WEBVTT - Former Apple Engineer Unveils Jobs' Creative Process

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg P and L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg P and L

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. Our

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<v Speaker 1>next guest is the author of a new book entitled

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<v Speaker 1>Creative Selection, inside Apple's design process during the golden age

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<v Speaker 1>of Steve Jobs ken CoA Cienda. He joins us now

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<v Speaker 1>in our eleven three oh studios, and he is also

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<v Speaker 1>the former principal engineer of iPhone software at Apple. So

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<v Speaker 1>if you have any problems with your iPhone, you know

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<v Speaker 1>who to ask. Great to have you with us hand.

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for coming in. Thanks so much, it's great to

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<v Speaker 1>be here. Tell us why you decided to write this book, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I thought, I think I worked at Apple during an

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<v Speaker 1>interesting time in its history. I got the opportunity to

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<v Speaker 1>work on some products like the iPhone, but I also

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<v Speaker 1>started at the company back in two thousand one one.

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<v Speaker 1>Apple was still an underdog and and the iPod hadn't

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<v Speaker 1>even been released. Yet and and the Mac was still

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<v Speaker 1>the company's main product, and and it was at a

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<v Speaker 1>five percent market share in a computer industry dominated by

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<v Speaker 1>Microsoft Windows. And so I was I was there. I

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<v Speaker 1>was a witness to this effort of Steve Jobs to

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<v Speaker 1>make the company relevant again, not only the market but

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<v Speaker 1>in people's minds. And and that's with products like the

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<v Speaker 1>iPhone and and and the iPod before it. Right, that

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<v Speaker 1>that worked out pretty well. So Ken, here we are.

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<v Speaker 1>Apple is now worth more than a trillion dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>market cap. What point in your tenure at Apple did

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<v Speaker 1>you realized, Huh, we're working on something that's really big. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>when the iPhone came out, of course, it built upon

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<v Speaker 1>the iPod before it, and so Apple had already re

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<v Speaker 1>established itself as as as a company worth watching. But

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<v Speaker 1>then with the iPhone, uh, and and and the release

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<v Speaker 1>of apps, and and the excitement that people had, uh

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<v Speaker 1>that they could carry around this computer in their pocket,

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<v Speaker 1>and that he could download all of this software that

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<v Speaker 1>that opened up all of these these these new software

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<v Speaker 1>and hardware networking capabilities to them. Uh, it became clear

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<v Speaker 1>to us that that this was something special. Just give

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<v Speaker 1>people a little flavor of how you ended up at

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<v Speaker 1>Apple because you did not well. You graduated with a

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<v Speaker 1>degree from in history, and I understand that you're also

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<v Speaker 1>at one point thinking of a career as a motorcycle repair.

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<v Speaker 1>So I graduated from college. I had a history degree,

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<v Speaker 1>uh and I wanted to do so. Yes, I I

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<v Speaker 1>went to Yale uh and and but I wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>do something different from from studying and so I I

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<v Speaker 1>went to motorcycle mechanics school. I have to say, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>this wasn't the most popular decision with my father, but

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<v Speaker 1>my family got behind me and supported me. And so yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I went out to to fix motorcycles. You know, throughout

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<v Speaker 1>my throughout my life, throughout my career, I've I've tried

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<v Speaker 1>to figure out ways that I could reinvent uh and

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<v Speaker 1>and and integrate new new new efforts, new new directions,

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<v Speaker 1>new ideas. So ken one thing that I'm struck by

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<v Speaker 1>as Apple sort of starts a path forward, how much

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<v Speaker 1>was Steve Jobs responsible for the dynamism of Apple? And

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<v Speaker 1>you know, does his his death and you know, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the saturation of the Apple products at this point

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<v Speaker 1>create a cap and how much further it can go

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<v Speaker 1>and innovate? Well, you see Steve created the culture that

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<v Speaker 1>we used at Apple to build products. And and to

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<v Speaker 1>just talk a little bit about that a second, because

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<v Speaker 1>I think it does inform so much about what what

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<v Speaker 1>what Apple is and how it how it does its work.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, he was a great editor and and and

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<v Speaker 1>he set these assignments for people like me a programmer,

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<v Speaker 1>and he would evaluate the work that came back, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>always with a mind for how these products would fit

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<v Speaker 1>into people's lives so that it wouldn't wouldn't be just

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<v Speaker 1>a piece of technology, uh, that it would be something

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<v Speaker 1>that people would find meaningful and useful for them, you know.

