1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into BP NFL. We're talking Thursday 2 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: Night football and what could be an instant classic, a 3 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: snooze fest, or maybe something in between. 4 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:12,320 Speaker 2: For when the two and. 5 00:00:12,360 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: Six last Vegas Raiders traveled to Mile High where the 6 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:19,920 Speaker 1: AFC West leading Denver Broncos Await, we'll certainly chat all 7 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:23,239 Speaker 1: about it on today's program. We've got game picks, player props, 8 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: a same game parlay, plus our touchdown calls. I'm your host, 9 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: Seth Wilcock, rocking and rolling with Scott Bogman Boggs before 10 00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: we jump in, How are you and what are your 11 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 1: expectations for this primetime matchup going down in Denver. 12 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 3: I'm doing great. 13 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 4: You know. Look, another divisional game on Thursday night football. Right, 14 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 4: These Thursday night games have been weirder this year, even 15 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 4: than they typically have been. Most of the Thursday night 16 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 4: games just in the history of Thursday night football have 17 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 4: been like the crap that we saw last week. Right, 18 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 4: it's just Baltimore beating the be Jesus out of Miami. 19 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 4: It's not really a close game, you know that that 20 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 4: type of a game. But before that game, we've had 21 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 4: a lot of divisional games that were close upsets the 22 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:10,480 Speaker 4: home team was typically winning. 23 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:13,040 Speaker 3: This one. 24 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 4: This one feels like Denver should roll right over Vegas, 25 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,199 Speaker 4: but Vegas offense looked pretty good. The defense still looks 26 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:25,400 Speaker 4: like you know what it looks like, but the offense 27 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 4: looked pretty good with Brock Bauers back and then deciding 28 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 4: to throw the ball to Ashton Genty. Finally, you know, 29 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 4: you get rid of Jakobe Myers, but Trey Tucker has 30 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 4: done a pretty good job there. I feel okay about 31 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 4: the Raiders offense outside of Max Crosby. 32 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 3: The Raiders defense makes me sick to my stomach. So yeah, yeah, 33 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 3: it absolutely does. 34 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:46,960 Speaker 1: And excited to see what we get out there on 35 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 1: Thursday Night football. As always, thank you to everyone who 36 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: makes us a part of your day by joining us 37 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: either on the Bank Pro's YouTube channel or the audio 38 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 1: feed the Easiest Freeway sport Us. Please give this video 39 00:01:57,320 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content. Also, 40 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 1: if new, make sure you subscribe to you don't miss 41 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: a moment of college football, NFL Benning coverage, a little 42 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:07,760 Speaker 1: bit of everything in between over here on the VP 43 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 1: YouTube channel and audio feed coming your way this fall. 44 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:14,119 Speaker 1: So also, I wanted to announce that we do have 45 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 1: a very very cool giveaway that we're getting into. 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So make sure 56 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 1: you turn on the notification so you can be alerted 57 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:53,399 Speaker 1: when new episodes are up and to claim your prize. 58 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: All right, Boggs, Let's jump into the Thursday night football game. 59 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 1: Pete Carroll, Ginosmith and the Boys. They are three and 60 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 1: five ats coming off a cover but a near overtime 61 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: loss against the Jaguars where they went for two. They 62 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: tried to win it all. It didn't work out that way. 63 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: Brock Bauers he was back in that game, really injected 64 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 1: some life back into this offense courtesy of three trips 65 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 1: two pay dirt. We also saw Denver, who is four 66 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 1: to four and one this season. They are coming off 67 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 1: a three point win and cover against Houston. Of course, CJ. 68 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: Stroud got knocked out of that one early with concussion. 