WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off June 22nd, 2022 (Ep. 537) 0:00:00.800 --> 0:00:17.160 Show off. Let's play ball. Welcome in everybody to fantasy pros. 0:00:17.280 --> 0:00:19.800 This is leading off, brought to you by bet MGM, 0:00:20.079 --> 0:00:23.319 the King of sports Books. It's me, Joey p joke 0:00:23.400 --> 0:00:26.200 with me today with me today is the Welsh. Of 0:00:26.280 --> 0:00:29.440 course he is back. I'm sorry. I'm in in a 0:00:29.480 --> 0:00:32.519 haze of trying to help my children pack for our 0:00:32.520 --> 0:00:36.680 trip to Florida. And you know, Welsh kids, they're a 0:00:36.680 --> 0:00:40.159 little smaller, you know, your kids than mine. So I'm 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:42.080 not sure if it's easier to just pack for them 0:00:42.080 --> 0:00:46.040 when they're little, or to supervise them packing as like 0:00:46.159 --> 0:00:49.040 almost that pre teenage. I don't know. I'm not sure 0:00:49.080 --> 0:00:50.880 which is more stressful. I gotta do it yourself. 0:00:51.000 --> 0:00:53.199 Do it yourself, that's the that's the way to do it. 0:00:53.240 --> 0:00:56.000 Don't give them any future life skills. Just do it 0:00:56.040 --> 0:00:58.639 all yourself so it inconveniences you just a little bit. 0:00:58.680 --> 0:01:00.600 Florida sounds like quite trip. 0:01:00.440 --> 0:01:01.720 Joe, Oh, it's going to be. 0:01:02.080 --> 0:01:02.280 Well. 0:01:02.320 --> 0:01:04.399 Look, I'm looking forward to it. I haven't been on 0:01:04.440 --> 0:01:06.720 a proper vacation and well, I don't know, three years, 0:01:06.880 --> 0:01:08.640 so I'm looking forward to getting on a plane with 0:01:08.680 --> 0:01:10.600 them and really doing that. That's gonna be good. So 0:01:10.800 --> 0:01:12.520 Welsh is going to hold things down next week. Well, 0:01:12.520 --> 0:01:15.160 I'm not around. I got two days with a star, 0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:17.520 studied a group of friends as always, So you got 0:01:17.640 --> 0:01:19.600 you got Bogmin for one day. Is Bubba doing the 0:01:19.600 --> 0:01:20.080 other one? Is that? 0:01:20.120 --> 0:01:22.240 What I know? We got Bogmin for two days and 0:01:22.280 --> 0:01:24.360 then we got Bubba for two days. So we've got 0:01:24.360 --> 0:01:27.160 the super friends that are coming super fund I love that. 0:01:27.520 --> 0:01:29.360 I love that. Yes, doctor Glenn, I am coming to 0:01:29.400 --> 0:01:32.199 your house, so that's I'm gonna stop over hang out there. 0:01:32.520 --> 0:01:35.440 You're gonna be in Orlando, Florida. By the way, Welsh, 0:01:35.720 --> 0:01:39.120 did you pick Otani last night? I'm trying to remember if. 0:01:40.520 --> 0:01:43.520 That was Tani was my leftover, so I'd love to 0:01:43.560 --> 0:01:46.720 take credit for it, but he was my leftover on 0:01:46.760 --> 0:01:51.760 the sheet after he absolutely murdered that ball at what 0:01:52.040 --> 0:01:54.840 felt like actually eleven PM my time, So I don't 0:01:54.840 --> 0:01:57.800 know were you even awake when was doing that business? 0:01:57.800 --> 0:01:59.760 Completely not. I woke up this morning and I saw 0:01:59.800 --> 0:02:02.240 the highlights of it and they were very impressive. And 0:02:02.280 --> 0:02:04.360 more and Otani a little later on the show, because 0:02:04.360 --> 0:02:06.640 we're gonna examine those odds again. But let's get at it. 0:02:06.680 --> 0:02:10.920 So Otani was incredible, two homers, eight ribbies. He's pitching 0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:13.800 today again here we go. We talked about the number 0:02:13.840 --> 0:02:15.760 as it fluctuates, as it moves the numbers as high 0:02:15.760 --> 0:02:18.040 as five to one. More on that in a second, 0:02:18.040 --> 0:02:20.080 because there's been some other MVP movement in the National 0:02:20.120 --> 0:02:22.639 League too. I want to bring attention to Olsen also 0:02:22.720 --> 0:02:25.280 hit two home runs for the Braves yesterday. Bobby Wit 0:02:25.360 --> 0:02:27.519 hit two home runs. So lots of double dongs here 0:02:27.919 --> 0:02:29.919 hanging out for a lot of the guys in Major 0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:32.959 League Baseball. Freddie Freeman had five ribbies in a big 0:02:33.000 --> 0:02:34.880 win there for them. This is how you win without 0:02:34.880 --> 0:02:37.720 Mookie Betts. Freddy Freeman has to step up into that void. 