WEBVTT - Barr Broke From Mueller On Who Calls Obstruction: Mintz

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg pen L Podcast. I'm Paul Swinge. You,

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<v Speaker 1>along with my co host Lisa Brahma Waits. Each day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money. Whether at the grocery store or

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<v Speaker 1>the trading floor. Find a Bloomberg Penl podcast on Apple

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<v Speaker 1>podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com. Well, we continue to pour through

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<v Speaker 1>through the page Muller Report. We welcome Jim Grosso, co

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<v Speaker 1>host of Politics, Policy, Power and Law. June. Have you

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<v Speaker 1>read All Foes yet? Oh? Yes, I have. It's you know.

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<v Speaker 1>And also we're going through it not in hard copy

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<v Speaker 1>form but on a computer, so it's sort of difficult

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<v Speaker 1>to read. And we don't have the color coding on

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<v Speaker 1>the website. At the website, I know, I don't understand it.

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<v Speaker 1>We just have the blacked out But I'll tell you

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<v Speaker 1>it's what strikes me is that it is far different

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<v Speaker 1>from what Attorney General William Barr painted the picture he

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<v Speaker 1>painted this morning. In his press conference, he talked a

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<v Speaker 1>lot about collusion and said that Trump that it proved

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<v Speaker 1>that there was no collusion. But Muller on collusion, notes

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<v Speaker 1>that he did not try to prove collusion. So I

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<v Speaker 1>thought it was kind of strange that word collusion has

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<v Speaker 1>been thrown into this by President Trump, because, as we've

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<v Speaker 1>said many times, it's not a word a lawyer would use.

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<v Speaker 1>A lawyer would use the word conspiracy. So it was

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<v Speaker 1>odd that that the a g bar used that today.

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<v Speaker 1>And and also, I mean what strikes me immediately is

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<v Speaker 1>the the that Don McGan, the White House Counsel, his

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<v Speaker 1>interactions with the President, and that he almost came to

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<v Speaker 1>the point of wanting to step down, packing his stuff up.

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<v Speaker 1>It reminded me it echoed Elliott Richardson, who stepped down

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<v Speaker 1>when Richard Nixon asked him to remove Special Counsel Archibald Cox,

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<v Speaker 1>and he said that he told the Chief of Staff

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<v Speaker 1>Rhins pre was that Trump had asked him to do crazy,

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<v Speaker 1>i'll say stuff, and that he was leaving. So you

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<v Speaker 1>have this context that really makes sort of rich what

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<v Speaker 1>we already know the bare bones up. And to get

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<v Speaker 1>his reaction, I'd like to bring in someone who who

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<v Speaker 1>has been able with a prosecutor for many years. He

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<v Speaker 1>is now the head of the white collar division at

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<v Speaker 1>McCarter and English that's Robert Mints from a federal prosecutor. Bob,

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<v Speaker 1>what do you have from looking at this report? What

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<v Speaker 1>do you see that either uh supports what Attorney General

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<v Speaker 1>Barr said or contradicts it. Well, June, I think that

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<v Speaker 1>the press conference held by an attorney general was a

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<v Speaker 1>fairly full throaded defense of the president. I thought that

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<v Speaker 1>it would have been more proper for this press conference

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<v Speaker 1>to have outlined the process that he went through in

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<v Speaker 1>redacting the report and in handing taking the information that

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<v Speaker 1>he had received from a special Council and the passing

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<v Speaker 1>that along to Congress on the public as opposed to

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<v Speaker 1>getting into the substance of it. I was also struck

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<v Speaker 1>by the fact that he talked a lot about the

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<v Speaker 1>sincere beliefs of the president, really trying to get into

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<v Speaker 1>the president's mindset and using that as a admittedly used

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<v Speaker 1>that in reaching his decision that he believed that there

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<v Speaker 1>was no obstruction of justice case. Because he said that

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<v Speaker 1>because the president sincerely believed he had done nothing wrong,

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<v Speaker 1>that that sort of weighed in his favor in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of some of the conduct. And I think that's a

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<v Speaker 1>fairly controversial statement to make you merely because someone might

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<v Speaker 1>be considered um paranoid and be looking at what's going

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<v Speaker 1>on and feelingly being treated unfairly doesn't necessarily mean that

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<v Speaker 1>they're not then trying to obstruct an investigation. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's really very much of an open question, Bob. The

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<v Speaker 1>question I have going through my mind as I read

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<v Speaker 1>this is the Special Counsel's office, the and the people

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<v Speaker 1>who worked there seemed to struggle with whether or not

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<v Speaker 1>there was obstruction, and they decided to leave it to

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps the Congress to decide that. But if this were

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<v Speaker 1>a normal case and not a case where a president

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<v Speaker 1>of the its states is being investigated for obstruction and

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<v Speaker 1>cannot be indicted by Department of Justice guidelines, would this

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<v Speaker 1>be the kind of case you would take to a

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<v Speaker 1>jury and let the jury make this tough decision. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>there's certainly a lot of evidence out there that I

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<v Speaker 1>think a prosecutor could use to weave together an obstruction case. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the things that the president's defenders have often

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<v Speaker 1>said is that the president doesn't fully understand the way

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<v Speaker 1>a separation of powers works. And certainly this president has

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<v Speaker 1>cross lines that had never before been crossed in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of reaching into what's going on with the FBI and

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<v Speaker 1>with the Department of Justice. UM, I think this case

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<v Speaker 1>could have been brought to a jury. And here I

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<v Speaker 1>thought the most interesting statement that I've seen so far

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<v Speaker 1>on this report on the obstruction of justice issue is

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<v Speaker 1>that the Special Council wrote that with respect to whether

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<v Speaker 1>the President can be found to have obstructed justice by

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<v Speaker 1>exercising his powers under Article two of the Constitution, we

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<v Speaker 1>concluded the Congress has the authority to prohibit a president's

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<v Speaker 1>corrupt use of his authority in order to protect the

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<v Speaker 1>integrity of the administration of Justice. So it answers the

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<v Speaker 1>question when Mueller decided not to reach a conclusion here,

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<v Speaker 1>who makes that call? The Attorney General seemed to suggest

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<v Speaker 1>that the call was then his to make as the

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<v Speaker 1>as the head of the Department of Justice, whereas Mueller

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be safe it seems to be saying that

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<v Speaker 1>that really is going to be Congress's decision. So there's

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<v Speaker 1>a disconnect there between the way Mr Muller Mr Barr

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<v Speaker 1>interpreted UM the decision by Mr Mueller not to reach

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<v Speaker 1>a conclusion, and what Mr Mueller decided to say in

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<v Speaker 1>his report that it really is a question for Congress

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<v Speaker 1>to decide rather than the Attorney general. Let's also talk

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<v Speaker 1>about Mueller's explanation of why he chose not to subpoena

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<v Speaker 1>President Trump. He said he had enough evidence to, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>to subpoena him, but also he had enough evidence that

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<v Speaker 1>he didn't need to subpoena him. And it seemed to

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<v Speaker 1>be based on the fact that it would take too

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<v Speaker 1>long and he wanted to get this report out. But

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<v Speaker 1>does that leave a lot to question if you don't

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<v Speaker 1>have the testimony of the president, Yeah, it does. I

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<v Speaker 1>think he understood that that was going to be a long,

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<v Speaker 1>protracted fight, and ultimately there wasn't going to be much

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<v Speaker 1>to be gained by getting that interview if the courts

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<v Speaker 1>were going to were to force the President to submit

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<v Speaker 1>to an interview by the special counsel. I think they

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<v Speaker 1>also felt that, based upon all the public statements that

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<v Speaker 1>the President has made about this, that they more or

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<v Speaker 1>less knew what his answers were going to be. Uh

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<v Speaker 1>And so at the end, it was really kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a cost benefit analysis. They decided that the time that

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<v Speaker 1>it would take in order to try to force that

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<v Speaker 1>interview was really not worth it. They had enough answers

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<v Speaker 1>and really as they said a minute ago, the president

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<v Speaker 1>really has got on a record when so many of

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<v Speaker 1>these issues that have been identified by Special counsel mother

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<v Speaker 1>as potential areas of obstruction. Thank you so much, Bob.

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<v Speaker 1>That's former federal prosecutor Robert Man's a partner at McCarter

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<v Speaker 1>and English. Lisa June Grazzo of Bloomberg Politics, Policy, Power

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<v Speaker 1>in Law, thank you so much for that. We are

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<v Speaker 1>continuing our coverage of the four forty eight page report

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<v Speaker 1>from Special Prosecutor Robert Mueller. We're gonna take a look

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<v Speaker 1>at Honeywell. Honeywell shares climbed the most in eight months

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<v Speaker 1>after reporting that sales had surged, spurring the company to

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<v Speaker 1>raise its full year guidance despite a global manufacturing slowdown.

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<v Speaker 1>That was kind of breakdown what we saw from Honeywell

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<v Speaker 1>this quarter. We welcome back Karen uble Heart. Karen is

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<v Speaker 1>a senior Industrials annalyso Bloomberg Intelligence. She joins us live

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<v Speaker 1>here in a Bloomberg Interactive broker studio. So a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>darn good quarter. I saw that the organic growth rate

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<v Speaker 1>for Honeywell was eight percent. I can't remember the last

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<v Speaker 1>time we saw that type of growth from one of

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<v Speaker 1>your industrial companies. Yeah, no, that it was. It was

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<v Speaker 1>a much better than expected and it was in three

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<v Speaker 1>of the four businesses grew eight and and percent real surprise.

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<v Speaker 1>The biggest surprise was building products, where they got rid

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<v Speaker 1>of the home um automation business because they didn't want

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<v Speaker 1>to compete with Amazon, etcetera. Um. The buildings products business

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<v Speaker 1>is growing at nine percent, largely due to new product launches.

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<v Speaker 1>His top priority is growing organic growth, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>we're actually starting to see some of that happening. So

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<v Speaker 1>here's my question. How much is this a Honeywell I

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<v Speaker 1>used some credic story, and how much does this indicate

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<v Speaker 1>that we are seeing a stronger pace of growth around

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<v Speaker 1>the world. I think a lot of its Honeywell. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>aerospace is very strong. It was eight percent against a

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<v Speaker 1>ten percent comp but aerospace is is strong for everyone.

