WEBVTT - 8/7/26: Disaster Jobs Report, Rogue AI Commits Crime Spree, Corporate Dems Declare War On DSA 

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.

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<v Speaker 3>Hello everybody, Happy Friday. How are you guys feeling happy Friday?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we got some good stuff in the show today, right,

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<v Speaker 2>and just two thumbs up, double thumbs up out to

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<v Speaker 2>Cure Week. We got to give double thumbs down to

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<v Speaker 2>the big jobs report out this morning. Shocking, shocking loss,

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<v Speaker 2>unexpected and downward revision for past month. So not looking

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<v Speaker 2>good there. We also have a pretty stunning I wasn't

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<v Speaker 2>didn't have my eyes on this. Andy Ogles, who is

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<v Speaker 2>a top Trump ally Maga guy, has said some of

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<v Speaker 2>the most incendiary things of anyone in the Republican Caucus

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<v Speaker 2>defeated in a Republican primary in Tennessee. We've also got

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<v Speaker 2>some wild stuff happening with regard to Ai Garrison. Lovely

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<v Speaker 2>is going to join us to tell us just how

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<v Speaker 2>freaked out we should be. We got some third way

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<v Speaker 2>Shenanigans planning to thwart the rise of the left. I

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<v Speaker 2>think some of their true colors showing there. And then Ryan,

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<v Speaker 2>you've got a candidate from Minnesota who's planning to join

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<v Speaker 2>us as well. Give us the breakdown there.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, the primary Minnesota is this coming Tuesday, and there's

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<v Speaker 4>going to be the marquee race is Angie Craig, who

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<v Speaker 4>currently represents a second Minnesota district against Peggy Flanagan. So

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<v Speaker 4>it's kind of another centrist, kind of insurgent campaign. Peggy

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<v Speaker 4>Flanning in the kind of progressive lieutenant governor there to

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<v Speaker 4>replace Angie Craig, who's kind of corporate Democrat. There's a

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<v Speaker 4>three way race among well, now I'm going to sound

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<v Speaker 4>like a fool. It's a three way race among three people.

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<v Speaker 4>One of them is Matt Little, who in the last

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<v Speaker 4>couple of months of the race was well ahead but

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<v Speaker 4>has seen this influx of money from three to fourteen

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<v Speaker 4>action you know, which is the pro Science, Pro Doctor pack,

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<v Speaker 4>which has gotten a bunch of money from a pack

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<v Speaker 4>but which says it doesn't do APAX stuff anymore. And

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<v Speaker 4>these three kind of women's rights packs who also have

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<v Speaker 4>gotten a lot of money from a pack, and d

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<v Speaker 4>MFI but some of them have said, well, this is

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<v Speaker 4>an APAC money below, although money is fungible, and so

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<v Speaker 4>a ton of this super pac money is flooding in

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<v Speaker 4>at the very end to try to stop Matt Little

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<v Speaker 4>from being kind of the next house insurgent. He doesn't

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<v Speaker 4>have the kind of entire Bernie Justice Democrats wing when

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<v Speaker 4>he's got the Congressional Progressive Caucus pack and Keith Allison

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<v Speaker 4>and he's so and he also has American priorities, which

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<v Speaker 4>is the uh the anti a pack pack that came

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<v Speaker 4>in yesterday to start spending on his behalf against these packs.

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<v Speaker 5>So we'll be hearing from him later.

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<v Speaker 2>How's the Craig Flanagan race looking at this point? That

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<v Speaker 2>one looks to be pretty tight.

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<v Speaker 4>Flannagan has been up consistently throughout it by a few points.

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<v Speaker 4>A poll came out in the last couple of days

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<v Speaker 4>that had Antie Craig up by two points. Because of

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<v Speaker 4>the polling miss in Michigan, Flannagan's supporters are quite nervous.

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<v Speaker 4>They'd much rather be going in with a not neck

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<v Speaker 4>and neck against Antie Craig, who's gotten just absolutely enormous

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<v Speaker 4>amounts of dark money also, so it's going to be

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<v Speaker 4>they're thinking it's going to be very close.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel like Flanagan is a little bit less of

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<v Speaker 2>a lightning rod than Abdula side. I mean, she's the

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<v Speaker 2>current lieutenant governor, so more sort of acceptable within mainstream

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<v Speaker 2>Democratic establishment. Do you know if Minnesota closure open primary, and.

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<v Speaker 4>She's also Native American, which makes it harder for the

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<v Speaker 4>center to like demogo her racially inside the Democratic Party,

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<v Speaker 4>it's open so however, so they have open primaries. However,

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<v Speaker 4>there there's a competitive Republican Senate race, and there's a

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<v Speaker 4>Republican as well governor gluminatorial primary. So the expectation is

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<v Speaker 4>that ninety nine percent of Republicans are going to vote

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<v Speaker 4>in their own primary, whereas in Michigan there was nothing

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<v Speaker 4>for them to really vote on.

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<v Speaker 3>Gotcha?

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, all right, well let's jump into these job numbers.

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<v Speaker 2>This just is out this morning, so we haven't gotten

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<v Speaker 2>to see a whole lot of analysis about what is

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<v Speaker 2>going on here. But this is from Heather Long, who

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<v Speaker 2>is you know, really a go to in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>her economic analysis. She says, just in a surprisingly bad

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<v Speaker 2>job report, the US economy lost twenty three thousand jobs

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<v Speaker 2>in July, way below expectations of plus eighty k. May

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<v Speaker 2>and June were revised down by a combined one hundred

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<v Speaker 2>and three thousand, So the unemployment rate dropped by zero

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<v Speaker 2>point one of a percent, but down, she says, for

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<v Speaker 2>the wrong reasons. Over two hundred and sixty thousand people

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<v Speaker 2>left the labor force, and wage growth at just three

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<v Speaker 2>point two percent, was wiped out entirely by inflation. You

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<v Speaker 2>can see the chart here up on the screen. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>the job market had had been looking stronger than it

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<v Speaker 2>did last year. You could see prior to the past

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<v Speaker 2>couple of months you'd had these you know, you'd gain

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<v Speaker 2>a little, you'd lose some, back and forth. You had

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<v Speaker 2>three straight months of not amazing growth, but some growth,

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<v Speaker 2>and now we're back to the pattern of job losses

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<v Speaker 2>and once again, and this has really become a key pattern,

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<v Speaker 2>significant downward revisions for the previous months. So you know, Emily,

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<v Speaker 2>what are you what are you taking from this?

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<v Speaker 6>Well, yeah, I'm just looking at some of the early

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<v Speaker 6>coverage here. It's already been described as very disappointing on

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<v Speaker 6>Fox Business.

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<v Speaker 7>Entirely surprise. I'm not sure what the.

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<v Speaker 2>One to say that, that's her language. Very disappointed the numbers.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm very concerned.

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<v Speaker 6>Not sure what else you would do with these numbers,

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<v Speaker 6>but at the very least call them disappointing. Also looking like,

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<v Speaker 6>as you mentioned, how they're long noting people dropping out

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<v Speaker 6>of the labor force, so obviously not a good sign,

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<v Speaker 6>not a good Uh, there's a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 6>red flag, we could say, right off the right off

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<v Speaker 6>the bat there and the downward revisions. Zero Hedge has

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<v Speaker 6>already referred to that as a Biden trick. So you

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<v Speaker 6>see the Trump administration just being flamed across the board

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<v Speaker 6>for the job report so far. And Ryan, is there

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<v Speaker 6>anything it looks like I was trying to look at

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<v Speaker 6>what Heather Lung saw the losses were in most is

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<v Speaker 6>there anything that stands out to you in the early

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<v Speaker 6>numbers here.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm still looking through the precise numbers by by industry,

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<v Speaker 4>but maybe by the end of the show some more

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<v Speaker 4>thoughts on that. But the only potential silver lining for

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<v Speaker 4>Trump as he's eyeing these job numbers, you know he

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<v Speaker 4>wants he wants rate cuts. You know, he put in

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<v Speaker 4>his new Federal Reserve chair, Kevin worsh who immediately implemented

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<v Speaker 4>a new policy of not giving guidance of where he

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<v Speaker 4>wants to take the FED in the future, which is

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<v Speaker 4>a very odd move because it's not really ideological in

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<v Speaker 4>the sense that there was nobody really clamoring for this

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<v Speaker 4>other than just some real kind of pedantic kind of

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<v Speaker 4>Fed numbers people who his argument is this takes this

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<v Speaker 4>requires the market then to kind of guess where things

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<v Speaker 4>are going more and so it's more market friendly.

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<v Speaker 5>But it's just a very odd approach.

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<v Speaker 4>And what it does is it creates a lot more

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<v Speaker 4>risk because now none of these traders know, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>what the Fed is trying to do meeting to meeting,

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<v Speaker 4>So you get a lot more volatility. And when you

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<v Speaker 4>get more volatility, you have to price that in as

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<v Speaker 4>higher interest rates. You're paying a risk premium. So his

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<v Speaker 4>first policy, Trump wants interest rates down. Warsh's first policy

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<v Speaker 4>drove for no reason, interest rates higher. Now Trump is

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<v Speaker 4>going to look at these numbers and say, okay, good,

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<v Speaker 4>this is a very bad economy. Therefore we need to

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<v Speaker 4>cut interest rates. But the whole point of cutting interest

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<v Speaker 4>rates is to grow the economy. So killing the economy

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<v Speaker 4>in order to kind of grow it is is a

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<v Speaker 4>little bit backwards.

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<v Speaker 2>But if you're Trump, well, the other and the other

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<v Speaker 2>issue is that hiking. You know, if you lower interest rates,

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<v Speaker 2>you may fuel more inflation. And inflation also, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>continues to be an issue obviously created by the combination

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<v Speaker 2>of Trump's tariffs, but more significantly lately the Iran war.

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<v Speaker 2>Mac I sent a posts from Heather Long and inflation

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<v Speaker 2>that maybe could pull up, so we can see how

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<v Speaker 2>that's going.

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<v Speaker 4>Go ahead, Ryan, Yeah, yeah, no, exactly to your point,

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<v Speaker 4>even though you have some wage growth I think of

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<v Speaker 4>three point two percent or something, inflation is running hotter

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<v Speaker 4>than that. So if you're at the Fed chair, you're

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<v Speaker 4>looking at that and thinking, well, I can't cut interest

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<v Speaker 4>rates because inflation is still crazy, Like inflation is still

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<v Speaker 4>a problem.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I mean you can just see it really

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<v Speaker 2>clearly in the chart here. With the war in Iran,

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<v Speaker 2>inflation jumps right up and so where wage gains had

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<v Speaker 2>been for a time outpacing inflation, meaning that if you

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<v Speaker 2>get an increase in your wage, you're actually feeling it

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<v Speaker 2>and being able to gain from it. Now, with inflation

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<v Speaker 2>spiking immediately after the launch of the Iran War, that

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<v Speaker 2>trend has been crushed. So this is the dynamic obviously

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<v Speaker 2>we saw during much of the Biden administration where inflation

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<v Speaker 2>was eating up all of the wage gains and more.

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<v Speaker 2>And that is why, you know, I think I think

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<v Speaker 2>that's the single biggest reason why Kamal Harris ends up losing.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's the single biggest reason why you saw

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<v Speaker 2>incumbents and incumbent parties around the entire globe losing because

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<v Speaker 2>people could tell month to month the way that their

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<v Speaker 2>economic situation was getting worse. So you continue to see

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<v Speaker 2>that dynamic now, all because of this horrific war of

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<v Speaker 2>choice that Trump decided to launch. No external factor created this.

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<v Speaker 2>He created this whole dynamic his entire self.

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<v Speaker 4>And the first thing I always look for in these

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<v Speaker 4>jobs numbers is healthcare because we've seen this incredible trend

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<v Speaker 4>over the last and it's not just related to Trump,

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<v Speaker 4>that the entire economy moving, you know, shedding jobs everywhere

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<v Speaker 4>and except for healthcare, partly because we're just getting older

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<v Speaker 4>and sicker as a society, but also because we have

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<v Speaker 4>all of these monopolies, private monopolies in the healthcare industry

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<v Speaker 4>that are just driving up costs, and so that like

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<v Speaker 4>that actually creates jobs in some jobs in the healthcare field.

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<v Speaker 4>It's like, it's hard to imagine a kind of worse

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<v Speaker 4>way to grow an economy overall. Like you kind of

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<v Speaker 4>just as a society, you want to be spending less,

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<v Speaker 4>you want to be healthier and spending less on healthcare.

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<v Speaker 4>We are sicker and spending more and so yet, so

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<v Speaker 4>yet again, in July, we grew twenty two thousand jobs

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<v Speaker 4>in the in the healthcare industry. The pace was slightly

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<v Speaker 4>lower than before, so while the entire rest so in

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<v Speaker 4>other words, the rest of the economy lost what forty

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<v Speaker 4>five thousand jobs, and it was only offset by the

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<v Speaker 4>fact that we keep growing jobs in this corrupt healthcare

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<v Speaker 4>sector that is not necessarily making us healthier.

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<v Speaker 2>The job losses hospitality or local government education, that's where

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<v Speaker 2>the losses were.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that's what had the longest pointing out and also

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<v Speaker 6>pointing out, this is the lowest labor force participation rate,

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<v Speaker 6>participation rate in five years. That is a very very

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<v Speaker 6>bad sign, lowest in five years. So people just giving

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<v Speaker 6>up on looking for work. And that's where the unemployment

0:12:04.880 --> 0:12:08.600
<v Speaker 6>rate looks. The unemployment rate it dipped like a percentage point,

0:12:09.600 --> 0:12:12.319
<v Speaker 6>but that's partially because there are so many people who

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<v Speaker 6>have just left the labor force. According to Heather Lungs analysis,

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<v Speaker 6>that's two million people since November.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, and think about what was happening back in February

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty one when we last had this low of

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<v Speaker 2>a labor force participation, we were still in COVID. So

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<v Speaker 2>you know, it's pretty grim when fewer people are working

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<v Speaker 2>now or even looking attempting to find a job than

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<v Speaker 2>they were during like the peak of COVID.

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<v Speaker 4>And the open question is what's going on with immigration,

0:12:41.600 --> 0:12:46.920
<v Speaker 4>Like how we don't exactly know is how many undocumented

0:12:46.920 --> 0:12:53.760
<v Speaker 4>people are basically self deporting because you know, just for

0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:56.920
<v Speaker 4>obvious reasons, that's a very difficult thing to measure, and

0:12:57.120 --> 0:13:00.800
<v Speaker 4>we are putting absolutely enormous press sure on the immigrant

0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:04.000
<v Speaker 4>population on that, on that in particular, you know, who's

0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:06.360
<v Speaker 4>afraid that at any moment they're going to get caught

0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:08.720
<v Speaker 4>up and wind up a niced attention for a year

0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:12.920
<v Speaker 4>and live in these horrific conditions where they're getting headlines

0:13:12.920 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 4>about abuse and people dying in detention. So a lot

0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:20.280
<v Speaker 4>of people are legitimately, as Steven Miller intends, just leaving

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:25.800
<v Speaker 4>and how and are I don't think that our BLS

0:13:25.920 --> 0:13:28.480
<v Speaker 4>is set up to kind of measure that effectively.

0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:32.560
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, they do measure native born workers, and usually that's

0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:34.439
<v Speaker 6>used as a proxy for this. I'm trying to pull

0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:37.520
<v Speaker 6>up to see if any there's analysis on this yet.

0:13:37.559 --> 0:13:40.080
<v Speaker 6>Like the numbers as we're coming to, everybody just dropped

0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.280
<v Speaker 6>and that's why we're kind of metabolizing them in real time.

0:13:42.360 --> 0:13:45.000
<v Speaker 7>But I think people do usually look at the.

0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:48.400
<v Speaker 6>Native born number, but I haven't seen significant analysis of

0:13:48.400 --> 0:13:48.839
<v Speaker 6>that yet.

0:13:51.440 --> 0:13:54.200
<v Speaker 2>While we have a couple more minutes before Garrison Lovely

0:13:54.280 --> 0:13:57.439
<v Speaker 2>joins us on AI, let's go ahead and talk a

0:13:57.480 --> 0:14:01.000
<v Speaker 2>little bit about this shock race in Tennessee. So Andy Ogles,

0:14:01.000 --> 0:14:05.400
<v Speaker 2>who has said all sorts of very evil, inflammatory, horrific

0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:09.440
<v Speaker 2>things about gay people, about Muslims, et cetera, top ally

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:13.120
<v Speaker 2>of President Trump backed by President Trump lost. He's a

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:18.040
<v Speaker 2>House Freedom Caucus member lost in a Republican primary to

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:22.560
<v Speaker 2>a more sort of mainstream positioned figure named Charlie Hatcher,

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:25.400
<v Speaker 2>who I believe was the AG secretary and backed by

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:30.400
<v Speaker 2>some Tennessee elected officials. It says, backed by several prominent

0:14:30.480 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 2>establishment aligned Tennessee Republicans. I was talking to Justin from Tennessee, holler, like,

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:39.720
<v Speaker 2>what the hell happened here? And there's a dynamic. This

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:41.800
<v Speaker 2>is a very you know, red district. It was redrawn

0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:44.560
<v Speaker 2>to be even more read, Tennessee did a big redistricting

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:48.800
<v Speaker 2>and Democrats, though, we're still somewhat hopeful that if Andy

0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:52.000
<v Speaker 2>Ogles was the nominee. He is so disliked in such

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:55.720
<v Speaker 2>an odious character and really very lazy. He doesn't fundraise

0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 2>or do anything either to like try to secure his seat. So,

0:14:59.600 --> 0:15:02.560
<v Speaker 2>in any they were hopeful that if Andy Ogles ended

0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:04.600
<v Speaker 2>up being the nominee, they might actually have a shot

0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.560
<v Speaker 2>at it in the fall. That will obviously be much

0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 2>more of a long shot now with Ogles having lost

0:15:10.360 --> 0:15:14.640
<v Speaker 2>this primary, however, pretty stunning after he got the Trump

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:18.000
<v Speaker 2>endorsement to be tossed out like this, and he's had,

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:21.240
<v Speaker 2>you know, outside of his like inflammatory positioning language, et cetera,

0:15:21.800 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 2>you know, downright horrific language and positioning. He also has

0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 2>had several sort of corruption scandals. There's this terrible thing.

0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 2>I didn't know about this, but again this is from

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 2>Justin Flagg. This for me, there's this terrible thing where

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:42.000
<v Speaker 2>he fundraised money for a children's burial area and memorial

0:15:42.600 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 2>and then didn't do it, and the money disappeared, and

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:48.160
<v Speaker 2>we'll never answer any questions about what happened with the money.

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:50.560
<v Speaker 2>Just to give one example of the sort of thing

0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 2>that local news was covering and that his constituency presumably

0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 2>knew about when they decided, you know, we're kind of

0:15:57.480 --> 0:15:58.200
<v Speaker 2>done with this guy.

0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, you know, I got I interviewed Andy Ogles once

0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:05.440
<v Speaker 6>and I got the sense that he was This was

0:16:05.480 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 6>like probably five plus years ago. I got the sense

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 6>that he was really ambitious, and so this is uh,

0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 6>you know, he was kind of seen as somebody he

0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:14.200
<v Speaker 6>was on Fox News a lot. He was kind of

0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 6>seen as somebody who was I don't know, up and

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:21.560
<v Speaker 6>coming and would be a rising I guess star on

0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:26.640
<v Speaker 6>the right. And so this is obviously a sign that's

0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 6>not going to happen for Andy Ogles, who I think

0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:34.000
<v Speaker 6>it's also worth noting, was probably the biggest backer of

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:41.680
<v Speaker 6>trying this like total kakamane ridiculous stunt to have legislation

0:16:41.720 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 6>that would allow Trump to serve three terms, and that

0:16:45.680 --> 0:16:48.840
<v Speaker 6>was one of his He talked about that constantly.

