1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: All right, here we go fifteen twenty twenty five starting 2 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,880 Speaker 1: thirty five forty Cody five fifty and the Chicks block 3 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 1: the college football world. 4 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 2: Stunn, Oh my godness. 5 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 3: He stumbled and fall the lateral. 6 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 2: Turn a counter on theself. 7 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 3: Get you to lead. 8 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 2: The table off the field to night. 9 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: It's not the size of the dog in the fight. 10 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: It's the size of the fight in the dog. 11 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 2: Welcome everybody to the Big Bets on Campus Group of 12 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 2: five Deep Dive. I'm Mike, I know Join as always 13 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 2: by Mike Calabreeze. The season's winding down, Mike, we only 14 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 2: have two weeks left before conference championships. Thanksgivings right around 15 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 2: the corner, the leisure turning colors. And just for everyone 16 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: looking forward to Thanksgiving next week, you know, one of 17 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 2: the most joyful gambling weeks of the year. We want 18 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 2: to give you guys a heads up about programming. The 19 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:14,320 Speaker 2: BBOC podcast will deliver episodes a day early next week, 20 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 2: just to get ahead of the holiday schedule. Monday will 21 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 2: still be our recap with Stucky and Colin to make 22 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 2: sure you get your voicemails in. There will not be 23 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 2: a Sources episode next week, but on Tuesday morning, we 24 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 2: will drop the Group of five deep Dive and then 25 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 2: Wednesday morning we'll have our final full slay episode of 26 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 2: the year, our Week thirteen betting preview with Stucky and Colin. 27 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 2: So let's talk first. You know, obviously we start every 28 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 2: episode with a little positivity here, So who is your 29 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 2: G five Hero of the week for week eleven? 30 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: When I Melo came up with this idea in August, 31 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: that was a little bit skeptical. You know, gamblers are 32 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: more want to focus in on those bad beats. But 33 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: the fact that we are celebrating the best and the 34 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: brightest here in G five land is it's always a 35 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:08,079 Speaker 1: positive note to get things started. So I'm gonna go 36 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: ahead with mine. Logan Bonner. I mean, this kid's been 37 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: playing college football since twenty sixteen. That's right. He started 38 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: at Arkansas State in twenty sixteen. He's made his way 39 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: following the coaching staff to Utah State, wins another quarterback battle, 40 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 1: has to deal with musical chairs early in the season, 41 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,919 Speaker 1: and now he's just been playing absolutely lights out. Last 42 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: week had Utah State as my upset of the week, 43 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: playing against San Jose State. They fall down seven to nothing. 44 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: No problem for Logan, he takes the Aggi's on a 45 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: forty eight to ten run to end the game, and 46 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:41,680 Speaker 1: in his last three twelve tds to two picks. I 47 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: love this Utah State team. I love Logan. Bonner absolute 48 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: you you were the Hero of the week. 49 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, Bonner's been an awesome story. Like you said, I 50 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 2: love how you know he followed his coach to Utah 51 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 2: State but still had to prove himself. You know, he 52 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 2: went there with them, but still had had to prove 53 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 2: his worth it. And like he said, they were doing 54 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 2: that kind of two quarterback battle throughout the year, which 55 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:03,079 Speaker 2: we talked about was weird. But he's really grabbed a 56 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,359 Speaker 2: hold of the job. And you touch, State's one of 57 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 2: the more like flying on under the radar programs this year. 58 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 2: I mean, they're just I feel like all they do 59 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:11,799 Speaker 2: is win and like no one ever talks about them. Yeah, 60 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 2: it's been pretty pretty amazing to see that they're kind 61 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 2: of quick turn on after the turmoil that ended last year. 62 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 2: Speaking of turmoil from my G five Hero of the Week, 63 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:26,519 Speaker 2: I'm going with Florida International head coach Butch Davis. Butch 64 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 2: Davis was told he would not be returning next year. 65 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 2: And he is the hero for doing what every human 66 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 2: on the planet has wanted to do. Everyone on the 67 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 2: planet has worked for a boss that you know, hindered 68 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: your ability to your job the way you would like 69 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 2: to and everyone has had that dream of just shitting 70 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 2: all over their boss on the way out the door, 71 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 2: but we have not been able to do that. Well, 72 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 2: Butch Davis took advantage of