WEBVTT - How Robinhood Made Trading Easy

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Let's get right to it,

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<v Speaker 1>because we've got a great guest when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen and the virus, and there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>things on our minds. Back with us is Dr Chris Bier.

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<v Speaker 1>He is Professor of Epidemiology and Public Health and Human

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<v Speaker 1>Rights at Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health,

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<v Speaker 1>supported of course, by Michael R. Bloomberg, Founder, Bloomberg LP

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Philanthropies. He's also Senior Scientific Liaison at the

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<v Speaker 1>COVID Vaccine Prevention Network. He is back with us on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Baltimore. Dr Bira, how are you very well,

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<v Speaker 1>good to be with you, Good to have you here.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you think we're doing in the United States

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the vaccine rollout specifically and getting

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<v Speaker 1>ahead of the mute the mutants that are out there,

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<v Speaker 1>the mutations, and getting to hurt immunity fast enough. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>the good news here really is that we have two

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<v Speaker 1>are very safe and effected vaccines, the two Messenger RNA

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines UM, the Moderna and the Visor. Those of course,

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<v Speaker 1>are both two dose vaccines. They have not had some

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<v Speaker 1>of the same problems that have emerged with the with

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<v Speaker 1>the Jansen, the Johnson and Johnson vaccine, where the Astra

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<v Speaker 1>Zeneca vaccine this is the challenge that has been rare,

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<v Speaker 1>but nevertheless significant complication and blood clots. We don't see

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<v Speaker 1>those with either the Visor or the Maderna. So our

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine rollout is going really very well. UM. We're over,

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<v Speaker 1>you know now three million adults the immunized every day. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And we're expecting emergency used authorization for the Fiser vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>to go down to twelve to seventeen year olds as well.

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<v Speaker 1>That may happen fairly soon. Can we get out of

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. Though, if people under the age of twelve

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<v Speaker 1>cannot be vaccinated, well about of the American population is

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<v Speaker 1>children under aged eighteen TI. So it is very important

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<v Speaker 1>that we learn as quickly as we can. Uh, if

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<v Speaker 1>these vaccines are as safe and effective in children as

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<v Speaker 1>they are in adults. Um, that process is mostly being

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<v Speaker 1>led right now by the companies themselves. That trials are

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<v Speaker 1>under way. Um, we have the data, as I said,

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<v Speaker 1>from the twelve to seventeen year olds. Uh, the we

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<v Speaker 1>really need to accelerate the research effort for the five

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<v Speaker 1>to twelve year old right, And of course that's so

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<v Speaker 1>important for them for you know, getting back to of

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<v Speaker 1>seeing their friends and getting back to school and and

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<v Speaker 1>getting back to acted life, which so we really need

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<v Speaker 1>for our kids, right, getting back to you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>so called normal life. The thing is, I mean, bottom line,

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines are the way out of the pandemic done right,

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<v Speaker 1>no question, no question. So if we don't get to

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<v Speaker 1>her immunity, what does our world look like? Well, right

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<v Speaker 1>now we have a couple of very specific challenges. People

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<v Speaker 1>have described this as a race between the vaccine rollout

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<v Speaker 1>and the emergence of these new variants the mutants that

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<v Speaker 1>you were mentioning, and that really is a challenge. Some

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<v Speaker 1>of these new variants are more infectious than the viruses

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<v Speaker 1>we first encountered UM, some of them have more resistance

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<v Speaker 1>to the broadly neutralizing anybody's that we've been using, and

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<v Speaker 1>at least one, for sure, the variant that was first

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<v Speaker 1>identified in South Africa does appear to be a challenge

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<v Speaker 1>for at least the astra Zenica vaccine. The good news

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<v Speaker 1>is that they both the Messenger RNA vaccines Byserne Moderna,

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<v Speaker 1>and as far as we can tell, the Johnson and

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<v Speaker 1>Johnson vaccines do appear to provide good, robust protection against

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<v Speaker 1>the variants that are circulating now. But what we're learning

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<v Speaker 1>with this virus is that mutations keep happening UH, and

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<v Speaker 1>we really have to get ahead of those mutations. The

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<v Speaker 1>big challenge right now is that the vaccine rollout is

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<v Speaker 1>sold in much of the rest of the world. That's

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<v Speaker 1>because the rest of the world doesn't have the same

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<v Speaker 1>access to the Messenger RNA's they were relying on Astra

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<v Speaker 1>Zenica and Johnson and Johnson UH, and we are seeing

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<v Speaker 1>huge surges of infection in places like India and Brazil, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>much of South America in fact. And if we can't

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<v Speaker 1>do better with getting control of those epidemics and getting

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<v Speaker 1>those populations, I mean, uh uh, the current generation of

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines may be undermined by these new variants. That's a

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<v Speaker 1>real threat, and we're working very hard to prevent that scenario.

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<v Speaker 1>So Dr Byra, what is the solution here? I mean

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<v Speaker 1>it sounds like what the only the only thing to

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<v Speaker 1>do is to for the US to take a leading

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<v Speaker 1>role in making sure that the rest of the world

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<v Speaker 1>is vaccinated. I think that's absolutely essential. I think there

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be a couple of important steps in

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<v Speaker 1>that direction. First of all, you may have seen that

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<v Speaker 1>earlier this week the European Medicines Association did approve going

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<v Speaker 1>forward with use of the Johnson and Johnson vaccine with

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<v Speaker 1>a guidance that there is a rare but serious complication

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<v Speaker 1>associated with blood clocks. Most of those have been seen

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<v Speaker 1>in women underage thing. Um, so there is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be a guidance. There's a hearing on Friday with the

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<v Speaker 1>Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. This is the US independent

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<v Speaker 1>body that gives guidance to the CDC. I think many

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<v Speaker 1>expect in the field. They have been collecting and looking

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<v Speaker 1>for more data on the blood clot It's very likely

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<v Speaker 1>if we think that they are going to do the

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<v Speaker 1>same thing as the European regulatory body, which is to

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<v Speaker 1>say they will approve continuing use of that vaccine with

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<v Speaker 1>the guidance for providers, with the caution about the rare

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<v Speaker 1>blood clots. Uh. The right apparently identified a few more cases,

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<v Speaker 1>but it seems like it's a handful, and roughly we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about one in a million. I want to get

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<v Speaker 1>right back to Dr Chris Buyer, Professor of Public Health

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<v Speaker 1>and Human Rights at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of

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<v Speaker 1>Public Health, also senior scientifical liaison at the COVID Vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>Prevention Network, still with us on the phone from Baltimore.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Buyer, a listener listening in on our conversation has

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<v Speaker 1>a question for you, and basically is asking, how can we,

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<v Speaker 1>as parents and good conscious and conscious ask our kids

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<v Speaker 1>to get shots when we have no data to support

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<v Speaker 1>the side effects on kids. Furthermore, this disease is not

