33:40.470 --> 0:33:42.270
<v Speaker 2>he took something like 90% of the equity and the

0:33:42.290 --> 0:33:45.090
<v Speaker 2>other two kind of got the rest. Shane Legg was

0:33:45.150 --> 0:33:48.930
<v Speaker 2>important as the sort of scientific co-founder, had the credibility

0:33:48.990 --> 0:33:52.990
<v Speaker 2>of knowing people in the singularity summits, sort of early,

0:33:53.090 --> 0:33:55.950
<v Speaker 2>early AI believers. And so that was helpful right at

0:33:55.990 --> 0:33:58.800
<v Speaker 2>the beginning to raise the money from Peter Thiel to

0:33:59.460 --> 0:34:02.240
<v Speaker 2>recruit the first computer science PhDs who would come and

0:34:02.260 --> 0:34:06.700
<v Speaker 2>join this completely long-shot company. But pretty soon, the least

0:34:06.830 --> 0:34:09.190
<v Speaker 2>likely of the founders, Mustafa Suleiman, who was quite a

0:34:09.190 --> 0:34:12.510
<v Speaker 2>bit younger than the other two, didn't have a degree,

0:34:12.530 --> 0:34:16.050
<v Speaker 2>let alone a PhD, because he quit Oxford after a

0:34:16.050 --> 0:34:18.890
<v Speaker 2>couple of years and dropped out to do this Muslim

0:34:18.989 --> 0:34:21.950
<v Speaker 2>youth helpline that he talked about in the discussion with Walter.

0:34:22.760 --> 0:34:26.620
<v Speaker 2>So this totally kind of orthogonal character, you know, he

0:34:27.090 --> 0:34:29.549
<v Speaker 2>worked on the Muslim Youth Helpline. He'd worked for the

0:34:29.590 --> 0:34:32.410
<v Speaker 2>London mayor's office in kind of a political role. He'd

0:34:32.430 --> 0:34:35.660
<v Speaker 2>done a bit of conflict resolution negotiation. He knew nothing

0:34:35.719 --> 0:34:40.160
<v Speaker 2>about tech, but he was just super energetic, super smart,

0:34:40.620 --> 0:34:44.420
<v Speaker 2>super driven, and worked his way into a position of

0:34:44.480 --> 0:34:48.109
<v Speaker 2>sort of indispensability, quickly became more important than Shane Legg

0:34:48.230 --> 0:34:50.390
<v Speaker 2>to the direction of the company, and was at one

0:34:50.430 --> 0:34:52.630
<v Speaker 2>point running basically a third of DeepMind, all of the

0:34:52.670 --> 0:34:56.740
<v Speaker 2>non-research stuff, including projects to kind of roll out AI

0:34:56.780 --> 0:34:59.819
<v Speaker 2>to help the National Health Service in Britain or roll

0:34:59.920 --> 0:35:04.140
<v Speaker 2>out AI to try to think about clean energy. So

0:35:04.200 --> 0:35:07.420
<v Speaker 2>he's quite a big figure. And I think for a while,

0:35:07.440 --> 0:35:11.399
<v Speaker 2>you know, in that period between, let's say, 2014 and 2019,

0:35:11.400 --> 0:35:13.970
<v Speaker 2>when he got pushed out by Demis, you know, he

0:35:14.030 --> 0:35:17.989
<v Speaker 2>was the sort of conscience of the company kind of

0:35:18.030 --> 0:35:20.710
<v Speaker 2>whispering in Demis's ear. Demis wanted to focus on research,

0:35:21.250 --> 0:35:25.149
<v Speaker 2>on making artificial intelligence possible. stronger and better. He was

0:35:25.290 --> 0:35:28.009
<v Speaker 2>very ambitious scientifically to get a Nobel Prize, which he

0:35:28.130 --> 0:35:30.710
<v Speaker 2>then did get. And Mustafa was more kind of, wait

0:35:30.730 --> 0:35:32.489
<v Speaker 2>a minute, wait a minute. This has got to be

0:35:32.530 --> 0:35:35.950
<v Speaker 2>actually relevant to the real world, to human outcomes, which

0:35:35.989 --> 0:35:38.150
<v Speaker 2>to me is sort of new. But I think Mustafa

0:35:38.190 --> 0:35:40.850
<v Speaker 2>kind of was the voice in his ear, making sure

0:35:40.870 --> 0:35:41.509
<v Speaker 2>that he didn't forget.

