WEBVTT - Chuck’s Commentary - SCOTUS Smacks Down Trump’s Tariffs…Now What? + Trump’s Approval Is Cratering

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<v Speaker 1>Hello there, Happy Monday, and welcome to another episode of

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<v Speaker 1>the check podcast. If you are waking up in the

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<v Speaker 1>Assella Corridor, I hope you don't have a foot of

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<v Speaker 1>snow outside those of us on the southern end of

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<v Speaker 1>the Slate Corridor or breathing a sigh of relief those

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<v Speaker 1>of you in New York that might be another story.

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<v Speaker 1>But for those of us that make content, it means

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<v Speaker 1>you have more time bundled up in your house or

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<v Speaker 1>you have to get out put the AirPods in. So

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<v Speaker 1>I hope I can be a useful distraction while you're shoveling, sweeping,

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<v Speaker 1>whatever you may be doing this morning. Look, it's a

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<v Speaker 1>packed episode. As you know. I did a quick sort

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<v Speaker 1>of emergency response as we got the big tariff ruling,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is just such a monumental moment in the

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<v Speaker 1>Trump presidency. It's very well, we look back, this is

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<v Speaker 1>the beginning of the end. We may look back and

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<v Speaker 1>say Liberation Day was sort of when it all actually

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<v Speaker 1>was starting to come to an end. I'll get to

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<v Speaker 1>that point in a minute, but let me give you

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<v Speaker 1>a rundown of everything we're going to do. I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to unpacked all things tariff, because look, an important moment,

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<v Speaker 1>the democracy, the guard rails, separations, like all of the

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<v Speaker 1>features of this republic blossomed a bit. So that's that.

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<v Speaker 1>And then you have a president responding as if he

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<v Speaker 1>is now his goal is to destroy his own party

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<v Speaker 1>in the midterms and do whatever it takes to help

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<v Speaker 1>the Democrats, because his initial response on this is politically catastrophic.

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<v Speaker 1>But hey, by the time you're listening to this, we

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<v Speaker 1>also could be launching a new over of the ron because, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>guess what, before the tariff ruling, we still have the

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<v Speaker 1>largest build up in the Middle East of military assets

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<v Speaker 1>since the start of the Iraq War. What's going on?

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<v Speaker 1>What are we up to? Congress still is not being told.

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<v Speaker 1>Is this about the nuclear program? Is this about negotiation?

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<v Speaker 1>Is this about regiem change? The president who loves not

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<v Speaker 1>to explain his rationales, is I think underestimating how precarious

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<v Speaker 1>of a position he might be in here. But we'll see,

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<v Speaker 1>and who knows. Maybe he's going to I mean, my goodness,

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<v Speaker 1>the State of the Union on Tuesday? Is he going

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<v Speaker 1>to announce that the missiles are dropping as he begins

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<v Speaker 1>to State of the Union. Does he want to step

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<v Speaker 1>on his own State of the Union? Is that his goal?

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<v Speaker 1>Does he want to announce something? Does he want does

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<v Speaker 1>he not want the specific does he have not maybe

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<v Speaker 1>he doesn't have much to say beyond or does he

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<v Speaker 1>rant and rave about the tariffs and complain about that?

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<v Speaker 1>Does he ask Congress for some help on this? So

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<v Speaker 1>we are in an incredibly precarious moment of his presidency,

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<v Speaker 1>though to say it's the most precarious is sort of

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<v Speaker 1>how do you pick right we kind of live in

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<v Speaker 1>a constant state of turmoil and instability ever since he

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<v Speaker 1>came down that escalator. So we are in one of

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<v Speaker 1>those moments, massive economic instability. Small business is still trying

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<v Speaker 1>to figure out what comes now. But we got some

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<v Speaker 1>important institutional pushback on Trump's attempts to usurp power from Congress.

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<v Speaker 1>So again, I'm gonna get to all that. Let me

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<v Speaker 1>give you, like I said, a quick rundown, I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to break down. We got seven of the nine Supreme

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<v Speaker 1>Court justices felt like they had to express their own

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<v Speaker 1>view as to why they came to the decision. They

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<v Speaker 1>came seven of the nine. The only two justices not

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<v Speaker 1>to write their own separate either concurrence or dissent, Samuel

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<v Speaker 1>Alito and Sonya Soda mayor everybody else had something to say,

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<v Speaker 1>with the Neil Gorsuch concurring opinion being the most fascinating

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<v Speaker 1>of all of them. But we're going to get into that.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a brand new and ABC News poll out that

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<v Speaker 1>shows incredibly bad news for the President and Republicans. But

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<v Speaker 1>guess what doesn't show much good news for the Democrats.

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<v Speaker 1>I will get to that in a moment. I spent

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<v Speaker 1>part of my weekend at the Principal's First Conference at

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<v Speaker 1>the Gaylord Hotel in suburban Maryland outside of DC. They've built.

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<v Speaker 1>This is their six six year gathering. It was an

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<v Speaker 1>impressive event it gave. I had a ton of in

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<v Speaker 1>moderator panel with Pat McCrory, Bill Crystal, and another member

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<v Speaker 1>of the Principal's First organization. And because it really is

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<v Speaker 1>a gathering of center rights sort of ex Republicans lost Independence,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of military veterans and even a few active

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<v Speaker 1>duty people I met there who feel politically lost but

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<v Speaker 1>are alarmed by what's happened in this current moment inside

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<v Speaker 1>the Republican Party. So it was an interesting conversation and

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<v Speaker 1>I've I was moderating some interesting tension. Let's just say

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<v Speaker 1>Pat McCrory and Bill Crystal, well they both have an

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<v Speaker 1>agreement about Trump. They weren't unnecessarily on the same page

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<v Speaker 1>of what comes next and how to do this? And

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<v Speaker 1>I think that this is this is the debate that

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<v Speaker 1>many non you know, sort of independence and anti Trump

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<v Speaker 1>Republicans are having is do you try to save the

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<v Speaker 1>Republican Party? Do you try to start something new? Do

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<v Speaker 1>you try to get behind an independent or do you

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<v Speaker 1>make common cause with the Democrats temporarily? That debate is

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<v Speaker 1>a very lively discussion inside this group. I found it

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<v Speaker 1>to be shall we say, intellectual nourishing might be a

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<v Speaker 1>way to put it. Meanwhile, Team USA, right, how do

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<v Speaker 1>I I want to get to that? That's very exciting,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm going to over I'm going to overanalyze the

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<v Speaker 1>period of time. We haven't won the Olympic hockey goal

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<v Speaker 1>since nineteen eighty. What's interesting is that in many ways

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<v Speaker 1>America in nineteen eighty, that in that February, January, February

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<v Speaker 1>and March period, that first quarter of the year nineteen eighty,

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<v Speaker 1>we were in a meles We were isolated, We felt

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<v Speaker 1>isolated from the world. We had Iran, had our hostages,

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<v Speaker 1>We were a divided politically in a sort of beginning

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<v Speaker 1>of a political depression. Sounds familiar, doesn't right? Oh, by

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<v Speaker 1>the way, we had an unpopular president and we have

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<v Speaker 1>an unpopular president. We have all of this. So and

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<v Speaker 1>that Olympic gold sort of was the beginning of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and we ended up on a good sort of twenty

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<v Speaker 1>year run, you know, with a few ups and downs,

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<v Speaker 1>but a nice twenty year run arguably starting with that

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<v Speaker 1>Olympic gold all the way until nine to eleven. When

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<v Speaker 1>you think about america role in the world, all of

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<v Speaker 1>those things, end of the Cold War, et cetera, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, maybe maybe this is a good omen.

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<v Speaker 1>I choose to believe it is a good open on

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<v Speaker 1>that front. So with that, let's unpack what the Supreme

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<v Speaker 1>Court just did, because after you know, our guardrails are back.

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<v Speaker 1>They're bruised, but as we found out Friday, they still

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<v Speaker 1>exist in this constitutional republic, and frankly, the results not surprising.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I got started with this relaunch of the

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<v Speaker 1>Check podcast. It was in April, about a week before

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<v Speaker 1>so called liberation debt. And if you want to go

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<v Speaker 1>back to those earlier episodes to fact check me on this,

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<v Speaker 1>I could tell you. I said, look, these are not

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<v Speaker 1>going to be seen as constitutional. These will not survive

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<v Speaker 1>a court challenge. The only question is is whether this

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<v Speaker 1>ends up costing all of us more money. Right, it's

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<v Speaker 1>already cost consumers money. Now there's going to be people

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<v Speaker 1>looking for their refunds. And the irony is that the

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<v Speaker 1>president is now going to accelerate our debt and deficit

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<v Speaker 1>in ways that we already knew. He didn't really care

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<v Speaker 1>about the national debt or the deficit. Again, this is

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<v Speaker 1>a guy who's always borrowed other people's money, used it

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<v Speaker 1>for himself, declared bankruptcy, and walked away. Right. He's done

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<v Speaker 1>it many, many times, so of course he's going to

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<v Speaker 1>do it with the US government. He doesn't care about

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<v Speaker 1>those things. He just doesn't sort of see it. And

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<v Speaker 1>he certainly has. If he took basic macro and microeconomics

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<v Speaker 1>in college, he clearly didn't absorb anything with what he learned.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, this has been an economic disaster for the country.

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<v Speaker 1>It has been a terrible for global leadership. And again

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<v Speaker 1>we I think may look back that this is in

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<v Speaker 1>sort of you know, I'm reminded of George W. Bush

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<v Speaker 1>right after he went his second term and he pursues

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<v Speaker 1>an unpopular policy of privatizing social security just you know,

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<v Speaker 1>blew up in a faith. Then he wanted to do

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<v Speaker 1>immigration that wasn't popular inside his own party, and eventually

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<v Speaker 1>he had approval rating somewhere in the mid ti thirties,

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<v Speaker 1>and you had a Democratic streep in that midterm of

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<v Speaker 1>his second term, and then the biggest Democratic essentially the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest Democratic victory in a presidential race, with the the

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<v Speaker 1>Democratic tennant getting over fifty percent for the first time

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<v Speaker 1>since Jimmy Carter and then before that LBJ. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>what this sort of And you know in the moment,

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<v Speaker 1>you didn't quite know when Bush was just never was

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<v Speaker 1>had hit unrecoverable status really until the election itself. So

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm not going to declare Trump dead. He's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be president for another two and a half years.

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<v Speaker 1>He can make a lot of trouble. How he responds

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<v Speaker 1>to this moment will tell us whether his political demise

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<v Speaker 1>will get accelerated or not. And I would say the

0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:39.880
<v Speaker 1>first seventy two hours his response tells me he wants

0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:42.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, he he plans on going down with the

0:11:42.679 --> 0:11:46.400
<v Speaker 1>ship here, and he may burn his party down with it.

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<v Speaker 1>So look, there was a reason why I was pretty

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<v Speaker 1>confident that these tariffs were never going to be seen

0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:57.240
<v Speaker 1>as legal, because tariffs are taxes, and taxes live an

0:11:57.280 --> 0:11:59.840
<v Speaker 1>article one simple as that. I mean, it was basically

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<v Speaker 1>what Robert said, this is this is sort of high

0:12:03.200 --> 0:12:06.320
<v Speaker 1>school constitutional law. Okay, this is not even law school

0:12:06.360 --> 0:12:09.320
<v Speaker 1>constitutional law. So when you try to run a sweeping

0:12:09.320 --> 0:12:14.200
<v Speaker 1>global tariff regime through a nineteen seventy seven emergency statute

0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:17.120
<v Speaker 1>that never mentions the word tariff. You're taking a pretty

0:12:17.160 --> 0:12:21.720
<v Speaker 1>big legal risk. Pretty much open and shut case, rightly.

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<v Speaker 1>The only surprise to me was that the ruling was

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<v Speaker 1>six to three in the court, not seven two. It

0:12:26.080 --> 0:12:28.560
<v Speaker 1>should have been at nine zero. But I expected Alito

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<v Speaker 1>and Thomas to be partisans in here. They've never been

0:12:31.760 --> 0:12:36.480
<v Speaker 1>serious jurists. Maybe they were serious jurists, but not in

0:12:36.480 --> 0:12:38.400
<v Speaker 1>the last ten or fifteen years have they been serious.

0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 1>They've been always take thee what they believe is the

0:12:41.600 --> 0:12:46.280
<v Speaker 1>own the Libs partisan right. Never may never embarrass your

0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:48.400
<v Speaker 1>own party in any way. Anyway. The point is is

0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:51.200
<v Speaker 1>that they've stopped being legal guys a long time ago.

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:54.720
<v Speaker 1>But I thought both Corsic and Kavanaugh had come in

0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:57.000
<v Speaker 1>here so mild. The real surprise to me is that

0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 1>Kavanaugh ended up in the descent on here, and it

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<v Speaker 1>was interesting. He of course had to write his own

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<v Speaker 1>He wrote the overall descent and he's hiding behind foreign policy,

0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:10.600
<v Speaker 1>which of all the weak arguments that Trump lawyers were making,

0:13:10.679 --> 0:13:13.960
<v Speaker 1>it was the strongest of the weak arguments. Was saying, well,

0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:16.480
<v Speaker 1>this is part of foreign policy, and a president has

0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:21.440
<v Speaker 1>to conduct foreign policy. Still, at its core, this was

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<v Speaker 1>not about trade. This was about who governs, who's in

0:13:24.880 --> 0:13:27.280
<v Speaker 1>charge of the purse in the United States of America.

0:13:27.360 --> 0:13:29.679
<v Speaker 1>So the court ruled six to three that the International

0:13:29.720 --> 0:13:34.240
<v Speaker 1>Emergency Economic Powers at AIPA reminds me of the Simpsons

0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:37.600
<v Speaker 1>movie yep by yepa. This is aep BA EEPA. Sorry,

0:13:37.679 --> 0:13:40.640
<v Speaker 1>I couldn't help myself. It does not authorize the president

0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:44.560
<v Speaker 1>to impose sweeping global tariffs. Six justices ended up in

0:13:44.600 --> 0:13:48.959
<v Speaker 1>the majority, three dissenters. But here's what matters. There were

0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:54.280
<v Speaker 1>seven opinions. Seven Okay, it tells you something. This court

0:13:54.320 --> 0:13:57.680
<v Speaker 1>agreed on the result, but not on the reasoning chief.

0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:00.840
<v Speaker 1>Justas Roberts wrote the controlling opinion, his argument was institutional,

0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:06.240
<v Speaker 1>straightforward regulate importation does not equal in post tariffs, as

0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:09.160
<v Speaker 1>simple as that Congress knows how to say duties, Congress

0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:11.440
<v Speaker 1>knows how to say tariffs. It did not say either

0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 1>of those two words in the i EPA legislation. Tariffs

0:14:14.920 --> 0:14:19.800
<v Speaker 1>are taxation. Taxation belongs to Congress. Hard stop. Then there's

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the there there's the concurring opinion that I would want

0:14:24.160 --> 0:14:27.760
<v Speaker 1>all of my wanta be law school, folks. And you

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 1>know I always joke I don't play a lawyer. I'm

0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:32.360
<v Speaker 1>not a lawyer, but I have been playing one on

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 1>TV for a long time. I am. I'd like to

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:39.240
<v Speaker 1>think I have gotten sort of a pretty decent legal

0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:42.400
<v Speaker 1>education over the last thirty years, as I love reading

0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 1>me some good Supreme Court opinions or just sense at times,

0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:48.960
<v Speaker 1>because you learn a lot about the politics of the

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:51.920
<v Speaker 1>court when you do. And he wrote separately, and he

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:55.320
<v Speaker 1>leaned hard into what's known as the major Questions doctrine,

0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 1>and then he also called out pretty much five of

0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:03.400
<v Speaker 1>us go by the way, kind of amusing, but still

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:05.160
<v Speaker 1>before we get to what he called him out on.

0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 1>He was tackling major questions, right, which is the idea

0:15:08.480 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 1>that when a president claims extraordinary economic power, Congress must

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:15.280
<v Speaker 1>speak clearly. And here's where it gets interesting, or so

0:15:15.320 --> 0:15:17.600
<v Speaker 1>it's called out all of his colleagues, first the liberals,

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:20.800
<v Speaker 1>for what he described frankly as a flip flop, because

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 1>he basically said, hey, you opposed this idea of the

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:28.080
<v Speaker 1>major questions when it limited democratic administrations, in particular Biden

0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 1>on issues involving COVID in the workplace, COVID mandates and

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 1>the student loan issue. But now are you using the

0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 1>same structural instincts Justice Kagan. She was joined by Sotomayor,

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 1>agreed with the outcome, but rejected the idea this was

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:48.240
<v Speaker 1>a major question issue. She said that the ordinary statutory

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:52.040
<v Speaker 1>interpretation was enough. Essentially, she was trying to defend the

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:54.800
<v Speaker 1>fact that she was not flip popping here. She was

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:58.840
<v Speaker 1>trying to disaggregate the rationale she used to be in

0:15:58.920 --> 0:16:01.880
<v Speaker 1>favor of Biden using emergency powers to do the student

0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 1>loan cuts, and she was trying to essentially separate it

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:11.160
<v Speaker 1>from her what appears to be literally the opposite point

0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:15.320
<v Speaker 1>of view, which to somebody with no skin in the game,

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:19.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, the same way. It looks like robertson excuse me,

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Thomas and Ledo were partisans here. Essentially, of course, is

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:27.080
<v Speaker 1>saying and said, hey, looks like Kagan, so do my

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:33.640
<v Speaker 1>own Jackson essentially have been partisan here as well. Then

0:16:33.680 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 1>you have Justice Brown Jackson. She leaned into legislative history,

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.960
<v Speaker 1>saying Congress never intended AIPA to become a tariff machine,

0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:43.760
<v Speaker 1>and therefore that's why she came to the same conclusion

0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:47.320
<v Speaker 1>as roberts On the other side, Justice Kavanaugh wrote the

0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:50.240
<v Speaker 1>principal dissent in his argument foreign affairs is different. He

0:16:50.320 --> 0:16:52.880
<v Speaker 1>saw this as part of foreign affairs, So the president

0:16:52.920 --> 0:16:56.560
<v Speaker 1>traditionally has brought her authority here and major questions doctrine

0:16:56.560 --> 0:16:59.320
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't apply in the same way in trade and diplomacy.

0:17:00.200 --> 0:17:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Justice Thomas went even further, arguing Congress can delegate ter

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:06.479
<v Speaker 1>for Thorty Broadly, he basically said, nope, these emergency powers

0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:09.360
<v Speaker 1>delegated it all away, and the President was perfectly within

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:12.600
<v Speaker 1>his constitutional rights to do all of this. So to

0:17:12.680 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 1>say this was it your typical liberal conservative split is

0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:19.160
<v Speaker 1>an understatement. It was a structural split, and that matters.