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<v Speaker 1>But the building to business and the safety products business

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<v Speaker 1>are both Honeywell driven. They did an big acquisition in

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<v Speaker 1>the safety business, They've done a lot of new products

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<v Speaker 1>in both, and they're both growing eight to nine percent.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's Honeywell. So how how exposed is Honeywell to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of what's happening in China? Trade negotiations in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of their global businesses, well, they said ton of was down,

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<v Speaker 1>um a little bit actually, And and what's interesting about

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<v Speaker 1>their guidances they didn't raise the second half and a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people press them on that because growth is

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<v Speaker 1>so good. But there they are worried. They're hedging their

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<v Speaker 1>bets for a glow you know, a little bit slower

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<v Speaker 1>global growth. So when you take Honeywell out of it,

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<v Speaker 1>they think, like the core economic growth is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be slower in the second half globally, and they're hedging

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<v Speaker 1>their bets. Can you give us a sense of the

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<v Speaker 1>breakdown of the geographic distribution of Honeywell's business, Um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, China's um a decent size for them, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's still like seven percent. It's still pretty pretty low,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's a good grower. Um. The US is in

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<v Speaker 1>the forties and Europe is in the twenties, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's you it might be up to thirty, I think,

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<v Speaker 1>But I guess I'm wondering, is there a big divergence

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<v Speaker 1>between the US and the performance there versus the rest

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<v Speaker 1>of the world. Well, interestingly, Europe is not as bad

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<v Speaker 1>so far um that as people expected. Because those are

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<v Speaker 1>those numbers A P, M I and GDP numbers do

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<v Speaker 1>not look good. But you know it's hole, it's holding

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<v Speaker 1>up there getting you know, mid single low mid single

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<v Speaker 1>digit growth there you're us of course is the growth

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<v Speaker 1>engine right now, although there's concerns about the second half

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<v Speaker 1>and then ages growing. UM China is weak because of trade.

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<v Speaker 1>So but overall a lot of this is product driven.

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<v Speaker 1>I think you're interesting. I was looking through the report

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<v Speaker 1>and I see that the surging e commerce helped drive

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<v Speaker 1>a ten percent improvement in Honeywell's SPS warehouse automation. So

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<v Speaker 1>there's an Amazon play here for Honeywell, right, yeah. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean they did a large acquisition, one of their largest

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<v Speaker 1>ever in warehouse automation, a company called UM Intelligrated and

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<v Speaker 1>it's growing like fifteen percent against fifteen percent. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's growing extraordinarily well. And then they did

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<v Speaker 1>another UH automation where he automation business in Europe, so

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<v Speaker 1>they're growing that business and it is a it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, double digit, nice solid double digit growth. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>that is e commerce. It's the Amazon play there. Make

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<v Speaker 1>an Amazon play on anything, Lisa, anything. I'm going to

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<v Speaker 1>challenge you. I'm going to find something and see what

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<v Speaker 1>you can come up with. Uh, you know, I gotta say,

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<v Speaker 1>Karen yu Buhart, you say that this is an idiosyncredit issue, Honeywell, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>their management actually doing a good job. Is there any

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<v Speaker 1>takeaway that another big industrial company could take away from

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<v Speaker 1>this to possibly spur their growth. Well, it's really interesting

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<v Speaker 1>because um, they're not. They didn't run out and buy things.

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<v Speaker 1>They have so much money and they're scared to do

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<v Speaker 1>M and A. But he really put the u you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the pedal to the metal on on internal spending, not

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<v Speaker 1>on capacity, on making new things. And that's and then

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<v Speaker 1>of course they've been doing the efficiency game and margin

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<v Speaker 1>improvement for a long time. I mean the you know

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<v Speaker 1>ten plus years of Dave Cody was about let's get

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<v Speaker 1>respectable margins. He did that, although there's room to go,

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<v Speaker 1>and now this guy's let's get growing. So I see

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<v Speaker 1>the stock up. Just put up the stock the five

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<v Speaker 1>year chart on the bloomber terminal and Honeywells, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>looks on a five year basis that it's high here. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, up another percent this year. Maybe did they

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<v Speaker 1>you start thinking about using their stock for acquisition currency. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know they won't because they're sitting on their sitting

0:12:00.960 --> 0:12:04.240
<v Speaker 1>on ten eleven billion in cash and another seven billion

0:12:04.280 --> 0:12:07.000
<v Speaker 1>in debt capacity because their leverage is pretty low. So

0:12:07.080 --> 0:12:09.640
<v Speaker 1>I don't think they will. In fact, they're they're buying

0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:11.840
<v Speaker 1>backs a ton of stock because they don't know what

0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:14.440
<v Speaker 1>to do with all this money. So um, I don't

0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:17.440
<v Speaker 1>think they would use stuff. This is really interesting to

0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:21.079
<v Speaker 1>me that they spent their money on actually making stuff.

0:12:21.360 --> 0:12:25.280
<v Speaker 1>Are we starting to see companies get rewarded by shareholders

0:12:25.559 --> 0:12:28.600
<v Speaker 1>for deploying their cash into R and D. Well, it's

0:12:28.600 --> 0:12:31.080
<v Speaker 1>funny because three M always gets paid for being an

0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:33.000
<v Speaker 1>R and D and I t W I mean and

0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:36.400
<v Speaker 1>paid in terms of margins outstanding margins, and there is

0:12:36.440 --> 0:12:38.520
<v Speaker 1>a payback on that. I don't think people spend enough

0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:42.400
<v Speaker 1>time noticing that, um, just across the board, but they

0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:44.839
<v Speaker 1>will notice the organic growth going up and and uh

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.200
<v Speaker 1>so I think they will. They are getting rewarded for that.