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<v Speaker 1>a real risk for anyone under thirty. Deaths under the

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<v Speaker 1>age of eighteen represent point zero zero zero seven. Basically

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<v Speaker 1>they're saying that kids are going to be okay, So

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<v Speaker 1>why are we going to maybe potentially put them at

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<v Speaker 1>risk by giving them a shot. How can we do

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<v Speaker 1>this in good conscience? Well, the first thing could say is,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, that we wouldn't ask anybody to have their

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<v Speaker 1>children be immunized until we have the data. And so

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<v Speaker 1>those trials are underway UH And as I said earlier,

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<v Speaker 1>the twelve to seventeen year old data from the Visor

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<v Speaker 1>UH trial is going to the f D, A, M,

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<v Speaker 1>and H and being reviewed. So so I think the

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<v Speaker 1>caller is absolutely right that we need to see those data,

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<v Speaker 1>and parents are going to want to see that before

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<v Speaker 1>they immunize. I think it's a common misconception to compare

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<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen UH disease and deaths and children with those

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<v Speaker 1>and adults. The real question is comparing COVID nineteen disease

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<v Speaker 1>and deaths and children with other vaccine preventable diseases and children.

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<v Speaker 1>And when you do that, they're close to three children

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<v Speaker 1>who died already of COVID in the United States. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>Looks actually like quite a severe UH number of cases

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<v Speaker 1>and a vaccine preventable infection, we hope, So I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's more compelling. UM. It's also the case that, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>while children have had much lower rates of illness and

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<v Speaker 1>death from COVID, they've had a very high burden of

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<v Speaker 1>non health issues. The social isolation is hard for kids,

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<v Speaker 1>to developmental issues, the educational issues that parents are so

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<v Speaker 1>concerned about. And we think, particularly for the twelve to

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<v Speaker 1>seventeen year olds, that vaccination is really going to help

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<v Speaker 1>them be able to engage again in sports and after

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<v Speaker 1>school activities and being with their friends. So those those

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<v Speaker 1>all get weighed in the The non medical complications of

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<v Speaker 1>COVID for kids have been severe. All right, Dr Buyer,

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<v Speaker 1>I just want to ask about messaging around vaccines, because

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<v Speaker 1>there there has been this idea that, you know, we're

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<v Speaker 1>still wearing masks after getting a vaccine, We're still being cautious. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm wondering if it's sending the wrong message about

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<v Speaker 1>the benefits of the vaccine. It had Dector Amish at

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<v Speaker 1>Dolls or one of your colleagues from the from the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg School of Public Health on our show or quick

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<v Speaker 1>take earlier today, and he's all for you know, eating

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<v Speaker 1>in restaurants without masks after getting a vaccine and really

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<v Speaker 1>going back to everything that he was doing before the

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic hit. Well, I think you know, it is really

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<v Speaker 1>important to say that these vaccines have high efficacy against

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<v Speaker 1>this virus and particularly against serious disease. Uh, so we

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<v Speaker 1>can do more. The CDC guidance is very clear that

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<v Speaker 1>immunized folks can meet at home, you can meet indoors

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<v Speaker 1>without masks. That a huge difference for families and friends,

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<v Speaker 1>people getting together. Um, they're also the CDC guidance is

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<v Speaker 1>also the immunized people and Mrs Williamans, two weeks after

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<v Speaker 1>your second dose with either the visor of the MODERNA

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<v Speaker 1>n F J and J is approved again on Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>as we think it may be for emergency use. Then

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<v Speaker 1>two weeks after your one dose of J and J

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<v Speaker 1>uh that people can travel. We still want people to

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<v Speaker 1>wear masks. We still want to keep that social distancing,

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<v Speaker 1>although now it has been changed for the CDC from

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<v Speaker 1>six to three ft. That's very important for getting kids,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, back into school. Just very quickly thirty seconds here,

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<v Speaker 1>the US has come out and basically banned international travel

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<v Speaker 1>to most countries. Would you agree that we need to

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<v Speaker 1>stay home at least for now and just quickly if

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<v Speaker 1>you could, yes, right now. I think given the variants

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<v Speaker 1>that are spreading in other countries and the surges that

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<v Speaker 1>are underway, domestic travel in the US is okay for

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<v Speaker 1>fulliam and as people, according to the CDC International Travel,

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<v Speaker 1>we have to be very careful. What a great interview.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much, Dr Chris byro Thank you, Thank you,

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<v Speaker 1>Professor of Epidemiology, Public Health, and Human Writers at Johns

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<v Speaker 1>Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, of course, supported

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<v Speaker 1>by michaelar Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg ELP and Bloomberg phil Anthapis.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like they had a checklist and we were like,

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<v Speaker 1>let's get through this. We got we got all important

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<v Speaker 1>comments about kids too, Yeah, very much so, because we've

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<v Speaker 1>got to be thinking about that. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovich

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<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio in the Finance section of the upcoming

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<v Speaker 1>issue of Bloomberg Business Week magazine. This week, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>app that made trading easy, tim and maybe even just

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<v Speaker 1>a little too hard to resist. We are, of course

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<v Speaker 1>talking about Robin Hood, Joe Weber's editor at Bloomberg Business Week,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us on the remote from Brooklyn and Mr Lena

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<v Speaker 1>Golfa poulu is, personal finance reporter at Bloomberg News. It

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<v Speaker 1>is a fantastic story, Joel. My understanding is it was

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<v Speaker 1>months in the making. Why did you approach it this way?

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<v Speaker 1>Right about the design of the app? I think that

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<v Speaker 1>that it was rooted in um. Missy's original idea was,

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<v Speaker 1>which was, you know, we we know what Robin hood

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<v Speaker 1>Um represents now and we know how it's caught on,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know, where did it really come from? And

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<v Speaker 1>so she dug into sort of the a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of the early days and what the design uh kind

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<v Speaker 1>of looked like very early on, and and found an

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<v Speaker 1>interesting character. So so Missy, tell us who you found? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me on. So, I think, sort of

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<v Speaker 1>echoing what Joel is saying, you know, the entire Robinson

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<v Speaker 1>phenomenon that we've seen sort of pan out in the

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<v Speaker 1>past year ultimately comes down to its app. And so

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<v Speaker 1>as we were reporting the story out, you know, an

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<v Speaker 1>important part was figuring out what the influence was. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's where near y'all comes into the picture. This is uh,

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<v Speaker 1>the author of the book hooked and he's basically known

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley for his work on behavioral design and

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<v Speaker 1>habit forming apps. So he basically spent years setting the

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<v Speaker 1>methods of some of the most popular companies in Silicon Valley.

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<v Speaker 1>UM how they were basically using design to get users

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<v Speaker 1>to come back to their app and so near y'all

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:14.680
<v Speaker 1>was sitting at a cafe back in twelve, at which

0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:17.120
<v Speaker 1>point he was teaching at Stanford and his work was

0:13:17.160 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 1>sort of already out um through his blog and through

0:13:20.480 --> 0:13:22.720
<v Speaker 1>news articles, and he was approached by a young man

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:25.920
<v Speaker 1>who recognized him and said, Hey, we're working on the

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 1>first nice trading app. Uh, can we show it to you?

0:13:29.360 --> 0:13:31.920
<v Speaker 1>And a yell agreed and had a two meetings with

0:13:31.920 --> 0:13:34.640
<v Speaker 1>this young man who turned out to be by you boss,

0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:37.280
<v Speaker 1>and he's obviously the co founder of robin hood UM

0:13:37.320 --> 0:13:39.880
<v Speaker 1>and along with his other co founders lad ten if

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 1>they would lodge Robin hood um a year later. And

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.199
<v Speaker 1>I think what that really signifies is this idea that

0:13:45.480 --> 0:13:48.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, robinhood is different from the other traditional brokerage firms.

0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:51.880
<v Speaker 1>This is a platform that has used these tried and

0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:55.720
<v Speaker 1>tested Silicon Valley methods, UH, this playbook to sort of

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:59.760
<v Speaker 1>turn an app into a habit where users feel the

0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:03.360
<v Speaker 1>knee to check in constantly and log back on. And

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.240
<v Speaker 1>I think you know, if you take a culture look

0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 1>up the design, you can find different aspects of it

0:14:08.600 --> 0:14:10.440
<v Speaker 1>that point to that. Well, that's what let's go. Let's

0:14:10.440 --> 0:14:12.240
<v Speaker 1>pick up on that. Because I loved reading your story

0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:13.800
<v Speaker 1>and I was going through and kind of counting all

0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:16.600
<v Speaker 1>these cool things that they do on the robin Hood

0:14:16.640 --> 0:14:19.600
<v Speaker 1>app and whether it's making it very simple, whether it's

0:14:19.600 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 1>providing a mystery gift, whether there's a hierarchy of data

0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 1>by using different font sizes. You know, these are things

0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 1>that you might not think about when you're using it,

0:14:28.040 --> 0:14:31.080
<v Speaker 1>but it definitely influences how you use it and maybe

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:35.160
<v Speaker 1>how often you might come back to it. Definitely. I mean,

0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:38.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, the successful Silicon Valley apps have basically used

0:14:39.240 --> 0:14:41.800
<v Speaker 1>uh specific things, right, So first of all, you have

0:14:41.960 --> 0:14:45.240
<v Speaker 1>triggers that pull users in, and those exist in the

0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:49.280
<v Speaker 1>form of notifications or emails that pop into your inbox

0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 1>or that show up on your homepage on your phone.

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.160
<v Speaker 1>Then you know you have an app that's basically really

0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>easy to use um and so it makes you know,

0:14:57.280 --> 0:14:59.240
<v Speaker 1>it as easy as possible for the users to do

0:14:59.280 --> 0:15:01.120
<v Speaker 1>what they came in the app to do, and then

0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:04.560
<v Speaker 1>it also involves rewards which sort of build anticipation for

0:15:04.560 --> 0:15:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the users. And on robin Hood, you know a lot

0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:09.520
<v Speaker 1>of people have focused on the animated confetti, which is

0:15:09.520 --> 0:15:12.600
<v Speaker 1>one of the most popular um you know, the facets

0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:14.400
<v Speaker 1>of the app that that you know that robin had

0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:16.640
<v Speaker 1>to remove because it was getting so much scrutiny. But

0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:18.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you just look at how long it

0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 1>takes to sign up on robin Hood, it's a five

0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:24.360
<v Speaker 1>minute process waite order and waste clicker than any other

0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 1>brokerage platform. You know, the first thing that happens once

0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:30.080
<v Speaker 1>you sign um in as a new user is you

0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 1>get a sort of scratch off lottery ticket that gives

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.960
<v Speaker 1>you a free stock, and so you know, whether you're

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 1>whether you want to invest or not, it doesn't matter

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:40.720
<v Speaker 1>because now you have the stock that you can't come

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:43.440
<v Speaker 1>back to the app to keep checking. And so you know,

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 1>looking at that stock price movement makes you sort of

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 1>more intrigued as it's it's like it's it's an app

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:51.720
<v Speaker 1>and it wanted as missy as you point out your

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:53.520
<v Speaker 1>piece and want to design award from Apple It's not

0:15:53.560 --> 0:15:58.200
<v Speaker 1>something typically happens with an investing app. You mentioned the confetti, right.

0:15:58.200 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 1>Regulators have pushed back on some of these elements of

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:04.160
<v Speaker 1>the robin Hood app. Talk a little bit about the

0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:06.960
<v Speaker 1>confetti being removed and what robin Hood is doing about that,

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:09.800
<v Speaker 1>And I wonder too if they're going to start facing

0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.720
<v Speaker 1>even more scrutiny for some of these other features, and ultimately,

0:16:12.760 --> 0:16:14.520
<v Speaker 1>in order to get ready for this I p O,

0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:18.560
<v Speaker 1>they're going to have to move away from them. You

0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:20.760
<v Speaker 1>know what, tim they already are. I mean you talked

0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:23.880
<v Speaker 1>about the confetti. That was something that it kept coming

0:16:23.960 --> 0:16:26.160
<v Speaker 1>up as regulators were looking into the company, and so

0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 1>the company ultimately decided to go away with it. And

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, just last week we saw the Massachusetts Securities

0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:35.080
<v Speaker 1>Watchdogs file a complaint UH in the States seeking to

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 1>revoke robin hood brokerage license and that's a pretty big deal, um.

0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:41.760
<v Speaker 1>And one of the things that they kept calling out

0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:44.880
<v Speaker 1>in that complaint was the A hundred most popular stocks

0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>lists on the robin Hood apup. And what that is

0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:52.200
<v Speaker 1>is basically a list of stocks that are very popular

0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:55.960
<v Speaker 1>among Robinhood users and that's featured in a very prominent

0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:59.400
<v Speaker 1>placement on the app, and you know what regulators are saying,

0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 1>is your brokerage firm, you can't do that because you

0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:06.200
<v Speaker 1>can't recommend stocks to two people. That's not your job.

0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:08.840
<v Speaker 1>And you know what other people are buying may not

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:11.680
<v Speaker 1>may not necessarily be the right investment decisions for you.