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:40.640 Jorgel Farro stepped up, had a walk off hit to 0:02:40.680 --> 0:02:44.079 give San Diego a major league leading eighth extra inning win. 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:46.600 And I feel like sometimes, Welsh, when you have these 0:02:46.600 --> 0:02:49.760 teams that win extra inning games, You've seen this with 0:02:49.800 --> 0:02:51.440 certain teams in the past. They start to think that 0:02:51.440 --> 0:02:54.280 they're invincible. And that's a really dangerous thing for a 0:02:54.320 --> 0:02:58.200 team that's got as pitching rich of a rotation as 0:02:58.200 --> 0:02:59.800 the Padres are. When they believe that they can win 0:02:59.840 --> 0:03:01.560 any game, and it's all going to bounce their way 0:03:02.280 --> 0:03:04.239 typically mentally it starts to work out. 0:03:04.080 --> 0:03:07.320 That way, yeah, I mean, and also like they had 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:09.720 to lean on the pitching more than anything else, Like 0:03:10.080 --> 0:03:12.240 I don't think I'm not sure if they're gonna walk 0:03:12.240 --> 0:03:15.119 away with confidence like hah, don't worry in the later 0:03:15.160 --> 0:03:18.280 innings we've got whoorhale farrow everybody, Like, I don't think 0:03:18.320 --> 0:03:20.520 that's exactly gonna it. But I will tell you as 0:03:20.520 --> 0:03:22.800 far has actually been pretty solid and actually picked him up. 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:25.360 I put him in on one of my few waivers 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:28.200 over I think it was on tout this past weekend. 0:03:28.960 --> 0:03:31.080 In these two catcher leagues, the only two catcher leagues 0:03:31.120 --> 0:03:33.240 I play in are the two industry ones. Funny how 0:03:33.280 --> 0:03:34.760 that goes, isn't it too? By the way, Joey, I 0:03:34.800 --> 0:03:35.720 just want to point out, well. 0:03:35.720 --> 0:03:39.760 Yeah, everybody talks about since the standard of what everybody 0:03:40.000 --> 0:03:42.680 is playing, except the fact that they don't they still 0:03:42.680 --> 0:03:43.640 play two catcher leagues. 0:03:43.640 --> 0:03:46.080 And yeah, that's what I'm saying. I'm in like like 0:03:46.160 --> 0:03:49.000 eleven leagues and the only two that I'm playing in 0:03:49.040 --> 0:03:52.400 are the industry leagues that like the two catchers I 0:03:52.480 --> 0:03:56.040 hate two catchers. I hate one catcher leagues. Yeah, to 0:03:56.080 --> 0:03:58.280 be honest with you, so I got to play in 0:03:58.280 --> 0:04:01.600 these two catcher leagues and whorehial Far is a relatively 0:04:01.680 --> 0:04:04.200 intriguing guy because he's more and more and he can 0:04:04.200 --> 0:04:06.760 also play some other positions. He's more and more than 0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:09.840 the guy that they've leaned on and continuously keeps going. 0:04:10.280 --> 0:04:13.400 The lack of evolution in some of those formats, I 0:04:13.480 --> 0:04:15.960 just I don't get it, like I just don't understand 0:04:16.080 --> 0:04:18.599 It's it's we decided this twenty five years ago, so 0:04:18.640 --> 0:04:20.400 therefore this has to be the standard of how we 0:04:20.440 --> 0:04:21.200 do it forever and ever. 0:04:21.520 --> 0:04:24.719 Well, I mean, it is. It is the epitome of baseball. 0:04:24.800 --> 0:04:27.359 Let's just point that out for a minute, Like the 0:04:27.400 --> 0:04:31.719 fantasy baseball industry has so many elements of real baseball 0:04:31.839 --> 0:04:35.480 and lack of innovation, getting mad about anything new and 0:04:35.560 --> 0:04:37.480 saying this is the only way to do it, because. 0:04:37.240 --> 0:04:39.679 So the unwritten rules of fantasy is two catcher leagues. 0:04:39.760 --> 0:04:40.120 Is that it? 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:44.279 I guess, yeah, you gotta have that. Yeah, a few 0:04:44.320 --> 0:04:45.000 other ones. 0:04:44.760 --> 0:04:47.560 But we'll do that out there. Goodness gracious, Yeah, a 0:04:47.600 --> 0:04:49.880 few other ones for sure. All right, more headlines here. 0:04:50.000 --> 0:04:52.680 Zach Gallon struck out eleven. If only there was a 0:04:52.720 --> 0:04:54.720 show Welsh yesterday they told you to smash the over 0:04:54.760 --> 0:04:56.960 on the k prop. Oh wait there was. It was 0:04:57.000 --> 0:04:59.920 this show. What a wonderful time to be alive. George 0:05:00.000 --> 0:05:02.560 Springer had an elbow issue. He will not play today. 