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Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.

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Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,

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Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and

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Speaker 1: advice now dot Com. Here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Football Weekly. I am Paul Giarchie and my co host

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Speaker 1: is Brian Johnson. Today we will be joined a little

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Speaker 1: later by Matt Harrison. We begin, as we do with

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Speaker 1: most of our preseason shows, with some news from around

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Speaker 1: the league. Training camp is getting started now. This year,

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Speaker 1: not only do we not have the preseason games, but

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Speaker 1: we also have very little, if any media access to

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Speaker 1: the training camps, so we don't have a lot of

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Speaker 1: eyes on players. It's really we're really gonna be working

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Speaker 1: with a lot less information than we've had before. But

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Speaker 1: that's not to say there isn't some news from around

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Speaker 1: the league, and UM and Brian, I want to just

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Speaker 1: bounce back and forth between some of the teams that

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Speaker 1: we we know we want to talk about, and let's

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Speaker 1: begin with the Oakland Raiders. What have you got? Derek

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Speaker 1: Carr wants respect? Do you want to give it to him?

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Speaker 1: Because I don't. I do. I think he's a bounced

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Speaker 1: I think he's a bounce back candidate with improvements and

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Speaker 1: the receivers and he's basically free. He's got about ten

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Speaker 1: wide receivers now to work done right, but he seems motivated.

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Speaker 1: He can throw the ball behind his back. I saw

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Speaker 1: a pretty impressive video, but no, not a ton coming

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Speaker 1: out of Oakland. Other than that, I've note Henry Ruggs

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Speaker 1: is going to play out of the slot, which I

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Speaker 1: think is not good news from a fantasy standpoint. He

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Speaker 1: only ran seventeen percent of his plays from the slot

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Speaker 1: last year, and Hunter Renfroe is still there and he's

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Speaker 1: a good slot receiver, and so I that to me,

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Speaker 1: this was news that i've that made me drop Ruggs

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Speaker 1: a good tages Mots in my preseason ranking. Move Waller

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Speaker 1: to the outside receivers spot right. They got, they got,

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Speaker 1: they got session. Well it paid off kind of. I

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Speaker 1: got more tight end ob session to talk about later. Ackers.

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Speaker 1: Devin Funch is opted out, leaving the number two receiver

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Speaker 1: jobs seemingly to Alan Lazard. The undrafted free agent got

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Speaker 1: pushed into action last year with injuries and ineptitude to

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Speaker 1: the rest of the team's receivers. Lazard started three games

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Speaker 1: last year. You may or may not remember, but was

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Speaker 1: mostly nondescript. He topped seventy yards one time last year,

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Speaker 1: but has the opportunity to start here. It's still in

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers led offense. So you know, theoretically the Packers

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Speaker 1: and Aaron Lazard will get better this year. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to the Buffalo Bills. Trade Davious White, cornerback almost opted out,

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Speaker 1: but he didn't. He did not, and that's only important

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Speaker 1: because now he's going to blank a wide receiver one

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Speaker 1: every week. If you don't know Trdavious White, you'll get

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Speaker 1: to know him when the season starts, because you do

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Speaker 1: not want your wide receiver going up against Trdavious White.

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Speaker 1: But he will play. Did not opt out. The Texans.

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Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien says that will Fuller is fully recovered from

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Speaker 1: his sports hernia surgery and quote looks as good as

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Speaker 1: he's ever looked. With DeAndre Hopkins out, Fuller might be

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Speaker 1: the biggest boom or bust wide receiver out there. He's

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Speaker 1: got great quarterbacking and if you told me he could

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Speaker 1: play sixteen games, Brian if if will Fuller play sixteen

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Speaker 1: games with DeShawn Watson is a quarterback how high could

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Speaker 1: he finish among receivers? Will Fuller play sixteen games? How

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Speaker 1: many monkeys are gonna fly out of my butt? But

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Speaker 1: if he does that, he's a top fifteen wide recepeci

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Speaker 1: exactly what I was thinking, Top fifteen widely. Biggest boom

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Speaker 1: and bus receiver out there I believe is Will Fuller.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the Cleveland Browns. The only news I got.

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Speaker 1: I guess it's kind of big news. No starters as

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Speaker 1: far as I know, but four offensive linemen opted out.

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Speaker 1: That's not good. Three guards in the tackle, so we'll see.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully don't have any injuries up front, so they're gonna

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Speaker 1: be in trouble. The Colts offensive coordinators Nick Sirianni said

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Speaker 1: that the passing offense runs through t Y Hilton. He said, quote,

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Speaker 1: I expect to see a twenty eighteen version of t

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Speaker 1: Y Hilton if he stays healthy. There's no doubt that's

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Speaker 1: what we will see. He's still the main piece of

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Speaker 1: this offense. Those are strong words about t Y Hilton,

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Speaker 1: guy nobody's interested in right now because he's coming up

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Speaker 1: that bad year last year with Jakobe ber said and

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Speaker 1: the injuries and everything way under the radar, I think,

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Speaker 1: and going far too low. He's my number wide receive,

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Speaker 1: my wide receiver number twenty. Yeah, I choose for that

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Speaker 1: ceiling any day he's healthy. I like it too, And

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Speaker 1: and the best quarterbacking he will have had since Andrew Luck. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: let's go to the New York Jets lost their two

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Speaker 1: best defensive players in Jamal Adams safety via trade and C. J.

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Speaker 1: Mosley opted out. So that doesn't means for fantasy purposes,

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Speaker 1: more point chasing garbage time for that Jets offense. It's

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Speaker 1: get a lot of Sam Donald garbage time. And there's

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Speaker 1: some some some steam around Levian Bills. He's motivated in shape,

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Speaker 1: they say going around RB eighteen could be value there,

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Speaker 1: but could be a bust. Well we shall see now

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Speaker 1: who I don't have a strong stance on Levian Bill.

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Speaker 1: I have stopped paying any attention to the preseason quote

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Speaker 1: in the best shape life stuff right, That stuff never

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Speaker 1: seems to really pan out. The Chiefs, as you already know,

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Speaker 1: lost Damien Williams to opt out. But did you catch

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Speaker 1: this little bit? They're starting right guard Lauren DuVernay. Tardiff

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Speaker 1: opted out as well. He's a doctor, that's right. He is.

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Speaker 1: You may know him as doctor duven A Tardiff. He

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Speaker 1: spent the offseason working in a long term care facility

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Speaker 1: in Montreal. He's a Canadian. The teams signed journeyman Collectio Smile,

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Speaker 1: who's going to start at right guard. Presumable likely started

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Speaker 1: right guard in his place, but assembly is on his

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Speaker 1: fourth team overall, in his third team in three years,

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Speaker 1: and has been a total bus since his gigantic free

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Speaker 1: agent signing with with the Raiders about four or five

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Speaker 1: years ago. So of note, they're a bit of a

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Speaker 1: probable downgrade to that offensive line without him. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to the Denver Broncos. Uh, nothing really out of Denver.

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Speaker 1: Just a trendy team with a lot of new toys

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Speaker 1: that people are excited to see. Okay, let's go to

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Speaker 1: the Rams. And we touched on this a little bit

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Speaker 1: last week, but just want to reiterate this. Sean McVeigh

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Speaker 1: says that they're going to use a running back by

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Speaker 1: committee modeled after San Francisco's hot hand approach that they

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Speaker 1: used last year. Um the quote. The quote from McVeigh

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Speaker 1: is will go with the hot hand or whoever really

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Speaker 1: expresses himself as deserving the carries. We've got four backs

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Speaker 1: that we feel are all NFL legitimate starting caliber backs,

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Speaker 1: and we're not feeling like you've got a force carries

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Speaker 1: or touches to any of the four. That's horrible news

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Speaker 1: for fantasy owners and enough to to make me feel

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Speaker 1: like I'm just not gonna dabble in any of the

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Speaker 1: rams back. I am somewhat changes away from that situation.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the Dolphins. Um doesn't affect Vante Parker

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Speaker 1: or Preston Williams, but Alan Hearns and Albert Wilson have

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Speaker 1: opted out, and that does targets well, it opens up

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Speaker 1: We're talking to them and like a sicky and someone

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Speaker 1: named Isaiah Ford. He might may have not heard that name,

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Speaker 1: but might talk about him a little later in the show.

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Speaker 1: We'll look forward to that. The Vikings. Dalvin Cook did

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Speaker 1: report he had threatened to hold hold out, but he

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Speaker 1: is there. Running backs have no leverage in this NFL.

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Speaker 1: And Justin Jefferson went on and off the COVID list,

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Speaker 1: but he is back. Let's go to the Patriots. Uh. Patriots,

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Speaker 1: Cam Newton posed for a picture with his wide receivers.

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Speaker 1: They were all dressed kind of crazy, especially Julian Edelman.

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Speaker 1: One stood out, and that's because he was taller than

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Speaker 1: Cam Newton's shoulder level, and that is in kill. Harry

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Speaker 1: another guy we're gonna talk about more, but no. Newton

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Speaker 1: and his receivers are Jellen. But I'm excited about Harry.

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Speaker 1: Will get to him a little bit. In Pittsburgh, the Steelers,

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Speaker 1: Ben Roethlisberger says that his elbow feels good and that

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Speaker 1: he'll be on a pitch count during training camp. But

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Speaker 1: good news to see him throwing, feeling good and not

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Speaker 1: having any remaining problems from the elbow, although none were expected.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to the Titans. Uh, nothing for Tennessee other

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Speaker 1: than the first training camp without Delaney Walker in a

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Speaker 1: long time. That just means it's John new Smith season,

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Speaker 1: right Church, Don't don't steal my thunder for later. Okay,

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Speaker 1: thank you, Let's go to the years. The wide receiver

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Speaker 1: situation very model was Deebo Samuel out for training camp

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Speaker 1: and likely into the season. Travis Benjamin then opted out

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Speaker 1: for the season. First round pick Brandon Ayuk almost certainly starts,

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Speaker 1: with either Jalen Hrder Kendrick Bourne as the other options

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Speaker 1: to start for the forty Niners. Let's go to the Bengals. Brian,

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Speaker 1: I know we just said let's not read too much

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Speaker 1: into the he looks great tweets and videos. But A J.

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Speaker 1: Green looks great right now with him in burrow and

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Speaker 1: right round wide receiver twenty eight going off the board. Uh,

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Speaker 1: that's a little too low. He is a league winner

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Speaker 1: if he stays safe, and I'm hoping for that. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: he's another really boom or bust guy that could end

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Speaker 1: up being a winner for Bill the Core with t

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Speaker 1: Y Hilton, A J. Green. Here we go. I like that.

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Speaker 1: And they're all cheap. If you sloft wide receiver, this

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Speaker 1: might be the angle, all right. The Ravens Marquis Brown

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Speaker 1: gained twenty three pounds in the off season and is

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Speaker 1: now playing at one pounds. I don't like this news.

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Speaker 1: I don't. I don't want my my small, speedy receiver

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Speaker 1: to get way down by twenty three pounds. A muscle,

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Speaker 1: even if it's a muscle, it's still muscle. You gotta

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Speaker 1: over ound. I don't like it. Speed guys don't need

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Speaker 1: the bulk eye to me. I find that worrisome. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to the Jaguars. Uh, their paper thin defense just

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Speaker 1: lost three more players too opting out, So more garbage

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Speaker 1: time coming for the Jacksonville Jaguars, but going to be

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Speaker 1: a very fantasy friendly team. As we've discussed many times

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Speaker 1: on this show. Yes, it's shockingly fantasy friends one. We

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Speaker 1: believe Washington and the defense really primed to be the

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Speaker 1: worst defense in the NFL. In the past, you you

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Speaker 1: would fade Jacksonville games because you're afraid of the defense

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Speaker 1: of the offense. Now it's the complete opposite. It's it's

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Speaker 1: it's open season in Washington. One of the great stories

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Speaker 1: of the offseason. Alex Smith cleared to play. He is

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Speaker 1: practicing and reportedly impressing many in the Washington camp. That's

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Speaker 1: you know, you could only hope that this has almost

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Speaker 1: a miracle finish and ending to it where Alex Smith

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Speaker 1: is back starting again for the Washington football team would

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Speaker 1: be fantastic news. Your final team is the Chargers. Brian

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Speaker 1: Chargers were one of three teams did not have any

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Speaker 1: players opt out, and I think that's because as they're

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Speaker 1: on hard knocks and they want some camera time. But

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Speaker 1: but of course are not a new quarterback and Tyrod

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Speaker 1: Taylor will probably be unseated by rookie Justin Herbert. So

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Speaker 1: that's about different. Alright. Last item of preseason news here,

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks put where Shot Penny on the pup list.

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Speaker 1: He's recovering from a c L surgery, and it looks

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Speaker 1: like this is he's not going to be a factor

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Speaker 1: anytime soon. I don't believe that he has any chance

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Speaker 1: of performing, barring injuries to Carlos Hyde Chris Carson and

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Speaker 1: him returning maybe a mid season. I don't think he

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Speaker 1: belongs to being drafted it all at this point. So

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Speaker 1: Shot Penny not really on our radar. All Right, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna take a break. When we come back, we will

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Speaker 1: be joined by other co host Matt Harrison, and we

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Speaker 1: will talk about our Bold Prediction section we like to

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Speaker 1: call the pea Cock Off. In the pea cock Off,

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Speaker 1: we are going to give you some bold predictions that

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Speaker 1: you can peacock about. When they come right, you can

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Speaker 1: pretend they're your own. I was gonna do the peacock sound,

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Speaker 1: but Matt is way better. We'll we'll bring in the

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Speaker 1: We'll bring in the official Peacock of Actually, hold on, wait,

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Speaker 1: here's it's been a while. Official Peacock Fantasy Football Weekly

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Speaker 1: girl back in moments. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly with you.

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Speaker 1: We are getting into the preseason training camps. Finally here

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Speaker 1: my co host of Brian Johnson and Matt Harrison joining us. Now, guys,

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Speaker 1: there's a segment we call the peacock Off. We do

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Speaker 1: it every year where we make two bold predictions. We

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Speaker 1: peacock If we get them, we forget they ever happened.

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Speaker 1: Nicely done, I know I'm doing. Um, we forget it

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Speaker 1: ever happened if it doesn't. But we encourage you to

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Speaker 1: just steal our our peacock offs for yourself and that

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Speaker 1: way you can do your own peacocking when they come. Now,

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Speaker 1: the premise of this is he's got to be bold predictions.

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Speaker 1: I don't want any Wramsey Pamsy. I want things that

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Speaker 1: everybody's gonna go, what are you even talking about? You're crazy?

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Speaker 1: So that's the Yeah, we don't know. We do not

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Speaker 1: Wramsey nor do we Pamsy on this show. Uh, Matt

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Speaker 1: will begin with you your first of two peacock offs.

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Speaker 1: Austin Ekeler finishes as the top running back in the league,

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Speaker 1: not two, not three, number one. He is ripped. Guy,

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Speaker 1: Is it just because of the photos that went around

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Speaker 1: social media of him with him shirtless, YEP. I just

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Speaker 1: looked at that and I was like, that's the guy

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Speaker 1: right there. Well, you want to make more of a

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Speaker 1: case or is that enough? Sure? Two thousand, seven hundred

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Speaker 1: seventy four yards. That's how many rushing and receiving yards

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Speaker 1: were totalled by the Chargers backfield last season. That was

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Speaker 1: a top five yardage total as a group. Twenty two

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Speaker 1: total touchdowns. That's how many times Chargers running backs reached

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Speaker 1: the end zone last year, second best in the league.

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Speaker 1: The Chargers led the league in running back receptions with

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Speaker 1: a hundred and forty eight and led the league in

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Speaker 1: receiving yards with hundred fifty seven. And we talked about

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Speaker 1: vacated targets for wide receivers. How about just vacated touches

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Speaker 1: for running backs. Because Melvin Gordon leaves vacating two hundred

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Speaker 1: four running back touches, which is with about seventeen per game.

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Speaker 1: Austin Ekeler average twenty touches per game without Gordon last year.

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Speaker 1: He can't go up a lot from that. Well, he

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Speaker 1: averaged twenty without Gordon, he averaged twelve with Gordon, So

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Speaker 1: it went down, So let's take that. Twelve will give

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Speaker 1: him half of Gordon seventeen. That gives him about back

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Speaker 1: to twenty. So there's only ten backs in the league

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Speaker 1: that did that last year, twenty touches per game. What's more,

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Speaker 1: Eckler lad all qualified running backs in yards per touch

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Speaker 1: at six point nine. He had seven yards every time

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Speaker 1: he touched the ball. Christian McCaffrey had five point nine.

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Speaker 1: So let's just give him a McCaffrey like workload. McCaffrey

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Speaker 1: had four hundred three touches last year. We're gonna just

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Speaker 1: give Eckler three fifty. It's about it's about twenty a game.

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Speaker 1: It's about a hundred more than he had last year.

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Speaker 1: If you use that, if you use his pace from

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Speaker 1: last year, Eckler would total two thousand, four hundred fifteen

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Speaker 1: total yards this year and seventeen touchdowns last year. Christian

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Speaker 1: McCaffrey two total yards and nineteen touchdowns. He's right there.

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Speaker 1: He's right there, and they got a journeyman backup quarterback

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Speaker 1: and a rookie likely splitting time under center. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: go safe. They're going to dump it to Austin Ekeler

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Speaker 1: all the time. I like it that you you know what,

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Speaker 1: You've kind of convinced me that was That's very very

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Speaker 1: well done, Brian, your first of two pea cock offs.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying, and kill Harry, second year wide receiver for

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Speaker 1: the New England Patriots, outscores every key wide receiver this year.

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Speaker 1: Is this because of a COVID angle? You just think

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Speaker 1: a little bit of both. Let's just talk about Harry,

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Speaker 1: the thirty second overall pick in last year's draft, right

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Speaker 1: now going off the board as wide receiver fifty six

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Speaker 1: in the mid twelfth round. Rookie wide receivers going ahead

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Speaker 1: of Harry, r Ceedee Lamb, Henry Ruggs, Jerry Judy, Justin Jefferson,

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Speaker 1: and Jalen Reagor. But like I said, Harry will outscore

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Speaker 1: them all. Why here's why last season was lost to injury.

