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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 3: All right. Here we go the growing in jone spect.

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Speaker 2: So I'm saying it's a catch touchdown.

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Speaker 4: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to win. That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big banks, all banks. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 3: this is the ultimate kabation. You want to bet and

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Speaker 3: we are underway.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. We are presented by FanDuel.

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Speaker 4: This is your NFL Week eight Best Bets episode. I'm

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Speaker 4: your host today, Brendan Glasheen, joined by three Action Network experts,

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Speaker 4: will be going through their three favorite bets for the

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Speaker 4: upcoming Week eight NFL Sunday Monday slate. As a reminder,

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Speaker 4: you can follow all of our picks and track them

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Speaker 4: on the Action app by following our account. It's Action

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Speaker 4: Network NFL Picks. Action Network NFL picks there every single week.

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Speaker 4: We are thirty four, twenty seven and two through seven

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Speaker 4: weeks on the show, over five hundred last week five

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Speaker 4: and four. Today's crew Brandon Anderson, He's always here. Luke

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Speaker 4: Swayne He's always here too, otherwise known as Vegas Refund.

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Speaker 4: Joe Golon is here as well. He brings you the

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Speaker 4: Touchdown Show. As a reminder, Luke, these guys are on

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Speaker 4: all of our content, but also catch Jill, who brings

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Speaker 4: you the Touchdown Show every Sunday morning during the NFL season.

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Speaker 4: That's at ten thirty am Eastern live on the Action app,

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Speaker 4: Action Network, HQ, Twitter, and also the Action Network YouTube page.

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Speaker 4: Before we get to the picks, a couple of things

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Speaker 4: to note. Chiefs and Chargers the only two teams on

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Speaker 4: the bye this week. Underdogs keep rowing, folks, It's the

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Speaker 4: year of the dog. Fifty seven percent hit rate. How

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Speaker 4: about this too, Favorites of seven points or more. We've

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Speaker 4: been seeing some pretty gigantic point spreads now the last

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Speaker 4: couple of weeks seven points or more. They're fifteen to

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Speaker 4: eight and one straight up, but eight and sixteen against

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Speaker 4: the spread. It is the least profitable start for touchdown

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Speaker 4: favorites in the last twenty years. And Unders remain a story.

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Speaker 4: Not as hot as they were the first couple of weeks,

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Speaker 4: but at fifty nine percent Unders doing well, it's the

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Speaker 4: best start through seven games for Unders in the last

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Speaker 4: twenty years. Before we get the actual picks as well,

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Speaker 4: Brandon Anderson will start with you how do you look

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Speaker 4: at this slate, this betting card for week eight, describe

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Speaker 4: it for us in a sentence.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, you mentioned those underdogs. This is a week where

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Speaker 5: we've got just a ton of tight spreads. I see

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Speaker 5: ten right now to fifteen games at four points or less.

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Speaker 5: That means every half point matters right now, Because I

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Speaker 5: looked at it, three is the key number. We all

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Speaker 5: know that that's the most important spot that the games

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Speaker 5: land on, but this season two and four are the

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Speaker 5: next most common, so every half point matters. We were

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Speaker 5: haggling over where we're going to get each of these

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Speaker 5: lines and make sure you're shopping around, get the best

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Speaker 5: line you can out there right up in Tell the pack.

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Speaker 4: Yep, they're getting sharper, that's for sure, Luke. What do

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Speaker 4: you make of this card this week?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, it really is just the lines becoming tighter and tighter,

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Speaker 6: where if the under like the unders have definitely regressed,

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Speaker 6: and if it's terrifying to think about whether the underdogs

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Speaker 6: are going to regress or not. But as you can see,

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Speaker 6: like parody in the league has never been this high,

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Speaker 6: just purely based off of the spreads that we're looking

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Speaker 6: at this week.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, not a lot of really good teams. Like parody

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Speaker 4: is like a way of hiding. Yeah, it's a lot

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Speaker 4: of parody.

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Speaker 6: A lot of teams could win, but a lot of teams,

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Speaker 6: I mean everyone is just above average and there's just

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Speaker 6: a few elite where I think there's like two teams

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Speaker 6: in the NFC, Yeah that are winning records right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, which is crazy.

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Speaker 4: I know it's parody. That word bugs me. Oh what

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Speaker 4: a parody this year? You know it's like, all right, well,

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Speaker 4: what does that mean? You can be really good, you

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Speaker 4: can really stink AnyWho. There's my take for you. I

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Speaker 4: guess what about you, Jill? How do you look at

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Speaker 4: the card?

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Speaker 1: I mean you're seeing the under regression for totals also

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Speaker 1: take effect. There are eight games the totals under forty.

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Speaker 3: Two and half.

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Speaker 1: And I've been tweeting about this about how the touchdown

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Speaker 1: regression has been kind of in full effect. It just

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Speaker 1: in comparison to last year, after week seven we had

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Speaker 1: six hundred and eleven touchdowns. This year, after week seven

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Speaker 1: we have five hundred and seventeen, nearly one hundred touchdown.

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Speaker 3: Difference through seven weeks.

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Speaker 1: So you really got to pick your spots now for

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Speaker 1: touchdown betting, especially for totals as well.

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Speaker 4: Okay, fair enough, As we remind you every episode we

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Speaker 4: do these best bets. The guys have not consulted each

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Speaker 4: other before, because where's the fun in that. They all

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Speaker 4: come with their own homework. They don't take each other's homework.

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Speaker 4: But they put it this way. They kind of good,

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Speaker 4: you know how like the teacher used to let you

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Speaker 4: grade in class. Oh, it's all you switch your papers.

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Speaker 4: Oh it's great. That's what they kind of do here.

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Speaker 4: When we discuss the picks as we go. As we

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Speaker 4: go through, they may contradict, they may overlap. It's fun

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Speaker 4: every man for himself. So Brandon Anderson, per usual, get

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Speaker 4: us start at pick number one.

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Speaker 5: All right, I'm gonna go with the Miami Dolphins minus

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Speaker 5: three and a half at the Lions. So you gotta

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Speaker 5: be careful here. I'm a big number is and all.

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Speaker 3: Those dboas and epas.

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Speaker 5: But the numbers don't really tell the story that well

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Speaker 5: for either one of these teams, because we had a

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Speaker 5: lot of injuries so far here both sides. So Detroit,

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Speaker 5: we've seen the big regression coming on offense, but it's

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Speaker 5: come with Amana Rossain Brown injured and then back but

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Speaker 5: injured again. DJ Sharki is out now. DeAndre Swift has

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Speaker 5: been injured but is back now. So they're skewed a

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Speaker 5: little bit. Miami, though, has been skewed, I think more

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Speaker 5: than we're giving credit for as well. Their offense has

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Speaker 5: been really good when Tua Tagovaloa plays, really not good

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Speaker 5: in games where they have this, you know, three games

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Speaker 5: now where they've had a backup or a big switch

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Speaker 5: or some weird funky quarterback thing happening. So when Tua

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Speaker 5: plays eight point six yards per attempt, that leads the league.

