Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and
Speaker 1: advice now dot Com. Here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. I am Paul Giarchie and my co host
Speaker 1: is Brian Johnson. Today we will be joined a little
Speaker 1: later by Matt Harrison. We begin, as we do with
Speaker 1: most of our preseason shows, with some news from around
Speaker 1: the league. Training camp is getting started now. This year,
Speaker 1: not only do we not have the preseason games, but
Speaker 1: we also have very little, if any media access to
Speaker 1: the training camps, so we don't have a lot of
Speaker 1: eyes on players. It's really we're really gonna be working
Speaker 1: with a lot less information than we've had before. But
Speaker 1: that's not to say there isn't some news from around
Speaker 1: the league, and UM and Brian, I want to just
Speaker 1: bounce back and forth between some of the teams that
Speaker 1: we we know we want to talk about, and let's
Speaker 1: begin with the Oakland Raiders. What have you got? Derek
Speaker 1: Carr wants respect? Do you want to give it to him?
Speaker 1: Because I don't. I do. I think he's a bounced
Speaker 1: I think he's a bounce back candidate with improvements and
Speaker 1: the receivers and he's basically free. He's got about ten
Speaker 1: wide receivers now to work done right, but he seems motivated.
Speaker 1: He can throw the ball behind his back. I saw
Speaker 1: a pretty impressive video, but no, not a ton coming
Speaker 1: out of Oakland. Other than that, I've note Henry Ruggs
Speaker 1: is going to play out of the slot, which I
Speaker 1: think is not good news from a fantasy standpoint. He
Speaker 1: only ran seventeen percent of his plays from the slot
Speaker 1: last year, and Hunter Renfroe is still there and he's
Speaker 1: a good slot receiver, and so I that to me,
Speaker 1: this was news that i've that made me drop Ruggs
Speaker 1: a good tages Mots in my preseason ranking. Move Waller
Speaker 1: to the outside receivers spot right. They got, they got,
Speaker 1: they got session. Well it paid off kind of. I
Speaker 1: got more tight end ob session to talk about later. Ackers.
Speaker 1: Devin Funch is opted out, leaving the number two receiver
Speaker 1: jobs seemingly to Alan Lazard. The undrafted free agent got
Speaker 1: pushed into action last year with injuries and ineptitude to
Speaker 1: the rest of the team's receivers. Lazard started three games
Speaker 1: last year. You may or may not remember, but was
Speaker 1: mostly nondescript. He topped seventy yards one time last year,
Speaker 1: but has the opportunity to start here. It's still in
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers led offense. So you know, theoretically the Packers
Speaker 1: and Aaron Lazard will get better this year. Let's go
Speaker 1: to the Buffalo Bills. Trade Davious White, cornerback almost opted out,
Speaker 1: but he didn't. He did not, and that's only important
Speaker 1: because now he's going to blank a wide receiver one
Speaker 1: every week. If you don't know Trdavious White, you'll get
Speaker 1: to know him when the season starts, because you do
Speaker 1: not want your wide receiver going up against Trdavious White.
Speaker 1: But he will play. Did not opt out. The Texans.
Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien says that will Fuller is fully recovered from
Speaker 1: his sports hernia surgery and quote looks as good as
Speaker 1: he's ever looked. With DeAndre Hopkins out, Fuller might be
Speaker 1: the biggest boom or bust wide receiver out there. He's
Speaker 1: got great quarterbacking and if you told me he could
Speaker 1: play sixteen games, Brian if if will Fuller play sixteen
Speaker 1: games with DeShawn Watson is a quarterback how high could
Speaker 1: he finish among receivers? Will Fuller play sixteen games? How
Speaker 1: many monkeys are gonna fly out of my butt? But
Speaker 1: if he does that, he's a top fifteen wide recepeci
Speaker 1: exactly what I was thinking, Top fifteen widely. Biggest boom
Speaker 1: and bus receiver out there I believe is Will Fuller.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Cleveland Browns. The only news I got.
Speaker 1: I guess it's kind of big news. No starters as
Speaker 1: far as I know, but four offensive linemen opted out.
Speaker 1: That's not good. Three guards in the tackle, so we'll see.
Speaker 1: Hopefully don't have any injuries up front, so they're gonna
Speaker 1: be in trouble. The Colts offensive coordinators Nick Sirianni said
Speaker 1: that the passing offense runs through t Y Hilton. He said, quote,
Speaker 1: I expect to see a twenty eighteen version of t
Speaker 1: Y Hilton if he stays healthy. There's no doubt that's
Speaker 1: what we will see. He's still the main piece of
Speaker 1: this offense. Those are strong words about t Y Hilton,
Speaker 1: guy nobody's interested in right now because he's coming up
Speaker 1: that bad year last year with Jakobe ber said and
Speaker 1: the injuries and everything way under the radar, I think,
Speaker 1: and going far too low. He's my number wide receive,
Speaker 1: my wide receiver number twenty. Yeah, I choose for that
Speaker 1: ceiling any day he's healthy. I like it too, And
Speaker 1: and the best quarterbacking he will have had since Andrew Luck. Obviously,
Speaker 1: let's go to the New York Jets lost their two
Speaker 1: best defensive players in Jamal Adams safety via trade and C. J.
Speaker 1: Mosley opted out. So that doesn't means for fantasy purposes,
Speaker 1: more point chasing garbage time for that Jets offense. It's
Speaker 1: get a lot of Sam Donald garbage time. And there's
Speaker 1: some some some steam around Levian Bills. He's motivated in shape,
Speaker 1: they say going around RB eighteen could be value there,
Speaker 1: but could be a bust. Well we shall see now
Speaker 1: who I don't have a strong stance on Levian Bill.
Speaker 1: I have stopped paying any attention to the preseason quote
Speaker 1: in the best shape life stuff right, That stuff never
Speaker 1: seems to really pan out. The Chiefs, as you already know,
Speaker 1: lost Damien Williams to opt out. But did you catch
Speaker 1: this little bit? They're starting right guard Lauren DuVernay. Tardiff
Speaker 1: opted out as well. He's a doctor, that's right. He is.
Speaker 1: You may know him as doctor duven A Tardiff. He
Speaker 1: spent the offseason working in a long term care facility
Speaker 1: in Montreal. He's a Canadian. The teams signed journeyman Collectio Smile,
Speaker 1: who's going to start at right guard. Presumable likely started
Speaker 1: right guard in his place, but assembly is on his
Speaker 1: fourth team overall, in his third team in three years,
Speaker 1: and has been a total bus since his gigantic free
Speaker 1: agent signing with with the Raiders about four or five
Speaker 1: years ago. So of note, they're a bit of a
Speaker 1: probable downgrade to that offensive line without him. Let's go
Speaker 1: to the Denver Broncos. Uh, nothing really out of Denver.
Speaker 1: Just a trendy team with a lot of new toys
Speaker 1: that people are excited to see. Okay, let's go to
Speaker 1: the Rams. And we touched on this a little bit
Speaker 1: last week, but just want to reiterate this. Sean McVeigh
Speaker 1: says that they're going to use a running back by
Speaker 1: committee modeled after San Francisco's hot hand approach that they
Speaker 1: used last year. Um the quote. The quote from McVeigh
Speaker 1: is will go with the hot hand or whoever really
Speaker 1: expresses himself as deserving the carries. We've got four backs
Speaker 1: that we feel are all NFL legitimate starting caliber backs,
Speaker 1: and we're not feeling like you've got a force carries
Speaker 1: or touches to any of the four. That's horrible news
Speaker 1: for fantasy owners and enough to to make me feel
Speaker 1: like I'm just not gonna dabble in any of the
Speaker 1: rams back. I am somewhat changes away from that situation.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Dolphins. Um doesn't affect Vante Parker
Speaker 1: or Preston Williams, but Alan Hearns and Albert Wilson have
Speaker 1: opted out, and that does targets well, it opens up
Speaker 1: We're talking to them and like a sicky and someone
Speaker 1: named Isaiah Ford. He might may have not heard that name,
Speaker 1: but might talk about him a little later in the show.
Speaker 1: We'll look forward to that. The Vikings. Dalvin Cook did
Speaker 1: report he had threatened to hold hold out, but he
Speaker 1: is there. Running backs have no leverage in this NFL.
Speaker 1: And Justin Jefferson went on and off the COVID list,
Speaker 1: but he is back. Let's go to the Patriots. Uh. Patriots,
Speaker 1: Cam Newton posed for a picture with his wide receivers.
Speaker 1: They were all dressed kind of crazy, especially Julian Edelman.
Speaker 1: One stood out, and that's because he was taller than
Speaker 1: Cam Newton's shoulder level, and that is in kill. Harry
Speaker 1: another guy we're gonna talk about more, but no. Newton
Speaker 1: and his receivers are Jellen. But I'm excited about Harry.
Speaker 1: Will get to him a little bit. In Pittsburgh, the Steelers,
Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger says that his elbow feels good and that
Speaker 1: he'll be on a pitch count during training camp. But
Speaker 1: good news to see him throwing, feeling good and not
Speaker 1: having any remaining problems from the elbow, although none were expected.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Titans. Uh, nothing for Tennessee other
Speaker 1: than the first training camp without Delaney Walker in a
Speaker 1: long time. That just means it's John new Smith season,
Speaker 1: right Church, Don't don't steal my thunder for later. Okay,
Speaker 1: thank you, Let's go to the years. The wide receiver
Speaker 1: situation very model was Deebo Samuel out for training camp
Speaker 1: and likely into the season. Travis Benjamin then opted out
Speaker 1: for the season. First round pick Brandon Ayuk almost certainly starts,
Speaker 1: with either Jalen Hrder Kendrick Bourne as the other options
Speaker 1: to start for the forty Niners. Let's go to the Bengals. Brian,
Speaker 1: I know we just said let's not read too much
Speaker 1: into the he looks great tweets and videos. But A J.
Speaker 1: Green looks great right now with him in burrow and
Speaker 1: right round wide receiver twenty eight going off the board. Uh,
Speaker 1: that's a little too low. He is a league winner
Speaker 1: if he stays safe, and I'm hoping for that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he's another really boom or bust guy that could end
Speaker 1: up being a winner for Bill the Core with t
Speaker 1: Y Hilton, A J. Green. Here we go. I like that.
Speaker 1: And they're all cheap. If you sloft wide receiver, this
Speaker 1: might be the angle, all right. The Ravens Marquis Brown
Speaker 1: gained twenty three pounds in the off season and is
Speaker 1: now playing at one pounds. I don't like this news.
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't want my my small, speedy receiver
Speaker 1: to get way down by twenty three pounds. A muscle,
Speaker 1: even if it's a muscle, it's still muscle. You gotta
Speaker 1: over ound. I don't like it. Speed guys don't need
Speaker 1: the bulk eye to me. I find that worrisome. Let's
Speaker 1: go to the Jaguars. Uh, their paper thin defense just
Speaker 1: lost three more players too opting out, So more garbage
Speaker 1: time coming for the Jacksonville Jaguars, but going to be
Speaker 1: a very fantasy friendly team. As we've discussed many times
Speaker 1: on this show. Yes, it's shockingly fantasy friends one. We
Speaker 1: believe Washington and the defense really primed to be the
Speaker 1: worst defense in the NFL. In the past, you you
Speaker 1: would fade Jacksonville games because you're afraid of the defense
Speaker 1: of the offense. Now it's the complete opposite. It's it's
Speaker 1: it's open season in Washington. One of the great stories
Speaker 1: of the offseason. Alex Smith cleared to play. He is
Speaker 1: practicing and reportedly impressing many in the Washington camp. That's
Speaker 1: you know, you could only hope that this has almost
Speaker 1: a miracle finish and ending to it where Alex Smith
Speaker 1: is back starting again for the Washington football team would
Speaker 1: be fantastic news. Your final team is the Chargers. Brian
Speaker 1: Chargers were one of three teams did not have any
Speaker 1: players opt out, and I think that's because as they're
Speaker 1: on hard knocks and they want some camera time. But
Speaker 1: but of course are not a new quarterback and Tyrod
Speaker 1: Taylor will probably be unseated by rookie Justin Herbert. So
Speaker 1: that's about different. Alright. Last item of preseason news here,
Speaker 1: the Seahawks put where Shot Penny on the pup list.
Speaker 1: He's recovering from a c L surgery, and it looks
Speaker 1: like this is he's not going to be a factor
Speaker 1: anytime soon. I don't believe that he has any chance
Speaker 1: of performing, barring injuries to Carlos Hyde Chris Carson and
Speaker 1: him returning maybe a mid season. I don't think he
Speaker 1: belongs to being drafted it all at this point. So
Speaker 1: Shot Penny not really on our radar. All Right, we're
Speaker 1: gonna take a break. When we come back, we will
Speaker 1: be joined by other co host Matt Harrison, and we
Speaker 1: will talk about our Bold Prediction section we like to
Speaker 1: call the pea Cock Off. In the pea cock Off,
Speaker 1: we are going to give you some bold predictions that
Speaker 1: you can peacock about. When they come right, you can
Speaker 1: pretend they're your own. I was gonna do the peacock sound,
Speaker 1: but Matt is way better. We'll we'll bring in the
Speaker 1: We'll bring in the official Peacock of Actually, hold on, wait,
Speaker 1: here's it's been a while. Official Peacock Fantasy Football Weekly
Speaker 1: girl back in moments. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly with you.