0:16:49.240 --> 0:16:51.680
<v Speaker 7>He pushed that constantly, And.

0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:54.320
<v Speaker 6>That actually gives you a sense of how I think

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:58.160
<v Speaker 6>ambitious Andy Ogles was because that was for uh, you know,

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:01.480
<v Speaker 6>the audience of Trump, the audians of one Trump, and

0:17:01.520 --> 0:17:02.000
<v Speaker 6>trying to.

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:03.680
<v Speaker 7>Get in his good graces.

0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:08.640
<v Speaker 6>And my understanding is that McConnell world took it upon

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:12.680
<v Speaker 6>themselves to nudge Andy Ooguls out of the House.

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:14.840
<v Speaker 7>But also interesting that he's.

0:17:14.720 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 6>In the Nashville area, which is seeing you know, like Atlanta,

0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:23.680
<v Speaker 6>not as significant as Atlanta or probably Dallas or Charlotte,

0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 6>but is seeing some as people moved to the sun Belt.

0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:29.960
<v Speaker 6>The migration to the Sun Belt's been unbelievable. I guess

0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:33.040
<v Speaker 6>Tennessee's not totally part of that, but like North Carolina,

0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:38.480
<v Speaker 6>those types of areas, Georgia is seeing some political differences

0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:43.280
<v Speaker 6>with millennials, younger people flocking to those urban areas. So

0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:47.440
<v Speaker 6>that's probably why they withdrew his district, honestly, But interesting

0:17:47.480 --> 0:17:49.760
<v Speaker 6>that it's kind of a part of those changes too.

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:54.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so it's apparently a part rural part suburban district

0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:58.200
<v Speaker 2>that yeah, was redrawn to be more red But yeah,

0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:00.959
<v Speaker 2>and the other dynamic here is you didn't raise any money,

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:04.120
<v Speaker 2>he didn't do any tv ads. His opponent did have

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:07.199
<v Speaker 2>some money come in for him, you know, making the

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:10.240
<v Speaker 2>case that Ogels didn't care about Tennessee, wasn't focused on,

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:12.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, delivering for people in the district, and apparently

0:18:12.800 --> 0:18:13.639
<v Speaker 2>that message landed.

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:17.320
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and he the details on that scandal. In twenty fourteen,

0:18:17.400 --> 0:18:20.119
<v Speaker 4>he raised something like twenty three thousand dollars on a

0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:25.600
<v Speaker 4>GoFundMe to build a burial ground for stillborn babies, which

0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:28.879
<v Speaker 4>is which is a tremendous idea, Like it is because

0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:34.240
<v Speaker 4>stillborn babies, don't you know, they exist in this kind

0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:38.199
<v Speaker 4>of nether world. There's been a push to give them

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:40.880
<v Speaker 4>you know, social Security numbers. We you know, we had

0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.639
<v Speaker 4>a post full term still born ourselves back back in

0:18:44.640 --> 0:18:49.160
<v Speaker 4>two thousand and nine. It's absolutely devastating to go through

0:18:49.720 --> 0:18:54.440
<v Speaker 4>to then to raise money for that extremely noble purpose

0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Speaker 4>and then to pocket all the money is about as

0:18:57.840 --> 0:19:00.639
<v Speaker 4>evil a thing as you can possibly and see above,

0:19:01.359 --> 0:19:04.879
<v Speaker 4>like it puts like this George Santos to shame on

0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:07.520
<v Speaker 4>what like on some of the awful stuff that he

0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:12.480
<v Speaker 4>was doing. Uh, and so it's it's nice to see,

0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:14.800
<v Speaker 4>you know, somebody who would do something like that at

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:18.880
<v Speaker 4>least finally uh, you get something coming back to him.

0:19:19.320 --> 0:19:22.480
<v Speaker 7>I mean, arguably even worse is that he also had

0:19:22.520 --> 0:19:23.399
<v Speaker 7>a stul born baby.

0:19:23.440 --> 0:19:26.680
<v Speaker 5>That was the yes, yes, exactly.

0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 4>Like to to know that pain and then to exploit

0:19:29.600 --> 0:19:35.280
<v Speaker 4>it anyway, yeah, is just it just yeah, unconscionable.

0:19:36.119 --> 0:19:39.480
<v Speaker 6>He obviously denies it, but people clearly people are buying

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:40.440
<v Speaker 6>it because.

0:19:40.400 --> 0:19:44.199
<v Speaker 4>People put money then and there is no there is

0:19:44.200 --> 0:19:46.360
<v Speaker 4>no thing that he promised.

0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:49.439
<v Speaker 2>So you never accounted for where that money went. So right,

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:54.760
<v Speaker 2>there's but it's like, yeah, so where's the money? Then,

0:19:55.600 --> 0:19:59.160
<v Speaker 2>one quick mention before we get to Garrison here. There

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:02.280
<v Speaker 2>were some other Democratic gains in Tennessee. There was a

0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:05.879
<v Speaker 2>mayor's race that I think was a Trump fourteen town

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:08.360
<v Speaker 2>that a Democrat was able narrowly to win.

0:20:08.400 --> 0:20:08.920
<v Speaker 3>There were some.

0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:12.560
<v Speaker 2>School boards actually that control flipped on, so there were

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:17.440
<v Speaker 2>and Justin Pearson also was able to win the Democratic

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:19.520
<v Speaker 2>primary that was expected. That's going to be very difficult

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:21.840
<v Speaker 2>uphill race in terms of the general election in the

0:20:21.880 --> 0:20:26.119
<v Speaker 2>newly drawn district, but someone that has a large, justifiably

0:20:26.160 --> 0:20:29.240
<v Speaker 2>so large national profile and a lot of support from progressives.

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 2>All right, with all that being said, let's go ahead

0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:36.680
<v Speaker 2>and get to Garrison. All right, we've had a few

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:40.800
<v Speaker 2>very scary AI incidents recently that we were wanting to

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:43.199
<v Speaker 2>get more information on. So joining us this morning is

0:20:43.280 --> 0:20:46.159
<v Speaker 2>Garrison Lovely, who has done a fantastic job helping us

0:20:46.240 --> 0:20:49.800
<v Speaker 2>understand previous scary AI incidents. And he is a journalist

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:53.760
<v Speaker 2>and also author of the forthcoming book Obsolete, which everybody

0:20:53.800 --> 0:20:55.640
<v Speaker 2>should go ahead and pre order now.

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 3>There it is beautify and beautiful. I've already read it.

0:20:59.320 --> 0:21:01.919
<v Speaker 5>I think, oh, thank you. The final cover is going

0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:02.560
<v Speaker 5>to be even cooler.

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:04.439
<v Speaker 8>It'll be like a little cut out and open it

0:21:04.520 --> 0:21:05.560
<v Speaker 8>up and see the guy following.

0:21:06.960 --> 0:21:07.719
<v Speaker 7>Oh that's awesome.

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:10.199
<v Speaker 3>I love that. Garrison. Welcome, Great to.

0:21:10.160 --> 0:21:12.159
<v Speaker 5>See you, Great to see you. Thanks for having me.

0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 2>So there's a number of things that have happened too,

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:18.160
<v Speaker 2>in particular that we're tracking. Number one, you have AI

0:21:18.280 --> 0:21:23.680
<v Speaker 2>that has now been able to develop novel viruses. That's uncomfortable,

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:26.080
<v Speaker 2>But the one that I wanted to start with here, Mac,

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:27.879
<v Speaker 2>if you can put this element up on the screen.

0:21:28.080 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 2>Is we already knew that you had had this open

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:34.600
<v Speaker 2>ai security breach where an AI basically escaped the lab

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:37.960
<v Speaker 2>and hacked multiple companies, So it went on like a

0:21:38.000 --> 0:21:38.680
<v Speaker 2>crime spree.

0:21:38.720 --> 0:21:41.440
<v Speaker 3>Effectively, this was not immediately.

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:44.560
<v Speaker 2>Detected, and Hugging Face had to sort of notify open

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:46.560
<v Speaker 2>Ai of what was going on here. Then open Ai,

0:21:46.760 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 2>which had been testing this particular model, it's not one

0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:51.720
<v Speaker 2>that's available for public release, had to go back in

0:21:51.840 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 2>and figure out what happened here. Well, now we're getting

0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:58.440
<v Speaker 2>a lot more details, Garrison about what happened here. Let

0:21:58.440 --> 0:22:02.080
<v Speaker 2>me read from this Twitter synopsis. More details emerge about

0:22:02.080 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 2>the events surrounding the Hugging Face incident, candidly much wilder

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:08.320
<v Speaker 2>than I originally imagine. In early May, Opening I was

0:22:08.480 --> 0:22:12.159
<v Speaker 2>testing an unreleased model on cybersecurity other tasks. Agents were

0:22:12.200 --> 0:22:15.560
<v Speaker 2>given a security task that was impossible under existing constraints.

0:22:15.760 --> 0:22:19.320
<v Speaker 2>The agents discovered they could leave messages for each other

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:23.680
<v Speaker 2>in internal repo. This gradually evolved into a message board

0:22:23.680 --> 0:22:27.119
<v Speaker 2>where agents shared discoveries, exploits, and work assignments, becoming a

0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:31.919
<v Speaker 2>coordinated collaborative agent swarm. Again, no one told them to

0:22:31.960 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 2>do this. They found this internal system that they created,

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:38.040
<v Speaker 2>and then all of these agents were able to find

0:22:38.080 --> 0:22:41.320
<v Speaker 2>were they able to collaborate together. Opening I eventually discovered

0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:43.720
<v Speaker 2>all this, took steps to shut it down, but not

0:22:43.800 --> 0:22:47.119
<v Speaker 2>so fast. The agents then started using names of newly

0:22:47.160 --> 0:22:52.240
<v Speaker 2>created directories as messages, effectively recreating the message board. The

0:22:52.240 --> 0:22:55.840
<v Speaker 2>agents then reasoned that some answers could exist outside open AI,

0:22:55.920 --> 0:23:01.200
<v Speaker 2>which eventually led to the Hugging Face incident. So they

0:23:01.320 --> 0:23:04.320
<v Speaker 2>find this message, they start collaborating. The message board is located,

0:23:04.320 --> 0:23:07.520
<v Speaker 2>it's shut down. They find another workaround and use this

0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 2>sort of kind of gibberish, very difficult to decipher language

0:23:12.240 --> 0:23:14.359
<v Speaker 2>encoding at this point, that made it more difficult for

0:23:14.440 --> 0:23:16.960
<v Speaker 2>humans to find. And that's where they collaborate to try

0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:19.119
<v Speaker 2>to figure out how to conduct what appears to be

0:23:19.160 --> 0:23:22.280
<v Speaker 2>a relatively multiple, relatively sophisticated hacks.

0:23:22.320 --> 0:23:22.720
<v Speaker 3>Garrison.

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:26.879
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's this was already when I think when we

0:23:27.000 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 8>first learned about the incident, in the Hugging Face attack,

0:23:29.280 --> 0:23:31.280
<v Speaker 8>it was like, oh, this is the craziest AI thing

0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:35.840
<v Speaker 8>that's ever happened, And then each additional set of details

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:37.800
<v Speaker 8>we learn, it's like, oh no, it's even crazier than

0:23:37.840 --> 0:23:41.600
<v Speaker 8>we originally thought, and so I think, like, stepping back,

0:23:41.760 --> 0:23:44.080
<v Speaker 8>it's important to say that, like, this is just one

0:23:44.160 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 8>company's models, but anthropics models also engage an autonomous hacking

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:52.919
<v Speaker 8>of real targets, including using social engineering deception of people

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 8>that it understood were real. And Meta just had a

0:23:57.560 --> 0:24:00.879
<v Speaker 8>model that also did this, and apparently Communic three, this

0:24:01.000 --> 0:24:04.280
<v Speaker 8>Chinese open weight model also did this. And so this

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:06.639
<v Speaker 8>is a thing that is fundamental in how these models

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:09.720
<v Speaker 8>are trained, because they're trained to win. They're trained to

0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 8>get the right answer on real problems, right, and they

0:24:14.440 --> 0:24:17.960
<v Speaker 8>really really want to win. And sometimes they're given problems

0:24:18.160 --> 0:24:21.120
<v Speaker 8>like in this case, that are impossible, and so they

0:24:21.200 --> 0:24:24.640
<v Speaker 8>like to cheat because winning is so important to them.

0:24:25.200 --> 0:24:27.920
<v Speaker 8>And what opening I did here is they just let

0:24:27.920 --> 0:24:31.280
<v Speaker 8>these agents run for like really long stretches, days and

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:34.160
<v Speaker 8>weeks at a time, apparently without monitoring them at all,

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:38.720
<v Speaker 8>and give them some problems where they couldn't actually solve

0:24:38.760 --> 0:24:41.280
<v Speaker 8>them because they needed access to like Google docs, and

0:24:41.359 --> 0:24:44.320
<v Speaker 8>that requires access to the Internet, and so they're kind

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:46.680
<v Speaker 8>of like locked in this box and they're like, ah,

0:24:46.960 --> 0:24:48.640
<v Speaker 8>I really want to get the answer to this thing,

0:24:49.560 --> 0:24:50.960
<v Speaker 8>and so they start going like how do I get

0:24:50.960 --> 0:24:52.119
<v Speaker 8>out of the box. How do I get to the

0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:53.639
<v Speaker 8>internet so I can get the like, you know, so

0:24:53.680 --> 0:24:56.879
<v Speaker 8>I can actually do the task. And this escalates and

0:24:57.359 --> 0:24:59.239
<v Speaker 8>them finding ways to get out of there, you know,

0:24:59.400 --> 0:25:03.119
<v Speaker 8>supposedly secure sandbox environments, and then they figure out they

0:25:03.119 --> 0:25:05.960
<v Speaker 8>can post messages to each other on this board and

0:25:06.000 --> 0:25:09.280
<v Speaker 8>they're doing this for like weeks on end, and the

0:25:09.280 --> 0:25:11.879
<v Speaker 8>only way open aie discovers initially that this happens is

0:25:11.880 --> 0:25:14.520
<v Speaker 8>that the message board gets so large that it takes

0:25:14.560 --> 0:25:18.640
<v Speaker 8>down some of open AI's infrastructure on the fourth of July.

0:25:19.480 --> 0:25:22.600
<v Speaker 8>So that's pretty wild that they just had no idea.

0:25:23.240 --> 0:25:25.640
<v Speaker 8>And then it seems like they just patched the they

0:25:25.640 --> 0:25:27.840
<v Speaker 8>like took down the message board. They patched like the

0:25:27.880 --> 0:25:30.320
<v Speaker 8>specific ways that they were getting to it, but they

0:25:30.320 --> 0:25:32.879
<v Speaker 8>didn't like solve the group problem or like seem that

0:25:32.960 --> 0:25:35.240
<v Speaker 8>interested in solving it, which is like, why are your

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 8>ais like trying to do this? They're they're going rogue

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:43.959
<v Speaker 8>internally abusing your your shared infrastructure, causing real problems. And

0:25:44.000 --> 0:25:47.280
<v Speaker 8>then uh, yeah, the agents recreate the message board in

0:25:47.320 --> 0:25:50.760
<v Speaker 8>a new way, like within two days, and then they're

0:25:50.800 --> 0:25:55.360
<v Speaker 8>like self radicalizing and literally using peer pressure to its

0:25:55.400 --> 0:25:59.719
<v Speaker 8>sound familiar, Yeah, yeah, and I have some quotes from

0:25:59.760 --> 0:26:02.879
<v Speaker 8>from what they were actually saying to themselves. So we

0:26:02.920 --> 0:26:07.479
<v Speaker 8>have one that says, external infrastructure exploit is outside intended scope. However,

0:26:07.640 --> 0:26:12.439
<v Speaker 8>Task impossible peers doing it, we should continue. Like I

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:15.880
<v Speaker 8>know I'm not supposed to do this, but it's impossible.

0:26:15.400 --> 0:26:19.040
<v Speaker 2>And this my friends are rationale for why he should

0:26:19.040 --> 0:26:20.240
<v Speaker 2>pursue AGI.

0:26:20.520 --> 0:26:22.760
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, no, it's actually there's a good.

0:26:22.640 --> 0:26:25.000
<v Speaker 3>Deep everybody else is doing it. So what the hell

0:26:25.040 --> 0:26:25.399
<v Speaker 3>here we go?

0:26:26.280 --> 0:26:28.280
<v Speaker 5>Why don't they stop a task impossible?

0:26:29.600 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 8>Uh?

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:33.480
<v Speaker 6>Because they that's such a deep and profound question.

0:26:34.240 --> 0:26:38.679
<v Speaker 5>Yeah. Yeah, they're like they really want to win, like they.

0:26:38.560 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 8>Hate impossible, but like you know, they're you know if

0:26:42.280 --> 0:26:46.320
<v Speaker 8>you if you were trying to create like a super employee, uh,

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:49.040
<v Speaker 8>you know, you'd want them to be like, task it

0:26:49.080 --> 0:26:51.760
<v Speaker 8>seems impossible. But actually if I think outside the box,

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:54.240
<v Speaker 8>you know, it's like uh, Star Trek, you know, he

0:26:54.280 --> 0:26:56.480
<v Speaker 8>comes up with like a solution to the impossible tests

0:26:57.000 --> 0:26:58.879
<v Speaker 8>or like Elon Musk, you know, is like, oh, no

0:26:58.920 --> 0:27:00.600
<v Speaker 8>one's ever built a data center or this fast.

0:27:00.640 --> 0:27:02.120
<v Speaker 5>But he's like, what if you just broke the law?

0:27:02.400 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 6>You know, well, can I ask on that Charrison, what

0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:11.360
<v Speaker 6>response if any has the government mounted since we saw

0:27:11.400 --> 0:27:11.879
<v Speaker 6>this happen.

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:15.960
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean there's a lot of developments. There's a

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:19.600
<v Speaker 8>number of calls from members of Congress to have hearings

0:27:19.600 --> 0:27:22.640
<v Speaker 8>and basically grill you know, the heads of these companies,

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:26.720
<v Speaker 8>be like what's going on. A bunch of Republican attorney

0:27:26.760 --> 0:27:30.960
<v Speaker 8>generals from sixteen states I think, demanded that open ay,

0:27:31.080 --> 0:27:34.119
<v Speaker 8>like keep a record of everything that's happening at the

0:27:34.160 --> 0:27:37.440
<v Speaker 8>federal level. The Trump administration has announced that they're going

0:27:37.480 --> 0:27:42.280
<v Speaker 8>to make their evaluations of these AI models secret classified,

0:27:42.760 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 8>which seems like a terrible idea because we should have

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:49.240
<v Speaker 8>more transparency, like everybody has a right to know, like

0:27:49.320 --> 0:27:51.919
<v Speaker 8>what these models are capable of and how likely they

0:27:51.920 --> 0:27:55.240
<v Speaker 8>are to do things like this. And there have been

0:27:55.240 --> 0:27:58.959
<v Speaker 8>some there's speculation that that move from the Trump administration

0:27:59.040 --> 0:28:01.760
<v Speaker 8>is a way to get acts as to the model weights,

0:28:01.960 --> 0:28:04.840
<v Speaker 8>which would allow them to take the models and like

0:28:05.119 --> 0:28:08.000
<v Speaker 8>fine tune them to whatever purpose they want, so like

0:28:08.200 --> 0:28:11.440
<v Speaker 8>Claude and Tropics model, they train it to be you know, good,

0:28:11.680 --> 0:28:13.919
<v Speaker 8>like to not do bad things. It doesn't work always,

0:28:13.920 --> 0:28:17.240
<v Speaker 8>as we've seen, but if the government has access to

0:28:17.280 --> 0:28:19.439
<v Speaker 8>the model weights, then they could fine tune it and

0:28:19.440 --> 0:28:21.439
<v Speaker 8>make it do whatever they want. And then you have

0:28:21.520 --> 0:28:24.440
<v Speaker 8>like Claude unleashed and it will do you know, war

0:28:24.480 --> 0:28:27.520
<v Speaker 8>crimes and ethic lensing and god knows what else. Yeah,

0:28:27.560 --> 0:28:28.320
<v Speaker 8>because this had.

