WEBVTT - United Taps Green Jet Fuel as Net-Zero Plan Takes Off

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<v Speaker 1>This is Dana Perkins and you're listening to Switched on

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<v Speaker 1>the BNAF podcast, and on today's show, we have a

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<v Speaker 1>special episode for you because we're going to bring you

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<v Speaker 1>an interview from the BNAF Forum in Houston from the

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<v Speaker 1>fifth of March. The theme of this event was the

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<v Speaker 1>Barrel of Tomorrow, where the agenda highlighted the parts of

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<v Speaker 1>the economy that are transforming in many respects, from hydrocarbons

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<v Speaker 1>to electrons. One of the topics we touched upon was

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<v Speaker 1>how aviation is changing. The aviation industry's pathway to net

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<v Speaker 1>zero is far from certain. Operational improvements and technologies such

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<v Speaker 1>as sustainable aviation fuels and zero mission aircraft could offer

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<v Speaker 1>substantial emissions reductions, but questions revolve around timing, scalability, and

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<v Speaker 1>customer willingness to pay. Airlines will play a pivotal role

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<v Speaker 1>in implementing these solutions as the aviation industry looks to

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<v Speaker 1>reach its decarbonization goals. So on stage we were joined

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<v Speaker 1>by United Airlines Chief Sustainability Officer Lauren Riley and she

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<v Speaker 1>was interviewed by Jade Patterson from bn EF's Renewable Fuels team.

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<v Speaker 1>She shares United strategy and how their recent ad campaign

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<v Speaker 1>with Oscar the Grouch plays into it. She also gets

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<v Speaker 1>into the role of policy as well as venture capital

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<v Speaker 1>in reducing aviation emissions. To find out where BNF's forums

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<v Speaker 1>and summits are taking place around the world, you can

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<v Speaker 1>find links in our show notes. Now to Jade's conversation

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<v Speaker 1>on stage at the BNA Forum in Houston with United

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<v Speaker 1>Airlines Chief Sustainability Officer Lauren Riley.

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<v Speaker 2>Lauren, thank you so much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 3>I was definitely talking to some people beforehand, a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of United fans in the crowd, and I got to say,

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<v Speaker 3>we're a little disappointed you didn't bring a chief trash

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<v Speaker 3>officer Oscar, but you know, we're excited you're here, so,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, just to kick things off. You know, United

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<v Speaker 3>has been super involved in aviation decarbonization. You guys are

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<v Speaker 3>very active in the soft space and and really pushing

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<v Speaker 3>the envelope there. Can you just start off with a

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<v Speaker 3>little bit of an overview of your roadmap to net

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<v Speaker 3>zero and reducing your missions.

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<v Speaker 4>Sure, and it's great to be here. Thank you to

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<v Speaker 4>the Bloomberg team for having me. I think it's a

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<v Speaker 4>little bit of a different discussion with me. This afternoon

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<v Speaker 4>as a customer, because I'm hearing all about the supply

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<v Speaker 4>and how we get to pay for it and who

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<v Speaker 4>wants what. But there are absolutely constraints on the customer side,

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<v Speaker 4>and I look forward to sort of exploring that today.

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<v Speaker 4>So as a heartwobate industry, we're kind of in a pickle.

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<v Speaker 4>We need to transition, but we don't have the marketplace

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<v Speaker 4>and the solutions at scale to really make a difference yet.

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<v Speaker 4>But yet we have these commitments to net zero by

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<v Speaker 4>twenty fifty. United has a commitment to reduce our carbon

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<v Speaker 4>intensity fifty percent by twenty thirty five compared to twenty nineteen.

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<v Speaker 4>Sour most recent normal year of flying before the pandemic,

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<v Speaker 4>that is SBTi certified, and we can talk about sort

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<v Speaker 4>of the value of third party credibility and validation. But

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<v Speaker 4>we need a plan to get there, and so we

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<v Speaker 4>started publishing about two years ago our transition plan, our

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<v Speaker 4>roadmap to net zero, and effectively you can think of

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<v Speaker 4>it in sort of two categories. First and foremost is

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<v Speaker 4>how do we simply just use less? So how do

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<v Speaker 4>we burn less fuel? And we hear a lot about

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<v Speaker 4>fuel in the context of aviation, because when you look

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<v Speaker 4>at United's greenhouse gas inventory. Ninety eight percent of my

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<v Speaker 4>inventory across the entire global operation is from jet fuel.

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<v Speaker 4>So when you talk about climate leadership and transitioning to

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<v Speaker 4>low carbon, you can't really have any integrity and sincerity

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<v Speaker 4>in the discussion unless you're talking about replacing that jet fuel.

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<v Speaker 4>So let's start by using less. And we're really trying

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<v Speaker 4>to figure out how do we look at the value

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<v Speaker 4>of fleet modernization. So United has invested in more than

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<v Speaker 4>eight hundred new aircraft that are going to be coming

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<v Speaker 4>online in the next decade. Each one of those aircraft

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<v Speaker 4>that we introduce into our fleet twenty five percent more

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<v Speaker 4>fuel efficient than the aircraft are replacing. So when you

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<v Speaker 4>talk about a decarbonization plan, at least for this decade,

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<v Speaker 4>fleet modernization is really crucial. I mean that is really

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<v Speaker 4>actually a climate strategy. We also talk about next generation aircraft.