0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:06.039 Marco Gonzalez was good against the A's over seven innings, 0:05:06.080 --> 0:05:08.920 and Nolan Gorman four for four with two homers. Lots 0:05:08.920 --> 0:05:12.320 of double dingers yesterday, and everybody had trout, including me, 0:05:12.400 --> 0:05:13.920 and of course Otani was the guy to do it. 0:05:13.960 --> 0:05:16.039 So you know, I want to point out, can you 0:05:16.080 --> 0:05:18.360 imagine being that how awesome that Angel game would be 0:05:18.440 --> 0:05:20.840 to be at two? It's like two Otani homers, two 0:05:20.880 --> 0:05:24.279 Wit homers. I was trying, but I cannot find it, 0:05:24.279 --> 0:05:26.680 at least over on DraftKings. Just wanted to do a 0:05:26.680 --> 0:05:28.320 little peaky peek since I know we're going to be 0:05:28.360 --> 0:05:31.360 looking at some future award bets a Rookie of the Year, 0:05:31.440 --> 0:05:33.599 just to see where it sits. I mean, Julio keeps 0:05:33.640 --> 0:05:35.520 doing what he's doing, but I don't know. Bobby Witt 0:05:35.640 --> 0:05:38.360 having his first multi hit homer. Just curious, just curious 0:05:38.400 --> 0:05:40.440 if the gap close a little bit. Ping is on 0:05:40.480 --> 0:05:44.040 the il that gap closing at all, Wit, do anything 0:05:44.040 --> 0:05:45.839 for you. I don't know what the number is, though 0:05:45.839 --> 0:05:46.160 I can't. 0:05:46.240 --> 0:05:48.040 I will, I will, I will tell you the number. 0:05:48.160 --> 0:05:50.040 I will get it for you on bettingpros dot com. 0:05:50.120 --> 0:05:52.200 I'll get the consensus line. It's still Julio for me. 0:05:52.720 --> 0:05:54.720 But look, Bobby Wit, I think I still have my 0:05:54.760 --> 0:05:56.640 Bobby Wit share. I did not cash it in because 0:05:56.640 --> 0:05:58.920 it was too good to cash in, you know, I figured, well, 0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:02.000 let me hedge myself just a little bit on that one. 0:06:02.440 --> 0:06:05.680 Speaking of injuries though too just everybody knows sal Perez 0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:08.240 left the game, reaggravated the thumb injury. That's not good. 0:06:08.480 --> 0:06:11.040 It's very frustrating. And Fernando Tetis Junior is beginning of 0:06:11.040 --> 0:06:13.560 the dry swings. Now. I did a video yesterday about 0:06:13.560 --> 0:06:15.240 the Bilos and the Celle Highs, so one of them 0:06:15.320 --> 0:06:18.119 was tatis because I felt like, this is your window, 0:06:18.160 --> 0:06:19.800 and well, should I talked about it? I think it 0:06:19.839 --> 0:06:21.800 was you and I. It could have been boggling yesterday. 0:06:21.839 --> 0:06:24.240 I'm not sure all kind of runs together, but this 0:06:24.279 --> 0:06:26.039 is kind of your window to buy tattas because if 0:06:26.040 --> 0:06:27.880 somebody paid a little bit too much for him and 0:06:27.920 --> 0:06:30.039 they've been waiting and waiting, they're getting frustrated, and maybe 0:06:30.080 --> 0:06:32.680 it's hurt them, Maybe it's hurt their roster construction. It's 0:06:32.720 --> 0:06:34.719 a perfect time to say, let's pluck him off there, 0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:37.000 maybe have him back in three to four weeks on 0:06:37.080 --> 0:06:39.120 your team, and you might be able to get him 0:06:39.120 --> 0:06:42.279 for I don't know. I mean, maybe Glaber Torres gets 0:06:42.279 --> 0:06:44.240 it done or something like that. I'm just saying, like 0:06:44.560 --> 0:06:46.960 some teams that spent too much draft capital early on 0:06:47.000 --> 0:06:51.159 tattos might be hurting and the lower end of the 0:06:51.200 --> 0:06:54.839 timetable or the original expected timetable might be frustrating to them. 0:06:55.240 --> 0:06:58.680 Yeah, maybe I find it. I think it's that that 0:06:58.839 --> 0:07:00.760 in general might be a reach in a lot of leagues, 0:07:01.240 --> 0:07:03.159 especially like the ones that I would play in. I 0:07:03.200 --> 0:07:05.600 don't think anybody at this point, especially when there's any 0:07:05.640 --> 0:07:08.920 type of like positive, that even if there's no positive 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:11.560 or a little positive as songs, there's no negative, no 0:07:11.560 --> 0:07:13.760 one's really gonna move off of him. I think the 0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:16.480 way you do trade for him, though, is you've got 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:20.240 to be the person that takes a hot now piece 0:07:20.680 --> 0:07:23.640 and move it you've got. You can't trade like an underperformer. 