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Speaker 1: He's the drive with Dale Lolly and Matt Williamson on

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Speaker 1: Home of the Black and Gold Steelers Nation Radio. Damn,

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Speaker 1: we're back on Dale Lollly here with Matt Williamson is

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Speaker 1: the Drive on Steelers Nation Radio. And we'll take a

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Speaker 1: look at the upcoming slate of games. Of course, that

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Speaker 1: we saw three on Thursday, as the Bears slip past

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Speaker 1: the Lions, the Raiders knockoff the Cowboys, and then in

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Speaker 1: the night game last night, Buffalo just demolished in New Orleans.

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Speaker 1: Uh So, take any worries about the Cowboys. There's a

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Speaker 1: rocky few weeks. Yeah for some. I mean, I know

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Speaker 1: Jerry Jones talking about what we'll be okay once we

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Speaker 1: get our guys back. Well, yeah, you know you said

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Speaker 1: that about their defense last weekend. But it wasn't that depleted.

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Speaker 1: They weren't playing with nobody, right, you know. Uh Um,

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Speaker 1: looking at this week's sea and it's a big one

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Speaker 1: in the a f C or at least with an

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Speaker 1: acre a couple of good ones. Buccaneers seven and three

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Speaker 1: at Colts six and five. The spreadest Tampa by three.

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Speaker 1: Uh the over under fifty one and a half. How

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Speaker 1: about this little stat for you little nugget. The Buccaneers

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Speaker 1: two and three on the road this year, five and

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Speaker 1: oh at home. Brady has thrown nine touchdown passes and

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Speaker 1: five interceptions in those five road games. I think it's

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Speaker 1: twenty and two. But this is a it's a dome. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I've got Tom's fine with that. Yeah, man,

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Speaker 1: I would worry about Brady and weather, but not this one.

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Speaker 1: I think this line's wrong. I was shocked at it's

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Speaker 1: only three, Like, I get it. Okay, the Cults have

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Speaker 1: won three in a row. Well, who have they? They

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Speaker 1: beat the Jets, the Jaguars. Okay, impressive win against the Bills,

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Speaker 1: but the Bills have been struggling a little bit. Like yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know, hugely impressive, but not enough for this line

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Speaker 1: to be there. And like it's a matchup, it's a

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Speaker 1: matchup driven game. And about Taylor. Yeah, the Colts have

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Speaker 1: been running the ball like crazy. Well, they're not going

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Speaker 1: to run the ball like crazy against the Bucks. No,

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Speaker 1: it's not. He's he might get to a hundred or whatever.

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Speaker 1: He's awesome, I get it, but he's not gonna go

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Speaker 1: off for a hundred seventy and four touchdowns. No, they're

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Speaker 1: not going to gash them over and over, and I

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Speaker 1: don't know that Wentz is going to be able to

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Speaker 1: take advantage of, you know, the Vita veas back. Um

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Speaker 1: Bucks are starting to get slowly a little healthier too.

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Speaker 1: I think they're a much better team. Do you happen

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Speaker 1: to watch the new Hard Knocks, the the Colds one.

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Speaker 1: There's two so far, and they're extremely up to date.

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Speaker 1: I watched the other one Wednesday, the latest one, and

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Speaker 1: they recapped the Bills game, and the whole thing was

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Speaker 1: basically about Frank Wright going back to Buffalo and he

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Speaker 1: had dinner with Bruce Smith and they were super up

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Speaker 1: for that game. It's hard to exactly that's their big competitor.

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Speaker 1: Now the Super Bowl champ comes to town. I think

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Speaker 1: the Bucks will handle him. Both picks by the writers

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Speaker 1: um Buccaneers twenty seven, Buccaneers thirty one, Colts thirty. I

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Speaker 1: don't see. I don't think it's that close. I don't

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Speaker 1: think it is either, yea. The Bucks also getting some

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Speaker 1: guys back in the secondary, right right, Yeah, No, I

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Speaker 1: think that they're well equipped to deal with what the

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Speaker 1: Colts can throw. Another huge a f C game, Titans

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Speaker 1: eight and three, Patriots seven and four. New England favored

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Speaker 1: by six and a half the over under forty four.