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Speaker 1: Only twenty three targets for Harry, who people are calling

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Speaker 1: washed up and old. He turns twenty three in December.

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Speaker 1: Nobody's calling you. Who's calling He's getting a lot of hate,

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Speaker 1: get a lot of hate. Wow, that is true. But

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Speaker 1: nobody's called him washed at not well, He's been called

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Speaker 1: a bust by some people. I'm not gonna say who.

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Speaker 1: But anyway, six three to forty could have played basketball

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Speaker 1: at Arizona State if you really wanted to. He will

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Speaker 1: be the prime target for Cam Newton in the end zone.

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Speaker 1: I don't know who else they're going to throw too.

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Speaker 1: It's not to be Julian Edelman. It's not gonna be

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Speaker 1: Mohammed Sanu. It's not gonna be demere Bird, Jakobe Myers

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Speaker 1: or Gunner old Zouski. All those guys are they when

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Speaker 1: are talking to Cam, they're talking to him pronounced that right?

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Speaker 1: And kill Harry looks at Cam Newton in the eyes.

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Speaker 1: He's a man tight end. Matt Lacosse unlike Julian Edelman,

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Speaker 1: I'm like Julian Edman. No, yeah, I'm not gonna go

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Speaker 1: They suddenly androgynus Julian Edelman. Matt Lacosse has opted out

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Speaker 1: starting tight end. That leaves two tight ends, two rookie

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Speaker 1: tight ends for the Patriots, and uh, I forget their names,

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Speaker 1: Oh Devin and Dalton Keene. And look at the red

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Speaker 1: zone competition for the rookies. I'm yeah, there really isn't much.

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Speaker 1: Isn't much? Ceedee, Lamb's got Cooper Gallup Blake Jarrowin Jerry

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Speaker 1: Judy's he's got Courtland Sutton, Noah Fant. There's nothing there

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Speaker 1: for in kill Harry and he he is a baller.

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Speaker 1: And if Cam Newton can make Kelvin Benjamin fantasy relevant

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Speaker 1: briefly three years and he said he was the best

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Speaker 1: wide receiver. I remember that for all three weeks at

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Speaker 1: the beginning of that season he was so Look, there's

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Speaker 1: not a lot of tape. I'm just telling you and

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Speaker 1: kill Harry. I don't have enough shares of n Kill Harry,

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Speaker 1: go get him over any rookie White. Sounds like for

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Speaker 1: those of you not in studio, fingers were pointed in

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Speaker 1: this segment, I'm getting you gotta do a peacock off.

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Speaker 1: All right, I'm done. I was loving the pointing fingers.

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Speaker 1: I love you guys, my peacock offs. Currently wide receiver

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Speaker 1: eleven Judu Smith Schuster will finish third on his own

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Speaker 1: team in Fantasy points among Steelers wide receivers. So doing

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Speaker 1: the big fade on Juju. The last time Juju was great,

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Speaker 1: Antonio Brown was on the field with him. Juju Smith third, Nope, no,

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Speaker 1: almost almost keep working. You got you've got about I've

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Speaker 1: got about sixty seconds and notes here, you've got sixty seconds,

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Speaker 1: come up with something about it. Juju was wide receiver

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Speaker 1: sixty five last year, and everybody's very fast to just

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Speaker 1: blame it on his quarterbacking. But he was the third

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Speaker 1: receiver in his own team in Fantasy point production last year,

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Speaker 1: Juju Smith sho, I think, but really, is it just

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Speaker 1: that simple that Mason Rudolph and Duck Hodges? Wait? Wait,

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Speaker 1: how about Juju Smith shoes? Is it really that simple

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Speaker 1: that Rudolph and Hodges are just that bad? Because Deanti

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Speaker 1: Johnson seemed to do okay, even James Washington outscored him.

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Speaker 1: So I feel like that people are too fasciges dismiss it. Now,

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Speaker 1: Jude is a free agent next year. And if he

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Speaker 1: was in the team's plans and they felt like we're

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Speaker 1: bringing him back, do they put the first pick in

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Speaker 1: the Steelers draft at his position? Chase Claypool. No, they

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Speaker 1: wouldn't do it if they thought Juju was great. They

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Speaker 1: know that we're gonna do whatever it takes to keep him,

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Speaker 1: and they wouldn't feel like they needed the receiver depth.

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Speaker 1: And speaking of muscle, that you don't like the speedy

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Speaker 1: guys adding he both up big time too in the

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Speaker 1: off season. UM, I think there's a very real scenario

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Speaker 1: where Smith Schuster slumps to the fourth priority in this

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Speaker 1: passing game behind Johnson, Washington, Claypool, maybe even Eric Ebron's

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Speaker 1: in there, and this team starts looking forward. And let's

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Speaker 1: remember Steelers have a long history of letting product, good

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Speaker 1: productive receivers walk. They don't mind doing it, and they'll

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Speaker 1: keep bringing up new guys Judy Smith Schuster. We'll finish

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Speaker 1: third or worse scoring among the Steelers wide receivers. Matt

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Speaker 1: your second peacock off. Uh, the ancient Tom Brady at

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Speaker 1: age fifty two, finishes as the top three quarterback this year.

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Speaker 1: Here's why. Last season, Jamis Winston had a great statistical

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Speaker 1: year except for one category interceptions. He threw thirty picks

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Speaker 1: in Tampa. So how long did it take Tom Brady

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Speaker 1: to throw thirty picks? Well, you got to add his

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Speaker 1: two thousand nineteen season, his two thousand eighteen season, his

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Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen season, his two thousand sixteen season, and

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Speaker 1: the last interception he threw in twenty fifteen to equal

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Speaker 1: thirty interceptions for Tom Brady. Now you might think, sure,

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Speaker 1: he's like seventy one years old, That is what I

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Speaker 1: was just thinking. But he's topped four thousand yards and

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Speaker 1: eight of his last nine seasons, and he's never ever

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Speaker 1: had weapons like this. Moss and Welker that was good

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Speaker 1: in two thousand seven, but Mike Evans and Chris Godwin

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Speaker 1: are better than the combination of Moss and Welker. And

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Speaker 1: he's got rob Gronkowski, who he did not have in

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Speaker 1: two thousand seven. Yeah, Kowski was just Robbie gronkows little

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Speaker 1: Robbie Gronkowski. He's also got O. J. Howard and my

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Speaker 1: guy Cameron Bread that's significantly better than Ben Watson and

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Speaker 1: Kyle Brady from two thousand seven. And I don't even

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Speaker 1: say that the questionable running backs of a good shot

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Speaker 1: of beating out Kevin Falk. So Brady's only danger here

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Speaker 1: is that his arm gets a little too tired. Because

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Speaker 1: Bruce Arians throws over six hundred past attempts for Winston

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Speaker 1: last year, five seven passing attempts for Arians offense in

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Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen, with Carson Palmer, Drew Stanton and Blame

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Speaker 1: Gabbert over six hundred passing attempts in sixteen. You get it.

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Speaker 1: He likes to throw. And you think, oh, Brady can't

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Speaker 1: throw that much. He's four years old. He threw six

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Speaker 1: d thirteen times last year. So this is gonna be

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Speaker 1: an offense that throws all the time. He's got the

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Speaker 1: best weapons he's ever seen. There's a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a revenge narrative here too. I can do it without Belichick.

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Speaker 1: Tom Brady's gonna put up some huge numbers this year.

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Speaker 1: All right, Brian, your second of two pea cock offs.

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Speaker 1: Now I'm banging this drum for months. But now that

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Speaker 1: we're back to the long format, more people need to

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Speaker 1: hear that Dan Arnold will be a top twelve tight

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Speaker 1: end of this season. And that is Dan Arnold of

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Speaker 1: the St. St. Louis Arizona Cardinals. Those are the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: He could the star field for St. Louis, the St.

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Speaker 1: Louis Cardinals too, if you really wanted to. Dan is

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Speaker 1: that much of the man. But Dan Arnold undrafted in

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Speaker 1: seventeen by the New Orleans Saints as a wide receiver

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Speaker 1: six six pounds, very similar to Darren Waller, a guy

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Speaker 1: who I was touting last summer. That turned out all right,

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Speaker 1: you know what I'm gonna throw a cherry on top.

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Speaker 1: Dan Arnold outscores Darren Waller this year as well while

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Speaker 1: finishing inside the top twelve. That's a little bit. He's uh,

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Speaker 1: he's been a project, but his time is now. He

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Speaker 1: did not see real game action until the last four

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Speaker 1: games of for Arizona. Saw thirteen targets in those four games,

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Speaker 1: turn those thirteen targets into eight catches for a hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty seven yards and two touchdowns. I mean that

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Speaker 1: is impressive production on that small usage of that small

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Speaker 1: sample size that is going to grow incredulously this season.

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Speaker 1: Arizona is already saying he's a breakout candidate. Great chemistry

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Speaker 1: with um Kyle Kyler Murray six, six to twenty, unstoppable

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Speaker 1: in the red zone. I've just go back to all

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Speaker 1: the past shows dan Arnold drafted with your last pick.

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Speaker 1: You will not be disappointed. Um. You know what I

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Speaker 1: like about that is that you are looking forward. And

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Speaker 1: this is a season when with no preseason games, with

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Speaker 1: no media access to training camps, most people are just

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Speaker 1: going to keep replaying last year in their head, and

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Speaker 1: guys like Dan Arnold are eligible to emerge. And I'm

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Speaker 1: going to give you another tight end that's going to

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Speaker 1: emerge later in this show. But my second peacock off

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Speaker 1: involves Aaron Jones running back for the Green Bay Packers,

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00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,440
Speaker 1: who I think is a good player who will score

423
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,600
Speaker 1: half as many points as he did last year fantasy

424
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,440
Speaker 1: points as he did last year. Are you gonna be

425
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 1: so negative? Very negative? Both of these um a couple

426
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 1: of reasons. Number one, he house touchdowns from inside the

427
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:49,120
Speaker 1: five and an unsustainable rate last year, and he ended

428
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 1: up scoring eleven touchdowns from inside the five. That's Emmett

429
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 1: Smith in his prime, like production and normal mortal backs

430
00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 1: simply don't do that on any kind of a regular

431
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:06,000
Speaker 1: or recurring basis. So there's going to be a regression

432
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:11,439
Speaker 1: of the easy touchdowns for Aaron Jones, not just because

433
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:14,080
Speaker 1: guys don't do it back to back, but also because

434
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 1: A J. Dillon, a very large runner, surprising footwork, athleticism

435
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 1: wiggle who scored thirty nine rushing touchdowns at BC thirty nine.

436
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 1: He's going to house a bunch of those touchdowns that

437
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones feasted on last year. And then I'm just

438
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 1: gonna add a couple of things. Jamal Williams remains in

439
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 1: the mix. And I don't think he's a special talent

440
00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 1: at all, but he never has been and they kept

441
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:42,639
Speaker 1: using him. And on top of that, the green Bay

442
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:46,360
Speaker 1: offensive line worse without Brian Bulaga. I think that's potentially

443
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 1: a step backwards. With that offensive line, you're all that together,

444
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones is going to score half as many points

445
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:56,160
Speaker 1: as he did last year. There you go six pea

446
00:24:56,240 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 1: cock offs that you can claim as your own, and

447
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:03,199
Speaker 1: at the end of the season you'll be peacocking with us.

448
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:07,160
Speaker 1: It's one of our favorite preseason segments, the peacock Off.

449
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:12,479
Speaker 1: Do it one more time, Matt. That's that's cut. That's

450
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:17,160
Speaker 1: mid season peacock that's very That is very, very impressive.

451
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:21,199
Speaker 1: When we come back, we will talk through a draft

452
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:26,359
Speaker 1: strategy that you can employ this year that's kind of

453
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,679
Speaker 1: unique to this season. This isn't a strain. We'll get

454
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:31,880
Speaker 1: into it. There's a strange season which you can pull

455
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 1: off all kinds of crazy drafts, draft strategies that you

456
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,719
Speaker 1: can't in most seasons. Will tell you what that's all

457
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,159
Speaker 1: about when we come back, And as a reminder, if

458
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:46,119
Speaker 1: you want to try the freshest, coolest, most innovative advancement

459
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 1: in the they're the peacock. Sometime later I get that

460
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:57,200
Speaker 1: peacock button around um the If you want to try

461
00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 1: the freshest, most innovative, interesting format in fantasy football, go

462
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,240
Speaker 1: to Guillotine Legues dot com Guillotine Leagues dot com. Seventeen

463
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 1: teams start the season, the low scoring team each week

464
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:11,159
Speaker 1: gets dropped out and their entire roster goes the waiver wire,

465
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 1: where everybody else gets to feast on those players. It

466
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 1: is a blast and you can play it at Guillotine

467
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:21,560
Speaker 1: Leagues dot com. Paul, Matt, Brian back at you in

468
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: moments Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul char

469
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 1: Chi in Guillotee Leagues dot com. My cohort Brian Johnson

470
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 1: also Guillotine Leagues dot com. Matt Harrison helps us out

471
00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 1: at Guillotine leagues dot com, but also just started a

472
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,880
Speaker 1: brand new site called shock Fantasy. Yeah. I've been doing

473
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:04,000
Speaker 1: my cheat sheets online, just selling them one by one,

474
00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:06,439
Speaker 1: and people kept going, you know, can I just get

475
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:08,359
Speaker 1: a season passed so I don't have to buy them

476
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 1: each individually? And I said, you know what, sure you can,

477
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:15,399
Speaker 1: so season passes to the dynasty trade value charts. Some

478
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 1: best balled cheat sheets and all that stuff available at

479
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 1: shock Fantasy dot com. And I got a coupon code

480
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 1: for listeners. Okay, f f W get to you your

481
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:32,119
Speaker 1: first years. What does f W stands for Fantasy Football Weekly? Hey,

482
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,919
Speaker 1: you're listening to that right now. This in this segment,

483
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 1: I want to talk about draft strategies that can work

484
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:39,480
Speaker 1: this year. And I want to start by saying this,

485
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 1: I've now been doing this professionally for twenty eight years.

486
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: I've never seen a draft that is as deep as

487
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 1: this one. You can pull off any strategy. Now. This

488
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:55,639
Speaker 1: is saying a lot coming for me because I've been

489
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:59,160
Speaker 1: do the opposite guy for years and years saying, hey,

490
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 1: take wide receivers and take don't take running backs early.

491
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:03,959
Speaker 1: You can wait on running backs. You can find them late.

492
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 1: The preferred strategy here go wide receivers and go tight

493
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 1: ends and and then start looking at running backs and

494
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:13,040
Speaker 1: quarterbacks later in the draft and not this year. You

495
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 1: can do anything this year because there are good, so

496
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 1: many good players that you can get later on. So

497
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 1: with that said, I have challenged my co host to

498
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:27,119
Speaker 1: come up with some unique drafting ideas that exploit the

499
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 1: fact you can pull off almost anything. This year, Brian,

500
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:33,920
Speaker 1: I would like to begin with you, what is the

501
00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 1: draft strategy that fascinates you this preseason? Well, I love

502
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,960
Speaker 1: stacking offenses. And if there's one offense you think of

503
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 1: first when it comes to stacking, it's the Chiefs, who

504
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 1: uh had the most significant opt out in the fantasy

505
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:51,840
Speaker 1: football world of Damien Williams opting out. Man, I think

506
00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:54,200
Speaker 1: that really mutters muddies the water on trying to stack

507
00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 1: the Chiefs because Williams was a corner stone to it,

508
00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 1: because he was so ridiculously and wrongly cheap. He was

509
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 1: going off the board in the eighth and ninth rounds

510
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 1: of drafts and he was incredible value. He's gone. Yeah,

511
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 1: there's been a very big butterfly effect from the Williams

512
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 1: opt out. Before he opted out, he was very feasible

513
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 1: to grab Travis Kelsey, Endoor Tyreek Hill in the first

514
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 1: and secure Mahomes in the second. When I say end Or,

515
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,040
Speaker 1: you could probably get Mahomes in the third even and

516
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 1: get Kelsey and Hill and that that's not a guarantee,

517
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,400
Speaker 1: and then you could get uh Clyde Edwards a layer

518
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:28,000
Speaker 1: in the fifth, and then you go get Damian Williams

519
00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 1: in the ninth, and then you can grab me cole

520
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 1: Hard in the eleventh, and you've got a five man

521
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 1: chief stack with all the key players. Now that is

522
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,240
Speaker 1: all changed now that Williams is opted out, because the

523
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 1: c h A. DP is now first round, first round,

524
00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:42,000
Speaker 1: it's it's mid first round. How am I going to

525
00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 1: execute this cheap stacks are talking about? So now now

526
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 1: now there's a road has uh what's the Robert Frost

527
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 1: poem to work in the road, something like that, there

528
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 1: are two three falls in the woods. Was the guy

529
00:29:56,120 --> 00:30:00,280
Speaker 1: who said it? First road, the road diverge in the woods,

530
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 1: whatever that is. But now that this is the road

531
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 1: less traveled, well, the Carmack McCarthy on the road again.

532
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:13,040
Speaker 1: Just can't wait, row ads, row ads. Where we're going.

533
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:15,480
Speaker 1: We don't need roam anyway. There are two paths now

534
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 1: to chief stacks now that Williams is opted out. The

535
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 1: first is, uh, if you're in the seven or three

536
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 1: to seven range in the first round, you can pull

537
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: off the balance chief stack. I'm gonna call it, and

538
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 1: it would go like this. He takes h in the

539
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 1: first in the middle of the middle of first. You

540
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 1: gotta take them homes in the second, because if you're

541
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:35,040
Speaker 1: stacking the Chiefs, you gotta have Homes. I think you

542
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 1: gotta have Home because you're not always right as to

543
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 1: which receiver it's gonna be, but you want to make

544
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: sure you've got the guy who's gonna throw all of

545
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,240
Speaker 1: those balls. Now, you're gonna miss out on Kelsey and Hill,

546
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 1: which in the past you're gonna grab. But we'll talk

547
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 1: more about that when we're not down the middle of

548
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 1: the rounds. And then, really, so you got Edwards Layer

549
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 1: in the first, Homes in the second, and you just

550
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 1: grab me Cole Hardman in the tenth, might as well

551
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 1: grab Sammy Watkins in the thirteenth for the hell of it.