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<v Speaker 1>And this this continues on his his his legacy is

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<v Speaker 1>still very very strong in the company. Well when you

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<v Speaker 1>say meaningful to them, I mean right now we're broadcasting

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<v Speaker 1>as these set it hearings go on with Facebook and Twitter,

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<v Speaker 1>and I just have to wonder, I mean, given the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that people are raising questions about iPhone or smartphone

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<v Speaker 1>addictions and that people are using social media that's being

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<v Speaker 1>corrupted according to some people buy foreign actors and bots

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<v Speaker 1>and the like. You know, does that does that vision

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<v Speaker 1>change or is there something about that that has to

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<v Speaker 1>change just by nature of where we are right now. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think as a society, as a culture, we are

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<v Speaker 1>learning what to do with these new devices and and

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<v Speaker 1>and the pervasive part that they play in our lives. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>where this is still new to us. This technology like

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<v Speaker 1>the iPhone didn't exist a dozen years ago, and Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>didn't either, and so we are still trying to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out how to incorporate these new ideas and these new

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<v Speaker 1>capabilities into our life. So it's you know, I'm an optimist.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're going to figure it out. Well, your

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<v Speaker 1>book is very optimistic as well, and I gotta say

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<v Speaker 1>it is a great read. It's called creative Selection. And

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<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering if you could just quickly tell the story

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<v Speaker 1>about a demo that you'd made with a gentleman name

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<v Speaker 1>Phil Schiller, just had to do with the Corty keyboard

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<v Speaker 1>that we're If you've got large thumbs, it's your fault.

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<v Speaker 1>Using and creating the keyboard for the iPhone. Is a

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<v Speaker 1>fascinating story about collaboration at Apple. Right. Well, you see,

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<v Speaker 1>the way that we did work was always based on

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<v Speaker 1>demos and and and we used this creative selection process

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<v Speaker 1>to Starwinnian process of evolving the projects and and and

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<v Speaker 1>the products from these early stage stages where lots of

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<v Speaker 1>times the software wasn't very good. And so this this

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<v Speaker 1>demo that you're you're mentioning was was an instance where

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<v Speaker 1>this early prototype, well, it didn't really work very well

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<v Speaker 1>for Phil and like Apple, he said so. And so

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<v Speaker 1>you know, for me as a as a product developer

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<v Speaker 1>and designer, you had to have a pretty thick skin.

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<v Speaker 1>But you had to react to what these people were

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<v Speaker 1>saying when they tried to software, because that's the experience

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<v Speaker 1>that people have. They walk into an Apple store and

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<v Speaker 1>they pick up a device, and they need to decide

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<v Speaker 1>if they want to buy it or not. And and

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<v Speaker 1>so it was job the job for someone like me

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure that the product worked, that that the

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<v Speaker 1>experience would be good when people tried the product. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and not to get too offended when people say, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't work for me. I'm sure it was. Yeah. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>It was then my my role to step in and

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<v Speaker 1>figure out what what's making people have that reaction and

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<v Speaker 1>to bridge that gap so that the experiences is a

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<v Speaker 1>good one rather than uh. Ken Cakscenda, thank you so

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<v Speaker 1>much for being with us. Ken Kshnda is author and

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<v Speaker 1>former principal engineer of iPhone software at Apple. His new

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<v Speaker 1>book is Creative Selection, Inside Apple's design process during the

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<v Speaker 1>Golden Age. Steve Jobs chairs of Twitter. They are lower

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<v Speaker 1>right now by four and a half percent. As comes

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<v Speaker 1>as the chief executive, Jack Dorsey testifies for the Senate

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<v Speaker 1>Intelligence Committee. Here to tell us more about these hearings

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<v Speaker 1>and the companies is Mark Douglas, the chief executive of Steelhouse.

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<v Speaker 1>All Right, Mark Douglass, what do you take away from

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<v Speaker 1>the hearings? Is this just a political theater or are

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<v Speaker 1>there going to be substantive changes at these social media companies? Um? Hi,

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<v Speaker 1>good morning, So Um, I would put a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>between those two. I mean, I don't think there's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be much that comes from these hearings from a

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<v Speaker 1>congressional Senate perspective in terms of legislation that's essentially not

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<v Speaker 1>already enacted by these companies. And there's the they already

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<v Speaker 1>have controls and plays, they have taken actions and things

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<v Speaker 1>like that. But I think the hearings are pretty informative.