69 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 1: And while it hasn't always been sexy, Sean Payne's team 70 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 1: actually on a six game winning streak coming into this one. 71 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 1: They went two to zero against the Raiders a year ago, 72 00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 1: winning by an average of thirteen points, and they're coming 73 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 1: in as eight and a half to nine a half 74 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 1: point favorites, with the total sitting somewhere between forty two 75 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 1: and a half and forty three points. It will be 76 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 1: perfect football weather for us as well, no rain, no 77 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 1: precipitation in the forecast to worry about. Temperature expected to 78 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: drop right to fifty degrees by kickoff. So, Boggs, do 79 00:03:57,840 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: you have a play or a lean in this game? 80 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: One that will have al Herbie and company back on 81 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: the call? 82 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 4: I kind of like the over in this game. I 83 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 4: think eight and a half to nine fields about right. 84 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 4: I expect Denver to win this game. I don't really 85 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 4: respect the Raiders defense at all outside of Max Crosby, 86 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 4: so I do expect the Broncos to win this one 87 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 4: going away. Don't really like the spread, but I think 88 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 4: forty two and a half points is not enough. I 89 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 4: think this game is going to go over. We saw 90 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 4: the Raiders offense move the ball so much better. Now, yes, 91 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:32,799 Speaker 4: they did have two weeks to prepare. It was Jacksonville's defense, 92 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 4: it wasn't Denver's. But Denver is missing their best corner. 93 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 4: Patrick certain is not going to play in this game. 94 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 4: He's going to be out, so I think the Raiders 95 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 4: will be able to pass. Riley Moss has given up 96 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 4: the third most receiving yards in the NFL this year, right, 97 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 4: and he's going to be your number one corner that 98 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 4: you have rookie Jedi Baron, who's you know, one of 99 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 4: my guys. 100 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 3: I love Jadi Baron hook him absolutely. 101 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 4: The rookie corner rule is you pick on the rookies, 102 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 4: you throw at them when they're out there. So he 103 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 4: hasn't been out there as much as we kind of 104 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:02,919 Speaker 4: thought preseason, but he should be out there a lot 105 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 4: in this game. So I think with Gino throwing the 106 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 4: ball well, kind of the refound brock Bowers at one 107 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 4: hundred percent. Let's just throw the ball over and over 108 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 4: and over to him. I think obviously that's going to 109 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 4: be the game plan, and the willingness to throw the 110 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 4: ball to Ash and Genty, you know, in space. It's 111 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 4: not something they had really done before they came off 112 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,039 Speaker 4: the bye week, and it worked for them last week 113 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 4: against Jacksonville. I think you're going to see a continued 114 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 4: effort for that. I think you're going to see more 115 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 4: things open up in this offense with brock Bawers being 116 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 4: back healthy and you know, being down your best player 117 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 4: on defense is tough for any defense, even at the 118 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 4: corner position. So I like the over in this game. 119 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,040 Speaker 1: Yeah. I was so happy to see Chip Kelly finally 120 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: starting to use Genty all over the field. It was 121 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: a bit maddening to start the year like one. We 122 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:50,480 Speaker 1: heard about the stance and how Chip encouraged him to 123 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 1: change his stance. It didn't work, he went back to 124 00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 1: his stance. We finally saw the rushing breakout I think 125 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 1: that was week four, maybe week three, something like that, 126 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:00,839 Speaker 1: and then still did not see consistent usage in the 127 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:02,919 Speaker 1: receiving game. Hopefully this is a sign of things to 128 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: come for both betters and fantasy managers. So like in 129 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 1: that there a lot I am in agreeance with you. 130 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:11,720 Speaker 1: It feels like a low total, even for Thursday night 131 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: football that usually tends to go low for a good 132 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 1: Denver Broncos defense. So I think if you do want 133 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: to play in the game, it is going to be 134 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 1: on that over any thoughts, would you take something like 135 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 1: a Denver team total or is it just like, Hey, 136 00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:26,919 Speaker 1: I'm kind of like not high on either one of 137 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: these offenses in particular, but kind of just high on 138 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: them as a whole just because of what these defenses 139 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 1: have been as of late. 140 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I I don't really like I like 141 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 4: the props on Thursday Night football. Thursday and Football gets 142 00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 4: too weird for me to want to put too much 143 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 4: money on a side or total or you know that 144 00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 4: that type of stuff. There's just so many, you know, 145 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 4: when you say the four outcomes, I feel like Thursday 146 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:54,840 Speaker 4: night it's like eight outcomes to be different for any team. 147 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 4: So bo Nix has not played great football this year either. 148 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,279 Speaker 4: He is definitely taking a step back from what it 149 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 4: goes down last year. Yeah. Yeah, And I still think 150 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 4: it's all in there. I'm gonna have some bets on bonicks. 151 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 4: You know that we're gonna get to here, But his inconsistency, Gino's, 152 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 4: you know, willingness to throw the ball into traffic, makes 153 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 4: me not really want to do have too much action 154 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 4: on this. 155 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 3: I like the props way more here, all. 156 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:25,080 Speaker 1: Right, And before we keep it moving, a quick shout 157 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 1: out to our presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 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Gambling problem called 190 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 5: one hundred Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 191 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 1: All right, Scotti, we are moving into the player props. 192 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: How who were you last week? How is Monday Night 193 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 1: football house? Thursday night football? And how are you sitting 194 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 1: on the season as a whole? 195 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 4: My friend three and two on Monday Night Football on 196 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 4: those bets, just didn't hit two of them. 197 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 3: We were pretty close to being form one, but just 198 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 3: didn't get all the way home. 199 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 4: So three and two that puts me at forty five 200 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 4: and forty five on the season. I've dug out of 201 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 4: a big hole here on a couple bad ones. So 202 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 4: we're sitting at five hundred and we're moving that arrow 203 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:27,440 Speaker 4: pointing up. So that's what we like. 204 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 1: Okay, well, glad to hear that. Let's go to your 205 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:33,079 Speaker 1: first prop bed of the night. One we already kind 206 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,199 Speaker 1: of alluded to with a rookie getting involved in more 207 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:37,960 Speaker 1: ways than one in Las Vegas. 208 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,079 Speaker 4: Yeah, let's go to Ashton genty over seventeen and a 209 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 4: half receiving yards. It's minus one oh seven. He's only 210 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:45,439 Speaker 4: hit this once before the bye week, but with Bowers 211 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 4: back he had five catches. I personally think this is 212 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 4: going to be part of the game plan moving forward. 213 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 4: Denver is number one and receptions allowed to running backs 214 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:57,080 Speaker 4: only two point six per game, but they are eighteenth 215 00:09:57,160 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 4: in receiving yards allowed to running backs at thirty one 216 00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 4: points seven. Part of that is because they have a 217 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,679 Speaker 4: low tackle grade. Pollard caught one ball went twenty nine. 218 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 4: Taylor caught two and went for fifty. Hampton caught six 219 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 4: and went for fifty nine. Chase Brown three for thirty one, 220 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 4: Barkley three for fifty eight, Skataboo three for thirty four. 221 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 4: There are three backs that did not hit this total 222 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 4: that they played against. Isaiah Davis was the main back 223 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 4: when they played the Jets. He only caught one pass 224 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 4: for negative one. Javante only caught one pass for eight, 225 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 4: and at Goomblewalle last week only caught one for two. 226 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:27,840 Speaker 4: But I think if you have a competent running back, 227 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 4: you know, even some of these guys, I don't know 228 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:33,080 Speaker 4: how competent we're gonna call Pollard this year, right, but 229 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 4: he caught one for twenty nine. I think Gent is 230 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:37,560 Speaker 4: going to be pepper with targets. I think he gets 231 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:40,480 Speaker 4: five or six again in this game. Specifically, if they 232 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 4: are down, which the numbers say they should be right, 233 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 4: and I think genty goes well over this total. 