WEBVTT - Brian Robinson Will Bounce Back! | Top 10 Predictions & Prop Bets for Week 17 (Ep. 1502) 0:00:01.040 --> 0:00:04.600 Hello, everybody, Welcome into the Fantasy pros Football Podcast. I'm 0:00:04.640 --> 0:00:07.360 Ryan Warmley, joined not on this Tuesday morning, on this 0:00:07.600 --> 0:00:10.159 Monday morning because we're tamping a day early because of 0:00:10.200 --> 0:00:13.920 the holiday, by Chris Welsh and Andrew Ericson Fellas. It 0:00:14.000 --> 0:00:16.160 is not only the week of Christmas, it is the 0:00:16.200 --> 0:00:19.919 week of the Fantasy Championship. We were just talking a 0:00:19.960 --> 0:00:23.360 bit before we started recording about how we performed in 0:00:23.400 --> 0:00:27.400 Week sixteen in the Fantasy Semifinals. It was not a 0:00:27.440 --> 0:00:29.040 good week for me. I will make the title game 0:00:29.080 --> 0:00:31.920 in a few places, but not the leagues I care 0:00:32.000 --> 0:00:34.800 most about. I'm going to get edged out in the 0:00:34.840 --> 0:00:38.560 scott Fish Bowl Finals. I had a very strong week actually, 0:00:38.600 --> 0:00:42.680 but everybody did and I will not make the finalists there. 0:00:43.600 --> 0:00:45.280 You know, we were talking about some of the content leagues, 0:00:45.320 --> 0:00:48.400 some of the industry leagues were in together. A lot 0:00:48.440 --> 0:00:51.440 of disappointing performances for me at least, and I faced 0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:54.680 Jonathan Taylor in a number of places, which was pretty 0:00:54.760 --> 0:00:57.080 much an auto loss. Welsh, how did your teams fair 0:00:57.160 --> 0:00:57.680 this weekend? 0:00:58.360 --> 0:01:02.360 We did pretty good. The ones that's survived. Coming into 0:01:02.520 --> 0:01:06.640 this week, I think I'm in going into two Championships, 0:01:06.680 --> 0:01:09.920 and then I'm still in the championship round of the 0:01:10.280 --> 0:01:15.000 Fantasy Pros Online FFPC. The Fantasy Pros Online Championship. They 0:01:15.040 --> 0:01:17.120 just take the final three weeks, they round them up. 0:01:17.200 --> 0:01:19.760 I had a very strong week. I had Brian and 0:01:19.840 --> 0:01:23.440 one team. It was like Brian Thomas and Bijon. It 0:01:23.480 --> 0:01:25.520 was a very very strong week on that team, so 0:01:25.600 --> 0:01:28.880 hoping to make some cash, make some cash. But there's 0:01:28.920 --> 0:01:31.280 a couple others. I had that classic by the way 0:01:31.319 --> 0:01:35.240 where it was like the prior week stinker, and then 0:01:35.280 --> 0:01:37.959 I look at those teams this week, bup, bup, bup 0:01:38.000 --> 0:01:41.720 would have just like done some demolishing specific can't do that. 0:01:41.760 --> 0:01:44.720 I shouldn't have. I shouldn't have. Yeah, flex leagues, I 0:01:44.720 --> 0:01:48.560 would have moved on to the championship. But no, Bueno Erickson, 0:01:48.600 --> 0:01:49.480 how about you, buddy. 0:01:49.640 --> 0:01:52.280 I had three teams left playing in the semi finals. 0:01:52.360 --> 0:01:56.240 One of them was lost. I got destroyed, so that 0:01:56.280 --> 0:01:57.880 team will not be moving on. But two teams and 0:01:57.920 --> 0:01:59.600 the one that I care about the most I've talked 0:01:59.600 --> 0:02:02.120 about before four on this show, Puku Nakui, even though 0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:04.080 he didn't really have a good game. A team has 0:02:04.120 --> 0:02:06.040 Brian Thomas on it, So he's been helping a lot. 0:02:06.080 --> 0:02:08.959 And Jane Daniels so j Nails obviously had that monster 0:02:09.040 --> 0:02:10.880 game against the Eagles, and that's gonna propel a lot 0:02:10.880 --> 0:02:14.360 of people, so including me. So unless something very weird 0:02:14.400 --> 0:02:16.400 happens on Monday Night football, I should have at least 0:02:16.400 --> 0:02:19.239 two teams advancing to the championships. So yeah, looking forward 0:02:19.280 --> 0:02:21.760 to Week seventeen and get to these emiss. 0:02:21.639 --> 0:02:24.079 Isn't it incredible too? I forgot this. So I have 0:02:24.120 --> 0:02:26.560 like two in the championship FFPC and my favorite thing, 0:02:26.560 --> 0:02:28.839 because you said your your favorite league is and I've 0:02:28.840 --> 0:02:31.359 done this, mentioned this tons of times the Pentathlon. I'm 0:02:31.360 --> 0:02:34.160 playing in the five event league that my friend Derek 0:02:34.280 --> 0:02:37.040 and Riper at the Athletic Is put together. We are 0:02:37.200 --> 0:02:39.200 first place in one of the events in the super 0:02:39.200 --> 0:02:42.640 Flex League and we had Jalen Hurts and Jalen Hurts 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:46.440 gets knocked out. Also destroyed my wallet right before Christmas. 