1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 1: The Volume. What's Good is Alex Monica. Make sure to 2 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: check out all things on the Volume Sports YouTube channel, 3 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 1: and always join us on the best gambling show ever 4 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 1: Tuesdays and Thursdays. Be sure to follow all of our 5 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: betting endeavors on FanDuel dot com slash Volume, and welcome 6 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: into another episode of sports Gambling with money Line Monica. 7 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 1: What's go? What's Cash? Week five October's here. I'm in 8 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:50,200 Speaker 1: New York. We got playoff baseball, We got the first 9 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: month of the season to get a little costco sample 10 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: size takeaways on all these teams. There is value all 11 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 1: over the board this week. Welcome back in if you're 12 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 1: just joining me and you haven't heard the last few weeks, 13 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 1: We've yet here on week five, knocking on wood to 14 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 1: have a losing week on this program. If you have 15 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:13,119 Speaker 1: not subscribed, rated or review goes a very long way, 16 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: greatly appreciated. Uncle Colin volumes Sports The Johnny Stockton Evolved 17 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 1: Johnny Stocktons, We're just living the dream, baby, trying to 18 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 1: get a little uber eats, eating out, take your significant 19 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 1: other to a pumpkin patch. I don't know, do something 20 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: with these winnings. We come off a two one and 21 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 1: one a t S. Last weekend Pod really should have 22 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: been three and one because say what you will about 23 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:41,839 Speaker 1: the Bills game, but if you saw inside the huddle 24 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: miked up, they were supposed to run that in what 25 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: a cover? Gotta push and we move onwards and upwards, clean, 26 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: Sweet Monday Night Football Pod. Everything but Cup getting in 27 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 1: the end zone, Hit Niners in the under. We're Danny 28 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: dial Baby, all picks on Action Network, all Social on 29 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 1: Money Line, Monico. Let's get into it. I got four picks. 30 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: I might give you a fifth. I've done the research 31 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: I'm talking about. I'm terrified about it, but I'm over 32 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 1: for betting four or against that team. I'll tease that 33 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: at the end. But let's dive in first pick, just 34 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: so you know. Two favorites, two dogs did it last 35 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: week two one and one A p S. Let's mingle 36 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: Sunday Night, Prime Time, Prime Time, Lamar Fly Ravens flock Fly. 37 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Baltimore Ravens minus three at a number 38 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: I love for a team. I had to triple check 39 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 1: the stigmatism that is two and two and has only 40 00:02:53,160 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: trailed a total Listen to this less than thirty seconds 41 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: of a game total. We're talking about the Bills and 42 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 1: the Dolphins, Scotty Van bad beats. They have only trailed 43 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: for thirty seconds less. Then this is a four and 44 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 1: oh team. That's two and two. Meanwhile, we get a 45 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:24,800 Speaker 1: Baltimore team at home going against a Ravens club here 46 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:31,360 Speaker 1: that in my opinion, knowing that the Bengal swept them 47 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:33,519 Speaker 1: last year, and that's what we are working with here, 48 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: first time since scored fort in both of those games. 49 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 1: They only scored over thirty four on Baltimore once prior 50 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: in the last decade. Last year the Ravens. Remember, last 51 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: year was about the Bengals come up when it should 52 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: have been about with the Ravens had injuries not plagued 53 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: them at the end of the year, had been building 54 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: for several Here's what I'm sitting on since twenty Joey Burke, 55 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 1: the Bengals are fifteen and four when scoring twenty four points, 56 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: all right, one six teen and one when scoring or 57 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: fewer one sixteen and one. Now, I'm not saying that 58 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: the Ravens can't come in and play little to no 59 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: defense like they have and this becomes a shootout and 60 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 1: we need Lamar to win in the shootout. But I 61 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: haven't watching a f C North football my entire career, 62 