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Speaker 1: Everybody out there.

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Speaker 2: Talking about some like comments and pretension. But the shurest

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Speaker 2: plate know a show is growing is common. And Jesse

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Speaker 2: correct me if I'm wrong. There's presidential debate tonight. It's

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Speaker 2: no accident. They're waiting until nine o'clock Eastern to start

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Speaker 2: that thing. You schedule it on a Tuesday night, That's okay,

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Speaker 2: just push it back a little bit.

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Speaker 1: That is growth. That is growth.

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Speaker 2: All thanks to you, guys. I will not hear another

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Speaker 2: scenario besides that one. We're jam packed high a top

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Speaker 2: just a spectacular downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Nice little sunset going

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Speaker 2: down as we speak outside the window here, Tuesday night,

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Speaker 2: September tenth, the year of our Lord, twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 2: We are proudly brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors.

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Speaker 2: And I proudly and nervously tell you I'm ready to

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Speaker 2: predict Week three. We've gone over everything. I've got some

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Speaker 2: strong thoughts, I've got some kind of strong predictions. What

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Speaker 2: have we learned about this sport? By the way, this

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Speaker 2: great sport of ours has given us two weeks. Not

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Speaker 2: a preview magazine anymore, We've gotten two actual weeks of

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Speaker 2: college football. I think I may have figured a few

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Speaker 2: things out. You probably think you figured a few things out.

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Speaker 2: You and I may combine to be wrong about a

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Speaker 2: few of those things. But I will discuss what I

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Speaker 2: think I know through two weeks. Tonight, I got a

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Speaker 2: brand new JP pole dropping. There's big movement in the

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Speaker 2: JP pole tonight. I told you we're not going to hesitate.

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Speaker 2: To be pretty aggressive on that thing, as aggressive as.

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Speaker 1: A power rating can be.

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Speaker 2: And remember, kids, as me mah once taught, all of us,

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Speaker 2: rankings are not ratings, and vice versa. I've got an

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Speaker 2: added best bet. I got a rare totals bet to

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Speaker 2: drop on you tonight. So we're jam packed. We got

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Speaker 2: to move that's our agreement with ABC. You moved the

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Speaker 2: presidential debate back an hour. We will move through the

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Speaker 2: show pretty rapidly.

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Speaker 1: Tonight.

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Speaker 2: Louisville, Kentucky has tuned in Brunswick, Georgia, Arvada, Colorado, and Patterson,

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Speaker 2: New Jersey.

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Speaker 1: Thank you guys, so much. A lot of stuff happening.

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Speaker 2: I heard a high rumor as we dive into the

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Speaker 2: show tonight, I heard a hot rumor about the Peyte

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Speaker 2: State Store being ready to reopen that's just what I heard.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. You know, your guess is as good

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Speaker 1: as mine. No it's not. And so just make sure

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Speaker 1: you're following on the socials.

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Speaker 2: A lot of stuff goes on outside the show. Make

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Speaker 2: sure you're following on the socials. So what have we

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Speaker 2: learned so far in college football this year? Everyone thought

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Speaker 2: they knew some stuff in spring and summer, preview, magazine, season, etc.

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Speaker 2: Then the Week one results come in, and now we've

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Speaker 2: got Week two results in, and I'm going to give

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Speaker 2: you things that I think I figured out so far.

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Speaker 2: One thing I've learned is Clemson is still in every

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Speaker 2: conversation they were always in. So once upon a time

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Speaker 2: Clemson was the favorite or co favorite to win the ACC.

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Speaker 2: Then they get just smoked by Georgia in Week one,

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Speaker 2: like a lot of folks will end up having happened

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Speaker 2: to them this week. And some folks, including me, got

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Speaker 2: a little doubtful about Clemson, but it wasn't my fault.

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Speaker 1: The model started to sell its Clemson stock as well.

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Speaker 2: And then Clemson annihilates a pretty good app State team

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Speaker 2: and now they're right back. JP Poles got them right

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Speaker 2: back where they were rated in the preseason, they are

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Speaker 2: the number two odds team to win the ACC. They

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Speaker 2: haven't played a conference game. They don't play Miami in

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Speaker 2: the regular season. So if you thought Clemson was an

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Speaker 2: ACC title contender, which means they're a playoff contender, what's changed?

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Speaker 1: What's changed?

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Speaker 2: They certainly rid themselves and rid everyone of that memory,

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Speaker 2: that ugly Week one memory, and now they are about

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Speaker 2: to dive into conference play. And like I said, they

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Speaker 2: don't play Miami. They go to Florida State in a

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Speaker 2: couple of weeks. But outside that that Louisville game at

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Speaker 2: home at Virginia Tech later in the year, there's still

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Speaker 2: a lot that remains to be decided in the ACC.

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Speaker 2: So Clemson, I've learned, although I thought I wouldn't have,

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Speaker 2: I've learned. I've relearned. They're still eligible and they're still

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Speaker 2: capable of doing everything I thought they'd do.

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Speaker 1: I've learned.

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Speaker 2: Unfortunately, I've learned it's not gonna happen for Colorado. Just

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Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna happen for the Buffs this year.

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Speaker 2: And by it, I mean being a surprise contender to

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Speaker 2: win the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 1: They played Nebraska last week. It's not a conference game.

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Speaker 2: But what happened in the Nebraska game is gonna be

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Speaker 2: rinse and repeated a few times in Big Twelve.

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Speaker 1: Play.

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Speaker 2: Big misconception about the Big Twelve. It's it's a pinball conference,

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Speaker 2: and it's not. It's a roll up your sleeves, run

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Speaker 2: the football, play defense conference. It just doesn't have the elite,

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Speaker 2: top end first round NFL draft type talent that you

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Speaker 2: would find in the Big twelve or the big town

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Speaker 2: of the SEC. But those are really good third, four

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Speaker 2: to fifth year player type programs, real culture programs, and

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Speaker 2: so it's not an easy task. I don't care if

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Speaker 2: you've got Travis Hunter. I don't care if you got Chador,

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Speaker 2: especially if you can't protect him. It's not an easy

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Speaker 2: task to go into this conference and just you know,

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Speaker 2: pop your knuckles.

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Speaker 1: Hey we're Colorado.

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Speaker 2: Okay, well you know we're Kansas State, We're Arizona, We're Utah,

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Speaker 2: We're Kansas. It's not gonna be an easy road for Colorado.

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Speaker 1: Next up.

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Speaker 2: Hmm, let's go out west here for a second. I

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Speaker 2: think I know, or I think I've learned, Oregon is

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Speaker 2: not Oregon yet. I say that because we've watched him

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Speaker 2: play the entire state of Idaho.

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Speaker 1: Through the first couple of weeks.

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Speaker 2: They struggled against Idaho period, they struggled against Boise State.

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Speaker 2: Last week needed a walk off field goal to beat

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Speaker 2: the Broncos. And it may be that they were a

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Speaker 2: little overrated early in the season, but the difference is,

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Speaker 2: unlike some of these teams that just were rated too high,

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Speaker 2: I think Oregon may have been rated too soon.

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Speaker 1: I'm not selling on Oregon.

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Speaker 2: I think Oregon's one of those teams we see it

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Speaker 2: every year that is going to eventually blossom into the

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Speaker 2: version of themselves that many of us thought they would

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Speaker 2: be in the preseason.

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Speaker 1: They just weren't ready to go yet. They were not

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Speaker 1: ready to go.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes Week one arrives way too early for teams now unfortunately,

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Speaker 2: some of them get clipped and they get upset and

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Speaker 2: then they're out of contention for stuff.

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Speaker 1: Oregon has not lost. They're going to go to Oregon

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Speaker 1: State this week.

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Speaker 2: Then they start, well, yeah, they start conference to play

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Speaker 2: the next week Oregon. I think at some point this

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Speaker 2: year will be fine. Fortunately for them, their schedule was

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Speaker 2: not front loaded. They play Ohio State, but they didn't

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Speaker 2: play them early. They go to Michigan, but they don't

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Speaker 2: do it early. They go to Wisconsin. They do that

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Speaker 2: way later in the season, so they've got time to

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Speaker 2: work it out. Now, in your subconscience, you kind of

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Speaker 2: know that, and sometimes it can lead to again subconsciously,

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Speaker 2: not having a sense of urgency about yourself. Now, if

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Speaker 2: Dan Lanning were on the show, which he's been many times,

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Speaker 2: he would swear, no, there's urgency. We preach urgency no

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Speaker 2: matter what the schedule is. I know he does. That's

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Speaker 2: why I said subconsciously, you can't help but know you're

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Speaker 2: going to be favored by a lot the first few

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Speaker 2: weeks of the season. And even if Landing himself doesn't

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Speaker 2: fall victim to that, sometimes your players can so still

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Speaker 2: mixing and matching on the offensive line. I think they'll

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Speaker 2: get things figured out. I think Oregon will still be

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Speaker 2: a big ten in national championship contending type team. They

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Speaker 2: just are not that yet. But that's okay. You're not

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Speaker 2: everything that you're going to be in week two, in

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Speaker 2: week three. But as much as Oregon doesn't look like

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Speaker 2: a national title contender, I've learned tennessee'son national title contender.

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Speaker 2: I went beyond sec there. I went beyond just playoffs. See,

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Speaker 2: there's this tiered language that we use these days with

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Speaker 2: an expanded playoff. And if you say someone's a playoff contender,

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Speaker 2: that's a fancy way of saying they can make it,

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Speaker 2: but they can't win it.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Tennessee playing the kind of defense they're playing now, combined

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Speaker 2: with just Josh hipel anytime he's got elite talented quarterback,

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Speaker 2: they can win it. They are a definite team in

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Speaker 2: the mix along with your Georgia's and your Bama's and

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Speaker 2: your Texas's, Ohio States. They can win this thing. The

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Speaker 2: difference is you will blindly buy into the notion that

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Speaker 2: all the other ones will. I've got a solid portion

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Speaker 2: of our audience. I go back and forth with you

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Speaker 2: guys all the time who believe Tennessee just flat out

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Speaker 2: can't do this anymore. I think it's just because of

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Speaker 2: recency bias. And you haven't seen them. If you're a

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Speaker 2: twenty year old viewer of the show, you haven't lived

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Speaker 2: in a world where Tennessee's a national title contender.

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Speaker 1: Well you have now because they are.

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Speaker 2: Again, just because they haven't in your lifetime doesn't mean

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Speaker 2: they won't in your lifetime.

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Speaker 1: Maybe as soon as this year. So what did we

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Speaker 1: always say?