0:07:24.080 --> 0:07:26.440 You can't trade kind of a boring player. You have 0:07:26.520 --> 0:07:28.240 to trade like you know. What popped in my head 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:31.400 was like a John Birdie, like a John Birdie and 0:07:31.440 --> 0:07:34.040 maybe another little piece, you know, you do something like that, 0:07:34.080 --> 0:07:36.760 a guy who's stealing bases like crazy, or maybe Birdie 0:07:36.800 --> 0:07:39.800 in general, because someone's like, you know what, guy looks 0:07:39.800 --> 0:07:41.840 like he's gonna keep going. He's at the top of 0:07:41.880 --> 0:07:44.720 the stolen base marker. Screw it. I don't want to 0:07:44.800 --> 0:07:46.400 I don't need to worry about this. I think it 0:07:46.440 --> 0:07:49.600 has to be something you're a little uncomfortable moving. But 0:07:49.640 --> 0:07:51.240 at the end of the day, I totally agree. I'm 0:07:51.240 --> 0:07:54.040 gonna try whatever I can to do. With Fernando Tatis, 0:07:54.120 --> 0:07:57.440 he was seen doing some doing some swings and it 0:07:57.600 --> 0:07:59.280 looked like a I don't know, if you saw the 0:07:59.320 --> 0:08:01.080 video that was out out there, it was like some 0:08:01.120 --> 0:08:04.360 weird vip BP room. It didn't look like a normal 0:08:04.400 --> 0:08:09.600 batting practice room. It did honestly, it looked like there 0:08:09.680 --> 0:08:11.320 might have been a cover to get into the back 0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:14.560 of that room. And he was taking some swings with 0:08:14.600 --> 0:08:16.360 a bat. He was taking the swings of the bat, 0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:18.880 and yeah, that's a good sign. It's a really really 0:08:18.920 --> 0:08:20.920 great sign. Post All Star break watch out for him. 0:08:20.920 --> 0:08:23.360 If you can trade for Tatis, you absolutely should. I 0:08:23.360 --> 0:08:27.400 think it's just a lot harder than it's conceptualized. 0:08:27.680 --> 0:08:29.280 What was that phrase you coined at the beginning of 0:08:29.280 --> 0:08:31.720 the Tattoos rang You just went on hot hot young 0:08:31.760 --> 0:08:36.040 what guys? Hot guys, hot guys, hot guy, legit hot guys? 0:08:36.160 --> 0:08:36.720 Is that it was? 0:08:37.720 --> 0:08:39.680 Yeah, oh yeah, like a legit hot guy, like a 0:08:39.720 --> 0:08:42.120 real hot guy. Because it's like like glabor isn't like 0:08:42.600 --> 0:08:44.800 the hot dude. You got to get like someone. 0:08:44.679 --> 0:08:47.400 The jit hot guy. That's what you did right now, 0:08:47.880 --> 0:08:50.400 hot guy? Do you want to talk to legit hot guys? 0:08:50.520 --> 0:08:53.319 Called this number? All right? I do have your number, 0:08:53.320 --> 0:08:56.360 by the way of the Rookie of the Year, you 0:08:56.400 --> 0:08:57.760 want to take a guest before I tell you what 0:08:57.760 --> 0:08:59.480 it is? What the number? 0:08:59.559 --> 0:09:03.400 I remember correctly? Last time? It was like one twenty 0:09:03.440 --> 0:09:08.040 five Julio nine hundred wit? Is it like one fifty 0:09:08.200 --> 0:09:08.920 seven hundred? 0:09:09.480 --> 0:09:13.079 It is five point fifty Bobby Wit In the consensus 0:09:13.160 --> 0:09:15.600 line eight hundred is still in one spot though on 0:09:15.640 --> 0:09:18.600 Fox bet you could get an eight hundred for Julio. 