Speaker 1: We are getting into the preseason training camps. Finally here
Speaker 1: my co host of Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison joining us. Now, guys,
Speaker 1: there's a segment we call the peacock Off. We do
Speaker 1: it every year where we make two bold predictions. We
Speaker 1: peacock If we get them, we forget they ever happened.
Speaker 1: Nicely done, I know I'm doing. Um, we forget it
Speaker 1: ever happened if it doesn't. But we encourage you to
Speaker 1: just steal our our peacock offs for yourself and that
Speaker 1: way you can do your own peacocking when they come. Now,
Speaker 1: the premise of this is he's got to be bold predictions.
Speaker 1: I don't want any Wramsey Pamsy. I want things that
Speaker 1: everybody's gonna go, what are you even talking about? You're crazy?
Speaker 1: So that's the Yeah, we don't know. We do not
Speaker 1: Wramsey nor do we Pamsy on this show. Uh, Matt
Speaker 1: will begin with you your first of two peacock offs.
Speaker 1: Austin Ekeler finishes as the top running back in the league,
Speaker 1: not two, not three, number one. He is ripped. Guy,
Speaker 1: Is it just because of the photos that went around
Speaker 1: social media of him with him shirtless, YEP. I just
Speaker 1: looked at that and I was like, that's the guy
Speaker 1: right there. Well, you want to make more of a
Speaker 1: case or is that enough? Sure? Two thousand, seven hundred
Speaker 1: seventy four yards. That's how many rushing and receiving yards
Speaker 1: were totalled by the Chargers backfield last season. That was
Speaker 1: a top five yardage total as a group. Twenty two
Speaker 1: total touchdowns. That's how many times Chargers running backs reached
Speaker 1: the end zone last year, second best in the league.
Speaker 1: The Chargers led the league in running back receptions with
Speaker 1: a hundred and forty eight and led the league in
Speaker 1: receiving yards with hundred fifty seven. And we talked about
Speaker 1: vacated targets for wide receivers. How about just vacated touches
Speaker 1: for running backs. Because Melvin Gordon leaves vacating two hundred
Speaker 1: four running back touches, which is with about seventeen per game.
Speaker 1: Austin Ekeler average twenty touches per game without Gordon last year.
Speaker 1: He can't go up a lot from that. Well, he
Speaker 1: averaged twenty without Gordon, he averaged twelve with Gordon, So
Speaker 1: it went down, So let's take that. Twelve will give
Speaker 1: him half of Gordon seventeen. That gives him about back
Speaker 1: to twenty. So there's only ten backs in the league
Speaker 1: that did that last year, twenty touches per game. What's more,
Speaker 1: Eckler lad all qualified running backs in yards per touch
Speaker 1: at six point nine. He had seven yards every time
Speaker 1: he touched the ball. Christian McCaffrey had five point nine.
Speaker 1: So let's just give him a McCaffrey like workload. McCaffrey
Speaker 1: had four hundred three touches last year. We're gonna just
Speaker 1: give Eckler three fifty. It's about it's about twenty a game.
Speaker 1: It's about a hundred more than he had last year.
Speaker 1: If you use that, if you use his pace from
Speaker 1: last year, Eckler would total two thousand, four hundred fifteen
Speaker 1: total yards this year and seventeen touchdowns last year. Christian
Speaker 1: McCaffrey two total yards and nineteen touchdowns. He's right there.
Speaker 1: He's right there, and they got a journeyman backup quarterback
Speaker 1: and a rookie likely splitting time under center. They're gonna
Speaker 1: go safe. They're going to dump it to Austin Ekeler
Speaker 1: all the time. I like it that you you know what,
Speaker 1: You've kind of convinced me that was That's very very
Speaker 1: well done, Brian, your first of two pea cock offs.
Speaker 1: I'm saying, and kill Harry, second year wide receiver for
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots, outscores every key wide receiver this year.
Speaker 1: Is this because of a COVID angle? You just think
Speaker 1: a little bit of both. Let's just talk about Harry,
Speaker 1: the thirty second overall pick in last year's draft, right
Speaker 1: now going off the board as wide receiver fifty six
Speaker 1: in the mid twelfth round. Rookie wide receivers going ahead
Speaker 1: of Harry, r Ceedee Lamb, Henry Ruggs, Jerry Judy, Justin Jefferson,
Speaker 1: and Jalen Reagor. But like I said, Harry will outscore
Speaker 1: them all. Why here's why last season was lost to injury.
Speaker 1: Only twenty three targets for Harry, who people are calling
Speaker 1: washed up and old. He turns twenty three in December.
Speaker 1: Nobody's calling you. Who's calling He's getting a lot of hate,
Speaker 1: get a lot of hate. Wow, that is true. But
Speaker 1: nobody's called him washed at not well, He's been called
Speaker 1: a bust by some people. I'm not gonna say who.
Speaker 1: But anyway, six three to forty could have played basketball
Speaker 1: at Arizona State if you really wanted to. He will
Speaker 1: be the prime target for Cam Newton in the end zone.
Speaker 1: I don't know who else they're going to throw too.
Speaker 1: It's not to be Julian Edelman. It's not gonna be
Speaker 1: Mohammed Sanu. It's not gonna be demere Bird, Jakobe Myers
Speaker 1: or Gunner old Zouski. All those guys are they when
Speaker 1: are talking to Cam, they're talking to him pronounced that right?
Speaker 1: And kill Harry looks at Cam Newton in the eyes.
Speaker 1: He's a man tight end. Matt Lacosse unlike Julian Edelman,
Speaker 1: I'm like Julian Edman. No, yeah, I'm not gonna go
Speaker 1: They suddenly androgynus Julian Edelman. Matt Lacosse has opted out
Speaker 1: starting tight end. That leaves two tight ends, two rookie
Speaker 1: tight ends for the Patriots, and uh, I forget their names,
Speaker 1: Oh Devin and Dalton Keene. And look at the red
Speaker 1: zone competition for the rookies. I'm yeah, there really isn't much.
Speaker 1: Isn't much? Ceedee, Lamb's got Cooper Gallup Blake Jarrowin Jerry
Speaker 1: Judy's he's got Courtland Sutton, Noah Fant. There's nothing there
Speaker 1: for in kill Harry and he he is a baller.
Speaker 1: And if Cam Newton can make Kelvin Benjamin fantasy relevant
Speaker 1: briefly three years and he said he was the best
Speaker 1: wide receiver. I remember that for all three weeks at
Speaker 1: the beginning of that season he was so Look, there's
Speaker 1: not a lot of tape. I'm just telling you and
Speaker 1: kill Harry. I don't have enough shares of n Kill Harry,
Speaker 1: go get him over any rookie White. Sounds like for
Speaker 1: those of you not in studio, fingers were pointed in
Speaker 1: this segment, I'm getting you gotta do a peacock off.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm done. I was loving the pointing fingers.
Speaker 1: I love you guys, my peacock offs. Currently wide receiver
Speaker 1: eleven Judu Smith Schuster will finish third on his own
Speaker 1: team in Fantasy points among Steelers wide receivers. So doing
Speaker 1: the big fade on Juju. The last time Juju was great,
Speaker 1: Antonio Brown was on the field with him. Juju Smith third, Nope, no,
Speaker 1: almost almost keep working. You got you've got about I've
Speaker 1: got about sixty seconds and notes here, you've got sixty seconds,
Speaker 1: come up with something about it. Juju was wide receiver
Speaker 1: sixty five last year, and everybody's very fast to just
Speaker 1: blame it on his quarterbacking. But he was the third
Speaker 1: receiver in his own team in Fantasy point production last year,
Speaker 1: Juju Smith sho, I think, but really, is it just
Speaker 1: that simple that Mason Rudolph and Duck Hodges? Wait? Wait,
Speaker 1: how about Juju Smith shoes? Is it really that simple
Speaker 1: that Rudolph and Hodges are just that bad? Because Deanti
Speaker 1: Johnson seemed to do okay, even James Washington outscored him.
Speaker 1: So I feel like that people are too fasciges dismiss it. Now,
Speaker 1: Jude is a free agent next year. And if he
Speaker 1: was in the team's plans and they felt like we're
Speaker 1: bringing him back, do they put the first pick in
Speaker 1: the Steelers draft at his position? Chase Claypool. No, they
Speaker 1: wouldn't do it if they thought Juju was great. They
Speaker 1: know that we're gonna do whatever it takes to keep him,
Speaker 1: and they wouldn't feel like they needed the receiver depth.
Speaker 1: And speaking of muscle, that you don't like the speedy
Speaker 1: guys adding he both up big time too in the
Speaker 1: off season. UM, I think there's a very real scenario
Speaker 1: where Smith Schuster slumps to the fourth priority in this
Speaker 1: passing game behind Johnson, Washington, Claypool, maybe even Eric Ebron's
Speaker 1: in there, and this team starts looking forward. And let's
Speaker 1: remember Steelers have a long history of letting product, good
Speaker 1: productive receivers walk. They don't mind doing it, and they'll
Speaker 1: keep bringing up new guys Judy Smith Schuster. We'll finish
Speaker 1: third or worse scoring among the Steelers wide receivers. Matt
Speaker 1: your second peacock off. Uh, the ancient Tom Brady at
Speaker 1: age fifty two, finishes as the top three quarterback this year.
Speaker 1: Here's why. Last season, Jamis Winston had a great statistical
Speaker 1: year except for one category interceptions. He threw thirty picks
Speaker 1: in Tampa. So how long did it take Tom Brady
Speaker 1: to throw thirty picks? Well, you got to add his
Speaker 1: two thousand nineteen season, his two thousand eighteen season, his
Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen season, his two thousand sixteen season, and
Speaker 1: the last interception he threw in twenty fifteen to equal
Speaker 1: thirty interceptions for Tom Brady. Now you might think, sure,
Speaker 1: he's like seventy one years old, That is what I
Speaker 1: was just thinking. But he's topped four thousand yards and
Speaker 1: eight of his last nine seasons, and he's never ever
Speaker 1: had weapons like this. Moss and Welker that was good
Speaker 1: in two thousand seven, but Mike Evans and Chris Godwin
Speaker 1: are better than the combination of Moss and Welker. And
Speaker 1: he's got rob Gronkowski, who he did not have in
Speaker 1: two thousand seven. Yeah, Kowski was just Robbie gronkows little
Speaker 1: Robbie Gronkowski. He's also got O. J. Howard and my
Speaker 1: guy Cameron Bread that's significantly better than Ben Watson and
Speaker 1: Kyle Brady from two thousand seven. And I don't even
Speaker 1: say that the questionable running backs of a good shot
Speaker 1: of beating out Kevin Falk. So Brady's only danger here
Speaker 1: is that his arm gets a little too tired. Because
Speaker 1: Bruce Arians throws over six hundred past attempts for Winston
Speaker 1: last year, five seven passing attempts for Arians offense in
Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen, with Carson Palmer, Drew Stanton and Blame
Speaker 1: Gabbert over six hundred passing attempts in sixteen. You get it.
Speaker 1: He likes to throw. And you think, oh, Brady can't
Speaker 1: throw that much. He's four years old. He threw six
Speaker 1: d thirteen times last year. So this is gonna be
Speaker 1: an offense that throws all the time. He's got the
Speaker 1: best weapons he's ever seen. There's a little bit of
Speaker 1: a revenge narrative here too. I can do it without Belichick.
Speaker 1: Tom Brady's gonna put up some huge numbers this year.
Speaker 1: All right, Brian, your second of two pea cock offs.
Speaker 1: Now I'm banging this drum for months. But now that
Speaker 1: we're back to the long format, more people need to
Speaker 1: hear that Dan Arnold will be a top twelve tight
Speaker 1: end of this season. And that is Dan Arnold of
Speaker 1: the St. St. Louis Arizona Cardinals. Those are the Cardinals.
Speaker 1: He could the star field for St. Louis, the St.
Speaker 1: Louis Cardinals too, if you really wanted to. Dan is
Speaker 1: that much of the man. But Dan Arnold undrafted in
Speaker 1: seventeen by the New Orleans Saints as a wide receiver
Speaker 1: six six pounds, very similar to Darren Waller, a guy
Speaker 1: who I was touting last summer. That turned out all right,
Speaker 1: you know what I'm gonna throw a cherry on top.
