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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: We are here every single morning and you guys can

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Speaker 1: follow me across my socials at Sports Talk Matt if

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Speaker 1: you'd like to hear my ramblings during these games, which

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Speaker 1: could be of an epic variety with the Patriots playing

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Speaker 1: in the divisional round. We yesterday had a three and

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Speaker 1: two day, so a slight winning day. We'll take it

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Speaker 1: up point seven to three units. The Broncos get there.

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Speaker 1: More on that came in a second. The Seahawks annihilated

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Speaker 1: the forty nine ers. We had already lost the under

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Speaker 1: in the Broncos games, so the teaser didn't matter. That

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Speaker 1: wasn't possible. R J. Harvey did not run for over

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Speaker 1: fifty four and a half yards, but Josh Allen did

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Speaker 1: go over eight and a half rushing attempts, so we

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Speaker 1: got the plus money play on that. So it's a

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Speaker 1: three and two day up point seventy three units, which

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Speaker 1: has kind of been the story of the week. When

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Speaker 1: we're winning, we're winning small. When we lost big, we

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Speaker 1: lost we lost big. When we were down zero to

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Speaker 1: three on Tuesday. So we're still trying to climb out

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Speaker 1: of that hole, but we are slowly doing that. If

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Speaker 1: we have a big day today, we can have a

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Speaker 1: winning week here on a Sunday. Now, a couple things.

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Speaker 1: Bonick's breaking his ankle on the second to last play

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Speaker 1: of the game is a horrible, horrible thing for the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: And if you are a Bronco fan, I feel for

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Speaker 1: you because Jared Stidham. Look, Jared Stidham was given two

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Speaker 1: contracts by Sean Payton. Okay, he was one of the

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Speaker 1: first guys brought to Denver by Sean Payton. He clearly

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Speaker 1: sees something in the former Auburn quarterback and the former

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Speaker 1: Patriot quarterback. I've just him. And in the NFL he's

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Speaker 1: a backup quarterback. Okay, You're playing with a backup quarterback

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Speaker 1: in the AFC Championship game. That has never happened. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's never happened. So without Bo Nicks, I don't know

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Speaker 1: what the number is going to be. But if it's

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Speaker 1: the Texans, if they beat the Patriots today, you gotta

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Speaker 1: think that the Texans are going to be favored against

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Speaker 1: the Broncos. The total is gonna be like thirty or

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Speaker 1: thirty one. It's gonna be ridiculous. If it's the Texans

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Speaker 1: against the against the Broncos for a right to go

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Speaker 1: to the super Bowl. I can tell you the NFL

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Speaker 1: does not want the Texans in the super Bowl and

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Speaker 1: they do not want the Broncos in there now without

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Speaker 1: bon Nicks. So this is going to be a very

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Speaker 1: interesting day in game. On the AFC side, the NFC

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Speaker 1: is going to be a heavy favorite. If it's Seattle

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Speaker 1: and they beat up on the forty nine ers tonight,

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Speaker 1: and if they play either the say they to the

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Speaker 1: Bears win today and Seattle gets Chicago next weekend for

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Speaker 1: a chance to go to the super Bowl, you gotta

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Speaker 1: like the Seahawks. Chances a lot there Seahawks would go.

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Speaker 1: It would be Seahawks against the Texans or the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: Which if it's Broncos Seahawks, what's the number eight and

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Speaker 1: a half nine? I mean this is this has the

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Speaker 1: potential to be an epic game. If it's Patriots Rams,

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Speaker 1: Patriots Seahawks, or Patriots Bears. There are storylines in all

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Speaker 1: three of those games, Okay, And I'm not saying that

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Speaker 1: the Patriots being there is great for the NFL, but

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Speaker 1: it is better than the Texans, and it's better than

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Speaker 1: the Broncos, I can tell you right now. Okay, there's

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Speaker 1: more people who are going to be hate watching that

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Speaker 1: to see how the Patriots are doing and cheering against

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Speaker 1: the Patriots than it would be for a Texans team

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Speaker 1: that is really boring. Defensively talented, but very boring. And

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Speaker 1: then you got a Broncos team that without bon Nicks

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Speaker 1: rather their star quarterback. Yikes, there's just not a lot

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Speaker 1: of heat there on the AFC side. It's weak anyway.