0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:21.280
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, just a little history lesson here,

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:26.120
<v Speaker 1>because I was curious, how often have we had seven

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 1>of the nine justices all write their own either supporting

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:35.000
<v Speaker 1>opinions or dissent. Well, in nineteen seventy one, during the

0:17:35.000 --> 0:17:37.439
<v Speaker 1>Pentagon Papers case New York Times versus the United States,

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:42.080
<v Speaker 1>all nine justices wrote their own opinion. They agreed on

0:17:42.160 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 1>the ruling, but they did not agree on how they

0:17:44.600 --> 0:17:47.160
<v Speaker 1>got there. Right, They went nine nothing, but they ended

0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:52.720
<v Speaker 1>up having individual opinions explaining that away a case that

0:17:52.800 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 1>effectively struck down all existing death penalty laws in the

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:59.560
<v Speaker 1>United States Furman versus Georgia in nineteen seventy two. Same thing.

0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:02.919
<v Speaker 1>All nine justices wrote their own rationales for how they

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 1>got to their opinion, and then, of course dread Scott.

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:08.840
<v Speaker 1>The infamous dread Scott decision, one of the worst in

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:13.560
<v Speaker 1>the history of the Supreme Court, also featured all nine

0:18:13.640 --> 0:18:19.360
<v Speaker 1>justices in the last few decades. Seven opinions usually signal

0:18:19.400 --> 0:18:21.800
<v Speaker 1>a massive turf war between the different wings of the Court.

0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:24.359
<v Speaker 1>And as I've told you, there's there's three distinct wings

0:18:24.359 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 1>of the Court, Okay, and I think Gorciats and Kavanaugh

0:18:29.440 --> 0:18:32.439
<v Speaker 1>are sort of somewhere in between the two of the

0:18:32.520 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 1>conservative wings. Right, you have sort of a institutionalist conservative

0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:41.320
<v Speaker 1>wing which is anchored by Roberts and Barrett. Kavanaugh mostly

0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:44.440
<v Speaker 1>is with them on these institutional rulings. In this case

0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:47.920
<v Speaker 1>it was Gorsich, not Kavanaugh. Thomas and Alito are usually

0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:51.760
<v Speaker 1>in the more on the further the right spectrum, a

0:18:51.800 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 1>little more in favor of even stronger executive authority essentially,

0:18:57.560 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 1>but a bit more partisan. You know, their takes seem

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:03.040
<v Speaker 1>to be grounded in well, what ruling do we want

0:19:03.080 --> 0:19:04.639
<v Speaker 1>to get to and then they find a rationale to

0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:06.359
<v Speaker 1>get there. And then you, of course you have the

0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:10.879
<v Speaker 1>three liberals that rarely do they do they break ranks.

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:14.560
<v Speaker 1>So it is a I think a court that has

0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:17.600
<v Speaker 1>split more in three than it is in two, because

0:19:17.600 --> 0:19:19.439
<v Speaker 1>that's what Donald Trump does, right. He has divided his

0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:22.040
<v Speaker 1>own party in that case. And you see that divide

0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:27.840
<v Speaker 1>on on on the Supreme Court. So I think that

0:19:28.560 --> 0:19:31.399
<v Speaker 1>is there a is there is there that or is

0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:33.479
<v Speaker 1>this a case where they all wanted to explain their

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:38.000
<v Speaker 1>own rationale? And I think it is clear that they

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:42.480
<v Speaker 1>really didn't agree on they they you know, you had

0:19:42.480 --> 0:19:47.400
<v Speaker 1>a strong majority agree that the president overstepped his constitutional

0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:56.120
<v Speaker 1>overstepped his constitutional authority, but they just disagreed on exactly

0:19:56.160 --> 0:20:00.680
<v Speaker 1>what how he overstepped that authority. Still I can't help

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 1>but when you look at it sort of seven responses

0:20:03.920 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 1>like that, it really is sort of it reminds me

0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 1>of the coalition against Trump in general, right, which is

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:17.199
<v Speaker 1>there's a large majority of the country, say fifty five

0:20:17.320 --> 0:20:20.800
<v Speaker 1>sixty percent that don't like how Trump governs, the general

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:27.200
<v Speaker 1>direction that Trump is taking us. This episode of The

0:20:27.280 --> 0:20:30.600
<v Speaker 1>Chuck Podcast is brought to you by ze Biotics. Let's

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<v Speaker 2>I'll be honest, Chuck. I was a bit skeptical at first,

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<v Speaker 1>dot Net Slash, the Chucktodcast. But they don't all agree

0:23:44.600 --> 0:23:48.800
<v Speaker 1>that as to on the same things. As to what

0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 1>he's doing. Right, there are some that don't like what

0:23:51.359 --> 0:23:53.840
<v Speaker 1>Trump's doing, but maybe like what he's doing in immigration.

0:23:53.960 --> 0:23:55.439
<v Speaker 1>There are some that may be like what he's doing

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:58.280
<v Speaker 1>in immigration, but don't like what he's doing on tariffs.

0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 1>But it is it does sort of the fragmented court

0:24:01.640 --> 0:24:05.399
<v Speaker 1>knows that Trump is an unconstitutional president and probably the

0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:09.720
<v Speaker 1>most abuse abusive of the constitution of any president we've had,

0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:14.520
<v Speaker 1>going even Nixon included. And yet right there you can't

0:24:14.560 --> 0:24:19.760
<v Speaker 1>get a coherent singular message to sort of take them on,

0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:22.639
<v Speaker 1>and even in the legal community, you can't do that.

0:24:23.320 --> 0:24:26.120
<v Speaker 1>Now there's Trump's response, And as I said on Friday,

0:24:26.119 --> 0:24:28.760
<v Speaker 1>before knowing Trump's response, I said, he's the wild card here.

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 1>There was a real opportunity, right. This economy sucks, people

0:24:33.280 --> 0:24:35.439
<v Speaker 1>don't like it, and you know, these tariffs have been

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:39.280
<v Speaker 1>attacked on consumers. It is served as inflationary. In fact, earlier,

0:24:39.560 --> 0:24:41.879
<v Speaker 1>just before this tariffruling came out, we got news the

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:47.160
<v Speaker 1>economic growth stagnated massively in the fourth quarter, right under

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:49.280
<v Speaker 1>one and a half percent growth, which is just terrible.

0:24:49.280 --> 0:24:52.560
<v Speaker 1>Anything under two doesn't even allow us to sort of

0:24:52.640 --> 0:24:56.720
<v Speaker 1>keep up with inflation. That is not good, and it

0:24:56.800 --> 0:24:59.399
<v Speaker 1>is part of it is attributed to the shutdown, but

0:24:59.480 --> 0:25:02.600
<v Speaker 1>they're also has been this continued, you know, as we're seeing,

0:25:03.800 --> 0:25:07.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, for about six months, many businesses tried actually

0:25:07.960 --> 0:25:10.520
<v Speaker 1>not to pass on the cost of the tariffs that

0:25:10.800 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 1>ended in the last quarter and the and we've seen

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:17.440
<v Speaker 1>in January a lot of price spikes in particular, all

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:21.960
<v Speaker 1>of that has gone away. And that's so so ironically,

0:25:22.400 --> 0:25:24.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, the best thing that could have happened to

0:25:24.200 --> 0:25:27.720
<v Speaker 1>the congressional Republicans was for these tariffs to be viewed

0:25:27.720 --> 0:25:33.280
<v Speaker 1>as unconstitutional. That's if Trump would go along and accept

0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:37.440
<v Speaker 1>the premise that the Supreme Court is correct here. That's

0:25:37.480 --> 0:25:40.119
<v Speaker 1>not what he's doing. And this is what should make

0:25:40.160 --> 0:25:43.160
<v Speaker 1>all of us pause here. Man. The President didn't respond

0:25:43.240 --> 0:25:47.040
<v Speaker 1>by arguing on the merits. He didn't argue about it

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:50.840
<v Speaker 1>the statutory interpretation. He didn't respond by seeing the court

0:25:50.920 --> 0:25:55.680
<v Speaker 1>misread history. He responded by doing what he does best,

0:25:55.800 --> 0:25:59.000
<v Speaker 1>attacking his own appointees for simply being disloyal. And it

0:25:59.040 --> 0:26:03.960
<v Speaker 1>is a reminder, right, if we did not have lifetime

0:26:05.240 --> 0:26:09.440
<v Speaker 1>appointment to the Supreme Court. He tried to fire Gorsich.

0:26:09.920 --> 0:26:13.720
<v Speaker 1>He tried to fire Barrett, just like he's doing with

0:26:13.800 --> 0:26:17.320
<v Speaker 1>the FED. So just keep that in mind. The founders

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 1>knew that. I mean, look, none of us love this

0:26:19.640 --> 0:26:22.879
<v Speaker 1>lifetime appointment business. And maybe we should have age limits

0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:24.640
<v Speaker 1>and there's some ways to end it. But you cannot

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.800
<v Speaker 1>what you cannot have as an executive having the ability

0:26:27.840 --> 0:26:31.480
<v Speaker 1>to fire somebody in another branch of government. And obviously

0:26:31.480 --> 0:26:34.119
<v Speaker 1>our founders knew that, and that's why it's important to

0:26:34.160 --> 0:26:38.040
<v Speaker 1>give Supreme Court justices this. So here he is personally

0:26:38.119 --> 0:26:42.960
<v Speaker 1>attack it Neil Gorsuch and Amy Cony Barrett. Neil Gorsich,

0:26:42.960 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 1>who was voted with Trump quite a bit. In fact,

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 1>he's rarely in that institutional Every once in a while

0:26:47.840 --> 0:26:51.000
<v Speaker 1>he surprises you. I was pretty convinced he'd be with

0:26:51.320 --> 0:26:54.760
<v Speaker 1>the seven to two majority. Like I said, the surprise

0:26:54.840 --> 0:27:00.920
<v Speaker 1>for me was capital. But Trump did the usual personation, right,

0:27:00.960 --> 0:27:03.000
<v Speaker 1>he said this was an embarrassment to their families. So

0:27:03.400 --> 0:27:06.360
<v Speaker 1>he's attacking the families of Neil Gorsuch and Amy Coneni Barr.

0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:09.919
<v Speaker 1>And we know when Trump does this, it does it

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:14.920
<v Speaker 1>does you know, all of a sudden there are mentally

0:27:15.000 --> 0:27:18.200
<v Speaker 1>unstable people out there who start doxing people start going

0:27:18.280 --> 0:27:21.600
<v Speaker 1>after it is. It is terrible what he does, and

0:27:21.640 --> 0:27:23.919
<v Speaker 1>it's designed as a chilling effect, right. What you know,

0:27:23.960 --> 0:27:28.280
<v Speaker 1>he goes after anybody that was supposedly that he viewed

0:27:28.280 --> 0:27:30.439
<v Speaker 1>as on his side, and when they break ranks, he

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:33.359
<v Speaker 1>he goes after him in nasty ways because he's trying

0:27:33.400 --> 0:27:36.160
<v Speaker 1>to prevent it from happening again. He's afraid it's going

0:27:36.200 --> 0:27:40.159
<v Speaker 1>to get contagious. But here's the thing, more and more people,

0:27:40.600 --> 0:27:43.159
<v Speaker 1>more and more Republicans. I think this is this is

0:27:43.160 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 1>why I think this could be such an important moment

0:27:45.320 --> 0:27:51.720
<v Speaker 1>that this the breaking points don't happen. The breaking points

0:27:52.680 --> 0:27:56.240
<v Speaker 1>are realized six months after that breaking point happens. Right,

0:27:56.760 --> 0:28:00.199
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, if we go on and I

0:28:00.240 --> 0:28:03.320
<v Speaker 1>promise you Democrats sweep the midterms, we'll say, Okay, this

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:05.959
<v Speaker 1>thing started collapsing. And it really sort of took another

0:28:06.040 --> 0:28:09.840
<v Speaker 1>nose dive with the Supreme Court ruling and then his

0:28:10.160 --> 0:28:13.200
<v Speaker 1>just unhinged response to it. And look, we're all kind

0:28:13.200 --> 0:28:15.639
<v Speaker 1>of numb to this. Oh, just another day at the office.

0:28:15.680 --> 0:28:19.000
<v Speaker 1>He's just attacking members Supreme Court. He also thinks there's

0:28:19.040 --> 0:28:23.720
<v Speaker 1>some conspiracy blaming foreign influence. You have the conspiracy of

0:28:23.760 --> 0:28:27.159
<v Speaker 1>these foreigners right there infiltrating the Supreme Court. This is

0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:30.560
<v Speaker 1>some foreign influence campaign on Justices Gorsach and amy Cony Barrett.

0:28:30.640 --> 0:28:32.640
<v Speaker 1>Let's take it all the way through. Tell me how

0:28:32.640 --> 0:28:35.120
<v Speaker 1>that works, mister President. Tell me how there's foreign influence

0:28:35.160 --> 0:28:37.520
<v Speaker 1>on Neil Gorsich. Tell me how there's foreign influence on

0:28:37.560 --> 0:28:39.960
<v Speaker 1>John Roberts. You know you can't. You're gonna throw this

0:28:40.000 --> 0:28:44.040
<v Speaker 1>out there. Give me some details. Show your proof. I'm

0:28:44.080 --> 0:28:46.360
<v Speaker 1>sure your proof is with the with the with all

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:50.200
<v Speaker 1>the stuff you found out during when when you swore

0:28:50.280 --> 0:28:52.360
<v Speaker 1>that you had evidence that Barack Obama wasn't born in

0:28:52.400 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 1>the United States. I'm sure that evidence is in the

0:28:55.600 --> 0:29:01.040
<v Speaker 1>same place at the evidence of of that's somehow foreign

0:29:01.040 --> 0:29:05.800
<v Speaker 1>interest swayed Neil Gorsuch and Amy Cony Barrett. Show your evidence.

0:29:06.640 --> 0:29:09.200
<v Speaker 1>You don't do that. What you do is you count

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:12.920
<v Speaker 1>on your lapdog supporters to just take your accusation and

0:29:13.000 --> 0:29:17.680
<v Speaker 1>run with it, and you count on algorithms to amplify

0:29:17.720 --> 0:29:20.120
<v Speaker 1>it and make it seem like a legitimate talking point.

0:29:20.160 --> 0:29:23.840
<v Speaker 1>It's disgusting, it's awful, and yeah, we already have look

0:29:23.880 --> 0:29:27.120
<v Speaker 1>another person came after you, mister President at mar a Lago.

0:29:28.360 --> 0:29:31.880
<v Speaker 1>All right, stop this. The more you do this stuff,

0:29:31.920 --> 0:29:35.480
<v Speaker 1>the more you put everybody at risk physically. You're putting

0:29:35.560 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 1>the lives in dangers of two Supreme Court justices that

0:29:38.880 --> 0:29:44.480
<v Speaker 1>you appointed. You appointed these people, and you're attacking them

0:29:44.680 --> 0:29:49.920
<v Speaker 1>and attacking their families. It's outrageous and it's awful. And

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 1>the again, right, you have an entire Republican party who

0:29:52.800 --> 0:29:56.920
<v Speaker 1>just doesn't respond to this anymore. I understand rationally why

0:29:56.960 --> 0:29:59.560
<v Speaker 1>they don't. Doesn't get them anywhere, just causes more problems

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:03.040
<v Speaker 1>for them, and it's all sort of self preservation is

0:30:03.040 --> 0:30:07.640
<v Speaker 1>why you don't speak out. But folks, he is super weak.

0:30:08.320 --> 0:30:12.480
<v Speaker 1>This is the absolute definition of an emperor with no clothes,

0:30:13.600 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 1>and every day we keep finding out how little he's

0:30:16.520 --> 0:30:25.320
<v Speaker 1>wearing under his little garments there. So he obviously is

0:30:25.840 --> 0:30:29.720
<v Speaker 1>decided not to not to do this the normal way

0:30:30.120 --> 0:30:32.920
<v Speaker 1>any other president when they're set back, they criticize the court,

0:30:32.960 --> 0:30:35.959
<v Speaker 1>they're frustrated, they say this or that, but then they

0:30:35.960 --> 0:30:38.760
<v Speaker 1>are like, figure out another way. Maybe they want to

0:30:38.760 --> 0:30:42.400
<v Speaker 1>work with Congress, but nope. He doesn't view his loss

0:30:42.480 --> 0:30:44.760
<v Speaker 1>as a constitutional issue. He views the loss as a

0:30:44.840 --> 0:30:49.480
<v Speaker 1>loyalty issue. But let's go back to April. And this

0:30:49.520 --> 0:30:54.840
<v Speaker 1>is why I fear long term impact of Trump less

0:30:54.840 --> 0:30:58.760
<v Speaker 1>than most people do. He really is lazy. I mean,

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:03.440
<v Speaker 1>he is super lazy, right. I often used the joke, Look,

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:06.600
<v Speaker 1>he's too lazy to be Hitler, He's too lazy to

0:31:06.600 --> 0:31:09.800
<v Speaker 1>be Orbon. He's too lazy to be air to one. Okay,

0:31:09.920 --> 0:31:12.479
<v Speaker 1>forget any of these other you know, forget using the

0:31:12.520 --> 0:31:15.720
<v Speaker 1>north star of the Nazis. Right, just picked today's sort

0:31:15.720 --> 0:31:18.000
<v Speaker 1>of authoritarian. It's too lazy to be Orbon. I'm too

0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 1>lazy to be air to one. Right. Imagine you know,

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 1>he actually had some political capital in the first ninety

0:31:25.520 --> 0:31:30.000
<v Speaker 1>days of his administration, and he could have probably strong

0:31:30.160 --> 0:31:33.000
<v Speaker 1>armed his narrow congressional majorities in the House and Senate

0:31:33.040 --> 0:31:36.400
<v Speaker 1>to give him the authority if he simply said back

0:31:36.440 --> 0:31:42.000
<v Speaker 1>in late March, hey, Congress, I want I want specific

0:31:42.000 --> 0:31:44.640
<v Speaker 1>tariff authority. I'm going to I'm a better negotiator than

0:31:44.680 --> 0:31:46.920
<v Speaker 1>you are. I'm going to negotiate these trade deals, but

0:31:47.000 --> 0:31:49.840
<v Speaker 1>I need to control the tariff. I need you to

0:31:50.040 --> 0:31:54.080
<v Speaker 1>delegate tariff authority to the president. Let's debate it, let's

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:57.200
<v Speaker 1>vote on it. And there'd have been wouldn't have been easy,

0:31:58.880 --> 0:32:01.800
<v Speaker 1>and he may not have won that argument, but that

0:32:01.960 --> 0:32:04.680
<v Speaker 1>is how you try to win an argument. And then

0:32:04.680 --> 0:32:06.080
<v Speaker 1>if you can't win the argument, then he can go

0:32:06.120 --> 0:32:09.880
<v Speaker 1>find his own Republicans to challenge the primary folks, and

0:32:10.320 --> 0:32:12.360
<v Speaker 1>you try to do it that way. It's what FDR

0:32:12.440 --> 0:32:15.920
<v Speaker 1>would do when he had rakhal centrin Democrats to some

0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:21.200
<v Speaker 1>of his ideas. But he also had pretty decent political

0:32:21.200 --> 0:32:24.760
<v Speaker 1>capital with Republicans in that moment. You certainly know he

0:32:24.800 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 1>would have strong armed the House at that time, right,

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 1>he was pretty much the House speaker at that point,

0:32:30.840 --> 0:32:35.720
<v Speaker 1>and John Thune was in go along, get along mode,

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:37.760
<v Speaker 1>I know, McConnell and you know. And they could have

0:32:37.760 --> 0:32:40.520
<v Speaker 1>done it through the reconciliation process when they were doing

0:32:40.560 --> 0:32:44.680
<v Speaker 1>their big beautiful bill. They were too lazy to pursue

0:32:44.720 --> 0:32:46.280
<v Speaker 1>because it's what was it going to be hard? They

0:32:46.280 --> 0:32:48.760
<v Speaker 1>were going to have to do some good old fashioned

0:32:48.760 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 1>horse trading. But remember, right, the greatest weakness Donald Trump

0:32:54.800 --> 0:32:58.760
<v Speaker 1>has is his laziness. It will always be the key

0:32:59.560 --> 0:33:03.000
<v Speaker 1>as to why he didn't have the success he could

0:33:03.040 --> 0:33:06.560
<v Speaker 1>have had in business. Right. Too lazy in the casino

0:33:06.600 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 1>business to right, he didn't want to deal with competitors,

0:33:09.040 --> 0:33:12.920
<v Speaker 1>so bought them up, drowned himself in debt, and walked away. Right,

0:33:13.000 --> 0:33:16.640
<v Speaker 1>he's just always looking for a shortcut. Right, Donald Trump

0:33:16.640 --> 0:33:21.400
<v Speaker 1>has shortcuted his way to being a billionaire. Good for him.