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Speaker 5: And we've got Tyreek Hill, we've got Jalen Waddle stretching

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Speaker 5: the field, wearing defenses down. When you look at Miami's

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Speaker 5: numbers each game, you consistently see second quarter, fourth quarter,

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Speaker 5: and second half. Basically they start a little slow, but

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Speaker 5: that speed wearing teams down. I think it's maybe the

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Speaker 5: new modern version of the old to run the ball,

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Speaker 5: run at you and just wear the team down. This

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Speaker 5: is like the modern Derrick Henry offense. We're just gonna

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Speaker 5: run at you all game, and the Lions defense is

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Speaker 5: telling the whole story.

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Speaker 3: The Lions defense is not good.

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Speaker 5: They did get a little better out of the bye

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Speaker 5: last week, but they're dead last in DVA pass defense

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Speaker 5: is dead last. They allow the second most explosive pass

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Speaker 5: plays in the league. This is not a team you

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Speaker 5: want to face when you were giving up explosive pass

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Speaker 5: plays because I see Tyreek Hill and Waddell getting big yardage,

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Speaker 5: big chunks down the field. And the difference here with

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Speaker 5: Tua back in the lineup when Miami has him most

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Speaker 5: of their snaps four to oh this season, they're all

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Speaker 5: three in the other game. So it really is that

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Speaker 5: stark of a comparison. Tua is third in EPA per play,

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Speaker 5: behind only Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, and he is

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Speaker 5: enough better than Teddy Bridgewater, who I think we kind

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Speaker 5: of said not much your drop off? Will the numbers

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Speaker 5: say otherwise? It's about the same drop from Tua to

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Speaker 5: ted as is from Pat Mahomes to Marcus Mariota. So

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Speaker 5: you put a Mahomes back in this offense with those

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Speaker 5: weapons against this Lions defense, I like the Dolphins to

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Speaker 5: win and cover.

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Speaker 4: It also feels like regression is taking place with the

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Speaker 4: Lions offensively. The totals at fifty one and a half

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Speaker 4: over at FanDuel. Their team total is it twenty three

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Speaker 4: and a half this week? A lot of injury questions.

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Speaker 4: It feels like we're still reacting to the Lions early

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Speaker 4: in the year and the injuries are really starting to

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Speaker 4: catch up with them. So keep an eye on that.

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Speaker 4: But I love the pick. It is a desperate spot

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Speaker 4: though for Detroit. Earlier in the week. Chad Millman of

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Speaker 4: Action Network, he hosts the Favorites podcast, He's on the

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Speaker 4: other side, so that should be fun to see how

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Speaker 4: that one unfolds. Luke, what's your first pick?

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Speaker 6: So my first one is gonna be the Cardinals as

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Speaker 6: a three and a half point dog going to Minnesota,

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Speaker 6: which this really is Hopkins being back and Kyler looking

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Speaker 6: like an absolutely different quarterback that he has been. With

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Speaker 6: Hopkins being back compared to when he's been out, it

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Speaker 6: was his best EPA game by far. And with Hopkins

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Speaker 6: they've been a top five offense historically over the last

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Speaker 6: year or so. And then you have a Viking, a

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Speaker 6: five to one biking team, which at first glance, like

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Speaker 6: I think to myself, like this is the least talked

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Speaker 6: about five to one team like I've ever heard of,

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Speaker 6: where you'll you even look at like O'Connell's coach of

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Speaker 6: the year odds, I think he's like fourteen to one

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Speaker 6: and they're five and one, which is crazy to me.

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Speaker 6: But when you look at who they faced and they're

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Speaker 6: only two and four against the spread. They've played a

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Speaker 6: Bears team who we know who they are, a Saints

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Speaker 6: team who had Andy Dalton, Dolphins team who had Skylar

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Speaker 6: Thompson and Teddy Bridgewater, Lion's team without DeAndre Swift, and

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Speaker 6: the Lions, and the Lions were realizing are a lot

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Speaker 6: worse than we thought they were. And then you have

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Speaker 6: a Packers team who that win in Week one is

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Speaker 6: becoming a lot.

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Speaker 2: Less impressive as the weeks go by.

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Speaker 6: The Cardinals defense is still underrated, it is catching its stride.

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Speaker 6: And then you just have a road dog that is

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Speaker 6: three and a half points, which has been money this year.

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Speaker 6: They're road dogs of three and a half or more

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Speaker 6: twenty seven and fourteen, and then from three to six

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Speaker 6: and a half, ten of those fifteen games they've won

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Speaker 6: out right for those who love trends, So really this

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Speaker 6: is just taking a Cardinals team who when you want

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Speaker 6: to back them, you want to back them as an

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Speaker 6: underdog hoping for a back door by Kyler or whatever

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Speaker 6: it is.

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Speaker 2: You just you want to avoid them one than the favorite.

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Speaker 6: You just underdogs with the Cardinals are the play Vikings

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Speaker 6: are overrated.

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Speaker 2: I'll take the Cardinals plus three and a half.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, you guys know I love my Cliff Kingsbury underdog

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Speaker 5: stats and you know you always play the Kingsbury matchups.

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Speaker 5: Cliff as an underdog twenty one nine and two against

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Speaker 5: the spread seventy percent. Cliff as a road underdog fifteen

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Speaker 5: three and two against the spread has a one and

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Speaker 5: covered eight straight. I, as a Vikings fan, am very

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Speaker 5: afraid of the spot for the team.

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Speaker 4: I love it and to credit our own see Cliff Kingsbury,

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Speaker 4: we are fair to you on this podcast sometimes. Kyler

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Speaker 4: Murray since twenty nineteen has the second best ATS record

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Speaker 4: as an underdog nineteen ten and two. Only Jimmy g

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Speaker 4: has a better record than him as a dog a quarterback.

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Speaker 2: As a dog.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, plus an extra rest. I know Kyler, Kyler

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Speaker 4: actually has a bad record off of rest, but I

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Speaker 4: think altogether we're giving the rest edge to Cliff because

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Speaker 4: he could he can use all the time possible to

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Speaker 4: get prepped. Joe what do you have for Pick one

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Speaker 4: Week eight best bets?

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Speaker 2: Sure?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking at the AFC South and looking at

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Speaker 1: the Titans Texans matchup, and my initial instinct was thinking, okay,

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Speaker 1: Titan should rule in this game.

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Speaker 3: But looking more at the.

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Speaker 1: Total here, I really like over forty and a half,

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Speaker 1: mainly because both teams rank and the bottom half of

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Speaker 1: score defense at this point of the season. But last season,

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Speaker 1: this is a lot of matchup data for me that

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Speaker 1: I that I like in this spot because last season,

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Speaker 1: in two games with Davis Mills as the quarterback Texans offense,

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Speaker 1: they brought it twenty two points in a win twenty

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Speaker 1: five points on a loss. And one of the key

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Speaker 1: things about those two games, Derek Henry didn't play in

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Speaker 1: either of those games, so sorely missed from a scoring

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Speaker 1: standpoint for the Titans. Just for reference, like in the

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Speaker 1: four games previous against the Texans, he scored seven touchdowns

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Speaker 1: with over six hundred rushing yards, so I think they

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Speaker 1: missed him just a little bit. Now, this next point

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Speaker 1: reason why I like the over has to do with

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Speaker 1: Davis Mills. It kind of brought this up on the

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Speaker 1: Best on the Recap podcast that we did talking about

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Speaker 1: how Davis Mills might actually be showing a little bit

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Speaker 1: of something here, and it's specifically when he plays indoors

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Speaker 1: versus outdoors. When he plays indoors, he's played nine games

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Speaker 1: indoors seventy percent completions, fifteen passing touchdowns, three interceptions respectful,

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Speaker 1: outdoors fifty nine percent completion percentage, six touchdow, eleven interceptions.