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Speaker 1: There's three teams left, and all three are pretty weak.

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Speaker 1: Let's be frank. All three are going to be dogs

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Speaker 1: against the Seahawks. They would be most likely dogged against

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Speaker 1: the Rams as well, but the Patriots have recently beaten

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Speaker 1: the Rams in the Super Bowl. They have recently beaten

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks in the Super Bowl, and everybody in New

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Speaker 1: England has nineteen eighty five on their minds if they

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Speaker 1: are my age. If you're asking me who I want

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Speaker 1: to play, I want the Bears. A Bears Patriots super

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Speaker 1: Bowl is unbelievable from a storyline perspective. The Super Bowl Shuffle,

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Speaker 1: the first ever prop bet was made in that game

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Speaker 1: with the fridge Perry would he or would he not

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Speaker 1: score a touchdown? Our guys, Jimmy Viccaro here in the

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Speaker 1: desert put that up and it did incredible handle and

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Speaker 1: the bet market was born. Okay, the storylines for the

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Speaker 1: Bears with Jim McMahon and the Peyton family and the

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Speaker 1: Walter Payton family would be just unbelievable. You pull out

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Speaker 1: Steve Grogan and Tony Easen and Moises to Tupu and

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Speaker 1: Craig James in Irving Fryar and Andre Tippett like I'm

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Speaker 1: nine again. Okay, I'm nine years old watching this. I

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Speaker 1: would love Bears Patriots in the Super Bowl. So would

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Speaker 1: the country. Okay, the country would be epically excited about

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Speaker 1: that game. Rams Patriots would be interesting. Patriots are two

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Speaker 1: and oh against the Rams that started the whole thing.

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Speaker 1: You know. They beat McVeigh thirteen to three, and one

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Speaker 1: of the biggest lop set it upsets in sports betting

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Speaker 1: history in terms of the first win and then the

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Speaker 1: second win. Everybody bet over, every single under and every

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Speaker 1: prop bet went under the books cleaned up in that

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Speaker 1: thirteen to three Super Bowl win for the Patriots over

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Speaker 1: Sean McVay, so they're two and oh against them. And

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Speaker 1: then obviously you've got, you know, arguably the most famous

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Speaker 1: ending other than the twenty eight to three comeback. You ask, like,

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Speaker 1: what was the most memorable Patriots Super Bowl Championship was?

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Speaker 1: You know, the Malcolm Butler interception where they didn't give

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Speaker 1: the ball to Beast Mode and Pete Carroll thought he

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Speaker 1: was smarter than everybody else and wanted to give Russell

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Speaker 1: Wilson the game winning touchdown and instead it was picked

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Speaker 1: off and the Patriots won the game. And that moment,

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Speaker 1: I mean in terms of like insane endings, in terms

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Speaker 1: of crazy finals. It would be amazing to have that

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Speaker 1: game get replayed again with Mike McDonald and now with

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Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel for the Patriots and the Seahawks. So there's

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Speaker 1: a lot there. But the Pats have to win today

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Speaker 1: and I'm not so sure they're going to win today. Okay,

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Speaker 1: But one more thing, and I know everyone's talking about

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Speaker 1: the catch or interception? What was it with Brandon Cooks?

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Speaker 1: Look the ball was moving, Okay, And it really comes

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Speaker 1: down to what side of this are you on? I

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Speaker 1: am a Jets and Bills hater. Okay, I hate the Jets,

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Speaker 1: I hate the Bills. Okay, I watch it, and maybe

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Speaker 1: my bias is involved here, and it probably is. But

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Speaker 1: the ball was moving, okay, so it would have been

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Speaker 1: an incomplete pass except it was intercepted. And when the

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Speaker 1: ball is moving and then the two players are fighting

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Speaker 1: over it and the ball goes into the defender's hands,

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Speaker 1: that's an interception. And you can freeze frame it all

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Speaker 1: you want, okay, but you can't freeze frame it because

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Speaker 1: the freeze frame doesn't matter. It matters as to whether