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:14.280
<v Speaker 1>And so that's something that you know, also caught the

0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:17.359
<v Speaker 1>attention of a lawmakers in d C and something that

0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:19.960
<v Speaker 1>they really honed in on when Lad Tennis was down

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.240
<v Speaker 1>in Washington for that game Stop hearing a couple of

0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:24.879
<v Speaker 1>months ago. And so that is a feature that you know,

0:17:24.960 --> 0:17:27.760
<v Speaker 1>robin Hood is really having to defend. They're saying, it's

0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:31.120
<v Speaker 1>not our commendation, They're just trying to make their app

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:33.359
<v Speaker 1>more social. And so again we go back to that

0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:35.960
<v Speaker 1>notion that robin Hood is really trying to learn their

0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:39.920
<v Speaker 1>lines between you know, social media and investing, and it's

0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:43.880
<v Speaker 1>it's tricky. So missing I'm curious, having spent a ton

0:17:43.920 --> 0:17:48.720
<v Speaker 1>of time um with uh the robin Hood app the

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:51.480
<v Speaker 1>early days of the story, you've played with with other apps,

0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:54.400
<v Speaker 1>no doubt, Like, I'm curious, what have you learn about

0:17:54.720 --> 0:17:58.480
<v Speaker 1>robin Hood as you worked on this story. I think

0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:01.240
<v Speaker 1>that what's really interesting when you look at the robin

0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:05.919
<v Speaker 1>Hood app, is you know how much trouble they've gotten

0:18:05.960 --> 0:18:09.919
<v Speaker 1>into for really trying to make this app as easy

0:18:09.960 --> 0:18:13.320
<v Speaker 1>as possible. And they really have, in a very successful way,

0:18:13.440 --> 0:18:16.359
<v Speaker 1>sort of broken the barriers of entry for anyone who's

0:18:16.400 --> 0:18:19.640
<v Speaker 1>ever wanted to invest. And so, ultimately, you know this

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:21.960
<v Speaker 1>is a good app. There's no denying. I mean, you

0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:25.600
<v Speaker 1>see it on the Apple uh you know store page

0:18:25.760 --> 0:18:29.240
<v Speaker 1>as number one very often, almost weekly, and that rarely

0:18:29.280 --> 0:18:32.880
<v Speaker 1>happens with with finntech companies, but robin Hood is always there,

0:18:32.920 --> 0:18:35.480
<v Speaker 1>and so you know they should they should be sort

0:18:35.480 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 1>of proud for the design that they have on this app.

0:18:38.359 --> 0:18:41.399
<v Speaker 1>It's really good, it's really unrivaled. It makes it so easy.

0:18:41.840 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 1>But you know that's definitely not how regulators are are

0:18:45.840 --> 0:18:48.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, embracing this. They think that they're you know,

0:18:48.680 --> 0:18:51.959
<v Speaker 1>they've broken all the barriers when it comes to protecting

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:55.639
<v Speaker 1>investors by removing all this friction. And I think that asimately,

0:18:55.720 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, being too good can actually maybe come back

0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:01.119
<v Speaker 1>and hurt you and do wonder Listen, a lot of

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:03.280
<v Speaker 1>companies are out there to create an incredible app, but

0:19:03.720 --> 0:19:05.639
<v Speaker 1>is it get a little bit complicated when you're talking

0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:09.520
<v Speaker 1>about investors, maybe investors who aren't so savvy, and there's

0:19:09.520 --> 0:19:11.960
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money at risk. Jill Weber a Bloomberg

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:15.080
<v Speaker 1>Business Week, thank you so much, and uh, missy e

0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:18.639
<v Speaker 1>goulf of Polo, she's of course at Bloomberg News. This

0:19:18.920 --> 0:19:22.720
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick

0:19:22.720 --> 0:19:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Takes Tim Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. Tim among our most

0:19:26.560 --> 0:19:29.080
<v Speaker 1>read stories on the Bloomberg Today about how the killing

0:19:29.080 --> 0:19:31.960
<v Speaker 1>of George Floyd focuses US business to really take a

0:19:32.680 --> 0:19:35.480
<v Speaker 1>close look, a deep look at its record on race,

0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:37.840
<v Speaker 1>And someone who follows and reports on this at Bloomberg

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:40.120
<v Speaker 1>is known none other than our own Jeff Green. Jeff

0:19:40.160 --> 0:19:42.560
<v Speaker 1>Green is managing diversity reporter for Bloomberg News, and he

0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:46.240
<v Speaker 1>joins us now on the phone from Michigan. Hey, Jeff, um,

0:19:46.280 --> 0:19:49.880
<v Speaker 1>how are US businesses doing when it comes to actual

0:19:50.280 --> 0:19:55.520
<v Speaker 1>quantifiable data about what they're doing in order to really

0:19:55.720 --> 0:20:00.840
<v Speaker 1>examine their own record on race and change diversity within uh,

0:20:01.040 --> 0:20:05.000
<v Speaker 1>within their their their corporations. I mean, I think you

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:07.800
<v Speaker 1>really have to give it a capital TB D. I mean,

0:20:07.800 --> 0:20:10.800
<v Speaker 1>we don't really know. First off, it's only been a

0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 1>year it's really hard to show a lot of change

0:20:13.160 --> 0:20:15.080
<v Speaker 1>in that amount of time in terms of you know,

0:20:15.200 --> 0:20:17.360
<v Speaker 1>hiring and issues. Is there's very few people who set

0:20:17.400 --> 0:20:20.080
<v Speaker 1>their targets to be like a one year hiring. We

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 1>know that a lot of companies made at least statements

0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:27.439
<v Speaker 1>and support. There's been a lot of CEO signing letters.

0:20:27.480 --> 0:20:31.720
<v Speaker 1>There's been a lot of talk about adding pay for quotas,

0:20:31.720 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 1>but not a lot of action on that or pay

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:36.679
<v Speaker 1>for diversity success. So it's you know, it's it's it

0:20:36.840 --> 0:20:39.160
<v Speaker 1>is one of those things where there's a lot of action,

0:20:39.240 --> 0:20:42.119
<v Speaker 1>a lot of noise, a lot of activity, but you

0:20:42.160 --> 0:20:46.160
<v Speaker 1>really don't know, um, what's going to happen in when

0:20:46.160 --> 0:20:48.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these goals are supposed to be realized

0:20:48.600 --> 0:20:50.760
<v Speaker 1>and none of these CEOs are still there, like where

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:53.879
<v Speaker 1>we'll be. Why is everybody so slow on this, Jeff,

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:56.280
<v Speaker 1>It's not a new problem. It's been around for years.

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:58.720
<v Speaker 1>You know this, We all know this. It just really

0:20:58.800 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of smacked us in the face over the last year,

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:04.800
<v Speaker 1>uh and really made I think people have a come

0:21:04.840 --> 0:21:07.840
<v Speaker 1>to Jesus moment, as they sometimes say, so, why why

0:21:07.840 --> 0:21:11.320
<v Speaker 1>does this take so long? Well, I mean there's two ways,

0:21:11.560 --> 0:21:13.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, two ways to think about this. UM. There's

0:21:13.680 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 1>the sort of the business in the story. We talked

0:21:16.000 --> 0:21:18.919
<v Speaker 1>to Dr Lomax, who is the president of the United

0:21:18.920 --> 0:21:23.840
<v Speaker 1>New York College Funding and he UM was talking about that,

0:21:23.880 --> 0:21:26.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, every all these companies make eighty. One of

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:28.520
<v Speaker 1>the companies we looked at said we're gonna do something

0:21:28.560 --> 0:21:32.520
<v Speaker 1>more to recruit from historically black college and universities UM,

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:35.119
<v Speaker 1>which is great, but they have fifty thousand graduates a

0:21:35.240 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 1>year graduation rate and everybody wants the Howard and Spellman grads. UM.

