1 00:00:15,316 --> 00:00:15,796 Speaker 1: Pushkin. 2 00:00:20,516 --> 00:00:23,356 Speaker 2: Hey, there against the Rules listeners. I am Stephen Dubner 3 00:00:23,396 --> 00:00:26,636 Speaker 2: and I host Freakonomics Radio, the podcast that explores the 4 00:00:26,716 --> 00:00:30,036 Speaker 2: hidden side of everything. A few months ago, I sat 5 00:00:30,076 --> 00:00:33,116 Speaker 2: down with Michael Lewis to talk about his latest book, 6 00:00:33,236 --> 00:00:36,316 Speaker 2: Going Infinite, The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon. 7 00:00:36,796 --> 00:00:40,436 Speaker 2: We talked about the story that's in the book, Sam Bankman, Freed, 8 00:00:40,556 --> 00:00:44,556 Speaker 2: and FTX, as well as people's reactions to the book. 9 00:00:44,796 --> 00:00:47,596 Speaker 2: Our episode is called why Are People So Mad At 10 00:00:47,836 --> 00:00:51,156 Speaker 2: Michael Lewis, So we wanted to share this episode with you. 11 00:00:51,596 --> 00:01:03,316 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening. I feel like, as much as Sam 12 00:01:03,356 --> 00:01:06,436 Speaker 2: Bankman Freed has been in the center of a vortex, 13 00:01:07,516 --> 00:01:09,796 Speaker 2: that you're close to the senders. Oh can you just 14 00:01:09,836 --> 00:01:12,196 Speaker 2: tell me what your life has been like the past 15 00:01:12,196 --> 00:01:13,076 Speaker 2: couple months? 16 00:01:13,916 --> 00:01:18,236 Speaker 1: Surprisingly controversial, This material just landed in my lap, and 17 00:01:18,236 --> 00:01:19,836 Speaker 1: I really did think when I was writing it, I 18 00:01:19,916 --> 00:01:21,716 Speaker 1: never had more fun writing a book than I had 19 00:01:21,756 --> 00:01:23,956 Speaker 1: writing this one. I knew that some people were going 20 00:01:24,036 --> 00:01:25,676 Speaker 1: to be a little bit upset with the book, but 21 00:01:25,756 --> 00:01:28,116 Speaker 1: I thought basically it was going to be taken as 22 00:01:28,116 --> 00:01:29,916 Speaker 1: a thrill ride and it would just be a fun 23 00:01:29,996 --> 00:01:34,116 Speaker 1: read for everybody. What I wasn't prepared for was just 24 00:01:34,236 --> 00:01:36,036 Speaker 1: the sheer volume of the anger. 25 00:01:39,316 --> 00:01:42,596 Speaker 2: Michael Lewis is one of the most popular nonfiction authors 26 00:01:42,716 --> 00:01:46,596 Speaker 2: on the planet. His books include Liar's Poker, Moneyball, The 27 00:01:46,596 --> 00:01:50,876 Speaker 2: Big Short, Flash Boys, and Now Going Infinite. The Rise 28 00:01:50,956 --> 00:01:54,356 Speaker 2: and Fall of a New Tycoon. The tycoon in question 29 00:01:54,516 --> 00:01:59,956 Speaker 2: is Sam Bankman Freed, who was briefly everyone's favorite cryptocurrency billionaire, 30 00:02:00,636 --> 00:02:03,596 Speaker 2: and Michael Lewis rode shotgun for some of the rise 31 00:02:04,196 --> 00:02:09,316 Speaker 2: and most of the fall. The fall was fast and hard. 32 00:02:09,396 --> 00:02:12,556 Speaker 2: Was recently convicted of seven counts of fraud and conspiracy 33 00:02:12,596 --> 00:02:15,996 Speaker 2: in a New York courtroom. The controversy comes from people 34 00:02:15,996 --> 00:02:19,436 Speaker 2: who argue that Michael Lewis went soft on Bankman Freed 35 00:02:19,476 --> 00:02:22,916 Speaker 2: instead of lasting him as a crook and a cheat. 36 00:02:23,556 --> 00:02:26,036 Speaker 2: Here is how a New York Times review put it. 37 00:02:26,676 --> 00:02:29,676 Speaker 2: Lewis had, in the months leading up to the disaster, 38 00:02:29,996 --> 00:02:33,436 Speaker 2: a front row seat from which he could apparently see nothing. 39 00:02:36,396 --> 00:02:40,036 Speaker 1: It troubles me that people want to put Sam Bankman 40 00:02:40,076 --> 00:02:41,876 Speaker 1: Freed into a simple box and put him on a 41 00:02:41,916 --> 00:02:43,676 Speaker 1: shelf and not think too much more about this. 42 00:02:44,236 --> 00:02:45,196 Speaker 2: Why it troubles you? 43 00:02:45,236 --> 00:02:48,516 Speaker 1: Why Because he's so much more and this is so 44 00:02:48,636 --> 00:02:50,116 Speaker 1: much more interesting than that. 45 00:02:50,716 --> 00:02:54,996 Speaker 2: Today on Freakonomics Radio. Interesting is just the start of it. 46 00:02:55,436 --> 00:02:59,396 Speaker 2: Sam Bankman Freed bared all to Michael Lewis, and now 47 00:02:59,596 --> 00:03:02,356 Speaker 2: Michael Lewis bears all for us. 48 00:03:02,956 --> 00:03:05,676 Speaker 1: It was an unguarded ness. They was shocking. 49 00:03:06,236 --> 00:03:09,116 Speaker 2: It's the latest installment of the Freakonomics Radio book Club 50 00:03:09,396 --> 00:03:19,436 Speaker 2: and begins right now. 51 00:03:23,916 --> 00:03:27,996 Speaker 3: This is Freakonomics Radio, the podcast that explores the hidden 52 00:03:28,076 --> 00:03:31,636 Speaker 3: side of everything, with your host Stephen Dubner. 53 00:03:38,396 --> 00:03:41,516 Speaker 2: Here's how Michael Lewis begins his new book, Going Infinite. 54 00:03:41,716 --> 00:03:44,996 Speaker 2: This is from the audio version, with Lewis himself reading. 55 00:03:47,556 --> 00:03:49,636 Speaker 1: I first heard about Sam Bankman Freed at the end 56 00:03:49,716 --> 00:03:52,916 Speaker 1: of twenty twenty one from a friend who oddly enough 57 00:03:52,956 --> 00:03:54,956 Speaker 1: wanted me to help him figure out who he was. 58 00:03:55,676 --> 00:03:57,556 Speaker 1: My friend was about to close a deal with Sam 59 00:03:57,596 --> 00:04:00,116 Speaker 1: that would bind their fates through an exchange of shares 60 00:04:00,156 --> 00:04:03,076 Speaker 1: in each other's companies worth hundreds of millions of dollars. 61 00:04:03,956 --> 00:04:05,756 Speaker 1: My friend asked me if I could meet with Sam 62 00:04:05,796 --> 00:04:08,876 Speaker 1: and report back whatever I made of him. A few 63 00:04:08,876 --> 00:04:12,516 Speaker 1: weeks Sam was on my front porch in Berkeley, California. 64 00:04:12,996 --> 00:04:16,196 Speaker 1: He'd emerged from an uber in cargo shorts, a T 65 00:04:16,356 --> 00:04:19,916 Speaker 1: shirt limp white socks and ratty new Balance sneakers, which 66 00:04:19,996 --> 00:04:22,436 Speaker 1: I soon learned were basically the only clothes he owned. 67 00:04:23,356 --> 00:04:25,356 Speaker 1: We went for a walk, the only time in the 68 00:04:25,396 --> 00:04:27,516 Speaker 1: next two years I would ever see this person who 69 00:04:27,556 --> 00:04:30,876 Speaker 1: was always dressed for a hike actually go for one. 70 00:04:31,156 --> 00:04:33,956 Speaker 1: During our walk, I prodded him with questions, but after 71 00:04:33,996 --> 00:04:36,756 Speaker 1: a while I was mostly just listening. The stuff he 72 00:04:36,836 --> 00:04:38,916 Speaker 1: was telling me, all of which I should say here 73 00:04:39,036 --> 00:04:43,156 Speaker 1: turned out to be true, was incredible. By the end 74 00:04:43,156 --> 00:04:45,676 Speaker 1: of this walk, I was totally sold. I called my 75 00:04:45,716 --> 00:04:48,436 Speaker 1: friend and said something like, go for it, swap shares 76 00:04:48,476 --> 00:04:51,396 Speaker 1: with Sam Bankman Freed, do whatever he wants to do. 77 00:04:51,876 --> 00:04:53,516 Speaker 1: What could possibly go wrong? 78 00:04:55,356 --> 00:04:57,956 Speaker 2: As we now know, a lot of things went wrong. 79 00:04:58,476 --> 00:05:02,756 Speaker 2: Bankman Freed started and ran two firms, a cryptocurrency trading 80 00:05:02,796 --> 00:05:07,276 Speaker 2: firm called Alameter Research and a crypto exchange based in 81 00:05:07,316 --> 00:05:11,876 Speaker 2: the Bahamas called FTX. When FTX collapsed in twenty twenty two, 82 00:05:12,076 --> 00:05:15,596 Speaker 2: Bankman Freed was charged with shuffling money between the two 83 00:05:15,756 --> 00:05:20,196 Speaker 2: firms and spending billions of dollars of customers deposits on 84 00:05:20,436 --> 00:05:26,636 Speaker 2: political contributions, celebrity marketing, and venture capital investments. He also 85 00:05:26,716 --> 00:05:29,996 Speaker 2: directed a lot of money toward the effective altruism movement. 86 00:05:30,716 --> 00:05:33,676 Speaker 2: The thing is, as you read Michael Lewis's book, it's 87 00:05:33,716 --> 00:05:37,716 Speaker 2: hard to separate Bankman Freed's illegal behaviors from the ones 88 00:05:37,716 --> 00:05:42,116 Speaker 2: that were just sloppy or weird. The book's publication was 89 00:05:42,156 --> 00:05:45,356 Speaker 2: timed to coincide with the first day of the Bankman 90 00:05:45,396 --> 00:05:48,276 Speaker 2: Freed trial, so heading into the trial, a lot of 91 00:05:48,356 --> 00:05:50,596 Speaker 2: people were asking Lewis what he thought. 92 00:05:50,996 --> 00:05:53,556 Speaker 1: I didn't actually say I don't think he did anything illegal, 93 00:05:53,676 --> 00:05:56,836 Speaker 1: or I'm not sure what I said was I don't 94 00:05:56,876 --> 00:05:59,276 Speaker 1: want to say, because I wanted to just tell the 95 00:05:59,316 --> 00:06:01,756 Speaker 1: story and let the reader decide what they think. The 96 00:06:01,836 --> 00:06:04,956 Speaker 1: book is filled with stuff that is essentially lawbreaking, but 97 00:06:04,996 --> 00:06:06,996 Speaker 1: I'm just telling it rather than telling you he broke 98 00:06:07,036 --> 00:06:07,396 Speaker 1: the law. 99 00:06:07,636 --> 00:06:10,516 Speaker 2: So do you think maybe that's why you've been somewhat 100 00:06:10,516 --> 00:06:12,796 Speaker 2: punished because you didn't act as judge and jury in 101 00:06:12,836 --> 00:06:13,236 Speaker 2: the book. 102 00:06:13,716 --> 00:06:17,476 Speaker 1: Yes, totally. But what I did, and I did very intentionally, 103 00:06:17,676 --> 00:06:20,836 Speaker 1: was I let the characters in the book investigate him 104 00:06:21,036 --> 00:06:23,556 Speaker 1: rather than me. I mean it was made to order 105 00:06:23,596 --> 00:06:27,636 Speaker 1: for narrative nonfiction. I had the chief operating officer of 106 00:06:27,676 --> 00:06:30,996 Speaker 1: the company, who'd been from the beginning, who realizes when 107 00:06:30,996 --> 00:06:33,996 Speaker 1: it all blows up. She doesn't know how this company operated, 108 00:06:34,196 --> 00:06:37,156 Speaker 1: and she wants to lynch him like she's helping the prosecutor. 109 00:06:37,196 --> 00:06:39,956 Speaker 1: She's trying to find evidence. So I just let her 110 00:06:39,996 --> 00:06:40,276 Speaker 1: do it. 111 00:06:40,636 --> 00:06:45,876 Speaker 2: So your books are generally very well reviewed among writers. 112 00:06:46,436 --> 00:06:49,676 Speaker 2: You're thought of as a writer's writer, so I'm not 113 00:06:49,836 --> 00:06:54,076 Speaker 2: used to seeing you get this kind of attention. Bad reviews, 114 00:06:54,356 --> 00:06:57,076 Speaker 2: features that call you into question. I'll read you a 115 00:06:57,116 --> 00:07:01,356 Speaker 2: couple of headlines from the Washington Post. Michael Lewis goes 116 00:07:01,436 --> 00:07:06,676 Speaker 2: close on Sam Bankman Freed, maybe too close. La Times. 117 00:07:06,716 --> 00:07:08,756 Speaker 2: What you won't learn from Michael Lewis's book on the 118 00:07:08,876 --> 00:07:13,156 Speaker 2: ft could fill another book another La Times piece in 119 00:07:13,596 --> 00:07:16,676 Speaker 2: Michael Lewis, Sam Bankman Fried found his last and most 120 00:07:16,756 --> 00:07:22,116 Speaker 2: willing victim. So the through line here is that critics 121 00:07:22,156 --> 00:07:25,636 Speaker 2: feel you still treat him too much like a hero 122 00:07:26,356 --> 00:07:30,076 Speaker 2: and at least like someone to be sympathized with. 123 00:07:30,676 --> 00:07:33,316 Speaker 1: Well, can I push back on this first? They are 124 00:07:33,396 --> 00:07:37,356 Speaker 1: also reviews by better writers in The New Yorker, in 125 00:07:37,436 --> 00:07:39,996 Speaker 1: the London Review of Books, in The Times Literary Supplement 126 00:07:40,156 --> 00:07:43,236 Speaker 1: that are very positive. There was no consensus in the reviews, 127 00:07:43,756 --> 00:07:48,196 Speaker 1: but the objections here were bewildering to me because the 128 00:07:48,236 --> 00:07:50,796 Speaker 1: idea that you're not supposed to get to know your subject. 129 00:07:51,276 --> 00:07:53,796 Speaker 1: I mean, there are people who have been presenting themselves 130 00:07:53,836 --> 00:07:56,196 Speaker 1: as authorities on Sam Bankman Freed, who's never met him. 131 00:07:56,676 --> 00:07:58,916 Speaker 1: It's really useful to get to know someone if you're 132 00:07:58,916 --> 00:08:01,476 Speaker 1: going to write about them. The idea that I was 133 00:08:01,556 --> 00:08:05,316 Speaker 1: somehow blinded to what he had done is preposterous. Because 134 00:08:05,316 --> 00:08:08,396 Speaker 1: I didn't start writing this thing until January. 135 00:08:07,996 --> 00:08:08,756 Speaker 2: Of the year. 136 00:08:09,116 --> 00:08:12,396 Speaker 1: You could see what it does. I think that people 137 00:08:12,436 --> 00:08:17,316 Speaker 1: are confusing painting him as he actually is was sympathizing 138 00:08:17,356 --> 00:08:20,676 Speaker 1: with him. Is it surprising that if you paint him 139 00:08:20,676 --> 00:08:25,036 Speaker 1: as he actually is you feel yourself disturbingly drawn to him? 140 00:08:25,596 --> 00:08:28,396 Speaker 1: Because this was the problem in the first place. This 141 00:08:28,476 --> 00:08:30,436 Speaker 1: is what led to the whole problem. If you don't 142 00:08:30,436 --> 00:08:32,516 Speaker 1: feel some attraction him, at least in the beginning of 143 00:08:32,556 --> 00:08:35,476 Speaker 1: the book, you're completely missing why this happened in the 144 00:08:35,476 --> 00:08:38,076 Speaker 1: first place. So to start out as, oh, this guy's 145 00:08:38,116 --> 00:08:39,996 Speaker 1: evil and everybody saw it and I saw it first, 146 00:08:39,996 --> 00:08:44,076 Speaker 1: it's false. Second, you miss the wonder of the story. 147 00:08:46,036 --> 00:08:49,316 Speaker 2: The story really begins in twenty seventeen, when Bankman Freed 148 00:08:49,396 --> 00:08:52,476 Speaker 2: quit his job at the trading firm Jane Street Capital 149 00:08:52,876 --> 00:08:56,716 Speaker 2: to start his own crypto trading firm, Alameda Research. As 150 00:08:56,836 --> 00:09:01,756 Speaker 2: Lewis's book makes clear, Alameda was from the beginning a mess. 151 00:09:02,356 --> 00:09:05,756 Speaker 2: Bankman Freed was very good at finding clever ways to 152 00:09:05,836 --> 00:09:09,036 Speaker 2: make money by trading cryptocurrencies at a time when most 153 00:09:09,196 --> 00:09:13,516 Speaker 2: mainstream trading firm still avoided crypto. But as a CEO 154 00:09:13,956 --> 00:09:19,596 Speaker 2: he was terrible, unfocused, unreliable, and totally uninterested in any 155 00:09:19,676 --> 00:09:23,076 Speaker 2: of the normal processes required to run a company or 156 00:09:23,116 --> 00:09:24,596 Speaker 2: to manage employees. 157 00:09:25,196 --> 00:09:27,876 Speaker 1: And after about three months, half of them hated Sam 158 00:09:27,916 --> 00:09:29,596 Speaker 1: and half of them thought he was a criminal. 159 00:09:30,116 --> 00:09:33,996 Speaker 2: Then he created the cryptocurrency trading platform FTX and became 160 00:09:34,196 --> 00:09:38,956 Speaker 2: CEO of it. He timed the crypto wave perfectly. By 161 00:09:39,036 --> 00:09:43,076 Speaker 2: twenty twenty one, Forbes put Sam Bankminfried's wealth at twenty 162 00:09:43,116 --> 00:09:45,876 Speaker 2: two and a half billion dollars, making him the world's 163 00:09:45,956 --> 00:09:49,556 Speaker 2: richest person under thirty At FTX, he was still a 164 00:09:49,636 --> 00:09:52,276 Speaker 2: bad CEO, but there was more to it than that. 165 00:09:53,116 --> 00:09:56,516 Speaker 1: What he did is he misappropriated funds. He told people 166 00:09:56,556 --> 00:09:58,636 Speaker 1: that their money was safe in one place, and he 167 00:09:58,716 --> 00:10:01,716 Speaker 1: was actually he was taking big gambles with it in 168 00:10:01,756 --> 00:10:04,436 Speaker 1: another place. What's odd about these gambles is that some 169 00:10:04,516 --> 00:10:07,716 Speaker 1: of them seemed to have worked out pretty well. Look, 170 00:10:07,956 --> 00:10:09,516 Speaker 1: I'm not a lawyer, and I was never all that 171 00:10:09,556 --> 00:10:11,716 Speaker 1: interested in the legal questions. I was more interested in 172 00:10:11,756 --> 00:10:16,396 Speaker 1: the moral questions. And he clearly, in my story, right 173 00:10:16,436 --> 00:10:19,876 Speaker 1: from the beginning, did something that was illegal. He didn't 174 00:10:19,916 --> 00:10:22,956 Speaker 1: ever separate the funds like he had his hedge fund, 175 00:10:23,036 --> 00:10:25,956 Speaker 1: alometor research or quant fund or whatever you want to 176 00:10:25,996 --> 00:10:29,476 Speaker 1: call it, and his exchange. And the way people got 177 00:10:29,516 --> 00:10:31,596 Speaker 1: their dollars onto the exchange was by sending it to 178 00:10:31,596 --> 00:10:33,516 Speaker 1: his quand fund, and it never left the Quand fund. 179 00:10:33,876 --> 00:10:37,276 Speaker 1: So he was essentially extending himself a free loan, using 180 00:10:37,276 --> 00:10:38,156 Speaker 1: customer to posits. 181 00:10:38,236 --> 00:10:41,276 Speaker 2: Right from the beginning, when you started hanging out with Sam, 182 00:10:41,356 --> 00:10:43,796 Speaker 2: he was already well known in some circles, maybe not 183 00:10:43,956 --> 00:10:48,796 Speaker 2: famous quite. And then your relationship extended, including to the 184 00:10:48,956 --> 00:10:51,796 Speaker 2: collapse of FTX, up to the trial and so on. 185 00:10:52,236 --> 00:10:54,316 Speaker 2: First of all, I want to hear about how the 186 00:10:54,356 --> 00:10:57,356 Speaker 2: reporting happened. I mean, we know a lot about you 187 00:10:57,436 --> 00:11:00,356 Speaker 2: as a reporter. You really believe in the old school 188 00:11:00,396 --> 00:11:03,036 Speaker 2: idea of just hanging out with a notebook. So I 189 00:11:03,076 --> 00:11:05,476 Speaker 2: want to hear about the relationship how it worked, and 190 00:11:05,596 --> 00:11:09,756 Speaker 2: especially how the relationship changed between you and him after 191 00:11:09,956 --> 00:11:10,636 Speaker 2: the collapse. 192 00:11:11,196 --> 00:11:14,396 Speaker 1: I didn't start out thinking I had a book or 193 00:11:14,476 --> 00:11:18,076 Speaker 1: what the book was. I start out thinking, this character 194 00:11:18,276 --> 00:11:22,116 Speaker 1: is really interesting and the situation's bizarre. He's gone from 195 00:11:22,236 --> 00:11:24,676 Speaker 1: zero to having twenty two billion dollars in eighteen months, 196 00:11:24,716 --> 00:11:27,316 Speaker 1: and the world is organizing itself around this pile of money. 197 00:11:27,556 --> 00:11:29,956 Speaker 1: I just want to watch. So that's how it starts. 198 00:11:29,956 --> 00:11:31,836 Speaker 1: I say to him, I just want to watch. I 199 00:11:31,836 --> 00:11:35,156 Speaker 1: don't know what there is here, and he says, fine, 200 00:11:35,436 --> 00:11:37,476 Speaker 1: come on down to Bahamas and here are the keys. 201 00:11:38,076 --> 00:11:41,116 Speaker 1: And so I spend a year doing that. At no 202 00:11:41,276 --> 00:11:44,756 Speaker 1: point did Sam becinfree ask me what I was doing. 203 00:11:45,276 --> 00:11:47,956 Speaker 1: At no point did he say I can't answer that question, 204 00:11:48,156 --> 00:11:51,676 Speaker 1: or why are you asking that question. It was an unguardedness. 205 00:11:52,316 --> 00:11:55,516 Speaker 1: They were shocking, and it wasn't just with me. I 206 00:11:55,556 --> 00:11:58,396 Speaker 1: think other reporters found that when they pushed a little bit, 207 00:11:58,476 --> 00:11:59,916 Speaker 1: doors just opened. There. 208 00:12:00,236 --> 00:12:04,556 Speaker 2: Some of the scenes in the book aren't just comically bizarre, 209 00:12:04,796 --> 00:12:07,356 Speaker 2: like when he's on a zoom call with Anna wind 210 00:12:07,356 --> 00:12:11,596 Speaker 2: Tour from Vogue magazine, who wants him to participate in 211 00:12:11,756 --> 00:12:16,356 Speaker 2: maybe fund the mech Gala the very high profile fashion 212 00:12:16,396 --> 00:12:19,716 Speaker 2: event at the Metropolitan Museum of Art in New York, YEP. 213 00:12:20,076 --> 00:12:22,156 Speaker 2: In that instance, where are you Are you in the 214 00:12:22,236 --> 00:12:23,516 Speaker 2: room with him when he's on that call? 215 00:12:23,756 --> 00:12:24,036 Speaker 1: Yes? 216 00:12:24,596 --> 00:12:25,236 Speaker 2: Where is that? 217 00:12:25,396 --> 00:12:28,276 Speaker 1: It's in the Beverly Hills Hilton Hotel. 218 00:12:28,236 --> 00:12:29,076 Speaker 2: And he's in La. 219 00:12:29,196 --> 00:12:32,116 Speaker 1: Why he's in La because he's gone to the super Bowl. 220 00:12:32,516 --> 00:12:34,076 Speaker 1: It was the day he was leaving to go back 221 00:12:34,076 --> 00:12:36,116 Speaker 1: to the Bahamas, and I was going to join him. 222 00:12:36,356 --> 00:12:37,996 Speaker 1: He says, I got a call. And I said who 223 00:12:38,076 --> 00:12:39,516 Speaker 1: you got a call with? He says, I don't know. 224 00:12:39,916 --> 00:12:42,836 Speaker 1: Anna went tour And I said, oh really, And so 225 00:12:42,916 --> 00:12:45,076 Speaker 1: I sat off to one side and it was just 226 00:12:45,276 --> 00:12:47,156 Speaker 1: there was no one else in the room, just him 227 00:12:47,476 --> 00:12:50,996 Speaker 1: and I watched and I scribbled furiously notes as he spoke, 228 00:12:51,396 --> 00:12:56,316 Speaker 1: and realized in the moment that I was watching a 229 00:12:56,396 --> 00:13:00,236 Speaker 1: microcosm of Sam Bankmanfree's relationship with the outside world, especially 230 00:13:00,236 --> 00:13:03,156 Speaker 1: the outside world that organized hisself around piles of money. 231 00:13:03,156 --> 00:13:05,756 Speaker 2: And how would you describe that relationship. 232 00:13:05,516 --> 00:13:08,876 Speaker 1: Sycophanic towards him? There was a certain obliviousness on his 233 00:13:08,876 --> 00:13:11,156 Speaker 1: part to who these people were and why they wanted 234 00:13:11,196 --> 00:13:14,156 Speaker 1: what they wanted. He knew they wanted money, but beyond that, 235 00:13:14,236 --> 00:13:16,196 Speaker 1: he didn't pay that close attention to who they were. 236 00:13:16,276 --> 00:13:18,676 Speaker 1: He's trying to figure out just how much attention he 237 00:13:18,716 --> 00:13:21,596 Speaker 1: should pay to these people because they were constant. It 238 00:13:21,676 --> 00:13:25,076 Speaker 1: was like brunch with Shack and dinner with the head 239 00:13:25,076 --> 00:13:27,356 Speaker 1: of Gold and Sacks. A lot of this was completely 240 00:13:27,396 --> 00:13:27,836 Speaker 1: new to him. 241 00:13:28,236 --> 00:13:31,916 Speaker 2: So on this Anna Winter call, he agrees to what 242 00:13:31,956 --> 00:13:37,116 Speaker 2: she's asking for, to maybe sponsor attend something the met gala, 243 00:13:37,196 --> 00:13:39,996 Speaker 2: but then in the end he cancels on her at 244 00:13:40,036 --> 00:13:40,756 Speaker 2: the last minute. 245 00:13:41,116 --> 00:13:45,116 Speaker 1: Much more complicated than that, because he seems to agree 246 00:13:45,116 --> 00:13:50,036 Speaker 1: to everything she says, everything because he's actually not really listening. 247 00:13:50,036 --> 00:13:52,316 Speaker 1: He's playing a video game when he's talking to her. 248 00:13:52,636 --> 00:13:55,676 Speaker 1: He just turns her picture off when she's talking and 249 00:13:55,756 --> 00:13:58,796 Speaker 1: plays the video game. And only when he hears like, 250 00:13:59,036 --> 00:14:00,636 Speaker 1: oh Sam, what do you think of that? Does he 251 00:14:00,716 --> 00:14:03,556 Speaker 1: wake up, turn her picture back on, stall get the 252 00:14:03,636 --> 00:14:07,596 Speaker 1: question again and answer it. She would have understandably left 253 00:14:07,636 --> 00:14:11,556 Speaker 1: that conversation thinking that he was all in on the 254 00:14:11,636 --> 00:14:14,116 Speaker 1: met Gala, that he was going to go, maybe even 255 00:14:14,196 --> 00:14:17,596 Speaker 1: pay for it, But he hasn't actually said very much 256 00:14:17,636 --> 00:14:22,276 Speaker 1: except yep. And then when he's done, I ask him, like, really, 257 00:14:22,436 --> 00:14:24,716 Speaker 1: you're sitting here in your shorts and your cargo shorts 258 00:14:24,716 --> 00:14:26,276 Speaker 1: and your T shirt and your limp socks. You have 259 00:14:26,316 --> 00:14:28,916 Speaker 1: no interest in fashion. You don't even know who she is, Like, 260 00:14:29,036 --> 00:14:30,436 Speaker 1: you're really going to go to that? And he goes, 261 00:14:30,476 --> 00:14:33,316 Speaker 1: I never really thought about it. You know, by the 262 00:14:33,356 --> 00:14:35,716 Speaker 1: time I met him, he had figured out that the 263 00:14:35,756 --> 00:14:37,876 Speaker 1: best way to navigate the world of the rich and 264 00:14:37,876 --> 00:14:40,596 Speaker 1: famous was just to agree with everything they said. He 265 00:14:40,636 --> 00:14:42,796 Speaker 1: actually says this. He says, I've discovered it's like an 266 00:14:42,836 --> 00:14:45,516 Speaker 1: AI program, I discover people like you if you agree 267 00:14:45,556 --> 00:14:47,036 Speaker 1: with him, what would. 268 00:14:46,876 --> 00:14:51,636 Speaker 2: You say that Sam Bankman Freed is or was exceptionally 269 00:14:51,676 --> 00:14:53,796 Speaker 2: good at and exceptionally bad at. 270 00:14:54,316 --> 00:14:59,196 Speaker 1: He was exceptionally bad at understanding how people would feel 271 00:14:59,236 --> 00:15:03,116 Speaker 1: about his behavior, Like even now I think he doesn't 272 00:15:03,196 --> 00:15:07,156 Speaker 1: understand why people are so angry. When he moves from childhood, 273 00:15:07,196 --> 00:15:09,916 Speaker 1: which his child is completely isolated, it has no real 274 00:15:09,956 --> 00:15:13,156 Speaker 1: relationships with anybody, into adulthood and he starts to figure 275 00:15:13,156 --> 00:15:15,356 Speaker 1: out he wants to have relationships with people. He learns 276 00:15:15,356 --> 00:15:19,276 Speaker 1: how to kind of fake emotional his emotions and kind 277 00:15:19,316 --> 00:15:21,796 Speaker 1: of signaling his inner life so that people aren't so 278 00:15:21,836 --> 00:15:24,116 Speaker 1: freaked out by him. There's a sort of absence in 279 00:15:24,156 --> 00:15:27,316 Speaker 1: his imagination of what other people are feeling. What was 280 00:15:27,316 --> 00:15:32,036 Speaker 1: he exceptionally good at. He was interesting in his attempts 281 00:15:32,076 --> 00:15:36,196 Speaker 1: to quantify the unquantifiable. To me, what made him when 282 00:15:36,196 --> 00:15:38,956 Speaker 1: I first met him, such an interesting character was the 283 00:15:38,956 --> 00:15:41,316 Speaker 1: way he was moving through the world was so weird. 