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Speaker 1: or not the ball was moving, and in my estimation,

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, it was. Now if you want to

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Speaker 1: talk about the way it went down from a mechanical standpoint,

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Speaker 1: as to whether or not it was reviewed enough, whether

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Speaker 1: or not the eye in the sky took its time

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Speaker 1: back in New York to make the right call, if

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Speaker 1: you want to say that that was a problem, sure,

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Speaker 1: But the call in the field was interception, So to

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Speaker 1: overturn that I think would have been really difficult. So

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Speaker 1: to me, I think they got the call right. The

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Speaker 1: other issue are the passing interference calls on the last drive,

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Speaker 1: the drive that ultimately Bonux broke his ankle on on

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Speaker 1: the second to last play where the flags came out.

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Speaker 1: In my opinion, there should have been three flags, not two.

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Speaker 1: It's like the referees gave the Bills one like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: if you're going to tackle the wide receiver, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: give you one option. Okay, we'll give you one freebie.

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Speaker 1: The second time you do it, we're flagging you. The

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Speaker 1: third time we're doing it, we're flagging you. I don't

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Speaker 1: care if Javius White it's throwing his helmet and yelling

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Speaker 1: at referees. The dude tackle the wide receiver. Okay, you

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Speaker 1: got there early. You can tell me that the calls

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Speaker 1: should have been made earlier in the game. And the

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Speaker 1: inconsistencies of the calls are the problems, which I would

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Speaker 1: agree with. That has been my problem with refereeing forever.

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Speaker 1: Now it's two inconsistent. But if you're asking me whether

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Speaker 1: or not those calls were passing interference on the Bills,

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Speaker 1: I would have thrown flags on three of them, not two.

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Speaker 1: Three of them. So I think they got away with one.

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Speaker 1: And so all the crying about the fifty six yards

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Speaker 1: of penalty yards, that's embarrassing.

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Speaker 2: How do you do that? Blah blah blah blah blah.

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Speaker 2: It's easy.

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Speaker 1: They committed fowls and a fowl on the last drive

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Speaker 1: or the fowl in the first quarter, it's still a foul.

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Speaker 1: So my problem with the whole thing of saying like

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Speaker 1: it shouldn't have been called because it wasn't called earlier.

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Speaker 2: It's like, what are you going to do? That's putting the.

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Speaker 1: Broncos at a massive disadvantage. It's not fair for the

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Speaker 1: Broncos like that. That is not that's not legal. You

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Speaker 1: can't tackle the wide receivers.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry. So I didn't have a problem with it. Okay.

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Speaker 2: It sucks for Josh Allen.

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Speaker 1: He now has eight wins with eight playoff wins without

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Speaker 1: an appearance in the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: That's the most of all time.

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Speaker 1: I feel for the guy. He was crying at the podium.

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Speaker 1: He's a good guy, you know, starting his young family

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Speaker 1: in the you know, I feel for him. He just

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Speaker 1: happens to play for a cursed franchise. That's just life, Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's what happens. There's plenty of you know, great players

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Speaker 1: that played for the Cavaliers during the Jordan years. Like

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Speaker 1: sometimes you're just on the wrong side. I mean, ask

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Speaker 1: the Utah Jazz, right, it stinks when you're on that

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Speaker 1: team that just can't win because other teams have better

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Speaker 1: superstars and they winning.

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Speaker 2: You don't.

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Speaker 1: And you're a Hall of Famer, you're an unbelievable quarterback,

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Speaker 1: but you're not going to Unfortunately in this current cycle,

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Speaker 1: You're just not going to win a super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: There's just too much in the way. It's too difficult

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Speaker 2: for you.

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Speaker 1: Maybe he'll get it later, maybe he'll get it with

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Speaker 1: a different team, but he wants to do it in Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think he's going to the rest of

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Speaker 1: the conference is getting better and the Bills are getting worse.

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Speaker 2: So and the same thing with the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: It's the same story, right, both those teams, their windows

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Speaker 1: aren't closed, but they're close.

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Speaker 2: Zing.