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Speaker 2: I'm going to talk about USC in a little while,

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Speaker 2: But what do we always said? With these coaches like

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Speaker 2: hypel they can ever pair a pretty good to elite.

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Speaker 1: Defense with what they do offensively.

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Speaker 2: Whoo, Now, normally it doesn't happen because normally, stylistically, DNA wise,

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Speaker 2: you got to give something up to get something. But

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Speaker 2: Tennessee's figure something out and that travels. You know, they'll

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Speaker 2: go to Oklahoma in a couple of weeks. Eventually they'll

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Speaker 2: go to Georgia. They didn't have a shot against Georgia

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Speaker 2: last time they went down there. They'll have a shot

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Speaker 2: now they will have a shot because they got things

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Speaker 2: that travel next Unfortunate Again, we're kind of trying to

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Speaker 2: go up and down, up and down with positive negative.

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Speaker 2: I have learned that this was not a reloading year

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Speaker 2: for Florida State. This was a resetting year. Notice I

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Speaker 2: didn't say rebuild. I think it's a reset kind of year.

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Speaker 2: It's not as simple to me down there as well,

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Speaker 2: we'll get them next year. Now, they still got ten

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Speaker 2: games to play, so they shouldn't be thinking about next

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Speaker 2: year at all. But I'm thinking about next year because

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Speaker 2: I have punted on the season for Florida State, so.

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Speaker 1: I'm capable of doing that.

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Speaker 2: But I'm thinking it's not as easy as let's dip

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Speaker 2: into the portal and let's reload for next year. I'm thinking,

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Speaker 2: let's reassess how we run this program and how we

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Speaker 2: build this roster.

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Speaker 1: Now. I said that the other day and folks said.

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Speaker 2: Well, Norvel's been there what four or five years at

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Speaker 2: this point, you can't do that.

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Speaker 1: Well, of course you can.

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Speaker 2: Anytime you realize the right thing to do, you do

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Speaker 2: that right thing.

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Speaker 1: I don't care if you're two years in or ten

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Speaker 1: years in.

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Speaker 2: If you think that you have gone about building your

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Speaker 2: roster the wrong way, then you immediately.

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Speaker 1: Make moves to rectify that.

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Speaker 2: And at Florida State that just means recruiting high school

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Speaker 2: talent a whole lot better and more effectively than they

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Speaker 2: have and making moves on your staff however you need

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Speaker 2: to in order to accomplish that goal. That's the long

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Speaker 2: and short of it. So however they have to go

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Speaker 2: about that, they got to go about that this year.

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Speaker 2: I think the one positive is it's been such a

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Speaker 2: glaring slap in the face. It's been such a glaring

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Speaker 2: shot to the senses. There can be no room for

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Speaker 2: confusion down there about what the problem is. I don't

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Speaker 2: think Mike Norvel ever wants to live through another year

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Speaker 2: where he's got to go through summer and then fall

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Speaker 2: camp and look at all all this talent in front

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Speaker 2: of him, but chee his fingernails down to the nubs, wondering,

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Speaker 2: I got a bunch of individuals, Do I have a team?

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Speaker 1: Though?

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Speaker 2: Because he found out the hard way, and he's not alone,

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Speaker 2: but we're talking about Florida State. Florida State has found

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Speaker 2: out the hard way. Stacking a bunch of really good

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Speaker 2: individuals does not always equal a team. And it's no

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Speaker 2: guarantee that you'll have great teams even if you build

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Speaker 2: through high school. But man, you will have guys who

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Speaker 2: have been immersed in your system and your culture. And

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Speaker 2: you know, folks who don't worry about things like doing

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Speaker 2: away with the war chan on third down, folks who

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Speaker 2: don't worry about their draft stock on third down. They're

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Speaker 2: just worried about, you know, what they can do for

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Speaker 2: Florida State, as opposed to simply what can Florida State

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Speaker 2: do for them? She the paper gets flipped over hey,

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Speaker 2: standing in the Sunshine State here for a second. I've

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Speaker 2: learned I personally don't know about you, guys. I've learned

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Speaker 2: the evidence was not lying to us about Miami. The

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Speaker 2: evidence was there that this was going to be a really,

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Speaker 2: really good team. Many people were unwilling to buy into

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Speaker 2: it because of whatever your preconceived notion is about Miami

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Speaker 2: or Mario Christo Baul. I hear the same stuff about Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: I hear the same stuff about USC. It's just because

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Speaker 2: they haven't been something in a while. Automatically, there's this

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Speaker 2: layer of doubt that's not baked in for other programs,

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Speaker 2: which is fine. But when you looked at what they

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Speaker 2: had done, when you looked at the moves they had made,

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Speaker 2: not the least among them getting cam Ward, all the

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Speaker 2: evidence was there to believe that this team was capable

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Speaker 2: of winning the ACC and then some and then they

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Speaker 2: go and do what they did in Week one against Florida.

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Speaker 2: And now, if you were already a doubter of Miami,

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Speaker 2: I don't know why you would have backed off the ledge.

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Speaker 2: At this point. All you got to do is say, well,

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Speaker 2: of course they beat Florida. A bunch of folks will

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Speaker 2: beat Florida this year. So if I was a doubter

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Speaker 2: of Miami coming into the season, I'd still be a doubter.

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Speaker 2: I wasn't a doubter. I picked them to win the conference.

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Speaker 2: I picked them to have a first round by in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. So I've seen everything to affirm what I

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Speaker 2: already believed. But now they're going to go through a

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Speaker 2: schedule here where they will not be on national radars

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Speaker 2: a whole lot. That Virginia Tech game in a few

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Speaker 2: weeks lost a bunch of its luster because Virginia Tech

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Speaker 2: lost a Vanderbilt. They go to Louisville October nineteenth, which

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Speaker 2: I think is one of the games of the year

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Speaker 2: in that conference. But is America really going to focus

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Speaker 2: its sits on Louisville Kentucky for an ACC game. I

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Speaker 2: don't know that they will, And so you'll start to

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Speaker 2: hear about them down the stretch when the playoff rankings

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Speaker 2: are coming out and when FanDuel's continuously updating those ACC

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Speaker 2: championship odds. But Miami does not have those two or

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Speaker 2: three marquee games left on the schedule like we talk

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Speaker 2: about with Tennessee, or like we even talk about with USC.

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Speaker 2: So it's still going to have to be a little

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Speaker 2: bit of blind belief, because if you still don't believe

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Speaker 2: in Miami, there is not that one game coming up

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Speaker 2: in the regular season where they can prove themselves to you.

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Speaker 2: I think we just came back from ann Arbor last week.

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Speaker 2: I think that last year didn't really matter. Last year

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Speaker 2: doesn't matter with Michigan. It was never gonna matter. What

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Speaker 2: did you hear a lot of times even last week

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Speaker 2: when folks were talking about this Texas Michigan game, if

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Speaker 2: someone picked mission, you heard a lot of things that

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Speaker 2: really didn't matter, things like you're going to go in

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Speaker 2: there against the defending national champ, Well, no you're not.

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Speaker 2: The trophy doesn't play football. The trophies in the trophy

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Speaker 2: case where trophies live, and a lot of those pieces

295
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Speaker 2: are gone and a lot of those coaches are gone.

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Speaker 2: And so this year's team was going to have to

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Speaker 2: stand on its merits. You don't ever defend the championships

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Speaker 2: not pro wrestling. You don't walk out the tunnel with

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Speaker 2: the strap over your shoulder. This year's team is on display.

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Speaker 2: This year's team's not nearly as good as last year's team.

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Speaker 2: That is not relevatory by any stretch if you understood

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Speaker 2: what was on last year's team and what is on

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Speaker 2: this year's team. But there was I guess this hype

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Speaker 2: bubble that still needed to be popped a little bit.

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Speaker 2: So now it's been popped, so now you can get

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Speaker 2: to work. We are talking, and as you and I

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Speaker 2: are talking, they're getting ready to play Arkansas State. I

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Speaker 2: happen to think Michigan will have a really good week

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Speaker 2: this week. And you may say, well, so what it's

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Speaker 2: Arkansas State. They got usc coming up? First off, they

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Speaker 2: got ten more games coming up. You know, there's a

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Speaker 2: big deal difference in Michigan's not going to compete for

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Speaker 2: the Big Ten Championship and Michigan's going to go six

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Speaker 2: and six just because you don't compete for the Big

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Speaker 2: Ten championship. You put an eight or a nine win

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Speaker 2: season up. It's still pretty good, all things considered. Not

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Speaker 2: up to the standard they want to meet, but all

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Speaker 2: things considered, it could be a whole lot worse. Well,

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Speaker 2: you need to take care of business against teams like

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Speaker 2: Arkansas State. I'm I'm strangely, just morbidly interested to see

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Speaker 2: that Arkansas State game next up. Oh boys, So we

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Speaker 2: didn't plan it this way, but it makes sense. I

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Speaker 2: think folks are still misunderstanding Texas now. Part one of

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Speaker 2: the misunderstanding that quickly got rectified was Texas is a finesse,

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Speaker 2: fireworks type team, and you know they'll go in there

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Speaker 2: and they'll face a really really physical team like Michigan

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Speaker 2: edge Michigan if it turns into a street fight.

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Speaker 1: Well, clearly that wasn't the case.

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Speaker 2: Clearly Texas went in there wanted a fight, started the fight,

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Speaker 2: dominated the fight, and then ended the fight on their terms.

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Speaker 2: Now here's the next big misconception you need to correct

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Speaker 2: in your mind if you're still thinking it. I have

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Speaker 2: heard this week a lot of people talking about how

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Speaker 2: good Sarks used the Portal and how much the Portal

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Speaker 2: has sort of quasi built this Texas team into a contender.

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Speaker 2: The Portal hasn't built Texas into a contender. High school

337
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Speaker 2: recruiting has. And if you want to go back and

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Speaker 2: watch that game against Michigan, go look at what the

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Speaker 2: Texas offensive line did. And then I want you to

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Speaker 2: check where every one of those starting five came from,

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Speaker 2: because their last stop before they were in Austin was

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Speaker 2: high school. They built that thing entirely through high school.

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Speaker 2: Don't misunderstand me. They have done a great job leveraging

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Speaker 2: the portal. They have gone to the portal to backfill

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Speaker 2: at receiver for example. I'm not denying that tight end

346
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Speaker 2: as well when I black, I'm not denying that. But

347
00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:49,680
Speaker 2: nucleus of this team is not its wide receiver corps.

