WEBVTT - Are Multi-Factor ETFs the New Active Mutual Fund?

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<v Speaker 1>Polcano trillions. I'm Joel Webber and I'm Eric Bell Tunis Eric.

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<v Speaker 1>There's this thing out there called factors. What is a factor, right? Factors?

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<v Speaker 1>Obviously it's a word many people know for many different things,

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<v Speaker 1>like the X factor. So factor to me, I would

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<v Speaker 1>just assume is there are things that have characteristics of

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<v Speaker 1>stocks that aren't say large, mid and small and more

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<v Speaker 1>traditional ways to slice and dice stocks, or characteristics being

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<v Speaker 1>growth and value. To me, are the two biggies. They

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<v Speaker 1>were like, you know, they've been around for like thirty

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<v Speaker 1>forty years, if not longer, but now they've kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of academic research has uh come out and

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<v Speaker 1>divided it into even more fine factors. So the big

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<v Speaker 1>ones that seem to be legitimately accepted our value, cheap stocks,

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<v Speaker 1>momentum right where all the sort of performance chasing quality,

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<v Speaker 1>which is sort of more like the Warren Buffett look

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<v Speaker 1>for good balance sheets. Then you've got size, which is uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, smaller size stocks. And these are the things

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<v Speaker 1>that active managers have been leaning on for years to

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<v Speaker 1>get out performance. So they studied how does active outperform

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<v Speaker 1>and they figured out, well, they're either leaning towards small caps,

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<v Speaker 1>they're leaning towards value, they're chasing performance, or they're leaning

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<v Speaker 1>on good balance sheets. So what they've done now is

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<v Speaker 1>they've taken those alpha techniques and made them into beta,

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<v Speaker 1>which is just a mark, you know, an index that

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<v Speaker 1>tracks these techniques. So to me, factors are taking alpha

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<v Speaker 1>and converting it into cheap beta. And once you've got

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<v Speaker 1>that index, that's where the ETF comes in. And they're

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<v Speaker 1>highly popular, as you can imagine, because to take these

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<v Speaker 1>little methods and then maybe you put them on top

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<v Speaker 1>of your portfolio. Sometimes you can replace them. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>way to try to outperform, but for way less cost

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<v Speaker 1>than you would pay an active mutual fund manager. In

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<v Speaker 1>some of the cases, the big popular ones are under

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<v Speaker 1>twenty basis points at this point. Um This year, I

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<v Speaker 1>think is a big year for factory t f s.

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<v Speaker 1>Four of them are in the top twenty inflows year

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<v Speaker 1>to date, and they are accounting for forty billion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>in flows. If you take all equity e t F

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<v Speaker 1>flows this here's only five billion. Now, there's some weird

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<v Speaker 1>things that go into that net number, but let's just

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<v Speaker 1>take away that a lot of people are using factory

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<v Speaker 1>tf this year, especially low ball to sort of low volatility.

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<v Speaker 1>That's low volatility. There are stocks that don't move around

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<v Speaker 1>a lot. They're using these factory tfs this year, I

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<v Speaker 1>think more on the defensive tip as a way to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of navigate a market that's a little more volatile

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<v Speaker 1>geopolitical situation that's volatile, and that's the way they're playing

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<v Speaker 1>uh it this year. So factory t f s are

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<v Speaker 1>can be used tactically short term or bought for the

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<v Speaker 1>long term, which is the multi factor idea, which we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to get into. That multi factor thing is exactly

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<v Speaker 1>where we bring in. If you know anything about Trillions,

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<v Speaker 1>you know that we love to outsource whenever possible with

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<v Speaker 1>the Field Report. And so Anti Massa joins us on

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<v Speaker 1>this episode of Trillions to talk about the multiverse universe

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<v Speaker 1>multi Do you know about the multiverse? Well, that's trip.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a whole different situation, but I it does. They

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<v Speaker 1>both have the word multi in them. So so Anti

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<v Speaker 1>Massa from Bloomberg News joining us on t this time

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<v Speaker 1>on Trillions, the multi factor universe. Annie, welcome back to Trillions. Hi,

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<v Speaker 1>what is multi factor? So multi factor is the idea

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<v Speaker 1>of taking many different factors and combining them into a

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<v Speaker 1>single product. And the reason you might want to do

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<v Speaker 1>that is because you're trying to capture the different attributes

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<v Speaker 1>of different factors and outperform in that way. So what

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<v Speaker 1>what are you getting exposure wise with these products? Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so I bear with me. I've never seen the Avengers,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'm just gonna I have so many questions. How

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<v Speaker 1>could you not have seen the Avengers? But I'm just

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<v Speaker 1>completely gonna wing it with this analogy. So let's see

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<v Speaker 1>where it goes. So if you have a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>different factors, all these different traits basically of that are

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<v Speaker 1>supposed to drive investment performance. When you put them together

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<v Speaker 1>in a multi factor product, it's kind of like having

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<v Speaker 1>a team of superheroes. Does that work? Yeah, we're traveling

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<v Speaker 1>Wilberries there. It's like a supergroup with Bob Dylan, George Harrison,

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<v Speaker 1>and the guy from Yellow He's great. I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>just forget his name. So Traveling Wilberries are multi factor

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<v Speaker 1>e T S. Yeah, I mean, how could I explain

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<v Speaker 1>it anymore clearly than that? And Eric, when you when

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<v Speaker 1>you think about the multi factor e T F s,

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<v Speaker 1>what are you looking at the reason that we're very

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<v Speaker 1>bullish and b I on this category is because when

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<v Speaker 1>you think about single factors, it sometimes takes timing, and

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<v Speaker 1>when low ball is hot, that sometimes people chase into it.

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<v Speaker 1>Then it gets unhot and people get disappointed. Over the

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<v Speaker 1>past five seven years, I find that people advisors have

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<v Speaker 1>been a little turned off by trying to time these.

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<v Speaker 1>Multi factor takes all that off their hands. They don't

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<v Speaker 1>need to worry about it. It says, hey, look, let's

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<v Speaker 1>just try to track them all at once, and it

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<v Speaker 1>can lower the volatility between the factors. So it makes

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of sense. But like if I am commercially,

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<v Speaker 1>if we're in a moment where momentum is hot and

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<v Speaker 1>you get exposured to momentum, but I also have you know,

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<v Speaker 1>growth or value that's not going to be as dominant

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<v Speaker 1>of a factor. How does that come into play? What

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<v Speaker 1>you look, This is the same thing as diversification, the

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<v Speaker 1>whole concept you're going to sacrifice the home run to

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<v Speaker 1>ensure a singular double. Right, that's the same concept. Momentum

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<v Speaker 1>is hot and you don't own the momentum e TF

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<v Speaker 1>and you will multi factor. You're not gonna feel all that.

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<v Speaker 1>That's what you give up though, But Remember, momentum can

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<v Speaker 1>go bad and sour quickly, and I think for advisors,

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<v Speaker 1>they generally face their client every once in a while

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<v Speaker 1>they show them the sheet of funds they own, and

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<v Speaker 1>I just think a multi factor won't move that much

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<v Speaker 1>different than the S and P, whereas a momentum et

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<v Speaker 1>F can really lag or value et F and that's

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<v Speaker 1>harder to explain. So I think the multi factor is

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<v Speaker 1>will make the radar less when they have that client interaction,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's why I think they're gaining popularity and could

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<v Speaker 1>grow a lot. By the way. One other thing is

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<v Speaker 1>there are some multi factor funds that are actually trying

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<v Speaker 1>to time the market using factors, so actually rotating through

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<v Speaker 1>um these different factors, and and that's I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like it's a little bit untested, but that's another

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<v Speaker 1>way that they're trying to account for different factors performing

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<v Speaker 1>better at different times. When we think about how we

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<v Speaker 1>classify these, smart beta comes to mind. Is this a

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<v Speaker 1>form of smart beta? Yeah, multi factor and factor products

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<v Speaker 1>are under the smart beta umbrella because you're just basically

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<v Speaker 1>using something other and market cap weighted indexes to try

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<v Speaker 1>and drive returns. In smart beta. ERIC is another way

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<v Speaker 1>of talking about active Yes, so I would consider factors

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<v Speaker 1>a massive area within the wider tent of smart beta

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<v Speaker 1>because some people wouldn't consider growth maybe a technical factor,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's definitely in there. Um. I also think equal

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<v Speaker 1>weighted and there's some that just wait by revenue. There

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<v Speaker 1>are they technically factors? No, but they're all part of

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<v Speaker 1>this way to do something different than a market cap

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<v Speaker 1>weighted index. Uh And really, in my opinion, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>new active. This is your chance to maybe outperform. It

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<v Speaker 1>used to pick an active mutual fund for that. Now

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<v Speaker 1>people are doing it this way. And any what did

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<v Speaker 1>you what was the big takeaway would you learn? Well?

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<v Speaker 1>I went to this conference, this inside smart Beta conference,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was out in Boston back in the spring,

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<v Speaker 1>and a bunch of financial advisors attended, and smart beta

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<v Speaker 1>is obviously the focus of the conference, but multi factor

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<v Speaker 1>is a huge Multi factor investing was a huge topic

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<v Speaker 1>and a lot of the financial risers were trying to

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<v Speaker 1>figure out is this something that their clients would be interested?

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<v Speaker 1>How should I think about factors? How should I think

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<v Speaker 1>about timing the market may be using factors? And these

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<v Speaker 1>were the kinds of questions that were coming up. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so and he took a recorder to this event, so

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<v Speaker 1>we'll soon find out what you learned. But a report

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<v Speaker 1>kicks off in the black Rock clubby I'm Andrew head

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<v Speaker 1>of Factor Investing at black Rock Today. I'm at Spine

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<v Speaker 1>white Hole in the hall. When you enter one of

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<v Speaker 1>the reception areas at Black Rocks Manhattan headquarters on fifty

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<v Speaker 1>three Street, there's a TV screen behind the front desk

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<v Speaker 1>playing an ad campaign on loop. It features Dr Andrew Ang,

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<v Speaker 1>black Rocks head of Factors, talking to celebrities about a

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<v Speaker 1>certain kind of rules based investment strategy called factor investing.

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<v Speaker 1>The two main outcomes for investors to enhance returns ultra

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<v Speaker 1>reduced risk and we can inhance returns with value quality momentum.

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<v Speaker 1>And in one of these spots, and talks to Frozen

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<v Speaker 1>star Adina Menzou, you know the one who's saying let

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<v Speaker 1>it go. And they find surprising common ground between factor

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<v Speaker 1>investing and musical performance. I think investments in music um

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<v Speaker 1>will sim a little bit different. Music has structures that

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<v Speaker 1>can move you investments and numbers. They're all about these

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<v Speaker 1>patents too. Yeah, I feel like my set list is

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<v Speaker 1>my investment portfolio. I try to achieve some balance and

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<v Speaker 1>harmony to tell an even greater story. So what are

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<v Speaker 1>the key attributes of a great investment factor? Investing is

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<v Speaker 1>becoming a bigger deal in the E t F industry.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a somewhat unusual clash of academia where factors originated

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<v Speaker 1>and the fast paced investing world. I wanted to take

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<v Speaker 1>a closer look at how factors are getting woven into

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<v Speaker 1>E t F products. In particular, I wanted to find

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<v Speaker 1>out why asset managers are becoming interested and even more

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<v Speaker 1>complex products called multi factor funds. Here's how Ben Johnson,

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<v Speaker 1>an analyst at morning Star, explained the factor landscape to me.

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<v Speaker 1>If you think about multi factor strategies, I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's easiest just to decompose that into you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>two sort of component words. They're multi in factor. So

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<v Speaker 1>easiest to start with factors, which are just sources of

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<v Speaker 1>returns that can be explained by a story that has

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of intuition behind it. First and foremost. So

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<v Speaker 1>let's take value as an example of one of the

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<v Speaker 1>best known factors. It makes sense to buy stocks and

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<v Speaker 1>bonds that are cheap relative to what they're truly worth

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<v Speaker 1>everyone I think can get comfortable with the concept of

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<v Speaker 1>buying low and selling high. Value is one of the

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<v Speaker 1>most straightforward factors, picking out investments that are inexpensive to

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<v Speaker 1>buy compared with some measure of what they're actually worth.

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<v Speaker 1>Another basic factor, growth singles out investments that might be

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<v Speaker 1>younger and likely to increase in earnings growth and returns.

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<v Speaker 1>The idea of combining and harnessing the power of various

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<v Speaker 1>factors together lad to the birth of multi factor funds.

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<v Speaker 1>Trying to exploit any one of these factors in isolation

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<v Speaker 1>can be difficult because these factors have times where they

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<v Speaker 1>do very well, they have times where they do very poorly.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you can mix them together in a multi

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<v Speaker 1>factor fund, the idea is is that it will smooth

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<v Speaker 1>out that that volatility. So multi factory t f s

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<v Speaker 1>attempt to do this, putting them all together in a

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<v Speaker 1>construct that, for all intends and purposes, looks like an

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<v Speaker 1>an active strategy at the end of the day. Multi

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<v Speaker 1>factor investing is a relatively new phenomenon in ETFs. There

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<v Speaker 1>are about a hundred and eighty six multi factor e

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<v Speaker 1>t f s on the market, with more than half

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<v Speaker 1>of those launched since According to morning Star data, these

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<v Speaker 1>multi factor funds have about fifty five five billion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>in assets. So what's behind this increased interest in the

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<v Speaker 1>multi factor approach and will it really click for retail investors?

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<v Speaker 1>I headed to a recent conference in Boston looking for

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<v Speaker 1>some answers inside SPARTBATO was held in June at a

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<v Speaker 1>hotel overlooking the Boston Harbor. It's a conference that attracts

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of financial advisors, and factor investing was a

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<v Speaker 1>big topic this year. My feet got a little worn

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<v Speaker 1>out chasing down advisors all day to talk factors, but

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<v Speaker 1>it was worth it. I just said, to tell you,

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<v Speaker 1>I love your shoes. I was like, So, with an

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<v Speaker 1>unexpected boost of confidence, I sought out Scott Ladner, CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of Horizon Investments, a financial advisory firm. He spoke on

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<v Speaker 1>a panel about how to time the market using factors.

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<v Speaker 1>Scott chatted with me on the sidelines about the proliferation

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<v Speaker 1>of multi factor e t f s. One big hurdle

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<v Speaker 1>for adoption, he said, is how to bring them to

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<v Speaker 1>a mainstream audience. If you go talk to financial advisors,

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<v Speaker 1>many of them don't really understand how to use the factors,

0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:24.840
<v Speaker 1>especially the multi factor thing, um and and really, if

0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:27.319
<v Speaker 1>you're going to drive assets into these strategies, you've got

0:13:27.320 --> 0:13:29.240
<v Speaker 1>to tell people how to use men. Why, you know,

0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:31.680
<v Speaker 1>we we've not seen a lot of adoption as a

0:13:31.720 --> 0:13:34.079
<v Speaker 1>one offer standpoint from from the pointancial advisors for the

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:37.800
<v Speaker 1>multifactor funds again because fundamentally, financial advisors are going to

0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 1>put their clients into things that they can explain back

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:43.000
<v Speaker 1>to them, um and and and if financial advisors are

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:46.280
<v Speaker 1>having trouble understanding the purpose of a fund or holding

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:48.439
<v Speaker 1>in their portfolio, they're gonna be much less likely to

0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:51.160
<v Speaker 1>use it because when and if it goes wrong, the

0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:53.480
<v Speaker 1>answer is, you know that they're going to need to

0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:54.640
<v Speaker 1>be ab explain to the client why it was in

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:56.360
<v Speaker 1>there in the first place, and what when, what went wrong,

0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:58.200
<v Speaker 1>and what they're going to do to fix it. And

0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:02.000
<v Speaker 1>the multi factor suee UM is just more complicated. It's

0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 1>just one more layer of complexity, and so that the

0:14:04.360 --> 0:14:06.760
<v Speaker 1>hurdle to get something like that into an individual advisor's

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:12.199
<v Speaker 1>portfolio is rather high. Kip Meadows, CEO of the firm Nottingham,

0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:14.560
<v Speaker 1>says the multi factor approach makes sense as a way

0:14:14.600 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 1>to sort of blend active and passive investment strategies. These

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 1>products usually are less expensive than actively managed mutual funds,

0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:26.000
<v Speaker 1>but praise here than e t f s tracking broad benchmarks.

0:14:26.080 --> 0:14:30.000
<v Speaker 1>Who's been talking the industry about active e t s

0:14:30.080 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 1>for quite a while, it's always this year might be

0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:35.800
<v Speaker 1>the year for active e t s, and then it

0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:38.160
<v Speaker 1>doesn't quite have the growth, and it seems to be

0:14:38.200 --> 0:14:41.720
<v Speaker 1>accelerating now. Um I think it makes a lot of

0:14:41.760 --> 0:14:46.520
<v Speaker 1>sense to get a portfolio manager that knows what they're

0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 1>doing to help make some judgment calls as to what

0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:54.480
<v Speaker 1>factors might be in favor over the next coming period

0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 1>of time. If you want to know what some of

0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>these products actually look like, consider invest Goo. When it

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:06.280
<v Speaker 1>acquired Hoppenheimer Funds, It's snapped up some of its dynamic

0:15:06.320 --> 0:15:09.840
<v Speaker 1>multi factor funds like oh MFL and o m f s,

0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:15.120
<v Speaker 1>which adjust their factor exposure according to market cycles. And

0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 1>black Rock launched it's d y n F fund in

0:15:17.840 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 1>March with a similar goal of shuffling three factors based

0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:23.760
<v Speaker 1>on what the market is doing. It's the first TTF

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:26.440
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't bear black rocks I shares brand to highlight

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:29.760
<v Speaker 1>that active aspect. Black Rock declined my request for a

0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:32.680
<v Speaker 1>meeting with Andrew Ang, saying that he oversees many types

0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:36.120
<v Speaker 1>of factor products, not just e t s. Still, I

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 1>did get a chance to hear from him when he

0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:46.800
<v Speaker 1>appeared on the conference's main stage. Ang doesn't see factors

0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:51.280
<v Speaker 1>as being overly complex for a mainstream audience. He said,

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 1>he sees them as democratizing investing fundamentals. He likened this

0:15:56.240 --> 0:15:59.480
<v Speaker 1>to the spread of streaming music. Music metaphors are big

0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 1>for Ang. By the way he plays the keyboard in

0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:05.560
<v Speaker 1>a black rock internal band. What's happened in music? He's

0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:10.200
<v Speaker 1>on funding. I used to record songs in the radio

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:14.440
<v Speaker 1>on a cassette tape. But the rise of streaming music

0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:17.200
<v Speaker 1>means that you do not have to buy the whole thing.

0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:22.480
<v Speaker 1>You listen to the track you w was you collate,

0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:26.160
<v Speaker 1>just attracts you want, and you listen to them whenever

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 1>you want, and your music experience is the fatal for

0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 1>Asset management is undergoing that same transformation. We used to

0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:38.240
<v Speaker 1>go to one asset manager, and that asset manager would

0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:41.320
<v Speaker 1>give us the whole thing, the whole album. You do

0:16:41.440 --> 0:16:46.360
<v Speaker 1>not have to buy that whole thing. Factors are part

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 1>of this evolution. Factors are active, but beyond the lofty

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:57.280
<v Speaker 1>goal of democratizing access to factors. There's another, much more

0:16:57.320 --> 0:16:59.800
<v Speaker 1>basic reason why issuers might be taking an interest in

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:03.360
<v Speaker 1>T factor funds right now. E t F creation is

0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:06.600
<v Speaker 1>a crowded realm. This is a new style of funds

0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:10.120
<v Speaker 1>that issuers can pitch to customers. Here's morning Stars, Ben

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:12.840
<v Speaker 1>Johnson Again, E t F providers are running out of

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:17.280
<v Speaker 1>white space when it comes to product development. I liken

0:17:17.320 --> 0:17:20.600
<v Speaker 1>it to showing up at the beach at three o'clock

0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:23.720
<v Speaker 1>in the afternoon on a sunny day when all of

0:17:23.760 --> 0:17:26.480
<v Speaker 1>the prime real estate has long since been taken and

0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:29.600
<v Speaker 1>all you've got left really is some cramped spaces next

0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:32.679
<v Speaker 1>to the garbage can that's adjacent to the exit to

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:36.720
<v Speaker 1>the beach. Uh. They're looking for every last nook and

0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:42.200
<v Speaker 1>cranny that hasn't been filled. Andy, that was amazing, Thank

0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 1>you very much. Eric. Can you tell me about the

0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 1>performance of these products. We heard about the inflo but

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:50.920
<v Speaker 1>what about the performance. Well, they're all over the place.

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:53.480
<v Speaker 1>They vary right this year, low balls have in a

0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:56.199
<v Speaker 1>good year, right, it's outperforming the SMP. So guess what,

0:17:56.640 --> 0:17:58.439
<v Speaker 1>that's where a lot of the flows are going. In

0:17:58.520 --> 0:18:00.280
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and eighteen, there was a chunk good time

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:02.280
<v Speaker 1>where value did well. Remember it was a rough time.

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 1>But growth has done really well. I mean that's done

0:18:05.440 --> 0:18:07.480
<v Speaker 1>very well over the years. Momentum has done pretty well.

0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:09.479
<v Speaker 1>That had a good year I think was a big

0:18:09.560 --> 0:18:12.520
<v Speaker 1>year from momentum. But part of the issue here is

0:18:12.560 --> 0:18:15.840
<v Speaker 1>that these things are designed so differently. Some of them

0:18:15.880 --> 0:18:18.720
<v Speaker 1>are more hardcore than others and some are more water down.

0:18:19.680 --> 0:18:21.680
<v Speaker 1>And so a lot of them that are watered down

0:18:21.720 --> 0:18:23.399
<v Speaker 1>and have a lot of beta and them have generally

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 1>done pretty good because beta and the market's done well.

0:18:26.520 --> 0:18:30.159
<v Speaker 1>The more hardcore ones tend to either rip or just

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:33.359
<v Speaker 1>get crushed, and those tend to see less assets. I

0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:36.119
<v Speaker 1>think advisors are more scared by those. Black rock to

0:18:36.200 --> 0:18:38.760
<v Speaker 1>me makes the more water down ones. I mean they

0:18:38.760 --> 0:18:42.760
<v Speaker 1>are very much in this commercially to try to get assets.

0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:45.840
<v Speaker 1>So you know US m v M, t U, m

0:18:46.520 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 1>uh QAL, those have taken in. You know, we're talking

0:18:49.680 --> 0:18:53.720
<v Speaker 1>big boy flows, but you know they're pretty much moving

0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:56.960
<v Speaker 1>around the SMP not nothing too crazy. But the performance

0:18:57.000 --> 0:18:58.680
<v Speaker 1>will vary depending on what's going on in the market.

0:18:58.720 --> 0:19:00.919
<v Speaker 1>It's not like one always up forms and any what

0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 1>what do you think investors need to be looking at

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 1>when they're setting whether or not they're going to invest

0:19:05.560 --> 0:19:08.199
<v Speaker 1>in the space or be which product they should invest in.

0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:12.200
<v Speaker 1>I guess one thing to keep in mind is UM.

0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:15.399
<v Speaker 1>On the plus side, if you're just buying a broad

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:19.159
<v Speaker 1>index of UM large cap US stocks, you you have

0:19:19.200 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot of exposure to big tech companies. Something like

0:19:22.280 --> 0:19:25.560
<v Speaker 1>a multi factor product could help offset that, like high

0:19:25.600 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 1>concentration and say tech um and go towards diversifying. On

0:19:31.640 --> 0:19:35.160
<v Speaker 1>the other hand, these products aren't completely road tested. Since

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:37.760
<v Speaker 1>so many of them have been coming out in recent years,

0:19:38.080 --> 0:19:40.520
<v Speaker 1>we haven't really seen how they perform in a period

0:19:40.560 --> 0:19:44.560
<v Speaker 1>of extended volatility and losses from the market. So that's

0:19:44.680 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>one thing to keep in mind. And this brings up

0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:50.280
<v Speaker 1>a very big point for US and b I because

0:19:50.800 --> 0:19:53.760
<v Speaker 1>the academic research is based on long short portfolios, which

0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:57.200
<v Speaker 1>are really hardcore only one issue. Where does that that way?

0:19:57.240 --> 0:19:59.560
<v Speaker 1>But that's how like a q R cliff fastness, that's

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:01.040
<v Speaker 1>how they do it, That's how a hedge fund would

0:20:01.080 --> 0:20:04.040
<v Speaker 1>do factors long short UM. Most of them go long only,

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:09.240
<v Speaker 1>and then their degrees of hardcoreness, Like there's some that

0:20:09.359 --> 0:20:12.160
<v Speaker 1>might have like a value a p of like thirteen

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:14.280
<v Speaker 1>that's hardcore, and then some might have a p of

0:20:14.320 --> 0:20:17.080
<v Speaker 1>just about the same as the SMP. And I think

0:20:17.080 --> 0:20:19.359
<v Speaker 1>that most of the money goes to the water down ones.

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.840
<v Speaker 1>And I think investors could be disappointed because we called

0:20:22.880 --> 0:20:25.800
<v Speaker 1>the beta vortex. Anything that has beta in it, it

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 1>sells better. But when the market goes down, that's not

0:20:28.840 --> 0:20:30.919
<v Speaker 1>going to help you at all. The correlations are very

0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:34.199
<v Speaker 1>high to the market. You're not getting diversification. But that

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:35.760
<v Speaker 1>may not be what an advisor are looking for. They

0:20:35.760 --> 0:20:38.640
<v Speaker 1>may actually be looking for something that's beta but has

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:42.159
<v Speaker 1>a cool name story to tell. So the marketing and

0:20:42.160 --> 0:20:47.480
<v Speaker 1>sales of this definitely is a major unexplored part versus

0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:51.280
<v Speaker 1>the academic literature that determines factors work. And those two

0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:54.280
<v Speaker 1>things are not married at all. What else from any's

0:20:54.320 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 1>reporting interested you? Well? I have two things on Andrew Wang.

0:20:57.680 --> 0:20:59.800
<v Speaker 1>First of all, I can't help but find it a

0:20:59.800 --> 0:21:02.840
<v Speaker 1>little annoying that they Black Rock wouldn't let you, you know, him,

0:21:02.880 --> 0:21:05.480
<v Speaker 1>talk to us. I mean, Martin Small has been on

0:21:05.520 --> 0:21:09.440
<v Speaker 1>and that's effectively or was they seem like they're in

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:12.800
<v Speaker 1>a band together. Anyway, we gotta do some more work here. Yeah,

0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:15.159
<v Speaker 1>I'd love to hear the band sounds like, what do

0:21:15.160 --> 0:21:20.040
<v Speaker 1>you think we're totally gonna get him? I'm picturing late

0:21:20.040 --> 0:21:23.920
<v Speaker 1>eighties hair metal. But anyway, that's just my my, my view. Um. So,

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Ayang said something else which you said, he like

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:29.760
<v Speaker 1>loves these music metaphors. I've heard him use the MP

0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:33.440
<v Speaker 1>three analogy for factors, but that's my metaphor. I I've

0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:35.399
<v Speaker 1>used the MP three for the E t F. To me,

0:21:36.080 --> 0:21:39.440
<v Speaker 1>factors are like a genre of music. They're like jazz

0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 1>or country. The E t F is the MP three.

0:21:44.040 --> 0:21:47.320
<v Speaker 1>Um but he did bring up a point about used

0:21:47.320 --> 0:21:49.760
<v Speaker 1>to have to buy the whole album and now, which

0:21:49.840 --> 0:21:52.560
<v Speaker 1>was in the music business is called forced bundling. I know,

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:55.359
<v Speaker 1>Anny like the Cars, which is a great band, but

0:21:55.440 --> 0:21:58.200
<v Speaker 1>let's face it, every Cars album has like four awesome

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:01.280
<v Speaker 1>songs and then maybe six like so so ones. He's,

0:22:01.440 --> 0:22:03.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, the greatest hits you can push play and

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>that things go besides the greatest hits. That's cheating, cheating.

0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I hate you, Okay. The force bundling, I think, is

0:22:10.480 --> 0:22:13.480
<v Speaker 1>something that hurt the music business, and the MP three

0:22:13.480 --> 0:22:16.639
<v Speaker 1>came along and obviously revolutionize it. By the way, I

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:18.920
<v Speaker 1>think you might just be a little bitter that he's

0:22:19.000 --> 0:22:21.199
<v Speaker 1>using a music analogy when you like to use the

0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:24.800
<v Speaker 1>MP three thing as your your go to medical I

0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:27.560
<v Speaker 1>don't think so. I just think that I've been using

0:22:27.560 --> 0:22:29.439
<v Speaker 1>that for years. I used it my book, and I

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:32.600
<v Speaker 1>think that the MP three is a is the structure

0:22:32.600 --> 0:22:35.640
<v Speaker 1>in which you buy music. Factors are like a genre

0:22:35.680 --> 0:22:37.359
<v Speaker 1>in the record store or whatever, or in the in

0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:40.120
<v Speaker 1>the iTunes library, and so I think that's the better

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:42.359
<v Speaker 1>way to look at it. But I see what he's saying,

0:22:42.400 --> 0:22:45.680
<v Speaker 1>and I do think that, um, his concept of being

0:22:45.680 --> 0:22:48.760
<v Speaker 1>able to put everything together exactly how you want, very cheaply,

0:22:49.320 --> 0:22:52.440
<v Speaker 1>the MP three is a I think a good metaphor. UM.

0:22:52.640 --> 0:22:55.359
<v Speaker 1>Here's a question. One person you interviewed that I thought

0:22:55.359 --> 0:22:58.000
<v Speaker 1>was interesting was the advisor who talked about multi factor

0:22:58.040 --> 0:23:01.800
<v Speaker 1>ets being like complicated. Was he a user of them

0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:04.440
<v Speaker 1>or like, I sympathize with somebody like this, who's like

0:23:04.440 --> 0:23:06.440
<v Speaker 1>going to talk to like my mom an attempt to

0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:12.119
<v Speaker 1>explain exactly headwind to the growth. Yeah, So he was

0:23:12.160 --> 0:23:15.959
<v Speaker 1>saying that from actually being on the front lines of

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:20.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, what investors want, what individual investors want, and

0:23:20.359 --> 0:23:24.359
<v Speaker 1>what they understand, it's still not quite that easy to

0:23:24.600 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 1>get over the hump of like how do you how

0:23:26.600 --> 0:23:28.879
<v Speaker 1>do you explain first of all, honestly what a factor is,

0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 1>and then something kind of esoteric and academic like multi

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:34.800
<v Speaker 1>factor investing in why you would need it? Can be

0:23:34.840 --> 0:23:37.200
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a bridge too far for some people.

0:23:37.359 --> 0:23:40.640
<v Speaker 1>One way that he said that financial advisors can one

0:23:40.680 --> 0:23:45.040
<v Speaker 1>strategy financial advisors can use is just explain um kind

0:23:45.080 --> 0:23:47.440
<v Speaker 1>of how it might fit in with your investing goals

0:23:47.480 --> 0:23:49.679
<v Speaker 1>without having to get into the nitty gritty of like

0:23:49.720 --> 0:23:53.520
<v Speaker 1>what exactly is momentum, what exactly is quality? I agree

0:23:53.520 --> 0:23:55.959
<v Speaker 1>with you, because uh one E t F we analyze

0:23:55.960 --> 0:23:58.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot as GSLC, the Goldman Active BATA. This thing

0:23:58.400 --> 0:24:00.080
<v Speaker 1>has been a huge hit, like six billion dollar or

0:24:00.119 --> 0:24:02.760
<v Speaker 1>is it's multi factor? If you look at how it's done,

0:24:02.840 --> 0:24:06.920
<v Speaker 1>it takes four factors and puts them in separately each

0:24:07.320 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 1>but within each factor there's a myriad of metrics they

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:13.960
<v Speaker 1>use when all of a sudden done, there's probably twenty

0:24:14.040 --> 0:24:17.159
<v Speaker 1>five metrics that go into this sort of formula. I

0:24:17.240 --> 0:24:21.440
<v Speaker 1>can't imagine that being explained. However, what they do that's

0:24:21.440 --> 0:24:24.119
<v Speaker 1>so genius is they make the E t F almost

0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:27.040
<v Speaker 1>look like the SMP. We'd call that low active share,

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:30.280
<v Speaker 1>very low tracking error, so the advisor may never need

0:24:30.320 --> 0:24:32.439
<v Speaker 1>to explain it. They'll just say, hey, look I got

0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 1>you this new Goldman quant thing. It's the latest stuff

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:38.639
<v Speaker 1>they're given us. It's Goldman. Uh, it's the quant stuff.

0:24:38.680 --> 0:24:42.040
<v Speaker 1>It's got more tax efficient and by the way, my

0:24:42.400 --> 0:24:45.280
<v Speaker 1>in my for me as the advisor, there's no career risk.

0:24:45.720 --> 0:24:47.200
<v Speaker 1>No one's gonna look at g s LC and go

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:48.960
<v Speaker 1>oh my, got it underperformed because it won't because it

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:51.720
<v Speaker 1>literally holds almost the same stocks, And it's so cheap

0:24:51.800 --> 0:24:55.800
<v Speaker 1>for fee based advisors who are because they now get

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:57.680
<v Speaker 1>paid out of the same assets that the client is in,

0:24:58.119 --> 0:25:01.280
<v Speaker 1>they're incentivized to go cheap. So only nine basis points.

0:25:01.760 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 1>So I just find that active mutual funds. This to

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:07.080
<v Speaker 1>me is the you know, we actually equate it to

0:25:07.960 --> 0:25:11.679
<v Speaker 1>Terminator in Terminator too, you know the cyborgs sent from

0:25:11.720 --> 0:25:15.439
<v Speaker 1>the future liquid metal. Yeah, this thing is so it

0:25:15.560 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 1>checks every single box for the fee based advisor's brain.

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:20.359
<v Speaker 1>The one thing that it doesn't is a simplicity. But

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:24.320
<v Speaker 1>I think that as long as it doesn't do anything crazy,

0:25:24.200 --> 0:25:27.199
<v Speaker 1>they might trust it enough to to actually buy and

0:25:27.240 --> 0:25:29.600
<v Speaker 1>they are. It's got six billions and get this, it

0:25:29.680 --> 0:25:33.440
<v Speaker 1>hasn't outperformed. It's it's all bought on those other metrics.

0:25:34.000 --> 0:25:37.639
<v Speaker 1>That's what makes us so fascinating because these things, some

0:25:37.720 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 1>of these will have their shiny object moment and then

0:25:39.840 --> 0:25:42.600
<v Speaker 1>they'll crash. But this one had never had that. So

0:25:42.920 --> 0:25:45.600
<v Speaker 1>tell me more about its portfolio. What's it got? Let

0:25:45.720 --> 0:25:50.720
<v Speaker 1>let me read the top ten, the top five stocks, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Facebook,

0:25:50.800 --> 0:25:54.760
<v Speaker 1>Johnson and Johnson, Google, JP Morgan. I mean, doesn't that

0:25:54.760 --> 0:25:59.000
<v Speaker 1>sound right? Like what's so smart about that smart data angle?

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:02.120
<v Speaker 1>Goldman is not messing around. They know the advisor's brain

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:06.280
<v Speaker 1>and they perfectly calibrated everything they would need. This is

0:26:06.280 --> 0:26:08.680
<v Speaker 1>why this one sells. And then you've seen some other

0:26:08.680 --> 0:26:11.240
<v Speaker 1>issuers like say like a leg Mason or they've come

0:26:11.240 --> 0:26:14.000
<v Speaker 1>out with these they've tried to convert their secret active

0:26:14.040 --> 0:26:16.040
<v Speaker 1>sauce into a smart bata et F. They charge like

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:19.960
<v Speaker 1>thirty basis points. It just doesn't do enough. Um, it's

0:26:20.000 --> 0:26:21.960
<v Speaker 1>too you know, this one's nine bits, which is the

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:26.359
<v Speaker 1>main feature. Um. And I think that's where Goldman was smart,

0:26:26.440 --> 0:26:28.200
<v Speaker 1>just to go straight at where they were going to

0:26:28.280 --> 0:26:32.199
<v Speaker 1>have to go anyway. So to me, Goldman vanguarded the

0:26:32.240 --> 0:26:34.959
<v Speaker 1>factor space and everybody's followed and most of the flows

0:26:34.960 --> 0:26:39.600
<v Speaker 1>have gone there. We tracked this average asset weighted fee

0:26:39.800 --> 0:26:42.640
<v Speaker 1>for smart Beta and it's now down to, I believe

0:26:42.760 --> 0:26:45.239
<v Speaker 1>last time I checked the twenty four basis points. In

0:26:45.240 --> 0:26:46.840
<v Speaker 1>other words, if you take all the smart Beta e

0:26:46.880 --> 0:26:48.639
<v Speaker 1>t F s and you take the average feet, it

0:26:48.680 --> 0:26:51.240
<v Speaker 1>might be like sixty basis points, but the asset weighted

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:54.480
<v Speaker 1>average is twenty four. So advisors keep driving down that

0:26:54.560 --> 0:26:57.040
<v Speaker 1>number by going for the cheaper ones. So to me,

0:26:57.119 --> 0:27:00.000
<v Speaker 1>this is another place where cost actually might be paramount

0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:03.439
<v Speaker 1>to performance. They're mixed. I mean, I think performance matters

0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:05.600
<v Speaker 1>to a degree, but there's also this idea of using

0:27:05.640 --> 0:27:09.679
<v Speaker 1>these really cheap ones that give you a story but

0:27:09.720 --> 0:27:12.639
<v Speaker 1>don't necessarily do much different than the S and P.

0:27:12.760 --> 0:27:16.320
<v Speaker 1>They're they're safe. If anything, I think what we're what

0:27:16.320 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing here is uh, Wall Street is relentlessly looking

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:24.000
<v Speaker 1>for new stories, and like, here's a really great story

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:26.480
<v Speaker 1>that we can put in a new rapper and get

0:27:26.480 --> 0:27:28.720
<v Speaker 1>it out there. And as long as it is part

0:27:28.760 --> 0:27:32.600
<v Speaker 1>of that zeitgeist and reaching for you know, whatever factor

0:27:33.160 --> 0:27:35.359
<v Speaker 1>is happens to be hot right now, you kind of

0:27:35.400 --> 0:27:37.440
<v Speaker 1>get a little bit of exposure to that here, especially

0:27:37.480 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 1>in the E t F space where it's so crowded already.

0:27:40.280 --> 0:27:41.960
<v Speaker 1>One of my favorite parts of the field reports is

0:27:42.000 --> 0:27:43.920
<v Speaker 1>the stuff you guys let in there that has nothing

0:27:43.960 --> 0:27:47.240
<v Speaker 1>to do with with investing. Who ran over and loved

0:27:47.240 --> 0:27:50.359
<v Speaker 1>your shoes? Who was that? Gosh, some really kind woman

0:27:50.400 --> 0:27:52.680
<v Speaker 1>at the conference. I was just there trying to figure

0:27:52.720 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 1>out how the heck to use that recorder. I love

0:27:56.560 --> 0:28:00.159
<v Speaker 1>love that part, mainly because of the amazing confidence was

0:28:00.240 --> 0:28:02.800
<v Speaker 1>that gave you. I know, because I was like, it

0:28:02.880 --> 0:28:05.399
<v Speaker 1>was my first time doing a field report. I was

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:08.679
<v Speaker 1>a little nervous. I was feeling a little cautious, and

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:11.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm there, like with the recorder, and so she, like

0:28:11.600 --> 0:28:13.720
<v Speaker 1>an angel came out of nowhere. And what kind of

0:28:13.720 --> 0:28:17.080
<v Speaker 1>shows were that? They were black high heels. Annie, Thanks

0:28:17.080 --> 0:28:19.160
<v Speaker 1>for joining us and Trillions and for doing our job

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:27.520
<v Speaker 1>for us. Thanks thanks for listening to Trillions until next time.

0:28:27.640 --> 0:28:30.280
<v Speaker 1>You can find us on the Bloomberg terminal, Bloomberg dot com,

0:28:30.640 --> 0:28:33.920
<v Speaker 1>Apple Podcast, Spotify, and wherever else you like to listen.

0:28:34.359 --> 0:28:36.440
<v Speaker 1>We'd love to hear from you. We're on Twitter, I'm

0:28:36.520 --> 0:28:40.000
<v Speaker 1>at Joel Webber Show, He's at Eric Falcinus, and you

0:28:40.040 --> 0:28:44.680
<v Speaker 1>can find Annie at Antonia Masa. I don't know, but

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 1>that was listen. Listen, I don't know what you gotta

0:28:55.160 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 1>try you in I who, I don't know. This is

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:06.280
<v Speaker 1>a safe space, safe and you can find Kenny at

0:29:06.360 --> 0:29:11.760
<v Speaker 1>Antonia Busca. Trillions is produced by Magnus and Rickson. Friendcesica

0:29:11.840 --> 0:29:18.480
<v Speaker 1>Levie is the head of Bloomberg podcast by