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Speaker 1: Okay, on to today. Let's talk about the two massive

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Speaker 1: games left here Sunday, two games Division round. I've already

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Speaker 1: given you the Texans plus three as a hedge on

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Speaker 1: the Patriots future. Okay, so we lost the forty nine

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Speaker 1: ers yesterday, we lost the Jaguars. As I told you,

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Speaker 1: we're going to count that for last year's mark and

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Speaker 1: we're going to have these all go into twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: five because that's when those futures were placed.

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Speaker 2: So we will take the futures. We're not going to

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Speaker 2: report it on twenty six.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna report on a twenty five, but we'll do

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Speaker 1: that after this season is over to put a closing

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Speaker 1: touch on twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 2: So we're down two units.

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Speaker 1: Jaguars in the forty nine, Ers, Patriots and the Seahawks

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Speaker 1: are left. If that's your super Bowl, we're golden, Like

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Speaker 1: we are straight up golden, and I hope, I pray

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Speaker 1: that that is our super Bowl. But I am going

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Speaker 1: to put Houston Texans plus three play and the under

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Speaker 1: forty one in play for today for these teams. Now,

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Speaker 1: I do have a hard rock bet of the game,

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Speaker 1: bet of the day that I'll give you guys in

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Speaker 1: a second, But these prop bets I gave out earlier

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Speaker 1: yesterday on the live stream with Andrew Erickson, so it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a little bit of a repeat. So

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Speaker 1: I'll go kind of quickly on this because a lot

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Speaker 1: of you guys have already seen this stuff. Okay, Texans

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Speaker 1: plus three, Patriots under forty one, the Bears plus four.

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Speaker 2: Here, Poka Nakua.

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Speaker 1: Over one hundred and four and a half rushing in

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Speaker 1: receiving yards. Yes, I know the weather's going to be cold. Yes,

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Speaker 1: I know there's gonna be a little wind, but they're

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Speaker 1: going to get the ball to Pooka as much as possible.

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Speaker 1: And I really do think that Pooka is going to

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Speaker 1: have a big game receiving here. And I think they

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Speaker 1: could run some screen, some sweeps with him getting in

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Speaker 1: the football as many ways as possible. But I just

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Speaker 1: don't think the Bears are going to be able to

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Speaker 1: defend Pokin Nakua. He's the best wide receiver in the game.

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Speaker 1: I expected to have a big game for the Rams.

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Speaker 1: Pooka over one oh four and a half rushing and

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Speaker 1: receiving yards. And then the Woody Marks, Andrew Erics and

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Speaker 1: I are on opposite side. Andrew's on under sixty yards.

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Speaker 1: I'm on over fifty one and a half yards. It's

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Speaker 1: a pretty big discrepancy. Okay, he got a better number,

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Speaker 1: but by the time this number was been all the

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Speaker 1: way down to fifty one and a half. The Patriots

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Speaker 1: defense is very good.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I've been talking about it all week about how good

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Speaker 1: the Patriots defense is when they're fully healthy. But let

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Speaker 1: me ask you something. If you are, and we saw

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Speaker 1: it with RJ. Harvey, I thought they gave up. I

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Speaker 1: thought the Bills gave up, you know, some runs to RJ. Harvey,

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Speaker 1: but they really I couldn't believe how much they were

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Speaker 1: passing the Broncos. I was stunned. I don't think the

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Speaker 1: Texans will do that without Nico Collins. You're asking CJ. Stroud,

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Speaker 1: a guy who should have lost last week. Okay, the

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Speaker 1: way he played, with the offense played, they should have lost.

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Speaker 1: They were down seven, they were up seven to six

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Speaker 1: at the break. Because the Steelers' offense is inept in awful.

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Speaker 1: The Patriot offense is not inept, It's not awful. So

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Speaker 1: you are you gonna have to keep up with what

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are going to do. But I don't think

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Speaker 1: Patriots score a ton. Maybe seventeen twenty points here, but

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Speaker 1: that's a lot for this Texans offense without Nico Collins.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what else you do besides running what

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Speaker 1: he marks. You have to run the football. And the

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Speaker 1: Patriots won't give up seventy five yards, But do I

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Speaker 1: think they give up like fifty five fifty six yards?

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Speaker 2: Rushing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think that's an incredibly crazy number. So

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Speaker 1: I can win my bet by going over fifty one

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Speaker 1: and a half, and Ericson can win his bet by

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Speaker 1: going under sixty and a half.

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Speaker 2: So that's a very big possibility.

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Speaker 1: So I just think the number got to got so

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Speaker 1: darn low it dropped all the way down to fifty

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Speaker 1: one and a half that I was like, you know what,

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Speaker 1: I don't know what else they're going to do here.

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Speaker 1: The Texans have got to run the ball like they

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Speaker 1: have got to play and try to move the football

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Speaker 1: as much as possible. So to me, I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: ahead and jump on it and take Woody Marksen go

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Speaker 1: kind of against our own guy Eran Andrew Erickson.

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Speaker 2: I get the theory.

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Speaker 1: I had the same theory until the number just kept

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Speaker 1: dropping and dropping and dropping, and I'm like, wait a minute,

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Speaker 1: there's way too much money here coming in on the

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Speaker 1: under for this guy. Fifty one and a half is

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Speaker 1: on a very big number from a rushing perspective. So

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Speaker 1: I just, you know, almost like on a principle play here,

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Speaker 1: I had to come in and I had to jump

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Speaker 1: in on him over fifty one and a half yards

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Speaker 1: rushing so plays Texans plus three under forty one Patriots

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Speaker 1: Texans Bears plus four.

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Speaker 2: If you want the full breakdown.

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Speaker 1: Of those games, go ahead and look back on Thursday's

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. Pooka over one oh four and a half

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Speaker 1: rushing and receiving and marks over fifty one and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards against the Patriots defense. Now, before I

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Speaker 1: give you the hard Rock Bet play of the day,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about hard Rock Bet. They are they're presenting

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Speaker 1: sponsor of the Daily Juice podcast, and we've got a

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Speaker 1: huge game tomorrow in Miami with the National Championship.

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Speaker 2: Miami is in it.

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Speaker 1: Hard Rock Bet is the location, sorry, hard Rock Stadium

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Speaker 1: is the location for this, and hard Rock Bet is

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00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,520
Speaker 1: jumping all in this. They're giving ten dollars bonus bets

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00:15:42,560 --> 00:15:44,320
Speaker 1: to so many people. If you're going to the game,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna give you a ten dollars bonus bet. If

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Speaker 1: you're going to be around the game, they're gonna give

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Speaker 1: you a ten dollars bonus bet. If you're out and

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Speaker 1: about in Miami today or tomorrow, they're gonna give you

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00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,680
Speaker 1: a ten dollars bonus bet. Check the app as to

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00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:58,840
Speaker 1: how you can claim that ten dollars bet, but my gosh,

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00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:01,760
Speaker 1: are they getting heavy in Remember if you miss any

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00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:03,800
Speaker 1: game after it tips off or kicks off. Live in

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00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:07,120
Speaker 1: game betting is available at hard Rock Bet and the

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00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:10,240
Speaker 1: first bet option is there five dollars. If it wins,

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Speaker 1: you get the winnings plus they'll give you one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty bucks in bonus.

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Speaker 2: Bets, parlays, live betting.

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Speaker 1: So much going on this weekend at hard Rock Bet

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00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:21,320
Speaker 1: and tomorrow with the National Championship game. Download the hard

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Speaker 2: This is a theft. I'm stealing this.

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Speaker 1: So the Rams don't do well against against slot receivers

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Speaker 1: and Luther Burden has become this weapon for the Bears offense.

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Speaker 1: He's been really, really effective, and I think with the

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Speaker 1: number of receptions being at two and a half, I

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Speaker 1: mean against the forty nine ers he had eight. Against

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Speaker 1: the Lions, he had three, against Green Bay he had three. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we need three catches for him here. The books don't

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Speaker 1: want to go to three and a half because if

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Speaker 1: they do, you're going to this go into the under.