0:02:46.520 --> 0:02:48.920 Thanks a lot. I hope he's okay though, But isn't 0:02:48.960 --> 0:02:52.079 it amazing when you get those other players that pick 0:02:52.160 --> 0:02:54.760 you up, like in that one I had justin Jefferson, 0:02:54.800 --> 0:02:57.080 like we look like like we're gonna just score low 0:02:57.360 --> 0:02:59.680 and then the rest of your players, like they know 0:03:00.080 --> 0:03:03.320 it's happening, Eric Erckson, They're picking you up, They're bringing 0:03:03.440 --> 0:03:06.680 They're saying, we're gonna pick up what Jalen Hurts lost 0:03:06.720 --> 0:03:09.200 and we are going to play for you. It's like 0:03:09.240 --> 0:03:11.880 a Christmas miracle, Justin Jefferson and a host of other 0:03:11.919 --> 0:03:14.520 great guys. You just I don't know, We'll always remember 0:03:14.560 --> 0:03:17.040 those guys that pick up the slack for the quarterbacks 0:03:17.120 --> 0:03:18.760 or the big players that we lose, you know, in 0:03:18.800 --> 0:03:21.360 the first quarter of the most important time in fantas. 0:03:21.400 --> 0:03:23.919 Why team morale is so important, So Andrew Week said, 0:03:23.919 --> 0:03:25.880 it is. You drop all your bench guys. You pick 0:03:25.919 --> 0:03:27.720 up Nick Chobb, you pick up Tank Dale, you pick 0:03:27.800 --> 0:03:30.920 up you pick up Chris Godwin, Rashie Rice, all these 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:32.800 guys that deserve to be on the ship, and you 0:03:32.800 --> 0:03:34.360 pick all them, throw on your bench, and then they 0:03:34.400 --> 0:03:35.280 become a league winners. 0:03:35.280 --> 0:03:37.240 Get him right your team. You get him a ring, 0:03:37.520 --> 0:03:39.720 Get him a ring that does bring morale. I will 0:03:40.120 --> 0:03:42.560 I'll be facing Mike Mayer in the finals of our 0:03:42.920 --> 0:03:45.960 Fantasy pros Dynasty league that we have. So that's that's 0:03:46.040 --> 0:03:48.320 one fun one and I'm hoping if I get a 0:03:48.360 --> 0:03:50.520 miracle tonight, and again we are recording this on Monday 0:03:50.560 --> 0:03:53.120 morning because of the holiday, this will be released on Tuesdays. 0:03:53.160 --> 0:03:55.720 So we don't know yet what's happened in Packer's Saints. 0:03:55.760 --> 0:03:57.760 But if I get a miracle a bad game from 0:03:57.800 --> 0:04:00.880 both Jacobs and Jaden Reed, then I might be facing 0:04:00.960 --> 0:04:05.200 ericson in one championship as well. But it will not be. 0:04:06.320 --> 0:04:08.840 Like luck, because I'm gonna be starting Mason Rudolph so 0:04:09.840 --> 0:04:11.480 Ron Christmas, so you better watch out. 0:04:13.480 --> 0:04:16.640 We will be talking and here about how we did 0:04:16.680 --> 0:04:19.000 in week sixteen, our predictions, and then mostly looking ahead 0:04:19.000 --> 0:04:21.760 to week seventeen, so again, you know, just to emphasize 0:04:22.040 --> 0:04:24.799 again probably too much at this point. We are taping 0:04:24.839 --> 0:04:26.760 this early, so we're gonna do the best we can 0:04:26.800 --> 0:04:28.880 as far as like if guys are playing or not, 0:04:29.120 --> 0:04:31.960 as far as we might include some Packers and some predictions. 0:04:32.200 --> 0:04:34.320 They obviously haven't played yet, so if anybody gets hurt 0:04:34.400 --> 0:04:36.360 or ends up not playing, you're listening to this later 0:04:36.360 --> 0:04:39.320 in the week, maybe after the holidays or right before Christmas, 0:04:39.480 --> 0:04:41.599 or however you want to do it. Just bear in 0:04:41.640 --> 0:04:43.520 mind this is early Monday morning. We want to get 0:04:43.640 --> 0:04:45.680 to get everybody a show, but we also wanted to 0:04:45.680 --> 0:04:48.440 give ourselves and our editing team, who does a wonderful 0:04:48.520 --> 0:04:51.640 job all year, a break on Christmas, even Christmas, So 0:04:52.120 --> 0:04:54.520 that's why we're rolling early. Let's see how did we 0:04:54.560 --> 0:04:57.359 do in week sixteen? Ericson as of now, and you 0:04:57.400 --> 0:04:59.200 do still have one prediction waiting to see how it 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:01.840 does tonight. As of now. You got literally nothing right 0:05:01.880 --> 0:05:02.719 from last week. 0:05:04.120 --> 0:05:07.400 It was the meanest you've ever been. I was like, 0:05:07.640 --> 0:05:11.400 Erickson's gonna have done good. You're like and awful. It 0:05:11.560 --> 0:05:12.920 was a bad one. 0:05:13.360 --> 0:05:15.560 I was updating it throughout the day yesterday and I 0:05:15.560 --> 0:05:17.680 had like all the predictions written down and it was 0:05:17.680 --> 0:05:19.400 either deleted if you didn't get it, or leave it 0:05:19.400 --> 0:05:23.120 in the outline if you did, and it was just delete, delete, 0:05:23.600 --> 0:05:25.719 highlight cut. 0:05:25.760 --> 0:05:26.000 It was. 0:05:26.360 --> 0:05:26.760 It was. 0:05:27.120 --> 0:05:28.120 It was brutal for. 0:05:29.560 --> 0:05:35.400 Franklin. We knew golf, Yeah, well wrong, try frank That 0:05:35.440 --> 0:05:37.640 did go over his receiving yards prop he just didn't catch, 0:05:37.640 --> 0:05:41.239 and he didn't catch the store Marvin had the long reception, 0:05:41.360 --> 0:05:44.479 not Troy Franklin. Although Bonnicks didn't even really throw the 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:46.719 ball down field at all. It was all checked out. 0:05:47.279 --> 0:05:50.599 So there's that one. Uh, Christian Watson is on Monday night, 0:05:50.680 --> 0:05:52.440 so we don't know about that, so that one's gonna hit. 0:05:52.560 --> 0:05:57.440 So yeah, yes, Ericson's logic of the world, which is 0:05:57.480 --> 0:06:00.000 pretty sound by the way, it saved me in multiple spots. 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:04.200 That way, there's no chance Erickson can go oh for five. 0:06:04.640 --> 0:06:07.560 So I'm gonna now that hard on. Christian. What was 0:06:07.560 --> 0:06:08.840 your what was your prediction on want So? 0:06:08.839 --> 0:06:11.039 I think it was I think it was over his 0:06:11.120 --> 0:06:12.200 receiving and touchdown. 0:06:12.440 --> 0:06:14.960 So all right, everybody already knows what happens, and you 0:06:15.040 --> 0:06:15.320 know that. 0:06:15.279 --> 0:06:18.440 He you listed a bunch of the ones you had. 0:06:18.440 --> 0:06:20.720 He didn't list the big one that we've been talking 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:23.520 about for like a month, which was traded. 0:06:23.920 --> 0:06:27.480 I swear like Kyler Murray just doesn't. I don't know, 0:06:27.640 --> 0:06:29.800 Like he sees Martin Harrison, He's like, I gotta throw 0:06:29.800 --> 0:06:31.599 a fade to Martin Harrison. He never catches. 0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:38.400 Ever, Kyler Murray stinks. He stinks. Oh, he had McBride 0:06:38.400 --> 0:06:41.080 in the end zone, overthrew him, which then. 0:06:40.960 --> 0:06:44.360 Turned into a past interference call and then they DJ Dallas. 0:06:44.400 --> 0:06:47.680 Yeah, but if you watch that play, it was like, 0:06:47.960 --> 0:06:49.680 you know, a full set. It was like three tight 0:06:49.760 --> 0:06:52.920 ends or whatever. It's play action. McBride goes to the 0:06:53.000 --> 0:06:57.480 left wide open. Kyler Murray never even looked over there 0:06:57.480 --> 0:06:58.919 and went to DJ j Ellis because I bet it. 0:06:58.960 --> 0:07:01.320 Of course I ride with Homie. I go, I'm on 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:05.600 trade McBride two straight weeks on money and I'm like McBride, 0:07:06.360 --> 0:07:10.320 DJ Dallas. Kyler Murray hates trade McBride and I don't 0:07:10.320 --> 0:07:12.280 know if you guys saw too trade McBride not happy 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:14.440 after the game, had a few words about how cooked 0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:19.240 they got. That was recorded Cayler Murray's rough as was. 0:07:19.240 --> 0:07:22.320 My last one, last one I got wrong, I should say. 0:07:23.080 --> 0:07:24.640 You had it was. 0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:26.440 We did it at a time where we thought that 0:07:26.520 --> 0:07:29.200 Carson Wentz might start for the Chiefs, so you had 0:07:29.280 --> 0:07:31.360 him having a good game. So that one's a little unfair, 0:07:31.960 --> 0:07:35.840 got butchered. He never really have the opportunity to, uh 0:07:36.000 --> 0:07:38.000 that was to see how he did. But for you, 0:07:38.080 --> 0:07:41.680 let's talk about Wels. Wels did much better. You know, 0:07:41.720 --> 0:07:44.120 some of the ones he didn't technically get, but like 0:07:44.920 --> 0:07:50.160 if you are, for example, you had Bucky Irving getting 0:07:50.160 --> 0:07:52.360 a rushing and a receiving touchdown. He didn't get that, 0:07:52.400 --> 0:07:55.120 but he had a good game like that spiritually was correct. 0:07:55.200 --> 0:07:58.320 You were right about Lamar Jackson exercising demons against the stealers, 0:07:58.480 --> 0:08:00.560 but he didn't technically throw for three hund yards. 0:08:00.600 --> 0:08:03.680 So like, hey, but I said three touchdowns and I 0:08:03.680 --> 0:08:05.800 had sad three hundred total yards. 0:08:05.800 --> 0:08:09.440 And he was like, you were spiritually correct for sure. 0:08:10.600 --> 0:08:12.640 That's manifested accounting. 0:08:12.280 --> 0:08:12.520 I think. 0:08:12.760 --> 0:08:15.360 And then you were. You were definitely like objectively correct 0:08:15.360 --> 0:08:17.960 on Jerome Ford eighty plus yards in a touchdown and 0:08:18.000 --> 0:08:21.040 George Kittle doing well against Miami getting his hundred plus yards. 0:08:21.040 --> 0:08:22.920 So you you hit spot on on a couple of 0:08:22.920 --> 0:08:23.400 these as well. 0:08:24.360 --> 0:08:26.440 Yeah, And you know what I remember too, Brian Thomas, 0:08:26.480 --> 0:08:29.600 I think had that huge play this week, and I 0:08:29.640 --> 0:08:31.400 put it in my brain that I had put that 0:08:31.520 --> 0:08:33.400 on there. The one I got really wrong was Kim 0:08:33.880 --> 0:08:37.160 That was from the previous Thomas having that. Yeah, I 0:08:37.160 --> 0:08:42.080 would say, soothsayer as Erickson would say, like, I'm gonna 0:08:42.080 --> 0:08:44.000 give myself the points. I nailed all of those to 0:08:44.160 --> 0:08:48.320 a very high degree. Kem Coleman, big fat, stupid idiot direction. 0:08:48.720 --> 0:08:51.120 Why would I think he would do anything whatsoever. But 0:08:51.520 --> 0:08:53.640 I'm gonna take I'm gonna take four wins on that 0:08:53.760 --> 0:08:54.840 with one loss. 0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:57.000 Yeah, the rest of them you maybe missed if you 0:08:57.040 --> 0:09:00.240 were like betting their props like technically, but you a 0:09:00.280 --> 0:09:03.400 win for the overall prediction on the on the rest, 0:09:03.679 --> 0:09:05.679 and to be clear, you only needed to get one 0:09:05.679 --> 0:09:07.079 of them right to do better than Erickson. 0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:10.440 Because again, because if you don't remember Ericson, everything you 0:09:10.480 --> 0:09:12.920 did was wrong, just if you forgot. 0:09:13.400 --> 0:09:16.160 All right, let's get into our week seventeen predictions. It'll 0:09:16.200 --> 0:09:18.040 be interesting to see kind of what direction you guys 0:09:18.080 --> 0:09:20.600 took these, given how early in the week we are 0:09:20.640 --> 0:09:22.959 doing this relative to usual, But we're going to see 0:09:23.000 --> 0:09:26.160 if I mean like, it can hardly be much worse Ericson. 0:09:26.240 --> 0:09:28.880 So we'll start with you, what's your what's your number 0:09:28.960 --> 0:09:30.600 five prediction for week seventeen. 0:09:30.840 --> 0:09:33.840 Jackd Abbins is going to come back off of injury 0:09:33.880 --> 0:09:36.280 reserve and rush for one hundred and thirty four plus 0:09:36.360 --> 0:09:38.880 yards against the New England Patriots. First of all, it's 0:09:38.880 --> 0:09:40.680 a great matchup and Jack Obbins is eligible to come 0:09:40.720 --> 0:09:43.240 off the injury reserve. And I just cannot stand any 0:09:43.240 --> 0:09:46.680 more of the Gus Bus experience on just too much. 0:09:46.679 --> 0:09:48.760 On Thursday night, the guy is sitting on like twenty yards, 0:09:48.960 --> 0:09:51.600 he rips off this like the longest run of his career, 0:09:51.880 --> 0:09:54.840 seemingly and destroys all of the gust Edwards unders that 0:09:54.920 --> 0:09:57.560 I had on Thursday night, but scored two touchdowns. I'm 0:09:57.559 --> 0:09:59.560 sure he helped a lot of people and their fantasy 0:09:59.640 --> 0:10:01.880 champions discuss Edwards, So shout out to the gus Bus. 0:10:01.880 --> 0:10:04.079 But I think that Dobbins, if he is eligible to 0:10:04.120 --> 0:10:05.840 play and comes off ir that they're going to throw 0:10:05.920 --> 0:10:08.679 him right back into the fire because I think Dobbins 0:10:08.800 --> 0:10:10.560 he has incentives. There's a reason why I picked one 0:10:10.600 --> 0:10:13.280 hundred and thirty four yards exactly, so he gets an 0:10:13.320 --> 0:10:15.440 additional one hundred and fifty K for each of the 0:10:15.480 --> 0:10:18.240 thresholds that he reaches in terms of rushing yards. So 0:10:18.280 --> 0:10:21.040 he's at seven sixty six right now, but he gets 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:24.240 to nine hundred, he gets an additional bonus. He gets 0:10:24.280 --> 0:10:27.160 to one thousand and fifty, he gets another additional bonus. 0:10:27.200 --> 0:10:29.600 So I'm going to expect that, hey, he can get 0:10:29.600 --> 0:10:31.640 to one hundred thirty four yards, get that first bonus 0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:33.720 because I put him over nine hundred and then even 0:10:33.760 --> 0:10:35.480 a week at we could see him run a lot more. 0:10:35.559 --> 0:10:37.719 So I like j Dobbins bouncing back here. It's a 0:10:37.720 --> 0:10:40.520 great matchup against New England Patriots. They can't stop the run. 0:10:40.640 --> 0:10:43.480 James Cook got there on not even that much volume 0:10:43.640 --> 0:10:46.200 last week, going over one hundred yards. So I like 0:10:46.240 --> 0:10:48.360 Dobbins and I think that I wouldn't be hesitant to 0:10:48.360 --> 0:10:51.040 start him in fantasy, Like I think you should start JK. 0:10:51.080 --> 0:10:52.480 Dobbins if he is eligible to play. 0:10:52.880 --> 0:10:54.760 I was surprised when I saw on the outline that 0:10:54.800 --> 0:10:57.520 you put specifically one hundred and thirty four plus yards. 0:10:57.559 --> 0:10:59.440 I guess it makes sense that it would be base 0:10:59.520 --> 0:11:02.480 around some kind of incentive. Welsh, what do you think about, 0:11:02.559 --> 0:11:05.280 you know, maybe not specific one hundred and thirty four yards, 0:11:05.320 --> 0:11:07.480 but Dobbin's having a big day and being a very 0:11:07.600 --> 0:11:10.440 viable start in what will theoretically be his first game back, 0:11:10.480 --> 0:11:12.000 assuming he is officially activated. 0:11:12.640 --> 0:11:15.240 Yeah, I like the logica. Again, they'll like the one 0:11:15.440 --> 0:11:17.400 thirty four. This will be the like he goes for 0:11:17.440 --> 0:11:19.600 one hundred and you're going to spiritually say he was 0:11:19.640 --> 0:11:22.000 pretty right, and I'll be like that was right, but like, yeah, 0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:24.000 like I probably wouldn't pick the one thirty four because he's, 0:11:24.000 --> 0:11:26.040 like I don't see him like hitting the incentive and 0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:28.080 then pushing at that hard in that first game back. 0:11:28.280 --> 0:11:30.920 But if he has like a hundred, he's probably within 0:11:31.200 --> 0:11:33.760 the distance where next week I would be like, oh, 0:11:33.840 --> 0:11:35.640 now we're gonna go like hard, We're going to go 0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:38.560 on incentive based numbers. But yeah, I think the only 0:11:38.559 --> 0:11:41.880 thing that worries me is him coming back and you know, 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:46.320 like having this very very vast history of injuries and 0:11:46.400 --> 0:11:48.679 it happening again this year, that they would want him 0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:50.320 a little bit healthier, and you don't want to give 0:11:50.360 --> 0:11:52.640 him twenty plus carries, so I would be worried he'd 0:11:52.679 --> 0:11:55.480 be limited to like you know, ten to twelve just 0:11:55.520 --> 0:11:57.880 to get his feet under him. But he has had 0:11:57.920 --> 0:12:01.000 some big explosive plays this year, so I don't know, 0:12:01.040 --> 0:12:02.800 you know, if I were playing Sate, like whatever his 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:04.880 rushing yard prop is, I think I'm going to want 0:12:04.880 --> 0:12:06.439 to go over it this week. I think that's a 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:10.240 play because incentives are in the uh when say the 0:12:10.240 --> 0:12:11.800 rear view kind of in the review, they're like, they're 0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:14.319 right there, but I'm not sure, like we're going to 0:12:14.400 --> 0:12:16.240 hit that one thirty four. But I like the logic 0:12:16.280 --> 0:12:18.360 of what's happening here because you want to get him set, 0:12:18.400 --> 0:12:21.000 you want to get him going, and as you know 0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:24.400 Erickson was talking about off air like the other week, 0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:27.000 and a lot of people do it is incentive time. 0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:29.560 This is the time where people are like going heavy 0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:32.840 on yards and catches. That's why Mike Evans is a 0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:35.160 big play right now, and knowing these type of things 0:12:35.160 --> 0:12:37.520 are really important. I think it was didn't someone ask 0:12:37.559 --> 0:12:39.720 Baker Mayfield about this last week with Mike Evans and 0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.360 He's like, I'm paying attention to more of the you know, 0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:45.280 the thousand yard club incentives than he is. So yeah, 0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:47.559 I think that the logic is really sound here and JK. 0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:50.040 Dobbins getting some run is good. Just worried about what 0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:51.000 the volume looks like. 0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:54.080 Quickly ericson, I know it's definitely too early for rankings, 0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:56.160 but what kind of range do you expect Dobbins to 0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:57.000 fall in for you. 0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:01.240 Top twenty four? I would say probably at RB two range. 0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.040 I mean looks. I mean James Cook had eleven carries 0:13:04.080 --> 0:13:06.679 last week out one hundred yards against Patriots, right, so 0:13:06.840 --> 0:13:10.360 even if Dobbins gets ten carries, that might be enough 0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:12.640 to get some do some serious damaging. I mean, the 0:13:12.640 --> 0:13:16.000 Page's defense is so bad, like they can't stop anything. 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:18.959 So the Chargers are muscle wing territory. They're trying to 0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:21.120 make a run at the postseason. It's good matchup, but 0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:22.600 on Saturday too, so it should be fun. 0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:27.120 Well, let's let's your number five prediction, all right? 0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:29.880 The first one I'm gonna go with almost like caveat 0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:31.960 here because there might be a player issue with it, 0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:34.520 But the main crux of it is going to be 0:13:34.559 --> 0:13:37.520 going down the Odric estimate train, and we're gonna go 0:13:37.559 --> 0:13:42.160 Adric estimate pulling off seventy five plus total yards and 0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:45.080 a touchdown against the Cincinnati Bengals. Why I'm giving it 0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:50.920 a caveat. Jalil McLoughlin is fully healthy and available. Let's 0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:52.800 just move this to him. Let's just put this over 0:13:52.800 --> 0:13:55.000 to McLoughlin. I like this in play for both of 0:13:55.040 --> 0:13:57.600 these guys. What I do like is estimated this past 0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.880 week nine carries forty eight yards against Chargers. That's a 0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:04.160 tough one and a touchdown, averaging over five yards per carry. 0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:06.320 What did I do with Jerome Ford? Last week? We 0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:10.199 picked on the Bengals. Who are the Broncos playing the Bengals. 0:14:10.200 --> 0:14:13.200 The Bengals still giving up the tippy top. This hasn't 0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:16.480 updated here, but going into this past week, the Bengals 0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:18.720 were giving up the most fantasy points to running backs, 0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:22.960 the most receiving yards two running backs. So if McLoughlin 0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:26.240 is active, I really like this plus seventy five because 0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:28.960 he's going to be heavily involved in the receiving game. 0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:31.720 This is a little bit of a Javonte william thing 0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:34.640 on the receiving side. But Arodric Estimate getting more carries. 0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:36.120 I know they want to. They want to see more 0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:38.560 out of him. If McLoughlin is not there, they can 0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:41.200 get in this game. Adric Estima going to get over 0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:43.840 those ten carries, have seventy five plus and just rip 0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:45.560 off what you can do against the Bengals, because we 0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:47.560 saw it from Jerome Ford. So seventy five in a 0:14:47.600 --> 0:14:51.720 score for Adric Estimate, assuming Juliel McLoughlin is inactive. 0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:54.920 Ericson, this would be clearly the best game of Estimate's 0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:58.240 young career for fantasy purposes. Do you think that it'll 0:14:58.240 --> 0:14:59.520 play out the way? Well, She's it. 0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:02.200 I hope so, because I love Estimate, but I hate 0:15:02.280 --> 0:15:05.840 Champayn and this is just this is a classic Hey 0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:09.520 like Estimate. It looks like the guy like he even 0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:12.920 started the game last on Thursday night, and the broadcasters 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:14.800 messed it up saying, oh, Jamanti Williams up the medal 0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:18.280 for blah blah blah. Wait, that's not Jamante Williams, that's 0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:21.080 I'm just Esterday starting the game. And I'm just I'm 0:15:21.120 --> 0:15:24.080 just so sick of being bamboozled by Sean Payton when 0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:26.640 it's like, oh, the trend say that this should be 0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:30.040 the next guy getting the volume, and I'm terrified if 0:15:30.080 --> 0:15:34.200 mcloffain comes back and then adds another wrinkle to this prediction. 0:15:34.680 --> 0:15:37.880 The other thing too, that I concerns about is the 0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:40.200 game script if the Bengals get a lead like his 0:15:40.360 --> 0:15:42.600 estimate even in the game anymore, because I love Javonte 0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:45.240 in that's pass catching role. So that's where I get 0:15:45.360 --> 0:15:48.440 concerned about where this con potentially goes off the rail. Again. 0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:50.000 I would love all the conference where it'll be like 0:15:50.280 --> 0:15:52.600 love estimate, it's a great matchup, and I think that 0:15:53.280 --> 0:15:55.400 Fantasy football wise, like there are gonna be people that 0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:57.400 might need to start estimate, you know, even as like 0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.360 a flexor an RB three play because it is a 0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:02.200 good matchup for him and went in doubt. I think 0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:04.520 attacking some of these softer matchups makes a lot of sense, 0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:06.960 But I just I don't think I've ever been right 0:16:07.280 --> 0:16:09.760 like backing one week of a sample size of this 0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.320 broadcast backfield and then following the next week it being correct. 0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:14.400 So that's my only hesitance on it. 0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:16.560 Who do you guys think wins that game? By the way, 0:16:16.600 --> 0:16:20.400 it's huge for the ANC playoff picture. Bengals are laying 0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:22.920 three and a half at home, it's. 0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:25.800 Only three and a half. I'm on taking the Bengals. Yeah, 0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:27.920 I just I'm taking the bank the Bengals are. The 0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:31.040 Bengals are playing much better right now, like they're winning 0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:33.000 the games that they should beat against bad teams. The 0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:35.040 Broncos defense has not been playing nearly as well as 0:16:35.040 --> 0:16:36.840 it was to start the year. And I don't know 0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:39.280 if bo Nix can can keep up with Joe Burrow. 0:16:39.280 --> 0:16:41.000 I mean, this offense scores like thirty five points a game. 0:16:41.720 --> 0:16:43.880 It's kind of like which version of bo Nick shows 0:16:43.960 --> 0:16:46.720 up too, because we've seen this incredible, like really accurate, 0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:49.200 get the ball to everybody version of bo Nicks, and 0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:51.880 then we've also seen that like rookie version just show 0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:54.560 its head. The thing also is like if you could 0:16:54.600 --> 0:16:57.600 stop Jamar Chase. That's like a feat in itself. But 0:16:57.640 --> 0:16:59.560 then they'll just they got t Higgins and then they've 0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:02.440 got Chase Browns. So yeah, I don't like hooks like that. 0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:04.800 I probably would take the Bengals at this point, but 0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:08.200 you know, back just real quick on the logic. You're right, 0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:10.080 if the Bengals were to get out really really quick, 0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:12.560 this could be disastrous. But I would think one of 0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:14.280 the things the Broncos are going to want to do 0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:16.159 also is you want to control the game, and you 0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:19.400 want to control the clock, and that's something estimate rattling 0:17:19.440 --> 0:17:21.879 off over five yards per carry against a Chargers defense 0:17:21.960 --> 0:17:24.320 last week really works well for them to want to 0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:27.080 use him to control the clock. But you know, he's 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:29.760 probably going to come out third downs. That's where Javonte 0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:33.080 comes in again, assuming McLaughlin's not there. But my assumption is, 0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:36.080 if I guess by this logic, maybe I would want 0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:38.760 to take the hook with the Broncos here, but I 0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:40.600 guess I am leaning a little bit Bengals. 0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:44.400 It's the highest total of the week at exactly fifty. 0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:47.240 I mean ericson you said, like, you know, the Bengals 0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:49.120 are scoring thirty five a game, you got to keep up. 0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:51.800 If you take out the back to back at Ravens 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:55.240 at Chiefs where the Broncos didn't score much. Since Week seven, 0:17:55.280 --> 0:17:58.119 their points scored are thirty three, twenty eight, thirty eight, 0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:01.439 twenty nine, forty one, thirty one, twenty seven. They've been 0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:06.080