that opportunity. And not only 73 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 2: did he take advantage of that opportunity to shit all 74 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 2: over his boss, but he's extra a hero because he 75 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:58,800 Speaker 2: did it to the Action Networks Spret McMurphy, and obviously 76 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 2: you know Butch Davis as the pedigree where he's able 77 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 2: to do this two Super Bowls as the DC for 78 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 2: the Dallas Cowboys, He's been the head coach for Miami 79 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 2: North Carolina, the Cleveland Browns. He's he's an older guy. Actually, 80 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 2: fun fact, today is his seventieth birthday, So happy birthday. Butch, 81 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 2: you are my hero for doing what everyone is dreamed 82 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 2: of doing, is taking a dump on your boss on 83 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 2: the way out the door. And bonus points for doing 84 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 2: it to the Action Networks. Prett McMurphy, So shout out 85 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,599 Speaker 2: Butch Davis. All right, now, let's get to the best bets. Now. 86 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 2: I'll be fully honest. Did hit my best bet on 87 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 2: the show last week? I've been a little bit cold 88 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 2: here of late with my full slate of picks. But 89 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 2: as far as my you know, full week of bets, 90 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 2: there's really been one area that I have not faltered 91 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 2: one bet, and that's old, faithful or reliable Maction. I love, 92 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 2: I love I love Maction. You love Maction. I'm going 93 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 2: to Maction. This is Wednesday night, so hopefully you'll listening 94 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,839 Speaker 2: to this early. Get it in. I'm taking Central Michigan 95 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 2: minus one gonna be my money line dog because they 96 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 2: opened as a dog. I bet them at plus one 97 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 2: ten earlier in the week. They have now swung to 98 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 2: favorites because smart people realize that they are way better 99 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,840 Speaker 2: than Ball State. I'm still taking them at minus one. 100 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,160 Speaker 2: They started year a little iffy because they were going 101 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 2: with Jacob Surmon, the Washington Chanser. Since then, they have 102 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 2: gone back to Daniel Richardson, who was their quarterback last year. 103 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 2: I love Daniel Richardson. I think I mentioned this stee 104 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 2: earlier in the year. He's essentially he looks like he's 105 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 2: five ft ten two hundred and five. He's like a 106 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 2: little bowling ball. He looks like if Raymond Felton played 107 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 2: college football. He's just the perfect little, you know, ball 108 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 2: of a quarterback. But he's awesome. He has a cannon 109 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 2: of fern arm. Not as mobile as you think, but 110 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:44,360 Speaker 2: you know, he's just really good. And since he's taken over, 111 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 2: you know, they lost his first start to Miami of Ohio, 112 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 2: but he played great in it. Then they beat Ohio, 113 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 2: then they beat Toledo, then they lost to Northern to yeah, 114 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 2: Northern Illinois, who's you know, just been the Horseshoe team 115 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 2: of the year. They lost game because they fumbled the 116 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 2: snap on the game winning field goal, and they pounded 117 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 2: Western Michigan and then they pounded Kent State. Central Michigan 118 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 2: is second in the MAC and yards per game and 119 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 2: points per game this year. They're averaging thirty four and 120 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 2: a half points per game in conference play. Richardson's absolutely 121 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 2: cook game. He's got nineteen touchdowns and two interceptions this season. 122 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,039 Speaker 2: Last week against Kent State, he went seventeen for twenty 123 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 2: one two hundred and sixty eight yards, four touchdowns. We've 124 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 2: talked about their weapons before Pimbleton, Dixon, Sullivan. Their offense 125 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 2: is so good, they have so many weapons. They're thirty 126 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:33,480 Speaker 2: first in past success, twenty first in big plays. That's 127 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:35,919 Speaker 2: gonna be a problem. Ball State's defense stinks. They're one 128 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 2: hundred and twenty eighth in past success. They're ninety seventh 129 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:41,599 Speaker 2: in coverage grade. Now, the thing with this game is 130 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:44,359 Speaker 2: it's going to be very windy and rainy, so you 131 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 2: have to you know, okay, maybe that hinders Regident a 132 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:48,760 Speaker 2: little bit, which you want to know who else is 133 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 2: cooking Lou Nichols. He ran for two hundred and fifteen 134 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 2: yards and four touchdowns against Kent State last week. He's 135 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 2: averaging one hundred and thirty yards per game, which leads 136 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:02,360 Speaker 2: the MAC in his third in the entire country. Ball 137 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 2: State's defense is also not good against the run. They're 138 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:07,839 Speaker 2: ninety first in rushing success, eighty seventh in lineyards. And 139 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 2: we've seen it all year. The ball State offense has 140 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 2: been unable to replace Caleb Puntley. They're just seventy seventieth 141 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 2: in the country in rust success. They're one hundred and 142 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 2: first in past success. Drew Plitt has just not been 143 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 2: what he was last year. He is dead last in 144 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:25,240 Speaker 2: the conference, averaging just six point four yards per attempt. 