0:09:18.760 --> 0:09:23.760 It's even money even minus in minus on vet MGM. 0:09:24.280 --> 0:09:27.120 So you already minus won twenty five there, so you know, 0:09:27.400 --> 0:09:30.400 Bobby Witz definitely closed the gap, but it's it's certainly 0:09:30.480 --> 0:09:32.480 still a gap. I guess that's the point of to 0:09:33.440 --> 0:09:34.960 make when it comes to that. I think it's still 0:09:35.000 --> 0:09:37.480 Julio's award to lose. But look, Bobby WIT's making it 0:09:37.760 --> 0:09:40.400 a run, that's for sure. And the National League, you know, 0:09:40.400 --> 0:09:41.839 in the National League is still you know, kind of 0:09:41.840 --> 0:09:43.680 the same. Nolan Gorman's worked his way up now to 0:09:43.720 --> 0:09:45.480 five to one. Mackenzie Gore is a four to one. 0:09:45.480 --> 0:09:47.559 It would not shocking if Homer went past him in 0:09:47.600 --> 0:09:50.079 the next couple of weeks. And board Spencer Strider is 0:09:50.160 --> 0:09:52.920 up to six fifty though. That's one that's really intriguing 0:09:53.000 --> 0:09:54.760 right now that I think has kind of the bullet, 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:56.400 you know, I gave the little thing attached to it 0:09:56.440 --> 0:09:58.480 with a little upscale whatever, you know, like the little 0:09:58.559 --> 0:10:01.000 arrow going up thing is the one for me that's 0:10:01.040 --> 0:10:02.760 kind of got that right now that I'm fascinated by. 0:10:02.920 --> 0:10:04.200 I don't naturally work in the year. I have not 0:10:04.240 --> 0:10:07.400 made an investment outside of Hunter Green, which I still 0:10:07.440 --> 0:10:09.360 don't understand why he does have better numbers than he 0:10:09.400 --> 0:10:10.000 does right now. 0:10:11.120 --> 0:10:14.440 Chris for his number because I love Spencer Strider, I 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:16.760 really do. But he got lit up the other night. 0:10:16.880 --> 0:10:19.319 Gore's got lit up a little bit. They're getting figured 0:10:19.320 --> 0:10:19.960 out a tiny bit. 0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:25.080 Fifty to one right now, fifty to one, fifty one. 0:10:25.080 --> 0:10:26.960 Who the hell is number one? 0:10:28.320 --> 0:10:30.000 I'm just saying he's fifty to one. That's I mean, 0:10:30.320 --> 0:10:32.800 the number one is still with Enzi Gore. 0:10:32.840 --> 0:10:33.400 Oh Gore? 0:10:33.640 --> 0:10:36.720 Really fifty to one? I mean, kyvatet Rouiz has a 0:10:36.720 --> 0:10:39.160 better number than an Hunter Green, a top hitter. 0:10:39.240 --> 0:10:40.760 Who's the top hitter Nolan. 0:10:40.520 --> 0:10:42.400 Gorman right now on the National league. 0:10:42.200 --> 0:10:43.760 Side, who's the second. 0:10:45.559 --> 0:10:47.560 Cruise who's been up for I hate them all? 0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:48.679 Yeah, no, I don't. 0:10:48.720 --> 0:10:50.679 That's why I keep saying Hunter Green is this long 0:10:50.720 --> 0:10:52.760 shot of all long shots. I mean, geez, I kind 0:10:52.760 --> 0:10:54.000 of like what happens. 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:57.079 Yeah, Nolan Gorman is interesting, the Green one is interesting. 0:10:58.200 --> 0:11:01.080 I mean, I don't know. It's a crap look at this. 0:11:01.160 --> 0:11:03.480 So, yeah, we have the number here JP posted here 0:11:06.200 --> 0:11:09.000 for your cousin don checks in and stop calling me. 0:11:09.040 --> 0:11:13.000 I'm not gonna answer cousin dons. So all right, let's 0:11:13.000 --> 0:11:15.040 get to uh can we talk about this? Let's talk 0:11:15.040 --> 0:11:18.320 about shoey Otani's number, which I went on my little 0:11:18.400 --> 0:11:21.000 rant two fridays ago about let's cash out at the 0:11:21.040 --> 0:11:23.440 three to one and let's wait for it. Let's invest 0:11:23.480 --> 0:11:25.240 in judge just to hedge our bets there a little bit, 0:11:25.440 --> 0:11:27.520 and let's see this Otani number. Now, the Otani number 0:11:27.520 --> 0:11:30.640 consensus is a five to one. That's this morning. Okay, 0:11:30.920 --> 0:11:34.200 So some spots where it's still four to fifty. Uh 0:11:34.360 --> 0:11:36.360 of course my spot FanDuel or I bet it's four 0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:39.079 fifty right on, but you can get it five hundred 0:11:39.120 --> 0:11:43.840 still over at bet MGM. Now this is the time 0:11:43.880 --> 0:11:46.800 where tonight he has a big start, So Welsh, I'm 0:11:46.800 --> 0:11:48.880 gonna put this out there to you. If he has 0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:52.559 the big start today, what's that number tomorrow? 