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:46,679 Speaker 1: my entire life, and a f C North football was ugly. 63 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 1: It's defensive minded, it's a chess match, it's a battle 64 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 1: in the trenches. And I look at this Bengals team 65 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: and I just mentioned that magic number here of twenty four. 66 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:06,719 Speaker 1: Well you go to the schedule here and this team 67 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: in losses under the magic number. Now they've hit on 68 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: twenty seven here in in two straight weeks. The Jets 69 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 1: don't have a very good defense. The Dolphins have showed 70 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 1: you there bend but not break and trap spot bad line, 71 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:28,599 Speaker 1: bad bet taking the Dolphins after that week they had 72 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: on and off the field against the Bills. I look 73 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 1: at Baltimore and this is a team say what you 74 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 1: will about Their defense is first in interceptions they have 75 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: seven first, there's still decent at getting to the quarterback 76 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: around the right side. Of total sacks, they have more 77 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 1: sacks than the Bengals. They're still running the ball, not 78 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: at the top three rate like they've been the last 79 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: several years, but their top eight putting up a hundred 80 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: forty two yards on the ground. I think what we 81 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: saw to J K. Dobbins last week. Two tugs healthy 82 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 1: in almost a year and a half. Huge over year 83 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 1: and a half. Excuse me. They're right there, right there, 84 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: yard for yard with the Bengals, and they scored more points. 85 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: The Ravens have scored the third most points in the 86 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 1: league through a month of football. By the way, they're 87 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 1: averaging just under thirty there at twenty nine eight points 88 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 1: per game through the first month of the season. At 89 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 1: two and two. The Bengals are putting up tight below 90 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: their magic number. The Bengals. This is what I make 91 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: of the Bengals. They are Joey Burrow heavy. Joe Burrow 92 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: credit to him, Volume Sports Colleague hasn't thrown a pick 93 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:50,280 Speaker 1: since Week one. They've looked a lot more fundamentally sound. 94 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 1: But I think they have a little bit of some 95 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:59,919 Speaker 1: running the football issues. And if we look at this 96 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 1: game on Sunday night, if the Bengals can't run the football, 97 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 1: which I don't necessarily think they will run the football 98 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 1: very well against the Baltimore defense. We saw what the 99 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:14,240 Speaker 1: Baltimore defense actually is for the first time all year 100 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: last week against the Bills. Opportunistic, getting turnovers, forcing Josh 101 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: Allen and uncomfortable situations and Josh Allen's mobile. Burrow has 102 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 1: mobile capabilities, but he's not not a mobile quarterback by nature. 103 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 1: So if they can't run the ball and they can 104 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:35,239 Speaker 1: get two, this Bengals offensive line, which we've seen, got 105 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: to two out of the four games this year. Let's 106 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 1: not forget how many times Burrow was under the rest 107 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: Week one against the Steelers, who are also after a 108 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 1: month of football we've assessed not a very good team. 109 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 1: I love the Ravens. I don't care where the public 110 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: is on this game. If it was three and a half, 111 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: completely different assessment. I don't think the Bengals are there yet. 112 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 1: I do think the top dog in this division is 113 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: the Ravens. They rearly rarely in division go back historically, 114 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: look lose three times in a row to a team. 115 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 1: I know, we've turned the page last year this year, 116 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:13,920 Speaker 1: different locker room, different timing, all of that. It's a 117 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: divisional game, all right, it's a divisional game. They're different, 118 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 1: they are truly different. Ravens at home, primetime Fueld goal favorite. 119 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 1: Don't overthink it, all right. The Bengals have one quality win, 120 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 1: one and the Ravens should be four Now we move 121 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:40,439 Speaker 1: on to my first DAG of the day. Here we go, 122 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: I'm fading my former San Diego Chargers now l A Chargers. 123 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: I am taking the Cleveland Browns with Ken vic Shun 124 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 1: on a bounce back game against the Falcons where the 125 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 1: public hammered, hammered Cleveland, who looked good the week prior 126 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,319 Speaker 1: on Thursday night against the Steelers. Again. We know who 127 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: the Steelers are, so who hasn't looked good against them? 128 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:08,840 Speaker 1: This there's a great spot for the Browns. We know, 129 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: as I'll look it up and tell you it's it's 130 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: really hard to actually even comprehend what's going on with 131 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 1: the Chargers inside the numbers because they are so stacked 132 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:30,440 Speaker 1: with personnel. Team is unequivocally top five roster in the league. 133 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: On equivocally. Here we are again though, with the l 134 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 1: A Chargers not figuring out how to stop the run 135 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 1: and not figuring out how to run the football, very 136 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 1: bottom of the NFL at sixty four point five on 137 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 1: the ground per game, going against a fairly serviceable run 138 00:09:59,400 --> 00:10:04,719 Speaker 1: Dan Klee Evelynn for what it's worth. And Cleveland, oh, 139 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 1: I hope you know where they are and they were 140 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 1: last year right there at the top outside of the 141 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:14,319 Speaker 1: New York Football Giants, which will have regression. Cleveland Brown 142 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: is the best running football team in the league. They 143 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:26,960 Speaker 1: are the best running football team in the league. Hundred 144 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 1: and eighties seven on the ground, people, hundred and eighty 145 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:38,199 Speaker 1: seven yards on the ground. Chargers come in giving up 146 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 1: over on the ground and they can't run the football. 147 00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 1: This game comes down to a couple of intangibles. As 148 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:50,520 Speaker 1: I briefly tell you where the money is of the 149 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:57,839 Speaker 1: bets on d l A. Chargers. Okay, are you ready 150 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 1: for this discrepancy? Eighty four per cent of the money 151 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 1: is on the Cleveland Browns. Now, if you could get 152 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:09,199 Speaker 1: it at plus three ideal plus two and a half 153 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 1: is the line will take it. This is being recorded 154 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 1: at this moment of two and a half. I'm giving 155 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: out two and a half. I'm telling you if you 156 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 1: go us back to three, take the three. Nick Chupp 157 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:27,880 Speaker 1: eighteen in a tug and a tutty against the Falcons. 158 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 1: It's just twenty five game since which leads the NFL 159 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:35,679 Speaker 1: of most hundred rushing yard outings, more than King Henry, 160 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: more than your favorite running backs, favorite running back. All right, 161 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: this Cleveland team, say what you will about Jacoby Brissett. 162 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 1: They've netted over three fifty yards of offense in all 163 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:53,439 Speaker 1: four games. The last time that's happened nine teen fifty 164 00:11:53,720 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 1: eight fifty eight Browns sing over three fifty yards. They're balanced, 165 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:07,840 Speaker 1: they don't turn the ball over. They have two above 166 00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 1: average running backs. They have a playmaking wide receiver now 167 00:12:11,320 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: with a Marii Cooper. Last week was a trap geme 168 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:16,760 Speaker 1: I ran into. It wasn't a play, but I did 169 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:22,439 Speaker 1: take the Browns on Action Network. I was wrong. I 170 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:25,920 Speaker 1: love him this week, though, here's something for you to 171 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 1: really really ruminate on. And I've been living this as 172 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 1: a San Diego Charger fan of recovery my whole life. Okay, 173 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:37,720 Speaker 1: the Chargers are a tale of two teams. They're a 174 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: tale of two halves. They're a tale of a Spanos 175 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 1: family running them. But that's neither here nor there. Okay, 176 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:51,960 Speaker 1: they scored twe by halftime against the Texas by halftime, 177 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 1: gave up seven. You know what, The final score was 178 00:12:56,160 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 1: thirty four torn. Here we are again that the Chargers, 179 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 1: who are top five in plus minus differential on points 180 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: in the first half of games plus twenty eight, are 181 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:20,359 Speaker 1: thirty one in the NFL in second half point differential. 182 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:25,960 Speaker 1: They are being outscored by forty four points in the 183 00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 1: second half. Forty four. Staley needs to go. Not a 184 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 1: leader of men. I don't like how they handled Herbert 185 00:13:33,760 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 1: teeth with the ribs. I don't think he's fully recovered. 186 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: He's going to be and it's gonna be very hard 187 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 1: to watch. And you go back to this podcast and 188 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 1: remember he's going to take some hits between Myles Garrett 189 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: Clowney if he goes and this front seven from Cleveland, 190 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:55,040 Speaker 1: that's going to be hard to watch. The man's gonna 191 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 1: be wincing. I don't root for anyone to be in 192 00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 1: that kind of a position. But this offensive line has 193 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: been banged up multiple multiple Pro bowlers on this line, 194 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:11,319 Speaker 1: they've been without multiple games. Of course, they lose their 195 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:16,040 Speaker 1: All Pro for the year, Slater, it's sick. Changes everything 196 00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 1: quite frankly. This team, it's an indoor team, it's a 197 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 1: Southern California team. They're going to Cleveland. It's not September 198 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 1: six seven, it's gonna be the ninth in October. It's 199 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 1: gonna be cold, it's gonna be fall football. And this 200 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:46,680 Speaker 1: is an indoor SOCW soft team playing outside and they 201 00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 1: cannot close football games. They cannot close football games. As 202 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 1: an ugly, ugly fade of my favorite team that I 203 00:14:54,480 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 1: also hate, I will take Cleveland Brown's plus two and 204 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: a half sprinkle on the money line as well. We 205 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 1: head back to the a f C East third pick, 206 00:15:06,880 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: absolutely loving it, Dolphins minus three off a long, long, 207 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:19,720 Speaker 1: el long el. All right, Teddy Covers gets the start. 208 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 1: We know what Teddy Bridge over no troubled Water has 209 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 1: been in his career. He's been serviceable, He's been excellent 210 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 1: with his completion percentage, he has been fundamentally sound, and 211 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: he has covered a lot more times than he hasn't 212 00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:38,480 Speaker 1: there was a double digit shriek. Maybe it got to 213 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 1: note where Teddy Covers was his legitimate nickname. And we 214 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 1: have the Dolphins, who have won eight of their last 215 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,800 Speaker 1: nine against New York Jets, coming to MetLife where they 216 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 1: wrapped up a seven point victory last year against Zach Wilson, 217 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 1: and they come in as the highest yards per play 218 00:15:56,800 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 1: first down team at six point eight six in the league. 219 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 1: And we have the highest outside of Kirk Cousins completion 220 00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:10,000 Speaker 1: percentage quarterback on our side in this game. That's right, 221 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: Teddy Covers since he's been in the league sixty six 222 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: point four percent completion percentage. Only Kirk Non Prime Time 223 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:23,200 Speaker 1: Cousins as a higher one by a smidge. Who are 224 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 1: you taking if you're taking the Jets and Zach Wilson, 225 00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 1: this man is the Costanza opposite of Teddy. Covers completed 226 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,960 Speaker 1: fifty five point one percent of his passes in his 227 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 1: first fourteen games as a career. It's the lowest completion 228 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 1: percentage in the last two years minimum four attempts of 229 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 1: all thirty active NFL quarterbacks is the lowest completion percentage. 230 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 1: Everyone perfect, perfect trap that as far as I'm concerned, 231 00:16:52,680 --> 00:17:00,120 Speaker 1: because the Dolphins, they're without two, they have distractions. They 232 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 1: are coming in off a loss and a pretty rough 233 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,640 Speaker 1: one at the end of that game where they could 234 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:09,959 Speaker 1: have won that game, and they don't. Only didn't win, 235 00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 1: they didn't even come close to covering and the Justice 236 00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: Pete the Pittsburgh Steelers, and not many people had the Jets. 237 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: But how about this another nugget via Naggin, because this 238 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 1: is without question gonna have regression. The Jets have scored 239 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: seventy points in four games this season. Forty of those 240 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: points have come in the final two minutes of the 241 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:41,680 Speaker 1: first half in the second half, forty forty points in 242 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: the last two minutes a first half and second half football. 243 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 1: No other team has more than thirty points this season 244 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:58,080 Speaker 1: in that same category. The Jets, they are a lion 245 00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: by the skin of their teeth. Arry, I'm telling you, 246 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:05,359 Speaker 1: I'm telling you, I'm talent. It's an eighteen points per 247 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:10,600 Speaker 1: game offense, points per game defense. We have a top 248 00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:15,080 Speaker 1: ten Dolphins offense. We have a top five when healthy 249 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 1: all across the bollard outside of running the ball, Dolphins offense. 250 00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:26,920 Speaker 1: And let's not forget what this defense when it matters 251 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 1: outside of Thursday Night, have been. They've been locked down 252 00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:35,760 Speaker 1: in important spots. I look at the Ravens game, a 253 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:38,879 Speaker 1: game I was on the Ravens. They shut down Lamar 254 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,920 Speaker 1: and the fourth when they needed to. They shut Josh 255 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:46,639 Speaker 1: Allen down despite the record of completions and plays ninety 256 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: that the Bills had a couple of weeks ago. We 257 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,960 Speaker 1: have a better coach, we have better talent. We have 258 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 1: a desperate team off a loss that let's not get 259 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:59,080 Speaker 1: it twisted. They're three and one, the Jets are two 260 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:02,160 Speaker 1: and two. The Bills are gonna route the Steelers this week. 261 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 1: The Dolphins need to go game for game, tip for 262 00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 1: tat with Buffalo. They know they have to win this game. 263 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 1: If it moved to three and a half, I'd be 264 00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: thinking differently, home dog with three and a half. We 265 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:18,440 Speaker 1: know what that is. In sports betting, you typically plug 266 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 1: your schnas to take the ugly Panthers points against the 267 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 1: Saints and then they win. It's just what it is. 268 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 1: It's disgusting. But Dolphins have had ten days and I 269 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: think on some level they come closer from all of 270 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 1: this and they put their best, best foot forward and 271 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 1: they win this ball game comfortably. I'll take the Dolphins 272 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:45,440 Speaker 1: nice three. Going back to dog Day, Baby, going back 273 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 1: to dog Day, I'm taking the Dallas Cowboys at so 274 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,440 Speaker 1: five plus five and a half, and I'm sick about it. 275 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 1: Easily gone back and forth on this. I've seen Sharp 276 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:58,440 Speaker 1: say this is the Rams play. You buy low, get 277 00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 1: off the Cooper Rush bandwag, and no Cowboys quarterback has 278 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:06,880 Speaker 1: ever won his first four starts. Cooper Rush stands alone 279 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:12,440 Speaker 1: on Jerry's World Mount rushmore of rookie starters. What not rookie, 280 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:19,399 Speaker 1: but starting your first four? The man is my space 281 00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:23,439 Speaker 1: top one. We know the Cowboys are unbelievable in division. 282 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:25,720 Speaker 1: We know their mediocre outside there eight no in their 283 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:28,800 Speaker 1: last sighting Division there seven and seven outside. Let's also 284 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,400 Speaker 1: remind ourselves though they were the number one road cover 285 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 1: last year and they never outside of the conference didn't cover. 286 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:46,560 Speaker 1: They covered every single road outing last year in the NFC. 287 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 1: They dominated against the spread in the NFC, and I 288 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:55,960 Speaker 1: looked no further than the trenches in this game. Listen 289 00:20:56,000 --> 00:21:04,440 Speaker 1: to this Shelton center, not even the starting the backup 290 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 1: center for Maddie's staff sideline for four to six weeks 291 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,359 Speaker 1: with a high ankle spring. The original center Brian Allen 292 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:14,120 Speaker 1: making progress from a knee injury that he hurt during 293 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 1: the Bills. He is not returning this week. They're going 294 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:25,359 Speaker 1: with a third string center to give the ball of 295 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:29,879 Speaker 1: Mat Stafford. All right, they're elevating alignment from the practice squad. 296 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:34,440 Speaker 1: I'm hearing they could be up to without four offensive 297 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:39,439 Speaker 1: starting linemen this week four knowing that Stafford has been 298 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 1: sacked sixteen time, second most in the league. Knowing that Parsons, 299 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:48,920 Speaker 1: Lawrence Armstrong and these Cowboys front seven are second in 300 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:57,440 Speaker 1: the NFL in sacks, I am sitting here and I'm watching, 301 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 1: and I hammered the Niners Monday night. I'm watching a 302 00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: Rams offense. No Van Jeffers, Allen Robinson might as well 303 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:11,400 Speaker 1: be me out there with a sub lect shoulder. They 304 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 1: cannot move the football if it's not in number ten's hands. 305 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 1: They can't run the football because a the offensive line 306 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:28,600 Speaker 1: be cam Akers and Henderson, they just ain't it. I mean, 307 00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:32,840 Speaker 1: look at the discrepancy between a chub and a hunt 308 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: and a pack of what eighty ones and Madden. I 309 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: start to watch in three of the four games for 310 00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:47,199 Speaker 1: the Rams, nine points, ten points, twenty points, all right 311 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 1: outside of the shootout with the Falcons thirteen points again 312 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:55,400 Speaker 1: their average. No one has put up more than seventeen 313 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 1: points against the Cowboys. No one Commander's ten Giants, six 314 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 1: team Bengal seventheen Bucks, baby, baby, excuse me nineteen to 315 00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: put up more than nineteen. The Rams are walking in 316 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:21,880 Speaker 1: to a smothering defense in the Dallas Cowboys. Now, I'm 317 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 1: not saying the Cowboys are gonna win. I have no choice. 318 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 1: Five and a half points. One quarterback hasn't turned the 319 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,200 Speaker 1: ball over, one has four tug six picks, can't run 320 00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:39,160 Speaker 1: without four fists more than likely of his offensive line. 321 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:44,480 Speaker 1: We gotta take the Cowboys. We have to so far 322 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 1: in Jerry's world from a comfortability standpoint, almost the exact 323 00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:54,440 Speaker 1: same environment. You want to talk about home field for 324 00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:58,440 Speaker 1: the Rams pedal back Jerry at Southern California. This is 325 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 1: gonna be fifty already five Rams Cowboys fans. There's gonna 326 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:07,480 Speaker 1: be blue in that stadium everywhere. We take the five 327 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,879 Speaker 1: and a half to the bank real quick. Those are 328 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:13,520 Speaker 1: my four official. I got a bonus one. I've been 329 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:18,840 Speaker 1: staring and staring and staring. How do we not berry 330 00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:24,160 Speaker 1: berry the Niners and take the six and a half, 331 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: swallow it and and fade the living daylights out of 332 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:35,159 Speaker 1: the most unwantable team I may have ever backed or 333 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:38,879 Speaker 1: gone against. I'm owing four, backing or fading. The Carolina 334 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:40,600 Speaker 1: Panthers are one and three. You could do the math. 335 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 1: They are, without questions, the hardest team to watch in 336 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,840 Speaker 1: the NFL. They can't move the football, they can't run 337 00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:53,360 Speaker 1: the football. They have no chemistry. They don't have any 338 00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 1: dog on offense. All the grit, all of the raw ra, 339 00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 1: all of the underdog story. You saw what Baker and 340 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,000 Speaker 1: clean as none of it. I told you all Mons 341 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:06,880 Speaker 1: state farm. I'm off progressive, I'm off their garbage. San 342 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:12,000 Speaker 1: Francisco comes in leading the league in defense of three 343 00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:16,200 Speaker 1: and outs of the time, almost six of the Brian 344 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,520 Speaker 1: Fantana time. It works every time they're off the field 345 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:21,960 Speaker 1: and three and outs. They are the only team in 346 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,880 Speaker 1: the league that had multiple three and out streaks within 347 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:29,280 Speaker 1: this same game, that being the Denver Bronco game. They 348 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:34,159 Speaker 1: are far and away the number one defense in the NFL, 349 00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:37,119 Speaker 1: giving up eleven