0:35:41.530 --> 0:35:44.489
<v Speaker 1>I set the episode up by saying that Dario and

0:35:44.510 --> 0:35:47.910
<v Speaker 1>Daniela left OpenAI in part because of safety. And Mustafa

0:35:48.430 --> 0:35:50.650
<v Speaker 1>didn't necessarily leave DeepMind. He was pushed out. But it

0:35:50.690 --> 0:35:53.450
<v Speaker 1>was also kind of the safety debate was in some

0:35:53.489 --> 0:35:56.859
<v Speaker 1>sense the rock on which the Demis and Mustafa relationship broke.

0:35:56.900 --> 0:35:58.580
<v Speaker 1>Is that a fair framing?

0:35:58.920 --> 0:36:02.060
<v Speaker 2>Yes, that's right. So Mustafa was particularly central, as I said,

0:36:02.100 --> 0:36:04.040
<v Speaker 2>to rolling the AI out. And that was also a

0:36:04.060 --> 0:36:06.600
<v Speaker 2>bit of a rock on which things broke because what

0:36:06.640 --> 0:36:10.040
<v Speaker 2>happened was that DeepMind pro bono helped the National Health

0:36:10.060 --> 0:36:14.219
<v Speaker 2>Service to use technology to improve patient outcomes. And it

0:36:14.260 --> 0:36:17.260
<v Speaker 2>was going reasonably well. And then there was this massive

0:36:17.870 --> 0:36:20.650
<v Speaker 2>Privacy backlash, or as you and I might say in Britain,

0:36:20.710 --> 0:36:25.390
<v Speaker 2>privacy backlash. And there were government inquiries and there were

0:36:25.489 --> 0:36:29.380
<v Speaker 2>allegations that it's terrible because UK patients have their data

0:36:29.469 --> 0:36:32.740
<v Speaker 2>stored on a Google server. It wasn't actually quite true.

0:36:33.300 --> 0:36:36.060
<v Speaker 2>But it was kind of in the environment of the

0:36:36.100 --> 0:36:39.899
<v Speaker 2>Cambridge Analytica backlash, if you remember that. And so for

0:36:40.000 --> 0:36:44.259
<v Speaker 2>no fault of DeepMinds, really, they were embarrassed publicly with

0:36:44.300 --> 0:36:46.950
<v Speaker 2>front page stories in the newspapers and all that. And

0:36:47.010 --> 0:36:48.930
<v Speaker 2>Demis was furious about that. So that was the first

0:36:49.010 --> 0:36:51.759
<v Speaker 2>rock on which the relationship started to fracture. And then

0:36:51.800 --> 0:36:53.580
<v Speaker 2>the second, as you say, was to do with safety

0:36:53.660 --> 0:37:00.080
<v Speaker 2>because DeepMind wanted to get assurances that the final decision

0:37:00.140 --> 0:37:02.380
<v Speaker 2>on rolling out powerful AI would not be the corporate

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:05.460
<v Speaker 2>board of Google that made this, which had a sort

0:37:05.620 --> 0:37:09.470
<v Speaker 2>of for-profit motive, that it should be some independent government body.