0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:55.440 Oh? I think it goes down to four hundred, I 0:11:55.480 --> 0:11:58.080 really do. I don't know the big movement four to fifty, 0:11:58.120 --> 0:12:01.080 four hundred something like that. Yeah, I'm as like a preview. 0:12:01.960 --> 0:12:03.679 I think he's a really he's really interesting on the 0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:07.160 betting market tonight too, because you know the number, the 0:12:07.240 --> 0:12:10.800 numbers are kind of usual uh Otani numbers. He's coming 0:12:10.800 --> 0:12:14.480 off of that incredibly big game. I don't know. Also, 0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:16.640 you know there's that little part of me why I 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:18.400 this feels like one of those games where Atani can 0:12:18.440 --> 0:12:21.320 strike out ten and like fine innings because you know, 0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:23.760 also like not pulling off these games in the wind 0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:26.199 streak having eight RBI. This feels like one where Atani 0:12:26.240 --> 0:12:28.160 pulls back and goes Yeah. I think these numbers go 0:12:28.280 --> 0:12:32.960 up if you all subscribe to the dual player theory 0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:35.720 here where it's no matter what all these other guys do. 0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:39.760 This dual player if they can get hot is the 0:12:39.880 --> 0:12:43.000 unanimous MVP. Then this is the time to bet before 0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:45.439 you start losing some mods. And like if I actually 0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:47.319 think one of the best places to do it is 0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:50.280 like Fandle what we talked about, where you can buy 0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:52.480 out equity at any time, So go do it right now. 0:12:52.600 --> 0:12:55.400 It probably moves up, and if you're not really a risker, 0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:57.640 you probably can make a couple of bucks as it 0:12:57.679 --> 0:12:59.559 goes up. I don't you know, it's all going to 0:12:59.600 --> 0:12:59.960 be depending. 0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:02.800 Look, if you invest ten bucks, if you infact this 0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:04.839 ten bucks in it, and this number goes to two 0:13:04.880 --> 0:13:07.560 and a half over the next month, you're probably gonna 0:13:07.600 --> 0:13:10.240 make fifteen bucks off this at least maybe even twenty. 0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:11.559 I mean just this is a stupid like it's a 0:13:11.559 --> 0:13:13.720 stupid fun thing. But you know it's like, hey, if 0:13:13.760 --> 0:13:15.280 I put in a five dollars line with DFS and 0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:16.640 I'll win, I get mad. But if I put a 0:13:16.640 --> 0:13:18.320 five dollar line up in a couple of weeks, I 0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:20.880 get you know, twenty five bucks back. Like that's that's 0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:21.360 that's good. 0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:24.520 That's ultimately. Ultimately, what's so tough about them is like 0:13:24.520 --> 0:13:26.760 they've got to win game. That can't be this big 0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:29.280 old loser team they got. They've got to like keep winning. 0:13:29.280 --> 0:13:31.880 He can't keep losing that strut of royals and stuff, 0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:34.280 and that's gonna hold him back. I think more than 0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:36.120 his numbers. I think at the end of the day, 0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:39.240 let me just point this out. Let's just hype hypothetically, 0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:42.360 say someone else wins it. Who's the favorite right now 0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:42.959 is not much. 0:13:43.080 --> 0:13:44.840 It's Judge still and minus five. 0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:48.800 Okay, let's say Judge. Let's go and judge her. Let's 0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:51.440 say Judge wins it. We I think at the end 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:53.439 of the year, we will go back and we will 0:13:53.440 --> 0:13:55.959 look at Judge's numbers, We'll compare them against the Tany's 0:13:56.000 --> 0:14:00.040 and we'll go man Otani really deserved this like from it. 