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Speaker 1: So there's just a polar opposite of what he looks

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Speaker 1: like when he's playing inside without the elements as opposed

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Speaker 1: to when he's playing outdoors. And in those nine out

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Speaker 1: indoor games, the average combined score in the final was

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Speaker 1: forty eight point two in the eight outdoor games twenty

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Speaker 1: nine point eight. Big difference here in this spot, I

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Speaker 1: think the totals might have I think we're seeing a

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Speaker 1: little bit of an overcorrection here at forty and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take the over in this spot.

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Speaker 4: Well, why is this spread only two and a half points?

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Speaker 2: Like I was, go ahead, there's some iffings about Tannehill's.

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Speaker 5: Yeah me, he isn't a locking boot. So yeah, this

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Speaker 5: one dropped I think from four and a half down

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Speaker 5: to two and a half. It is very fishy though,

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Speaker 5: because it's the Texans look awful, the Titans look good.

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Speaker 5: Four games, four wins in a row. It feels like

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Speaker 5: it's just trying to sucker you in. I want the

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Speaker 5: Texans here, but I've been awaiting. I want to see

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Speaker 5: that line move back across the threat before I'm going

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Speaker 5: to jump in.

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Speaker 2: And that's why I.

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Speaker 1: Didn't end up playing it, because I was like, I

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Speaker 1: don't like these lines at all. Even though I feel

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Speaker 1: like the Texans can win out right, I'd rather just

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Speaker 1: allow them just to put up twenty five points.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll say this.

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Speaker 5: If you like the Texans here, and if you think

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Speaker 5: this division is awful, we've been dumping on it all year.

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Speaker 3: I'll just throw it out.

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Speaker 5: Houston Texans are sixty six to one to win the division,

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Speaker 5: just saying.

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Speaker 6: Oh boy, I'm sa Davis Mills is a totally different

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Speaker 6: quarterback at home. But the Texans played well for seventy

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Speaker 6: five percent of the game on Sunday against the Raiders.

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Speaker 6: It's just that twenty five percent didn't go so well.

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Speaker 4: So well, folks, this is our eighth week doing this

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Speaker 4: Best Bets episode. It's not the first time today, but

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Speaker 4: the second time today. I have mentioned something doesn't look right,

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Speaker 4: and when these three agree with me, that is so

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Speaker 4: satisfying as a host because I don't give picks on

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Speaker 4: the show. I come to these guys. They're the experts.

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Speaker 4: I just run the ship. But it's very gratifying to

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Speaker 4: be like, oh, ok see, I kind of have a

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Speaker 4: clue what I'm talking about a little bit. But it's

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Speaker 4: been learning from you folks, so that's good. I get

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Speaker 4: afraid sometimes, like what's up with this? And they're like, Brendan,

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Speaker 4: shut up, what are you talking about? That hasn't happened yet.

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Speaker 4: That's good, Brandon, back to you, what's your second pick?

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Speaker 5: All right, I'm going to go to Monday night and

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Speaker 5: we're gonna go to Ohio. We got Cincinnati and Cleveland

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Speaker 5: facing off, and I will take the Bengals minus three

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Speaker 5: and a half on the road. I gotta admit I'm

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Speaker 5: a little annoyed here. I like the Dolphins. I like

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Speaker 5: the Bengals. I took them out minus three Tuesday. I've

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Speaker 5: got them in the app so make sure you're following there.

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Speaker 5: You get the line better. We're at three and a

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Speaker 5: half now, but I still like it. The Bengals. We

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Speaker 5: talked about this on Sunday Night for Monday Show. They

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Speaker 5: just play their best game this season. And I gotta

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Speaker 5: hand it to Luke. We went ahead to head on

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Speaker 5: this one last week I Atlanta, he hit Cincinnati. It

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Speaker 5: was over before I even get the television turned on. Like,

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Speaker 5: Cincinnati came out passing and obliterated the Falcons, and the

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Speaker 5: Falcons are really similar to the Browns, the team that

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Speaker 5: clear the Cincinnati is playing now. This is a team

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Speaker 5: that is a strong run team. We talked about their

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Speaker 5: run attack last week and DJ Reader being out and yeah,

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Speaker 5: they're gonna run the ball a little bit, but competent

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Speaker 5: at best for passing. No defense to speak of. And

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Speaker 5: what we just see with Cincinnati, they came out passing

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Speaker 5: and they lit up the defense. They started scoring in Cleveland,

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Speaker 5: like Atlanta, is not a team that can play catch

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Speaker 5: up or try to go head to head with Joe

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Speaker 5: Burrow and Jamar Chase and want to shoot out. So

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Speaker 5: that's what I see here. The Bengals started zero and two.

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Speaker 5: It kind of threw us off the scent oh super

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Speaker 5: Bowl loser curse. We were ready with it. But since then,

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Speaker 5: number two DVOA team in the entire NFL they're number

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Speaker 5: two in offensive EPA. They're going shotgun, they're going pass heavy.

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Speaker 5: This is the thing we wanted and expected from them.

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Speaker 5: It just took a minute. I be honest, I don't

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Speaker 5: really trust that Zach Taylor is not going to just

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Speaker 5: run the ball the first four hundred plays again the

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Speaker 5: next time we do it.

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Speaker 3: But I like the matchup.

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Speaker 5: I like Cincinnati's offense, Browns defense thirtieth and EPA per

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Speaker 5: play last month dead last DVA at home and then

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Speaker 5: of course tried through Kevin Stefanski three and eleven in

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Speaker 5: the division against the spread. That's always a good stat

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Speaker 5: to roll out there. So it's a good spot here.

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Speaker 5: You know, we've been talking about the three and a

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Speaker 5: half and bigger underdogs. Historically, Monday night road favorites of

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Speaker 5: three and a half to seven points are actually fifty

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Speaker 5: eight percent covering. So on Monday Night where we know

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Speaker 5: to give the home team at extra credit, if the

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Speaker 5: book is still making you such a big favorite here,

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Speaker 5: usually that's kind of telling you who you should take.

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Speaker 3: So I'll take the Bengals.

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Speaker 4: I think the fact that this is just about a

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Speaker 4: field goal. We have the Ravens to think too. Like

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Speaker 4: the Browns hanging around in that game last week allowed

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Speaker 4: for the final score to look a little better than

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Speaker 4: it probably would have finished if the Ravens handled their

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Speaker 4: business as we found out, they have not done that

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Speaker 4: late in ball games, so I think that helped the

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Speaker 4: Browns hang around and makes it look a little deceiving. Also,

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Speaker 4: Bengals thirteen and two against the spread in the last

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Speaker 4: fifteen games, and they've covered five straight. So that's courtesy

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Speaker 4: of Evan Abrams at Action.