284 00:15:41,636 --> 00:15:46,876 Speaker 1: He was essentially moneyballing life. Everything was an expected value calculation, 285 00:15:47,156 --> 00:15:48,676 Speaker 1: and in some ways you can think of him as 286 00:15:48,676 --> 00:15:53,996 Speaker 1: having replaced principles with probabilities. There were no fixed rules. 287 00:15:54,076 --> 00:15:57,756 Speaker 1: Everything was We're going to try to measure the expected 288 00:15:57,836 --> 00:16:00,716 Speaker 1: value of this decision or that decision and do the 289 00:16:00,756 --> 00:16:04,596 Speaker 1: thing that's the highest expected value, and doing things like 290 00:16:04,756 --> 00:16:06,996 Speaker 1: making decisions about whether to get married and have children 291 00:16:07,076 --> 00:16:07,436 Speaker 1: this way. 292 00:16:10,236 --> 00:16:13,276 Speaker 2: Sam Bankman Freed grew up in California. Both his parents 293 00:16:13,316 --> 00:16:17,476 Speaker 2: were legal scholars at Stanford. Sam went to college at MIT, 294 00:16:17,596 --> 00:16:20,596 Speaker 2: where he studied physics and math. It was during college 295 00:16:20,636 --> 00:16:23,676 Speaker 2: that he met a young philosophy professor from Oxford named 296 00:16:23,756 --> 00:16:27,036 Speaker 2: Will mccaskell, who made him think about his life differently. 297 00:16:27,636 --> 00:16:32,596 Speaker 2: Here is a passage from going Infinite. 298 00:16:32,276 --> 00:16:34,596 Speaker 1: The argument that mcaskell put to Sam and a small 299 00:16:34,636 --> 00:16:37,276 Speaker 1: group of Harvard students in the fall of twenty twelve, 300 00:16:37,596 --> 00:16:41,916 Speaker 1: went roughly as follows, you student at an elite university 301 00:16:42,236 --> 00:16:45,036 Speaker 1: will spend roughly eighty thousand hours of your life working. 302 00:16:45,716 --> 00:16:47,516 Speaker 1: If you're the sort of person who wants to do 303 00:16:47,676 --> 00:16:50,356 Speaker 1: good in the world, what is the most effective way 304 00:16:50,396 --> 00:16:53,996 Speaker 1: to spend those hours? Put bluntly, should you do good 305 00:16:54,276 --> 00:16:56,636 Speaker 1: or make money and pay other people to do good? 306 00:16:57,236 --> 00:16:59,476 Speaker 1: Was it better to become a doctor or a banker. 307 00:17:00,916 --> 00:17:03,516 Speaker 1: Mccaskell made a rough calculation of the number of lives 308 00:17:03,556 --> 00:17:06,356 Speaker 1: saved by a doctor working in a poor country where 309 00:17:06,436 --> 00:17:09,516 Speaker 1: lives were cheapest to save. Then he posed a question, 310 00:17:10,116 --> 00:17:13,876 Speaker 1: what if I become an altruistic banker pursuing a lucrative 311 00:17:13,916 --> 00:17:18,556 Speaker 1: career in order to donate my earnings. Even a mediocre 312 00:17:18,636 --> 00:17:21,796 Speaker 1: investment banker could expect sufficient lifetime earnings to pay for 313 00:17:21,876 --> 00:17:25,796 Speaker 1: several doctors in Africa, and thus would save several times 314 00:17:25,796 --> 00:17:27,796 Speaker 1: more lives than any one doctor. 315 00:17:30,356 --> 00:17:34,956 Speaker 2: Mccaskell and his associates called their movement effective altruism. My 316 00:17:35,196 --> 00:17:39,396 Speaker 2: Freakonomics friend and co author Steve Levitt interviewed mccaskell on 317 00:17:39,476 --> 00:17:44,156 Speaker 2: his podcast People I Mostly Admire in August of last year. 318 00:17:44,236 --> 00:17:47,356 Speaker 2: This was just a couple months before Sam Bankman freed 319 00:17:47,596 --> 00:17:50,556 Speaker 2: was arrested. Here is a piece of that interview with 320 00:17:50,796 --> 00:17:54,196 Speaker 2: mccaskell talking about the earning to Give model. 321 00:17:54,596 --> 00:17:57,476 Speaker 4: The biggest success story for learning to give is Sam 322 00:17:57,516 --> 00:18:01,116 Speaker 4: Bankman Freeds, who's now the relitious person in the world 323 00:18:01,196 --> 00:18:03,516 Speaker 4: under the age of thirty five, and he's publicly stated 324 00:18:03,556 --> 00:18:05,796 Speaker 4: he's giving away ninety nine percent of his wealth or more. 325 00:18:06,036 --> 00:18:08,356 Speaker 4: And as all ready i'mping up is giving. I think 326 00:18:08,436 --> 00:18:10,476 Speaker 4: part of what helps here is that we've just built 327 00:18:10,516 --> 00:18:13,556 Speaker 4: this community. It's much easier to live up to your 328 00:18:13,916 --> 00:18:16,396 Speaker 4: ideals if you've got a bunch of people around you 329 00:18:16,396 --> 00:18:18,796 Speaker 4: who will please you for living up to them. And 330 00:18:19,036 --> 00:18:22,796 Speaker 4: maybe you'll feel shunned or less welcome if you're claiming 331 00:18:22,876 --> 00:18:25,156 Speaker 4: that you want to do enormous amounts of good and 332 00:18:25,476 --> 00:18:27,156 Speaker 4: give enormous amounts but actually aren't. 333 00:18:27,796 --> 00:18:31,796 Speaker 2: When Bankman Freed heard mccaskell's pitch back in twenty twelve, 334 00:18:32,356 --> 00:18:36,196 Speaker 2: he was sold. He ultimately decided to make as much 335 00:18:36,276 --> 00:18:41,156 Speaker 2: money as possible. His personal goal was infinity dollars, thus 336 00:18:41,276 --> 00:18:44,476 Speaker 2: the title of Michael Lewis's book, and that's why after 337 00:18:44,516 --> 00:18:47,116 Speaker 2: he graduated from MIT, he took a job in New 338 00:18:47,196 --> 00:18:50,396 Speaker 2: York doing high frequency trading at Jane Street Capital. 339 00:18:50,836 --> 00:18:52,876 Speaker 1: The people on Wall Street who hired him would have 340 00:18:52,916 --> 00:18:55,396 Speaker 1: told you and that he was extremely good when you 341 00:18:55,476 --> 00:18:59,236 Speaker 1: gave him games to play that required these expected value calculations. 342 00:18:59,396 --> 00:19:01,956 Speaker 1: He was a wizard that he was really really good 343 00:19:01,956 --> 00:19:06,316 Speaker 1: at dealing with sort of messy, semi chaotic environments and 344 00:19:06,356 --> 00:19:09,196 Speaker 1: making the smart decisions in them. Here's an example. If 345 00:19:09,236 --> 00:19:11,716 Speaker 1: you asked him to sit down and play chess with 346 00:19:11,756 --> 00:19:15,316 Speaker 1: a grand master, he would have been okay, but not great. 347 00:19:15,356 --> 00:19:18,036 Speaker 1: But if you change the game it was speed chess, 348 00:19:18,036 --> 00:19:19,956 Speaker 1: and you had five seconds to make a move, and 349 00:19:20,116 --> 00:19:22,916 Speaker 1: every minute you change the rules of the game so 350 00:19:22,996 --> 00:19:24,756 Speaker 1: that all of a sudden the bishops have to be 351 00:19:24,796 --> 00:19:26,996 Speaker 1: pawns and the pawns have to be bishops. He might 352 00:19:26,996 --> 00:19:29,676 Speaker 1: have beaten the grand master in that kind of environment 353 00:19:29,716 --> 00:19:32,316 Speaker 1: where it's almost impossible to know what the right answer is, 354 00:19:32,316 --> 00:19:34,716 Speaker 1: but you can make some quick judgments and act on them. 355 00:19:35,076 --> 00:19:36,276 Speaker 1: He was especially good. 356 00:19:36,716 --> 00:19:41,036 Speaker 2: When you say he replaced principles with probabilities. It strikes 357 00:19:41,036 --> 00:19:44,796 Speaker 2: me that that's a good way of describing the fear 358 00:19:45,516 --> 00:19:47,756 Speaker 2: that's going on right now of what AI is going 359 00:19:47,836 --> 00:19:48,116 Speaker 2: to do. 360 00:19:48,636 --> 00:19:51,036 Speaker 1: That's funny you say this When I was thinking about 361 00:19:51,076 --> 00:19:53,796 Speaker 1: what this story was a parable for when I was 362 00:19:53,796 --> 00:19:55,316 Speaker 1: writing it, one of the things that kept popping in 363 00:19:55,316 --> 00:19:57,116 Speaker 1: my head was a parable for AI. It was like 364 00:19:57,156 --> 00:19:59,796 Speaker 1: a foreshadowing of what happened when you let an artificial 365 00:19:59,796 --> 00:20:02,356 Speaker 1: intelligence loosen the world with a goal, telling it what 366 00:20:02,476 --> 00:20:04,716 Speaker 1: to do, but not telling it how to do it right. 367 00:20:05,116 --> 00:20:07,556 Speaker 1: So you tell it to get a reservation at your 368 00:20:07,556 --> 00:20:10,236 Speaker 1: favorite restaurant tomorrow night, and it go out and finds 369 00:20:10,236 --> 00:20:12,276 Speaker 1: that the restaurants fully booked and starts to kill the 370 00:20:12,276 --> 00:20:14,796 Speaker 1: people who have reservations to get you a table. That's 371 00:20:14,836 --> 00:20:18,236 Speaker 1: Sam Bagmunfreed. That's Sam Bagman Freed. He's programmed him sell 372 00:20:18,356 --> 00:20:20,756 Speaker 1: himself to make as much money as possible to then 373 00:20:20,916 --> 00:20:24,556 Speaker 1: spend to to defray existential risk to humanity without any 374 00:20:24,596 --> 00:20:27,716 Speaker 1: instructions about what he can't do in order to do that. 375 00:20:28,316 --> 00:20:31,836 Speaker 1: I felt, at any given moment when he's making his decisions, 376 00:20:32,076 --> 00:20:36,356 Speaker 1: he was always on pretty shaky ground in his calculations, Like, 377 00:20:36,796 --> 00:20:40,196 Speaker 1: I don't know what the probability of AI wiping us 378 00:20:40,196 --> 00:20:42,556 Speaker 1: all out, or some pandemic wiping us all out, or 379 00:20:42,556 --> 00:20:45,516 Speaker 1: an asteroid hitting the earth, but neither is he And 380 00:20:45,636 --> 00:20:48,316 Speaker 1: yet he's putting very confidently numbers on these things and 381 00:20:48,396 --> 00:20:49,996 Speaker 1: acting on these numbers. 382 00:20:52,116 --> 00:20:55,076 Speaker 2: Many of the people Bankman Freed recruited to work at 383 00:20:55,116 --> 00:21:00,556 Speaker 2: Alameda and FTX also considered themselves effective altruists or eas 384 00:21:00,876 --> 00:21:04,276 Speaker 2: and they talked about the expected value of their actions 385 00:21:04,636 --> 00:21:05,556 Speaker 2: the same way he did. 386 00:21:06,076 --> 00:21:09,636 Speaker 1: It was quirky, and it was weird watching people think 387 00:21:09,676 --> 00:21:12,436 Speaker 1: they could be precise about things that you just couldn't know. 388 00:21:12,996 --> 00:21:15,516 Speaker 1: But I actually quite liked the fact that there were 389 00:21:15,516 --> 00:21:18,436 Speaker 1: people who were worrying about these things. And to their credit, 390 00:21:18,556 --> 00:21:21,276 Speaker 1: right the effective altruists get to the fear of AI 391 00:21:21,396 --> 00:21:24,276 Speaker 1: before all of us. They weren't all wrong. They aren't 392 00:21:24,276 --> 00:21:25,916 Speaker 1: all wrong. My god, we may look back and say 393 00:21:25,916 --> 00:21:26,596 Speaker 1: they were all right. 394 00:21:27,036 --> 00:21:30,956 Speaker 2: I'm curious what impressions you walked away with of the 395 00:21:30,996 --> 00:21:34,916 Speaker 2: effective altruist crowd, especially Will mccaskell, the ringleader. I'm curious 396 00:21:35,356 --> 00:21:39,236 Speaker 2: whether you think he and the core movement are sincere. 397 00:21:39,476 --> 00:21:42,436 Speaker 2: Are they a little bit grifty? Are they both? 398 00:21:42,836 --> 00:21:46,116 Speaker 1: I think they're completely sincere. But on the other hand, 399 00:21:46,116 --> 00:21:48,556 Speaker 1: the best con men believe their own con but I 400 00:21:48,556 --> 00:21:51,476 Speaker 1: don't think of them as con men at all. They're academics. 401 00:21:51,956 --> 00:21:56,236 Speaker 1: There's a kind of blinder quality to them. The whole movement. 402 00:21:56,516 --> 00:21:59,196 Speaker 1: It has this cult like quality in that it attracts 403 00:21:59,196 --> 00:22:01,556 Speaker 1: a certain kind of person and then they get their 404 00:22:01,556 --> 00:22:04,476 Speaker 1: meaning of life from the thing. But it's a kind 405 00:22:04,476 --> 00:22:08,236 Speaker 1: of anti cult cult in that unlike most cults, well 406 00:22:08,396 --> 00:22:10,916 Speaker 1: what is it's a cult? Reason right, It's a cult 407 00:22:10,916 --> 00:22:13,716 Speaker 1: where if you have a better argument inside the cult, 408 00:22:14,316 --> 00:22:17,196 Speaker 1: you win and the cult changes. So it's a little 409 00:22:17,196 --> 00:22:21,356 Speaker 1: different from most cults. And it has had this capacity 410 00:22:21,396 --> 00:22:24,636 Speaker 1: to kind of phase change in a way that cults 411 00:22:24,916 --> 00:22:27,996 Speaker 1: normally don't. They start up trying to save you poor 412 00:22:28,076 --> 00:22:31,196 Speaker 1: children in Africa, and they end up worrying about human 413 00:22:31,236 --> 00:22:33,876 Speaker 1: beings the trillion years from now living on Mars. I 414 00:22:33,916 --> 00:22:37,636 Speaker 1: think of them as completely sincere, generally pretty sweet natured, 415 00:22:38,356 --> 00:22:42,796 Speaker 1: devoted to logic and reason and argument, and somehow it 416 00:22:42,836 --> 00:22:44,836 Speaker 1: has the capacity still to run off the rails. 417 00:22:45,436 --> 00:22:48,196 Speaker 2: Did they respect Sam or did they just love him 418 00:22:48,196 --> 00:22:48,796 Speaker 2: for his money? 419 00:22:49,196 --> 00:22:51,716 Speaker 1: I think they felt about Sam the way Sam's parents 420 00:22:51,716 --> 00:22:54,996 Speaker 1: felt about Sam. They were scared both for and of him, 421 00:22:55,596 --> 00:23:00,196 Speaker 1: and they were interestingly, even in good times, a little 422 00:23:00,236 --> 00:23:03,356 Speaker 1: worried about him being too closely identified with the movement, 423 00:23:03,396 --> 00:23:05,356 Speaker 1: because he became kind of the face of the movement. 