Speaker 1: Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins.
Speaker 2: Now let me check your pulse if you're not far though.
Speaker 2: What is up? Dolphins?
Speaker 1: And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins podcast network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 1: How's it going everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield,
Speaker 1: and on today's show, a.
Speaker 2: Little bit over it now, still not all the way.
Speaker 1: But it is time to turn the page and go
Speaker 1: win a football game. Quit crying quick complaining on Twitter.
Speaker 1: Let's go beat the New York Jets. They come to
Speaker 1: town on Sunday. Sweep opportunity, a chance to go to
Speaker 1: four and one in the division. The film has been grinded, grounded,
Speaker 1: ground the key matchups, the keys to victory, all of
Speaker 1: that and more. Let's go ahead and get into this.
Speaker 1: From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 1: This is.
Speaker 2: The Draft Time Podcast. Maggie jaffeir.
Speaker 1: Real Quick Hard Knocks recap hated the episode. I mean
Speaker 1: two out of four now have been terrible for different reasons.
Speaker 1: Why JP's injury was not fun and then watching the
Speaker 1: way that game ended, I still thought, even watching Hard
Speaker 1: Knocks knowing the result, I still thought like, oh, twenty
Speaker 1: seven thirteen, they got this in the bag, just like
Speaker 1: me walking across the concourse down to the fort where
Speaker 1: we do our radio show after the game ends with
Speaker 1: the twenty seven thirteen league thinking like cool, we are
Speaker 1: ten and three.
Speaker 2: This is awesome.
Speaker 1: And then we had to go watch the game on
Speaker 1: the JumboTron and it was a miserable, miserable experience. Speaking
Speaker 1: of miserable, it's supposed to rain here all week, I
Speaker 1: will say the hard knocks part that I liked the
Speaker 1: best was the way the team responded and head coach
Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel's message to the team about like home games,
Speaker 1: road games in the playoffs, none of that shit matters.
Speaker 2: We don't if you play like this.
Speaker 1: So let's get that stuff corrected and get onto the
Speaker 1: next So, speaking of miserableness, the weather this week and
Speaker 1: a rain all day long, and Sunday is forecasted for
Speaker 1: an eighty percent chance of rains. We might get a wet,
Speaker 1: sloppy field game. We shall see. Well, yeah, we'll see.
Speaker 2: How that plays out.
Speaker 1: Because, as you know, or maybe you don't know, the
Speaker 1: weather down here can change in a flash, and that
Speaker 1: tends to happen a lot, like I was preparing a
Speaker 1: golf weekend, you know, back in when it was the summer,
Speaker 1: and like all week it was like in a rain
Speaker 1: on Saturday, and then sure enough on Friday, the rain
Speaker 1: pushed back one day and Saturday was a perfect day.
Speaker 2: So you just never know.
Speaker 1: Anyway, I think we shortened the Jets Intro here and
Speaker 1: spare you the second rundown of Jets futility in the
Speaker 1: last four weeks, as we covered this before Thanksgiving, just
Speaker 1: because of the proxy me that last game, right, So
Speaker 1: now we break down the film, we'll go longer on
Speaker 1: that since I think that's actually a pretty substantial change
Speaker 1: from the Black Friday game. But with that in mind,
Speaker 1: let's go ahead and do an abbreviated version of the
Speaker 1: Jets intro here with the bullet points. So they bottomed
Speaker 1: out in twenty twenty, right, Joe Douglas, the second year
Speaker 1: with the club there won their first two games of
Speaker 1: the season in Week fifteen and Week sixteen to lose
Speaker 1: out on the Trevor Lawren sweepstakes. They hire Robert Sala
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one reboot the program with immense draft capital,
Speaker 1: peaking in twenty twenty two with Sauce Gardner, Garrett Wilson,
Speaker 1: Jermaine Johnson, Bryce Hall hit the ball out of the
Speaker 1: park with that draft class, brought in Aaron Rodgers and
Speaker 1: a whole bunch of his buddies to coach and play
Speaker 1: on the team. He gets hurt on the four snap
Speaker 1: of the season, and it's right back to Zach Wilson.
Speaker 1: Offense hit an all time low in terms of futility
Speaker 1: with third downs and touchdowns produced. I think they've since
Speaker 1: gotten out of the bottom of that category with their
Speaker 1: best third down performance of the season against the Texans
Speaker 1: on Sunday, went to Tim Boyle and we smoked him,
Speaker 1: and then he got smoked by the Atlanta Falcons, and
Speaker 1: now he's out of the NFL, which is where he
Speaker 1: should have been. Right thirteen to eight in that Atlanta game,
Speaker 1: and started much of the same for them in the
Speaker 1: Houston game. The immaculate half, the reverse immaculate half, in fact,
Speaker 1: swapped eleven consecutive punts with the Houston Texans. So don't
Speaker 1: come into this game thinking the Jets all of a
Speaker 1: sudden have this offensive firepower. In fact, I saw a
Speaker 1: tweet from a guy who I really respects. Not going
Speaker 1: to put his name on here, but a Fantasy football
Speaker 1: national guy who said, like, the Dolphins very conceivably could
Speaker 1: lose the next four games. What like, there's a chance
Speaker 1: they lose to the Jets, no doubt about it, right, Like,
Speaker 1: there's a chance.
Speaker 2: There's always a chance in this league.