0:21:41.640 --> 0:21:43.760
<v Speaker 1>What we really need is for all hundred and one

0:21:44.200 --> 0:21:48.320
<v Speaker 1>historically back college and universities to get fundamental investments so

0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:51.080
<v Speaker 1>that the two hundred and fifty thousand kids going there

0:21:51.119 --> 0:21:53.280
<v Speaker 1>were graduate at a higher rate, and then there will

0:21:53.320 --> 0:21:56.920
<v Speaker 1>be more quality cannon us available to hire from that

0:21:56.960 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 1>system as well as of you know, more participant in

0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:02.040
<v Speaker 1>the black middle class. I mean, it's it's like, I mean,

0:22:02.080 --> 0:22:04.399
<v Speaker 1>that's the one aspect of it is there's like the

0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:08.960
<v Speaker 1>systemic problem that in this case the corporation probably could address.

0:22:09.040 --> 0:22:11.119
<v Speaker 1>And I got an email today after the story ran

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:13.400
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think this reader meant to be helpful

0:22:13.880 --> 0:22:16.360
<v Speaker 1>or in any way introspective. But he said, if every

0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:19.040
<v Speaker 1>company in your story had done everything they had said

0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 1>they would do with George Floyd not have been killed

0:22:22.320 --> 0:22:26.159
<v Speaker 1>you it's like, you know, he's right. And that's the

0:22:26.240 --> 0:22:28.879
<v Speaker 1>other product of this. There's a there's a broader problem

0:22:28.880 --> 0:22:32.080
<v Speaker 1>in society that CEOs and companies and letter writing campaigns

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:35.720
<v Speaker 1>and hiring can't fix UM. They can play a role

0:22:35.760 --> 0:22:37.960
<v Speaker 1>in it, but they're they're all there. There's this there's

0:22:38.000 --> 0:22:41.560
<v Speaker 1>issues in society that are also kind of I think

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.080
<v Speaker 1>people get this inflated sense of what a company can

0:22:44.080 --> 0:22:47.800
<v Speaker 1>actually do, and maybe even companies getting inflated sense of

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:50.880
<v Speaker 1>what they can actually do instead of focusing on UM,

0:22:51.000 --> 0:22:54.480
<v Speaker 1>things like fixing the overall system for historically black college

0:22:54.480 --> 0:22:57.199
<v Speaker 1>and universities, or you know, ensuring that what they're kind

0:22:57.240 --> 0:23:00.960
<v Speaker 1>of going at the basis. I have another example like

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:06.960
<v Speaker 1>a gives let you ask more questions, okay, So Ken Fraser,

0:23:07.640 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 1>kenshin Alt, Jenny Remidy started this organization called one ten,

0:23:12.359 --> 0:23:14.360
<v Speaker 1>which I think is one of the most interesting things

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:17.480
<v Speaker 1>going on out there. The idea is that one million

0:23:18.160 --> 0:23:22.440
<v Speaker 1>new black employees in ten years in jobs that pay

0:23:22.480 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 1>about fifty dollars equivalent, So in new York that be more.

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:27.080
<v Speaker 1>But in you know, here in Michigan, in the in

0:23:27.119 --> 0:23:31.240
<v Speaker 1>the Midwest, something like a fifty pay. And the key

0:23:31.359 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 1>is these have you just have to be jobs for

0:23:33.520 --> 0:23:35.560
<v Speaker 1>people that don't need a four year degree to get

0:23:35.560 --> 0:23:37.959
<v Speaker 1>the jobs, because too many they're saying, you know, if

0:23:38.000 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 1>you say you have to have a four year degree,

0:23:39.880 --> 0:23:42.280
<v Speaker 1>even if you have the skills without the degree, you're

0:23:42.320 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 1>shutting out a much larger percentage of the black workforce.

0:23:46.160 --> 0:23:50.040
<v Speaker 1>And so IBM has been doing this already. UM, they're

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:52.919
<v Speaker 1>challenging more companies to do it. When they started, they

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:56.080
<v Speaker 1>had thirty seven companies. Last time I talked to them,

0:23:56.119 --> 0:23:59.080
<v Speaker 1>they had thirty nine. They now have forty three. Um,

0:23:59.119 --> 0:24:01.360
<v Speaker 1>as you do the may, there's no way forty three

0:24:01.400 --> 0:24:05.880
<v Speaker 1>companies can produce a million new hires in a decade.

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:09.560
<v Speaker 1>So but and we asked another company why they hadn't

0:24:09.560 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 1>signed on, and they, you know, they said they take

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 1>a realistic look at where they can actually do things,

0:24:13.640 --> 0:24:16.560
<v Speaker 1>and apparently that wasn't on the list. And I think

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:20.280
<v Speaker 1>that is this is a tangible commitment you can make

0:24:20.920 --> 0:24:25.600
<v Speaker 1>to make change. It's hard and you three CEO sign

0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:27.919
<v Speaker 1>a letter, but only forty three companies sign up to

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:30.639
<v Speaker 1>do something measurable. And that's kind of where I look

0:24:30.680 --> 0:24:32.960
<v Speaker 1>at this is. I think this is hard, It takes

0:24:32.960 --> 0:24:37.240
<v Speaker 1>a long time. And um, if you're and people aren't

0:24:37.240 --> 0:24:40.160
<v Speaker 1>comfortable being held to account. So so Jeff, who who

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:42.399
<v Speaker 1>are the companies that are doing a good job at this?