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Speaker 2: I think one of the big differences with the way

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Speaker 2: this Texas team is built and the way that previous

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Speaker 2: Ohio State teams were built is we talked about those

351
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Speaker 2: Ohio State receivers the last few years as well when

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Speaker 2: it came time to win fights, when it came time

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Speaker 2: to win games on the line of scrimmage, to get

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Speaker 2: off the field on third down, to put together a

355
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Speaker 2: sustained drive to close out one game ironically against Michigan,

356
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Speaker 2: those Ohio State teams couldn't do it. This Texas team

357
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Speaker 2: is capable of it because their identity is just a

358
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Speaker 2: little bit different than those previous Ohio State teams. I

359
00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,840
Speaker 2: still don't think everyone understands that about them, but they'll

360
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Speaker 2: learn easy way or hard way. They'll learn next up.

361
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Speaker 2: This was sort of sad, so that was happy. This

362
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:33,960
Speaker 2: is sort of sad. Notre Dame, I have learned, is

363
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Speaker 2: not ready to be a primetime program.

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Speaker 1: Yet.

365
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Speaker 2: I didn't say Notre Dame suck. They don't. There's a

366
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Speaker 2: lot of rungs on the ladder of college football. Everyone

367
00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:43,960
Speaker 2: wants to either be the top or the bottom. They

368
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Speaker 2: want to classify teams as great or terrible. A Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame is not terrible. They're not great. They're closer to

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Speaker 2: great than terrible. They're probably somewhere around pretty good to

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Speaker 2: really good. And then there are several rungs still above

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Speaker 2: that great, elite, etc. They are not in those categories

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Speaker 2: worries yet. And after Week one they went into Texas

374
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Speaker 2: A and M and one. I think a lot of

375
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Speaker 2: folks thought maybe they had taken that next step. But

376
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Speaker 2: most importantly and most unfortunately, I think they believed inside

377
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Speaker 2: the walls of that program that they had taken that

378
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Speaker 2: next step, and they believed it so much that they

379
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Speaker 2: really didn't prepare the next week the way that they

380
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Speaker 2: had prepared. It was like they had prepared for a

381
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Speaker 2: one game season. It's like they had prepared for a

382
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Speaker 2: super Bowl, went and won the Super Bowl, and then

383
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Speaker 2: someone called him and said, guys, got eleven more to play. What, Oh, well, good,

384
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Speaker 2: it's just Northern Illinois. Nope, not the way it works.

385
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Speaker 2: You don't have those caliber athletes. You can't afford to

386
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Speaker 2: do that even if you do have that, but you

387
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Speaker 2: especially can't. I mean you got out gained by one

388
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Speaker 2: hundred yards by Northern Illinois. This is multiple times now

389
00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:49,520
Speaker 2: as a double digit favorite, multiple times against unranked teams

390
00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:50,800
Speaker 2: that Marcus Freeman has lost.

391
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Speaker 1: I don't think the guy's a bad coach.

392
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Speaker 2: He's still a very young coach relatively speaking. The question

393
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Speaker 2: is not that in my mind. My question is have

394
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Speaker 2: they gotten to certain points yet? And they haven't gotten

395
00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:04,960
Speaker 2: to that point yet. They're not ready to be that

396
00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 2: kind of program yet. It's not the craziest concept that

397
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,280
Speaker 2: a second or third what is the twenty one, two

398
00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,480
Speaker 2: three a fourth year head coach. I think that's where

399
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Speaker 2: Marcus Freeman is. It's not the craziest concept in the

400
00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:20,160
Speaker 2: world that he wouldn't be there yet. But we've seen

401
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,440
Speaker 2: guys get there. Kirby Smart year two had Georgia in

402
00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:26,520
Speaker 2: a national championship game. So we've had varying degrees of

403
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:30,879
Speaker 2: immediate to fairly immediate success. That's not quite Marcus Freeman.

404
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:33,520
Speaker 2: Yet maybe it never will be, or maybe it will be,

405
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Speaker 2: and it just takes five or six years. And lastly,

406
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Speaker 2: as far as the things I've learned this year, I

407
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,679
Speaker 2: have learned that USC to me is the story of

408
00:18:42,680 --> 00:18:45,439
Speaker 2: the year in college football. So far, Lincoln Riley forever

409
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:48,000
Speaker 2: has been one of the very best play callers and

410
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,439
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator types in this sport. He happens to be

411
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:53,720
Speaker 2: a head coach, but he is also his offensive coordinator essentially.

412
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Speaker 1: He's been that for a long time.

413
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Speaker 2: Every quarterback as a Heisman Trophy contender, rewrote offensive record

414
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,399
Speaker 2: books at Oklahoma had him as a double digit winner.

415
00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:05,479
Speaker 2: Every year goes to USC, everyone thinks this is going

416
00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,040
Speaker 2: to be an immediate explosion, and it's not. Because he

417
00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:12,439
Speaker 2: improperly hired or imported defensive staffers and that dug him

418
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,639
Speaker 2: a little bit of a hole. And to his credit,

419
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 2: he tried to correct not only with better hires, but

420
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Speaker 2: also a philosophy and program shift in the spring last

421
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Speaker 2: year or this year.

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Speaker 1: And it's worked. That's the story. It's worked.

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Speaker 2: A lot of guys have tried to change things about

424
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,879
Speaker 2: themselves before, but see the thing about changing yourself is

425
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,639
Speaker 2: it's really hard to do because you are yourself. You

426
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:37,719
Speaker 2: are what you are. You've got to be willing to

427
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 2: change what you are. It's not window dressing. You can't

428
00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:43,520
Speaker 2: just say a bunch of stuff in a microphone and

429
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,760
Speaker 2: say things like we're going to be a defensive oriented team.

430
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Speaker 2: You're Lincoln Riley, No you're not. Well, he meant it.

431
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Speaker 2: He meant it. Credit to him for not just making

432
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:56,239
Speaker 2: the higher but he made the higher hires plural and

433
00:19:56,440 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 2: you can it's so noticeable overnight. It's noticeable, which means

434
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:04,679
Speaker 2: they weren't totally void of defensive talent. I've been surprised

435
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,400
Speaker 2: by it, Like I thought, Lynn coming over from UCLA

436
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:09,720
Speaker 2: is one thing, and that staff being massively upgraded as

437
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:13,280
Speaker 2: one thing. But you can only do as a chef

438
00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:16,479
Speaker 2: what your ingredients give you the capability to do. And

439
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:19,199
Speaker 2: even the best chefs would tell you that clearly, I

440
00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 2: roll in the highest of culinary circles. You know what,

441
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:25,800
Speaker 2: Southern cal fans, to their credit. I got to talk

442
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:28,680
Speaker 2: to my friends over on the peristyle. You guys knew

443
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:32,480
Speaker 2: your team, maybe there were some better ingredients in the

444
00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:36,679
Speaker 2: kitchen than we knew. And Alex Grintch he's just playing

445
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:39,040
Speaker 2: play school in there. I think Southern cal is the

446
00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:42,320
Speaker 2: story of the year. Now the year is two weeks old,

447
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,119
Speaker 2: and so we're going into week three. They already are

448
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 2: they off Jesse, They got to buy a week. Oh,

449
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 2: you can't talk to me, that's right. IFB problems. They

450
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:54,480
Speaker 2: are going to Michigan next week. Now, I don't need

451
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 2: to sell you on that game. I think you already

452
00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:02,199
Speaker 2: understand ramifications for both sides. But that's why that Arkansas

453
00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:04,320
Speaker 2: State Michigan game is very important to me this week too.

454
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:06,240
Speaker 2: I think USC is a story that you're in college

455
00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:14,439
Speaker 2: football so far. And speaking of tradition, a tradition unlike

456
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:19,720
Speaker 2: any other. Cubulic texting me while I'm live on air. See,

457
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 2: I could record this show and we could just remove

458
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,560
Speaker 2: all this. I don't do it, and I won't let

459
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 2: negativity like this stop us. We will be live as

460
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 2: live can be. Academy sports and outdoors will be as

461
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,760
Speaker 2: there as they can possibly be. We're going to be

462
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:37,800
Speaker 2: in Columbia, South Carolina Saturday. Do you understand, especially because

463
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 2: we could have inclement weather, how essential those academy canopies

464
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,439
Speaker 2: and tents will be this Saturday. Not to mention the chairs,

465
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:47,800
Speaker 2: not to mention the grills, not to mention all the

466
00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:51,200
Speaker 2: other tailgating essentials and equipment and whatnot, but the canopies.

467
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:56,040
Speaker 2: You look across a tailgating lot or a tailgating quad,

468
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,159
Speaker 2: or a circle or whatnot, and just as far as

469
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:02,240
Speaker 2: the eye can see Academy Sports and Outdoors tents and canopies.

470
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 2: It's a beautiful thing. I've never seen a bad afternoon

471
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 2: unfold with Academy dotting the landscape. I've seen several bad

472
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:13,920
Speaker 2: afternoons unfold without Academy dotting the landscape. So everything negative

473
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 2: that happens in our society would be rectified if you

474
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,439
Speaker 2: just had more Academy Sports and Outdoors. Now, I know

475
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:21,199
Speaker 2: what you're saying right now, or I think I do.

476
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,160
Speaker 2: Some of you were saying I don't have one in

477
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 2: my town, and I know that, and I'm here for

478
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 2: you with good news. If you're watching the show, it

479
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 2: is a fact that you have Internet, which means you

480
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,399
Speaker 2: can go to Academy dot com and shop just like

481
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:37,440
Speaker 2: you would if you walked up.

482
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:38,160
Speaker 1: And down the aisles.

483
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 2: It's not as fun that way, but it's doable that way.

484
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,760
Speaker 2: They are the proud presenting partner of this show. They

485
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 2: make this show free. They've been with us pretty much forever,

486
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:50,919
Speaker 2: and we appreciate them. I would say more than they know.

487
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 2: But I tell Alex all the time. I text him xoxo,

488
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 2: no context, because that's the kind of relationship we have

489
00:22:57,560 --> 00:22:59,719
Speaker 2: with our partners. Okay, here we go. You know it's

490
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 2: too It's prediction night. Got a good, healthy crowd watching

491
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 2: live chat on fire. Make sure you subscribe, and even

492
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:08,639
Speaker 2: if you think you're subscribed, you may not be, so

493
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:12,480
Speaker 2: just check. LSU is going to South Carolina for the

494
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 2: first time since two thousand and eight. Again, I should

495
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 2: be scheduling for the SEC but I don't control that.

