WEBVTT - Anthropic Preps for Blockbuster Public Listing

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live

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<v Speaker 1>from the heart of Silicon Valley with Ed Lavow in

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up, Bloomberg reports, and Thropic

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<v Speaker 2>expects to match or top the size of SpaceX's record

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<v Speaker 2>setting IPO. Plus sources say Braad Comms in talks to

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<v Speaker 2>raise more than sixty billion dollars in debt for an

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<v Speaker 2>AI chip financing deal that will benefit Anthropic and others.

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<v Speaker 2>And all eyes on Nvidia reporting earnings next week, a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of pressure on it. Let's get right to our

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<v Speaker 2>top story. And Thropics aiming for an IPO that could

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<v Speaker 2>make history. The company expects to match or even top

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<v Speaker 2>SpaceX's record setting debut, which in the first instance raised

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<v Speaker 2>seventy five billion dollars. That's according to sources. The maker

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<v Speaker 2>of Claude could fall publicly as soon as the end

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<v Speaker 2>of this month. Bloomberg Sherening Gafari leads coverage of Anthropic,

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<v Speaker 2>and Bloomberg's Leanna Baker leads the deal's team here at Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 3>Both join us with more straining.

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<v Speaker 2>Gonna start with you the basic details of what we're

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<v Speaker 2>reporting here.

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<v Speaker 4>Sure so we know that Anthropic is expecting to have

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<v Speaker 4>an IPO that could matter exceed the size of SpaceX's

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<v Speaker 4>record setting IPO quite recently. We also know we found

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<v Speaker 4>out a few more details about their losses that their

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<v Speaker 4>net losses in twenty twenty five were nearly forty two billion,

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<v Speaker 4>and that's a fivefold increase from twenty twenty four. So

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<v Speaker 4>that's going to be one of the key questions going

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<v Speaker 4>into this, Right, there's this large IPO planned, a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of excitement around the AI demand, but also questions around

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<v Speaker 4>the very high cost needed to sustain this business.

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<v Speaker 2>Leanna, there's a process happening here. In our report, we

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<v Speaker 2>say that CFO Krishna Rao is kind of leading these

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<v Speaker 2>earlier investor meetings. There's a confidential filing, a public filing

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<v Speaker 2>will follow. This is your team's bread and butter, right,

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<v Speaker 2>take us inside what we know is happening behind the scenes.

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<v Speaker 5>Sure, so the story mentioned the CFO who's speaking with investors.

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<v Speaker 5>It didn't mention the armies of investment bankers who are

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<v Speaker 5>also there in the room or even behind the scenes

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<v Speaker 5>trying to start to do early book building of who

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<v Speaker 5>will be the investors that get in on this deal.

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<v Speaker 5>These fees eventually do get paid to the banks, and

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<v Speaker 5>it all comes down to how much does this IPO

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<v Speaker 5>raise and at what valuation? That's another question. So you

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<v Speaker 5>mentioned that Anthropic had been valued at nine hundred and

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<v Speaker 5>sixty five billion, So in an IPO, do they get

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<v Speaker 5>to one trillions, they get to one and a half

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<v Speaker 5>two tres So those are all things that the bankers

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<v Speaker 5>and the lawyers and the company. They have to figure

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<v Speaker 5>this out, to figure out the support from investors. At

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<v Speaker 5>what valuation you can support this deal. But it's really

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<v Speaker 5>exciting for the IPO market, which always opens after Labor Day,

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<v Speaker 5>and we'll be following when this S one finally hits

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<v Speaker 5>and we'll get a look at all the financials for

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<v Speaker 5>the first time.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, Anthropic should have a lot of cash on its

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<v Speaker 2>balance sheet, and so the question is why do a

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<v Speaker 2>big IPO and sharene You spoke on stage right with

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<v Speaker 2>Danielle m Oday, the president co founder of Anthropic in June,

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<v Speaker 2>and you just put this question very directly.