234 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm all in on gent Man. I thought he 235 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 1: would be an absolute slam dunk at the start of 236 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 1: the season with how much Chip Kelly likes to use 237 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 1: his running backs, what Pete Carroll's traditionally done with his 238 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:01,440 Speaker 1: running backs inside the ten. It hasn't been that way 239 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 1: so far. He's been adequate from a fantasy and a 240 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 1: gambling perspective, So excited to see if he can keep 241 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:10,560 Speaker 1: it going here on Thursday Night football against the Broncos. 242 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 1: And speaking of the Broncos, you're going to their side 243 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:15,439 Speaker 1: of the field for your next two player props. What 244 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: do you have? 245 00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:18,439 Speaker 4: Let's go Courtland Sutton over four and a half receptions. 246 00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 4: That's sitting at plus money right now, plus one fifteen. 247 00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 4: He's been boomerbust in a lot of weeks, right you 248 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 4: watched him, But he's hit this in five of nine 249 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 4: weeks so far. And only pickings Chase London and T 250 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 4: Higgins have more contested catches than Courtland Sutton, so a 251 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 4: contested catch is fine for him to come down with. 252 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 4: And the Raiders are allowing the third most receptions to 253 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,719 Speaker 4: wide receivers per game with fourteen, and the Raiders are 254 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,560 Speaker 4: allowing the fifth most yards to wide receivers per game 255 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:49,400 Speaker 4: at one hundred and sixty five point one. You know 256 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 4: Marvin Mims is going to be down in this game. Yep. 257 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 4: You just take some options off the field here, and 258 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 4: this defense is real bad, so I think we get 259 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 4: a decent amount of receptions heading towards Courtland Sutton and 260 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 4: my other Broncos bet here Seth is bo Nicks over 261 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 4: twenty and a half rushing yards. It's minus one fourteen. 262 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 4: He's hit this in six of nine games so far. 263 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 4: Max Crosby playing should make bo bail out a little 264 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 4: more right now, Raiders posing quarterbacks are averaging five and 265 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 4: a half rush attempts per game. Bo Knicks is averaging 266 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 4: right around four point nine yards per attempt, so if 267 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:30,280 Speaker 4: we get that five and a half to six, he 268 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 4: should be well over this twenty yards and one big one. 269 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 4: I think we'll probably get him there anyway. And the 270 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 4: Raiders are twenty eighth in run defense grade and twenty 271 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 4: third in tackling according to PFF, so they haven't been 272 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:46,199 Speaker 4: stopping anybody running the ball, including opposing quarterbacks. 273 00:12:47,280 --> 00:12:50,560 Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, I'm very high on Courtland Sutton because it 274 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: feels like with this Denver offense, we know it's gonna 275 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: be JK Doms in the backfield, we know it's gonna 276 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:57,719 Speaker 1: be Bo Nicks under center, but aside from that, there 277 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 1: doesn't feel like a lot of consistent production. Marvin Man 278 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 1: has had his week. Troy Franklin good for about three 279 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 1: receptions a game. There's not a huge edge I think 280 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: in his betting markets. I've tried to scour that and said, hey, 281 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:11,600 Speaker 1: is there something I can get invested here with Troy 282 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 1: Franklin Because, like you, I identified how bad this Las 283 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:19,319 Speaker 1: Vegas secondary is. But just like unless you want to 284 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 1: take an all and drink a ton of juice on 285 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,839 Speaker 1: Troy Franklin, I don't feel comfortable going over three and 286 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: a half receptions. But Courtland Sutton has really been the 287 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 1: one lynchpin in this offense. So I'm there for that. 288 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 1: And you also have a play on potentially maybe my 289 00:13:32,760 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 1: favorite player in this particular matchup. 