496
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,399
Speaker 2: I do control where we go, and we are going

497
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,119
Speaker 2: to Columbia, South Carolina Saturday. In fact, I just changed

498
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,600
Speaker 2: my flight. I'm gonna get out here Thursday night. I'm

499
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,680
Speaker 2: gonna spend all day Friday over there. Had a lista

500
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:32,399
Speaker 2: laying send us a bunch of restaurant recommendations, and so

501
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:34,959
Speaker 2: we'll just knock them down one by one. Whole New

502
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 2: Saturday tour fueled by Quick Trip on the Road in

503
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 2: Colombia noonkickoff on ABC. LSU has to win this game.

504
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:45,959
Speaker 2: I don't know how else to put it.

505
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 1: You know it. You guys know it in Baton Rouge.

506
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:49,199
Speaker 1: You know it as well as I do.

507
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 2: When you still got Old Miss on the schedule and

508
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 2: you still got Bama and you still got you still

509
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,199
Speaker 2: got Oklahoma, you go to Texas, A and M. The

510
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:57,720
Speaker 2: thing about it is if you're not good enough to

511
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 2: go into Colombia and win, I I don't look at

512
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 2: a road trip to Arkansas as a gimme, or a

513
00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 2: road trip to Florida or a road trip to A

514
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 2: and M. Like I said, so you got like six

515
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 2: more losable games minimum if you start the season one

516
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:14,160
Speaker 2: and two. I don't advise you starting the season one

517
00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 2: and two. Okay, that's my first piece of expert analysis

518
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 2: is I personally believe write this down, Jesse Ls. You

519
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,879
Speaker 2: should try and win this game. Tell me where else

520
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,640
Speaker 2: you're gonna get that. Part two. South Carolina I think

521
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,960
Speaker 2: had the surprising result of the week last week. Now

522
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 2: it wasn't like Northern Illinois over Notre Dame, but it

523
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: was pretty emphatic what they did when they went into Lexington.

524
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 1: Does it carry over?

525
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:41,359
Speaker 2: They'll be sky high, this place will be on fire.

526
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,640
Speaker 2: I'm going to talk about the possible inclement, whether justin

527
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 2: King and the folks over in the creative media department,

528
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,880
Speaker 2: just press record. I'm gonna do you all a great

529
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:53,879
Speaker 2: favor in a few minutes. But South Carolina's pass rush

530
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 2: essentially won them that game last week. It was a

531
00:24:56,359 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 2: huge advantage their pass rush South Carolina against Kentucky's O line,

532
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 2: huge advantage game cocks. I flat out don't think that's

533
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,120
Speaker 2: an advantage for them this week. I think the matchup

534
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,120
Speaker 2: advantage is totally inverted. And I think if you're counting,

535
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:12,200
Speaker 2: if you're counting on getting to Nussmeyer several times, you're

536
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 2: either gonna have to beat one of the best offensive

537
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 2: lines and best offensive tackle combos in the country to

538
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,400
Speaker 2: do it, or part one of your game plan has

539
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,879
Speaker 2: been ripped out and then you're just gonna have to

540
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 2: outscore LSU. South Carolina's pressure rate is number one in

541
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 2: FBS right now. Now we're two weeks in, So make

542
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 2: of that what you will. LSU pressure rate allowed number

543
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:37,520
Speaker 2: six in FBS. So they've protected Nussmeyer really well. South

544
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,280
Speaker 2: Carolina's gotten after the quarterback really well. Both of them

545
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 2: think that that will continue. Someone's wrong. We got to

546
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:47,119
Speaker 2: find out who LSU wants to find a way to

547
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:50,160
Speaker 2: run the ball. South Carolina has to find a way

548
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,919
Speaker 2: to run the ball. LSU lost John Emory for the season,

549
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 2: which is terrible, but it is what it is, so

550
00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,200
Speaker 2: they can't do anything about that moving forward.

551
00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 1: They have that, But I also think about.

552
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,879
Speaker 2: It as them losing Emory and Jaden Daniels, even though

553
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,720
Speaker 2: Daniels was on last year's team. We were already talking

554
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 2: about them having to replace that production. Right, So John

555
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:12,639
Speaker 2: Emery this was going to be his shot several years

556
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 2: it seems like of underachievement, this was going to be

557
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:16,480
Speaker 2: his shot. He looked good in Week one and now

558
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:19,560
Speaker 2: boom done for the year. Okay, you're LSU. You got

559
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 2: to have more options than that. They don't have to

560
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:24,159
Speaker 2: be able to run the ball at a high level.

561
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 2: They got to run it good enough. But they got

562
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:28,119
Speaker 2: a quarterback that, if it has to be put on

563
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 2: his shoulders, Garrett Nussmeyer can be trusted to carry at

564
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 2: least a majority of the offensive load. I don't know

565
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 2: that Shane Biemer and South Carolina look at Garrett Nusmeyer

566
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:42,880
Speaker 2: and then look at their guy privately and say, we've

567
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 2: got every bit the same amount of confidence in him.

568
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 2: They're confident enough in sellers that he's their guy. That's

569
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 2: not what I said. I said, are they confident enough

570
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:55,720
Speaker 2: in him taken over the game with his arm? That's

571
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,360
Speaker 2: not practical. That is not what they would expect him

572
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,200
Speaker 2: to do. That's not what they'd want to add ask

573
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 2: him to do. One of eleven teams in the country

574
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 2: right now with no rushing touchdown, that's lsu okay, So

575
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 2: it wouldn't be a shock if they couldn't run the

576
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 2: ball effectively. They're one hundred and tenth in rush yards,

577
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 2: they're eighty ninth in yards per carry right now. There's

578
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 2: a world where they can't run it very well. And

579
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:19,360
Speaker 2: it's a bunch of third and five plus and Nussmeyer

580
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,480
Speaker 2: just bails him out. Also, if you get him in

581
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:26,400
Speaker 2: third and five plus, you've got the most underrated game

582
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:29,159
Speaker 2: day environment in college football breathing down your neck.

583
00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 1: In Williams Brice Stadium.

584
00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 2: You've got Dylan Stewart, who is an emerging star as

585
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 2: a pass rusher who could single handedly flip a game.

586
00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,399
Speaker 1: You got to deal with all that. That's the risk reward.

587
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:41,040
Speaker 2: If you can't run the ball on the road in

588
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 2: the sec That's always the risk reward. If you've got

589
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 2: a quarterback that can bail you out, great, he's got

590
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:49,359
Speaker 2: to do it. He's got to do it. Nus can

591
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,200
Speaker 2: be trusted. I don't know if South Carolina gets in

592
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,399
Speaker 2: that spot. If Leonora's Sellers can and South Carolina was

593
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 2: bad running the ball last year through two games, they're

594
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,919
Speaker 2: one hundred and fifteenth in yards per carry this So

595
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,560
Speaker 2: that's a convoluted way of saying there's a world where

596
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 2: neither of them runs the ball extremely effectively Saturday, which

597
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 2: puts the game in the hands of the quarterbacks, which

598
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,360
Speaker 2: also puts a ton of variants in the equation, which

599
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,240
Speaker 2: when you think about Lenora Seller's lack of experience, and

600
00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 2: you think about South Carolina's pass rushing capability against Nussmeyer,

601
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 2: turnovers become an issue.

602
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 1: Ball in the air, more a lot more variability.

603
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,679
Speaker 2: LSU seems to be getting a little healthy at wide receiver,

604
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,320
Speaker 2: reading reports from some of our folks over at go

605
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,760
Speaker 2: to four seven. Maybe close to getting some guys back

606
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 2: on top of Kyen Lacy. We'll see about that. I

607
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,760
Speaker 2: think weather's going to be a factor here. Special teams

608
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:42,120
Speaker 2: can always be a factor in any football game. Shane

609
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,320
Speaker 2: Biemer's got to be banking on winning that category this Saturday.

610
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 2: Like I said, Adylan Stewart, moment could change this game.

611
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 2: And with so much variability in the equation, one one

612
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 2: edge rush, one tipped ball, you know, one forced early

613
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 2: throw across the middle could change the whole thing. But

614
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:05,160
Speaker 2: let me talk to you for a second about weather.

615
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 2: It could rain Saturday, it could rain hard Saturday, it

616
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:14,040
Speaker 2: doesn't matter. I'm specifically talking to the South Carolina fan base,

617
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 2: in the South Carolina student body. I know good andwell

618
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:19,200
Speaker 2: every one of you have been in a swimming pool

619
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 2: once or twice in your lives. It's impossible to be

620
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,479
Speaker 2: more wet than you got in that swimming pool. So

621
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 2: every one of you's been in a pool before, every

622
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:29,280
Speaker 2: one of you's been soaked before. You're gonna get wet

623
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,720
Speaker 2: this Saturday if it rains, deal with it. What you

624
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 2: don't have the opportunity to do in a swimming pool,

625
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 2: that you have a chance to do this Saturday is

626
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 2: beat LSU at home. That's what you got a chance

627
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 2: to do. And some of you need to do your research.

628
00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 2: If you're not already aware, it's not every day the

629
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 2: nation focuses its collective attention on Columbia South Carolina. It's

630
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:51,640
Speaker 2: not everyday college game days in town. We haven't been

631
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:55,240
Speaker 2: over there once since I've worked at CBS, and I look.

632
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 1: For reasons to get over there. It's a premiere moment.

633
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 2: Some previous class says have gone there four years at

634
00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 2: South Carolina and not gott in a moment like this.

635
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 2: So I couldn't care less what the skies look like

636
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 2: Saturday morning, twelve oh one Eastern time. You better bring it.

637
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,040
Speaker 2: You got a chance to affect this thing Saturday, you

638
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 2: better bring it. Colin, show me what the model things

639
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,040
Speaker 2: FanDuel right now LSU minus six and a half. The

640
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:23,240
Speaker 2: model agrees, and then some we've got LSU minus eight.

641
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,239
Speaker 2: So I just did everybody over there as big a

642
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 2: favor as I could do. Let me do Coach Beemer

643
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 2: one more favor because this is probably the cherry on

644
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 2: top that he needs. LSU's gonna win Saturday. LSU is

645
00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 2: gonna cover Saturday, moving on our tour all year, boyd

646
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:46,800
Speaker 2: Man Jesse, what a cliffhanger. By the way, how about

647
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 2: that build them up and tear him down. I love

648
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:53,240
Speaker 2: South Carolina, but LSU's gotta win the game, man, don't

649
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 2: they have to win. They've gotta win. Maybe they win

650
00:30:55,680 --> 00:31:00,320
Speaker 2: by three, who knows. Our entire tour powered fuel if

651
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 2: you will, by quick trip. Like I said, I've been

652
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 2: to South Carolina before, but I have not been there

653
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 2: in four years, so twenty eighteen or nineteen somewhere like

654
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 2: that would have been the last time. It's been a

655
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:16,240
Speaker 2: little while, and I love that place. I vouch for it.