0:12:47.280 --> 0:12:49.600
<v Speaker 1>So coming. I mean, you think about your industrial coverage.

0:12:49.600 --> 0:12:52.959
<v Speaker 1>You cover these big diversified manufacturing companies. It's big agricultural

0:12:53.360 --> 0:12:55.440
<v Speaker 1>guys that making the deers this and so on and

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 1>so forth. Given that word, your ten of this cycle

0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:01.000
<v Speaker 1>where like what your day when they get orders, they

0:13:01.040 --> 0:13:03.760
<v Speaker 1>get big orders that people are buying submarines or they're

0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:07.120
<v Speaker 1>buying tractors, or they're buying you know, big stuff. Again,

0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:09.559
<v Speaker 1>ten years into the cycle, are we still seeing decent

0:13:09.600 --> 0:13:12.280
<v Speaker 1>demand globally for a lot of your industrial companies. Yeah,

0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:15.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's been a weird cycle because my cycles

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 1>are usually in industrials are usually boom bust, you know,

0:13:18.320 --> 0:13:20.160
<v Speaker 1>and we we didn't really have boom. I mean we

0:13:20.200 --> 0:13:23.040
<v Speaker 1>had in certain cyclical markets we did, you know. Um,

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:25.719
<v Speaker 1>but it's been a long cycle. But it's been sort

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 1>of moderate um growth, you know, with some blips up

0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 1>and down, but so's it's usually a ramp up and

0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:35.160
<v Speaker 1>a rampdown and so um, it's been long, but it's

0:13:35.160 --> 0:13:37.520
<v Speaker 1>more like a slow and steady rather than a real

0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:39.719
<v Speaker 1>rod bust. So I think there is going to be

0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:42.120
<v Speaker 1>slower growth, um, you know. And I think we're talking

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 1>low single digits. We're you know, we're not talking high

0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:47.760
<v Speaker 1>high um single digits as we have been looking in

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 1>overall growth for these companies. But I still think we're

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:54.400
<v Speaker 1>gonna see growth. Just lastly, here, I'm wondering who is

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:57.199
<v Speaker 1>Honeywell beating out in terms of competition. In other words,

0:13:57.400 --> 0:13:59.440
<v Speaker 1>who are they taking share away from? If this is

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:02.400
<v Speaker 1>not a story, worry just about generally strong economic growth

0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:08.240
<v Speaker 1>globally building products would be like a Johnson controls UM

0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:12.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, uh, you know Emerson to some degree. And

0:14:12.080 --> 0:14:15.240
<v Speaker 1>then in SPS it's a lot of technology companies. Um,

0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:17.280
<v Speaker 1>Dana hars a small business a compete in, but it's

0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 1>a lot of smaller technology companies actually. Karen ubal Heart,

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining us on Honey Welso

0:14:23.520 --> 0:14:26.600
<v Speaker 1>good numbers, stock trading up. Karen Uberhart, senior analyst at

0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:30.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence, covering all things industrial, all things Middle America.

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:45.240
<v Speaker 1>She joins us on Bloomberg eleven three oh Studios. Let's

0:14:45.280 --> 0:14:48.600
<v Speaker 1>bring in Jacob Frankel, who is a former federal prosecutor

0:14:48.680 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 1>with an independent Council who is familiar with writing such

0:14:51.880 --> 0:14:54.440
<v Speaker 1>reports that are delivered to Congress. He is now a

0:14:54.520 --> 0:14:58.160
<v Speaker 1>partner at Dickinson. Right, Jacob, thank you so much for

0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:00.680
<v Speaker 1>being with us. I want to start at first with

0:15:00.720 --> 0:15:04.360
<v Speaker 1>the Attorney General's press conference. What did you glean from

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:07.520
<v Speaker 1>the tone of that and sort of the nature of

0:15:07.600 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 1>how this investigation is being spun from a partisan level

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:14.160
<v Speaker 1>on both sides. I actually tried to separate out the

0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 1>partisan component of the press conference and focus on what

0:15:20.320 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 1>was the substance to what he was saying about the

0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:27.200
<v Speaker 1>process of the investigation. And I was actually somewhat refreshed

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 1>by his decision to focus on process, because the biggest

0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 1>concern in what was going to be coming out of

0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 1>this report, what would the redactions look like, was really

0:15:39.960 --> 0:15:44.200
<v Speaker 1>a focus on who ultimately was making the decisions, not

0:15:44.320 --> 0:15:47.640
<v Speaker 1>only in terms of the report itself, but what would

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:51.360
<v Speaker 1>be reported and how it would be reported. And I know,

0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:53.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, to your point about my having been part

0:15:53.880 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 1>of an independent council, you know, they're always was a

0:15:56.680 --> 0:16:00.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of deference, you know, to the career prosecutors. I

0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 1>found refreshing Attorney General Bars reference to that, specifically that

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:09.360
<v Speaker 1>it was the career prosecutors in the Department of Justice,

0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:14.320
<v Speaker 1>and that he and Rod Rosenstein disagreed with some of

0:16:14.320 --> 0:16:19.680
<v Speaker 1>the premises that were that were established by by Special

0:16:19.760 --> 0:16:23.640
<v Speaker 1>Counsel Muller and his team, but nevertheless deferred to them.

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:27.560
<v Speaker 1>So I found very helpful, you know, that reference to

0:16:27.600 --> 0:16:30.640
<v Speaker 1>the level of deference, and when I, as with all

0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:32.640
<v Speaker 1>of us were just beginning to look at the report.