552
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 1: And then you orsel should handcuff DeAndre Washington in the sixty.

553
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:05,680
Speaker 1: So that's your one path. That's the balanced attack. You're

554
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 1: not too heavy in the passing game. You really just

555
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 1: got Hardman, but you're still gonna get your share of

556
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 1: Kelsey and Hill through Mahomes right now. The second path

557
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 1: is uh the aerial attack, and you get this in

558
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 1: the late first round where you grab either Hill or Mahomes.

559
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,480
Speaker 1: You're not gonna get 'm sorry, Hill or Kelsey, You're

560
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 1: not gonna get both. You still gotta grab Mahomes in

561
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 1: the second round, and if you're gonna choose between Hill

562
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 1: and Kelsey, I go Kelsey. He's the safer option. You're

563
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 1: gonna get your portion of Hill and the pop off

564
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 1: weeks with Mahomes. But but it's so deep at tight

565
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,320
Speaker 1: end this year, which is something we never have the

566
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 1: luxury of saying. But the differentiator with Kelsey still is

567
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 1: so so vast. But uh, but then the rest really

568
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 1: plays out, you know, as did in the earlier stack.

569
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:53,240
Speaker 1: You're you're gonna you're gonna get Hardman in the tenth hopefully,

570
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 1: but you're you're not gonna have any part of the

571
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,200
Speaker 1: running game. But I would advise you grab DeAndre Washington

572
00:31:57,240 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 1: no matter what, no matter what league, really because he

573
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:02,760
Speaker 1: looks like a handcuff now, but he could still have

574
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 1: a significant role spite or not being a handcuff. So

575
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 1: long story short, the Chief stack not as ideal melt Will.

576
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 1: It's not as concentrated. You're not as concentrated on the Chiefs,

577
00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:15,680
Speaker 1: which is a good thing too, because you can go

578
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 1: belly up if you go too heavily on a stack.

579
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 1: But yeah, and the danger that we've talked about it.

580
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:23,200
Speaker 1: I think in for several episodes. Now is if COVID

581
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 1: sweeps through a locker room and it's the Chiefs, You've

582
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 1: got a huge problem on your hand. And I that's

583
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 1: that's there's a real scenario where much like the Marlins,

584
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 1: the league doesn't shut down, but they shut down a

585
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: locker room for three weeks. That could happen. And now

586
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: now you're in a pinch. And we'll talk about a

587
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 1: little more. In guillotine leagues, stacking any offense incredibly dangerous.

588
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:46,240
Speaker 1: We'll get to that in a little bit. All right, Well,

589
00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 1: I we'll hit that a little bit later. Let's let's

590
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 1: go to Matt. Your unique draft strategy that you believe

591
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 1: will work this year. This is it. Could we could

592
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,520
Speaker 1: give it two names. We could give it the block,

593
00:32:57,720 --> 00:32:59,719
Speaker 1: which I like to call it, where we could give

594
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: it undo the opposite, because as I've been like, undo

595
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 1: the opposite, But I don't know what you're gonna say.

596
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 1: So as I've been playing around with some best ball

597
00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 1: leagues and draft strategies and looking at them. Um, there's

598
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 1: a strategy of taking three running backs in the first

599
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:19,560
Speaker 1: three rounds then and and be disciplined with this take

600
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: three running backs in the first three rounds, no matter what,

601
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 1: no matter what. Then your next five rounds wide receiver.

602
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 1: So this is really the opposite. It is. This is

603
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,360
Speaker 1: the opposite of the opposite, and you're doing it in blocks.

604
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: So three running backs, then five wide receivers. Then you

605
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:37,880
Speaker 1: go back to the running back well and take two

606
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 1: more running backs. Okay, and your last two picks are

607
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 1: a quarterback in a tight end. Why would you do this? Yes?

608
00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 1: Why would I do that? Wide receiver is as deep

609
00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:49,640
Speaker 1: as it's ever been. It is. I agree with that statement,

610
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 1: but I think it stalls out a little bit at

611
00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 1: the end of round eight around nine, which is right

612
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,320
Speaker 1: in the area where you want to stop driving wide receiver.

613
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 1: Point all right, tight end and quarterback maybe deeper than

614
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 1: they've ever been, and there's value at the very last

615
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 1: pick in your draft. Talk about Dan Arnold and some

616
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 1: of the other guys that we're going to mention a

617
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 1: little bit. And running back has a bit of a

618
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 1: cliff after round three. There's a lot of good running

619
00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:19,360
Speaker 1: backs in rounds one through three, but after that it

620
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 1: becomes pretty sketchy and you have to, like, you know,

621
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 1: play with running backs that are you know, splitting back

622
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,799
Speaker 1: fields and and that kind of thing. So here's how

623
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: I've I've had a couple of scenarios that have played out,

624
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 1: and I want to see if you like these teams

625
00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:38,440
Speaker 1: that I've drafted using this block draft strategy. Well, let's

626
00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:40,439
Speaker 1: I want to go with undo the opposite or undo

627
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:43,480
Speaker 1: the opposite? All right? Um, let's say, dear Dale, you

628
00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:44,759
Speaker 1: go whatever you want, but I think I do the

629
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 1: opposite is pretty brilliant. Undo the apo. Alright, let's say

630
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 1: you're picking towards the middle of round one. You have

631
00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:56,560
Speaker 1: a team of Alvin Kamara, Miles Sanders, and Chris Carson.

632
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:58,839
Speaker 1: Those are your top three running back. I feel great

633
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 1: about that. Feel good about that. So I don't love

634
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,520
Speaker 1: my receivers yet. Well, your wide receivers are Calvin Ridley,

635
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:08,399
Speaker 1: Tyler Lockett, A J. Green, Jarvis Landry, and Ceedee Lamb.

636
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:10,400
Speaker 1: Can you go to war with those? I can? I can?

637
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:13,319
Speaker 1: I can go to war with that. Um, Now, let's

638
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,359
Speaker 1: get a couple more running backs. Can I have kill

639
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 1: Harry over Ceede Lamb? Sure, Okay, you don't have to

640
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:20,920
Speaker 1: take him that early. Philip Lindsay, But let's get Philip

641
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:24,360
Speaker 1: Lindsay and Zack Moss. Those are guys who are handcuffs

642
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,359
Speaker 1: not to my guys, but handcuffs to other guys who

643
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 1: could pan out to be really big contributors this year.

644
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 1: And finally we rounded out with Kirk Cousins and John

645
00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 1: hu Smith. At the end of our draft. You just

646
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 1: threw John Smith. That's okay, But that's a good team, right, Yeah,

647
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:42,279
Speaker 1: I could go to go to war with that team.

648
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's try Let's try it from a different

649
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 1: draft position. Let's say a number one pick in the draft.

650
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,359
Speaker 1: So I got Christian Christian McCaffrey. The end of round two,

651
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 1: according to a DP, you can get Austin Neckler. I

652
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 1: can still Gettin and I can come back, come back,

653
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 1: Leonard Fotah, I know that, I know you don't like.

654
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 1: I don't know. That wouldn't be my choice. Okay. As

655
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:03,960
Speaker 1: a third running back, you could you could go get

656
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 1: Chris Carson, or you could get Kenyan Drake. Is that

657
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 1: all right? So McCaffrey, Eckler, And for for sake of argument,

658
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 1: let's say it's for net in this one. Wide receivers Keenan, Allen, Courtland, Sutton,

659
00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 1: Terry McLaren, Michael Gallop, and Christian Kirk. And I didn't

660
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 1: go to war with those guys too. It feels good

661
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 1: come back with a couple more running backs Keyshawn Vaughan

662
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:30,279
Speaker 1: and Alex Madison, guys who have an opportunity. And then

663
00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 1: you get Hayden Hurst and Joe Burrow at the end,

664
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,600
Speaker 1: or Hayden Hurst and Drew Lock at the end. That's

665
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 1: you can go to war with those teams. You don't

666
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 1: need to draft a tight end or quarterback. Well, and

667
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 1: I've still got more pictures than you're talking about, So

668
00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:46,960
Speaker 1: I can go well round right, I can go Drew

669
00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:50,960
Speaker 1: Lock and Gardner Minshew and you know, um, I don't know,

670
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 1: pick another guy, Derek Carr. And you know, I know

671
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,000
Speaker 1: I could stack up. You know I can stack Tighten,

672
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:58,399
Speaker 1: I can stack tight late. You can get there's tons

673
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,040
Speaker 1: of guys late. There's Philip Rivers, all those guys late.

674
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:05,280
Speaker 1: So the key to this is wide receivers and rounds

675
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:09,239
Speaker 1: four through eight are much more attractive and available than

676
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 1: the running backs. And I'll give you a couple a

677
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:14,319
Speaker 1: couple of scenarios here. So in round four you get

678
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 1: the choice between wide receivers Allen Robinson, Odell Beckham, d

679
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 1: j Moore, DK Metcalf, Calvin Ridley, Keenan Allen, a Great,

680
00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor, James Conner, and Levy on Bell. Are you're

681
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 1: running back options. If you're doing the opposite, you want

682
00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:35,759
Speaker 1: to be taking wide receivers at this point in the draft.

683
00:37:35,840 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 1: But if you're doing the opposite, you have to kind

684
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 1: of start taking running backs there and they're not as attractive.

685
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 1: Let's give round five for another example. Tyler Lockett, Stefon Digs,

686
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:51,240
Speaker 1: Robert Woods, Courtland Sutton, DJ Chark, good receivers or Mark A. Graham,

687
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:57,279
Speaker 1: David Montgomery, Devin Singletary, Raheem Mostert. There's hey, but there's

688
00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,440
Speaker 1: question marks. So I like the opportunity of going three

689
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 1: running backs early and then go the big block of

690
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 1: wide receivers right in the middle. You know, I'll be honest,

691
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:08,600
Speaker 1: you've kind of sold me. And this is you know,

692
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 1: this from somebody that has really shied away from running.

693
00:38:12,520 --> 00:38:16,800
Speaker 1: Just just the receivers are just so deep, and I

694
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,440
Speaker 1: really do think that that can afford you the luxury

695
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:23,440
Speaker 1: of taking these three running backs early knowing in all

696
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 1: probability one of them is either going to be a

697
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 1: bust or going down with injury, hopefully not two of them.

698
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:30,320
Speaker 1: If you get two of them right three, I'm in

699
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 1: a good spot and that that could happen. Let's talk

700
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: about my draft strategy unique to this year, and this

701
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 1: is something people don't do nearly enough of. I don't

702
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:44,040
Speaker 1: believe trading down. I thought you were going to do

703
00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:46,719
Speaker 1: the opposite. Do the opposite. It's a new thing. I've

704
00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:51,040
Speaker 1: just thought of trading down in the early rounds. We're

705
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:53,840
Speaker 1: talking about how deep this draft is, right, So let

706
00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:56,240
Speaker 1: me ask you this. If you're you're at your draft,

707
00:38:56,280 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 1: it's either virtual on zoom or you're all in person,

708
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 1: you're massed up in the back yard or not masked

709
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: in the backyard. If you're massed up, if you're inside,

710
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 1: whatever your situation is, at your draft, and you look

711
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 1: at the other eleven people that you've got, your other team,

712
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:12,799
Speaker 1: the other team owners that are there, and you say,

713
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:16,600
Speaker 1: I will give my I will trade you my first

714
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:21,799
Speaker 1: round pick for your second and third. Okay, somebody out

715
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:24,120
Speaker 1: of that eleven is gonna take that deal, no matter

716
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:25,960
Speaker 1: where you are in the first almost, no matter where

717
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:28,360
Speaker 1: you are now. Obviously, if you're like pick one, you

718
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:29,880
Speaker 1: could even ask more. I think you could ask for

719
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 1: a second, a third, and a fourth, because somebody else

720
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:33,479
Speaker 1: is going to look at and go, I get Christian

721
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:35,960
Speaker 1: McCaffrey and another first and keep my first round pick.

722
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,359
Speaker 1: If your pick one, you can probably say I will

723
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:40,800
Speaker 1: trade you my first round pick for your first and

724
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:44,719
Speaker 1: second or what Yeah, it could be too um if

725
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:48,880
Speaker 1: you have Christian McCaffrey, absolutely so we'll trade our first

726
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:51,560
Speaker 1: rounder for a second and a third rounder. So now

727
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:54,480
Speaker 1: I've got two seconds and I've got two third rounders.

728
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 1: Right now, you sound like Rick Spielman, but we're not

729
00:39:57,200 --> 00:40:00,560
Speaker 1: done yet. This is very Rick Spielman. That's area. If

730
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 1: you come up with this really, then we're going to trade.

731
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:08,040
Speaker 1: Then I go back my I'm I'm on the clock

732
00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:10,359
Speaker 1: with that second round, my first of two second round picks.

733
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:12,759
Speaker 1: And I look at my eleven other owners and on

734
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:15,759
Speaker 1: the clock right now, is you know Nick Chubb is

735
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:19,200
Speaker 1: available maybe or Austin Ekeler or Josh Jacobs or Miles

736
00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:21,799
Speaker 1: Sanders is on the clock. He's available. And I look

737
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:24,279
Speaker 1: at these other owners and I go, all right, I'm

738
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:26,799
Speaker 1: gonna give you my second round pick for your third

739
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,600
Speaker 1: and fourth, and that person gets to keep their second.

740
00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 1: Somebody's gonna take that deal too, and I'm gonna do

741
00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:34,840
Speaker 1: it twice. I'm gonna do it with my first rounder

742
00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,120
Speaker 1: and the or my second rounder and the second rounder

743
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 1: that I got last time. So you're gonna have four

744
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:43,120
Speaker 1: third round picks and three fourth round picks. Now I've

745
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:47,360
Speaker 1: got seven picks in the third and fourth round. Seven.

746
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:51,280
Speaker 1: So let's look at the team we're gonna cobble together

747
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 1: with seven picks in the third and fourth round. First,

748
00:40:56,200 --> 00:41:00,120
Speaker 1: we're slough and quarterback Aldig seems like a good idea. Then,

749
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 1: you know, to your the points that you mentioned earlier,

750
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 1: I don't need to take. You know, Mahomes and Jackson

751
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:06,960
Speaker 1: are gonna be gone, and those the only guy the quarterbacks,

752
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,319
Speaker 1: who really make a difference in this year. So we're

753
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:11,920
Speaker 1: gonna slough that out of this altogether. Now at the

754
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 1: running back position, so here's my three, my my proposed

755
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:21,520
Speaker 1: four third round picks. Chris Carson, Levy On Bell, Kenny Golladay,

756
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 1: Mike Evans. Those are right there. I've got my starting

757
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 1: two running backs and starting two wide receivers work. In

758
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 1: the fourth round, I'm gonna add in a little Jonathan Taylor,

759
00:41:31,120 --> 00:41:33,920
Speaker 1: the rookie from Indianapolis. I'm gonna add an A J.

760
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:37,920
Speaker 1: Brown at wide receiver poised to potentially explode, and my

761
00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:41,879
Speaker 1: tight end could be Mark Andrews, and an old dash

762
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:43,839
Speaker 1: of of Mark Andrews, who I love, is my number

763
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:45,480
Speaker 1: three tight end. You can get him in the fourth round.

764
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:51,200
Speaker 1: Just reading like a recipe to mettle half cup of

765
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:55,640
Speaker 1: a little sprinkle of Jeremy Sprinkle. That's all. That's all

766
00:41:55,680 --> 00:41:57,480
Speaker 1: the more you would want I think of Jeremy Sprinkle.

767
00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:00,960
Speaker 1: So again, here's i'd be looking at setting the lineup

768
00:42:01,000 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 1: with Chris Carson, laby On Bell, Jonathan Taylor as my

769
00:42:04,160 --> 00:42:05,719
Speaker 1: running backs. I gotta start two out of those three.

770
00:42:05,760 --> 00:42:08,200
Speaker 1: Maybe I flex some one in my receiver's Kenny Golladay,

771
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:11,320
Speaker 1: Mike Evans, a J. Brown start all three. If I

772
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,759
Speaker 1: need to start all three. That's a good team that

773
00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:15,560
Speaker 1: I'm taking right out of the third and fourth round.

774
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:17,360
Speaker 1: And by the way, my draft is not done. I

775
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:18,800
Speaker 1: still well, you know still that the rest of my

776
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:21,319
Speaker 1: picks I could go to war. All I'm doing, all

777
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 1: I'm short right now is a quarterback away from having

778
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:28,720
Speaker 1: a killer deep lineup comprise entirely of third and fourth rounders,

779
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:30,680
Speaker 1: and you can get weird and take a quarterback in

780
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:33,680
Speaker 1: the fifth then have have your choice of anybody not

781
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 1: Mahomes or Jackson, get to Shaun Watson and the fifth

782
00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 1: or Dak Prescott in the fifth round, and I get

783
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:41,320
Speaker 1: like the top five quarterback if I want to. It

784
00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:45,520
Speaker 1: opens up a lot of possibilities with this trade down scenario.

785
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,520
Speaker 1: So that's another That is another option. I think that

786
00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:53,120
Speaker 1: among draft strategies that could end up working. And this

787
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:56,000
Speaker 1: the deepest draft that we've that we've ever seen. A

788
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 1: lot of the reasons I think this is such a

789
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 1: deep draft, guys, is the tight ends? Now? For years

790
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:03,880
Speaker 1: we've been like, well, all right, if you know, if

791
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:05,000
Speaker 1: you want to have a shirt thing tight end, you

792
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:08,000
Speaker 1: gotta take one of three guys. You gotta get Kelsey,

793
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 1: or you gotta get Gronk, or you gotta get zach Ertz.