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<v Speaker 3>Why an ipo. What was the response at that time.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, an IPO offers a repeatable process to raise large

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<v Speaker 4>amounts of capital. Again, if you think about the incredibly

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<v Speaker 4>high cost of compute to train a new AI model

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<v Speaker 4>at the cutting edge these days can cost billions of

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<v Speaker 4>dollars just for one model alone potentially, So you know,

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<v Speaker 4>that's just sort of the state of play right now.

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<v Speaker 4>So her answer was that we need to be able

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<v Speaker 4>to raise money when we need. An IPO provides.

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<v Speaker 3>That process, Leanna, I do want to get into the.

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<v Speaker 2>I went back and checked my calendar from the time

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<v Speaker 2>SpaceX flipped its S one public to IPO day was

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<v Speaker 2>about twenty three days, and, like you know, I have

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<v Speaker 2>a bit of shell shock from that period of time.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sure you and the team do as well of

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<v Speaker 2>how it transpired, but it happened very quickly. So we're

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<v Speaker 2>reporting that Anthropic might flip its S one public by

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<v Speaker 2>the end of this month September. What happens, how does

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<v Speaker 2>it happen?

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<v Speaker 5>Sure? So you mentioned that Anthropic is already on file confidentially,

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<v Speaker 5>so all they have to do is get their ducks

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<v Speaker 5>in a row to make this public with the SEC

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<v Speaker 5>and if they want to get on the road show,

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<v Speaker 5>to get on the road after this labor day period.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, analysts are saying this filing could hit as

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<v Speaker 5>soon as next week. We have a report in on

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<v Speaker 5>a specific timing. We said it could be within a

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<v Speaker 5>few weeks, but it wouldn't be crazy to see this

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<v Speaker 5>next week because as you mentioned, you have ten fifteen

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<v Speaker 5>days maximum twenty three days, you know it. This all

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<v Speaker 5>happens very fast, and IPOs are all about the market conditions.

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<v Speaker 5>So SpaceX, sure it's trading a little below you know,

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<v Speaker 5>its price, but it's still a massive company that went public.

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<v Speaker 5>It's trading okay. It wasn't a total disaster. So if

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<v Speaker 5>you're another company waiting in the wings to go public,

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<v Speaker 5>you see that and you say, well, maybe we should

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<v Speaker 5>strike when the iron's hot, and then don't forget. Also,

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<v Speaker 5>open Ai is also keeping an eye on this, so

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<v Speaker 5>Anthropic has that to think about too.

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<v Speaker 2>The top line of our report, Anthropic is seeking to

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<v Speaker 2>match or top what SpaceX raised and on a valuation

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<v Speaker 2>basis two in the weeks to come. I'd also point

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<v Speaker 2>out SpaceX just in the last ten minutes when above

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<v Speaker 2>one hundred and thirty five dollars a share.

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<v Speaker 3>It's IPO price.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloombergshering Gafari covers Anthropiclyana leads the team on Blueberg deals.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much. As Entropic prepares for its IPO.

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<v Speaker 2>The company is also addressing a key concern for its

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<v Speaker 2>biggest customers, data privacy. According to a Bloomberg source, and

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<v Speaker 2>Thropic plans to give businesses more control over where their

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<v Speaker 2>data is stored when using its AI models, particularly its

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<v Speaker 2>frontier models. Bloomberg Tech Managing ed as as Sarah Friars

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<v Speaker 2>with us really important piece of reporting because Anthropic has

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<v Speaker 2>been given so much credit for its commercial progress, but

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<v Speaker 2>this was a key concerned customers had explain what we're

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<v Speaker 2>detailing in that report.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, Customers were concerned about Entropic retaining their data for

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<v Speaker 6>a few reasons, but probably most of all because then

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<v Speaker 6>Anthropic has their data and can train on it. Of course,

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<v Speaker 6>Thenthropics said that it would not do that. They said

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<v Speaker 6>they wanted to retain the data in order to guard

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<v Speaker 6>against cybersecurity threats after some of the concerns earlier this

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<v Speaker 6>year about potential breaches of customers there. They said, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>we'll retain the data for a while to make sure

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<v Speaker 6>that everything is fine. But of course that was not

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<v Speaker 6>a popular plan with its customers, and it's deciding to

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<v Speaker 6>give back more control.

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<v Speaker 2>And Thropic declined to comment on our report, but it

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<v Speaker 2>ties very closely to like what's happened in recent weeks

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<v Speaker 2>and months, models acting outside of the instructions they've been given,

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<v Speaker 2>and the focus on the race with open ai has

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<v Speaker 2>been about enterprise right and arr what else do we

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<v Speaker 2>need to know from this report.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, Nthropic really does need those enterprise customers. It's so

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<v Speaker 6>foundational to the success of that IPO and they're a

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<v Speaker 6>leader right now in the market.

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<v Speaker 7>But there are a lot.

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<v Speaker 6>Of companies that are that are learning from Anthropic success.

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<v Speaker 6>So you have Google, Gemini, you have open Ai they're

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<v Speaker 6>trying and even even SpaceX. You know, they're trying to

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<v Speaker 6>do things to cater to those enterprise customers that Anthropic has.

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<v Speaker 6>It's still a very early market and so they do

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<v Speaker 6>need to think about not just what do they think

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<v Speaker 6>is the right move for cybersecurity, but balancing that against

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<v Speaker 6>what their customers expect and require in order to retain

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<v Speaker 6>those customers.

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<v Speaker 3>BlueBag Tech head as a Sarah for I thank you

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<v Speaker 3>so much.

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<v Speaker 2>Indeed, now coming up broad cooms looking to raise more

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<v Speaker 2>than sixty billion dollars in debt, We're going to break

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<v Speaker 2>down one of the biggest bets yet on aim structure

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<v Speaker 2>has a very complicated structure that the team are going

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<v Speaker 2>to explain to us. This is Bloomberg Tech. Broad Coom's

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<v Speaker 2>lining up another massive bet on AI. Bloomboats learned the

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<v Speaker 2>chip makers in talks to raise more than sixty billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars in debt to help aanthropic and others secure chips

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<v Speaker 2>and computing power. That's all according to sources. Blimbers Ryan

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<v Speaker 2>Gord part of the team that broke the story. Actually

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<v Speaker 2>this is not as simple as Broadcom going out and

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<v Speaker 2>raising debt for itself. Can you just explain the structure

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<v Speaker 2>of what we've reported.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's a good point definitely to hit on at

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<v Speaker 8>the start, because I think if you were to look

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<v Speaker 8>at this headline, it could, you know, mean something quite different.

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<v Speaker 8>But to break it down, I think in the most

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<v Speaker 8>simplistic way possible. Broadcom is essentially looking to raise a

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<v Speaker 8>special purpose vehicle that would be financed by others partners.

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<v Speaker 8>We've already seen them sort of hint at this. They

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<v Speaker 8>announced a partnership with blacks and Apollo in June that

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<v Speaker 8>was essentially to finance a one giga what capacity compute

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<v Speaker 8>sort of layer. This is essentially an expansion of that,

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<v Speaker 8>so Borcom would go out and with those partners look

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<v Speaker 8>to raise a chunk of money through debt that would

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<v Speaker 8>essentially sit in a special purpose vehicle that would then

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<v Speaker 8>go out and buy chips that.

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<v Speaker 3>The Borcom makes.

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<v Speaker 8>I think the interesting part of this deal is that

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<v Speaker 8>you know, you have a situation where Boacom is not

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<v Speaker 8>only helping to finance customers buying its chips, but is

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<v Speaker 8>also then supplying them itself, So it's both the customer

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<v Speaker 8>and also the capital provider in a certain way. I

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<v Speaker 8>think what makes this seal more interesting is that Broadcom

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<v Speaker 8>is going to actually effectively guarantee a significant chunk of

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<v Speaker 8>that debt and therefore help to bring down the cost

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<v Speaker 8>and make it safe for four investors who may look

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<v Speaker 8>to participate in this SPV.