0:33:23.040 --> 0:33:25.479
<v Speaker 1>He's used the power of the federal government to actually

0:33:25.480 --> 0:33:30.400
<v Speaker 1>make himself a billionaire. Again a shortcut. But as president,

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:33.360
<v Speaker 1>his agenda is failing and he's failing to remake the

0:33:33.400 --> 0:33:36.560
<v Speaker 1>American economy in his vision because he's too lazy to

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:40.080
<v Speaker 1>work with Congress. Bottom line, had he done that, he'd

0:33:40.080 --> 0:33:42.600
<v Speaker 1>have had a shot. Markets would have been calmer, his

0:33:42.680 --> 0:33:46.080
<v Speaker 1>political capital was fresher, Party was more unified in that moment,

0:33:48.280 --> 0:33:50.680
<v Speaker 1>and he wouldn't have gotten all the authority he would

0:33:50.720 --> 0:33:52.760
<v Speaker 1>have wanted, but he would have gotten some targeted authority

0:33:53.280 --> 0:33:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and it would have been legitimate. But again, he didn't

0:33:56.280 --> 0:34:00.000
<v Speaker 1>want to bother He wanted speed, he wanted immediate leverage.

0:34:00.040 --> 0:34:03.800
<v Speaker 1>She wanted unilateral control. But it's lazy because it doing

0:34:03.840 --> 0:34:05.800
<v Speaker 1>it every way I'm describing is a little bit harder.

0:34:06.600 --> 0:34:09.600
<v Speaker 1>It's effort, It takes it. You have to have an

0:34:09.600 --> 0:34:14.440
<v Speaker 1>attention span a little bit greater than a nat Well

0:34:14.640 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 1>we know he doesn't, so he reached for the emergency

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:21.680
<v Speaker 1>powers because they work so well during COVID. So he

0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:26.120
<v Speaker 1>loves these shortcut emergency powers that Stephen Miller consistently finds

0:34:26.160 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 1>for him now, and he didn't want to have a

0:34:28.760 --> 0:34:32.840
<v Speaker 1>debate in his own party, and this avoids deliberation. Well,

0:34:33.040 --> 0:34:37.520
<v Speaker 1>guess what his shortcut ran into Article one. So within

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:40.640
<v Speaker 1>hours of the ruling, Trump announces a new global baseline

0:34:40.680 --> 0:34:44.040
<v Speaker 1>tariff under Section one twenty two of the nineteen seventy

0:34:44.120 --> 0:34:47.400
<v Speaker 1>four Trade Act. So he's going back even further now

0:34:47.960 --> 0:34:52.600
<v Speaker 1>in congressional authorization to try to find a legal way

0:34:52.640 --> 0:34:55.400
<v Speaker 1>around this. By the way, this new fifteen percent flat

0:34:55.440 --> 0:34:58.040
<v Speaker 1>tariff that he's sent across the board expires in one

0:34:58.080 --> 0:35:02.799
<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty days, so it is he's going to

0:35:02.880 --> 0:35:05.120
<v Speaker 1>need to go to Congress if he wants to continue it.

0:35:08.280 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking forward to Congress weighing in on this. This

0:35:11.040 --> 0:35:13.400
<v Speaker 1>is where it belongs, and I think it's going to

0:35:13.440 --> 0:35:16.160
<v Speaker 1>be quite the MRI. We're going to find out where

0:35:16.200 --> 0:35:18.359
<v Speaker 1>the Republican Party is today. Because one thing that has

0:35:18.400 --> 0:35:22.239
<v Speaker 1>been true since Donald Trump took his second oath of office,

0:35:22.280 --> 0:35:27.799
<v Speaker 1>every day he's lost a Republican supporter every day or

0:35:27.840 --> 0:35:32.360
<v Speaker 1>every week, somebody leaves the reservation. Nobody. He has not

0:35:32.760 --> 0:35:36.200
<v Speaker 1>added anybody to his coalition. You see it in the

0:35:36.200 --> 0:35:38.719
<v Speaker 1>form of elected officials breaking from him, and you see

0:35:38.719 --> 0:35:42.000
<v Speaker 1>it obviously in all of these in all of these polls.

0:35:42.520 --> 0:35:46.560
<v Speaker 1>But what his response to this ruling is not good

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:48.520
<v Speaker 1>in the short term. This will be good in the

0:35:48.560 --> 0:35:51.399
<v Speaker 1>long term because we've established some guard raids, but it's

0:35:51.440 --> 0:35:53.120
<v Speaker 1>going to be unstable in the short term. We have

0:35:53.160 --> 0:35:56.600
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of instability where they'll be refunds. Justice Kavanaugh

0:35:56.640 --> 0:35:58.759
<v Speaker 1>warned of chaos. Yeah, I mean, there was no reason

0:35:58.800 --> 0:36:02.919
<v Speaker 1>to violate the Constitution, But there is some truth to this. Yes,

0:36:02.920 --> 0:36:06.200
<v Speaker 1>there's chaos. The importers had to pay billions under this

0:36:06.320 --> 0:36:11.920
<v Speaker 1>i epa misuse of the IEPA authority. They're going to sue.

0:36:12.239 --> 0:36:16.480
<v Speaker 1>They're going to want their money back. Sounds like the

0:36:16.480 --> 0:36:18.440
<v Speaker 1>government's going to fight having to give any of the

0:36:18.480 --> 0:36:23.160
<v Speaker 1>money back. These are lawsuits could take years. It's not

0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:26.720
<v Speaker 1>good for small businesses that need to deal with imports.

0:36:26.760 --> 0:36:29.319
<v Speaker 1>It's not good for any business, but small businesses. Big

0:36:29.360 --> 0:36:33.840
<v Speaker 1>business can can figure out how to mitigate the impact

0:36:33.880 --> 0:36:36.879
<v Speaker 1>of this on their on their bottom lines. They can

0:36:36.920 --> 0:36:39.359
<v Speaker 1>write it down right, they can they can get some

0:36:39.400 --> 0:36:42.480
<v Speaker 1>tax savings out of something like this. But boy, small business,

0:36:42.520 --> 0:36:45.160
<v Speaker 1>this is a killer. That's why it was. NFIB was

0:36:45.480 --> 0:36:47.240
<v Speaker 1>a part of the groups, a part of the bigger

0:36:47.280 --> 0:36:50.880
<v Speaker 1>group of people that were suing over this. And oh,

0:36:50.960 --> 0:36:53.440
<v Speaker 1>by the way, the President just exploded the deficit with

0:36:53.480 --> 0:36:56.560
<v Speaker 1>his illegal tariffs because what looked like was going to

0:36:56.600 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 1>be the ability to actually see some revenue uh come

0:37:01.080 --> 0:37:05.240
<v Speaker 1>into the country used to at least shrink the deficit

0:37:05.360 --> 0:37:07.279
<v Speaker 1>annual deficit. I don't think we were going to make

0:37:07.320 --> 0:37:10.239
<v Speaker 1>any progress on the debt itself. Put to shrink the deficit. Well,

0:37:10.280 --> 0:37:14.000
<v Speaker 1>now if you've removed it, you know he was. Look,

0:37:14.080 --> 0:37:17.879
<v Speaker 1>this has always been part of a larger project. As

0:37:17.920 --> 0:37:20.839
<v Speaker 1>I've tried to let try to walk people through, we're

0:37:20.960 --> 0:37:23.480
<v Speaker 1>ultimately the goal here. The people that have really gotten

0:37:23.480 --> 0:37:25.880
<v Speaker 1>a hold of Trump are the folks that want to

0:37:25.880 --> 0:37:29.080
<v Speaker 1>get rid of income taxes. And you've seen in the States,

0:37:29.120 --> 0:37:31.319
<v Speaker 1>you've seen attempts to get rid of property taxes. There

0:37:31.320 --> 0:37:32.839
<v Speaker 1>are a whole bunch of people that want to move

0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:36.439
<v Speaker 1>all taxation back to being consumption oriented, right, much more

0:37:36.480 --> 0:37:39.240
<v Speaker 1>like a vat tax like the Europeans, right that everything

0:37:39.280 --> 0:37:41.840
<v Speaker 1>is consumption oriented. Well, guess what that was our tax

0:37:41.880 --> 0:37:47.800
<v Speaker 1>policy before we before the sixteenth Amendment and legalized income taxes.

0:37:48.239 --> 0:37:51.680
<v Speaker 1>And you know what, that was worse for everybody, and

0:37:51.760 --> 0:37:54.240
<v Speaker 1>it meant poor people paid a lions share the taxes.

0:37:54.320 --> 0:37:56.759
<v Speaker 1>Rich people hid from paying most taxes because they were

0:37:56.760 --> 0:38:00.200
<v Speaker 1>consumption based and the income and the impact was much

0:38:00.239 --> 0:38:03.080
<v Speaker 1>greater on lower income people than it wasn't higher income people,

0:38:03.160 --> 0:38:06.480
<v Speaker 1>which is what made the income tax popular in that time.

0:38:06.800 --> 0:38:10.359
<v Speaker 1>It was to make the rich start paying their fair share.

0:38:11.760 --> 0:38:14.200
<v Speaker 1>And here we go again, right, it's rich and wealthy people.

0:38:14.239 --> 0:38:17.000
<v Speaker 1>They don't want it. They think that once they have money,

0:38:17.000 --> 0:38:19.320
<v Speaker 1>they shouldn't get taxed on it until they spend it.

0:38:21.080 --> 0:38:26.839
<v Speaker 1>And ditto with their property. Well, good luck funding any

0:38:26.920 --> 0:38:30.600
<v Speaker 1>service that government provides today if you take away income

0:38:30.640 --> 0:38:33.680
<v Speaker 1>taxes and property taxes. But we are going to have

0:38:33.719 --> 0:38:36.279
<v Speaker 1>a ton of instability now for a while. Right, he's

0:38:36.280 --> 0:38:38.320
<v Speaker 1>going to all right, so he found one hundred and

0:38:38.320 --> 0:38:40.239
<v Speaker 1>fifty days worth of ways to do terariffs. So he's

0:38:40.239 --> 0:38:41.799
<v Speaker 1>going to find their sort of five or six my

0:38:41.800 --> 0:38:44.479
<v Speaker 1>friend Bruce Melman, go check out his sub stack. There's

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:49.840
<v Speaker 1>five or six other pieces of various authorities that he

0:38:49.880 --> 0:38:53.960
<v Speaker 1>can start to rebuild his tariff structure, and he'll do that,

0:38:54.440 --> 0:38:59.320
<v Speaker 1>but it's going to cause all sorts of instability in prices.

0:39:00.520 --> 0:39:02.160
<v Speaker 1>Prices aren't going to come down, They're only going to

0:39:02.160 --> 0:39:06.399
<v Speaker 1>go up. And at this point, right you think, oh, great,

0:39:06.400 --> 0:39:08.000
<v Speaker 1>there's going to be no teriff, but as a business

0:39:08.000 --> 0:39:09.520
<v Speaker 1>you have to plan that there's going to be some

0:39:09.520 --> 0:39:16.640
<v Speaker 1>more tariff somewhere. So this is a mess. But you know,

0:39:17.040 --> 0:39:21.640
<v Speaker 1>did anybody expect Donald Trump to leave? I mean, at

0:39:21.640 --> 0:39:25.839
<v Speaker 1>this point, when he leaves office on January twenty, twenty

0:39:25.880 --> 0:39:28.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty nine, we're going to have half the White House

0:39:30.520 --> 0:39:34.000
<v Speaker 1>probably not be rebuilt, a Kennedy Center that's gutted and

0:39:34.040 --> 0:39:43.120
<v Speaker 1>not finished, half built structures, an economy in tatters because

0:39:43.160 --> 0:39:46.319
<v Speaker 1>of the mess he has created with this tariffs. So

0:39:46.400 --> 0:39:49.279
<v Speaker 1>let's zoom out internationally. What's going to happen all these

0:39:49.320 --> 0:39:53.359
<v Speaker 1>trade deals he cut using this illegal tariff authority. How

0:39:53.360 --> 0:39:56.000
<v Speaker 1>many countries are going to say, hey, we want a

0:39:56.040 --> 0:39:58.640
<v Speaker 1>new deal. The deal we cut is no longer operational.

0:40:00.040 --> 0:40:01.799
<v Speaker 1>I think quite a few countries are going to do that.

0:40:03.520 --> 0:40:06.280
<v Speaker 1>So if the tool he used for leverage is unstable,

0:40:06.320 --> 0:40:08.480
<v Speaker 1>then the leverage itself shrinks. And oh, by the way,

0:40:08.480 --> 0:40:11.040
<v Speaker 1>he still hasn't finished this trade deal with China, and

0:40:11.080 --> 0:40:13.959
<v Speaker 1>he's going to meet with she in April. My god,

0:40:14.000 --> 0:40:16.880
<v Speaker 1>has it ever been a better environment for the Chinese

0:40:16.920 --> 0:40:20.760
<v Speaker 1>than the environment Trump has created? Now he's alienated every

0:40:20.880 --> 0:40:25.680
<v Speaker 1>major ally the United States has right handing over China,

0:40:25.840 --> 0:40:28.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, handing, Canada and India, all these in the

0:40:28.680 --> 0:40:34.400
<v Speaker 1>European Union better trade relations with China than with the

0:40:34.480 --> 0:40:39.680
<v Speaker 1>United States. And he has sort of usurped his own

0:40:39.760 --> 0:40:43.239
<v Speaker 1>leverage that he was trying to manufacture in going back

0:40:43.239 --> 0:40:49.160
<v Speaker 1>and forth. Heck of a job, Trumpy, because every foreign

0:40:49.239 --> 0:40:50.640
<v Speaker 1>leader is going to look at the Supreme Court rule

0:40:50.680 --> 0:40:53.440
<v Speaker 1>and go Court's going to intervene. We may there may

0:40:53.480 --> 0:40:57.520
<v Speaker 1>be some refunds. Congress may have to insert its control again.

0:40:58.440 --> 0:41:00.560
<v Speaker 1>Why do we have to negotiate with Trump on these deals?

0:41:01.880 --> 0:41:06.040
<v Speaker 1>So we'll see, it's going to be a mess. But

0:41:06.120 --> 0:41:10.120
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump's been weakened quite a bit. So here's where

0:41:10.120 --> 0:41:13.360
<v Speaker 1>it's going to get interesting politically if this now moves

0:41:13.400 --> 0:41:16.239
<v Speaker 1>to Congress, and we'll see, right Mike Johnson does not

0:41:16.360 --> 0:41:18.719
<v Speaker 1>want to put these votes out there now, I mean

0:41:18.840 --> 0:41:21.360
<v Speaker 1>right now, Trump's going to be super vulnerable to Republicans

0:41:21.360 --> 0:41:24.840
<v Speaker 1>walking away from him right. I mean, we've already seen

0:41:26.719 --> 0:41:29.359
<v Speaker 1>a handful of Republicans, and Trump got angry when when

0:41:29.360 --> 0:41:32.520
<v Speaker 1>a Colorado Republican voted against voted to get rid of

0:41:32.560 --> 0:41:35.080
<v Speaker 1>that symbolic vote to get rid of the Canadian tariffs,

0:41:35.080 --> 0:41:39.400
<v Speaker 1>and Trump withdrew his endorsement endorsed his primary opponent. Now,

0:41:39.760 --> 0:41:42.440
<v Speaker 1>in some ways, if Trump wants to try to purge

0:41:42.440 --> 0:41:48.560
<v Speaker 1>his party and reorient it around his protectionist vision for

0:41:48.719 --> 0:41:51.680
<v Speaker 1>the United States, then this is how he's you know,

0:41:51.760 --> 0:41:53.880
<v Speaker 1>he's going to have to go find more like minded

0:41:53.880 --> 0:41:56.640
<v Speaker 1>folks and get them elected to Congress. But I'll tell

0:41:56.640 --> 0:41:59.560
<v Speaker 1>you this, Colorado's have always been a free trade state.

0:41:59.640 --> 0:42:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Colorad Bhado's was one of those states that you know,

0:42:02.560 --> 0:42:05.319
<v Speaker 1>while they lean left there, they're you know, they're not

0:42:05.360 --> 0:42:08.200
<v Speaker 1>anti right to work, not the most pro union state.

0:42:10.040 --> 0:42:13.560
<v Speaker 1>They don't like tariffs. It's free trade s date. I

0:42:13.600 --> 0:42:17.480
<v Speaker 1>have feeling that Jeff heard, the congressman that Trump once

0:42:17.560 --> 0:42:20.040
<v Speaker 1>endorsed and has now unendorsed, knows his electorate better than

0:42:20.040 --> 0:42:24.160
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump knows that electorate. So bottom line is this

0:42:24.200 --> 0:42:26.799
<v Speaker 1>is an MRI moment for the Republican Party. Right, We're

0:42:26.840 --> 0:42:30.080
<v Speaker 1>going to find out who is still a free market

0:42:30.400 --> 0:42:36.000
<v Speaker 1>conservative and who isn't. So we'll find out if they're

0:42:36.120 --> 0:42:38.399
<v Speaker 1>how big this fracture is. We know there's a small

0:42:38.440 --> 0:42:42.400
<v Speaker 1>fracture in the Republican Party over trading tariffs. We know

0:42:42.440 --> 0:42:46.880
<v Speaker 1>there's a silent minority. I still think it's close to

0:42:46.920 --> 0:42:49.440
<v Speaker 1>a majory, that's close to a majority that doesn't like

0:42:49.480 --> 0:42:54.960
<v Speaker 1>these tariffs, but they're scared to say anything publicly. You've

0:42:54.960 --> 0:42:59.480
<v Speaker 1>got to cover the Supreme Court. Well, we see more folks,

0:43:02.719 --> 0:43:08.240
<v Speaker 1>especially as balloting gets closer, exposed themselves as free marketeers.

