1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 2: Super Best Idea, I guess the words getting out. It's 3 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 2: amazing and we're humbled by the number of our guests 4 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 2: who come into our studios here at our world headquarters 5 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 2: at Lexington Avenue and fifty ninth Street. It's not easy, folks. 6 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 2: I mean, if you go out to Park Avenue at 7 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 2: any given time of day, there's not one there's two 8 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 2: tractor trailers sprawled across fifty ninth Street making the dash 9 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 2: from New Jersey over to Long Island. I mean, it 10 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 2: can really get ugly at traffic. And we really appreciate 11 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 2: when they come in today from the Philippines. Andrew gon 12 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 2: came in with the Philippine Sovereign Wealth Fund. That was 13 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: really special, particularly with the new American commitment to the Philippines. 14 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 2: Monamahaj and a little bit closer coming in from Saint 15 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:05,639 Speaker 2: Louis and Edward D. Jones. It was great to Mona 16 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 2: in the studios and there he was in the seven 17 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 2: o'clock hour. Ambassador has showed up. Richard hass changed the 18 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 2: venerable console on foreign relations. He made them go digital 19 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 2: when no one was thinking about digital. The Internet effort 20 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 2: of the Console on Foreign Relations and Foreign Affairs and magazine. 21 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:31,839 Speaker 2: All of that comes from Richard Hass and his expertise. Today, 22 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 2: Ambassador has on the myth of Iran and nuclear weapons. 23 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 3: They don't know what they're talking about. A lot of 24 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 3: the nuclear program is deeply underground and fortified locations. Assuming 25 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 3: we know where it all is, you can't take out 26 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 3: the intellectual dimensions of it. So I think what you 27 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,919 Speaker 3: would say is if Israel used military force, it could 28 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 3: buy some time. It could set back the Iranian program 29 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 3: months or even years. But what would happen is it 30 00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 3: would be reconstituted underground, probably places and locations far more 31 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 3: difficult to take out. 32 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 2: The great theme of Richard Hass and as many books 33 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 2: and the new one, The Bill of Obligations, is really, 34 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 2: really quite good about the dearth of civics, the decline 35 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 2: of civics in America, is that our foreign policy starts 36 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:20,880 Speaker 2: with domestic strength. In this election season, Richard Haas on 37 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: our domestic challenges. 38 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:24,679 Speaker 3: Well, partially, we need a new policy on us. We've 39 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: got to stay strong and more united domestically so we 40 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 3: can compete with China. We've got to keep our alliance 41 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 3: a strong above all with Japan, and we've got to 42 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 3: have more of a physical presence in that part of that. 43 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 3: We'll never get China to give up its dreams on Taiwan. 44 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:39,920 Speaker 3: What we want to do is persuade jijiinpaying that to 45 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 3: act on those dreams would be Foolhardy. 46 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 2: Richard Haas for an extended conversation this morning, we got 47 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 2: a huge response from someone on fire. He is a 48 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 2: quiet guy. He's got a cello in his office. I mean, 49 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 2: what's that about. Cam Harvey is esteem professor, professor at 50 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 2: Fuqua at Duke, and he is fired up about a 51 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 2: FED that is way way behind. Cam Harvey and the 52 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 2: fiction of our shelter costs. 53 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 1: If you just do the simple calculation of that four 54 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 1: point nine percent and then multiply it by point thirty six, 55 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: that delivers one point seven seven percent. So one point 56 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: seven seven percent of the print today is purely due 57 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: to that distorted a shelter number. So if you substitute 58 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: anything in that's closer to reality, the inflation print is 59 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: not two point four percent. It is one percent or 60 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 1: potentially less than one percent. So we are we are 61 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 1: below the fed's target. Yet they're debating well, should we 62 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: due twenty five basis points come on this. Supposedly the 63 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: FED is data driven. Well, the math that we just 64 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: did was not a very challenging exercise. 65 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 2: Oh live Chad on YouTube lit up like a candle. 66 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: Thank you for the many responses. People love. Cam Harvey 67 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 2: of Duke University can't say enough about that today. Is 68 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,520 Speaker 2: math is correct? Liz Anne Saunders out with a great 69 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 2: chart on Twitter at Charles Schwab and there were sheltered 70 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 2: way up high part of year over year, a month 71 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 2: over month. You know what was the peak was motor 72 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:29,080 Speaker 2: vehicle insurance. We could do a whole show on that. 73 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 2: I think right now, I guess it's I don't drive folks, 74 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 2: you know, they drive me around, which is I'm very 75 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 2: privileged to have that, But I her motor vehicle insurance 76 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 2: is really really something we're on YouTube, And what a 77 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 2: joy today to speak to the gentleman from Manila, Andrew Gunn, 78 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 2: and to know the Pacific rim audience we're building on YouTube. 79 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 2: We're just I'm frankly shocked by it. I just the 80 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:57,919 Speaker 2: reach of YouTube. I really don't understand. Subscribe to Bloomberg 81 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:04,720 Speaker 2: Podcasts out on YouTube. Speaking of YouTube, podcasts and Apple podcasts. 82 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 2: This is single best I get