0:16:33.040 --> 0:16:35.720
<v Speaker 1>When I look at the report, you know, we're really

0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about a robust narrative. Because the other point that

0:16:39.040 --> 0:16:42.120
<v Speaker 1>I was looking for was is this going to be

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 1>a spin news conference as it has been, you know,

0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 1>as was sort of projected, or was this going to

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 1>be sort of laying the groundwork for a report. Because again,

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:55.120
<v Speaker 1>what I was waiting for, which is why I have

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:57.920
<v Speaker 1>sort of yet to have been exercised by a lot

0:16:57.920 --> 0:17:01.560
<v Speaker 1>of findings, is a lot of the you know, expert

0:17:01.600 --> 0:17:05.399
<v Speaker 1>commentators have spent the last two years speculating as to

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:08.080
<v Speaker 1>what would be the evidence. Up until now, the only

0:17:08.119 --> 0:17:10.640
<v Speaker 1>evidence that I've been able to discern is what has

0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:14.320
<v Speaker 1>come out with what has actually been published in the indictments.

0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:17.119
<v Speaker 1>So now that we got a report that more robustly

0:17:17.240 --> 0:17:20.480
<v Speaker 1>talks about the findings, to me, this is really the

0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:24.720
<v Speaker 1>first opportunity to see what the evidence actually has revealed.

0:17:25.680 --> 0:17:29.680
<v Speaker 1>So Jacob special counsel Mueller h and the report suggests

0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:32.639
<v Speaker 1>that Congress could take action on at least ten instances

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:35.879
<v Speaker 1>where the President sought to interfere with the probe. What

0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:37.560
<v Speaker 1>do you think Congress will do? How aggressive do you

0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:40.120
<v Speaker 1>think they'll be that's a great question, And I think

0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:42.440
<v Speaker 1>what you're I think what we're really talking about there

0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:46.399
<v Speaker 1>is deference to the language of what is the standard

0:17:46.760 --> 0:17:50.280
<v Speaker 1>for impeachment high crimes and misdemeanors. And of course, as

0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:53.639
<v Speaker 1>we know from you know, from two years of discussion

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:56.600
<v Speaker 1>in this and and and a lot of the narrative,

0:17:56.960 --> 0:18:00.119
<v Speaker 1>the term of what he is a misdemeanor really is

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 1>somewhat unclear. And I and I interpret that to be

0:18:03.920 --> 0:18:08.399
<v Speaker 1>a you know, a reference to Congress being able to

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:13.919
<v Speaker 1>make a determination independently that even without an affirmative finding

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:18.320
<v Speaker 1>of conduct that would rise the level of criminality. That

0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:21.879
<v Speaker 1>is that they're being specific intent, which to me is

0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:24.760
<v Speaker 1>the type of issue that would actually be the determinant

0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:27.000
<v Speaker 1>if I were trying to decide whether this what or

0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:30.560
<v Speaker 1>would not be presented to a uh, you know, in

0:18:30.560 --> 0:18:34.000
<v Speaker 1>in trial indicted and to a jury. On the other hand,

0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Congress has the authority to a to apply a lesser

0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:42.960
<v Speaker 1>standard in determining what constitutes a misdemeanor. So what I

0:18:43.080 --> 0:18:45.479
<v Speaker 1>read that to mean that if Congress really wants to

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:50.880
<v Speaker 1>do so, it has the authority to begin impeachment proceedings

0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 1>based on the evidence is actually narrated in the report.

0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:58.840
<v Speaker 1>Whether it chooses to do so, that is a political decision.

0:18:59.600 --> 0:19:01.840
<v Speaker 1>That's a any big statements saying that basically they do

0:19:01.960 --> 0:19:05.320
<v Speaker 1>have enough to start impeachment, even if it isn't necessarily

0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:09.840
<v Speaker 1>a criminal act that could be prosecuted otherwise. One thing

0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:12.960
<v Speaker 1>that I'm curious about from your perspective going forward, are

0:19:13.000 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 1>we gleaning any information about the nature of what the

0:19:16.880 --> 0:19:21.520
<v Speaker 1>Muller investigation referred out to other prosecutorial offices. I think

0:19:21.600 --> 0:19:24.960
<v Speaker 1>this other district or the Eastern Eastern District. I think

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:27.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm not far enough into the report to make that determination,

0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:30.360
<v Speaker 1>but I certainly think by the nature of the redactions

0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:35.040
<v Speaker 1>and the UH and the efforts by Attorney General bar

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:39.199
<v Speaker 1>to protect UM, the you know, the referrals and the

0:19:39.240 --> 0:19:43.440
<v Speaker 1>and the content of referral related information UM, I think

0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:47.879
<v Speaker 1>we may be able to discern some of what really

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:51.360
<v Speaker 1>is the basis for the you know, for the referrals UM.

0:19:51.440 --> 0:19:54.400
<v Speaker 1>But in terms of beyond what has already been referred,

0:19:54.480 --> 0:19:56.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't know that we can. But I also think

0:19:56.760 --> 0:19:59.120
<v Speaker 1>that we have to be mindful that you know, we're taught.

0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:03.240
<v Speaker 1>Unlike the Dependent Council Statute under which I lived here.