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<v Speaker 1>I think for anyone that chooses to watch them, like

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<v Speaker 1>with the Zuckerberg testimony, you learn a lot. You learn

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<v Speaker 1>a lot about how these companies operate, Marco, Who do

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<v Speaker 1>you think has performed better today, Jack Dorsey or Cheryl Samberg? Um.

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<v Speaker 1>Cheryl Samberg. Jack sings to me personally, UM, fairly nervous.

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<v Speaker 1>I think he has never smiled. Demeanor UM, which is

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<v Speaker 1>kind of um personally to me doesn't read that well.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Cheryl, you know her, her experience as an

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<v Speaker 1>executive and kind of comfort just being in front of

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<v Speaker 1>a microphone and in a setting, UM seeing she just

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<v Speaker 1>kind of comes across much better. Marca, what if you

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<v Speaker 1>could comment on the world of advertising as it relates

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<v Speaker 1>to social media and whether publishers, those people who purchase

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<v Speaker 1>advertising online are they really getting what the social media

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<v Speaker 1>companies tell them they're getting or they getting many of

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<v Speaker 1>the fake and illegitimate accounts that have also been the

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<v Speaker 1>subject of political investigation. Yeah, I mean that's an interesting question.

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<v Speaker 1>So the Facebook in particular is widely considered the best

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<v Speaker 1>performing advertising platform period um and so, and the way

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<v Speaker 1>that measured is two ways, um. Two people click on

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<v Speaker 1>the ads and respond to them, and do they purchase

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<v Speaker 1>goods and services after they see the ads and the

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<v Speaker 1>goods and services You can't the clicks potentially, UM can

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<v Speaker 1>be a little you know, maybe a fake box or

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<v Speaker 1>something like that can do that. There's not really an

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<v Speaker 1>incentive to do it, but people um companies run these

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<v Speaker 1>ads and they get the purchases that they're looking for,

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<v Speaker 1>they get the consumer response that they're looking for. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think, in particular on the social media companies, that's

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<v Speaker 1>considered really safe place to advertise and very very high

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<v Speaker 1>performing place for advertising the place of money. So, given

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<v Speaker 1>your background and your intimate knowledge of how the advertising

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<v Speaker 1>works and data collection UH plays out, what is the

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<v Speaker 1>question that you would ask both Cheryl Sandberg and Jack

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<v Speaker 1>Dorsey and what would you be hoping to hear? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think what most consumers want to hear. So in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of the question, let's say that question was coming

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<v Speaker 1>from a consumer perspective, is my data being solved? I

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<v Speaker 1>think when I talk to people, they generally understand these

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<v Speaker 1>platforms are free and in return for them being free,

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<v Speaker 1>that they're going to receive ads, and those ads are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be targeted at their interests, words they use

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<v Speaker 1>in their profiles, things like that, what they you know,

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<v Speaker 1>where I think most people draw the line is are

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<v Speaker 1>you selling that data in any way? Are you giving

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<v Speaker 1>it away? Are you trading it in any way? And

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's um ultimately the real question here. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of centers want to talk about

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<v Speaker 1>political ads. I think that's another not consumed a question,

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<v Speaker 1>but a question that Americans have is is you know

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<v Speaker 1>when when their political ad placed, are they legitimate? Are

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<v Speaker 1>they real? Um? Those are the two key things. I think,

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<v Speaker 1>the consumer data, what's happening with my data? And and

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<v Speaker 1>can I trust that the ads I see, particularly in

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<v Speaker 1>a political arena, are are legitimate? Thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for being with us. Mark Douglas, chief executive Officer of

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<v Speaker 1>Steelhouse talking about what we've been hearing among the Senate

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<v Speaker 1>Intelligence Committee, where we have both Cheryl Sandberg as well

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<v Speaker 1>as Jack Dorsey of Facebook and Twitter respectively, testifying in

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<v Speaker 1>front of Congress. Really interesting that this hearing was supposed

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<v Speaker 1>to be about interference with US elections. We've heard very good.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, I haven't heard anything specifically about the presidential

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<v Speaker 1>election or any specifics regarding what the companies have done

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<v Speaker 1>to ensure that that doesn't happen with the upcoming the

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<v Speaker 1>term elections. Indeed, and there does seem to be a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of focus. Potential regulations are oversight of these companies,

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<v Speaker 1>and perhaps that's what's leading the tech shares to decline

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<v Speaker 1>more than other arrival industries. The market for initial public

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<v Speaker 1>offerings in the United States that have been announced more

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<v Speaker 1>than twenty seven billion dollars worth of initial public offerings

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<v Speaker 1>so far this year a hundred companies. Here to help

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<v Speaker 1>us understand the market is Manuel Enrique's founder and chief

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<v Speaker 1>executive officer of Hercules Capital. They are based in Palo

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<v Speaker 1>Alto and Manuel joins us now and well, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>very much for being with us. Tell people a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit about Hercules Capital and the kind of money that

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<v Speaker 1>you invest and at what stage because you're kind of

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<v Speaker 1>at the very beginning for a lot of companies, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>between one and forty million dollars of investment capital. Correct. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we kind of helped bridge the gap for companies looking

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<v Speaker 1>to expand and grow without having UH to ENCURRG greater

0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:12.800
<v Speaker 1>solution and you get either grow by using venture capital

0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:15.400
<v Speaker 1>equity dollars or you can grow by having more conservative

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:18.360
<v Speaker 1>bank capital. We fit in that middle void where we

0:14:18.400 --> 0:14:21.960
<v Speaker 1>actually help these companies continue to advance or innovations and

0:14:22.000 --> 0:14:25.800
<v Speaker 1>their disruptive technologies by preserving more capital ownership to the

0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 1>original investors, original seat investors, and the founders by using

0:14:30.200 --> 0:14:34.160
<v Speaker 1>a vehicle call venture debt, which is what we do. MM. Interesting.

0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 1>This is especially interesting to me because it comes at

0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:40.320
<v Speaker 1>a time where there's increasing focus on how the number

0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:43.240
<v Speaker 1>of I p O s has declined significantly in the

0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:46.480
<v Speaker 1>United States. SEC Chair Jay Clayton has me that's one

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:50.360
<v Speaker 1>of his priorities to basically prompt more companies to go

0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:53.280
<v Speaker 1>public in the US. What's your take on the I

0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 1>p O market? And you know, do you sort of

0:14:55.920 --> 0:14:58.600
<v Speaker 1>agree with people who say that people like you who

0:14:58.680 --> 0:15:03.680
<v Speaker 1>offer this bridge finance saying reduced the need to go public. Well,

0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:06.680
<v Speaker 1>there's certainly there's there's a lot of factors that question.

0:15:06.720 --> 0:15:08.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, number one, you can go back as far

0:15:08.400 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 1>as decimalization, uh causing an impact on that, Sarbans Oxley

0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:16.720
<v Speaker 1>another issue causing that, and then the public shareholders demanding

0:15:17.200 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>that business models be more developed and start showing less

0:15:21.520 --> 0:15:24.240
<v Speaker 1>of a cash burned before they go public, and all

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:27.200
<v Speaker 1>of that has actually changed, and in fact, fiscal two

0:15:27.240 --> 0:15:29.200
<v Speaker 1>thousand and eighteen we're probably seeing one of the most

0:15:29.280 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 1>robust IBO market activities we haven't seen in probably over

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:37.320
<v Speaker 1>a decade and UH So far the first two quarters

0:15:37.360 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 1>of the year have been very very strong, with very

0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:42.160
<v Speaker 1>strong performance for companies like for example, to start with,

0:15:42.200 --> 0:15:45.080
<v Speaker 1>like Roku alone, UH is up since its i p

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:48.360
<v Speaker 1>almost almost three and a half times and its valuation.

0:15:48.880 --> 0:15:51.640
<v Speaker 1>Docu Signed, one of our own portfolio companies, has been

0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 1>a blockbuster, doing phenomenally well, probably a hundred hundred plus

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:59.560
<v Speaker 1>percent since going public, and there's multiple examples of that

0:15:59.600 --> 0:16:01.960
<v Speaker 1>throughout those recent i p o s. But what makes

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:04.120
<v Speaker 1>this I p O market very interesting and very unique.

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:08.400
<v Speaker 1>It is not just subject to the technology tape performing well.