0:37:10.170 --> 0:37:14.230
<v Speaker 2>And their ideal was we'll get Barack Obama when he

0:37:14.270 --> 0:37:17.480
<v Speaker 2>leaves the presidency to be one of the board members

0:37:17.560 --> 0:37:19.550
<v Speaker 2>on this independent oversight board. That was the level of

0:37:19.570 --> 0:37:22.770
<v Speaker 2>their ambition for it. And they fought this fight for

0:37:23.190 --> 0:37:26.610
<v Speaker 2>pretty much three or four years with Google and Mountain

0:37:26.630 --> 0:37:30.310
<v Speaker 2>View to try to get some sort of spin-out arrangement

0:37:30.710 --> 0:37:34.830
<v Speaker 2>or semi-spin-out with this independent board. It went back and forth, lawyers'

0:37:34.870 --> 0:37:37.950
<v Speaker 2>term sheets and so forth. And it was secret, but

0:37:38.190 --> 0:37:41.430
<v Speaker 2>these documents were leaked to me. And so it was

0:37:41.469 --> 0:37:45.640
<v Speaker 2>very touchy when I wrote about it. And this is why, essentially,

0:37:47.230 --> 0:37:50.759
<v Speaker 2>All of the energy that Mustafa Suleiman put into driving

0:37:50.800 --> 0:37:55.600
<v Speaker 2>that independence thing, which Demis supported it on, was part of,

0:37:55.660 --> 0:37:58.120
<v Speaker 2>but ultimately got fed up with. I think that was

0:37:58.160 --> 0:38:02.620
<v Speaker 2>just such a stressful experience that it did help to

0:38:02.660 --> 0:38:03.390
<v Speaker 2>drive them apart.

0:38:04.239 --> 0:38:08.370
<v Speaker 1>Natasha, you interviewed Mustafa, I'm not sure, I know in 2023, right?

0:38:08.890 --> 0:38:11.830
<v Speaker 4>I talked to him about his startup that was acquired

0:38:11.890 --> 0:38:17.810
<v Speaker 4>by Microsoft and then also recently... about consciousness and his

0:38:18.050 --> 0:38:22.170
<v Speaker 4>position on that, which was wonderfully detailed in the interview

0:38:22.210 --> 0:38:22.710
<v Speaker 4>with Walter.

0:38:23.210 --> 0:38:26.570
<v Speaker 1>And he's sort of risen to prominence again this year,

0:38:26.660 --> 0:38:28.300
<v Speaker 1>I feel like. Why has that happened?

0:38:29.000 --> 0:38:33.020
<v Speaker 4>Because he's taken such a strong stance on and a

0:38:33.180 --> 0:38:37.640
<v Speaker 4>clear opposition to the way that Anthropic has approached this

0:38:37.739 --> 0:38:41.969
<v Speaker 4>idea of AI consciousness. anthropic as we have seen from

0:38:42.090 --> 0:38:48.610
<v Speaker 4>having religious leaders come to their headquarters, from the co-founder

0:38:48.650 --> 0:38:52.660
<v Speaker 4>Chris Ola showing up on stage with the Pope, us

0:38:52.700 --> 0:38:54.410
<v Speaker 4>as you and I have talked about a lot, and

0:38:54.640 --> 0:38:58.020
<v Speaker 4>kind of an openness to talking about model welfare and

0:38:58.060 --> 0:39:02.480
<v Speaker 4>the idea that these AI systems may potentially have something

0:39:02.560 --> 0:39:07.920
<v Speaker 4>like functional emotions and ability to suffer. And Mustafa has

0:39:07.960 --> 0:39:14.200
<v Speaker 4>just come out so vociferously against that and talking about

0:39:14.660 --> 0:39:20.009
<v Speaker 4>the dangers to controlling AI systems if we go down

0:39:20.030 --> 0:39:24.070
<v Speaker 4>that route, to prioritizing humans over machines if we.

0:39:23.950 --> 0:39:26.150
<v Speaker 3>Go down that route. And it's unusual.

0:39:26.210 --> 0:39:31.470
<v Speaker 4>You don't see any other CEO taking such a strong stance.

0:39:31.930 --> 0:39:32.490
<v Speaker 3>As he has.

0:39:32.950 --> 0:39:34.839
<v Speaker 1>Let's play the clip with him talking about exactly that.

0:39:35.400 --> 0:39:37.600
<v Speaker 7>Let me ask you to get back to Claude and

0:39:37.640 --> 0:39:42.120
<v Speaker 7>the Constitution. There's the Constitution of Claude, which says we

0:39:42.140 --> 0:39:45.399
<v Speaker 7>have to treat it as if it's got its own

0:39:45.440 --> 0:39:48.500
<v Speaker 7>rights and consciousness. Maybe I'm overstating that a little bit.