424 00:23:05,756 --> 00:23:08,236 Speaker 1: I think they smelled the existential risk to the movement. 425 00:23:08,636 --> 00:23:10,676 Speaker 1: He became too important to them. 426 00:23:10,956 --> 00:23:13,956 Speaker 2: How bad has his downfall been for them? 427 00:23:14,116 --> 00:23:16,956 Speaker 1: I don't know how. With the recruiting numbers in the 428 00:23:16,996 --> 00:23:19,836 Speaker 1: Stanford and Princeton and Harvard and MIT math and physics 429 00:23:19,876 --> 00:23:22,716 Speaker 1: departments are looking like these days can have been good? 430 00:23:23,476 --> 00:23:26,516 Speaker 1: Can have been good? My guess is it causes a 431 00:23:26,516 --> 00:23:28,876 Speaker 1: bit of a retrenchment in how they think about what 432 00:23:28,916 --> 00:23:32,076 Speaker 1: they're doing. I think that back in the day, when 433 00:23:32,076 --> 00:23:35,676 Speaker 1: it was just being more intellectually rigorous about what you 434 00:23:35,716 --> 00:23:39,716 Speaker 1: did with charitable dollars, it was pretty unobjectionable. Where I 435 00:23:39,716 --> 00:23:42,156 Speaker 1: find the whole thing jumps the shark is the earn 436 00:23:42,236 --> 00:23:45,036 Speaker 1: to give idea. I'm not quite sure why I feel 437 00:23:45,036 --> 00:23:47,476 Speaker 1: this way, but the whole idea that to stop trying 438 00:23:47,476 --> 00:23:50,756 Speaker 1: to do good yourself and maximize the dollars you make 439 00:23:50,796 --> 00:23:53,316 Speaker 1: and pay someone else to do good with them. There's 440 00:23:53,356 --> 00:23:58,876 Speaker 1: something about divorcing charitable acts from human sympathy that feels 441 00:23:58,876 --> 00:23:59,676 Speaker 1: a little weird to me. 442 00:24:00,396 --> 00:24:03,316 Speaker 2: There's this concept. I think it's mostly in psychology, but 443 00:24:03,356 --> 00:24:06,076 Speaker 2: others use it called moral licensing. It's this idea that 444 00:24:06,076 --> 00:24:09,556 Speaker 2: if you're doing something great for people or the world, 445 00:24:09,636 --> 00:24:12,476 Speaker 2: in one corner of your life, you give yourself licensed 446 00:24:12,476 --> 00:24:15,596 Speaker 2: to lie or cheat or steal whatever. In another corner. 447 00:24:16,476 --> 00:24:19,836 Speaker 2: Do you think that he felt that because he's making 448 00:24:19,876 --> 00:24:22,316 Speaker 2: money in the service of effective altruism, which is going 449 00:24:22,396 --> 00:24:26,716 Speaker 2: to use money to solve potentially existential problems, that that 450 00:24:26,916 --> 00:24:29,556 Speaker 2: just trumped everything else, And that if he needed to 451 00:24:29,596 --> 00:24:33,556 Speaker 2: be deceitful or withhold information, etc. That he's still kind 452 00:24:33,556 --> 00:24:35,276 Speaker 2: of in the plus column because of the big one. 453 00:24:35,916 --> 00:24:39,516 Speaker 1: Yes, I think so he wouldn't put it that way. 454 00:24:40,116 --> 00:24:42,396 Speaker 1: I'm trying to think how he would put it, but 455 00:24:42,556 --> 00:24:45,316 Speaker 1: the effect is the same. This is the whole business 456 00:24:45,316 --> 00:24:49,716 Speaker 1: of replacing principles with probabilities. There are no firm, fixed 457 00:24:49,876 --> 00:24:54,436 Speaker 1: rules that he will obey. So why does he allow 458 00:24:54,516 --> 00:24:58,156 Speaker 1: himself to move through the world without obeying firm fixed rules. 459 00:24:58,676 --> 00:25:03,876 Speaker 1: It's because he thinks this larger goal justifies it. He 460 00:25:03,916 --> 00:25:07,436 Speaker 1: figures out as a kid or as pretty young person, 461 00:25:08,196 --> 00:25:11,036 Speaker 1: that he has the ability to do harm because he 462 00:25:11,076 --> 00:25:14,516 Speaker 1: doesn't feel what other people feel. It's a bit like 463 00:25:14,636 --> 00:25:17,196 Speaker 1: if you didn't feel pain, you're more likely like put 464 00:25:17,196 --> 00:25:19,716 Speaker 1: your hand on the stove and burn it off. He's 465 00:25:19,796 --> 00:25:24,036 Speaker 1: lacking some essential human equipment that would constrain. 466 00:25:23,676 --> 00:25:25,676 Speaker 2: His behavior, and he knows it. 467 00:25:25,836 --> 00:25:29,996 Speaker 1: And he knows it, and so when he discovers a rule, 468 00:25:30,076 --> 00:25:32,836 Speaker 1: he can give himself our goal he can give himself, 469 00:25:32,916 --> 00:25:37,156 Speaker 1: and the goal seems noble, lower the existential risk to humanity, 470 00:25:37,236 --> 00:25:40,076 Speaker 1: save human lives. In a way, He's trying to put 471 00:25:40,156 --> 00:25:43,876 Speaker 1: some constraint on the harms he creates. But I do 472 00:25:43,916 --> 00:25:46,836 Speaker 1: think moral licensing will do as an explanation. 473 00:25:47,276 --> 00:25:50,476 Speaker 2: I'm curious to know what the effective altruists make of 474 00:25:50,516 --> 00:25:54,396 Speaker 2: someone like Bill Gates. He's spent the past ten fifteen 475 00:25:54,436 --> 00:25:57,276 Speaker 2: years spending billions of dollars trying to do what looks 476 00:25:57,276 --> 00:25:59,476 Speaker 2: to me like a version of what they want to do, 477 00:25:59,556 --> 00:26:02,356 Speaker 2: and there have been people throughout history trying to do 478 00:26:02,436 --> 00:26:05,596 Speaker 2: similar things. What do you see as the biggest distinction 479 00:26:05,796 --> 00:26:08,636 Speaker 2: between Gates and the effective altruists. 480 00:26:08,716 --> 00:26:11,836 Speaker 1: Degree of fanaticism and rigor. I mean, I think Gates 481 00:26:11,876 --> 00:26:13,716 Speaker 1: does a lot of things other than just try to 482 00:26:13,756 --> 00:26:17,316 Speaker 1: maximize the lives saved with his dollars. But I think 483 00:26:17,316 --> 00:26:20,116 Speaker 1: the eas would tell you that Gates is the closest 484 00:26:20,116 --> 00:26:22,796 Speaker 1: thing to an EA who's not an EA. They're probably 485 00:26:22,836 --> 00:26:25,076 Speaker 1: dollars that Bill Gates have given to museums that would 486 00:26:25,076 --> 00:26:28,636 Speaker 1: disturb them because they're a dollar given to a museum 487 00:26:28,796 --> 00:26:31,076 Speaker 1: is a dollar wasted in their minds. 488 00:26:31,956 --> 00:26:35,716 Speaker 2: Coming up after the break, another way to waste dollars. 489 00:26:36,156 --> 00:26:38,556 Speaker 1: If you give Donald Trump five billion dollars not to 490 00:26:38,636 --> 00:26:40,316 Speaker 1: run for president, what do you think he's going to do? 491 00:26:40,796 --> 00:26:43,876 Speaker 2: I'm Stephen Dubner. This is Freakonomics Radio. We'll be right back. 492 00:27:02,516 --> 00:27:06,516 Speaker 2: Sam Bankman Free didn't buy a yacht or have expensive 493 00:27:06,556 --> 00:27:09,716 Speaker 2: tastes on most of the normal dimensions, but he did 494 00:27:09,716 --> 00:27:12,756 Speaker 2: spend a lot of money in the political arena. Some 495 00:27:12,836 --> 00:27:17,316 Speaker 2: of this went toward influencing cryptocurrency regulation in the US, 496 00:27:17,436 --> 00:27:21,476 Speaker 2: which would have let his FTX Exchange expand its business, 497 00:27:22,396 --> 00:27:25,836 Speaker 2: but his political spending went in other directions too. Here 498 00:27:25,916 --> 00:27:29,276 Speaker 2: again is Michael Lewis, author of Going Infinite. 499 00:27:29,716 --> 00:27:33,676 Speaker 1: So he spends ten million dollars in an Oregon Democratic 500 00:27:33,716 --> 00:27:37,716 Speaker 1: primary on a candidate named Carrick Flynn. Sam identifies him 501 00:27:37,716 --> 00:27:41,196 Speaker 1: because he is an effective altruist who's expert in pandemic 502 00:27:41,236 --> 00:27:44,996 Speaker 1: prevention without paying any attention to his viability as a candidate, 503 00:27:45,036 --> 00:27:49,156 Speaker 1: and Carrick Flynn has, among other traits, fear of public speaking, deeply, 504 00:27:49,316 --> 00:27:53,636 Speaker 1: deeply insecure, and upset when people say something critical about him. 505 00:27:53,996 --> 00:27:56,436 Speaker 1: Lots of things that would be red flags in a 506 00:27:56,436 --> 00:27:57,396 Speaker 1: political candidate. 507 00:27:57,876 --> 00:27:58,756 Speaker 2: Was he from Oregon? 508 00:27:58,796 --> 00:28:01,316 Speaker 1: At least he was a carbon bagger. I think he'd 509 00:28:01,316 --> 00:28:03,876 Speaker 1: spent time there, but he'd basically been living in Washington 510 00:28:03,916 --> 00:28:07,036 Speaker 1: for a long stretch. And Carrick Flynn ends up winning 511 00:28:07,236 --> 00:28:09,436 Speaker 1: I don't know, twenty percent of the vote. That's one 512 00:28:09,476 --> 00:28:11,476 Speaker 1: bucket of Sam Beckmer free spending is trying to get 513 00:28:11,476 --> 00:28:16,036 Speaker 1: candidates into Congress or encourage actually elected representatives to take 514 00:28:16,076 --> 00:28:18,196 Speaker 1: more interest in things like pandemic prevention. 515 00:28:18,676 --> 00:28:20,236 Speaker 2: How would you rank on a scale of zerre to 516 00:28:20,236 --> 00:28:23,276 Speaker 2: attend how much Sam actually cared about that issue? 517 00:28:23,636 --> 00:28:25,636 Speaker 1: A lot nine and a half. 518 00:28:26,036 --> 00:28:29,116 Speaker 2: And this was happening during COVID already, correct. 519 00:28:29,316 --> 00:28:32,156 Speaker 1: Well, it just seemed like the one thing that's obvious 520 00:28:32,196 --> 00:28:35,276 Speaker 1: to do is to build some equivalent of the National 521 00:28:35,276 --> 00:28:40,516 Speaker 1: Weather Service for disease, global pathogen prediction and detection. And 522 00:28:40,596 --> 00:28:42,316 Speaker 1: he was interested, not only interested in that, he was 523 00:28:42,356 --> 00:28:44,596 Speaker 1: actually putting money into it. And I thought that's interesting. 524 00:28:45,476 --> 00:28:49,236 Speaker 1: Alongside that Sam had decided all by himself, and much 525 00:28:49,276 --> 00:28:52,836 Speaker 1: to the chagrin of other effective altruists, that Donald Trump 526 00:28:52,916 --> 00:28:56,676 Speaker 1: presented a threat to democracy. Democracy was the most likely 527 00:28:56,796 --> 00:29:01,076 Speaker 1: tool for addressing existential risk to humanity. So therefore Donald 528 00:29:01,076 --> 00:29:03,916 Speaker 1: Trump needed to be stopped, and so he poured lots 529 00:29:03,956 --> 00:29:07,276 Speaker 1: of money into anti Trump's stuff, and he did it. 530 00:29:07,316 --> 00:29:10,876 Speaker 1: I think mainly through Mitch McConnell influenced packs and the 531 00:29:10,996 --> 00:29:16,396 Speaker 1: idea there was to find, especially in Republican primaries, candidates 532 00:29:16,556 --> 00:29:19,756 Speaker 1: who were not real Trumpers. Everybody was seeming to be 533 00:29:19,756 --> 00:29:23,076 Speaker 1: a Trumper, and McConnell had distinguished between the people who 534 00:29:23,116 --> 00:29:25,316 Speaker 1: really thought the election was rigged from the people who 535 00:29:25,396 --> 00:29:28,556 Speaker 1: just say it, and the latter were maybe more likely 536 00:29:28,596 --> 00:29:29,796 Speaker 1: to govern responsibly. 537 00:29:30,196 --> 00:29:33,316 Speaker 2: And what's your sense of efficacy in that realm, if 538 00:29:33,356 --> 00:29:33,916 Speaker 2: any at all? 539 00:29:34,476 --> 00:29:37,516 Speaker 1: You know, it's funny. I don't know how influential the 540 00:29:37,596 --> 00:29:39,796 Speaker 1: money was, though I think it was some tens of 541 00:29:39,836 --> 00:29:44,076 Speaker 1: millions of dollars. But I did have a glimpse of 542 00:29:44,156 --> 00:29:48,556 Speaker 1: Sam bankman Fried's style meddling. He's going to gamey meddling 543 00:29:48,796 --> 00:29:52,196 Speaker 1: in this process. At the moment that we had this conversation, 544 00:29:52,436 --> 00:29:56,756 Speaker 1: he was taking an interest in the Missouri Senate primary. 545 00:29:57,236 --> 00:30:00,596 Speaker 1: There were two candidates at that time who seemed especially viable. 546 00:30:01,076 --> 00:30:05,316 Speaker 1: Both were named Eric Eric Schmidt and Eric Britons. Eric 547 00:30:05,356 --> 00:30:08,916 Speaker 1: Britons was a full throated Trumper. Eric Smith seemed to 548 00:30:08,916 --> 00:30:12,316 Speaker 1: be taking it, at least so said McConnell's people. And 549 00:30:12,636 --> 00:30:16,516 Speaker 1: Sam told me this isn't a private conversation. That his 550 00:30:16,836 --> 00:30:20,156 Speaker 1: political operation had been having conversations with the Trump political 551 00:30:20,196 --> 00:30:23,156 Speaker 1: operation because they were afraid Trump was going to jump 552 00:30:23,156 --> 00:30:26,116 Speaker 1: into this race and endorse Eric Britons, the real Trumper, 553 00:30:26,396 --> 00:30:28,756 Speaker 1: and that that would actually put Britons over the top. 554 00:30:29,316 --> 00:30:31,116 Speaker 1: So they were trying to think of ways to stop 555 00:30:31,196 --> 00:30:34,436 Speaker 1: this from happening, and they came up with this idea 556 00:30:34,476 --> 00:30:36,996 Speaker 1: that they would tell Trump that just come out and 557 00:30:36,996 --> 00:30:40,516 Speaker 1: say he was for Eric, without specifying which Eric, because 558 00:30:40,596 --> 00:30:43,316 Speaker 1: both the candidates were named Eric, and that the argument 559 00:30:43,356 --> 00:30:45,556 Speaker 1: to Trump was one it would be funny and be 560 00:30:45,596 --> 00:30:47,996 Speaker 1: a meme and everybody would talk about it. And the 561 00:30:48,076 --> 00:30:50,636 Speaker 1: second was he didn't care which Eric won. All he 562 00:30:50,716 --> 00:30:53,436 Speaker 1: cared was that he backed the winner. So Sam's telling 563 00:30:53,436 --> 00:30:55,116 Speaker 1: me this and I've said, how g real could this be? 564 00:30:55,516 --> 00:30:57,436 Speaker 1: In the same breath he's telling me that he's offering 565 00:30:57,476 --> 00:30:59,756 Speaker 1: Donald Trump five billion dollars not to run for president, 566 00:31:00,556 --> 00:31:03,036 Speaker 1: And two days later, Trump comes out on True Social 567 00:31:03,196 --> 00:31:05,636 Speaker 1: and says I'm for Eric, and indeed it was a meme, 568 00:31:05,676 --> 00:31:08,436 Speaker 1: and indeed everybody thought it was funny, and indeed diffused 569 00:31:08,516 --> 00:31:11,116 Speaker 1: Trump's in luence, and indeed Eric Schmidt won. 570 00:31:11,596 --> 00:31:15,356 Speaker 2: Now you glossed over the plan to pay Trump directly 571 00:31:15,396 --> 00:31:18,036 Speaker 2: five billion dollars to not run again in twenty twenty four. 572 00:31:18,276 --> 00:31:19,196 Speaker 2: How real was that? 573 00:31:19,796 --> 00:31:21,916 Speaker 1: I don't know. I could tell you where it was 574 00:31:22,076 --> 00:31:24,516 Speaker 1: when I talked to him about it. It's funny in 575 00:31:24,556 --> 00:31:28,156 Speaker 1: retrospect that he was worried it was illegal. The question 576 00:31:28,356 --> 00:31:31,196 Speaker 1: was is it legal to pay Donald anybody not to 577 00:31:31,276 --> 00:31:32,116 Speaker 1: run for president? 