1 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: When it comes to Chinese President Shi Jingping. I'm sure 2 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: you've heard enough about how the West thinks about she. 3 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: But in the past two years, democracies have become stronger, 4 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 1: not weaker. Autocracy has grown weaker, not stronger. Name me 5 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 1: a world leader who changed places with Hi Jianping. Name 6 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: me one, Name me one. That impression seems to be settled, 7 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: maybe even strengthened during the three years of Chinese draconian 8 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 1: COVID zero policy. This week marks the first anniversary of 9 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:39,159 Speaker 1: Shanghai's lockdown, where more than twenty five million residents were 10 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: confined at home for two months, some without access to 11 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 1: even food and medicine at times. By colleague Colin Murphy 12 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: on how President She's credibility fairs at home and what 13 00:00:52,880 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: that means for his leadership going forward column, My understanding 14 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: is you've been covering China for a bit more than 15 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: a decade, Is that correct? Yeah, that's about right. I 16 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: started off in Shanghai basically, where I was covering automotive. 17 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 1: Now I'm covering government out of Beijing, so it's taken 18 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: me to many different parts of the country. So I've 19 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 1: been around, so call um, we know it's the one 20 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: year anniversary of Shanghai's lockdown. But we also know that 21 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:32,119 Speaker 1: China just reversed the COVID zero policy this January. Things 22 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 1: seem to be bouncing back to well, quote unquote normal. 23 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: So why are we talking about Chief's credibility right now? Right? So, 24 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 1: I think the key point is that so many factors 25 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 1: are pointing to a more powerful see. I mean, he's 26 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 1: become head of his party, he's become the president of 27 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: the country. But all of this is happening at a 28 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: time when China has faced some of the biggest problems 29 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 1: it has seen in DECA AIDS, perhaps chief among which 30 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: is the COVID zero policy and how that was handled, 31 00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 1: and of course that has all of the hallmarks of 32 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 1: she himself. So when that strategy sort of unravels and 33 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: the government does a U turn on that, China is 34 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: starting to unravel at zero COVID policy. But instead of 35 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: crowds out celebrating, this is how reopening is going in China. 36 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: Close shops, empty streets, people avoiding each other because for 37 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 1: the first time, of course, a lot of people are 38 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 1: going to look at the person who has been proposing 39 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 1: this policy and asking does he have what it takes 40 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 1: to actually run the country and take care of his people. Right, Okay, 41 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 1: So how do people feel about she and his administration 42 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: on the ground based on your reporting, Well, there's many 43 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: different perspectives on this, obviously, depending on what part of 44 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: the country, who you talk to, demographics, so onnest the forth. 45 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: But I would say an increasing number of people are 46 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 1: now questioning the ability of the Chinese government to look 47 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: after them, especially when it comes to the economy. Broadly speaking, 48 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 1: the Chinese Communist Party has this so called social contract 49 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: with Chinese people, whereby the understanding, even though it's not explicit, 50 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,920 Speaker 1: is okay, you give up political power to us, and 51 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,359 Speaker 1: we'll take care of you economically. Now, in the past 52 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: three years, specifically under COVID, not only have people's lives 53 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: been put on hold, in many cases, they've got worse. 54 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 1: So that's one of the main areas where people are 55 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: worried about what's going to happen going forward, Right, And 56 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: I think the protests against COVID zero last year in 57 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: Shanghai really captured how fast sentiment changed. We know it 58 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 1: was sparked by this deadly fire in Urumuchi, that's the 59 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 1: capital of Sinjian, a COVID lockdown had reportedly delayed that 60 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: rescue service and then hampered the victim's efforts to flee. 61 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 1: After that, people in Shanghai just gathered to mourn the victims, 62 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:20,359 Speaker 1: but it quickly turned into something else. Can you just 63 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 1: quickly describe the scenes from those protests? Right? So on 64 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 1: that evening, protesters gathered in Woolabuoti Road in Shanghai, and 65 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:38,559 Speaker 1: it quickly evolved into a protest where at first people 66 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: were asking for the leader to apologize and shouting things 67 00:04:50,560 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: like yes to freedom, no to lockdown, but that very 68 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: quickly turned into something more. Soon they were calling out 69 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: things like down with che jing Ping. So this is 70 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 1: quite unusual and quite rare and quite a sudden thing. 71 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 1: It was sudden, and correct me if I'm wrong here. 72 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 1: But we don't usually see Chinese people participate or even 73 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: talk about politics, let alone express their frustrations their views 74 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:35,160 Speaker 1: against the precedent directly. So why is that specifically the 75 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: case with Chi jing Ping? I think one of the 76 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,920 Speaker 1: main reasons is because che jing Ping has put himself 77 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 1: front and center of everything for she himself, I mean, 78 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: it's been a decade long period in power and at 79 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: the outset. He was definitely heralded amongst many people and popular, 80 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 1: mainly due to the things such as his pushed for 81 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: anti corruption. General Secretary Jasping opened the meeting calling to 82 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 1: intense of our laws and regulations that pushed forward China's 83 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: battle against corruption. But as time went by, it became 84 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: very clear that the controls in the Chinese society were 85 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: getting tighter and tighter. We saw civil society, for example, 86 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: practically wiped out. And then we were told how the 87 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: tech sector, how the entrepreneurs in the tech sector should 88 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 1: behave For two years, China has been cracking down on 89 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: the power of its biggest tech companies. This has spanned 90 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:43,279 Speaker 1: sectors e commerce. Parents were told, you know, this is 91 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 1: how you should educate your children. China is adding what 92 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: it calls sijin Ping thought to the national curriculum. Education 93 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 1: Ministry says it's meant to establish Marxist beliefs in students 94 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:57,480 Speaker 1: and that sort of cut back on the after hours 95 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: education system. So across a lot of facets of life, 96 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 1: he was directly coming into people's lives. And you know, 97 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: whereas traditionally there might be other players that he could 98 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: the leader could point to and blame. That's more and 99 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 1: more not the case in China, and everything is centering 100 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: on this one person, and that has the advantages of, 101 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 1: you know, he's super powerful, he can make any decision 102 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 1: without much opposition. But it also means that when things 103 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 1: go wrong, that he becomes a very easily identifiable target. 