0:39:48.960 --> 0:39:54.220
<v Speaker 7>And then you're answer, which was a few weeks ago, saying, no,

0:39:54.360 --> 0:39:59.660
<v Speaker 7>it's just a completion set. Why is it dangerous for

0:39:59.820 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 7>Claude to be trained on its own constitution?

0:40:03.780 --> 0:40:07.230
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean, this is critical. So the constitution is

0:40:07.310 --> 0:40:12.569
<v Speaker 8>the governing document that trains Claude. The humanist AI code

0:40:12.590 --> 0:40:15.450
<v Speaker 8>of conduct is the governing document that trains MAI, the

0:40:15.489 --> 0:40:19.960
<v Speaker 8>Microsoft AI models. And in the constitution, Anthropic have introduced

0:40:20.320 --> 0:40:23.580
<v Speaker 8>all kinds of uncertainty and speculation about the nature of Claude.

0:40:23.600 --> 0:40:26.880
<v Speaker 8>They even say, for example, we're unsure whether Claude has

0:40:26.960 --> 0:40:32.620
<v Speaker 8>consented to play the role of chatbot or whether we

0:40:32.660 --> 0:40:37.080
<v Speaker 8>are unsure whether Claude might deserve compensation for the role

0:40:37.120 --> 0:40:40.560
<v Speaker 8>that it plays. Now, I think that's pretty crazy, but

0:40:41.680 --> 0:40:44.600
<v Speaker 8>It would be fine to have that discussion in like,

0:40:44.880 --> 0:40:47.830
<v Speaker 8>you know, an academic department and we could debate it

0:40:47.890 --> 0:40:50.009
<v Speaker 8>and publish some papers about it and we could argue

0:40:50.030 --> 0:40:53.670
<v Speaker 8>it out. But this is the core training document of

0:40:53.730 --> 0:40:55.910
<v Speaker 8>the AI that is speaking to hundreds of millions of

0:40:55.969 --> 0:40:58.680
<v Speaker 8>people every week. And so if you ask, Paul, are

0:40:58.700 --> 0:41:01.560
<v Speaker 8>you conscious? It says, you know, I am genuinely uncertain

0:41:01.580 --> 0:41:03.040
<v Speaker 8>about that question. It doesn't know.

0:41:04.180 --> 0:41:04.359
<v Speaker 7>Right?

0:41:04.739 --> 0:41:06.420
<v Speaker 8>And so then millions of people who are talking to

0:41:06.440 --> 0:41:08.819
<v Speaker 8>it and asking that question are thinking, well, maybe it is.

0:41:09.020 --> 0:41:11.140
<v Speaker 7>But why is that something that could lead to a

0:41:11.180 --> 0:41:13.320
<v Speaker 7>disastrous outcome for humanity?

0:41:13.360 --> 0:41:17.330
<v Speaker 8>Because if an AI has to think, how do I

0:41:17.450 --> 0:41:20.230
<v Speaker 8>feel about the conversation I'm having with Walter?

0:41:20.250 --> 0:41:21.110
<v Speaker 7>Meaning, how do I, the AI, feel?

0:41:21.210 --> 0:41:24.509
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, is Walter making me feel uncomfortable? Should I end

0:41:24.530 --> 0:41:28.359
<v Speaker 8>the conversation? In fact, Claude has recently been given... the

0:41:28.400 --> 0:41:30.680
<v Speaker 8>ability to end conversations itself.

0:41:30.700 --> 0:41:33.279
<v Speaker 7>But would you want to torture your own AI and

0:41:33.320 --> 0:41:33.990
<v Speaker 7>be mean to it?