0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:11.560
<v Speaker 1>It's also seeing very good strong performance on biotech. So

0:16:11.600 --> 0:16:15.440
<v Speaker 1>it's a wide industry uplift that's going on. As investors

0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:18.320
<v Speaker 1>continue to clamor for growth, they're seeing that growth coming

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.920
<v Speaker 1>from biotech and technology companies. Just to give the detail

0:16:21.920 --> 0:16:24.760
<v Speaker 1>about docu Sign, that company went public in March of

0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:28.080
<v Speaker 1>the year, a seven hundred and twenty three million dollar

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.760
<v Speaker 1>i p O. That share is so far performing a

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:35.600
<v Speaker 1>hundred and twenty three What can you tell us about

0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:40.880
<v Speaker 1>investing in the biotechnology industry or medical device business because

0:16:40.880 --> 0:16:43.960
<v Speaker 1>those are both areas that you're interested in. Yes, we

0:16:44.040 --> 0:16:47.560
<v Speaker 1>have um about the one point five billion of assets

0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:50.200
<v Speaker 1>we have invested, literally half of it is invested in

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:53.960
<v Speaker 1>about technology companies from wide array of companies from anywhere

0:16:53.960 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 1>from biotech to medical devices to therapeutic diagnostics UM and

0:16:58.640 --> 0:17:01.040
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing a very great strong performance in that area

0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 1>as well. And we're very happy with what we're seeing

0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:07.400
<v Speaker 1>with the results in the biotech companies, despite the fact

0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:09.640
<v Speaker 1>that you've been seen this kind of storm cloud forming

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:13.520
<v Speaker 1>on drug prices that has been looming either from the

0:17:13.520 --> 0:17:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Clinton administration or sorry when Hillary Clinton was looking at

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 1>drug price regulation and now the Trump administration is looking

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:22.919
<v Speaker 1>at drug price regulations. Although we've seen a lot of

0:17:22.920 --> 0:17:26.840
<v Speaker 1>that headwind causing some impact in biotechs, we're seeing so

0:17:26.880 --> 0:17:29.880
<v Speaker 1>far the industry seems to be brushing that off rightfully,

0:17:29.880 --> 0:17:33.200
<v Speaker 1>so because they're making such a great medical advancement that's

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:35.960
<v Speaker 1>going on there. So I'm just wondering, from your perspective,

0:17:36.000 --> 0:17:39.240
<v Speaker 1>one's the best time to invest in a company before

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 1>they go public at this point or after they go public. Well,

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 1>that's a great question, because what Hercules offers to the

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:48.640
<v Speaker 1>shareholders who in our stock is the ability to actually

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:51.440
<v Speaker 1>own some of these high promising pre I p O

0:17:52.040 --> 0:17:55.800
<v Speaker 1>PREEM and a companies that are now beyond just a concept.

0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:58.440
<v Speaker 1>So we definitely we generally don't invest in a Series

0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:01.159
<v Speaker 1>A or Series B we search of development company. We

0:18:01.160 --> 0:18:04.480
<v Speaker 1>tend to invest after the company has shown demonstrative progress

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:06.840
<v Speaker 1>in its development. So we try to take as much

0:18:06.960 --> 0:18:09.520
<v Speaker 1>risk out of the investment as we possibly can and

0:18:09.560 --> 0:18:13.560
<v Speaker 1>therefore allow our shareholders to participate an additional upside. So

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:15.879
<v Speaker 1>an interesting way of looking at Hercules is and Hercules

0:18:16.000 --> 0:18:20.159
<v Speaker 1>almost be seen as kind of et F of the

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:23.720
<v Speaker 1>venture capital industry. We have a wide distribution of different

0:18:23.800 --> 0:18:28.119
<v Speaker 1>venture capital firms, different uh technology and life sciences companies

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:30.720
<v Speaker 1>that we invest in, the different geographies of the United States,

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:33.880
<v Speaker 1>and different stages of developments, all aggregated in this one

0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:37.000
<v Speaker 1>portfolio called Hercules. So you can participate in that by

0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:40.359
<v Speaker 1>getting a nice dividend yield generally about nine nine percent

0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:43.679
<v Speaker 1>dividend yield, while also seeing capital appreciation when these companies

0:18:43.720 --> 0:18:47.480
<v Speaker 1>go public any evidence of docuside. For example, Manuel Henriquez,

0:18:47.480 --> 0:18:49.400
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being with us. Manuel Henriquez,

0:18:49.400 --> 0:18:52.680
<v Speaker 1>as founder and chief executive officer of Hercules at Capital

0:18:52.840 --> 0:19:10.200
<v Speaker 1>in Palo Alto, California. I want to shift our attention

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:14.200
<v Speaker 1>though now to retail to shopping and the places where

0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:17.399
<v Speaker 1>you do that shopping. And joining us now is Tom McGee, President,

0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:20.400
<v Speaker 1>Chief executive Officer of the International Council of Shopping Centers.

0:19:20.600 --> 0:19:22.479
<v Speaker 1>He joins us here in our eleven three oh studios

0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:25.200
<v Speaker 1>in New York. Tom, thank you so much for being

0:19:25.240 --> 0:19:27.879
<v Speaker 1>back with us. Really good to have you, especially in

0:19:27.960 --> 0:19:32.320
<v Speaker 1>light of the retail earnings that we've gotten, which were inconsistent,

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:35.120
<v Speaker 1>I should say, where you have some of the longtime laggards,

0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:39.440
<v Speaker 1>with J C. Penny, Sears, uh L brands really suffering

0:19:39.640 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 1>as a result of weaker earnings, while the Amazons of

0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:45.720
<v Speaker 1>the world and the Walmart and other big box stores too. Well,

0:19:46.000 --> 0:19:49.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm just wondering, from your perspective, would it be better

0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 1>for j C. Penny and Sears to go out of

0:19:51.640 --> 0:19:55.240
<v Speaker 1>business and to let other healthier retailers go in those

0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:57.800
<v Speaker 1>key spots in some of the malls in order to

0:19:57.840 --> 0:19:59.879
<v Speaker 1>generate more traffic, or do you think they should hang

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.639
<v Speaker 1>and for longer. Well, I think that First of all,

0:20:02.680 --> 0:20:05.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a fiercely competitive industry and it always

0:20:05.520 --> 0:20:08.119
<v Speaker 1>has been. Uh And if you look at uh the

0:20:08.280 --> 0:20:10.639
<v Speaker 1>retail names today and compared to twenty years ago, and

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:13.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty years ago, you see a lot of change and

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:17.120
<v Speaker 1>fluctuation that happens. I think consumers should make that, you know, decision,

0:20:17.600 --> 0:20:19.959
<v Speaker 1>not me, and I understand that, but I'm just wondering

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.720
<v Speaker 1>from a health perspective, do you think it's it's better

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:24.440
<v Speaker 1>for stores to sort of live their life and then

0:20:24.520 --> 0:20:27.080
<v Speaker 1>be turned over if they're not being super successful, or

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:29.640
<v Speaker 1>is it better for familiar names to kind of hang

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:33.040
<v Speaker 1>on again. I think I think the consumers should decide that.

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 1>I think from a from a shopping center developers perspective

0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:38.320
<v Speaker 1>and an owner and manager, they're always looking for the

0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:40.280
<v Speaker 1>mix and curation of folks that are going to drive

0:20:40.320 --> 0:20:43.959
<v Speaker 1>foot traffic. And generally what drives foot traffic is those

0:20:44.000 --> 0:20:46.040
<v Speaker 1>brands that are doing well in the marketplace, that are

0:20:46.280 --> 0:20:49.520
<v Speaker 1>offering products or services. And I think that's an important

0:20:49.560 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 1>element in you know, retail real estate today, really consumer

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.120
<v Speaker 1>real estate is that you're moving from really a product

0:20:56.160 --> 0:20:58.840
<v Speaker 1>centric city and almost an apparel centricity that may have

0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:02.400
<v Speaker 1>defined retail over the course of the last twenty five

0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:05.439
<v Speaker 1>years or so, to one that does include that, but

0:21:05.520 --> 0:21:09.880
<v Speaker 1>it's a composition of a lot more, a lot more services, hospitality.

0:21:09.880 --> 0:21:13.560
<v Speaker 1>You see quite frankly, when you see what's really happening

0:21:13.600 --> 0:21:17.880
<v Speaker 1>in in retail in general is and I've always believed,

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:19.840
<v Speaker 1>and I've said this on this show, this whole retail

0:21:19.880 --> 0:21:23.200
<v Speaker 1>apocalypse is just you know, kind of overblown what really

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:25.920
<v Speaker 1>is happening as a retail renaissance, and that there is

0:21:25.960 --> 0:21:30.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of redevelopment happening where you're mixing, um relative

0:21:30.080 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 1>to what consumer demand is, mixing hospitality and living and

0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:37.040
<v Speaker 1>retail all in one environment because people like to live, work,

0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:39.080
<v Speaker 1>and play in one place, and I think you're seeing

0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:41.680
<v Speaker 1>those things happen in retail generally here in the United States.

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:44.399
<v Speaker 1>And you know, we just recently issued kind of a

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:47.919
<v Speaker 1>global perspectives report because we are an international organization, and

0:21:47.960 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 1>I think you see those same trends at different stages

0:21:51.040 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 1>taking place across the world as well. All Right, I'm

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna give you a list of brands, and you can

0:21:57.119 --> 0:21:58.879
<v Speaker 1>raise your hand if you've heard of them, because I

0:21:59.080 --> 0:22:02.560
<v Speaker 1>confess that I've only recently, you know, tried to keep

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:07.560
<v Speaker 1>up to date. Thread Up, ever Lane, All Birds Away,

0:22:07.720 --> 0:22:11.920
<v Speaker 1>Koto Packs, the Ministry of Supply, Indocino and m jem

0:22:12.000 --> 0:22:15.000
<v Speaker 1>I Yes, and Casper Sleep. What do they all have

0:22:15.080 --> 0:22:20.360
<v Speaker 1>in common. These are digitally native brands that have all

0:22:20.400 --> 0:22:26.840
<v Speaker 1>opened actual physical stores. From the perspective of the International

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Council of Shopping Centers, to those kinds of brands demand

0:22:32.200 --> 0:22:41.320
<v Speaker 1>something different than what a traditional store based operation wants.

0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:43.520
<v Speaker 1>Are they savvy er in some ways? Do they want

0:22:43.640 --> 0:22:46.760
<v Speaker 1>something different? What do they what do they want? First

0:22:46.800 --> 0:22:48.240
<v Speaker 1>of all, I think it's the I think it's the

0:22:48.320 --> 0:22:51.679
<v Speaker 1>natural evolution that we should expect that to be a

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:54.640
<v Speaker 1>continuing trend. I think the last ten years of really

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:58.000
<v Speaker 1>retailers are really invested in their online channel, and you know,

0:22:58.040 --> 0:23:01.560
<v Speaker 1>not surprisingly so because that was new and emerging. I

0:23:01.560 --> 0:23:04.920
<v Speaker 1>think what retailers Bobos is one example, right because Walmart

0:23:04.960 --> 0:23:07.280
<v Speaker 1>bought them, Sure and now and now what you're seeing

0:23:07.280 --> 0:23:09.520
<v Speaker 1>though is retailers and I really do believe this is

0:23:09.560 --> 0:23:11.760
<v Speaker 1>the trend of the next ten years. Retailers are going

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:14.280
<v Speaker 1>to invest in their physical channel and that synergy that's

0:23:14.280 --> 0:23:17.120
<v Speaker 1>going to take place because consumers really don't care. They

0:23:17.160 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 1>just want, you know, best price, best service, regardless they're

0:23:19.800 --> 0:23:22.960
<v Speaker 1>somewhat channel agnostic. I do think what you'll see though,

0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:27.439
<v Speaker 1>is the stores of the future will increasingly focus upon experience.

0:23:27.480 --> 0:23:29.480
<v Speaker 1>I think some of the brands that you're talking about,

0:23:29.560 --> 0:23:32.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, Casper, the Sleep you know, it's a sleep center,

0:23:32.000 --> 0:23:35.120
<v Speaker 1>and you know they're gonna focus upon experience as opposed

0:23:35.160 --> 0:23:39.240
<v Speaker 1>to just a collection of products, and so infer inferred

0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:43.240
<v Speaker 1>in that is, yes, the experiential aspect of seeing merchandise

0:23:43.240 --> 0:23:46.000
<v Speaker 1>in a different way, but also just a greater level

0:23:46.000 --> 0:23:48.560
<v Speaker 1>of customer service than you've had in the past. You know,

0:23:48.800 --> 0:23:52.200
<v Speaker 1>the FAO Schwartz is opening up, you know, a new

0:23:52.280 --> 0:23:54.040
<v Speaker 1>store here in Rocks Center, and all of us that

0:23:54.040 --> 0:23:56.240
<v Speaker 1>are you know, grew up in the same age group,

0:23:56.240 --> 0:23:59.040
<v Speaker 1>were excited about that. But you know, when they talked about,

0:23:59.280 --> 0:24:01.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, the store, they talked a lot about experiential.