Speaker 1: But they're nine point favorites and Zach Wilson still their quarterback,
Speaker 1: and they still have just as many injuries as we do, Like,
Speaker 1: what are you talking about?
Speaker 2: Knock that stuff off.
Speaker 1: If this Dolphins team is who you think they are
Speaker 1: who I thought they were, Danny Green, then this game
Speaker 1: shouldn't be an issue. It's gonna tell you a lot
Speaker 1: about the Dolphins team, I think. But either way saying
Speaker 1: this is like a maybe a loss, like maybe it is,
Speaker 1: but to put it in the category of the Dallas
Speaker 1: Baltimore and Buffalo game, get all the way the hell
Speaker 1: out of here with that nonsense. So five consecutive punts
Speaker 1: will start their game, But then they had touchdown drives
Speaker 1: of seventy five, sixty nine, and seventy five, And actually
Speaker 1: that's quite a few first time since categories from them
Speaker 1: on offense, Like all those long drives scoring thirty in
Speaker 1: a game thirty and a half. So it'll be Zach
Speaker 1: Wilson at the controls for the New York Jets on
Speaker 1: Sunday when they come to town. Who are the Jets
Speaker 1: right now? Is my first storyline to look at here.
Speaker 2: It's always about when.
Speaker 1: You play teams, right, not who you play, but when
Speaker 1: you play them. I think we got them at their
Speaker 1: lowest point of twenty twenty three and we beat the
Speaker 1: crap out of them twenty one point win up in
Speaker 1: the Metal Lands. Now, this might be the best version
Speaker 1: of themselves. How do they respond to having some success?
Speaker 1: You know, Zach Wilson occasionally in the past has had
Speaker 1: I don't want to say games because he's never had
Speaker 1: like a good game before.
Speaker 2: He's had good drives.
Speaker 1: That Casey game, he had like two drives where I'm.
Speaker 2: Like, oh, he sees the field, what happened? How did
Speaker 2: that change? He's had good quarters.
Speaker 1: He had a good half against the Houston Texas on
Speaker 1: a good game, he had a good half, but ultimately
Speaker 1: that good performance in the second half did make it
Speaker 1: on balance a good game. In fact, AFC Player of
Speaker 1: the Week for him. So he figured something out there
Speaker 1: for a little bit, but there's never been an encore.
Speaker 2: Can he do that? Can we prevent that?
Speaker 1: We should find out at five and eight is their
Speaker 1: mindset we can win out and have a shot here,
Speaker 1: or is it let's evaluate for next year. Either way,
Speaker 1: I think you get a loose team that's gonna go
Speaker 1: for fourth downs. I think you're gonna see some trick plays.
Speaker 1: They might, you know, get some razzle dazzle going. But
Speaker 1: they finally scored some drives from their own side of
Speaker 1: the field, your own side of the fifty. And they
Speaker 1: also went for a fourth down on their own side
Speaker 1: of the field against Houston first time all year long,
Speaker 1: sans do or die spots. So all that stuff on
Speaker 1: the table. Another storyline here. Can Miami continue their dominance
Speaker 1: against Little bro because Tua is three to zero in
Speaker 1: his career starting against the Jets. We scored the second
Speaker 1: most points of the season on them on Black Friday,
Speaker 1: had the most yards against them of anybody else, had
Speaker 1: the most rushing yard sorry, second most yards most rushing yards,
Speaker 1: and second most passing yards on a game in a
Speaker 1: game against that team the first time around. In general,
Speaker 1: we've beaten them seven out of the last eight and
Speaker 1: if not for a really really bad defensive pass interference
Speaker 1: call back in twenty nineteen which helped us get Tuas,
Speaker 1: So thank you for that. But if not for that,
Speaker 1: it would be nine of the last ten against the Jets.
Speaker 1: Still eight of the last ten, but the trap game, right,
Speaker 1: that's my final storyline bullet point here. I think the
Speaker 1: most impressive thing about this Dolphins team has been their
Speaker 1: ability to take coach McDaniel's ideals and put them into practice. Again,
Speaker 1: not about who you play, it's about your own progress
Speaker 1: and taking care of your own stuff. We're on a
Speaker 1: short week and they're coming off extra rest compared to us.
Speaker 1: That matters, especially when you're banged up the game before
Speaker 1: the Gauntlet. Right. This goes back to the first bullet point.
Speaker 1: But Dallas and Baltimore coming up with Buffalo after that,
Speaker 1: I'd say combined record of twenty and six the next
Speaker 1: two games with a twenty seven and twelve record over
Speaker 1: the next three games if you include Buffalo. So do
Speaker 1: not look these overlook these five and eight Jets. This
Speaker 1: is a must win football game, guys. We cannot go
Speaker 1: to nine to five and go into that Gauntlet with
Speaker 1: two straight losses and all the pressure of the world.
Speaker 1: You have to beat the Jets, get to ten and four,
Speaker 1: get yourself into this, locked into the second seed, heading
Speaker 1: into the scoutletd of games, and put yourself in position
Speaker 1: to win a couple of big football games and be
Speaker 1: right back where you were before the meltdown against the
Speaker 1: Titans on Monday night. Let's go ahead and kick off
Speaker 1: the Dolphins offense versus the Jets defense segment here and
Speaker 1: again you know the personnel here. They're gonna have Jordan
Speaker 1: white Head back there. He plays every snap, and Tony Adams,
Speaker 1: who did not play the first time around, will return
Speaker 1: for this game after an injury he suffered in the
Speaker 1: game prior to the Black Friday game.
