1 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: And lay cake on the air. It is Thursday night. 2 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: It is now October, fifteenth year of Our Lord twenty twenty, 3 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: coming to you from the state of Georgia. Really just 4 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: thought the Braves needed me down here. Didn't work out 5 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: so well yesterday. We'll see how it works out today. 6 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: As you can tell, this was in the can a 7 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: little bit. I had to have some sunlight here, so 8 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: we're putting it in the can a few hours early. 9 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: We were releasing it to you same time you would 10 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: normally expect it. I'm Josh Pate, director Colin back in 11 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: Nashville manning the controls there. We've got a loaded show. 12 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 1: We always have a jambag show on Thursday night. We're 13 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: gonna get our five best bets to you. We got 14 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: several more to add. We've added several on Twitter this week. 15 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 1: Follow me there at late kick, Josh. What else do 16 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: we have, Well, we've got obviously some final thoughts because 17 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: a lot's happened in this whole Georgia versus Alabama matchup 18 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: since we spoke. Yeah, even some COVID related matters. So 19 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: I'm going to get to that. Not so much bringing 20 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: you breaking news, but we're gonna do what we do 21 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: on this show, which is dive a little bit deeper 22 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 1: beneath the surface and talk about what all this means 23 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: and does it change my opinion on the game that too. 24 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 1: I've got several games to actually pick, several more predictions 25 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: coming on the show tonight. I think it's a sort 26 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:22,279 Speaker 1: of sneaky good week in the sec. I just noticed 27 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: that you probably see this book bag over my shoulder. 28 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 1: It's not that I'm trying to flaunt this book bag. 29 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 1: It's really just that there's a terrible spot on the 30 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: wall behind the book bag. I'd rather you see a 31 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 1: random looking book bag than what's behind that book bag. 32 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 1: So that explains the book bag. No more talk about 33 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: the book bag. And also we're going to do the 34 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,040 Speaker 1: mood tracker as we normally do on Thursday night. So 35 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 1: we've got a lot to get to. I don't want 36 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: to waste any time. Let's dive right in here. Georgia, Alabama. 37 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 1: If you missed our preview video, we almost went thirty 38 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: minutes on that thing the other night, and so it 39 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: is on the channel. Subscribe to the twenty four to 40 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 1: seven Sports YouTube channel if you haven't already, it's there. 41 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 1: What we like to do on Thursday, is we just 42 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: sort of add some final thought that have come to mind, 43 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 1: add on to anything that's happened since we made the 44 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: preview video. And yeah, some stuff's happened since we made 45 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 1: that preview video. So Nick Saban positive COVID test. I 46 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 1: don't know how this is going to work out. I'm 47 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 1: going to assume that he is not going to be 48 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: coaching at least in person there Saturday. So what does 49 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:18,919 Speaker 1: it mean. Well, a lot of people have tried to 50 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: quantify this. I don't know if there's any skill in that. 51 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 1: We shaved one and a half points off of our number. 52 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: So I'm going to show you that in a little while. 53 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 1: But I don't think that there's any staff more prepared 54 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: to deal with this. Like we talked about the other day, 55 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: Nick Saban just stashes former head coaches away in cubby 56 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: holes at Alabama essentially. But Steve Sarkisian and a number 57 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: of guys with head coaching experience, they're perfectly equipped to 58 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: deal with this. Notice the difference, by the way, in 59 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 1: missing a game and missing a season, or missing a 60 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 1: game and missing a month. The day to day impact 61 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: of Nick Saban is not nearly what the month over 62 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: month impact is the cumulative impact. Now, I don't know 63 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 1: how that affects the game Saturday. If Georgia wins twenty 64 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 1: seven to twenty three, I don't know that looking at 65 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 1: it and saying, well, you know that play early third quarter, 66 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: Like if Nick Saban was there, that wouldn't have happened. 67 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: So I don't think it's excuse making time either way. 68 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: It probably if you win, if you're Alabama, makes you 69 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:14,920 Speaker 1: think on the other side, man, like what if Georgia, 70 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: what do we need to have go right? Like this 71 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 1: is the year this should have happened for us. So 72 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: let's let gameplay out before we go down all those 73 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: narrative roads. But either way, players are gonna have to 74 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:26,799 Speaker 1: step up here. It's players who are gonna have to 75 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 1: win the game anyway, but players really have to step up. 76 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 1: I'll tell you the best teams Nick Saban's had at Alabama, 77 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: they all have the same thing in common. Ultimately, especially 78 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: those twenty fifteen and sixteen units we talked about a 79 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 1: lot this week for varying reasons, those teams coalesced and 80 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: they matured, and they came together to the point where 81 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: the players essentially ran the team. That's what you always hope, 82 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 1: that's what any great coach or a coach of a 83 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: great team potentially hopes to have happen. Is you've got 84 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: the right collection in your locker room, you got the 85 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,960 Speaker 1: right culture installed to where the players start guiding the ship, 86 00:03:58,960 