0:43:08.800 --> 0:43:13.360
<v Speaker 1>We'll see and there might be votes. A rational reaction

0:43:13.440 --> 0:43:15.960
<v Speaker 1>by a president would be to try to get authority

0:43:15.960 --> 0:43:17.799
<v Speaker 1>in Congress, try to persuade, try to find a way

0:43:17.840 --> 0:43:20.520
<v Speaker 1>to do this. I don't know if he's going to

0:43:20.560 --> 0:43:24.240
<v Speaker 1>try to do this that way. I don't I don't

0:43:24.320 --> 0:43:29.240
<v Speaker 1>expect him. I mean, he's already responded as I mean literally.

0:43:29.520 --> 0:43:33.440
<v Speaker 1>A Democratic strategist said to me, if I could have

0:43:33.520 --> 0:43:37.520
<v Speaker 1>scripted Trump's reaction to this ruling, I couldn't have scripted

0:43:37.560 --> 0:43:41.040
<v Speaker 1>it any better. I mean, is he is owning the

0:43:41.520 --> 0:43:45.480
<v Speaker 1>every tax hike now in the country, every consumer tax hit.

0:43:45.640 --> 0:43:48.320
<v Speaker 1>He just announced a fifteen percent tax hide and consumer

0:43:48.360 --> 0:43:52.439
<v Speaker 1>goods across the board, So you now know that if

0:43:52.440 --> 0:43:55.600
<v Speaker 1>you're paying more, it is directly associated with Trump's economy.

0:43:56.080 --> 0:44:02.440
<v Speaker 1>It's unbelievable, he said in April this would likely end

0:44:02.520 --> 0:44:06.319
<v Speaker 1>in the situation we're in now. The only surprise was

0:44:06.320 --> 0:44:09.279
<v Speaker 1>that the ruling wasn't even more emphatic it was seven

0:44:09.320 --> 0:44:11.759
<v Speaker 1>to two or nine zero. But what happens next is

0:44:11.800 --> 0:44:15.320
<v Speaker 1>far more important. Does Congress reassert its authority in the moment?

0:44:16.239 --> 0:44:20.759
<v Speaker 1>Do we see free market republicans speak out publicly? Does

0:44:20.800 --> 0:44:25.120
<v Speaker 1>the loyalty tests continue by Trump? If Gorsach and Barrett

0:44:25.120 --> 0:44:29.200
<v Speaker 1>are disloyal for reading a statute narrowly, what happens the

0:44:29.239 --> 0:44:32.360
<v Speaker 1>next time the disagreement is over something bigger than tariff's

0:44:33.480 --> 0:44:36.040
<v Speaker 1>So this wasn't about trade policy. This is about how

0:44:36.040 --> 0:44:41.200
<v Speaker 1>we govern and whether we have three co equal branches

0:44:41.239 --> 0:44:48.080
<v Speaker 1>of government. And Donald Trump shortcut just ran straight headlong

0:44:48.400 --> 0:44:53.880
<v Speaker 1>into the brick wall that is the US Constitution. And

0:44:53.920 --> 0:44:57.800
<v Speaker 1>guess what, he's super unpopular at the moment. Let me

0:44:57.840 --> 0:44:59.840
<v Speaker 1>tell you about a new poll in the Washington Post.

0:45:00.200 --> 0:45:02.719
<v Speaker 1>Through this for a few minutes before we get to

0:45:02.760 --> 0:45:05.440
<v Speaker 1>the interview. Now, it's a poll of all adults and

0:45:05.520 --> 0:45:07.960
<v Speaker 1>so far as we've seen the pattern. When it's adults,

0:45:08.080 --> 0:45:10.520
<v Speaker 1>it's his job approval can't get out of the thirties.

0:45:10.760 --> 0:45:13.680
<v Speaker 1>When it's registered voters, you'll see his job approval it's

0:45:13.719 --> 0:45:17.240
<v Speaker 1>somewhere in the forty one forty two percent range. Sixty

0:45:17.239 --> 0:45:22.480
<v Speaker 1>percent disapproved. It's that disapproval number is huge. Here's a

0:45:22.480 --> 0:45:24.560
<v Speaker 1>few more things. Do you approve a disapprove of the

0:45:24.600 --> 0:45:27.279
<v Speaker 1>way Trump is handling This is again Washington Post IPSOS poll.

0:45:27.360 --> 0:45:33.120
<v Speaker 1>So it's a you, gov, i'm, i'm, it's EPSOS. I'M.

0:45:33.440 --> 0:45:36.440
<v Speaker 1>It's not my favorite methodology, but look that ship has sailed,

0:45:38.560 --> 0:45:42.080
<v Speaker 1>but he is upside down on every single issue. He's

0:45:42.120 --> 0:45:45.719
<v Speaker 1>got a majorities disapproving of him on every issue. They

0:45:45.800 --> 0:45:49.880
<v Speaker 1>tested us Mexican border. Fifty percent disapproved of his policy.

0:45:50.040 --> 0:45:52.919
<v Speaker 1>That was the best issue he performed on. Forty seven

0:45:52.920 --> 0:45:56.920
<v Speaker 1>percent approve of his border policy, Fifty eight percent disapprove

0:45:56.920 --> 0:46:00.279
<v Speaker 1>of his immigration policies, fifty seven percent disp proove of

0:46:00.320 --> 0:46:04.080
<v Speaker 1>his handling of the economy, sixty two percent disapprove of

0:46:04.239 --> 0:46:08.160
<v Speaker 1>the relations that he has with other countries, sixty four

0:46:08.200 --> 0:46:12.040
<v Speaker 1>percent disapprove of the tariffs, and sixty five percent hate

0:46:12.040 --> 0:46:17.880
<v Speaker 1>this inflationary Now Here's the thing that ought to scare democrats.

0:46:18.040 --> 0:46:20.480
<v Speaker 1>Americans are split on who they trust to handle the

0:46:20.480 --> 0:46:23.960
<v Speaker 1>country's main problems. Here's the specific wording of the question, overall,

0:46:24.200 --> 0:46:25.680
<v Speaker 1>who do you trust to do a better job handling

0:46:25.680 --> 0:46:29.080
<v Speaker 1>the country's main problems? Trump? Of the Democrats in Congress, well,

0:46:29.160 --> 0:46:33.120
<v Speaker 1>thirty three percent picked Trump, thirty one percent pick Democrats

0:46:33.120 --> 0:46:40.440
<v Speaker 1>in Congress. Thirty one percent said neither. How about that? Right?

0:46:40.480 --> 0:46:42.680
<v Speaker 1>Does that not tell you where America really is? Right?

0:46:42.760 --> 0:46:45.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, you basically have the base of the basis

0:46:45.719 --> 0:46:48.240
<v Speaker 1>of two parties saying one thing and everybody else feeling

0:46:48.920 --> 0:46:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't trust either one of these parties at the moment,

0:46:52.800 --> 0:46:56.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, I continue to wonder is this

0:46:56.719 --> 0:47:00.520
<v Speaker 1>an opportunity for a third party and independent? Does this?

0:47:00.840 --> 0:47:03.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, are Democrats going to realize they have a

0:47:03.680 --> 0:47:07.759
<v Speaker 1>huge problem, that their brand is shit. They are seen

0:47:07.800 --> 0:47:10.680
<v Speaker 1>as way too liberal, way too progressive, way outside the

0:47:10.719 --> 0:47:13.319
<v Speaker 1>mainstream on some of these issues, and this is why

0:47:13.360 --> 0:47:16.640
<v Speaker 1>they don't have confidence and sort of the rest of

0:47:16.680 --> 0:47:20.280
<v Speaker 1>the electorate. Right, the base is animated on hate and Trump,

0:47:22.080 --> 0:47:25.560
<v Speaker 1>and that might be enough in a midterm, but this

0:47:25.640 --> 0:47:29.799
<v Speaker 1>poll is still revealing as again, Donald Trump unpopular in

0:47:29.840 --> 0:47:33.719
<v Speaker 1>every single issue that matters to Americans. The fact that

0:47:33.800 --> 0:47:37.160
<v Speaker 1>this is not a blowout, that Democrats aren't more trusted

0:47:37.239 --> 0:47:40.160
<v Speaker 1>right now to handle everything than Trump by ten or

0:47:40.200 --> 0:47:43.280
<v Speaker 1>fifteen or twenty points, that's a reflection on the Democratic

0:47:45.239 --> 0:47:51.320
<v Speaker 1>That's that's that's just a reminder of a red flag,

0:47:52.040 --> 0:47:54.760
<v Speaker 1>all right. I, Like I said, I've got a terrific

0:47:54.840 --> 0:47:58.879
<v Speaker 1>injury with game to beer here. It is, like I said,

0:47:59.600 --> 0:48:04.440
<v Speaker 1>the perfect neighbor is. I used the MRI metaphor before.

0:48:06.360 --> 0:48:08.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it's an MRI and race and culture in

0:48:08.520 --> 0:48:12.640
<v Speaker 1>America a little bit. Some of our gun laws are

0:48:12.920 --> 0:48:16.760
<v Speaker 1>stay in your ground laws is sort of relevant in here.

0:48:17.000 --> 0:48:21.480
<v Speaker 1>But here's the beauty of this documentary again using only

0:48:21.520 --> 0:48:28.080
<v Speaker 1>footage from body cameras, no narration, no talking heads. It

0:48:28.200 --> 0:48:31.080
<v Speaker 1>is a classication. You get to decide your own reaction

0:48:31.239 --> 0:48:34.960
<v Speaker 1>without letting others try to influence you and tell you

0:48:35.040 --> 0:48:37.719
<v Speaker 1>what you're seeing. You're seeing it all raw and in

0:48:37.760 --> 0:48:42.000
<v Speaker 1>real time. And I highly encourage it. I really do,

0:48:42.040 --> 0:48:47.600
<v Speaker 1>because I think it will when you hear people say that,

0:48:47.800 --> 0:48:52.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, it is just a reminder that that we've

0:48:52.719 --> 0:48:55.279
<v Speaker 1>raised a lot of racists in this country, multiple generations,

0:48:55.560 --> 0:48:57.719
<v Speaker 1>and it's going to take a while for us to

0:48:58.080 --> 0:49:02.520
<v Speaker 1>eradicate that strain, that virus out of the American society.

0:49:04.360 --> 0:49:10.920
<v Speaker 1>We're making progress, not fast enough, and this, this documentary

0:49:11.000 --> 0:49:13.120
<v Speaker 1>will tell you that. So let's sneak in a break.

0:49:13.520 --> 0:49:15.799
<v Speaker 1>And when we come back to my conversation about the

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0:50:43.160 --> 0:50:46.239
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<v Speaker 1>We didn't have any money. He didn't leave us in

0:50:48.719 --> 0:50:53.080
<v Speaker 1>the best shape. My mother, single mother, now widow. Myself

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<v Speaker 1>sixteen trying to figure out how am I going to

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<v Speaker 1>pay for college and lo and behold, my dad had

0:50:58.200 --> 0:51:01.799
<v Speaker 1>one life insurance policy that we wasn't a lot, but

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<v Speaker 1>it was important at the time, and it's why I

0:51:04.800 --> 0:51:07.960
<v Speaker 1>was able to go to college. Little did he know

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<v Speaker 1>something you should really think about it, especially if you've

0:52:17.840 --> 0:52:25.080
<v Speaker 1>got a growing family. Well, let's get into the time

0:52:25.120 --> 0:52:29.319
<v Speaker 1>machine because guess what, let's just say thematically, it sort

0:52:29.320 --> 0:52:32.279
<v Speaker 1>of fits with the with the broader theme of the

0:52:32.280 --> 0:52:37.000
<v Speaker 1>beginning of this podcast, having to do with emergencies and

0:52:37.040 --> 0:52:42.719
<v Speaker 1>how those in power can abuse legislation that gives them

0:52:42.920 --> 0:52:47.680
<v Speaker 1>emergency power. So let's get into the time machine. Where

0:52:47.680 --> 0:52:58.240
<v Speaker 1>are we going. We are going back to February twenty seventh,

0:52:58.320 --> 0:53:02.440
<v Speaker 1>nineteen thirty three. The German parliament building known as the

0:53:02.480 --> 0:53:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Reichstag burned. The fire matters, but the story isn't the flames.

0:53:07.600 --> 0:53:11.520
<v Speaker 1>The real story is how fragile Germany's political system already was,

0:53:12.000 --> 0:53:16.400
<v Speaker 1>how quickly legal authority became a vehicle for authoritarian power.

0:53:17.080 --> 0:53:20.160
<v Speaker 1>And to understand the night of the Reichstag fire, you

0:53:20.239 --> 0:53:23.240
<v Speaker 1>have to understand why Adolf Hitler was even in office

0:53:23.239 --> 0:53:27.839
<v Speaker 1>in the first place. Because he didn't seize power, he

0:53:27.960 --> 0:53:33.640
<v Speaker 1>was handed power. That's how this authoritarian regime in Germany began.

0:53:34.640 --> 0:53:38.520
<v Speaker 1>By the early nineteen thirties, Germany was exhausted. The Great

0:53:38.520 --> 0:53:42.719
<v Speaker 1>Depression had devastated the economy. Remember, America was pursuing that

0:53:42.800 --> 0:53:48.200
<v Speaker 1>horrible protectionist tariff policy that was essentially causing the rise

0:53:48.239 --> 0:53:53.640
<v Speaker 1>of nationalism all around the world. That's my historical opinion.

0:53:54.960 --> 0:53:57.880
<v Speaker 1>But it had devastating impact on the European economy, particularly

0:53:57.880 --> 0:54:02.360
<v Speaker 1>the Germans. Unemployment swords collapsed. Faith in the parliamentary democracy

0:54:02.360 --> 0:54:07.239
<v Speaker 1>in Germany erode it. The president, Paul von Hindenberg, had

0:54:07.239 --> 0:54:12.680
<v Speaker 1>already appointed three chancellors in rapid succession before he ends

0:54:12.719 --> 0:54:16.400
<v Speaker 1>up appointing Adolf Hitler. First it was Heinrich Bruening. He

0:54:16.440 --> 0:54:19.960
<v Speaker 1>governed through the harsh austerity measures during the depression. He

0:54:20.000 --> 0:54:21.720
<v Speaker 1>was the one that had to cut spending and wages

0:54:21.760 --> 0:54:25.200
<v Speaker 1>in hopes of trying to stabilize the currency. Instead, it

0:54:25.320 --> 0:54:29.000
<v Speaker 1>deepened public misery and he lost support inside that parliament.

0:54:29.520 --> 0:54:33.480
<v Speaker 1>Then came Franz von Poppen, who had virtually no base

0:54:33.560 --> 0:54:38.360
<v Speaker 1>inside parliament and ruled almost entirely by presidential emergency decree.

0:54:38.920 --> 0:54:41.759
<v Speaker 1>He alienated both the left and the right and could

0:54:41.760 --> 0:54:45.239
<v Speaker 1>not build a governing coalition. And then the last one

0:54:45.280 --> 0:54:47.200
<v Speaker 1>before Hitler was a gentleman by the name of Kurt

0:54:47.280 --> 0:54:51.000
<v Speaker 1>von Schlatscher, who tried to split the Nazi Party and

0:54:51.080 --> 0:54:55.440
<v Speaker 1>construct a cross party alliance. It failed and he quickly

0:54:55.480 --> 0:55:00.880
<v Speaker 1>lost Hindenburg's confidence. So in under three years, Germany cycled

0:55:00.920 --> 0:55:06.680
<v Speaker 1>through three increasingly unstable governments. And during that entire period

0:55:07.280 --> 0:55:10.600
<v Speaker 1>they had something called Article forty eight, the emergency clause

0:55:10.640 --> 0:55:14.960
<v Speaker 1>of the Weimar Constitution, which was used regularly to bypass

0:55:15.040 --> 0:55:19.879
<v Speaker 1>parliament because parliament was so dysfunctional and divided, so emergency

0:55:19.960 --> 0:55:24.799
<v Speaker 1>rule had already been normalized in German society's some From there,

0:55:26.480 --> 0:55:31.720
<v Speaker 1>Hitler didn't invent the habit. He stippingly stepped into the void.

0:55:31.880 --> 0:55:36.520
<v Speaker 1>So how did Hitler get there? In nineteen thirty two,

0:55:36.520 --> 0:55:39.000
<v Speaker 1>the Nazi Party had surged to become the largest party

0:55:39.040 --> 0:55:42.960
<v Speaker 1>in parliament. It was real popular support, but he did not.

0:55:43.120 --> 0:55:45.280
<v Speaker 1>The Nazi Party did not have a majority in parliament,

0:55:46.120 --> 0:55:48.560
<v Speaker 1>but in the November nineteen thirty two elections the Nazis

0:55:48.600 --> 0:55:53.480
<v Speaker 1>actually lost seats. Momentum was slipping. Hitler was not inevitable,

0:55:55.040 --> 0:56:00.440
<v Speaker 1>But what changed was the calculation of the elites. Again,

0:56:03.000 --> 0:56:07.160
<v Speaker 1>just think about the Republican Party circa twenty sixteen. But

0:56:07.200 --> 0:56:12.560
<v Speaker 1>I digress. So what changed was elite calculation. Conservative insiders,

0:56:12.640 --> 0:56:16.520
<v Speaker 1>especially Franz van Poppin, believe they could use Hitler's popularity

0:56:16.560 --> 0:56:21.080
<v Speaker 1>to stabilize government. They assumed that they would dominate the captain,

0:56:21.960 --> 0:56:26.040
<v Speaker 1>that they could box Hitler in, that his radicalism could

0:56:26.040 --> 0:56:32.440
<v Speaker 1>be managed, that his mass following could be harnessed. Well,

0:56:33.000 --> 0:56:37.120
<v Speaker 1>they were wrong, but they tried so. On January thirtieth,

0:56:37.200 --> 0:56:41.279
<v Speaker 1>nineteen thirty three, Hindenberg appointed Hitler Chancellor. Not because he

0:56:41.320 --> 0:56:44.280
<v Speaker 1>was democratic, not because he had a majority in parliament

0:56:44.320 --> 0:56:47.600
<v Speaker 1>he did not, but because the elites at the time thought, well,

0:56:48.920 --> 0:56:51.319
<v Speaker 1>he's got the biggest block of supporters and we can

0:56:51.360 --> 0:56:56.000
<v Speaker 1>control him, or so they thought, so he gets appointed

0:56:56.080 --> 0:57:00.000
<v Speaker 1>January thirtieth, twenty seven. Twenty eight days later, excuse me.