Speaker 2: He's back on the field.
Speaker 1: They're corners. They're gonna get help back there as well.
Speaker 1: Sauce Gardner and DJ Reid play almost every snap. But
Speaker 1: you have Michael Carter, their slot corner who was back
Speaker 1: in the lineup, and actually Brandon Eckles, his replacement, had
Speaker 1: to pick six. You we'll give and take there. So
Speaker 1: those are the guys that will deal with Barrios and
Speaker 1: Smyth on the interior. Obviously, the premier match upon the
Speaker 1: pimeter there with Tyreek waddle against Sauce and Red. But
Speaker 1: as far as their defensive line, Quinn Williams plays about
Speaker 1: seventy percent of the snaps. John frankly Meyer is about
Speaker 1: sixty percent. Quentin Jefferson's back, he didn't play the last
Speaker 1: time around. He plays about fifty percent as well, and
Speaker 1: then Solomon Thomas. It's just a big, hulking, long, physical,
Speaker 1: wants to beat you up type of offensive line. The
Speaker 1: Titans where the saint or defensive line should say, Titans
Speaker 1: were the same way. So you kind of had a
Speaker 1: glimpse at this last couple of weeks, really going back
Speaker 1: to the Washington game, the Jets game previously to that
Speaker 1: as well. Off the edge, Jermaine Johnson is a sixty
Speaker 1: five percent snap taker. He's had a really nice second
Speaker 1: year there for them. Bryce Huff I think is their
Speaker 1: best pass rusher. He only plays about half the snaps,
Speaker 1: although that has increased substantially over the last month or so.
Speaker 1: Quinton Jefferson is back. I mentioned that already Michael Clements
Speaker 1: a thirty three percent player off the edge, and then
Speaker 1: the linebackers are it might be the best due in
Speaker 1: the NFL with CJ. Mosley and Quincy Williams. Robert salag
Speaker 1: gave as an injury update earlier in the week, and
Speaker 1: so that John Franklin Myers and Jordan Whitehead got Nixon
Speaker 1: bruises but should be good to go for the game.
Speaker 2: So there you go. That's the personnel group. There are three.
Speaker 1: Their defense starts twelve percent of the time in their
Speaker 1: base package seven percent, thirty four, five percent forty three.
Speaker 1: So there's some variation there, but primarily Nickel eighty five
Speaker 1: percent of the time. I mean, they just it's their
Speaker 1: best position with those top three guys, and I think
Speaker 1: it's probably number one, number two in the NFL, right
Speaker 1: behind Ramsey X and co Hooper possibly, but they play
Speaker 1: that package eighty five percent, so you can kind of
Speaker 1: dictate the terms there. That's why I think we run
Speaker 1: the ball so well off the perimeter with alec Ingold
Speaker 1: and Raheem Moster, and now we get devon a chan
Speaker 1: against this team as well, against a team that hasn't
Speaker 1: defended the perimeter in the running game that well, because well,
Speaker 1: those cornerbacks, as good as they are, not much tackling
Speaker 1: going on there. So the scheme is a lot like
Speaker 1: what you get in San Francisco right where Robert Salah
Speaker 1: cut his teeth as a defensive coordinator. It's hair on
Speaker 1: fire from your front, one gap, get up field, disrupt.
Speaker 1: It's tight physical coverage on the perimeter and a two
Speaker 1: tones setting. Very fluid off linebackers. They'll stay in too
Speaker 1: high in some passing situations, but they want to play
Speaker 1: in that and will adjust if they have to. And
Speaker 1: that's why I think it's important that Miami makes them
Speaker 1: do that. I think this is the most important defense
Speaker 1: to get the perimeter run game going against. Make those
Speaker 1: corners come up and tackle, make that one gap rush hesitate.
Speaker 1: We have done a good job of neutralizing defensive fronts
Speaker 1: really all year except for three games, and those were
Speaker 1: games that Connor Williams didn't finish the game. And so
Speaker 1: you're gonna have to find a way to make that happen,
Speaker 1: especially with an offensive line right now for Miami that
Speaker 1: is not healthy at all. I don't know what's going
Speaker 1: to look like on Sunday, but you're gonna be down
Speaker 1: several guys again, so a big challenge there. But if
Speaker 1: you can do that, you'll have success. So if you
Speaker 1: can do that, and Miami has done that, so well
Speaker 1: this year, make those cornerbacks tackle, make that one gap rush, hesitate.
Speaker 1: If you can do those things, you'll have success. And
Speaker 1: I think you know that perimative run game going. You
Speaker 1: get the horizontal stretch and then all those speedy receivers
Speaker 1: you have can get into those soft spots of their
Speaker 1: zone coverages and they run them or beat them vertically
Speaker 1: when they do go man, but you know, make them
Speaker 1: make quick decisions with a pass rush that has been
Speaker 1: held at Bay a little bit here. When you can
Speaker 1: operate from that type of offensive structure we saw in
Speaker 1: that first matchup, and then when it was go time,
Speaker 1: third down press man, we won the big verticals down
Speaker 1: the field, right, big shots to Tyree, big shots, the
Speaker 1: Jalen that sparked scoring drives. Well, the first one is
Speaker 1: a turnover on downs inside the five yard line. What
Speaker 1: we scored after that, so it kind of setch up
Speaker 1: for a big play, setch up for a big offensive
Speaker 1: response there and then a field goal drive after the
Speaker 1: Wattle big shot. But you get what I'm talking about here,
Speaker 1: Like field flipping plays that typically produce points right, you
Speaker 1: can hit those against this defense if you get yourself
Speaker 1: into third and short situations and I mentioned in the
Speaker 1: last POB I couldn't wait for the matchup on the perimeter,
Speaker 1: and then we had some vertical shots against them. Last
Speaker 1: year we just didn't hit, but that was without QB
Speaker 1: one and it hit this time with QB one in
Speaker 1: the lineup. So the Jets will play about seventy thirty
Speaker 1: split there in terms of zone versus man, but I
Speaker 1: imagine that will go more towards zone in this game.