578 00:31:32,516 --> 00:31:33,996 Speaker 2: Did you ever learn the answer that question. 579 00:31:34,516 --> 00:31:36,636 Speaker 1: I haven't learned the answer to that question. Is it 580 00:31:36,676 --> 00:31:39,916 Speaker 1: a bribe? Is it? But the practical point, and this 581 00:31:39,956 --> 00:31:42,076 Speaker 1: is the point I actually made to Sam, I said, 582 00:31:42,076 --> 00:31:45,556 Speaker 1: this is insane. If you give Donald Trump five billion 583 00:31:45,596 --> 00:31:47,356 Speaker 1: dollars not to run for president, what do you think 584 00:31:47,356 --> 00:31:49,636 Speaker 1: he's going to do? You know what he's going to do. 585 00:31:49,676 --> 00:31:51,396 Speaker 1: He's going to take the five billion dollars and he's 586 00:31:51,396 --> 00:31:53,516 Speaker 1: going to run for president. This is not like an 587 00:31:53,596 --> 00:31:57,716 Speaker 1: enforceable contract. And it never I know that they had 588 00:31:57,716 --> 00:31:58,676 Speaker 1: the conversations. 589 00:31:59,196 --> 00:32:01,356 Speaker 2: Do you know at what level of the Trump organization 590 00:32:01,436 --> 00:32:02,796 Speaker 2: or campaign he was speaking with. 591 00:32:03,316 --> 00:32:05,516 Speaker 1: If I had to guess, we got to qualify that. 592 00:32:05,556 --> 00:32:09,956 Speaker 1: I'm guessing that the CEO of FTX Digital Markets was 593 00:32:09,956 --> 00:32:13,996 Speaker 1: a fellow named Ryan Salem, and Ryan Salem was Republican 594 00:32:14,156 --> 00:32:18,156 Speaker 1: and apparently very friendly with Donald Trump Junior, and I 595 00:32:18,196 --> 00:32:21,556 Speaker 1: had the impression that the conversation was happening between those two, 596 00:32:22,396 --> 00:32:25,556 Speaker 1: but I don't know if that's true. Whatever channel it 597 00:32:25,676 --> 00:32:27,796 Speaker 1: was was the same channel that got Trump to say 598 00:32:27,796 --> 00:32:31,036 Speaker 1: I'm for Eric, so we know the channel exists. The 599 00:32:31,116 --> 00:32:34,036 Speaker 1: question is could that ever have happened in real life? 600 00:32:34,476 --> 00:32:35,996 Speaker 1: And I'm not sure it could ever have happened in 601 00:32:36,036 --> 00:32:37,756 Speaker 1: real life. But it was a really good example of 602 00:32:37,756 --> 00:32:41,476 Speaker 1: Sam Bekman Freed addressing a problem. It's like pretty original thought, 603 00:32:41,556 --> 00:32:42,476 Speaker 1: pay him not to run? 604 00:32:44,916 --> 00:32:48,596 Speaker 2: So would it have been illegal for Sam Bekman Free 605 00:32:48,636 --> 00:32:51,516 Speaker 2: to pay Donald Trump five billion dollars to not run 606 00:32:51,676 --> 00:32:55,676 Speaker 2: for president? The UK has a law that forbids, payment 607 00:32:55,836 --> 00:32:58,996 Speaker 2: or promise of payment to get a candidate to withdraw 608 00:32:59,156 --> 00:33:01,996 Speaker 2: from an election. In the US, it is less clear. 609 00:33:02,116 --> 00:33:04,916 Speaker 2: People have been sent to prison for paying candidates to 610 00:33:05,036 --> 00:33:08,876 Speaker 2: drop out, but in those cases the crimes were violations 611 00:33:08,916 --> 00:33:14,276 Speaker 2: of campaign finance disclosure requirements, not the payments themselves. It 612 00:33:14,396 --> 00:33:17,596 Speaker 2: is also against US law to bribe a public official 613 00:33:17,676 --> 00:33:21,196 Speaker 2: to influence a quote official act, but it's not clear 614 00:33:21,236 --> 00:33:25,316 Speaker 2: that running for office counts as an official act. Whatever 615 00:33:25,356 --> 00:33:28,436 Speaker 2: the case, it's pretty clear that Sam Bankman Freed didn't 616 00:33:28,476 --> 00:33:32,156 Speaker 2: have the chance to pay Donald Trump five billion dollars 617 00:33:32,196 --> 00:33:35,596 Speaker 2: not to run. It's also worth noting that his mother, 618 00:33:35,836 --> 00:33:38,876 Speaker 2: Barbara Freed, may have inspired this idea. 619 00:33:39,796 --> 00:33:42,876 Speaker 1: Before Sam got rich. She had built a political operation. 620 00:33:43,276 --> 00:33:45,756 Speaker 1: They were trying to find smarter ways to give money away, 621 00:33:45,956 --> 00:33:49,396 Speaker 1: and it was pretty explicitly anti Trump. So Sam's first 622 00:33:49,396 --> 00:33:50,596 Speaker 1: donations are through her. 623 00:33:51,076 --> 00:33:54,796 Speaker 2: So You've said a couple things about Sam's parents that 624 00:33:54,876 --> 00:33:58,156 Speaker 2: I find really interesting. They're in the book very you know, 625 00:33:58,196 --> 00:34:01,916 Speaker 2: they're kind of often there but below the surface. Can 626 00:34:01,956 --> 00:34:05,716 Speaker 2: you just draw out that relationship and tell me, you know, 627 00:34:05,876 --> 00:34:09,636 Speaker 2: which directions the emotions flow these days, and what those 628 00:34:09,676 --> 00:34:10,476 Speaker 2: emotions may be. 629 00:34:11,196 --> 00:34:14,076 Speaker 1: I think one of the unusual things about the relationship 630 00:34:14,116 --> 00:34:17,356 Speaker 1: between the parents and the child was the parents pretty 631 00:34:17,436 --> 00:34:20,076 Speaker 1: quickly gave up on the idea he was a child. 632 00:34:20,316 --> 00:34:23,676 Speaker 1: I remember Sam's mom, Barbara telling me that he was 633 00:34:23,796 --> 00:34:25,876 Speaker 1: I don't know, eight years old and she had just 634 00:34:25,916 --> 00:34:29,196 Speaker 1: written some abstruse paper for some academic journal, and he 635 00:34:29,276 --> 00:34:31,716 Speaker 1: asks her what it's about, and she sort of humors him, 636 00:34:31,796 --> 00:34:34,316 Speaker 1: but he pushes and presses, and she actually tells him 637 00:34:34,316 --> 00:34:37,556 Speaker 1: what it's about, and she says his responses were smarter 638 00:34:37,676 --> 00:34:40,356 Speaker 1: than the responses she got from the peer review. Couple 639 00:34:40,436 --> 00:34:45,356 Speaker 1: with they made some brief pass at doing childish things 640 00:34:45,396 --> 00:34:47,916 Speaker 1: with him. She took him to an amusement park and 641 00:34:47,956 --> 00:34:49,996 Speaker 1: she was kind of hauling him from ride to ride 642 00:34:50,276 --> 00:34:52,236 Speaker 1: and at some point she sees he's looking at her 643 00:34:52,236 --> 00:34:54,916 Speaker 1: and just observing her, and he says, are you having 644 00:34:54,956 --> 00:34:55,436 Speaker 1: fun yet? 645 00:34:55,476 --> 00:34:55,756 Speaker 2: Mom? 646 00:34:56,276 --> 00:34:59,156 Speaker 1: They both had the story in their head again even 647 00:34:59,196 --> 00:35:02,356 Speaker 1: in good times, back when Sam was a billionaire, that 648 00:35:02,436 --> 00:35:05,476 Speaker 1: he just he wasn't suited to childhood. He didn't connect 649 00:35:05,476 --> 00:35:08,196 Speaker 1: with other people. What scared them, I think was he 650 00:35:08,196 --> 00:35:10,676 Speaker 1: didn't fit into the world. They were really worried he 651 00:35:10,676 --> 00:35:12,756 Speaker 1: would find no place for himself in the world. They 652 00:35:12,796 --> 00:35:14,916 Speaker 1: thought his little brother was going to be fine and 653 00:35:15,196 --> 00:35:18,036 Speaker 1: you know, might be a shining star. They thought Sam 654 00:35:18,116 --> 00:35:21,916 Speaker 1: was never going to like work out because he was 655 00:35:21,956 --> 00:35:26,316 Speaker 1: so socially maladjusted and indifferent. It was indifferent, like indifferent 656 00:35:26,356 --> 00:35:30,796 Speaker 1: to any kind of social interaction. They were then bewildered 657 00:35:31,356 --> 00:35:34,196 Speaker 1: when this child of theirs, is discovered by Jane Street 658 00:35:34,196 --> 00:35:37,476 Speaker 1: and high frequency Trading as God's gift to trading, and 659 00:35:37,596 --> 00:35:39,996 Speaker 1: all of a sudden is endowed with a new identity 660 00:35:40,276 --> 00:35:44,916 Speaker 1: I made for the new financial markets, and then further 661 00:35:45,116 --> 00:35:49,556 Speaker 1: perplexed when he quits that and becomes cryptobillionaire. Like they 662 00:35:49,556 --> 00:35:53,556 Speaker 1: just find it completely implausible, just preposterous that he was 663 00:35:53,596 --> 00:35:56,836 Speaker 1: in the position he was in, but accepted, right, you know, 664 00:35:57,076 --> 00:36:01,156 Speaker 1: that's what happened to Sam now. I mean, obviously they're devastated. 665 00:36:01,476 --> 00:36:04,716 Speaker 1: If I had to guess, they have slightly different views 666 00:36:04,716 --> 00:36:07,996 Speaker 1: of the situation, But the mother is more vocal about 667 00:36:07,996 --> 00:36:13,516 Speaker 1: her views, and I bet right now that she views 668 00:36:13,836 --> 00:36:17,516 Speaker 1: Sam as chiefly a victim. That she thinks he's completely 669 00:36:17,516 --> 00:36:19,796 Speaker 1: innocent of all wrongdoing, and she hasn't asked him what 670 00:36:19,836 --> 00:36:22,356 Speaker 1: he did, so she doesn't know. She hasn't really pushed 671 00:36:22,396 --> 00:36:26,156 Speaker 1: him on it. The truth of the relationship. And this 672 00:36:26,236 --> 00:36:29,476 Speaker 1: is what I think the media generally in the commentary 673 00:36:29,716 --> 00:36:33,596 Speaker 1: gets wrong, is that it, from Sam's point of view, 674 00:36:33,716 --> 00:36:36,756 Speaker 1: was not that close. If you talk to the person 675 00:36:36,836 --> 00:36:39,996 Speaker 1: who ran Sam's scheduling, she'd say the hardest part of 676 00:36:40,036 --> 00:36:42,276 Speaker 1: my week is when one of his parents calls him, 677 00:36:42,276 --> 00:36:44,276 Speaker 1: what's fifteen minutes with him? And I have to lie 678 00:36:44,316 --> 00:36:46,476 Speaker 1: to him because I know Sam doesn't want to do it. 679 00:36:46,956 --> 00:36:51,236 Speaker 1: That Sam kept them really at arm's length and didn't 680 00:36:51,316 --> 00:36:55,476 Speaker 1: welcome their intrusion into his life. And the exception being 681 00:36:55,556 --> 00:36:57,116 Speaker 1: is when he gets in trouble, like when he gets 682 00:36:57,156 --> 00:36:59,196 Speaker 1: in trouble and there's no one else there. But I 683 00:36:59,196 --> 00:37:02,996 Speaker 1: think it probably drives him crazy that first he's back 684 00:37:02,996 --> 00:37:05,956 Speaker 1: in his parents' home under house arrest, and now the 685 00:37:05,996 --> 00:37:08,036 Speaker 1: only people who visited him in jail are his parents. 686 00:37:08,436 --> 00:37:11,956 Speaker 1: I don't think he welcomes parroting. He's never engaged with 687 00:37:12,036 --> 00:37:16,116 Speaker 1: that relationship, so they're sort of imposing their parenting on 688 00:37:16,276 --> 00:37:20,476 Speaker 1: him still and our heartbroken because he's their child and 689 00:37:20,476 --> 00:37:21,316 Speaker 1: they love him. 690 00:37:21,556 --> 00:37:24,716 Speaker 2: A listener wrote in to ask when do Sam Bankmin 691 00:37:24,756 --> 00:37:26,796 Speaker 2: Freed's parents get indicted. 692 00:37:27,436 --> 00:37:29,276 Speaker 1: I don't think the parents had a whole lot of 693 00:37:29,276 --> 00:37:32,196 Speaker 1: insight into the In fact, I know they didn't. I 694 00:37:32,196 --> 00:37:35,356 Speaker 1: would go from an interview with Sam or spending the 695 00:37:35,476 --> 00:37:39,756 Speaker 1: day at the FTX headquarters, occasionally having dinner with the parents, 696 00:37:40,116 --> 00:37:42,716 Speaker 1: and they were desperate for any kind of information about 697 00:37:42,756 --> 00:37:44,876 Speaker 1: what was going on because they had no idea, like 698 00:37:44,996 --> 00:37:48,756 Speaker 1: no idea. What looks probably more damning than it is 699 00:37:48,876 --> 00:37:51,716 Speaker 1: but in retrospect, is that he bought this house in 700 00:37:51,716 --> 00:37:54,236 Speaker 1: the Bahamas and put it in their name. But they were, 701 00:37:54,356 --> 00:37:57,276 Speaker 1: like I promise you, they were only vaguely aware that 702 00:37:57,316 --> 00:37:59,836 Speaker 1: they owned it. They didn't furnish it, they didn't care 703 00:37:59,876 --> 00:38:02,876 Speaker 1: about it, and they gave it back right after it 704 00:38:02,916 --> 00:38:04,636 Speaker 1: all fell apart that they couldn't get rid of it 705 00:38:04,676 --> 00:38:07,356 Speaker 1: fast enough. What the dad was doing, he was mainly 706 00:38:07,356 --> 00:38:10,236 Speaker 1: involved in the philanthropy. He was doing things like working 707 00:38:10,236 --> 00:38:13,116 Speaker 1: with the Bahamas government to make sure that people who 708 00:38:13,116 --> 00:38:16,436 Speaker 1: were in the psychiatric hospital had more contact with human 709 00:38:16,476 --> 00:38:19,516 Speaker 1: beings outside the psychiatric He was really working full time 710 00:38:19,796 --> 00:38:22,156 Speaker 1: as a do gooder. But I don't think either one 711 00:38:22,236 --> 00:38:31,636 Speaker 1: of them are meaningfully evolved in the business. 