0:57:01.719 --> 0:57:05.480
<v Speaker 1>February twenty seventh, the Reichstock burns now a Dutch communists

0:57:05.520 --> 0:57:09.240
<v Speaker 1>Marinis vander Lub was arrested at the scene. Most historians

0:57:09.280 --> 0:57:13.800
<v Speaker 1>today believe he likely acted alone. Whether the Nazis helped

0:57:13.960 --> 0:57:17.360
<v Speaker 1>or simply exploited the fire is still debated to this day.

0:57:18.280 --> 0:57:23.160
<v Speaker 1>Right was it an inside job? Was you know? Was

0:57:23.640 --> 0:57:30.320
<v Speaker 1>vander Lubi a patsy? But politically it didn't matter. Hitler

0:57:30.360 --> 0:57:33.560
<v Speaker 1>immediately framed the event as the beginning of a communist uprising,

0:57:34.520 --> 0:57:37.880
<v Speaker 1>and that framing found fertile ground. Enemy of my enemy

0:57:38.400 --> 0:57:42.320
<v Speaker 1>is my ally and everybody feared the communists in Germany.

0:57:43.280 --> 0:57:49.080
<v Speaker 1>Germany had a growing Communist block inside the Reichstock Street.

0:57:49.080 --> 0:57:54.280
<v Speaker 1>Clashes between Nazis and Communists were common. Political violence was

0:57:54.280 --> 0:57:57.600
<v Speaker 1>happening a lot. The violence was real and fear moved quickly.

0:57:58.240 --> 0:58:01.280
<v Speaker 1>So the next day after the fire, twenty eighth, Hindenberg

0:58:01.480 --> 0:58:07.360
<v Speaker 1>signed the Reichstag Fire Decree under Article forty eight. That

0:58:07.440 --> 0:58:12.200
<v Speaker 1>decree suspended, essentially what is the equivalent of our first Amendment.

0:58:12.480 --> 0:58:15.720
<v Speaker 1>It suspended freedom of speech, freedom of the press, freedom

0:58:15.760 --> 0:58:22.080
<v Speaker 1>of assembly, protections against arrest without charge. This was constitutional authority,

0:58:23.720 --> 0:58:33.040
<v Speaker 1>legal authority. Their constitution essentially created a dictatorship. Legally. Thousands

0:58:33.040 --> 0:58:36.320
<v Speaker 1>of communists were arrested immediately, their ability to organize a

0:58:36.400 --> 0:58:40.040
<v Speaker 1>campaign was crippled. And then here's the here's the key

0:58:40.040 --> 0:58:42.160
<v Speaker 1>with it. A week later, they're holding elections anyway, They

0:58:42.160 --> 0:58:45.240
<v Speaker 1>were having another round of elections in March. So on

0:58:45.280 --> 0:58:48.920
<v Speaker 1>March fifth, nineteen thirty three, Germany votes. The Nazi Party

0:58:48.960 --> 0:58:51.560
<v Speaker 1>receives forty three point nine percent of the vote two

0:58:51.640 --> 0:58:55.320
<v Speaker 1>hundred and eighty eight seats, not a majority. Even after

0:58:55.360 --> 0:58:59.200
<v Speaker 1>the fire, even after the repression, the Nazis did not

0:58:59.360 --> 0:59:02.880
<v Speaker 1>command a p a majority of German voters. But here's

0:59:02.880 --> 0:59:06.680
<v Speaker 1>where the mechanics mattered. The Communist Party won about twelve

0:59:06.720 --> 0:59:10.760
<v Speaker 1>percent in that election, but many of its deputies were

0:59:10.800 --> 0:59:13.600
<v Speaker 1>prevented from taking their seats. They wouldn't let the Communists

0:59:13.600 --> 0:59:18.520
<v Speaker 1>in there. So it you take away the Communists, suddenly

0:59:19.840 --> 0:59:23.240
<v Speaker 1>that looks like they do have a majority. So when

0:59:23.280 --> 0:59:25.880
<v Speaker 1>you combined with conservative allies, the Nazis had the numbers

0:59:25.880 --> 0:59:29.320
<v Speaker 1>to move forward. Later in March, they passed something called

0:59:29.320 --> 0:59:34.480
<v Speaker 1>the Enabling Act, in a granted Hitler's cabinet authority to

0:59:34.640 --> 0:59:42.520
<v Speaker 1>legislate without parliamentary approval. Just they just he would decree.

0:59:42.560 --> 0:59:45.720
<v Speaker 1>There was no more legislative branch in Germany at this point.

0:59:47.480 --> 0:59:49.480
<v Speaker 1>By the way, to get this passed, it required two

0:59:49.520 --> 0:59:54.960
<v Speaker 1>thirds majority. The legislature basically voted to eradicate its existence.

0:59:57.080 --> 0:59:59.640
<v Speaker 1>And why did it pass because the Communist Party members

0:59:59.680 --> 1:00:03.080
<v Speaker 1>weren't a to vote, they were absent. Some opposition members

1:00:03.120 --> 1:00:08.520
<v Speaker 1>were simply intimidated by the Nazi thugs. Conservative parties calculated

1:00:08.520 --> 1:00:14.200
<v Speaker 1>that cooperation was safer than resistance. Again go back to

1:00:14.280 --> 1:00:21.720
<v Speaker 1>nine twenty sixtey. Sorry, the authoritarian turned required votes, it

1:00:21.800 --> 1:00:26.800
<v Speaker 1>required signatures, it required a legal procedure. The German dictatorship

1:00:27.120 --> 1:00:33.680
<v Speaker 1>was done via constitutional rules. Why did it work well?

1:00:33.680 --> 1:00:37.080
<v Speaker 1>By February nineteen thirty three, emergency governance had already been normalized,

1:00:37.720 --> 1:00:41.760
<v Speaker 1>Parliament had already been weakened in Germany. The economic crisis

1:00:41.760 --> 1:00:45.400
<v Speaker 1>had eroded faith in liberal democracy in general. What they

1:00:45.440 --> 1:00:50.000
<v Speaker 1>looked around and wasn't working. People didn't like people didn't

1:00:50.120 --> 1:00:54.040
<v Speaker 1>like that economy. Elites believed the temporary authoritarian measures would

1:00:54.080 --> 1:00:59.480
<v Speaker 1>restore order. So the Reichstag fire did not create authoritarianism,

1:00:59.600 --> 1:01:02.320
<v Speaker 1>but it accelerated a system that was already leaning in

1:01:02.360 --> 1:01:07.360
<v Speaker 1>that direction. And that's what's so always been so unsettling

1:01:07.400 --> 1:01:11.320
<v Speaker 1>about this incident and history, because the incident is not

1:01:11.400 --> 1:01:15.280
<v Speaker 1>the fire or the arson. The most unsettling part of

1:01:15.320 --> 1:01:20.960
<v Speaker 1>this story is its legality. German democracy didn't collapse because

1:01:21.080 --> 1:01:24.280
<v Speaker 1>laws were ignored, just the opposite. It collapsed because the

1:01:24.360 --> 1:01:28.200
<v Speaker 1>laws were used expansively. But they were used, and they

1:01:28.200 --> 1:01:33.560
<v Speaker 1>were used under crisis conditions. Emergency powers are not inherently authoritarian.

1:01:34.840 --> 1:01:39.800
<v Speaker 1>It's who uses those emergency powers. But when crisis becomes

1:01:39.800 --> 1:01:45.160
<v Speaker 1>the organizing principle of governance and legislatures differ rather than

1:01:45.200 --> 1:01:51.520
<v Speaker 1>assert authority. Emergency becomes permanence. Hitler did not overthrow the

1:01:51.560 --> 1:01:56.000
<v Speaker 1>system in one night. He operated within it, stretched it

1:01:56.120 --> 1:02:01.840
<v Speaker 1>until it snapped, and then created his own scary version.

1:02:03.480 --> 1:02:10.000
<v Speaker 1>The reichs Dog didn't fall in flames, It fell with signatures. Boy,

1:02:10.680 --> 1:02:15.320
<v Speaker 1>such a reminder. History doesn't repeat, but it certainly does

1:02:15.400 --> 1:02:27.640
<v Speaker 1>run all right, little question time, By the way, I

1:02:27.720 --> 1:02:29.920
<v Speaker 1>might as well share this with you so that don't

1:02:30.000 --> 1:02:33.760
<v Speaker 1>name anything Hindenburg because Hindenburg is a politician and Hindenburg

1:02:33.840 --> 1:02:37.320
<v Speaker 1>is alm all End in catastrophe. That's the real takeaway.

1:02:37.360 --> 1:02:40.040
<v Speaker 1>That's my other takeaway from our time machine history of

1:02:40.080 --> 1:02:43.040
<v Speaker 1>the Reichstug fire. But anyway, let's take some questions. Ask Chuck.

1:02:44.880 --> 1:02:46.320
<v Speaker 1>This comes from Jaye New York, and he says, hey,

1:02:46.320 --> 1:02:49.000
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned last week that populism almost always leads to

1:02:49.000 --> 1:02:52.240
<v Speaker 1>with anti semitism. It is an accurate correlation with some

1:02:52.280 --> 1:02:55.040
<v Speaker 1>obvious historical examples Hitler's Germany. But my question is why

1:02:55.080 --> 1:02:57.919
<v Speaker 1>does populism lead to anti Semitism? Is it simply because

1:02:57.960 --> 1:03:01.160
<v Speaker 1>populis often look for a scapegoat and Jewish people provide

1:03:01.160 --> 1:03:03.880
<v Speaker 1>an easy target As a non Jewish person, I've accepted

1:03:03.920 --> 1:03:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the correlation of populism anti Semitism. I've never really considered

1:03:07.080 --> 1:03:11.640
<v Speaker 1>the why Jay, It's an excellent question. I think one

1:03:11.760 --> 1:03:19.480
<v Speaker 1>is we're a super small minority already. Two that's so,

1:03:19.920 --> 1:03:28.439
<v Speaker 1>and minorities get scapegoated generally. Two Jews do punch above

1:03:28.440 --> 1:03:33.160
<v Speaker 1>their weight in corporate America, in the finance world. So

1:03:33.640 --> 1:03:41.240
<v Speaker 1>in tough economic times, it becomes if you already, especially

1:03:41.280 --> 1:03:45.960
<v Speaker 1>if you you know, look, there's less anti Semitism in

1:03:46.000 --> 1:03:49.000
<v Speaker 1>South Florida because there's more Jews that live in South Florida, right,

1:03:49.600 --> 1:03:51.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're to me, the correlation of anti Semitism

1:03:52.040 --> 1:03:56.760
<v Speaker 1>usually is where there's fewer Jews. Right Wherever you see

1:03:56.760 --> 1:03:58.800
<v Speaker 1>the least amount of Jews, you'll see the most amount

1:03:58.800 --> 1:04:03.520
<v Speaker 1>of anti Semitism. Some of it's driven by some some

1:04:04.520 --> 1:04:08.520
<v Speaker 1>hateful sects of Christianity, not Christianity itself, but there are

1:04:08.640 --> 1:04:13.280
<v Speaker 1>some sort of sex that most Christians would denounce, that

1:04:13.280 --> 1:04:20.760
<v Speaker 1>that that use religion to sort of teach hate of Jews.

1:04:21.400 --> 1:04:27.920
<v Speaker 1>But it's it, I've all, you know, look as I

1:04:27.960 --> 1:04:30.360
<v Speaker 1>look at it, and you're just like I just I

1:04:30.520 --> 1:04:33.440
<v Speaker 1>find it amusing that this tiny you know that that

1:04:34.000 --> 1:04:37.160
<v Speaker 1>we Jews here that were like point three percent of

1:04:37.160 --> 1:04:41.160
<v Speaker 1>the globe's population or something like that. And yet we're

1:04:42.200 --> 1:04:47.000
<v Speaker 1>and in fact, we're still below our population high are

1:04:47.080 --> 1:04:50.000
<v Speaker 1>below the popular what the Jewish population of the globe

1:04:50.040 --> 1:04:55.360
<v Speaker 1>was pre World War Two. And you know, we're apparently,

1:04:55.680 --> 1:04:58.439
<v Speaker 1>you know, behind all these incredible conspiracies. So we really,

1:04:58.440 --> 1:05:03.919
<v Speaker 1>I guess, punch above our weight. But look, it's always

1:05:03.960 --> 1:05:08.880
<v Speaker 1>easy to scapegoat entities you don't know. And it's still

1:05:08.880 --> 1:05:11.760
<v Speaker 1>there are still huge pockets in this country, huge pockets

1:05:11.760 --> 1:05:14.600
<v Speaker 1>around the world that no Jewish people exist, but have

1:05:14.720 --> 1:05:18.560
<v Speaker 1>never met one. So when you have not when you

1:05:18.560 --> 1:05:21.760
<v Speaker 1>don't know anybody as a three dimensional figure, it's easy

1:05:21.800 --> 1:05:30.120
<v Speaker 1>to turn them into sort of two dimensional enemies. It's

1:05:30.240 --> 1:05:36.960
<v Speaker 1>the best explanation I have. But it is, you know,

1:05:37.560 --> 1:05:39.920
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate that. I mean, it's interesting the way you

1:05:40.160 --> 1:05:42.400
<v Speaker 1>word it, you sort of you accept you accept that

1:05:42.440 --> 1:05:45.000
<v Speaker 1>as an accurate correlation. I mean, it just it just

1:05:45.160 --> 1:05:52.440
<v Speaker 1>is always what happens. I think sometimes we forget that,

1:05:52.520 --> 1:05:58.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, bad ideas are usually not rational. Maybe that's

1:05:58.400 --> 1:06:01.600
<v Speaker 1>a better way to look at it. Next question comes

1:06:01.640 --> 1:06:06.880
<v Speaker 1>from Bills from Newburg, Oregon, but he says temporarily Falls Church, Virginia. Well,

1:06:06.880 --> 1:06:10.160
<v Speaker 1>it's nice to have you as a neighbor. Bill, he says,

1:06:10.240 --> 1:06:12.280
<v Speaker 1>I think if you answer this one, then I'll enter

1:06:12.320 --> 1:06:14.320
<v Speaker 1>the five timers club. If that means that you've read

1:06:14.360 --> 1:06:16.560
<v Speaker 1>five of my questions on here. If you do honor

1:06:16.560 --> 1:06:19.200
<v Speaker 1>me thus, I humbly thank you. Is this the first

1:06:19.240 --> 1:06:22.160
<v Speaker 1>administration that runs the most like a business that you've

1:06:22.200 --> 1:06:25.000
<v Speaker 1>ever seen? Long a mantra Republicans, I think they finally

1:06:25.040 --> 1:06:27.960
<v Speaker 1>got their wish and this administration is run the most

1:06:28.080 --> 1:06:30.800
<v Speaker 1>like a business or any other. Your defense of Casey

1:06:30.800 --> 1:06:33.200
<v Speaker 1>Watperson's Corporation is acting rightly in the face of the

1:06:33.240 --> 1:06:35.320
<v Speaker 1>Epstein files made me shake my head. I think this

1:06:35.400 --> 1:06:38.320
<v Speaker 1>administration is handling the Epstein files exactly the way a

1:06:38.360 --> 1:06:41.560
<v Speaker 1>corporation's pr department went. I often say, go Kaines, but

1:06:41.640 --> 1:06:44.600
<v Speaker 1>this time I'll say, go Seahawks, my adopted team. Thanks

1:06:44.640 --> 1:06:51.000
<v Speaker 1>Billis I didn't know I was defending the Casey Washerman

1:06:51.680 --> 1:06:55.960
<v Speaker 1>Corporation ex actly rightly in the face anyway. Not quite sure.

1:06:56.600 --> 1:06:59.720
<v Speaker 1>I get the question you're asking if it's running more

1:06:59.720 --> 1:07:03.640
<v Speaker 1>than well, Well, it depends on if by running the business,

1:07:03.680 --> 1:07:07.560
<v Speaker 1>do you do what's in the best interest. A business

1:07:07.640 --> 1:07:09.280
<v Speaker 1>is supposed to do what's in the best interest of

1:07:09.280 --> 1:07:15.040
<v Speaker 1>its bottom line. The question does Donald Trump run this

1:07:15.120 --> 1:07:17.320
<v Speaker 1>administration and the best interests of the bottom line of

1:07:17.360 --> 1:07:20.280
<v Speaker 1>the United States, or does he run it in the

1:07:20.320 --> 1:07:23.280
<v Speaker 1>best interests of the bottom line of Donald Trump. I

1:07:23.320 --> 1:07:28.240
<v Speaker 1>know that sounds a bit sort of like hyperbole, but

1:07:28.920 --> 1:07:31.880
<v Speaker 1>I feel like he makes more decisions based on what's

1:07:32.040 --> 1:07:35.520
<v Speaker 1>in his best interest in the private sector, he and

1:07:35.560 --> 1:07:38.200
<v Speaker 1>his friends, et cetera. But it's not always in the

1:07:38.200 --> 1:07:40.800
<v Speaker 1>best interest of the bottom line of the United States.

1:07:42.360 --> 1:07:48.400
<v Speaker 1>So that's where you know, he's picking winners and losers.

1:07:48.400 --> 1:07:53.400
<v Speaker 1>So I don't I understand the I understand the premise

1:07:53.440 --> 1:07:56.120
<v Speaker 1>here question. I just don't see the evidence that he

1:07:56.200 --> 1:07:59.840
<v Speaker 1>is running it like a US. If he's running it

1:07:59.880 --> 1:08:02.560
<v Speaker 1>like a business, he's not running it like a business

1:08:02.600 --> 1:08:06.040
<v Speaker 1>that wants to grow, expand and be successful over time. Right,

1:08:06.320 --> 1:08:08.640
<v Speaker 1>it feels like he's running it more like how does

1:08:08.960 --> 1:08:12.840
<v Speaker 1>a legacy business that's trying to survive rather than thrive.