Speaker 1: I mean, they tried it and they got beat first.
Speaker 1: You know, seventy yards on two pass plays in those
Speaker 1: man coverage reps, but it is a top ten man rate.
Speaker 1: Everybody plays a lot of own these days. I think
Speaker 1: the Jets will want to generate pressure with four and
Speaker 1: get their backers into the hook zones and the curl
Speaker 1: flats and make Miami throw the ball wide. So again,
Speaker 1: attacking the edge is not just a run game focal
Speaker 1: point this week. It's a passing game idea too. And
Speaker 1: nobody reads quarterbacks eyes in the hook and plays those
Speaker 1: little hookup throws and seams and quick pops like CJ.
Speaker 1: Moseley and Quincy Williams. So Tua has to be on
Speaker 1: his stuff in this game and play a smart, safe
Speaker 1: football game. We went over their ability to win inside.
Speaker 1: But how can you get the ball on the perimeter
Speaker 1: of the running game right? And we did that in
Speaker 1: the first game. Round thirty six yards running off left end,
Speaker 1: thirty eight yards running off right end. And this is
Speaker 1: classify as a B gap run, but really it's stretch
Speaker 1: and bang, which means stretch that thing out, see that
Speaker 1: B gap and hit it up in there. So really
Speaker 1: it's a wide run. But you don't run off tackle.
Speaker 1: You run off the inside of the tackle. But we
Speaker 1: got five of those runs in the B gaps for
Speaker 1: a total of fifty one yards. That's one hundred and
Speaker 1: twenty five yards running out wide on twenty three rush attempts.
Speaker 2: That's the game.
Speaker 1: If you do that, it'll help to be the sharpest
Speaker 1: version of himself. Prior to those interceptions he had in
Speaker 1: that game, he was sharp. But you need that again
Speaker 1: to go out win this football game. Now, how do
Speaker 1: the Jets wreck this game from their perspective. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and take our first break and comeback on the
Speaker 1: other side and.
Speaker 2: Tell you how they do that.
Speaker 1: We'll also talk about the Dolphins defense versus Jets offense.
Speaker 1: All that next draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield,
Speaker 1: brought to you by Auto Nation. So I mentioned how
Speaker 1: can the Jets wreck the game for the Dolphins here
Speaker 1: on the Dolphins and Jets Preview edition of the Draft
Speaker 1: Time Podcast, the same way they did it against Houston. Right,
Speaker 1: the Texans were down four offensive line starters. Sound familiar.
Speaker 1: They pressured C. J. Stroud twenty times. And that's what
Speaker 1: you need to find a way to avoid. And that
Speaker 1: goes back to the perimeter running game, the screen game,
Speaker 1: the quick game, and when they stink that hat down
Speaker 1: in the box taking and hitting your vertical shots. You
Speaker 1: guys know the blue plant. We've seen this this month,
Speaker 1: within the last month, like you get it. We saw
Speaker 1: this just four games ago. And that also includes the
Speaker 1: perimeter passing game down the field. We saw Tyreek hit
Speaker 1: that corner route to start the game against the Titans,
Speaker 1: then the far hash forty yard laser from Tua in
Speaker 1: the second half to I thought we missed some quick
Speaker 1: hitters on slot outs and when teams span middle of
Speaker 1: the field, those can be easy pickings to get you
Speaker 1: going on a drive, convert on third, what have you.
Speaker 1: But also when you're late on them, that's how you
Speaker 1: get a Brandon Eckles pick six too, right, So it
Speaker 1: kind of plays off each other. But it's all about
Speaker 1: the overplay. What do they take away. We have to
Speaker 1: be an offense that can take what they give and
Speaker 1: exploit what they allow. I thought the Jets game was
Speaker 1: one of the best examples of that this entire season.
Speaker 1: And I like our chances against this defense more than
Speaker 1: Tennessee is because I thought Tennessee's game plan and being
Speaker 1: fluid to be able to change the picture pre and
Speaker 1: post snap was so critical to Tua playing one of
Speaker 1: his worst fourth quarters of his entire career, in my opinion,
Speaker 1: and that's not what the Jets do. So I think
Speaker 1: it's a better matchup for Miami in terms of just
Speaker 1: how you singularly match up in each position here against
Speaker 1: this group. So Bryce huff top pass prusher off the edge.
Speaker 1: He is so good he flips sides and plays both.
