1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleventh Rio to Washington, 2 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: d C, Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg twelve hundreds to San Francisco, 3 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: Bloomberg to the Country, Shoes at SAM Channel one nine 4 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio Bust Bloomberg dot Com. 5 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Surveillance. It is a thirty on Wall 6 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: Street and Michael McKee along with Tom Keener Economic Indicators 7 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,279 Speaker 1: Today brought to you by Commonwealth Financial Network. When it's 8 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: time to change the conversation, talk with a broker dealer 9 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 1: r I A that's ready to listen, Call six six 10 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:42,480 Speaker 1: six two three or visit Commonwealth dot com to learn more. 11 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: Here's Vinedale Judais at the First Word Desk, Michael Economic 12 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 1: News jobless claims they are up by six thousand a 13 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: two hundred seventy eight thousand topping forecast. Revised data on 14 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: fourth quarter productivity, meantime down two point two percent less 15 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: than forecast, unt labor costs up three point three percent again, 16 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: jobless claims rising last week up by six thousand to 17 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,959 Speaker 1: seventy eight thousand. At the First Work Desk, I'm vide 18 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 1: de junice. Let's go back to New York Videl junk Uh. Well, 19 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: I don't know whether you call a move from a 20 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: negative three percent, a three percent contraction in productivity to 21 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: a two point two percent contraction is good news or not. 22 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 1: I suppose on a relative thesis, but the unit labor 23 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: costs jop three point three percent is catch people's eye. 24 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: Can you adjust the mic of our next steam guest? 25 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 1: He is um, he's been he's been searching for something 26 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: to do, moving into spring and summer in onto Cleveland 27 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 1: and Philadelphia. Maybe we could get him to be the 28 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: GOP SR. I mean, I mean, I think there's a 29 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: job opportunity. I don't. I don't think I'm qualified, but 30 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 1: they definitely need somebody go ahead. Where we're watching what's 31 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: going on with fascination and wondering. Were talking over the 32 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 1: last two days while we were done in Washington about 33 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: how Wall Street is seeing all this, I mean, leaving 34 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: aside individual candidates, but the fracturing of one party, um, 35 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: the move to the left uh and in the other party, UM, 36 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: the people with the money and a lot at stake, 37 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: how they're viewing all of this at this point I 38 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 1: think with fear, in trepidation, I think people on Wall Street. 39 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: People on Wall Street are basically not that ideological in 40 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: many ways. They have, you know, they have a point 41 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:29,919 Speaker 1: of view, they have they may belong to a party, 42 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: but they're not extremists. They're kind of pragmatists. They're kind 43 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 1: of centrists, a bit like the majority owner of Bloomberg LP. 44 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: And there's our there's our Disclaimers radio station, uh and 45 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 1: and so they view all this with alarm. They they 46 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: you know, in an extreme case, they worry that we 47 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 1: could go off the deep end into into some unknown 48 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 1: political area, the way countries in Europe have from time 49 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: to time. And even short of that, they worry about about, 50 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 1: you know, who's going to be in the White House. 51 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: Mr Trump enjoys, as far as I can tell, zero 52 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: support on Wall Street. I don't know anybody in the 53 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: business community, but I shouldn't say anybody, but virtually nobody 54 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: in the business can be supporting him for any number 55 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 1: of reasons. I think on the Democratic side, things have 56 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,359 Speaker 1: gotten a bit what I would call better, in that 57 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 1: I think Hillary Clinton's path to the nomination is now 58 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: quite clear, and so while she may have moved a 59 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: bit to the left during this primary season, I think 60 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: I don't think we're gonna have a socialist as the 61 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 1: Democratic nominee. But Steve, right now, that's the issue. You 62 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 1: nail it. Absolutely. People shift through an election year. Do 63 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: you see any perception that any of the three Republican 64 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: front runners right now can shift as Raygan did, to 65 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 1: the middle of this nation's psychology. I would say, I 66 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: would say, I think I think it's possible that Rubio 67 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 1: can and and I don't know whether this is a 68 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: backhanded compliment, but I think he's shown that he is, 69 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: how shall I put it, flexible in his opinions, pragmatic 70 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 1: on immigration. As you know, he's had a variety of 71 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: opinions on choice, He's had a variety of pro choice, choice, 72 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 1: choice versus life issues. He's had a variety of opinions. 