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Speaker 1: This is another one I feel strong about. I went

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Speaker 1: to Pats all day long, and I'm laying the points

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Speaker 1: by six and a half. Yeah, I don't Vegas is

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Speaker 1: shout telling you what what the over under at forty four?

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Speaker 1: They don't think there's gonna be a lot of points

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Speaker 1: in this. That's my hesitation. I mean, obviously, so when

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Speaker 1: you're saying that over under, you want points, right, I

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Speaker 1: get it. I just think that the Titans whole recipe

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Speaker 1: is being a bully. Ray will learn from Belichick who

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Speaker 1: learned from Parcels and aiing close to the same bully

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Speaker 1: that they can be, or that the Patriots are. Now,

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Speaker 1: I could see this being close, but I think the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter absolutely belongs to New England and they just

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry. I'm down down there, wrote late in the game.

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Speaker 1: A J. Brown's questionable and he's an only good weapon

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Speaker 1: at this point, they're just asking a lot of the

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Speaker 1: Titans are in a bad spot. Bad spot. It was

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Speaker 1: some bad loss this year to begin with, and they

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Speaker 1: were quote playing well. I was looking ahead to the

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Speaker 1: steel at the Steeler schedule, A little bit today about

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Speaker 1: what they have left. So you get the Bengals this week,

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Speaker 1: then the Ravens. Yeah, then a short week against the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: That that one scares me. But as we just saw yesterday,

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Speaker 1: all three road teams won Thursday Thursday games post Ravens,

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Speaker 1: and I like, we'll get the Bikes Niners. I like

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Speaker 1: the way they're playing, um, but then you get that

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Speaker 1: extra time off before you play the Titans. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's great, you know. So I know everybody was looking at, well,

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Speaker 1: the Titans are eight and three. They're gonna be eight

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Speaker 1: and three. They're not gonna be anything close to more

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Speaker 1: like a team or below. I think they rallied the

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Speaker 1: troops early from the Derrick Henry injury for a game

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Speaker 1: or so for a couple of games, and now it's

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Speaker 1: kind of the reality is set in. I mean, they're

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Speaker 1: so built on play action and not making life easy

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Speaker 1: for Tannehill, but not making a life hard for him either,

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Speaker 1: And now they're asking him to be Josh Allen, which

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Speaker 1: he isn't you know. I think they're in a bad place.

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is five and oh outright is an underdog this season. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I was listening to a Football Outsiders podcast. You know

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Speaker 1: how they say this is the most important game of

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Speaker 1: the week for playoff seedings and that kind of stuff.

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Speaker 1: This is the most important game of the week for

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Speaker 1: the number one seeding in the a f C. That

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Speaker 1: makes sense. Yeah, that makes sense because I think we

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Speaker 1: both expect, yeah, both both of those teams to lose,

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Speaker 1: right right, right, so you know they're probably get status quo. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: but it's big for the number one seed. Yeah. The

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Speaker 1: writer's pick Titans twenty four Patriots twenty one. That's the

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Speaker 1: Tennessee writer the uh or the Patriots writer picks Patriots

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Speaker 1: twenty three Titans twenty They both think it'll be a

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Speaker 1: close game. I get it. I mean it's not like

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Speaker 1: I mean you also, I mean you mentioned Rabel. Is

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Speaker 1: Belichick going to do a lot of stuff that's prizes Vrabel?

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Speaker 1: Probably not. But I do think even if you get

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Speaker 1: a J. Brown, he's don't get J C. Jackson on him,

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Speaker 1: who's been really good this year. Like, I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's a good match of at all for tennis. That

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Speaker 1: doesn't bother me though, because J. C. Brown is a

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Speaker 1: little guy like I think Brown, I think Brown can

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Speaker 1: bully him a little bit. Yeah, I mean, but he's

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Speaker 1: the only guy. Yeah, I don't know. And one of

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Speaker 1: my things that I don't love, and I've even referenced

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Speaker 1: it is Belichick takes away what you love the most.