Speaker 1: I thought he gave Austin Jackson as many problems as
Speaker 1: anybody has this year, and that's more of a compliment
Speaker 1: because almost nobody has given Austin Jackson problems. But hopefully
Speaker 1: we get Toron Armstead back. But I don't know what's
Speaker 1: gonna look like otherwise like who plays where? Who knows? Man,
Speaker 1: Quinn Williams, John Frankly Myers their size, length, big dudes,
Speaker 1: and then Quincy Williams and CJ. Mosley speeding instincts. They
Speaker 1: are so stout up the middle, and again it's why
Speaker 1: you have to win off the edge against this defense.
Speaker 1: Hopefully Liam's good to go in the pivot.
Speaker 2: We'll see.
Speaker 1: We already know it's probably at least another week until
Speaker 1: we see Robert Hunt, so it could be Cotton at center.
Speaker 1: Maybe Rob Jones, does Kendall Lamb kick inside. I don't know, Man,
Speaker 1: we'll see. McDaniel mentioned that Lamb was cross rating back
Speaker 1: in training camp, right, So I'm just opening here because
Speaker 1: of the hell situation up front. It is a tough
Speaker 1: defensive front to be short against. I think the real
Speaker 1: key in the game was obviously the run game, but
Speaker 1: also how sharp you were on third downs, and that's
Speaker 1: contributed to the running game as well. But eleven for sixteen,
Speaker 1: that's the winning formula. Get your explosives when they present them,
Speaker 1: but maintain a high success rate, stay in third, manageable,
Speaker 1: and drive the field.
Speaker 2: I am really curious to see.
Speaker 1: How they attack us I'm inclined to think they would
Speaker 1: adjust and sneak some help down off the edge and
Speaker 1: try to change those pictures pre and posting at But
Speaker 1: I think this is a team that believes, like we
Speaker 1: are so good at what we do that you have
Speaker 1: to beat us doing what we do best. And Miami's like, Bett,
Speaker 1: we scored thirty four points last time on y'all that said,
Speaker 1: you know again, Houston, everyone's bullsh in the Jets team
Speaker 1: after last week. But that Texans team was down four
Speaker 1: offensive linemen. Tank Dell receiver one, was lost for the
Speaker 1: year of the game prior Nico Collins left the game
Speaker 1: in the first quarter. He is their second receiver. Number two,
Speaker 1: Noah Brown was in and out of the game with
Speaker 1: an injury. So think of our offensive lineman being down
Speaker 1: the way it is right now without Tyreek, without Waddle
Speaker 1: and Cedric Wilson, your number one receiver in and out
Speaker 1: of the game. Like, let's hold off on crying the
Speaker 1: Jet the five and eight Jets.
Speaker 2: Okay.
Speaker 1: Oh, and by the way, c J. Stroud missed most
Speaker 1: of the second half, so call it your backup quarterback too. Actually,
Speaker 1: you know what, I've just convinced myself that we will
Speaker 1: do the same stuff because the Jets had or they will,
Speaker 1: I should say, because the Jets had a ton of
Speaker 1: success against a Houston offense. It's very similar to what
Speaker 1: we run. So strap up for the same game plan.
Speaker 1: Take from that tape against the text and see why
Speaker 1: they were not successful. And in that game they would,
Speaker 1: you know, keep a back end for help and pass protection,
Speaker 1: then release into the flats and got some pretty good
Speaker 1: yards that way. So I'm looking at this tape compared
Speaker 1: to how the Dolphins excel. I think it's Devon Hchan's
Speaker 1: time to have one of his monster games. I mean
Speaker 1: the Washington game, a couple of touchdowns, like one hundred
Speaker 1: and something yards.
Speaker 2: That's good, very good.
Speaker 1: Titans game not as much, had some nice plays, but
Speaker 1: not as much yardage. I'm talking like Giants game, Devon
Speaker 1: Hchan or Buffalo or Denver game, like those games where
Speaker 1: he went off in those ones. That's what I'm looking for.
Speaker 1: In fact, my lock of the week. Do I do
Speaker 1: a lock of the week. I don't think I do,
Speaker 1: but I make my bold predictions. My prediction this week
Speaker 1: is I'm gonna call it a buck fitty yards from
Speaker 1: scrimmage for Devon Achan and we need it. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and pivot to those side of the football here,
Speaker 1: Dolphins defense versus this Jets offense. What's new with this
Speaker 1: Jets offense and why was it so much better in
Speaker 1: the game against the Texans? Well, because they got many,
Speaker 1: many opportunities. I mean, you can't punt the ball back
Speaker 1: to the same offense for an entire game, expect to
Speaker 1: not have any points unless you're down for offensive lineman,
Speaker 1: starting quarterback, your top two receivers like the Texans were
Speaker 1: for them, though, Zach Wilson back in the lineup. Their
Speaker 1: top receivers. Garrett Wilson really the only guy that I
Speaker 1: think challenges you in a lot of ways. Alan Lazard's
Speaker 1: been running around some routes out there this year. Randall
Speaker 1: Cobb has done a little bit of that, but mostly
Speaker 1: been inactive for games.
Speaker 2: And their slot.
Speaker 1: They like this rookie Xavier Gibbs, and he's kind of
Speaker 1: a jet sweep, kind of like screen punt return type
Speaker 1: of guy. Tyler Conklin and Jeremy Rucker, the two tight
Speaker 1: ends had big games on Sunday. They want to throw
Speaker 1: these vertical balls up the seam, and I think Zach
Speaker 1: was sharp with those in the game, but I don't
Speaker 1: think it's consistent for him to where like if he
Speaker 1: wants to challenge those tight windows and put the ball
Speaker 1: in those tight spots, he's going to get he's gonna
Speaker 1: get picked off. So like, if he does that stuff again,
Speaker 1: I think Miami's defense is going to be able to
Speaker 1: react a lot better than a Houston defense that is
Speaker 1: well coached but just doesn't have the guns right now.
