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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: The bet MGM offer always above me. YouTube video for

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Speaker 1: one hundred three bucks. All right, So h and two

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Speaker 1: last night, man, so the over I bet the first

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Speaker 1: period over that hit. I bet over six and a

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Speaker 1: half in game after that first goal came in really quickly,

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Speaker 1: so I got to bets right personally on that. But

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Speaker 1: official down one unit, overtime loss. We were right there

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Speaker 1: for Tampa to take Game one. Darcy Kemper was not

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Speaker 1: good in the game, but Vasileski was bad at the

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Speaker 1: first period. Man, those two soft goals early gonna be

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Speaker 1: kicking himself. I'll be on Tampa in Game two again, though,

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Speaker 1: I'll come back and bet to Tampa again. Maybe I'm

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Speaker 1: going to go down zero to two here on this,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna take Tampa again in game number two.

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Speaker 1: But for right now, we lose that, we lose the

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Speaker 1: over officially six. We wind up with a seven goal

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Speaker 1: game for three the final for the Avalanche go up

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Speaker 1: one games to none on the Tampa Bay Lightning in

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Speaker 1: the Stanley Cup Finals. So kind of a bummer official

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Speaker 1: bummer there. But that now, over the course of the

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Speaker 1: last eight days, we are now down point eight units.

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Speaker 1: So just I mean the loss last night. We were

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Speaker 1: up two units or sorry, point two going into last

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Speaker 1: night over the last seven days, so down a little

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Speaker 1: bit after the one unit loss last night. So you know,

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Speaker 1: let's get a bounce back spot here on a Thursday day,

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Speaker 1: I got four bets for you for Game six of

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Speaker 1: the NBA Finals. There's a little bit of a strategia

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Speaker 1: clay here as to what I'm gonna jump in. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna explain here in just one second. But before we

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Speaker 1: all right. So there's a shot that the NBA season

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Speaker 1: ends tonight and at the seven to one ticket on

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Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors that comes in seven to one.

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Speaker 1: We get that, right, Celtics ten to one is very

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Speaker 1: much in jeopardy. Boston is at home tonight, however, So

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Speaker 1: here's how I am playing this game. Four bets, four

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Speaker 1: different ways of playing it. First off, I'm a Celtics fan,

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Speaker 1: So if Boston wins games and they force a Game seven,

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Speaker 1: we can kind of kick our heels up and watch

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Speaker 1: Game seven and don't we can bet on it, but

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Speaker 1: we don't have to do very much. Okay, So since

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Speaker 1: I have a ten to one on Boston to win

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Speaker 1: at all, it would make sense to bet the Warriors

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Speaker 1: tonight at plus one fifty. So you get plus one fifty.

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Speaker 1: Warriors win, Warriors win the series, you get a plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty cash plus the seven to one. We increase

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Speaker 1: our position trying to get up to that ten to

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Speaker 1: one spot. Okay, it would make sense that if Boston

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Speaker 1: wins Game six that we again bet the Warriors again

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Speaker 1: in game seven. Okay, we won't be getting plus money

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Speaker 1: but we bet the Warriors again. So if we bet

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Speaker 1: the Warriors here trying to get it up, if they

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Speaker 1: win seven to one cashes plus the plus one fifty

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Speaker 1: cashes for a half a unit, we get one and

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Speaker 1: a half unit where we gezero point seven to five

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Speaker 1: units back on it, so it almost gets us to

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Speaker 1: eight to one on the cash. So I like that.

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Speaker 1: If we lose, we lose the half a unit. So

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Speaker 1: we're taking a little bit off the Celtics in terms

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Speaker 1: of that nine that ten to one cash. But we

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Speaker 1: can then bet it again and be down a unit.

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Speaker 1: But then we're you know, half a unit down a unit.

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Speaker 1: Now we're now we're winning nine units on that nine

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Speaker 1: to one bet, but we're basically giving ourselves a sweatless watch.

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Speaker 1: And you used to be a fan. So I'm betting

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Speaker 1: a half a unit down if you have the ten

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Speaker 1: to one and the seven to one is on both

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Speaker 1: sides of this, like I am. This is where we

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Speaker 1: can be a little bit strategic with how we bet it.

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Speaker 1: Not so much of a handicap, but more or less

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Speaker 1: taking the plus month to the plus one fifty, taking

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Speaker 1: the plus money and watch it play out. So I

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Speaker 1: will bet the Warriors game six. If they lose, I

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Speaker 1: bet the Warriors in game seven, Okay, So I tell

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play it. Most likely it's minus one ten

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Speaker 1: on both sides. I'll bet the Warriors for half a

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Speaker 1: unit for that, okay. So first bet Warriors to win

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Speaker 1: tonight at plus one fifty. If Boston wins, phenomenal, Okay.

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Speaker 1: It's a John Anick way of betting. Talked about it before,

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Speaker 1: bet against your team. But I also think given our

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Speaker 1: future position, this is a smart way of approach of

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Speaker 1: approaching this. To take the plus points Boston wins. We

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Speaker 1: have a game seven that's coming weekend on Sunday night,

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Speaker 1: I believe it is. And then I'll bet the Warriors

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Speaker 1: again in game seven in that game. So that's how

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Speaker 1: I'm playing it. First bet half of unit plus one

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Speaker 1: fifty Warriors on the money line. Second bet Boston team

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Speaker 1: total one O six and a half. It's high, okay. However,

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Speaker 1: for the two games that Boston has won, Boston has

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Speaker 1: scored more points than this game one game three. Otherwise,

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Speaker 1: Boston has not scored very many points. To be quite honest,

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Speaker 1: Boston hasn't covered in three of the last four games,

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Speaker 1: which is somewhat stunning. Boston has scored get this, ninety four,

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Speaker 1: ninety seven, and eighty eight in three of the last

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Speaker 1: four games. They failed to score one hundred points, failed

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Speaker 1: to score ninety eight points in four and three of

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Speaker 1: the last four games. But in game one they scored

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Speaker 1: one twenty. In Game three they scored one sixteen. I

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Speaker 1: think we're gonna get one hundred and ten points out

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Speaker 1: of the Boston Celtics. Okay, I'm not positive the Warriors

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Speaker 1: are going to score a ton of points here tonight. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I you say, Matt, just bet the over right, bet

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Speaker 1: the over two ten. I don't know when Boston wins games.

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Speaker 1: They tend to win games big one twenty to one

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Speaker 1: oh eight, one sixteen to one hundred. Now the total

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Speaker 1: is two ten, okay, So if we got, you know,

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Speaker 1: a one ten to one oh two type of game,

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Speaker 1: we go over. But I'm more confident that Boston, in

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Speaker 1: Boston's role players will play better here at home and

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Speaker 1: hit more points. I think this game could go over

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Speaker 1: and the Warriors could win this. I think the Warriors

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Speaker 1: and the Warriors win and the over is really possible.

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Speaker 1: But I think only one team getting hot is also

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Speaker 1: very possible because we know that the Warriors have a

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Speaker 1: Game seven in their back pocket. So the potential if

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Speaker 1: they're down by like fifteen points going into the third quarter,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if they go, you know, all out

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Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter, they may just punt the game

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Speaker 1: and say, we'll see in Game seven. It's at home,

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Speaker 1: we're good. So that's my fear. I'm betting the over

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Speaker 1: that that's what ends up happening. So I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: the Boston Celtics team total over one oh six and

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Speaker 1: a half points at minus one ten. Okay, over one

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Speaker 1: oh six and a half Boston team total over one

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Speaker 1: oh six and a half at minus one ten. It's

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Speaker 1: how I'm gonna play it for a half a unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I think Boston is gonna score Game one one twenty,

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Speaker 1: Game two one sixteen. I think we see finally Boston

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Speaker 1: had not played three bad games in a row in

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Speaker 1: a really long time. I don't see it again. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think the game could go over, but I think

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Speaker 1: Boston team total is a safe for bet given the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter for the Warriors. As to what might happen

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Speaker 1: with the Warriors, Okay, two prop bets to give you

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Speaker 1: Game six, Clay, So right now, betting has been really wild, right,

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Speaker 1: Bet the run line against the Washington Nationals every time

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Speaker 1: in your cashing right, bet on the Braves. Braves. Did

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Speaker 1: they win again tonight? I haven't saw. Did they win

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Speaker 1: their fourteenth game in a row? He's bet the Braves

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Speaker 1: on the money line. It's just been an automatic cash.

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Speaker 1: Let me see the Braves. The Braves, they won again

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Speaker 1: eight to two on the run line. Bet the Braves

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Speaker 1: run line. It's just sort of like, you know, easy

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Speaker 1: to do. Just jump on in. Here we go. So

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Speaker 1: Game six, Clay over three and a half made threes.

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Speaker 1: Klay Thompson has been very hot in this series. Klay

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Speaker 1: Thompson has been just, you know, a guy that Boston

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Speaker 1: has lost track of for whatever reason. And he's hitting

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Speaker 1: threes five last time out, four in five in Game

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Speaker 1: six against the In Game six against the Mavericks, he

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Speaker 1: hit eight threes. In Game six against the Memphis Grizzlies,

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Speaker 1: he hit e threes. Game six, Clay, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: fade it minus one twenty five. Lay the point three

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Speaker 1: to one units to win the quarter unit back. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the juice on this to win a quarter unit.

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Speaker 1: Klay Thompson over three and a half made threes at

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty five to win a quarter unit, not

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Speaker 1: laying a quarter unit. And the other bet is on

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Speaker 1: Derek White, same stat line. Derek White over three last time,

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Speaker 1: last time out behind the arc, three for five in

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Speaker 1: Game four, oh in three in Game three, two for

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Speaker 1: four in Game two, five for eight in Game one.

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Speaker 1: Boston's gonna need Derek White. They need the role players

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Speaker 1: to hit threes. Derek White over one and a half

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Speaker 1: threes is minus one ten quarter unit bet. I think

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Speaker 1: Derek White. I think all the role players, Grant Williams,

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Speaker 1: Derek White, Prayton Pritchard, and they all play better tonight

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Speaker 1: for Boston. It's why I like the over team total

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Speaker 1: one O six and a half. I think Derek White

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Speaker 1: hits two two more threes here. He's done this in

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Speaker 1: three of the five games so far here in this series.

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Speaker 1: I think he does it again. Derek White over one

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Speaker 1: and a half made threes mich one ten for a

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Speaker 1: quarter unit. All right, so all on bet tonight, I'm

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Speaker 1: just gonna watch the Celtics. It's my last basketball game,

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Speaker 1: my last basketball betting opportunity. Of the year. It's been

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Speaker 1: a really, really fun, fun year betting on the NBA

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Speaker 1: this year. Betting on basketball player props has been super

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Speaker 1: fun this year betting, and you know, the NBA. We're

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Speaker 1: slightly under on our NBA sixty seven and seventy overall,

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Speaker 1: it's forty nine percent. We're a little under there. NBA

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Speaker 1: player props we are. That can't be right. We're nine

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Speaker 1: and nine on NBA player props. That's interesting, So we

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Speaker 1: could we get these two props, We'll finish up eleven

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Speaker 1: and nine and will be positive for the year betting

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Speaker 1: on NBA props. I can't believe I bet only that few.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't feel right. Feel like I bet more NBA

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Speaker 1: props than eighteen props in the entire NBA season. That

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Speaker 1: doesn't feel right to me. Twenty twenty two, in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty one because the year kind of crossed over that

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Speaker 1: includes last year, though the NBA player props are ninety

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Speaker 1: and eighty six. I don't know. I think we may

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Speaker 1: have lost track at some of the NBA player props

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Speaker 1: with the tracking when Dan Harris left. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: That feels very low to me that my NBA player

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Speaker 1: props is only eighteen player props. It feels like I

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Speaker 1: bet more than eighteen player props here in the NBA

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Speaker 1: in the playoffs than the whole year. But I don't know.

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Speaker 1: That may be just something that slipped to the cracks

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Speaker 1: or not. But we'll see how we wind up with

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Speaker 1: the NBA again. Warriors money line plus one fifty half

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Speaker 1: a unit Boston over team total one oh six and

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Speaker 1: a half minus one ten. Both those bets half a

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Speaker 1: unit late enough to win a quarter unit on Klay

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Speaker 1: Thompson over three and a half threes at minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five. Derek White over one and a half threes

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Speaker 1: minus won ten, also for a quarter unit minus. Matt

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Speaker 1: Parrelt follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each

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Speaker 1: and every morning it's dale Ju's podcast. I was being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by Daim Jim