794
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:13,880
Speaker 1: You're dead. People were clamoring to remove tight end. As

795
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:17,960
Speaker 1: a manager, of course, laughed in the face all of

796
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:21,359
Speaker 1: those not deserved. Did you point at them too? Of course?

797
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:24,960
Speaker 1: Right now? You know, Rob Gronkowski, who could be sitting

798
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:30,000
Speaker 1: on a fourteen touchdown season, is my tight end number seven.

799
00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:34,120
Speaker 1: You know, there's so many good tight ends. Now if

800
00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:37,600
Speaker 1: you decide to sleft that position. Now you're looking at

801
00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:41,400
Speaker 1: a Darren Waller, a Tyler Higbee, a Mike Gasecki um

802
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:47,080
Speaker 1: among a variety of other guys. Dan Arnold, Dan Arnold.

803
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,320
Speaker 1: You know these are all guys that you can reasonably

804
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 1: go to war with. And I think the depth and

805
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:58,439
Speaker 1: tight end really does enable a lot of the flexibility

806
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:01,440
Speaker 1: that comes with this year's draft, as when we come

807
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:05,160
Speaker 1: back three tough questions for a panel of experts, you

808
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:06,680
Speaker 1: get to play along see if you can go three

809
00:44:06,719 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 1: and O. And if you're looking for my cheat sheets

810
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:12,000
Speaker 1: you can get them for free at gailloteen leagues dot com.

811
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:15,320
Speaker 1: A lot of the all my player rankings updated almost

812
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 1: daily as there is new news guilloteen leagues dot com.

813
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 1: Look for my cheat sheets there as well. We'll be

814
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 1: back and more. Fantasy Football Weekly coming up next. Welcome back.

815
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,839
Speaker 1: Kantacy Football Weekly America is the longest running fantasy show.

816
00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:47,680
Speaker 1: We are here to help you dominate your league. It

817
00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:50,920
Speaker 1: starts the preseason with your auction or your draft, and

818
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:53,319
Speaker 1: it's a quick note. We tend to frame things up

819
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:56,600
Speaker 1: in the form of drafts here, but we love auctioning.

820
00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:01,759
Speaker 1: Huge supporters of the auction format, and we just count

821
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 1: on you to sort of convert draft talk to auction

822
00:45:04,800 --> 00:45:07,760
Speaker 1: talk in your head. It's really hard to talk auctions.

823
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:10,600
Speaker 1: It is, you know, one of the chance one of

824
00:45:10,640 --> 00:45:13,279
Speaker 1: the challenges of auctioning is I don't know even know

825
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 1: when a player is going to come up, right, So

826
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:17,759
Speaker 1: you know, it may turn out that you know a

827
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,759
Speaker 1: player that we are really interested in. Austin Ekeler, if

828
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:22,840
Speaker 1: he's the first player thrown out, he's gonna go for

829
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 1: one amount. If he's the if he gets thrown out

830
00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:27,799
Speaker 1: in the middle of your of your auction, he's gonna

831
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 1: go for half as much money. It's just, you know,

832
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:33,839
Speaker 1: it's it's really really hard to talk about definitive put

833
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:37,560
Speaker 1: definitive numbers on auctions when you don't know when the

834
00:45:37,600 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 1: player is going to come out. You do enough drafts,

835
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:42,880
Speaker 1: you're gonna get the same players if you're in the

836
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:46,560
Speaker 1: same draft spot. But every auction is different. But everything

837
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 1: he could go for half as much money, or he

838
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,759
Speaker 1: could go for twice as much money because he's the

839
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:54,040
Speaker 1: last of the last of a tire that happens in auction.

840
00:45:54,080 --> 00:45:56,759
Speaker 1: Absolutely a great point. If Austin Ekeler is the last

841
00:45:56,800 --> 00:46:00,839
Speaker 1: of the good running backs perceived running back, Oh dude,

842
00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:03,839
Speaker 1: the price will go through the roof. Yeah, I've seen

843
00:46:03,840 --> 00:46:05,919
Speaker 1: it happen so many times. It's a it's a great

844
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:09,839
Speaker 1: point where running back one. You know, somebody will throw

845
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:11,720
Speaker 1: out the top rated running back this year, Christian McAffrey.

846
00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:14,080
Speaker 1: Somebody's gonna throw christ McAffrey early to siphon off a

847
00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:15,920
Speaker 1: bunch of money. And it's a totally valid strategy. And

848
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 1: mc christian McCaffrey goes for thirty seven. Then later the

849
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:23,839
Speaker 1: last of the good running backs, Austin Ekeler comes out.

850
00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:27,160
Speaker 1: He goes for thirty nine because the scarcity, the position

851
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:30,919
Speaker 1: scarcity hits because he's the last of the good perceived good. Yeah,

852
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:33,040
Speaker 1: absolutely happens. And then you can have you have your

853
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:34,880
Speaker 1: running backs, and you're just sitting there bumping up the

854
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:38,319
Speaker 1: price for fun and watching other people scrambling to get

855
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:40,920
Speaker 1: the running back auction, or you're you have the discipline

856
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:43,640
Speaker 1: to sloft the running back position and you can be

857
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:46,000
Speaker 1: you can be bidding up with with no intention of

858
00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:48,360
Speaker 1: having that highest bid. That's part of the beauty of

859
00:46:48,360 --> 00:46:51,279
Speaker 1: the auction. And we love the auction here. Let's get

860
00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:54,879
Speaker 1: to our three tough questions, which traditionally begins with tough

861
00:46:55,040 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 1: question Number one. Tampa Bay head coach Bruce Arian says

862
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:03,080
Speaker 1: Ronald Owns will be his lead back, but he repeatedly

863
00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 1: talked up Jones last preseason two and it amounted to

864
00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:13,880
Speaker 1: very little. Should fantasy owners trust Bruce Arians this time around? Bryan,

865
00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:18,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna trust him. The first half of the season

866
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:21,320
Speaker 1: was an absolute disaster for Tampa Bay. The defense was

867
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:23,600
Speaker 1: a mess. They could not establish any form of running

868
00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 1: game whatsoever. They really righted the ship in the second

869
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:28,040
Speaker 1: half of the season and the second half of the season,

870
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 1: Jones finished as a top twenty four running back in PPR,

871
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:35,879
Speaker 1: and according to Warren Sharp, uh mind, I respect more

872
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:38,080
Speaker 1: than most. Ronald Jones ranged as the top three red

873
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 1: zone running back among those with twenty plus carries inside

874
00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 1: the twenty last year. And have you seen those calves

875
00:47:44,520 --> 00:47:48,560
Speaker 1: on Ronald Jones. If he's got good calves, I'm in.

876
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:52,160
Speaker 1: But Bruce Arians has always been a workhorse guy. He

877
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:55,400
Speaker 1: would run Kerwin Williams into the ground with the Cardinals

878
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:58,440
Speaker 1: if he had to. And uh, I don't think Keyshawn

879
00:47:58,560 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 1: Vaughan he is nothing special. He's gonna be a guy,

880
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:05,440
Speaker 1: but he he wants Ronald Jones to be his starter.

881
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:07,400
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna give him every opportunity. And of

882
00:48:07,480 --> 00:48:09,920
Speaker 1: course there's Tom Brady in the mix now, rob Ron

883
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:12,320
Speaker 1: Krafsey the upgraded the line. But I will say this,

884
00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:16,719
Speaker 1: Dare Ogunbally scares me because he's gonna, like last year,

885
00:48:16,719 --> 00:48:18,839
Speaker 1: you know, all the pass catching work, and he's James

886
00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:20,640
Speaker 1: Waite Jr. So I'm throwing that out there. But I'm

887
00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 1: gonna say I'm trusting Bruce Arians with this. Rojo take Okay, Matt,

888
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 1: do you should fantasy owners trust Bruce Arians this time around?

889
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:29,640
Speaker 1: On Ronald Jones. I mean, if you want to talk

890
00:48:29,640 --> 00:48:32,719
Speaker 1: about ordinary running backs, let's talk about Ronald Jones. Right,

891
00:48:33,040 --> 00:48:36,319
Speaker 1: Ronald Jones, Peyton Barber, that was an ordinary backfield. Bruce

892
00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:37,759
Speaker 1: is going to throw the ball. I talked about a

893
00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:39,759
Speaker 1: little bit with Tom Brady when when he was in

894
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:43,240
Speaker 1: my peacock off last segment and the final eight games

895
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:47,480
Speaker 1: last year, Ronald Jones topped eleven carries, which is not

896
00:48:47,800 --> 00:48:49,920
Speaker 1: very much for a guy who's going to be a

897
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 1: lead back only twice. He's okay in the passing game,

898
00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 1: but Dare is good in the passing game, and key

899
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:01,800
Speaker 1: Shawn Vaughan might be good in the passing game. I

900
00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:05,000
Speaker 1: really fear a three man backfield, as none of these

901
00:49:05,040 --> 00:49:07,520
Speaker 1: guys looks like a real full time workhorse back, so

902
00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:12,600
Speaker 1: I cannot trust Bruce Arians on this one. You gotta

903
00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:14,440
Speaker 1: look at the calves man, all right. I want you

904
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:19,040
Speaker 1: to think back, everybody, two, rub your temples. Don't well,

905
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:21,520
Speaker 1: if you're driving right now, do not rub your temples.

906
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 1: That you can rub your temples. Just keep your eyes

907
00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:26,359
Speaker 1: open one temple? Okay? Uh, you know you really keep

908
00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:28,439
Speaker 1: both hands on the wheel. Um, I really would prefer

909
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:29,800
Speaker 1: you keep both hands on the wheel. It's hard with

910
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:32,400
Speaker 1: a headset on you really charged. We just need some

911
00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:36,440
Speaker 1: chimes to think back like, we don't have any chimes

912
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:40,400
Speaker 1: on them. Oh sure, how do you think? What do

913
00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 1: you think of that? Somebody's going on a slayer ride.

914
00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:49,120
Speaker 1: It's kind of like diehards noted Christmas movie? Christmas movie? Alright,

915
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:55,640
Speaker 1: rubbing your temples thinking about great Ronald Jones runs, those

916
00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:58,840
Speaker 1: times which I want you to produce that mental collage

917
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:03,400
Speaker 1: of high nights, the many highlights of Ronald Jones runs,

918
00:50:03,440 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 1: and just string them together, one after another after another

919
00:50:08,640 --> 00:50:13,279
Speaker 1: after another, Ronald Jones highlight runs. Now open your eyes. Yes,

920
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 1: now open your eyes, and apparently you're dead because you've

921
00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:18,759
Speaker 1: been driving with no hands on the wheel and your

922
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 1: eyes closed. There's to your point, Matt, he's so pedestrian.

923
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:27,279
Speaker 1: He was Pro Football Focuses thirty five best runner. There

924
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:29,799
Speaker 1: are thirty two NFL teams. He does not belong as

925
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:32,359
Speaker 1: an NFL starting running back. Now that's not to say

926
00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:34,759
Speaker 1: that Keishaan Vaughan's any better, because I only Keshan Vaughn

927
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:37,040
Speaker 1: is particularly special either. Having spent a lot of time

928
00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 1: with his college tape, I see a guy who looks

929
00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:45,120
Speaker 1: just okay. Now here's the real clincher on why Ronald

930
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:50,280
Speaker 1: Jones can't be trusted. Last year, his Pro Football Focus

931
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:57,200
Speaker 1: ranking as a pass blocker was eight seven among running backs.

932
00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:04,040
Speaker 1: What happens he misses an assignment and Tom Brady gets destroyed,

933
00:51:05,640 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 1: He's out. No Oas for Rojoe, No, that's gonna be

934
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:12,880
Speaker 1: a massive problem for Ronald Jones. And you know what,

935
00:51:13,239 --> 00:51:15,800
Speaker 1: his calves could stop him, though maybe calves of steel.

936
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:19,040
Speaker 1: I understand that's going to be why you can't trust

937
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:24,960
Speaker 1: Ronald Jones because sooner or later, the combination of pedestrian

938
00:51:25,160 --> 00:51:30,759
Speaker 1: running styles and terrible pass blocking ability is going to

939
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:35,799
Speaker 1: catch up with him. Tough question number two? Can Cam

940
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:39,919
Speaker 1: Newton be trusted as a QB one for your fantasy team?

941
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:45,080
Speaker 1: Matt Um No, he can't. The Patriots have been a

942
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:49,360
Speaker 1: top six running back rushing attempt team for each of

943
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:52,239
Speaker 1: the last four seasons. That doesn't count passes caught by

944
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:55,440
Speaker 1: backs out of the backfield. That's just straight running. So

945
00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:58,080
Speaker 1: what makes us think going from Tom Brady who threw

946
00:51:58,080 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 1: over six hundred times last season to Cam Newton who

947
00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:04,200
Speaker 1: hasn't topped five passing attempts in seven of the last

948
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:07,160
Speaker 1: eight years. By the way, a Cam Newton who has

949
00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:10,279
Speaker 1: been injured and as was one of the more inaccurate

950
00:52:10,360 --> 00:52:13,319
Speaker 1: passers throughout his career, what makes us think that they're

951
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 1: suddenly going to become a passing team if you're reliant

952
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:18,680
Speaker 1: on rushing scores. He's averaged four per season over the

953
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:23,920
Speaker 1: last four years. Tom Brady, who's good? Tom Brady, who

954
00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:26,439
Speaker 1: is good? We have reason to believe finished as QB

955
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:30,800
Speaker 1: fourteen last year. That's outside QB one territory. And I

956
00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:33,719
Speaker 1: think Cam is a downgrade from Tom Brady as a

957
00:52:33,760 --> 00:52:36,600
Speaker 1: passer for for sure, he's the middle of the pack

958
00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 1: quarterback two at best. Brian is our fantasy owners safe

959
00:52:42,200 --> 00:52:46,200
Speaker 1: trusting Cam Newton to be a QB one. Let's review

960
00:52:46,280 --> 00:52:49,759
Speaker 1: the track record of trustworthiness for Cam Newton. Starting in

961
00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:53,680
Speaker 1: two thousand and eleven, finished his quarterback four quarterback four,

962
00:52:54,960 --> 00:52:59,960
Speaker 1: quarterback five and I trust you Cam. Then team comes

963
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:07,600
Speaker 1: around quarterback seventeen, but the last quarterback one, yes, sixteen

964
00:53:08,040 --> 00:53:18,120
Speaker 1: quarterback fifteen quarterback to seventeen quarterback fourteen law season. That's

965
00:53:18,160 --> 00:53:20,320
Speaker 1: a that's a hell of a roller coaster ride. And

966
00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:23,879
Speaker 1: I don't trust him. He can be, but not trust

967
00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:28,399
Speaker 1: him to be. So no, you're saying no, they're saying no, Okay,

968
00:53:28,520 --> 00:53:30,879
Speaker 1: I'm done. Let's talk about Cam Newton's best and worst

969
00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:34,719
Speaker 1: case scenarios here. First, let's cover the worst case and

970
00:53:34,800 --> 00:53:38,759
Speaker 1: a little more detail than what than Matt outlined. If

971
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:42,440
Speaker 1: you're relying on Cam Newton's arm, here's the guy you

972
00:53:42,600 --> 00:53:47,840
Speaker 1: got on per game average two hundred thirty one passing

973
00:53:47,960 --> 00:53:51,680
Speaker 1: yards and one point four passing touchdowns per game over

974
00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:54,600
Speaker 1: the last three healthy years for Cam Newton two hundred

975
00:53:54,680 --> 00:53:57,520
Speaker 1: thirty one passing yards and one and a half passing touchdowns.

976
00:53:57,719 --> 00:53:59,399
Speaker 1: I want you to think at the end of your

977
00:54:00,160 --> 00:54:02,600
Speaker 1: you know it's Sunday night and you're looking at your

978
00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 1: your box scores for your guys. If you're seeing two

979
00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:10,520
Speaker 1: passing yards and one or two passing touchdowns, you're like, yay,

980
00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:17,640
Speaker 1: oh wait, you're that's Andy Dalton. It's exactly Andy Dalton

981
00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:21,720
Speaker 1: over the last three seasons, almost to the exact measure.

982
00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:24,879
Speaker 1: You're getting Andy Dalton, who got benched last year. That's

983
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,880
Speaker 1: all that Cam's arm gives you. Remember he's also been

984
00:54:27,880 --> 00:54:30,200
Speaker 1: a sub five quarterback in six of his nine seasons.

985
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,600
Speaker 1: There's there's a scenario here where he's not a good

986
00:54:32,680 --> 00:54:34,719
Speaker 1: enough passer. Maybe he doesn't even stay the starter here.

987
00:54:35,440 --> 00:54:39,359
Speaker 1: If if and then of course the other worst case

988
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:41,680
Speaker 1: part of this is his health. We don't know if

989
00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:43,359
Speaker 1: he's going to stay healthy or not. I mean, Cam's

990
00:54:43,400 --> 00:54:45,400
Speaker 1: healthy right now, but Willie stay healthy. It's health has

991
00:54:45,440 --> 00:54:47,000
Speaker 1: been a huge problem for him with the last five years.

992
00:54:47,040 --> 00:54:50,440
Speaker 1: So worst case scenario here, he gets benched, he's ineffective,

993
00:54:50,440 --> 00:54:53,399
Speaker 1: and he might not stay healthy. Your your best case

994
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:57,600
Speaker 1: scenario is your Bill Belichick. Your quarterback has got a

995
00:54:57,680 --> 00:55:02,000
Speaker 1: one year team friendly deal. Why not utilize his single

996
00:55:02,520 --> 00:55:07,960
Speaker 1: best advantage running who cares if he gets hurt. He's

997
00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:10,759
Speaker 1: not giving you anything through the air anyway, so you

998
00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:13,760
Speaker 1: may as well run him. And he's not your damaged

999
00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:17,520
Speaker 1: goods next year anyway. So maybe Belichick is just going

1000
00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:19,480
Speaker 1: to run him. And that's where Cam gets special. And

1001
00:55:19,520 --> 00:55:22,359
Speaker 1: when Brian tells you that he finished one to four

1002
00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:25,520
Speaker 1: in various seasons among quarterbacks, it's all because of the running.

