1 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:17,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 2: Travel and leisure forecasting a rebound in it's timeshare business. 3 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 2: Not really a rebound. It's actually continues to see strong 4 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 2: games year after year. It's done well in this sector. 5 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 2: The company does see travel and membership revenue falling in 6 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 2: the second half of the year. Shares are near twenty 7 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 2: twenty two levels, so they've really that's where you've seen 8 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 2: a rebound. Joining us now is Mike Brown, the president 9 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 2: and CEO of the company, And Mike, you know, I'm 10 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:47,880 Speaker 2: looking at the numbers that just get better and better 11 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 2: and better every year in terms of estimates, but travel 12 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 2: has been a worry, especially for lower end consumers this year. 13 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 2: How does it look to you? 14 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 3: Well, for us, we've seen I think the two words 15 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 3: I describe or resilience and consistency. We saw throughout the 16 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 3: second quarter. Why there was some wobble early in the 17 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:10,679 Speaker 3: quarter from hotel groups, ours continued to stay strong and 18 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 3: our consumers, who typically book about four months prior to 19 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:19,400 Speaker 3: the summer travel, they own their vacation already, they've planned 20 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 3: for it, so they're going to use it. And we 21 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,480 Speaker 3: didn't see any wobble for us at any point in 22 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 3: the second quarter, and then as we look already into 23 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 3: the third quarter, travel remains consistent and steady for the 24 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:33,759 Speaker 3: next ninety days. 25 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: Interesting. So you have a very unique business model, if 26 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: you want to call it that. So, you know, unlike 27 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,120 Speaker 1: talking to some of the peers that we would consider 28 00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:44,400 Speaker 1: in the travel industry, like you said, you have a 29 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: much more set sort of membership base. So I mean, 30 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: do you describe yourselves as selling time shares? Is that 31 00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: or do you phrase it differently? 32 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 3: No, it's time share, Some people call it vacation ownership, 33 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 3: shared ownership. Either way, the fundamentals are very straightforward. Is 34 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 3: you prepay your vacations and in times in rising prices 35 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,640 Speaker 3: like we've seen the last three years, the value you 36 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 3: get in your ownership is just super noticeable. For families 37 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 3: who are looking to preserve the value of their vacation dollars, 38 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 3: they're definitely going to go. And what we've seen this 39 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 3: year is as prices have risen for hotel rates or 40 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 3: vacation rentals, they've seen incredible value in their ownership. And 41 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 3: for our owner base, which is over eight hundred thousand, 42 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 3: eighty percent of them have fully paid for their ownership. 43 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 3: So there's no reason for them not to travel. Usually 44 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,959 Speaker 3: the only decision they make are are they going to 45 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,360 Speaker 3: fly or are they going to drive? And even in 46 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 3: those trends, we haven't seen a change. So value flexibility 47 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 3: and they fully paid for it. So why not get 48 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 3: on vacation this summer. 49 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 2: That's interesting. So when these airlines, the big airlines come 50 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 2: out with earnings lately, what they're saying is it's their 51 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 2: higher income consumer, it's you know, premium economy, it's the 52 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 2: business class tickets that are doing well. What's your target 53 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 2: market at travel and leisure? Who are you selling these 54 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 2: properties to? 55 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 3: So as we came out of COVID, we changed our approach. 56 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 3: We saw that our business was most efficient at a 57 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 3: six hundred and forty FICO and above, and that's so 58 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 3: our minimum standard. But our average FICO for new purchasers 59 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 3: is seven hundred and forty six, average household income almost 60 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty thousand dollars, and as far as 61 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 3: Gen X millennials and Gen Z that represents nearly seventy 62 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 3: percent of our new purchasers. So it's really appealing to well, 63 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 3: let me flip it around. We're less exposed to that 64 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 3: lower and consumer that you were just speaking to, and 65 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 3: we're showing that the hiring consumer that seven forty six 66 00:03:56,440 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 3: FICO traveler is continuing to go on vacant and we're 67 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 3: benefiting from it. Our forward look is showing our bookings 68 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 3: to be super consistent for the next three months, as 69 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 3: well as our portfolio loans of people who do use 70 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 3: finance to purchase their timeshare. There's really been no deterioration 71 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 3: in the portfolio that we have, Mike. 72 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: In the commercial break, Matt and I were taking a 73 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 1: look at the MODL screen on the Bloomberg terminal, taking 74 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: a look at the different segment revenues for travel and leisure, 75 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,039 Speaker 1: and you can see the vacation ownership, like Matt talked about, 76 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:36,599 Speaker 1: it's been steadily growing over the past several quarters. But 77 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,799 Speaker 1: then I take a look at corporate has been declining. 78 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: It looks like for several periods in a row here, 79 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 1: and I wonder how you're approaching that part of the business. 80 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,359 Speaker 1: Are you deemphasizing this or is there a plan to 81 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: turn corporate around. 82 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:55,160 Speaker 3: Well, we basically have two primary segments and the core 83 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,840 Speaker 3: of our business. Seventy percent of our EBITA comes from 84 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 3: our vacation ownership segment we've launched. Over the past three years, 85 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 3: we've rebranded the company from Windom Destinations to Travel Leisure 86 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 3: because we want to pursue a multi brand strategy. With 87 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 3: that strategy, we've been able to acquire a core vacation club, 88 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 3: a world class hospitality brand. We've been able to accelerate Margaritaville, 89 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 3: and we'll be launching later this year Sports Illustrated Resorts, 90 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 3: so we will be we will be emphasizing that segment 91 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 3: of the business. The corporate which is which depending on terminology, 92 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,640 Speaker 3: is really a portion of our business, the smaller one 93 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 3: that has structural headwinds that we think will become less 94 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 3: a portion of our business going forward. But despite those headwinds, 95 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:50,479 Speaker 3: we've been able to meet our second quarter targets of 96 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 3: two hundred and fifty million of view and reafform reaffirm 97 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 3: our full year guidance. So we think we'll see more 98 00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 3: emphasis on the vospace and less emphasize us on the 99 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 3: rest of the business going forward. But we think that 100 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 3: strategy will lead to mid single digit growth and incredible 101 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,480 Speaker 3: return of cash to our shareholders, which is about fifty 102 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 3: percent free cash flow to Ebita. 103 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 2: Much has been made of a ten percent drop eleven 104 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 2: percent drop in the US dollar from its hives. Mike, 105 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 2: does this affect you? How do you look at this? 106 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:27,919 Speaker 2: Are are you know, Europeans with more money able to 107 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 2: come over and spend more? Are Are are you having uh? 108 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 2: You know, are are you having to pay a little 109 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 2: bit more when you buy foreign destinations? What's what's what's 110 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 2: the mean to you? 111 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 3: Yeah? You know, all the macro news, whether it's currency inflation, tariffs, 112 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,599 Speaker 3: none of that has really impacted US. And it's for 113 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 3: some simple reasons. Percent of our US consumer ninety percent 114 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:03,279 Speaker 3: of our consumers are US domisi child, which means all 115 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:07,480 Speaker 3: of our risk is inside the US, which has great regulation, 116 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 3: it has great affinity toward brands like ours. So the 117 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 3: international travel, the weakness of the dollar, it might affect 118 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 3: us positively for European travel to the US, but it's 119 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 3: really on the margin. It won't affect our full year results. 120 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:31,239 Speaker 3: It simply may modestly change our mix because of our acquisitions. 121 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 3: For instance, a core vacation club is primarily in Asia. 122 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 3: All of that cash recycles within the region and it 123 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 3: doesn't create an incremental risk to US. And again, ten 124 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 3: percent of our business is international, So what we're really 125 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 3: watching for is how the US economy and how the 126 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 3: US consumer is holding up. And as we saw in 127 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 3: Q three, as we're already seeing, sorry, as we saw 128 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 3: in Q two, and as we're already seeing in Q three, 129 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 3: that consumer and the US economy from our perspective, is 130 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 3: holding up extremely well. 131 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: All Right, that's a good place to leave it. Mike, 132 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: always great to speak with you. That is Mike Brown. 133 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 1: He is the CEO of Travel and Leisure