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<v Speaker 4>How do you look at the new engine design? How

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<v Speaker 4>do you look at new aircraft design? With some of

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<v Speaker 4>the blended wing stuff you're seeing out there that super cool,

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<v Speaker 4>but actually very very important when I'm looking at what

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<v Speaker 4>happens when we hit twenty thirty, what kind of aircraft

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<v Speaker 4>can we actually bring into our operation that can not

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<v Speaker 4>just hit that twenty five percent reduction, but actually go further.

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<v Speaker 4>And then of course there's operational efficiencies, so single engine taxing.

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<v Speaker 4>You see those super tugs that pull the aircraft off

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<v Speaker 4>the gate, those are important, they're electric, they're charged, they

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<v Speaker 4>cause us not to have to burn fuel. Those all

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<v Speaker 4>make a difference when you have the number of flights

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<v Speaker 4>that we have in any given day. And then of

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<v Speaker 4>course there's the alternative propulsion, so electric hydrogen that all

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<v Speaker 4>of those are going to be i'll call them customer enhancement,

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<v Speaker 4>So an opportunity for us to think a little bit

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<v Speaker 4>differently about the services that we give to our customers,

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<v Speaker 4>but we do it in a way that's low carbon

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<v Speaker 4>and so that's a ton of fun and so that

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<v Speaker 4>allows us to actually reduce the emissions from flight just

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<v Speaker 4>use less. But then we get to saf and SAFF

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<v Speaker 4>is the other fifty percent of our decarbonization plan. So

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<v Speaker 4>when you think about twenty fifty, what is our portfolio

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<v Speaker 4>going to look like? Well, I think you heard the

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<v Speaker 4>panel before us and throughout the day that with alternative fuels,

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<v Speaker 4>not every alternative fuels the same. There's many different technologies

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<v Speaker 4>and conversion technologies out there. There's many different feedstocks out

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<v Speaker 4>there and they all create alternative fuels in different ways,

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<v Speaker 4>and so we took the time to actually break down

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<v Speaker 4>for you and you can find it on United dot

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<v Speaker 4>Com what we think will be sort of the contribution

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<v Speaker 4>of these sort of generations of SAFF towards our net

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<v Speaker 4>zero targets. So you hear a lot about half of

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<v Speaker 4>that's renewable diesel converted to sustainable aviation fuel. Good stuff

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<v Speaker 4>that's going to be important to us. We do have

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<v Speaker 4>to solve for feedstock, So that was really interesting to

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<v Speaker 4>hear Diarling and some of the other folks talking before me.

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<v Speaker 4>But that's going to be about, you know, another twenty

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<v Speaker 4>twenty five percent of our reduction. And then we talk

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<v Speaker 4>about advanced biofuels. So think about ethanol. If you go

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<v Speaker 4>fill up your tank and your car, you've got an

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<v Speaker 4>ethanol blend and the gas that you put in there.

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<v Speaker 4>Why are we not doing that for jets? Could we should?

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<v Speaker 4>We've got a lot of ethanol in the United States.

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<v Speaker 4>You talked about cover crops. I also heard that talked

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<v Speaker 4>about this third season for farmers. That's also an opportunity

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<v Speaker 4>for us to think about converting advanced biofuels into sustainable

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<v Speaker 4>aviation fuel. And then there's the fuel of the future,

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<v Speaker 4>which is power to liquid. So this is let's pull

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<v Speaker 4>CO two out of the atmosphere, let's blend it with

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<v Speaker 4>some a lot of renewable power right now and some

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<v Speaker 4>green hydrogen, and poof, you've got a really beautiful sustainable

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<v Speaker 4>aviation fuel. Doesn't work yet at scale, the economics are terrible.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going to figure out a way to get there,

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<v Speaker 4>but give me fifteen years. So there's different ways that

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<v Speaker 4>we're actually going to realize our path to net zero,

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<v Speaker 4>and we need all of them. We have asolutely need

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<v Speaker 4>all of them. And frankly, as a customer that uses fuel,

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<v Speaker 4>we can't do it alone. So having this conversation in

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<v Speaker 4>a group like this around really truly what is the

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<v Speaker 4>fuel of tomorrow? This is really important dialogue to have

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<v Speaker 4>because we've got to do this together.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and I think, yeah, I really want to drill

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<v Speaker 3>in on SAFF a little bit given the audience and

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<v Speaker 3>what we've been talking about today, And I think it's

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<v Speaker 3>probably safe to say that it's still early days for SAF,

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<v Speaker 3>very low volume. So from an airline's perspective, what do you

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<v Speaker 3>think is needed to see scale.

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<v Speaker 4>So let me give you some context. Today United and

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<v Speaker 4>I will caveat we have a massive growth plan. But

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<v Speaker 4>today we use about four and a quarter billion gallons

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<v Speaker 4>of fuel in a given year, So four and a

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<v Speaker 4>billion gallons for one year for one operator. So keep

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<v Speaker 4>that in mind. The equivalent of that in emissions forty

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<v Speaker 4>two million metric tons of carbon emissions in the atmosphere.

