1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 2: Blue Owl reported results this week after joining courses with 3 00:00:10,520 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 2: Meta on Ai Data Centers. The firm reported a twenty 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 2: one percent year over your jump in AUM as it 5 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 2: continues to reinforce its long term growth pipeline joining us 6 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 2: for mores. Mark Lipschual's Blue Owl Capital COCEEO Mark, wonderful 7 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 2: to have you on this morning. And look, I know 8 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 2: whenever anyone asks about the equity price, you very soonly 9 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,159 Speaker 2: are like, we don't concentrate on the short term, but 10 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 2: there was a decline after earning, so we have to 11 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 2: address it. You had record fundraising, maybe a concentration on 12 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:39,519 Speaker 2: some of the flat fees. Why the disconnect between the two. 13 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, the look, we had a great quarter. 14 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 1: We had continued extraordinary growth, twenty plus percent growth on 15 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,919 Speaker 1: the top line. I think there is there is, as 16 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: you just noted, this disconnect, which is having acquired very 17 00:00:55,280 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 1: successfully and very fortunately businesses like our digital infrastructure business IPI, 18 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:04,520 Speaker 1: you issue shares, but then you don't have a full 19 00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: year of their results. 20 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 3: So it's actually just math. 21 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 1: As you look at our run rate growth per share, 22 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: it is continuing to accelerate and it continues to be 23 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 1: incredibly robust. So yeah, there's a little bit of math, 24 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: but it really is just simple math. 25 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 3: Businesses is really thriving. 26 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 4: I learned so much from watching Danny's interviews with people 27 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:26,119 Speaker 4: like you, So she. 28 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:28,680 Speaker 2: Had to be clear, you're learning more from Mark than 29 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:30,319 Speaker 2: you are from Yes, I'm just. 30 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:33,479 Speaker 4: Happy to be there, and from you know, z and 31 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 4: from Henry McVay, and from John Gray. You were talking 32 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 4: with him, Danny, and he was saying something about easing 33 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:43,559 Speaker 4: excess returns in private capital, and there's a market saturation, 34 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 4: we see various tight spreads and generally lower yields or 35 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 4: headed lower. 36 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 3: What do you think about that? What do you think 37 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 3: about that idea? 38 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: So I would decompose the question of kind of yields 39 00:01:55,560 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: returns into three components, right, one, of course is credit 40 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 1: quality first and foremost. Look, at the end of the day, 41 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: the most important thing is that you're making good loans 42 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: and getting paid. 43 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 3: Back, no cockyages. 44 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 1: So we want a very healthy ecosystem, and we have 45 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: a very healthy ecosystem, we really do, and we can 46 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 1: certainly come back to that. So credit quality is excellent 47 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 1: in our book, and that doesn't mean no defaults everyone's 48 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:22,679 Speaker 1: going to have defaults now. And then we all we said, 49 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,920 Speaker 1: multi trillion dollar industry, that's okay. You just can't have 50 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:28,399 Speaker 1: many and you have to get good recoveries. And that's 51 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: exactly what we do. It blow out by the way, 52 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: so to our peers. 53 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 3: And so to the banks. So the system is in 54 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 3: a strong place. 55 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: Then of course there's base rates, and of course the 56 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 1: direction of base rate travel. 57 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 3: Everyone obviously sees it having east from the peak. 58 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: But again, every time consensus bills to oh, it's obvious, 59 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 1: you look at the FED commentary. Now it's not quite 60 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 1: so obvious how fast rates are going. 61 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:49,119 Speaker 3: To go down. 62 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 1: And then last is spread. And spreads are on the 63 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: kinds of the lower side of where we operate, but 64 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: over a ten year window, they ebb and they flow. 65 00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: And remember we're building portfolios have hundreds of names in them. 66 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 1: Some are from a couple of years ago, some are current, 67 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: and most importantly, our overall spread, the premium that we 68 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 1: offer to the alternative the traditional marketplace has actually been 69 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: stunningly steady and close to a couple hundred basis points. 70 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: So yeah, we don't live in a vacuum, and so 71 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: spreads in the whole world are tight. 72 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 3: Of course ours are tighter. Equity markets are at all 73 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 3: time highs. 74 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: Like we don't live in isolation, and in that world, 75 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: spreads are a little bit tighter, But in total it 76 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:33,959 Speaker 1: continues to do. We continue to deliver really outstanding investor results, 77 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 1: and that's why we had record fundraising results. 78 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 2: I'd say, I really like that point you made about Okay, 79 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 2: if we're concerned about private credit, shouldn't we be concerned 80 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 2: about equity markets too. They both are trading and reflect 81 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 2: a large part of this economy. I would then love 82 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 2: to get your take on Meta yesterday. I know you're 83 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 2: not a public stock GUYE, but when they issued more debt, 84 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 2: Meta shares fell, do you think that there are starting 85 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 2: to creep into the market. Some concern with metav of 86 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 2: course is one of your partner. But the large hyperscale 87 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 2: spending and the amount of financing and debt that they're 88 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,920 Speaker 2: taking on, is there any reason to be concerned because 89 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 2: clearly the equity market is starting to show at least 90 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 2: a little bit of nerves about it. 91 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 1: Well, there's been several earning reports this year this week 92 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 1: from tech companies, and actually some of them performed extraordinarily 93 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: well announcing big capital programs, right Amazon, and so I don't. 94 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 1: I think it's hard to attribute it to one specific action. 