1:08:16.840 --> 1:08:19.360
<v Speaker 1>But I've always you know, if you ran the government

1:08:19.520 --> 1:08:25.320
<v Speaker 1>like a business, you would you probably would get rid

1:08:25.320 --> 1:08:29.720
<v Speaker 1>of a lot of poverty measures because they, you know,

1:08:29.760 --> 1:08:33.040
<v Speaker 1>you might get rid of. You might not stockpile as

1:08:33.120 --> 1:08:38.800
<v Speaker 1>much defense weaponry either, Right, you know, so there'd be

1:08:38.800 --> 1:08:40.960
<v Speaker 1>a lot of regulation, a lot more regulation you might

1:08:40.960 --> 1:08:46.479
<v Speaker 1>get rid of if you were running it like a business. Anyway,

1:08:46.520 --> 1:08:48.839
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he's running it in the best interests

1:08:48.840 --> 1:08:53.160
<v Speaker 1>of the US government's bottom line. I think ultimately, if

1:08:53.200 --> 1:08:55.400
<v Speaker 1>he's running it like a business, he's running it in

1:08:55.479 --> 1:09:00.759
<v Speaker 1>the best interests of his own bottom line. I'm trying

1:09:00.760 --> 1:09:03.200
<v Speaker 1>to see where you caught what I was saying about

1:09:03.280 --> 1:09:07.680
<v Speaker 1>Casey Wasserman, and how you any I wasn't defect. I

1:09:07.760 --> 1:09:12.640
<v Speaker 1>look at the Casey Wasserman situation and think, you know,

1:09:12.640 --> 1:09:14.960
<v Speaker 1>I was talking with the journalists who said that they

1:09:15.040 --> 1:09:16.920
<v Speaker 1>they had a line. The way they were dealing with

1:09:16.960 --> 1:09:21.960
<v Speaker 1>it is anybody with Epstein ties pre two thousand and seven,

1:09:22.120 --> 1:09:26.040
<v Speaker 1>they weren't going to treat treat like what were you

1:09:26.160 --> 1:09:31.320
<v Speaker 1>thinking that they were willing to give anybody preos basically

1:09:31.400 --> 1:09:34.160
<v Speaker 1>pre charges being brought against him some benefit of that.

1:09:35.520 --> 1:09:37.880
<v Speaker 1>There's a middle ground of people that sort of still

1:09:37.960 --> 1:09:40.320
<v Speaker 1>kept in touch with him and then until he you know,

1:09:40.439 --> 1:09:43.360
<v Speaker 1>then and then walked after that, and then there's anybody

1:09:43.360 --> 1:09:45.880
<v Speaker 1>that you dealt with him after two thousand and nine,

1:09:45.920 --> 1:09:48.680
<v Speaker 1>you don't, right. Wasserman is one of the few that

1:09:49.400 --> 1:09:53.599
<v Speaker 1>is being punished for emails that go back to twenty

1:09:53.640 --> 1:09:57.760
<v Speaker 1>oh two, twenty o three that don't seem to go there.

1:09:57.760 --> 1:09:59.920
<v Speaker 1>So that would be one, but it is, you know,

1:10:02.160 --> 1:10:04.720
<v Speaker 1>and yes, I do agree that the Epstein files in

1:10:04.760 --> 1:10:07.880
<v Speaker 1>that sense are being Yes, the handling of that on

1:10:08.000 --> 1:10:10.840
<v Speaker 1>a pr level, I'll give you that that right. The

1:10:11.200 --> 1:10:13.439
<v Speaker 1>best way of business would do is just put it

1:10:13.479 --> 1:10:16.320
<v Speaker 1>all out there, make every you know, don't organize it

1:10:16.320 --> 1:10:18.760
<v Speaker 1>for people. Make other people have to figure it out.

1:10:18.760 --> 1:10:20.880
<v Speaker 1>The problem with this is that every couple of days

1:10:20.920 --> 1:10:23.120
<v Speaker 1>there's like a new It feels like a new development

1:10:23.160 --> 1:10:26.680
<v Speaker 1>because you know, somebody is, you know, methodically. You know,

1:10:26.760 --> 1:10:30.720
<v Speaker 1>there's hundreds and thousands of people methodically going through these

1:10:31.320 --> 1:10:35.240
<v Speaker 1>these files, and there's always something new to find. And

1:10:35.439 --> 1:10:38.439
<v Speaker 1>again you look around. I mean, I miss this. I'm

1:10:38.200 --> 1:10:40.880
<v Speaker 1>a I'm an adjunct professor at USC. Apparently we had

1:10:40.880 --> 1:10:43.439
<v Speaker 1>some USC professors get caught up in the Epstein files.

1:10:45.040 --> 1:10:47.840
<v Speaker 1>So this has been like a machine gun that went

1:10:47.880 --> 1:10:55.280
<v Speaker 1>off erratically and bullets went everywhere, and everybody's paying a

1:10:55.320 --> 1:10:58.040
<v Speaker 1>price except Donald Trump. I think Donald Trump's paying a

1:10:58.040 --> 1:11:00.880
<v Speaker 1>price too, right, you know, is he going to pay

1:11:00.880 --> 1:11:03.760
<v Speaker 1>a direct price or does he pay an indirect political price,

1:11:03.800 --> 1:11:09.400
<v Speaker 1>and I think he's paying the indirect political price more importantly, Bill,

1:11:09.760 --> 1:11:11.840
<v Speaker 1>if that is your five timer, congrats, welcome to the

1:11:11.880 --> 1:11:15.760
<v Speaker 1>five Timers club. Maybe we should get mugs or something,

1:11:15.840 --> 1:11:20.719
<v Speaker 1>get some swag for that as well. Next question comes

1:11:20.720 --> 1:11:23.480
<v Speaker 1>from Philip and Biloxi. He says, Hey, they're my Congressman.

1:11:23.520 --> 1:11:28.320
<v Speaker 1>Mike Eazel surprisingly is embracing the Supreme Court's decision. He

1:11:28.360 --> 1:11:31.720
<v Speaker 1>was interviewed locally on WLOX where he said, and I'm paraphrasing,

1:11:31.760 --> 1:11:33.120
<v Speaker 1>we may not like it, but the Supreme Court is

1:11:33.120 --> 1:11:34.439
<v Speaker 1>the final word, and we have to obey the law

1:11:34.439 --> 1:11:36.800
<v Speaker 1>of the land. He's also running a local radio that

1:11:37.040 --> 1:11:40.479
<v Speaker 1>says something like, thanks to Trump and Eazel, the economy

1:11:40.520 --> 1:11:42.639
<v Speaker 1>is booming and we're living in a golden age. Which

1:11:42.680 --> 1:11:44.719
<v Speaker 1>is why I say it's surprising because he normally echoes

1:11:44.760 --> 1:11:46.720
<v Speaker 1>all of Trump's talking points. Thanks also for being the

1:11:46.720 --> 1:11:50.920
<v Speaker 1>only national voice I know that occasionally speaks about Mississippi politics.

1:11:51.000 --> 1:11:58.400
<v Speaker 1>Philip and Biloxi, Well, you know, that's very heartening to hear,

1:11:58.600 --> 1:12:03.360
<v Speaker 1>and I think it is a reminder that I do

1:12:03.400 --> 1:12:06.479
<v Speaker 1>take the more optimistic approach about elected officials that most

1:12:06.479 --> 1:12:08.720
<v Speaker 1>of them do want to accept the structure of the

1:12:08.720 --> 1:12:12.439
<v Speaker 1>constitution that really the most abusive, the person that has

1:12:12.479 --> 1:12:14.280
<v Speaker 1>the least amount of respect for it is the guy

1:12:14.360 --> 1:12:17.679
<v Speaker 1>sitting in the Oval office. And and yes, you certainly

1:12:17.720 --> 1:12:20.560
<v Speaker 1>have people who don't want to look like they're on

1:12:20.600 --> 1:12:24.479
<v Speaker 1>the wrong side. And notice how you know that there's

1:12:24.520 --> 1:12:28.400
<v Speaker 1>different ways you can sort of accept well, Supreme Court

1:12:28.479 --> 1:12:32.400
<v Speaker 1>the law of the land. He doesn't want to get

1:12:32.439 --> 1:12:35.719
<v Speaker 1>caught being anti Trump, but he may be very happy

1:12:35.720 --> 1:12:40.320
<v Speaker 1>that this happened, you know. So the point is is

1:12:40.360 --> 1:12:44.360
<v Speaker 1>that given where he is at, you know, I think

1:12:44.400 --> 1:12:48.480
<v Speaker 1>the the he couldn't get caught pushing, you know, publicly

1:12:48.960 --> 1:12:52.120
<v Speaker 1>celebrating the Supreme Court ruling. So I think there's a difference, Right,

1:12:52.920 --> 1:12:56.479
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious to see who celebrates it, who uses this

1:12:56.560 --> 1:12:58.759
<v Speaker 1>as a moment. You know, who else is Don Bacon

1:12:59.000 --> 1:13:03.599
<v Speaker 1>not running for reelection? Right, who else goes that far

1:13:03.680 --> 1:13:09.799
<v Speaker 1>out on the limb on that? But and let's see,

1:13:10.160 --> 1:13:11.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, what does he do if he does have

1:13:11.880 --> 1:13:14.720
<v Speaker 1>to vote in Congress on any of these things. I'm

1:13:14.760 --> 1:13:16.880
<v Speaker 1>not convinced that Trump wants to go do that, but

1:13:16.920 --> 1:13:22.799
<v Speaker 1>we'll see. Next question comes from an elected official, John

1:13:23.160 --> 1:13:28.360
<v Speaker 1>m imperially, a mayor from New Jersey, and he writes, first, Chuck,

1:13:28.400 --> 1:13:30.960
<v Speaker 1>thank you for the tododcast political junkie and amateur historians

1:13:31.040 --> 1:13:32.960
<v Speaker 1>dream come true. I'm the mayor of a small town

1:13:33.000 --> 1:13:35.000
<v Speaker 1>in New Jersey and frequently electure on American history and

1:13:35.040 --> 1:13:38.080
<v Speaker 1>specifically the Constitution from a quote citizen's point of view.

1:13:38.120 --> 1:13:40.680
<v Speaker 1>So here's my question. What if the Constitutional Convention had

1:13:40.680 --> 1:13:43.160
<v Speaker 1>been held in the spring or fall of seventeen eighty

1:13:43.160 --> 1:13:45.120
<v Speaker 1>seven rather than the summer. My point is that the

1:13:45.120 --> 1:13:47.360
<v Speaker 1>delegates of the Constitutional Convention could not wait to get

1:13:47.360 --> 1:13:50.160
<v Speaker 1>out of the hot, muggy, miserable Philadelphia that summer. The

1:13:50.200 --> 1:13:52.920
<v Speaker 1>result of brilliant constitution and principle, but with way too

1:13:53.000 --> 1:13:56.200
<v Speaker 1>many particulars rushed over and not properly thought out. One

1:13:56.240 --> 1:13:58.040
<v Speaker 1>other thought for you is to throw out in your

1:13:58.080 --> 1:14:00.639
<v Speaker 1>toddcast exactly who are the founding father. There's the fifty

1:14:00.680 --> 1:14:03.120
<v Speaker 1>six men who signed the Declaration of Independence, the thirty

1:14:03.200 --> 1:14:05.640
<v Speaker 1>nine men who signed the Constitution, or the six men

1:14:05.640 --> 1:14:07.800
<v Speaker 1>who signed both. And when I asked, who do the

1:14:07.840 --> 1:14:10.120
<v Speaker 1>six men who signed both are, no one gets it right.

1:14:10.160 --> 1:14:14.639
<v Speaker 1>They are George Climber, George Reed, Roger Sherman, Robert Morris,

1:14:14.920 --> 1:14:21.920
<v Speaker 1>James Wilson, and Benjamin Franklin mayor imperiality. First of all,

1:14:21.960 --> 1:14:25.240
<v Speaker 1>I want to come visit your town. Love love hearing this,

1:14:25.680 --> 1:14:30.880
<v Speaker 1>appreciate you loving the history part. I think you had

1:14:30.920 --> 1:14:33.360
<v Speaker 1>to sign both. I think to be founding father. So

1:14:33.520 --> 1:14:37.080
<v Speaker 1>let's go at the six, right, they should they shouldn't.

1:14:37.160 --> 1:14:39.679
<v Speaker 1>We probably should make a bigger deal out of them.

1:14:39.880 --> 1:14:43.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, I have confessed a few times that I'm

1:14:43.160 --> 1:14:46.080
<v Speaker 1>a sports card junkie. I guess you called it a

1:14:46.080 --> 1:14:50.960
<v Speaker 1>baseball card junkie. In two thousand and nine, Tops put

1:14:50.960 --> 1:14:54.479
<v Speaker 1>out an American history set and it was great. It

1:14:54.560 --> 1:14:57.719
<v Speaker 1>had like little insert sets of Medal of Honor winners,

1:14:57.720 --> 1:14:59.680
<v Speaker 1>and it was every Medal of Honor winner up through

1:14:59.680 --> 1:15:03.320
<v Speaker 1>two nine, give you a little and I I just

1:15:03.400 --> 1:15:06.200
<v Speaker 1>loved it. I you know, my daughter was five at

1:15:06.240 --> 1:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>the time. And so I made a big deal and

1:15:08.200 --> 1:15:10.120
<v Speaker 1>we built we have this great album of it and

1:15:10.160 --> 1:15:13.439
<v Speaker 1>all this stuff, and and it has a whole bunch

1:15:13.479 --> 1:15:16.240
<v Speaker 1>of subsets of those that signed the Constitution and those

1:15:16.280 --> 1:15:19.400
<v Speaker 1>that signed the Declaration of Independence. But we really ought

1:15:19.439 --> 1:15:22.840
<v Speaker 1>to say, make a bigger deal on the six, you know.

1:15:23.400 --> 1:15:25.439
<v Speaker 1>And you know, at least one is a name that

1:15:25.479 --> 1:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>most people already know of Benjamin Frank. So it's a

1:15:28.439 --> 1:15:31.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a pretty good it's a pretty good place to start.

1:15:35.360 --> 1:15:39.680
<v Speaker 1>But that's a kudos. Let's make those Let's make the

1:15:39.880 --> 1:15:44.680
<v Speaker 1>uh the founding six. Let's maybe over time we give

1:15:44.680 --> 1:15:47.479
<v Speaker 1>them more and more of their due. Thanks for listening

1:15:47.520 --> 1:15:51.160
<v Speaker 1>and thanks for your service. John another New Jersey and

1:15:51.360 --> 1:15:53.280
<v Speaker 1>writes in this is John from New Jersey. I don't

1:15:53.280 --> 1:15:56.439
<v Speaker 1>think it's the same John, any rights. Was waiting to

1:15:56.479 --> 1:15:58.600
<v Speaker 1>hear your thoughts on these two news bits. One that

1:15:58.680 --> 1:16:02.639
<v Speaker 1>Gallup ending its presidential poll in two and Alila Mahea

1:16:02.880 --> 1:16:05.280
<v Speaker 1>is beating Tom Malinowski in New Jersey special election. I

1:16:05.280 --> 1:16:07.400
<v Speaker 1>think it's upsetting the Gallup is choosing to stop polling

1:16:07.400 --> 1:16:10.519
<v Speaker 1>presidential approval rather than report on the current administration's port rating.

1:16:10.520 --> 1:16:12.760
<v Speaker 1>Do you see other firms mimicking this? And what are

1:16:12.800 --> 1:16:14.560
<v Speaker 1>your thoughts on Mahia's win. I'm curious about how the

1:16:14.600 --> 1:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>June primary will go if there's more of a consolidation

1:16:16.520 --> 1:16:18.760
<v Speaker 1>in that primary, But it looks like the establishment is

1:16:18.760 --> 1:16:23.679
<v Speaker 1>already called lest a rounder. I did some Gallup thoughts

1:16:23.680 --> 1:16:26.479
<v Speaker 1>on my sub stack last week. If you wanted to

1:16:26.520 --> 1:16:29.640
<v Speaker 1>read those, I you know, it's funny when you're in

1:16:29.720 --> 1:16:35.679
<v Speaker 1>this When you're making content in multiple places, you touch everything.

1:16:35.760 --> 1:16:37.960
<v Speaker 1>You don't know if you've touched everything in every place,

1:16:38.760 --> 1:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>and I have not, you are correct. I have not

1:16:41.479 --> 1:16:44.160
<v Speaker 1>touched New Jersey eleven here. I've done it in a

1:16:44.160 --> 1:16:45.680
<v Speaker 1>couple other spots. I think I did it with the

1:16:45.680 --> 1:16:49.200
<v Speaker 1>Silissa podcast, and we haven't touched and Gallop. I don't

1:16:49.240 --> 1:16:51.920
<v Speaker 1>think I mentioned on the podcast maybe quickly in passing,

1:16:52.040 --> 1:16:56.719
<v Speaker 1>but I did write up on gal I look, first

1:16:56.720 --> 1:17:00.000
<v Speaker 1>of all, parse the announcement very very carefully from Gallup.

1:17:00.760 --> 1:17:04.120
<v Speaker 1>Gallup said they're going to stop publicly releasing their job

1:17:04.160 --> 1:17:09.040
<v Speaker 1>approval on the president. I didn't get clarification of whether

1:17:09.080 --> 1:17:13.640
<v Speaker 1>they're not actually asking the question. It's absolutely malpracticed to

1:17:13.720 --> 1:17:16.920
<v Speaker 1>not ask the question on any survey you're doing, on

1:17:17.000 --> 1:17:19.400
<v Speaker 1>anything in the public policy space at all, because you've

1:17:19.400 --> 1:17:22.960
<v Speaker 1>got it is. It is a helpful way to at

1:17:23.080 --> 1:17:28.719
<v Speaker 1>least understand how partisan folks are behaving where they lie.

1:17:28.960 --> 1:17:32.600
<v Speaker 1>It gives you a better sense of which policy ideas

1:17:32.720 --> 1:17:35.840
<v Speaker 1>have political traction versus those that may have, you know,

1:17:35.920 --> 1:17:40.760
<v Speaker 1>or less driven by ideology, more driven by popularity. It's

1:17:41.000 --> 1:17:48.720
<v Speaker 1>it's just a it's it's it would be malpracticed not

1:17:48.800 --> 1:17:52.800
<v Speaker 1>to have that piece of data with you. It is

1:17:52.880 --> 1:17:56.160
<v Speaker 1>hard not to wonder Gallups primary. You know, they do

1:17:56.240 --> 1:18:00.280
<v Speaker 1>a lot of survey work and private survey work. Can

1:18:00.280 --> 1:18:06.800
<v Speaker 1>they have a lot of federal contracts? The lack of

1:18:06.840 --> 1:18:09.240
<v Speaker 1>trust anybody has in this country right now of any

1:18:09.280 --> 1:18:12.960
<v Speaker 1>corporation and Donald Trump is amazing because a lot of

1:18:12.960 --> 1:18:17.040
<v Speaker 1>people immediately looked up the amount of federal contracts that

1:18:17.080 --> 1:18:19.960
<v Speaker 1>Gallup has with the government, sees that was quite a

1:18:19.960 --> 1:18:23.680
<v Speaker 1>bit and could easily see right, Donald Trump already was

1:18:23.720 --> 1:18:26.360
<v Speaker 1>mad at Politico, So then everybody in the government had

1:18:26.360 --> 1:18:29.720
<v Speaker 1>to cancel their political subscriptions, whether they had a political

1:18:29.760 --> 1:18:34.960
<v Speaker 1>produce subscription somewhere, et cetera. And uh. And it sounds

1:18:34.960 --> 1:18:37.280
<v Speaker 1>like Gallup was worried about its bottom line and worried

1:18:37.280 --> 1:18:40.559
<v Speaker 1>about its business. It's possible they thought there was no

1:18:40.760 --> 1:18:42.920
<v Speaker 1>upside to it since a whole bunch of other people

1:18:42.960 --> 1:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>were putting it out publicly. Nobody was saying Gallups was

1:18:45.640 --> 1:18:48.639
<v Speaker 1>the best of the polls that are out there. Gallup

1:18:48.680 --> 1:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>had the best brand name out there, but their poll

1:18:51.080 --> 1:18:54.120
<v Speaker 1>for a long time hadn't been the best poll. It

1:18:54.160 --> 1:18:57.400
<v Speaker 1>had been sort of problematic for a long time. You know,

1:18:57.680 --> 1:18:59.840
<v Speaker 1>I remember when they stopped, they had a daily tracking

1:19:00.160 --> 1:19:04.160
<v Speaker 1>which was a total mess because while I don't think

1:19:04.200 --> 1:19:08.799
<v Speaker 1>their methodology changed, how people interpreted the changes just created

1:19:08.840 --> 1:19:10.840
<v Speaker 1>all sorts of friction and they did a terrible job

1:19:10.840 --> 1:19:14.080
<v Speaker 1>of communicating when they're when the tracking pole would change. So,

1:19:16.479 --> 1:19:18.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think Gallup got out of the public

1:19:18.880 --> 1:19:21.479
<v Speaker 1>polling business a long time ago. Right when it used

1:19:21.479 --> 1:19:23.840
<v Speaker 1>to be the CNN USA Today Gallup pole, that was

1:19:24.040 --> 1:19:28.679
<v Speaker 1>the you know, basically the only pole that was considered

1:19:28.680 --> 1:19:30.920
<v Speaker 1>better than that one was NBC News Wall Street Journal.