0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:05.159
<v Speaker 1>They're taking a lot of space, but experiential and that

0:24:05.200 --> 0:24:06.880
<v Speaker 1>the folks that are going to work there are really

0:24:06.920 --> 0:24:09.320
<v Speaker 1>going to be in some in some ways in character,

0:24:09.640 --> 0:24:12.639
<v Speaker 1>and you know you're going to have almost a theatrical

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:14.919
<v Speaker 1>experience when you go there. And that's on one end

0:24:14.960 --> 0:24:16.800
<v Speaker 1>of the extreme. On the other end of extreme, you

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:19.200
<v Speaker 1>have something like a t J Max quite frankly, which

0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:22.440
<v Speaker 1>is you know, which doesn't really doesn't have much of

0:24:22.480 --> 0:24:24.879
<v Speaker 1>an online presence, but it isn't experience because it's like

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:27.120
<v Speaker 1>a treasure hunt right to go there, And I think

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:31.879
<v Speaker 1>retailers are going to focus more upon what's my experiential

0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:35.040
<v Speaker 1>offering within my store that's going to differentiate me to

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:37.959
<v Speaker 1>our competitors. Since you did just issue a global report,

0:24:38.040 --> 0:24:41.680
<v Speaker 1>where in the world are you seeing, uh, commercial retail

0:24:41.760 --> 0:24:45.760
<v Speaker 1>space gain value at the fastest pace right now? Well,

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:49.679
<v Speaker 1>obviously the emerging markets, um, you know Asia is is

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:52.800
<v Speaker 1>with a growing middle class. Um, you certainly see a

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:55.959
<v Speaker 1>lot of investment in retail real estate. I think the

0:24:55.960 --> 0:24:59.199
<v Speaker 1>Middle East is doing some things that are quite innovative

0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:02.159
<v Speaker 1>and really I think set an example for some of

0:25:02.160 --> 0:25:04.240
<v Speaker 1>the things that we are looking to do here in

0:25:04.280 --> 0:25:06.760
<v Speaker 1>the United States. Um, if you go to a mall

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:09.400
<v Speaker 1>and Dubai for example, I mean we all have heard

0:25:09.400 --> 0:25:15.000
<v Speaker 1>about the ski and shopping exactly, and they've been doing that.

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 1>That's a decade ago, and you're you're going to see

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:20.000
<v Speaker 1>those types of things. You're already starting to see those

0:25:20.000 --> 0:25:23.440
<v Speaker 1>types of things within malls and shopping centers here in

0:25:23.520 --> 0:25:26.000
<v Speaker 1>the United States, and so I think you're I think

0:25:26.040 --> 0:25:29.040
<v Speaker 1>what you're finding in North America is in some cases

0:25:29.160 --> 0:25:32.880
<v Speaker 1>learning from the rest of the world. We have historically

0:25:32.880 --> 0:25:36.280
<v Speaker 1>been more much more department store centric here than the

0:25:36.320 --> 0:25:39.119
<v Speaker 1>rest of the world. I think we're evolving to become

0:25:39.200 --> 0:25:42.960
<v Speaker 1>much more hospitality and service oriented, which I do think

0:25:43.000 --> 0:25:45.840
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think it can be overseeing the importance

0:25:45.840 --> 0:25:49.040
<v Speaker 1>of demographics. You have a you know, a baby boomer

0:25:49.080 --> 0:25:52.760
<v Speaker 1>generation that's generally empty nesters. Now you have a millennial

0:25:52.800 --> 0:25:56.119
<v Speaker 1>generation that is not yet in kind of there, you know,

0:25:56.240 --> 0:25:59.639
<v Speaker 1>having kids, having a home type of a period of

0:25:59.640 --> 0:26:02.919
<v Speaker 1>their life, and both of those, the largest demographic groups

0:26:03.119 --> 0:26:05.760
<v Speaker 1>in our country and really in the world, are very

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 1>much focused upon consuming experiences and services now. Now, maybe

0:26:09.600 --> 0:26:11.159
<v Speaker 1>the millennials ten years from now will be in a

0:26:11.160 --> 0:26:12.840
<v Speaker 1>different stage of life. But when you look at what

0:26:12.920 --> 0:26:15.080
<v Speaker 1>they want right now and what the baby boomers want,

0:26:15.119 --> 0:26:18.280
<v Speaker 1>which is the hugest percentage of our population, that's what's

0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:20.600
<v Speaker 1>driving a lot of the changes in retail. Thanks very

0:26:20.680 --> 0:26:22.920
<v Speaker 1>much for being with us. Tom McGee is the president

0:26:22.920 --> 0:26:26.960
<v Speaker 1>and the chief executive of the International Council of Shopping

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<v Speaker 1>Centers and they are out with their Global Perspectives Report.

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast.

0:26:38.280 --> 0:26:42.200
<v Speaker 1>You can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud,

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<v Speaker 1>or whatever podcast platform you prefer I'm pim Fox. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa

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<v Speaker 1>Abramowits one before the podcast. You can always catch us

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<v Speaker 1>worldwide on Bloomberg Radio