Speaker 1: On their offensive line much healthier Lake and Tomlinson is
Speaker 1: their left guard, Joe Tipman in the center is a rookie,
Speaker 1: and their right guard will be I gotta change some
Speaker 1: of my notes here. It's actually going to be Jake
Speaker 1: Hanson for them at the right guard position. Off the
Speaker 1: tackle spot. Makai Becton's back. He didn't play in the
Speaker 1: game against US the first time around. He's a stout,
Speaker 1: big tackle that can really kind of, you know, dent
Speaker 1: the edge in the running game. Max Mitchell's the right
Speaker 1: tackle and running backs Breeze Hall is about a half
Speaker 1: snap taker fifty five percent. Dalvin Cook played about twenty
Speaker 1: percent of the snaps, and they want to get Izzy
Speaker 1: Aba Konda more reps, but that doesn't really happened yet
Speaker 1: so far this year, so a lot has changed, got
Speaker 1: a lot healthier. Even Dwayne Brown was back, but he
Speaker 1: was playing that sixth offensive lineman role. In the game,
Speaker 1: Max Mitchell and Joe Tipman had injuries that they had
Speaker 1: to exit but did return from Connor McGovern did not play,
Speaker 1: and that was where Jay Hanson steps in at right
Speaker 1: guard because he's out for the year, and Cook and
Speaker 1: Breese both got banged up in the game.
Speaker 2: But should play against the Dolphins on Sunday.
Speaker 1: Their personnel two thirds of the time, eleven personnatch three
Speaker 1: wide receivers. That means you have to run out like
Speaker 1: an Allen Lazard, like Xavier Gibson. It's just not one
Speaker 1: of the better eligible groups in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: But they do run their twelve percent, their twelve personnel
Speaker 1: sixteen percent. Those two tight ends they like them both
Speaker 1: a lot, and then thirteen personnels even more at nineteen percent.
Speaker 1: They also run a little bit of twenty one personnel,
Speaker 1: but that has gone down since you know, Cook is
Speaker 1: him playing as much as he was early in the year.
Speaker 1: We need the defense to get back on the stuff
Speaker 1: they were on prior to the final five minutes of
Speaker 1: Monday night football, and they could face the same challenges
Speaker 1: as the offense with the injury situation. Deshaun Elliott and
Speaker 1: Javon Holland are the two keys man with them, I
Speaker 1: love our ability to stop anybody because of the communication,
Speaker 1: how well things get passed off. I've praised it all
Speaker 1: year long, but even without one of them, it looks
Speaker 1: like a disaster. It reverts back to the early part
Speaker 1: of the year when they couldn't stop a nosebleed for
Speaker 1: you know, the I guess the opener in game number
Speaker 1: four against.
Speaker 2: The Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1: But that's what it looks like when you don't have
Speaker 1: those two guys back there, or one of them even
Speaker 1: at least. But also, the way we shut their stuff
Speaker 1: down the first time was relentless pressure because they couldn't
Speaker 1: block Zacher Christian, but they couldn't block Jalen Phillips. So
Speaker 1: you need Van Ginkle to get back to what he
Speaker 1: does best. I think that he does challenge Max Mitchell
Speaker 1: in a way that is not beneficial for the Jets
Speaker 1: that way. Same with Bradley Chubb off left side, like
Speaker 1: that's gonna be a fun Matchuy McKay Beckton. I think
Speaker 1: that he can overpower Beckton a little bit because Becton
Speaker 1: is a huge dude, but he can kind of get,
Speaker 1: you know, in narrow footed, narrow healed, and that can
Speaker 1: get you off balance. Now, let's talk about Zach Wilson,
Speaker 1: because has your boy ever been more right about a
Speaker 1: player than Zack Wilson. Just had a full on panic
Speaker 1: attack because I looked at my wallet on my desperate
Speaker 1: here and my normal debit card that's in the front
Speaker 1: of my wallet was in the back and I thought
Speaker 1: I lost it.
Speaker 2: That was scary. Zach Wilson, Right, what's the deal with
Speaker 2: this guy?
Speaker 1: No?
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think he can play guys.
Speaker 1: He's coming off the best game of his career and
Speaker 1: he's done this briefly before. Right, Usually a driver too
Speaker 1: puts together a full half in this game. And where
Speaker 1: I was most impressed with some of his ideas of
Speaker 1: blitzes and hots, which is where I've said, like, if
Speaker 1: you can't do that in this league, you can't play quarterback.
Speaker 1: It's why there's such a disconnect for how good quarterback
Speaker 1: play is actually evaluated, and where I thought that was
Speaker 1: his biggest challenge coming into the league. Because go back
Speaker 1: to his BYU tape like that was his entire tape.
Speaker 1: Like hit the back foot, scramble out to the right
Speaker 1: and create against these Mountain West defenses. Doesn't work in
Speaker 1: the NFL, and it hasn't worked for him when I've
Speaker 1: watched him in the past. It's the ability that to
Speaker 1: see the field that stands out right, or the lack
Speaker 1: of ability. That's the most important thing about quarterback play.