73 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: So I think he is capable of moving. Ted Cruiz 74 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 1: is a complete extreme idealogue who in some ways would 75 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 1: be worse for the Republican Party I think in a 76 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: general election than Trump, and Trump has Trump has deep 77 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,600 Speaker 1: psychological problems that make him really unfit to were a 78 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 1: student of our history on this, I think of William Jennings, 79 00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 1: Bryan or any of the other movements coalescing eight forward 80 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,719 Speaker 1: coming out of the civil or the word the last 81 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: few days has been movement. If it is a movement 82 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: that Mr Trump is affecting, how to institutions staunch that 83 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 1: movement so it doesn't get over thirty x percent of 84 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: the electorate in the long run. This is what I'm 85 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 1: about to say. Has been discussed many times, but but 86 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: what seems very clear to all of us is that 87 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 1: Trump represents a group of Americans who have not done 88 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:07,919 Speaker 1: well economically over the last five, ten, fifteen, twenty years, 89 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: who feel marginalized, who therefore feel threatened by immigrants and 90 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 1: things like that, and makes them more nativists. And the 91 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: way to deal with this is not there's no short 92 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 1: term fix. The way to deal with this in the 93 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 1: long term is to take care of these people and 94 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: find them jobs, help them with increase their incomes, and 95 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:30,600 Speaker 1: give them a better life. That's really what that's really 96 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 1: what's bothering them? Why are we doing When you look 97 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: at the markets, there doesn't seem to be any reflection 98 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 1: of horror in what's been going on at the in 99 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: the stock market versus what's going on in the campaign trail. 100 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 1: Investors have to discount the future even as they look 101 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: at this and the negatives that you're sighting with these candidates, 102 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: is their a view as they game things out, that yes, 103 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: these people may get elected, but the way the American 104 00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 1: system works, not much terrible is going to happen. I 105 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 1: think there's a few things are going First of all, 106 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: I think that, uh, the probability of any one candidate 107 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: getting elected is obviously not even because you still have 108 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: primaries going on. Then you have a general election, and 109 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: so if you started doing probability math, I think you'd 110 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 1: calculate that the chance of Trump being elected are maybe 111 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:20,840 Speaker 1: twenty or between having to get nominated and then having 112 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 1: to get past Hillary Clinton. I think the market probably 113 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: today we guess that Hillary Clinton is going to be 114 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:28,160 Speaker 1: the next president, and I don't know that that's that threatening. Yes, 115 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 1: she has some different ideas, but she's a sensible, rational person. 116 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 1: But I think the other thing you alluded to that 117 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: the market is relying on is the gridlock in Washington 118 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: and the fact that it's unlikely that no matter who 119 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: gets elected, there's gonna be some massive policy shift. Uh. 120 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:47,919 Speaker 1: Getting from Congress, Steve Redner, thank you so much. And 121 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 1: then Governor Romney you can speaking. This will be cover 122 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 1: Michael Barrow have full coverage of this UH through the 123 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 1: morning and into the afternoon. Is well onto Michigan and 124 00:06:57,200 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: then onto Florida. Look for the announcement of the ratners. 125 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 1: Gops are coming from the White House sometime in the 126 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:07,679 Speaker 1: near in the near future. Futures negative to down, futures 127 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: negative ten UH West Texas thirty four barrel. Let's spring 128 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: in Michael bar and get the latest news. Like Mike 129 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: tom thank you very much. Former Republican presidential nominee mid 130 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 1: Romney plans to deliver some strong words against Donald Trump. 