656
00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 2: I ride for South Carolina game Day atmosphere. Hopefully the

657
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 2: rest of the country sees it this Saturday. But we

658
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 2: finally found a spot where we can get back over

659
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 2: there in quick trip. Is fueling us too, and fueling

660
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 2: us from and we always appreciate them for that. The

661
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 2: whole New Saturday tour in Columbia, whomstead of thunk it

662
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 2: me kind of me. All right, let's move on. We

663
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:39,720
Speaker 2: got more games to predict. Bama is at Wisconsin Saturday.

664
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 2: Look at those teams. Look at those Southern teams going

665
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 2: north in well late summer, but still they're going north.

666
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:48,240
Speaker 2: We were looking at this game. I had this one circled.

667
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: We actually had already booked. We were going to be there.

668
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,560
Speaker 2: We were credentialed for it. We had hotel, we had flight,

669
00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:55,960
Speaker 2: and then we said swerve. Because the closer you look

670
00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 2: at this game, the more I get concerned, especially having

671
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:03,959
Speaker 2: go on to two blowouts already, that there could be

672
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 2: some pretty good margin gained by the favorite in this

673
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 2: game as well. So let's see what it would take.

674
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:12,600
Speaker 2: Bama's favored by fifteen and a half right now at FanDuel.

675
00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 2: What would it take for Wisconsin. Well, it's very simple

676
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 2: and it's very complex. Tyler Van Dyke, quarterback there at Wisconsin,

677
00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 2: simply has to have the game of his life. If

678
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:23,440
Speaker 2: he does that. You know, we were talking about South

679
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 2: Carolina a second ago. Bama fans will remember the Steven

680
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 2: Garcia game from twenty ten when they went over to

681
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,040
Speaker 2: South Carolina and they got their doors blown off as

682
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 2: a favorite as the number one team in the country. Well,

683
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 2: if Tyler Van Dyke has that out of body experience

684
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 2: and he just drops balls in buckets to his receivers

685
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 2: all Saturday, I don't think Ashley alshon Jefferies playing in Madison.

686
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 2: But nevertheless, if he's able to do that, then they

687
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 2: got an opportunity. See everybody tease it up that way. Oh,

688
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 2: this is a huge opportunity for Tyler van Dyke. It's

689
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 2: an opportunity for him to have a career defining game.

690
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 2: It's also an opportunity for total embarrassment, you know. So

691
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 2: that goes both ways because what we're looking at here

692
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 2: is him playing without high level athletes and explosive athletes.

693
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:10,560
Speaker 2: I think South Florida probably through better athleticism at Bama

694
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 2: last week than Wisconsin will in this game, not across

695
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 2: the board at every position, but on the perimeter. Maybe

696
00:33:17,520 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 2: after this game, you'd probably get the truth out of

697
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 2: Bama's staff. They probably think that they're more than one

698
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 2: of two ways to win a football game. But Wisconsin's

699
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 2: not winning this thing on the perimeter. They're not winning

700
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 2: it beating Bama. Deep, precision, timing, rhythm, you gotta have

701
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 2: all that, and he's trying to do it with the

702
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 2: one hundred and twentieth explosive play rate in the country

703
00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 2: for Wisconsin right now.

704
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,080
Speaker 1: They got a decent run game.

705
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 2: Wisconsin's offensive line versus this pass rush is edge Alabama.

706
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,600
Speaker 2: So it's a weird spot because I don't know what

707
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 2: Wisconsin's offensive identity is. You would think with Luke Fickle

708
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 2: coming up there last year. In year one he brought

709
00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 2: over Phil Longo, so you think, well, they're ditching Paul

710
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 2: Christ's way of doing things in Wisconsin's historic way of

711
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 2: doing things, but it didn't work. So there's still not

712
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:08,000
Speaker 2: a very high octane passing offense. They are not an

713
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:11,759
Speaker 2: ultra physical, downhill running offense. I don't really know what

714
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,439
Speaker 2: they are. I don't think this is necessarily the time

715
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:15,880
Speaker 2: of year and the opponent you're going to figure it

716
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:19,280
Speaker 2: out against, but if you do, it's a career definer

717
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 2: for you. It feels like Alabama should be able to

718
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,800
Speaker 2: run the ball really effectively in this game. Wisconsin against

719
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:27,560
Speaker 2: a G five opponent and an FCS opponent is given

720
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:29,560
Speaker 2: up one hundred and twenty on the ground. Both weeks,

721
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 2: they replaced a lot in their defensive front with portal

722
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 2: and then they're starting some guys that are still fairly

723
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 2: inexperienced in this I think is where the loss of

724
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:40,840
Speaker 2: James Thompson on the defensive line really matters. And also

725
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 2: I think Bama lost a guy to targeting last week

726
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,359
Speaker 2: and he'll sit out the first half. They lost Jake

727
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:50,239
Speaker 2: Cheney for the first half. That's Wisconsin's best linebacker, and

728
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:54,040
Speaker 2: so I just try and envision how games are going

729
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:57,280
Speaker 2: to start, and I think extra help in the box

730
00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,439
Speaker 2: is going to be necessary to stop Bama's run. And

731
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:04,279
Speaker 2: unlike Wisconsin, Bammacan absolutely beat you over the top. In fact,

732
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,520
Speaker 2: that is their passing game. Intermediate passing game nowhere to

733
00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:09,759
Speaker 2: be found. But they can dump it underneath and they

734
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:11,360
Speaker 2: can burn you over the top, and they got the

735
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,760
Speaker 2: speed to take it to the house. It's highly likely

736
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 2: there's a high percentage chance that this takes on a

737
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 2: Texas Michigan field where it's a very defined way that

738
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:23,520
Speaker 2: the home team's got to win the game, but the

739
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,359
Speaker 2: road team takes the early lead and forces the road

740
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:29,399
Speaker 2: team or home team into a very uncomfortable position of

741
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:32,440
Speaker 2: trying to match scores and they're not built to do it.

742
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:36,720
Speaker 2: The secondary for Wisconsin does give me a little hope

743
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 2: because it is probably the strength of that defense at

744
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 2: this point. You never know what takeaways can do in

745
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,040
Speaker 2: a football game. They've got to be there. I think

746
00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 2: they've got to be there. And also, while you're forcing them,

747
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 2: you can't afford to give up any and that was

748
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 2: one of Tyler Van Dyke's biggest problems last year, and

749
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:56,799
Speaker 2: it could rear its ugly head here, especially if they're

750
00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 2: forced into a different kind of game script than the

751
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:01,879
Speaker 2: one that would be idea for them. So let's take

752
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 2: a look at what the model thinks. I think you

753
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,839
Speaker 2: may be surprised Bama minus fifteen and a half at

754
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 2: FanDuel model disagrees. Model leans Wisconsin. It's got Bama minus

755
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 2: thirteen and a half. So it does not lean Wisconsin

756
00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:17,239
Speaker 2: to win out right. But I disagree because I think

757
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,960
Speaker 2: the quarterback in both line of scrimmage edges are in

758
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 2: Alabama's favor, and I think that they'll end up running

759
00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:26,000
Speaker 2: the ball extremely effectively and that this is not in

760
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:28,320
Speaker 2: doubt in the fourth quarter. So I got Bama winning

761
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 2: by more than sixteen, so I got them covering as well.

762
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:35,840
Speaker 2: I know that wasn't a very cheerful, rosy prediction for Wisconsin,

763
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 2: but many they got to show me an offensive identity.

764
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,239
Speaker 2: I don't know, you play these teams that are in

765
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:43,799
Speaker 2: the top ten and you're trying to figure out who

766
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:44,360
Speaker 2: you are.

767
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:46,800
Speaker 1: That's not the week you're gonna figure it out, is

768
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:47,480
Speaker 1: all I'm saying.

769
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 2: And history is very much on my side with that,

770
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,920
Speaker 2: and exception to the rule happens I don't know that

771
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:58,239
Speaker 2: it's going to happen here. Now we've got the jpeople

772
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 2: right here. In fact, we wasted all of the color

773
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,840
Speaker 2: ink in the printer, but don't worry, it's.

774
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:05,279
Speaker 1: Not our ink.

775
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:09,640
Speaker 2: So here we go. JP Pole Week three edition has

776
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 2: officially dropped. You.

777
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:11,479
Speaker 1: Hear it? There?

778
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,279
Speaker 2: These are power ratings, kids, These are not rankings. You're

779
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:16,839
Speaker 2: gonna see a lot of suspicious movement. You're gonna see

780
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:18,880
Speaker 2: a lot of lack of movement from teams that lost.

781
00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 2: And this is simply how the Model would stack these

782
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 2: teams in neutral field favorability terms this upcoming week. So

783
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:28,759
Speaker 2: if you're ahead of a team, all that means is

784
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:30,800
Speaker 2: the Model think should be favored on a neutral field

785
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:31,200
Speaker 2: this week.

786
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:33,439
Speaker 1: It doesn't mean you should go to the playoff before them.

787
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 2: If you've got two losses and you're still ranked in

788
00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 2: the top twelve, it doesn't mean the Model thinks you

789
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 2: should be a playoff team. Has nothing to do with that.

790
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 2: So here we go, starting with one through five, because

791
00:37:43,080 --> 00:37:47,320
Speaker 2: we're unchanged one through four. Georgia, Texas, Ohio, State, Alabama

792
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:51,719
Speaker 2: still one through four. But my friends in East Tennessee,

793
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,759
Speaker 2: you have entered the JP Pole Top five. Tennessee is

794
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 2: number five. They are up five spots. I should tell

795
00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:02,839
Speaker 2: you the interest of full disclosure, there is a ten

796
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:05,799
Speaker 2: and a half point gap between Georgia number one and

797
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 2: Tennessee number five. Right now, we move on six through ten,

798
00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:15,240
Speaker 2: and the accordion goes from expanded to really contracted. Miami

799
00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:18,280
Speaker 2: is unchanged. There's still the number six team in the country.

800
00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:22,319
Speaker 2: It goes Ole miss Penn State. USC is in the

801
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:26,480
Speaker 2: top ten and Oregon. Oregon's down to number ten. Oregon

802
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:30,719
Speaker 2: is down seven total spots from their preseason placement. Like

803
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:33,799
Speaker 2: I told you that there is a low water mark

804
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 2: coming for Oregon. This may be it, ten, may be

805
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 2: as low as they go. I think there will be

806
00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:40,600
Speaker 2: a rebound because I think that's a team that has

807
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,399
Speaker 2: not come close to fitting its profile yet, so better days.