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<v Speaker 4>If we grow and I do not change the way

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<v Speaker 4>I fly, I do not do the FLEA modernization, I

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<v Speaker 4>do not in bed sustainably aviation fuels, I will more

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<v Speaker 4>than double my emissions by twenty fifty. I should be

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<v Speaker 4>going down to that zero, but I'm actually going to

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<v Speaker 4>go up to more than ninety million metric tons. That's

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<v Speaker 4>not okay, And so we do need to figure out

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<v Speaker 4>a way to really draw that down, and that's really crucial.

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<v Speaker 4>In twenty twenty, United used just a million gallons of

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<v Speaker 4>sustainable aviation fuel just one last year we used seven

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<v Speaker 4>million gallons. Doesn't sound like a ton, but it is

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<v Speaker 4>a sevenfold increase. In the United States, twenty five million

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<v Speaker 4>gallons of staff were available, so either produced here or imported,

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<v Speaker 4>got roughly a third two quarter of that good but

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<v Speaker 4>not great. But if you think about seven million gallons

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<v Speaker 4>against a four and a quarter billion bogie, we really

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<v Speaker 4>don't have a marketplace yet, and so this is all

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<v Speaker 4>about how do you create a marketplace for these alternative fuels?

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<v Speaker 4>How do you make it economically viable for an industry

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<v Speaker 4>like ours to prefer to purchase that over a commodity

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<v Speaker 4>product like Jeta. And that's what we're trying to solve for.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's yeah, that's kind of a question that I

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<v Speaker 3>think we get a lot these days is around kind

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<v Speaker 3>of willingness to pay. So we'd love to hear your

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<v Speaker 3>thoughts a little bit around you know, I think it's

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<v Speaker 3>no secret STAFFA is more expensive than traditional jet fuel.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you have an idea of kind of what's the

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<v Speaker 3>demand elasticity when it comes to burning cleaner fuels? Like

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<v Speaker 3>our customer is willing to pay for this? You know,

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<v Speaker 3>who's going to put the bill here?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah? You know, it's actually been really interesting. We've had

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<v Speaker 4>a long standing program at United it's called the Ecosky's Alliance,

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<v Speaker 4>and we effectively partner with our corporate customers and that

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<v Speaker 4>includes cargo, so you know, similar to maritime the ability

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<v Speaker 4>to ship your your product low carbon is something that

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of folks are very interested in supporting right now,

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<v Speaker 4>and they can monetize that, which is really exciting. But

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<v Speaker 4>we've been working with corporates for some time now to

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<v Speaker 4>help pay that premium. And it's two to four times

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<v Speaker 4>the cost of conventional jet fuel. An industry like aviation

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<v Speaker 4>has maybe a four percent margin, so high revenue, low margin,

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<v Speaker 4>we cannot carry that kind of exposure and stay competitive.

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<v Speaker 4>It is a super sensitive industry. When it comes to pricing.

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<v Speaker 4>You all go buy your ticket, You look for the

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<v Speaker 4>lowest one, see if it works, and you buy it.

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<v Speaker 4>And so when you introduce some of these two to

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<v Speaker 4>four times costs for a commodity product, you suddenly create

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<v Speaker 4>uncertainty and it could really impact your revenue and create

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<v Speaker 4>these competitive distortions. We can't have that. So we've been

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<v Speaker 4>working with some of these climate leading corporations to really

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<v Speaker 4>help us finance that transition. And there's a great willingness

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<v Speaker 4>to do it. I mean, I give them a tremendous

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<v Speaker 4>amount of credit. They've been out there working with us

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<v Speaker 4>to really put their money where their mouths are, and

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<v Speaker 4>they want to reduce their scope through emissions and their

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<v Speaker 4>greenhouse gas inventories, and they want to do and feel

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<v Speaker 4>proud and confident around the solutions they're backing, and so

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<v Speaker 4>they're willing to put dollars into things like sustainable aviation fuels.

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<v Speaker 4>The challenge for them right now is that it's a

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<v Speaker 4>bit of a fragment to market and they're kind of

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<v Speaker 4>trying to figure out how they can streamline those things.

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<v Speaker 4>But the willingness is there. The other example I'll give

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<v Speaker 4>you is that just last year, United introduced for our

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<v Speaker 4>leisure travelers, so takeout corporates, average traveler, you're going on vacation,

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<v Speaker 4>when you go through the booking path, you have the

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<v Speaker 4>ability now to contribute to sustainable aviation fuels that United

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<v Speaker 4>invests in. I was super dubious because you know, carbon offsets.

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<v Speaker 4>We had a program for a while, it didn't really work.

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<v Speaker 4>Nobody really cared, and I get it because there's a

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<v Speaker 4>lot of skepticism out there. But then we introduced this

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<v Speaker 4>capacity around investing in staff supporting insect or reduction. We

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<v Speaker 4>had a whole host of communication activity with Oscar the Grouch,

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<v Speaker 4>our chief trash officer, explaining what is going on, why

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<v Speaker 4>are we talking about staff. Why is it important? And

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<v Speaker 4>I'll tell you. So, we've had this opportunity now for

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<v Speaker 4>customers about twelve months, one hundred and fifty thousand customers

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<v Speaker 4>and about a half million dollars. Doesn't sound like a

0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.440
<v Speaker 4>live It's not really about the numbers themselves. It's about

0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:04.840
<v Speaker 4>the engagement of customers and trying to educate them about

0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:08.040
<v Speaker 4>the right solutions. It's working, and so I don't know

0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:10.400
<v Speaker 4>if that converts long term into sort of tacking stuff

0:12:10.400 --> 0:12:14.400
<v Speaker 4>onto tickets. I assure you my CFO wants nothing to

0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:17.920
<v Speaker 4>do with that, but it does show there's a more

0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:22.400
<v Speaker 4>there's a greater sophistication and appreciation for doing the right thing,

0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:25.920
<v Speaker 4>in particular for these hard to abate industries like aviation.