145 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 2: To put that in perspective, that's even worse than Matt McDonald, 146 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 2: which is hard to do. So I just think the 147 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 2: Chips are a better team. I think that's why they've 148 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 2: slung to favorites. I think Ball State's gonna have a 149 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 2: hard time slowing down this offense, and you know, wet rainy. 150 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 2: I just don't trust the ball State offense to be 151 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 2: able to move the ball as consistently on the ground 152 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 2: as Central Michigan will behind Nichols. So fire up, Chips. 153 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 2: We won't spend too much time on it because we 154 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 2: want you guys to get that in right now, because 155 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 2: it's tonight. Obviously, Freeze, what is your best bet for 156 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 2: this week? 157 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: For my best bet, I'm returning to the Mountain West Conference, 158 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 1: and really what could arguably for me? I'm gonna go 159 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: on the recording and say this is my pick of 160 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: the year. Here on the podcast Boise State Minus twenty 161 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: seven and a half hosting New Mexico. It's pretty simple. 162 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: New Mexico is rudderless. They are adrift. They have no 163 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:17,200 Speaker 1: pop at all. Offensively, let me get into the finer 164 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 1: points here, they'ven scored more than seventeen points in a 165 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 1: game in two months. And then when you look a 166 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 1: little bit closer, they are all the way at the 167 00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:28,400 Speaker 1: bottom of the FBS in points per game thirteen point six. 168 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 1: That means yukon UMass bandy all better scoring offenses than 169 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 1: the Lobos. So is there any chance here that if 170 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 1: they fall behind that they can get back in it. 171 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: Maybe they're just a snake bit team. Maybe they don't 172 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: convert in the red zone. Now they are the worst 173 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,720 Speaker 1: Non Service Academy passing offense in the country, only one 174 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty six yards per game. So when you 175 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:50,720 Speaker 1: look at Boise, what have they done for us lately? 176 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: They've won four or five George Solani is finally tote 177 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: in the rock, giving them balance offensively. He's gone for 178 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 1: back to back one hundred yard rushing performances. And then 179 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 1: Bachmeier is basically been the guy that we were hoping 180 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 1: he'd be from the start this year. He's not turning 181 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 1: the ball over, he said, sixty five percent of passes 182 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 1: in the last three zero turnovers. I think this offense 183 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 1: is ready to rock. I love Boise in this spot. 184 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 1: I think you know when you looked at them mid season, 185 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 1: you might say to yourself, this is a boise team 186 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: that's lost this identity. It doesn't have any fear factor 187 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 1: on the smurf turf. I think they've turned that around 188 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 1: with this, you know, this current run that they're on 189 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 1: and once again New Mexico just does not have it offensively. 190 00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: And this is the time of year, I know, like 191 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:33,080 Speaker 1: the point of out you got to fade. Those teams 192 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: are quitting. The Lobos have quit. Let's go with the 193 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 1: Broncos here laying four touchdowns. 194 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 2: Yep, couldn't agree more that that is. This is what 195 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 2: you want to look for at this time of year, 196 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:43,439 Speaker 2: is the quit teams. Is who's the teams that when 197 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 2: they get down, they're gonna give up? I think you 198 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 2: know that with New Mexico they are absolutely quit team. 199 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:50,439 Speaker 2: I think, and I think, boys, he probably has a 200 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 2: little salt in their mouth about the way they got 201 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:53,959 Speaker 2: back door covered on last week. I don't know the 202 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 2: teams care about that, but I assume they care about 203 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,840 Speaker 2: that because I care about that. So yeah, I love that. Boys. 204 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 2: You should run it up all right. Now it's time 205 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 2: to transition to our G five money line. Underdog parlay, 206 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,680 Speaker 2: turning good weekends into great weekends. 207 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 3: It's time for the money line parlay. 208 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 2: Calvary's of you go first here, who is your dog 209 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:20,199 Speaker 2: of the week. 210 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 1: I'm going with ULL plus one sixty. That's the Louisiana 211 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:27,319 Speaker 1: Raging Cajun's on the road against Liberty no respect for 212 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:29,560 Speaker 1: the Sun Belt. And I think this is interesting because 213 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 1: Liberty just no showed their super Bowl at least who 214 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 1: freezes super Bowl? Playing against Old Miss, the offense couldn't 215 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 1: get out of the starting blocks. And that's what is 216 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 1: the real concern for me, for anyone on the Flames 217 00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 1: on this one. Yes, Malik Willis has got all the 218 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,560 Speaker 1: physical tools, but this year they've had more than their 219 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:49,319 Speaker 1: fair share of poor offensive performances. Only fourteen points against 220 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: that Old Miss defense, twenty one against Syracuse, twenty one 221 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,720 Speaker 1: against Troy. It shows to me that they're just not 222 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: as dynamic and reliable as they were last year. And 223 00:10:57,320 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 1: when you look at ULL, what have they done since 224 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 1: that setback again Texas and the opener, Well, they've won 225 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 1: every game since then. They murdered app State, beaten forty one, 226 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: thirteen and under mister scared money don't make no money. 227 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:10,040 Speaker 2: Scared money, don't make money. 228 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 1: You know, they played well against top teams really across 229 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 1: the last two years, and that's what I'm looking for 230 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 1: here because there's a motivational factor. They're already locked in 231 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: for the Sun Belt Conference championship game, but this is 232 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: a spot to keep the winning streak going, to get 233 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:25,960 Speaker 1: that national notoriety win like this could push them, you know, 234 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,599 Speaker 1: higher in terms of you know, the AP rankings, the 235 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 1: college football rankings. Can they get that done in this spot? 236 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: I think they can, and really it's predicated on them 237 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 1: breaking that liberty run defense. It's actually pretty decent, but 238 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 1: Chris Smith and Montreal Johnson are the ones to do it. 239 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: Montreal Johnson particular, six rushing touchdowns in his last five games. 240 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:46,200 Speaker 1: I think he's giving them that, you know, that second 241 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 1: option at running back which they had last year with 242 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 1: Trey Regas and Elijah Mitchell. They're able to go back 243 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: and forth and really break teams down in the fourth quarter. 244 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: It's one of the reasons why they're so good in 245 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:57,960 Speaker 1: close games, always winning it in the fourth and having 246 00:11:57,960 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 1: that confidence. So I'll go ahead with the Ragon k 247 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:02,839 Speaker 1: just plus one sixty of the money line in The spot. 248 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 2: That makes me a little bit nervous about Louisiana is 249 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 2: they are seven to zero conference play, have clinched their 250 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 2: division for basically a month at this point. Second in 251 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:15,680 Speaker 2: the conference is Texas State at two and four. The 252 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,080 Speaker 2: fact that the way they've run away from that division 253 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 2: is astonishing. You know, they've also played a lot of 254 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 2: bad teams given that record, So I guess it makes 255 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 2: me a little nervous because I feel like, you know, 256 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 2: what do they have to play for? Necessarily, they've already 257 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 2: had the division wrapped up. You know, they could be 258 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 2: looking ahead to the conference championship already. But I will 259 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 2: agree with you in this sense that you know something 260 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:37,200 Speaker 2: I know I'm already getting pre mad about this offseason 261 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 2: is and we already saw it last year kind of is. 262 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 2: I think anyone who talks about Milik Willis as a 263 00:12:42,040 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 2: first round pick is an absolute moron. Like they don't 264 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 2: watch college football. Like I hate these NFL analysts and 265 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 2: draft experts that you can tell have never watched an 266 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 2: actual college football game. They just watched the highlight passes 267 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 2: of these dudes ripping bombs over you know FCS schools 268 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 2: like Trey Lance, I don't get it. I don't understand 269 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 2: Malik Willis couldn't beat out Bo Nicks and now he's 270 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:05,920 Speaker 2: gonna be a first round quarterback. Get out of here 271 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 2: with that. So I don't hate it because Liberty has 272 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 2: kind of been disappointing as well, So I guess you 273 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 2: know you're taking few disappointing teams a little bit. I 274 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,079 Speaker 2: guess at least Louisiana's winning their game, So yeah, I 275 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 2: don't hate it totally. Wequal sticks from my underdog. Probably 276 00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 2: I'm gonna get I'm gonna go with a team that's 277 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 2: starting to heat up a little bit here. I'm gonna 278 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 2: take old dominion. You know, I love I love me 279 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,320 Speaker 2: some Ricky Ronnie from his Penn State days. So you know, 280 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 2: maybe I'm a little biased, but maybe not. Who cares. 281 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 2: You know, they won three in a row, and really 282 00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:37,719 Speaker 2: the change started when they switched quarterbacks. You know, they 283 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:40,400 Speaker 2: started with DJ Mack earlier in the year. He just 284 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 2: really struggled with it. You know, they got pumped by Liberty, 285 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 2: They lost to wake for Us, lost to Buffalo by 286 00:13:45,960 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 2: won in that crazy game where you know they blew 287 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:51,640 Speaker 2: the lead late, and then the last four games since 288 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,120 Speaker 2: since Wolf has started four games. His first start was 289 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 2: against Western Kentucky. I mean, you're not gonna just run 290 00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 2: with the zapp dog right out the gate, ZAPPI. So 291 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 2: obviously they lost that one. But then their next three games, 292 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 2: they beat Louisiana Attack, they crushed FIU. They just beat 293 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:13,599 Speaker 2: Florida in Florida Atlantic thirty to sixteen last week in 294 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 2: a really impressive game for Old Dominion. Hayden Wolf start 295 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:17,959 Speaker 2: at least two undre eighty yards and three of his 296 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:21,160 Speaker 2: fourth starts, and he gives them a much more balanced attack. 297 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 2: Now teams have to respect the pass because Wolf is 298 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 2: able to do enough through the arm that complements their 299 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 2: running game, which is actually third in the conference in rushing. 300 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 2: Blake Watson has been a beast. He has over one 301 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 2: hundred yards in five straight games now, and Old Dominion's 302 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 2: defense has actually been pretty good. They're fourth in the 303 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 2: conference and total defense. They're fortieth in the country in 304 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 2: defensive success rate, thirty sixth against the run, they're fourth 305 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 2: against rush of rushing explosiveness. They're seventh in the entire 306 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 2: country in success rate on passing down. So they have 307 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 2: that success. They have this early stop in the run 308 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 2: and then when they get into passing downs, that's when 309 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 2: they thrive. Like I said, seventh in the country's success rate, 310 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 2: they are twentieth at creating havoc. They dial up the 311 00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 2: pressure really well. Middle Tennessee, on the other hand, is 312 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 2: one hundred and fifteenth at preventing havoc. The Middle Tennsee 313 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 2: offense has really gone into a shell. They're one hundred 314 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 2: and tenth in success rate, one hundred and seventeenth in 315 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 2: EPA per play. Bailey Hawkman was the starting quarterback the 316 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 2: end of the at the beginning of the year, he's hurt. 317 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 2: Then Chase Cunningham comes in, he's hurt. Now they're starting 318 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 2: true freshman Nick Vaddiado, and he's got just four touchdowns 319 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 2: in five interceptions this year. So I just think, you know, old, 320 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:38,480 Speaker 2: the thing is playing really well right now, so I'm 321 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 2: gonna keep riding with him. So give me Ricky Ronnie 322 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 2: in the Monarchs at plus one point fifty five over 323 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee. All right, let's get into our group of 324 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 2: five high five, the G five high FIVEE high five 325 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 2: high five. Calibreez, I feel like you have a heroic 326 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 2: play coming, So why don't you kick us off with 327 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:02,960 Speaker 2: your first play of the high five round robin. 328 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to go to my G five hero of 329 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 1: the week. Keep riding them. Utah State minus two fifteen 330 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 1: on the money line against Wyoming another game. It's in Logan. 331 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 1: They're just not being respected. I'm not quite sure what 332 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 1: the public is looking at here, because honestly, why would 333 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,680 Speaker 1: you have any faith in Wyoming? You know, it's this 334 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 1: spot for Wyoming. They've lost five of six. They've scored 335 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 1: over twenty one points just once in that six game stretch, 336 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 1: and you have to, you know, be back in a 337 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:32,640 Speaker 1: Utah State team that has an answer at quarterback. They 338 00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 1: have a tremendous duo between Logan Bonner and Devin Tompkins. 339 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 1: And to get into the finer details on that, when 340 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:42,240 Speaker 1: you look at their stats since October first, one hundred 341 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 1: and fifty four and a half passing yards per game. 342 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 1: They're going up against a top ten statistically top ten 343 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 1: Wyoming pass defense. But here's the thing. I like this 344 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 1: red hot Utah State offense to crack the code a 345 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 1: little bit. I'm not looking for, you know, a fifty 346 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 1: five point game out of them, or four hundred yards 347 00:16:58,160 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: out of Bonner but I do think he can get 348 00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 1: worth of two hundred and fifty yards and that puts 349 00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 1: the pressure back on the Pokes and what do they 350 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:06,639 Speaker 1: answer with. They have two options a quarterback, neither have 351 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,000 Speaker 1: been very good this year, and because of that, I 352 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:12,199 Speaker 1: think once Wyoming falls behind in this game is a 353 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 1: very small likelihood they're gonna be able to get off 354 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:17,680 Speaker 1: the mat and come back and win. And the final 355 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:19,359 Speaker 1: piece of it, you always have to look when you're 356 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,440 Speaker 1: considering mountin West plays at the weather. It's gonna rain 357 00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 1: earlier in the day on Saturday, but should be clear 358 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:28,159 Speaker 1: skies Saturday night in Logan, and that's that's gonna be 359 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:30,200 Speaker 1: good for the passing attack from the aggie. So I'll 360 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:32,600 Speaker 1: go ahead with Logan Bonner gonna keep riding. This Utah 361 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 1: State team one of the great stories in chi FI football, 362 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 1: really in all of college football. And we'll tack that 363 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:38,800 Speaker 1: under a round robin. 364 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,200 Speaker 2: YEP. I love that play. I actually had Utah State 365 00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:42,679 Speaker 2: written down and so obviously it was gonna take them 366 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 2: against the spread. So I really like them. I think 367 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 2: these are two teams that are just having priced wrong 368 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:50,440 Speaker 2: all season. Utah State is eight and two straight up. 369 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:53,000 Speaker 2: They're seven to three against the spread. They continue to 370 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 2: be undervalued. And on the flip side, Wyoming is three 371 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 2: and seven against the spread. They continue to be overvalued. 372 00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:00,479 Speaker 2: They were expected to be good coming into the year. 373 00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 2: Their defense hasn't been good. Their offense is atrocious. I 374 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,200 Speaker 2: think Utah State has no problem taking care of business 375 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,800 Speaker 2: here that they've just been the better team all year. 376 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 2: So totally like this play a lot. For my first play, 377 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:17,840 Speaker 2: I'm going with an absolute gross pick. This one is justugh. 378 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,119 Speaker 2: I don't even know why I'm taking it, but sometimes 379 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 2: you know, you gotta steer into the pain a little bit. 380 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 2: I'm gonna keep this shortened. Tweet Temple Tulsa under fifty one. 381 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,879 Speaker 2: These offenses are atrocious. Tulsa ranks one hundredth They're avging 382 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:34,320 Speaker 2: twenty three point five points per game. Temple's one hundred 383 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,320 Speaker 2: and twenty second. We talked about him last week. They've quit. 384 00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:39,440 Speaker 2: They've totally given up. They're having seventeen point two points 385 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:42,360 Speaker 2: per game this year. Over the last three games, Tulsa 386 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 2: is averaging nineteen points per game. Temple they've scored eighteen 387 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 2: in the last three games. That's total. They're aging six 388 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:50,959 Speaker 2: points per game. They can't they They can't even move 389 00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 2: the ball whatsoever. These teams are one hundred and eighteenth 390 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 2: and one hundred and twentieth in EPA per play, one 391 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 2: hundred and twentieth, one hundred twenty six and finishing drives. 392 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,080 Speaker 2: Don't watch this game, please, I'm bet you bet it. 393 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 2: Forget about it. Hope you get no push notifications from 394 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 2: the award winning Action Network APP. Hope you know Tulsa 395 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 2: into this game thirteen to six and you just totally 396 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:12,040 Speaker 2: forgot you bet it and say, oh, look, get of that. 397 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 2: They covered. Move on. This game's gonna stink, but take 398 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 2: an under fifty one for. 399 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,159 Speaker 1: My next round robin play. I love the team total 400 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:23,120 Speaker 1: over in Western Kentucky. Pull out those zap guns. It's 401 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 1: time to continue to ride this prolific, historic offense. I 402 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,760 Speaker 1: said it back in August. It was an organ transplant 403 00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,679 Speaker 1: from Houston Baptist. They bring all the best elements, the 404 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: coaching staff, the quarterback, the wide receiver up to Western Kentucky, 405 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:40,919 Speaker 1: and the experiment has been so successful. I don't think 406 00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 1: this will be the last time that we see an 407 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 1: FBS team go and mine the riches of FCS football. 408 00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:48,639 Speaker 1: When you look at what Western Kentucky's been able to 409 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 1: accomplish in Conference USA play, it's really been tremendous. They 410 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 1: hit the team total last week against Rice, even though 411 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:55,600 Speaker 1: it was a team that was playing a slower brand 412 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: of football. They wanted to play keep away. That's an 413 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 1: important distinction here because this week against FAU, it's another 414 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:04,200 Speaker 1: team that wants to play slow, they want to limit plays. 415 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 1: But here's the thing. When the Owls got behind, they 416 00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 1: did have to put the ball in the air, so 417 00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 1: you saw a lot of points in the second half. 418 00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:13,640 Speaker 1: I think we're going to see a similar game script. 419 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:16,120 Speaker 1: And when it comes to FAU trying to slow down 420 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 1: that Western Kentuck Kentucky Hilltopper offense, they don't really have 421 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 1: a lot of options at their disposal. Statistically, they're decent 422 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 1: against the pass, but they can't get to the quarterback. 423 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 1: They're one hundred and sixteenth in sac rate in the 424 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,680 Speaker 1: entire country. And as we mentioned on the podcast before, 425 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,120 Speaker 1: Western Kentucky does a tremendous job giving plenty of time 426 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 1: to Zappi, plenty of time for him to operate, taking 427 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,399 Speaker 1: so few sacks this season, I think we're going to 428 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:41,360 Speaker 1: see something similar play out here. And also, even though 429 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,600 Speaker 1: FAU has done a good job of mucking games up 430 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,160 Speaker 1: throughout the year, last week they give up thirty to ODU. 431 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: I would argue that the Western Kentucky offense is about 432 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:53,199 Speaker 1: twenty four points four touchdowns, maybe better than that Odu offense. 433 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:54,960 Speaker 1: So I goin to go ahead over thirty seven and 434 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 1: a half. I think this is already well discounted because 435 00:20:57,880 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: of the pace of play concerns. So the fact that 436 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: you're getting a team that's averaging close to forty five 437 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,440 Speaker 1: per game in comforce, say play at thirty seven and 438 00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 1: a half, go ahead and hit that. 439 00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 3: Over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, the pride of the Commonwealth. 440 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 2: Oh no, no, hell no, oh no, hell no. Well, 441 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:25,640 Speaker 2: since we were talking about Zapi hour here bark keep 442 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,399 Speaker 2: let's make it a double baby. I'm taking the Hilltoppers 443 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:34,399 Speaker 2: minus ten. I'll lay the points. You just said it. 444 00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 2: We already know they're gonna score thirty eight points, Mike, 445 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 2: because you just said they were gonna Guess what, They've 446 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 2: scored forty points in five of the last six games. 447 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:44,160 Speaker 2: So ask yourself, this is Nikosey, Perry and FAU gonna 448 00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,600 Speaker 2: score thirty because they've scored thirty just once in the 449 00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:50,480 Speaker 2: last five games. Yeah, the Hilltoppers defense isn't great. They're 450 00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:53,639 Speaker 2: you know, they're ninety fifth and defensive success rate, but 451 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 2: FAU is just seventy first in offense. So I don't trust, 452 00:21:57,800 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 2: you know, FAU to be able to run with with 453 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:01,520 Speaker 2: Bailey's happy Bailey, z Aby, Bailey, z Abby. You know 454 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,600 Speaker 2: this is the zapp Dog's time to shine. Western Kentucky 455 00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,159 Speaker 2: leads the East Division by one game. If they and 456 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 2: Marshall both win this week, they will play next week 457 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 2: for the division title. So I think Western Kentucky has 458 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 2: everything to play for it. They're gonna keep rolling. You know, 459 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,040 Speaker 2: we love Jared Sterns. We've talked about him a ton 460 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,880 Speaker 2: on this show. But speaking of Zapie Hour, Mitchell Tinsley said, 461 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,399 Speaker 2: hold my beer. Last week he had ten catches one 462 00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:28,880 Speaker 2: hundred and ninety eight yards in two touchdowns. This offense 463 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 2: is absolutely rolling, and Mike, it's so perfect because we're 464 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 2: going with the Zappi Hour Daily Double, and the Zappi 465 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,720 Speaker 2: Hour sound sounds like the daily double sound, so it's perfect. 466 00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 2: Double it up, zap it Up. 467 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 3: I want it to be the one to pass along 468 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,560 Speaker 3: this information will win. 469 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:50,920 Speaker 2: We'll get it done. Let's wrap up the G five 470 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 2: High five. What is your last pick. 471 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 1: Mike Friday Night? Play one that I think is mispriced 472 00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 1: by about six points in this spot, and it's Houston 473 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,200 Speaker 1: Lane eight and a half against Memphis. This Memphis offense 474 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,120 Speaker 1: has just not been right since Calvin Austin the thirty 475 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 1: has been banged up. And give the kid a lot 476 00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,560 Speaker 1: of credit, He's a former G five Hero of the Week. 477 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 1: He's playing through injury, but he's clearly not the same guy. 478 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:15,440 Speaker 1: And because of that, they're not able to spark those 479 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,560 Speaker 1: seventy five yard touchdowns, and honestly, their offense is kind 480 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,480 Speaker 1: of sputtered because of that. They've scored over thirty points 481 00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:24,399 Speaker 1: just once. It is October second, and Houston is averaging 482 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 1: forty two points per game since the start of October. 