808
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 2: I think we're ahead for them in the JPE pole.

809
00:38:45,680 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 2: The point I wanted to make to you is number

810
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 2: six Miami to number ten Oregon. There is a two

811
00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 2: point gap. About a two point one point gap between

812
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:55,879
Speaker 2: six through ten, So this is really really close here.

813
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 2: Right now, let's move along column. Let's go to number eleven.

814
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:01,239
Speaker 2: People said we haven't Zouri two low. They were right,

815
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:03,239
Speaker 2: Missouri is all the way up to number eleven. Now

816
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:06,760
Speaker 2: Clemson is right back where they started. We had Clemson

817
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:10,360
Speaker 2: either twelve or thirteen to start the season, and they're

818
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 2: all the way back up after a brief plummet outside

819
00:39:14,040 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 2: the top fifteen. So they're number twelve again. They're up

820
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:20,839
Speaker 2: nine spots. LSU is thirteen. They are unchanged. Notre Dame

821
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 2: fell six spots to fourteen. Utah dropped one spot to fifteen.

822
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 2: That rating is with a healthy came rising because we

823
00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 2: don't know anything other than that quarterback. Right now, we're

824
00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 2: about to go through like the next ten and I'm

825
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,239
Speaker 2: just gonna go ahead and tell you before Colin even

826
00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:42,520
Speaker 2: flips the slider. So Utah's fifteen. We're about to have

827
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:47,560
Speaker 2: five Big twelve teams between fifteen and twenty three, and

828
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:51,279
Speaker 2: there's a five point gap between fifteen and twenty three.

829
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:53,920
Speaker 2: So the top of the Big twelve is as muddy

830
00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 2: as it could possibly be. Here we go number sixteen.

831
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,320
Speaker 2: Louisville is one of our more underrated teams in the country.

832
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:02,359
Speaker 2: They are just flow out. They're totally anonymous. Go watch them,

833
00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 2: look at their offensive line. It's a really good team.

834
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:08,240
Speaker 2: Louisville's number sixteen. Kansas State's down five to number seventeen.

835
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:10,279
Speaker 2: They got to wake up. We're gonna talk about them later.

836
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 2: They gotta wake up. Like I think they are something.

837
00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:15,880
Speaker 2: They got to show that they are that thing. Texas

838
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 2: A and M's number eighteen. Michigan didn't drop a whole

839
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 2: lot because we already had Michigan pretty low. So they're

840
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:25,960
Speaker 2: nineteen and Oklahoma is twenty. There's no huge drop from Michigan.

841
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:28,759
Speaker 2: I think the AP dropped them like seven spots or

842
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 2: something like that. We had them already ranked way lower.

843
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 2: Now we took a lot of hate for it. No

844
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 2: one's talked to us this week, so everyone who criticized

845
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,960
Speaker 2: it in the comment section turned into a ghost. That's okay.

846
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 2: It's all fun and games until that. When I'm wrong,

847
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:47,239
Speaker 2: I got to show up every week. But when you're

848
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,400
Speaker 2: wrong in the comments, you just get to disappear. But

849
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,600
Speaker 2: I know that that was probably just bots, because we

850
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:53,319
Speaker 2: got a bad problem with them. As some of you

851
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:56,320
Speaker 2: have noticed in the comment section, someone asked.

852
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:58,120
Speaker 1: Did you pay for all these bots? I'd pay to

853
00:40:58,120 --> 00:40:58,919
Speaker 1: get rid of them.

854
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:00,680
Speaker 2: If any of you know, I have to get rid

855
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:04,000
Speaker 2: of the dreaded porn bots on the comment section. I

856
00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:08,680
Speaker 2: would gladly hear you out number twenty one Central Florida.

857
00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:12,439
Speaker 2: Central Florida is up four spots to number twenty one,

858
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 2: And do you know who they play this week? I'm

859
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 2: gonna skip down, so Iowa states twenty two. We'll come

860
00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:22,560
Speaker 2: back to that. Iowa was number twenty three, TCUs twenty four,

861
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:26,720
Speaker 2: Nebraska's twenty five. Jesse, I would blindly guess the AP

862
00:41:26,920 --> 00:41:30,319
Speaker 2: has Nebraska higher than twenty five. I'm blindly guessing on that.

863
00:41:30,680 --> 00:41:35,040
Speaker 2: But TCU is number twenty four. They host Central Florida

864
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,960
Speaker 2: this week. I think Central Florida is a one and

865
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:41,479
Speaker 2: a half point favorite. Right now, we think the wrong

866
00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:45,520
Speaker 2: team's favored. The model has TCU minus one and a half. Josh,

867
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 2: How could that be? How could TCU be lower than

868
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:51,760
Speaker 2: UCF but the model have TCU favored?

869
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:52,960
Speaker 1: Very good question.

870
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 2: The answer is there's about a half point gap between

871
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 2: them on a neutral field, and when home field is

872
00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:00,840
Speaker 2: factored in, which we give about two points two for TCU,

873
00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:03,600
Speaker 2: it equals TCU minus one and a half. Very simple,

874
00:42:03,680 --> 00:42:06,320
Speaker 2: just simple math. Looking forward to that game, is anyone

875
00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:09,440
Speaker 2: talking about that? Is anyone talking about UCF at TCU.

876
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:11,320
Speaker 2: This is America's college football conference.

877
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 1: People.

878
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:13,360
Speaker 2: We've got to be paying attention to Big twelve games

879
00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:15,600
Speaker 2: so much so that we're gonna bring one up in

880
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:16,160
Speaker 2: a little while.

881
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:16,920
Speaker 1: So there you go.

882
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 2: There's your one through ten Georgia, Texas, Ohio State, Bama, Tennessee, Miami, Ole,

883
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 2: miss Penn State, USC Oregon, h Tennessee, five spots ahead

884
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:28,600
Speaker 2: of Oregon. Three weeks into the season. They're watching us

885
00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 2: in Redford, Virginia, Columbus, Ohio, Greenville, South Carolina, and King City, California.

886
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:39,200
Speaker 2: Wildfires in southern California today. Woof mom, trying to kill

887
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:42,680
Speaker 2: time to I can find my lip bomb here. Due points,

888
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 2: due points are plummeting. It's that time of year. All right,

889
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:49,840
Speaker 2: let's continue. We're on a good pace. Don't start the

890
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 2: debate yet. Tell them Jesse, I can't hear you in

891
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:54,680
Speaker 2: my ear, but I know we got a line.

892
00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:55,759
Speaker 1: Open to the other networks.

893
00:42:56,480 --> 00:43:00,759
Speaker 2: Texas A and m at Florida is a completely confusing

894
00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:04,759
Speaker 2: football game is gonna happen this Saturday. Colin, I don't

895
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:06,839
Speaker 2: even like that intro. So hold on a second. If

896
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,399
Speaker 2: you're watching live, just bear with me, because Colin has

897
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 2: to cut these and put them up as individual cuts

898
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,600
Speaker 2: in the post show process, and that sounded stupid. So

899
00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 2: here we go, Colin, Let's go three to one Texas

900
00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:20,640
Speaker 2: A and M at Florida Saturday. Can any of you

901
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:23,080
Speaker 2: make any sense of this? Because we sat around a

902
00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:25,200
Speaker 2: table for like two hours today. I've got a winner.

903
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you my predicted winner. But man, this

904
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:29,960
Speaker 2: could go either way. Texas A and M has not

905
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,279
Speaker 2: won a road game since twenty twenty one.

906
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:37,480
Speaker 1: What so yeah, I mean they haven't been good. So

907
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:38,480
Speaker 1: that's not a big shot.

908
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 2: Colin is showing you just a totally disrespectful, inexplicable slider.

909
00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 1: But it's fact.

910
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 2: The most consecutive road loss is active FBS streaks, Temple

911
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:53,360
Speaker 2: anm Akron and Kent State. Is that the company we

912
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 2: want to keep Temple Akron in Kent and A and M.

913
00:43:57,120 --> 00:44:00,200
Speaker 2: One of these things is not supposed to be like

914
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,000
Speaker 2: the other. I feel so bad about it. Look, my

915
00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:06,279
Speaker 2: arms are just hanging lifelessly outside the chair. So that's

916
00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 2: the question for A M. Can you win on the road? Well,

917
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 2: you know what the question for Florida is. The question

918
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 2: for Florida is all around the quarterback position, and we

919
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 2: had Graham Mert start Week one, then he got concussed,

920
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:20,120
Speaker 2: so he goes into protocol. DJ Lagway starts last week

921
00:44:20,120 --> 00:44:22,759
Speaker 2: against the high school team. Looks really good, as five

922
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 2: star quarterbacks tend to look against high school teams, and

923
00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:29,839
Speaker 2: now everyone wants Lagway to start, But it's ultimately Billy

924
00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 2: Napier's call, right, Colin, So let's hear from the Florida

925
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:33,560
Speaker 2: head coach.

926
00:44:34,200 --> 00:44:36,799
Speaker 3: Well, I think our intention the entire time has been

927
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:40,040
Speaker 3: to play DJ in every game, right. I think obviously

928
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:44,279
Speaker 3: he gets a little bit more experienced each week, and

929
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:47,040
Speaker 3: certainly for him to have the opportunity to be the starter,

930
00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:51,360
Speaker 3: prepare with the ones and then go play, and the

931
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 3: way he did that, you know, the poise, the composure,

932
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 3: I just think it shows that he's ready to do

933
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:00,400
Speaker 3: what we intend to do with him going forward. So

934
00:45:01,760 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 3: you know, it's a blessing to have two really good quarterbacks,

935
00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:07,440
Speaker 3: and certainly one with a ton of experience and one without.

936
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,879
Speaker 3: But there's no doubt both these cas will make us

937
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:18,760
Speaker 3: harder to defend. We intend to use both of them.

938
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:20,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, so no one knows what's gonna happen.

939
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:22,040
Speaker 2: Let me tell you what I do, though I learned

940
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:25,520
Speaker 2: this when Miami came in there. Florida badly needs something

941
00:45:25,560 --> 00:45:29,319
Speaker 2: positive early because that place is fragile right now. Now

942
00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:31,480
Speaker 2: here's the good news. If you jump out to attend

943
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:34,360
Speaker 2: to nothing, lead, the swamp will be the swamp. Everyone

944
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:37,800
Speaker 2: will be fired up. It'll be a raucous, intimidating environment. However,

945
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:41,120
Speaker 2: if you are down, tend to nothing, like they work

946
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,640
Speaker 2: quickly against Miami and then the game gets out of hand,

947
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,560
Speaker 2: everyone just sits around and calls for you to be fired.