290 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:37,200 Speaker 4: Oh all right, Yeah, we're going Tray Tucker over forty 291 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:40,520 Speaker 4: and a half receiving yards. No, Patrick's retained this week. 292 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:43,440 Speaker 4: He's going to be working at Moss. I already mentioned this. 293 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 4: Riley Moss has allowed the third most receiving yards this season, 294 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,680 Speaker 4: four hundred and fourteen. More targets to go to Trey 295 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 4: Tucker as well, because they just traded Jacobe Myers and 296 00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 4: he's hit this in two of three career games against 297 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:58,680 Speaker 4: the Broncos already, and those with Patrick's detained in the 298 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 4: lineup because he was probably on Jacoby Myers instead of 299 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:05,280 Speaker 4: on Trey Tucker here, So I just think Tucker gets 300 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:09,320 Speaker 4: more involved. You know, we both like the Broncos in 301 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 4: this game. Whether they hit the spread or not is 302 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 4: up for De Bay, but we do think they're going 303 00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:16,840 Speaker 4: to be winning at home. So late in this game 304 00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 4: we should see the Raiders trying to pass to catch up, 305 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 4: which gives us a lot of leeway on geno props, 306 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 4: on pass catcher props as well. And I think Trey 307 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 4: Tucker is one of those that, I mean, we know 308 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:31,280 Speaker 4: what he can do. If he slips a tackle, he 309 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 4: can get all of this on one catch. So with that, 310 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 4: plus the fact that the game script should have them 311 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 4: down and no Jacoby Myers and brock Bauer is taking 312 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:43,400 Speaker 4: away the middle of the field, pulling defenders to him 313 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 4: that way. 314 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 3: I really like this one. It's one of my favorite 315 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 3: ones too. Seth Okay, well, I'm glad to hear that. 316 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:52,440 Speaker 1: And for your final player, prop Bogs, you are featuring 317 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:55,840 Speaker 1: maybe one of the most talented players in this entire game, 318 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 1: and it's one that I was snooping around on earlier 319 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: in the week. And if you wan wanted to drink 320 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:02,920 Speaker 1: a five and a half reception line, you were paying 321 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 1: close to Mayas one fifty, close to MIAs one sixty. 322 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 1: You found an alternative route to get invested. 323 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 3: Though. 324 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's over six and a half and we're getting 325 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 4: plus money on brock Bowers plus one eleven. So I 326 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 4: just think that we saw the post by week plan right. 327 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 4: The post by week plan for the Raiders is let's 328 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 4: throw the ball as many times as we possibly can 329 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 4: to brock Bowers, and let's also get the ball to 330 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 4: Ash and Genty anyway we can, whether that's running or passing. 331 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 4: If they're not going to give us any run lanes, 332 00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 4: we'll start getting him in space and throwing him the ball. 333 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 4: I think that is exactly what you should do when 334 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 4: you refocus and rededicate and you get one of your 335 00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 4: best players back, get the ball in his hands. Get 336 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 4: the ball in your second best player's hands as well. 337 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:44,520 Speaker 4: So I think these are the two weapons that should 338 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 4: get the most targets. It might be at the expense 339 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 4: of a Trey Tucker, but as we mentioned before, Trey 340 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 4: Tucker is such a burner he could get that in 341 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 4: one catch. That's why I wasn't going receptions on Trey Tucker. 342 00:15:56,400 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 4: But also think that that is possible because the secondary 343 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 4: just takes a massive hit without Patrick's retained. So I 344 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 4: like pass catcher totals for Vegas. I like the over 345 00:16:08,640 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 4: in this game as well. I just don't think that 346 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 4: the Raiders have a lot of defense either, so I 347 00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 4: think it's a good week for overs here in this game. 348 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:19,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you, and so is the Betting 349 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 1: Pros prop bet cheat Sheet. If you guys haven't checked 350 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 1: out the Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet yet, what 351 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 1: are you doing? The NFL prop bet cheat sheet allows 352 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 1: you to find the best value plays every single day. 353 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 1: Get daily prop bet value rankings based on projections, find 354 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 1: the best props for all major passing, rushing, and receiving 355 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 1: stack categories. Use it now at Bettingpros dot com. Slash 356 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 1: props or on the Betting Pros app here on Sunday 357 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 1: mornings in my house, folks, it's a few different things. 