131 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: Romney plans to call Trump in a speech later today 132 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 1: a phony and a fraud. The former Massachusetts governor says 133 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: Trump is playing the American public for suckers. The excerpts 134 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 1: are from the speech Romney plans to give later today 135 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 1: at the University of Utah in the bids who dis 136 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 1: launched Trump from the top of the Republican Party's presidential race. Meanwhile, 137 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 1: Trump fired back on ABC. Trump called Romney a failed 138 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:57,239 Speaker 1: candidate and should have beaten Barack Obama. Millions of people 139 00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:00,080 Speaker 1: are joining the Republican Party because of me, and you 140 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 1: know what the republic establishment. Republican Establishment's probably going to 141 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: give it right back and go back to the old 142 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: days of Mitt Romney, who couldn't win. Trump will take 143 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 1: part in tonight's Republican presidential debate on Fox News. Only 144 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: four podiums will be on the stage tonight for the 145 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: debate in Detroit. Ben Carson issued a statement yesterday saying 146 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: he does not see a political path forward and will 147 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 1: be on No Show. South Korean officials say North Korea 148 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 1: fired six short range projectiles into the sea off its 149 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 1: east coast today. The launches came hours after the UN 150 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 1: Security Council approved tough sanctions on pyong Yang for its 151 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 1: recent nuclear tests. Global News twenty four hours a day, 152 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: powered by our journalists more than a hundred fifty news 153 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: bureaus from around the world. I Michael Barn, Mike Tom, 154 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: Thank you Michael all the time. Now for the Bloomberg 155 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 1: NBC sports update. Here's johns Teshi my greater that the 156 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 1: flake gate is back. Oral arguments today in New York 157 00:08:55,800 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 1: as the NFL appeals to a three judge panel. It's 158 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: lost last year in district corps. If balls were deflated, 159 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: and if so, how not really the issue here, the 160 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 1: NFL will argue Commissioner Roger Goodell had the collectively bargained 161 00:09:07,480 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 1: right to suspend Tom Brady for four games. The Union 162 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 1: will contend the NFL made mistakes in its application. Neither 163 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: Goodell or Brady will be in court, and decision could 164 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 1: be many months away. The Yankees exhibition opener in Tampa 165 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: was a wild one. Yankster down seven nothing ended up 166 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 1: winning ten to nine in a drop fly ball in 167 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 1: the ninth inning. Manitor Joe Girardi was asked about the 168 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:30,319 Speaker 1: month long suspension just given to his new closure or 169 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,559 Speaker 1: old As Chapman for domestic violence and use of a firearm. 170 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:35,520 Speaker 1: The thing to do when you have issues like this 171 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 1: is to learn from him and try to be there 172 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 1: for people. And I think he's ready to move on. 173 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: And then he took responsibility for what happened, and he 174 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 1: wants to be better as a as a player and 175 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 1: a person. Chapman could pitch in spring training, but now 176 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: in the regular season until May ninth. Yankees and Phillies 177 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: today and the Mets opened up with the Nationals March 178 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 1: Madness Conference tournaments underway in the Northeast Winds for l 179 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 1: I youth fairly Dickinson and the top scene Wagner St. 180 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,439 Speaker 1: Francis was nounsday in America East top seed stony Brook 181 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 1: moves on and gets help when second seed and three 182 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 1: times defending lenk jamp All, but he got upset. Seaton 183 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:09,959 Speaker 1: All's four game Winsbay came to an end at butler 184 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 1: Fordham beat Ducane. Rutgers still winless in the Big Ten, 185 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 1: had to play second rank Michigan State and lost by 186 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 1: thirty one. With the Bloomberg game, be some sports update, 187 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,959 Speaker 1: I'm John Stash John, thanks so much. A future is 188 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 1: thinking of two deaf futures at negative thirteen again a 189 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: churn all in all to the market. You really gotta 190 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 1: believe we're slotted into a job's day move. As we 191 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 1: moved to eight thirty tomorrow morning, Alan Krueger and Bill 192 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: Gross will join us UH to review that data. I've 193 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:42,559 Speaker 1: got to scroll down here to get to a thousand 194 00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 1: is the final sample. We make it a tick on 195 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: that here as we get to tomorrow, U with the 196 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: unemployment rates similar four point nine per cent. Michael McKee 197 00:10:53,520 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 1: and Tom Keene coast to coast worldwide Bloomberg surveillance Blieberg 198 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 1: surveillance is brought to you by NYCB as about their 199 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 1: my community interest checking with free NYCB online and mobile banking. 200 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:10,480 Speaker 1: Earn more, get more. Visit NYCB family dot com for 201 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:11,120 Speaker 1: details