948
00:45:47,080 --> 00:45:49,560
Speaker 2: And it's like this big collection of Florida fans because

949
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:51,879
Speaker 2: they all happen to be in a stadium, and all

950
00:45:51,880 --> 00:45:55,520
Speaker 2: it's doing is fostering a toxic, negative environment. So it

951
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:58,279
Speaker 2: is in Florida's best interest for multiple reasons, to get

952
00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:01,480
Speaker 2: a fast start here and him giving up early in

953
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,359
Speaker 2: the year, and him giving up one hundred and eighty

954
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:07,080
Speaker 2: nine rush yards per game Montreal Johnson six point seven

955
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:08,800
Speaker 2: yards per carry, so there's one.

956
00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:10,399
Speaker 1: Matchup that we hope we can ride here.

957
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 2: It's as simple and as difficult as extending drives and

958
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 2: then developing rhythm, because that's not something that they were

959
00:46:20,080 --> 00:46:22,440
Speaker 2: able to do in week one and full disclosure. I

960
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:26,759
Speaker 2: didn't watch the Samford game. So week one, you had

961
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:29,080
Speaker 2: a critical amount of three and outs. You can't stay

962
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:31,200
Speaker 2: on the field, the other guy does and the game

963
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 2: gets out of.

964
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:32,440
Speaker 1: Hand really quickly.

965
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,440
Speaker 2: However, as much as people are questioning what Florida is

966
00:46:36,440 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 2: going to do at quarterback, and everyone's got their theory

967
00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 2: on who should start, and my theory is Graham Merch

968
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 2: should start, by the way, So I disagree with the

969
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 2: Florida folks on that one, and I've been hearing about

970
00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:46,839
Speaker 2: it all day because I got to get a little

971
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:50,279
Speaker 2: group text with a bunch of them. It's fine to

972
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:53,640
Speaker 2: question the Texas A and M quarterback situation too. You know,

973
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,160
Speaker 2: it's not like things just clicked out of the gate

974
00:46:57,200 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 2: in Week one for them either. Last week it was okay,

975
00:47:00,640 --> 00:47:03,560
Speaker 2: but I don't think they got things fixed against the McNeice.

976
00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:06,279
Speaker 2: I don't think Connor Wigman going eleven and fourteen with

977
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty by passing yards against McNeice all

978
00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:12,200
Speaker 2: of a sudden made us who breathe a sigh of relief.

979
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:15,480
Speaker 2: Both of these sides have big questions at quarterback. There's

980
00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:18,040
Speaker 2: nothing dynamic about A and M's passing game. So far

981
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,919
Speaker 2: this year, there's nothing overly dynamic about the offensive skill

982
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:23,000
Speaker 2: players that they're going to take on the road. A

983
00:47:23,040 --> 00:47:25,120
Speaker 2: and MS one hundred and twenty ninth then explosive passes.

984
00:47:25,200 --> 00:47:29,239
Speaker 2: So you can question Florida. I questioned Florida, but I'm

985
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:31,719
Speaker 2: going to question the road team here as well. This

986
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:34,920
Speaker 2: game is the most likely game I see on the

987
00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:37,279
Speaker 2: card this week to be lost instead of being won.

988
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:39,960
Speaker 2: And anyone who's watched the sport for a long time,

989
00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:42,879
Speaker 2: you know, like if you watch the Arkansas Oklahoma state

990
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:45,799
Speaker 2: game last week, that game got lost. Some of these

991
00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,560
Speaker 2: things get won, and then some of them just get lost.

992
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:52,280
Speaker 2: Someone loses the game less than the other team, therefore

993
00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:53,280
Speaker 2: they are the default winner.

994
00:47:53,719 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 1: This feels like this kind of game to me.

995
00:47:55,640 --> 00:47:58,760
Speaker 2: Also, going back to Billy Napier for just a second,

996
00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:02,759
Speaker 2: what is his plan with DJ Lagway. He didn't owe

997
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:05,719
Speaker 2: any of us an explanation pre game, But eventually three

998
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:08,359
Speaker 2: point thirty Saturday will arrive on ABC and they'll kick

999
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:12,280
Speaker 2: this thing off and we'll find out. And I think

1000
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:16,240
Speaker 2: I think his role will be pretty significant in this game.

1001
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:19,200
Speaker 2: And you just kind of picture in your mind this

1002
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:22,120
Speaker 2: A and M pass rush and him evading that and

1003
00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:24,520
Speaker 2: him hitting a couple of guys behind the defense downfield,

1004
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:26,600
Speaker 2: and that being the difference in the game. That's not

1005
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:30,719
Speaker 2: hard to envision. It just is hard to figure out beforehand.

1006
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:32,839
Speaker 2: His skill set, you know, the more you think about

1007
00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:35,720
Speaker 2: the game, probably matches up with A and M better

1008
00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:39,759
Speaker 2: than Graham Merchans does. He's just green, and so there's

1009
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:42,400
Speaker 2: just a lot of risk that you have to accept

1010
00:48:42,640 --> 00:48:44,920
Speaker 2: in exchange for the reward that you may get out

1011
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 2: of him playing now. Folks will say, well, oh, we're

1012
00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:49,840
Speaker 2: already oh to one. Well, well, hey, we got to

1013
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:52,680
Speaker 2: build for the future. Well you can think that because

1014
00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:54,640
Speaker 2: you live in Okala and work a normal nine to

1015
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:58,360
Speaker 2: five money through Friday, which I respect. But Billy Napier

1016
00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:00,720
Speaker 2: can't be thinking that way because so else he may.

1017
00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:03,239
Speaker 1: Be living in Okalla this time next year. If he

1018
00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 1: thinks that way.

1019
00:49:04,719 --> 00:49:06,960
Speaker 2: He's got to win now, and he's got to put

1020
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:09,280
Speaker 2: the best guy in that gives them the best chance

1021
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:12,360
Speaker 2: to win now. That's why Graham Mertz continues to be

1022
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:14,560
Speaker 2: spoken about the way he's spoken about. Let's take a

1023
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:17,080
Speaker 2: look at what the model thinks here. FanDuel's got A

1024
00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:19,759
Speaker 2: and M minus four and a half the model could

1025
00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:21,880
Speaker 2: not agree more A and M minus four and a half.

1026
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:23,160
Speaker 1: I flat out think it's wrong.

1027
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:24,839
Speaker 2: I think Florida's going to find a way to cover

1028
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,959
Speaker 2: the game, and I think Florida is going to find

1029
00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:29,799
Speaker 2: a way to win the game in the process.

1030
00:49:30,560 --> 00:49:34,000
Speaker 1: Am I confident in this? Not exactly? Am I betting it?

1031
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:38,320
Speaker 2: No? I am not. Am I standing by my prediction? Probably,

1032
00:49:38,960 --> 00:49:41,879
Speaker 2: but see me again Friday to be sure. Next up,

1033
00:49:42,640 --> 00:49:45,399
Speaker 2: speaking of Friday, and this is where you guys really

1034
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:49,600
Speaker 2: need to pay attention. If you are just lovers of

1035
00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:51,799
Speaker 2: this sport like we are here and we tend to be.

1036
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:57,719
Speaker 2: Arizona's playing Kansas State Friday night. Clear your schedule. I mean,

1037
00:49:57,760 --> 00:49:59,359
Speaker 2: I know some of you got high school football. Once

1038
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:02,640
Speaker 2: you get home from high school football, watch this game.

1039
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:05,440
Speaker 2: This is America's college football conference, but is not a

1040
00:50:05,480 --> 00:50:09,400
Speaker 2: conference game. Somehow, some way, these games were already scheduled.

1041
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 2: So even though Arizona and Kansas State are in the

1042
00:50:11,560 --> 00:50:15,279
Speaker 2: same conference and they're playing Friday, this is not a

1043
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 2: conference game, but it's a good one.

1044
00:50:17,560 --> 00:50:18,400
Speaker 1: There is no.

1045
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:22,719
Speaker 2: Way Kansas State has run their offense this year. They

1046
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:25,400
Speaker 2: ho hummed their way through two weeks. They almost lost

1047
00:50:25,680 --> 00:50:29,160
Speaker 2: to Tulane. You simulate that game again more times than not.

1048
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:31,239
Speaker 2: They probably do lose that game, but they won it.

1049
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:34,640
Speaker 2: But they won the first two weeks with Avery Johnson

1050
00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 2: carrying the ball eleven times for seventy seven yards. That's

1051
00:50:38,040 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 2: the quarterback there, and against U T. Martin and TU

1052
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,040
Speaker 2: Lane's one thing and DJ Giddens the running back there,

1053
00:50:44,040 --> 00:50:44,600
Speaker 2: he's running for.

1054
00:50:44,560 --> 00:50:45,920
Speaker 1: Seven point four yards per carry.

1055
00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:49,239
Speaker 2: I gotta imagine Avery Johnson could run the ball eleven

1056
00:50:49,280 --> 00:50:51,920
Speaker 2: times in this game alone. They may be saving that

1057
00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:55,480
Speaker 2: for conference play or saving that for bigger games, whatever

1058
00:50:55,520 --> 00:50:58,120
Speaker 2: their thinking is is whatever it is, but that is

1059
00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:01,480
Speaker 2: not Kansas State's offense. It can't now are they gonna

1060
00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:03,640
Speaker 2: need it here? Like do they need him to take

1061
00:51:03,680 --> 00:51:05,640
Speaker 2: over the game on the ground because they got a

1062
00:51:05,640 --> 00:51:08,960
Speaker 2: couple guys in the backfield they trust to carry the ball.

1063
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:11,360
Speaker 2: Kansas State four hundred and ninety eight rush yards this

1064
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:13,440
Speaker 2: year so far through two games, a seven point eight

1065
00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:15,759
Speaker 2: per carry, So they're really good at running the ball.

1066
00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:19,520
Speaker 2: Arizona eighty second run defense in the country. It's very early,

1067
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:21,759
Speaker 2: so you've played two opponents, so it is what it is.

1068
00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:28,240
Speaker 2: Arizona fast start very important here, very important because Obviously,

1069
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:31,560
Speaker 2: run oriented teams have to change game script if they

1070
00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:33,920
Speaker 2: have to play catch up. I think they can attack

1071
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:35,040
Speaker 2: Kansas State on the edges.