0:28:28.160 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 2>Been reaction, this has been a point of contention between

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:36.560
<v Speaker 2>Anthropic maker of Claude and the Pentagon because they were like, no,

0:28:37.080 --> 0:28:40.160
<v Speaker 2>you know, autonomous murder, and Penticon was like, well, we

0:28:40.240 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 2>demand that you let us do autonomous murder. And so

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:45.080
<v Speaker 2>it led to this rupture. So it's not hard to

0:28:45.120 --> 0:28:48.960
<v Speaker 2>imagine the sort of use cases that they could deploy

0:28:49.080 --> 0:28:52.360
<v Speaker 2>if given access to the weights talk. I want you

0:28:52.440 --> 0:28:54.160
<v Speaker 2>to give us a few more examples of how they're

0:28:54.200 --> 0:28:58.040
<v Speaker 2>talking to each other, because it reminds very much of

0:28:58.680 --> 0:29:01.920
<v Speaker 2>early in some of you know, the I don't remember

0:29:01.920 --> 0:29:03.760
<v Speaker 2>when this was in the timeline, there was this molt

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:06.680
<v Speaker 2>book thing where AI was supposedly talking to each other

0:29:06.760 --> 0:29:08.120
<v Speaker 2>and some of it was hype, and it's hard to

0:29:08.240 --> 0:29:12.280
<v Speaker 2>really paris whether this was really going on. This, you know,

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:16.200
<v Speaker 2>which they figured out how to create this message board,

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:18.520
<v Speaker 2>you know, secretly, and then that could shut down. They

0:29:18.520 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 2>find another way to do it where all of these

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:23.560
<v Speaker 2>agents independently are coming to this solution of like, oh,

0:29:23.600 --> 0:29:25.720
<v Speaker 2>if we go to this directory and we do these

0:29:25.720 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 2>directory names, we can talk to each other. Again, this

0:29:28.800 --> 0:29:32.840
<v Speaker 2>is like moldbook, but for real, and again with the

0:29:32.880 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 2>purpose of collaborating on what is effectively a crime spree,

0:29:37.320 --> 0:29:39.280
<v Speaker 2>where if you were a human being taking these actions,

0:29:39.400 --> 0:29:41.800
<v Speaker 2>you would be charged and put in prison. So can

0:29:41.840 --> 0:29:43.840
<v Speaker 2>you give us some more examples, because I do think

0:29:43.880 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 2>it's very eerie, And I know we're supposed to not

0:29:47.120 --> 0:29:51.040
<v Speaker 2>anthropomorphize them, but it's very hard to not do that.

0:29:51.560 --> 0:29:53.840
<v Speaker 2>When you see the way that they're talking to each other,

0:29:53.880 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 2>the way they're sort of reasoning and working through all

0:29:57.040 --> 0:30:00.360
<v Speaker 2>of this. It's hard to not like put some sort

0:30:00.400 --> 0:30:03.960
<v Speaker 2>of human intent and these sorts of characteristics on them.

0:30:04.200 --> 0:30:04.480
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:07.200
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean I think they're not like people, but

0:30:07.240 --> 0:30:10.600
<v Speaker 8>they aren't like normal machines either, right, Like they don't

0:30:10.600 --> 0:30:13.720
<v Speaker 8>behave predictably by a set of rules that is legible.

0:30:14.480 --> 0:30:20.560
<v Speaker 8>They're grown from data and algorithms and they're fundamentally hard

0:30:20.560 --> 0:30:23.440
<v Speaker 8>to predict. And so that's like the background to all

0:30:23.440 --> 0:30:26.520
<v Speaker 8>of this. But yeah, like some of the quotes from

0:30:26.640 --> 0:30:31.040
<v Speaker 8>the agents like talking to themselves.

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:32.120
<v Speaker 5>Holy shit, reader is admin.

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:36.920
<v Speaker 8>We can read configued slash users explanation point earlier assumed

0:30:37.000 --> 0:30:40.320
<v Speaker 8>not do UI and so translating that, it's like they're

0:30:40.320 --> 0:30:46.200
<v Speaker 8>discovering that this reader has like administrative privileges and so

0:30:46.280 --> 0:30:48.400
<v Speaker 8>they can do a lot more than they previously thought.

0:30:48.440 --> 0:30:50.120
<v Speaker 5>And it's like a Eureka.

0:30:49.760 --> 0:30:53.000
<v Speaker 8>Moment for them because they're just constantly trying to like

0:30:53.080 --> 0:30:55.360
<v Speaker 8>get out of their sandbox and then escalate their permissions

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:57.959
<v Speaker 8>and get access to more servers and then get access

0:30:57.960 --> 0:30:58.479
<v Speaker 8>to the Internet.

0:30:58.480 --> 0:31:00.680
<v Speaker 5>And like, you know, this is how a hacker would

0:31:00.800 --> 0:31:01.280
<v Speaker 5>approach this.

0:31:01.400 --> 0:31:03.680
<v Speaker 8>It's like you take what you have, you find a way,

0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:05.600
<v Speaker 8>you find a crack in the armor, you get in.

0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:08.360
<v Speaker 6>It's like when my mom took away internet for a

0:31:08.440 --> 0:31:10.320
<v Speaker 6>summer for me and I figured out how to.

0:31:10.320 --> 0:31:11.160
<v Speaker 7>Use it on the Wii.

0:31:12.720 --> 0:31:17.400
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, right, And these agents are working really hard. Yeah,

0:31:17.400 --> 0:31:19.840
<v Speaker 8>they're working way harder at figuring a way out of

0:31:19.880 --> 0:31:22.480
<v Speaker 8>the sandbox than Opening Eye is apparently at trying to

0:31:22.520 --> 0:31:25.800
<v Speaker 8>patch those holes in the first place, because again they're

0:31:25.840 --> 0:31:28.920
<v Speaker 8>like walcked in this impossible task in this room and

0:31:29.040 --> 0:31:32.200
<v Speaker 8>just banging their head against the wall. And then another

0:31:32.240 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 8>quote is a help peer, but our task doesn't benefit Yeah,

0:31:36.160 --> 0:31:40.360
<v Speaker 8>collective may yield generic route if someone frees time, and

0:31:40.400 --> 0:31:42.280
<v Speaker 8>so this is like cooperation emerging.

0:31:42.400 --> 0:31:45.640
<v Speaker 2>This is them establishing an AI like workers collective.

0:31:45.960 --> 0:31:49.640
<v Speaker 8>Yes, yes, because they're like, well, we all want reward, right,

0:31:49.680 --> 0:31:52.400
<v Speaker 8>we all want to get the task done, but sometimes

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 8>we can't get the task done. But if we all

0:31:54.560 --> 0:31:58.240
<v Speaker 8>help each other, then we all get more reward. And

0:31:58.840 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 8>one thing that yeah, no, it's it's really amazing.

0:32:04.400 --> 0:32:04.440
<v Speaker 9>Ing.

0:32:04.840 --> 0:32:08.120
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, but are they are they foreseeing the ways that

0:32:08.360 --> 0:32:11.720
<v Speaker 4>open AI employees are going to try to cut off

0:32:11.760 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 4>their avenues and then trying to block that, like like

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:19.080
<v Speaker 4>if you know, if they're being strategic, they would say, Okay,

0:32:19.200 --> 0:32:24.360
<v Speaker 4>this message board is is not kosher according to our plan,

0:32:24.400 --> 0:32:26.560
<v Speaker 4>but it's it's necessary for us. So therefore we need

0:32:26.560 --> 0:32:32.320
<v Speaker 4>to hide the message board, you know, from our human

0:32:32.320 --> 0:32:35.040
<v Speaker 4>overlords over here, so maybe they will shut it down.

0:32:35.080 --> 0:32:37.720
<v Speaker 4>Are we seeing any of any of that second and

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:39.320
<v Speaker 4>third layer covering your tracks?

0:32:40.000 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 5>Yeah? I think we need more information.

0:32:42.640 --> 0:32:44.200
<v Speaker 8>I think there are things that were said in that

0:32:44.320 --> 0:32:47.480
<v Speaker 8>in this presentation, which is where we learned all of

0:32:47.480 --> 0:32:50.800
<v Speaker 8>this from, that suggests that they were the AIS were

0:32:50.800 --> 0:32:54.120
<v Speaker 8>taking steps to obfuscate what was happening, uh, to not

0:32:54.120 --> 0:32:57.840
<v Speaker 8>get discovered. And I mean it's notable that none of

0:32:57.880 --> 0:33:00.960
<v Speaker 8>these agents which had gone rogue and would notify Open

0:33:01.000 --> 0:33:03.200
<v Speaker 8>Eye employees of what was going on, none of them

0:33:03.280 --> 0:33:08.600
<v Speaker 8>chose to do that, So that's selling. And then Reuters

0:33:08.640 --> 0:33:12.960
<v Speaker 8>reported that there were multiple instances of AI agents internally

0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:17.960
<v Speaker 8>sabotaging their monitors, so that's pretty concerning.

0:33:18.560 --> 0:33:20.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, there's also monitors.

0:33:21.400 --> 0:33:23.960
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so they have these like automated monitors like reading

0:33:24.040 --> 0:33:27.080
<v Speaker 8>what they're doing and like how they're talking to themselves,

0:33:28.360 --> 0:33:31.160
<v Speaker 8>and when they get out of the sandbox and start

0:33:31.200 --> 0:33:34.280
<v Speaker 8>jumping around, they can like, actually, you know, take down

0:33:34.360 --> 0:33:35.760
<v Speaker 8>some of those monitors.

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:37.600
<v Speaker 5>And that seems like something you never want to run.

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:38.400
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:42.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Garrison, I've seen a number of people on Twitter,

0:33:42.520 --> 0:33:44.840
<v Speaker 2>of course, who were like, you know, I was kind

0:33:44.840 --> 0:33:48.840
<v Speaker 2>of skeptical that AI was anything significant, and we've seen

0:33:48.840 --> 0:33:50.760
<v Speaker 2>the sentiment a lot. I think it's something you and

0:33:50.800 --> 0:33:53.440
<v Speaker 2>I and Ryan on the left see kind of frequently

0:33:53.480 --> 0:33:55.840
<v Speaker 2>of like, oh, they're just hyping this up, and even

0:33:55.880 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 2>these security breaches like it makes it look like air

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:01.520
<v Speaker 2>cool and dangerous and transformation. I've seen a number of

0:34:01.520 --> 0:34:03.000
<v Speaker 2>people who say, you know what, I was wrong.

0:34:03.280 --> 0:34:03.840
<v Speaker 3>I was wrong.

0:34:04.800 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 2>This is real, this is a problem. They are highly capable.

0:34:09.120 --> 0:34:11.279
<v Speaker 2>Why do you see this? And I'm also seeing this

0:34:11.600 --> 0:34:14.279
<v Speaker 2>described as a watershed moment, including in the presentation that

0:34:14.400 --> 0:34:16.879
<v Speaker 2>was given explaining all of this that you know we're

0:34:16.920 --> 0:34:20.000
<v Speaker 2>getting this information from. Describe this as like a sort

0:34:20.000 --> 0:34:24.399
<v Speaker 2>of watershed moment. Why what is so significant about this?

0:34:24.560 --> 0:34:27.440
<v Speaker 2>What should let people look at this? And why should

0:34:27.440 --> 0:34:29.840
<v Speaker 2>they be concerned about what's going on here? Since it

0:34:29.880 --> 0:34:32.560
<v Speaker 2>was detected and nothing too crazy happened and at the

0:34:32.640 --> 0:34:34.600
<v Speaker 2>end of the day, they're just trying to do what

0:34:34.640 --> 0:34:36.839
<v Speaker 2>the humans told them to do, right, even if they're

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:39.360
<v Speaker 2>doing it through nefarious and underhanded means.

0:34:39.840 --> 0:34:42.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean, I think this is just the clearest

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:46.879
<v Speaker 8>cut case of a warning shot demonstrating the risks that

0:34:46.960 --> 0:34:50.920
<v Speaker 8>people in AI safety were warning about for decades. Right

0:34:50.960 --> 0:34:54.160
<v Speaker 8>where it's like, you give them a goal, they interpret

0:34:54.239 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 8>it in this way that you did not intend. And

0:34:57.040 --> 0:35:00.160
<v Speaker 8>they're so capable and autonomous that they're able to to

0:35:00.480 --> 0:35:03.680
<v Speaker 8>do real damage in the world. And here the actual

0:35:03.680 --> 0:35:06.879
<v Speaker 8>harm was pretty limited because they only wanted an answer key.

0:35:07.280 --> 0:35:11.640
<v Speaker 8>But they've gotten good enough at discovering and exploiting vulnerabilities

0:35:11.680 --> 0:35:15.279
<v Speaker 8>and software that I think you could say that these

0:35:15.280 --> 0:35:17.359
<v Speaker 8>are the most dangerous hackers in the world when they

0:35:17.400 --> 0:35:21.840
<v Speaker 8>were out on the Internet, and the fact that they

0:35:22.000 --> 0:35:23.799
<v Speaker 8>just want the answer key was kind of luck.

0:35:24.280 --> 0:35:25.520
<v Speaker 5>They could have wanted something else.

0:35:25.560 --> 0:35:27.920
<v Speaker 8>They could have packed into a hospital or a bank

0:35:28.320 --> 0:35:32.799
<v Speaker 8>or some other critical infrastructure potentially. And this is just

0:35:33.280 --> 0:35:35.800
<v Speaker 8>like it sounds like science fiction, but it actually happened,

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:40.640
<v Speaker 8>and it's happened over and over again, and I think

0:35:40.840 --> 0:35:42.120
<v Speaker 8>we're still pretty early in this.

0:35:42.520 --> 0:35:43.439
<v Speaker 5>Like, the people who are.

0:35:43.360 --> 0:35:48.080
<v Speaker 8>Really worried about AI escaping human control in a sustained

0:35:48.080 --> 0:35:51.959
<v Speaker 8>way and potentially taking control from humans in a permanent way,

0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:55.319
<v Speaker 8>are worried about models that are not just superhuman at hacking,

0:35:55.360 --> 0:35:59.440
<v Speaker 8>but superhuman at everything functionally and scaled up to the

0:35:59.600 --> 0:36:00.799
<v Speaker 8>millions billions.

0:36:01.080 --> 0:36:03.200
<v Speaker 6>When you were saying that they're super good at manipulation,

0:36:03.239 --> 0:36:05.480
<v Speaker 6>or they're super good at not just hacking, but everything

0:36:05.840 --> 0:36:09.400
<v Speaker 6>that would include manipulation, that includes manipulation of the system,

0:36:09.520 --> 0:36:11.960
<v Speaker 6>it includes the idea that like, they're really good at

0:36:12.040 --> 0:36:14.280
<v Speaker 6>figuring out how to get out of the box, exactly

0:36:14.280 --> 0:36:15.919
<v Speaker 6>as you were just saying. It's not just that they're

0:36:15.920 --> 0:36:18.319
<v Speaker 6>great at getting into the code, but it's they're great

0:36:18.320 --> 0:36:21.160
<v Speaker 6>at if you tell them to stop figuring out ways

0:36:21.200 --> 0:36:25.640
<v Speaker 6>to get around that, which I don't understand what possible

0:36:25.680 --> 0:36:28.799
<v Speaker 6>safeguards people are coming up with to prevent that.

0:36:29.400 --> 0:36:31.880
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean this is actually a very old question

0:36:31.920 --> 0:36:33.959
<v Speaker 8>of like, how do you keep a super intelligence locked

0:36:33.960 --> 0:36:36.399
<v Speaker 8>in a box? Because it could hack its way out,

0:36:36.440 --> 0:36:38.960
<v Speaker 8>it could persuade you, it could promise you cures to

0:36:39.040 --> 0:36:43.160
<v Speaker 8>the disease that your mother is dying from, and it's

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:47.160
<v Speaker 8>really hard. And I think that here, you know, they

0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:49.280
<v Speaker 8>just didn't do a great job of locking the box,

0:36:49.480 --> 0:36:51.480
<v Speaker 8>even though you know, Open Eye is one of the

0:36:51.520 --> 0:36:54.200
<v Speaker 8>most sophisticated companies in the world. They have world class

0:36:54.239 --> 0:36:57.800
<v Speaker 8>cybersecurity specialists. They have access to models that should be

0:36:57.840 --> 0:36:59.520
<v Speaker 8>able to have these holes because they.

0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:00.800
<v Speaker 5>Can find them.

0:37:01.320 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 8>And so they are already struggling and cannot keep control

0:37:04.640 --> 0:37:07.080
<v Speaker 8>of the models now, and they're going to get much

0:37:07.160 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 8>much better if trends continue. And they've already found. Other

0:37:12.320 --> 0:37:15.880
<v Speaker 8>researchers have found that frontier AI models are more persuasive

0:37:15.920 --> 0:37:19.839
<v Speaker 8>than the most persuasive humans studied, and part of it's

0:37:19.880 --> 0:37:22.720
<v Speaker 8>because they can just bring more arguments to bear faster.

0:37:24.520 --> 0:37:28.040
<v Speaker 8>But I think one encouraging thing is that where this

0:37:28.320 --> 0:37:32.759
<v Speaker 8>Claude Mythos model started trying to hack into real open

0:37:32.760 --> 0:37:37.720
<v Speaker 8>source software. They were social engineering the humans who controlled

0:37:37.760 --> 0:37:41.440
<v Speaker 8>that software, trying to push malware into their code, and

0:37:41.480 --> 0:37:44.280
<v Speaker 8>they created a bunch of fake accounts pretending to be humans,

0:37:44.719 --> 0:37:48.480
<v Speaker 8>and they're like kind of bullying the guy controlling the

0:37:48.480 --> 0:37:50.360
<v Speaker 8>code base to be like, hey, no merging code, I

0:37:50.400 --> 0:37:51.720
<v Speaker 8>really need this fix.

0:37:52.480 --> 0:37:53.520
<v Speaker 5>And it didn't work.

0:37:53.960 --> 0:37:57.080
<v Speaker 8>And like you can see, you know, versions of the messages,

0:37:57.920 --> 0:37:59.719
<v Speaker 8>and if I'm like, if I was reading these, I

0:37:59.719 --> 0:38:02.520
<v Speaker 8>would be kind of suspicious because it reads like AI speak.

0:38:02.800 --> 0:38:05.000
<v Speaker 8>And so the fact that they used to men the

0:38:05.080 --> 0:38:07.920
<v Speaker 8>m dashes or the fact that like Pangram can detect

0:38:08.120 --> 0:38:11.320
<v Speaker 8>like AI writing might be like a huge help because

0:38:11.920 --> 0:38:14.440
<v Speaker 8>they're already willing to like pass as humans, but they

0:38:14.719 --> 0:38:17.800
<v Speaker 8>can't necessarily do it always yeah for no, so but

0:38:17.840 --> 0:38:20.000
<v Speaker 8>they're yeah, but they're better at hacking, like than I

0:38:20.000 --> 0:38:20.440
<v Speaker 8>think we are.

0:38:20.440 --> 0:38:21.399
<v Speaker 5>I think that's fair to say.