and a half. Number one in sacks 350 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 1: was fifteen, their top nine in rushing just getting the 351 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,919 Speaker 1: Stella group back one thirty five on the ground. Debot 352 00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:45,720 Speaker 1: goes for one oh six on six balls. Defense shut 353 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 1: the Whites out on the rams, and the Niners come 354 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 1: in throwing six hundred and sixty four passing yards in 355 00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 1: four games. I mean, Colin must be feeling phenomenal about 356 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:03,440 Speaker 1: a Baker takeaways because this team him is so bad. 357 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,879 Speaker 1: If Darna was healthy, I already convinced they would have 358 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: made the change. Mat rule might not make it to 359 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:13,879 Speaker 1: the trade deadline, not a leader of men swing and 360 00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 1: a miss. Only two Panthers teams ever have had worse 361 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:24,199 Speaker 1: offensive starts than this Baker Mayfield squad. And last thing 362 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,200 Speaker 1: I'll say is, look when the Niners have won twice 363 00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:32,959 Speaker 1: this year double digit ws, comfortable wins. And I backed 364 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,840 Speaker 1: the Panthers last week against the Cardinals, trying to be sharp, 365 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 1: trying to fade the public. I mean, honestly, the Cardinals 366 00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:45,359 Speaker 1: have an unwatchable defense and they made Baker Mayfield look 367 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 1: on comfortable. As the Great Sebastian said, I'm uncomfortable that 368 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:56,400 Speaker 1: chick comfortable. And I have no choice but to take 369 00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:58,400 Speaker 1: the Niners here and swallow the six and a half. 370 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 1: Normally ago the other away. San Francisco doesn't play Carolina 371 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,560 Speaker 1: and Carolina very well. This comes down to winning the 372 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:09,159 Speaker 1: turnover battle, getting off the field quickly, and asking the 373 00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:13,280 Speaker 1: world of the Panthers d who last two weeks have 374 00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:15,400 Speaker 1: not looked what they at were in the first two weeks. 375 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,480 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, We'll take the Niners six and a half. 376 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 1: We're out of here. Ravens minus three Browns plus two 377 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:28,639 Speaker 1: and a half. Sprinkle on the money line, Dolphins minus 378 00:27:28,800 --> 00:27:32,760 Speaker 1: three Cowboys plus five and a half, and we spoiled 379 00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:36,040 Speaker 1: the six and a half against the Panthers. You have 380 00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:39,879 Speaker 1: yourself a wonderful week five. I do I want to 381 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,359 Speaker 1: throw out there. I'm a San Diego kid in a 382 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: New York world. Padres Mets, grow up. Dad's from New York, 383 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:50,200 Speaker 1: Long Island, New York Mets household. Going to the game's plural. 384 00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 1: I gotta go Mets. I'm sorry. San Diego cannot have 385 00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 1: the weather, they cannot have ron Burgundy, they cannot have 386 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:03,719 Speaker 1: California burritos. Like you've never tasted fries in a burrito 387 00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 1: carne asada. You don't even want to know what you're missing. 388 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 1: And they can't have the Padres too. I got the Mets, 389 00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:11,360 Speaker 1: you get the ground, you get shares her in two 390 00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,880 Speaker 1: out of the three, you get home field. You gotta 391 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:18,359 Speaker 1: go Mets to win the series. I like him in 392 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:22,960 Speaker 1: Game one. If this sits your ear lobes before the 393 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:26,359 Speaker 1: series starts, and as far as overall series, I feel 394 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:29,359 Speaker 1: very good about the Cardinals over the Phillies. I feel 395 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:33,840 Speaker 1: very good, very good about the Mets over the Padres. 396 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:40,240 Speaker 1: A L all Lean Guardians, I will Lean Mariners, but 397 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 1: easily could be three a L. East teams going to 398 00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,080 Speaker 1: the divisional round. Those are my quick baseball picks, all 399 00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 1: my picks are posted on Action Network. Oh I fire 400 00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:53,360 Speaker 1: on soccer, I fire on just about everything. Seven and 401 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 1: two in Champions League. By the way, this week, we're 402 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:59,560 Speaker 1: rather here. Don't forget to subscribe, rate review, follow all 403 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,600 Speaker 1: things my line Monico Alex Monica on Twitter, don't forget 404 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:06,360 Speaker 1: to hug your mother's real smooth. 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