0:12:26.000 --> 0:12:26.959
<v Speaker 4>And that's really exciting.

0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 2>That's super cool.

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:30.480
<v Speaker 3>And I'm kind of curious your thoughts on that. Sounds

0:12:30.520 --> 0:12:34.000
<v Speaker 3>like the carbon Offsets program maybe wasn't as successful. But

0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:36.800
<v Speaker 3>why do you think customers are more willing to opt

0:12:36.840 --> 0:12:40.080
<v Speaker 3>into this sustainbleviation fund or feels fund?

0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:40.280
<v Speaker 2>Then?

0:12:40.360 --> 0:12:43.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so United launched a sustainable flight fund last year.

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:45.200
<v Speaker 4>And let me just explain that for a minute, because

0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:47.120
<v Speaker 4>this is a bit of an un orthodox role that

0:12:47.200 --> 0:12:50.320
<v Speaker 4>United has played in financing our transition. We stood up

0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:53.320
<v Speaker 4>a venture fund maybe two three years ago, but last

0:12:53.440 --> 0:12:57.440
<v Speaker 4>year we kind of did a focus in unsustainable aviation fields.

0:12:57.440 --> 0:12:59.800
<v Speaker 4>We were seeing that nobody, nobody was really put money

0:12:59.800 --> 0:13:03.560
<v Speaker 4>into and it was frustrating, so we went out and

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:06.880
<v Speaker 4>created a fund and opened it up to other investors.

0:13:07.440 --> 0:13:11.280
<v Speaker 4>Today we have about twenty two investors, including United in

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:14.560
<v Speaker 4>this fund. It's two hundred and thirty million dollars and

0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:17.439
<v Speaker 4>the fund reason just closed about two weeks ago. I

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:21.520
<v Speaker 4>think what's interesting about that is on the twenty two investors,

0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 4>we have the whole value chain, so it's anything from

0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:28.320
<v Speaker 4>Ge and Boeing and Saffran all the way to on

0:13:28.360 --> 0:13:31.720
<v Speaker 4>the other hand, corporates like BCG, Bank of America, Google

0:13:32.360 --> 0:13:36.760
<v Speaker 4>and are Peers. We have four airlines that basically raise

0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:38.200
<v Speaker 4>their hands and we want to be a part of

0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:40.920
<v Speaker 4>the United train and really figure out how to do

0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:43.800
<v Speaker 4>this right. So we have Air Canada, Air New Zealand,

0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:50.000
<v Speaker 4>Jet Blue and Hawaiian and we're working together to identify

0:13:50.240 --> 0:13:53.080
<v Speaker 4>what we believe are the technologies that are not only

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 4>novel and interesting in decarbonization, but as an operator, we

0:13:56.920 --> 0:13:59.760
<v Speaker 4>can uniquely look at and say can this scale, can

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:03.079
<v Speaker 4>bed this and how we actually run the airline? And

0:14:03.559 --> 0:14:05.240
<v Speaker 4>if the answer is yes, we go ahead and invest

0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 4>in it. And so that's been a really amazing opportunity.

0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:11.640
<v Speaker 4>You heard earlier today from Moji, who's the CEO of

0:14:11.679 --> 0:14:15.080
<v Speaker 4>some Vita that's one of our investment companies. They essentially

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 4>take a microbe and synthetically bioengineer it and crack it

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:22.680
<v Speaker 4>open with some crisper. I don't know. It's fascinating, but

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:26.960
<v Speaker 4>it's a feedstock play that allows us to actually address

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:31.080
<v Speaker 4>a constraint in the market today. High integrity feedstock, low

0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:35.040
<v Speaker 4>CI everyone benefits, no land use issues. And so these

0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:38.280
<v Speaker 4>kinds of innovations are coming forward now, thanks in great

0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:42.040
<v Speaker 4>part to the Inflation Reduction Act, and it's really exciting.

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:45.800
<v Speaker 4>And so we've really stepped in not just purchasing the fuel,

0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.920
<v Speaker 4>but working upstream to help finance some of these companies

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:52.680
<v Speaker 4>that are innovating around producing the fuel or a component

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:53.200
<v Speaker 4>of the fuel.

0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's super cool.

0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:56.800
<v Speaker 3>I mean it's also great to hear that other airlines

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:59.040
<v Speaker 3>are joining you. I think that's a testament to know

0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:01.360
<v Speaker 3>the direction you guys are had, and that's that's really awesome.

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:02.720
<v Speaker 2>Do you mind.

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:04.480
<v Speaker 3>You kind of touched on it a little bit on

0:15:04.600 --> 0:15:07.000
<v Speaker 3>kind of some of the barriers are trying to overcome,

0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 3>but really, can you explain a little bit more of

0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:10.840
<v Speaker 3>what's the objective of this fund, what you guys are

0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:14.120
<v Speaker 3>trying to achieve, and maybe are there any companies you're

0:15:14.120 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 3>super excited about.