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: and you know you're there to just navigate and point 87 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: the direction you wanted to go in, but they're the 88 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 1: ones guiding the ship. Well, listen, you never know what 89 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 1: kind of unintended benefits could come from something like this, 90 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: whether it be someone on your staff stepping up, whether 91 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 1: it be someone or multiple someones in your locker room 92 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: stepping up. Because what I've watched from Alabama so far 93 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,919 Speaker 1: this year, there really isn't a Jaron Reid or a 94 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 1: Reuben Foster or Rolando McLain or an A'shawn Robinson man, 95 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: like just a true alpha type on that defense. They 96 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: need them. So who knows what's in that locker room 97 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 1: that hasn't emerged yet that could be forced into emerging 98 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 1: this week? And all that stuff is to say, still 99 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: a football game to be played. So the structure of 100 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: the preview video I had a lot of you call 101 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: me out, it was kind of funny because I went 102 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: back and watched and you were right. So I picked 103 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: Alabama to win the game. But a lot of you said, 104 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 1: wait a second, it sounds like you just talked about 105 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 1: Georgia for like eighty percent of the video and then 106 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: you picked Alabama to win the game. Well that's true. Okay, 107 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 1: there were two things. Number One, there was a point 108 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 1: I wanted to make about Alabama that was going to 109 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: be like right in the middle of that video. So 110 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: for some reason, I skipped over it. That's what happens 111 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 1: when you don't write down your notes and you just 112 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,279 Speaker 1: hope that it's all in your in your mind, and 113 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 1: so I skipped over it. And so what would have 114 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: balanced things out fifty to fifty it ended up being 115 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: like seventy five to twenty five, eighty twenty Georgia. So yeah, 116 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,240 Speaker 1: that did sound weird, but it does fall in line 117 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: with what we normally like to do on our preview videos, 118 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: which is I know who I'm gonna pick, So I 119 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 1: skew the other way, especially in games that I think 120 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: are coin flip back and forth. Either way, I'm giving 121 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:26,919 Speaker 1: you the reasons that I have in the barrel that 122 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna end up not using to pick the team 123 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: that I don't think will win. I'm gonna give you 124 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 1: those reasons anyway, because there's a lot to like about Georgia. 125 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: Rarely in my one hundred to zero on one side, 126 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: and I'm it was like a fifty one forty nine, 127 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:40,920 Speaker 1: fifty two to forty eight type proposition here. So there 128 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: was a lot to like about Georgia. But in doing so, 129 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: I think I left out a lot about Alabama. So, yeah, 130 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 1: you guys were right, like I heard that. That's fine, 131 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: But in one of these coin flip situations, I'm going 132 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 1: to present both sides of the argument. The Bama defense. 133 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 1: What a big week for them, what a big sort 134 00:05:56,160 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: of turning point, fork in the road type week for them. Obviously, 135 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: everyone remembers what happened last week. Now, I got to 136 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: tell you, I, like most probably most of you Bama 137 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: fans and just most people who watched it in general, 138 00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 1: I walked away from that thinking, this, in no shape, 139 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:13,719 Speaker 1: form or fashion resembles any kind of defense that I 140 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: remember on good Nick Saban teams, the ones that were 141 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: going to go on to contend for a national championship. 142 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 1: And it wasn't just to me, it wasn't just oh 143 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: they didn't execute right, like, there were fundamental aspects of 144 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: the game that they weren't able to pull off, you know, 145 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: tackling stuff like that. So I took a lot of 146 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 1: time this week, I mean a lot of time and 147 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: talk to a lot of people, some close to the 148 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 1: Alabama program, some just in the coaching world. And there 149 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: are a lot of people convinced that the problems with 150 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: Alabama probably weren't quite as dire as they were made 151 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 1: to look. Against old mess a lot of folks, and 152 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 1: I've had it broken down for me, very meticulously, thinking 153 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:55,560 Speaker 1: that's kind of a perfect storm situation. Let me walk 154 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:56,919 Speaker 1: you through this play let me walk you through that 155 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: play listen. I'm willing to listen to all that. I 156 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 1: can certainly say that kind of performance was so beyond 157 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: the pale that it almost makes you think, all right, 158 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: this could be a throwaway result. Remember how we talked 159 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: about the LSU Mississippi State result in week one and 160 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: how everyone thought, well, that's gonna be Mississippi State. There's 161 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 1: gonna bomb away on everyone, And I said, no, no, no, 162 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: they've bombed away on LSU. I don't necessarily think that 163 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: this has any indication of what we should expect in 164 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 1: the future. Well, some people close to Alabama I think 165 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 1: that's what the old Miss game will be. I mean, 166 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 1: we'll see, you know, we'll see. But I'm willing to 167 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: get benefit of the doubt here. You've at least earned 168 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: that if you're Alabama over the course of now several years. 169 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:36,119 Speaker 1: Look on the Georgia side of things, I'm just throwing 170 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 1: some random thoughts at you here. Coming into the season, 171 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 1: Zamir White was thought to be the premier running back there. 