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Speaker 1: But they only have one thing and it's not even

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Speaker 1: a Belichick thing. Any defensive that always drives me nuts, right,

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Speaker 1: People say that, like, yeah, he's the only one that's

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Speaker 1: ever done. Most defense cordinators like, well, while we let

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Speaker 1: A J. Brown take as many as he wants and

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Speaker 1: we'll go from there. We'll let Derrick Henry go for three.

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Speaker 1: See how we do with the rest of the guys,

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Speaker 1: you know. Yeah. Uh. Panthers five and six at Dolphins

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Speaker 1: four and seven. This is actually a sneaky kind of

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Speaker 1: game in the a f C because if you look

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Speaker 1: at the Dolphins and what they have. They played Carolina

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Speaker 1: this week, their schedule, Um, do it get a lot easier?

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, they play three in a row at home. Now,

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Speaker 1: I know those AC East teams all have very favorable setups. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean, if you both these teams are trending up

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Speaker 1: to me, I mean, I think Carolina in Miami are

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Speaker 1: clearly in a better spot than they were a month

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Speaker 1: or so ago, you know, so that dude will be

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Speaker 1: more comfortable the Dolphins this uh, this weekend the Panthers.

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Speaker 1: Then they host the Giants, probably favorite in that game,

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Speaker 1: right yea. Then they host the Jets, so if they

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Speaker 1: win this one, they have a good chance to get

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Speaker 1: the seven and seven. Then they then they traveled to

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Speaker 1: New Orleans. I wouldn't pick New Orleans against our dan

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Speaker 1: anyone right now. Then they traveled to Tennessee, and then

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Speaker 1: they finished off the season at home against the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: who they beat earlier this year. Yeah. Right, So you

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Speaker 1: know if I don't think we even I shocked you

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Speaker 1: with down that road, Like I don't think of Miami

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Speaker 1: and playoffs, but I mean it's kind of the you

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Speaker 1: can see, you can see a path to nine or

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Speaker 1: ten wins there. Yeah, absolutely no, I think that's very feasible.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Panthers in this one though. I

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Speaker 1: kind of like the Panthers as well. I think their

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Speaker 1: defense will give them some issues. Um, you know, Newton

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Speaker 1: gives them, you know, at least a quarterback threat. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And you know McCaffrey's healthy. Their their defense is getting

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Speaker 1: healthy now they get J. C. Horn. I think he's back.

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Speaker 1: I think he's back. Yeah, they're pretty good shape on Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I think Newton is gonna get more and more comfortable

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Speaker 1: and play a little better. And you know, I think

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Speaker 1: it could go either way. I probably wouldn't put money

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Speaker 1: on it, but I will lay the points that Carolina

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Speaker 1: favored by one the over unders in Miami, right, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's a big one. Yeah, Sailor fans should want we'd

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Speaker 1: like Miami to go away. Yeah right, I wanted the

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Speaker 1: Raiders to go away last night. It didn't happen. You see.

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Speaker 1: I think it's more. I think the Steelers path might

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Speaker 1: be the path for all the a f C North teams,

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Speaker 1: maybe other than Baltimore is win the division. Yeah yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean ideally and another big AFC North game besides

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Speaker 1: the other game, right, uh goals suddenly surging Eagles five

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Speaker 1: and six at Giants three and seven, Philadelphia favored by

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Speaker 1: three and a half, the over under forty five and

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Speaker 1: a half. I'm really reluctant to say I trust the

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Speaker 1: Eagles because I don't really trust their coach or quarterback.

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Speaker 1: But I really like what they've done lately. I mean

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Speaker 1: they're playing Ravens offensive football with a really good offensive line,

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Speaker 1: they're controlling games. Defense is a little better, and the

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Speaker 1: Giants are kind of a mess, you know. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Freddie Kitchens is gonna be calling places right, and sounds

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Speaker 1: like Shepherd Antoni are out as usual, you know, like

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Eagles there. Yeah, I think so too.