0:15:15.320 --> 0:15:18.320
<v Speaker 4>Oh, there's tons of companies I'm super excited about. So

0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 4>I think there's maybe eight or ten investments currently in

0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:24.160
<v Speaker 4>the fund. Some of them are what I talked about before,

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:27.040
<v Speaker 4>the power to liquid, so capturing CO two and converting

0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:29.560
<v Speaker 4>it into a jet fuel of the future. Some of

0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:32.880
<v Speaker 4>them are like Sivita, where they're really focused on that

0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 4>feedstock and creating a high integrity lipid. Just the other week,

0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:40.440
<v Speaker 4>I tried butter created from one of these you know,

0:15:41.160 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 4>created genetically created lipids. That was so fascinating. But you know,

0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 4>Butter's a lipid lipids we need for fuels. It's complementary

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:52.600
<v Speaker 4>upstream product. You know, how do we look at the

0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:57.320
<v Speaker 4>ecosystem to enable the transition for sustainable aviation fuels? And

0:15:57.400 --> 0:16:00.240
<v Speaker 4>so what's been interesting about it and hearing the dialogue today,

0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:03.440
<v Speaker 4>you know, for us to succeed in aviation we're sort

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:07.320
<v Speaker 4>of this niche, smaller market, lots of planes, but not

0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:10.200
<v Speaker 4>a super big industry. But for us to succeed, we

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:13.080
<v Speaker 4>need abundant renewable power that's cost effective. We need green

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:17.880
<v Speaker 4>hydrogen everywhere, we need some of these technologies like electrolyizers

0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:20.360
<v Speaker 4>to really really work, and not like these little intibity ones,

0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:24.000
<v Speaker 4>but like big and so we're thinking about how do

0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 4>we put all those component parts together to eventually allow

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 4>us to be successful downstream when the market's mature to

0:16:30.520 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 4>go to aviation. And so it's really again going back

0:16:33.400 --> 0:16:36.200
<v Speaker 4>to this whole theme of ecosystem, how do we work

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:40.600
<v Speaker 4>the ecosystem to allow us to do decarbonize aviation once

0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:44.920
<v Speaker 4>we get the right formula to incentivize investment in our space.

0:16:45.560 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm really glad you've brought in the investment piece

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 3>of it, because I think you guys have been really

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:53.720
<v Speaker 3>crucial to kind of coming up with more creative ways

0:16:53.920 --> 0:16:57.680
<v Speaker 3>around investing in newer technologies. So, I mean, from your

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:00.880
<v Speaker 3>point of view, like, how do we need to change

0:17:00.880 --> 0:17:03.000
<v Speaker 3>our way of thinking around investing in these projects in

0:17:03.080 --> 0:17:05.800
<v Speaker 3>order to I guess see this industry scale. Do you

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:08.200
<v Speaker 3>think we need to kind of readdress the model here

0:17:08.359 --> 0:17:09.840
<v Speaker 3>or what needs to change.

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:13.720
<v Speaker 4>I mean, if you can answer that question, please, that's

0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 4>the question. So what we're seeing right now and this

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:19.320
<v Speaker 4>is these are just my observations. There's a lot of

0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:22.199
<v Speaker 4>interest in new climate tech. There's so much going on

0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:26.679
<v Speaker 4>in sort of finding different ways to solution for industries

0:17:26.720 --> 0:17:29.119
<v Speaker 4>like ours and all the other industries that need to transition,

0:17:29.480 --> 0:17:33.440
<v Speaker 4>super interesting, lots of venture capital out there. Money is flowing,

0:17:33.720 --> 0:17:37.160
<v Speaker 4>But what is not happening is going from that demonstration

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:39.600
<v Speaker 4>in the lab let me show you a cool project

0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:42.679
<v Speaker 4>to the ten million gallon plant that I need to

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:45.399
<v Speaker 4>actually prove to Wall Street that they should put their

0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:48.040
<v Speaker 4>billions in to make me the foreign quarter billion that

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 4>I need a fuel. So there's kind of like this

0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:53.640
<v Speaker 4>stalling that's happening in the sort of the moving from

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:57.960
<v Speaker 4>pilot to demonstration. And I get it because it's super expensive.

0:17:58.000 --> 0:18:01.200
<v Speaker 4>I mean, that ten million gallon plant isn't cheap anywhere

0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:03.560
<v Speaker 4>from five hundred million to a billion dollars. You don't

0:18:03.560 --> 0:18:05.399
<v Speaker 4>want to put that kind of capital for that little

0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 4>product that comes out, and by the way, it's competing

0:18:07.640 --> 0:18:11.360
<v Speaker 4>with the commodity product. So that to me really fundamentally

0:18:11.400 --> 0:18:15.159
<v Speaker 4>goes back to policy I mentioned before. The Inflation Reduction

0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:20.480
<v Speaker 4>Act really changed the whole paradigm around innovation. It's really

0:18:20.520 --> 0:18:25.119
<v Speaker 4>not though, addressing sort of driving capital for long term

0:18:25.400 --> 0:18:29.880
<v Speaker 4>sustainable shifts in aviation, unlike some of these other credits.

0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:33.240
<v Speaker 4>You know, we talked about hydrogen sustainable aviation fuel had

0:18:33.240 --> 0:18:36.600
<v Speaker 4>a tax credit for two years, not ten, And now

0:18:36.640 --> 0:18:39.200
<v Speaker 4>we move to this next clean fuels production credit for

0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:42.040
<v Speaker 4>I think it's three years, not ten. And so in

0:18:42.160 --> 0:18:46.560
<v Speaker 4>terms of creating curiosity around aviation, it's there. But in

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:50.520
<v Speaker 4>terms of de risking and making our industry more bankable

0:18:50.600 --> 0:18:55.280
<v Speaker 4>and making the financial institutions come to the table and say, yeah,

0:18:55.680 --> 0:18:58.560
<v Speaker 4>I have confidence and I feel like I can really

0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:01.640
<v Speaker 4>make a return in this mark it, it's not there.

0:19:02.119 --> 0:19:04.560
<v Speaker 4>And so that's really fundamentally what I spend my day

0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:08.359
<v Speaker 4>solving for is talking to policymakers, talking to banks, talking

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:10.520
<v Speaker 4>to investors, and saying, how do we put this puzzle

0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:13.040
<v Speaker 4>together in a way that it allows us to all succeed.

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:15.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's super helpful, And I'm glad you mentioned the

0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:19.120
<v Speaker 3>IRA and the policy piece there, And I think it's

0:19:19.160 --> 0:19:21.040
<v Speaker 3>a lot of times we kind of compare and contrast

0:19:21.080 --> 0:19:23.720
<v Speaker 3>the EU to the US on you know, they're going

0:19:23.760 --> 0:19:26.360
<v Speaker 3>more demand side, and I'm curious, from the airline's point

0:19:26.400 --> 0:19:29.440
<v Speaker 3>of view, what do you think is the best model

0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:33.880
<v Speaker 3>in terms of growing and incentivizing demand and kind of

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:36.640
<v Speaker 3>creating that certainty for the market. Is it more kind

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:38.919
<v Speaker 3>of the production tax credit type model or is it

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:42.119
<v Speaker 3>having more mandates to really ensure airlines buy that.

0:19:42.760 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 4>I texted my friends in Europe and they have IRA envy,

0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:52.199
<v Speaker 4>which is kind of fun. But they're also buying up

0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:54.600
<v Speaker 4>all the SAFF. So in terms of who's getting the

0:19:54.640 --> 0:19:57.879
<v Speaker 4>SAFF now, it's the people with the mandate. So that's

0:19:57.920 --> 0:20:02.600
<v Speaker 4>a conundrum that we've got to figure out. My point

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:05.960
<v Speaker 4>of view is market based incentives do work right now.

0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:08.760
<v Speaker 4>We need a space to allow the smart people to

0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 4>innovate because we didn't have the solutions before, or at

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:14.720
<v Speaker 4>least the diversity of solutions that are really going to

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:17.879
<v Speaker 4>make a difference for aviation, and that's happening now. I

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:21.359
<v Speaker 4>do think we can sort of shift the policy suite

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 4>to allow that durability, that long term confidence that's missing

0:20:25.920 --> 0:20:30.159
<v Speaker 4>for real capital and I'm talking like project finance type stuff,

0:20:30.200 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 4>infra stuff to come to sustainable aviation fuels. But while

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 4>we're waiting for that to happen, all of these component parts,

0:20:37.920 --> 0:20:40.359
<v Speaker 4>the hydrogen, the greening of the grid, and all these

0:20:40.440 --> 0:20:44.440
<v Speaker 4>transition component that is happening, and so we are dependent

0:20:44.480 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 4>on all of that, as I mentioned before, and so

0:20:46.800 --> 0:20:49.440
<v Speaker 4>until that happens, there's not really a play for sustainable

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:52.600
<v Speaker 4>aviation fuels quite yet. What I like to see and

0:20:52.640 --> 0:20:56.240
<v Speaker 4>where United sits in terms of policy advocacy is that

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 4>we are performance based in our advocacy, meaning if you

0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:04.399
<v Speaker 4>can allow the policy incentives to encourage greater reductions over time,

0:21:05.000 --> 0:21:09.800
<v Speaker 4>so the lower CI, the lower the reduction, the better

0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:13.560
<v Speaker 4>the incentive you get. Then you allow the market to

0:21:13.600 --> 0:21:17.280
<v Speaker 4>sort of solve what innovations, what technologies are actually going

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:20.520
<v Speaker 4>to thrive and can be economical. You know, you hear

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:25.360
<v Speaker 4>a lot about some of these other pathways that maybe

0:21:25.000 --> 0:21:28.240
<v Speaker 4>maybe are sort of smaller conversion technologies. You hear about

0:21:28.240 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 4>coprocessing and whatnot. Those are fine, but they shouldn't get

0:21:31.359 --> 0:21:33.960
<v Speaker 4>the same incentive as maybe, you know, the power to

0:21:34.000 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 4>liquid that is actually a true sustainable aviation fuel of

0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:39.440
<v Speaker 4>the future, and that's going to transform the way we fly.

0:21:39.720 --> 0:21:41.560
<v Speaker 4>So if there's a way that we can actually build

0:21:41.560 --> 0:21:44.879
<v Speaker 4>a policy suite that allows sort of this graduated performance

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:49.200
<v Speaker 4>based approach to incentivize the higher integrity solutions but then

0:21:49.280 --> 0:21:53.960
<v Speaker 4>also enable more pragmatic entrance. That's great. That's that's where

0:21:53.960 --> 0:21:57.160
<v Speaker 4>we sit. So that's our view on what I'd love

0:21:57.240 --> 0:21:59.720
<v Speaker 4>to see happen with policy, but we're certainly not there yet.

0:22:00.680 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 3>I'd love to kind of zoom out a little bit

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:05.359
<v Speaker 3>and not just talk about SAF because, as you mentioned

0:22:05.359 --> 0:22:07.399
<v Speaker 3>in your intro, SAF is a piece of the puzzle,

0:22:07.440 --> 0:22:10.240
<v Speaker 3>but there's a whole suite of other opportunities out there,

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:15.480
<v Speaker 3>freet modernization, net zero aircraft, operational efficiencies. So can you

0:22:15.520 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 3>talk a little bit about I know United has made

0:22:17.760 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 3>some purchases and investment in like hybrid aircraft. I'd love

0:22:21.320 --> 0:22:25.440
<v Speaker 3>to hear thoughts around zero aircraft? Is that under hyped, overhyped?

0:22:25.560 --> 0:22:27.200
<v Speaker 3>Where are we going with that? Is that something you

0:22:27.240 --> 0:22:28.440
<v Speaker 3>guys are actively.

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:31.119
<v Speaker 4>I mean, is there anything cooler than electric vertical takeoff

0:22:31.119 --> 0:22:31.560
<v Speaker 4>and landing?

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 2>Sounds pretty fun to me.

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:34.160
<v Speaker 4>I would love to go get in an EV call

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:35.720
<v Speaker 4>after this and go to the airport to avoid all

0:22:35.760 --> 0:22:39.320
<v Speaker 4>that traffic in Houston because it's gnarly. But what's cool

0:22:39.359 --> 0:22:41.199
<v Speaker 4>about some of these new technologies that are coming on

0:22:41.280 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 4>with alternative propulsion is that it is allowing industries like

0:22:45.320 --> 0:22:47.240
<v Speaker 4>ours to provide a different service. And I kind of

0:22:47.280 --> 0:22:50.600
<v Speaker 4>hinted to that in the beginning. Suddenly we're extending our

0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:53.359
<v Speaker 4>experience with the customer. And if there was a helipad

0:22:53.400 --> 0:22:55.760
<v Speaker 4>outside and I could get on an EV tall and

0:22:55.800 --> 0:22:58.359
<v Speaker 4>I could fly to the IH for the same price

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:01.280
<v Speaker 4>as an uber XL low CA one hundred percent, I

0:23:01.280 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 4>would do that. And that's sort of the vision of

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:06.080
<v Speaker 4>the future. There's a lot of uncertainty around how we're

0:23:06.080 --> 0:23:09.679
<v Speaker 4>going to get there, but it's not insurmountable. And what

0:23:09.720 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 4>I mean by uncertainty, you know, you've got to be

0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:14.960
<v Speaker 4>certified by the FA to operate, and the safety issues

0:23:14.960 --> 0:23:19.040
<v Speaker 4>there you need to negotiate again the ecosystem of the airspace.

0:23:19.640 --> 0:23:21.359
<v Speaker 4>We need to figure out where we're going to build

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:24.760
<v Speaker 4>the infrastructure. And I'm not just talking about the helipad

0:23:24.800 --> 0:23:27.840
<v Speaker 4>or vertiport. I'm actually talking about the electrical infrastructure where

0:23:27.840 --> 0:23:30.879
<v Speaker 4>you're going to charge these things. That's a big, big deal.

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:33.919
<v Speaker 4>I mean, part of my portfolio is the ground equipment

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:37.280
<v Speaker 4>at the airports and converting those from diesel to electric.

0:23:37.400 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 4>I can't even get enough charge to convert our fleet

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.679
<v Speaker 4>of ground equipment, so talk to me about electric aircraft.

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 4>So there's some of these really really practical hurdles that

0:23:45.840 --> 0:23:47.600
<v Speaker 4>we need to overcome, and all of those things are

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:50.320
<v Speaker 4>being negotiated with the States and the airport authorities to

0:23:50.320 --> 0:23:52.760
<v Speaker 4>make sure that we're considering and building toward. But it's

0:23:52.800 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 4>going to take some time.

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 3>It sounds like it's kind of the inverse problem with

0:23:55.520 --> 0:23:57.240
<v Speaker 3>SAFA is dropped in you don't need a lot of

0:23:57.280 --> 0:24:01.399
<v Speaker 3>infrastructure change, but feedstock limited with high ydrogen electricity, it's

0:24:01.440 --> 0:24:04.160
<v Speaker 3>a matter of infrastructure, can you get the fuel there?

0:24:04.520 --> 0:24:06.119
<v Speaker 3>Do you have the ability to fill up?

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:10.280
<v Speaker 4>That is true. There is some infrastructure required for staff too,

0:24:11.240 --> 0:24:14.120
<v Speaker 4>but it's not nearly as complicated. It's more like blending

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:17.199
<v Speaker 4>tanks and whatever, and so those are those are lesser

0:24:17.240 --> 0:24:19.640
<v Speaker 4>of a hurdle, but still one super cool.

0:24:19.840 --> 0:24:21.440
<v Speaker 3>We're getting close to times. I want to I want

0:24:21.480 --> 0:24:24.879
<v Speaker 3>to ask one or two more questions. But in general,

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:29.480
<v Speaker 3>when you think about your zero trajectory, what keeps you

0:24:29.560 --> 0:24:32.200
<v Speaker 3>up at night in terms of not meeting that goal?

0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:33.720
<v Speaker 2>What are you what are you most concerned about?

0:24:35.040 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 4>Well, that's a bit of a loaded question. I am

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:45.320
<v Speaker 4>concerned about perfect being the enemy of the good. There's

0:24:45.400 --> 0:24:48.399
<v Speaker 4>a lot of progress that can be made, but there's

0:24:48.560 --> 0:24:53.480
<v Speaker 4>almost an intolerance for good, and we need to figure

0:24:53.520 --> 0:24:57.880
<v Speaker 4>out a way to celebrate good and then continue towards

0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:03.440
<v Speaker 4>great Today, you know, the greenwashing claims, the regulations around

0:25:03.440 --> 0:25:06.159
<v Speaker 4>what you can and cannot say. Everything's now going in

0:25:06.160 --> 0:25:09.360
<v Speaker 4>our ten k. I mean, there's just transparency everywhere, which

0:25:09.359 --> 0:25:12.480
<v Speaker 4>I fully support. I think it's really important to be

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:16.679
<v Speaker 4>clear about what's going on, but not at you know,

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 4>not by causing inertia to happen in spaces where we

0:25:20.960 --> 0:25:23.919
<v Speaker 4>just need fast innovation today and then we need to

0:25:23.960 --> 0:25:27.880
<v Speaker 4>scale today. And so that's that I think will settle out.

0:25:28.760 --> 0:25:30.760
<v Speaker 4>I'm not worried about that in the long term, but

0:25:30.880 --> 0:25:35.440
<v Speaker 4>immediately it suddenly becomes what was voluntary ambition is now

0:25:35.480 --> 0:25:38.600
<v Speaker 4>becoming sort of corporate risk, which is just stupid.

0:25:39.640 --> 0:25:43.159
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and kind of final question of the day is

0:25:43.800 --> 0:25:45.960
<v Speaker 3>you have the last say, which I think is great.

0:25:46.359 --> 0:25:48.040
<v Speaker 3>I want to hear your thoughts on You have a

0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:52.760
<v Speaker 3>room full of investors, policymakers, energy producers. What's your ask

0:25:52.840 --> 0:25:54.600
<v Speaker 3>of them? What can they do to help move this

0:25:54.680 --> 0:25:55.399
<v Speaker 3>industry along?

0:25:55.640 --> 0:26:01.360
<v Speaker 4>I love that question. We need creative finals dancing solutions,

0:26:01.600 --> 0:26:05.000
<v Speaker 4>We need creative financing solutions. And what I mean by

0:26:05.000 --> 0:26:09.000
<v Speaker 4>that is that in a four percent margin, I'm eyes

0:26:09.040 --> 0:26:12.720
<v Speaker 4>wide open about how United is adopting staff compared to

0:26:12.760 --> 0:26:16.440
<v Speaker 4>my peers, and we are we adopting too fast or

0:26:16.480 --> 0:26:19.240
<v Speaker 4>too slow? And how do we make sure that there's

0:26:19.280 --> 0:26:21.840
<v Speaker 4>parity and costs because we are such a super price

0:26:21.880 --> 0:26:26.720
<v Speaker 4>sensitive industry that actually shouldn't be a barrier, and that

0:26:26.720 --> 0:26:29.840
<v Speaker 4>shouldn't be how we're thinking about building a marketplace for

0:26:29.920 --> 0:26:32.560
<v Speaker 4>something that doesn't exist, and the only way to address

0:26:32.600 --> 0:26:35.840
<v Speaker 4>that is creative financing. And that's a lot policy. But

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:38.680
<v Speaker 4>then it's a lot you know, the financial institutions coming

0:26:38.720 --> 0:26:41.400
<v Speaker 4>to the table and helping us sort of share risks,

0:26:41.520 --> 0:26:44.320
<v Speaker 4>spread that out, figure out mechanisms that allow us to

0:26:44.400 --> 0:26:48.280
<v Speaker 4>actually step into this space materially without asking me to

0:26:48.320 --> 0:26:50.520
<v Speaker 4>sign a ten year off take agreement, which I'm not

0:26:50.560 --> 0:26:53.640
<v Speaker 4>going to do. So we need to continue to sort

0:26:53.640 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 4>of nudge and push and shape what is a bit

0:26:56.640 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 4>of a different approach for financing for industries like mine

0:27:00.119 --> 0:27:01.680
<v Speaker 4>that needs a transition. And I think we're going to

0:27:01.720 --> 0:27:04.200
<v Speaker 4>get there, and I'm really excited about that, so thank

0:27:04.280 --> 0:27:05.520
<v Speaker 4>you to all of you out there. They're going to

0:27:05.520 --> 0:27:07.160
<v Speaker 4>open up your check book after this conversation.

0:27:08.680 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 2>I think that's a great note to end on. Lauren,

0:27:10.560 --> 0:27:11.280
<v Speaker 2>thank you so much.

0:27:11.400 --> 0:27:11.840
<v Speaker 4>Pleasure.

0:27:22.880 --> 0:27:26.000
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0:27:26.080 --> 0:27:29.760
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0:27:29.800 --> 0:27:32.960
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