172 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 1: Hopefully he's healthy now and former five star guy out 173 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: at the Carolinas and if he's healthy then he could 174 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: be a premier back in the SEC. That still is 175 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: the case. But I think Kenny McIntosh is a guy 176 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: and listening to Jake row and rusting some of the 177 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: guys and kept some of the guys over at Dogs 178 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: twenty four to seven talk about this earlier too. They 179 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 1: kind of echo what I think about Kenny McIntosh. I 180 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 1: think Kenny McIntosh is going to play a big role 181 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 1: in this game. That's the word out of practice over 182 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 1: there this week. And I don't think that's a shocker 183 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 1: to anyone When you look at what's given Alabama trouble 184 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 1: when you look the pass catching threats out of the 185 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: backfield and the speedier options, and you've just watched Georgia 186 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 1: this year. To me, Kenny McIntosh is their best option 187 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 1: right now, and he's certainly the best equipped and has 188 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: the best set of tools for Todd Monkin in this 189 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 1: offense to utilize against Alabama, So keeping an eye on him. 190 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: And I talked about this the other night too. Another 191 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 1: point here, I told you that this one to me, 192 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 1: for such a big game, you normally know everything about 193 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 1: both teams. So these bigger games you normally, at least 194 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 1: I normally enter the week with a pretty good idea 195 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 1: of where I'm going to lean. That was never the 196 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 1: case in this game. It still is not the case, 197 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: to be honest with you, and it's because it is 198 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 1: so much strength on strength, weakness on weakness. There's no 199 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: area that I look at with either team as an 200 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 1: obvious exploitation point. Normally, there is normally like you're vulnerable 201 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,720 Speaker 1: at corner and this team's got a couple of dynamite receivers. 202 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:08,560 Speaker 1: Well that's not the case here with George's got dynamite corners. 203 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 1: Bama's got dynamite receivers, and so I still and I 204 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: was listening to Bud Elliott talk about this the other day. 205 00:09:15,160 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: We were kind of going back and forth. I still 206 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 1: wouldn't be shocked with anything happening, as much as I 207 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:23,440 Speaker 1: told you a coin flip, man, I'm like fifty two 208 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 1: forty eight, fifty one forty nine either way, it wouldn't 209 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:27,320 Speaker 1: shock me to see either one of these teams win 210 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: by double digits either, which leads me to this point, 211 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:32,200 Speaker 1: And this is kind of where my mind starts to 212 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:35,520 Speaker 1: go as you get towards game time. I always ask, 213 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:39,440 Speaker 1: and this question will especially be pertinent Saturday, what could 214 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 1: happen or maybe what's going to happen that makes you 215 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:45,200 Speaker 1: just kick yourself after the game or maybe even during 216 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 1: the game. And you know what I mean by this 217 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,719 Speaker 1: because we've all had it before where you're watching a 218 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: game and in the middle of the game, like you 219 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: think you've studied everything about it, you think you thought 220 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:58,160 Speaker 1: every angle through, and there's something that's happening to where 221 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:00,680 Speaker 1: you you know, like the Navy game Week one, where 222 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:02,839 Speaker 1: they're getting a score run up on them, and then 223 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: you remember hearing them talk about not tackling a lot 224 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 1: of practice, and maybe you bet Navy or something, But 225 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: like early on, you see they are abysmal at tackling 226 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 1: BYU and you think to yourself, you're just kicking yourself. Man, 227 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: I should have known, big physical team like Brigham Young. 228 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:18,520 Speaker 1: I should have known if you don't tackle in practice, 229 00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 1: you're not gonna be ready. Well, both of these teams 230 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 1: tackle in practice. But what could that thing be? I 231 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 1: wrote a couple of things down. Number one, It could 232 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 1: be that Alabama's offense is able to totally cattle prode Georgia. 233 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:33,600 Speaker 1: I don't mean run it up like thirty five nothing 234 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 1: or twenty eight nothing like they did Oklahoma a couple 235 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: of years ago. But it could be that the dynamics 236 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:41,679 Speaker 1: that they have offensively put too much pressure or too 237 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: many places on this Georgia defense, and you find out that, 238 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:47,959 Speaker 1: for instance, there are vulnerabilities. Maybe they're third corners in 239 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 1: ability to maybe cover Jalen Waddle or something like that. 240 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 1: I don't know what the case. Maybe maybe Naje Harris 241 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:55,119 Speaker 1: is a much more dynamic receiving threat out of the backfield. 242 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: Maybe this offensive line stands up in pass pro like 243 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 1: they have so far, this year and just gives Mac 244 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: Jones more time, the most time you've seen a quarterback 245 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:06,680 Speaker 1: operate with since Joe Burrow played against them in Atlanta. 246 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:11,079 Speaker 1: With LSU point being obviously, Georgia hasn't faced any kind 247 00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:13,320 Speaker 1: of offense like Alabama. It's hard to no one else 248 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 1: really has that so far this year. But that could 249 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: be one thing where you look at yourself if Alabama's 250 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 1: up seventeen to three, and you say, man, I should 251 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 1: have known. You know, Georgia's offense largely unproven on the 252 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,559 Speaker 1: big stage right now with Stetson Bennett. Where is Alabama? 253 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 1: They got all these receivers, I should know better than 254 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: to pick against that. That could be one. But I'll 255 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 1: tell you also, you could have Georgia just take over 256 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 1: the game physically, and then you're looking around and it's 257 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: a quagmire. Man. They have like drawn Alabama out into 258 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 1: the deep m and they're they're physically handling the line 259 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:47,840 Speaker 1: of scrimmage and you are looking to yourself and you're 260 00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 1: kicking yourself for that, and you're saying, I've watched every 261 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 1: Georgia game this year. They've been this way every game 262 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: this year. Conversely, I've watched Alabama, I've seemed a little 263 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:59,280 Speaker 1: bit unsure about them. They've looked a little unsure about themselves. 264 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 1: I should have known them in such a tightly contested game, 265 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:05,200 Speaker 1: should have gone with a more physically proven team. Twenty 266 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 1: four to seven came out this week with the team talent, 267 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 1: composite and well. Georgia lo and the whole number one 268 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 1: roster in the country. I should have known that. Or 269 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: it could be Alabama's defense atones for last week and 270 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: you are playing the antithesis of the ole Miss offense 271 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 1: this week in the Georgia offense. It could be that 272 00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 1: you're kicking yourself saying I should have known better than 273 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: to think that Alabama's defense was going to struggle like 274 00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:30,600 Speaker 1: that two weeks in a row. I should have known 275 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 1: they were going to play with their hair on fire 276 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: this week. I should have known, for instance, that Stetson Bennett, 277 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,640 Speaker 1: once he's finally asked to trade points with an elite team, 278 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:41,960 Speaker 1: that was a different thing that he hasn't been asked 279 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: to do so far. So there's a lot of should 280 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:47,559 Speaker 1: have knowns there, and they're totally counterintuitive. In some cases. 281 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 1: What is the should have known going to be? That 282 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 1: we're talking about come Saturday night, late Saturday night. A 283 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:55,439 Speaker 1: lot of you asked him I changing my pit cause 284 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:58,080 Speaker 1: Nick sabans out. No, I'm not doing that. So I 285 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 1: still lean Alabama to win the game. We didn't have 286 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: any strong opinion on the number. Certainly wouldn't bet this game, 287 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:06,319 Speaker 1: but I took Alabama to win the game. A cell 288 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 1: phone going crazy here, All right, here we go. Week 289 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 1: seven predictions, got a lot of them. Auburn. Let's start 290 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: in Columbia. South Carolina. Auburn minus three and a half 291 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:20,199 Speaker 1: at South Carolina. What do you think about this? I've 292 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 1: heard from a lot of you this week, and a 293 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 1: lot of you have been on very different sides of 294 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:25,959 Speaker 1: the fence. Here. I'm going to tell you what side 295 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 1: of the fence I'm on. In the second. South Carolina 296 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:30,439 Speaker 1: has been pretty good on third down Defensively. I know 297 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 1: there have been a lot of areas we can nitpick 298 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 1: this team. It's not even nitpicking, it's just a legitimate criticism, 299 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 1: but they've been pretty good on third down. The reason 300 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 1: that matters in every game, but particularly this game, is 301 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:45,840 Speaker 1: Auburn has yet to really find themselves in terms of identity. Offensively, 302 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:48,800 Speaker 1: they have not been good at all in game control 303 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: type metrics, even against what you would call inferior teams 304 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: to them, and when they have faced equal or superior 305 00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 1: teams like Georgia, they just totally get drowned. So Auburn 306 00:13:57,640 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: has shown no ability to really control the game this year. 307 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 1: And if you get them off the field on third down, 308 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 1: if South Carolina is able to in other words, to 309 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 1: do what they have so far this year on third down, 310 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: I think it could be it could be a problem. 311 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 1: And if it's a problem early, given the way that 312 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,560 Speaker 1: they had to play last week and scratching claw and 313 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:15,960 Speaker 1: fight to the very end last week while Carolina cruised 314 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: in Nashville, think it could set up really for a 315 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 1: second half where finally Colin Hill in this offense get 316 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 1: things going. And they haven't been terrible now, haven't been 317 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 1: just cause you lose. They lost against Florida. They didn't 318 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 1: look terrible against Florida. I think will must Champions defense 319 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 1: has a lot better chance to have consistent success Saturday 320 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:36,920 Speaker 1: against Auburn than they did, let's say, against Florida. I 321 00:14:36,920 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 1: don't use the Vanderbilt game a lot. I'm gonna pick 322 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 1: South Carolina to win against Auburn has really little to 323 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,680 Speaker 1: do with the Vanderbilt game last week. I think generally 324 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: they've been trending in this direction period, So this is 325 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 1: must champs shot. They're a slight underdog. There are three 326 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 1: and a half point underdog. I'm gonna take Carolina plus 327 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: the points. I'm gonna take Carolina to win outright. Another 328 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 1: underrated game in the SEC this week is Kentucky at ten. 329 00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 1: Be careful with your perception here. Obviously, Tennessee's coming off 330 00:15:04,360 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 1: of pretty convincing loss at Georgia, whereas Kentucky just virtually 331 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 1: shut out Mike Leach and company. I think they had 332 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 1: like six turnovers in that game. On the plus side 333 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 1: for Kentucky, I think the matchup benefits Tennessee, though I'm 334 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: gonna tell you why. I don't think it's all that 335 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: difficult to figure out. There is no passing game to 336 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 1: speak of with Kentucky, whereas Tennessee. This is not a 337 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 1: team unless you possess just overwhelming physical traits like Georgia 338 00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 1: for example. This is not a team that you're going 339 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: to be able to be one dimensional against offensively and 340 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: have very much success. While their talent level on defense 341 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 1: at Tennessee may not be a plus. I think they 342 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:44,520 Speaker 1: are plenty disciplined enough to limit a team like Kentucky. 