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Speaker 1: Both the I should go back, and I mentioned that

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Speaker 1: the two writers on that Panthers Dolphins game. Carolina writer

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Speaker 1: picks that seventeen Panthers Dolphins writer picks twenty to seventeen Dolphins.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a tight one. Yeah, that's twenty type

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Speaker 1: of game. Yeah, this one, Um, I don't trust Daniel Jones. No,

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Speaker 1: I think that's part that Philadelphia secondary has actually been

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Speaker 1: pretty good. Yeah. The picks this week and that one,

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Speaker 1: the Eagles writer picks Eagles twenty seven, Giants thirteen. Uh.

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Speaker 1: The New York writer picks Giants twenty seven Eagles. Okay, okay,

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Speaker 1: you see you see a trend building here. Um, a

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Speaker 1: game that nobody and I mean nobody wants to watch. Well,

200
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Speaker 1: you can be picking one of two games. There's two

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Speaker 1: steakers on this one is Falcons four and six at

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Speaker 1: Jaguars two and eight. Atlanta favored by one. They've scored

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Speaker 1: three points in their last two games. Uh in the

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Speaker 1: over under forty six and a half and a half.

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Speaker 1: I realized both of these defenses are junk, but they're

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Speaker 1: in bad and both these teams are really really bad

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Speaker 1: and could be made at kates that they're the worst

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Speaker 1: team in the league. I mean, I think there's a

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Speaker 1: case for that. Trevor Lawrence is not throwing a touchdown pass,

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Speaker 1: we're an interception in his last three years song all right,

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Speaker 1: in a really long time. Um, I'm taking Atlanta here.

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Speaker 1: And my only reasoning is here's how I forget to

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Speaker 1: pick somebody. You got to pick somebody. And I just

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Speaker 1: said they're the more trustworthy and mature team. Coach quarterback

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Speaker 1: combination is the only thing I'm basing that off of.

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Speaker 1: I mean, these guys are horror. I mean it's a

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Speaker 1: really bad game. Only one quarterback since two thousand has

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Speaker 1: started four consecutive games and not throwing a touchdown on

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Speaker 1: an interception in those games. Any idea who it is? No,

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Speaker 1: I don't your boy Jacobe Brissette two thousand one, that

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Speaker 1: was spread out. This is threetive that wasn't even throwing

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Speaker 1: a touchdown pass that was spot duty here and there

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Speaker 1: from Jako Um. Yeah, I mean there's both. These teams

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Speaker 1: are in really bad shape, the Jacks. The Jacksons shows

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Speaker 1: some signs to life here and there, but they should

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Speaker 1: get Robinson back this weekend and their d lines not bad.

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Speaker 1: We'll see about Patterson for the UH. For the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: I think he's playing. That was part of the reasons

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Speaker 1: I was leaning towards Atlanta. But trust me, none of

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Speaker 1: my hard armed bucks are going on this game. The

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Speaker 1: picks are Falcons twenty four, Jaguars thirteen and Falcons ten

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Speaker 1: Jaguars seven, both going under. It could look a lot

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Speaker 1: like Bears Lions. Yeah, this would be the other one. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: this one is just as bad. Jets too and eight

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Speaker 1: at Texans to and eight. This is essentially for the

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Speaker 1: number one overall pick potential, well other than the Houston Yeah, overall,

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Speaker 1: probably number two over good point favored by two and

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Speaker 1: a half, the over under forty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Justuson's favored by two and a half. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: it's amazing they're playing football. Their defense is the only

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Speaker 1: legit unit of the four, So I'm gonna take Houston

242
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Speaker 1: at home. Just based on that. I think their defense

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Speaker 1: is not terrible, and their quarterback is a professional quarterback

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Speaker 1: that probably won't turn the ball over. And you know,

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Speaker 1: I would expect Rusty too. He's Ack Wilson hasn't played

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Speaker 1: in almost two months, right, I mean, I'm excited to

247
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Speaker 1: watch him. I'm hoping the time off. You know, he

248
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Speaker 1: learned a thing or two and I hope he makes

249
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Speaker 1: big plays and him and Elijah more hooking up all

250
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Speaker 1: over the place. But I don't expect it. I don't

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Speaker 1: trust right, Yeah, Um, he's just Yeah, that's a young game.

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Speaker 1: Houston three and one against the spread this season with

253
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Speaker 1: Tyrod Taylor quarterback. There could be something to that because

254
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Speaker 1: he's not bad and he's nine and one in his

255
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Speaker 1: last ten starts. He'll keep against the spread of all

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Speaker 1: through his career. Yeah, they're they're favor in this game,

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Speaker 1: both writers picking the Texans to win. Uh, seventeen and

258
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Speaker 1: twenty to seventeen. That sounds about right, Yeah, it sounds

259
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Speaker 1: about right. Uh. Big game in the a f C

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Speaker 1: West Chargers six and four at Broncos five and five.

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Speaker 1: Los Angeles favored by two and a half. The over

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Speaker 1: under forty seven and a half? Is that over? Is that?

263
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Speaker 1: Is that the spread seem a little thin? Do you no,

264
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Speaker 1: I think Denver can play them tough Charger or you

265
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Speaker 1: think it should have been bigger. I'm thinking maybe four.

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Speaker 1: I mean I'm taking the Chargers, especially it's under a field. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking what would what would dissuade me from taking

268
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Speaker 1: a charge? That that does? Um coming off the by

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Speaker 1: I take as a negative more than a positive at

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Speaker 1: this point. But I do think Denver might be like,

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Speaker 1: let's get Judy and Javonte and they may have a

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Speaker 1: big game on the ground, but I still trust Ekeler

273
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Speaker 1: Alan Herbert. They have more star power. I think that

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Speaker 1: the Chargers are a much better team. Eight of Denver's

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Speaker 1: ten games this year have gone under. Again, that over

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Speaker 1: under forty seven and a half. Yeah, that seems like

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Speaker 1: a good number. Yeah. Um, I can see the Charges

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Speaker 1: putting up points. So pis are Chargers thirty four, Broncos one. Wow,

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Speaker 1: that one's not going under, and Broncos six, Chargers four,

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Speaker 1: So those guys are expecting points in this game. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think that favors of Chargers. If they're right. The

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Speaker 1: FPI prediction UH is the NFL or the ESPN's UH

283
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Speaker 1: Football Power Index denverent of the time wins this game

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Speaker 1: four four percent by an average of one and a

285
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Speaker 1: half points. I'm not sure what they hang their hat

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Speaker 1: on except for a good running game. Running game they

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Speaker 1: can keep Herbert standing. I mean that's been that. That

288
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Speaker 1: was the recipe going into the game against the Steelers,

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Speaker 1: and then Herbert came out on fire and Denver's legit.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they'll probably give a young quarterback, you know,

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Speaker 1: Fangios back for them, I believe. I think you're right.

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Speaker 1: Big game in the NFC Rams seven and three. This

293
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Speaker 1: is at Packers eight and three. The Rams favored by one,

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Speaker 1: the over under forty seven and a half. Aaron Rodgers

295
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Speaker 1: did not practice today with the toe that everyone has seen.

296
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Speaker 1: He's another team has had a lot of rama. I mean,

297
00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:02,840
Speaker 1: both of these teams are kind of like on the

298
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Speaker 1: ropes a little bit right now. And I just said

299
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Speaker 1: that the bye is a negative in my opinion in

300
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Speaker 1: today's NFL. I don't think it is for the Rams.

301
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Speaker 1: I think two weeks, how do we assimilate Vaughan and

302
00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,680
Speaker 1: O'Dell is useful? That was a good time for them.

303
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Speaker 1: Let's figure that out. They've had some down performances. Let's

304
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Speaker 1: just take a step back and see where we're at.

305
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Speaker 1: The mcveigh's a schemer, and green Bay just keeps getting

306
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Speaker 1: hit with injuries. And I know the loss of Elgin

307
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Speaker 1: Jenkins probably doesn't move the needle from any of our lists.

308
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Speaker 1: Left tackle for them all year. He's a really good

309
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Speaker 1: offensive lineman and the rest of the crew isn't. And

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Speaker 1: if Rogers isn't the percent, which he isn't of course,

311
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Speaker 1: and getting on the way Aaron Donald, I like the

312
00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:46,800
Speaker 1: Rams pretty strong in this one. Uh yeah. Matthew Stafford

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Speaker 1: has thirty seven career passing touchdowns against the Packers. That's

314
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Speaker 1: the most all time, but his thirteen career losses to

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Speaker 1: them are second motions, like doesn't many wins against fran

316
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Speaker 1: Tarkenton had fourteen classes to the Packers. The Packers weren't

317
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Speaker 1: very good when Fran Tarkenton was Yeah, seventies and yeah,

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Speaker 1: I guess you're right. We played a long time. Yeah. Um.

319
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Speaker 1: Green Bay also eight no against the spread after a

320
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Speaker 1: loss under matt the floor in three seasons, even lost

321
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Speaker 1: a lot. He's one of ton of games, right, and

322
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Speaker 1: his wedding percentage is awesome. The picks are actually the

323
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Speaker 1: Rams writer picking the Packers twenty seven, Rams twenty four,

324
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Speaker 1: the Packers writer picking Rams seven Packers four. Both guys

325
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Speaker 1: going against the teams they cover. They they have an

326
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Speaker 1: idea like, hey, we're trending in the wrong direction here. Yeah.

327
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Speaker 1: I think when you're close to the team, you're like, yeah,

328
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Speaker 1: I'm not sure this guy. This team is ready to

329
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Speaker 1: turn it around at the moment. Yeah, I think the

330
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Speaker 1: Rams are. It's interesting. Another big game in the NFC.

331
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Speaker 1: Vikings five and five at forty nine, Ers five and

332
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Speaker 1: five San Francisco favored by three at home, the over

333
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Speaker 1: under forty eight. Two similar styles of quarterbacks, two teams

334
00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:00,920
Speaker 1: that are trending up and play and their best football

335
00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:03,679
Speaker 1: the year. I think they're both very much in that

336
00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:08,520
Speaker 1: NFC wild card race now, huge game for both. I

337
00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:11,479
Speaker 1: just want two points. Yeah, I mean the Vikes are

338
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,000
Speaker 1: getting three last I saw, I'll take it. I just

339
00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:18,000
Speaker 1: think this is a coin flip game all day long. Yeah, um,

340
00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,720
Speaker 1: I do know you know. No Daniel Hunter, right, No

341
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:26,719
Speaker 1: Dalvin Tomlinson, no Michael Pierce, no Everson Griffin. Other than that,

342
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:32,520
Speaker 1: they're great again, A good combination of to be without

343
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Speaker 1: those guys, and of course you want to rattle Jimmy

344
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 1: and will they be able to without heavy blitzes and

345
00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:39,880
Speaker 1: things like that. Jimmy might throw tend passes in this game,

346
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Speaker 1: might might write. I think the recipe is gonna Both

347
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,720
Speaker 1: teams are hard to defend, though, and the Vike's gonna

348
00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:48,000
Speaker 1: do a lot of things. To you. Um, I want

349
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:55,960
Speaker 1: the points, but that the line startling. Yeah, um Deebo

350
00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 1: Samuel has just been unbelievable, Like he's the biggest he

351
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:03,320
Speaker 1: might be the best weapon in the league right now.

352
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:06,040
Speaker 1: He's big a breakout guys or as in the league.

353
00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:08,480
Speaker 1: Two And Kiddle looks like himself one catch last week

354
00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:11,200
Speaker 1: and was still fantasy relevant because he had like six

355
00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:16,240
Speaker 1: carrierdown and you because now back to being what we

356
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,640
Speaker 1: thought he was going to be. They're they're humming. They

357
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 1: look good. Minnesota five and one against the spread as

358
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:25,760
Speaker 1: underdogs this season, not straight up, but as underdogs. They

359
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,440
Speaker 1: found ways to lose a lot of those like yeah,

360
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 1: close games or whatever. To um. Some of these trends

361
00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 1: I don't get too involved in, but I did hear

362
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:37,840
Speaker 1: this one today that Shanahan at home as a favorite

363
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:42,399
Speaker 1: has a terrible record against the spread. Surprised me. Yeah.

364
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:45,439
Speaker 1: I mean, if you're a running team and you're favored

365
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Speaker 1: by you know, right, anything more than three points. There's

366
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,360
Speaker 1: been some big spreads there, but they win but don't cover, right,

367
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:53,440
Speaker 1: you know that type of thing. Yeah, you don't usually

368
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:55,720
Speaker 1: run your way to a big win, right right right now?

369
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:57,280
Speaker 1: You know that keeps you the other team in it

370
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:00,159
Speaker 1: one that all the Steeler fans will be watching for

371
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:04,280
Speaker 1: the Steelers game. Um, this is the twenty game Brown

372
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 1: six and five at Ravens seven and three, Baltimore favorite

373
00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,520
Speaker 1: now only by three and a half. The over under

374
00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:16,480
Speaker 1: forty six. I like the Ravens. I don't trust environs

375
00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 1: at all. Baker Mayfield finally practiced today. Yeah, like they're

376
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:22,639
Speaker 1: gonna run him out there. They're they're running the husk

377
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,520
Speaker 1: of Baker Mayfield House onto the field. And I assume

378
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 1: Lamar and even Marquis Brown are back and themselves really

379
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 1: tough environment on a Sunday night familiarity. I don't know

380
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 1: if those were not that. The Ravens coverage is great,

381
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:40,439
Speaker 1: but I don't see them separating for the for the

382
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:43,879
Speaker 1: Browns because the one thing that they can't do is

383
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:45,760
Speaker 1: throw the ball outside the numbers. The one thing you

384
00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 1: need to be able to do against the Ravens is

385
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,719
Speaker 1: throw the ball outside the numbers. Absolutely, And I think

386
00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 1: they'll come after Mayfield and I don't see them throwing

387
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 1: the ball well at all. This is this is the

388
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,600
Speaker 1: Homers bold prediction. Like we'll look again. I'm looking here

389
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 1: at NFL ESPN dot COM's NFL writers here, Jake Trotter

390
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:06,679
Speaker 1: out of Cleveland, who I respect for. He does a

391
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,280
Speaker 1: good job, says the Baker Mayfield. This is his bold prediction.

392
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,840
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield will throw five touchdown pass this game, get

393
00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:17,359
Speaker 1: like eight for the year, right, I mean, I know

394
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:22,000
Speaker 1: the Ravens the vulnerable absolutely who's throwing five touchdown passes? Too?

395
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 1: As I say, okay, like let's pick on average or

396
00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 1: whatever his name. I mean, if you're if you're gonna

397
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 1: count pick six, is he has a chance. Now, I

398
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,200
Speaker 1: think that passing game holds them back the rest of

399
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 1: the year massively. Yeah. I was shocked that spread was

400
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:41,280
Speaker 1: that small. Yeah yeah. Uh. Mayfield has thrown at least

401
00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:44,000
Speaker 1: one interception and all six of his games against the Ravens,

402
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,160
Speaker 1: and six games against the Ravens he has ten touchdowns

403
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:49,640
Speaker 1: and eight interceptions. Uh. When it adds up, though, that's

404
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,959
Speaker 1: what he's been. Yeah, that's who he gets his Steelers either, right,

405
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 1: But Baltimore is two and six against the spread this season,

406
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,640
Speaker 1: is a favorite one and six against the spread when

407
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 1: Jackson starts. It adds up though, because people think they're

408
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 1: better than they are. You know, Like you go to Detroit,

409
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 1: their records is, oh, they're a good team, right. The

410
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 1: reality has been no, they're not average, right, that have

411
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,400
Speaker 1: gotten some bounces and ended up on the better side

412
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:17,439
Speaker 1: of things, you know. Yeah, but yeah, you go to

413
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 1: Detroit and you win a game winner at the very end,

414
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 1: they're probably favored by nine points at least, yeah, or

415
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 1: at least. Uh. The picks Trotter picks Ravens thirty eight,

416
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 1: Browns thirty five. Hensley Jamison Hensley, who covers the Ravens,