0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Everything has been conducted within the framework of the of

0:20:07.080 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 1>the Department of Justice. So as we know from just

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:12.760
<v Speaker 1>our conversations over the years, in the context of white

0:20:12.800 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 1>collar cases, one case will spawn another. So as you know,

0:20:17.640 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>as grand juries, as prosecutors, as the FBI continue to

0:20:21.840 --> 0:20:25.960
<v Speaker 1>look at evidence and gather information and possibly additional cooperation,

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:32.080
<v Speaker 1>we can still see the spawning of further related cases. So, Jacob,

0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 1>from your perspective, your experience, are you surprised or disappointed

0:20:36.200 --> 0:20:40.560
<v Speaker 1>or dismayed that Mr Muller did not choose to appine

0:20:40.600 --> 0:20:47.119
<v Speaker 1>on the obstruction issues, I'm actually not well, you know,

0:20:47.640 --> 0:20:52.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm not surprised given that he has actually laid

0:20:52.480 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 1>out the evidence and has stated that based on the

0:20:56.359 --> 0:21:01.960
<v Speaker 1>evidence that was presented, it was sufficiently ambiguous at least

0:21:02.080 --> 0:21:06.680
<v Speaker 1>with respect to intent, to enable him to reach a conclusion,

0:21:07.240 --> 0:21:12.440
<v Speaker 1>because that is the exact type of deliberation that that

0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 1>career prosecutors and even non career prosecutors are supposed to

0:21:18.040 --> 0:21:23.440
<v Speaker 1>engage in in making in making an ultimate charging decision.

0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:27.520
<v Speaker 1>So I think by laying out the evidence and not

0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 1>expressing an opinion so as not to color or otherwise

0:21:32.440 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 1>influence the decision, that ultimately could be made by a

0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 1>charging body, which in this case would be a deference

0:21:42.400 --> 0:21:45.800
<v Speaker 1>to Congress to undertake that role if it were to

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:50.200
<v Speaker 1>choose to do so. I think he really did strike

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:55.560
<v Speaker 1>the appropriate balance based on the evidence that he had developed. Jacob,

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:58.200
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Jacob Frankel is a formal federal

0:21:58.200 --> 0:22:01.840
<v Speaker 1>prosecutor with an independent council now a partner at Dinckinson. Right,

0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 1>we're monitoring markets in one very active area has been

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:19.679
<v Speaker 1>the marijuana stocks. Pot stocks surging today after Cannopy Growth

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:23.640
<v Speaker 1>agreed to buy acreage holdings for three point four billion dollars.

0:22:23.640 --> 0:22:27.359
<v Speaker 1>This is a massive cross border cannabis deal that is

0:22:27.480 --> 0:22:31.440
<v Speaker 1>conditional on the US eventually legalizing pot for recreational use.

0:22:31.840 --> 0:22:34.000
<v Speaker 1>Joining us now to talk about this is Christine Oram.

0:22:34.119 --> 0:22:37.000
<v Speaker 1>She's a Canadian cannabis and equity reporter for US here

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:40.480
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg in Toronto. So Christine, can you just give

0:22:40.520 --> 0:22:44.000
<v Speaker 1>us a sense why is this particular deal, Canopy buying

0:22:44.160 --> 0:22:48.040
<v Speaker 1>acreage such a big deal. Well, it's the first major

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:51.160
<v Speaker 1>cross border deal the cannabis industry has seen, and it's

0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:54.480
<v Speaker 1>structured in a very complex and interesting way. So basically,

0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:57.960
<v Speaker 1>um Canopy is going to pay three hundred million dollars

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:00.800
<v Speaker 1>up front, but the remainder of the transaction, the rest

0:23:00.800 --> 0:23:04.119
<v Speaker 1>of that three point four billion dollars, won't happen until

0:23:04.600 --> 0:23:08.440
<v Speaker 1>if and when the US legalizes cannabis at the federal level.

0:23:09.040 --> 0:23:11.560
<v Speaker 1>So essentially the deal is set to expire in about

0:23:12.400 --> 0:23:15.040
<v Speaker 1>seven if that doesn't happen. So these two companies are

0:23:15.080 --> 0:23:18.359
<v Speaker 1>making a bet that sometime between now and seven UM,

0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 1>at which point we will have had another whole presidential

0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:24.359
<v Speaker 1>term and a half uh pot will be legalized, and

0:23:24.400 --> 0:23:26.919
<v Speaker 1>therefore they'll be able to truly close this transaction. But

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 1>in the meantime, they're very restricted in what they can

0:23:29.359 --> 0:23:31.800
<v Speaker 1>do because of that federal illegality. So you can kind

0:23:31.800 --> 0:23:33.879
<v Speaker 1>of see that uncertainty in the way that shares the

0:23:33.960 --> 0:23:37.720
<v Speaker 1>reaction today. Reacting today, Acreage was initially up twenty one

0:23:38.160 --> 0:23:40.879
<v Speaker 1>but now it's only up about one and a half percent,

0:23:41.000 --> 0:23:43.840
<v Speaker 1>so clearly shareholders are still trying to digest this and

0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:46.719
<v Speaker 1>figure out exactly what it means for the company. So, Christine,

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.920
<v Speaker 1>sounds kind of like a call option on buying this company,

0:23:50.080 --> 0:23:52.199
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of a multi year call option. What

0:23:52.240 --> 0:23:54.960
<v Speaker 1>are the where are we in terms of the federal

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:58.679
<v Speaker 1>legalization process in the United States for marijuana, Well, there