358 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 1: Ward one, we're getting up for church. We're gonna have 359 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 1: a nice breakfast, and then after we get home from church, 360 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 1: we start a fire in the fireplace. And number three, 361 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 1: we're firing up the Betting pros prop bet cheat sheet. 362 00:16:57,600 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 1: We're sitting at the table, we're making our plays for 363 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 1: the day. And I encourage you to do the same 364 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:05,639 Speaker 1: this Sunday and every day there is NFL football going on. 365 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:10,280 Speaker 1: And let's jump into my same game parlay of the week, Bogs. 366 00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:13,199 Speaker 1: It's been a pretty tough sledding for Joey p so 367 00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 1: far this season. 368 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:17,159 Speaker 3: I have to spread the to spread to string these together. 369 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 4: Specifically, when you're picking a parlay out of one game, 370 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:20,920 Speaker 4: it's ryes. 371 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:24,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, it absolutely can be. But I'm gonna help Uncle 372 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 1: Joey out. Today his nephew's nephew Seth came to play. 373 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 1: So looking forward to this one. I have a two 374 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 1: legger plus one thirty six, so keeping it close to 375 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 1: the vest. I'm not going crazy, but I do like 376 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:37,359 Speaker 1: these skinny parlays that's generally how I like to play 377 00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:40,639 Speaker 1: parlays because hey, I don't have the luck sometimes to 378 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 1: hit three, four or five legs, So just a two 379 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 1: legger and I'm going right back to the Trey Tucker 380 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,359 Speaker 1: well there over three and a half receptions minus one 381 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:50,760 Speaker 1: thirty one. This is my favorite prop on the entire slate. 382 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 1: I'm also betting this just straight as well. You mentioned 383 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:57,159 Speaker 1: it no Jacobi Myers since being shipped out earlier this 384 00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 1: week at the deadline, and we saw this line actually 385 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 1: jump up the five and a half over under receptions 386 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 1: when Meyer was out in week seven, so I was 387 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 1: really surprised, actually, Bogs that stayed around the three and 388 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: a half mark. Tucker has hit over three and a 389 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:12,679 Speaker 1: half receptions in three out of the last four games, 390 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: including catching five of six targets without Myers in week seven, 391 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: and in the last week. Eight weeks wide receivers have 392 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:23,359 Speaker 1: crossed this mark against Denver, with a team's wide receiver 393 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 1: one averaging eight point nine targets four point eight receptions 394 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,439 Speaker 1: per game. The most of those games were with Patrick 395 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 1: stan out there instead of who He's going to see 396 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 1: a mix of Baron and you mentioned the other cornerback 397 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,919 Speaker 1: as well that has been absolutely getting robbed this season, 398 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,920 Speaker 1: so I like Trey Tucker over three and a half 399 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 1: receptions LEG two for me. Then give me JK. Dobbins 400 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:47,640 Speaker 1: ALT fourteen plus rushing attempts. This is Mayas two sixty six, 401 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:49,360 Speaker 1: so not one you can really bet on its own. 402 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 1: But Dobbins has actually hit this ALT total in eight 403 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: of nine games so far this season. That's good for 404 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,880 Speaker 1: an eighty nine percent clip and the spread indicates here 405 00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:01,359 Speaker 1: to me that Denver Real likely be leading they'll probably 406 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,880 Speaker 1: need to run out some of this clock games. Over 407 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 1: the last month here against the Raiders, four running backs 408 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:10,160 Speaker 1: have included Travis Etn twenty two carries, base Shall two 409 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 1: and nine carries last week. Isaiah Pacheco. He had fifteen 410 00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: the week prior, along with Brishard Smith taking your career 411 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 1: high fourteen carries Spears Pollard. They only combined for fifteen, 412 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,760 Speaker 1: but the week prior to that JT. Jonathan Taylor a 413 00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,400 Speaker 1: solid seventeen. So that's four running backs in the past 414 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,239 Speaker 1: month that have hit this. Why not JK. Dobbins, So 415 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 1: parlay again. You are getting JK. Dobbins ALT fourteen plus 416 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 1: a rushing attempts and Trey Tucker over three and a 417 00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 1: half receptions. That's gonna give you plus one thirty six. 418 00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:42,680 Speaker 1: And make sure you guys are building your same game 419 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:46,400 