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:02.240 It's vertical standpoint, like you don't want to take it 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.839 away from Judge. Judge won it. He had whatever, he's 0:14:04.840 --> 0:14:07.920 gonna have, fifty homers and stuff. But we could probably 0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:11.520 easily make the case of Tani regardless. I'm even saying 0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:13.280 if he goes crazy hot or not right, we will 0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:15.240 look at those numbers and we will say it is 0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:17.040 hard that we took this away from him, and the 0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:20.120 deciding factors will be maybe some of those streaks and 0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:22.560 the team context. I really don't think it's gonna be 0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:25.360 about Judge or whoever is the guy that wins it. 0:14:25.360 --> 0:14:27.360 I don't think it's gonna ultimately be that those numbers 0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:29.880 are so much better, because I think that's impossible based 0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:31.240 on the hitting and pitching for a Tani. 0:14:31.720 --> 0:14:35.000 I'm slightly annoyed because I wanted this number to get 0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:38.680 to like seven before I could go back in because 0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:40.160 of what he did last night, and he has a 0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:43.440 start directly after that lines up really well. I think 0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:45.120 this is the window. This is the window to go 0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:46.640 back you know, on Atani at five to one, and 0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:48.600 I'm gonna do it today right after the show. I'm 0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:50.640 a man of my word. I always am I If 0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:52.840 I'm saying bet it, that's because I'm betting it like 0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:54.360 a lot of other people. Let's say, you know, don't 0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:55.360 do it, and I'm not saying you have to do 0:14:55.400 --> 0:14:57.160 a lot. You go five bucks on this thing, just 0:14:57.160 --> 0:14:59.120 for s's and g's and have fun with it and 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:03.480 maybe you win. In who knows another number that's moved 0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:06.280 considerably last week, Peter A. Lonzo was twelve to one 0:15:06.920 --> 0:15:09.320 for MVP. You want to take a guess what he 0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:09.720 is now. 0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:11.480 I saw it, so I know you saw it. 0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:14.680 Six to one right now plus six hundred. So this 0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:18.040 was another dude too, I said. Jose Ramirez and Peter 0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:19.920 Alonzo are the two guys that don't understand why they're 0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:23.520 still in double digits because they are single handedly carrying 0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:26.880 these teams. I feel like most nights and Alonzo. You 0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:30.560 know again that New York media, it's a media award. 0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:33.800 I think Alonzo is really in this race. I really do. 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:36.280 I think he's fascinating. I think this might be the 0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:39.720 last time. If it goes to five, I think that's 0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:41.320 when I'm starting like, okay, now you really got to 0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:44.000 take it seriously. But I don't know, man, it's just 0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:46.440 starting to feel like Pete Alonzo. He's so liked to, 0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:49.040 he's so well liked by I think so much, you know, 0:15:49.080 --> 0:15:51.600 in terms of other players in the media. And if 0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:53.320 you think that stuff doesn't matter, it does because at 0:15:53.320 --> 0:15:56.840 the end of the day, Machado's not liked Machiatto is. 0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:58.320 It rubs people the wrong way. 0:15:58.800 --> 0:16:01.840 I think it's impossible for him to win this. I 0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:06.640 think impossible for first baseman to win this. This would 0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:09.240 be the prime example again not everybody. 0:16:08.800 --> 0:16:11.360 Why why Because I like Goldsman, he's a first basement 0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:12.560 Why can't call Golan win? 0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:15.160 You know what? I also think it's a hard road, 0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:17.440 but I think it's a hard road for a guy 0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:20.160 like him as well. They're completely different players. I think, 0:16:20.200 --> 0:16:22.960 in like a context standpoint, it's a good point. I 0:16:23.000 --> 0:16:24.760 wasn't even thinking about Goldie when I was with that, 0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:28.120 But I think it's hard to put the guy that's 0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:30.560 hitting like two seventy, you know, as the winner to 0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:33.640 sixty two seventy. Ultimately, when they finished with it, what 0:16:33.680 --> 0:16:36.520 I was gonna say is not every book gets to 0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:39.360 do this, but this would be the prime example of 0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:42.400 me cashing out. If I had gotten Alonso at twelve 0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:45.560 to one and he was now six to one. This 0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:47.560 would be cash out city. That's I would take my 0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:50.400 profits and move on because I do not believe there. 0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:52.440 I do not believe he will win this award. 0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:55.960 All right, let's let's go to something that's I know 0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:58.520 rubbed Mike Mayer wrong yesterday. So I don't know if 0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:00.320 you guys have seen this. If not, run to try Twitter, 0:17:00.600 --> 0:17:03.240 because last night wasn't the only thing going on with 0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:06.600 shoey Ootani and Anaheim. It was also a fan caught 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:10.760 a ball out there in the outfield, gave it to 0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:14.600 a kid. Everyone. Yeah, he gave it to the kiday. 0:17:14.760 --> 0:17:17.560 So Mike Mayor is already miserable. Then later in the 0:17:17.600 --> 0:17:19.720 same game, this kid catches a ball that I think 0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:21.760 the I think the outfielder threw it out there to him, 0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:24.520 and the kid caught it, and the kid turned around 0:17:24.600 --> 0:17:27.760