Speaker 1: Dan Arnold outscores Darren Waller this year as well while
Speaker 1: finishing inside the top twelve. That's a little bit. He's uh,
Speaker 1: he's been a project, but his time is now. He
Speaker 1: did not see real game action until the last four
Speaker 1: games of for Arizona. Saw thirteen targets in those four games,
Speaker 1: turn those thirteen targets into eight catches for a hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty seven yards and two touchdowns. I mean that
Speaker 1: is impressive production on that small usage of that small
Speaker 1: sample size that is going to grow incredulously this season.
Speaker 1: Arizona is already saying he's a breakout candidate. Great chemistry
Speaker 1: with um Kyle Kyler Murray six, six to twenty, unstoppable
Speaker 1: in the red zone. I've just go back to all
Speaker 1: the past shows dan Arnold drafted with your last pick.
Speaker 1: You will not be disappointed. Um. You know what I
Speaker 1: like about that is that you are looking forward. And
Speaker 1: this is a season when with no preseason games, with
Speaker 1: no media access to training camps, most people are just
Speaker 1: going to keep replaying last year in their head, and
Speaker 1: guys like Dan Arnold are eligible to emerge. And I'm
Speaker 1: going to give you another tight end that's going to
Speaker 1: emerge later in this show. But my second peacock off
Speaker 1: involves Aaron Jones running back for the Green Bay Packers,
Speaker 1: who I think is a good player who will score
Speaker 1: half as many points as he did last year fantasy
Speaker 1: points as he did last year. Are you gonna be
Speaker 1: so negative? Very negative? Both of these um a couple
Speaker 1: of reasons. Number one, he house touchdowns from inside the
Speaker 1: five and an unsustainable rate last year, and he ended
Speaker 1: up scoring eleven touchdowns from inside the five. That's Emmett
Speaker 1: Smith in his prime, like production and normal mortal backs
Speaker 1: simply don't do that on any kind of a regular
Speaker 1: or recurring basis. So there's going to be a regression
Speaker 1: of the easy touchdowns for Aaron Jones, not just because
Speaker 1: guys don't do it back to back, but also because
Speaker 1: A J. Dillon, a very large runner, surprising footwork, athleticism
Speaker 1: wiggle who scored thirty nine rushing touchdowns at BC thirty nine.
Speaker 1: He's going to house a bunch of those touchdowns that
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones feasted on last year. And then I'm just
Speaker 1: gonna add a couple of things. Jamal Williams remains in
Speaker 1: the mix. And I don't think he's a special talent
Speaker 1: at all, but he never has been and they kept
Speaker 1: using him. And on top of that, the green Bay
Speaker 1: offensive line worse without Brian Bulaga. I think that's potentially
Speaker 1: a step backwards. With that offensive line, you're all that together,
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones is going to score half as many points
Speaker 1: as he did last year. There you go six pea
Speaker 1: cock offs that you can claim as your own, and
Speaker 1: at the end of the season you'll be peacocking with us.
Speaker 1: It's one of our favorite preseason segments, the peacock Off.
Speaker 1: Do it one more time, Matt. That's that's cut. That's
Speaker 1: mid season peacock that's very That is very, very impressive.
Speaker 1: When we come back, we will talk through a draft
Speaker 1: strategy that you can employ this year that's kind of
Speaker 1: unique to this season. This isn't a strain. We'll get
Speaker 1: into it. There's a strange season which you can pull
Speaker 1: off all kinds of crazy drafts, draft strategies that you
Speaker 1: can't in most seasons. Will tell you what that's all
Speaker 1: about when we come back, And as a reminder, if
Speaker 1: you want to try the freshest, coolest, most innovative advancement
Speaker 1: in the they're the peacock. Sometime later I get that
Speaker 1: peacock button around um the If you want to try
Speaker 1: the freshest, most innovative, interesting format in fantasy football, go
Speaker 1: to Guillotine Legues dot com Guillotine Leagues dot com. Seventeen
Speaker 1: teams start the season, the low scoring team each week
Speaker 1: gets dropped out and their entire roster goes the waiver wire,
Speaker 1: where everybody else gets to feast on those players. It
Speaker 1: is a blast and you can play it at Guillotine
Speaker 1: Leagues dot com. Paul, Matt, Brian back at you in
Speaker 1: moments Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul char
Speaker 1: Chi in Guillotee Leagues dot com. My cohort Brian Johnson
Speaker 1: also Guillotine Leagues dot com. Matt Harrison helps us out
Speaker 1: at Guillotine leagues dot com, but also just started a
Speaker 1: brand new site called shock Fantasy. Yeah. I've been doing
Speaker 1: my cheat sheets online, just selling them one by one,
Speaker 1: and people kept going, you know, can I just get
Speaker 1: a season passed so I don't have to buy them
Speaker 1: each individually? And I said, you know what, sure you can,
Speaker 1: so season passes to the dynasty trade value charts. Some
Speaker 1: best balled cheat sheets and all that stuff available at
Speaker 1: shock Fantasy dot com. And I got a coupon code
Speaker 1: for listeners. Okay, f f W get to you your
Speaker 1: first years. What does f W stands for Fantasy Football Weekly? Hey,
Speaker 1: you're listening to that right now. This in this segment,
Speaker 1: I want to talk about draft strategies that can work
Speaker 1: this year. And I want to start by saying this,
Speaker 1: I've now been doing this professionally for twenty eight years.
Speaker 1: I've never seen a draft that is as deep as
Speaker 1: this one. You can pull off any strategy. Now. This
Speaker 1: is saying a lot coming for me because I've been
Speaker 1: do the opposite guy for years and years saying, hey,
Speaker 1: take wide receivers and take don't take running backs early.
Speaker 1: You can wait on running backs. You can find them late.
Speaker 1: The preferred strategy here go wide receivers and go tight
Speaker 1: ends and and then start looking at running backs and
Speaker 1: quarterbacks later in the draft and not this year. You
Speaker 1: can do anything this year because there are good, so
Speaker 1: many good players that you can get later on. So
Speaker 1: with that said, I have challenged my co host to
Speaker 1: come up with some unique drafting ideas that exploit the
Speaker 1: fact you can pull off almost anything. This year, Brian,
Speaker 1: I would like to begin with you, what is the
Speaker 1: draft strategy that fascinates you this preseason? Well, I love
Speaker 1: stacking offenses. And if there's one offense you think of
Speaker 1: first when it comes to stacking, it's the Chiefs, who
Speaker 1: uh had the most significant opt out in the fantasy
Speaker 1: football world of Damien Williams opting out. Man, I think
Speaker 1: that really mutters muddies the water on trying to stack
Speaker 1: the Chiefs because Williams was a corner stone to it,
Speaker 1: because he was so ridiculously and wrongly cheap. He was
Speaker 1: going off the board in the eighth and ninth rounds
Speaker 1: of drafts and he was incredible value. He's gone. Yeah,
Speaker 1: there's been a very big butterfly effect from the Williams
Speaker 1: opt out. Before he opted out, he was very feasible
Speaker 1: to grab Travis Kelsey, Endoor Tyreek Hill in the first
Speaker 1: and secure Mahomes in the second. When I say end Or,
Speaker 1: you could probably get Mahomes in the third even and
Speaker 1: get Kelsey and Hill and that that's not a guarantee,
Speaker 1: and then you could get uh Clyde Edwards a layer
Speaker 1: in the fifth, and then you go get Damian Williams
Speaker 1: in the ninth, and then you can grab me cole
Speaker 1: Hard in the eleventh, and you've got a five man
Speaker 1: chief stack with all the key players. Now that is
Speaker 1: all changed now that Williams is opted out, because the
Speaker 1: c h A. DP is now first round, first round,
Speaker 1: it's it's mid first round. How am I going to
Speaker 1: execute this cheap stacks are talking about? So now now
Speaker 1: now there's a road has uh what's the Robert Frost
Speaker 1: poem to work in the road, something like that, there
Speaker 1: are two three falls in the woods. Was the guy
Speaker 1: who said it? First road, the road diverge in the woods,
Speaker 1: whatever that is. But now that this is the road
Speaker 1: less traveled, well, the Carmack McCarthy on the road again.
Speaker 1: Just can't wait, row ads, row ads. Where we're going.
Speaker 1: We don't need roam anyway. There are two paths now
Speaker 1: to chief stacks now that Williams is opted out. The
Speaker 1: first is, uh, if you're in the seven or three
Speaker 1: to seven range in the first round, you can pull
Speaker 1: off the balance chief stack. I'm gonna call it, and
Speaker 1: it would go like this. He takes h in the
Speaker 1: first in the middle of the middle of first. You
Speaker 1: gotta take them homes in the second, because if you're
Speaker 1: stacking the Chiefs, you gotta have Homes. I think you
Speaker 1: gotta have Home because you're not always right as to
Speaker 1: which receiver it's gonna be, but you want to make
Speaker 1: sure you've got the guy who's gonna throw all of
Speaker 1: those balls. Now, you're gonna miss out on Kelsey and Hill,
Speaker 1: which in the past you're gonna grab. But we'll talk
Speaker 1: more about that when we're not down the middle of
Speaker 1: the rounds. And then, really, so you got Edwards Layer
Speaker 1: in the first, Homes in the second, and you just
Speaker 1: grab me Cole Hardman in the tenth, might as well
Speaker 1: grab Sammy Watkins in the thirteenth for the hell of it.
Speaker 1: And then you orsel should handcuff DeAndre Washington in the sixty.
Speaker 1: So that's your one path. That's the balanced attack. You're
Speaker 1: not too heavy in the passing game. You really just
Speaker 1: got Hardman, but you're still gonna get your share of
Speaker 1: Kelsey and Hill through Mahomes right now. The second path
Speaker 1: is uh the aerial attack, and you get this in
Speaker 1: the late first round where you grab either Hill or Mahomes.
Speaker 1: You're not gonna get 'm sorry, Hill or Kelsey, You're
Speaker 1: not gonna get both. You still gotta grab Mahomes in
Speaker 1: the second round, and if you're gonna choose between Hill
Speaker 1: and Kelsey, I go Kelsey. He's the safer option. You're
Speaker 1: gonna get your portion of Hill and the pop off
Speaker 1: weeks with Mahomes. But but it's so deep at tight
Speaker 1: end this year, which is something we never have the
Speaker 1: luxury of saying. But the differentiator with Kelsey still is
Speaker 1: so so vast. But uh, but then the rest really
Speaker 1: plays out, you know, as did in the earlier stack.
Speaker 1: You're you're gonna you're gonna get Hardman in the tenth hopefully,
Speaker 1: but you're you're not gonna have any part of the
Speaker 1: running game. But I would advise you grab DeAndre Washington
Speaker 1: no matter what, no matter what league, really because he
Speaker 1: looks like a handcuff now, but he could still have
Speaker 1: a significant role spite or not being a handcuff. So
Speaker 1: long story short, the Chief stack not as ideal melt Will.
Speaker 1: It's not as concentrated. You're not as concentrated on the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: which is a good thing too, because you can go
Speaker 1: belly up if you go too heavily on a stack.
Speaker 1: But yeah, and the danger that we've talked about it.
Speaker 1: I think in for several episodes. Now is if COVID
Speaker 1: sweeps through a locker room and it's the Chiefs, You've
Speaker 1: got a huge problem on your hand. And I that's
Speaker 1: that's there's a real scenario where much like the Marlins,
Speaker 1: the league doesn't shut down, but they shut down a
Speaker 1: locker room for three weeks. That could happen. And now
Speaker 1: now you're in a pinch. And we'll talk about a
Speaker 1: little more. In guillotine leagues, stacking any offense incredibly dangerous.
Speaker 1: We'll get to that in a little bit. All right, Well,
Speaker 1: I we'll hit that a little bit later. Let's let's
Speaker 1: go to Matt. Your unique draft strategy that you believe
Speaker 1: will work this year. This is it. Could we could
Speaker 1: give it two names. We could give it the block,
Speaker 1: which I like to call it, where we could give
Speaker 1: it undo the opposite, because as I've been like, undo
Speaker 1: the opposite, But I don't know what you're gonna say.
Speaker 1: So as I've been playing around with some best ball
Speaker 1: leagues and draft strategies and looking at them. Um, there's
Speaker 1: a strategy of taking three running backs in the first
Speaker 1: three rounds then and and be disciplined with this take
Speaker 1: three running backs in the first three rounds, no matter what,
Speaker 1: no matter what. Then your next five rounds wide receiver.
Speaker 1: So this is really the opposite. It is. This is
Speaker 1: the opposite of the opposite, and you're doing it in blocks.
Speaker 1: So three running backs, then five wide receivers. Then you
Speaker 1: go back to the running back well and take two
Speaker 1: more running backs. Okay, and your last two picks are
Speaker 1: a quarterback in a tight end. Why would you do this? Yes?