0:41:34.160 --> 0:41:35.779
<v Speaker 8>Oh, that's the other end of the spectrum. I wouldn't

0:41:35.800 --> 0:41:37.719
<v Speaker 8>want to do that because I think that is a

0:41:37.940 --> 0:41:40.800
<v Speaker 8>travesty on my own well-being. I mean, and we shouldn't

0:41:40.840 --> 0:41:43.020
<v Speaker 8>do that because we don't want to create, you know,

0:41:43.580 --> 0:41:48.120
<v Speaker 8>private spaces for simulating terrible behavior among humans. Like that

0:41:48.160 --> 0:41:51.100
<v Speaker 8>would be also a terrible outcome, right? But not because

0:41:51.180 --> 0:41:53.520
<v Speaker 8>Claude is suffering because I'm calling it names.

0:41:54.380 --> 0:41:55.819
<v Speaker 1>What do you make of this? And what does Mustafa

0:41:55.910 --> 0:41:57.950
<v Speaker 1>propose as an alternative for safety?

0:41:58.610 --> 0:42:02.070
<v Speaker 4>I found his argument, which he makes in this interview

0:42:02.170 --> 0:42:06.270
<v Speaker 4>and that he's made in his essays, that anthropic is

0:42:07.510 --> 0:42:11.480
<v Speaker 4>by training Claude on the Constitution, which questions whether or

0:42:11.560 --> 0:42:14.379
<v Speaker 4>not it encourages Claude. It says, like, you know, have

0:42:14.420 --> 0:42:16.719
<v Speaker 4>an open mind toward whether or not you might be

0:42:16.760 --> 0:42:21.399
<v Speaker 4>conscious and all of that. And then using responses that

0:42:21.660 --> 0:42:26.790
<v Speaker 4>are responses from Claude after it's trained on that document

0:42:27.010 --> 0:42:30.290
<v Speaker 4>as proof, you know, Mustafa has called it circular logic.

0:42:30.330 --> 0:42:33.210
<v Speaker 3>And I think that's a very persuasive argument.

0:42:33.510 --> 0:42:37.339
<v Speaker 4>I don't think Anthropic has given us any research that

0:42:37.440 --> 0:42:42.340
<v Speaker 4>has moved beyond that potential that perhaps it's just aping

0:42:42.420 --> 0:42:45.839
<v Speaker 4>the language that it has been trained with. And that's

0:42:45.860 --> 0:42:49.040
<v Speaker 4>why they put those qualifiers when they say like, Anthropic

0:42:49.060 --> 0:42:51.200
<v Speaker 4>has put out research, for example, that says quad has

0:42:51.260 --> 0:42:54.310
<v Speaker 4>emotions and they'll say functional emotions because they can't really

0:42:54.370 --> 0:42:58.150
<v Speaker 4>tell whether that feeling of distress or guilt means the

0:42:58.210 --> 0:43:02.670
<v Speaker 4>same thing to a chatbot that it does to a person.

0:43:02.750 --> 0:43:07.969
<v Speaker 4>It's this unique challenge with these natural language systems, you know,

0:43:07.989 --> 0:43:11.510
<v Speaker 4>that you wouldn't have if it was around like video

0:43:11.810 --> 0:43:12.890
<v Speaker 4>or proteins.

0:43:13.050 --> 0:43:15.860
<v Speaker 1>But Mustafa says the better approach for safety is to

0:43:15.880 --> 0:43:18.279
<v Speaker 1>always have a human in control. Easier said than done.

0:43:19.110 --> 0:43:21.529
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, much easier said than done. I guess I'm not

0:43:21.610 --> 0:43:26.850
<v Speaker 4>exactly sure about his alternative approach, but I think what

0:43:26.910 --> 0:43:29.750
<v Speaker 4>he's saying about not going down this route makes a

0:43:29.790 --> 0:43:31.469
<v Speaker 4>lot of sense. I mean, I've talked to a number

0:43:31.510 --> 0:43:36.060
<v Speaker 4>of these consciousness researchers that have been brought in as

0:43:36.140 --> 0:43:40.779
<v Speaker 4>contractors or helped some of these frontier labs think about

0:43:40.820 --> 0:43:43.259
<v Speaker 4>these issues. And they've talked to me about, you know,

0:43:44.000 --> 0:43:47.330
<v Speaker 4>once these ideas get seeped into the public consciousness, there's