Speaker 1: parlays today. You can use the Bank Pros Same Game 420 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 1: Parlay builder. That's gonna help you stack legs that make 421 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 1: sense together so if one hits, the others are also 422 00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:55,959 Speaker 1: more likely to as well. It even suggests connected bets 423 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:59,360 Speaker 1: as you go, so you're not just guessing stack logical 424 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:03,120 Speaker 1: high value combos bets together today with our Same Game 425 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:07,199 Speaker 1: Parlay builder at Bettingpros dot com, Slash Parlay or on 426 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:11,399 Speaker 1: the BP app bogs. It's that time of year again. Baby, 427 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:14,520 Speaker 1: let's go back to the well. Let's hit some touchdown calls. 428 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:14,919 Speaker 1: What do you have? 429 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:17,600 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go Trey Tucker, our boy. This is gonna 430 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 4: be our dude in this game. Plus one thumbnail, Yeah yeah, 431 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 4: plus one seventy five in this game. 432 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 3: I just think that he could hit a long one. 433 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 4: Now, you know, everything that you bet on the Raiders 434 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 4: depends on what gino shows up? Right? Which gino are 435 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 4: we getting? Are we getting a pretty good gino? Or 436 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 4: are we getting old? 437 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:38,920 Speaker 2: Oh? 438 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 3: Wow? Why isn't can he Pickett in there? 439 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 4: Gino Smith, right, like, I think we'll get a better 440 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 4: version of Gino. He was pretty good last week was 441 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,719 Speaker 4: against Jacksonville, but hopefully that got his confidence going. So 442 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 4: if we can just get half way the's in Gino. 443 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 4: I think we can kill these props this week, and 444 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:56,719 Speaker 4: I think Tucker can get in the zo. 445 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,640 Speaker 1: Okay for me, give me JK. Dobbins miyas one fourteen 446 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 1: on the anytime touchdown. The Raiders have allowed nine rushing 447 00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:06,439 Speaker 1: touchdowns two running backs this season. That is tied for 448 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 1: the third most in the NFL, and that includes seven 449 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns in the past four weeks the last month alone. 450 00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:16,520 Speaker 1: Dobbins is due for me. I think, man, he has 451 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:18,840 Speaker 1: not found the end zone since Week five, but he 452 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,119 Speaker 1: is twentieth in rushing attempts inside the red zone this season. 453 00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 1: Seventy six percent of the Broncos carries inside the twenty 454 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:28,119 Speaker 1: are going to him, and also that bumps him up 455 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 1: to seventeenth in runs inside the five yard line as well. 456 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 1: So I like JK. Dobbins to get it done in 457 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 1: this one. I think a little positive TD regression is 458 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 1: coming his way. So I like Trey Tucker, I like JK. 459 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 3: Dobbins. 460 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,199 Speaker 1: I'm glad we could both get a little action on 461 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 1: him to round up the program. 462 00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 3: Here, Bogs, let's go, let's get some dubs, get some money. 463 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,679 Speaker 1: Absolutely all right, guys, that is gonna do it for 464 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 1: us on this Thursday night football edition of BP NFL. 465 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 1: Still to come later this week and every week our 466 00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 1: our official picks and prediction show. We also will have 467 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:04,200 Speaker 1: ericson and Welsh's Player Props coming to your way on Friday, 468 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,800 Speaker 1: and then Boggs, You and I will be back on Monday. 469 00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: Toget everyone locked and loaded for that final primetime game 470 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,439 Speaker 1: of week number ten. Let us go down below in 471 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,120 Speaker 1: the comments your favorite Week ten picks, and while you're here, 472 00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: make sure you're smashing that like button. Subscribe to the channel. 473 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,640 Speaker 1: If you're new for Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock take 474 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:21,120 Speaker 1: care of y'all. 475 00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:24,159 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 476 00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 2: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 477 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:30,040 Speaker 2: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 478 00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:32,919 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 479 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:36,719 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 480 00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:45,200 Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com. Slash betting pros