Speaker 1: Why would I do that? Wide receiver is as deep
Speaker 1: as it's ever been. It is. I agree with that statement,
Speaker 1: but I think it stalls out a little bit at
Speaker 1: the end of round eight around nine, which is right
Speaker 1: in the area where you want to stop driving wide receiver.
Speaker 1: Point all right, tight end and quarterback maybe deeper than
Speaker 1: they've ever been, and there's value at the very last
Speaker 1: pick in your draft. Talk about Dan Arnold and some
Speaker 1: of the other guys that we're going to mention a
Speaker 1: little bit. And running back has a bit of a
Speaker 1: cliff after round three. There's a lot of good running
Speaker 1: backs in rounds one through three, but after that it
Speaker 1: becomes pretty sketchy and you have to, like, you know,
Speaker 1: play with running backs that are you know, splitting back
Speaker 1: fields and and that kind of thing. So here's how
Speaker 1: I've I've had a couple of scenarios that have played out,
Speaker 1: and I want to see if you like these teams
Speaker 1: that I've drafted using this block draft strategy. Well, let's
Speaker 1: I want to go with undo the opposite or undo
Speaker 1: the opposite? All right? Um, let's say, dear Dale, you
Speaker 1: go whatever you want, but I think I do the
Speaker 1: opposite is pretty brilliant. Undo the apo. Alright, let's say
Speaker 1: you're picking towards the middle of round one. You have
Speaker 1: a team of Alvin Kamara, Miles Sanders, and Chris Carson.
Speaker 1: Those are your top three running back. I feel great
Speaker 1: about that. Feel good about that. So I don't love
Speaker 1: my receivers yet. Well, your wide receivers are Calvin Ridley,
Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett, A J. Green, Jarvis Landry, and Ceedee Lamb.
Speaker 1: Can you go to war with those? I can? I can?
Speaker 1: I can go to war with that. Um, Now, let's
Speaker 1: get a couple more running backs. Can I have kill
Speaker 1: Harry over Ceede Lamb? Sure, Okay, you don't have to
Speaker 1: take him that early. Philip Lindsay, But let's get Philip
Speaker 1: Lindsay and Zack Moss. Those are guys who are handcuffs
Speaker 1: not to my guys, but handcuffs to other guys who
Speaker 1: could pan out to be really big contributors this year.
Speaker 1: And finally we rounded out with Kirk Cousins and John
Speaker 1: hu Smith. At the end of our draft. You just
Speaker 1: threw John Smith. That's okay, But that's a good team, right, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I could go to go to war with that team.
Speaker 1: All right, let's try Let's try it from a different
Speaker 1: draft position. Let's say a number one pick in the draft.
Speaker 1: So I got Christian Christian McCaffrey. The end of round two,
Speaker 1: according to a DP, you can get Austin Neckler. I
Speaker 1: can still Gettin and I can come back, come back,
Speaker 1: Leonard Fotah, I know that, I know you don't like.
Speaker 1: I don't know. That wouldn't be my choice. Okay. As
Speaker 1: a third running back, you could you could go get
Speaker 1: Chris Carson, or you could get Kenyan Drake. Is that
Speaker 1: all right? So McCaffrey, Eckler, And for for sake of argument,
Speaker 1: let's say it's for net in this one. Wide receivers Keenan, Allen, Courtland, Sutton,
Speaker 1: Terry McLaren, Michael Gallop, and Christian Kirk. And I didn't
Speaker 1: go to war with those guys too. It feels good
Speaker 1: come back with a couple more running backs Keyshawn Vaughan
Speaker 1: and Alex Madison, guys who have an opportunity. And then
Speaker 1: you get Hayden Hurst and Joe Burrow at the end,
Speaker 1: or Hayden Hurst and Drew Lock at the end. That's
Speaker 1: you can go to war with those teams. You don't
Speaker 1: need to draft a tight end or quarterback. Well, and
Speaker 1: I've still got more pictures than you're talking about, So
Speaker 1: I can go well round right, I can go Drew
Speaker 1: Lock and Gardner Minshew and you know, um, I don't know,
Speaker 1: pick another guy, Derek Carr. And you know, I know
Speaker 1: I could stack up. You know I can stack Tighten,
Speaker 1: I can stack tight late. You can get there's tons
Speaker 1: of guys late. There's Philip Rivers, all those guys late.
Speaker 1: So the key to this is wide receivers and rounds
Speaker 1: four through eight are much more attractive and available than
Speaker 1: the running backs. And I'll give you a couple a
Speaker 1: couple of scenarios here. So in round four you get
Speaker 1: the choice between wide receivers Allen Robinson, Odell Beckham, d
Speaker 1: j Moore, DK Metcalf, Calvin Ridley, Keenan Allen, a Great,
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, and Levy on Bell. Are you're
Speaker 1: running back options. If you're doing the opposite, you want
Speaker 1: to be taking wide receivers at this point in the draft.
Speaker 1: But if you're doing the opposite, you have to kind
Speaker 1: of start taking running backs there and they're not as attractive.
Speaker 1: Let's give round five for another example. Tyler Lockett, Stefon Digs,
Speaker 1: Robert Woods, Courtland Sutton, DJ Chark, good receivers or Mark A. Graham,
Speaker 1: David Montgomery, Devin Singletary, Raheem Mostert. There's hey, but there's
Speaker 1: question marks. So I like the opportunity of going three
Speaker 1: running backs early and then go the big block of
Speaker 1: wide receivers right in the middle. You know, I'll be honest,
Speaker 1: you've kind of sold me. And this is you know,
Speaker 1: this from somebody that has really shied away from running.
Speaker 1: Just just the receivers are just so deep, and I
Speaker 1: really do think that that can afford you the luxury
Speaker 1: of taking these three running backs early knowing in all
Speaker 1: probability one of them is either going to be a
Speaker 1: bust or going down with injury, hopefully not two of them.
Speaker 1: If you get two of them right three, I'm in
Speaker 1: a good spot and that that could happen. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about my draft strategy unique to this year, and this
Speaker 1: is something people don't do nearly enough of. I don't
Speaker 1: believe trading down. I thought you were going to do
Speaker 1: the opposite. Do the opposite. It's a new thing. I've
Speaker 1: just thought of trading down in the early rounds. We're
Speaker 1: talking about how deep this draft is, right, So let
Speaker 1: me ask you this. If you're you're at your draft,
Speaker 1: it's either virtual on zoom or you're all in person,
Speaker 1: you're massed up in the back yard or not masked
Speaker 1: in the backyard. If you're massed up, if you're inside,
Speaker 1: whatever your situation is, at your draft, and you look
Speaker 1: at the other eleven people that you've got, your other team,
Speaker 1: the other team owners that are there, and you say,
Speaker 1: I will give my I will trade you my first
Speaker 1: round pick for your second and third. Okay, somebody out
Speaker 1: of that eleven is gonna take that deal, no matter
Speaker 1: where you are in the first almost, no matter where
Speaker 1: you are now. Obviously, if you're like pick one, you
Speaker 1: could even ask more. I think you could ask for
Speaker 1: a second, a third, and a fourth, because somebody else
Speaker 1: is going to look at and go, I get Christian
Speaker 1: McCaffrey and another first and keep my first round pick.
Speaker 1: If your pick one, you can probably say I will
Speaker 1: trade you my first round pick for your first and
Speaker 1: second or what Yeah, it could be too um if
Speaker 1: you have Christian McCaffrey, absolutely so we'll trade our first
Speaker 1: rounder for a second and a third rounder. So now
Speaker 1: I've got two seconds and I've got two third rounders.
Speaker 1: Right now, you sound like Rick Spielman, but we're not
Speaker 1: done yet. This is very Rick Spielman. That's area. If
Speaker 1: you come up with this really, then we're going to trade.
Speaker 1: Then I go back my I'm I'm on the clock
Speaker 1: with that second round, my first of two second round picks.
Speaker 1: And I look at my eleven other owners and on
Speaker 1: the clock right now, is you know Nick Chubb is
Speaker 1: available maybe or Austin Ekeler or Josh Jacobs or Miles
Speaker 1: Sanders is on the clock. He's available. And I look
Speaker 1: at these other owners and I go, all right, I'm
Speaker 1: gonna give you my second round pick for your third
Speaker 1: and fourth, and that person gets to keep their second.
Speaker 1: Somebody's gonna take that deal too, and I'm gonna do
Speaker 1: it twice. I'm gonna do it with my first rounder
Speaker 1: and the or my second rounder and the second rounder
Speaker 1: that I got last time. So you're gonna have four
Speaker 1: third round picks and three fourth round picks. Now I've
Speaker 1: got seven picks in the third and fourth round. Seven.
Speaker 1: So let's look at the team we're gonna cobble together
Speaker 1: with seven picks in the third and fourth round. First,
Speaker 1: we're slough and quarterback Aldig seems like a good idea. Then,
Speaker 1: you know, to your the points that you mentioned earlier,
Speaker 1: I don't need to take. You know, Mahomes and Jackson
Speaker 1: are gonna be gone, and those the only guy the quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: who really make a difference in this year. So we're
Speaker 1: gonna slough that out of this altogether. Now at the
Speaker 1: running back position, so here's my three, my my proposed
Speaker 1: four third round picks. Chris Carson, Levy On Bell, Kenny Golladay,
Speaker 1: Mike Evans. Those are right there. I've got my starting
Speaker 1: two running backs and starting two wide receivers work. In
Speaker 1: the fourth round, I'm gonna add in a little Jonathan Taylor,
Speaker 1: the rookie from Indianapolis. I'm gonna add an A J.
Speaker 1: Brown at wide receiver poised to potentially explode, and my
Speaker 1: tight end could be Mark Andrews, and an old dash
Speaker 1: of of Mark Andrews, who I love, is my number
Speaker 1: three tight end. You can get him in the fourth round.
Speaker 1: Just reading like a recipe to mettle half cup of
Speaker 1: a little sprinkle of Jeremy Sprinkle. That's all. That's all
Speaker 1: the more you would want I think of Jeremy Sprinkle.
Speaker 1: So again, here's i'd be looking at setting the lineup
Speaker 1: with Chris Carson, laby On Bell, Jonathan Taylor as my
Speaker 1: running backs. I gotta start two out of those three.
Speaker 1: Maybe I flex some one in my receiver's Kenny Golladay,
Speaker 1: Mike Evans, a J. Brown start all three. If I
Speaker 1: need to start all three. That's a good team that
Speaker 1: I'm taking right out of the third and fourth round.
Speaker 1: And by the way, my draft is not done. I
Speaker 1: still well, you know still that the rest of my
Speaker 1: picks I could go to war. All I'm doing, all
Speaker 1: I'm short right now is a quarterback away from having
Speaker 1: a killer deep lineup comprise entirely of third and fourth rounders,
Speaker 1: and you can get weird and take a quarterback in
Speaker 1: the fifth then have have your choice of anybody not
Speaker 1: Mahomes or Jackson, get to Shaun Watson and the fifth
Speaker 1: or Dak Prescott in the fifth round, and I get
Speaker 1: like the top five quarterback if I want to. It
Speaker 1: opens up a lot of possibilities with this trade down scenario.
Speaker 1: So that's another That is another option. I think that
Speaker 1: among draft strategies that could end up working. And this
Speaker 1: the deepest draft that we've that we've ever seen. A
Speaker 1: lot of the reasons I think this is such a
Speaker 1: deep draft, guys, is the tight ends? Now? For years
Speaker 1: we've been like, well, all right, if you know, if
Speaker 1: you want to have a shirt thing tight end, you
Speaker 1: gotta take one of three guys. You gotta get Kelsey,
Speaker 1: or you gotta get Gronk, or you gotta get zach Ertz.
Speaker 1: You're dead. People were clamoring to remove tight end. As
Speaker 1: a manager, of course, laughed in the face all of
Speaker 1: those not deserved. Did you point at them too? Of course?
Speaker 1: Right now? You know, Rob Gronkowski, who could be sitting
Speaker 1: on a fourteen touchdown season, is my tight end number seven.
Speaker 1: You know, there's so many good tight ends. Now if
Speaker 1: you decide to sleft that position. Now you're looking at
Speaker 1: a Darren Waller, a Tyler Higbee, a Mike Gasecki um
Speaker 1: among a variety of other guys. Dan Arnold, Dan Arnold.
Speaker 1: You know these are all guys that you can reasonably
Speaker 1: go to war with. And I think the depth and
Speaker 1: tight end really does enable a lot of the flexibility
Speaker 1: that comes with this year's draft, as when we come
Speaker 1: back three tough questions for a panel of experts, you
Speaker 1: get to play along see if you can go three
Speaker 1: and O. And if you're looking for my cheat sheets
Speaker 1: you can get them for free at gailloteen leagues dot com.
Speaker 1: A lot of the all my player rankings updated almost
Speaker 1: daily as there is new news guilloteen leagues dot com.