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:44.520
<v Speaker 1>And then what exactly are they doing and what can

0:24:44.520 --> 0:24:46.040
<v Speaker 1>other companies learn from it? And we only have about

0:24:46.040 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds left. Yeah, I mean, I think, you know,

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:52.359
<v Speaker 1>some of what IBM has been doing is interesting in

0:24:52.480 --> 0:24:55.000
<v Speaker 1>terms of at this end, you know, broader hiring, broad

0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:58.800
<v Speaker 1>broadening the aperture. And um, I don't know. I mean,

0:24:58.840 --> 0:25:00.960
<v Speaker 1>I think any of the companies that are in one

0:25:01.040 --> 0:25:03.800
<v Speaker 1>ten um, I think are at least approaching it from

0:25:03.840 --> 0:25:07.239
<v Speaker 1>a unique new angle right. And it does sound like

0:25:07.400 --> 0:25:09.800
<v Speaker 1>you need to have some way of people have to

0:25:09.840 --> 0:25:11.959
<v Speaker 1>walk the talk, they have to honor their commitments, but

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:14.080
<v Speaker 1>you have to be able to measure it. You can

0:25:14.119 --> 0:25:18.040
<v Speaker 1>hold people accountable. Ultimately, we have companies show us your

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:20.359
<v Speaker 1>workforce as you presented to the federal government so far

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 1>thirty seven and said yes, all right, but by the

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:25.840
<v Speaker 1>end of the year seventy one. So that's progress. That

0:25:25.960 --> 0:25:28.560
<v Speaker 1>is progress, and I know you're tracking it all. Hey, Jeff,

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:30.960
<v Speaker 1>so good to hear from you. He is Bloomberg News

0:25:30.960 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 1>Managing Diversity reporter Jeff Green with us on the phone

0:25:34.119 --> 0:25:41.639
<v Speaker 1>in Chicago. You're listening to Bloomberg Radio. I'm rom a

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 1>journal now. But you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, no, please,

0:25:48.600 --> 0:25:55.800
<v Speaker 1>I'll let me. I want to drive all Just drive, baby,

0:25:58.320 --> 0:26:09.960
<v Speaker 1>it's the question. This is the drive to the globe. Thanks.

0:26:09.960 --> 0:26:14.000
<v Speaker 1>We'll drying us to dawn on Bloomberg Radio. Right just

0:26:14.080 --> 0:26:17.359
<v Speaker 1>about ten minutes left in today's trading session, getting ready

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:19.720
<v Speaker 1>to wrap up the Wednesday trade. We're pretty much hovering

0:26:19.840 --> 0:26:22.359
<v Speaker 1>at our highs of the session, Charlie, just breaking down

0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:25.359
<v Speaker 1>the trade for you on this Wednesday. Let's get to

0:26:25.440 --> 0:26:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Ryan D. Trick. He his chief market strategist LPL Financial.

0:26:28.480 --> 0:26:30.920
<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone once again from Charlotte,

0:26:30.960 --> 0:26:33.520
<v Speaker 1>North Carolina. Ryan, good to have you back with Tim

0:26:33.560 --> 0:26:36.480
<v Speaker 1>and myself. So we had two down days. I think

0:26:36.480 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 1>people were wondering, Okay, what's going to happen? Are we

0:26:38.640 --> 0:26:41.720
<v Speaker 1>worried about earnings? Are we worried about another wave in

0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:45.560
<v Speaker 1>the virus at least globally? And then today here we are.

0:26:45.600 --> 0:26:48.080
<v Speaker 1>We see a bit of a rally, and people are

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:51.879
<v Speaker 1>seeming to buy into the economic recovery trade. And as

0:26:51.920 --> 0:26:53.920
<v Speaker 1>a matter of fact, as I look at the trade here,

0:26:54.119 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing some buying into the clothes because we're just

0:26:56.880 --> 0:27:00.280
<v Speaker 1>took another tick higher. Oh you're right, Carol, thanks for

0:27:00.359 --> 0:27:02.560
<v Speaker 1>having me back first off, But we have the two

0:27:02.640 --> 0:27:04.640
<v Speaker 1>days sell off and just like that the buyers are

0:27:04.640 --> 0:27:06.720
<v Speaker 1>coming in. I mean, at the same time, I don't

0:27:06.760 --> 0:27:08.640
<v Speaker 1>think we sold off the last two day because people

0:27:08.640 --> 0:27:11.200
<v Speaker 1>are worried about earnings or the economy. We know those

0:27:11.240 --> 0:27:14.320
<v Speaker 1>things are really strong, and the economy continues open up.

0:27:14.560 --> 0:27:16.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, one thing you even talk about what kind

0:27:16.080 --> 0:27:18.760
<v Speaker 1>of worries us a little bit here. Everyone knows the

0:27:18.800 --> 0:27:21.879
<v Speaker 1>economy is getting better. Everyone knows earnings are strong. You know,

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:24.000
<v Speaker 1>some of the recent Cinnamon polls are showing the most

0:27:24.280 --> 0:27:27.480
<v Speaker 1>most balls we've seen honestly since January. But the call

0:27:27.640 --> 0:27:29.560
<v Speaker 1>ratios are getting pretty low. That's not the end of

0:27:29.560 --> 0:27:31.920
<v Speaker 1>the world for a while, saying things are probably gonna

0:27:31.920 --> 0:27:34.840
<v Speaker 1>go higher, but near term, everyone agrees things look good,

0:27:34.840 --> 0:27:38.240
<v Speaker 1>so that can train and us wonders couldn't finally be

0:27:38.400 --> 0:27:41.240
<v Speaker 1>time to have a little at least consolidation as we

0:27:41.440 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 1>enter the troublesome selling may go away period, the worst

0:27:44.359 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>six months of the year right around the corner here.

0:27:46.600 --> 0:27:49.080
<v Speaker 1>So what what actually worries you though? I mean, is

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:52.600
<v Speaker 1>it just a part of the calendar that's worrying you?

0:27:52.680 --> 0:27:56.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, what, what technically are you seeing that has

0:27:56.200 --> 0:27:59.359
<v Speaker 1>you concerned? Yeah? Tim, I mean, let's be very clear.

0:27:59.359 --> 0:28:02.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, we're we're not extremely worried. I'm just saying

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:04.879
<v Speaker 1>there are some cautionaries things coming up, and that'sence, you know,

0:28:04.960 --> 0:28:07.920
<v Speaker 1>sentiment is getting a little over the top, little too optimistic.

0:28:08.200 --> 0:28:10.600
<v Speaker 1>You mentioned the calendar. You know, if you overlay the

0:28:10.640 --> 0:28:12.840
<v Speaker 1>bull market that we've had since March of last year

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:15.840
<v Speaker 1>with you know, approximately eight percent gain, and you overlay

0:28:15.880 --> 0:28:17.639
<v Speaker 1>that with the bull market that started in two thousand

0:28:17.720 --> 0:28:20.840
<v Speaker 1>nine two thousand ten, they're nearly identical. It's really amazing.