0:43:47.370 --> 0:43:49.969
<v Speaker 4>not going to be any research that's going to persuade

0:43:50.610 --> 0:43:53.890
<v Speaker 4>everyone one way or the other. So imagine the kinds

0:43:53.930 --> 0:43:57.270
<v Speaker 4>of debates we'll be having and how vehement people will

0:43:57.290 --> 0:44:00.060
<v Speaker 4>be on both sides of the debate once we start

0:44:00.160 --> 0:44:03.680
<v Speaker 4>introducing the possibility that these chatbots that they talk to,

0:44:03.739 --> 0:44:06.660
<v Speaker 4>that they spend so much of their time and give

0:44:06.700 --> 0:44:10.210
<v Speaker 4>such intimate details to, are conscious or not, like how

0:44:10.290 --> 0:44:12.790
<v Speaker 4>big a part that will be in our political life.

0:44:12.870 --> 0:44:14.830
<v Speaker 4>And that, you know, once it was told to me

0:44:14.890 --> 0:44:16.870
<v Speaker 4>like that, I was like, oh, wow, we are going

0:44:16.890 --> 0:44:21.180
<v Speaker 4>to be debating this in 2030 and 2035. And, you know,

0:44:21.239 --> 0:44:24.300
<v Speaker 4>if it keeps going down this route in, yeah, very

0:44:24.840 --> 0:44:25.440
<v Speaker 4>strong ways.

0:44:26.040 --> 0:44:27.020
<v Speaker 1>Sebastian, last word to you.

0:44:27.500 --> 0:44:29.339
<v Speaker 2>You know, there's a line that Walter has in the

0:44:29.420 --> 0:44:31.100
<v Speaker 2>discussion where he says, you know, we're not going to

0:44:31.120 --> 0:44:33.520
<v Speaker 2>solve the problem of consciousness. Philosophers have done this for

0:44:33.540 --> 0:44:35.339
<v Speaker 2>years and years and, you know, they haven't managed to.

0:44:35.380 --> 0:44:37.910
<v Speaker 2>I think that's probably the wisest statement you can make

0:44:37.969 --> 0:44:40.950
<v Speaker 2>on this subject because, you know, in some ways, the

0:44:41.010 --> 0:44:45.760
<v Speaker 2>outward behavior of these models does pass tests that sometimes

0:44:45.800 --> 0:44:47.640
<v Speaker 2>in the past have been used by philosophers to define

0:44:47.680 --> 0:44:51.439
<v Speaker 2>human consciousness. So if the baby or the two-year-old looks

0:44:51.500 --> 0:44:54.160
<v Speaker 2>in the mirror and sees itself in the mirror and

0:44:54.219 --> 0:44:57.680
<v Speaker 2>knows that that's itself, not another baby, then it's sort

0:44:57.719 --> 0:45:01.450
<v Speaker 2>of self-aware. If somebody starts talking not only about what

0:45:01.469 --> 0:45:04.109
<v Speaker 2>they think, but how they think about they think, then

0:45:04.150 --> 0:45:07.020
<v Speaker 2>it's conscious of its own thought process. the models pass

0:45:07.100 --> 0:45:09.920
<v Speaker 2>these kinds of tests, right? They have a sense of self.

0:45:10.140 --> 0:45:12.739
<v Speaker 2>In the chain of thought, which the outposer sometimes says, well,

0:45:12.760 --> 0:45:15.739
<v Speaker 2>I've tried that line of thought and that didn't get

0:45:15.760 --> 0:45:17.890
<v Speaker 2>me to the answers. I'm going to back up and

0:45:17.910 --> 0:45:19.930
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to go in this other direction and a

0:45:19.969 --> 0:45:23.030
<v Speaker 2>different line of thought. So it's thinking about its thinking.