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Speaker 1: People are gonna bet the under. But he's got the

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet is projecting four receptions, it's a

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Speaker 1: seventy eight percent cover probability, a plus twenty nine inspected

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Speaker 1: value in a five star play on the prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet. He's gone over this number eight of twelve

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Speaker 1: games for Luthor Burden, and I think against this Rams defense,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see Kayleb Williams really look to Luthor Burden,

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Speaker 1: trying to get him the football as much as possible.

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Speaker 1: Here the number you can shop around, but mostly it's

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Speaker 1: about one miss one fifty five miss one fifty seven.

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Speaker 1: It's a little juicy, but because I've missed back to

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Speaker 1: back bets here for the hard rock bet of the day,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and do it. This is a great

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Speaker 1: read by Andrew Erickson. I'm gonna tail it. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: put it on the hard rock bet of the Day.

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Speaker 1: Luthor Burden over two and a half receptions at minus

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Speaker 1: one fifty seven for one point five to seven units.

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Speaker 1: That record is eleven and eight for the prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat Sorry for the hard rock bet of the day,

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Speaker 1: so hopefully we can get back on the winning track

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Speaker 1: here after losing a couple of the bets. Luthor Burden

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Speaker 1: over two and a half receptions at minus one fifty

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Speaker 1: seven here for the hard rock bet of the day. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so hard rock bet of the Day Luthor Burden over

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Speaker 1: two and a half receptions and Texans plus three under

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Speaker 1: forty one, Bears plus four, Pooka over one oh four

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Speaker 1: and a half and the Marks over fifty one and

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Speaker 1: a half rushing. If you want to tell me about

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Speaker 1: the Rams, and the Rams are going to do what

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks did to the forty nine Ers tonight, look

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Speaker 1: at it could be.

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Speaker 2: I said it on the live stream.

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Speaker 1: I thought, either the Niners win or the Seahawks blow

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Speaker 1: out the forty nine Ers. I kind of feel the

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Speaker 1: same way. Either the Bears win or the Rams win

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Speaker 1: this game by ten to fourteen points, and it's very possible.

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Speaker 1: But it's why I'm not teasing it because I thought

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Speaker 1: about doing the same game teaser. I thought about pulling

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Speaker 1: the number down from forty eight and a half, pulling

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Speaker 1: it down to forty two and a half and betting

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Speaker 1: the over and giving the Bears ten points. But the

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Speaker 1: reason why I'm not is because I think if the

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Speaker 1: Rams do end up covering the four, I don't think

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Speaker 1: this game's close. I think this is an absolute run

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Speaker 1: out here by LA and they dominate the Bears, or

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Speaker 1: the Bears will have a kick at the end of

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Speaker 1: the game to win it. Now they might miss it,

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Speaker 1: but they got a kick to win the game and

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Speaker 1: maybe be down by two, a kick to win it

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Speaker 1: and they lose the game by two.

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Speaker 2: Rams don't cover the four.

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Speaker 1: That's how I think the point spread comes into play here.

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Speaker 1: But the Bears, I think if we're covering the four,

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Speaker 1: the Bears will have a chance to be in the

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Speaker 1: game to win the game outright. Obviously, live betting is

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Speaker 1: your friend. I was heavily, in fact heavily active on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. I'll be so again today with live

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Speaker 1: bets talking about when to jump in. I took the

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Speaker 1: Bills plus one and a half. I took the Broncos

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Speaker 1: plus three and a half. Bills didn't hit Broncos did

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Speaker 1: so kind of watch it till they're out. So I'm

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Speaker 1: pretty heavily active on the Discord channel. Bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash chat to join for that should be a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun. I'm going to be a mess if the

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Speaker 1: Patriots win this game and beat the Houston Texans, which

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Speaker 1: I think if you look at where the pro money is.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be a very interesting day.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be a very very interesting day on

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Speaker 1: the Patriots because if they win, they play at Denver

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Speaker 1: against Jared Sidham, their former quarterback, with a chance to

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Speaker 1: go to the Super Bowl, which is crazy to stop

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Speaker 1: and think about. My name's Matt Paroltz. You guys can

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Speaker 1: follow me because all my socials at Sports Talk Matt

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00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,359
Speaker 1: every morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts, it is

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice.