1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:12,720 Speaker 2: They say is the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast. Good morning, 3 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 2: It's Friday, the fifteenth of August. I'm Stephen Carroll in London. 4 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 2: Coming up today, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin head to 5 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 2: Alaska for face to face talks on Ukraine. As nervous 6 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 2: European leaders watch on tax rises, wage costs, and week 7 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: spending mean London is bearing the brunt of the UK's 8 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:35,919 Speaker 2: jobs slow down. Plus keeping football transfers on side, Apollo 9 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 2: and Blackstone look to score big with private debt financed 10 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 2: player acquisitions in a five billion euro market. Let's start 11 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 2: with a roundup of our top stories. Russia's President Vladimir 12 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 2: Putin has sought to strengthen his relationship with Donald Trump 13 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 2: ahead of their summit today in Alaska. At a Kremlin 14 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 2: meeting with senior officials, Putin praised the US President's efforts 15 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:00,040 Speaker 2: to broker an end to the war in Ukraine and 16 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 2: dangling the promise of economic cooperation. President Trump, meanwhile, has 17 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 2: described the talks and Anchorage as a feel out meeting. 18 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 2: Here's what he told reporters of the White House. President 19 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 2: Putin would like to see a deal. 20 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 3: I think if I weren't president, he would take over 21 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 3: all of Ukraine. 22 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:20,479 Speaker 4: In my opinion, he would much rather take over all 23 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 4: of Ukraine. 24 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 2: But I am president and he's not going to mess. 25 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 3: Around with me. 26 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 2: Trump later suggested that some Allied countries could participate in 27 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 2: a second meeting, and that it may also take place 28 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 2: in Alaska. Will a full coverage of today's meeting between 29 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: Trump and Putin, as well as an expected joint press 30 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 2: conference following the summit on Bloomberg Radio. China's economy slowed 31 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 2: across the board in July, suggesting the disruption from tariffs 32 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 2: is beginning to ripple through the wider economy. Factory investment, 33 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 2: factory activity, investment, and retail sales all fell below forecasts, 34 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 2: in what one economist called an evident loss of momentum. 35 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 2: Speaking via translator, the chief economist at China's National Bureau, 36 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 2: Oft fooling Way, says both trade and extreme weather had 37 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 2: a serious impact on the economy in July. 38 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 4: The international environment was complex and grave, the impact of 39 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 4: trade protectionism and iniletrialism ingod Some regions in sun Chin 40 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 4: experienced extreme weather events such as heat waves, heavy rain, 41 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 4: and flooding. Causing short term effect on the economy. 42 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 2: Chief economists foo out of the exports to the EU 43 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:28,239 Speaker 2: Europe by eight percent as China diversifies its trade away 44 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 2: from the United States. Both The slowdown has raised questions 45 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:35,119 Speaker 2: about weather Beijing made a side on further fiscal stimulus. 46 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 2: Shares an Intel rose sharply after it was revealed the 47 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 2: Trump administration is considering taking a stake in the company. 48 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:44,920 Speaker 2: Bloomberg has learned the plan stem from a meeting this 49 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 2: week between President Trump and Intel CEO Bhutan. Who's Tom Giles, 50 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 2: our executive editor for Tech. 51 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 5: This is really early days, but it would be a 52 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 5: pretty momentous event and development in terms of, you know, 53 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 5: the new ways that the Trump administration is inserting itself 54 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 5: into US US industries. We saw with the steel industry 55 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 5: previously and now with Chit. 56 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 2: Bloombergs Tom Giles and San Francisco. Intel didn't comment on 57 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 2: the report, but says it's committed to supporting President Trump's 58 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 2: efforts to strengthen US technology and manufacturing leadership. Shares finished 59 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 2: over seven percent higher on Wall Street and rows another 60 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 2: four percent in the after hours session. One in four 61 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,839 Speaker 2: job losses in the UK have come from London since 62 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 2: last year's budget, Britain's capital is bearing the brunt of 63 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 2: the labor market slow down. Bloombergs James Wilcock has the story. 64 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 6: The rent is higher, the business rates are higher, and 65 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 6: staff demand more money. That's Business Group UK Hospitalities view 66 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 6: on why London, the UK's most productive city, is shedding 67 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 6: jobs well above the national average rates well. The UK 68 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 6: GDP growth for the first half of the year is 69 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 6: the highest in the G seven. Economists are saying that 70 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 6: is being driven by public sector spending at least private 71 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 6: sector hubs like London taking a bigger hit as businesses 72 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 6: cut back in London, James Wilcock Bloomberg. 73 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:17,080 Speaker 2: Radio, US and Canadian banks are summoning staff back to 74 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 2: the office at a faster rate than their European rivals. 75 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 2: Bloomberg analysis shows just seven of Europe's fifteen most valuable 76 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 2: lenders have asked some or all employees to work four 77 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:31,280 Speaker 2: days or more from the office per week. That's compared 78 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 2: to eleven of the fifteen biggest North American firms who've 79 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 2: made the same request. The news comes amidst a widening 80 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 2: debate over the topics, as industry leaders such as Bill 81 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 2: Winters and Jamie Diamond exhibit opposing views on the future 82 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 2: of work, turning next to the fierce battle among Europe's 83 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 2: top flight of football, sparking a private debt boom. The 84 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,280 Speaker 2: phenomenon has even attracted some of the sector's biggest names. 85 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Tea Atabio has the story. 86 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 7: With just a two weeks left of football summer transfer window, 87 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 7: competition for top players is heating up. Ballooning fees regularly 88 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 7: topping one hundred million dollars for a single player have 89 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 7: peaked the interest of some of Europe's biggest private lenders, 90 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 7: hoping to get a slice of the action. Bloomberg understands 91 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 7: names including Apollo and Blackstone, who declined to comment on 92 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 7: the matter, helping to ignite a debt market within the sport, 93 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 7: using transfer fees as collateral. Traditionally the preserve of specialized lenders, 94 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 7: this summer's five billion euro player spending bill has attracted 95 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 7: high value firms hoping to strike big. The changing fortunes 96 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 7: of clubs who face victory or relegation every season mean 97 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:48,599 Speaker 7: traditional banks aren't very active in the football world, leaving 98 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 7: an open goal for private lenders to score in London, 99 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 7: Tima at a Baio Bloomberg Radio. 100 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 2: Those are your top stories on the markets. The msci 101 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:00,400 Speaker 2: AS Pacific Index down by excuse me, up by half 102 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 2: of one percent. European stock futures are higher by half 103 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 2: of one percent as well this morning, as we're looking 104 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 2: at the Bloomberg Dollar spot Index a tenth week er, 105 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 2: the Japanese yen strengthening further against the US dollar by 106 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 2: four tenths of one percent, the ten year treasury yield 107 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 2: at four point two seven percent. In a moment, we'll 108 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:21,359 Speaker 2: bring you more and what to expect from today's meeting 109 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 2: between the US and Russian presidents, plus why London has 110 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 2: been worst hit by the slowdown in the UK jobs market. 111 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 2: But another story that caught her eye this morning. Does 112 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:33,400 Speaker 2: your accessory need its own accessory? Well, that's what luxury 113 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 2: firms are hoping anyway now. Mica Barkley has been writing 114 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:40,240 Speaker 2: about this trend of bag charms, the best example of 115 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 2: which is perhaps the lea booboo dolls, which you may 116 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 2: be spotting on handbags and backpacks around where you live. 117 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 2: She writes, if the big luxury names are keen to 118 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 2: get in on this trend, though, because if consumers can't 119 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 2: be convinced to buy a bit a new bag, which 120 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 2: might be a much bigger purchase, they could perhaps be 121 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:59,279 Speaker 2: tempted into the purchase of smaller items like a branded charm. 122 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 2: This is coming off period we've had some of the 123 00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 2: big luxury names like LVMH and Caring reporting underperforming fashion 124 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 2: and luxury goods businesses. The CEO of Coach said this 125 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 2: week that the brand was killing it with bag charms. 126 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 4: No. 127 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Intelligence says that ultimately these will only make up 128 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 2: a very small portion of sales for these premium fashion labels, 129 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 2: but it could just be enough to keep consumers and 130 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 2: brands connected if consumers are maybe feeling a little bit 131 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 2: squeezed and don't have the money to splash out on 132 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 2: bigger items as well. Can we call this a charm? 133 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 2: Offensive answers on a postcard. You can read the full 134 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 2: story on Bloomberg dot com and on the terminal. We'll 135 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 2: put a link to the story in our podcast show notes. 136 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 2: Let's bring you more now what to expect from Donald 137 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 2: Trump's meeting with Vladimir Putin. Our news desk editor Jill 138 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 2: Desis joins us Now for more. Jill We've been reporting 139 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 2: on these comments from Vladimir Putin praising Donald Trump ahead 140 00:07:50,840 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 2: of this meeting. What should we read into those comments? 141 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: Good morning, Stephen Well. I think, as many world leaders 142 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: have really found over this period of time where Trump's 143 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,400 Speaker 1: returned to office, flattered flattery does seem to get you 144 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 1: quite a lot of places with Donald Trump. It does 145 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: feel a bit like Putin is going into this meeting. 146 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: First of all, it's on US soil, it marks his 147 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 1: return to the United States for the first time in 148 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 1: about a decade. Does seem like he's fairly confident about 149 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: his position within the Russia's war in Ukraine. And now 150 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: this is something where it's kind of feels like Putin 151 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: is trying to broaden out the purposes of this meeting 152 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: a bit. I mean, you know, if you're Putin, you're 153 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,800 Speaker 1: going into this meeting looking at the way that US 154 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:38,079 Speaker 1: Russia relations have really evolved over the last several years, 155 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 1: obviously worsening significantly. Maybe this is an opportunity for a 156 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:44,719 Speaker 1: bit of a reset. You've got, you know, the possibility 157 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 1: that you know, Putin could try to bring up the 158 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: potential foreign arms deal. That's something that he had tried 159 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 1: to press Trump on during his first term as president. 160 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 1: You know, maybe that's something that makes a return. You know, 161 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:00,079 Speaker 1: we see Putin kind of highlighting this idea of or 162 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: the economic cooperation between the US and Russia. So at 163 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: least if you're Russia, if you're Putin in this particular case, 164 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: you know, it does seem like maybe there's an opportunity 165 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: here to turn this into more about a meeting that's 166 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: about the US Russia relationship, rather than focusing solely on 167 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,359 Speaker 1: the idea of what's happening in Ukraine. 168 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, for Donald Trump, he's been dialing back expectations about 169 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 2: what could come from these talks, what would success look 170 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 2: like for him. 171 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 1: Yes, he really has, and it does seem like, you know, 172 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: it's really Trump going into this meeting. You know, that 173 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 1: carries a little bit more of a risk. He's describing 174 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 1: this as really a feeling out meeting. He said that 175 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:40,680 Speaker 1: he foresaw a twenty five percent chance that this would 176 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 1: not be successful. So yes, you really do see Trump 177 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: kind of dialing back expectations here. I mean, if you're 178 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:49,240 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, you know, you just came out of talks 179 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: with the you and with Ukraine. You know where they're 180 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: you know, really really pushing for no kind of you know, 181 00:09:55,600 --> 00:09:58,200 Speaker 1: territorial concessions or anything like that to be agreed to 182 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 1: or anything like that in this type call. I mean, 183 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:03,320 Speaker 1: I think, you know, for the United States pushing this 184 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:05,719 Speaker 1: further in terms of you know, coming out of this 185 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:09,680 Speaker 1: kind of controlling the narrative furthering you know, another meeting 186 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 1: maybe between Trump, Zelenski and Putin might look like a 187 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 1: victory there, but it is it is a bit of 188 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 1: a risky time here. 189 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 2: Ukraine meanwhile, of course not represented at this meeting. How 190 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 2: much of a concern is that for Kiev and European 191 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 2: leaders who are watching on from a distance. 192 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,320 Speaker 1: Well, I think, Stevehn, just the fact that you did 193 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:31,199 Speaker 1: have you know, this pre meeting between Trump and then 194 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:34,440 Speaker 1: those European leaders and Zelenski, you know, just sort of 195 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: setting this up, I think, does kind of show that 196 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 1: clearly there's there's quite a bit of concern about what 197 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:41,560 Speaker 1: may be said or not during this meeting. I mean, again, 198 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 1: you know, Zelensky has made very clear he does not 199 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: want to see the eastern DNBIS region to Russia as 200 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 1: part of any cease fire deal. But again, you know, 201 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 1: Putin obviously going into its meeting kind of feeling, you know, 202 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,959 Speaker 1: like Russia's is perhaps winning the war in Ukraine at 203 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 1: this point. I mean, yes, I think, you know, any 204 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 1: concerns that Trump may you know, bring up anything like that, 205 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: I think you know, would be of concern with Zelensky 206 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: because he's not actually physically in the room, you know, 207 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 1: with these two leaders. But you know, again, we'll have 208 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: to see what ultimately, you know, Trump and Putin kind 209 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:15,080 Speaker 1: of come out of with this meeting and how exactly 210 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 1: you know that could potentially pave the way for further 211 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: meetings ahead. 212 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 2: Chris's meeting is taking place just outside of Anchorage in 213 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 2: a military base there, and we've done some great reporting 214 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:28,559 Speaker 2: about how this influx of the Secret Service into this 215 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 2: city has really upended how things are running there. Just 216 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 2: talk us through how this meeting is playing out in 217 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:37,200 Speaker 2: the preparations for it in the city. 218 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:41,199 Speaker 1: Yes, this is super fascinating because you know, Anchorage otherwise 219 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 1: obviously you know, a fairly you know, medium sized town 220 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,120 Speaker 1: as far as or city as far as United States 221 00:11:46,120 --> 00:11:48,440 Speaker 1: cities go. But I mean, this is obviously such a 222 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,959 Speaker 1: massive event because you you have to imagine there are 223 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 1: hundreds of reinforcements coming into the sound, you know, the 224 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 1: idea of people we spoke to saying it's basically body 225 00:11:57,600 --> 00:11:59,719 Speaker 1: for body, gun for gun. When it comes to the 226 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: Americans versus the Russians in terms of how they're actually 227 00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 1: setting up, we spoke to you know, some uh, you know, 228 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 1: people who are running short term rentals at this time 229 00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:13,679 Speaker 1: of year. It's normally tourists that they would be housing 230 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 1: at this point. You know, who are you want to 231 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: go see glaciers or maybe there's business travelers. Now you know, 232 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 1: those same you know sort of hotels and such are 233 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:26,320 Speaker 1: fielding calls from secret service agents. They're fielding calls from 234 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 1: the Russian consulate trying to get you know, as many 235 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:31,960 Speaker 1: people as possible. And and you also have to imagine that, 236 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:33,679 Speaker 1: you know, there's a limit in terms of how many 237 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 1: you know, say, you know, cars you can actually bring in. 238 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:38,840 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, we've been reporting that in terms 239 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 1: of motor cade. You know, the US is actually flying 240 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:44,280 Speaker 1: up motorcades from the lower forty eight states in order 241 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 1: to make this happen. So it's clearly a massive undertaking 242 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:49,880 Speaker 1: that you know, on both the side of the US 243 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 1: and on on Russia to try to bring everybody together 244 00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:53,839 Speaker 1: and ultimately make this meeting happen. 245 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 2: Jail JSAs our news desk Gduer thank you very much 246 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 2: for talking us through all of the operations for that meeting, 247 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:03,559 Speaker 2: and of course full coverage on Bloomberg as it happens now. 248 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 2: London is bearing the brunt of the UK's jobs slowed down, 249 00:13:06,559 --> 00:13:09,199 Speaker 2: as a combination of tax rises, higher wage costs and 250 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 2: weak consumer spending forced the city's businesses to cut payrolls 251 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 2: faster than in the rest of the country. That's according 252 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,200 Speaker 2: to the latest economic data published this week and our 253 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:20,960 Speaker 2: UK Economy Reporter Arena and gel joins me now for 254 00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 2: more are in a good morning, how many jobs then 255 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 2: have been lost in London and which sectors are worst affected? 256 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:31,680 Speaker 3: Morning Stephen, So, London has lost almost forty five thousand 257 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 3: jobs since the October budget and that's of course when 258 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 3: Labor announced the twenty six billion increase in employers' National 259 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,960 Speaker 3: insurance and the new hire minimum wage. To put things 260 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:45,319 Speaker 3: into perspective, this means that one in four of all 261 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:48,559 Speaker 3: job losses across the country over that period happened in 262 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:52,439 Speaker 3: the capital and the losses are really concentrated in four sectors, 263 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 3: all of which have a large share of their stuff 264 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 3: in London. So first we have retail and hospitality. Remember 265 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 3: these ones employ a lot of workers and a lot 266 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 3: of low paid workers, so they were the most affected 267 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:07,640 Speaker 3: by labor changes. But also we had white collar parts 268 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:11,239 Speaker 3: of the economy like it and communications and the professional, 269 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 3: technical and scientific sector. 270 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:16,679 Speaker 2: So why is it that London's being worse affected than 271 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 2: other parts of the country Because it's disproportionate the lasses 272 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 2: versus London's impact as whereas London's proportion to the population 273 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 2: of the UK. 274 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 3: That's right, it's actually three reasons. So first, employing people 275 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:32,320 Speaker 3: in London is very expensive. If you're an employer trying 276 00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:36,080 Speaker 3: to trim expenses after being hit with higher taxes, London 277 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 3: is the obvious place to cut costs from. Then, Secondly, 278 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:44,040 Speaker 3: retail's hospitality businesses face higher costs across the board in London, 279 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 3: so it's not just wages but also rents, business rates, 280 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 3: et cetera. And that's at the same time as households 281 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 3: remain cautious to spend in bars and restaurants, so there's 282 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 3: just not money, not enough money coming in to pay 283 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 3: for these higher costs in the capital. And finally, London 284 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:01,560 Speaker 3: is a hot spot for it tea, management consultancies or 285 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 3: communications companies. And while these sectors are less affected by 286 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 3: the NI increase, they're facing very strong global headwinds. So 287 00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 3: you know, some are still freezing recruitment after they overexpanded 288 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 3: after COVID and also as they face a more uncertain world. 289 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:20,000 Speaker 3: And for others, actually AI is also impacting hiring. We 290 00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 3: see the first sigence that the technology is replacing some 291 00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 3: jobs in finance, marketing and management consulting, and oftentimes these 292 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 3: are jobs in London. 293 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 2: And just briefly in from here are things that to 294 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 2: get better or worse. 295 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 3: Well, it's not looking good, Steven Retailers told me there's 296 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 3: more job losses to come. We have the new autumn 297 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 3: budget coming up with new speculation of tax rises and 298 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 3: that's further hitting consumer spending. It's a repeat of last year. 299 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 3: And on a more micro level, we know now that 300 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 3: the economy is basically being propped up by the government 301 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 3: by government spending and this could be benefiting areas of 302 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 3: the country. They rely more on the public sector than 303 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 3: London does, so it could end up seeing away jobs 304 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 3: from London even more. 305 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 306 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 2: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 307 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 8: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 308 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:16,080 Speaker 8: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 309 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 310 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 311 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 8: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 312 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:29,480 Speaker 8: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 313 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,360 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepka and I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again 314 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 2: tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start 315 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 2: your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe