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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How? Why are you welcome into a

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Speaker 1: fourth of July episode of the Daily Juice podcast with

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Speaker 1: me Matt Perolt at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter for now here on this podcast being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by our friends at Omaha Steaks dot com.

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Speaker 1: dot com. Okay, so right now it is five to

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Speaker 1: four Marlins. Let me double check lead. Just look here,

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Speaker 1: it's nine o'clock on the East Coast. Or struggling here

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Speaker 1: with this, it's five to four bottom eight Marlins need

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Speaker 1: to record three more outs and they will win this game,

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Speaker 1: and we will go one and oh on the day

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Speaker 1: the late game the Mariners over. We got a good

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Speaker 1: number seven. It's eight now at some books, seven and

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Speaker 1: a half at some books. For that number for the

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Speaker 1: Mariners game, we'll have to wake up in the morning

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Speaker 1: and be like East Coast people and realize, Okay, I

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Speaker 1: go one in one or two and two if the

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Speaker 1: Marlins hold on, I don't know. So it's a fourth

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Speaker 1: of July. I am here in Vegas or sorry, I'm

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Speaker 1: here in Boston four tomorrow or today, and then I

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Speaker 1: am home for the recording of the Juice for Thirsty. Okay,

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Speaker 1: barring any travel nightmare situation. Okay, I am traveling at night,

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Speaker 1: so there might be a little bit of a snap

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Speaker 1: foo or two. I'm supposed to be back in Vegas

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Speaker 1: at eight thirty Pacific time on Wednesday night. If that

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Speaker 1: doesn't happen, I'll let you guys know. So there could

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Speaker 1: be a travel problem here or there, but hopefully everything's

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Speaker 1: going to work out well, there'll be no issues and

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Speaker 1: we'll be back to record the podcast for Thursday on

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Speaker 1: Wednesday night. So just heads up on my travel situation

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Speaker 1: as to what's going on. If you don't see a

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Speaker 1: podcast drop, look at my Twitter account or look at

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Speaker 1: my Instagram account. I'll update you guys as to what's

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Speaker 1: going on on both those. Supposedly there is a rival

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Speaker 1: coming out to Twitter this week that Instagram is going

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Speaker 1: to be doing, which I am welcoming with open arms.

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Speaker 1: Give me an alternative and that's where I will go.

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Speaker 1: Right now, here's the thing. If you have not joined

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Speaker 1: our Discord channel, you really should join it, particular ahead

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Speaker 1: of football season. You said one hundred percent join it,

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Speaker 1: but Discord just did a big purge. If you haven't

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Speaker 1: been active I think in the last ninety days on

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Speaker 1: our Discord channel, you've been kicked out. Okay, so to

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Speaker 1: get in, it's bettingpros dot com slash chat to get

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Speaker 1: the invitation to go and join our Discord channel. If

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Speaker 1: you haven't used Discord in a while, but you keep

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Speaker 1: listening to this podcast, check out your Discord channel in

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Speaker 1: whether or not you're able to access the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: discord channel. There might be a problem there for you.

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Speaker 1: Just FYI on that. Take a look at it, because

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Speaker 1: there may be you know, you may be kicked out,

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Speaker 1: So get back in. Be a part of our discord

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Speaker 1: channel here with Bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get

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Speaker 1: into it. Okay, it's like I mentioned, I don't know

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Speaker 1: what happened yesterday. It probably is a one to no mark.

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Speaker 1: We're we're worth three outs away from from getting there

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Speaker 1: for the Marlin who are up five to four on

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. So we're hoping that we see a w here.

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Speaker 1: We're hoping we get a win. But five to four

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Speaker 1: now with still one out in the bottom of pitching

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Speaker 1: chains coming for the Cardinals here, so we'll see what

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Speaker 1: happens with the Mariners and the Giants. That total. We

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Speaker 1: bet over seven in that game, and it's well, I

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Speaker 1: went back down to seven, Okay, so I saw seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, so you saw eight. So it looks

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Speaker 1: like the under came in with some money for Web

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Speaker 1: and WU. But we're going over there on that game,

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Speaker 1: so either should be a one in one night at

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Speaker 1: worst here for a Monday into a Tuesday Okay, so

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Speaker 1: let's start talking about a couple of games for tomorrow. Look,

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Speaker 1: if you are somebody who wants to bet the hot

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Speaker 1: dog eating contest, I think you bet the over this year.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think seventy two and a half for

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Speaker 1: Joey chestnutt he's gonna win this thing. I think the

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Speaker 1: books are finally putting up a number. Everyone has bet

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Speaker 1: under under under. It's kind of like the Army Navy game.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's like, bet the under, bet the under. Well, I

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Speaker 1: think Army Navy went over when everybody started betting the

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Speaker 1: under seventy two and a half. You know, he gets

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Speaker 1: the seventy three dogs and he goes over. I don't

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Speaker 1: bet this crap. I don't watch this crap. It's you know,

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Speaker 1: it is what it is. It's some people get into it.

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Speaker 1: I really don't. I get nauseous watching it, to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest. So if you have to have action on

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Speaker 1: the hot dog geting contest, there you go. I say,

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Speaker 1: bet the over seventy two and a half dogs. I

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Speaker 1: won't be betting it. It is a Tani day Angels

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Speaker 1: and the Padres. The total is seven and a half

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Speaker 1: here for this game. This is pretty interesting. When you

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Speaker 1: start looking at some of the numbers here for the Angels,

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Speaker 1: and what the Angels have done Atani on the road

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Speaker 1: is not as good of a picture, and Musgrove at

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Speaker 1: home is not as good of a picture as he

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Speaker 1: normally would be. So while the numbers are sitting there

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Speaker 1: going like, all right, it's seven and a half, these

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Speaker 1: seven and a half, it's not like I am, you know,

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Speaker 1: completely blindly betting over seven and a half. But when

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Speaker 1: I do see it, I start to look at this

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Speaker 1: and go, hmm, do I really want to get involved

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Speaker 1: with this? Because I I think there's a chance the

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Speaker 1: games go over simply because of how the teams generally play,

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Speaker 1: and the Angels look. They're not awful offensively, they've been

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Speaker 1: scoring at times decently. They had the day off yesterday,

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Speaker 1: they're on the road down to San Diego, and I'll

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Speaker 1: be really curious to see what happens. Now, the game

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Speaker 1: last night hasn't even started yet by the time I'm

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Speaker 1: taping this podcast, So just fyis you're watching the game

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Speaker 1: going like, wait a minute, like, what happened last night?

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Speaker 1: I don't know, I really don't know what happened last night,

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Speaker 1: But we're talking about the July fourth game for this

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Speaker 1: and look the pitching changes. When I'm putting this up

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Speaker 1: so early, I'm hoping the pitching change does nothing happens here.

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Speaker 1: This is a TBS game. It's Otani against Muscarove. Otani

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Speaker 1: seven and three with a three point zero two ERA,

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Speaker 1: but Atani on the road has a four point zero

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Speaker 1: three ERA and the posing batting average at two hundred.

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Speaker 1: That's not exactly amazing. Okay, I totally understand that it's

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Speaker 1: not huge, but it is something to look at. Here.

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Speaker 1: When he goes on the road, he's not nearly as good.

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Speaker 1: He's still good, but not nearly as good. Against Texas,

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Speaker 1: gave up two runs, five to three final. In that

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Speaker 1: game against Houston, gave up four earned runs five runs,

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Speaker 1: a six to two final. Last two times on the road,

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Speaker 1: eight runs have been scored. So we're going over seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. Okay. Musk Grove at home has not

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Speaker 1: been as good as Muskgrove on the road, and maybe

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Speaker 1: you get Otani and the bats get going here against

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Speaker 1: Joe Musgrove, he has a four point three to four ERA.

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Speaker 1: At home he is three to one, but a two

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Speaker 1: three opposing batting average eighteen earned runs in thirty seven

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Speaker 1: and a third innings or worth of work in last

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Speaker 1: time out. Yes, it was good against the Washington against

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Speaker 1: Washington Nationals, but sixteen runs got scored thirteen to three,

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Speaker 1: seven innings, one earned run against Tampa six innings, two

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Speaker 1: earned runs against Cleveland six innings, three earned runs. So

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Speaker 1: he gives up three runs in five innings. The bullpen

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Speaker 1: comes in. If Atani gives up three or four runs,

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Speaker 1: it's three to three after seven, and we're you know,

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Speaker 1: we're heading towards a pretty good number here that we're

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Speaker 1: gonna wind up getting ourselves eight runs scored in this game.

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Speaker 1: I got even money on this. I'm betting the over

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Speaker 1: over between the Padres and the Angels over seven and

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Speaker 1: a half even money. Yep. I know it's a tawny

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Speaker 1: but kind of like what we've seen a little bit

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Speaker 1: with guys like al Contra. You know, I think the

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Speaker 1: books haven't adjusted properly to see what's happening with some

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Speaker 1: of these starting pitchers. Over seven and a half Padres

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Speaker 1: and the Angels, and just one more bet here on

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Speaker 1: July the fourth, and this is what you know. I

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Speaker 1: haven't been watching kind of baseball obviously, I've been on vacation,

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Speaker 1: but the Rays are the number one team at home

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Speaker 1: in Major League Baseball. The Rays are taking on the Phillies.

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Speaker 1: The Phillies twenty two and twenty three. On the road,

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Speaker 1: the Rays are thirty four and ten at home, so

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Speaker 1: they're minus one forty. It's Nola against e Flynn though,

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Speaker 1: and it's seven and a half, but the over is

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Speaker 1: juiced to minus one twenty. The reason for that is

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Speaker 1: that the numbers for the Tampa Bay Rays at home

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Speaker 1: have been pretty impressive. Okay, Tampa at home is twenty nine,

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Speaker 1: fourteen and one to the over. Philly is eighteen, twenty

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Speaker 1: four and three to the over. So they're an underteam

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Speaker 1: on the road. But you take a look at the

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Speaker 1: fact Tampa's gone over the last three games, and maybe

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Speaker 1: you have a chance to get after Nola a little

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Speaker 1: bit and maybe we have some offensive, you know, punch

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Speaker 1: from the Rays who come in. Nola's era on the

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Speaker 1: road is five point three four two forty five opposing

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Speaker 1: batting average, eleven home runs given up on the road.

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Speaker 1: These Rays hit a ton of home runs, but this

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Speaker 1: offense for Philadelphia maybe comes up, Maybe they come to life.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it's a chance for Philly to score some runs here.

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia scored nineteen runs against Washington a couple of days ago,

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Speaker 1: so you know they've been putting some runs on the board.

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Speaker 1: Eight against Chicago, you know, just in the last five games.

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Speaker 1: Is the first meeting of the year between the Rays

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Speaker 1: and the Phillies, and sometimes when these teams play each other,

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Speaker 1: you know, some wonky things can happen. Zach Efflin at

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Speaker 1: home is a two point one seven Erai's eight and

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Speaker 1: oh with a two hundre and nine batting average. So again,

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Speaker 1: I definitely think you could leave more. If you're interested

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Speaker 1: in laying juice, you can lay it with an eat

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Speaker 1: with a MIAs one forty bet for the for the

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Speaker 1: for the Rays at home. I don't hate that, just

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Speaker 1: not really interested in laying that type of juice in

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Speaker 1: particularly when's only Mius one twenty for the over seven

200
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Speaker 1: and a half. I think there's a good chance we

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Speaker 1: get this. I'm gonna go with the over over taking

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Speaker 1: the Rays on the money line, but I'll have a

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Speaker 1: personal play on the raised money line as well, so

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Speaker 1: you want to have more action. I think could take

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Speaker 1: the Rays to win the game. With Zach Eflin on

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Speaker 1: there only MIS one forty MIS one twenty over seven

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Speaker 1: and a half runs, Phillies and the rays Mius one

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Speaker 1: twenty one point two units down on that all right,

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Speaker 1: just two point two units in play here today for

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Speaker 1: the fourth of July. I got obviously Tuesday Wednesday left

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Speaker 1: of the vacation. Then I'm back on Thursday, and I'll

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Speaker 1: be able to really start to dig into what's going

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Speaker 1: to happen this weekend. We'll open up, we'll start taking

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Speaker 1: advantage in the bank roll a little bit. As to

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Speaker 1: where we are here, we've done pretty well here. It's

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Speaker 1: been it's been pretty fun to see what we've done

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Speaker 1: and how things have gone and the way things have

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Speaker 1: rolled for us over the last couple of weeks podcasts.

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Speaker 1: Let's see if we're updated here in terms of where

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Speaker 1: we've been total wise for us on the podcast now

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Speaker 1: we are now, No, we haven't. We have not updated

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Speaker 1: it yet. So we're over fifty four percent I believe

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Speaker 1: hitting on the podcast historically, so which is good. And

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Speaker 1: we're up I think nearly twenty two to twenty one

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Speaker 1: unit so far. I'll get that officially tomorrow for us

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Speaker 1: to be able to roll with it. But over seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, angels over seven and a half for

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Speaker 1: the raise, even money in minus one twenty for those

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Speaker 1: two bets. Happy Fourth of July. Please do me a

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Speaker 1: favor and don't do anything stupid with your hands. Okay,

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Speaker 1: want all ten digits for you guys for the rest

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Speaker 1: of your life. Okay, don't be dumb, don't drink and

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Speaker 1: let a fire be safe. Don't drink in boat on

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Speaker 1: top of that as well. Okay, drunk driving on a water,

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Speaker 1: you know, with a boat is just as bad as

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Speaker 1: drunk driving on a car, So be careful for everyone

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Speaker 1: around you. Have a safe, healthy and happy Fourth of July.

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Speaker 1: Enjoy it and we'll be back. Coming up tomorrow for

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Speaker 1: another episode of the DLA Juice podcast. ILS being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by Alma Stakes dot Com.