Speaker 1: Can you see how things unfold, how to attack it
Speaker 1: before it happens. It just wasn't there, but it was
Speaker 1: on Sunday in the second half.
Speaker 2: So why is that?
Speaker 1: Well, I know early in the year they wanted him
Speaker 1: to play safe and protect the football and rely on
Speaker 1: their great defense. But that produced you know, ten touchdowns
Speaker 1: and ten games and the worst third down percentage of
Speaker 1: all time in NFL history at that point. They have
Speaker 1: improved upon that, but you just can't play that way.
Speaker 1: So I wonder as they kind of shifted to more
Speaker 1: aggressive The first ten plays of the third quarter were
Speaker 1: all passing plays. Maybe Houston wasn't expecting that after five
Speaker 1: straight punts, but they allowed him to play more free,
Speaker 1: and you know, he was successful. But if you can
Speaker 1: if he does it again if he thinks he's gonna
Speaker 1: show up and just like I'm gonna play free and loose.
Speaker 1: Vic Fangio is smarter than that to just let him
Speaker 1: do that. So I think you could bait and switch
Speaker 1: some things, like show a blitz and he makes his
Speaker 1: determination pre snap and just that's where the ball's going,
Speaker 1: because it worked against the Houston Texans. Like blitz that
Speaker 1: guy and rotate the hook, or like fake the blitz
Speaker 1: and back out, Like I think this is a good
Speaker 1: week to put like seven guys up on the line
Speaker 1: and then just kind of do like a Brian Flora's
Speaker 1: game plan almost because I think he'll come in here
Speaker 1: with a lot of confidence that he's not had in
Speaker 1: the past. And if he thinks he has a solution,
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna let it rip. But you're prepared
Speaker 1: and you know that. So it takes one interception to
Speaker 1: really reset the entire thing. So getting to him early,
Speaker 1: forcing a mistake, that's my big key here. I think
Speaker 1: that we're gonna see a big, big regression here from
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. My other prediction here, even if the Dolphins
Speaker 1: defense is as banged up as it might be, coming
Speaker 1: into the game. Breis Hall covered him three weeks ago.
Speaker 1: His big playability has been their entire offense this year
Speaker 1: until Sunday. You have to tackle him. But I think
Speaker 1: the key here is just to bully them in the trenches.
Speaker 1: We did it last time, needed again here. They were
Speaker 1: banged up on the offensive line. Last time a round
Speaker 1: got healthier. Beckedon Dwayne Brown, Joe Tipman all back. But
Speaker 1: last time around this was the offensive line. The left
Speaker 1: tackle was Carter Warm he had a ninety one pass
Speaker 1: block efficiency, Tomlinson ninety five to five, Tipman ninety eight
Speaker 1: to one, and then the right guard, Chris Glazer was
Speaker 1: ninety six point one. Max Mitchell ninety five point two.
Speaker 1: So here's your improvements from that group. So left tackle
Speaker 1: is now in much Kai Beck and his PBE is
Speaker 1: five points higher than Warren's. It's still not good. You
Speaker 1: want to be around ninety six ninety seven. He's under
Speaker 1: that at ninety four point eight. Tomlinson has actually improved
Speaker 1: by point four points. He's up to ninety five point nine.
Speaker 1: Joe Tipman has improved also a pretty good number here,
Speaker 1: ninety eight point three on the interior.
Speaker 2: But here's where it gets rough.
Speaker 1: Jake Hanson ninety six point six is you've got to
Speaker 1: be better than that a guard, and then Max Mitchell's
Speaker 1: ninety four point three. So both tackles have struggled big time.
Speaker 1: Here for the New York Jets. Big game Here for
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. Dominate on the perimeter with Jalen Ramsey and
Speaker 1: Xaving Howard. Give your attention to Garrett Wilson, tackle Breisee Hall.
Speaker 1: Force Zach Wilson to stay in the pocket and beat
Speaker 1: the crap out of this bad football team.
Speaker 2: We need it. Go get a big victory.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and take our last break right there
Speaker 1: and come back on the other side and talk about
Speaker 1: what's at stake, the keys of the game, and my
Speaker 1: areas of concern in it to exploit all that. Next
Speaker 1: Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you
Speaker 1: by Auto Nation. As we do in the final segment
Speaker 1: here of these preview podcasts, what is at stake, Everything,
Speaker 1: Everything's at staken. We'll stay that way each week the
Speaker 1: rest of the way. Every game is the most important
Speaker 1: game we get the time of year when you're a
Speaker 1: good football team and a win keeps you independently in
Speaker 1: the two seed and if Jacksonville then beats Baltimore in
Speaker 1: the night game, you would have Jailah back to the
Speaker 1: one seed. How good would that feel after this week?
Speaker 1: Very very possible here, and we touched on this earlier,
Speaker 1: but the moment we lost a KC in Germany, to me,
Speaker 1: the goal was to achieve a top two seed to
Speaker 1: ensure that you're playing at least two home playoff games,
Speaker 1: provided you in the first one. Now, the top spot
Speaker 1: is still very much in reach. In fact, you win
Speaker 1: all your games, you'll have the top spot. But just
Speaker 1: winning this game makes the runway for a top two
Speaker 1: seed a whole heck of a lot shorter, as Buffalo
Speaker 1: is now just two games back. But win this game
Speaker 1: and give yourself a magic number of at least three
Speaker 1: if the Bills lose to the Cowboys, which is very
Speaker 1: well in the realm of possibilities, and then match number
Speaker 1: goes down to two with three games to play, and
Speaker 1: you can just kind of win your way into the
Speaker 1: division championship before you even see Buffalo. But it does
Speaker 1: kind of feel like that Buffalo game is going to
Speaker 1: be a pretty big one now after losing to the Titans.