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.240
<v Speaker 1>are a lot of bills that are currently working their

0:24:01.280 --> 0:24:05.800
<v Speaker 1>way through various congressional committees. Um, there's the two main

0:24:05.840 --> 0:24:08.840
<v Speaker 1>ones being the Safe Banking Act, which would essentially open

0:24:08.960 --> 0:24:14.320
<v Speaker 1>up banking to cannabis companies across the US. Currently, very

0:24:14.359 --> 0:24:17.439
<v Speaker 1>few banks will work with these companies because they're worried

0:24:17.480 --> 0:24:20.680
<v Speaker 1>that they could get into trouble around money laundering or

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:23.040
<v Speaker 1>other federal issues, and so many of them have to

0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:25.520
<v Speaker 1>pay their employees and their taxes in cash, which has

0:24:25.560 --> 0:24:28.400
<v Speaker 1>been a very awkward and kind of semi dangerous proposition

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 1>for some of them. So that's the one, and the

0:24:29.840 --> 0:24:32.440
<v Speaker 1>other is the States Act, which would have been essentially

0:24:32.480 --> 0:24:36.520
<v Speaker 1>say that if the federal government will take a hands

0:24:36.520 --> 0:24:39.400
<v Speaker 1>off approach and let the states make their own decisions

0:24:39.400 --> 0:24:42.640
<v Speaker 1>on legalization. So but essentially if that happens, most people

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 1>say that's equivalent to federal legalization, and that would probably

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:48.600
<v Speaker 1>be enough to get this deal done. The House seems

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:51.480
<v Speaker 1>very open to working on and passing these deals. I

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 1>think the more difficult proposition will be getting them through

0:24:53.520 --> 0:24:56.840
<v Speaker 1>the Senate. Well, this is really interesting that this deal

0:24:56.960 --> 0:25:00.760
<v Speaker 1>is conditional on the legalization of farrijuana because Acreage specializes

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:04.040
<v Speaker 1>in medical marijuana use right, which has been more widely

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:08.440
<v Speaker 1>legalized throughout the States. So I'm wondering what this says

0:25:08.480 --> 0:25:12.600
<v Speaker 1>about the business prospects of companies that specialize in medical

0:25:12.840 --> 0:25:18.560
<v Speaker 1>marijuana use. Is their future really conditional unrecreational use? Well,

0:25:18.600 --> 0:25:21.399
<v Speaker 1>I think, I mean there's an assumption that medical uses

0:25:21.520 --> 0:25:24.720
<v Speaker 1>more politically palatable, and you see that with Acreage. I

0:25:24.760 --> 0:25:27.720
<v Speaker 1>mean it has former U. S. House Speaker John Bayner

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:30.840
<v Speaker 1>on its board. It has former Canadian Prime Minister Brian

0:25:30.920 --> 0:25:33.640
<v Speaker 1>Ulrooney on its board. So these are political heavyweights who

0:25:33.680 --> 0:25:36.440
<v Speaker 1>have a lot of contacts and cloud on both sides

0:25:36.480 --> 0:25:39.640
<v Speaker 1>of the border. Um. And clearly they wouldn't be on

0:25:39.680 --> 0:25:43.080
<v Speaker 1>this company's board if they didn't see real prospects for legalization.

0:25:43.160 --> 0:25:45.480
<v Speaker 1>And they have both come out. These are two people

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:47.720
<v Speaker 1>who were pretty opposed to the idea of legalization in

0:25:47.760 --> 0:25:49.840
<v Speaker 1>the past, and they've come out and said what they're

0:25:49.880 --> 0:25:53.359
<v Speaker 1>really um, the reason they support Acreage and what they

0:25:53.520 --> 0:25:56.280
<v Speaker 1>can really get behind is the idea of medical use

0:25:56.440 --> 0:25:59.160
<v Speaker 1>for you know, people like veterans who are struggled stuggling

0:25:59.200 --> 0:26:01.560
<v Speaker 1>with PTSD for examples. So the fact that you have

0:26:01.960 --> 0:26:04.560
<v Speaker 1>people of that caliber getting behind this, people who used

0:26:04.600 --> 0:26:07.120
<v Speaker 1>to be a post legalization does indicate that I think

0:26:07.119 --> 0:26:11.040
<v Speaker 1>there's there's a real prospect for medical approval, probably before

0:26:11.560 --> 0:26:14.600
<v Speaker 1>recreational approval at the federal level. So, Christie, what's been

0:26:14.640 --> 0:26:16.439
<v Speaker 1>some of the early feedback from some of the states

0:26:16.440 --> 0:26:20.439
<v Speaker 1>that have legalized marijuana. I'm thinking Colorado for example. Is

0:26:20.440 --> 0:26:23.879
<v Speaker 1>it they seen a big pickup in demand in sales

0:26:23.960 --> 0:26:29.760
<v Speaker 1>and usage? Uh? Definitely over time in demand in sales. Um.

0:26:29.920 --> 0:26:33.160
<v Speaker 1>Canada is in the very early days of legalization up here.

0:26:33.200 --> 0:26:36.240
<v Speaker 1>We just legalized in October, and all of the states

0:26:36.240 --> 0:26:38.440
<v Speaker 1>that have legalized in Canada as well have gone through

0:26:38.680 --> 0:26:42.360
<v Speaker 1>initial supply shortages. It's like the companies haven't been able

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:44.399
<v Speaker 1>to produce enough to to keep up with demand and

0:26:44.440 --> 0:26:46.239
<v Speaker 1>didn't really know what demand was going to look like.