483 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,359 Speaker 1: So you have one offense trending in the right direction, 484 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,040 Speaker 1: the other one in the opposite direction. You know, tune 485 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,320 Speaker 1: to mccaskell. I think have really come into their own 486 00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,440 Speaker 1: in the Houston backfield, and because of that, I have 487 00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:40,199 Speaker 1: reliable playmakers on the koop side in this one and 488 00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:43,640 Speaker 1: under date, Dana Holgerson home field advantage has been great 489 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,399 Speaker 1: this season for Houston. I'm going to see a really 490 00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 1: raucous crowd at UH for a couple of reasons. One, 491 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:53,359 Speaker 1: they're nationally ranked during the college football Playoff rankings. The 492 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: college basketball team is a national program. Now they're headed 493 00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:01,159 Speaker 1: to the Big Twelve. There's juice being inserted into this situation. 494 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,080 Speaker 1: The fan base, the casual fans. I think you're going 495 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 1: to see a sellout here against the Memphis team that 496 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,159 Speaker 1: beat them last year. So it's a revenge j angle. 497 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,080 Speaker 1: Eight and a half I think is off. This really 498 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:12,240 Speaker 1: should be two touchdowns. So I'm gonna go ahead and 499 00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 1: take advantage of the Kougs on a nice number under 500 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,320 Speaker 1: the key number of ten and play them on Friday night. 501 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, like you said, Cougar's are absolutely rolling right now. 502 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:22,119 Speaker 2: Obviously we were on them last week because they you know, 503 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,200 Speaker 2: crushed Temple as we well covered against Temple, as we 504 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,200 Speaker 2: knew they were going to the only reason I didn't 505 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:27,880 Speaker 2: plan this is I feel like I've been wrong about 506 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,000 Speaker 2: Memphis every time I bet on or against them this year. 507 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:32,880 Speaker 2: I just think i feel like I've been wrong every 508 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,160 Speaker 2: time I bet Memphis game. So I'll probably stay away 509 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 2: just from that aspect, but I one hundred agree with 510 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:39,800 Speaker 2: you on in theory that Houston should have no problem 511 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 2: covering and they're just a way better team, all right. 512 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 2: So to summarize our picks this week, our best bets, 513 00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:48,919 Speaker 2: we are going with Central Michigan minus two and a half. 514 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 3: The Central Michigan Chippawas. 515 00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 2: And Boise State minus twenty seven and a half. 516 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,960 Speaker 3: The Boise State Broncos. 517 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 2: For our money line underdog parlay, we are going with 518 00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:05,199 Speaker 2: Louisiana plus one sixty scared money don't make money, you know, 519 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:09,080 Speaker 2: an Old Dominion plus one fifty five the. 520 00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:11,440 Speaker 3: Old Dominion Monarchs. 521 00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:15,240 Speaker 2: Which when you combine them pays out plus five seventy five. 522 00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:19,320 Speaker 2: For our G five high five, we are going with 523 00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,240 Speaker 2: Utah State minus two fifteen on the money. 524 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:26,200 Speaker 3: Line, the Utah State Aggies. 525 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 2: Temple Tulsa under fifty one, the Temple under Houston minus 526 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 2: eight and a. 527 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,639 Speaker 3: Half, the Houston Cougars. 528 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,920 Speaker 2: In the Zappi hour double down of Western Kentucky team 529 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,480 Speaker 2: total over thirty seven and a half, and Western Kentucky 530 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 2: minus ten. 531 00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,440 Speaker 3: The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. 532 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,080 Speaker 2: And I understand you know, if you're actually begging this 533 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,800 Speaker 2: as a full round Robin. Some books may not let you, 534 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,919 Speaker 2: you know, combine the two Western Kentucky plays, but we 535 00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:01,280 Speaker 2: don't care because that hour doesn't play by the rules. 536 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,440 Speaker 2: He does what he wants, so we're playing it anyway. 537 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:08,400 Speaker 2: Go Hilltoppers. This has been the group of five deep 538 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,919 Speaker 2: dive on Big Bets on campus. Thank you guys for listening. 539 00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:13,680 Speaker 2: Hope you have a great week, and we will see 540 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:17,240 Speaker 2: you again Tuesday for a little pre Thanksgiving action.