Speaker 1: Look for my cheat sheets there as well. We'll be
Speaker 1: back and more. Fantasy Football Weekly coming up next. Welcome back.
Speaker 1: Kantacy Football Weekly America is the longest running fantasy show.
Speaker 1: We are here to help you dominate your league. It
Speaker 1: starts the preseason with your auction or your draft, and
Speaker 1: it's a quick note. We tend to frame things up
Speaker 1: in the form of drafts here, but we love auctioning.
Speaker 1: Huge supporters of the auction format, and we just count
Speaker 1: on you to sort of convert draft talk to auction
Speaker 1: talk in your head. It's really hard to talk auctions.
Speaker 1: It is, you know, one of the chance one of
Speaker 1: the challenges of auctioning is I don't know even know
Speaker 1: when a player is going to come up, right, So
Speaker 1: you know, it may turn out that you know a
Speaker 1: player that we are really interested in. Austin Ekeler, if
Speaker 1: he's the first player thrown out, he's gonna go for
Speaker 1: one amount. If he's the if he gets thrown out
Speaker 1: in the middle of your of your auction, he's gonna
Speaker 1: go for half as much money. It's just, you know,
Speaker 1: it's it's really really hard to talk about definitive put
Speaker 1: definitive numbers on auctions when you don't know when the
Speaker 1: player is going to come out. You do enough drafts,
Speaker 1: you're gonna get the same players if you're in the
Speaker 1: same draft spot. But every auction is different. But everything
Speaker 1: he could go for half as much money, or he
Speaker 1: could go for twice as much money because he's the
Speaker 1: last of the last of a tire that happens in auction.
Speaker 1: Absolutely a great point. If Austin Ekeler is the last
Speaker 1: of the good running backs perceived running back, Oh dude,
Speaker 1: the price will go through the roof. Yeah, I've seen
Speaker 1: it happen so many times. It's a it's a great
Speaker 1: point where running back one. You know, somebody will throw
Speaker 1: out the top rated running back this year, Christian McAffrey.
Speaker 1: Somebody's gonna throw christ McAffrey early to siphon off a
Speaker 1: bunch of money. And it's a totally valid strategy. And
Speaker 1: mc christian McCaffrey goes for thirty seven. Then later the
Speaker 1: last of the good running backs, Austin Ekeler comes out.
Speaker 1: He goes for thirty nine because the scarcity, the position
Speaker 1: scarcity hits because he's the last of the good perceived good. Yeah,
Speaker 1: absolutely happens. And then you can have you have your
Speaker 1: running backs, and you're just sitting there bumping up the
Speaker 1: price for fun and watching other people scrambling to get
Speaker 1: the running back auction, or you're you have the discipline
Speaker 1: to sloft the running back position and you can be
Speaker 1: you can be bidding up with with no intention of
Speaker 1: having that highest bid. That's part of the beauty of
Speaker 1: the auction. And we love the auction here. Let's get
Speaker 1: to our three tough questions, which traditionally begins with tough
Speaker 1: question Number one. Tampa Bay head coach Bruce Arian says
Speaker 1: Ronald Owns will be his lead back, but he repeatedly
Speaker 1: talked up Jones last preseason two and it amounted to
Speaker 1: very little. Should fantasy owners trust Bruce Arians this time around? Bryan,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna trust him. The first half of the season
Speaker 1: was an absolute disaster for Tampa Bay. The defense was
Speaker 1: a mess. They could not establish any form of running
Speaker 1: game whatsoever. They really righted the ship in the second
Speaker 1: half of the season and the second half of the season,
Speaker 1: Jones finished as a top twenty four running back in PPR,
Speaker 1: and according to Warren Sharp, uh mind, I respect more
Speaker 1: than most. Ronald Jones ranged as the top three red
Speaker 1: zone running back among those with twenty plus carries inside
Speaker 1: the twenty last year. And have you seen those calves
Speaker 1: on Ronald Jones. If he's got good calves, I'm in.
Speaker 1: But Bruce Arians has always been a workhorse guy. He
Speaker 1: would run Kerwin Williams into the ground with the Cardinals
Speaker 1: if he had to. And uh, I don't think Keyshawn
Speaker 1: Vaughan he is nothing special. He's gonna be a guy,
Speaker 1: but he he wants Ronald Jones to be his starter.
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna give him every opportunity. And of
Speaker 1: course there's Tom Brady in the mix now, rob Ron
Speaker 1: Krafsey the upgraded the line. But I will say this,
Speaker 1: Dare Ogunbally scares me because he's gonna, like last year,
Speaker 1: you know, all the pass catching work, and he's James
Speaker 1: Waite Jr. So I'm throwing that out there. But I'm
Speaker 1: gonna say I'm trusting Bruce Arians with this. Rojo take Okay, Matt,
Speaker 1: do you should fantasy owners trust Bruce Arians this time around?
Speaker 1: On Ronald Jones. I mean, if you want to talk
Speaker 1: about ordinary running backs, let's talk about Ronald Jones. Right,
Speaker 1: Ronald Jones, Peyton Barber, that was an ordinary backfield. Bruce
Speaker 1: is going to throw the ball. I talked about a
Speaker 1: little bit with Tom Brady when when he was in
Speaker 1: my peacock off last segment and the final eight games
Speaker 1: last year, Ronald Jones topped eleven carries, which is not
Speaker 1: very much for a guy who's going to be a
Speaker 1: lead back only twice. He's okay in the passing game,
Speaker 1: but Dare is good in the passing game, and key
Speaker 1: Shawn Vaughan might be good in the passing game. I
Speaker 1: really fear a three man backfield, as none of these
Speaker 1: guys looks like a real full time workhorse back, so
Speaker 1: I cannot trust Bruce Arians on this one. You gotta
Speaker 1: look at the calves man, all right. I want you
Speaker 1: to think back, everybody, two, rub your temples. Don't well,
Speaker 1: if you're driving right now, do not rub your temples.
Speaker 1: That you can rub your temples. Just keep your eyes
Speaker 1: open one temple? Okay? Uh, you know you really keep
Speaker 1: both hands on the wheel. Um, I really would prefer
Speaker 1: you keep both hands on the wheel. It's hard with
Speaker 1: a headset on you really charged. We just need some
Speaker 1: chimes to think back like, we don't have any chimes
Speaker 1: on them. Oh sure, how do you think? What do
Speaker 1: you think of that? Somebody's going on a slayer ride.
Speaker 1: It's kind of like diehards noted Christmas movie? Christmas movie? Alright,
Speaker 1: rubbing your temples thinking about great Ronald Jones runs, those
Speaker 1: times which I want you to produce that mental collage
Speaker 1: of high nights, the many highlights of Ronald Jones runs,
Speaker 1: and just string them together, one after another after another
Speaker 1: after another, Ronald Jones highlight runs. Now open your eyes. Yes,
Speaker 1: now open your eyes, and apparently you're dead because you've
Speaker 1: been driving with no hands on the wheel and your
Speaker 1: eyes closed. There's to your point, Matt, he's so pedestrian.
Speaker 1: He was Pro Football Focuses thirty five best runner. There
Speaker 1: are thirty two NFL teams. He does not belong as
Speaker 1: an NFL starting running back. Now that's not to say
Speaker 1: that Keishaan Vaughan's any better, because I only Keshan Vaughn
Speaker 1: is particularly special either. Having spent a lot of time
Speaker 1: with his college tape, I see a guy who looks
Speaker 1: just okay. Now here's the real clincher on why Ronald
Speaker 1: Jones can't be trusted. Last year, his Pro Football Focus
Speaker 1: ranking as a pass blocker was eight seven among running backs.
Speaker 1: What happens he misses an assignment and Tom Brady gets destroyed,
Speaker 1: He's out. No Oas for Rojoe, No, that's gonna be
Speaker 1: a massive problem for Ronald Jones. And you know what,
Speaker 1: his calves could stop him, though maybe calves of steel.
Speaker 1: I understand that's going to be why you can't trust
Speaker 1: Ronald Jones because sooner or later, the combination of pedestrian
Speaker 1: running styles and terrible pass blocking ability is going to
Speaker 1: catch up with him. Tough question number two? Can Cam
Speaker 1: Newton be trusted as a QB one for your fantasy team?
Speaker 1: Matt Um No, he can't. The Patriots have been a
Speaker 1: top six running back rushing attempt team for each of
Speaker 1: the last four seasons. That doesn't count passes caught by
Speaker 1: backs out of the backfield. That's just straight running. So
Speaker 1: what makes us think going from Tom Brady who threw
Speaker 1: over six hundred times last season to Cam Newton who
Speaker 1: hasn't topped five passing attempts in seven of the last
Speaker 1: eight years. By the way, a Cam Newton who has
Speaker 1: been injured and as was one of the more inaccurate
Speaker 1: passers throughout his career, what makes us think that they're
Speaker 1: suddenly going to become a passing team if you're reliant
Speaker 1: on rushing scores. He's averaged four per season over the
Speaker 1: last four years. Tom Brady, who's good? Tom Brady, who
Speaker 1: is good? We have reason to believe finished as QB
Speaker 1: fourteen last year. That's outside QB one territory. And I
Speaker 1: think Cam is a downgrade from Tom Brady as a
Speaker 1: passer for for sure, he's the middle of the pack
Speaker 1: quarterback two at best. Brian is our fantasy owners safe
Speaker 1: trusting Cam Newton to be a QB one. Let's review
Speaker 1: the track record of trustworthiness for Cam Newton. Starting in
Speaker 1: two thousand and eleven, finished his quarterback four quarterback four,
Speaker 1: quarterback five and I trust you Cam. Then team comes
Speaker 1: around quarterback seventeen, but the last quarterback one, yes, sixteen
Speaker 1: quarterback fifteen quarterback to seventeen quarterback fourteen law season. That's
Speaker 1: a that's a hell of a roller coaster ride. And
Speaker 1: I don't trust him. He can be, but not trust
Speaker 1: him to be. So no, you're saying no, they're saying no, Okay,
Speaker 1: I'm done. Let's talk about Cam Newton's best and worst
Speaker 1: case scenarios here. First, let's cover the worst case and
Speaker 1: a little more detail than what than Matt outlined. If
Speaker 1: you're relying on Cam Newton's arm, here's the guy you
Speaker 1: got on per game average two hundred thirty one passing
Speaker 1: yards and one point four passing touchdowns per game over
Speaker 1: the last three healthy years for Cam Newton two hundred
Speaker 1: thirty one passing yards and one and a half passing touchdowns.
Speaker 1: I want you to think at the end of your
Speaker 1: you know it's Sunday night and you're looking at your
Speaker 1: your box scores for your guys. If you're seeing two
Speaker 1: passing yards and one or two passing touchdowns, you're like, yay,
Speaker 1: oh wait, you're that's Andy Dalton. It's exactly Andy Dalton
Speaker 1: over the last three seasons, almost to the exact measure.
Speaker 1: You're getting Andy Dalton, who got benched last year. That's
Speaker 1: all that Cam's arm gives you. Remember he's also been
Speaker 1: a sub five quarterback in six of his nine seasons.
Speaker 1: There's there's a scenario here where he's not a good
Speaker 1: enough passer. Maybe he doesn't even stay the starter here.
Speaker 1: If if and then of course the other worst case
Speaker 1: part of this is his health. We don't know if
Speaker 1: he's going to stay healthy or not. I mean, Cam's
Speaker 1: healthy right now, but Willie stay healthy. It's health has
Speaker 1: been a huge problem for him with the last five years.
Speaker 1: So worst case scenario here, he gets benched, he's ineffective,
Speaker 1: and he might not stay healthy. Your your best case
Speaker 1: scenario is your Bill Belichick. Your quarterback has got a
Speaker 1: one year team friendly deal. Why not utilize his single
Speaker 1: best advantage running who cares if he gets hurt. He's
Speaker 1: not giving you anything through the air anyway, so you
Speaker 1: may as well run him. And he's not your damaged
Speaker 1: goods next year anyway. So maybe Belichick is just going
Speaker 1: to run him. And that's where Cam gets special. And
Speaker 1: when Brian tells you that he finished one to four
Speaker 1: in various seasons among quarterbacks, it's all because of the running.
Speaker 1: Those are years when you ran in touchdowns. Maybe this
Speaker 1: will be the year that he goes back to running
Speaker 1: because Belichick doesn't have a reason not to run him.
Speaker 1: But everybody trusts the third year old quarterback quarterback. You can't.
Speaker 1: It's very very hard to count on running quarterbacks other
Speaker 1: than Lamar Jackson, because Lamar Jackson gets designed runs. Nobody
Speaker 1: else does. Answer no, you can't trust Cam Newton to
Speaker 1: be your QB one, by the way, and fascinated him
Speaker 1: as a QP two. Oh yeah, tough question number three.