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Speaker 6: You got something Luke the dish like, the more the

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Speaker 6: Browns lose and the ratings drop, it's going to be

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Speaker 6: total chaos on whether it's value or not. When DeShawn

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Speaker 6: comes back and which we're getting kind of close. I mean,

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Speaker 6: I think we're like four weeks out.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, but it's.

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Speaker 2: It's not Persett's fault, I don't think.

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Speaker 4: But but he limits them, right, Jill's got.

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Speaker 2: Thought you had thought Jill exactly.

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Speaker 1: Well, I wouldn't necessarily say it's his fault every time,

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Speaker 1: but I would definitely say he has contributed to some

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Speaker 1: of that demise, especially in the latter parts of the

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Speaker 1: game where you put it on his shoulders to come

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Speaker 1: down and drive and to put them into field goal range,

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Speaker 1: and we've seen it twice this season where he's thrown

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Speaker 1: basically backbreaking, game ending interceptions. And not to say that

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Speaker 1: it's all his fault or that the whole thing just

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Speaker 1: led to him doing that, but I'm not sure if

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson would maybe do that. And again, I feel

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Speaker 1: like I'm with Luke in the sense that I don't

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Speaker 1: really know how we're going to price the Browns with

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson.

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Speaker 3: Coming back and how he's going to fit into that offense.

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Speaker 4: Okay, well, you got some time to process that.

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Speaker 2: We'll see.

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Speaker 4: If the Browns hang around, right, I mean, that's really

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Speaker 4: the key to this game. If they hang around and cover,

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Speaker 4: then that's a pretty that's pretty good when you consider

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Speaker 4: it's a good against a Bengals team that has turned

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Speaker 4: it around, to say the least since the first couple

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Speaker 4: of weeks of the season. Luke, what is your second

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Speaker 4: best bet for Week eight?

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Speaker 6: So my second one to give you the Panthers plus

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Speaker 6: four going to Atlanta, which this line was six and

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Speaker 6: a half on Monday, and it got destroyed early in

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Speaker 6: the week and has slowly crept down, where right before

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Speaker 6: we went on the show, it was four and a

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Speaker 6: half and now it's four, which I would say four

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Speaker 6: is probably the lowest I would go. I really like

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Speaker 6: just purely based off of like line value, like anything

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Speaker 6: lower than four long term that just isn't really gonna work.

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Speaker 2: But last week we faded the Falcons.

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Speaker 6: Purely really based off of this being like, well you did, sorry.

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Speaker 2: I did this being just.

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Speaker 6: Cube shot, so that this being we faded them based

401
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Speaker 6: off of the market expectation of the Falcons like being

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Speaker 6: at its peak, where like they got blown out, so

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Speaker 6: it did come down a little bit, I guess you

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Speaker 6: could say, where at the same time, this is gonna

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Speaker 6: be the first time the Falcons are favored all year.

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Speaker 6: They've been an underdog in every game up until today,

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Speaker 6: or excuse me, someday going against a Panthers team who

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Speaker 6: looked a lot better beating like blowing the Buccaneers out.

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Speaker 6: And really this isn't like a bet on the Panthers

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Speaker 6: based off of that Buccaneers game. It's really just again

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Speaker 6: a fade of the Falcon secondary that is now the

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Speaker 6: worst in the league. Right And I'm not saying the

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Speaker 6: Panthers are going to do what the Bengals did, but

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Speaker 6: the Falcons are going to be without their top three corners,

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Speaker 6: they're starting safety, and then they're dead last and pressure

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Speaker 6: rate in the league.

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Speaker 2: So if you want to stop like, you.

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Speaker 6: Can put anyone at quarterback in the NFL and I

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Speaker 6: would probably have expectations of them playing above their head

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Speaker 6: and then maybe fade them the week after. But if

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Speaker 6: the Falcons want to run it, if there is a

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Speaker 6: thanks to the Panthers, it is their defense. They are

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Speaker 6: top five in the league against the run, and the

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Speaker 6: Falcons are refusing to adjust how they're playing. They are

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Speaker 6: if they're losing. They were losing to the Bancals by

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Speaker 6: a boatload and they still were running it at an

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Speaker 6: above average expectation, which was crazy to me. And if

428
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Speaker 6: they're just going to continue to test this Panthers defense

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Speaker 6: against the run, they're going to probably lose. So I'm

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Speaker 6: just going to take a secondary that is awful against

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Speaker 6: a Panthers defense that is great and put my trust

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Speaker 6: in the Panthers offense playing above their head.

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Speaker 4: Wow, I give you credit. You sold me based on

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Speaker 4: those talking points. Now you realize too, Hubbard didn't practice Thursday.

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Speaker 4: Does that alarm you or do you not care?

436
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 2: Running back still matter.

437
00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:49,640
Speaker 4: Probably Yeah, you're probably right, I suppose, But okay, fair enough,

438
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:55,359
Speaker 4: you guys, all right, fair enough? Anyone have anything to

439
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:57,680
Speaker 4: respond to? Well, Brandon Anderson, I should ask you because

440
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:00,679
Speaker 4: you were a look aheadline earlier than this week. Was

441
00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 4: you were on Carolina. No, you're on Atlanta minus six

442
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:06,879
Speaker 4: and a half. Yes, you're on the other side. And

443
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:08,080
Speaker 4: at six and a half.

444
00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 5: I was, and I was on it, on the look

445
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,440
Speaker 5: ahead and on the hot red. So we doubled down,

446
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 5: and the line moved heavily against us, against me.

447
00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 3: I'll take the credit. It's me.

448
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 5: I'm on Atlanta Island too. I'm out here with the birds. Yeah,

449
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,200
Speaker 5: sometimes the line moves against you and you have to

450
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 5: pay attention to it because the lines are telling you things.

451
00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:28,120
Speaker 5: And I think you know Luke mentioned the cluster injuries

452
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,639
Speaker 5: at cornerback. It does look like maybe a couple of

453
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 5: those guys are trending upward. So I want to see

454
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,440
Speaker 5: you once we get closer to the weekend, we might

455
00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 5: get one or two of those names back out there.

456
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 3: PJ.

457
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:42,159
Speaker 5: Walker is not Joe Burrow. I still feel pretty okay

458
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,520
Speaker 5: with my Atlanta position. I'm not going to add to

459
00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 5: it because I'm already in on the Falcons here, But

460
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,119
Speaker 5: to me, this is I'm on the other side. This

461
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:52,720
Speaker 5: is a bilo cell high spot. We're getting Atlanta off

462
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:55,640
Speaker 5: of their worst performance this season. We're getting Carolina off

463
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 5: their best and really only good performance of the season

464
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:02,640
Speaker 5: so far. Two weeks ago go, Atlanta ran all over

465
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 5: the San Francisco forty nine ers defense and scored plenty

466
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 5: of points and did just finding against them. I think

467
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 5: it's just a spot where it got away and this

468
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 5: is not a team that's built to play and it

469
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,240
Speaker 5: got away game. But I'm not really worried about the

470
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 5: Panthers getting away here, So I think it just kind

471
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:20,120
Speaker 5: of stays according to script and stays under a touchdown,

472
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 5: certainly at four.

473
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 3: Like Luke said, the line, the line is kind.

474
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,680
Speaker 5: Of right about where that ought to be, perhaps getting

475
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 5: sharp here with those injuries. So yeah, yeah, I don't

476
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 5: love the Falcons. I'm I'm in like with the Falcons here,

477
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,560
Speaker 5: but watching those injuries, I still think it's a spot

478
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 5: that I feel okay about.

479
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 6: Yeah, and the like the bilo is so high like

480
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:44,399
Speaker 6: that is like my concern here, especially with how much

481
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,639
Speaker 6: it's moved and taking four four and a half instead

482
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,639
Speaker 6: of the six and a half. But the fact, like

483
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,399
Speaker 6: the biggest thing to me is how bad the secondary

484
00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 6: has been, where hey, We're and Terrell are definitely out,

485
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 6: which are their top two corners by far and are great,

486
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 6: like yeah, pro Bowl corner, but they just can't get

487
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:05,959
Speaker 6: any pressure. Like where if you have a poor secondary,

488
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,040
Speaker 6: bringing pressure is going to be the thing that saves you,

489
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 6: and they just can't where like that's how you take

490
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 6: advantage of the worst secondary in the.

491
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 2: League is.

492
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:20,600
Speaker 6: By just standing there with no one in your face.

493
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 6: But yeah, I totally agree that it is a bile

494
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 6: of so high and that's the one thing that pains me.

495
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 6: But it's just yeah, PJ. Walker, Joe Burrow the second coming.

496
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 4: Well, when you look at when you look at the

497
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:38,199
Speaker 4: Falcons offense, they average twenty two points per game. The

498
00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 4: Panthers and this is from Evans Evan Abrams again of action.

499
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 4: Panthers are one and twenty eight straight up, five and

500
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 4: twenty four against the spread when their opponent scores seventeen

501
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 4: or more since the twenty twenty season.

502
00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 2: And I mean the PJ.

503
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:58,360
Speaker 6: Walker against the Rams where that was just painful where

504
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 6: they let him like air it out against the Bucks,

505
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 6: you know, worked out, so yeah, I mean he.

506
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 5: Had a negative He had a negative aid out in

507
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 5: that game. That's what I'm gonna say is we don't

508
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:10,280
Speaker 5: have to worry about the cornerbacks if he's only throwing

509
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 5: under routes the entire game. We're looking at linebacker health

510
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 5: at that point, so we'll see the PJ still has

511
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,480
Speaker 5: to be some level of competency. So I guess we

512
00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 5: have to see how that holds up this week XFL.

513
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 5: You know, he got the job done there, so maybe

514
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 5: two in a row.

515
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 6: It definitely feels like if Carolina covers, they win, which

516
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:28,639
Speaker 6: like if you're betting an underdog at these numbers, like

517
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:31,360
Speaker 6: you have to have a firm belief that they can

518
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,439
Speaker 6: win the game. Where it does feel like one of

519
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 6: those like if Carolina covers, they win, If Atlanta covers,

520
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:39,840
Speaker 6: they blow the brakes off them.

521
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,919
Speaker 4: Okay, let's go to Jill Gallant his second pick.

522
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 1: Okay, well, we're gonna move over to a maybe a

523
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 1: matchup where it has a little bit more of a

524
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 1: sexier teams here, not Panthers Falcons, but uh yeah, we're

525
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:55,680
Speaker 1: gonna look at the Niners Rams game, and I'm gonna

526
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 1: keep going with the trend, I'm gonna go with Niners

527
00:24:57,640 --> 00:25:01,320
Speaker 1: minus one and a half. So seven regular season losses

528
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 1: in a row to the Niners. Now, the Rams, they

529
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:07,199
Speaker 1: did win last year's NFC Title game, but that was

530
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 1: because Jimmy g through last minute draw interception to steal

531
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:14,360
Speaker 1: the game. That was pretty much what I know. He's

532
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,360
Speaker 1: due for one every game. So but the reason why

533
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 1: I wanted to bring that up is because this is

534
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: more of a pick against the Rams than endorsing the Niners.

535
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 1: But because the Rams offense, even though we could talk

536
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 1: about Sean McVay Tren's coming off a buye, but they're

537
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,160
Speaker 1: just not what we're used to seeing.

538
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 3: From this Rams offense this season.

539
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,680
Speaker 1: Outside of Cooper Cup, the Rams have yet to establish

540
00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 1: a reliable second receiving option. And when you look at

541
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,199
Speaker 1: the NFC Title game of how they beat them in

542
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 1: that game, Cooper Cup obviously had two touchdowns over one

543
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:47,040
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty yards, but Odell Beckham was also very

544
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: prominent in that game. He had one hundred and twenty

545
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: receiving yards in that game. They have not been able

546
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 1: to establish that second option last comparatively to last year,

547
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 1: Alan Robinson he just ain't it yet. He did catch

548
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:00,679
Speaker 1: a touchdown in his last game, but and just he

549
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 1: has not been able to get that separation, you know,

550
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,320
Speaker 1: on third down maybe to be able to help out

551
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup and the Niners just really outmatch the Rams

552
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 1: on a lot of key positions, Like I mean, they've

553
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,719
Speaker 1: got an all pro left tackle, tight end, wide receiver,

554
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,840
Speaker 1: and now we're running back as well. And really, if

555
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:17,960
Speaker 1: you're fading the Niners on this spot, the only reason

556
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 1: you are is because of the lack of belief in

557
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo, because you know he is gonna throw one interception,

558
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,200
Speaker 1: just whether or not it's going to be the pivotal interception.

559
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 1: And speaking of interceptions, if win, eventually Matt Stafford's interception

560
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 1: prop does come out, and it's probably gonna be around

561
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 1: the minus one twenty minus one twenty five range. I

562
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: legitimately am going to take out a loan and bet

563
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,679
Speaker 1: on this because he has thrown an interception in nine

564
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: of his last ten home games, that includes the playoffs,

565
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 1: and in every game against the Niners as a Ram.

566
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 1: So for me, right now, I'm looking at this matchup

567
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 1: and I'm like, it's not about if it's just win win,

568
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:56,159
Speaker 1: is it gonna happen.

569
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 3: So if you see at a.

570
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 1: Minus one twenty or better, I think you need to

571
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 1: hammer it. I think by the time we see it

572
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 1: at kickoff, it's probably gonna be minus one twenty five,

573
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,119
Speaker 1: minus one thirty. It did end up closing at minus

574
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,960
Speaker 1: one fifteen when he played in San Francisco earlier in

575
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:09,439
Speaker 1: the season.

576
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:15,080
Speaker 4: So I'm glad you brought this up. The trend of

577
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:20,320
Speaker 4: McVeigh off of by. He's only had this situation pop

578
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 4: up once in terms of facing a divisional opponent off

579
00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 4: of bye. That was in twenty twenty against the Seahawks.

580
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:26,960
Speaker 4: It was a three point spread. His squad beat the

581
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 4: Seattle Seahawks twenty three to sixteen Jimmy Garoppolo seven and

582
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 4: one straight up and against the spread against the Rams

583
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 4: it was a two point spread. Right a couple of

584
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,920
Speaker 4: weeks ago Monday night, that was the number in San Francisco.

585
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:41,600
Speaker 4: Role Deebo had a big game, but the Rams were

586
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,680
Speaker 4: dogs on the road and they are dogs again at home.

587
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 4: So and Jill said that NFC Title game from last

588
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 4: year is the only time they really handled their business

589
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 4: against this team. Let's go to Brandon Anderson for his

590
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:54,359
Speaker 4: third best bet.

591
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:56,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna chime me in on that one.

592
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:59,119
Speaker 5: And this is a really fascinating game because one of

593
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 5: these teams in real trouble after they lose this one.

594
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,399
Speaker 5: The Niners either dropped to three and five and that

595
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,680
Speaker 5: is not the spot they're expecting to be, or the

596
00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 5: Rams go to three and four and swept by the

597
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 5: team that they're trying to get the division against.

598
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:13,359
Speaker 3: So it's a big one and I'm going to thread

599
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 3: the needle a.

600
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 5: Little bit here. I'll get to the pick in a second.

601
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:18,240
Speaker 5: But Jill, you talked about some of the things. What

602
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 5: are the Rams looking for here? Well, I think there

603
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 5: are a couple other things. First, it does look like

604
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 5: Van Jefferson maybe we'll be back this week. He's starting

605
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 5: to practice a bit, and that is that receiving speed

606
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 5: threat that the team has needed, and so I think

607
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 5: that that could open up the offense a bit. And

608
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 5: the other thing is the Rams are coming out of

609
00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 5: the bye week, and so I'm intrigued to see what

610
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 5: does it look like when Sean McVay had a chance

611
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 5: to say, Okay, this offense sucks. It is awful and

612
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 5: it's not what we've been doing. We got a speed

613
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 5: guy back. Now we've had some time to plan a

614
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 5: few things. What can we do? And the thing I've

615
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 5: noticed about the Rams this year is that their offense

616
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 5: is way better in the first quarter. In the third quarter,

617
00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,640
Speaker 5: we said the opposite with Miami speed wore you down.

618
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,720
Speaker 5: With the Rams, it's when Sean McVay can script it,

619
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:05,680
Speaker 5: We're going to be fine. We can move the ball

620
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 5: a lip and score. But then I'm when I just

621
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 5: kind of erodes into okay, but now just talent and

622
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 5: oh no, the Rams aren't it anymore. So I'm gonna

623
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 5: thread the needle here. I like the Rams early home

624
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,880
Speaker 5: underdogs in the first half coming out of the buy

625
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 5: are forty five twenty in one against the spread, so

626
00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 5: sixty two percent. I like the Rams to hang around

627
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 5: win in the first half, and I think this stays close.

628
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 5: The line is relatively letting. It's forty two and a

629
00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:34,480
Speaker 5: half and dropping. Both defenses are pretty good here, better

630
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:38,120
Speaker 5: than both offenses. The offensive line for the Rams especially

631
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,320
Speaker 5: is struggling. The Niners have a lot of injuries on

632
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 5: both sides of the ball, so that defense is not

633
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 5: quite what it want once was. Cale yustcheck is out

634
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 5: on the offense. So I do like the Shanahan trend

635
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 5: nine and three ats against McVay has covered six in

636
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 5: a row. I do think the Niners over sixty minutes

637
00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 5: come through. So here's where I I'm going to go

638
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:03,400
Speaker 5: in the first half. I like the Rams to win.

639
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,320
Speaker 5: If you look even at the Shanahan McVeagh thing in

640
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 5: games combined, the Rams actually are outscoring the Niners one

641
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:13,040
Speaker 5: sixty seven to one fifty seven in the first half alone.

642
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 5: But I'll take the Rams to win the first half,

643
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 5: but the Niners to win the game. You can play

644
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 5: that as a double at FanDuel. It's plus seven to fifty.

645
00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,520
Speaker 5: So I'm going for I'm going for the whole thing here.

646
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 5: I didn't find a number I loved, so I'm just

647
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 5: going to try to take a swing here. Play a

648
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:32,479
Speaker 5: Rams first half Niners full time if you want, if

649
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:34,360
Speaker 5: you like the under in there as well and really

650
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:37,080
Speaker 5: want to go big, plus sixteen to twenty six if

651
00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 5: you add the under in there as well. But yeah,

652
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 5: that the Rams first half Niners full time. That is

653
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 5: a that that one is already cued up for you infanduel.

654
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,040
Speaker 5: So if you just look under the double plus seven

655
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 5: fifty and let's see if we can try to thread

656
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 5: the needle here.

657
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 4: Okay, juicy. Forty two and a half points, by the way,

658
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:56,800
Speaker 4: is the total for this game when they met earlier

659
00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 4: in the year October third, so the beginning of the

660
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 4: both niners one twenty four to nine. So it's kind

661
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:05,360
Speaker 4: of a bummer real quick. Thankfully we'll get to Seattle

662
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 4: Island later on in the program. But thankfully Seattle is

663
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,640
Speaker 4: hanging around. So was Arizona because I thought they're already

664
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 4: gonna play twice now this early in the season San

665
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 4: fran and La. But it turns out we might have

666
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 4: a pretty good division race despite these two teams playing

667
00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 4: each other twice this early on, Luke, what is your

668
00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 4: final best bet?

669
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 6: So my final one is going to be the Patriots

670
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 6: minus two two and a half at the Jets. I

671
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 6: know this is a short favorite on a division in

672
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 6: a divisional game, which normally, in principle is one you

673
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 6: want to avoid, but this is a five and two

674
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:45,440
Speaker 6: Jets team that is just a full fade for me

675
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 6: at the current moment, where four the five wins have

676
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 6: been against backup quarterbacks. Their one quality win quote unquote

677
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 6: was against the Packers, which, like I said, for the Cardinals,

678
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 6: as the weeks go by, the Packers are looking worse

679
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 6: and worse and victories against them are becoming less and

680
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 6: less impressive.

681
00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 2: This is only the second.

682
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:11,400
Speaker 6: Team ever to have a winning record and be an

683
00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 6: underdog in every single game come Week six, which is

684
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 6: just playing above expectation. Now they got Bryce Hall out,

685
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:23,280
Speaker 6: who I know he said running backs don't matter, but

686
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:27,239
Speaker 6: he is one that did. Because if you are going

687
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 6: to put this this in Zach Wilson's hands against the

688
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 6: Bill Belichick defense and make him beat you, when I

689
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 6: really James Robinson isn't going to beat me. Michael Carter

690
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 6: not too worried about either, Like if I just have

691
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:43,200
Speaker 6: no belief in Zach Wilson being able to beat me,

692
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 6: where like the Justice have had every break, and you're

693
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:51,560
Speaker 6: getting a Patriots team with Mac mack off of an

694
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 6: embarrassing loss on National TV, where the Patriots are twenty

695
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 6: five and nine against the spread, coming off of a

696
00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 6: double digit loss six and three without Tom Ready. Because

697
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 6: I know every Patriots trend has Tom Brady in them,

698
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 6: but it's just it's just a bile in the pass

699
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 6: in a total cell high on the Jets. Where the

700
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 6: Jets have had Brees Hall being out, Elijah Tucker being out,

701
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:15,400
Speaker 6: who has been great.

702
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 2: I think they're on their fourth right tackle. It's just

703
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:22,840
Speaker 2: I passed minus two and a half.

704
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 6: Yeah. The last thing I want to say is Mac

705
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 6: Jones one hundred percent over Zappy, Like let him burn

706
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:35,720
Speaker 6: it down, like first round pick. Let Mac burn it

707
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 6: down and figure it out where Zappi had two drives

708
00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:41,520
Speaker 6: last week that were great. He threw one up where

709
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 6: DeVante made a great catch and then he had a

710
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 6: wide open Jacoby Myers, which my first thought is why

711
00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 6: weren't these they calling these plays for Mac?

712
00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 2: Like why is Zappy getting this?

713
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 6: So Mac is an upgrade to me, which makes it

714
00:33:57,320 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 6: even better where the Jets almost got another backup quarterback.

715
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,680
Speaker 4: But I think your bone to pick is with the

716
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,239
Speaker 4: Patriots staff, not us. I mean, we're listening to you.

717
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 4: Don't get us wrong, but yeah, we hear you, we

718
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:09,399
Speaker 4: see you, Luke Swayin.

719
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:14,400
Speaker 6: It's our defensive coordinator calling offensive plays that's the problem.

720
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 4: And great job mentioning the record without Brady, because you

721
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:20,000
Speaker 4: know that's the first thing people would have thought, Well,

722
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 4: what's the record with Brad.

723
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:21,839
Speaker 2: So that was good.

724
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:22,840
Speaker 4: You came ready to go with that.

725
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 6: So it's still relative because coaching, but not as relative

726
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 6: because of Brady.

727
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, Breece Hall, Elijah Verra Tucker Tuck.

728
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 2: Wow, that's the point.

729
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:36,880
Speaker 4: An accent just slipped Elijah Barrett Tucker both out for

730
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:38,799
Speaker 4: the season. I don't think James Robinson's going to make

731
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 4: up for that all in one week for the Jets. Jill,

732
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:43,919
Speaker 4: take us home your final best bet.

733
00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 1: I'm with Luke Patriots minus two and a half versus

734
00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 1: the Jets. I didn't know we were doing the same pick,

735
00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 1: but we have a lot of the same points. I

736
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 1: find there are just a little bit more things too

737
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 1: that we could look at. Even just last year, just

738
00:34:56,560 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 1: the last two matchups, Patriots won by nineteen and thirty nine.

739
00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,960
Speaker 1: You know, so facing some of these quarterbacks that they've faced,

740
00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 1: like Brett Rippon, Teddy Bridgewater, Kenny Pickett, all those lines

741
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,759
Speaker 1: flipped to the Jets. But the lines were tracking that

742
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 1: Denver was supposed to be favored in that game, Miami

743
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 1: was supposed to be favored in that game. The Steelers

744
00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,759
Speaker 1: were favored, and then they tossed Rubisky at halftime and

745
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:22,319
Speaker 1: Pickett just became picket in that second half. But you know,

746
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously you can look at the trends and

747
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 1: even though they do include Brady and Belichick, you know,

748
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 1: twelve straight wins against the team dating back to twenty fifteen,

749
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 1: nine of those by double digits. But I think last

750
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,320
Speaker 1: year's results are a little bit more relevant. But Zach Wilson,

751
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 1: like you said, VR, like, he's not beating the Patriots.

752
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 1: He's throwing one touchdown pass and four starts like and

753
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 1: you know they lost Breese Hall. Michael Carter. I'm not

754
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:44,400
Speaker 1: going to go that far where I'm just going to

755
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 1: completely slammer the guy, because I do think he's a

756
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 1: good running back and he's fun to bet on from

757
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 1: a touchdown score perspective. But that's the Patriots specialties, especially

758
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 1: as they run the ball and the Jets are bottom

759
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,359
Speaker 1: three and touchdowns allowed by running backs. That pretty much

760
00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 1: sets up a perfect matchup for Damien Harris or Mandre

761
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 1: just to basically over this team. So out of minus

762
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:03,479
Speaker 1: two and a half line, I feel like we're getting

763
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 1: a little bit of a gift here because of that

764
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:07,239
Speaker 1: Monday night football loss to the Bears.

765
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:09,320
Speaker 4: Two things on the line in this game. If the

766
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 4: Jets win, the Jets get there and cover, they will

767
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 4: they will get to their win total of six, they

768
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 4: will surpass five and a half and get to an

769
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,319
Speaker 4: over on their win total, and they will beat the

770
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 4: Patriots for the first time in seven years. And they've

771
00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 4: lost to the Pats twelve times in a row.

772
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 5: So now one more number to chime in here, because

773
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 5: I like the Patriots too. This is the spot you

774
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:35,640
Speaker 5: want Bill Belichick after he's pissed off after.

775
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:36,440
Speaker 3: That Monday night game.

776
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:38,319
Speaker 5: If you look back at the history and I don't

777
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:41,240
Speaker 5: have the No Brady numbers here, but just Belichick after

778
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 5: failing to cover by twenty one or more, as you

779
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 5: might guess, does not happen a lot. But in our system,

780
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 5: eleven and one against the spread, covering by twelve points

781
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 5: a game the following week twelve and hours straight up.

782
00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 3: So you want pissed off Bill Belichick out here. This

783
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:56,920
Speaker 3: is a spot for him.

784
00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,279
Speaker 4: Before we wrap up the show, let's take a very

785
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 4: quick look at next week's lines for NFL Week nine

786
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:07,200
Speaker 4: to see if you like any numbers now before they

787
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 4: adjust after Sunday. That's what we call the look aheadline.

788
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,240
Speaker 4: Brandon Anderson. What do you like for next week?

789
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:15,279
Speaker 3: You know we gotta do it.

790
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 5: We can make it through the whole podcast without a

791
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:21,920
Speaker 5: visit to Seattle Island. Let's go Seahawks plus three and

792
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:26,319
Speaker 5: a half at Arizona. I am insulted by this line.

793
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 5: What are we doing? The Cardinals are three and a

794
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:31,359
Speaker 5: half point favorites. Okay, let's start with Cliff Kingsbury stack

795
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 5: because we know I'm gonna get there eventually. You want

796
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:36,920
Speaker 5: Kingsbury as an underdog on the road. You don't want

797
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 5: Kingsbury at home or as a favorite. Is nine and

798
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 5: fifteen ats as a favorite thirty eight percent, one in

799
00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 5: four in the division as a favorite, be Carol as

800
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:48,759
Speaker 5: an underdog sixty two percent in the division eighteen and

801
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:52,160
Speaker 5: ten ats Gino Smith as an underdog. You want like

802
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:55,480
Speaker 5: all the trends point to Seattle here, But how about

803
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 5: this trend? They played three weeks ago and Seattle just

804
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:03,440
Speaker 5: destroyed this team, Arizona. Remember Seattle has no defense. Arizona's

805
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,359
Speaker 5: offense scored three three points three in the entire game

806
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,319
Speaker 5: against the terrible Seattle defense, which by the way, is

807
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:12,880
Speaker 5: not terrible anymore. They're actually number one in DVA. The

808
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,879
Speaker 5: last two weeks. Their top eight over the last month

809
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:21,240
Speaker 5: in passing and rushing defense, not just offense. Actually, Seattle

810
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:23,759
Speaker 5: is the only team in the NFL that is top

811
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,839
Speaker 5: eight in rushing and passing offense and defense right now

812
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:30,360
Speaker 5: over the last month. The Seahawks are good man and

813
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:33,360
Speaker 5: the Cardinals are not. The pass defense is not good.

814
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:37,960
Speaker 5: We're still treating these teams like Kyler Murray is the

815
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 5: top quarterback and Gino Smith is the one playing bad

816
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 5: football right now, it's the other way. Gino is top

817
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:47,480
Speaker 5: three to five in every QB metric. Kyler is not

818
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 5: playing well. Last game, the Arizona turn it over five times.

819
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 5: There were sacked six times against this Seattle defense. So

820
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:58,239
Speaker 5: what's changed? Why is the line still Arizona three and

821
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:00,919
Speaker 5: a half. Well, we've talked about it. Hofkin is back

822
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:03,360
Speaker 5: and that does change everything for them. It opens up

823
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:06,319
Speaker 5: the offense a lot, and it is in Arizona, But

824
00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:09,320
Speaker 5: in Arizona hasn't helped a whole lot. Last nine times

825
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 5: these teams have played in Arizona, the Cardinals one once.

826
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:15,600
Speaker 5: Now I know they're gonna say, yeah, but Russell Wilson,

827
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,080
Speaker 5: Gino Smith is playing just as well as Russell Wilson

828
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:19,440
Speaker 5: has right now anyway.

829
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,240
Speaker 3: Not this Wilson, the good Wilson.

830
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 5: Gino Smith is playing as well as good to Wilson

831
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:27,000
Speaker 5: and the Seattle offense. Arizona only two six and one

832
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:30,879
Speaker 5: in those home Cardinals games. So I like Seattle here,

833
00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:34,160
Speaker 5: and especially I love the look ahead spot at three

834
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 5: and a half. You know this line is going to

835
00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 5: get below that field goal because this weekend both these

836
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 5: teams play a one last team. But Seattle is at

837
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 5: home favored against the Giants, so we expect them to win.

838
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 5: Arizona is on the road in Minnesota. Now we talked

839
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:50,879
Speaker 5: about it. It's a good spot for them, but if

840
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 5: you're a road underdog, you're expecting to lose that one.

841
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 5: Seattle expecting to win probably push this past the key number.

842
00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 5: If we get there, Seattle island baby on playing it

843
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:03,839
Speaker 5: and tell the books catch up. I think this might

844
00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:05,600
Speaker 5: be our last chance because I think the books are

845
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:08,400
Speaker 5: finally the catch up. If Seattle does keep winning these games,

846
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,560
Speaker 5: I still see a plus six hundred for Seattle division.

847
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 3: They are leading the division and are the division favorite

848
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:15,080
Speaker 3: right now.

849
00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 5: Plus six hundred is ludicrous and if you don't have it,

850
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 5: you should get it. I do have it at a

851
00:40:20,640 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 5: longer number, and I'm adding the position. So give me

852
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 5: the division that give me Seattle plus three and a

853
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:28,279
Speaker 5: half in Arizona. I think we're going to get three

854
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:30,359
Speaker 5: and a half points underdog for this team too many

855
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 5: more times.

856
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:33,840
Speaker 4: I'm happy you brought up their matchups this week because

857
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:36,160
Speaker 4: it makes a lot of sense from the Seattle standpoint

858
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 4: being at home. But that was gonna be my next question.

859
00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:42,080
Speaker 4: What if Minnesota handles their business, say they are for

860
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 4: real at five and one, there's a better chance of

861
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 4: that than Seattle falling on its face at home and

862
00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 4: probably their biggest game post Russell Wilson contending legit Pete

863
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:55,839
Speaker 4: Carroll feeling good about his team makes sense. But yeah,

864
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:57,560
Speaker 4: we'll see. And even it looked like you said, even

865
00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:00,160
Speaker 4: if Arizona covers against Minnesota, they can still lose the

866
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:02,920
Speaker 4: game and that could shift things for sure, and you

867
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:06,800
Speaker 4: won't get as long as a number for Seattle visiting Arizona.

868
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 5: That's the place you want to visit, is Seattle Island.

869
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:11,319
Speaker 5: That's where you want to visit, So come on out.

870
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,360
Speaker 5: There's still plenty of room out here. I'm building the

871
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:15,000
Speaker 5: condo I got, I got room for you.

872
00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 4: All right, let's recap the picks for Week eight and

873
00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 4: then we'll get ourselves out of here. Brandon Anderson is

874
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 4: on Miami minus three and a half against Detroit. He

875
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 4: likes the Bengals minus three and a half against the Browns,

876
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 4: and his final pick listen carefully. He likes the Rams

877
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:34,120
Speaker 4: in the first half and then San Francisco full time,

878
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 4: so he's taking a different angle. And he also said,

879
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:38,880
Speaker 4: if you want to get frisky, take the team total

880
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:41,160
Speaker 4: under forty two and a half as well. You can

881
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:42,960
Speaker 4: get that at you say, what was the odds again?

882
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,040
Speaker 5: On the Enda plus plus seven and fifth p for

883
00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:47,360
Speaker 5: the halftime full time, and then it's around sixteen to

884
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:49,360
Speaker 5: twenty five head in the total, okay.

885
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,959
Speaker 4: Luke Swayin is on Arizona plus three and a half.

886
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 4: He likes Carolina plus four against Atlanta and the Patriots

887
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:57,960
Speaker 4: minus two and a half against the Jets. Joe Galant

888
00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 4: is on Tennessee and Houston. He likes the forty and

889
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:03,880
Speaker 4: a half. Jill's also on the Niners minus one and

890
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 4: a half against the Rams, and he too is on

891
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:09,239
Speaker 4: the Patriots minus two and a half. That'll do it.

892
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:11,960
Speaker 4: On the Action Network, podcast for our NFL Week eight

893
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:15,040
Speaker 4: best bets. Thanks to Brandon Anderson, Luke Swain, Joe Golan

894
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:17,759
Speaker 4: for joining us. I'm your host, Brandon Glas Sheen. Best

895
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 4: of luck with your bets this weekend. Everybody. We will

896
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:22,399
Speaker 4: see you again Monday morning for the recap show right

897
00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:24,759
Speaker 4: here on the Action Network podcast