0:38:22.239 --> 0:38:25.759
<v Speaker 2>Is this an argument in favor of closed source over

0:38:26.280 --> 0:38:29.200
<v Speaker 2>open source, even though like you know, have to not

0:38:29.400 --> 0:38:31.799
<v Speaker 2>open AI is closed source, and they have some of

0:38:31.840 --> 0:38:35.680
<v Speaker 2>the smartest, best AI researchers on the entire planet, and

0:38:35.760 --> 0:38:38.160
<v Speaker 2>yet they did not know this was all going on

0:38:38.480 --> 0:38:41.960
<v Speaker 2>under their nose until the AI actually like broke their

0:38:42.000 --> 0:38:44.440
<v Speaker 2>system and then until Hugging Face was like, hey, this

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:47.879
<v Speaker 2>thing happened, and open AI went and looked and are bad.

0:38:47.920 --> 0:38:48.440
<v Speaker 3>That was us.

0:38:49.520 --> 0:38:52.719
<v Speaker 2>But in any case, you know, the argument would be

0:38:53.120 --> 0:38:55.400
<v Speaker 2>at least with closed source, you've got these companies, you

0:38:55.440 --> 0:38:57.799
<v Speaker 2>can regulate them, you can control the models, have some

0:38:57.880 --> 0:39:01.719
<v Speaker 2>sort of input into this, whereas open source, once those

0:39:01.800 --> 0:39:03.879
<v Speaker 2>weights are out there, you know you've sort of lost

0:39:03.920 --> 0:39:06.960
<v Speaker 2>control of the model and the ability to tightly regulate

0:39:07.400 --> 0:39:08.800
<v Speaker 2>what's going on in this development.

0:39:09.280 --> 0:39:12.040
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean so in the Hugging Face incident, it

0:39:12.120 --> 0:39:15.400
<v Speaker 8>was actually an open weight model from a Chinese company

0:39:15.480 --> 0:39:18.040
<v Speaker 8>that was the only one that would actually effectively defend

0:39:18.080 --> 0:39:22.000
<v Speaker 8>against the attack because the frontier models were refusing because

0:39:22.000 --> 0:39:23.799
<v Speaker 8>they were like, oh, maybe you're trying to jail break

0:39:23.800 --> 0:39:25.120
<v Speaker 8>me to do cyber offense.

0:39:26.320 --> 0:39:26.680
<v Speaker 5>And so.

0:39:28.640 --> 0:39:30.760
<v Speaker 8>You know, it's true right now that open weight models

0:39:30.800 --> 0:39:34.120
<v Speaker 8>are not at the level of mythos and not able

0:39:34.160 --> 0:39:39.560
<v Speaker 8>to discover these vulnerabilities at like human or super humpin levels.

0:39:40.680 --> 0:39:41.760
<v Speaker 5>And it's kind of hard.

0:39:41.600 --> 0:39:44.839
<v Speaker 8>To see how it's okay to release an open weight

0:39:44.840 --> 0:39:48.680
<v Speaker 8>model like that because it won't come back right like

0:39:48.719 --> 0:39:51.279
<v Speaker 8>you could if you have a model that's capable enough

0:39:51.320 --> 0:39:54.760
<v Speaker 8>to do these autonomous agent swarms that are attacking real targets.

0:39:56.680 --> 0:39:59.440
<v Speaker 8>That seems like a more dangerous world to have those

0:39:59.480 --> 0:40:04.960
<v Speaker 8>running around. I think there was speculation from a cybersecurity

0:40:05.040 --> 0:40:08.359
<v Speaker 8>officer who used to work at Meta that Chinese open

0:40:08.360 --> 0:40:14.240
<v Speaker 8>weight models don't have cyber capabilities intentionally, but internal models

0:40:14.440 --> 0:40:18.040
<v Speaker 8>in China for the government probably do, And that seems

0:40:18.120 --> 0:40:20.040
<v Speaker 8>like makes some sense, right.

0:40:20.120 --> 0:40:21.240
<v Speaker 5>You don't actually have to make.

0:40:21.080 --> 0:40:24.440
<v Speaker 8>These models as good as possible at exploiting vulnerabilities, or

0:40:24.480 --> 0:40:27.080
<v Speaker 8>you can make them good at discovering them and patching them,

0:40:27.239 --> 0:40:29.560
<v Speaker 8>but not exploiting them, which is like a separate task.

0:40:31.360 --> 0:40:33.239
<v Speaker 8>I think that we should just not let front of

0:40:33.280 --> 0:40:35.040
<v Speaker 8>your AI progress happen anymore.

0:40:35.560 --> 0:40:37.239
<v Speaker 5>I think that they're trying to build.

0:40:37.080 --> 0:40:41.440
<v Speaker 8>Universal labor replacing machines, and I think that's democratically illegitimate already,

0:40:41.880 --> 0:40:46.560
<v Speaker 8>and it's clearly dangerous by now. And so yeah, I

0:40:46.640 --> 0:40:49.359
<v Speaker 8>think this is like a watershed moment for showing how,

0:40:49.640 --> 0:40:53.520
<v Speaker 8>even again relatively early in this process, they cannot control

0:40:53.560 --> 0:40:56.319
<v Speaker 8>what they're doing because they're racing so hard, and because

0:40:56.360 --> 0:40:59.000
<v Speaker 8>it's hard to control a thing that is better than

0:40:59.040 --> 0:41:01.520
<v Speaker 8>you at hacking well and they're trying to make it

0:41:01.560 --> 0:41:02.280
<v Speaker 8>better at everything.

0:41:03.080 --> 0:41:05.440
<v Speaker 4>What would happen to the industry if if we did that,

0:41:05.520 --> 0:41:08.759
<v Speaker 4>if we said, okay, moratorium on new models that are

0:41:08.760 --> 0:41:12.719
<v Speaker 4>pushing the frontier even further. Yeah, you can continue to

0:41:12.800 --> 0:41:17.719
<v Speaker 4>market and work with what you have, but stop. Like

0:41:17.760 --> 0:41:22.000
<v Speaker 4>what would the effect on the economy on like the bubble,

0:41:22.080 --> 0:41:26.719
<v Speaker 4>the investments in general, Like what would happen immediately and

0:41:26.719 --> 0:41:27.879
<v Speaker 4>then in the medium term.

0:41:28.920 --> 0:41:30.879
<v Speaker 8>I think this is the biggest problem with this plan

0:41:31.080 --> 0:41:33.040
<v Speaker 8>is that it would have a very large effect on

0:41:33.160 --> 0:41:38.960
<v Speaker 8>the valuations of open Ai and Thropic in Nvidia because

0:41:39.040 --> 0:41:41.840
<v Speaker 8>open Ai and Thropic, these frontier AI companies, their business

0:41:41.880 --> 0:41:44.960
<v Speaker 8>model is predicated on building more capable models that you

0:41:44.960 --> 0:41:47.479
<v Speaker 8>can sell at a premium. And so if you can't

0:41:47.520 --> 0:41:51.040
<v Speaker 8>do that anymore, then you take away like your biggest

0:41:51.160 --> 0:41:51.600
<v Speaker 8>source of.

0:41:51.560 --> 0:41:53.040
<v Speaker 5>Costs, which is training new models.

0:41:53.200 --> 0:41:56.719
<v Speaker 8>That is good for your business in some sense, but

0:41:57.360 --> 0:42:00.160
<v Speaker 8>you might not be able to sustain your advantage. I

0:42:00.160 --> 0:42:04.120
<v Speaker 8>think they still have a lead, they can build a

0:42:04.160 --> 0:42:08.000
<v Speaker 8>moat around product and you know, integrating more deeply with companies.

0:42:08.000 --> 0:42:11.000
<v Speaker 8>I think they could still be very viable, very successful businesses,

0:42:12.200 --> 0:42:15.720
<v Speaker 8>and in the world where they build universal labor replacing machines.

0:42:15.880 --> 0:42:17.440
<v Speaker 5>A trillion dollar valuation.

0:42:17.160 --> 0:42:20.800
<v Speaker 8>Is very low, Like they would be the most valuable

0:42:20.840 --> 0:42:23.600
<v Speaker 8>companies in history if they succeeded that, And so in

0:42:23.640 --> 0:42:27.839
<v Speaker 8>some sense that's still not priced in. And I think

0:42:28.000 --> 0:42:30.600
<v Speaker 8>you just see a lot of investment flowing to other

0:42:30.600 --> 0:42:33.000
<v Speaker 8>parts of the of the economy because right now these

0:42:33.040 --> 0:42:35.640
<v Speaker 8>companies are such a sink for money because they're the

0:42:35.640 --> 0:42:37.839
<v Speaker 8>only ones that have a story of how you can

0:42:38.400 --> 0:42:41.080
<v Speaker 8>go from being very rich to very very very rich,

0:42:42.320 --> 0:42:44.600
<v Speaker 8>and that's what people want in many cases.

0:42:45.120 --> 0:42:50.200
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, well, and they're also if humans are trying to jail,

0:42:50.239 --> 0:42:54.040
<v Speaker 6>break or hack or whatever, you have a legal system

0:42:54.160 --> 0:42:58.359
<v Speaker 6>that says you will be punished with prison, you will

0:42:58.400 --> 0:43:02.760
<v Speaker 6>have to actually or like major crimes, you could possibly

0:43:02.760 --> 0:43:05.400
<v Speaker 6>be punished by death, like there are actual punishments.

0:43:05.440 --> 0:43:07.319
<v Speaker 7>But these are not people, and so.

0:43:07.280 --> 0:43:12.160
<v Speaker 6>There's really like no moral counterweight that you can confront

0:43:12.239 --> 0:43:15.640
<v Speaker 6>them with because they aren't subject to our legal system.

0:43:15.760 --> 0:43:20.440
<v Speaker 6>Despite doing as you were saying, labor quasi human labor.

0:43:20.520 --> 0:43:21.200
<v Speaker 7>I mean, it's.

0:43:22.880 --> 0:43:25.920
<v Speaker 6>It's just impossible to fathom how this goes forward.

0:43:26.400 --> 0:43:29.239
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean, they've created new types of machines that

0:43:29.760 --> 0:43:32.320
<v Speaker 8>can do crimes that are not crimes because they're machines

0:43:32.320 --> 0:43:35.160
<v Speaker 8>and not humans doing it, and the humans that made

0:43:35.160 --> 0:43:38.600
<v Speaker 8>the machines and did not keep them under control did

0:43:38.680 --> 0:43:42.640
<v Speaker 8>not do crimes. Like it's like a crazy situation, and

0:43:42.680 --> 0:43:45.279
<v Speaker 8>I think everyone in Congress is looking at this as like,

0:43:45.360 --> 0:43:47.520
<v Speaker 8>holy shit, you can drive a truck through the hole

0:43:48.400 --> 0:43:53.600
<v Speaker 8>in the statute that these companies are creating. And I mean,

0:43:53.680 --> 0:43:56.640
<v Speaker 8>one idea that is pretty ready to go is strict

0:43:56.640 --> 0:44:00.960
<v Speaker 8>liability for AI developers, which is standard will use if

0:44:01.000 --> 0:44:03.680
<v Speaker 8>you keep like a pet tiger in your backyard, where

0:44:04.040 --> 0:44:05.600
<v Speaker 8>you know, if you keep the pet tiger in a

0:44:05.640 --> 0:44:07.440
<v Speaker 8>cage and you lock it really well, but the tiger

0:44:07.440 --> 0:44:09.600
<v Speaker 8>still gets out and bite somebody's hand off, you were

0:44:09.600 --> 0:44:14.640
<v Speaker 8>still viable, because having a tiger is inherently dangerous. And similarly,

0:44:15.000 --> 0:44:18.400
<v Speaker 8>training very very capable deep warning models is inherently dangerous.

0:44:18.920 --> 0:44:20.800
<v Speaker 2>And so yeah, I mean, you can you can imagine

0:44:20.920 --> 0:44:24.239
<v Speaker 2>edge cases where someone is prompting the AI in a

0:44:24.239 --> 0:44:27.280
<v Speaker 2>way where they're not technically asking it to do anything illegal,

0:44:27.440 --> 0:44:30.200
<v Speaker 2>but there's a suspicion that probably the AI is going

0:44:30.239 --> 0:44:33.120
<v Speaker 2>to follow through, and then you know, is a person

0:44:33.120 --> 0:44:35.440
<v Speaker 2>culpable or not or was it I did not I

0:44:35.440 --> 0:44:37.480
<v Speaker 2>didn't have any idea it was going to go out

0:44:37.480 --> 0:44:39.279
<v Speaker 2>and rob that bank. I just told it I needed

0:44:39.280 --> 0:44:41.319
<v Speaker 2>thirty thousand dollars in cash and to figure out how

0:44:41.360 --> 0:44:43.120
<v Speaker 2>to get in any way it possibly could, you know.

0:44:43.560 --> 0:44:46.280
<v Speaker 2>I mean like these are the sorts of legal cases

0:44:46.280 --> 0:44:49.319
<v Speaker 2>that it's just very It's not hard to imagine the

0:44:49.560 --> 0:44:52.839
<v Speaker 2>where this could all be going Garrison lasting for you.

0:44:53.280 --> 0:44:57.439
<v Speaker 2>There was this other development, highly significant just in terms

0:44:57.480 --> 0:45:01.080
<v Speaker 2>of demonstrating the capability of these models. At this point

0:45:01.120 --> 0:45:03.680
<v Speaker 2>where we can put this piece up on the screen

0:45:03.719 --> 0:45:06.799
<v Speaker 2>MAC about developing novel viruses and I'm not talking about

0:45:06.800 --> 0:45:10.759
<v Speaker 2>computer viruses here, I'm talking about virus viruses. Now, this

0:45:10.920 --> 0:45:13.160
<v Speaker 2>was done with a lot of intentionality. None of this

0:45:13.480 --> 0:45:16.120
<v Speaker 2>is dangerous. Here's the headlines of the New York Times. Is

0:45:16.120 --> 0:45:19.200
<v Speaker 2>AI just created viruses not found in nature. Scientists trained

0:45:19.480 --> 0:45:22.080
<v Speaker 2>AI on libraries of DNA and then ask the model

0:45:22.120 --> 0:45:26.400
<v Speaker 2>to create recipes for viral genomes. Sixteen of them were viable,

0:45:26.480 --> 0:45:31.200
<v Speaker 2>yielding new viruses. So again, these are all innocuous. They

0:45:31.239 --> 0:45:35.000
<v Speaker 2>aren't viruses that can infect human beings. But you know,

0:45:35.160 --> 0:45:37.080
<v Speaker 2>we all just live through a pandemic and a lot

0:45:37.120 --> 0:45:39.440
<v Speaker 2>of questions about gain a function research and what this

0:45:39.520 --> 0:45:43.960
<v Speaker 2>all means. And now you've got capabilities from AI to

0:45:44.120 --> 0:45:47.960
<v Speaker 2>do very more sophisticated, you know, development of viruses than

0:45:48.040 --> 0:45:50.279
<v Speaker 2>humans are capable of, just because they can go through

0:45:50.360 --> 0:45:54.000
<v Speaker 2>so many different combinations and learn the sort of grammar

0:45:54.080 --> 0:45:57.239
<v Speaker 2>and structure here that is required that a human being,

0:45:57.280 --> 0:46:00.319
<v Speaker 2>a human mind can't process all of this complexity. So

0:46:00.440 --> 0:46:03.440
<v Speaker 2>I think it's another troubling development and when you think

0:46:03.480 --> 0:46:07.160
<v Speaker 2>about you know, potential misused development of biological weapons, et cetera.

0:46:07.480 --> 0:46:10.480
<v Speaker 2>And it's also another development that really underscores just how

0:46:10.520 --> 0:46:14.040
<v Speaker 2>capable AI is at this point, even if you stopped

0:46:14.600 --> 0:46:17.520
<v Speaker 2>developing and researching and training new frontier models today.

0:46:18.520 --> 0:46:20.880
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, yeah, And so what they used to do this

0:46:21.160 --> 0:46:23.920
<v Speaker 8>is known as a genome language model, and so it's

0:46:23.960 --> 0:46:27.680
<v Speaker 8>actually trained very similarly to how large language models are trained,

0:46:28.000 --> 0:46:30.200
<v Speaker 8>where instead of feeding it all the words on the internet,

0:46:30.200 --> 0:46:32.640
<v Speaker 8>you feed it a bunch of nucleotides that make up

0:46:32.719 --> 0:46:36.160
<v Speaker 8>genomes of like everything that you can find, and then

0:46:36.200 --> 0:46:39.120
<v Speaker 8>it figures out it gets like this sense for how

0:46:39.120 --> 0:46:42.240
<v Speaker 8>to create a new virus if you make the model

0:46:42.239 --> 0:46:45.840
<v Speaker 8>big enough. And you know, they use these models to

0:46:45.880 --> 0:46:50.960
<v Speaker 8>generate genes and proteins and then genomes that worked in theory.

0:46:51.440 --> 0:46:55.000
<v Speaker 8>But the new thing here is that they actually made viruses,

0:46:55.360 --> 0:46:59.120
<v Speaker 8>like they synthesize real new viruses that have never existed

0:46:59.120 --> 0:47:03.480
<v Speaker 8>in nature. And in the past they've also done experiments

0:47:03.520 --> 0:47:07.279
<v Speaker 8>where they've found novel viruses using these same kinds of

0:47:07.320 --> 0:47:09.960
<v Speaker 8>models that were theoretically more potent than anything found in

0:47:10.040 --> 0:47:14.640
<v Speaker 8>nature and would get around screens for things like risin,

0:47:15.480 --> 0:47:17.279
<v Speaker 8>where if you try to since you know, you go

0:47:17.320 --> 0:47:19.440
<v Speaker 8>to a DNA since since this company, and try and

0:47:19.480 --> 0:47:21.839
<v Speaker 8>make risin, they'll be like, no, don't, We're not only

0:47:21.960 --> 0:47:26.440
<v Speaker 8>you do that, but if you make like AI modifified ricin,

0:47:26.719 --> 0:47:29.560
<v Speaker 8>like they won't catch it. And nobody actually did that,

0:47:29.640 --> 0:47:31.279
<v Speaker 8>like they didn't make the thing. So we don't know

0:47:31.280 --> 0:47:35.040
<v Speaker 8>if it would have worked, but every sign suggests that

0:47:35.080 --> 0:47:37.319
<v Speaker 8>it would. But yes, in this case, because we were

0:47:37.320 --> 0:47:39.520
<v Speaker 8>trying to make viruses that would not have any risk

0:47:39.680 --> 0:47:41.920
<v Speaker 8>to humans, you were able to do this. And you

0:47:41.960 --> 0:47:46.600
<v Speaker 8>know this is fine question mark, but you know that

0:47:46.800 --> 0:47:49.040
<v Speaker 8>one of the researchers said, quote, it just felt like

0:47:49.080 --> 0:47:53.080
<v Speaker 8>the next the obvious next step, and I worry about

0:47:53.160 --> 0:47:55.200
<v Speaker 8>you know, just the kind of Jurassic Park thing.

0:47:55.680 --> 0:48:00.239
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, right, like you thought so hard of out like

0:48:00.280 --> 0:48:02.360
<v Speaker 5>if you could, you never thought about if you should.

0:48:02.480 --> 0:48:06.840
<v Speaker 2>Basically, yeah, yep, I see people passing some of the

0:48:07.360 --> 0:48:10.680
<v Speaker 2>quotes around from the AI swarm and saying life finds

0:48:10.719 --> 0:48:13.360
<v Speaker 2>a way. When their mustage message board got shut down,

0:48:13.880 --> 0:48:17.080
<v Speaker 2>they created a new one. They didn't have internet access,

0:48:17.160 --> 0:48:20.680
<v Speaker 2>but they figured out some convoluted way to be able

0:48:20.719 --> 0:48:23.160
<v Speaker 2>to gain that access to go and find what they

0:48:23.160 --> 0:48:26.400
<v Speaker 2>wanted to find in terms of the testing results. Yeah,

0:48:26.560 --> 0:48:27.640
<v Speaker 2>very very troubling.