1072
00:51:35,080 --> 00:51:35,279
Speaker 1: Here.

1073
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:37,319
Speaker 2: Ted McMillan may be the best wide receiver in the

1074
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:39,800
Speaker 2: country or one of the very best in the country.

1075
00:51:40,000 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 2: There is wild fluctuation in the outcome Week one to

1076
00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:47,640
Speaker 2: week two for Arizona. They played New Mexico and lit

1077
00:51:47,680 --> 00:51:51,040
Speaker 2: them up. They played Northern Arizona last year or last week,

1078
00:51:51,520 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 2: and it was awful. They were zero of ten on

1079
00:51:54,239 --> 00:51:57,400
Speaker 2: third down, They had ten penalties, They had three hundred

1080
00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:00,160
Speaker 2: and sixty one total yards. McMillan had like one catch,

1081
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:02,320
Speaker 2: so that's not their offense either.

1082
00:52:02,640 --> 00:52:03,520
Speaker 1: But listen to this.

1083
00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:09,319
Speaker 2: So two lane last week, if you start thinking about

1084
00:52:09,360 --> 00:52:12,520
Speaker 2: what Arizona could do through the air, two lane last

1085
00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:17,080
Speaker 2: week against Kansas State had completed passes of fifteen yards,

1086
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:23,560
Speaker 2: seventeen yards, seventeen yards, fifty three yards, thirty six, thirty seven,

1087
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 2: twenty eight, forty seven, twenty two, and twenty six. They

1088
00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:30,399
Speaker 2: lit Kansas State up through the air and with yards

1089
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:33,800
Speaker 2: after the catch. And all due respect to John Sumrall

1090
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:35,920
Speaker 2: and the guys down at TWU lane, there is no

1091
00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:40,200
Speaker 2: teed McMillan on two lane. There is on Arizona. First

1092
00:52:40,280 --> 00:52:42,400
Speaker 2: quarter is very important here does Kansas State have to

1093
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 2: open it up?

1094
00:52:43,080 --> 00:52:43,879
Speaker 1: They can throw the ball.

1095
00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:46,480
Speaker 2: It's not their forte four a fourte a, yeah, but

1096
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:48,840
Speaker 2: they can throw the ball. But if they start churning

1097
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 2: out seven or eight yards per carry, then it becomes

1098
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:54,239
Speaker 2: a little more fundamental and academic for him. Let's take

1099
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:56,319
Speaker 2: a look at what the model thinks colin Kansas State

1100
00:52:56,440 --> 00:52:58,560
Speaker 2: minus seven and a half right now at FanDuel.

1101
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:01,560
Speaker 1: If you talk about.

1102
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:04,480
Speaker 2: Games script one way or they're that the model massively

1103
00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:08,160
Speaker 2: leans Kansas State. It thinks Kansas State will take over

1104
00:53:08,200 --> 00:53:11,040
Speaker 2: this game. I'm not betting the game, but I'm gonna

1105
00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:13,279
Speaker 2: ride with the model. If it's four points off the

1106
00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:16,520
Speaker 2: Vegas number, the FanDuel number, give me Kansas State to win.

1107
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 2: Gimme Kansas State to cover. Our friends at FanDuel powering

1108
00:53:19,640 --> 00:53:21,600
Speaker 2: the odds machine here.

1109
00:53:21,400 --> 00:53:21,799
Speaker 1: On the show.

1110
00:53:21,840 --> 00:53:25,200
Speaker 2: They also power Rama Noodle Express, and they power Friday

1111
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:29,319
Speaker 2: night lines. Friday night lines. If you're unfamiliar, and we'll

1112
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:32,120
Speaker 2: do it this Friday night in Columbia. Is I get

1113
00:53:32,120 --> 00:53:34,560
Speaker 2: into my hotel room on Friday night, I pull up

1114
00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:36,160
Speaker 2: the model. You know the one that's giving us all

1115
00:53:36,200 --> 00:53:38,880
Speaker 2: these hypothetical numbers on the show. The model has been

1116
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,799
Speaker 2: above fifty fifty seven percent against the spread every year

1117
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:44,879
Speaker 2: since we've worked here. It's one money every year. Don't

1118
00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:48,120
Speaker 2: listen to the haters who pick anecdotal examples to the contrary.

1119
00:53:48,200 --> 00:53:49,200
Speaker 1: It's one money every year.

1120
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:51,040
Speaker 2: So I sit in my hotel room on Friday night,

1121
00:53:51,200 --> 00:53:54,040
Speaker 2: I take the eye Josh out, I prop it up

1122
00:53:54,080 --> 00:53:56,879
Speaker 2: with this little kickstand my sister bought me checking that out,

1123
00:53:57,200 --> 00:54:00,720
Speaker 2: and I go on Instagram live at late kick Josh

1124
00:54:01,120 --> 00:54:04,520
Speaker 2: powered by Fandel and I take the live chat and

1125
00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:06,839
Speaker 2: you guys throw games at me, and I just tell

1126
00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:09,720
Speaker 2: you what the model thinks. It's so fun, it's communal,

1127
00:54:09,760 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 2: it's free, it's great. Management doesn't even know what exists.

1128
00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 2: And so make sure you're following on Instagram at lake

1129
00:54:14,760 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 2: kick Josh. I have one more best bet to add

1130
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:19,879
Speaker 2: for you. So we got Middle Tennessee State plus seven

1131
00:54:19,920 --> 00:54:22,800
Speaker 2: and a half. Earlier in the week, we got Missouri

1132
00:54:22,800 --> 00:54:24,840
Speaker 2: minus fifteen and a half. That one's moved to sixteen

1133
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:26,480
Speaker 2: and a half. Still like it at that number, just

1134
00:54:26,520 --> 00:54:30,000
Speaker 2: not as much. I am adding a rare midweek total.

1135
00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 2: We think that there is a decided advantage to the

1136
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,319
Speaker 2: over in the Memphis Florida State game.

1137
00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:37,640
Speaker 1: We think both of these.

1138
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:41,840
Speaker 2: Offensive support staffs are better than their defensive counterparts, and

1139
00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:44,960
Speaker 2: anytime we get a two way go on coaching edge

1140
00:54:45,160 --> 00:54:47,319
Speaker 2: on one side of the ball versus the other, we

1141
00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:52,279
Speaker 2: will absolutely take action on that total. So fifty two

1142
00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:54,960
Speaker 2: and a half is right there at FanDuel right now,

1143
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:57,520
Speaker 2: Memphis Florida State over fifty two and a half?

1144
00:54:57,680 --> 00:55:02,160
Speaker 1: Why or text hop E n Y in New York.

1145
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:06,800
Speaker 2: Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB

1146
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:09,960
Speaker 2: promotion must be twenty one plus and present in select

1147
00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:13,919
Speaker 2: states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or

1148
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:18,080
Speaker 2: eighteen plus and present in Washington, DC. First online real

1149
00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:22,920
Speaker 2: money wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued

1150
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:26,560
Speaker 2: is non withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1151
00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:29,920
Speaker 2: Do you have a gambling problem? If so, call one

1152
00:55:29,960 --> 00:55:34,839
Speaker 2: eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com backslash RG call

1153
00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:37,879
Speaker 2: one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven

1154
00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:42,600
Speaker 2: seven or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut

1155
00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:45,800
Speaker 2: or visit MD gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

1156
00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:46,959
Speaker 1: Hope is here.

1157
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:51,200
Speaker 2: Visit gambling Heelplinema dot org or call eight hundred three

1158
00:55:51,200 --> 00:55:54,080
Speaker 2: two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in

1159
00:55:54,120 --> 00:55:57,880
Speaker 2: Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight Hope, n Y.

1160
00:55:58,600 --> 00:56:00,000
Speaker 1: Or text hop.

1161
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:03,640
Speaker 2: E n Y in New York. And we got the

1162
00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 2: show in Hold on just a second, let's say some

1163
00:56:07,040 --> 00:56:12,440
Speaker 2: things in the live chat, and boom, I just banned

1164
00:56:12,440 --> 00:56:14,719
Speaker 2: someone in the live chat because that's how we have

1165
00:56:14,760 --> 00:56:17,160
Speaker 2: to swing the hammer around here. So we're out of here.

1166
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:19,400
Speaker 2: There you go, ABC. You guys can take it over now.

1167
00:56:19,440 --> 00:56:21,279
Speaker 2: It don't even work for you, but you can have

1168
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:24,279
Speaker 2: your presidential debate. I'm not running until at least twenty

1169
00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:25,640
Speaker 2: twenty eight, so I got nothing to do with this

1170
00:56:25,680 --> 00:56:28,080
Speaker 2: thing tonight. We just got to go edit the show now.

1171
00:56:28,120 --> 00:56:31,120
Speaker 2: So for director Colin producer Jesse, I'm Josh Baide. We

1172
00:56:31,200 --> 00:56:35,320
Speaker 2: are going to start the Thursday show early five Eastern

1173
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:38,120
Speaker 2: fourth Central, starting at early Thursday because I got to

1174
00:56:38,160 --> 00:56:39,839
Speaker 2: catch a flight until then.

1175
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 1: Take care and God bless.

1176
00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:54,680
Speaker 2: Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com. Backslash CFB

1177
00:56:54,840 --> 00:56:57,800
Speaker 2: promotion must be twenty one plus and present in select

1178
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:01,759
Speaker 2: states for Kansas and affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or

1179
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:05,919
Speaker 2: eighteen plus and present in Washington, DC. First online real

1180
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:10,760
Speaker 2: money wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued

1181
00:57:10,800 --> 00:57:14,759
Speaker 2: is non withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1182
00:57:15,080 --> 00:57:16,600
Speaker 1: Do you have a gambling problem?

1183
00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:20,240
Speaker 2: If so, call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot

1184
00:57:20,280 --> 00:57:24,360
Speaker 2: com backslash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight

1185
00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:28,480
Speaker 2: nine seven seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot org

1186
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:33,000
Speaker 2: backslash chat in Connecticut, or visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org

1187
00:57:33,040 --> 00:57:37,600
Speaker 2: in Maryland. Hope is here, visit gambling Heelplinema dot org

1188
00:57:37,960 --> 00:57:40,600
Speaker 2: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

1189
00:57:40,680 --> 00:57:43,840
Speaker 2: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts, or call one eight

1190
00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:47,520
Speaker 2: seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text h op

1191
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:50,040
Speaker 2: E n Y in New York