0:26:46.320 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>So once those supply shortages get worked out, which usually

0:26:49.520 --> 0:26:51.880
<v Speaker 1>takes a year or two at the state level, that's

0:26:51.880 --> 0:26:54.280
<v Speaker 1>what we've seen. Uh, then they hit sort of a

0:26:54.280 --> 0:26:58.159
<v Speaker 1>steady state, uh set of demand where essentially, you know,

0:26:58.200 --> 0:27:00.600
<v Speaker 1>there's still some people using the black mark it and

0:27:00.680 --> 0:27:03.080
<v Speaker 1>for the most part, from from what I've read, it's

0:27:03.119 --> 0:27:06.919
<v Speaker 1>people who were previously using black market sources who have

0:27:06.920 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 1>converted to the legal market, not necessarily getting a lot

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:11.560
<v Speaker 1>of new users in UM, but we'll see if that

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:13.919
<v Speaker 1>changes in Canada over time as we get more supply

0:27:14.359 --> 0:27:17.600
<v Speaker 1>in stores. We're currently speaking with Christina Orum, she's Canadian

0:27:17.640 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 1>cannabis and equity reporter for Bloomberg, and we are awaiting

0:27:20.560 --> 0:27:23.159
<v Speaker 1>comments from President Trump, who will be speaking at a

0:27:23.160 --> 0:27:27.439
<v Speaker 1>Wounded Warrior project. It will be his first comments publicly

0:27:27.720 --> 0:27:31.480
<v Speaker 1>made after the Molo report press conference, at least by

0:27:31.560 --> 0:27:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Attorney General. The Attorney General. So, Christine, I want to

0:27:35.280 --> 0:27:38.680
<v Speaker 1>get your sense of what the business case is for

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:42.560
<v Speaker 1>a big merger for consolidation in marijuana firms, right, I mean,

0:27:42.720 --> 0:27:45.880
<v Speaker 1>my my question is, is the big concern that now

0:27:46.000 --> 0:27:48.920
<v Speaker 1>Tria Group or Philip Morris is going to get into

0:27:48.920 --> 0:27:51.920
<v Speaker 1>the business and just absolutely dominate because they already have

0:27:52.000 --> 0:27:54.679
<v Speaker 1>the distribution networks. Yeah, that's a really good question me.

0:27:54.680 --> 0:27:57.399
<v Speaker 1>Cannopy is an interesting illustration because they currently have a

0:27:57.480 --> 0:28:00.720
<v Speaker 1>major investment from Constellation Brands, the alcohol company that makes

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:04.720
<v Speaker 1>Corona and Modelo beer UM and they're also now pursuing

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:08.120
<v Speaker 1>this cross border transaction. So it indicates that I think

0:28:08.160 --> 0:28:11.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these really large Canadian based cannabis companies

0:28:11.359 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 1>and can and Cannopy is the biggest cannabis company in

0:28:13.840 --> 0:28:16.639
<v Speaker 1>the world, with a market value about twenty billion dollars

0:28:16.720 --> 0:28:19.439
<v Speaker 1>or close to it now. Um, you know, I see

0:28:19.560 --> 0:28:21.760
<v Speaker 1>that they have to be in the US in the

0:28:21.800 --> 0:28:25.600
<v Speaker 1>future to really dominate globally. I mean, Canopy has isn't

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:30.360
<v Speaker 1>just in Canada, has operations in Europe, Latin America. Um,

0:28:30.400 --> 0:28:33.040
<v Speaker 1>They're really they become a truly international company. But without

0:28:33.040 --> 0:28:37.080
<v Speaker 1>that American present, it's very difficult to to generate, uh,

0:28:37.119 --> 0:28:40.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, real brand revenue in those margins that come

0:28:40.600 --> 0:28:42.720
<v Speaker 1>from the U S consumer market. And so that's the

0:28:42.760 --> 0:28:45.200
<v Speaker 1>case for the cross border transactions. We haven't seen many

0:28:45.200 --> 0:28:48.080
<v Speaker 1>of them because the federal illegality, but I suspect this

0:28:48.120 --> 0:28:51.240
<v Speaker 1>will kind of form the the impetus and the structure

0:28:51.280 --> 0:28:54.040
<v Speaker 1>that others can follow to do other similar deals in

0:28:54.040 --> 0:28:56.040
<v Speaker 1>the future. Christine or Um, thank you so much for

0:28:56.080 --> 0:29:00.200
<v Speaker 1>your time. Christine or Um covers then Canadian cannabis an

0:29:00.200 --> 0:29:06.160
<v Speaker 1>equity business for us here at Bloomberg. Thanks for listening

0:29:06.160 --> 0:29:08.560
<v Speaker 1>to the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe

0:29:08.560 --> 0:29:11.400
<v Speaker 1>and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts. Or whatever podcast

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<v Speaker 1>platform you prefer. I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at

0:29:14.160 --> 0:29:16.840
<v Speaker 1>pt Sweeney. I'm Lisa abram Woyit's I'm on Twitter at

0:29:16.880 --> 0:29:19.680
<v Speaker 1>Lisa abram Woits one before the podcast. You can always

0:29:19.680 --> 0:29:21.760
<v Speaker 1>catch us worldwide. I'm Bloomberg Radio