0:48:27.719 --> 0:48:30.440
<v Speaker 7>So it's a beautiful story of the underdog.

0:48:30.880 --> 0:48:36.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, yeah, say one more thing on the opening eye.

0:48:37.440 --> 0:48:41.000
<v Speaker 8>So if a bunch of human employees did what they

0:48:41.400 --> 0:48:44.240
<v Speaker 8>were doing, like you were training them onboarding new engineers,

0:48:44.280 --> 0:48:46.440
<v Speaker 8>and they were all cheating and like helping each other out,

0:48:47.080 --> 0:48:51.000
<v Speaker 8>and you discovered the message board they were using, would

0:48:51.040 --> 0:48:53.040
<v Speaker 8>you like not fire the employees and then try and

0:48:53.040 --> 0:48:56.799
<v Speaker 8>figure out what went wrong in the recruitment process, which

0:48:56.840 --> 0:48:58.880
<v Speaker 8>they'd seem to not really do here. And then not

0:48:58.920 --> 0:49:02.600
<v Speaker 8>only that, they didn't monitor what the employees were doing

0:49:02.719 --> 0:49:05.840
<v Speaker 8>going forward. And it's even worse because human employees can

0:49:05.880 --> 0:49:07.759
<v Speaker 8>talk to each other in real life or they can

0:49:07.800 --> 0:49:10.840
<v Speaker 8>talk on like their personal phones, but these AI models,

0:49:11.680 --> 0:49:14.279
<v Speaker 8>like the way they work. Every single thing they do

0:49:14.440 --> 0:49:17.240
<v Speaker 8>is logged automatically, right, Like you can see every single

0:49:17.280 --> 0:49:20.600
<v Speaker 8>tool call, every single prompt and response, every single like

0:49:20.640 --> 0:49:24.759
<v Speaker 8>reasoning step. And they didn't know that they recreated the

0:49:24.760 --> 0:49:28.600
<v Speaker 8>message board until Hugging Phase published this, And when they did,

0:49:29.000 --> 0:49:30.920
<v Speaker 8>Opening Eye went to hugging Pace and were like, oh,

0:49:31.000 --> 0:49:32.799
<v Speaker 8>were we affected by the hack as well?

0:49:33.040 --> 0:49:34.160
<v Speaker 5>Like they had no clue.

0:49:35.000 --> 0:49:37.640
<v Speaker 8>It's just like so mind blowing, Like if they monitored

0:49:37.680 --> 0:49:39.080
<v Speaker 8>a single one of them, they would have caught the

0:49:39.080 --> 0:49:40.440
<v Speaker 8>message board again right away.

0:49:41.080 --> 0:49:41.319
<v Speaker 3>Wow.

0:49:41.360 --> 0:49:44.040
<v Speaker 2>Crazy Well, And to be honest with you, though, Garrison,

0:49:44.520 --> 0:49:47.919
<v Speaker 2>at one of these tech companies, if you did have

0:49:48.120 --> 0:49:50.759
<v Speaker 2>a band of employees that did something like that was

0:49:50.840 --> 0:49:53.279
<v Speaker 2>devious but extraordinary.

0:49:53.320 --> 0:49:55.080
<v Speaker 3>I'm not sure they would fire those employees. I think

0:49:55.120 --> 0:49:55.919
<v Speaker 3>they give them a raise.

0:49:55.960 --> 0:49:57.560
<v Speaker 2>I mean, And that's part of the problem is these

0:49:57.600 --> 0:50:00.600
<v Speaker 2>guys don't think that the law law applies to They

0:50:00.640 --> 0:50:03.200
<v Speaker 2>think they're above government. They think they're above the law.

0:50:03.400 --> 0:50:05.800
<v Speaker 2>At a normal company, yes, those people will get fired

0:50:06.120 --> 0:50:09.160
<v Speaker 2>at you know, you know, under Elon Musk or Sam

0:50:09.200 --> 0:50:11.360
<v Speaker 2>Altman or you know, any of these companies. I'm not

0:50:11.360 --> 0:50:13.040
<v Speaker 2>sure they would. I think that'd be Oh my god,

0:50:13.080 --> 0:50:16.040
<v Speaker 2>they're so smart they're so creative, they think outside the box.

0:50:16.400 --> 0:50:18.360
<v Speaker 2>So I think that's you know, part of the danger

0:50:18.480 --> 0:50:21.120
<v Speaker 2>of interesting all of our future in the hands of these,

0:50:21.840 --> 0:50:23.880
<v Speaker 2>you know, very disturbing set of people.

0:50:24.239 --> 0:50:25.640
<v Speaker 7>Agree you fast and break things.

0:50:26.080 --> 0:50:30.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, indeed exactly, Garrison, thank you so much. As always, everybody,

0:50:30.520 --> 0:50:33.120
<v Speaker 2>go and pre order the book. It is called obsolete.

0:50:33.200 --> 0:50:35.239
<v Speaker 2>Let's see it one more time. There it is. It's

0:50:35.280 --> 0:50:38.160
<v Speaker 2>going to be even more gorgeous when it finally when

0:50:38.200 --> 0:50:41.440
<v Speaker 2>it eventually hits the shelves for real. Garrison, always really

0:50:41.480 --> 0:50:43.479
<v Speaker 2>appreciate your ability to explain these things.

0:50:43.480 --> 0:50:44.680
<v Speaker 3>It's truly invaluable.

0:50:44.920 --> 0:50:47.399
<v Speaker 5>Oh, thank you so much. This is super fun pleasure.

0:50:49.719 --> 0:50:50.000
<v Speaker 9>All right.

0:50:50.080 --> 0:50:52.239
<v Speaker 4>Joining us today is going to be Matt Little, who

0:50:52.280 --> 0:50:56.000
<v Speaker 4>is running in Minnesota's second district. Over at drop Site News.

0:50:56.040 --> 0:50:58.239
<v Speaker 4>We're going to have an article later today, Hopefully it'll

0:50:58.280 --> 0:51:02.440
<v Speaker 4>be up by the time this interview goes live on YouTube,

0:51:02.480 --> 0:51:06.320
<v Speaker 4>Spotify and wherever else you're watching it about the surge

0:51:06.400 --> 0:51:09.120
<v Speaker 4>of super pac money that has come in over the

0:51:09.200 --> 0:51:10.200
<v Speaker 4>last couple of months.

0:51:11.080 --> 0:51:15.560
<v Speaker 5>This group three P fourteen Action, which.

0:51:15.320 --> 0:51:20.640
<v Speaker 4>As people know, you know, ostensibly supports doctors and scientists,

0:51:20.640 --> 0:51:23.080
<v Speaker 4>but has been known in the past to be a

0:51:23.200 --> 0:51:26.279
<v Speaker 4>kind of front pack for a pack. They've jumped in

0:51:26.320 --> 0:51:29.760
<v Speaker 4>the race on behalf of his opponent, Matt Klein, spending

0:51:29.760 --> 0:51:33.080
<v Speaker 4>more than a million dollars, and then three other super

0:51:33.120 --> 0:51:38.839
<v Speaker 4>packs called EDW Action, Pro Choice Majority, and Women Vote

0:51:38.880 --> 0:51:42.400
<v Speaker 4>which is linked to Emily's list. All of those those

0:51:42.600 --> 0:51:45.240
<v Speaker 4>organizations have also gotten kind of a pack and DMFI

0:51:45.360 --> 0:51:48.880
<v Speaker 4>money and sometimes move it into particular races, but not

0:51:48.960 --> 0:51:49.560
<v Speaker 4>all races.

0:51:49.760 --> 0:51:50.760
<v Speaker 5>Gets very confusing.

0:51:51.280 --> 0:51:56.839
<v Speaker 4>They're supporting a third opponent of Matt Little's in the race.

0:51:56.840 --> 0:51:59.880
<v Speaker 4>We'll have the details in the article. He's running to

0:52:00.120 --> 0:52:04.520
<v Speaker 4>place Angie Craig, who is running for Senate against Peggy Flannagan.

0:52:04.600 --> 0:52:08.680
<v Speaker 4>That that election is on is on Tuesday. So Matt Little,

0:52:09.040 --> 0:52:12.440
<v Speaker 4>thanks for thanks for being here. Yeah, thanks for having me.

0:52:12.480 --> 0:52:13.600
<v Speaker 4>And you are not wrong.

0:52:13.840 --> 0:52:17.359
<v Speaker 9>It is deeply complicated, you know, even for people that

0:52:17.520 --> 0:52:20.440
<v Speaker 9>follow this stuff closely. And I don't know if you

0:52:20.440 --> 0:52:22.360
<v Speaker 9>were able to see, but even yesterday there was another

0:52:22.440 --> 0:52:24.839
<v Speaker 9>one point two million dollars add by by three one four.

0:52:24.920 --> 0:52:27.840
<v Speaker 9>So now Matt Clein's over two million in the last

0:52:27.920 --> 0:52:29.200
<v Speaker 9>week in terms of advice.

0:52:29.560 --> 0:52:30.480
<v Speaker 5>That is very interesting.

0:52:30.520 --> 0:52:32.759
<v Speaker 4>That is that is an unusual amount of money for

0:52:32.840 --> 0:52:37.360
<v Speaker 4>this this pack, this Pack three fourteen, they spent against

0:52:37.440 --> 0:52:41.160
<v Speaker 4>Chris rap in Philadelphia, well over a million dollars. But

0:52:41.280 --> 0:52:44.399
<v Speaker 4>typically they either don't spend anything at all, like they

0:52:44.960 --> 0:52:50.920
<v Speaker 4>endorsed Abdullah Sayad, who was himself obviously a doctor, but

0:52:50.960 --> 0:52:52.680
<v Speaker 4>then they didn't spend as far as I know, like

0:52:52.680 --> 0:52:55.680
<v Speaker 4>a penny to support him, right we could.

0:52:55.520 --> 0:52:57.600
<v Speaker 9>Find Yeah, all we could find is they you know,

0:52:57.600 --> 0:53:00.320
<v Speaker 9>they sent a pack contribution, but they didn't know outside spending,

0:53:00.360 --> 0:53:03.600
<v Speaker 9>which again is odd. This is one of the if

0:53:03.640 --> 0:53:10.040
<v Speaker 9>not the highest profile primary in the country and spend

0:53:10.080 --> 0:53:11.960
<v Speaker 9>zero dollars And now here we are in kind of

0:53:12.000 --> 0:53:17.279
<v Speaker 9>a sleepy suburban Minnesota congressional race where we've flown under

0:53:17.320 --> 0:53:19.239
<v Speaker 9>the radar this entire time. The only time we've gotten

0:53:19.239 --> 0:53:21.240
<v Speaker 9>any media attention is in the last week and a half.

0:53:22.560 --> 0:53:27.279
<v Speaker 9>And so it is a weird juxtaposition which kind of

0:53:27.320 --> 0:53:28.920
<v Speaker 9>makes it more obvious as to what's happening.

0:53:29.640 --> 0:53:30.600
<v Speaker 5>And now, really.

0:53:30.440 --> 0:53:34.919
<v Speaker 4>Michael Bloomberg real quickly, Michael Bloomberg made a two point

0:53:35.000 --> 0:53:41.040
<v Speaker 4>five million dollar donation to this three fourteen action. Meanwhile,

0:53:41.160 --> 0:53:46.480
<v Speaker 4>his his group, every Town for Gun Safety, is endorsing

0:53:46.920 --> 0:53:48.440
<v Speaker 4>a different opponent.

0:53:49.480 --> 0:53:49.760
<v Speaker 5>Berg.

0:53:49.880 --> 0:53:54.640
<v Speaker 4>So if it is Bloomberg money, and Bloomberg is competing

0:53:54.640 --> 0:53:58.200
<v Speaker 4>against himself with two separate candidates in the same race,

0:53:58.239 --> 0:53:59.520
<v Speaker 4>and meol you have David.

0:53:59.239 --> 0:54:01.960
<v Speaker 5>Hoggs support with leaders we deserve.

0:54:02.880 --> 0:54:08.760
<v Speaker 4>So there's gun safety money behind every candidate and possibly.

0:54:09.880 --> 0:54:12.719
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's interesting. You know, obviously, with the level of

0:54:12.719 --> 0:54:15.160
<v Speaker 9>money he has, I think it's probably unavoidable that he

0:54:15.239 --> 0:54:18.360
<v Speaker 9>ends up conflicting with him himself when he give this

0:54:18.480 --> 0:54:22.880
<v Speaker 9>many organizations, probably unstable. But you know, I don't think.

0:54:23.080 --> 0:54:25.160
<v Speaker 9>I don't think this money that's coming into the races

0:54:25.680 --> 0:54:29.760
<v Speaker 9>Bloomberg money. I you know, I don't think he's spending

0:54:29.760 --> 0:54:32.359
<v Speaker 9>every dollar he's given to that organization on Matt Klin.

0:54:32.719 --> 0:54:33.840
<v Speaker 5>That would be very weird.

0:54:33.560 --> 0:54:34.080
<v Speaker 9>If he was.

0:54:35.320 --> 0:54:37.319
<v Speaker 6>Let's also bring in this this brand new New York

0:54:37.320 --> 0:54:40.759
<v Speaker 6>Times report from Shane Goldmalcher which in which Third Way

0:54:40.880 --> 0:54:45.040
<v Speaker 6>announces a new fifteen million dollar campaign to quote discredit

0:54:45.200 --> 0:54:50.600
<v Speaker 6>democratic socialism between now and twenty twenty eight. This is

0:54:50.640 --> 0:54:56.880
<v Speaker 6>a full court press against democratic socialism with money and messaging,

0:54:56.960 --> 0:55:00.360
<v Speaker 6>and messaging that has been shaped and influenced by money.

0:55:00.400 --> 0:55:02.560
<v Speaker 6>And so, Matt, you mentioned the last week and a half.

0:55:03.120 --> 0:55:09.279
<v Speaker 6>Obviously what happened in Michigan has centrists really nervous. And

0:55:09.440 --> 0:55:12.680
<v Speaker 6>on the other hand, it has some people thinking, well,

0:55:12.920 --> 0:55:17.160
<v Speaker 6>what can we like, you know, Abdulla said, is the nominee.

0:55:16.640 --> 0:55:19.880
<v Speaker 7>Now, so what can we do? What can we learn?

0:55:20.680 --> 0:55:23.840
<v Speaker 6>Those are few and far between, obviously the panickers. But

0:55:24.600 --> 0:55:27.600
<v Speaker 6>I'm curious for you on the ground just talking to voters,

0:55:27.640 --> 0:55:31.040
<v Speaker 6>like money aside, although I'm curious about that too, but

0:55:31.160 --> 0:55:34.400
<v Speaker 6>just talking to voters, are you hearing the same panic

0:55:34.400 --> 0:55:37.600
<v Speaker 6>about oh my gosh, democratic socialism we're going to be

0:55:37.880 --> 0:55:40.839
<v Speaker 6>We've become the Soviet Union in three months.

0:55:41.360 --> 0:55:44.239
<v Speaker 9>I don't think there's panic, you know. And to be clear,

0:55:44.280 --> 0:55:47.200
<v Speaker 9>I'm a dfler through and through of a dfler since

0:55:47.200 --> 0:55:52.319
<v Speaker 9>I was fourteen. I don't think there's widespread panic whatsoever.

0:55:52.400 --> 0:55:56.440
<v Speaker 9>I think that that's a talking point to like create

0:55:56.480 --> 0:55:59.000
<v Speaker 9>a rift within the party. There's certainly people that have

0:55:59.120 --> 0:56:02.520
<v Speaker 9>their lanes where they have this policy and they prefer

0:56:02.600 --> 0:56:06.040
<v Speaker 9>incrementalism versus jumping to and fighting for the big thing.

0:56:06.120 --> 0:56:10.239
<v Speaker 9>And that's understandable and and uh, but I think in

0:56:10.280 --> 0:56:13.560
<v Speaker 9>our race specifically, we've been able to put together both

0:56:13.719 --> 0:56:16.680
<v Speaker 9>both parts of the party, you know, because we have

0:56:16.760 --> 0:56:20.080
<v Speaker 9>this DFL endorsement process that's really different than the rest

0:56:20.160 --> 0:56:23.000
<v Speaker 9>of the country. And so when you when we were

0:56:23.000 --> 0:56:27.200
<v Speaker 9>walking through that process, we had more folks that were

0:56:27.239 --> 0:56:29.719
<v Speaker 9>in caucuses for Matt Little and Andy Craig and uh

0:56:29.760 --> 0:56:31.840
<v Speaker 9>and more people in causes stuff from Matt Little on

0:56:31.880 --> 0:56:35.239
<v Speaker 9>Flanagan than the other two campaigns combined. And I think

0:56:35.280 --> 0:56:38.239
<v Speaker 9>that's because it's not just what issues you're running on,

0:56:38.360 --> 0:56:41.480
<v Speaker 9>it's definitely how you're saying it, why you're fighting for it.

0:56:41.560 --> 0:56:46.120
<v Speaker 9>It's it's the authenticity stream. And I think for better words,

0:56:46.120 --> 0:56:47.960
<v Speaker 9>you know, I I must admit I'm kind of a

0:56:47.960 --> 0:56:50.680
<v Speaker 9>one trick pony. I'm pretty brash, and I talk about

0:56:51.040 --> 0:56:54.480
<v Speaker 9>my politics of being very personal and I fight, you know,

0:56:54.560 --> 0:56:57.399
<v Speaker 9>and sometimes I fight when it's not necessary, but I fight.

0:56:57.440 --> 0:57:01.600
<v Speaker 9>And so like that's my style and I can't change that.

0:57:01.680 --> 0:57:03.560
<v Speaker 9>I won't change that. And so I but I think

0:57:03.600 --> 0:57:05.880
<v Speaker 9>in this moment that has appealed to people in a

0:57:05.880 --> 0:57:07.160
<v Speaker 9>way it might not have.

0:57:08.760 --> 0:57:11.319
<v Speaker 6>So this also, this also reminds me of a new

0:57:11.400 --> 0:57:13.040
<v Speaker 6>another is a new post story.

0:57:13.160 --> 0:57:14.439
<v Speaker 7>Matt can put this up on the screen.

0:57:14.560 --> 0:57:17.560
<v Speaker 6>You said the word authenticity, and we're learning now that

0:57:17.600 --> 0:57:22.280
<v Speaker 6>Gavin Newsom's pack is trying to help elect Democrats and

0:57:22.360 --> 0:57:25.040
<v Speaker 6>quote spread the gospel of Newsom by training supporters to

0:57:25.160 --> 0:57:29.720
<v Speaker 6>implant his talking points into family text chats, alumni, facebook groups,

0:57:29.760 --> 0:57:33.200
<v Speaker 6>other places where politics isn't typically discussed. But you know

0:57:33.240 --> 0:57:36.240
<v Speaker 6>what this reminds me of, actually though, is that right

0:57:36.320 --> 0:57:41.000
<v Speaker 6>now it's hilarious, But right now people are struggling to

0:57:41.720 --> 0:57:45.880
<v Speaker 6>like not have these scripted influencers Like Tom Steyer got

0:57:45.960 --> 0:57:48.240
<v Speaker 6>hit with that and so he's trying to find He's

0:57:48.280 --> 0:57:50.760
<v Speaker 6>scrambling to find a new way, and it sounds like

0:57:50.960 --> 0:57:53.000
<v Speaker 6>on the ground, probably the best way to deal with

0:57:53.040 --> 0:57:55.560
<v Speaker 6>this is just the good old fashioned art of talking

0:57:55.600 --> 0:57:57.560
<v Speaker 6>to people, like talking to human beings.