104 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 1: And I think that's part of what's going on here, 105 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: So call him. I think we've established that there is 106 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: a credibility deficit here, but we also need to point 107 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 1: out and remember, China is massive, it's diverse. I guess 108 00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:02,120 Speaker 1: the key question now is how widespread really it's sentiment 109 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 1: against streating pain, especially given it's really so hard to 110 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 1: measure people to dissatisfaction. It's virtually impossible to measure in 111 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 1: a scientific and accurate way. That's because there are no 112 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 1: reliable surveys in China, and the country, as you mentioned, 113 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 1: is massive. It's very diverse, even in terms of ethnicity, 114 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 1: but also in demographics. So to be able to reach 115 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 1: out and conclusively say this is how the country feels 116 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: about she is very, very difficult. But having said that, 117 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 1: my colleagues and myself have reached out extensively throughout the 118 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: country and interviewed as many different types of people as possible, 119 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: and based on that, I think we can say that 120 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 1: discontent is definitely more marked. That does not mean that 121 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:50,559 Speaker 1: everybody everywhere is unhappy with she, but it does suggest 122 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: more people and those people are becoming more vocal and 123 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: willing to share in as far as they can their dissatisfaction. 124 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 1: That's interesting. Can you tell us a little bit more 125 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 1: about some of these specific conversations you've had on the 126 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 1: ground during those reporting trips. So, I think one of 127 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: the most memorable encounters I had was at a coffee shop, 128 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 1: an outdoor coffee shop on the corner of Amfulu and 129 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 1: Wollamuochilu in Shanghai. These particular names are important because that's 130 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 1: basically the location where we had the outbreak of protests 131 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: in November. So I met somebody there, one of my 132 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:39,199 Speaker 1: sources that we were chatting, and she explained to me 133 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 1: that basically the whole way she looked at the role 134 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 1: of government and the performance of the Chinese government had 135 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 1: shifted considerably during the past year by the way we 136 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 1: treated her voice to protect her identity. Yeah, I think 137 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 1: first of all, I never really like followed what like 138 00:10:01,559 --> 00:10:06,200 Speaker 1: the government is doing because you kind of feel like 139 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:11,199 Speaker 1: you don't feel like things are under control. In particular, 140 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:14,360 Speaker 1: she was saying that, you know, in the past, the 141 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 1: government was almost invisible, that she didn't really have to 142 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 1: worry about them. They were there behind the scenes, working away, 143 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 1: creating policies, making life better for everybody, including her. But 144 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 1: then with the lockdown, she saw the horrors of the 145 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 1: actual day to day ruling and decisions made by government 146 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 1: on all levels, and that basically shocked her. She said 147 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: she had now seen the inner workings of the government 148 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,880 Speaker 1: and she doesn't know if she could ever really trust 149 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: them again. And are they really as capable as they 150 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 1: had led people to believe in the past. Oh, maybe 151 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:57,319 Speaker 1: they're not. So they don't know what they're doing. Maybe, 152 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 1: like I think, are not so like planned out how 153 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:08,359 Speaker 1: they pass Yeah, okay, wow, So we know there's frustration. 154 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: We know there are a lot of questions that are 155 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: being raised, and some of these frustrations are simmering and boiling. 156 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 1: There's still protests across the country, even after the government 157 00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:22,600 Speaker 1: of course walked away from from COVID zero. Well what 158 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:25,520 Speaker 1: do we make of all of this? What do we 159 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 1: take away from this? I think a takeaway in the 160 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 1: short term is that, you know, the brain drain is 161 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: a real thing for China. The brightest and the best 162 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:39,680 Speaker 1: are leaving, whether they be expatriates, but also Chinese of course, 163 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 1: who want to make their lives elsewhere. Longer term, I 164 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 1: don't think it means that she is completely off the hook. 165 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:56,360 Speaker 1: You know, just because this COVID zero situation has passed 166 00:11:56,760 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: does not mean that there will not be a polite 167 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:08,319 Speaker 1: consequences for the actions going forward. And I do think 168 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 1: people will be looking at him, including his own political party, 169 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: but the amount of power that he's managed to concentrate 170 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: in his hands at this moment means that it's unlikely 171 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 1: that he will come under direct threat in the foreseeable future. 172 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: Another consequence could be if this dissatisfaction is not addressed, 173 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:34,679 Speaker 1: then where can it find an outlet? Increasingly the outlets 174 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 1: that people have to express their dissatisfaction are becoming less 175 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: and less so, for example, media has been censored more 176 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 1: and more, civil society has been all but eliminated. So 177 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 1: where do people go with have troubles going forward? One possibility, 178 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:57,240 Speaker 1: and it's a frightening one, could be a rise in nationalism. 179 00:12:57,280 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: Could this be the way we see frustration be invented 180 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 1: going forward, as more people look at foreign countries, among 181 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:10,320 Speaker 1: them the US, as a target for their angst, their 182 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: and their anger. Callin Murphy, thank you so much. Thank you,