417
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 1: picks Ravens twenty four Browns. I would have a bigger

418
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 1: discrepency them. I think it ends up like seventeen something

419
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,480
Speaker 1: like that. Yeah. Yeah, I don't think Baker's round five

420
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:46,840
Speaker 1: picks to do. If he finishes a game, you might

421
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 1: have five picks. Al's gonna have a rough day though, Yeah,

422
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:55,119
Speaker 1: he's gonna have a tough time of it. The final

423
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,640
Speaker 1: game of the weekend would be a Monday night game,

424
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 1: kind of a relevant game in the NFC Seahawks three

425
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: and seven at Washington for in six. The spread is

426
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 1: Washington by one, the over under forty six and a half.

427
00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:10,919
Speaker 1: That's kind of a blog game that I don't even

428
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 1: know if I want to watch this one. I probably

429
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,719
Speaker 1: will because I have DK Metcalf on my some fantasy teams,

430
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 1: and I think Washington handles them. Yeah, I want to

431
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 1: see what Russell Wilson looks like the third week back.

432
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 1: Every everybody talking about Russell was rusty that first week back.

433
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:27,360
Speaker 1: What was the excuse last week? What was the excuse

434
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 1: for the last eight games of the year, last year

435
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 1: or much of this season? And I'm not even blame.

436
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,960
Speaker 1: I love the guy, thinks it's great, but I think

437
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 1: their offense is really broken and I think their defense

438
00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 1: isn't very good. I gladly bet against the Seattle on

439
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:43,320
Speaker 1: this game. I saw it as a pick them a

440
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 1: day ago or whatever, and I put a couple of

441
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 1: bucks on Washington at home Monday night. This is a

442
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 1: big game for them. They're doing some good things I

443
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,600
Speaker 1: think Washington is clearly better than Seattle right now. Tyler Lockett,

444
00:23:55,800 --> 00:24:00,800
Speaker 1: the one that we typically expect is back. Lockett has

445
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 1: gone either over receiving yards or under twenty five receiving

446
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 1: yards in four straight games. Yeah, that's the inconsistency of

447
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett. He is, He's the all or nothing guy.

448
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,360
Speaker 1: That's how their whole offense is. They don't have much

449
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,359
Speaker 1: of a foundation. They don't run a lot of plays.

450
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,920
Speaker 1: And this this goes to that Seattle games are eight

451
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 1: one and one to the under this season and five

452
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 1: oh and one after lost six and oh in conference

453
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 1: games under the under two in Wilson's last fifteen starts again,

454
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:34,439
Speaker 1: the over under in this one a pretty healthy forty

455
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 1: six and a half. Okay, I might go under, but

456
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:40,360
Speaker 1: I like where Washington's at in this one for sure,

457
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 1: because Washington wants to run the ball too. Yeah, Taylor

458
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 1: Heineke throwing passes. And maybe this is wishful thinking. And

459
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:48,800
Speaker 1: as we get into the fantasy segment, but I think

460
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 1: this could be a good Gibson game. Just keep giving

461
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 1: it to them. In a game you're in and against

462
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,439
Speaker 1: the defense is not particularly good. They have anybody to

463
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 1: match up against McLaurin. But Heineck could throw three or

464
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 1: four picks two. Uh, yeah, he could hurt the team absolutely. Uh.

465
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 1: The picks are Seahawks twenty one, Washington nineteen, and Washington

466
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 1: Seahawks twenty one, both of those picking the under. Okay,

467
00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 1: so yeah, I think the Unders don't play, but yeah,

468
00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 1: I like Washington that game. I'm very happy to bet

469
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 1: against Seattle right now. Yeah, the only game we didn't

470
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:22,600
Speaker 1: talk about, of course, was a Steelers Bengals. We will

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00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 1: give you our scores predictions, uh the end of the

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Speaker 1: Fantasy football segment, which we will do next to the

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Focus. He's Matt Williams and I'm Dale Lali.

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Speaker 1: You're listening to the Drive here on Steelers Nation Radio,

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00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 1: Black and Gold Football Heaps. Here, you're listening to s

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Speaker 1: n R