Speaker 1: Three notable type ends have new homes. Rob Gronkowski is
Speaker 1: now in Tampa, Austin Hooper is now in Cleveland, and
Speaker 1: Hayden Hurst is now in Atlanta. Which one of these
Speaker 1: new location tight ends will score the most Fantasy points
Speaker 1: this year? Ryan Austin Hooper is not my answer, but
Speaker 1: he saw nineties seven targets with the Falcons last year.
Speaker 1: That was sixth most among tight ends. Hooper saw more
Speaker 1: targets inside the ten yard line than Julio Jones. Of course,
Speaker 1: who touchdowns is on the Browns now, So my answer
Speaker 1: is Hayden Hurst, who is now the starting tight end
Speaker 1: for the Atlanta Falcons, who had the highest passing play
Speaker 1: percentage in the NFL. I don't believe Todd Gurley is
Speaker 1: gonna bring much to the running game, and this Atlanta
Speaker 1: offense is a well oil machine has always used the
Speaker 1: tight end as an integral part of their offense. I've
Speaker 1: won Atlanta tight end as seen at least eighty targets.
Speaker 1: That is a lot and eight of Matt Ryan's twelve seasons. Um,
Speaker 1: Hayden Hurst, Man, he's going to go off. That's all
Speaker 1: I can say. I like the other guys, but I
Speaker 1: like Austin Hooper is my guy. Sure, he's in kind
Speaker 1: of a strange spot. Kevin Stefanski is a running coach.
Speaker 1: They got two good backs and two good receivers, and
Speaker 1: Browns have never thrown to a tight end. But Kevin
Speaker 1: Stefanski had two tight ends in Minnesota combined for basically
Speaker 1: Austin Hooper's numbers last year, and David and Joku wants
Speaker 1: out of Cleveland. He said so several times this offseason.
Speaker 1: Two good backs and two good receivers are good for
Speaker 1: an offense. What's good for an offense is good for
Speaker 1: an offense. They're going to open holes across the field
Speaker 1: for Hooper to remain open. The Browns upgraded their offensive
Speaker 1: line immensely this offseason two, meaning the tight ends won't
Speaker 1: be asked to stay in and block nearly as much,
Speaker 1: which gives gives Hooper the ability to go run those
Speaker 1: routes that Brown's tight ends haven't been able to do before.
Speaker 1: So I think Austin Hooper is really going under looked,
Speaker 1: and he's going after both Gronk and uh and Hayden
Speaker 1: Hurst and a lot of drafts I'm seeing right now.
Speaker 1: I think Austin Hooper is in a sneaky spot here
Speaker 1: that UH that will turn out really well. I like
Speaker 1: Austin Hooper as well, but he is not the correct
Speaker 1: answer now. Now. Rob Gronkowski is, as you may know,
Speaker 1: is now in Tampa Bay, as you may be aware.
Speaker 1: But here's the problem why I can't give it's also
Speaker 1: your firstborn son, Rob Gronkowski. I love Gronk. You'll remember
Speaker 1: I'm only like four seasons removed from advocating for Gronk
Speaker 1: to be the first player take um and actually worked
Speaker 1: out pretty well that year. The The catch, though, is
Speaker 1: can anybody say Gronk's gonna play sixteen games? Did anybody
Speaker 1: say that, with all the other targets that Brady has,
Speaker 1: that Gronk will produce at the level that he used
Speaker 1: to with his old team. I don't think so, So
Speaker 1: we're gonna go we We are instead going to go
Speaker 1: with Hayden Hurst as the correct answer, although I've only
Speaker 1: got him one spot ahead of Austin Hooper. I think
Speaker 1: you're close, but you're not right. Hayden Hurst. Now he
Speaker 1: drops into the Austin Hooper role where Hooper was very successful.
Speaker 1: Austin Hooper was averaging with Atlanta six catches sixty one
Speaker 1: yards half a touchdown per game. I will take that
Speaker 1: out of my starting running tight end in a second.
Speaker 1: Those are great numbers, and remember Hurst is a former
Speaker 1: first rounder. He's quite possibly a lot better than drafted
Speaker 1: before Lamar Jackson drafted before Lamar Jackson. I don't know why,
Speaker 1: but hayden Hurst is a good tight end, and I
Speaker 1: think people don't realize how good he is because he
Speaker 1: struggled to beat out Mark Andrews. But Mark Andrews is awesome,
Speaker 1: and you could be really, really good, just not Mark
Speaker 1: Andrews good and end up in a spot where you
Speaker 1: find yourself with a very serviceable role. That's gonna be
Speaker 1: haden Hurst and Baltimore. They just ran, ran, ran, So
Speaker 1: hayden Hurst targets to go around absolutely absolutely when we
Speaker 1: come back. There's plenty more to go in the show.
Speaker 1: By the way, we've got best ball strategies that we're
Speaker 1: gonna talk about. A lot of people like to play
Speaker 1: best ball. It's picked up a ton of steam over
Speaker 1: the last five or six years to talk about that. Well,
Speaker 1: unleash our latest series of sleepers and some gets league
Speaker 1: draft strategies as well. All of that coming up through
Speaker 1: the final two segments of Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charge
Speaker 1: and Brian Johnson Matt Harrison with you back in moments
Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Georgie and Matt Harrison
Speaker 1: and Brian Johnson with you. If you are interested in
Speaker 1: playing in a guillotine league. We encourage you to go
Speaker 1: to guillotine leagues dot com, where we have private leagues
Speaker 1: you can play. If you know seventeen others that want
Speaker 1: to play, or sixteen others including yourself, you make seventeen
Speaker 1: great and you can our platform will run your league.
Speaker 1: Or if you don't know that many people who want
Speaker 1: to try the coolest, freshest new format, then instead play
Speaker 1: one of our contests where you get to join with
Speaker 1: a bunch of other people you don't know on the
Speaker 1: internet and house they're how many people know? Sixteen other people?
Speaker 1: Just do you even know? Sixteen? Sixteen other people alone?
Speaker 1: Sixteen other people who play fantasy well alone sixteen other
Speaker 1: people will talk to me, Well, legally you can't be
Speaker 1: within a hundred yards of sixteen other people, most of them,
Speaker 1: so you know that's you know, that's going to be
Speaker 1: a constraining consideration right there. Um In this segment, Brian
Speaker 1: want to talk a little bit more about guillotine leagues.
Speaker 1: First one, don't you tell people how a guillotine league works. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's it's fantasy football, but it's very different than the
Speaker 1: standard fantasy you're used to, and that you don't play
Speaker 1: head to head against anyone um. But again backtrack real quick,
Speaker 1: seventeen team league. Just draft your team very standard, but
Speaker 1: come week one you submit your lineup, but you're just
Speaker 1: playing against your whole league in the sense of the
Speaker 1: lowest score gets eliminated. So you just do not want
Speaker 1: to come in last place. Don't finish last, and if
Speaker 1: you come in last, you are cut from the league.
Speaker 1: Your your team goes to the waiver wire and everyone
Speaker 1: can bid on the s Kwan Barkley's or you know,
Speaker 1: the early round studs that you had to forfeit because
Speaker 1: you came in last place. So now not that it
Speaker 1: will be you. You keep saying it to you, you're not.
Speaker 1: You're listening to this show. We're gonna help you out here.
Speaker 1: You basically draft to not lose. It's that simple. And
Speaker 1: you really go on to focus on the first quarter
Speaker 1: of the season as well. I like to focus primarily
Speaker 1: on week one, but chart your cheat sheet on guillotine
Speaker 1: leagues dot com highlights the strength of scheduled by quarters
Speaker 1: of the season, right quarter, and you want to monitor
Speaker 1: that as the season goes along. But you really you
Speaker 1: just got a draft. Avoid the high ceiling scary four guys,
Speaker 1: the high risk, high reward guys are dangerous, and the
Speaker 1: guillotine format because if you've got three or four of
Speaker 1: those style of players and they flop in the same week,
Speaker 1: your dad, you're beheaded. In your guillotine league. You want
Speaker 1: your safe, consistent players week after week that don't give
Speaker 1: you the goose a game. A great example, I think,
Speaker 1: look at the Cleveland Brown receivers. We've got Odell Beckham
Speaker 1: or Jarvis Landry. Odell Beckham has got the big games
Speaker 1: and the bad games, but Jarvis Landry always catches passes,
Speaker 1: especially in a PPR farm, and he always catch pass
Speaker 1: doesn't score a lot. He's gonna go five catches for
Speaker 1: sixty five yards and you can bank on it, bank
Speaker 1: on it every week. He just doesn't give you the
Speaker 1: goose eggs that really really imperil you any guillotine league format. Yeah,
Speaker 1: one guy we've been harping on all preseason is Aaron Jones.
Speaker 1: We will see you go in the first mid second
Speaker 1: of any any standard draft, but even guillotine league drafts.
Speaker 1: Over a third of Aaron Jones games last year he
Speaker 1: finished outside the top thirty at running back. You can
Speaker 1: weather that storm in standard fantasy football, Oh a bad week.
Speaker 1: You know, he's had a great matchup next week. But
Speaker 1: if your round one pick goes belly up, you're not
Speaker 1: seeing next week. So yeah, while Aaron Jones was a
Speaker 1: top five runner last year, he probably wasn't on a
Speaker 1: lot of Guillotine League winning rosters because of those goose
Speaker 1: eggs that he put up. Yeah, yep, and that's so.
Speaker 1: That is a that is a key distinction for Guillotine
Speaker 1: League players for sure. And now now no one is
Speaker 1: more reliable almost at any position outside of Christian McCaffrey
Speaker 1: of course. Then then Michael Thomas only nine percent of
Speaker 1: his games were outside of the top thirty at wide receiver.
Speaker 1: The next closest number is thirty three percent by DeAndre Hopkins,
Speaker 1: and Thomas of his games runs at the top twelve.
Speaker 1: No one even sniffed that. You can make a case
Speaker 1: that in the Guillotine League format, Michael Thomas should be
Speaker 1: the first player taken. You could, you know, just because
Speaker 1: the the unbelievable consistency that Michael Thomas springs, And in
Speaker 1: all honesty, you could make the same argument for Travis
Speaker 1: Kelsey and George Kittle and This is all information. Again,
Speaker 1: you can get on with your g cheets charge on
Speaker 1: guillteen leagues dot com. This is very vital stuff for
Speaker 1: eighteen leagues. And from a quarterback perspective, Lamar Jackson seventy
Speaker 1: percent of his games he finished as a top six quarterback.
Speaker 1: Zero percent. We're outside the top eight team. No one
Speaker 1: else did that. No one Lamar Jackson had no flop.
Speaker 1: And I mean Patrick Mahomes does that in a completely
Speaker 1: healthy well you would think you would think maybe, yeah,
Speaker 1: you think of be Mahomes. He was hurt Or Watson
Speaker 1: or Russell Wilson. Who had the next best ratio from
Speaker 1: you know, games inside the top eight and outside the
Speaker 1: top six scene. It was Ryan Tannehill, the next best one.
Speaker 1: Already two percent of it starts inside the top eight,
Speaker 1: only seventeen percent outside the top sixteen. So that's a
Speaker 1: guy no one wants. Yeah, nobody's like, I'm gonna pivot
Speaker 1: my whole team on Ryan Tannehill. But he's the perfect
Speaker 1: kind of quarterback. You get late and he helps your
Speaker 1: You just gotta come him in second to last place
Speaker 1: every week. Every week. Don't and you'll be last and
Speaker 1: save your money and then you can splitterage on the
Speaker 1: big free agents. And just a couple other takeaways. You
Speaker 1: gotta pay attention to the bye weeks. Those are very
Speaker 1: tough to weather. Uh this year they start in week five.
Speaker 1: I know the Actors and the Lions have the first buys.
Speaker 1: Those have the first buys. Don't go Davante Adams, Kenny
Speaker 1: Golladay in the first two rounds, go week five. That's
Speaker 1: gonna force you to spend your money on big name
Speaker 1: free agents. You cannot afford to have two studs have
Speaker 1: bye weeks that earlier, and in the same that early
Speaker 1: excuse me, and in the same vein. Don't stack offenses
Speaker 1: in uillotine leagues. Not the Chiefs, not the Ravens, not anybody.
Speaker 1: You cannot afford to put all your eggs in one
Speaker 1: basket in the Yioteen League because if something bad happens,
Speaker 1: you are done. Including something bad. It's just like a
Speaker 1: seventeen point game. You know, a defensive touchdown, an offensive touchdown,
Speaker 1: and a field goal, and you're heavily invested in you know,
Speaker 1: pick a team bucks, that's it. There's seventeen points and
Speaker 1: see that could be that could be the end for you.
Speaker 1: If you're not careful. You talked about the bye week,
Speaker 1: so I want to spend just another minute on that.