1003
00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:28,000
Speaker 1: Those are years when you ran in touchdowns. Maybe this

1004
00:55:28,160 --> 00:55:30,760
Speaker 1: will be the year that he goes back to running

1005
00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:32,759
Speaker 1: because Belichick doesn't have a reason not to run him.

1006
00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:39,080
Speaker 1: But everybody trusts the third year old quarterback quarterback. You can't.

1007
00:55:39,160 --> 00:55:42,480
Speaker 1: It's very very hard to count on running quarterbacks other

1008
00:55:42,520 --> 00:55:48,320
Speaker 1: than Lamar Jackson, because Lamar Jackson gets designed runs. Nobody

1009
00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:52,759
Speaker 1: else does. Answer no, you can't trust Cam Newton to

1010
00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:54,319
Speaker 1: be your QB one, by the way, and fascinated him

1011
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:57,879
Speaker 1: as a QP two. Oh yeah, tough question number three.

1012
00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:02,320
Speaker 1: Three notable type ends have new homes. Rob Gronkowski is

1013
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:06,160
Speaker 1: now in Tampa, Austin Hooper is now in Cleveland, and

1014
00:56:06,360 --> 00:56:10,719
Speaker 1: Hayden Hurst is now in Atlanta. Which one of these

1015
00:56:10,880 --> 00:56:14,439
Speaker 1: new location tight ends will score the most Fantasy points

1016
00:56:14,560 --> 00:56:20,400
Speaker 1: this year? Ryan Austin Hooper is not my answer, but

1017
00:56:20,520 --> 00:56:23,440
Speaker 1: he saw nineties seven targets with the Falcons last year.

1018
00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:26,839
Speaker 1: That was sixth most among tight ends. Hooper saw more

1019
00:56:27,480 --> 00:56:31,120
Speaker 1: targets inside the ten yard line than Julio Jones. Of course,

1020
00:56:31,160 --> 00:56:35,640
Speaker 1: who touchdowns is on the Browns now, So my answer

1021
00:56:35,719 --> 00:56:37,799
Speaker 1: is Hayden Hurst, who is now the starting tight end

1022
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:40,799
Speaker 1: for the Atlanta Falcons, who had the highest passing play

1023
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 1: percentage in the NFL. I don't believe Todd Gurley is

1024
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:46,160
Speaker 1: gonna bring much to the running game, and this Atlanta

1025
00:56:46,200 --> 00:56:49,520
Speaker 1: offense is a well oil machine has always used the

1026
00:56:49,600 --> 00:56:51,440
Speaker 1: tight end as an integral part of their offense. I've

1027
00:56:51,480 --> 00:56:53,920
Speaker 1: won Atlanta tight end as seen at least eighty targets.

1028
00:56:54,040 --> 00:56:57,759
Speaker 1: That is a lot and eight of Matt Ryan's twelve seasons. Um,

1029
00:56:58,800 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 1: Hayden Hurst, Man, he's going to go off. That's all

1030
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:03,080
Speaker 1: I can say. I like the other guys, but I

1031
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:08,880
Speaker 1: like Austin Hooper is my guy. Sure, he's in kind

1032
00:57:08,920 --> 00:57:11,800
Speaker 1: of a strange spot. Kevin Stefanski is a running coach.

1033
00:57:11,920 --> 00:57:14,920
Speaker 1: They got two good backs and two good receivers, and

1034
00:57:15,040 --> 00:57:18,400
Speaker 1: Browns have never thrown to a tight end. But Kevin

1035
00:57:18,440 --> 00:57:21,880
Speaker 1: Stefanski had two tight ends in Minnesota combined for basically

1036
00:57:21,920 --> 00:57:25,680
Speaker 1: Austin Hooper's numbers last year, and David and Joku wants

1037
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:28,720
Speaker 1: out of Cleveland. He said so several times this offseason.

1038
00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:31,600
Speaker 1: Two good backs and two good receivers are good for

1039
00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:33,600
Speaker 1: an offense. What's good for an offense is good for

1040
00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:36,400
Speaker 1: an offense. They're going to open holes across the field

1041
00:57:36,440 --> 00:57:40,360
Speaker 1: for Hooper to remain open. The Browns upgraded their offensive

1042
00:57:40,440 --> 00:57:43,680
Speaker 1: line immensely this offseason two, meaning the tight ends won't

1043
00:57:43,720 --> 00:57:45,960
Speaker 1: be asked to stay in and block nearly as much,

1044
00:57:46,040 --> 00:57:48,320
Speaker 1: which gives gives Hooper the ability to go run those

1045
00:57:48,440 --> 00:57:51,000
Speaker 1: routes that Brown's tight ends haven't been able to do before.

1046
00:57:51,600 --> 00:57:54,320
Speaker 1: So I think Austin Hooper is really going under looked,

1047
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:57,760
Speaker 1: and he's going after both Gronk and uh and Hayden

1048
00:57:57,840 --> 00:57:59,560
Speaker 1: Hurst and a lot of drafts I'm seeing right now.

1049
00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:02,560
Speaker 1: I think Austin Hooper is in a sneaky spot here

1050
00:58:02,640 --> 00:58:04,600
Speaker 1: that UH that will turn out really well. I like

1051
00:58:04,720 --> 00:58:07,040
Speaker 1: Austin Hooper as well, but he is not the correct

1052
00:58:07,080 --> 00:58:13,600
Speaker 1: answer now. Now. Rob Gronkowski is, as you may know,

1053
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:15,920
Speaker 1: is now in Tampa Bay, as you may be aware.

1054
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:17,960
Speaker 1: But here's the problem why I can't give it's also

1055
00:58:18,080 --> 00:58:21,840
Speaker 1: your firstborn son, Rob Gronkowski. I love Gronk. You'll remember

1056
00:58:21,880 --> 00:58:24,680
Speaker 1: I'm only like four seasons removed from advocating for Gronk

1057
00:58:24,720 --> 00:58:27,919
Speaker 1: to be the first player take um and actually worked

1058
00:58:27,920 --> 00:58:31,160
Speaker 1: out pretty well that year. The The catch, though, is

1059
00:58:31,520 --> 00:58:35,440
Speaker 1: can anybody say Gronk's gonna play sixteen games? Did anybody

1060
00:58:35,520 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 1: say that, with all the other targets that Brady has,

1061
00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:41,320
Speaker 1: that Gronk will produce at the level that he used

1062
00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:44,320
Speaker 1: to with his old team. I don't think so, So

1063
00:58:44,480 --> 00:58:47,000
Speaker 1: we're gonna go we We are instead going to go

1064
00:58:47,160 --> 00:58:49,640
Speaker 1: with Hayden Hurst as the correct answer, although I've only

1065
00:58:49,680 --> 00:58:51,920
Speaker 1: got him one spot ahead of Austin Hooper. I think

1066
00:58:51,920 --> 00:58:55,800
Speaker 1: you're close, but you're not right. Hayden Hurst. Now he

1067
00:58:55,920 --> 00:58:58,880
Speaker 1: drops into the Austin Hooper role where Hooper was very successful.

1068
00:58:58,880 --> 00:59:02,080
Speaker 1: Austin Hooper was averaging with Atlanta six catches sixty one

1069
00:59:02,160 --> 00:59:04,200
Speaker 1: yards half a touchdown per game. I will take that

1070
00:59:04,240 --> 00:59:06,400
Speaker 1: out of my starting running tight end in a second.

1071
00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:09,560
Speaker 1: Those are great numbers, and remember Hurst is a former

1072
00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 1: first rounder. He's quite possibly a lot better than drafted

1073
00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:16,720
Speaker 1: before Lamar Jackson drafted before Lamar Jackson. I don't know why,

1074
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:19,560
Speaker 1: but hayden Hurst is a good tight end, and I

1075
00:59:19,640 --> 00:59:21,440
Speaker 1: think people don't realize how good he is because he

1076
00:59:21,840 --> 00:59:26,520
Speaker 1: struggled to beat out Mark Andrews. But Mark Andrews is awesome,

1077
00:59:26,760 --> 00:59:29,320
Speaker 1: and you could be really, really good, just not Mark

1078
00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:33,520
Speaker 1: Andrews good and end up in a spot where you

1079
00:59:33,640 --> 00:59:37,000
Speaker 1: find yourself with a very serviceable role. That's gonna be

1080
00:59:37,040 --> 00:59:40,440
Speaker 1: haden Hurst and Baltimore. They just ran, ran, ran, So

1081
00:59:41,000 --> 00:59:45,400
Speaker 1: hayden Hurst targets to go around absolutely absolutely when we

1082
00:59:45,520 --> 00:59:47,320
Speaker 1: come back. There's plenty more to go in the show.

1083
00:59:47,400 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 1: By the way, we've got best ball strategies that we're

1084
00:59:50,680 --> 00:59:52,280
Speaker 1: gonna talk about. A lot of people like to play

1085
00:59:52,360 --> 00:59:54,200
Speaker 1: best ball. It's picked up a ton of steam over

1086
00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:56,360
Speaker 1: the last five or six years to talk about that. Well,

1087
00:59:56,440 --> 01:00:00,640
Speaker 1: unleash our latest series of sleepers and some gets league

1088
01:00:00,840 --> 01:00:04,040
Speaker 1: draft strategies as well. All of that coming up through

1089
01:00:04,080 --> 01:00:06,720
Speaker 1: the final two segments of Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charge

1090
01:00:06,800 --> 01:00:09,720
Speaker 1: and Brian Johnson Matt Harrison with you back in moments

1091
01:00:34,880 --> 01:00:37,960
Speaker 1: Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Georgie and Matt Harrison

1092
01:00:38,200 --> 01:00:44,000
Speaker 1: and Brian Johnson with you. If you are interested in

1093
01:00:44,480 --> 01:00:47,520
Speaker 1: playing in a guillotine league. We encourage you to go

1094
01:00:47,600 --> 01:00:52,160
Speaker 1: to guillotine leagues dot com, where we have private leagues

1095
01:00:52,240 --> 01:00:54,040
Speaker 1: you can play. If you know seventeen others that want

1096
01:00:54,080 --> 01:00:56,440
Speaker 1: to play, or sixteen others including yourself, you make seventeen

1097
01:00:56,480 --> 01:00:59,560
Speaker 1: great and you can our platform will run your league.

1098
01:00:59,720 --> 01:01:01,600
Speaker 1: Or if you don't know that many people who want

1099
01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:05,480
Speaker 1: to try the coolest, freshest new format, then instead play

1100
01:01:05,560 --> 01:01:07,480
Speaker 1: one of our contests where you get to join with

1101
01:01:07,520 --> 01:01:09,040
Speaker 1: a bunch of other people you don't know on the

1102
01:01:09,080 --> 01:01:13,760
Speaker 1: internet and house they're how many people know? Sixteen other people?

1103
01:01:14,120 --> 01:01:17,000
Speaker 1: Just do you even know? Sixteen? Sixteen other people alone?

1104
01:01:17,040 --> 01:01:20,120
Speaker 1: Sixteen other people who play fantasy well alone sixteen other

1105
01:01:20,160 --> 01:01:22,840
Speaker 1: people will talk to me, Well, legally you can't be

1106
01:01:22,960 --> 01:01:25,560
Speaker 1: within a hundred yards of sixteen other people, most of them,

1107
01:01:26,000 --> 01:01:27,640
Speaker 1: so you know that's you know, that's going to be

1108
01:01:27,720 --> 01:01:33,040
Speaker 1: a constraining consideration right there. Um In this segment, Brian

1109
01:01:33,280 --> 01:01:35,400
Speaker 1: want to talk a little bit more about guillotine leagues.

1110
01:01:35,440 --> 01:01:38,080
Speaker 1: First one, don't you tell people how a guillotine league works. Yeah,

1111
01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,680
Speaker 1: it's it's fantasy football, but it's very different than the

1112
01:01:40,960 --> 01:01:43,760
Speaker 1: standard fantasy you're used to, and that you don't play

1113
01:01:43,840 --> 01:01:47,600
Speaker 1: head to head against anyone um. But again backtrack real quick,

1114
01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:51,200
Speaker 1: seventeen team league. Just draft your team very standard, but

1115
01:01:51,560 --> 01:01:53,920
Speaker 1: come week one you submit your lineup, but you're just

1116
01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:56,680
Speaker 1: playing against your whole league in the sense of the

1117
01:01:56,840 --> 01:02:00,240
Speaker 1: lowest score gets eliminated. So you just do not want

1118
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:03,600
Speaker 1: to come in last place. Don't finish last, and if

1119
01:02:03,640 --> 01:02:05,640
Speaker 1: you come in last, you are cut from the league.

1120
01:02:05,800 --> 01:02:07,960
Speaker 1: Your your team goes to the waiver wire and everyone

1121
01:02:08,040 --> 01:02:10,520
Speaker 1: can bid on the s Kwan Barkley's or you know,

1122
01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:13,160
Speaker 1: the early round studs that you had to forfeit because

1123
01:02:13,240 --> 01:02:15,400
Speaker 1: you came in last place. So now not that it

1124
01:02:15,400 --> 01:02:18,040
Speaker 1: will be you. You keep saying it to you, you're not.

1125
01:02:18,440 --> 01:02:20,520
Speaker 1: You're listening to this show. We're gonna help you out here.

1126
01:02:22,160 --> 01:02:25,760
Speaker 1: You basically draft to not lose. It's that simple. And

1127
01:02:25,880 --> 01:02:27,840
Speaker 1: you really go on to focus on the first quarter

1128
01:02:27,920 --> 01:02:30,200
Speaker 1: of the season as well. I like to focus primarily

1129
01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:33,400
Speaker 1: on week one, but chart your cheat sheet on guillotine

1130
01:02:33,480 --> 01:02:37,880
Speaker 1: leagues dot com highlights the strength of scheduled by quarters

1131
01:02:37,960 --> 01:02:40,960
Speaker 1: of the season, right quarter, and you want to monitor

1132
01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:44,400
Speaker 1: that as the season goes along. But you really you

1133
01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:50,080
Speaker 1: just got a draft. Avoid the high ceiling scary four guys,

1134
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:53,200
Speaker 1: the high risk, high reward guys are dangerous, and the

1135
01:02:53,240 --> 01:02:56,040
Speaker 1: guillotine format because if you've got three or four of

1136
01:02:56,240 --> 01:02:59,760
Speaker 1: those style of players and they flop in the same week,

1137
01:03:00,200 --> 01:03:04,080
Speaker 1: your dad, you're beheaded. In your guillotine league. You want

1138
01:03:04,240 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 1: your safe, consistent players week after week that don't give

1139
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:14,280
Speaker 1: you the goose a game. A great example, I think,

1140
01:03:15,160 --> 01:03:18,320
Speaker 1: look at the Cleveland Brown receivers. We've got Odell Beckham

1141
01:03:18,440 --> 01:03:21,720
Speaker 1: or Jarvis Landry. Odell Beckham has got the big games

1142
01:03:22,040 --> 01:03:25,400
Speaker 1: and the bad games, but Jarvis Landry always catches passes,

1143
01:03:25,480 --> 01:03:27,280
Speaker 1: especially in a PPR farm, and he always catch pass

1144
01:03:27,320 --> 01:03:29,400
Speaker 1: doesn't score a lot. He's gonna go five catches for

1145
01:03:29,520 --> 01:03:31,640
Speaker 1: sixty five yards and you can bank on it, bank

1146
01:03:31,680 --> 01:03:33,880
Speaker 1: on it every week. He just doesn't give you the

1147
01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:40,080
Speaker 1: goose eggs that really really imperil you any guillotine league format. Yeah,

1148
01:03:40,160 --> 01:03:43,120
Speaker 1: one guy we've been harping on all preseason is Aaron Jones.

1149
01:03:43,200 --> 01:03:45,040
Speaker 1: We will see you go in the first mid second

1150
01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:48,400
Speaker 1: of any any standard draft, but even guillotine league drafts.

1151
01:03:48,720 --> 01:03:51,560
Speaker 1: Over a third of Aaron Jones games last year he

1152
01:03:51,640 --> 01:03:55,520
Speaker 1: finished outside the top thirty at running back. You can

1153
01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:59,280
Speaker 1: weather that storm in standard fantasy football, Oh a bad week.

1154
01:03:59,560 --> 01:04:01,920
Speaker 1: You know, he's had a great matchup next week. But

1155
01:04:02,040 --> 01:04:04,560
Speaker 1: if your round one pick goes belly up, you're not

1156
01:04:04,680 --> 01:04:07,480
Speaker 1: seeing next week. So yeah, while Aaron Jones was a

1157
01:04:07,560 --> 01:04:10,480
Speaker 1: top five runner last year, he probably wasn't on a

1158
01:04:10,560 --> 01:04:14,160
Speaker 1: lot of Guillotine League winning rosters because of those goose

1159
01:04:14,200 --> 01:04:16,120
Speaker 1: eggs that he put up. Yeah, yep, and that's so.

1160
01:04:16,320 --> 01:04:18,800
Speaker 1: That is a that is a key distinction for Guillotine

1161
01:04:18,880 --> 01:04:20,920
Speaker 1: League players for sure. And now now no one is

1162
01:04:20,960 --> 01:04:23,720
Speaker 1: more reliable almost at any position outside of Christian McCaffrey

1163
01:04:23,760 --> 01:04:26,600
Speaker 1: of course. Then then Michael Thomas only nine percent of

1164
01:04:26,720 --> 01:04:29,520
Speaker 1: his games were outside of the top thirty at wide receiver.

1165
01:04:30,240 --> 01:04:33,840
Speaker 1: The next closest number is thirty three percent by DeAndre Hopkins,

1166
01:04:34,360 --> 01:04:37,240
Speaker 1: and Thomas of his games runs at the top twelve.