343 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 1: What would hurt Tennessee here and what would turn this 344 00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:49,320 Speaker 1: game sideways is a bunch of turnovers, and you would 345 00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:51,360 Speaker 1: expect sloppy play if you were to look in the 346 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 1: preseason at this schedule spot, you look at the fact 347 00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 1: that you just played Georgia and you got Alabama on deck, 348 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 1: so you look at this as that little sandwich opportunit 349 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 1: unity for Kentucky to sneak in here and get a win. 350 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:04,280 Speaker 1: I don't really look at it that way, just the 351 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:07,320 Speaker 1: way that the ball is bounced. I don't think any 352 00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 1: focus is on anything other than Kentucky right now. There's 353 00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:12,880 Speaker 1: been a massive amount of criticism on that Tennessee run 354 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 1: game and that offensive line, and I think this is 355 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,200 Speaker 1: a very good week for them to atone for that. 356 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 1: I don't view this at all as Tennessee running away 357 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: with this game. Quite the opposite. I think it takes 358 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:24,760 Speaker 1: four quarters to do it, but eventually I think not 359 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: only does Tennessee win this game, I think they find 360 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,160 Speaker 1: a way to cover it. Probably not the most esthetically 361 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 1: pleasing game on the slate on Saturday. But I like 362 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:33,840 Speaker 1: Tennessee to win. I like Tennessee to cover. How about 363 00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:36,760 Speaker 1: Texas A and M? Yet another underrated game on the 364 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 1: SEC slate Saturday. It's not all about Georgia Bama Saturday. 365 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 1: There's a lot on the undercard that I thinks really entertaining. 366 00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 1: I got a lot of different angles here. A and 367 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 1: M is a five and a half point favorite at 368 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,440 Speaker 1: Mississippi State. So I know what you're thinking. Anyone who 369 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 1: knows anything about betting culture, anyone who's just watched college 370 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 1: football for quite a while, you know how a point 371 00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: spread can play tricks on your mind. Right, If I 372 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 1: were to have taken Texas A and M and they 373 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:06,359 Speaker 1: opened as a fourteen point favorite, you would actually be 374 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,359 Speaker 1: less concerned because you would say, okay, well, the odds 375 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:12,679 Speaker 1: makers think they're gonna win big, so at least if 376 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: they win by a touchdown, even you know they won't 377 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 1: have covered, but they'll still win. But not, it's down 378 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 1: at five and a half, and so you think to yourself, well, 379 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: this has got to be a sucker bet. They just 380 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:24,639 Speaker 1: beat Florida. Mississippi States looked horrible since Week one, and 381 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 1: yet it's only five and a half. Something must be up. 382 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:29,919 Speaker 1: Maybe something is up, or maybe that's just what the 383 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,000 Speaker 1: line should be. You know, maybe there's not a whole 384 00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,680 Speaker 1: lot of knee jerk. Maybe an odds maker doesn't think 385 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 1: anything differently about A and M now than they did 386 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 1: this time last week. We haven't changed our opinion on 387 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 1: A and M all that much. But we expected them 388 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 1: to compete with and possibly beat Florida last week. We 389 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,439 Speaker 1: expected Mississippi State to lose to Kentucky last week. We 390 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 1: were on both of those games. So this is not 391 00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:54,439 Speaker 1: a surprise to us. But now Mississippi State is sitting 392 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 1: there and it's one of those do down, do up situations. 393 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 1: So like that embedding culture, that matters too. But what 394 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: does Michael Leach's offense do now, Because there's been two 395 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 1: weeks in a row that not exactly the most premier 396 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,159 Speaker 1: brands in the SEC have largely shut him down. So 397 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 1: what do they do? What's the plan? B? Does he 398 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 1: have another card he being Michael Leach to pull out 399 00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 1: of his back pocket? Mike ALCO's defense has been both 400 00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: victimized at times this year in A and M, and 401 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,720 Speaker 1: he's also shined at times this year at A and 402 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: m they're vulnerable on the back end. They can get 403 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: burned on the back end. I think a lot of 404 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,920 Speaker 1: folks who maybe lean Mississippi State here think to themselves, Okay, 405 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 1: I remember Week one, I remember how my lasting impression 406 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 1: of that game is Mississippi State receivers running free past 407 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:40,639 Speaker 1: and in that LSU secondary, and I remember Alabama doing that, 408 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,159 Speaker 1: and I remember Florida doing that. So that's what Mississippi 409 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:44,840 Speaker 1: State is going to do Saturday. Well, those are also 410 00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: two dimensional teams. Those are teams where you got I mean, 411 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 1: Jimbo Fisher's offense, for example, is a lot different, and 412 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:55,239 Speaker 1: Alabama's offense is a lot different. Florida's offense is a 413 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 1: lot different than the way they run a Mississippi State. 