WEBVTT - How Chao Bet $500 Million on Himself—and Got Even Richer

0:00:00.600 --> 0:00:03.120
<v Speaker 1>Decrypted is brought to you by red hat, whose broad

0:00:03.160 --> 0:00:06.520
<v Speaker 1>portfolio of open source technologies for the enterprise helps you

0:00:06.559 --> 0:00:08.760
<v Speaker 1>get from where you are to where you want to be.

0:00:09.560 --> 0:00:12.880
<v Speaker 1>Red Hat the open technology to help you realize your vision.

0:00:13.320 --> 0:00:16.079
<v Speaker 1>Learn more at red hat dot com. Slash open Tech

0:00:21.360 --> 0:00:24.599
<v Speaker 1>at four p m. On January nine, two thousand and fourteen,

0:00:25.079 --> 0:00:28.560
<v Speaker 1>as New York shivered through a sub zero chill, Sena,

0:00:28.920 --> 0:00:31.800
<v Speaker 1>a Chinese internet company, ended a day of trading on

0:00:31.840 --> 0:00:38.400
<v Speaker 1>the NAS deck, down four point five percent. Initially, that

0:00:38.440 --> 0:00:41.680
<v Speaker 1>didn't seem so bad. One of seen As subsidiaries, as

0:00:41.760 --> 0:00:46.360
<v Speaker 1>social messaging service called wheep Or, was actually growing quite rapidly,

0:00:46.760 --> 0:00:49.440
<v Speaker 1>and seen as ches had recently hit a six month high.

0:00:50.120 --> 0:00:54.440
<v Speaker 1>Nobody predicted the horror to come over the next fifteen months.

0:00:54.640 --> 0:00:58.080
<v Speaker 1>Seen As stock nose dived. At one point, Ches fell

0:00:58.200 --> 0:01:01.840
<v Speaker 1>sixty two percent to just thirty dollars apiece. The company

0:01:01.880 --> 0:01:05.039
<v Speaker 1>lost more than half of its value. Around this time,

0:01:05.240 --> 0:01:08.480
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese government was clamping down on social networks and

0:01:08.560 --> 0:01:12.880
<v Speaker 1>investors were selling Chinese tech stocks. Investors were worried about

0:01:12.880 --> 0:01:15.880
<v Speaker 1>an overall slowdown in the Chinese economy, and a new

0:01:15.920 --> 0:01:19.560
<v Speaker 1>messaging service called which Hat was taking the market by storm.

0:01:19.600 --> 0:01:22.440
<v Speaker 1>Here's how Charles Chow, the chairman, have seen and remembers it.

0:01:23.000 --> 0:01:28.120
<v Speaker 1>And of course you feel disappointed that your fear set

0:01:28.160 --> 0:01:30.240
<v Speaker 1>a little bit, but the necessary reality he had to

0:01:30.280 --> 0:01:33.440
<v Speaker 1>deal with it. You have to deal with it well.

0:01:33.800 --> 0:01:37.400
<v Speaker 1>Charles certainly dealt with it. In fact, he put everything

0:01:37.440 --> 0:01:39.640
<v Speaker 1>on the line. He took out a loan for a

0:01:39.720 --> 0:01:43.120
<v Speaker 1>quarter billion dollars and he combined that with almost everything

0:01:43.120 --> 0:01:46.040
<v Speaker 1>he had, putting much of his personal wealth at stake.

0:01:46.800 --> 0:01:49.520
<v Speaker 1>With that money, he bought up nearly half a billion

0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:52.280
<v Speaker 1>dollars have seen as shares right as their price was

0:01:52.360 --> 0:01:56.280
<v Speaker 1>hitting rock bottom, and he engineered a pretty remarkable turnaround

0:01:56.360 --> 0:01:59.800
<v Speaker 1>for his company. Today, Charles Chow is on track to

0:01:59.800 --> 0:02:15.200
<v Speaker 1>be come one of China's newest billionaires. Hi, I'm Brad

0:02:15.280 --> 0:02:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Stone and I'm David Rambling and this week I'm decrypted.

0:02:19.320 --> 0:02:23.400
<v Speaker 1>Will hear China's biggest technology comeback story direct from Weibo

0:02:23.600 --> 0:02:27.240
<v Speaker 1>CEO Charles Chow, man who pulled it off. Will also

0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:30.160
<v Speaker 1>look at plans we boll has her internet video streaming

0:02:30.360 --> 0:02:33.399
<v Speaker 1>and the online finance sector, and whether it holds any

0:02:33.480 --> 0:02:37.480
<v Speaker 1>lessons to Twitter, us social messaging platform, which is struggling

0:02:37.520 --> 0:02:41.000
<v Speaker 1>to turn a profit. It's difficult to understate the popularity

0:02:41.000 --> 0:02:43.880
<v Speaker 1>of Weibo and China, a place where Internet giants like

0:02:43.960 --> 0:02:47.640
<v Speaker 1>Facebook and Twitter are literally non existent, and yet despite

0:02:47.639 --> 0:02:51.160
<v Speaker 1>its position of strength and it's incredible stuff market rebound,

0:02:51.639 --> 0:02:54.520
<v Speaker 1>there's still big questions about where the we' boll can

0:02:54.600 --> 0:02:58.240
<v Speaker 1>keep its growth story going and for how long stay

0:02:58.280 --> 0:03:10.000
<v Speaker 1>with us. So we just compared way abou to Twitter.

0:03:10.520 --> 0:03:12.600
<v Speaker 1>That may be a good comparison in terms of what

0:03:12.639 --> 0:03:16.440
<v Speaker 1>the product does, but in reality Weibo is much more

0:03:16.440 --> 0:03:19.840
<v Speaker 1>popular in China than Twitter is in the US. That's right.

0:03:19.919 --> 0:03:23.120
<v Speaker 1>Wey boar uses are concentrated in China, where three and

0:03:23.200 --> 0:03:26.600
<v Speaker 1>forty million people use the app at least once a month,

0:03:27.360 --> 0:03:29.800
<v Speaker 1>but Twitter, which is used all over the world, has

0:03:30.000 --> 0:03:34.320
<v Speaker 1>a slightly smaller user base. And Charles webo ceo David

0:03:34.440 --> 0:03:36.280
<v Speaker 1>how did you meet him? Well, he's a member of

0:03:36.320 --> 0:03:40.280
<v Speaker 1>the China Entrepreneurs Club, which is a sort of billionaires playground.

0:03:40.920 --> 0:03:43.640
<v Speaker 1>Every year on Earth Day they hold what's called the

0:03:43.720 --> 0:03:46.880
<v Speaker 1>China Green Company Summit, where members like Charles and Jack

0:03:46.960 --> 0:03:50.240
<v Speaker 1>mar who's the billionaire who co founded the online retailer

0:03:50.280 --> 0:03:53.120
<v Speaker 1>Ali Baba, they get together and they talk about pretty

0:03:53.200 --> 0:03:59.040
<v Speaker 1>much anything except for green issues. I'm at Childs and

0:03:59.120 --> 0:04:01.760
<v Speaker 1>the tallest tower of the exhibition complex and song So

0:04:02.120 --> 0:04:04.880
<v Speaker 1>the city hosting the summit this year near the top

0:04:04.920 --> 0:04:08.320
<v Speaker 1>of the tower as an Australian steakhouse known simply as

0:04:08.320 --> 0:04:12.040
<v Speaker 1>the Grill. What's Charles like in person? The word I'd

0:04:12.120 --> 0:04:16.080
<v Speaker 1>use is measured. Despite being a former reporter, Charles is

0:04:16.120 --> 0:04:19.880
<v Speaker 1>incredibly media shy. He does less than three interviews a year,

0:04:20.160 --> 0:04:22.039
<v Speaker 1>and I've been chasing him for almost a year just

0:04:22.080 --> 0:04:25.039
<v Speaker 1>to line up this chat. Once you set him down, though,

0:04:25.080 --> 0:04:27.960
<v Speaker 1>he's quite polite and generous with this time, but he

0:04:28.000 --> 0:04:30.560
<v Speaker 1>talks as though he could just stand up at any moment.

0:04:30.920 --> 0:04:34.599
<v Speaker 1>It's possibly a holder from his days as an amateur boxer. Wow.

0:04:34.680 --> 0:04:37.840
<v Speaker 1>So a former reporter and an amateur boxer. So if

0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:40.440
<v Speaker 1>you're an American investor, it's it sounds like there's plenty

0:04:40.440 --> 0:04:43.200
<v Speaker 1>of to like about Charles. He graduated from two U

0:04:43.279 --> 0:04:47.040
<v Speaker 1>s universities, worked as an auditor at Price Waterhouse Cooper's,

0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:49.520
<v Speaker 1>and he's a true veteran of the industry. He's been

0:04:49.560 --> 0:04:52.800
<v Speaker 1>at Sena since nine, when a friend convinced him to

0:04:52.880 --> 0:04:58.159
<v Speaker 1>join the finance team. I have been experienced older major

0:04:58.360 --> 0:05:03.719
<v Speaker 1>I think periods up internet market in China. And I've

0:05:03.720 --> 0:05:06.760
<v Speaker 1>been with this company for eighteen years already. Yeah, so

0:05:06.800 --> 0:05:09.760
<v Speaker 1>it's a long time back. Then Sina was like an

0:05:09.760 --> 0:05:12.679
<v Speaker 1>early Yahoo, what we used to call an Internet portal.

0:05:13.120 --> 0:05:15.720
<v Speaker 1>You went there for hyperlinks to interesting websites and to

0:05:15.760 --> 0:05:18.760
<v Speaker 1>look up the news. Also, like Yahoo, it had a

0:05:18.800 --> 0:05:22.040
<v Speaker 1>big profile in China during those PC heavy early years.

0:05:22.400 --> 0:05:25.360
<v Speaker 1>Charles arrived at Sena just as the company was preparing

0:05:25.400 --> 0:05:28.520
<v Speaker 1>for its I p O. And that's the reason joint company.

0:05:28.600 --> 0:05:31.080
<v Speaker 1>They need somebody whould help to do the I p

0:05:31.200 --> 0:05:35.240
<v Speaker 1>O from professional saying. It was a career defining move

0:05:35.360 --> 0:05:39.479
<v Speaker 1>for Charles. Sina went public in April two thousand and six.

0:05:39.560 --> 0:05:43.159
<v Speaker 1>Years later, Charles took over a CEO. As a young

0:05:43.240 --> 0:05:46.720
<v Speaker 1>public company, Sena suffered a few setbacks. It had tried

0:05:46.760 --> 0:05:49.600
<v Speaker 1>to launch an auctions business with Yahoo in two thousand

0:05:49.600 --> 0:05:52.679
<v Speaker 1>and four, but the online retailer Ali Baba was growing

0:05:52.720 --> 0:05:55.320
<v Speaker 1>so fast that competing efforts really got crowded out by

0:05:55.360 --> 0:05:59.880
<v Speaker 1>the market. Then Sena branched into search engines, only to

0:06:00.000 --> 0:06:03.640
<v Speaker 1>it beaten by bay Do. Incidentally, Sina wasn't the only

0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:06.960
<v Speaker 1>loser in search. Google tried to establish itself in China,

0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:09.360
<v Speaker 1>but pulled out in two thousand ten before getting blocked

0:06:09.360 --> 0:06:12.360
<v Speaker 1>by the Chinese government, effectively leaving bai Do with a

0:06:12.440 --> 0:06:15.320
<v Speaker 1>monopoly in the search space. Then in two thousand nine,

0:06:15.600 --> 0:06:19.080
<v Speaker 1>three years after Twitter first launched, Sina created we Bow.

0:06:19.520 --> 0:06:22.359
<v Speaker 1>Twitter stint in China didn't last long either. In the

0:06:22.400 --> 0:06:25.039
<v Speaker 1>same year that we Will launched two thousand and nine,

0:06:25.440 --> 0:06:28.159
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese government blocked Twitter because it refused to go

0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:32.240
<v Speaker 1>along with censorship guidelines. It left we bore an open market,

0:06:32.320 --> 0:06:34.880
<v Speaker 1>although Childs will tell you that we Will also had

0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:38.600
<v Speaker 1>a better product, like for example, which is much better

0:06:39.200 --> 0:06:42.440
<v Speaker 1>in many ways on Facebook, right, And I think I'll

0:06:42.480 --> 0:06:45.880
<v Speaker 1>product is much better than Twitter, and I think it

0:06:46.160 --> 0:06:50.839
<v Speaker 1>fits local market much better, and so that's the difference.

0:06:55.960 --> 0:06:59.479
<v Speaker 1>Initially things went fairly well for we Bow. Fourteen months

0:06:59.520 --> 0:07:03.640
<v Speaker 1>after waunching, we both had fifteen million registered users. It

0:07:03.720 --> 0:07:06.960
<v Speaker 1>took three years to hit that milestone. By fall of

0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:09.320
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and eleven, it had two hundred and twenty

0:07:09.360 --> 0:07:12.600
<v Speaker 1>seven million uses, and this became four hundred and twenty

0:07:12.600 --> 0:07:15.760
<v Speaker 1>four million just a year later. But by two thousand

0:07:15.760 --> 0:07:19.920
<v Speaker 1>and fourteen things were going awrve. What has really been

0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:25.720
<v Speaker 1>an unprecedented widespread public protests from Alexandrians. The Arab spring

0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:29.480
<v Speaker 1>was taking off, galvanized by social networks like Twitter. Margaret,

0:07:29.520 --> 0:07:31.520
<v Speaker 1>we heard this again and again. They wanted to make

0:07:31.600 --> 0:07:34.880
<v Speaker 1>Tunisia happen here, and a big question was the Chinese

0:07:34.880 --> 0:07:38.880
<v Speaker 1>government facing its own sort of Jasmine revolution. Online was

0:07:38.920 --> 0:07:42.160
<v Speaker 1>prompted to track down as well, and there were economic

0:07:42.200 --> 0:07:45.840
<v Speaker 1>worries at home. China's gross domestic product growth was starting

0:07:45.840 --> 0:07:48.640
<v Speaker 1>to slump to levels not seen since the nineteen nineties,

0:07:48.800 --> 0:07:52.240
<v Speaker 1>and tech companies, even Mighty Ali Baba, we're seeing their

0:07:52.240 --> 0:07:55.840
<v Speaker 1>share prices falter. But the biggest problem was actually we

0:07:56.080 --> 0:08:02.320
<v Speaker 1>Chat has been going through some difficulties in the challenging market,

0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:08.680
<v Speaker 1>especially with ours. Say that they that the introduction of

0:08:09.200 --> 0:08:12.120
<v Speaker 1>we Chat, I mean that has a big impact on

0:08:12.240 --> 0:08:16.080
<v Speaker 1>the usage and under gross of way board. We Chat

0:08:16.160 --> 0:08:18.680
<v Speaker 1>started out as the WhatsApp of China, but it has

0:08:18.760 --> 0:08:21.920
<v Speaker 1>quickly become the Swiss Army Knife of apps in the

0:08:21.960 --> 0:08:24.360
<v Speaker 1>sense that you can do so many more things than

0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:28.440
<v Speaker 1>just messaging inside this one app. Perhaps because of that,

0:08:28.560 --> 0:08:31.920
<v Speaker 1>we Chat has spread through China like wildfire. Today it's

0:08:31.960 --> 0:08:35.760
<v Speaker 1>the undisputed king of the country social messaging market. We

0:08:35.920 --> 0:08:40.760
<v Speaker 1>Chad's launched coincided with China's seismic shift to mobile. By contrast,

0:08:40.880 --> 0:08:44.280
<v Speaker 1>seen it was more oriented towards desktop browsers. And also

0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:46.560
<v Speaker 1>we've we were starting to see its growth rate slow down.

0:08:47.160 --> 0:08:50.640
<v Speaker 1>It's a significant impacted gross rate of way board and

0:08:50.679 --> 0:08:54.400
<v Speaker 1>also the mentality and the momentum how I say, we

0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:58.839
<v Speaker 1>boss growths. The combination of mobile we chat and the

0:08:58.960 --> 0:09:02.320
<v Speaker 1>slowing Chinese on we came at the worst possible time

0:09:02.360 --> 0:09:06.200
<v Speaker 1>for childs, you know, the internet product. If once you

0:09:06.240 --> 0:09:11.240
<v Speaker 1>have lost momentum, it's very hard to come back. You see,

0:09:11.280 --> 0:09:13.720
<v Speaker 1>Charles was trying to spin off weep Or from Sina

0:09:13.960 --> 0:09:17.400
<v Speaker 1>and floated on the NASDAC as a separate company. Charles

0:09:17.440 --> 0:09:20.160
<v Speaker 1>was trying to reduce risk because Sena had pumped huge

0:09:20.160 --> 0:09:24.040
<v Speaker 1>amounts of money into making wee boar success. Charles was

0:09:24.120 --> 0:09:26.920
<v Speaker 1>betting that if you could just convince rural Chinese and

0:09:26.960 --> 0:09:30.640
<v Speaker 1>people living in provincial cities and industrial towns to start

0:09:30.720 --> 0:09:33.760
<v Speaker 1>using webor, he'd be able to unlock a huge new

0:09:33.800 --> 0:09:37.439
<v Speaker 1>customer base for his company. But now the numbers were

0:09:37.440 --> 0:09:40.079
<v Speaker 1>trending the wrong way. If the attempt to I p

0:09:40.240 --> 0:09:42.600
<v Speaker 1>O had come a year or even a few months earlier,

0:09:42.760 --> 0:09:45.480
<v Speaker 1>it may have gone off without a hitch. I would

0:09:45.480 --> 0:09:48.079
<v Speaker 1>say that's major reasons for people had a pret d

0:09:48.960 --> 0:09:52.760
<v Speaker 1>pessimistic view about Webor and for that fact, I mean

0:09:52.800 --> 0:09:56.960
<v Speaker 1>because we Bo was the major gross area for Sena.

0:09:57.200 --> 0:10:02.280
<v Speaker 1>That also em passiness start price investors started hitting the

0:10:02.360 --> 0:10:07.240
<v Speaker 1>cell button on Sena shares. Charles City was kind of

0:10:07.320 --> 0:10:10.880
<v Speaker 1>blindsided by the reason why foreign investors were feeling so

0:10:11.000 --> 0:10:14.200
<v Speaker 1>nervous about his stock. Usually they have a Chinese anrist.

0:10:15.400 --> 0:10:19.400
<v Speaker 1>They were earlier users and the strong users, very heavy users,

0:10:19.400 --> 0:10:21.160
<v Speaker 1>and way by saying I alway don't use that anymore.

0:10:22.240 --> 0:10:25.199
<v Speaker 1>But actually they wanted to present a part of elite users.

0:10:26.000 --> 0:10:27.880
<v Speaker 1>I have to say, David, I've also heard from my

0:10:28.000 --> 0:10:30.920
<v Speaker 1>Chinese friends and colleagues too that they're migrating from way

0:10:30.920 --> 0:10:33.840
<v Speaker 1>Aboard to whet chat. So that's why investors didn't want

0:10:33.840 --> 0:10:37.480
<v Speaker 1>to buy seen A stock. Yeah. Put simply, yes, a

0:10:37.520 --> 0:10:40.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of investors were very excited about China, but they

0:10:40.120 --> 0:10:43.480
<v Speaker 1>simply didn't have any local no. How So when deals

0:10:43.520 --> 0:10:45.840
<v Speaker 1>came up, they did what most of us would probably

0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:49.000
<v Speaker 1>do if we're planning a holiday. They asked a colleague

0:10:49.000 --> 0:10:51.040
<v Speaker 1>with a connection to China. I mean, they did not

0:10:51.760 --> 0:10:54.400
<v Speaker 1>really know that. You know, Okay, these people actually more

0:10:54.559 --> 0:10:57.680
<v Speaker 1>using more weak chat now, but we actually have a

0:10:57.720 --> 0:11:02.360
<v Speaker 1>lot more new users not from group and she from

0:11:02.440 --> 0:11:07.600
<v Speaker 1>lautier cities, younger generations, and so that's the market. They

0:11:07.600 --> 0:11:12.439
<v Speaker 1>did not understand how that's Charles's rural strategy again, lower

0:11:12.520 --> 0:11:16.760
<v Speaker 1>tier cities, younger generations. Basically, he's saying that he was

0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:19.760
<v Speaker 1>sure his product would still grow. It's just that financial

0:11:19.760 --> 0:11:23.000
<v Speaker 1>analysts went picking up on that in the highly educated,

0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:26.800
<v Speaker 1>urban social circles. The result, to hear Charles tell it,

0:11:26.960 --> 0:11:29.960
<v Speaker 1>was absolutely brutal. The rest of its story is coming

0:11:30.040 --> 0:11:38.960
<v Speaker 1>up right after this word from our sponsor. You know

0:11:39.080 --> 0:11:41.679
<v Speaker 1>where you want to be. Red hat has the broad

0:11:41.760 --> 0:11:45.400
<v Speaker 1>portfolio of open source technologies to get you there. Meet

0:11:45.480 --> 0:11:49.120
<v Speaker 1>your evolving business challenges head on with secure solutions for

0:11:49.160 --> 0:11:54.520
<v Speaker 1>the enterprise, including Linux platforms and containers, hybrid cloud infrastructure,

0:11:54.800 --> 0:12:00.200
<v Speaker 1>application integration and development, operations management, and beyond the at

0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:03.000
<v Speaker 1>red hat dot com slash open tech to learn more,

0:12:03.440 --> 0:12:16.840
<v Speaker 1>red Hat the open technology to help you realize your vision. Okay,

0:12:16.840 --> 0:12:19.000
<v Speaker 1>we're back and things are about to get rocky for

0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:23.280
<v Speaker 1>we both CEO Charles Chow. Chinese internet users are switching

0:12:23.320 --> 0:12:26.880
<v Speaker 1>to mobile a dangerous new competitor. Wee Chat is taking off,

0:12:27.240 --> 0:12:29.880
<v Speaker 1>and the national economy as a whole is slowing down.

0:12:30.360 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Sena shares are starting to take a beating in the markets,

0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:35.560
<v Speaker 1>and Charles is trying to take his company public at

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:39.040
<v Speaker 1>what turns out to be the worst possible time. I mean,

0:12:39.080 --> 0:12:44.840
<v Speaker 1>if you're looking our presentation for i PO three years ago,

0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:49.600
<v Speaker 1>we out land our state intense. Nobody believed does okay,

0:12:49.640 --> 0:12:53.079
<v Speaker 1>it was totally disaster. I mean intense to I p

0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:57.760
<v Speaker 1>O show, I can tell you I never experienced anything

0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 1>like that. Weibo eventually listed with an initial share price

0:13:05.240 --> 0:13:07.440
<v Speaker 1>that was at the bottom of the proposed range at

0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:10.839
<v Speaker 1>seventeen dollars a share. The I p O raised half

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:13.240
<v Speaker 1>of what it was supposed to. Instead of five hundred

0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 1>million dollars, the float raised only two hundred and eighty

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:20.600
<v Speaker 1>six million dollars. To make matters worse, Sena became unprofitable

0:13:20.880 --> 0:13:23.600
<v Speaker 1>as users shifted their attention to we chat and now

0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:27.760
<v Speaker 1>the platforms like video streaming services. Right China went through

0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:31.080
<v Speaker 1>a really dramatic shift to mobile. Many people never had

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 1>desktop computers in the first place, and had been accessing

0:13:33.920 --> 0:13:37.679
<v Speaker 1>the web via Internet cafes. Now the smartphone became their

0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:41.400
<v Speaker 1>first personal internet device, and Sina started to rely more

0:13:41.400 --> 0:13:44.640
<v Speaker 1>and more heavily on Weibo to generate revenue. It was

0:13:44.679 --> 0:13:47.400
<v Speaker 1>the only part of Sina's business that really tapped into mobile.

0:13:47.960 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Charles did try a number of other experiments to get

0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:53.240
<v Speaker 1>growth going again. I mean, he partnered with Ali Bomber

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:56.439
<v Speaker 1>and a digital wallet that that didn't work out. I'm

0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:58.960
<v Speaker 1>trying to imagine the stress Charles was under at the time.

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.200
<v Speaker 1>By the end of two dozen fourteen, after a lackluster

0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:06.200
<v Speaker 1>weebo ip O, equity analysts were downgrading the reading some Sina.

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Speculation was actually building that a big rival like Ali

0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:13.199
<v Speaker 1>Baba would actually come along and buy out the business,

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:15.439
<v Speaker 1>and that could lead to Charles basically getting kicked to

0:14:15.480 --> 0:14:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the curb. But it was at the height of this

0:14:17.920 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 1>turmoil that Childs did something really remarkable. Child says he

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:30.720
<v Speaker 1>always felt the market didn't understand how good his companies were.

0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.360
<v Speaker 1>Investors were treating Sena as if we Bore was the

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:38.000
<v Speaker 1>only business in its portfolio with any value. So Charles

0:14:38.040 --> 0:14:41.760
<v Speaker 1>made the bet of a lifetime. He scrounged, he saved.

0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 1>He went to Credit Sweet to take out a two

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 1>hundred and thirty million dollar loan. That's nearly a quarter

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:51.640
<v Speaker 1>of a billion dollars. Then in June two thousand and fifteen,

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.960
<v Speaker 1>Senior announced to the market that Charles had bought four

0:14:55.040 --> 0:14:58.640
<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty six million dollars worth of Senor shares

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:01.840
<v Speaker 1>right when it's stopped. Price was near rock bottom. This

0:15:02.000 --> 0:15:04.880
<v Speaker 1>new stern traders in the financial world who are following

0:15:04.880 --> 0:15:08.280
<v Speaker 1>the company. One of those people was Brendan A. Hearne,

0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:12.040
<v Speaker 1>the chief investment officer at Crane Fund Advisors living in

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:16.720
<v Speaker 1>New York. Imagine him going into see his bankers and

0:15:16.800 --> 0:15:20.360
<v Speaker 1>saying he wants to borrow several hundred million dollars in

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:22.920
<v Speaker 1>order to invest in his company. He's he's become so

0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:27.640
<v Speaker 1>frustrated with the lack of market recognition that the true

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:31.200
<v Speaker 1>value of of sena know. It's almost like a poker

0:15:31.240 --> 0:15:34.240
<v Speaker 1>player where he's pushing the chips out into the center

0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 1>of the table. In other words, Charles was going all in.

0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Here's why Charles's decision to buy so much company stock

0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:44.920
<v Speaker 1>is such a big deal. Apart from the fact that

0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Charles was taking quite a massive personal risk by taking

0:15:48.520 --> 0:15:50.800
<v Speaker 1>on all the debt and putting his entire fortunate stake.

0:15:51.240 --> 0:15:55.040
<v Speaker 1>It gave Charles a lot more influence over the company,

0:15:55.480 --> 0:15:59.520
<v Speaker 1>and then I sa big shareholder. I'm more I was

0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:04.400
<v Speaker 1>sitting position to making to make long term decisions for

0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:08.520
<v Speaker 1>the company. And that's the difference. I think. If you're

0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 1>not a pictureholder, part of you are not your interests

0:16:12.800 --> 0:16:16.120
<v Speaker 1>not related to the company for long run. For CEO

0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 1>puppet company, you tend to make short decisions based on

0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:25.040
<v Speaker 1>the profitability, based on stop price, based on the people's expectation.

0:16:26.080 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 1>But for our business, if you cannot bet on something

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:36.440
<v Speaker 1>big for the future, you don't have future. Yeah, the

0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 1>people like Brendan the trader in New York, Charles's move

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>made him sit up and pay attention to what was

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:45.600
<v Speaker 1>happening at CENA. When when have you seen a CEO

0:16:46.320 --> 0:16:51.120
<v Speaker 1>put such a large bet monetarily m on on on

0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:53.800
<v Speaker 1>his on their company. I think that's, you know, not

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:58.120
<v Speaker 1>not many comparisons come to mind. It was just such

0:16:58.160 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 1>an unusually bold thing to do. For his part, Child insists,

0:17:02.040 --> 0:17:04.440
<v Speaker 1>it's not a gamble when you're sure of the odds.

0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, my experience has also been quite unique in

0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:10.760
<v Speaker 1>a way that not only I become that that that

0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>that's U and Cherm of the company. But also I've

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.920
<v Speaker 1>become an ages shareholder of that company, and a part

0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:19.960
<v Speaker 1>of because I love the company, part of because I

0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 1>believe in the company's future. Back at the steakhouse, Child

0:17:30.800 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>and I had a great view of Junctrol's hazy skyline.

0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:36.920
<v Speaker 1>It's one of those countless Chinese cities that people from

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:40.200
<v Speaker 1>outside the country would really struggle to name, and yet

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:44.359
<v Speaker 1>it has a population around ten million people. Cities like

0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:48.040
<v Speaker 1>this were essential to Charles plan. Yes, the idea was

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 1>to go big on provincial cities like Jountrol. People had

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:55.439
<v Speaker 1>long ignored the slice of the market for very good reasons. Actually,

0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:58.520
<v Speaker 1>salaries were very low and people frankly didn't have that

0:17:58.640 --> 0:18:06.199
<v Speaker 1>much extra cash to spend. So David, how exactly does

0:18:06.280 --> 0:18:09.520
<v Speaker 1>we bow make money? Essentially in much the same way

0:18:09.520 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 1>that Twitter does, mostly through targeted online ads. From the

0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:16.480
<v Speaker 1>moment you download the app, you're being tracked as an individual,

0:18:16.760 --> 0:18:19.320
<v Speaker 1>and we Bore serves up ads based on the profile

0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:21.680
<v Speaker 1>they collect about you. You know what your interests are,

0:18:21.760 --> 0:18:24.960
<v Speaker 1>your gender, and your tasting clothes, whether you'd potentially be

0:18:25.040 --> 0:18:27.880
<v Speaker 1>a buyer of designer brands, and this is why many

0:18:27.960 --> 0:18:31.280
<v Speaker 1>Chinese companies have ignored lower tier cities, right, Well, yeah,

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:34.439
<v Speaker 1>the average Chinese person already makes just a fraction of

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:37.440
<v Speaker 1>your average American or European and the Gulf just gets

0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:40.240
<v Speaker 1>even wider as you move away from the biggest cities

0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:44.399
<v Speaker 1>like Beijing or Shanghai. But we bore pushed on and

0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:47.200
<v Speaker 1>its smartest move is actually getting we bore pre installed

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:50.480
<v Speaker 1>on low cost smartphones. I see. So suddenly you have

0:18:50.560 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 1>hundreds of millions of new smartphone users who have no

0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:55.399
<v Speaker 1>idea what to do with them. They open their phone

0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:58.240
<v Speaker 1>and what do you know, there's we bow Yeah, that's right.

0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:01.360
<v Speaker 1>Boredom ultimately was one of the biggest drivers of weyboards

0:19:01.359 --> 0:19:05.080
<v Speaker 1>adoption out in these regional areas. You know, there's a

0:19:05.080 --> 0:19:07.359
<v Speaker 1>lot of Tier four cities that don't have shopping models

0:19:07.440 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 1>or movie theaters. Right, So what do people do when

0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:12.720
<v Speaker 1>they get off work? This is Kirk Bowdrey and analysts

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:16.280
<v Speaker 1>who track Scena for New Street Research. He's based in Singapore.

0:19:16.760 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>It's actually, you know, engaging on on you know, social

0:19:20.800 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 1>platforms has become a very popular UM activity and monetization

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 1>on the back of that actually shouldn't be too surprising,

0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:36.480
<v Speaker 1>especially um you know, if if you're brand advertising, David

0:19:36.560 --> 0:19:39.920
<v Speaker 1>was we Bow alone and targeting these regional areas. Other

0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:43.919
<v Speaker 1>services tried the same strategy, but Charles understood the power

0:19:44.000 --> 0:19:47.119
<v Speaker 1>of media. Sites like Twitter and we board depend on

0:19:47.320 --> 0:19:50.359
<v Speaker 1>user generated content. But they soon learned that while big

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:53.320
<v Speaker 1>city dwellers like the sound of their own tweets, uses

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:56.800
<v Speaker 1>out in the provincial cities they prefer to watch, So

0:19:56.880 --> 0:19:59.880
<v Speaker 1>we Bore targeted local TV stations and signed up journalists

0:20:00.119 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 1>around the country. In the first half of two thousand

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:06.400
<v Speaker 1>and fifteen, we Bore apartment with a hundred different TV

0:20:06.560 --> 0:20:10.200
<v Speaker 1>shows and eighty six movies. It worked directly with TV

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 1>shows like The Voice of China to boost interaction. Even

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 1>police departments were signing up, producing low cost content that

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:22.639
<v Speaker 1>was relevant to the new rule users. Charles realized that

0:20:22.760 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 1>some users just had no idea how to use the app,

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:28.159
<v Speaker 1>so it also launched a service that offers news and

0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:30.760
<v Speaker 1>feeds based on your interests. The more you use it,

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the better it gets guessing what you want to see.

0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:37.040
<v Speaker 1>All the while, China's mobile internet speeds were improving, so

0:20:37.119 --> 0:20:40.320
<v Speaker 1>we Bo integrated pictures and video into its feed faster

0:20:40.359 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 1>than Twitter. Charles turnaround strategy was working the monthly active

0:20:45.720 --> 0:20:49.199
<v Speaker 1>US account has been up by at least for quarter

0:20:49.359 --> 0:20:51.960
<v Speaker 1>after quarter, but did it actually make any money. We

0:20:52.119 --> 0:20:56.119
<v Speaker 1>board did manage to win over advertisers. Revenue growth soon recovered,

0:20:56.480 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 1>and so did profits. For one thing, expenses are also

0:20:59.400 --> 0:21:01.600
<v Speaker 1>lower outs out of the main city, so it turned

0:21:01.640 --> 0:21:04.920
<v Speaker 1>out that many Chinese customers had more disposable income than

0:21:05.080 --> 0:21:13.400
<v Speaker 1>people had initially expected, but not everyone. As a fan.

0:21:14.119 --> 0:21:16.320
<v Speaker 1>To survive in this market, we boar had to clap

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:18.959
<v Speaker 1>down hard on any comments or posts seemed to be

0:21:19.200 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 1>against the wishes of the government. In Beijing, thousands of

0:21:22.600 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 1>people are employed just to delete posts on sensitive topics.

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:29.240
<v Speaker 1>Users are always trying to game the system and get

0:21:29.280 --> 0:21:33.640
<v Speaker 1>around censorship rules. The Tenement Square demonstrations happened on June four,

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:36.040
<v Speaker 1>which is a blocked search term on we bow, so

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 1>people started using May thirty five instead, and this worked

0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 1>for a while until the sensors caught on. More recently,

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 1>things have become much more serious. The Chinese government pointedly

0:21:46.560 --> 0:21:49.239
<v Speaker 1>threatened people who posted defamatory room is on we bol

0:21:49.320 --> 0:21:52.840
<v Speaker 1>with jail time, but Chat was unapologetic and even points

0:21:52.880 --> 0:21:55.439
<v Speaker 1>to seen his ability to adapt to the government's wishes

0:21:55.680 --> 0:21:58.200
<v Speaker 1>as a key reason it will thrive as other players

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:02.840
<v Speaker 1>might fall. China is different. You had to put things

0:22:02.920 --> 0:22:06.000
<v Speaker 1>in Chinese perspective. But look at I was a generous before,

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:10.200
<v Speaker 1>like like in eighties in China at that time, there

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:13.520
<v Speaker 1>was nothing right. There was no media. It was only

0:22:13.600 --> 0:22:20.040
<v Speaker 1>like propaganda right, even with censorship on weyboard. Ordinary people

0:22:20.240 --> 0:22:23.600
<v Speaker 1>can complain about some things that may seem small to

0:22:23.720 --> 0:22:26.840
<v Speaker 1>Western audience, but in China it's actually really big deal,

0:22:27.240 --> 0:22:30.600
<v Speaker 1>and Charles is quite proud of that. I think it's

0:22:30.640 --> 0:22:36.960
<v Speaker 1>a it's a huge sense of success for us to

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 1>say we have this platform that allow people to freely

0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:45.840
<v Speaker 1>talk and to discuss and to make the society much

0:22:45.840 --> 0:22:52.280
<v Speaker 1>more transparent. Basically, it's a huge I think progress. For now,

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:55.080
<v Speaker 1>Cinia gets to take a moment to enjoy its success

0:22:55.119 --> 0:22:58.040
<v Speaker 1>against the odds. At the very least, it's proven to

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:02.200
<v Speaker 1>be more than just a Twitter knockoff. Twitter would love

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:05.120
<v Speaker 1>to be wi Bo, not the other way around. Here's

0:23:05.119 --> 0:23:08.359
<v Speaker 1>bending again. You're going and look at Wibo for the

0:23:08.400 --> 0:23:12.760
<v Speaker 1>first time, and this is not Twitter. This is this

0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:20.080
<v Speaker 1>is much further along. And the utilization video technology uh

0:23:20.400 --> 0:23:26.400
<v Speaker 1>mobile is huge, and then the monetization of ad revenue.

0:23:27.920 --> 0:23:30.639
<v Speaker 1>We Boars investment in video is a great case in point.

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:34.320
<v Speaker 1>It owns a substantial stake in Yeesha Technology, which is

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:37.199
<v Speaker 1>valued at three billion dollars and has a service for

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:40.960
<v Speaker 1>short web videos called meal Pack. But unlike Vine, which

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:45.360
<v Speaker 1>had fifteen second videos, these companies aren't religious about enforcing

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:48.840
<v Speaker 1>the short lengths, and so they both work symbiotically to

0:23:49.000 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 1>build users. So Churnles has managed to pull off this

0:23:56.640 --> 0:24:00.280
<v Speaker 1>incredibly daring turnaround. We both plans to keep going burnt

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:03.359
<v Speaker 1>into increasingly rural parts of China, the fourth and fifth

0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:06.959
<v Speaker 1>tier cities. But will this be enough to keep growing

0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:10.000
<v Speaker 1>the company, particularly as we chat becomes more and more dominant.

0:24:11.760 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 1>But fundamentally the answer is no. China's smartphone market is

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 1>becoming mature and it needs to find new ways to grow.

0:24:19.520 --> 0:24:22.240
<v Speaker 1>We Boor has thought about offering a Netflix style streaming

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:24.679
<v Speaker 1>video service, but it really got bullied out of the

0:24:24.720 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 1>market years ago by bigger players like bay Do and

0:24:27.560 --> 0:24:30.800
<v Speaker 1>Ali Baba with bigger budgets. So instead it's banking on

0:24:30.880 --> 0:24:34.280
<v Speaker 1>things like live streaming and short video services to generate

0:24:34.320 --> 0:24:38.680
<v Speaker 1>more traffic. It's also getting into financial services like online loans.

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:42.400
<v Speaker 1>That's right, Charles is a little reticent on the details

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:45.199
<v Speaker 1>in light of fierce competition, and the program is not

0:24:45.359 --> 0:24:48.359
<v Speaker 1>going as quickly as Scena would like. You know, licenses

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:51.159
<v Speaker 1>are taking longer than expected to get but there's a

0:24:51.200 --> 0:24:55.640
<v Speaker 1>separate subsidiary company dedicated to making it work. David. That's

0:24:55.640 --> 0:24:58.240
<v Speaker 1>also a space in which scene as competing with multibillion

0:24:58.280 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 1>dollar companies like ten Cent and Financial Right. That's true,

0:25:02.040 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 1>but I will say Charles has heard naysayers before. For

0:25:05.600 --> 0:25:09.159
<v Speaker 1>now there's a mix of quiet satisfaction and also excitement

0:25:09.160 --> 0:25:12.399
<v Speaker 1>at the company. It's a moment to breathe. As we

0:25:12.480 --> 0:25:15.560
<v Speaker 1>finished up our time together with a restaurant staff packing up,

0:25:16.040 --> 0:25:20.280
<v Speaker 1>I asked him if he felt vindicated, No question about that,

0:25:20.960 --> 0:25:27.520
<v Speaker 1>or your very delighted. And I think is somewhere fulfill

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:30.400
<v Speaker 1>in terse our success, and then I think it's it's

0:25:31.480 --> 0:25:39.600
<v Speaker 1>and then no question, it's a it's a demonstration of ability, achievement, vision, everything.

0:25:52.880 --> 0:25:55.840
<v Speaker 1>And that's it for this week's DECRYPTO. Thanks for listening.

0:25:56.880 --> 0:25:59.040
<v Speaker 1>We'd love to hear what you thought of this episode.

0:25:59.280 --> 0:26:01.159
<v Speaker 1>It's a report a voice message and send it to

0:26:01.200 --> 0:26:04.639
<v Speaker 1>Decrypted at Bloomberg dot net or I'm on Twitter at

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:08.440
<v Speaker 1>at David Randling and I'm at Bradstone. If you haven't already,

0:26:08.600 --> 0:26:11.359
<v Speaker 1>please subscribe to our show on iTunes or wherever you

0:26:11.400 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 1>get your podcast. While you're there, please leave us a

0:26:14.440 --> 0:26:17.320
<v Speaker 1>rating in a review. It really helps more listeners find

0:26:17.320 --> 0:26:21.639
<v Speaker 1>the show. This episode was produced by Pierre Gadkari, Liz Smith,

0:26:21.840 --> 0:26:25.159
<v Speaker 1>and Magnus Hendrickson. A big thank you, guys, to Taylor

0:26:25.200 --> 0:26:27.600
<v Speaker 1>Hole and Nico Grant they work on the story, and

0:26:27.640 --> 0:26:30.560
<v Speaker 1>to Jeff Muscus who edited my article in Bloomberg Business

0:26:30.600 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 1>Week about the same issue. Alec McCay is the head

0:26:34.040 --> 0:26:44.399
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Podcasts and we will see you next week.

0:26:48.960 --> 0:26:51.480
<v Speaker 1>Decrypted is brought to you by red Hat, whose broad

0:26:51.520 --> 0:26:54.879
<v Speaker 1>portfolio of open source technologies for the enterprise helps you

0:26:54.920 --> 0:26:57.080
<v Speaker 1>get from where you are to where you want to be.

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:01.240
<v Speaker 1>Red Hat the open technology to help you realize your vision.

0:27:01.640 --> 0:27:04.400
<v Speaker 1>Learn more at red hat dot com, slash opent tech