1167
01:04:37,600 --> 01:04:39,840
Speaker 1: No one even sniffed that. You can make a case

1168
01:04:39,960 --> 01:04:43,680
Speaker 1: that in the Guillotine League format, Michael Thomas should be

1169
01:04:43,760 --> 01:04:46,640
Speaker 1: the first player taken. You could, you know, just because

1170
01:04:46,720 --> 01:04:50,200
Speaker 1: the the unbelievable consistency that Michael Thomas springs, And in

1171
01:04:50,280 --> 01:04:52,240
Speaker 1: all honesty, you could make the same argument for Travis

1172
01:04:52,360 --> 01:04:54,760
Speaker 1: Kelsey and George Kittle and This is all information. Again,

1173
01:04:54,800 --> 01:04:57,040
Speaker 1: you can get on with your g cheets charge on

1174
01:04:57,240 --> 01:04:59,760
Speaker 1: guillteen leagues dot com. This is very vital stuff for

1175
01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:03,680
Speaker 1: eighteen leagues. And from a quarterback perspective, Lamar Jackson seventy

1176
01:05:03,960 --> 01:05:06,560
Speaker 1: percent of his games he finished as a top six quarterback.

1177
01:05:07,400 --> 01:05:10,360
Speaker 1: Zero percent. We're outside the top eight team. No one

1178
01:05:10,440 --> 01:05:13,200
Speaker 1: else did that. No one Lamar Jackson had no flop.

1179
01:05:13,320 --> 01:05:15,560
Speaker 1: And I mean Patrick Mahomes does that in a completely

1180
01:05:15,600 --> 01:05:19,240
Speaker 1: healthy well you would think you would think maybe, yeah,

1181
01:05:19,240 --> 01:05:21,040
Speaker 1: you think of be Mahomes. He was hurt Or Watson

1182
01:05:21,120 --> 01:05:23,480
Speaker 1: or Russell Wilson. Who had the next best ratio from

1183
01:05:23,600 --> 01:05:26,080
Speaker 1: you know, games inside the top eight and outside the

1184
01:05:26,080 --> 01:05:28,600
Speaker 1: top six scene. It was Ryan Tannehill, the next best one.

1185
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:31,880
Speaker 1: Already two percent of it starts inside the top eight,

1186
01:05:32,120 --> 01:05:35,200
Speaker 1: only seventeen percent outside the top sixteen. So that's a

1187
01:05:35,240 --> 01:05:38,160
Speaker 1: guy no one wants. Yeah, nobody's like, I'm gonna pivot

1188
01:05:38,200 --> 01:05:40,640
Speaker 1: my whole team on Ryan Tannehill. But he's the perfect

1189
01:05:40,720 --> 01:05:42,920
Speaker 1: kind of quarterback. You get late and he helps your

1190
01:05:43,040 --> 01:05:45,960
Speaker 1: You just gotta come him in second to last place

1191
01:05:46,520 --> 01:05:49,000
Speaker 1: every week. Every week. Don't and you'll be last and

1192
01:05:49,120 --> 01:05:51,120
Speaker 1: save your money and then you can splitterage on the

1193
01:05:51,160 --> 01:05:53,560
Speaker 1: big free agents. And just a couple other takeaways. You

1194
01:05:53,640 --> 01:05:56,000
Speaker 1: gotta pay attention to the bye weeks. Those are very

1195
01:05:56,080 --> 01:05:59,080
Speaker 1: tough to weather. Uh this year they start in week five.

1196
01:05:59,120 --> 01:06:02,400
Speaker 1: I know the Actors and the Lions have the first buys.

1197
01:06:02,480 --> 01:06:05,240
Speaker 1: Those have the first buys. Don't go Davante Adams, Kenny

1198
01:06:05,280 --> 01:06:08,040
Speaker 1: Golladay in the first two rounds, go week five. That's

1199
01:06:08,040 --> 01:06:10,160
Speaker 1: gonna force you to spend your money on big name

1200
01:06:10,200 --> 01:06:12,760
Speaker 1: free agents. You cannot afford to have two studs have

1201
01:06:13,400 --> 01:06:16,120
Speaker 1: bye weeks that earlier, and in the same that early

1202
01:06:16,200 --> 01:06:19,120
Speaker 1: excuse me, and in the same vein. Don't stack offenses

1203
01:06:19,160 --> 01:06:22,760
Speaker 1: in uillotine leagues. Not the Chiefs, not the Ravens, not anybody.

1204
01:06:22,840 --> 01:06:25,000
Speaker 1: You cannot afford to put all your eggs in one

1205
01:06:25,080 --> 01:06:27,600
Speaker 1: basket in the Yioteen League because if something bad happens,

1206
01:06:27,920 --> 01:06:29,920
Speaker 1: you are done. Including something bad. It's just like a

1207
01:06:30,000 --> 01:06:34,520
Speaker 1: seventeen point game. You know, a defensive touchdown, an offensive touchdown,

1208
01:06:34,600 --> 01:06:38,000
Speaker 1: and a field goal, and you're heavily invested in you know,

1209
01:06:38,080 --> 01:06:41,440
Speaker 1: pick a team bucks, that's it. There's seventeen points and

1210
01:06:41,520 --> 01:06:43,080
Speaker 1: see that could be that could be the end for you.

1211
01:06:43,120 --> 01:06:45,240
Speaker 1: If you're not careful. You talked about the bye week,

1212
01:06:45,280 --> 01:06:46,640
Speaker 1: so I want to spend just another minute on that.

1213
01:06:46,760 --> 01:06:49,080
Speaker 1: For Guillotine League. Remember you're starting that you're starting your

1214
01:06:49,160 --> 01:06:53,120
Speaker 1: draft of seventeen teams. Everybody's team has very little depth

1215
01:06:53,440 --> 01:06:57,520
Speaker 1: starting the season because you've got seventeen teams. Now by

1216
01:06:57,560 --> 01:06:59,080
Speaker 1: the time you get to those first set of buys

1217
01:06:59,080 --> 01:07:02,200
Speaker 1: in week five, you've we've eliminated four teams, but still

1218
01:07:02,280 --> 01:07:04,640
Speaker 1: thirteen team league, and there you still don't have a

1219
01:07:04,680 --> 01:07:06,960
Speaker 1: lot of depth. Yet there's holes on the rosters. There

1220
01:07:07,000 --> 01:07:09,760
Speaker 1: are holes in the roster, and if you've got Kenny

1221
01:07:09,800 --> 01:07:12,280
Speaker 1: Golladay or you've got Davante Adams, you may not have

1222
01:07:12,320 --> 01:07:14,960
Speaker 1: an adequate backup behind that guy. And here comes this

1223
01:07:15,080 --> 01:07:17,479
Speaker 1: bye week to a very important player for your team,

1224
01:07:18,080 --> 01:07:22,520
Speaker 1: and you can't necessarily fill it the way you'd like to.

1225
01:07:23,000 --> 01:07:25,400
Speaker 1: Now you might see this by week coming, and that

1226
01:07:25,520 --> 01:07:27,720
Speaker 1: means you have to You've got to spend fab in

1227
01:07:27,800 --> 01:07:29,560
Speaker 1: the first month of the season just to make up

1228
01:07:29,600 --> 01:07:32,200
Speaker 1: for those early buys. So the early buys really do

1229
01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:35,200
Speaker 1: change my Guillotine League rankings, and I really do tend

1230
01:07:35,240 --> 01:07:39,600
Speaker 1: to de emphasize those guys to that chart when rostering

1231
01:07:39,640 --> 01:07:42,160
Speaker 1: a Guillotine League team and drafting. You really want to

1232
01:07:42,200 --> 01:07:44,920
Speaker 1: fill out your starting lineup before you start filling out

1233
01:07:44,960 --> 01:07:47,720
Speaker 1: your bench. You don't want to do my block draft

1234
01:07:47,800 --> 01:07:49,960
Speaker 1: strategy that I talked about early in the earlier in

1235
01:07:50,000 --> 01:07:52,200
Speaker 1: the show and wait till the end for tight end

1236
01:07:52,280 --> 01:07:55,240
Speaker 1: and for the opposite. Yeah, you want to make sure

1237
01:07:55,320 --> 01:07:58,160
Speaker 1: that you are filling out your lineup before you're starting

1238
01:07:58,160 --> 01:08:00,880
Speaker 1: to fill up your bench because you can't have a

1239
01:08:00,960 --> 01:08:03,480
Speaker 1: hole in the lineup. If if you get zeros in

1240
01:08:03,520 --> 01:08:06,280
Speaker 1: the lineup, that's really bad for you. You can't you

1241
01:08:06,440 --> 01:08:10,840
Speaker 1: can't do it. Now. Savvy listeners might be thinking, well,

1242
01:08:10,840 --> 01:08:13,560
Speaker 1: all right, Mr Guillotine League, but if I avoid all

1243
01:08:13,600 --> 01:08:15,400
Speaker 1: these early buys, it's just gonna bite me in the

1244
01:08:15,400 --> 01:08:17,200
Speaker 1: ass later and I'm not gonna make it to the end.

1245
01:08:17,680 --> 01:08:20,719
Speaker 1: But here's the thing, these players that you speak because

1246
01:08:21,120 --> 01:08:23,400
Speaker 1: every week a team is getting cut out of the

1247
01:08:23,520 --> 01:08:25,760
Speaker 1: Guillotine League and their entire roster is going to the

1248
01:08:25,760 --> 01:08:29,960
Speaker 1: waiver wire. By mid season, your roster's gonna look very different,

1249
01:08:30,120 --> 01:08:31,800
Speaker 1: and by like the two thirds point of the season,

1250
01:08:31,960 --> 01:08:34,080
Speaker 1: your roster is almost entirely different, and you've got more

1251
01:08:34,160 --> 01:08:36,519
Speaker 1: fat players because you weren't forced suspended because of the

1252
01:08:36,560 --> 01:08:39,040
Speaker 1: early buys hopefully not right, you should and you should

1253
01:08:39,040 --> 01:08:41,080
Speaker 1: be in a position of strength from a bidding standpoint.

1254
01:08:41,560 --> 01:08:44,280
Speaker 1: And man, let me tell you when it's week ten

1255
01:08:44,920 --> 01:08:47,320
Speaker 1: and teams are getting cut in week ten, those are

1256
01:08:47,400 --> 01:08:50,479
Speaker 1: some awesome, awesome rosters that are getting cut at that point,

1257
01:08:50,960 --> 01:08:53,040
Speaker 1: and a lot of those players who got cut already

1258
01:08:53,040 --> 01:08:57,360
Speaker 1: had thereby, so you really don't have to worry about

1259
01:08:57,680 --> 01:09:00,160
Speaker 1: those later buys coming to to bite you in the US.

1260
01:09:00,240 --> 01:09:02,200
Speaker 1: Later you're gonna be okay. What do you guys do

1261
01:09:02,520 --> 01:09:07,320
Speaker 1: for your fab budget? Um? As far as how how

1262
01:09:07,479 --> 01:09:09,200
Speaker 1: how do you process it? How do how do you

1263
01:09:09,320 --> 01:09:11,719
Speaker 1: look to save it? Do you like to spend early?

1264
01:09:11,920 --> 01:09:14,519
Speaker 1: Do you like to wait until the later ends of

1265
01:09:14,520 --> 01:09:15,840
Speaker 1: the season. How do you guys like to do? You're

1266
01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:18,760
Speaker 1: you're tempted in week two? You see there's gonna be

1267
01:09:18,800 --> 01:09:21,400
Speaker 1: big names on the waiver wire. You don't play out

1268
01:09:21,400 --> 01:09:24,080
Speaker 1: week one, for example, as as the a team that

1269
01:09:24,680 --> 01:09:26,840
Speaker 1: you're gonna get, the low scoring team is gonna get

1270
01:09:26,880 --> 01:09:28,720
Speaker 1: cut in week one and their entire roster goes to

1271
01:09:28,760 --> 01:09:31,240
Speaker 1: the waiver wire. So that means you may be looking

1272
01:09:31,400 --> 01:09:38,600
Speaker 1: at Alvin Camara and DeAndre Hopkins and Patrick Mahomes and

1273
01:09:39,960 --> 01:09:44,160
Speaker 1: Kenyan Drake and Stefon Diggs. You know, you know those

1274
01:09:44,160 --> 01:09:45,639
Speaker 1: of the you know, those could be five or six

1275
01:09:45,680 --> 01:09:48,240
Speaker 1: players that were on that team's team that are all

1276
01:09:48,479 --> 01:09:50,639
Speaker 1: all bit able at that point. And the big mistake

1277
01:09:50,720 --> 01:09:52,400
Speaker 1: people will make is you see all those big names, like,

1278
01:09:52,479 --> 01:09:54,519
Speaker 1: oh my god, I gotta get some of these guys

1279
01:09:54,640 --> 01:09:56,840
Speaker 1: because they're gonna help me win in the end. I

1280
01:09:56,920 --> 01:09:58,640
Speaker 1: just want guys who're gonna help me not lose in

1281
01:09:58,720 --> 01:10:01,240
Speaker 1: the second week where I can save money. So on

1282
01:10:01,320 --> 01:10:04,080
Speaker 1: a high level, I just say try to, you know,

1283
01:10:04,680 --> 01:10:07,280
Speaker 1: hold onto your money as long as you can avoid

1284
01:10:07,400 --> 01:10:09,800
Speaker 1: the urge to splurge early on. I know it's bitten

1285
01:10:09,840 --> 01:10:11,599
Speaker 1: me in the past. I don't know about you charge

1286
01:10:11,640 --> 01:10:14,000
Speaker 1: under Matt, but uh, I think the high level strategies

1287
01:10:14,040 --> 01:10:16,280
Speaker 1: hold onto your your FAB as long as possible and

1288
01:10:16,360 --> 01:10:19,120
Speaker 1: just don't come. And last, you have to hold onto

1289
01:10:19,280 --> 01:10:21,439
Speaker 1: as much of your free agent pitting money as long

1290
01:10:21,520 --> 01:10:24,120
Speaker 1: as you can because the teams that are getting cut

1291
01:10:24,240 --> 01:10:27,840
Speaker 1: in weeks eight and ten and twelve are superstar teams

1292
01:10:28,360 --> 01:10:31,439
Speaker 1: and you need to have FAB to bid on those

1293
01:10:31,479 --> 01:10:34,759
Speaker 1: superstar players and controlling the board. There's no better feeling

1294
01:10:34,800 --> 01:10:37,720
Speaker 1: when you know you control the board and have you've

1295
01:10:37,720 --> 01:10:39,960
Speaker 1: got You've got a lot of money, and definitely watch

1296
01:10:40,040 --> 01:10:42,320
Speaker 1: what the other players have for their money too, and

1297
01:10:42,479 --> 01:10:44,640
Speaker 1: and kind of think, oh, this guy is only going

1298
01:10:44,720 --> 01:10:47,519
Speaker 1: to spend eighty four dollars because he only has eighty

1299
01:10:47,640 --> 01:10:51,479
Speaker 1: six in his budget. That's how high you can go. Yeah, absolutely, Um,

1300
01:10:51,680 --> 01:10:55,719
Speaker 1: all right, so the only the only time I'm spending

1301
01:10:55,840 --> 01:10:58,880
Speaker 1: fab early is if I'm in real danger to get

1302
01:10:59,000 --> 01:11:01,840
Speaker 1: knocked out. As an example, you spend your first round

1303
01:11:01,880 --> 01:11:07,120
Speaker 1: draft pick on Christian McCaffrey. Christian McCaffrey snaps a femur, alright,

1304
01:11:07,320 --> 01:11:09,240
Speaker 1: or Tyreek Hill last year, right, he got hurt and

1305
01:11:10,400 --> 01:11:12,960
Speaker 1: great example, Tyreek Hill Week one. And I don't have

1306
01:11:13,120 --> 01:11:15,840
Speaker 1: an adequate replacement. I don't want to. I don't I'm

1307
01:11:15,880 --> 01:11:19,600
Speaker 1: not taking eight dollars to my fab grave doesn't do

1308
01:11:19,720 --> 01:11:22,519
Speaker 1: me any good. So at that point, I think you

1309
01:11:22,560 --> 01:11:26,479
Speaker 1: gotta go in. But only spend money in a guillotine

1310
01:11:26,560 --> 01:11:29,519
Speaker 1: league when you have to because you're legitimately worried about

1311
01:11:29,520 --> 01:11:32,920
Speaker 1: getting knocked out. Alright, some guillotine League strategy for you

1312
01:11:33,240 --> 01:11:36,240
Speaker 1: right there. When we come back, we'll talk best ball

1313
01:11:36,360 --> 01:11:40,599
Speaker 1: strategies and unveiled this week's sleepers. We gave you three

1314
01:11:40,760 --> 01:11:45,040
Speaker 1: sure fire winners last week, how about three new guys

1315
01:11:45,240 --> 01:11:48,400
Speaker 1: this week? And again, if you would like to play

1316
01:11:48,400 --> 01:11:50,280
Speaker 1: in a Guillotine league, we encourage you go to Guillotine

1317
01:11:50,400 --> 01:11:53,160
Speaker 1: leagues dot com. You can exercise some of this newfound

1318
01:11:53,200 --> 01:11:57,400
Speaker 1: strategy right there, play for any amount of prizing that

1319
01:11:57,520 --> 01:12:00,559
Speaker 1: suits you, or use Guillotine Leagues to come to run

1320
01:12:00,680 --> 01:12:03,280
Speaker 1: your private league with your friends. Back in moment's Paul

1321
01:12:03,360 --> 01:12:06,439
Speaker 1: Charchy and Matt Harrison Brian Johnson with you Fantasy Football Weekly.

1322
01:12:32,920 --> 01:12:36,240
Speaker 1: Welcome back to the final segment of Fantasy Football Weekly.

1323
01:12:36,760 --> 01:12:39,880
Speaker 1: Paul Arch and Brian Johnson. Matt Harrison with you again.

1324
01:12:39,960 --> 01:12:41,800
Speaker 1: Matt's got a brand new site called chock Fantasy. We

1325
01:12:41,880 --> 01:12:43,560
Speaker 1: encourage you to check that out. I've been using his

1326
01:12:44,040 --> 01:12:48,960
Speaker 1: Dynasty value chart for years and I won my Dynasty

1327
01:12:49,040 --> 01:12:51,560
Speaker 1: league last year. I'm taking an opportunity to do this.

1328
01:12:53,439 --> 01:12:56,280
Speaker 1: Is it because of my chart? Only because of your tank?

1329
01:12:56,600 --> 01:12:58,720
Speaker 1: And here's the funny thing. The record show Matt and

1330
01:12:58,720 --> 01:13:02,800
Speaker 1: I are not in this league. You're not that one

1331
01:13:03,080 --> 01:13:04,760
Speaker 1: I've got. I need to use your chart right now

1332
01:13:04,800 --> 01:13:07,160
Speaker 1: because just in the last hour I received this trade offer.

1333
01:13:07,640 --> 01:13:10,000
Speaker 1: I've got picked twelve in the draft because I've because

1334
01:13:10,000 --> 01:13:12,400
Speaker 1: I wanted, I got the last pick. I also have

1335
01:13:12,479 --> 01:13:16,840
Speaker 1: picked fifteen single QB or super flex super flex, and

1336
01:13:18,040 --> 01:13:20,800
Speaker 1: I have Julian Edelman. That is, and I have the

1337
01:13:20,920 --> 01:13:24,920
Speaker 1: offer is Julio Jones for pick twelve, pick fifteen and

1338
01:13:25,120 --> 01:13:29,000
Speaker 1: Julian Edelman. Now. Of note in this of of not

1339
01:13:29,240 --> 01:13:32,280
Speaker 1: of very real consequence to me, I don't have anybody

1340
01:13:32,360 --> 01:13:35,280
Speaker 1: to drop for a draft pick. My team is so stacked,

1341
01:13:36,120 --> 01:13:38,400
Speaker 1: I don't have I'm gonna drop. I'm gonna have to

1342
01:13:38,479 --> 01:13:43,120
Speaker 1: drop Aaron Rodgers or Hockinson or t J. Hockenson if

1343
01:13:43,360 --> 01:13:45,960
Speaker 1: if I to just make a draft pick. So moving

1344
01:13:46,000 --> 01:13:49,400
Speaker 1: the picks is absolutely possible for me, and I can

1345
01:13:49,520 --> 01:13:54,360
Speaker 1: use your Matt Draft your dynasty value trade chart to

1346
01:13:54,400 --> 01:13:57,320
Speaker 1: help me figure out if Julio Jones at one, as

1347
01:13:57,360 --> 01:14:01,000
Speaker 1: I'm built to win right now, is worth fifteen pick

1348
01:14:01,080 --> 01:14:04,320
Speaker 1: twelve and Julian Edelman, as I'm looking at it right now,

1349
01:14:05,120 --> 01:14:07,519
Speaker 1: you're paying a little bit of a premium with those

1350
01:14:07,520 --> 01:14:10,240
Speaker 1: two draft picks. This is a deep rookie draft. But

1351
01:14:10,520 --> 01:14:14,559
Speaker 1: if you've got nobody to drop, it's okay. I would

1352
01:14:14,600 --> 01:14:18,360
Speaker 1: see if you could maybe respond with an offer that

1353
01:14:18,560 --> 01:14:20,920
Speaker 1: gets you a draft pick next year. That's what I said,

1354
01:14:21,400 --> 01:14:24,400
Speaker 1: second round, maybe a second rounder next That's build a

1355
01:14:24,400 --> 01:14:28,040
Speaker 1: little equity into that. UM. Matt puts numeric values to

1356
01:14:28,160 --> 01:14:30,080
Speaker 1: every player and every draft picks. You can addup all

1357
01:14:30,120 --> 01:14:31,840
Speaker 1: the numeric values and figure out which side of the

1358
01:14:31,920 --> 01:14:34,160
Speaker 1: deal you should be on. UM. But I also have

1359
01:14:34,240 --> 01:14:37,599
Speaker 1: some intangibles to sort out in my case, like I'm

1360
01:14:37,640 --> 01:14:39,720
Speaker 1: a draft pick to give, I'm a player, I'm a

1361
01:14:39,720 --> 01:14:41,439
Speaker 1: player to drop. I don't want to give up in

1362
01:14:41,479 --> 01:14:44,439
Speaker 1: t J. Hockenson really good. I think remember Week one

1363
01:14:44,520 --> 01:14:47,639
Speaker 1: last year? Yeah, let's strapolate that. Yeah, let's right, let's

1364
01:14:47,680 --> 01:14:50,240
Speaker 1: just extrapolate that. Remember Sammy Watkins Week one last year?

1365
01:14:51,080 --> 01:14:53,479
Speaker 1: In the final segment, that's right, in the very similar

1366
01:14:53,479 --> 01:14:57,519
Speaker 1: in the final segment of every preseason show, we unveil

1367
01:14:57,760 --> 01:15:01,760
Speaker 1: three sleepers, and in some cases these are guys that

1368
01:15:01,800 --> 01:15:03,760
Speaker 1: we have talked about in previous shows a little bit.

1369
01:15:03,800 --> 01:15:05,240
Speaker 1: But we know we've got a lot of new listeners

1370
01:15:05,320 --> 01:15:07,800
Speaker 1: now that we're back in our traditional over the year

1371
01:15:08,520 --> 01:15:11,960
Speaker 1: positioning that this this show has become accustomed over twenty

1372
01:15:12,000 --> 01:15:16,320
Speaker 1: six years. Brian, who is your sleeper this week? So

1373
01:15:16,439 --> 01:15:20,000
Speaker 1: last year the Miami Dolphins wide receivers finished seventh overall

1374
01:15:20,040 --> 01:15:22,200
Speaker 1: as a unit in receptions. And that's the first half

1375
01:15:22,240 --> 01:15:24,320
Speaker 1: of the season. Davante Parker did nothing. It was all

1376
01:15:24,360 --> 01:15:27,240
Speaker 1: Preston Williams. And the second half Davanta Parker emerged. Preston

1377
01:15:27,240 --> 01:15:30,920
Speaker 1: Williams got hurt and it was Albert Wilson. Alan Hearns

1378
01:15:31,080 --> 01:15:33,280
Speaker 1: a mess, and we we mentioned in the first segment,

1379
01:15:33,479 --> 01:15:36,360
Speaker 1: Alan Hearns Albert Wilson have opted out. That's a lot

1380
01:15:36,439 --> 01:15:38,479
Speaker 1: of targets, not a target, a lot of targets for

1381
01:15:38,920 --> 01:15:42,360
Speaker 1: Isaiah Ford, who is now the three wide receiver for

1382
01:15:42,479 --> 01:15:46,439
Speaker 1: the for the Dolphins. Rookie out of Virginia Tech. Last season,

1383
01:15:46,520 --> 01:15:48,840
Speaker 1: he was drafted in the sixth round, opted out of

1384
01:15:48,880 --> 01:15:50,479
Speaker 1: his senior year, so he came into the league a

1385
01:15:50,520 --> 01:15:54,800
Speaker 1: little young. He's got a good size six to fifteen. Um,

1386
01:15:55,720 --> 01:15:57,880
Speaker 1: Miami is gonna be chasing points all year long, and

1387
01:15:58,120 --> 01:16:00,960
Speaker 1: Preston Williams got hurt last year. I'm not sold. DeVante

1388
01:16:01,040 --> 01:16:04,080
Speaker 1: Parker is rock solid at this point. Yes, Mike Asiki

1389
01:16:04,439 --> 01:16:07,640
Speaker 1: will reap the benefits of these uh vacated targets from

1390
01:16:07,680 --> 01:16:11,000
Speaker 1: Hearns and Albert Wilson, but Dynasty League guys and even

1391
01:16:11,160 --> 01:16:15,439
Speaker 1: anyone and gals and anyone, uh even redraft. Isaiah Ford

1392
01:16:15,600 --> 01:16:17,320
Speaker 1: is going to be a thing at some point this season,

1393
01:16:17,520 --> 01:16:19,320
Speaker 1: especially if there's an injury. But even with that one,

1394
01:16:19,640 --> 01:16:21,880
Speaker 1: he will have a significant role in Week one as

1395
01:16:21,880 --> 01:16:24,320
Speaker 1: a reminder of Isaiah Ford. And you probably don't remember,

1396
01:16:24,320 --> 01:16:26,200
Speaker 1: and I don't blame you. At the end of last year,

1397
01:16:26,320 --> 01:16:28,439
Speaker 1: forced into service for the Dolphins because of all the

1398
01:16:28,520 --> 01:16:31,599
Speaker 1: injuries they had at the wide receiver position. As a rookie,

1399
01:16:31,640 --> 01:16:34,000
Speaker 1: seventh round rookie last year for the Dolphins, he had

1400
01:16:34,040 --> 01:16:36,360
Speaker 1: some pretty good games. He had a ninety two yard game,

1401
01:16:36,439 --> 01:16:38,559
Speaker 1: He had a sixty eight yard game and a fifty

1402
01:16:38,600 --> 01:16:41,800
Speaker 1: four yard game in December of last year. And maybe

1403
01:16:41,920 --> 01:16:44,679
Speaker 1: and if Preston Williams leg isn't right and the knee

1404
01:16:44,720 --> 01:16:49,160
Speaker 1: isn't right, coming into this preseason, Isaiah fog starting wide

1405
01:16:49,200 --> 01:16:52,200
Speaker 1: receiver and he's going off the board as pick nine

1406
01:16:52,479 --> 01:16:59,959
Speaker 1: hundred eight, right, So what what draft goes to nine eight? Apparently?

1407
01:17:00,080 --> 01:17:06,040
Speaker 1: So he's picked nine according to Found Team Rosters, Good Heaven,

1408
01:17:06,520 --> 01:17:09,479
Speaker 1: Matt your sleeper this week. H Mine's not as deep

1409
01:17:09,520 --> 01:17:12,599
Speaker 1: as that, there are not as deep as no. Uh,

1410
01:17:12,800 --> 01:17:16,559
Speaker 1: Mine's just James White, good old fashioned James White. Because Church,

1411
01:17:16,960 --> 01:17:19,880
Speaker 1: I have a question for you, Sony Michelle any good.

1412
01:17:20,400 --> 01:17:24,759
Speaker 1: Sony Michelle stinks he's a reminder of his official nickname

1413
01:17:24,800 --> 01:17:28,759
Speaker 1: on this show, Sony Walkman. Yeah. Why because he's walking

1414
01:17:28,880 --> 01:17:31,240
Speaker 1: man and he's trying to run, but he's walking. He's

1415
01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:33,479
Speaker 1: not even doing that. He might be Sony hobble Man

1416
01:17:33,840 --> 01:17:37,400
Speaker 1: right now because he's got a foot injury. Backing Michelle

1417
01:17:37,479 --> 01:17:40,719
Speaker 1: up uh Rex Birkhead who spends most of his season

1418
01:17:40,760 --> 01:17:43,639
Speaker 1: on the injured list, and second year back Damien Harris,

1419
01:17:43,720 --> 01:17:46,120
Speaker 1: who wasn't active for most of the last season because

1420
01:17:46,400 --> 01:17:48,800
Speaker 1: he was active one game. I believe he doesn't play

1421
01:17:48,880 --> 01:17:51,320
Speaker 1: special teams, and Bill Belichick hates it when you don't

1422
01:17:51,320 --> 01:17:54,560
Speaker 1: play special teams. Look at Brandon Bolden, who's been on

1423
01:17:54,720 --> 01:17:57,960
Speaker 1: that roster as a running active every game, active every

1424
01:17:58,000 --> 01:18:00,599
Speaker 1: game because he's a special teamer. So James White stands

1425
01:18:00,680 --> 01:18:02,640
Speaker 1: to be a guy who can just jump into the

1426
01:18:02,680 --> 01:18:06,120
Speaker 1: backfield and he's averaging eighty receptions per season over the

1427
01:18:06,240 --> 01:18:10,160
Speaker 1: last two years. Cam Newton hundred and fourteen receptions two

1428
01:18:10,200 --> 01:18:13,880
Speaker 1: runners in two thousand eighteen and receptions to runners in

1429
01:18:13,920 --> 01:18:17,960
Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen. There's there's some there's some receptions that

1430
01:18:18,200 --> 01:18:20,320
Speaker 1: are going to go around, and his average depth of

1431
01:18:20,360 --> 01:18:22,880
Speaker 1: target isn't very high. It's not a great group of

1432
01:18:22,920 --> 01:18:26,360
Speaker 1: wide receivers. We have rookie tight ends there. I think

1433
01:18:26,479 --> 01:18:30,120
Speaker 1: James White is looking at a really sneaky good PPR year.

1434
01:18:30,280 --> 01:18:33,559
Speaker 1: What about Damien Harris though, as a as another as

1435
01:18:33,600 --> 01:18:36,040
Speaker 1: a sleeper here now Davia Harris is going off the

1436
01:18:36,080 --> 01:18:39,800
Speaker 1: board as player one three. It's not nine, but it's

1437
01:18:39,880 --> 01:18:45,040
Speaker 1: not nine. But if Sony Michelle either isn't good, which

1438
01:18:45,600 --> 01:18:49,040
Speaker 1: is very very possible, that doesn't matter. Or Sony Michelle

1439
01:18:49,080 --> 01:18:52,200
Speaker 1: doesn't play special teams either, he's active. If Michelle just

1440
01:18:52,400 --> 01:18:55,679
Speaker 1: isn't good. Now, remember Damian Harry. They invested a second

1441
01:18:55,760 --> 01:18:58,960
Speaker 1: round pick in Damian Harris last year. I wonder if

1442
01:18:59,000 --> 01:19:02,080
Speaker 1: Damian Harris doesn't just take that job with eight Patriots

1443
01:19:02,120 --> 01:19:04,800
Speaker 1: of opting out, I wonder if they're just not playing

1444
01:19:04,880 --> 01:19:07,920
Speaker 1: the worst possible lineup every week and tanking for Trevor.

1445
01:19:09,040 --> 01:19:11,280
Speaker 1: I don't know. I kind of wonder it might be

1446
01:19:11,479 --> 01:19:15,439
Speaker 1: Sony's year. I think Damien Harris is uh is another

1447
01:19:15,840 --> 01:19:19,440
Speaker 1: who's getting Trevor. I say the Bears tank most successfully

1448
01:19:19,479 --> 01:19:21,599
Speaker 1: for Trevor Lawrence. What about you guys. Yes, the defense

1449
01:19:21,720 --> 01:19:23,880
Speaker 1: is too good. No, it's not. It's a defensive line

1450
01:19:23,960 --> 01:19:27,519
Speaker 1: is awful. Quarterbacking is I'll use bad words if I

1451
01:19:27,560 --> 01:19:29,400
Speaker 1: get to that. I think he stays in the South

1452
01:19:29,520 --> 01:19:34,719
Speaker 1: Carolina or Jacksonsonville, Chicago. I don't know the Mississippi mustache.

1453
01:19:34,760 --> 01:19:38,080
Speaker 1: He's pretty good. My sleeper this week is a guy

1454
01:19:38,240 --> 01:19:41,479
Speaker 1: that I have referred to in the podcast version of

1455
01:19:41,640 --> 01:19:44,479
Speaker 1: offseason podcast version Fantasy Football Weekly. But I know there's

1456
01:19:44,479 --> 01:19:48,559
Speaker 1: not a lot of new listeners right now. John U. Smith. Oh,

1457
01:19:48,760 --> 01:19:52,280
Speaker 1: my man crush on John U. Smith is unabated. Current

1458
01:19:52,320 --> 01:19:57,240
Speaker 1: ADP is round thirteen. He will be a top ten

1459
01:19:57,680 --> 01:20:00,040
Speaker 1: tight end and maybe higher than that. Let's let and

1460
01:20:00,160 --> 01:20:01,960
Speaker 1: it just seems like he could have been a peacock

1461
01:20:02,040 --> 01:20:04,800
Speaker 1: Off candidate. You could have been, uh John And I

1462
01:20:04,840 --> 01:20:07,800
Speaker 1: thought about it, by the way, Jonnu Smith, But the

1463
01:20:07,880 --> 01:20:11,040
Speaker 1: peacock Off was all negativity. This is all positivity with

1464
01:20:11,200 --> 01:20:14,479
Speaker 1: John U. Smith, third year tight end last year in

1465
01:20:14,560 --> 01:20:16,960
Speaker 1: a limited role. You may remember Delaney Walkers started the

1466
01:20:17,000 --> 01:20:19,280
Speaker 1: season as the starter, but he got hurt and as

1467
01:20:19,280 --> 01:20:21,360
Speaker 1: the season progress they gave John Smith more and more use.

1468
01:20:22,360 --> 01:20:26,160
Speaker 1: Last year among tight ends, he ranked John Smith number

1469
01:20:26,280 --> 01:20:31,280
Speaker 1: one in contested catches, number five in true catch rate,

1470
01:20:32,240 --> 01:20:36,400
Speaker 1: number two in yards per target, number seven in yards

1471
01:20:36,479 --> 01:20:40,640
Speaker 1: per reception, number eight in yards per route run, and

1472
01:20:40,840 --> 01:20:44,519
Speaker 1: number four in yards after the catch. That's John NU Smith.

1473
01:20:44,640 --> 01:20:48,240
Speaker 1: Last year was essentially lost to injury for him to

1474
01:20:48,400 --> 01:20:51,479
Speaker 1: not saying he was sorry, not ready. He was ready to,

1475
01:20:51,760 --> 01:20:54,040
Speaker 1: you know, unseat Delaney Walker. But he didn't get any reps.

1476
01:20:54,680 --> 01:20:58,360
Speaker 1: Unless Corey Davis is suddenly going to turn into the

1477
01:20:58,439 --> 01:21:01,880
Speaker 1: player he's never been. John OU Smith is the Titans

1478
01:21:02,000 --> 01:21:05,680
Speaker 1: number two receiving target, maybe number one. Well a J.