95 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 1: In fact, the collective result is, of course tech is 96 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:32,599 Speaker 1: touching all time highs at the moment, where as of 97 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:34,839 Speaker 1: this week, people announced, you know what, We're actually going 98 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 1: to spend a lot more on AI infrastructure than we thought, 99 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 1: much more actually, right, this continuing curve, every time we look, 100 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: it just keeps going up. And you listen to the commentary, 101 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: and the commentary is we don't think we're spending enough. 102 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: Microsoft says we don't have actually enough capacity to even 103 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 1: fuel both AI and kind of our core business. 104 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 3: So that gap, well, very expensive to cross. 105 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 1: That rubicon, of course, is what creates the opportunity for 106 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,840 Speaker 1: great partnerships, for us to bring that kind of capital 107 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: in conjunction with these spectacular companies to build the backbone, 108 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: which for us is the very safe way to participate 109 00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: build the backbone for this infrastructure, for the infrastructure for 110 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 1: this AI future. 111 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 4: I was talking with z about the intel he gathers 112 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 4: and you obviously are in the same sort of privileged position, right, 113 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 4: You're talking to so many portfolio companies and CEOs and 114 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 4: you have an incredible view of, for example, the labor market. 115 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,719 Speaker 4: So what are you seeing in your portfolio companies or 116 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 4: what are you hearing people say about the economy in 117 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 4: regards to the labor market. Are they going to be 118 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 4: slowing hiring or even reducing jobs as they replace some 119 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 4: of that productivity with AI. 120 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:45,479 Speaker 1: So portfolio companies are let's start with very strong and healthy. 121 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: We have four hundred or so in our portfolio and 122 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 1: on average growth remains both revenue and earnings in the 123 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: high single digit. 124 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 3: So it's a very healthy place now when. 125 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 4: Strong companies can strong companies can reduce head count absolutely so. 126 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 3: Now we have not seen any meaningful change in. 127 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 1: Labor practices, but it is certainly the case that technology 128 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:07,279 Speaker 1: itself is making a lot of activity already more productive, 129 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,720 Speaker 1: and we're at the very front edge so this all. 130 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: It is certainly the case that when you build and 131 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: invest this kind of capital, you do ultimately have to 132 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: get a return on it, and some of that will 133 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:20,920 Speaker 1: disrupt the traditional labor market. We are not hearing anything 134 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:24,679 Speaker 1: I would call systemic or traumatic at this point within 135 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 1: the portfolio, and to the degree it's happening, it's really 136 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: more about efficiency technology, it's not about concern about the 137 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: economy today. 138 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:36,119 Speaker 2: Blue Owl has also been on the forefront in moving 139 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:39,159 Speaker 2: into retail and offering wealth products to a wider swath 140 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 2: of investors than traditionally had been. I just wonder mark 141 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 2: because this has been appeared where it feels like people 142 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 2: are laser focused with the magnifying glass. If I can 143 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 2: mix all my metaphors on private credit with Jamie diamond 144 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 2: saying cockroach here a concern about fraud there, has it 145 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 2: changed it all retail sentiment? Has it been harder to 146 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 2: reach those people just in the volatility of headlines that 147 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 2: have been come out. 148 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 1: So here's the really encouraging part about the wisdom of 149 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: what you call retail investors individuals taken together. You know, 150 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: I think there's a propensity to want to either sort 151 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: of people say, oh, they don't understand. I actually think 152 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: there's incredible wisdom in the individual investor world. And by 153 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: the way, they're advised by really strong people, right the 154 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: financial advisors at the Merrills and the Morgan Stanley's and 155 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 1: the JP. 156 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 3: Morgans, the Goldmansacts. 157 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 1: I mean, all these Wells, Fargo, all these fabulous places 158 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: are advising people on making these choices. 159 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:33,200 Speaker 3: So here's what we're seeing. 160 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 1: Wealth flows are accelerating even now this month over last. 161 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: We see this every day, so very data driven business 162 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 1: for us. We are accelerating in wealth this month over last. 163 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: So actually people are seeing through this noise, and it 164 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: is a lot of noise. And to your point about 165 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 1: you know, sort of an item here, an item there, 166 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 1: you know, I would suggest taking when we take a 167 00:07:57,080 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: step back, because there's almost this kind of this mass 168 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 1: hysteria taking hold about credit in general, private credit in particular, 169 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 1: and it's just not anchored in any facts. 170 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 3: It's anchored by repeating. 171 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 1: A few anecdotes and then kind of just creating the well, hey, 172 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: you never know. And some of that is intentional, some 173 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: of it, I'm sure is quite sincere by people that 174 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 1: just don't just aren't sure. But the truth is that 175 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 1: our system, the private credits, not just bluall our peers 176 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: are very good at what they do, the banks are 177 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: very good at what they do, and in total, fortunately 178 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: for the economy, we have a very healthy credit ecosystem. 179 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 1: And to the earlier point, Danny, you repeat it, which 180 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 1: something is really important. Remember, you cannot believe that we 181 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: have an unhealthy credit ecosystem and a healthy stock market. 182 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 3: Those are not compatible. 183 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 4: Ideas well, and I mean, as you point out, the 184 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 4: concerns are belied by the fact that investors are still 185 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 4: falling all over themselves to get access to funds like yours. 186 00:08:57,320 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 3: Mark great having on the program, Thank 187 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 4: You so much for joining US Market Schultz there of 188 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 4: Blue Owl Capital,