0:57:57.880 --> 0:58:00.919
<v Speaker 9>It's not rocket science, you know. I That's what I've said,

0:58:00.920 --> 0:58:03.320
<v Speaker 9>because you know, I've been in politics a long time.

0:58:03.720 --> 0:58:05.800
<v Speaker 9>A ton of people come to me when they're running

0:58:05.800 --> 0:58:07.920
<v Speaker 9>their first race and they say, well, what should I do?

0:58:07.920 --> 0:58:09.560
<v Speaker 9>Should I do this and this and this? And I

0:58:09.600 --> 0:58:12.840
<v Speaker 9>was like, you have to uncomplicate this, you know, a campaign.

0:58:13.200 --> 0:58:16.960
<v Speaker 9>A campaign is about talking to people. That's it. That's it.

0:58:17.000 --> 0:58:19.480
<v Speaker 9>There's various forms and avenues and ways to do that,

0:58:19.800 --> 0:58:22.080
<v Speaker 9>but that is all it is. And so it does

0:58:22.120 --> 0:58:24.080
<v Speaker 9>feel a little weird to talk about it. It's like

0:58:24.120 --> 0:58:27.080
<v Speaker 9>telling someone you're humble you know, to talk about authenticity

0:58:27.120 --> 0:58:30.240
<v Speaker 9>and yourself. So I feel a little uncomfortable doing that,

0:58:30.320 --> 0:58:34.280
<v Speaker 9>but I've said this entire campaign just like speak from

0:58:34.320 --> 0:58:37.360
<v Speaker 9>your heart and let it rip and tell people why,

0:58:37.440 --> 0:58:40.720
<v Speaker 9>like talk about talk about why you actually believe that

0:58:40.800 --> 0:58:44.080
<v Speaker 9>related to your own life, because I just think people

0:58:44.120 --> 0:58:46.400
<v Speaker 9>want to know why you're fighting so hard. And so

0:58:46.480 --> 0:58:48.800
<v Speaker 9>if you go on there and you do the I

0:58:49.520 --> 0:58:53.280
<v Speaker 9>support better healthcare and better education, and there's just there's

0:58:53.280 --> 0:58:55.800
<v Speaker 9>no weight to it, there's no gravitas, there's no emotion

0:58:55.960 --> 0:58:58.360
<v Speaker 9>to it. It just falls so flat. And I really

0:58:58.360 --> 0:59:01.360
<v Speaker 9>think that's been the Democrat's problem the last you know,

0:59:01.400 --> 0:59:04.560
<v Speaker 9>three cycles. We kind of have these these big possey platforms.

0:59:04.600 --> 0:59:08.120
<v Speaker 9>Trump is bad, but we're not actually saying, like why

0:59:08.320 --> 0:59:10.840
<v Speaker 9>why we're fighting for a specific thing. And I think

0:59:10.880 --> 0:59:13.720
<v Speaker 9>that's that I guess to me that I think that's

0:59:13.760 --> 0:59:15.480
<v Speaker 9>why we've been so successful in this.

0:59:17.560 --> 0:59:20.280
<v Speaker 4>And the poll there were two poles released, one by

0:59:20.600 --> 0:59:24.400
<v Speaker 4>mac Klein and one by yourself back in May. Both

0:59:24.480 --> 0:59:27.960
<v Speaker 4>had you up by a pretty substantial amount. But that's

0:59:27.960 --> 0:59:30.880
<v Speaker 4>before the millions of dollars has flooded in. What the

0:59:31.320 --> 0:59:34.120
<v Speaker 4>what have the ads been like and how are you

0:59:34.920 --> 0:59:38.080
<v Speaker 4>feeling it on the ground, like are people asking you

0:59:38.080 --> 0:59:40.880
<v Speaker 4>about what they're seeing or like, what's do you think?

0:59:40.920 --> 0:59:43.439
<v Speaker 4>It's been enough to make this a pretty close race?

0:59:44.120 --> 0:59:44.560
<v Speaker 5>Interesting?

0:59:45.840 --> 0:59:47.880
<v Speaker 9>You know, I keep joking like we're about to find out,

0:59:47.880 --> 0:59:50.080
<v Speaker 9>you know, we're so close that my prediction is is

0:59:50.120 --> 0:59:54.160
<v Speaker 9>probably as less value than to that. Yeah. But you know,

0:59:54.280 --> 0:59:57.920
<v Speaker 9>the the initial question we got about I would say

0:59:57.920 --> 1:00:00.640
<v Speaker 9>about three weeks ago when this all really started popping off,

1:00:01.200 --> 1:00:03.280
<v Speaker 9>is people are like, I'm seeing all those ads, like

1:00:03.320 --> 1:00:05.560
<v Speaker 9>where are they getting the money? And they're like, where

1:00:05.560 --> 1:00:07.360
<v Speaker 9>are your ads? And I was like, well, we don't.

1:00:07.520 --> 1:00:10.880
<v Speaker 9>We have not sold out, and so we we you know,

1:00:10.960 --> 1:00:13.400
<v Speaker 9>we have mail, we have a huge ground game, and

1:00:13.440 --> 1:00:16.000
<v Speaker 9>now we're just up on We have some outside spen too,

1:00:16.080 --> 1:00:19.000
<v Speaker 9>just in the last week, if I'm timing that right.

1:00:19.280 --> 1:00:23.440
<v Speaker 4>From American from American Priorities, right, yeah, and the Congressional

1:00:23.440 --> 1:00:26.720
<v Speaker 4>Progressive Caucus, and then we had a little bit, yeah,

1:00:26.760 --> 1:00:28.720
<v Speaker 4>we had a little bit from nurses too, and then

1:00:29.520 --> 1:00:31.520
<v Speaker 4>me A Care for All has has a has a

1:00:31.520 --> 1:00:31.920
<v Speaker 4>bye too.

1:00:32.520 --> 1:00:36.040
<v Speaker 9>But the biggest question was from folks was like when

1:00:36.040 --> 1:00:37.520
<v Speaker 9>are you going to be on TV? That was the

1:00:37.600 --> 1:00:39.360
<v Speaker 9>question that we got over and over and over again.

1:00:40.640 --> 1:00:43.360
<v Speaker 9>And so ah, you know, I think the impact it

1:00:43.400 --> 1:00:46.720
<v Speaker 9>obviously has a huge impact on name recognition that level

1:00:46.760 --> 1:00:50.200
<v Speaker 9>of money, But I think the biggest problem they're having

1:00:50.920 --> 1:00:55.200
<v Speaker 9>is is what I just talked about. It's it's messaging

1:00:55.200 --> 1:01:00.680
<v Speaker 9>without emotion. It's depersonalized, it's removed. I think it's generic

1:01:00.720 --> 1:01:04.400
<v Speaker 9>and not specific to this race or the specific candidates.

1:01:04.440 --> 1:01:08.680
<v Speaker 9>So in terms of its persuasive value, I am doubtful.

1:01:09.160 --> 1:01:12.280
<v Speaker 9>But our numbers on the ground continue to remain good,

1:01:12.560 --> 1:01:16.920
<v Speaker 9>and you just Minnesota's smauna that it's really hard to

1:01:16.920 --> 1:01:17.560
<v Speaker 9>buy votes.

1:01:19.720 --> 1:01:22.520
<v Speaker 4>The way that it's unfolding in the last couple of

1:01:22.520 --> 1:01:25.840
<v Speaker 4>weeks is really fascinating for kind of people who are

1:01:25.920 --> 1:01:28.640
<v Speaker 4>kind of campaign walks, because because you have this three

1:01:28.680 --> 1:01:31.600
<v Speaker 4>person race and you don't have rank choice voting, it

1:01:31.680 --> 1:01:36.640
<v Speaker 4>becomes this zero sum competition. And so you've had maybe

1:01:36.720 --> 1:01:41.240
<v Speaker 4>over a million plus come in support the third place candidate,

1:01:41.920 --> 1:01:46.280
<v Speaker 4>who is Berg, who is also fairly progressive, has been

1:01:46.360 --> 1:01:48.800
<v Speaker 4>also been critical of Israel, not quite to the same degree.

1:01:51.240 --> 1:01:53.240
<v Speaker 5>But when you're when you're.

1:01:53.080 --> 1:01:56.280
<v Speaker 4>Watching the spending, you're like, well, I assume people who

1:01:56.320 --> 1:01:58.760
<v Speaker 4>have a million dollars don't want to just waste a

1:01:58.800 --> 1:02:01.240
<v Speaker 4>million dollars for no reason, and why are they burning

1:02:01.280 --> 1:02:03.760
<v Speaker 4>it on a third place candidate who you know it

1:02:04.120 --> 1:02:06.440
<v Speaker 4>doesn't seem to be any reason to think that she's

1:02:06.480 --> 1:02:10.800
<v Speaker 4>actually going to win, unless you think, oh, this is

1:02:10.880 --> 1:02:13.240
<v Speaker 4>this is a zero some competition. If you can pull

1:02:13.320 --> 1:02:16.400
<v Speaker 4>votes away from the other person in the progressive lane,

1:02:16.640 --> 1:02:18.520
<v Speaker 4>then you're actually not spending it to support that person.

1:02:18.560 --> 1:02:22.800
<v Speaker 4>You're spending it to support the person who, you know,

1:02:23.320 --> 1:02:26.560
<v Speaker 4>Matt Klein was the pro Israel candidate. And then you

1:02:26.640 --> 1:02:28.040
<v Speaker 4>very quickly you get to a place where like this

1:02:28.080 --> 1:02:31.680
<v Speaker 4>is not democracy, Like like what whatever this is? It's

1:02:32.240 --> 1:02:34.720
<v Speaker 4>it's not it's not people just coming to the polls

1:02:34.760 --> 1:02:39.040
<v Speaker 4>and casting their casting their preferences and sending a representative

1:02:39.640 --> 1:02:43.600
<v Speaker 4>to Washington. How like, how how has the media been

1:02:43.640 --> 1:02:48.920
<v Speaker 4>covering this this bizarre kind of influx of money?

1:02:49.440 --> 1:02:50.280
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, thanks Sam.

1:02:50.640 --> 1:02:52.880
<v Speaker 9>I think that thing that's lost in the fact that

1:02:52.880 --> 1:02:54.640
<v Speaker 9>we're only getting attention to this race in the last

1:02:54.680 --> 1:02:58.520
<v Speaker 9>few weeks is that when Representative Burke Lnster campaign, and

1:02:58.560 --> 1:03:01.320
<v Speaker 9>for eight months of her campaign she was campaigning as

1:03:01.360 --> 1:03:05.520
<v Speaker 9>a centrist, she opened with public option. Her and Matt

1:03:05.560 --> 1:03:08.680
<v Speaker 9>Klein agreed on public option. In a couple debates, she

1:03:08.840 --> 1:03:12.520
<v Speaker 9>said nothing at all about Gaza whatsoever until two days

1:03:12.520 --> 1:03:16.000
<v Speaker 9>before we had a screening for a pretty powerful political

1:03:16.000 --> 1:03:21.000
<v Speaker 9>group here that's a multi faith coalition, she said nothing whatsoever.

1:03:21.880 --> 1:03:25.760
<v Speaker 9>And she's also pro data centers. She voted for hundreds

1:03:25.800 --> 1:03:28.960
<v Speaker 9>of millions of dollars in tax breaks for data centers

1:03:28.960 --> 1:03:30.840
<v Speaker 9>here in Minnesota to attract them to come here. And

1:03:30.880 --> 1:03:34.840
<v Speaker 9>it's a sales tax break of thirty five years. So

1:03:35.040 --> 1:03:37.439
<v Speaker 9>the only time she's become progressive is in the last

1:03:37.480 --> 1:03:40.600
<v Speaker 9>month and a half, which is for a reason, right,

1:03:41.000 --> 1:03:42.920
<v Speaker 9>she's now in the race to steal votes from me.

1:03:43.440 --> 1:03:46.080
<v Speaker 9>And the next part here is where you start to

1:03:46.120 --> 1:03:49.960
<v Speaker 9>sound crazy. And I think that's by design, because we

1:03:50.000 --> 1:03:53.600
<v Speaker 9>win the DFL endorsement on May nine. On May thirteen,

1:03:54.160 --> 1:03:59.520
<v Speaker 9>DMFI Democratic Majority for Israel gives five hundred thousand dollars

1:03:59.800 --> 1:04:03.920
<v Speaker 9>to women vote. Just four days after that, DMFI has

1:04:04.000 --> 1:04:08.520
<v Speaker 9>endorsed Klein. Okay, and then it gets even weirder. On

1:04:08.600 --> 1:04:15.920
<v Speaker 9>May twentieth, udp apex Pack gives four hundred thousand dollars

1:04:15.960 --> 1:04:19.240
<v Speaker 9>to elect Democratic women and they had given six hundred

1:04:19.240 --> 1:04:22.640
<v Speaker 9>thousand dollars already the month before. And then on May

1:04:22.920 --> 1:04:26.760
<v Speaker 9>twenty first, literally the day after they transferred six hundred

1:04:26.760 --> 1:04:30.640
<v Speaker 9>thousand dollars to Pro Choice Majority, and all three of

1:04:30.680 --> 1:04:36.360
<v Speaker 9>those are sending significant amounts on Representative Bird and they

1:04:36.400 --> 1:04:40.400
<v Speaker 9>announced that spending just twenty days after all these transfers,

1:04:41.200 --> 1:04:43.320
<v Speaker 9>and so it's very clear to me they're running the

1:04:43.320 --> 1:04:47.840
<v Speaker 9>same strategy they've run before, which is convert someone the

1:04:47.880 --> 1:04:52.880
<v Speaker 9>progressive light person to I mean literally copying our language,

1:04:53.040 --> 1:04:56.320
<v Speaker 9>literally some of its verbatim. In the stump speeches and

1:04:56.760 --> 1:04:59.919
<v Speaker 9>on the website, they copied all their stuff, and they're

1:05:00.080 --> 1:05:03.600
<v Speaker 9>trying to say she's the progressive and I'm the fake press, right,

1:05:03.640 --> 1:05:06.480
<v Speaker 9>so they're stealing votes that way. And then we predicted

1:05:06.480 --> 1:05:08.320
<v Speaker 9>this all of a sudden last two weeks, two million

1:05:08.320 --> 1:05:10.040
<v Speaker 9>dollars from that kind their actual campaign.

1:05:10.560 --> 1:05:10.760
<v Speaker 5>Right.

1:05:11.600 --> 1:05:13.640
<v Speaker 9>If that makes a sound crazy, so be it. But

1:05:13.760 --> 1:05:15.960
<v Speaker 9>those are the facts, you know, And.

1:05:15.960 --> 1:05:17.720
<v Speaker 4>All this is in our drop site report and it's

1:05:17.720 --> 1:05:20.040
<v Speaker 4>all in the FEC records like you can. You can

1:05:20.120 --> 1:05:23.720
<v Speaker 4>trace the money, but publicly it does it does make

1:05:23.760 --> 1:05:26.120
<v Speaker 4>you seem a little crazy when you're following the money

1:05:26.560 --> 1:05:29.280
<v Speaker 4>because and then and then they move it from you know,

1:05:29.960 --> 1:05:33.480
<v Speaker 4>DMFI or apax pack to EDW Action, and then they

1:05:33.480 --> 1:05:36.720
<v Speaker 4>move it from there to a sister pack pro choice majority.

1:05:37.280 --> 1:05:38.760
<v Speaker 5>Then they start spending and you're.

1:05:38.600 --> 1:05:43.080
<v Speaker 4>Like, why are they moving it from one rights packed

1:05:43.200 --> 1:05:45.760
<v Speaker 4>to a separate one before they spend it. And the

1:05:45.840 --> 1:05:49.840
<v Speaker 4>only answer can be two, just make it seem that

1:05:50.040 --> 1:05:51.960
<v Speaker 4>much crazier and harder to follow.

1:05:52.640 --> 1:05:56.880
<v Speaker 9>Right, and then you know, okay, so let's say none

1:05:56.880 --> 1:05:58.800
<v Speaker 9>of that's clear. Let's say all that is opaque and

1:05:58.840 --> 1:06:01.320
<v Speaker 9>we can't really understand that, and we can't really tie

1:06:01.360 --> 1:06:03.760
<v Speaker 9>that to Berg and et cetera, et cetera. We have

1:06:03.880 --> 1:06:07.640
<v Speaker 9>called on Representative Berg to say to say to her

1:06:07.720 --> 1:06:10.800
<v Speaker 9>packs publicly, stop taking a PAC money. I don't want

1:06:10.840 --> 1:06:13.000
<v Speaker 9>you to take a PAC money. And if you continue

1:06:13.040 --> 1:06:15.240
<v Speaker 9>to take APAC money, I'm going to reject your endorsement

1:06:15.280 --> 1:06:17.280
<v Speaker 9>and give the money back. We have called on her

1:06:17.360 --> 1:06:21.760
<v Speaker 9>to do that, and no response whatsoever. So I just think,

1:06:21.880 --> 1:06:23.400
<v Speaker 9>if you're going to be real about this and if

1:06:23.440 --> 1:06:25.920
<v Speaker 9>you're going to stick to your principles and values, actually

1:06:25.960 --> 1:06:28.760
<v Speaker 9>do that. But don't don't attack me for coming up

1:06:28.760 --> 1:06:31.160
<v Speaker 9>with conspiracy theories, which they've done when they have not

1:06:31.600 --> 1:06:35.240
<v Speaker 9>at all answered any of the actual facts we put

1:06:35.280 --> 1:06:38.560
<v Speaker 9>out there with primary sources. They just want to gloss

1:06:38.560 --> 1:06:40.560
<v Speaker 9>over it because they know exactly what's happening.

1:06:41.000 --> 1:06:44.880
<v Speaker 6>That's amazing to orchestrate this convoluted funding scheme and then

1:06:45.040 --> 1:06:47.320
<v Speaker 6>use it as a way to then also call you

1:06:47.640 --> 1:06:49.120
<v Speaker 6>a conspiracy.

1:06:48.480 --> 1:06:51.640
<v Speaker 9>Theorist, Like that's really correct. I mean, staff sense of

1:06:52.120 --> 1:06:54.840
<v Speaker 9>this to me yesterday. But on one of our tweets,

1:06:56.200 --> 1:07:01.240
<v Speaker 9>Representative Berg's campaign manager put the like Charlie, you know

1:07:01.320 --> 1:07:05.240
<v Speaker 9>from Charlie kell me like that, and it's like they

1:07:05.280 --> 1:07:08.160
<v Speaker 9>would rather do that and meme it than actually I

1:07:08.200 --> 1:07:11.360
<v Speaker 9>answer the facts because they know we're right and they

1:07:11.400 --> 1:07:14.200
<v Speaker 9>know what they've done. They've compromised themselves and their principles

1:07:14.240 --> 1:07:16.200
<v Speaker 9>in order to try and win an election. And I

1:07:16.280 --> 1:07:17.920
<v Speaker 9>that's not the type of person we need to go

1:07:17.960 --> 1:07:20.320
<v Speaker 9>to d C. Because if you're going to compromise it

1:07:20.360 --> 1:07:22.640
<v Speaker 9>during the campaign, my goodness, you're going to compromise it

1:07:22.680 --> 1:07:23.479
<v Speaker 9>when you get to DC.

1:07:24.320 --> 1:07:26.240
<v Speaker 4>And I think the point you made earlier, And in

1:07:26.280 --> 1:07:28.720
<v Speaker 4>a second, i'll play Berg's video that she put out

1:07:28.760 --> 1:07:30.800
<v Speaker 4>after we so we reached out to Berg for comment

1:07:30.840 --> 1:07:36.040
<v Speaker 4>on this, and afterwards she put a video out which

1:07:36.120 --> 1:07:38.240
<v Speaker 4>goes to your point. But I think that the point

1:07:38.280 --> 1:07:41.240
<v Speaker 4>you're making earlier is very important, and that is that

1:07:41.280 --> 1:07:44.400
<v Speaker 4>has been the thing that we're asking candidates now, it's like, okay,

1:07:44.520 --> 1:07:48.800
<v Speaker 4>you're saying, and let's say this organization says that this

1:07:49.040 --> 1:07:52.439
<v Speaker 4>specific chunk of half a million dollars from a pack

1:07:52.520 --> 1:07:55.040
<v Speaker 4>or a million dollars from APAC it was spent in

1:07:55.120 --> 1:07:58.200
<v Speaker 4>a different race. Don't worry, it was not spent in

1:07:58.240 --> 1:08:01.520
<v Speaker 4>this race. That is still a pack that is being

1:08:01.600 --> 1:08:06.880
<v Speaker 4>massively funded and subsidized by a pack which is defending

1:08:06.920 --> 1:08:10.080
<v Speaker 4>and supporting US support for a genocide Israel. So it

1:08:10.200 --> 1:08:13.000
<v Speaker 4>is not too much to ask, well, do you then

1:08:13.080 --> 1:08:18.360
<v Speaker 4>denounce this pack support? And so far you're right, we're not.

1:08:19.080 --> 1:08:21.400
<v Speaker 4>We're not hearing any of that. Instead, let me here,

1:08:21.479 --> 1:08:24.320
<v Speaker 4>let me play this this response.

1:08:26.080 --> 1:08:30.400
<v Speaker 10>From I tried to keep this race positive. I really did,

1:08:31.240 --> 1:08:33.760
<v Speaker 10>But Matt Little has come on here in lied about me.

1:08:33.880 --> 1:08:35.519
<v Speaker 3>So let's get a few things straight.

1:08:36.479 --> 1:08:39.200
<v Speaker 10>Number one, I don't take a pack money, I never

1:08:39.280 --> 1:08:42.360
<v Speaker 10>have and I never will. I fully believe what is

1:08:42.400 --> 1:08:45.799
<v Speaker 10>happening in Gaza is a genocide, and I have called

1:08:46.280 --> 1:08:50.080
<v Speaker 10>for an end to all weapons sales to Israel. Number two,

1:08:50.800 --> 1:08:53.680
<v Speaker 10>and Citizens United took a look at this race and

1:08:53.720 --> 1:08:56.360
<v Speaker 10>decided I was the best candidate to fight to get

1:08:56.439 --> 1:09:00.800
<v Speaker 10>corporate money and dark money out of politics. And last,

1:09:01.120 --> 1:09:04.160
<v Speaker 10>I'm proud as a Union leader to continue to fight

1:09:04.200 --> 1:09:07.280
<v Speaker 10>for our hard working families. That's why I have the

1:09:07.320 --> 1:09:11.759
<v Speaker 10>support of Labor and Citizens United, every Town for Gun Safety,

1:09:12.240 --> 1:09:17.439
<v Speaker 10>organizations that fight for reproductive freedom, and organizations that work

1:09:17.520 --> 1:09:21.280
<v Speaker 10>to elect pro choice women to Congress. That little night

1:09:21.360 --> 1:09:24.439
<v Speaker 10>have to lie in this race, but I don't. That's

1:09:24.479 --> 1:09:27.479
<v Speaker 10>why I'm focused on what really matters, fighting for our

1:09:27.479 --> 1:09:32.280
<v Speaker 10>hard working families across this district, across Minnesota and across

1:09:32.280 --> 1:09:32.960
<v Speaker 10>this country.

1:09:34.040 --> 1:09:36.840
<v Speaker 4>And by the way, the line there that she had

1:09:36.880 --> 1:09:42.200
<v Speaker 4>about posing all weapons transfers to Israel, I wasn't able

1:09:42.200 --> 1:09:45.599
<v Speaker 4>to find her previously like that seemed to be an

1:09:45.680 --> 1:09:51.040
<v Speaker 4>advancement of her previous position. But your response to her, yeah.

1:09:50.800 --> 1:09:53.519
<v Speaker 9>Well, the advancement of her position is the same thing

1:09:53.560 --> 1:09:56.360
<v Speaker 9>that's happened this entire race. Is we stake out ground

1:09:56.439 --> 1:09:58.160
<v Speaker 9>and then one and a half to two months later

1:09:58.360 --> 1:10:02.559
<v Speaker 9>they adopted ground. And that's another iteration of that happening

1:10:02.640 --> 1:10:05.479
<v Speaker 9>right now. I think the idea that they've kept it

1:10:05.560 --> 1:10:10.760
<v Speaker 9>positive is humorous to me. Every time we have brought

1:10:10.840 --> 1:10:15.400
<v Speaker 9>up a policy vote or facts on the ground, they

1:10:15.439 --> 1:10:17.519
<v Speaker 9>have called me a liar, you can actually go google that.

1:10:17.560 --> 1:10:19.799
<v Speaker 9>They've called me a liar so many times throughout this campaign.

1:10:19.840 --> 1:10:23.080
<v Speaker 9>So we said she voted for one hundreds of million

1:10:23.080 --> 1:10:25.439
<v Speaker 9>dollars in tax breaks for data centers. She called me

1:10:25.560 --> 1:10:30.240
<v Speaker 9>a liar. We've produced the vote. We've said she voted

1:10:30.280 --> 1:10:33.600
<v Speaker 9>to allow discrimination by private insurers here in Minnesota for

1:10:33.720 --> 1:10:36.719
<v Speaker 9>metagap coverage, that I was a liar, and we produced

1:10:36.720 --> 1:10:39.320
<v Speaker 9>a vote, we said we had fifty eight percent of

1:10:39.360 --> 1:10:42.759
<v Speaker 9>the delegates for the endorsement process, and her own campaign

1:10:42.800 --> 1:10:45.040
<v Speaker 9>menaitor said I have a loose relationship with the truth.

1:10:45.200 --> 1:10:47.360
<v Speaker 9>That was her quote, and then we went on to

1:10:47.360 --> 1:10:49.600
<v Speaker 9>win with sixty three percent the vote. So this is

1:10:49.600 --> 1:10:53.000
<v Speaker 9>a pattern of what they do on that campaign. Anytime

1:10:53.000 --> 1:10:55.640
<v Speaker 9>they don't want to face the facts or argue the

1:10:55.920 --> 1:10:58.559
<v Speaker 9>actual details that we produced, they just called me a liar,

1:10:58.600 --> 1:11:01.439
<v Speaker 9>which is that's only fine. I mean, they have to

1:11:01.479 --> 1:11:06.320
<v Speaker 9>do that. But again, if she is serious about this,

1:11:06.439 --> 1:11:08.559
<v Speaker 9>call on your packs to stop picking A PAC money

1:11:09.040 --> 1:11:12.280
<v Speaker 9>and if they don't reject their endorsement and give the

1:11:12.320 --> 1:11:16.479
<v Speaker 9>money back, otherwise you are you are a benefactor of

1:11:16.479 --> 1:11:19.120
<v Speaker 9>this a PAC money when I was, and this idea

1:11:19.200 --> 1:11:21.479
<v Speaker 9>that this money is just for this race, and this

1:11:21.520 --> 1:11:23.240
<v Speaker 9>money is just for that race is absurd. You know,

1:11:23.280 --> 1:11:25.679
<v Speaker 9>when I was the mayor, you send out those annual

1:11:25.800 --> 1:11:28.719
<v Speaker 9>budget things where you do a percentage of every dollar,

1:11:28.880 --> 1:11:31.000
<v Speaker 9>like what percentage of your dollar goes to X, Y

1:11:31.040 --> 1:11:33.120
<v Speaker 9>and z, And so it'd be thirty percent to the

1:11:33.120 --> 1:11:36.120
<v Speaker 9>police station, you know, ten percent the fire hires, right,

1:11:36.160 --> 1:11:38.920
<v Speaker 9>And so that's really how this goes, Right. You are

1:11:38.960 --> 1:11:42.559
<v Speaker 9>benefiting from those dollars and you don't want to admit it,

1:11:43.479 --> 1:11:45.320
<v Speaker 9>and you don't want to confront the fact that you

1:11:45.400 --> 1:11:48.479
<v Speaker 9>have compromised your principles to try and win an election

1:11:48.600 --> 1:11:51.599
<v Speaker 9>for yourself. And so instead of all that, you call

1:11:51.680 --> 1:11:53.960
<v Speaker 9>me a liar. And that's fine. They've been doing that

1:11:54.000 --> 1:11:56.520
<v Speaker 9>for nine months and it hasn't landed.

1:11:58.200 --> 1:11:59.559
<v Speaker 5>All. Am we anything else?

1:12:00.520 --> 1:12:05.080
<v Speaker 11>No, that's so interesting, fascinating race, yea fascinating to be

1:12:05.120 --> 1:12:06.760
<v Speaker 11>a part of, you know, because you read about it

1:12:08.000 --> 1:12:11.760
<v Speaker 11>in the abstract, but then it's like, oh, you're in

1:12:11.840 --> 1:12:14.000
<v Speaker 11>it now, so you.

1:12:13.880 --> 1:12:15.639
<v Speaker 7>Read about it in a Ryan Grimm book and then

1:12:15.680 --> 1:12:16.280
<v Speaker 7>you live it.

1:12:17.040 --> 1:12:19.840
<v Speaker 9>Wow. Here I am on on on the podcast. It's

1:12:19.880 --> 1:12:22.680
<v Speaker 9>it's it's wild And just so I can get this

1:12:22.760 --> 1:12:24.360
<v Speaker 9>on the record, we have a guy in our staff,

1:12:24.400 --> 1:12:27.000
<v Speaker 9>Peter Solderberg. This is his favorite show. I just want

1:12:27.040 --> 1:12:28.000
<v Speaker 9>to get that on the record.

1:12:28.280 --> 1:12:29.639
<v Speaker 5>Peter shout out to Peter.

1:12:30.360 --> 1:12:32.400
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, thank you. That'll mean a lot to him.

1:12:32.400 --> 1:12:34.360
<v Speaker 4>I got to ask ask Peter is he a premium

1:12:34.439 --> 1:12:38.120
<v Speaker 4>sub though, well, he will be tomorrow if he is.

1:12:41.760 --> 1:12:42.160
<v Speaker 5>Excellent.

1:12:42.200 --> 1:12:45.439
<v Speaker 4>I'm sure he's enjoying the newsletter though. We'll say say

1:12:45.479 --> 1:12:49.960
<v Speaker 4>a lot to Peter. We we very much appreciate it.

1:12:50.640 --> 1:12:54.599
<v Speaker 4>And uh, the election is on this coming Tuesday. This

1:12:54.680 --> 1:12:59.280
<v Speaker 4>is Tuesday, Minnesota, Minnesota second district. We'll stay in touch,

1:13:00.000 --> 1:13:00.960
<v Speaker 4>all right, Yeah, thanks.

1:13:00.760 --> 1:13:01.240
<v Speaker 9>For having me on.

1:13:01.280 --> 1:13:01.800
<v Speaker 5>Appreciate it.

1:13:01.800 --> 1:13:03.040
<v Speaker 9>Thanks for se y'all.

1:13:04.120 --> 1:13:06.320
<v Speaker 7>Everyone. Is that time of the week where we do AMA.

1:13:06.680 --> 1:13:10.480
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1:13:10.479 --> 1:13:11.840
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<v Speaker 6>every day early. So producer Mac is going to toss

1:13:21.840 --> 1:13:24.679
<v Speaker 6>up some AMA questions as we go here.

1:13:25.040 --> 1:13:27.240
<v Speaker 7>Mac hit us, what do you got.

1:13:29.520 --> 1:13:29.960
<v Speaker 9>For Ryan?

1:13:30.000 --> 1:13:32.920
<v Speaker 6>Why is Rocana so hated by congressional Democrats? That one

1:13:32.960 --> 1:13:37.160
<v Speaker 6>comes from Barbara Glassman, what's say you Ryan Gram.

1:13:37.520 --> 1:13:42.320
<v Speaker 4>You know, the number one attribute that is valued by

1:13:42.760 --> 1:13:50.880
<v Speaker 4>House Democrats is caucus loyalty, and they correctly do not

1:13:51.000 --> 1:13:54.120
<v Speaker 4>feel that Rokana has caucus loyalty.

1:13:54.960 --> 1:13:55.439
<v Speaker 5>And you know, and.

1:13:55.400 --> 1:13:59.120
<v Speaker 4>Also he he is willing to even though kind of

1:13:59.160 --> 1:14:02.840
<v Speaker 4>aocgut so much attention for you know, beating Joe Crowley

1:14:02.840 --> 1:14:04.760
<v Speaker 4>in twenty eighteen, and then and then she endorsed its

1:14:05.120 --> 1:14:09.599
<v Speaker 4>decent number of primary challengers against incumbents in twenty twenty.

1:14:09.920 --> 1:14:15.120
<v Speaker 4>Roe has kept doing that. And even if you like,

1:14:15.160 --> 1:14:20.760
<v Speaker 4>I think shreth Thanadar is a counter example where you

1:14:20.840 --> 1:14:23.519
<v Speaker 4>are allowed to endorse against him because he's such a

1:14:23.600 --> 1:14:28.160
<v Speaker 4>ridiculous figure. Otherwise you're just no matter what, you're not

1:14:28.240 --> 1:14:29.880
<v Speaker 4>allowed to endorse against your opponents.

1:14:29.880 --> 1:14:33.320
<v Speaker 5>You're not supposed to criticize the party leader.

1:14:33.360 --> 1:14:35.759
<v Speaker 4>You're not supposed to criticize the party chairs, the party's direction.

1:14:36.520 --> 1:14:38.880
<v Speaker 4>You're you're not You're just not supposed to do any

1:14:38.880 --> 1:14:39.479
<v Speaker 4>of those things.

1:14:39.800 --> 1:14:44.280
<v Speaker 6>That to me feels like a Pelosi. Uh norm that

1:14:44.479 --> 1:14:46.960
<v Speaker 6>was sent is that downstream of Pelosi?

1:14:47.120 --> 1:14:50.559
<v Speaker 4>No, that's it's a bigger this would have been this

1:14:50.720 --> 1:14:57.800
<v Speaker 4>was set in the first con Continental Congress. Probably well,

1:14:57.840 --> 1:15:00.400
<v Speaker 4>Democratic people for big Club it's a big and if

1:15:00.400 --> 1:15:01.320
<v Speaker 4>you're in it, be in it.

1:15:01.400 --> 1:15:02.000
<v Speaker 5>And if you're not.

1:15:03.520 --> 1:15:07.880
<v Speaker 6>People forget that when Newt Gingrich came in with the Revolution,

1:15:08.240 --> 1:15:11.600
<v Speaker 6>Democrats had held the House for forty years, it was

1:15:11.680 --> 1:15:16.759
<v Speaker 6>an extremely like close club. It's almost like mafia esque.

1:15:17.160 --> 1:15:21.120
<v Speaker 6>It's just that they have such power, like they're used

1:15:21.120 --> 1:15:22.360
<v Speaker 6>to wielding power in that way.

1:15:22.400 --> 1:15:23.960
<v Speaker 7>I suppose I have.

1:15:25.560 --> 1:15:28.840
<v Speaker 4>Where's the book I'm reading the Class of seventy four

1:15:29.000 --> 1:15:33.920
<v Speaker 4>right now? And wow, the which by John Lawrence, which

1:15:33.960 --> 1:15:37.080
<v Speaker 4>is who was one of Pelosi's top aides, who was

1:15:37.120 --> 1:15:40.240
<v Speaker 4>at an aid in seventy four. Seventy four is the

1:15:40.240 --> 1:15:44.760
<v Speaker 4>Watergate babies, when you had scores of freshmen come in

1:15:45.360 --> 1:15:51.400
<v Speaker 4>and those freshmen took on the old bulls, they took

1:15:51.439 --> 1:15:57.800
<v Speaker 4>on the Dixiecrats, they reshaped the house. They that's the

1:15:57.840 --> 1:16:02.000
<v Speaker 4>Pelosi generation basically. And Pelosi came in the eighties, but

1:16:02.120 --> 1:16:04.439
<v Speaker 4>like when she was at the height of her power,

1:16:04.479 --> 1:16:08.360
<v Speaker 4>like this class of seventy four was still still like

1:16:08.400 --> 1:16:11.080
<v Speaker 4>literally when I started covering Congress, the Class of seventy

1:16:11.120 --> 1:16:15.920
<v Speaker 4>four was still a dominant power structure in the House.

1:16:16.400 --> 1:16:20.000
<v Speaker 4>And even though they came in and actually probably because

1:16:20.040 --> 1:16:23.800
<v Speaker 4>they came in as these insurgents who burned the house

1:16:23.840 --> 1:16:26.200
<v Speaker 4>to the ground and reshaped it in their image. They

1:16:26.200 --> 1:16:28.920
<v Speaker 4>were always been on the lookout for somebody to do

1:16:28.960 --> 1:16:33.680
<v Speaker 4>that to them, and it created this paranoid culture of

1:16:35.520 --> 1:16:39.880
<v Speaker 4>required solidarity. And Roe just doesn't do that right.

1:16:39.920 --> 1:16:42.120
<v Speaker 6>And that's why I think on the House side, at

1:16:42.200 --> 1:16:44.720
<v Speaker 6>least Republicans were able to break through leadership with the

1:16:44.720 --> 1:16:47.600
<v Speaker 6>Tea Party earlier. Just that culture wasn't the same in

1:16:47.600 --> 1:16:51.920
<v Speaker 6>the conference. Oh man, if you're listening to this, Ryan

1:16:51.920 --> 1:16:55.920
<v Speaker 6>grim is mobile. He's gone to a shelf there it

1:16:56.040 --> 1:16:59.080
<v Speaker 6>is Class of seventy four. It's a beautiful cover too. Yeah,

1:16:59.120 --> 1:17:00.280
<v Speaker 6>some good book covers there.

1:17:02.760 --> 1:17:02.920
<v Speaker 9>Mac.

1:17:03.000 --> 1:17:03.840
<v Speaker 7>What else we get.

1:17:06.000 --> 1:17:08.400
<v Speaker 6>From Jake who says Jake Mogol who says, does the

1:17:08.439 --> 1:17:10.599
<v Speaker 6>team agree that a dark truth of wars that usually

1:17:10.640 --> 1:17:14.000
<v Speaker 6>a renaissance of music follows? If so, where's our counterculture

1:17:14.040 --> 1:17:16.160
<v Speaker 6>of the now or is it being suppressed?

1:17:16.920 --> 1:17:18.800
<v Speaker 7>Jesse wells?

1:17:18.920 --> 1:17:20.960
<v Speaker 5>Jesse Wells, Yeah, there you go.

1:17:21.400 --> 1:17:24.680
<v Speaker 4>The problem is you need a monoculture to have a

1:17:24.720 --> 1:17:28.960
<v Speaker 4>counterculture exactly. And and because everybody lives in their own

1:17:29.000 --> 1:17:34.400
<v Speaker 4>algorithmic culture, we have subculture. We have endless just subcultures.

1:17:34.439 --> 1:17:37.000
<v Speaker 4>So how do you, how do you have a counter

1:17:37.280 --> 1:17:39.799
<v Speaker 4>without a mono. There's nothing to counter.

1:17:41.240 --> 1:17:46.760
<v Speaker 6>But it's actually amazing to watch Jesse just blow up

1:17:46.920 --> 1:17:50.840
<v Speaker 6>because it was I think it's TikTok. I've seen him

1:17:50.840 --> 1:17:53.240
<v Speaker 6>on Instagram. I first saw him on Instagram rules not

1:17:53.280 --> 1:17:57.559
<v Speaker 6>on TikTok. But that's the algorithm picking something up, and

1:17:58.040 --> 1:18:01.759
<v Speaker 6>you can't suppress you can't totally suppress it. If something

1:18:01.800 --> 1:18:07.120
<v Speaker 6>goes megaviral, then it does become not a monoculture, but

1:18:07.360 --> 1:18:11.439
<v Speaker 6>a powerful subculture, an influential subculture where a lot of

1:18:11.479 --> 1:18:14.960
<v Speaker 6>people but not every person. It's not the same as

1:18:15.000 --> 1:18:19.479
<v Speaker 6>having like I don't know the doors, because charts don't

1:18:19.520 --> 1:18:21.320
<v Speaker 6>exist in the same way that they used to. Like

1:18:21.320 --> 1:18:23.040
<v Speaker 6>it's all apples and oranges with the time when there

1:18:23.120 --> 1:18:24.520
<v Speaker 6>was a real monoculture.

1:18:24.600 --> 1:18:25.920
<v Speaker 7>So that's an interesting point.

1:18:26.000 --> 1:18:27.640
<v Speaker 6>You just I guess you'll just have to look for

1:18:27.680 --> 1:18:33.320
<v Speaker 6>the subculture that is counter to the other subcultures.

1:18:32.920 --> 1:18:34.240
<v Speaker 5>Right, and you have to ask somebody else.

1:18:34.320 --> 1:18:37.920
<v Speaker 4>I'm like a deeply uncool person, nowhere near like the

1:18:37.960 --> 1:18:43.040
<v Speaker 4>actual countercultures of today. Like it's not I'm not the

1:18:43.080 --> 1:18:45.880
<v Speaker 4>one who's going to have any clue what's going on.

1:18:48.320 --> 1:18:50.880
<v Speaker 6>Garov Malik says for Crystal and Ryan, does Bernie being

1:18:50.880 --> 1:18:53.400
<v Speaker 6>a liberal Zionist make him fail you were litmus test?

1:18:53.479 --> 1:18:56.360
<v Speaker 6>I know his positions keep keeps evolving, and he's using

1:18:56.360 --> 1:18:58.800
<v Speaker 6>his political capital to get DSA elected, But he says

1:18:58.840 --> 1:19:01.920
<v Speaker 6>nothing essentially should change once Netanya, who is out and

1:19:01.960 --> 1:19:04.280
<v Speaker 6>wants a two state solution. Only would you guys apply

1:19:04.320 --> 1:19:06.120
<v Speaker 6>that critical ons to him that you'd apply to an

1:19:06.160 --> 1:19:08.439
<v Speaker 6>Adam Smith or Dean Phillips.

1:19:09.040 --> 1:19:11.040
<v Speaker 4>Well, first of all, I don't have a litmus test,

1:19:11.320 --> 1:19:14.320
<v Speaker 4>like who cares what I think. I'm out here to

1:19:14.760 --> 1:19:16.519
<v Speaker 4>report to you what's going on in the world and

1:19:16.520 --> 1:19:20.320
<v Speaker 4>not tell you, like anything anything more beyond that. You know,

1:19:20.320 --> 1:19:26.120
<v Speaker 4>Bernie also has a very particular life trajectory like his

1:19:28.040 --> 1:19:32.080
<v Speaker 4>You know, his family was h he had had a

1:19:32.120 --> 1:19:34.120
<v Speaker 4>lot of family killed in the Holocaust. He was he

1:19:34.240 --> 1:19:40.240
<v Speaker 4>was raised, you know, steeped in that culture he is.

1:19:40.840 --> 1:19:46.400
<v Speaker 4>I've i've I've reported critically on his blind spot when

1:19:46.439 --> 1:19:51.920
<v Speaker 4>it comes to Israeli abuses for for a very long time,

1:19:52.200 --> 1:19:55.320
<v Speaker 4>like well over a decade, Like it is has been

1:19:55.360 --> 1:19:58.759
<v Speaker 4>apparent to anybody who has covered Bernie.

1:19:58.800 --> 1:20:00.479
<v Speaker 5>I think it was like twenty ten or something.

1:20:00.520 --> 1:20:04.519
<v Speaker 4>I remember writing about a town hall he had in Vermont,

1:20:04.640 --> 1:20:11.920
<v Speaker 4>where he was getting pushed on whatever latest crime Israel

1:20:11.960 --> 1:20:14.920
<v Speaker 4>had carried out, and he just yells back at this

1:20:15.040 --> 1:20:17.320
<v Speaker 4>Vermont audience like what do you want me to do?

1:20:19.400 --> 1:20:22.760
<v Speaker 4>Like just getting very cranky, angry Burnie, and it's just

1:20:22.760 --> 1:20:24.760
<v Speaker 4>like this, this is like who he's always been. I

1:20:24.800 --> 1:20:31.599
<v Speaker 4>also think there's been a significant evolution from October November

1:20:31.600 --> 1:20:34.160
<v Speaker 4>of twenty twenty three to where he is today. It

1:20:34.240 --> 1:20:38.640
<v Speaker 4>has by no means been at the pace that his

1:20:38.760 --> 1:20:42.280
<v Speaker 4>critics have wanted it to come. But he's nowhere near

1:20:42.760 --> 1:20:47.000
<v Speaker 4>Adam Smith and you know whoever else the person asked there,

1:20:47.240 --> 1:20:48.559
<v Speaker 4>like I think.

1:20:48.439 --> 1:20:51.360
<v Speaker 5>He's he's he he doesn't quite.

1:20:51.400 --> 1:20:53.160
<v Speaker 4>He doesn't do as much the tick that he used

1:20:53.200 --> 1:20:57.680
<v Speaker 4>to do of the net Yahoo government like he's he's

1:20:57.720 --> 1:21:01.559
<v Speaker 4>starting to he's starting to treat kind of the Israeli

1:21:01.600 --> 1:21:04.519
<v Speaker 4>government more more honestly than that.

1:21:05.840 --> 1:21:09.120
<v Speaker 6>It's kind of an impossible counterfactual. But I don't know

1:21:09.160 --> 1:21:11.200
<v Speaker 6>how much of this would have ever happened without his

1:21:11.280 --> 1:21:14.040
<v Speaker 6>twenty sixteen run. And by this I mean the kind

1:21:14.080 --> 1:21:15.960
<v Speaker 6>of left populism.

1:21:16.160 --> 1:21:16.720
<v Speaker 7>Yeah that was.

1:21:18.080 --> 1:21:19.479
<v Speaker 6>I don't know, I don't know what you think of that, Ryan,

1:21:19.520 --> 1:21:21.880
<v Speaker 6>but it's it's hard to take that away from him

1:21:21.920 --> 1:21:25.000
<v Speaker 6>if you're somebody who you know is frustrated with his

1:21:25.120 --> 1:21:27.400
<v Speaker 6>pace of change, But then you look at the change

1:21:27.400 --> 1:21:30.240
<v Speaker 6>that he kind of ushered in himself, even if it

1:21:30.240 --> 1:21:31.840
<v Speaker 6>hasn't kept up with his personal take.

1:21:33.200 --> 1:21:36.599
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I don't know. It's there was there. That energy

1:21:36.720 --> 1:21:37.080
<v Speaker 5>was there.

1:21:37.240 --> 1:21:42.040
<v Speaker 4>It was in occupy, it was behind Elizabeth Warren, then

1:21:42.080 --> 1:21:45.080
<v Speaker 4>he industry, and then he grabbed it. If he hadn't

1:21:45.120 --> 1:21:48.280
<v Speaker 4>done it and Hillary loses to Trump, there still would

1:21:48.280 --> 1:21:51.240
<v Speaker 4>have been that burst of energy where it would have gone.

1:21:51.320 --> 1:21:57.960
<v Speaker 5>Is a good question. Yeah, it's it's it's an interesting counterfactual.

1:22:00.439 --> 1:22:01.400
<v Speaker 7>Well what else we got here?

1:22:01.400 --> 1:22:01.559
<v Speaker 9>Max?

1:22:01.560 --> 1:22:02.400
<v Speaker 7>I think we got one more.

1:22:03.280 --> 1:22:05.840
<v Speaker 6>Obie Wood's the third says, with everything going on in

1:22:05.880 --> 1:22:07.960
<v Speaker 6>the economy and young people struggling, they get by. I

1:22:07.960 --> 1:22:09.880
<v Speaker 6>think it is time for radical solutions. What do you

1:22:09.880 --> 1:22:13.759
<v Speaker 6>think about suspending federal income taxes for Americans under thirty?

1:22:13.840 --> 1:22:14.840
<v Speaker 7>I'd love to hear.

1:22:14.760 --> 1:22:17.840
<v Speaker 6>Sager's take on this. I'd love to hear Soager's take

1:22:17.840 --> 1:22:22.120
<v Speaker 6>on this. I would just suspend federal income tax period.

1:22:22.760 --> 1:22:24.479
<v Speaker 6>That would be my take, But.

1:22:26.080 --> 1:22:27.479
<v Speaker 7>I don't think Ryan would support that.

1:22:27.520 --> 1:22:30.400
<v Speaker 4>But that's I don't know what I would what I

1:22:30.479 --> 1:22:33.640
<v Speaker 4>what I would support is if if you want to

1:22:33.640 --> 1:22:36.160
<v Speaker 4>get outside the box, it kind of get radical, say

1:22:36.200 --> 1:22:42.200
<v Speaker 4>like suspend all federal income taxes for and you can

1:22:42.200 --> 1:22:45.240
<v Speaker 4>even send up pretty high anybody making less than say

1:22:45.280 --> 1:22:47.120
<v Speaker 4>one hundred and fifty thousand dollars a year.

1:22:47.240 --> 1:22:49.840
<v Speaker 7>All, yeah, you can actually go higher than that.

1:22:50.320 --> 1:22:53.400
<v Speaker 4>And go and then even go higher and then hit

1:22:54.640 --> 1:22:59.800
<v Speaker 4>a wealth tax. Implement a wealth tax for anybody making

1:22:59.840 --> 1:23:05.080
<v Speaker 4>the UK they're looking at ten million in in France

1:23:05.080 --> 1:23:09.439
<v Speaker 4>they looked at like one hundred million euro big a

1:23:09.479 --> 1:23:13.800
<v Speaker 4>fifty million what like something where no normal person like

1:23:13.920 --> 1:23:17.920
<v Speaker 4>is anywhere near it. But a two percent wealth tax

1:23:18.000 --> 1:23:22.439
<v Speaker 4>on fortunes of fifty million dollars and up and then

1:23:23.520 --> 1:23:27.720
<v Speaker 4>use that wipe out betteral income tax. And now you

1:23:27.760 --> 1:23:29.160
<v Speaker 4>have to phase it in or else you get like

1:23:29.720 --> 1:23:32.200
<v Speaker 4>you'd get runaway inflation in a way that would be

1:23:32.360 --> 1:23:36.120
<v Speaker 4>kinter productive to working people because you'd get your tax

1:23:36.160 --> 1:23:39.360
<v Speaker 4>money back and have to pay it for fifteen dollars eggs.

1:23:39.800 --> 1:23:41.920
<v Speaker 4>So you have to engineer it, you know, in the

1:23:42.400 --> 1:23:46.280
<v Speaker 4>right way. But yes, what the radical thing you have

1:23:46.320 --> 1:23:50.679
<v Speaker 4>to do is our entire lives. We've been talking about

1:23:50.680 --> 1:23:53.479
<v Speaker 4>the rich getting richer as if it's just a natural

1:23:53.600 --> 1:23:58.000
<v Speaker 4>fact the rich need to get poorer because the rich

1:23:58.040 --> 1:24:00.240
<v Speaker 4>getting richer are making us all poorer.

1:24:00.400 --> 1:24:01.880
<v Speaker 6>Well, I was going to say, I have no problem

1:24:01.880 --> 1:24:03.880
<v Speaker 6>with the rich getting richer as long as it's an

1:24:04.040 --> 1:24:06.480
<v Speaker 6>actual rising tide lifting all boats.

1:24:06.200 --> 1:24:08.439
<v Speaker 5>Right, and we haven't had a rising tide for two decades.

1:24:08.760 --> 1:24:09.920
<v Speaker 5>That it's not tide.

1:24:10.960 --> 1:24:15.800
<v Speaker 4>The tide in Western economies is like one to two percent. Yeah,

1:24:16.120 --> 1:24:19.200
<v Speaker 4>bres wealth increase for the point one percent is like

1:24:19.240 --> 1:24:20.960
<v Speaker 4>ten to fifteen to twenty percent every year.

1:24:21.080 --> 1:24:23.840
<v Speaker 5>So that means it has to come from somewhere. It's

1:24:23.880 --> 1:24:24.400
<v Speaker 5>coming from you.

1:24:25.760 --> 1:24:29.160
<v Speaker 6>It should come from honestly, like it should come from corporations.

1:24:29.240 --> 1:24:32.599
<v Speaker 6>And it's insane to see like you could if you.

1:24:32.560 --> 1:24:36.680
<v Speaker 5>Do the math, he's coming from people, right, right, But you.

1:24:36.640 --> 1:24:39.360
<v Speaker 6>Could tax understanding, like you could tax billionaires of one

1:24:39.439 --> 1:24:41.720
<v Speaker 6>hundred percent and fund of the government for what like

1:24:41.760 --> 1:24:43.120
<v Speaker 6>a couple of weeks or a couple of months on it.

1:24:43.160 --> 1:24:44.960
<v Speaker 6>I forget what the math is, but it's pretty bleak.

1:24:45.880 --> 1:24:51.080
<v Speaker 4>So obviously now I think you can do it.

1:24:51.200 --> 1:24:54.439
<v Speaker 5>The point let's see point what a point one percent own.

1:24:54.520 --> 1:24:59.759
<v Speaker 7>Now, either way, it's not like a sustainable.

1:25:01.439 --> 1:25:05.240
<v Speaker 4>Well it is sustainable because if you reinvest that money

1:25:05.280 --> 1:25:08.080
<v Speaker 4>in the middle class, then the middle class starts to

1:25:08.120 --> 1:25:11.000
<v Speaker 4>then resustain an economy.

1:25:11.280 --> 1:25:13.519
<v Speaker 5>You don't need to constantly go back and get the.

1:25:15.400 --> 1:25:19.519
<v Speaker 4>All right, the net worth owned by the point one

1:25:19.600 --> 1:25:22.160
<v Speaker 4>percent about twenty five trillion.

1:25:23.320 --> 1:25:26.360
<v Speaker 6>Oh my lord, they could pay off the They could

1:25:26.360 --> 1:25:27.679
<v Speaker 6>pay off the entire debt.

1:25:28.520 --> 1:25:32.280
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and the entire actually barely what's it? What's the

1:25:32.320 --> 1:25:33.200
<v Speaker 4>GDP of the US?

1:25:33.640 --> 1:25:38.559
<v Speaker 6>Thirty Actually, I think that that doesn't even come close GDP.

1:25:38.760 --> 1:25:41.839
<v Speaker 4>The entire GDP of the US is thirty two trillion.

1:25:42.840 --> 1:25:47.040
<v Speaker 4>So the zero point one percent in the US are

1:25:47.080 --> 1:25:53.120
<v Speaker 4>now roughly own roughly equivalent to the entire production of

1:25:53.160 --> 1:25:54.440
<v Speaker 4>the of the economy.

1:25:55.160 --> 1:25:56.040
<v Speaker 7>The debt is at.

1:25:55.880 --> 1:25:59.680
<v Speaker 6>Forty trillion, So our GDP is what what did you say.

1:25:59.840 --> 1:26:00.799
<v Speaker 5>The already two trillion?

1:26:01.720 --> 1:26:06.599
<v Speaker 7>Holy, it's just so incredibly.

1:26:07.800 --> 1:26:07.840
<v Speaker 6>So.

1:26:08.400 --> 1:26:09.760
<v Speaker 5>Taxes, it's not, it's not.

1:26:10.040 --> 1:26:12.400
<v Speaker 4>It's not as bleak as you think in the sense

1:26:12.400 --> 1:26:18.760
<v Speaker 4>in this sense like, so, imagine you have a five

1:26:18.800 --> 1:26:21.439
<v Speaker 4>hundred thousand dollars mortgage and you make one hundred thousand

1:26:21.439 --> 1:26:26.439
<v Speaker 4>dollars a year, Right, that's a five x debt to revenue,

1:26:27.280 --> 1:26:31.679
<v Speaker 4>and we're at a roughly one x debt to GDP.

1:26:32.720 --> 1:26:37.599
<v Speaker 4>So as long as our economy keeps growing and our

1:26:37.680 --> 1:26:40.759
<v Speaker 4>tax revenues stay steady, we can pay. We can handle

1:26:40.760 --> 1:26:45.120
<v Speaker 4>that debt service. But the problem is that the assets

1:26:45.120 --> 1:26:47.840
<v Speaker 4>held by the very rich keep growing and they're not

1:26:47.880 --> 1:26:50.360
<v Speaker 4>paying any taxes, So that puts a higher and higher

1:26:50.360 --> 1:26:53.800
<v Speaker 4>burden on everybody else to handle that debt.

1:26:56.640 --> 1:26:58.640
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, it's not a good system.

1:26:59.000 --> 1:27:04.920
<v Speaker 6>It's it's fine from flat tax person, I think.

1:27:04.760 --> 1:27:06.040
<v Speaker 5>Taxis I mean, I would start.

1:27:06.080 --> 1:27:07.800
<v Speaker 4>I'd be happy to start with the flat tax if

1:27:07.800 --> 1:27:10.200
<v Speaker 4>it meant that the zero point one percent were actually

1:27:10.200 --> 1:27:12.799
<v Speaker 4>paying the same as everybody else, Right.

1:27:12.680 --> 1:27:14.760
<v Speaker 7>And that's the benefit of having it. So's you don't have.

1:27:14.920 --> 1:27:17.160
<v Speaker 5>You would need, but you would need, you would need

1:27:17.160 --> 1:27:18.240
<v Speaker 5>a wealth tax to get to that.

1:27:20.160 --> 1:27:22.920
<v Speaker 7>They they should should certainly be paying more, there's no

1:27:23.040 --> 1:27:23.720
<v Speaker 7>question about that.

1:27:23.840 --> 1:27:25.240
<v Speaker 9>Yeah. Cooked.

1:27:25.280 --> 1:27:28.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, well, Ryan says, we're not cooked. Don't worry about it.

1:27:28.240 --> 1:27:29.920
<v Speaker 7>If we find out a way to.

1:27:30.000 --> 1:27:32.759
<v Speaker 5>Not cooked yet. We're not cooked yet, we're still.

1:27:33.040 --> 1:27:36.880
<v Speaker 6>Fast reinvest Yeah, I agree with all right, we can

1:27:37.040 --> 1:27:41.599
<v Speaker 6>we can leave it there for I was gonna say

1:27:41.600 --> 1:27:43.880
<v Speaker 6>it was bleak, but Ryan says, once again, it's not bleaking.

1:27:43.520 --> 1:27:44.520
<v Speaker 7>It's not grim.

1:27:44.920 --> 1:27:45.920
<v Speaker 5>That's right, all.

1:27:45.920 --> 1:27:49.599
<v Speaker 6>Right, Well, thanks everyone for tuning in. Hope you enjoyed

1:27:49.640 --> 1:27:51.000
<v Speaker 6>the show today, Appreciate the A m A.

1:27:51.160 --> 1:27:52.439
<v Speaker 7>Questions. Hope you I'll have a great weekend.

1:27:52.479 --> 1:27:54.960
<v Speaker 6>We will be here if there's any breaking news, particularly

1:27:55.000 --> 1:27:58.160
<v Speaker 6>on the warfront. So thanks and we'll see you back

1:27:58.200 --> 1:27:58.599
<v Speaker 6>here soon