1479
01:21:05,800 --> 01:21:08,080
Speaker 1: Brown is I mean, I mean a J. Brown's A J.

1480
01:21:08,160 --> 01:21:10,160
Speaker 1: Brown didn't get the targets last year though, and John

1481
01:21:10,360 --> 01:21:13,960
Speaker 1: Smith certainly is right and right there. You want to

1482
01:21:14,000 --> 01:21:20,040
Speaker 1: watch something special, go google John stand up there for

1483
01:21:20,120 --> 01:21:24,679
Speaker 1: a second. Jon Smith unbutton a button on his shirts

1484
01:21:24,840 --> 01:21:27,760
Speaker 1: last year. I believe it's Week fourteen. He's playing a

1485
01:21:27,840 --> 01:21:32,280
Speaker 1: playoff bound Houston team and they line up John U.

1486
01:21:32,360 --> 01:21:36,400
Speaker 1: Smith as a half back and they give him the

1487
01:21:36,479 --> 01:21:40,439
Speaker 1: ball on a designed run and he runs for fifty

1488
01:21:40,680 --> 01:21:45,360
Speaker 1: seven yards. He's a tight end running for fifty seven yards,

1489
01:21:45,520 --> 01:21:50,040
Speaker 1: out running members of the secondary. John H. Smith's athleticism

1490
01:21:50,320 --> 01:21:52,720
Speaker 1: is bonkers, and if you don't know. It looks like

1491
01:21:52,840 --> 01:21:54,880
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry, it does. You think it's the head because

1492
01:21:54,880 --> 01:21:56,400
Speaker 1: he's huge. He said, he's built like a tight end.

1493
01:21:56,760 --> 01:21:59,320
Speaker 1: If you weren't, if it weren't for the lack of dreads,

1494
01:21:59,760 --> 01:22:03,360
Speaker 1: you assume that's Derrick Henry making that run. Dread lack

1495
01:22:06,040 --> 01:22:12,719
Speaker 1: that's awesome. Is out on that note, I think we're done. Um, Matt,

1496
01:22:12,800 --> 01:22:14,880
Speaker 1: So there you go, three sleepers. I gave you John

1497
01:22:14,920 --> 01:22:20,760
Speaker 1: new Smith, Brian gave you Afford and Man gave you

1498
01:22:20,840 --> 01:22:23,800
Speaker 1: James White, which I then pivoted to Damien Harrison. Thank you,

1499
01:22:24,000 --> 01:22:25,880
Speaker 1: no problem. I'd like to give you the right answer

1500
01:22:25,920 --> 01:22:27,559
Speaker 1: from time to time on this show. It's not three

1501
01:22:27,640 --> 01:22:30,200
Speaker 1: Tough Questions segment anymore. It's not I can't always be right.

1502
01:22:30,760 --> 01:22:33,240
Speaker 1: Let's talk at some of the best ball strategies people

1503
01:22:33,400 --> 01:22:36,960
Speaker 1: are employing this season, Matt, real quick for those who

1504
01:22:37,040 --> 01:22:38,920
Speaker 1: don't know what a best ball league is, and there's

1505
01:22:39,000 --> 01:22:43,120
Speaker 1: quite a few. Um, you draft a team, there's no trades,

1506
01:22:43,479 --> 01:22:46,479
Speaker 1: there's no roster moves of any kind. You don't set

1507
01:22:46,520 --> 01:22:49,880
Speaker 1: a lineup. After the completion of every NFL week, the

1508
01:22:49,960 --> 01:22:53,599
Speaker 1: computer sets your best possible lineup based on your scores.

1509
01:22:53,880 --> 01:22:56,559
Speaker 1: So each week you get the optimized lineup, so we're

1510
01:22:56,600 --> 01:22:58,679
Speaker 1: best ball is perfect or people who love to draft,

1511
01:22:58,760 --> 01:23:00,679
Speaker 1: but you don't want to add to the in season

1512
01:23:00,840 --> 01:23:03,960
Speaker 1: maintenance of your team because there is no it is

1513
01:23:04,240 --> 01:23:07,439
Speaker 1: literally no nothing you even can do in season. But

1514
01:23:07,560 --> 01:23:09,400
Speaker 1: you get to have drafts over and over and over again,

1515
01:23:09,439 --> 01:23:12,240
Speaker 1: your draft and you watch. Um. Most of the time,

1516
01:23:12,280 --> 01:23:15,080
Speaker 1: people play several of these because drafting is super fun

1517
01:23:15,160 --> 01:23:18,040
Speaker 1: and often they're available at low costs. I like to

1518
01:23:18,080 --> 01:23:20,360
Speaker 1: play like three dollar ones and the sight I'm playing

1519
01:23:20,360 --> 01:23:22,920
Speaker 1: on right now it's called Underdog Fantasy. It's a nice

1520
01:23:22,960 --> 01:23:25,080
Speaker 1: little new app. But there's a lot of really good

1521
01:23:25,160 --> 01:23:29,160
Speaker 1: sits out there. F f PC, Best Ball Tens, Yahoo

1522
01:23:29,320 --> 01:23:32,760
Speaker 1: DraftKings is now doing it too, um, so you can

1523
01:23:32,880 --> 01:23:36,120
Speaker 1: you can really find them anywhere. Uh, there's a lot

1524
01:23:36,160 --> 01:23:38,599
Speaker 1: of really great data on best ball strategy. And here's

1525
01:23:38,640 --> 01:23:42,000
Speaker 1: a few highlights of things that I found. According to

1526
01:23:42,120 --> 01:23:45,280
Speaker 1: Chris Allen at four for four, here are some of

1527
01:23:45,400 --> 01:23:49,280
Speaker 1: the successful draft strategies on f PC and Best Ball

1528
01:23:49,360 --> 01:23:53,120
Speaker 1: Tens last year. An f f PC, the top draft

1529
01:23:53,200 --> 01:23:56,720
Speaker 1: strategy over the first six rounds is to leave with

1530
01:23:57,360 --> 01:24:00,800
Speaker 1: three running backs, two wide receivers, and one tight end.

1531
01:24:01,080 --> 01:24:04,559
Speaker 1: All right, that sounds very neutral. Of the winning teams

1532
01:24:04,720 --> 01:24:09,080
Speaker 1: last year had that exact strategy strategy coming out over

1533
01:24:09,160 --> 01:24:11,120
Speaker 1: the first six rounds on Best Ball Tens it was

1534
01:24:11,160 --> 01:24:15,719
Speaker 1: three running backs and three wide receivers. Of the winning

1535
01:24:15,760 --> 01:24:18,920
Speaker 1: teams on Best Ball Tens had that draft strategy. So

1536
01:24:19,120 --> 01:24:21,599
Speaker 1: you want to take a quarterback in the first six rounds,

1537
01:24:22,160 --> 01:24:24,720
Speaker 1: go get Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson because it's fun.

1538
01:24:25,800 --> 01:24:29,920
Speaker 1: Less than six percent of league winners had a quarterback

1539
01:24:30,000 --> 01:24:33,920
Speaker 1: in the first six rounds. They're off limits. Don't take them. Well,

1540
01:24:34,040 --> 01:24:38,280
Speaker 1: keep in mind last year Jackson side of the top

1541
01:24:38,400 --> 01:24:40,479
Speaker 1: six rounds, he's a he was, he was an eighth

1542
01:24:40,560 --> 01:24:43,800
Speaker 1: round a DP and and to that, over the last

1543
01:24:44,000 --> 01:24:48,360
Speaker 1: five years, quarterbacks with top twelve ADPs. So the top

1544
01:24:48,479 --> 01:24:52,599
Speaker 1: twelve quarterbacks taken in these drafts, only fifty six percent

1545
01:24:52,680 --> 01:24:55,880
Speaker 1: of those players finish as a top twelve quarterbacks. So

1546
01:24:56,000 --> 01:24:59,160
Speaker 1: there's a lot of variants at that position. So taking

1547
01:24:59,240 --> 01:25:03,720
Speaker 1: two to three decent quarterbacks really late tends to be

1548
01:25:03,920 --> 01:25:07,360
Speaker 1: the more prudent strategy and Best Ball leagues and there's

1549
01:25:07,360 --> 01:25:09,519
Speaker 1: a lot of different ways to play a Best Ball league.

1550
01:25:09,560 --> 01:25:11,720
Speaker 1: You can do it. Do the opposite draft. You can

1551
01:25:11,760 --> 01:25:15,920
Speaker 1: do like my undo the opposite block draft strategy. Brian,

1552
01:25:16,040 --> 01:25:18,360
Speaker 1: you you like one called hyper fragile. Tell us about

1553
01:25:18,400 --> 01:25:20,200
Speaker 1: that one. Well, yeah, and really though I don't know

1554
01:25:20,200 --> 01:25:21,479
Speaker 1: if I like it as much of this year. What

1555
01:25:21,880 --> 01:25:25,439
Speaker 1: it is hyper fragile is you draft three running backs

1556
01:25:25,520 --> 01:25:28,040
Speaker 1: with your first three picks, three best running backs you

1557
01:25:28,080 --> 01:25:30,920
Speaker 1: can find, and then that's all the running backs you draft.

1558
01:25:31,120 --> 01:25:34,800
Speaker 1: No handcuffs, but no nothing. In the past years, you know,

1559
01:25:35,479 --> 01:25:37,840
Speaker 1: tight end and wide receiver weren't as deep as they

1560
01:25:37,880 --> 01:25:40,519
Speaker 1: are this year, or quarterbacks. So I'm not so sure

1561
01:25:40,560 --> 01:25:42,800
Speaker 1: I love hyper fragile. And like you said, that's just

1562
01:25:42,960 --> 01:25:45,000
Speaker 1: under the opposite Now, that's what it's gonna do. It's

1563
01:25:45,000 --> 01:25:47,920
Speaker 1: gonna draft three quarterbacks, sorry, three running backs. But when

1564
01:25:47,960 --> 01:25:49,960
Speaker 1: it comes to drafting running backs, if I'm missing out

1565
01:25:50,000 --> 01:25:51,800
Speaker 1: on the big guys, one thing I like to do

1566
01:25:52,080 --> 01:25:55,439
Speaker 1: is target them the back fields that nobody likes. Like

1567
01:25:55,560 --> 01:25:59,639
Speaker 1: the Patriots, I can get Sony Michelle, Damien Harris, James White.

1568
01:26:00,040 --> 01:26:01,519
Speaker 1: You don't have because the best ball you don't have

1569
01:26:01,520 --> 01:26:03,320
Speaker 1: to figure out which one is the right one. The

1570
01:26:03,400 --> 01:26:05,240
Speaker 1: system just gives you the best one. Every you get

1571
01:26:05,280 --> 01:26:07,200
Speaker 1: the best one everywhere there are there are a plethora

1572
01:26:07,200 --> 01:26:10,599
Speaker 1: of backfields like that. I mean, Washington comes to mind,

1573
01:26:10,920 --> 01:26:14,200
Speaker 1: various guys, how about them? To me, the Ram the

1574
01:26:14,280 --> 01:26:16,280
Speaker 1: Rams are dead to me in any format the Rams

1575
01:26:16,320 --> 01:26:18,880
Speaker 1: backfield except best ball, where I don't have to pay

1576
01:26:18,960 --> 01:26:20,800
Speaker 1: a premium for any of the Rams backs and I

1577
01:26:20,800 --> 01:26:23,240
Speaker 1: don't have to guess which good game. Yeah, I think

1578
01:26:23,680 --> 01:26:26,280
Speaker 1: like the lion stands out to me with a swift

1579
01:26:26,439 --> 01:26:28,720
Speaker 1: and carry on. You're gonna pay more for swift, but

1580
01:26:28,800 --> 01:26:30,760
Speaker 1: not not so and so that's what I like to

1581
01:26:30,800 --> 01:26:32,520
Speaker 1: do a lot if I miss out on the mccaffreys

1582
01:26:32,560 --> 01:26:34,840
Speaker 1: in barkleys. So generally in a best ball league, you

1583
01:26:34,880 --> 01:26:36,800
Speaker 1: want to go for the high variance players. It's the

1584
01:26:36,840 --> 01:26:38,760
Speaker 1: opposite of a guillotine if you want to go for

1585
01:26:38,840 --> 01:26:40,960
Speaker 1: the high upside and and maybe the guy who gets

1586
01:26:41,000 --> 01:26:43,080
Speaker 1: you nothing in a week, because that doesn't matter the

1587
01:26:43,160 --> 01:26:46,000
Speaker 1: Robbie Anderson's of the world. So you can look at

1588
01:26:46,040 --> 01:26:49,759
Speaker 1: those secondary like chiefs wide receivers for instance, me Cole Hardman,

1589
01:26:49,840 --> 01:26:53,080
Speaker 1: DeMarcus Robinson, even Sammy Watkins. You can put two or

1590
01:26:53,160 --> 01:26:55,320
Speaker 1: three of those on your team and a couple of

1591
01:26:55,360 --> 01:26:59,000
Speaker 1: weeks where those guys pop off your golden Yeah, that's

1592
01:26:59,000 --> 01:27:01,519
Speaker 1: all you need. You don't necessarily need to have Tyreek

1593
01:27:01,560 --> 01:27:03,920
Speaker 1: Hill or Travis Kelsey every week. You just need those

1594
01:27:03,960 --> 01:27:06,200
Speaker 1: guys to pop off every once in a while. I

1595
01:27:06,280 --> 01:27:08,759
Speaker 1: want to give you in our final about two minutes

1596
01:27:08,800 --> 01:27:10,439
Speaker 1: of this show, Okay, I want to give you. I'm

1597
01:27:10,439 --> 01:27:12,759
Speaker 1: gonna give you four running backs coming off bad years

1598
01:27:13,040 --> 01:27:15,599
Speaker 1: but walked right back into being the starting running back

1599
01:27:15,680 --> 01:27:18,240
Speaker 1: on their team. And tell me which one you think

1600
01:27:18,360 --> 01:27:20,719
Speaker 1: is most likely to have a rebound ye A fourth

1601
01:27:20,840 --> 01:27:26,880
Speaker 1: tough question. It is Levy on Bell, David Montgomery, James Conner,

1602
01:27:27,560 --> 01:27:30,920
Speaker 1: and David Johnson, all guys with bummer years and they're

1603
01:27:30,920 --> 01:27:34,040
Speaker 1: all starting again this year, so you could you're gonna

1604
01:27:34,120 --> 01:27:36,600
Speaker 1: take one to have, but you gotta put one on

1605
01:27:36,680 --> 01:27:42,400
Speaker 1: your team. Your rostering Montgomery, he's a Connor and David

1606
01:27:42,479 --> 01:27:47,840
Speaker 1: Johnson a man that's a tough one. Not Montgomery. I'm

1607
01:27:47,880 --> 01:27:50,960
Speaker 1: out on Montgomery. I'm gonna go Connor. He's got gas

1608
01:27:51,040 --> 01:27:53,400
Speaker 1: in the tank. He's way better than any running back

1609
01:27:53,960 --> 01:27:56,559
Speaker 1: on that team. And Tomlin is still a Bell cow

1610
01:27:56,680 --> 01:27:59,400
Speaker 1: kind of guy. And uh, I'm not sold on the receivers.

1611
01:27:59,400 --> 01:28:01,559
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go on it. Okay, I like DJ though

1612
01:28:01,640 --> 01:28:03,760
Speaker 1: I don't mind Montgomery because there's not a lot of

1613
01:28:04,320 --> 01:28:06,080
Speaker 1: there's not a lot of challenge to him there. But

1614
01:28:06,200 --> 01:28:08,439
Speaker 1: I think I'm going David Johnson because they made that

1615
01:28:08,520 --> 01:28:11,200
Speaker 1: big DeAndre Hopkins trade and Bill O'Brien's got to prove

1616
01:28:11,320 --> 01:28:13,599
Speaker 1: that that worked. He's going to hand him the ball ton.

1617
01:28:13,880 --> 01:28:15,519
Speaker 1: You know what, all these guys are, three of these

1618
01:28:15,520 --> 01:28:18,799
Speaker 1: four having common are terrible offensive lines except James Conner.

1619
01:28:19,240 --> 01:28:20,840
Speaker 1: So I might just go that way. But I don't

1620
01:28:20,840 --> 01:28:22,719
Speaker 1: think James Connor is ever gonna be a workhorse again.

1621
01:28:22,800 --> 01:28:24,400
Speaker 1: I think I think he's the guy who's just on

1622
01:28:24,479 --> 01:28:26,599
Speaker 1: a pitch count every week, and that that part worries

1623
01:28:26,680 --> 01:28:28,360
Speaker 1: me as well. Maybe on Belle at least you know

1624
01:28:28,400 --> 01:28:31,360
Speaker 1: he's gonna get the ball a lot. So maybe that's

1625
01:28:31,400 --> 01:28:34,320
Speaker 1: the angle. Uh. If you want to play at Guillotine

1626
01:28:34,360 --> 01:28:36,040
Speaker 1: leagues dot com, we encourage you to do so trail

1627
01:28:36,040 --> 01:28:37,720
Speaker 1: out that new format. Also get my cheat sheet for

1628
01:28:37,880 --> 01:28:40,360
Speaker 1: free at Guillotine a leagues dot com called Charchy and

1629
01:28:40,400 --> 01:28:43,160
Speaker 1: Matt Harrison, Brian Johnson. Thank you guys, a great job.

1630
01:28:43,400 --> 01:28:45,360
Speaker 1: Thank you for listening. We'll be back next week for

1631
01:28:45,479 --> 01:28:57,040
Speaker 1: more Fantasy Football Weekly. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production

1632
01:28:57,120 --> 01:28:59,840
Speaker 1: of I Heart Radio for more podcasts from my heart Radio.

1633
01:29:00,040 --> 01:29:02,680
Speaker 1: Is it the I heart Radio app, Apple podcasts, or

1634
01:29:02,760 --> 01:29:04,599
Speaker 1: wherever you listen to your favorite shows,