712 00:38:28,636 --> 00:38:32,516 Speaker 2: We should say. Joe Bankman and Barbara Fried currently face 713 00:38:32,636 --> 00:38:35,356 Speaker 2: a civil lawsuit alleging that they are not as innocent 714 00:38:35,396 --> 00:38:38,796 Speaker 2: as Michael Lewis claims. The suit argues that they quote 715 00:38:38,876 --> 00:38:42,876 Speaker 2: exploited their access and influence within the FTX enterprise to 716 00:38:42,996 --> 00:38:48,036 Speaker 2: enrich themselves. In any case, I did wonder what might 717 00:38:48,076 --> 00:38:50,676 Speaker 2: have happened if one of Sam Bankman Fried's parents had 718 00:38:50,756 --> 00:38:54,876 Speaker 2: been more involved in FTX, or if not them, some 719 00:38:55,076 --> 00:38:59,076 Speaker 2: other potentially competent people who might have served as the 720 00:38:59,116 --> 00:39:03,716 Speaker 2: adults in the room. Bankmin Freed had big plans for 721 00:39:03,996 --> 00:39:07,996 Speaker 2: FTX and for himself. I asked Michael Lewis, if with 722 00:39:08,156 --> 00:39:12,276 Speaker 2: the right help, Bankman Freed could have achieved those plans 723 00:39:12,436 --> 00:39:14,196 Speaker 2: and avoided the law breaking. 724 00:39:14,796 --> 00:39:18,996 Speaker 1: Yes. What stops it from happening right from the get 725 00:39:19,036 --> 00:39:23,196 Speaker 1: go is Sam Bankman Freed's hostility to grown ups, including 726 00:39:23,196 --> 00:39:26,116 Speaker 1: his parents. He took the view that basically everybody over 727 00:39:26,156 --> 00:39:28,036 Speaker 1: the age of thirty five was a waste of time. 728 00:39:28,556 --> 00:39:31,636 Speaker 1: And it's a very funny view he had. He's sort 729 00:39:31,636 --> 00:39:34,556 Speaker 1: of in his mind in his judgment of people, he 730 00:39:34,676 --> 00:39:38,676 Speaker 1: sort of punishes them for having any experience. He prefers 731 00:39:38,756 --> 00:39:41,876 Speaker 1: people without experience who are just thinking about problems from 732 00:39:41,916 --> 00:39:44,556 Speaker 1: the ground up, because he thinks of experience as kind 733 00:39:44,596 --> 00:39:48,436 Speaker 1: of almost polluting their judgment. And what older people have, 734 00:39:48,476 --> 00:39:51,436 Speaker 1: they have experience. But yes, if you twist the dial 735 00:39:51,476 --> 00:39:55,076 Speaker 1: on Sam Bangner Freed's risk tolerance just a little bit, yes, 736 00:39:55,156 --> 00:39:57,036 Speaker 1: there's like an army of accountants who are there at 737 00:39:57,036 --> 00:39:59,076 Speaker 1: the beginning and the money is put in the right place, 738 00:39:59,116 --> 00:40:01,956 Speaker 1: and so he's never tempted to use it, and he 739 00:40:02,036 --> 00:40:04,836 Speaker 1: was pursuing a strategy which was probably viable, which was 740 00:40:04,876 --> 00:40:08,956 Speaker 1: to be the legit crypto exchange, acquiring licenses left and right. 741 00:40:09,116 --> 00:40:11,356 Speaker 1: They were growing fast. There was a billion dollars in 742 00:40:11,396 --> 00:40:13,076 Speaker 1: revenue even the year they collapsed. 743 00:40:14,716 --> 00:40:18,116 Speaker 2: One of the few adults in Sam bankman Fried's life 744 00:40:18,156 --> 00:40:20,756 Speaker 2: was a man named George Lerner. He had been Bankman 745 00:40:20,796 --> 00:40:27,516 Speaker 2: Freed's psychiatrist in California. Here's a passage from Going Infinite. 746 00:40:27,556 --> 00:40:30,316 Speaker 1: Sam had long since decided that any discussions about his 747 00:40:30,316 --> 00:40:34,756 Speaker 1: inner life and its consequences for others were futile. The 748 00:40:34,836 --> 00:40:38,676 Speaker 1: social stuff was basically unsolvable. He said, he didn't need 749 00:40:38,756 --> 00:40:41,516 Speaker 1: a therapist to deal with his problems, though he did 750 00:40:41,596 --> 00:40:45,436 Speaker 1: need someone who could prescribe his medications. The problems that 751 00:40:45,516 --> 00:40:49,876 Speaker 1: interested Sam were other people's problems. He soon figured out 752 00:40:49,916 --> 00:40:52,076 Speaker 1: that George could be extremely useful with these. 753 00:40:52,676 --> 00:40:56,716 Speaker 2: And so bankman Fried hired George Lerner and imported him 754 00:40:56,756 --> 00:40:59,796 Speaker 2: to the Bahamas, where he took on a new role 755 00:40:59,996 --> 00:41:03,196 Speaker 2: as a sort of internal consultant at FTX. 756 00:41:03,636 --> 00:41:05,796 Speaker 1: A few months into his new job, George has seen 757 00:41:05,876 --> 00:41:10,076 Speaker 1: one hundred of ftx's three hundred something employees he enjoyed 758 00:41:10,076 --> 00:41:13,156 Speaker 1: maybe the single best view of its corporate architecture, with 759 00:41:13,236 --> 00:41:18,076 Speaker 1: a clarity not available to its investors, its customers, its employees, 760 00:41:18,596 --> 00:41:22,036 Speaker 1: and possibly the person who had created it. In the end, 761 00:41:22,476 --> 00:41:25,516 Speaker 1: George drew up the only internal org chart ever made 762 00:41:25,516 --> 00:41:29,356 Speaker 1: of Sam's sprawling creation. By the time he was done, 763 00:41:29,636 --> 00:41:34,156 Speaker 1: he discovered many interesting things. Twenty four different people thought 764 00:41:34,196 --> 00:41:37,956 Speaker 1: they were reporting directly to Sam. For example, this group 765 00:41:37,996 --> 00:41:41,956 Speaker 1: did not include the chief financial officer because FTX did 766 00:41:41,956 --> 00:41:45,156 Speaker 1: not have a chief financial officer. There was no chief 767 00:41:45,236 --> 00:41:48,876 Speaker 1: risk officer or head of human resources because they had 768 00:41:48,916 --> 00:41:53,476 Speaker 1: none of that either. Then there was Caroline Ellison. Caroline 769 00:41:53,556 --> 00:41:56,116 Speaker 1: was apparently alone in charge of the twenty two traders 770 00:41:56,116 --> 00:41:58,476 Speaker 1: and developers working inside Alometer Research. 771 00:42:01,156 --> 00:42:04,636 Speaker 2: I wanted to ask you about George Lerner. I realized 772 00:42:04,676 --> 00:42:08,436 Speaker 2: that his medical license wasn't valid in the Bahamas, so 773 00:42:08,476 --> 00:42:11,556 Speaker 2: he wasn't at officially as a psychiatrist when he was 774 00:42:12,356 --> 00:42:16,036 Speaker 2: talking to all these people, and therefore these conversations may 775 00:42:16,076 --> 00:42:20,756 Speaker 2: not have been protected under doctor patient confidentiality. Still, I 776 00:42:20,796 --> 00:42:23,476 Speaker 2: am curious why he was willing and able to tell 777 00:42:23,556 --> 00:42:26,916 Speaker 2: you so much about these private conversations. 778 00:42:27,196 --> 00:42:29,436 Speaker 1: I would be a very poor journalist if I ask 779 00:42:29,556 --> 00:42:31,476 Speaker 1: people why they were talking to me. But I will 780 00:42:31,516 --> 00:42:33,836 Speaker 1: tell you this that I knew I had a goal 781 00:42:33,956 --> 00:42:38,156 Speaker 1: mine because he's very smart. He was very insightful. His 782 00:42:38,236 --> 00:42:42,156 Speaker 1: first effective altruist patient was Sam's little brother, then Caroline Ellison, 783 00:42:42,436 --> 00:42:44,676 Speaker 1: and only after a while did Sam become a patient. 784 00:42:44,996 --> 00:42:47,276 Speaker 1: But by the time I meet him, he is serving 785 00:42:47,316 --> 00:42:51,396 Speaker 1: as essentially the psychiatrist to the entire company in the Bahamas. 786 00:42:51,436 --> 00:42:53,476 Speaker 1: They're rolling through his office, laying on his couch and 787 00:42:53,476 --> 00:42:56,476 Speaker 1: complaining about the company. The Bahamas didn't give him a license, 788 00:42:56,516 --> 00:42:59,516 Speaker 1: so at that point he really was just a whatever 789 00:42:59,596 --> 00:43:03,356 Speaker 1: professional coach, and so he wasn't bound by any laws 790 00:43:03,396 --> 00:43:06,636 Speaker 1: of confidentiality. But I never asked him. 791 00:43:07,676 --> 00:43:11,836 Speaker 2: Caroline Ellison, who by twenty twenty two was running Alameda, 792 00:43:12,276 --> 00:43:15,956 Speaker 2: was also Sam Bankman Fried's on again, off again girlfriend. 793 00:43:16,836 --> 00:43:21,196 Speaker 2: During the collapse of FTX, they were off and barely speaking. 794 00:43:22,156 --> 00:43:26,076 Speaker 2: It's tempting to wonder how things might have unwound differently 795 00:43:26,236 --> 00:43:29,276 Speaker 2: if either a they had been speaking at the time, 796 00:43:29,676 --> 00:43:33,676 Speaker 2: or b if Sam Bankman Freed had built an operation 797 00:43:33,796 --> 00:43:38,316 Speaker 2: that didn't revolve around himself and just three other people 798 00:43:38,356 --> 00:43:43,476 Speaker 2: who were the closest approximation he had to friends Caroline Ellison, 799 00:43:43,596 --> 00:43:47,676 Speaker 2: Gary Wang, and Nishad Singh, all three of whom, by 800 00:43:47,756 --> 00:43:52,356 Speaker 2: the way, would testify against him at trial. It took 801 00:43:52,476 --> 00:43:55,596 Speaker 2: the jury just four hours to convict him and seven 802 00:43:55,636 --> 00:44:00,196 Speaker 2: counts of fraud and conspiracy. After the break, Michael Lewis 803 00:44:00,316 --> 00:44:04,276 Speaker 2: attended the trial. It was how to put this, It 804 00:44:04,396 --> 00:44:08,876 Speaker 2: was no moneyball. I'm Stephen Dubner. This is freakonomics. Radio 805 00:44:09,196 --> 00:44:32,156 Speaker 2: be right back. The trial of Sam Bankman Freed began 806 00:44:32,276 --> 00:44:35,796 Speaker 2: on October third in the US District Court in Lower Manhattan. 807 00:44:36,436 --> 00:44:39,396 Speaker 2: The lead up to the trial felt a bit like 808 00:44:39,556 --> 00:44:43,796 Speaker 2: the lead up to a Super Bowl, two teams ready 809 00:44:43,876 --> 00:44:50,436 Speaker 2: for a tense and exciting battle. Instead, it was a blowout. 810 00:44:51,116 --> 00:44:55,916 Speaker 2: Every day it got a bit less exciting, a bit sadder. 811 00:44:56,756 --> 00:45:01,236 Speaker 2: Bankman Freed's closest colleagues turned against him. The jury heard 812 00:45:01,516 --> 00:45:05,556 Speaker 2: a steady stream of obviously incriminating evidence, and when Bankman 813 00:45:05,596 --> 00:45:09,916 Speaker 2: Freed himself took the stand, there just wasn't much there there. 814 00:45:10,516 --> 00:45:13,956 Speaker 2: He frequently said he couldn't recall saying things that others 815 00:45:13,996 --> 00:45:16,476 Speaker 2: had said he said, and that he couldn't recall doing 816 00:45:16,596 --> 00:45:19,516 Speaker 2: things that wouldn't seem at all hard to recall. If 817 00:45:19,556 --> 00:45:23,556 Speaker 2: you were the person doing them. Michael Lewis attended this 818 00:45:23,636 --> 00:45:24,836 Speaker 2: portion of the trial. 819 00:45:25,356 --> 00:45:27,876 Speaker 1: I knew that Sam Bangnerfried marched to the beat of 820 00:45:27,916 --> 00:45:30,876 Speaker 1: his own drum, that he was his own peculiar person, 821 00:45:30,916 --> 00:45:33,716 Speaker 1: with his own peculiar motives for doing these peculiar things 822 00:45:33,716 --> 00:45:35,076 Speaker 1: that he did, and this would have made him such 823 00:45:35,076 --> 00:45:38,596 Speaker 1: an interesting character to write about. I thought, if he 824 00:45:38,676 --> 00:45:41,796 Speaker 1: was going to take the witness stand, he would have 825 00:45:41,916 --> 00:45:46,836 Speaker 1: some strategy, some reason for doing it, and it was 826 00:45:47,196 --> 00:45:48,356 Speaker 1: that was a big mistake. 827 00:45:48,916 --> 00:45:52,556 Speaker 2: So you were not called as a witness in the trial, which, 828 00:45:52,676 --> 00:45:54,916 Speaker 2: I'll be honest surprised me a little bit. Did it 829 00:45:54,916 --> 00:45:55,476 Speaker 2: surprise you. 830 00:45:56,116 --> 00:45:59,356 Speaker 1: My sense is that lawyers are risk averse and they 831 00:45:59,396 --> 00:46:01,676 Speaker 1: don't like to put on the witness stand people they 832 00:46:01,676 --> 00:46:02,876 Speaker 1: can't completely control. 833 00:46:03,316 --> 00:46:05,036 Speaker 2: And why can't you be controlled? Michael? 834 00:46:05,356 --> 00:46:07,956 Speaker 1: The problem is the prosecutors asked me some questions and 835 00:46:07,956 --> 00:46:09,956 Speaker 1: I'd say some things that were pretty damning about Sam, 836 00:46:09,996 --> 00:46:12,076 Speaker 1: but it would open me up to the defense and 837 00:46:12,076 --> 00:46:14,356 Speaker 1: they'd say, I don't know, when you met him, did 838 00:46:14,356 --> 00:46:16,316 Speaker 1: you think he was dishonest? No, I didn't think he 839 00:46:16,356 --> 00:46:18,956 Speaker 1: was dishonest. When men him, I thought he was curiously forthright, 840 00:46:19,276 --> 00:46:22,036 Speaker 1: you know whatever, it was, and I saw this with 841 00:46:22,116 --> 00:46:25,796 Speaker 1: another witness. The prosecution to teed up a person whose 842 00:46:25,796 --> 00:46:29,036 Speaker 1: title was head of product. His name was Ramnik Aurora, 843 00:46:29,396 --> 00:46:32,916 Speaker 1: who was actually Sam's right hand man in making lots 844 00:46:32,956 --> 00:46:35,076 Speaker 1: of the venture capital investments. He didn't have anything to 845 00:46:35,116 --> 00:46:37,276 Speaker 1: do with the product, but he had had his plane ticket, 846 00:46:37,316 --> 00:46:39,596 Speaker 1: he had his hotel room. He thought he was testifying 847 00:46:39,716 --> 00:46:43,236 Speaker 1: right after Nashad Sing and they canceled him last minute. 848 00:46:43,676 --> 00:46:45,756 Speaker 1: And I think I could be wrong about this. It's 849 00:46:45,756 --> 00:46:47,716 Speaker 1: possible to cancel me because he just decided they didn't 850 00:46:47,756 --> 00:46:50,116 Speaker 1: need him. But I think between the time they teed 851 00:46:50,196 --> 00:46:52,196 Speaker 1: him up and the time they called him, they read 852 00:46:52,236 --> 00:46:55,076 Speaker 1: my book and they saw that he presented the same 853 00:46:55,156 --> 00:46:58,156 Speaker 1: kind of problem I would present, because yes, he could 854 00:46:58,156 --> 00:47:00,556 Speaker 1: tell you about how Sam continued to spend lots of 855 00:47:00,596 --> 00:47:02,836 Speaker 1: money even after he should have been aware that he 856 00:47:02,876 --> 00:47:05,876 Speaker 1: was spending the customer's money. But there's this moment in 857 00:47:05,916 --> 00:47:07,916 Speaker 1: the book that I think is very revealing. And they 858 00:47:07,916 --> 00:47:10,916 Speaker 1: didn't get any attention to the trial. When it all 859 00:47:10,956 --> 00:47:15,036 Speaker 1: blows up in early November of last year and Caroline 860 00:47:15,036 --> 00:47:17,876 Speaker 1: Ellison and Sam Bankman Freedom and a Shad Singer and 861 00:47:17,916 --> 00:47:20,156 Speaker 1: Gary Wang or interroom trying to figure out how much 862 00:47:20,196 --> 00:47:23,356 Speaker 1: money they have to give customers their deposits back, and 863 00:47:23,516 --> 00:47:26,156 Speaker 1: they call Romnick over, and Romick walks into the room 864 00:47:26,356 --> 00:47:28,756 Speaker 1: and he says, they are literally like trying to figure 865 00:47:28,756 --> 00:47:31,276 Speaker 1: out which exchanges they have accounts on where do they 866 00:47:31,316 --> 00:47:34,796 Speaker 1: have bank accounts? And Roomick's phone rings and it's from 867 00:47:34,876 --> 00:47:37,676 Speaker 1: a bank delf Tech in Bahamas, and the guy is 868 00:47:37,716 --> 00:47:39,356 Speaker 1: on the other a line says to Romnick. He says, 869 00:47:39,356 --> 00:47:40,956 Speaker 1: I see you guys in trouble. You should know you 870 00:47:40,996 --> 00:47:42,956 Speaker 1: have you have an account here with three hundred million 871 00:47:42,996 --> 00:47:45,356 Speaker 1: dollars if you need it. And Ramick says this to them, 872 00:47:45,396 --> 00:47:47,636 Speaker 1: and none of them have any idea of it, and 873 00:47:47,716 --> 00:47:50,756 Speaker 1: the pure chaos of the thing again, it's like a 874 00:47:50,796 --> 00:47:53,276 Speaker 1: witness who has when you've been that close. You have 875 00:47:53,316 --> 00:47:55,476 Speaker 1: evidence for both sides, and neither side wants you to 876 00:47:55,516 --> 00:47:56,396 Speaker 1: hear both sides. 877 00:47:56,836 --> 00:47:59,756 Speaker 2: So as you're describing, it strikes me that what you 878 00:47:59,956 --> 00:48:04,516 Speaker 2: have is just a different category of information than the 879 00:48:04,636 --> 00:48:06,796 Speaker 2: kind of information that is useful at a trial for 880 00:48:06,876 --> 00:48:10,916 Speaker 2: either side. Let's say, yes, that's true, but it also 881 00:48:11,516 --> 00:48:13,836 Speaker 2: it just makes me wonder what it's like for you. 882 00:48:13,836 --> 00:48:17,156 Speaker 2: You were sitting here watching a live criminal trial that 883 00:48:17,316 --> 00:48:20,716 Speaker 2: is essentially based on a book that you wrote. We've 884 00:48:20,756 --> 00:48:22,316 Speaker 2: all heard what it's like to write a book and 885 00:48:22,316 --> 00:48:25,516 Speaker 2: then see the movie based on it, and you've had 886 00:48:25,556 --> 00:48:28,716 Speaker 2: more experience with that than most people. And the expectation 887 00:48:29,476 --> 00:48:32,236 Speaker 2: is that the movie will, of course be very different 888 00:48:32,236 --> 00:48:36,356 Speaker 2: from the book. But this was differently different. So what 889 00:48:36,516 --> 00:48:37,556 Speaker 2: was the experience like? 890 00:48:37,876 --> 00:48:40,476 Speaker 1: It's funny you draw that analogy, because it was similar 891 00:48:40,556 --> 00:48:43,396 Speaker 1: in this way. When someone takes one of your books 892 00:48:43,396 --> 00:48:46,036 Speaker 1: and turns it into a movie, they compress it, they 893 00:48:46,076 --> 00:48:48,196 Speaker 1: distort it, and they compress it, and you just hope 894 00:48:48,196 --> 00:48:50,596 Speaker 1: they don't lose the spirit of it. Right, They're turning 895 00:48:50,636 --> 00:48:53,156 Speaker 1: one hundred thousand words into an eight thousand words script, 896 00:48:53,196 --> 00:48:55,556 Speaker 1: so they're bound to leave all kinds of stuff out, 897 00:48:55,676 --> 00:48:57,836 Speaker 1: and you hope when you watch it feels the way 898 00:48:58,676 --> 00:49:00,316 Speaker 1: you felt when you wrote the Thing. 899 00:49:00,836 --> 00:49:03,116 Speaker 2: And the movies that have been made from your books, 900 00:49:03,156 --> 00:49:06,636 Speaker 2: like The Big Short, Moneyball, The blind Side, I gather 901 00:49:07,236 --> 00:49:10,476 Speaker 2: that from your perspective, those were successfully done. 902 00:49:10,556 --> 00:49:13,356 Speaker 1: Yes, I felt in each case that more or less 903 00:49:13,356 --> 00:49:15,996 Speaker 1: the spirit of the thing was preserved and the movies 904 00:49:16,036 --> 00:49:19,076 Speaker 1: weren't boring. In the trial, I felt the spirit of 905 00:49:19,116 --> 00:49:21,956 Speaker 1: the thing was more distorted than the movies distorted. And 906 00:49:22,116 --> 00:49:25,716 Speaker 1: also the thing that was striking in the trial. We 907 00:49:25,836 --> 00:49:28,276 Speaker 1: take it for granted in our legal system, these plea 908 00:49:28,316 --> 00:49:32,116 Speaker 1: bargaining agreements, they're essentially corrupt. I mean, they're very useful 909 00:49:32,196 --> 00:49:34,956 Speaker 1: tools for prosecutors, but essentially the prosecutors are able to 910 00:49:34,996 --> 00:49:37,756 Speaker 1: pay people with years of their lives to say stuff 911 00:49:37,756 --> 00:49:40,876 Speaker 1: on a witness stand so long as it's not falsifiable, 912 00:49:41,316 --> 00:49:43,756 Speaker 1: if it serves the purpose of the prosecutors, they get 913 00:49:43,756 --> 00:49:44,596 Speaker 1: rewarded for it. 914 00:49:44,996 --> 00:49:46,116 Speaker 2: What's it for instance? Here? 915 00:49:46,716 --> 00:49:50,116 Speaker 1: For instance here is it was a pretty common pattern 916 00:49:50,196 --> 00:49:54,196 Speaker 1: in the three principal witnesses was how they felt at 917 00:49:54,236 --> 00:50:00,516 Speaker 1: the time. Nishad saying was telling a story about how 918 00:50:00,636 --> 00:50:04,596 Speaker 1: dark and miserable he was a year ago, and that 919 00:50:04,676 --> 00:50:08,156 Speaker 1: he was aware that they were doing wrong things. And 920 00:50:08,436 --> 00:50:11,236 Speaker 1: I interview this an up and down. He was giddy 921 00:50:11,276 --> 00:50:13,396 Speaker 1: with how things were going, and he would say things 922 00:50:13,476 --> 00:50:16,116 Speaker 1: to me. I mean, in the book, he says, back 923 00:50:16,156 --> 00:50:18,756 Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen, when he's twenty one years old and 924 00:50:18,876 --> 00:50:21,836 Speaker 1: joining Sam Banknerfried in the crypto trading firm, he says, 925 00:50:21,876 --> 00:50:24,516 Speaker 1: how quickly he figures out that the law isn't what's 926 00:50:24,516 --> 00:50:26,116 Speaker 1: written in the laws which you can get away with 927 00:50:26,156 --> 00:50:28,236 Speaker 1: and which you can't get away with. He's saying things 928 00:50:28,236 --> 00:50:30,436 Speaker 1: to me that you don't say if you're feeling at 929 00:50:30,476 --> 00:50:33,156 Speaker 1: all worried that people are going to suspect you're doing 930 00:50:33,236 --> 00:50:37,676 Speaker 1: a bad thing. So they were able to misremember their 931 00:50:37,716 --> 00:50:41,036 Speaker 1: states of mind, and the states of mind they described 932 00:50:41,116 --> 00:50:44,956 Speaker 1: themselves having been in were alien to anybody who observed 933 00:50:44,956 --> 00:50:45,796 Speaker 1: them at the time. 934 00:50:46,236 --> 00:50:49,396 Speaker 2: Were you really surprised that there is that trade off 935 00:50:49,436 --> 00:50:51,236 Speaker 2: for sort of bribing as you're describing it. 936 00:50:51,636 --> 00:50:53,996 Speaker 1: Well, I knew it existed, right, It was just watching 937 00:50:54,036 --> 00:50:56,356 Speaker 1: the effects of it. You know, we get our legal 938 00:50:56,396 --> 00:50:58,556 Speaker 1: system from the English, and the English are shocked we 939 00:50:58,596 --> 00:51:02,036 Speaker 1: allow this. It's not obvious that we should. It was 940 00:51:02,116 --> 00:51:04,756 Speaker 1: viewed as corrupt until not that long ago. It's now 941 00:51:04,796 --> 00:51:08,116 Speaker 1: just bewoven into the texture of our criminal justice process. 942 00:51:08,516 --> 00:51:10,276 Speaker 1: If I was sitting in the jury box, I would 943 00:51:10,316 --> 00:51:13,796 Speaker 1: certainly have convicted. But when you back away from it 944 00:51:13,996 --> 00:51:18,156 Speaker 1: and you see just how uneven the playing field is 945 00:51:18,676 --> 00:51:22,876 Speaker 1: between the prosecutors in the defense. The prosecutors have unlimited resources. 946 00:51:22,996 --> 00:51:26,876 Speaker 1: They have power to scare people into testifying. They getting 947 00:51:26,876 --> 00:51:29,556 Speaker 1: cut plea deals with people. You see why the stats 948 00:51:29,596 --> 00:51:30,796 Speaker 1: are as shocking as they are. 949 00:51:31,196 --> 00:51:33,316 Speaker 2: You mean the conviction stats. 950 00:51:33,356 --> 00:51:36,196 Speaker 1: Last year, ninety nine point six percent of the people 951 00:51:36,356 --> 00:51:39,956 Speaker 1: who were charged with federal crimes either pled guilty or convicted. 952 00:51:40,396 --> 00:51:45,076 Speaker 2: So why did bankman Fried testify himself when so many 953 00:51:45,116 --> 00:51:47,836 Speaker 2: of his answers were essentially I don't recall. 954 00:51:48,156 --> 00:51:51,116 Speaker 1: It's a great question, go back even further, knowing what 955 00:51:51,196 --> 00:51:55,076 Speaker 1: he supposedly knew. Why did he stay in the Bahamas 956 00:51:55,076 --> 00:51:56,676 Speaker 1: when it all fell apart? If you just gone to 957 00:51:56,716 --> 00:51:58,916 Speaker 1: Dubai still be there, did. 958 00:51:58,756 --> 00:52:00,076 Speaker 2: You ask him that why he stayed? 959 00:52:00,516 --> 00:52:02,276 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean I can tell you what 960 00:52:02,316 --> 00:52:04,636 Speaker 1: he said. He said because I didn't do anything wrong. 961 00:52:05,116 --> 00:52:06,876 Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted the answer to all those 962 00:52:06,956 --> 00:52:09,636 Speaker 1: questions is because he thinks he did nothing wrong. He 963 00:52:09,676 --> 00:52:13,236 Speaker 1: thinks that his error was not paying attention. That's the 964 00:52:13,316 --> 00:52:16,876 Speaker 1: story he's told himself. The prosecutors, I think, were maybe 965 00:52:16,916 --> 00:52:19,236 Speaker 1: a little surprised by just how well their case went, 966 00:52:19,716 --> 00:52:22,156 Speaker 1: because there was in the summing up when they were 967 00:52:22,156 --> 00:52:24,476 Speaker 1: making the argument to the jury about why they needed 968 00:52:24,476 --> 00:52:26,876 Speaker 1: to convict they said, even if you believe this guy, 969 00:52:27,516 --> 00:52:29,836 Speaker 1: believe that he just wasn't paying attention to this eight 970 00:52:29,836 --> 00:52:33,156 Speaker 1: billion dollars that he took from the customers and used 971 00:52:33,156 --> 00:52:36,636 Speaker 1: in his private fund. There's this idea called conscious avoidance, 972 00:52:37,196 --> 00:52:39,156 Speaker 1: and that doesn't let you off a hook if you 973 00:52:39,236 --> 00:52:42,876 Speaker 1: just didn't pay attention. But I think Sam, I think 974 00:52:43,036 --> 00:52:45,516 Speaker 1: the simple way to explain all his behavior is his 975 00:52:45,556 --> 00:52:48,036 Speaker 1: animate in his own mind, that he didn't do anything wrong. 976 00:52:48,436 --> 00:52:53,076 Speaker 2: I'm curious to know what you learned, if anything, at 977 00:52:53,076 --> 00:52:55,596 Speaker 2: the trial, but especially I want to know what you 978 00:52:56,596 --> 00:52:58,556 Speaker 2: thought you might learn at the trial, and whether you 979 00:52:58,596 --> 00:52:59,236 Speaker 2: did or didn't. 980 00:52:59,756 --> 00:53:02,196 Speaker 1: There were a couple of things that I really wanted 981 00:53:02,236 --> 00:53:05,436 Speaker 1: to know that in retrospect, maybe the trial wasn't the 982 00:53:05,436 --> 00:53:06,836 Speaker 1: best way to get it. But if he can't get 983 00:53:06,876 --> 00:53:08,196 Speaker 1: at it through the trial, I don't know where you're 984 00:53:08,196 --> 00:53:10,556 Speaker 1: going to get at it through. I really did want 985 00:53:10,596 --> 00:53:15,756 Speaker 1: to know the moment when the sum total of liquid 986 00:53:15,796 --> 00:53:21,036 Speaker 1: assets in Sam's world combination Alameda and FTX was less 987 00:53:21,116 --> 00:53:24,236 Speaker 1: than the customer deposits, Like when did he go negative? 988 00:53:24,276 --> 00:53:26,156 Speaker 2: There is that a knowable fact. 989 00:53:26,596 --> 00:53:29,756 Speaker 1: It could be figured out. The bankruptcy people might know already. 990 00:53:30,316 --> 00:53:34,796 Speaker 1: Wind should have everyone had alarm bells ringing in their heads, 991 00:53:35,676 --> 00:53:37,876 Speaker 1: because I didn't see any sign of alarm bells ringing 992 00:53:37,916 --> 00:53:40,556 Speaker 1: in anybody's head until it blew up. There's another thing. 993 00:53:41,156 --> 00:53:43,916 Speaker 1: When it all fell apart, I was doing this crude 994 00:53:43,956 --> 00:53:46,956 Speaker 1: exercise of figuring out all the money that had come 995 00:53:46,956 --> 00:53:49,076 Speaker 1: into Sam's world and all the money that had left 996 00:53:49,116 --> 00:53:52,196 Speaker 1: it in the form of customer deposits or venture capital 997 00:53:52,236 --> 00:53:57,276 Speaker 1: investments or expenditure on political campaigns. And to this day 998 00:53:57,316 --> 00:54:00,156 Speaker 1: this still seems to me several billion dollars that I 999 00:54:00,196 --> 00:54:02,836 Speaker 1: can't figure out where they went. There's been some hand 1000 00:54:02,876 --> 00:54:06,756 Speaker 1: wavy explanations about how it might have been lost. I'm 1001 00:54:06,796 --> 00:54:08,796 Speaker 1: not sure it has been lost. It's possible. The bankruptcy 1002 00:54:08,796 --> 00:54:11,716 Speaker 1: people still finding literally finding money the way you find 1003 00:54:11,756 --> 00:54:12,676 Speaker 1: easter eggs. 1004 00:54:14,916 --> 00:54:18,916 Speaker 2: These bankruptcy people are being led by John Ray, who 1005 00:54:18,996 --> 00:54:22,516 Speaker 2: was installed as the emergency CEO of FTX by the 1006 00:54:22,596 --> 00:54:26,316 Speaker 2: law firm Sullivan and Cromwell. We had Ray on the 1007 00:54:26,316 --> 00:54:29,716 Speaker 2: show earlier this year talking about the singular challenge of 1008 00:54:29,796 --> 00:54:34,076 Speaker 2: taking over FTX. That was episode five sixty. We called it, 1009 00:54:34,236 --> 00:54:37,996 Speaker 2: is this the worst job in Corporate America? Or maybe 1010 00:54:38,116 --> 00:54:42,236 Speaker 2: the best. Here's what Michael Lewis wrote about John Ray 1011 00:54:42,436 --> 00:54:45,356 Speaker 2: and the process by which he came to replace Sam 1012 00:54:45,396 --> 00:54:47,116 Speaker 2: Bankman Freed as CEO. 1013 00:54:50,396 --> 00:54:53,276 Speaker 1: The Wild and wonderful world of US corporate bankruptcy was 1014 00:54:53,316 --> 00:54:56,356 Speaker 1: increasingly dominated by big law firms, but there were still 1015 00:54:56,396 --> 00:54:59,196 Speaker 1: a few of these lone actors like Ray, who played 1016 00:54:59,196 --> 00:55:02,196 Speaker 1: the role of wildcatters. The law firms brought in the 1017 00:55:02,196 --> 00:55:05,116 Speaker 1: wildcatter to take over as CEO of the failed firm, 1018 00:55:05,716 --> 00:55:09,356 Speaker 1: and the wildcatter in turn hired the law firms as 1019 00:55:09,356 --> 00:55:11,636 Speaker 1: a legal matter. At four point thirty in the morning 1020 00:55:11,636 --> 00:55:15,556 Speaker 1: on Friday, November eleventh, twenty twenty two, Sam Bank and 1021 00:55:15,596 --> 00:55:20,116 Speaker 1: freed Docu signed FTX into bankruptcy and named John Ray 1022 00:55:20,156 --> 00:55:24,516 Speaker 1: as ftx's new CEO. As a practical matter, Sullivan and 1023 00:55:24,596 --> 00:55:26,956 Speaker 1: Cromwell lined up John Ray to replace Sam as the 1024 00:55:26,996 --> 00:55:31,236 Speaker 1: CEO of FTX, and then John Ray hired Sullivan Cromwell 1025 00:55:31,356 --> 00:55:35,796 Speaker 1: as the lawyers for the massive bankruptcy. I mean, the 1026 00:55:35,836 --> 00:55:38,916 Speaker 1: problem with the bankruptcy process is that it's designed to 1027 00:55:38,956 --> 00:55:41,516 Speaker 1: maximize the number of billable hours. It's designed to go 1028 00:55:41,556 --> 00:55:43,476 Speaker 1: on forever and ever and ever, and it's going to 1029 00:55:43,516 --> 00:55:45,196 Speaker 1: cost a billion dollars. It's crazy. 1030 00:55:45,716 --> 00:55:48,276 Speaker 2: Is that more on Ray or more in Solivon Cromwell 1031 00:55:48,356 --> 00:55:49,676 Speaker 2: or just the way the system works. 1032 00:55:50,076 --> 00:55:51,916 Speaker 1: The way the system works, the system's nuts. 1033 00:55:52,356 --> 00:55:53,916 Speaker 2: What would you propose instead. 1034 00:55:54,316 --> 00:55:56,196 Speaker 1: I think that needs to be a regulator. At the moment, 1035 00:55:56,236 --> 00:55:59,356 Speaker 1: there's no oversight. They is someone call the bankruptcy trustee, 1036 00:55:59,356 --> 00:56:01,716 Speaker 1: who's an employee of the Department of Justice, who has 1037 00:56:01,756 --> 00:56:04,596 Speaker 1: no teeth, his ability to write angry letters to the judge, 1038 00:56:04,636 --> 00:56:07,956 Speaker 1: and he has saying it's outrageous how this is being run. 1039 00:56:08,116 --> 00:56:09,556 Speaker 1: But the judge can just ignore it. 1040 00:56:10,076 --> 00:56:12,316 Speaker 2: Now that you've seen the trial, if you had to 1041 00:56:12,316 --> 00:56:14,276 Speaker 2: write the book over again, what would you do different? 1042 00:56:14,716 --> 00:56:16,476 Speaker 1: The one thing I would have loved to have known. 1043 00:56:17,156 --> 00:56:20,476 Speaker 1: I love the idea in their pillow talk of Sam 1044 00:56:20,596 --> 00:56:22,876 Speaker 1: saying to Caroline that there was a five percent chance 1045 00:56:22,916 --> 00:56:25,516 Speaker 1: he would be president of the United States. I feel 1046 00:56:25,556 --> 00:56:27,636 Speaker 1: like I was robbed of material. 1047 00:56:28,276 --> 00:56:31,276 Speaker 2: One more reason I'm just thinking now about why the 1048 00:56:31,316 --> 00:56:35,316 Speaker 2: book got a different reception than one might have anticipated 1049 00:56:35,916 --> 00:56:37,796 Speaker 2: is because it came out around the same time as 1050 00:56:37,836 --> 00:56:42,436 Speaker 2: Walter Isaacson's bio of Elon Musk, and Walter gets to 1051 00:56:42,476 --> 00:56:45,476 Speaker 2: spend a lot of time with his subjects, also living subjects. 1052 00:56:45,476 --> 00:56:48,556 Speaker 2: At least. I haven't read Walter's book, but my read 1053 00:56:48,596 --> 00:56:53,516 Speaker 2: of the reviews is that he praises Musk's accomplishments while 1054 00:56:53,796 --> 00:56:56,596 Speaker 2: laying out the ways in which personally he's kind of 1055 00:56:56,596 --> 00:56:59,796 Speaker 2: an asshole, and Musk is still the richest guy in 1056 00:56:59,836 --> 00:57:02,076 Speaker 2: the world and at the top of his game. Sam 1057 00:57:02,156 --> 00:57:05,356 Speaker 2: had been defenestrated by the time the book came out, 1058 00:57:05,716 --> 00:57:08,076 Speaker 2: And I wonder if maybe I don't know, it's the 1059 00:57:08,156 --> 00:57:10,676 Speaker 2: right kind of target for the right kind of times, 1060 00:57:10,716 --> 00:57:12,916 Speaker 2: and you didn't shoot an arrow through that target. 1061 00:57:13,276 --> 00:57:16,236 Speaker 1: Well, I can't write it any other way than it was. 1062 00:57:16,476 --> 00:57:19,076 Speaker 1: It would have been bizarre to try to pretend that 1063 00:57:19,156 --> 00:57:22,956 Speaker 1: Sam Bangertfried was obviously evil to everybody around him. It 1064 00:57:22,996 --> 00:57:26,236 Speaker 1: would have failed to grapple with why all these people 1065 00:57:26,916 --> 00:57:32,716 Speaker 1: got the smartest fetcher. Capitalists, important politicians, celebrities are enthralled 1066 00:57:32,716 --> 00:57:37,196 Speaker 1: by him. How stupid would it be not to create 1067 00:57:37,356 --> 00:57:41,596 Speaker 1: some of the charm that led him finding himself in 1068 00:57:41,636 --> 00:57:42,596 Speaker 1: the position he was in. 1069 00:57:45,556 --> 00:57:50,196 Speaker 2: There is a particularly revealing scene, particularly sad scene, toward 1070 00:57:50,276 --> 00:57:55,076 Speaker 2: the end of Lewis's book. This happens after FTX had cratered, 1071 00:57:55,196 --> 00:57:59,196 Speaker 2: but before bankman Freed had been arrested, and even though 1072 00:57:59,236 --> 00:58:02,756 Speaker 2: most of his employees had fled the Bahamas, he stayed on, 1073 00:58:03,596 --> 00:58:08,116 Speaker 2: and so did Constance Wang, the chief operating officer of FTX. 1074 00:58:08,276 --> 00:58:11,956 Speaker 2: She had been bankman and Freed's eighth higher Michael Lewis 1075 00:58:12,036 --> 00:58:15,996 Speaker 2: was also in the Bahamas. Then here's what he writes. 1076 00:58:18,036 --> 00:58:20,156 Speaker 1: For the better part of the month, I watched Constance 1077 00:58:20,196 --> 00:58:23,916 Speaker 1: return from her encounters with Sam. Over and over. She 1078 00:58:24,036 --> 00:58:27,076 Speaker 1: confronted Sam with the suffering he'd inflicted upon the very 1079 00:58:27,116 --> 00:58:30,636 Speaker 1: people who'd been the most loyal to him. Most FTX 1080 00:58:30,636 --> 00:58:34,836 Speaker 1: employees had lost their life savings. Some had lost their spouses, 1081 00:58:34,876 --> 00:58:38,236 Speaker 1: their homes, their friends, and their good names. There were 1082 00:58:38,236 --> 00:58:42,196 Speaker 1: Taiwanese employees of FTX still in Hong Kong who couldn't 1083 00:58:42,196 --> 00:58:47,396 Speaker 1: afford plane tickets home. I asked, Sam said, Constance, when 1084 00:58:47,436 --> 00:58:50,116 Speaker 1: you were doing this, have you ever thought how much 1085 00:58:50,196 --> 00:58:53,636 Speaker 1: this event will be hurting people? Even here? However, she 1086 00:58:53,676 --> 00:58:57,076 Speaker 1: found herself talking past Sam. In his telling he hadn't 1087 00:58:57,076 --> 00:59:00,236 Speaker 1: realized how much risk he'd subjected others to without their permission. 1088 00:59:01,196 --> 00:59:04,356 Speaker 1: Constance nevertheless sense that he didn't really register the damage 1089 00:59:04,396 --> 00:59:06,996 Speaker 1: he'd caused to other people in the way that say 1090 00:59:07,116 --> 00:59:12,556 Speaker 1: she might have as absolutely zero empathy. She said, that's 1091 00:59:12,596 --> 00:59:16,076 Speaker 1: what I learned that I didn't know he can't feel anything. 1092 00:59:19,316 --> 00:59:20,916 Speaker 2: So did Sam read your book? 1093 00:59:21,316 --> 00:59:24,676 Speaker 1: I've not spoken to him since he was hauled off 1094 00:59:24,676 --> 00:59:28,196 Speaker 1: to jail on August the eleventh. I was told by 1095 00:59:28,236 --> 00:59:31,356 Speaker 1: his lawyers that they snuck it into him on a 1096 00:59:31,596 --> 00:59:34,316 Speaker 1: drive that had all of the legal documents. But I 1097 00:59:34,356 --> 00:59:36,076 Speaker 1: don't know what he thought about it. He's the one 1098 00:59:36,076 --> 00:59:38,596 Speaker 1: person who hasn't ventured an opinion about my book. 1099 00:59:41,196 --> 00:59:46,396 Speaker 2: What's your opinion? Our email is radio at freakonomics dot com. 1100 00:59:46,636 --> 00:59:49,516 Speaker 2: The book is called Going Infinite, The Rise and Fall 1101 00:59:49,556 --> 00:59:53,276 Speaker 2: of a New Tycoon by Michael Lewis. Freakonomics Radio is 1102 00:59:53,276 --> 00:59:56,476 Speaker 2: produced by Stitcher and ren Bud Radio. This episode was 1103 00:59:56,476 --> 01:00:00,356 Speaker 2: produced by Ryan Kelly. The excerpts you heard from Going 1104 01:00:00,396 --> 01:00:03,076 Speaker 2: Infinite were read by the author, Michael Lewis, from an 1105 01:00:03,116 --> 01:00:08,116 Speaker 2: audiobook produced by Audible Studios. Our staff also includes Elina Cullman, Eleanor, 1106 01:00:08,156 --> 01:00:13,036 Speaker 2: Osborne Else, Hernandez Gabriel Roth, Greg Rippon, Jasmin Klinger, Jeremy Johnston, 1107 01:00:13,116 --> 01:00:17,356 Speaker 2: Julie canfer Lyrick Boutitch, Morgan Levy, Neil Caruth, Rebecca Lee Douglas, 1108 01:00:17,396 --> 01:00:20,716 Speaker 2: Sarah Lily, and Zach Klapinski. Our theme song is Mister 1109 01:00:20,796 --> 01:00:23,356 Speaker 2: Fortune by The Hitchhikers. The rest of the music in 1110 01:00:23,396 --> 01:00:26,716 Speaker 2: this episode was composed by Luis Gera Michael Riola, and 1111 01:00:26,756 --> 01:00:30,596 Speaker 2: Stephen Ulrich. You can find our entire archive on any 1112 01:00:30,636 --> 01:00:33,596 Speaker 2: podcast app or at freakonomics dot com, where we also 1113 01:00:33,636 --> 01:00:37,876 Speaker 2: publish transcripts and show notes. As always, thanks for listening. 1114 01:00:42,116 --> 01:00:44,516 Speaker 2: I have approximately a million more questions, but it is 1115 01:00:44,636 --> 01:00:47,196 Speaker 2: one o'clock. You gotta go, I assume, yeah, yeah, I 1116 01:00:47,236 --> 01:00:50,796 Speaker 2: do have to go. All right, this was fun, my hope, 1117 01:00:50,796 --> 01:00:51,316 Speaker 2: it was fun. 1118 01:00:56,076 --> 01:01:04,116 Speaker 3: The Freakonomics Radio Network, The Hidden Side of Everything, Stitcher,