1:19:32.080 --> 1:19:35.639
<v Speaker 1>But over time, the CNN, the Gallup pole had shown

1:19:35.680 --> 1:19:38.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot more instability, and I know that we we

1:19:38.880 --> 1:19:43.400
<v Speaker 1>certainly stopped using it as a reliable indicator. So I'm

1:19:43.400 --> 1:19:45.120
<v Speaker 1>not going to sit here and call the Gallup pole,

1:19:45.280 --> 1:19:49.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, but I but it would be it would

1:19:49.360 --> 1:19:52.960
<v Speaker 1>be malpractice. Not the doing any survey that you do public,

1:19:53.400 --> 1:19:56.719
<v Speaker 1>public or private, in order to understand your survey better,

1:19:56.720 --> 1:19:58.760
<v Speaker 1>in order to have a baseline, in order to know

1:19:58.840 --> 1:20:03.600
<v Speaker 1>your your your survey isn't totally out of whack. You know,

1:20:03.720 --> 1:20:06.240
<v Speaker 1>job job approval is one of those ubiquitous questions that

1:20:06.280 --> 1:20:09.040
<v Speaker 1>helps you and you know, understand whether you basically have

1:20:09.120 --> 1:20:11.479
<v Speaker 1>a you know, it's a the fact that so many

1:20:11.520 --> 1:20:13.760
<v Speaker 1>other posters do it. It serves as almost a check

1:20:13.840 --> 1:20:15.680
<v Speaker 1>to make sure you're you don't have a you know

1:20:15.760 --> 1:20:17.559
<v Speaker 1>you know for sure, do you have an out could

1:20:17.600 --> 1:20:23.080
<v Speaker 1>you have an outlier survey, et cetera. So do pay

1:20:23.120 --> 1:20:24.840
<v Speaker 1>attention to the fact that they just simply said they

1:20:24.840 --> 1:20:27.920
<v Speaker 1>stopped they were going to stop publishing the result. Again,

1:20:27.960 --> 1:20:31.519
<v Speaker 1>I can't imagine anybody would actually stop asking it. I

1:20:31.560 --> 1:20:35.000
<v Speaker 1>mean again, it's a it's it's one of those questions.

1:20:35.040 --> 1:20:37.559
<v Speaker 1>It's almost like a stabilizing question. It helps you understand

1:20:37.720 --> 1:20:40.400
<v Speaker 1>whether your your survey is is A is a trustworthy

1:20:41.080 --> 1:20:44.800
<v Speaker 1>uh A trustworthy survey. As for the MAHI, I thought,

1:20:44.800 --> 1:20:47.600
<v Speaker 1>look that the most fascinating aspect of this was the

1:20:47.640 --> 1:20:50.760
<v Speaker 1>aggressiveness of APAC right. They wanted to take Malanski down.

1:20:51.160 --> 1:20:56.320
<v Speaker 1>They went after them hard, and they were successful. They

1:20:56.400 --> 1:21:01.160
<v Speaker 1>raised the negatives of Malinowski and they see but the

1:21:02.160 --> 1:21:04.479
<v Speaker 1>candidate they were hoping to help ended up finishing third,

1:21:05.479 --> 1:21:09.080
<v Speaker 1>and the candidate that benefited from APEX attack ads in Malinowski,

1:21:09.240 --> 1:21:13.560
<v Speaker 1>was somebody further to the left than Malinowski and perhaps

1:21:13.640 --> 1:21:17.520
<v Speaker 1>just as unfriendly to some of APAX issues as Malinowski

1:21:17.600 --> 1:21:22.160
<v Speaker 1>had become So it was really one of those a

1:21:22.280 --> 1:21:25.759
<v Speaker 1>reminder that when you do attack ads and multi candidate

1:21:25.840 --> 1:21:31.960
<v Speaker 1>races in primaries, know what you're trying to do. If

1:21:32.000 --> 1:21:35.599
<v Speaker 1>you're trying to take somebody out, do know who could

1:21:35.600 --> 1:21:38.439
<v Speaker 1>benefit you? Know? And are you sure you're going to

1:21:38.520 --> 1:21:40.320
<v Speaker 1>end up with somebody that isn't going to be more

1:21:42.200 --> 1:21:44.840
<v Speaker 1>more of a problem for your issues? In this case,

1:21:44.880 --> 1:21:48.000
<v Speaker 1>I think it was. It was that, I think it

1:21:48.240 --> 1:21:50.639
<v Speaker 1>And this is where when interest when a big interest

1:21:50.640 --> 1:21:58.720
<v Speaker 1>group goes after somebody, sometimes it's you know, Canada and

1:21:58.840 --> 1:22:01.120
<v Speaker 1>candidate be cancel each other out and a candidate c

1:22:01.320 --> 1:22:05.080
<v Speaker 1>ends up benefiting. We got some three way prime. We

1:22:05.160 --> 1:22:07.320
<v Speaker 1>got a three way primary coming up in Texas, right,

1:22:07.360 --> 1:22:10.599
<v Speaker 1>We're going to see something like that take place. Right.

1:22:11.200 --> 1:22:14.080
<v Speaker 1>Does Wesley Hunt benefit from all the corn and attack

1:22:14.080 --> 1:22:17.640
<v Speaker 1>ads on Paxton? Right rather than Cornyn? I mean, it

1:22:17.760 --> 1:22:20.960
<v Speaker 1>certainly looks like Cornan has not benefited from all these

1:22:21.000 --> 1:22:24.960
<v Speaker 1>attacks on Paxton, but instead the Demo generic Democratic vote

1:22:24.960 --> 1:22:30.560
<v Speaker 1>has benefited when matched up against Paxton in general election matchups,

1:22:30.960 --> 1:22:33.400
<v Speaker 1>and Paxton's negatives keep going up, but it is not

1:22:33.560 --> 1:22:37.759
<v Speaker 1>helping Cornyon. So it is a reminder that Basically, negative

1:22:37.760 --> 1:22:41.160
<v Speaker 1>ads can work, but don't assume those negative ads will

1:22:41.200 --> 1:22:44.160
<v Speaker 1>accrue to the benefit of another candidate that you want

1:22:44.200 --> 1:22:46.559
<v Speaker 1>to benefit. It could always accrue to a third candidate.

1:22:48.560 --> 1:22:52.599
<v Speaker 1>But as for look, I think I certainly you know,

1:22:54.479 --> 1:22:56.759
<v Speaker 1>I see why everybody's going ahead and rally. It shnocked

1:22:56.800 --> 1:23:01.280
<v Speaker 1>off somebody who used to have the title commerce and

1:23:01.439 --> 1:23:04.240
<v Speaker 1>seem to win despite not being the biggest spender or

1:23:04.280 --> 1:23:08.280
<v Speaker 1>anything like that. So I understand why the establishment at

1:23:08.320 --> 1:23:11.360
<v Speaker 1>this point is like mam, might as well, might as

1:23:11.360 --> 1:23:21.839
<v Speaker 1>well get behind money. Next question comes from Robert Leeds

1:23:22.160 --> 1:23:24.240
<v Speaker 1>any rights, Hey, check me the press, missus you I

1:23:24.240 --> 1:23:26.320
<v Speaker 1>worked in several campaigns. Anyway, I'm a gold trader, and

1:23:26.320 --> 1:23:28.240
<v Speaker 1>I have said for years that during Trump's first term

1:23:28.280 --> 1:23:31.120
<v Speaker 1>and again during the second, gold seems to do weird things.

1:23:31.120 --> 1:23:33.000
<v Speaker 1>On the eve of the job's report, huge sell orders

1:23:33.040 --> 1:23:35.040
<v Speaker 1>would come in overnight when the market was strong, gold

1:23:35.120 --> 1:23:37.400
<v Speaker 1>would crash for five seconds, go back up, and then

1:23:37.439 --> 1:23:40.040
<v Speaker 1>a bear's report will come out at eight thirty. After

1:23:40.040 --> 1:23:43.400
<v Speaker 1>seeing your podcast today, I wanted to share this. You're

1:23:43.400 --> 1:23:45.280
<v Speaker 1>doing a great job. Thanks well. What he was talking

1:23:45.280 --> 1:23:50.120
<v Speaker 1>about was this weird again, and I think we've got

1:23:50.120 --> 1:23:53.920
<v Speaker 1>to get some regulatory structure around these prediction markets versus

1:23:53.960 --> 1:23:57.479
<v Speaker 1>gambling markets, et cetera. But there's got to be a

1:23:57.560 --> 1:24:02.160
<v Speaker 1>way to deal with fraud. And somebody gamed the jobs numbers.

1:24:02.240 --> 1:24:04.720
<v Speaker 1>Right when Peter Navarro goes out warns of a bad

1:24:04.800 --> 1:24:07.840
<v Speaker 1>jobs report, jobs report turns out much better the next

1:24:07.920 --> 1:24:10.360
<v Speaker 1>day than when he went out there. And of all

1:24:10.479 --> 1:24:13.360
<v Speaker 1>people to go out there as somebody who's already of

1:24:13.760 --> 1:24:20.600
<v Speaker 1>questionable credibility on his information in general, right, that just

1:24:21.040 --> 1:24:26.519
<v Speaker 1>smells crazy. And you know this is where I you know,

1:24:26.800 --> 1:24:31.320
<v Speaker 1>we're going full speed into these new markets without you know,

1:24:31.360 --> 1:24:34.400
<v Speaker 1>we were building the ideas first and trying to come

1:24:34.439 --> 1:24:38.520
<v Speaker 1>up with the regulation later. Very hard to put regulation

1:24:39.000 --> 1:24:42.759
<v Speaker 1>on something that's already left the station. And I'm concerned

1:24:42.800 --> 1:24:44.960
<v Speaker 1>about this, but we don't seem to have a very good,

1:24:45.439 --> 1:24:49.479
<v Speaker 1>very interesting what you say on gold, you've just explained

1:24:49.520 --> 1:24:53.080
<v Speaker 1>why I do not get involved in those markets at all.

1:24:53.800 --> 1:24:56.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't trust them. I think there's the people that

1:24:56.640 --> 1:25:01.200
<v Speaker 1>are most involved are doing it as hedge and games

1:25:01.439 --> 1:25:05.160
<v Speaker 1>in gaming it in some form, and those are just

1:25:05.160 --> 1:25:09.400
<v Speaker 1>not That's not where my comfort level is. You know,

1:25:09.520 --> 1:25:15.400
<v Speaker 1>I like, I like, I'm more of them. My financial

1:25:15.400 --> 1:25:18.639
<v Speaker 1>advisor and I were more of the warm Buffett acolytes, right,

1:25:20.960 --> 1:25:26.160
<v Speaker 1>like investing in companies that people use, you know, durable goods,

1:25:26.360 --> 1:25:29.040
<v Speaker 1>not always durable goods, but some durable goods, some texts

1:25:29.040 --> 1:25:32.559
<v Speaker 1>on this on that, but you know, companies that actually succeed,

1:25:32.640 --> 1:25:38.200
<v Speaker 1>not just hypotheticals. Next question comes from Dan in Fairfax.

1:25:38.280 --> 1:25:40.240
<v Speaker 1>He goes, hey, I consider myself an informed voter, but

1:25:40.320 --> 1:25:42.240
<v Speaker 1>I am lost when it comes to this issue. From

1:25:42.280 --> 1:25:44.519
<v Speaker 1>what I gather, a judge in Tazewell County has ruled

1:25:44.520 --> 1:25:47.360
<v Speaker 1>twice that the redistricting effort shouldn't proceed, but the state

1:25:47.360 --> 1:25:49.559
<v Speaker 1>government is moving ahead anyway. I also read that state

1:25:49.640 --> 1:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>democrats think any lawsuit of posing the measure can only

1:25:52.280 --> 1:25:54.479
<v Speaker 1>be filed in Richmond, which is really confusing. Further, the

1:25:54.520 --> 1:25:56.360
<v Speaker 1>state Supreme Court doesn't seem to think this is an

1:25:56.360 --> 1:25:59.680
<v Speaker 1>issue requiring urgency. Can you explain what's going on? Thank you, Dan,

1:25:59.760 --> 1:26:03.200
<v Speaker 1>fair Facts. Look, it's a fair point. I think the

1:26:03.200 --> 1:26:06.800
<v Speaker 1>the the legis the democrat. The democrats and the legislature

1:26:06.920 --> 1:26:08.880
<v Speaker 1>continue to believe that the Supreme Court is going to

1:26:08.880 --> 1:26:11.160
<v Speaker 1>overrule this staswell judge like they did the last time.

1:26:13.840 --> 1:26:17.320
<v Speaker 1>But let's just step back. You know, I find this

1:26:17.400 --> 1:26:20.639
<v Speaker 1>whole campaign. I've seen the ads. The ads for Yes

1:26:22.120 --> 1:26:25.960
<v Speaker 1>use every talking point I was using about why there

1:26:26.000 --> 1:26:29.520
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't be re redistricting around, and it was just like confusing.

1:26:30.120 --> 1:26:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Like when you hear an ad or you're like, well,

1:26:31.840 --> 1:26:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I agree with that. I agree with that. You know,

1:26:33.240 --> 1:26:34.840
<v Speaker 1>there shouldn't be politics in this. We got to take

1:26:34.880 --> 1:26:36.600
<v Speaker 1>the politics out of this. That's why you've got to

1:26:36.680 --> 1:26:39.360
<v Speaker 1>vote yes. You're like, wait what And I sit here

1:26:39.360 --> 1:26:42.960
<v Speaker 1>and I'm like, I'm you know, am I being gas

1:26:43.040 --> 1:26:49.040
<v Speaker 1>lit by this ad campaign? Look, ends justify the means

1:26:49.080 --> 1:26:54.519
<v Speaker 1>is bad policy, period. And ultimately that's what this entire

1:26:54.600 --> 1:26:57.840
<v Speaker 1>effort in Virginia is about. Ends justifying the means. We

1:26:57.960 --> 1:26:59.680
<v Speaker 1>have to do this now because of what they're doing

1:26:59.720 --> 1:27:01.160
<v Speaker 1>in Tech. We have to do this now, and what

1:27:01.200 --> 1:27:03.160
<v Speaker 1>they might do in Florida, what they might do in Indiana,

1:27:03.200 --> 1:27:07.240
<v Speaker 1>what they might do in Missouri. Uh, I get it. Politics,

1:27:07.280 --> 1:27:09.200
<v Speaker 1>ain't bean bag. You've heard me say it before on

1:27:09.240 --> 1:27:12.080
<v Speaker 1>the Virginia front. Your right to be confused. I'm very

1:27:12.120 --> 1:27:20.000
<v Speaker 1>confused too. Some of it had you know. I Ultimately

1:27:20.080 --> 1:27:22.880
<v Speaker 1>it feels as if these state supreme courts are you know,

1:27:23.080 --> 1:27:26.360
<v Speaker 1>and what we've seen the courts are ultimately going to

1:27:26.439 --> 1:27:32.000
<v Speaker 1>side with a legislatures on this because ultimately, right, that's

1:27:32.439 --> 1:27:35.680
<v Speaker 1>that's who has the supremacy. Here is the legislature. Uh.

1:27:35.720 --> 1:27:37.360
<v Speaker 1>And if this is what they've chosen to do, and

1:27:37.400 --> 1:27:41.400
<v Speaker 1>they're going to the voters, so I suspect that this

1:27:42.000 --> 1:27:44.719
<v Speaker 1>stay you know, I guess it's weird early voting starts

1:27:44.760 --> 1:27:47.000
<v Speaker 1>before the end of the stay right. I think early

1:27:47.080 --> 1:27:50.360
<v Speaker 1>voting is supposed to begin the six and this stay

1:27:50.520 --> 1:27:54.160
<v Speaker 1>this this this is supposed to basically be a not

1:27:54.560 --> 1:27:56.960
<v Speaker 1>a statement, sort of an injunction against this process till

1:27:56.960 --> 1:28:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the eighteenth. I think it's extraordinarily confusing. I have a

1:28:04.840 --> 1:28:07.519
<v Speaker 1>feeling this map's going to pass pretty but this amendment

1:28:07.840 --> 1:28:11.920
<v Speaker 1>to do this is going to pass pretty easily. But

1:28:12.040 --> 1:28:13.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm just I don't think this is a good long

1:28:14.000 --> 1:28:18.719
<v Speaker 1>term look for Democrats. And I you know, I understand, Hey,

1:28:19.080 --> 1:28:20.800
<v Speaker 1>you got to get power now, You'll worry about how

1:28:20.840 --> 1:28:22.760
<v Speaker 1>it looks later. Is the mindset. But again, it goes

1:28:22.760 --> 1:28:25.920
<v Speaker 1>back to ends justify the means, and we're watching an

1:28:26.040 --> 1:28:30.640
<v Speaker 1>entire Republican party that's probably going to regret at some

1:28:30.760 --> 1:28:33.080
<v Speaker 1>point being an ends justify the means. Party, and they've

1:28:33.120 --> 1:28:37.840
<v Speaker 1>been that party in particular since certain certain orange haired

1:28:37.840 --> 1:28:46.120
<v Speaker 1>man strode down an escalator. And it is, it is,

1:28:46.240 --> 1:28:50.160
<v Speaker 1>it is. I can tell you this. I know Spamberger

1:28:50.240 --> 1:28:54.559
<v Speaker 1>is going to regret having to start this partisan and

1:28:54.880 --> 1:28:59.559
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting how she is having you know, some of

1:28:59.600 --> 1:29:03.759
<v Speaker 1>it is just because the legislatures this there, this redistrict effort,

1:29:03.920 --> 1:29:07.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, they vary, the clock is sticking, you know,

1:29:07.160 --> 1:29:09.280
<v Speaker 1>they they literally had to move this in days and

1:29:09.320 --> 1:29:12.360
<v Speaker 1>get it done even before she got sworn in. And

1:29:12.400 --> 1:29:15.240
<v Speaker 1>it has put her more as a partisan actor than

1:29:15.280 --> 1:29:18.600
<v Speaker 1>I think I ever thought she would want to be,

1:29:18.920 --> 1:29:22.000
<v Speaker 1>and look like very curious to see, by the way,

1:29:22.040 --> 1:29:24.360
<v Speaker 1>what her State of the Union response comes across as

1:29:25.000 --> 1:29:27.360
<v Speaker 1>I think when you're when you're the Democrats, it's who

1:29:27.360 --> 1:29:29.439
<v Speaker 1>i'd pick, right, you want to pick somebody who just

1:29:29.479 --> 1:29:31.960
<v Speaker 1>won and won by a lot from a state that

1:29:32.080 --> 1:29:37.320
<v Speaker 1>used to be you know, and share her profile from

1:29:37.320 --> 1:29:39.840
<v Speaker 1>the national security space. So I I you know, I

1:29:39.880 --> 1:29:46.439
<v Speaker 1>think I get why they picked her. I do. I mean,

1:29:46.560 --> 1:29:49.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm there's two ways about sort of her tenure.