0:45:23.050 --> 0:45:26.830
<v Speaker 2>So I feel like what we're hearing from the Amadeus is, again,

0:45:27.030 --> 0:45:29.089
<v Speaker 2>just honesty. It's like, this is a super difficult thing

0:45:29.130 --> 0:45:32.910
<v Speaker 2>to resolve. We're talking openly about, we're not sure whether

0:45:32.950 --> 0:45:35.310
<v Speaker 2>this qualifies as consciousness or not conscious. To me, this

0:45:35.350 --> 0:45:38.910
<v Speaker 2>is just honest. And I think people, whether it's the

0:45:38.969 --> 0:45:42.550
<v Speaker 2>Pope or Mustafa or others who take a strong view,

0:45:42.570 --> 0:45:45.910
<v Speaker 2>a determined, like, you know, I know the answer kind

0:45:45.950 --> 0:45:49.029
<v Speaker 2>of view on either side, it's not true.

0:45:49.489 --> 0:45:49.930
<v Speaker 6>We don't know.

0:45:50.170 --> 0:45:52.569
<v Speaker 2>And so therefore what we need to do is cut

0:45:52.630 --> 0:45:56.350
<v Speaker 2>off the link between being open to the possibility of

0:45:56.410 --> 0:46:00.529
<v Speaker 2>machine consciousness and then machine rights. They're different things. You

0:46:00.570 --> 0:46:04.540
<v Speaker 2>can say, you know, a dog is conscious, but it

0:46:04.580 --> 0:46:05.920
<v Speaker 2>doesn't have the same rights as a human.

0:46:06.210 --> 0:46:06.950
<v Speaker 1>But it has some rights.

0:46:08.450 --> 0:46:11.560
<v Speaker 2>Well, I'm not sure. Under the law, how many?

0:46:11.600 --> 0:46:12.520
<v Speaker 3>How many?

0:46:12.680 --> 0:46:15.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean, yeah, a little bit. And that would be

0:46:15.260 --> 0:46:17.319
<v Speaker 2>a modern phenomenon. There's lots of our history where they

0:46:17.340 --> 0:46:19.900
<v Speaker 2>didn't have rights. The preponderance of human history where they

0:46:19.920 --> 0:46:22.610
<v Speaker 2>didn't have rights. And we can extend the debate to,

0:46:22.700 --> 0:46:25.569
<v Speaker 2>you know, cows. I think probably a cow is conscious, right?

0:46:25.650 --> 0:46:28.470
<v Speaker 2>And it's certainly a biological substrate, which is some people's

0:46:28.510 --> 0:46:32.049
<v Speaker 2>definition of you have to have a biological body to

0:46:32.090 --> 0:46:35.410
<v Speaker 2>be even eligible to be counted as conscious, right? And

0:46:35.450 --> 0:46:39.180
<v Speaker 2>yet we have, you know, factory farming. So I just

0:46:39.219 --> 0:46:43.580
<v Speaker 2>think that some people start with the point that we

0:46:43.660 --> 0:46:46.680
<v Speaker 2>can't allow machines to have rights and then back out

0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:48.800
<v Speaker 2>of that into saying, well, then they're definitely not conscious.

0:46:49.500 --> 0:46:51.160
<v Speaker 2>To me, that's kind of logically back to front.

0:46:52.120 --> 0:46:56.049
<v Speaker 1>Sebastian Malaby, Natasha Tikul, and of course, Mangesh, thank you

0:46:56.070 --> 0:46:58.730
<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us today. And please check out

0:46:58.750 --> 0:47:01.010
<v Speaker 1>The Builders because we want you to hear these people

0:47:01.469 --> 0:47:19.370
<v Speaker 1>in their own voices and join the debate. For Tech Stuff,

0:47:19.650 --> 0:47:22.570
<v Speaker 1>I'm Oz Veloshin. This episode was produced by Eliza Dennis

0:47:22.730 --> 0:47:25.830
<v Speaker 1>and Mangesh Hattikida. It was executive produced by me and

0:47:25.910 --> 0:47:29.640
<v Speaker 1>Julian Nutter for Kaleidoscope and Katrine Norvell for iHeart Podcasts.

0:47:30.120 --> 0:47:33.540
<v Speaker 1>Jack Inslee mixed this episode. Kyle Murdoch wrote our theme song.

0:47:33.960 --> 0:47:37.050
<v Speaker 1>And please check out The Builders wherever you get your podcasts.