Speaker 2: So gosh, it sucks, but anyway keys to victory.
Speaker 1: Number one, keep Zach Wilson in the pocket. His natural
Speaker 1: instinct is to flee and create. Have to have good
Speaker 1: rush land integrity and force him to anticipate and win
Speaker 1: from the pocket and he'll take a lot of sex.
Speaker 1: So put him behind the chains and they'll make mistakes.
Speaker 1: I think Zach Wilson has a big couple of big
Speaker 1: mistakes in this game. That's kind of my prediction on
Speaker 1: that side of the football. Number two, attack the edge
Speaker 1: of the Jets defense the exact same as the Week
Speaker 1: twelve game plan. Winning the edge and the run game
Speaker 1: keeps us ahead of the chains. It neutralizes their pass rush,
Speaker 1: and their heavy flooding of the middle of the field
Speaker 1: with zones opens up chances outside went outside the numbers.
Speaker 1: Win the game in my opinion, and then play sixty minutes.
Speaker 1: Every loss is a lesson, right The lesson from Monday
Speaker 1: is to play a full sixty minutes because in this
Speaker 1: league it is never over. And like coach McDaniel says,
Speaker 1: let's make the game purposeful and learn from it. My
Speaker 1: areas of concern our line against a really tough pass
Speaker 1: rush and run defense up in the middle.
Speaker 2: Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 1: If we're down one two safeties, I worry about coverage
Speaker 1: bus and him getting free into the secondary areas to
Speaker 1: exploit the perimeter of their defense, their verticals against press,
Speaker 1: and their entire offense. I think you can really get
Speaker 1: back to your dominant Dolphins defense in this one.
Speaker 2: My prediction.
Speaker 1: Oh boy, I was bragging about how good I was
Speaker 1: in the last game, and that's kind of the humble
Speaker 1: pie I needed, right Like, we missed badly on that one,
Speaker 1: get damp and when I realized that Robert Hunt wasn't playing,
Speaker 1: I thought I probably should have changed this to thirty
Speaker 1: eight to ten. But even then, like, whoof way off,
Speaker 1: Time to get back on track. Unfortunately, you're not gonna
Speaker 1: have the same confident Travis this week. I do not
Speaker 1: think this is the offense that can score with anyone
Speaker 1: that we've had in the past.
Speaker 2: Because of the injuries.
Speaker 1: I think we need the defense to bounce back, and
Speaker 1: again with injuries that could be a problem again.
Speaker 2: But I think we get it done.
Speaker 1: I know everybody wants to change everything they thought they
Speaker 1: knew because of one football game, but I'm promising you
Speaker 1: that Zach Wilson is not good all of a sudden
Speaker 1: because of one half of football.
Speaker 2: I promise you that.
Speaker 1: So I think you can turn him over and if
Speaker 1: he plays free and loose, that'll happen. If he doesn't, cool,
Speaker 1: just get those sacks that he's like takes every game.
Speaker 1: Wath them punt the ball five consecutive drives again and
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go twenty seven to seventeen. But that seventeen
Speaker 1: that the last touchdown come on a late score for
Speaker 1: the New York Jets. This game is all about one
Speaker 1: thing to me? Is this locker room that special different
Speaker 1: breed of players and connection and guys in terms of
Speaker 1: how they play for one another. Is it the mentally tough, focus,
Speaker 1: determined group full of leaders that we've believed they are
Speaker 1: all year. Because if it is, we'll get a strong performance,
Speaker 1: we'll bounce back, we'll sweep at division rival, get that
Speaker 1: bad taste out of our mouse, and if not, we'll lose.
Speaker 1: Then you can pick all the holes you want in
Speaker 1: the program, all the comments about December collapses, all that stuff.
Speaker 1: I think you're a week early. If you're doing that
Speaker 1: right now. If we lose to the Jets, have that
Speaker 1: We've seen this team respond to losses. This year in
Speaker 1: an emphatic way. Coming off a loss three to zero
Speaker 1: with a thirty six point point differential, let's make it
Speaker 1: four and oh with fifty and we be Gucci Son.
Speaker 2: That's my podcast. Has my time a.
Speaker 1: Little bit short this week because you know about the Jets,
Speaker 1: You know who these guys are, what they bring to
Speaker 1: the table, and what this matchup will look like. So
Speaker 1: that's the story and I'm sticking to it. In the meantime,
Speaker 1: you all please be sure to subscribe to the podcast
Speaker 1: on Apple, on Spotify, tuned, in Stitcher, wherever you get
Speaker 1: your podcast from. Go ahead and leave us a rating,
Speaker 1: leave us a review. You can follow me on social
Speaker 1: at winkled NFL. You can follow the team at Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 1: Check out the fish Tank podcast with my guys Seth
Speaker 1: and Juice, the YouTube channel for media Availabilities, Dolphins Today,
Speaker 1: and so much more, and last but not least, Miami
Speaker 1: Dolphins dot Com. Until next time, Finns Up, Carolina, Cameron,
Speaker 1: Daddy