414 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 1: So I wouldn't necessarily just think that's going to be 415 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,040 Speaker 1: the case. Can they burn that secondary? Yeah, I guess 416 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:04,920 Speaker 1: they could. I'm going to tell you something. I got 417 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: to differ with our model here. Our model leans in 418 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 1: Mississippi State, and I think it's just picking up on 419 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 1: situational dynamics, like historical data points would tell you forget 420 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: about which teams are playing. You don't bet on teams, 421 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:18,639 Speaker 1: You just bet on numbers and the two sets of 422 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,280 Speaker 1: numbers here, or as you would call them, teams would 423 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:24,200 Speaker 1: tell you, based on historic data points, expect a close 424 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:27,720 Speaker 1: game and expect a possible upset. I don't. I don't 425 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 1: at all, because I don't think that this matches the 426 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: historical data points. So I'm going to take A and 427 00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 1: M to win, and I'm going to take them to cover. 428 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: And I actually feel pretty confident about that. I do 429 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:38,959 Speaker 1: not have a lot of confidence in where Mississippi State 430 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:40,919 Speaker 1: is right now. The last one I wanted to hit 431 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:42,400 Speaker 1: on is Ole Miss as a one and a half 432 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 1: point favorite at Arkansas. I hate this spot for Ole Miss. 433 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 1: I got to tell you, I really hate this spot. 434 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 1: They are coming off of essentially a super Bowl, and 435 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:53,160 Speaker 1: that's the way that they played. Bama played really late 436 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: in the night. I think they drained at the reservoir 437 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 1: entirely there. And then conversely, you think about what Arkansas 438 00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 1: is coming off of. They're coming off of, for all 439 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 1: intents and purposes, a win, except that's not what the 440 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 1: record book says they did last week at Auburn. And 441 00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,200 Speaker 1: so if you believe in the whole wounded animal mode 442 00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,119 Speaker 1: deal that our buddy ja C Serbert talks about all 443 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:13,200 Speaker 1: the time. Hey, that's where Arkansas is, and they're coming 444 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 1: home and they got a game against Old Miss. I 445 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:16,639 Speaker 1: don't know what in the world Old Miss looks like 446 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:20,679 Speaker 1: coming into this game. But watch the start. Arkansas has 447 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,040 Speaker 1: not gotten off to the best starts in games. And 448 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:25,919 Speaker 1: if they get behind, like if Old Miss does come in, 449 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 1: they pop them for fourteen seventeen points early. Arkansas got 450 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 1: down seventeen's at early last week and came back and 451 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 1: nearly won the game against Auburn. But you're also able 452 00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 1: to slow Auburn down scoring. I don't know if that's 453 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,360 Speaker 1: going to be the case necessarily this week. I don't 454 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,439 Speaker 1: have a good feel for this game at all. I 455 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 1: do before I give you my pick one thing that 456 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 1: I am interested in. There's a lot of comparative analysis 457 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 1: out there. How's Mike leach goingn affair versus how Lane 458 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 1: kifin'sn affair in the state of Mississippi. Well, Mike Leach 459 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,760 Speaker 1: already faced Arkansas and they pretty much shut him down. Well, 460 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:57,400 Speaker 1: now Arkansas faces Old Miss. I tend to think Old 461 00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 1: Miss is going to have more success. So I'm going 462 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:00,960 Speaker 1: to take Old Miss to whim I'm gonna take old 463 00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:03,919 Speaker 1: mistic cover. I don't have a lot of confidence in 464 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 1: that pick. Let me just tell you cell phone is 465 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:10,200 Speaker 1: still going off like crazy. Oh boy, that's not college 466 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 1: football related. All right, let's talk mood tracker this week. 467 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,000 Speaker 1: Love to do it, do it in most weeks, and 468 00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:19,120 Speaker 1: boy do we have some very interesting stops to make. 469 00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 1: Let's stop at Texas first. This is just taking the 470 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:25,400 Speaker 1: temperature fan bases and Texas temperature. We got to take 471 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:27,200 Speaker 1: it very often. Like when I go into the office 472 00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:29,160 Speaker 1: at twenty four to seven, I have to dial into 473 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: a digital nurse and I have to take my temperature 474 00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:33,320 Speaker 1: to make sure I'm okay to go in the building. Well, 475 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:35,120 Speaker 1: that's like Texas, man. We've had to check on them 476 00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,440 Speaker 1: every week, so I have their new mood as. It's 477 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: not me, it's you. This is a line from Michael 478 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:43,119 Speaker 1: Scott in the office. I just want to tell you, 479 00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,480 Speaker 1: Jan it's not me, it's you. Well this is Texas. 480 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:47,560 Speaker 1: A Texas fan looks at it and says, wait a second. 481 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:51,199 Speaker 1: You asked me to invest emotionally, I do it. You 482 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,919 Speaker 1: asked me to invest financially, Boy, do I do it? 483 00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:55,920 Speaker 1: Horns up? Baby, you asked me to show up to 484 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,639 Speaker 1: games when it's legal, I do it. You ask me 485 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 1: to care about the team, follow it twenty four to seven, 486 00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:04,919 Speaker 1: three sixty five, and I do all that, and yet 487 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,679 Speaker 1: I'm not getting a return on my investment. And you 488 00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 1: now have a head coach that, if I'm a Texas fan, 489 00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 1: I feel has not properly instilled a culture that shows 490 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,720 Speaker 1: respect to the traditions of this university. And there's a 491 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:17,920 Speaker 1: lot of underlying drama going on with that out there. 492 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 1: Watch our Term Herman video for Term Herman are Tom Herman, 493 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:24,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna try it again. Our Tom Herman video and 494 00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,680 Speaker 1: Texas video from Tuesday, And we talked all about that, 495 00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 1: and I feel that way. So it's not me. I'm 496 00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 1: not the problem. Everyone criticizes Texas fans sometimes being too 497 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,880 Speaker 1: involved and too clinging into emotional No, no, no, no, that's 498 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 1: not my problem. It's you, Tom Herman. It's you. So 499 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 1: until we make a change out here, and until we 500 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 1: get a guy in that I can fully support and 501 00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,320 Speaker 1: I can fully buy into, then I'm not going to 502 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 1: shoulder any displaim Maybe sometimes I care too much, Maybe 503 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,360 Speaker 1: I love my program to death, but that's not the case, 504 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,440 Speaker 1: right now it's not me, it's you at Ohio State. 505 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:56,960 Speaker 1: They haven't played a game yet. Why are they on 506 00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 1: the mood tracker? They are a caged animal. A lot 507 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 1: of animal metaphors on the show tonight. Ohio State is 508 00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 1: a caged animal. Can you imagine first off, being told 509 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,480 Speaker 1: you weren't going to play football, then there are rumors 510 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: were going to and then nope, quell the rumors. And 511 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 1: then hey, there's traction after all. And then you're gonna 512 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,000 Speaker 1: be able to play, and so oh great, all right, 513 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:18,679 Speaker 1: well we're gonna start a little bit later, but we're 514 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,159 Speaker 1: still gonna be able to play. And then you watch 515 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,960 Speaker 1: the rest of the sport, and you watch some of 516 00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,639 Speaker 1: these teams like Oklahoma or Texas who are supposed to 517 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,240 Speaker 1: be good, and they're they're jacking around out there in 518 00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:30,840 Speaker 1: the Big twelve and they can't get out of their 519 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 1: own way in some cases. Then you watch Alabama and 520 00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: they're getting shredded. And then you watch Clemson and they're 521 00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 1: running up and down the field in Miami. More on 522 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,840 Speaker 1: Miami in a second. But at the same time, like 523 00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 1: that's not legitimate competition like Ohio State would present, And 524 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 1: you're sitting there thinking to yourself, we're going to be 525 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,719 Speaker 1: the class of this sport if they finally let us play, 526 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,040 Speaker 1: we are going to be the class of this sport. 527 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,679 Speaker 1: Just let us play. And that is exactly what a 528 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 1: caged animal is. Like Ohio State fans, they just want 529 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:57,120 Speaker 1: to be let out of the cage. And we don't 530 00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,440 Speaker 1: really care in Columbus, Ohio. We don't care if the 531 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 1: rest of this offerences ready because in our minds we 532 00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:04,200 Speaker 1: were going to run roughs shot over you. Either way, 533 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:06,919 Speaker 1: we're ready to go to the playoffs. And first we 534 00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: got to play a big ten schedule. Then we got 535 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 1: to go to Indianapolis and we'll check those boxes like 536 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 1: we always do, and then it's going to be playoff time. 537 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:15,640 Speaker 1: But you're a caged animal right now in a good way, 538 00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:18,680 Speaker 1: of course, if you're Ohio State. How about Tennessee. Tennessee 539 00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:22,800 Speaker 1: gotta be an introspective mode right now. You thought some 540 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 1: things about yourself. The mirror may have lied to you 541 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:27,560 Speaker 1: just a little bit. So you go to Georgia and 542 00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,119 Speaker 1: you think you got the offensive line to really stand 543 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 1: up and give the Bulldogs a four quarter fight, and 544 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,880 Speaker 1: instead that's not the case. Minus one yards rushing when 545 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: accounting of course four quarterback sack yardage total. Either way, 546 00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,120 Speaker 1: it was just a bad total. So at no point 547 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 1: could Tennessee really controlled the game there, And you were 548 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:48,280 Speaker 1: shown still that there was a pretty vast roster difference 549 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 1: between you and your folks down there in Athens. But 550 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 1: here's the difference. This has been known to derail teams before. 551 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 1: If you have a championship culture being installed at Tennessee, 552 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,120 Speaker 1: you'll know it this week because they'll get right back 553 00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 1: off the map. You got Bama coming into two weeks, 554 00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 1: you got George in the rear view. But it's task 555 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 1: at hand, nameless, faceless opponent. That's how all the big 556 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,880 Speaker 1: boys do it. That's why you see remarkable consistency week 557 00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:16,240 Speaker 1: to week from teams that ultimately win championships, because that's 558 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 1: how their players think. They've had it put in their 559 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,800 Speaker 1: minds by proper leadership. So hey, I'm not telling you, 560 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 1: Jeremy Pouh, it's not that I am openly saying, let's 561 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 1: watch for indicators as to whether that's where we're headed 562 00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 1: at Tennessee. So your introspective and you're kind of hurt. 563 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:32,119 Speaker 1: You're licking your wounds a little bit this week but 564 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 1: there's no buy, there's no ut Chattanooga. Not that that 565 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,760 Speaker 1: would be a great escape, judging by past history. But 566 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: you got Kentucky. Take care of business against Kentucky. If 567 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 1: you do that, it's not like it erases Georgia. But 568 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 1: what you finally do is you find the likerat yourself 569 00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 1: and saying, Okay, you know what, we're beating the teams 570 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,439 Speaker 1: were supposed to beat. We weren't supposed to beat Georgia yet. 571 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 1: It would have been nice, it would have been upset. 572 00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 1: But now we got this program where we're beating the 573 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 1: teams were supposed to beat. That's a good thing. That's 574 00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: a good thing because if you're doing that alone, you're 575 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:04,000 Speaker 1: already elevating your program far above most of the sport. 576 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,800 Speaker 1: And then you can worry about early signing day, and 577 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:08,600 Speaker 1: then you can start worrying about knocking off some of 578 00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 1: the big boys down the road. Right now, it's just 579 00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,120 Speaker 1: introspective time. Had some things we thought about ourselves. Maybe 580 00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:16,600 Speaker 1: they weren't all true, but we could be a lot 581 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 1: better still than we used to be. We think we are. 582 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 1: We got to find it out. Let's wrap up with Miami, 583 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,119 Speaker 1: so close yet so far That's what it's got to 584 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:29,359 Speaker 1: feel like when you watch your team open against UAB, 585 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,160 Speaker 1: solid performance, you go to Louisville and up and down 586 00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:35,159 Speaker 1: the field on the Cardinals, and then you just smoke 587 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,919 Speaker 1: Florida State like pretty much anyone this side of Florida 588 00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:39,920 Speaker 1: high school teams has been doing. But yet you still 589 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,480 Speaker 1: do it. You take care of business. You think to yourself, 590 00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,560 Speaker 1: here we go, we're going to Clemson, we're gonna be 591 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:47,639 Speaker 1: able to find out and we think we can be 592 00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:51,040 Speaker 1: competitive there. Bug on a Winshew, bug on a Winshew. 593 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: You know, it feels a lot like probably Tennessee felt 594 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 1: like when they went to Georgia, and it's a setback mentally, 595 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: it's just a setback when you felt like you were 596 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 1: closer than the product and the result on the field 597 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:03,200 Speaker 1: showed you that you are. But it's the same way 598 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: as Miami is as it is with Tennessee. I mean, 599 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 1: it's there's a huge difference between oh, we're not elite 600 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:12,720 Speaker 1: yet and oh we're the same as we used to be. 601 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: No you're not. No, you're not at all. I don't 602 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,320 Speaker 1: think that about Miami. I don't think that about Tennessee. 603 00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,640 Speaker 1: And so so close yet so far away. Well, that's 604 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,920 Speaker 1: what I say about Miami right now, But yet you're 605 00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 1: also far away from where you used to be. And 606 00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:27,800 Speaker 1: I'm not just talking about record, like they haven't even 607 00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:29,360 Speaker 1: put up a record for the end of this year yet, 608 00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,719 Speaker 1: I'm talking about where the caliber of the program is 609 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:33,760 Speaker 1: and where their standing is right now. And if I'm 610 00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 1: wrong about that, I'm wrong about that. But I think 611 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:38,280 Speaker 1: they've made progress. If you're looking at it as if 612 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 1: you're climbing a ladder top wrong is still several steps away, 613 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,600 Speaker 1: but you're several steps above that bottom wrong now too, 614 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: so from Miami, So close, yet so far. We got 615 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 1: to wrap the show up with the Rama Noodle Express, 616 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: our five best bets. We are sitting right at sixty percent, 617 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:57,320 Speaker 1: nearly down to the decimal sixty percent against the spread 618 00:27:57,359 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 1: this year. We gave you several already this I put 619 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 1: out our last two on Twitter earlier today to make 620 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:04,600 Speaker 1: sure the line didn't move. So I hope you're following 621 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,879 Speaker 1: me there at late kick Josh, do that? Do that? 622 00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:09,480 Speaker 1: Do that? Even if you don't care about betting, we 623 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: talk about a lot of obviously non betting stuff there too, 624 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:14,200 Speaker 1: So follow me there, all right? Here we go, colin 625 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 1: our final best bets. Obviously, we took Virginia minus two. 626 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,360 Speaker 1: Early in the week, we took the over sixty one 627 00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 1: North Carolina at Florida State. We're staying on that. That's 628 00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,400 Speaker 1: up near sixty four now, I think. But we're taking 629 00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:28,720 Speaker 1: the over sixty one there, Cincinnati minus three at Tulsa 630 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 1: Duke plus four and a half is one of our 631 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:35,119 Speaker 1: new ones at North Carolina State, and Auburn at South 632 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 1: Carolina plus three and a half. We are taking the 633 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,200 Speaker 1: game Cocks and the Blue Devils, respectively. So we're taking 634 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 1: a couple of dogs here as our fourth and fifth bets. 635 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 1: Virginia minus two Heels Noles over sixty one, Cincy minus three, 636 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:51,960 Speaker 1: Duke plus four and a half, and South Carolina plus 637 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:53,760 Speaker 1: three and a half. Again, make sure you follow me 638 00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 1: on Twitter at late kick Josh. It as a huge weekend. 639 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:59,120 Speaker 1: It is a spotlight week in the SEC, so I'll 640 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 1: be very active there. Also, it's not a guarantee that 641 00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,360 Speaker 1: this is the last of our best bets the last 642 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 1: two weeks. Actually I've added one on Saturday morning, so 643 00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,240 Speaker 1: make sure you're following me there at Late Kick Josh. 644 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:11,720 Speaker 1: All Right, I got to get this sent to Colin 645 00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:13,040 Speaker 1: so he can get it sent back to me to 646 00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 1: send to you. So for Director Colin in Nashville. I'm 647 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,000 Speaker 1: Josh paiper Tani and Jordan over on the podcast side 648 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,400 Speaker 1: of things. Thanks for watching, guys, make sure you subscribe 649 00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:23,640 Speaker 1: to the channel. Have a great weekend, enjoy the games, 650 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:24,480 Speaker 1: and God bless