Speaker 1: For Guillotine League. Remember you're starting that you're starting your
Speaker 1: draft of seventeen teams. Everybody's team has very little depth
Speaker 1: starting the season because you've got seventeen teams. Now by
Speaker 1: the time you get to those first set of buys
Speaker 1: in week five, you've we've eliminated four teams, but still
Speaker 1: thirteen team league, and there you still don't have a
Speaker 1: lot of depth. Yet there's holes on the rosters. There
Speaker 1: are holes in the roster, and if you've got Kenny
Speaker 1: Golladay or you've got Davante Adams, you may not have
Speaker 1: an adequate backup behind that guy. And here comes this
Speaker 1: bye week to a very important player for your team,
Speaker 1: and you can't necessarily fill it the way you'd like to.
Speaker 1: Now you might see this by week coming, and that
Speaker 1: means you have to You've got to spend fab in
Speaker 1: the first month of the season just to make up
Speaker 1: for those early buys. So the early buys really do
Speaker 1: change my Guillotine League rankings, and I really do tend
Speaker 1: to de emphasize those guys to that chart when rostering
Speaker 1: a Guillotine League team and drafting. You really want to
Speaker 1: fill out your starting lineup before you start filling out
Speaker 1: your bench. You don't want to do my block draft
Speaker 1: strategy that I talked about early in the earlier in
Speaker 1: the show and wait till the end for tight end
Speaker 1: and for the opposite. Yeah, you want to make sure
Speaker 1: that you are filling out your lineup before you're starting
Speaker 1: to fill up your bench because you can't have a
Speaker 1: hole in the lineup. If if you get zeros in
Speaker 1: the lineup, that's really bad for you. You can't you
Speaker 1: can't do it. Now. Savvy listeners might be thinking, well,
Speaker 1: all right, Mr Guillotine League, but if I avoid all
Speaker 1: these early buys, it's just gonna bite me in the
Speaker 1: ass later and I'm not gonna make it to the end.
Speaker 1: But here's the thing, these players that you speak because
Speaker 1: every week a team is getting cut out of the
Speaker 1: Guillotine League and their entire roster is going to the
Speaker 1: waiver wire. By mid season, your roster's gonna look very different,
Speaker 1: and by like the two thirds point of the season,
Speaker 1: your roster is almost entirely different, and you've got more
Speaker 1: fat players because you weren't forced suspended because of the
Speaker 1: early buys hopefully not right, you should and you should
Speaker 1: be in a position of strength from a bidding standpoint.
Speaker 1: And man, let me tell you when it's week ten
Speaker 1: and teams are getting cut in week ten, those are
Speaker 1: some awesome, awesome rosters that are getting cut at that point,
Speaker 1: and a lot of those players who got cut already
Speaker 1: had thereby, so you really don't have to worry about
Speaker 1: those later buys coming to to bite you in the US.
Speaker 1: Later you're gonna be okay. What do you guys do
Speaker 1: for your fab budget? Um? As far as how how
Speaker 1: how do you process it? How do how do you
Speaker 1: look to save it? Do you like to spend early?
Speaker 1: Do you like to wait until the later ends of
Speaker 1: the season. How do you guys like to do? You're
Speaker 1: you're tempted in week two? You see there's gonna be
Speaker 1: big names on the waiver wire. You don't play out
Speaker 1: week one, for example, as as the a team that
Speaker 1: you're gonna get, the low scoring team is gonna get
Speaker 1: cut in week one and their entire roster goes to
Speaker 1: the waiver wire. So that means you may be looking
Speaker 1: at Alvin Camara and DeAndre Hopkins and Patrick Mahomes and
Speaker 1: Kenyan Drake and Stefon Diggs. You know, you know those
Speaker 1: of the you know, those could be five or six
Speaker 1: players that were on that team's team that are all
Speaker 1: all bit able at that point. And the big mistake
Speaker 1: people will make is you see all those big names, like,
Speaker 1: oh my god, I gotta get some of these guys
Speaker 1: because they're gonna help me win in the end. I
Speaker 1: just want guys who're gonna help me not lose in
Speaker 1: the second week where I can save money. So on
Speaker 1: a high level, I just say try to, you know,
Speaker 1: hold onto your money as long as you can avoid
Speaker 1: the urge to splurge early on. I know it's bitten
Speaker 1: me in the past. I don't know about you charge
Speaker 1: under Matt, but uh, I think the high level strategies
Speaker 1: hold onto your your FAB as long as possible and
Speaker 1: just don't come. And last, you have to hold onto
Speaker 1: as much of your free agent pitting money as long
Speaker 1: as you can because the teams that are getting cut
Speaker 1: in weeks eight and ten and twelve are superstar teams
Speaker 1: and you need to have FAB to bid on those
Speaker 1: superstar players and controlling the board. There's no better feeling
Speaker 1: when you know you control the board and have you've
Speaker 1: got You've got a lot of money, and definitely watch
Speaker 1: what the other players have for their money too, and
Speaker 1: and kind of think, oh, this guy is only going
Speaker 1: to spend eighty four dollars because he only has eighty
Speaker 1: six in his budget. That's how high you can go. Yeah, absolutely, Um,
Speaker 1: all right, so the only the only time I'm spending
Speaker 1: fab early is if I'm in real danger to get
Speaker 1: knocked out. As an example, you spend your first round
Speaker 1: draft pick on Christian McCaffrey. Christian McCaffrey snaps a femur, alright,
Speaker 1: or Tyreek Hill last year, right, he got hurt and
Speaker 1: great example, Tyreek Hill Week one. And I don't have
Speaker 1: an adequate replacement. I don't want to. I don't I'm
Speaker 1: not taking eight dollars to my fab grave doesn't do
Speaker 1: me any good. So at that point, I think you
Speaker 1: gotta go in. But only spend money in a guillotine
Speaker 1: league when you have to because you're legitimately worried about
Speaker 1: getting knocked out. Alright, some guillotine League strategy for you
Speaker 1: right there. When we come back, we'll talk best ball
Speaker 1: strategies and unveiled this week's sleepers. We gave you three
Speaker 1: sure fire winners last week, how about three new guys
Speaker 1: this week? And again, if you would like to play
Speaker 1: in a Guillotine league, we encourage you go to Guillotine
Speaker 1: leagues dot com. You can exercise some of this newfound
Speaker 1: strategy right there, play for any amount of prizing that
Speaker 1: suits you, or use Guillotine Leagues to come to run
Speaker 1: your private league with your friends. Back in moment's Paul
Speaker 1: Charchy and Matt Harrison Brian Johnson with you Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: Welcome back to the final segment of Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: Paul Arch and Brian Johnson. Matt Harrison with you again.
Speaker 1: Matt's got a brand new site called chock Fantasy. We
Speaker 1: encourage you to check that out. I've been using his
Speaker 1: Dynasty value chart for years and I won my Dynasty
Speaker 1: league last year. I'm taking an opportunity to do this.
Speaker 1: Is it because of my chart? Only because of your tank?
Speaker 1: And here's the funny thing. The record show Matt and
Speaker 1: I are not in this league. You're not that one
Speaker 1: I've got. I need to use your chart right now
Speaker 1: because just in the last hour I received this trade offer.
Speaker 1: I've got picked twelve in the draft because I've because
Speaker 1: I wanted, I got the last pick. I also have
Speaker 1: picked fifteen single QB or super flex super flex, and
Speaker 1: I have Julian Edelman. That is, and I have the
Speaker 1: offer is Julio Jones for pick twelve, pick fifteen and
Speaker 1: Julian Edelman. Now. Of note in this of of not
Speaker 1: of very real consequence to me, I don't have anybody
Speaker 1: to drop for a draft pick. My team is so stacked,
Speaker 1: I don't have I'm gonna drop. I'm gonna have to
Speaker 1: drop Aaron Rodgers or Hockinson or t J. Hockenson if
Speaker 1: if I to just make a draft pick. So moving
Speaker 1: the picks is absolutely possible for me, and I can
Speaker 1: use your Matt Draft your dynasty value trade chart to
Speaker 1: help me figure out if Julio Jones at one, as
Speaker 1: I'm built to win right now, is worth fifteen pick
Speaker 1: twelve and Julian Edelman, as I'm looking at it right now,
Speaker 1: you're paying a little bit of a premium with those
Speaker 1: two draft picks. This is a deep rookie draft. But
Speaker 1: if you've got nobody to drop, it's okay. I would
Speaker 1: see if you could maybe respond with an offer that
Speaker 1: gets you a draft pick next year. That's what I said,
Speaker 1: second round, maybe a second rounder next That's build a
Speaker 1: little equity into that. UM. Matt puts numeric values to
Speaker 1: every player and every draft picks. You can addup all
Speaker 1: the numeric values and figure out which side of the
Speaker 1: deal you should be on. UM. But I also have
Speaker 1: some intangibles to sort out in my case, like I'm
Speaker 1: a draft pick to give, I'm a player, I'm a
Speaker 1: player to drop. I don't want to give up in
Speaker 1: t J. Hockenson really good. I think remember Week one
Speaker 1: last year? Yeah, let's strapolate that. Yeah, let's right, let's
Speaker 1: just extrapolate that. Remember Sammy Watkins Week one last year?
Speaker 1: In the final segment, that's right, in the very similar
Speaker 1: in the final segment of every preseason show, we unveil
Speaker 1: three sleepers, and in some cases these are guys that
Speaker 1: we have talked about in previous shows a little bit.
Speaker 1: But we know we've got a lot of new listeners
Speaker 1: now that we're back in our traditional over the year
Speaker 1: positioning that this this show has become accustomed over twenty
Speaker 1: six years. Brian, who is your sleeper this week? So
Speaker 1: last year the Miami Dolphins wide receivers finished seventh overall
Speaker 1: as a unit in receptions. And that's the first half
Speaker 1: of the season. Davante Parker did nothing. It was all
Speaker 1: Preston Williams. And the second half Davanta Parker emerged. Preston
Speaker 1: Williams got hurt and it was Albert Wilson. Alan Hearns
Speaker 1: a mess, and we we mentioned in the first segment,
Speaker 1: Alan Hearns Albert Wilson have opted out. That's a lot
Speaker 1: of targets, not a target, a lot of targets for
Speaker 1: Isaiah Ford, who is now the three wide receiver for
Speaker 1: the for the Dolphins. Rookie out of Virginia Tech. Last season,
Speaker 1: he was drafted in the sixth round, opted out of
Speaker 1: his senior year, so he came into the league a
Speaker 1: little young. He's got a good size six to fifteen. Um,
Speaker 1: Miami is gonna be chasing points all year long, and
Speaker 1: Preston Williams got hurt last year. I'm not sold. DeVante
Speaker 1: Parker is rock solid at this point. Yes, Mike Asiki
Speaker 1: will reap the benefits of these uh vacated targets from
Speaker 1: Hearns and Albert Wilson, but Dynasty League guys and even
Speaker 1: anyone and gals and anyone, uh even redraft. Isaiah Ford
Speaker 1: is going to be a thing at some point this season,
Speaker 1: especially if there's an injury. But even with that one,
Speaker 1: he will have a significant role in Week one as
Speaker 1: a reminder of Isaiah Ford. And you probably don't remember,
Speaker 1: and I don't blame you. At the end of last year,
Speaker 1: forced into service for the Dolphins because of all the
Speaker 1: injuries they had at the wide receiver position. As a rookie,
Speaker 1: seventh round rookie last year for the Dolphins, he had
Speaker 1: some pretty good games. He had a ninety two yard game,
Speaker 1: He had a sixty eight yard game and a fifty
Speaker 1: four yard game in December of last year. And maybe
Speaker 1: and if Preston Williams leg isn't right and the knee
Speaker 1: isn't right, coming into this preseason, Isaiah fog starting wide
Speaker 1: receiver and he's going off the board as pick nine
Speaker 1: hundred eight, right, So what what draft goes to nine eight? Apparently?
Speaker 1: So he's picked nine according to Found Team Rosters, Good Heaven,
Speaker 1: Matt your sleeper this week. H Mine's not as deep
Speaker 1: as that, there are not as deep as no. Uh,
Speaker 1: Mine's just James White, good old fashioned James White. Because Church,
Speaker 1: I have a question for you, Sony Michelle any good.
Speaker 1: Sony Michelle stinks he's a reminder of his official nickname
Speaker 1: on this show, Sony Walkman. Yeah. Why because he's walking
Speaker 1: man and he's trying to run, but he's walking. He's
Speaker 1: not even doing that. He might be Sony hobble Man
Speaker 1: right now because he's got a foot injury. Backing Michelle
Speaker 1: up uh Rex Birkhead who spends most of his season
Speaker 1: on the injured list, and second year back Damien Harris,
Speaker 1: who wasn't active for most of the last season because
Speaker 1: he was active one game. I believe he doesn't play
Speaker 1: special teams, and Bill Belichick hates it when you don't
Speaker 1: play special teams. Look at Brandon Bolden, who's been on
Speaker 1: that roster as a running active every game, active every
Speaker 1: game because he's a special teamer. So James White stands
Speaker 1: to be a guy who can just jump into the
Speaker 1: backfield and he's averaging eighty receptions per season over the
Speaker 1: last two years. Cam Newton hundred and fourteen receptions two
Speaker 1: runners in two thousand eighteen and receptions to runners in
Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen. There's there's some there's some receptions that
Speaker 1: are going to go around, and his average depth of
Speaker 1: target isn't very high. It's not a great group of
Speaker 1: wide receivers. We have rookie tight ends there. I think
Speaker 1: James White is looking at a really sneaky good PPR year.