0:28:20.840 --> 0:28:22.719
<v Speaker 1>But you know what happened in two thousand ten right

0:28:22.760 --> 0:28:25.639
<v Speaker 1>about now, the market peaked and you had almost a

0:28:25.720 --> 0:28:28.560
<v Speaker 1>sixteen percent correction into the summer months of twenties of

0:28:28.680 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 1>two thousand ten. Now we're not saying that's going to

0:28:30.760 --> 0:28:33.600
<v Speaker 1>happen exactly like that again, but we are saying, after

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:37.399
<v Speaker 1>over rally, things look really good. Let's not get too

0:28:37.440 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 1>spoiled here. But again, another thing that gets this is

0:28:40.040 --> 0:28:42.080
<v Speaker 1>under the surface. You know, NASDAC hasn't made a new

0:28:42.160 --> 0:28:44.360
<v Speaker 1>high yet, right, it hasn't made new new highs. Small

0:28:44.400 --> 0:28:47.320
<v Speaker 1>caps been underperforming some of the more defensive areas all

0:28:47.360 --> 0:28:49.400
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden the last week or two have started

0:28:49.400 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>to lead these just little cracks in the armor, but

0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:54.120
<v Speaker 1>things we want to be very clear that maybe, um,

0:28:54.240 --> 0:28:55.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, people should be open to more of a

0:28:56.080 --> 0:28:58.960
<v Speaker 1>sideways consolidation are out right kind of weakness here. What

0:28:59.000 --> 0:29:00.480
<v Speaker 1>does it mean to you that the NASA has not

0:29:00.640 --> 0:29:03.480
<v Speaker 1>made a new high? Yeah, Carol, great question. I mean,

0:29:03.480 --> 0:29:06.240
<v Speaker 1>that's that's uh, one of those chinks in the armor. Right,

0:29:06.320 --> 0:29:10.400
<v Speaker 1>you don't have total market bread everything participating, and that's

0:29:10.680 --> 0:29:13.040
<v Speaker 1>that's normal, you know. But again when we see that

0:29:13.080 --> 0:29:17.200
<v Speaker 1>were coupled with things like utilities and staples, um, starting

0:29:17.200 --> 0:29:19.520
<v Speaker 1>to all of us in real estate starting to take

0:29:19.560 --> 0:29:22.280
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of leadership that with the NASDAC not

0:29:22.360 --> 0:29:23.840
<v Speaker 1>making a new high, or what we call kind of

0:29:23.840 --> 0:29:26.680
<v Speaker 1>technical warnings, I guess you could say, and that's kind

0:29:26.680 --> 0:29:28.400
<v Speaker 1>of what we're seeing now. Honestly, you look today, we're

0:29:28.440 --> 0:29:31.760
<v Speaker 1>bouncing back nicely today, but still it. Those are some

0:29:31.800 --> 0:29:34.160
<v Speaker 1>of the things that have definitely caught our attention. Um,

0:29:34.200 --> 0:29:36.880
<v Speaker 1>even though the headlines are pretty optimistic, Um, what are

0:29:36.880 --> 0:29:39.360
<v Speaker 1>you looking for when it comes to earnings? What I know,

0:29:39.440 --> 0:29:41.760
<v Speaker 1>I know you're following technicals here, but are there big

0:29:41.840 --> 0:29:45.320
<v Speaker 1>themes that you're looking at for earnings? Well, Tim, yeah,

0:29:45.320 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean we wrote about earnings in our weekly market

0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:49.520
<v Speaker 1>commentary earlier this week or two weeks ago, I'm sorry

0:29:49.520 --> 0:29:51.920
<v Speaker 1>two weeks ago, and we said then said we expected

0:29:51.960 --> 0:29:54.080
<v Speaker 1>earnings to be up about thirty percent year over year

0:29:54.120 --> 0:29:56.520
<v Speaker 1>in the first quarter. Expected at the times, we have

0:29:57.560 --> 0:30:01.800
<v Speaker 1>now over eight companies of beat earnings and people think, okay, gee,

0:30:01.840 --> 0:30:03.760
<v Speaker 1>maybe earnings will be ab over thirty percent in the

0:30:03.800 --> 0:30:05.760
<v Speaker 1>first quarter, so we think it's gonna be positive. But

0:30:05.800 --> 0:30:07.719
<v Speaker 1>the thing that gets us you look at earnings, Um,

0:30:07.760 --> 0:30:10.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, financials and banks started things off really really

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:14.320
<v Speaker 1>strongly obviously last week. Yet banks are flat last week

0:30:14.320 --> 0:30:16.600
<v Speaker 1>and then I know they're bouncing back today but pretty weak.

0:30:16.720 --> 0:30:18.920
<v Speaker 1>So there's a little bit of a maybe sell the

0:30:19.000 --> 0:30:22.520
<v Speaker 1>news mentality, and we saw that a financials honestly last quarter,

0:30:22.640 --> 0:30:25.080
<v Speaker 1>really strong earnings kind of sell the news, and then

0:30:25.120 --> 0:30:27.400
<v Speaker 1>eventually they resolved higher, and we think that could play

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:29.640
<v Speaker 1>out once again here Ryan, going back though to your

0:30:29.680 --> 0:30:33.120
<v Speaker 1>comment about the bull market that we're seeing magic up

0:30:33.200 --> 0:30:36.280
<v Speaker 1>nicely with the oh nine, two thousand ten bull market,

0:30:36.600 --> 0:30:39.360
<v Speaker 1>I do feel like they were very different market environments. No,

0:30:40.600 --> 0:30:43.120
<v Speaker 1>oh no, well, there's no doubt they were different. I

0:30:43.120 --> 0:30:45.479
<v Speaker 1>mean it's absolutely I mean, technically you can look at

0:30:45.480 --> 0:30:47.320
<v Speaker 1>moves and say, okay, it's very similar. But I do

0:30:47.360 --> 0:30:49.640
<v Speaker 1>also think you have to take into account fundamentally what's

0:30:49.640 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 1>going on. Yeah, you're right, I mean the fundamentals look good,

0:30:52.480 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 1>but I mean from just the technicals. Right, we we

0:30:54.360 --> 0:30:56.840
<v Speaker 1>had almost a seventy rally in a year. Right, that

0:30:56.960 --> 0:31:00.120
<v Speaker 1>is like the greatest rally we've ever seen in a wall.

0:31:00.440 --> 0:31:02.400
<v Speaker 1>But that's because we dropped like a rock, right, So,

0:31:02.560 --> 0:31:05.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean we knew clearly what the problem was. I mean,

0:31:05.240 --> 0:31:07.360
<v Speaker 1>our economy shut down. As soon as we figured out

0:31:07.360 --> 0:31:09.640
<v Speaker 1>how we could start to either you know, provide some

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:12.400
<v Speaker 1>support and then now start to open it up. We

0:31:12.520 --> 0:31:16.280
<v Speaker 1>understand the bat I mean it's very logical. No, it is.

0:31:16.320 --> 0:31:18.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, the thirty percent correction, fastest bear

0:31:18.680 --> 0:31:20.600
<v Speaker 1>market ever, although at the same time you know that

0:31:20.680 --> 0:31:22.959
<v Speaker 1>rubber band is stretched pretty far. I mean, you know,

0:31:23.040 --> 0:31:24.960
<v Speaker 1>so we're we're just being a little cautious there. But

0:31:25.000 --> 0:31:27.040
<v Speaker 1>let's not forget this is year two, right, Year two

0:31:27.040 --> 0:31:30.440
<v Speaker 1>of the bull market officially started on Marche Um. You

0:31:30.480 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 1>know from we know that the lows back in two

0:31:32.800 --> 0:31:36.640
<v Speaker 1>thousand and and twenty a year later. But year twosable markets, Carol,

0:31:36.720 --> 0:31:40.240
<v Speaker 1>they've been higher every single time since World War two.

0:31:40.240 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 1>So we're not ignoring. We're just saying there some more

0:31:42.560 --> 0:31:44.880
<v Speaker 1>some signs, but any pulled back at all, we would

0:31:44.920 --> 0:31:47.719
<v Speaker 1>use the opportunity because this is still a young bull market,

0:31:47.800 --> 0:31:50.360
<v Speaker 1>a young economic records for a new bowl market or

0:31:50.400 --> 0:31:54.360
<v Speaker 1>just a continuation. We just had a brief. It was

0:31:54.400 --> 0:31:58.400
<v Speaker 1>a big pause, like a big major hiccup and blips. Yeah,

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:00.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean we do think, yeah, we do. I guess

0:32:00.360 --> 0:32:03.720
<v Speaker 1>a major secular bowl market that was likely born in

0:32:04.720 --> 0:32:06.640
<v Speaker 1>when we broke out the new highs. But again, I

0:32:06.680 --> 0:32:08.840
<v Speaker 1>guess if you know, if any remembers what happened back

0:32:08.880 --> 0:32:10.680
<v Speaker 1>in March, it's sure felt like, you know, there are

0:32:10.680 --> 0:32:12.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people that sold, a lot of people

0:32:12.000 --> 0:32:14.240
<v Speaker 1>that got out, So it's there's some good arguments either way,

0:32:14.240 --> 0:32:15.920
<v Speaker 1>but we're still saying it's a yell in this way,

0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:18.400
<v Speaker 1>it's a young economic recovery in our view because technically

0:32:18.440 --> 0:32:20.720
<v Speaker 1>the NBRE still says we're in a recession. No one

0:32:20.720 --> 0:32:23.200
<v Speaker 1>believes that, but technically we still are. And we think,

0:32:23.240 --> 0:32:25.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, this new expansion is is alive and well

0:32:25.520 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 1>and stocks will eventually resolve higher as they tend to

0:32:28.160 --> 0:32:30.240
<v Speaker 1>do year two. It's just a little more rocky and

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:32.720
<v Speaker 1>a little more troublesome historically that kind of plays out.

0:32:32.840 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 1>We see it that way. Okay, So what concerns you? Yeah, well, again,

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:37.880
<v Speaker 1>just to put a bow on it, I mean the

0:32:37.920 --> 0:32:41.480
<v Speaker 1>overall economic um oh, I'm sorry, the overall sentiment backdrop

0:32:41.600 --> 0:32:45.440
<v Speaker 1>is a little concerning again season that seasonally we do know,

0:32:45.520 --> 0:32:48.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, the summer months historically can be troublesome. So

0:32:48.120 --> 0:32:50.240
<v Speaker 1>that's out there. And then you know, the feed is

0:32:50.280 --> 0:32:52.560
<v Speaker 1>said they're doing everything they can to keep things going.

0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:55.360
<v Speaker 1>So could there be a policy mistake. Could the FET

0:32:55.440 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 1>eventually be behind the eight ball? Not our base case,

0:32:58.000 --> 0:32:59.800
<v Speaker 1>but you know, if inflation starts to creep up, and

0:32:59.800 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 1>what small company small businesses and a survey and Wall

0:33:02.840 --> 0:33:05.320
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal just said that they are having trouble with

0:33:05.360 --> 0:33:08.040
<v Speaker 1>supplies right everyth it's hard to get stuff all of

0:33:08.120 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 1>a sudden, So it could there be more inflation in

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:13.120
<v Speaker 1>the fed? Uh is willing to accept that. Could they

0:33:13.120 --> 0:33:14.880
<v Speaker 1>be behind the eight ball is something that again not

0:33:14.920 --> 0:33:17.280
<v Speaker 1>our base case, but something that we're watching out for. Hey,

0:33:17.320 --> 0:33:21.360
<v Speaker 1>just quickly your thoughts on the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index or

0:33:21.400 --> 0:33:25.400
<v Speaker 1>the SEMIS overall. It's up fourteen so far this year.

0:33:26.160 --> 0:33:29.520
<v Speaker 1>SML coming out in Europe overnight and we got some

0:33:29.640 --> 0:33:32.320
<v Speaker 1>very optimistic news from them. We saw the chip sector

0:33:32.400 --> 0:33:34.560
<v Speaker 1>really helping out the market trade. We're gonna get LAMB

0:33:34.600 --> 0:33:38.479
<v Speaker 1>research after the close. Technically, how how did the SEMIS

0:33:38.480 --> 0:33:40.880
<v Speaker 1>look right now? The simeis are probably one of our

0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:44.640
<v Speaker 1>favorite groups in technology overall. Um, you mentioned Simmis though

0:33:44.640 --> 0:33:46.440
<v Speaker 1>that they're kind of like the NAZAC where they haven't

0:33:46.480 --> 0:33:48.360
<v Speaker 1>quite been able to break back out the new highs

0:33:48.360 --> 0:33:50.640
<v Speaker 1>where they were recently and they've been struggling over the

0:33:50.720 --> 0:33:53.720
<v Speaker 1>last week or so relatively, But overall, we think there's

0:33:53.720 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 1>still strong earning, strong fundamentals, and some decent momentum there.

0:33:56.760 --> 0:33:59.959
<v Speaker 1>So Simmy's are such an influential group on the technology.

0:34:00.160 --> 0:34:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Is that because of the shortage Just quickly that you

0:34:02.320 --> 0:34:05.640
<v Speaker 1>like it in big part of it that's part of it. Yeah,

0:34:05.680 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 1>that's definitely part of it. There's the shortage there and

0:34:07.840 --> 0:34:10.240
<v Speaker 1>demand is awfully, awfully strong, so it's a supply demand

0:34:10.239 --> 0:34:12.480
<v Speaker 1>story as well. Absolutely all right, we're gonna leave it

0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:14.279
<v Speaker 1>on that note. Hey, Ryan, thank you so much, Really

0:34:14.320 --> 0:34:17.440
<v Speaker 1>appreciate you walking through the final few minutes of trading here.

0:34:17.480 --> 0:34:20.640
<v Speaker 1>Ryan Dietrich, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, with us

0:34:20.640 --> 0:34:24.520
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Charlotte, North Carolina. Thanks for listening

0:34:24.560 --> 0:34:28.040
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:34:28.120 --> 0:34:30.279
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:34:30.280 --> 0:34:32.879
<v Speaker 1>our radio show at two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio

0:34:33.000 --> 0:34:35.760
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News