1:29:49.800 --> 1:29:51.800
<v Speaker 1>If you're going to do hardcore politics, better to do

1:29:51.840 --> 1:29:54.280
<v Speaker 1>at the start of your term. And then you moderate

1:29:54.360 --> 1:29:58.559
<v Speaker 1>us the term goes on. On the other hand, it's

1:29:58.600 --> 1:30:01.320
<v Speaker 1>hard to make you know. This is a first impression

1:30:01.320 --> 1:30:05.400
<v Speaker 1>for a lot of voters in Virginia. But Dan, I'm

1:30:05.439 --> 1:30:07.960
<v Speaker 1>as confused, and the ad campaigns are only more confusing.

1:30:08.000 --> 1:30:11.519
<v Speaker 1>But look, it's gonna pass because this will be a

1:30:11.560 --> 1:30:15.840
<v Speaker 1>super small turnout election and we already know those that

1:30:15.920 --> 1:30:19.759
<v Speaker 1>are fired up on any messaging that involves checking Trump

1:30:20.800 --> 1:30:23.719
<v Speaker 1>are gonna win the Battle of Turner. All right. Last

1:30:23.760 --> 1:30:30.720
<v Speaker 1>question for this episode comes from Jim Tobahana, Pennsylvania. I

1:30:30.760 --> 1:30:32.719
<v Speaker 1>think you're giving me your age, but I'm not gonna.

1:30:33.080 --> 1:30:34.559
<v Speaker 1>I'm not gonna do it. I don't want to. I

1:30:34.560 --> 1:30:37.640
<v Speaker 1>don't watch you bragging about how much younger you are

1:30:37.680 --> 1:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>than I am. Jim, all right, just because you got

1:30:41.120 --> 1:30:43.880
<v Speaker 1>you got ef You've been on this planet eight less

1:30:43.920 --> 1:30:45.479
<v Speaker 1>years than I have. You don't have to rub it

1:30:45.520 --> 1:30:50.480
<v Speaker 1>in my face. Uh. Anyway, your question, does international diplomacy

1:30:50.479 --> 1:30:52.760
<v Speaker 1>have a greater long term impact on legacy Trump? With

1:30:52.840 --> 1:30:55.080
<v Speaker 1>his focus on the second term so much abroad, I

1:30:55.120 --> 1:30:57.360
<v Speaker 1>don't see how this positively impacts his legacy. Putting his

1:30:57.439 --> 1:31:01.240
<v Speaker 1>name on statues the Kennedy Center giving h seems like

1:31:01.280 --> 1:31:03.760
<v Speaker 1>a short term ego boost for him. Band aid that

1:31:03.800 --> 1:31:06.880
<v Speaker 1>the next administration can reverse. Ultimately, long term legacy seems

1:31:06.920 --> 1:31:09.439
<v Speaker 1>like strength in the US with a focus domestically, with

1:31:09.479 --> 1:31:12.280
<v Speaker 1>an emphasis on improving his approval rating. Focusing on more

1:31:12.320 --> 1:31:14.519
<v Speaker 1>of a bipartisan agenda would be the biggest way to

1:31:14.560 --> 1:31:17.960
<v Speaker 1>improve as a long term legacy. Am I right? If

1:31:18.080 --> 1:31:20.320
<v Speaker 1>prices continue to soar in the behavior of his cabinet,

1:31:20.320 --> 1:31:24.240
<v Speaker 1>no marf k Junior Agency's ice, he's diminishing his own legacy. Jim,

1:31:24.280 --> 1:31:28.000
<v Speaker 1>you're you know you're doing You're you're applying something that

1:31:28.080 --> 1:31:30.400
<v Speaker 1>I used to have to ban during my meet the

1:31:30.400 --> 1:31:33.599
<v Speaker 1>press days, during our staff in there and be like, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.

1:31:35.040 --> 1:31:37.800
<v Speaker 1>Stop trying to use logic with me. You know, in

1:31:37.880 --> 1:31:41.280
<v Speaker 1>the Trump era we banned logic. Jim. Everything you're saying

1:31:41.400 --> 1:31:44.720
<v Speaker 1>is so logical. Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, yes right.

1:31:45.680 --> 1:31:47.600
<v Speaker 1>George W. Bush did that, right, He's like, you know what,

1:31:47.640 --> 1:31:49.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna focus on pep bar. By the end, we

1:31:49.439 --> 1:31:51.200
<v Speaker 1>realized that Rack was gonna be a terrible legacy all

1:31:51.200 --> 1:31:53.519
<v Speaker 1>this stuff, but he's still you know, there were some

1:31:53.560 --> 1:31:57.040
<v Speaker 1>things he did that that were about his legacy, and

1:31:57.120 --> 1:31:59.840
<v Speaker 1>guess what one of the most positive legacies he has

1:31:59.880 --> 1:32:03.640
<v Speaker 1>is is what he's done in helping fund cures for

1:32:03.720 --> 1:32:08.240
<v Speaker 1>AIDS in Africa and what the pep Far program has done.

1:32:08.880 --> 1:32:11.320
<v Speaker 1>I know that Elon Musk and that those people I

1:32:11.320 --> 1:32:14.720
<v Speaker 1>have been trying to destroy that last positive legacy of

1:32:14.760 --> 1:32:20.640
<v Speaker 1>the Bush administration. But you know, this goes back to I,

1:32:20.640 --> 1:32:24.920
<v Speaker 1>don't you know Trump's the first guy. You know, I

1:32:26.880 --> 1:32:31.160
<v Speaker 1>used to do these exit interviews with retiring members of

1:32:31.200 --> 1:32:34.400
<v Speaker 1>Congress when I when I had my multiple when I

1:32:34.680 --> 1:32:38.360
<v Speaker 1>with with the Daily Rundown and with then I would

1:32:38.400 --> 1:32:40.840
<v Speaker 1>eventually change it to Meet the Press Daily and Meet

1:32:40.840 --> 1:32:43.519
<v Speaker 1>the Press now. And I used to do these exit

1:32:43.560 --> 1:32:46.840
<v Speaker 1>interviews with retiring members both sides of the aisle and

1:32:46.840 --> 1:32:48.640
<v Speaker 1>get as many of them that would sit down, and

1:32:48.680 --> 1:32:51.120
<v Speaker 1>they were really legacy questions. And you know, but I

1:32:51.120 --> 1:32:53.160
<v Speaker 1>also wanted to know, like, you know, when was the

1:32:53.160 --> 1:32:54.960
<v Speaker 1>first time you wanted to run for office? And why

1:32:54.960 --> 1:32:57.320
<v Speaker 1>do you want to run? Things like that? And you know,

1:32:57.439 --> 1:33:01.160
<v Speaker 1>because I've done these sort of candidate interviews back thirty

1:33:01.240 --> 1:33:03.880
<v Speaker 1>five years now where people want to run for office

1:33:03.960 --> 1:33:06.160
<v Speaker 1>the first time, you know, back at the Hotline, we

1:33:06.240 --> 1:33:09.080
<v Speaker 1>used to interview these candidates, cook Report, and we used to,

1:33:09.800 --> 1:33:11.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, piggyback on the Cook Report. This is what

1:33:11.840 --> 1:33:16.479
<v Speaker 1>they They do this more strenuously than we did a

1:33:16.520 --> 1:33:21.599
<v Speaker 1>hotline back in the day. And one of the things

1:33:21.600 --> 1:33:25.439
<v Speaker 1>that I that I've learned from those interviews over the

1:33:25.520 --> 1:33:28.200
<v Speaker 1>years is that I used to say, you know, it

1:33:28.240 --> 1:33:31.160
<v Speaker 1>always made me feel better about the democracy, because everybody,

1:33:32.200 --> 1:33:33.760
<v Speaker 1>whether they were, no matter where they were on the

1:33:33.760 --> 1:33:39.760
<v Speaker 1>political spectrum hard left, center, left, hard right, center, right, independent,

1:33:39.800 --> 1:33:43.200
<v Speaker 1>whatever you wanted to put it, they all ran for

1:33:43.280 --> 1:33:47.559
<v Speaker 1>office on for one thing. There was always something they wanted.

1:33:48.000 --> 1:33:52.240
<v Speaker 1>There was the initial trigger, you know. I remember talking

1:33:52.240 --> 1:33:54.120
<v Speaker 1>to one congressman. I said, so, what what got you

1:33:54.160 --> 1:33:56.599
<v Speaker 1>involved in congress? His first office was on the school board,

1:33:56.640 --> 1:33:59.639
<v Speaker 1>and he was mad that they drew drew the lines,

1:33:59.720 --> 1:34:02.200
<v Speaker 1>drew kid out of a certain school district. I'm going

1:34:02.240 --> 1:34:04.160
<v Speaker 1>to go on the school board, And he admitted, he goes.

1:34:04.200 --> 1:34:05.479
<v Speaker 1>Once I got on the school board, I realized they

1:34:05.479 --> 1:34:07.599
<v Speaker 1>had nothing to do with the lines. It was somebody else,

1:34:07.720 --> 1:34:11.519
<v Speaker 1>he goes. But but I got involved, and and and

1:34:11.600 --> 1:34:14.640
<v Speaker 1>suddenly he said, the more he learned about government and

1:34:14.680 --> 1:34:20.719
<v Speaker 1>how it worked, the more interested he got. So Donald

1:34:20.720 --> 1:34:24.479
<v Speaker 1>Trump's one of the few people to successfully gain office,

1:34:25.240 --> 1:34:32.360
<v Speaker 1>whose simple motivation seemed to be sort of the same

1:34:32.400 --> 1:34:36.960
<v Speaker 1>motivation somebody has to go streaking on a football field.

1:34:36.960 --> 1:34:39.360
<v Speaker 1>They just wanted to be noticed, right, They just wanted to,

1:34:40.640 --> 1:34:43.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, be famous. They wanted more people to have

1:34:44.000 --> 1:34:48.120
<v Speaker 1>to respect them. It's a weird motivation. But he wasn't

1:34:48.120 --> 1:34:52.040
<v Speaker 1>motivated because he's got an issue he cares the most about.

1:34:52.200 --> 1:34:55.200
<v Speaker 1>He was maybe he has a daddy. There's plenty of

1:34:55.360 --> 1:34:58.400
<v Speaker 1>We've had a handful of presidents and presidential candidates who

1:34:58.439 --> 1:35:01.400
<v Speaker 1>I think got involved in policy because they felt like

1:35:01.520 --> 1:35:05.519
<v Speaker 1>it was the only way to please their dad. You know.

1:35:05.880 --> 1:35:08.559
<v Speaker 1>Boys said, there's a lot of politics is filled with

1:35:09.040 --> 1:35:12.120
<v Speaker 1>presidents are filled or it's amazing how many of our

1:35:12.160 --> 1:35:16.360
<v Speaker 1>presidents have daddy issues one way or the other, including

1:35:16.400 --> 1:35:24.160
<v Speaker 1>this one, by the way. But I don't think he

1:35:24.240 --> 1:35:28.840
<v Speaker 1>really cares. You know, when you when you're so worried

1:35:28.840 --> 1:35:31.439
<v Speaker 1>about putting your name on stuff, it shows you that

1:35:31.479 --> 1:35:36.639
<v Speaker 1>you really don't care about Like the Institute of Peace

1:35:36.760 --> 1:35:39.160
<v Speaker 1>was never his idea. He just wanted to slap his

1:35:39.280 --> 1:35:42.040
<v Speaker 1>name on it because it uses the word piece. The

1:35:42.120 --> 1:35:45.120
<v Speaker 1>Kennedy Center isn't his idea, But he wants to slap

1:35:45.120 --> 1:35:46.680
<v Speaker 1>his name on it because he's afraid his name is

1:35:46.680 --> 1:35:51.080
<v Speaker 1>going to disappear. You know, He's only a real legacy

1:35:51.160 --> 1:35:53.519
<v Speaker 1>is going to be that ballroom in the White House, right,

1:35:53.600 --> 1:35:56.040
<v Speaker 1>And I think he thinks, hey, they still call the

1:35:56.080 --> 1:35:59.240
<v Speaker 1>balcony Truman's falcony, so hopefully they'll always have to call

1:35:59.320 --> 1:36:03.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, the ball room will always be the Trump ballroom.

1:36:03.840 --> 1:36:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Well he might get that, and there'll be some Donald.

1:36:08.080 --> 1:36:12.080
<v Speaker 1>There'll be some Donald J. Trump elementary schools, and I

1:36:12.400 --> 1:36:15.519
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, we know this, it will be.

1:36:18.520 --> 1:36:20.479
<v Speaker 1>But I don't think he's got an issue. He the

1:36:20.960 --> 1:36:23.000
<v Speaker 1>if he cared about one issue throughout his entire career,

1:36:23.040 --> 1:36:25.320
<v Speaker 1>it was, you know, his belief in tariffs. But even that,

1:36:27.600 --> 1:36:29.519
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he fully understood why he believed in

1:36:29.560 --> 1:36:33.680
<v Speaker 1>tariffs other than he was trying to come up with

1:36:33.720 --> 1:36:36.360
<v Speaker 1>a talking point to insert himself into a political conversation

1:36:36.439 --> 1:36:42.519
<v Speaker 1>back in the late eighties. So again to go back

1:36:42.560 --> 1:36:44.800
<v Speaker 1>to your question, Jim, everything about him makes sense, but

1:36:44.880 --> 1:36:50.160
<v Speaker 1>you're that that's not how Trump's wired. It's just not

1:36:50.280 --> 1:36:53.360
<v Speaker 1>how he's wired. You know, You're you're one hundred percent

1:36:53.479 --> 1:36:58.320
<v Speaker 1>right in these things. By the way I've gone, we've

1:36:58.360 --> 1:37:01.240
<v Speaker 1>gone now a couple hours and I didn't get to

1:37:01.439 --> 1:37:03.200
<v Speaker 1>and I'm going to save this for Wednesday, but we're

1:37:03.200 --> 1:37:05.200
<v Speaker 1>going to do I'm going to give you. I'll give

1:37:05.240 --> 1:37:11.400
<v Speaker 1>you this hint now, the Christy Nomes Senate campaign. That's

1:37:11.640 --> 1:37:15.720
<v Speaker 1>a fascinating exit ramp that the Trump White Houses try

1:37:15.760 --> 1:37:19.879
<v Speaker 1>to come up with to get rid of Nome. Fascinating situation.

1:37:20.040 --> 1:37:23.000
<v Speaker 1>Also want to get into the Maha moms and how

1:37:23.160 --> 1:37:27.360
<v Speaker 1>yet another monsanto, the first major donation they'd ever given

1:37:27.400 --> 1:37:29.360
<v Speaker 1>to Trump. Let's just say they reminded Trump of that.

1:37:30.040 --> 1:37:32.000
<v Speaker 1>That's why they got the executive order that they got.

1:37:32.680 --> 1:37:34.840
<v Speaker 1>But those Maha Moms, We're going to get into that

1:37:34.840 --> 1:37:37.840
<v Speaker 1>too on Wednesday. So look, it was a hugely busy weekend.

1:37:37.920 --> 1:37:40.280
<v Speaker 1>That last question reminded me of a couple other issues.

1:37:40.320 --> 1:37:43.240
<v Speaker 1>I didn't get to get to. Maha moms and Nome

1:37:43.640 --> 1:37:48.120
<v Speaker 1>for South Dakota Senate where two of them. But I'm

1:37:48.160 --> 1:37:50.880
<v Speaker 1>not gonna I'm just going to leave that as a

1:37:51.000 --> 1:37:55.639
<v Speaker 1>tease for the next episode in forty eight hours. Thanks

1:37:55.640 --> 1:37:57.280
<v Speaker 1>for listening. By the way, we were having some of

1:37:57.320 --> 1:38:00.559
<v Speaker 1>our you guys have been great. I know there's some

1:38:00.600 --> 1:38:04.800
<v Speaker 1>new subscribers out there, some new devots. I appreciate having you.

1:38:04.840 --> 1:38:07.280
<v Speaker 1>How do I know new? Because we keep growing and

1:38:07.320 --> 1:38:10.400
<v Speaker 1>things are going well. I can tell because I now

1:38:10.439 --> 1:38:14.240
<v Speaker 1>got more people telling me, hey, I've got fewer people

1:38:14.240 --> 1:38:17.040
<v Speaker 1>coming up to me saying hey, I miss you. What

1:38:17.080 --> 1:38:19.840
<v Speaker 1>are you doing now? Now it's like, hey, I miss

1:38:19.880 --> 1:38:21.919
<v Speaker 1>you over there, but I really like what you're doing now.

1:38:22.040 --> 1:38:26.800
<v Speaker 1>So that's all because you guys are liking, you're subscribing,

1:38:27.160 --> 1:38:31.160
<v Speaker 1>word of mouth, all of those things. And so let's

1:38:31.200 --> 1:38:34.639
<v Speaker 1>just say I appreciate it because it's you know, this

1:38:34.720 --> 1:38:39.200
<v Speaker 1>is an entrepreneurial business, and it is credibility has earned

1:38:39.240 --> 1:38:41.760
<v Speaker 1>one listener and one viewer at a time, and this

1:38:41.840 --> 1:38:47.400
<v Speaker 1>growth tells me that you guys are help are expressed

1:38:47.520 --> 1:38:49.360
<v Speaker 1>or saying that I'm earning it with you. So thank you,

1:38:49.760 --> 1:38:55.640
<v Speaker 1>and with that, I'll see you at forty eight dollars