Speaker 1: What about Damien Harris though, as a as another as
Speaker 1: a sleeper here now Davia Harris is going off the
Speaker 1: board as player one three. It's not nine, but it's
Speaker 1: not nine. But if Sony Michelle either isn't good, which
Speaker 1: is very very possible, that doesn't matter. Or Sony Michelle
Speaker 1: doesn't play special teams either, he's active. If Michelle just
Speaker 1: isn't good. Now, remember Damian Harry. They invested a second
Speaker 1: round pick in Damian Harris last year. I wonder if
Speaker 1: Damian Harris doesn't just take that job with eight Patriots
Speaker 1: of opting out, I wonder if they're just not playing
Speaker 1: the worst possible lineup every week and tanking for Trevor.
Speaker 1: I don't know. I kind of wonder it might be
Speaker 1: Sony's year. I think Damien Harris is uh is another
Speaker 1: who's getting Trevor. I say the Bears tank most successfully
Speaker 1: for Trevor Lawrence. What about you guys. Yes, the defense
Speaker 1: is too good. No, it's not. It's a defensive line
Speaker 1: is awful. Quarterbacking is I'll use bad words if I
Speaker 1: get to that. I think he stays in the South
Speaker 1: Carolina or Jacksonsonville, Chicago. I don't know the Mississippi mustache.
Speaker 1: He's pretty good. My sleeper this week is a guy
Speaker 1: that I have referred to in the podcast version of
Speaker 1: offseason podcast version Fantasy Football Weekly. But I know there's
Speaker 1: not a lot of new listeners right now. John U. Smith. Oh,
Speaker 1: my man crush on John U. Smith is unabated. Current
Speaker 1: ADP is round thirteen. He will be a top ten
Speaker 1: tight end and maybe higher than that. Let's let and
Speaker 1: it just seems like he could have been a peacock
Speaker 1: Off candidate. You could have been, uh John And I
Speaker 1: thought about it, by the way, Jonnu Smith, But the
Speaker 1: peacock Off was all negativity. This is all positivity with
Speaker 1: John U. Smith, third year tight end last year in
Speaker 1: a limited role. You may remember Delaney Walkers started the
Speaker 1: season as the starter, but he got hurt and as
Speaker 1: the season progress they gave John Smith more and more use.
Speaker 1: Last year among tight ends, he ranked John Smith number
Speaker 1: one in contested catches, number five in true catch rate,
Speaker 1: number two in yards per target, number seven in yards
Speaker 1: per reception, number eight in yards per route run, and
Speaker 1: number four in yards after the catch. That's John NU Smith.
Speaker 1: Last year was essentially lost to injury for him to
Speaker 1: not saying he was sorry, not ready. He was ready to,
Speaker 1: you know, unseat Delaney Walker. But he didn't get any reps.
Speaker 1: Unless Corey Davis is suddenly going to turn into the
Speaker 1: player he's never been. John OU Smith is the Titans
Speaker 1: number two receiving target, maybe number one. Well a J.
Speaker 1: Brown is I mean, I mean a J. Brown's A J.
Speaker 1: Brown didn't get the targets last year though, and John
Speaker 1: Smith certainly is right and right there. You want to
Speaker 1: watch something special, go google John stand up there for
Speaker 1: a second. Jon Smith unbutton a button on his shirts
Speaker 1: last year. I believe it's Week fourteen. He's playing a
Speaker 1: playoff bound Houston team and they line up John U.
Speaker 1: Smith as a half back and they give him the
Speaker 1: ball on a designed run and he runs for fifty
Speaker 1: seven yards. He's a tight end running for fifty seven yards,
Speaker 1: out running members of the secondary. John H. Smith's athleticism
Speaker 1: is bonkers, and if you don't know. It looks like
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry, it does. You think it's the head because
Speaker 1: he's huge. He said, he's built like a tight end.
Speaker 1: If you weren't, if it weren't for the lack of dreads,
Speaker 1: you assume that's Derrick Henry making that run. Dread lack
Speaker 1: that's awesome. Is out on that note, I think we're done. Um, Matt,
Speaker 1: So there you go, three sleepers. I gave you John
Speaker 1: new Smith, Brian gave you Afford and Man gave you
Speaker 1: James White, which I then pivoted to Damien Harrison. Thank you,
Speaker 1: no problem. I'd like to give you the right answer
Speaker 1: from time to time on this show. It's not three
Speaker 1: Tough Questions segment anymore. It's not I can't always be right.
Speaker 1: Let's talk at some of the best ball strategies people
Speaker 1: are employing this season, Matt, real quick for those who
Speaker 1: don't know what a best ball league is, and there's
Speaker 1: quite a few. Um, you draft a team, there's no trades,
Speaker 1: there's no roster moves of any kind. You don't set
Speaker 1: a lineup. After the completion of every NFL week, the
Speaker 1: computer sets your best possible lineup based on your scores.
Speaker 1: So each week you get the optimized lineup, so we're
Speaker 1: best ball is perfect or people who love to draft,
Speaker 1: but you don't want to add to the in season
Speaker 1: maintenance of your team because there is no it is
Speaker 1: literally no nothing you even can do in season. But
Speaker 1: you get to have drafts over and over and over again,
Speaker 1: your draft and you watch. Um. Most of the time,
Speaker 1: people play several of these because drafting is super fun
Speaker 1: and often they're available at low costs. I like to
Speaker 1: play like three dollar ones and the sight I'm playing
Speaker 1: on right now it's called Underdog Fantasy. It's a nice
Speaker 1: little new app. But there's a lot of really good
Speaker 1: sits out there. F f PC, Best Ball Tens, Yahoo
Speaker 1: DraftKings is now doing it too, um, so you can
Speaker 1: you can really find them anywhere. Uh, there's a lot
Speaker 1: of really great data on best ball strategy. And here's
Speaker 1: a few highlights of things that I found. According to
Speaker 1: Chris Allen at four for four, here are some of
Speaker 1: the successful draft strategies on f PC and Best Ball
Speaker 1: Tens last year. An f f PC, the top draft
Speaker 1: strategy over the first six rounds is to leave with
Speaker 1: three running backs, two wide receivers, and one tight end.
Speaker 1: All right, that sounds very neutral. Of the winning teams
Speaker 1: last year had that exact strategy strategy coming out over
Speaker 1: the first six rounds on Best Ball Tens it was
Speaker 1: three running backs and three wide receivers. Of the winning
Speaker 1: teams on Best Ball Tens had that draft strategy. So
Speaker 1: you want to take a quarterback in the first six rounds,
Speaker 1: go get Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson because it's fun.
Speaker 1: Less than six percent of league winners had a quarterback
Speaker 1: in the first six rounds. They're off limits. Don't take them. Well,
Speaker 1: keep in mind last year Jackson side of the top
Speaker 1: six rounds, he's a he was, he was an eighth
Speaker 1: round a DP and and to that, over the last
Speaker 1: five years, quarterbacks with top twelve ADPs. So the top
Speaker 1: twelve quarterbacks taken in these drafts, only fifty six percent
Speaker 1: of those players finish as a top twelve quarterbacks. So
Speaker 1: there's a lot of variants at that position. So taking
Speaker 1: two to three decent quarterbacks really late tends to be
Speaker 1: the more prudent strategy and Best Ball leagues and there's
Speaker 1: a lot of different ways to play a Best Ball league.
Speaker 1: You can do it. Do the opposite draft. You can
Speaker 1: do like my undo the opposite block draft strategy. Brian,
Speaker 1: you you like one called hyper fragile. Tell us about
Speaker 1: that one. Well, yeah, and really though I don't know
Speaker 1: if I like it as much of this year. What
Speaker 1: it is hyper fragile is you draft three running backs
Speaker 1: with your first three picks, three best running backs you
Speaker 1: can find, and then that's all the running backs you draft.
Speaker 1: No handcuffs, but no nothing. In the past years, you know,
Speaker 1: tight end and wide receiver weren't as deep as they
Speaker 1: are this year, or quarterbacks. So I'm not so sure
Speaker 1: I love hyper fragile. And like you said, that's just
Speaker 1: under the opposite Now, that's what it's gonna do. It's
Speaker 1: gonna draft three quarterbacks, sorry, three running backs. But when
Speaker 1: it comes to drafting running backs, if I'm missing out
Speaker 1: on the big guys, one thing I like to do
Speaker 1: is target them the back fields that nobody likes. Like
Speaker 1: the Patriots, I can get Sony Michelle, Damien Harris, James White.
Speaker 1: You don't have because the best ball you don't have
Speaker 1: to figure out which one is the right one. The
Speaker 1: system just gives you the best one. Every you get
Speaker 1: the best one everywhere there are there are a plethora
Speaker 1: of backfields like that. I mean, Washington comes to mind,
Speaker 1: various guys, how about them? To me, the Ram the
Speaker 1: Rams are dead to me in any format the Rams
Speaker 1: backfield except best ball, where I don't have to pay
Speaker 1: a premium for any of the Rams backs and I
Speaker 1: don't have to guess which good game. Yeah, I think
Speaker 1: like the lion stands out to me with a swift
Speaker 1: and carry on. You're gonna pay more for swift, but
Speaker 1: not not so and so that's what I like to
Speaker 1: do a lot if I miss out on the mccaffreys
Speaker 1: in barkleys. So generally in a best ball league, you
Speaker 1: want to go for the high variance players. It's the
Speaker 1: opposite of a guillotine if you want to go for
Speaker 1: the high upside and and maybe the guy who gets
Speaker 1: you nothing in a week, because that doesn't matter the
Speaker 1: Robbie Anderson's of the world. So you can look at
Speaker 1: those secondary like chiefs wide receivers for instance, me Cole Hardman,
Speaker 1: DeMarcus Robinson, even Sammy Watkins. You can put two or
Speaker 1: three of those on your team and a couple of
Speaker 1: weeks where those guys pop off your golden Yeah, that's
Speaker 1: all you need. You don't necessarily need to have Tyreek
Speaker 1: Hill or Travis Kelsey every week. You just need those
Speaker 1: guys to pop off every once in a while. I
Speaker 1: want to give you in our final about two minutes
Speaker 1: of this show, Okay, I want to give you. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna give you four running backs coming off bad years
Speaker 1: but walked right back into being the starting running back
Speaker 1: on their team. And tell me which one you think
Speaker 1: is most likely to have a rebound ye A fourth
Speaker 1: tough question. It is Levy on Bell, David Montgomery, James Conner,
Speaker 1: and David Johnson, all guys with bummer years and they're
Speaker 1: all starting again this year, so you could you're gonna
Speaker 1: take one to have, but you gotta put one on
Speaker 1: your team. Your rostering Montgomery, he's a Connor and David
Speaker 1: Johnson a man that's a tough one. Not Montgomery. I'm
Speaker 1: out on Montgomery. I'm gonna go Connor. He's got gas
Speaker 1: in the tank. He's way better than any running back
Speaker 1: on that team. And Tomlin is still a Bell cow
Speaker 1: kind of guy. And uh, I'm not sold on the receivers.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go on it. Okay, I like DJ though
Speaker 1: I don't mind Montgomery because there's not a lot of
Speaker 1: there's not a lot of challenge to him there. But
Speaker 1: I think I'm going David Johnson because they made that
Speaker 1: big DeAndre Hopkins trade and Bill O'Brien's got to prove
Speaker 1: that that worked. He's going to hand him the ball ton.
Speaker 1: You know what, all these guys are, three of these
Speaker 1: four having common are terrible offensive lines except James Conner.
Speaker 1: So I might just go that way. But I don't
Speaker 1: think James Connor is ever gonna be a workhorse again.
Speaker 1: I think I think he's the guy who's just on
Speaker 1: a pitch count every week, and that that part worries
Speaker 1: me as well. Maybe on Belle at least you know
Speaker 1: he's gonna get the ball a lot. So maybe that's
Speaker 1: the angle. Uh. If you want to play at Guillotine
Speaker 1: leagues dot com, we encourage you to do so trail
Speaker 1: out that new format. Also get my cheat sheet for
Speaker 1: free at Guillotine a leagues dot com called Charchy and
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison, Brian Johnson. Thank you guys, a great job.
Speaker 1: Thank you for listening. We'll be back next week for
Speaker 1: more Fantasy Football Weekly. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production
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