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<v Speaker 2>It is somewhat comparable to what we saw from Nvidia

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<v Speaker 2>in those large Wall Street firms, where the compute is

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<v Speaker 2>the collateral in that case, but the firms are just

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<v Speaker 2>to conduit to the capital third party capital.

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<v Speaker 3>Doesn't come off balance sheet.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm reading the details, so it looks like this could

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<v Speaker 2>be up to one hundred billion, right seventy billion in

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<v Speaker 2>senior secure debt thirty billion junior debt just fill in

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<v Speaker 2>some of the other details for us.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so I think there's a there's the junior piece

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<v Speaker 8>would be essentially guaranteed by Blackson and Apollo. The other

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<v Speaker 8>sixty billion piece it could be as much as seventy

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<v Speaker 8>billion we you know, according to sources. I think that's

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<v Speaker 8>that's the key here. These are fluid discussions. Broadcom is

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<v Speaker 8>not necessarily going out and saying it wants to raise

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<v Speaker 8>sixty billion dollars. I just think given the parameters of

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<v Speaker 8>what's been talked about here, it could be anywhere in

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<v Speaker 8>that region. And I think if you put those two

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<v Speaker 8>numbers together, you do give something that's in the region

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<v Speaker 8>of one hundred billion dollars. I think taking a step

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<v Speaker 8>back and just thinking about what this sort of looks

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<v Speaker 8>like from the wider sort of AI infrastructure rollout. These

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<v Speaker 8>are obviously kind of novel structures you just mentioned in

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<v Speaker 8>video deal with the other private capital providers. It's in

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<v Speaker 8>a way to two sides of the same coin. I

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<v Speaker 8>think if you look at that deal, you have you know,

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<v Speaker 8>some of the biggest sort of largest infrastructure financial infrastructure

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<v Speaker 8>fans on Wall Street participating in that one. Here you have,

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<v Speaker 8>you know, essentially private capital helping to you know, helping

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<v Speaker 8>Balcon to sell those chips. I think we've seen this before, right,

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<v Speaker 8>you look at things like aircraft leasing has happened in

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<v Speaker 8>this way you think about data centers now. I think

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<v Speaker 8>this is kind of the evolution of people are thinking

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<v Speaker 8>on the fly with these kinds of structures, and.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of parts of the markets still have questions

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<v Speaker 2>about it. By the way, from the equity perspective, broughk

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<v Speaker 2>On up a percentage point following the report. Biomas Wrangel,

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<v Speaker 2>thank you very much. That Broadcon deal gets right to

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<v Speaker 2>a bigger concern over hanging the AI trade, the cost

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<v Speaker 2>of funding it all, but record debt, issuants, higher rates,

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<v Speaker 2>growing pushback on data centers, particularly in this country, all

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<v Speaker 2>raising fresh questions about how quickly the build out can

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<v Speaker 2>pay off.

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<v Speaker 3>Delighted to welcome back to the show.

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<v Speaker 2>Erica Klower, founder CIO CEO of Science and Technology Partners.

0:12:09.240 --> 0:12:13.200
<v Speaker 2>Let's start with your interpretation of the reporting about this

0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:15.360
<v Speaker 2>vehicle that Brocom is set up.

0:12:17.200 --> 0:12:19.600
<v Speaker 9>Well, Thanks so much, lovely to see you this morning.

0:12:19.800 --> 0:12:22.160
<v Speaker 9>And you know, this is an extension of what we've

0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:24.839
<v Speaker 9>been seeing for the last several months, which is extraordinary

0:12:24.880 --> 0:12:27.560
<v Speaker 9>levels of debt coming to the market to build out

0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:31.920
<v Speaker 9>the AI infrastructure, and the market is having some indigestion

0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:34.720
<v Speaker 9>with dealing with all of this debt. Just to wrap

0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:37.480
<v Speaker 9>some numbers around it, it's quite staggering.

0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:40.720
<v Speaker 10>We've had over two hundred and twenty billion dollars of

0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:43.319
<v Speaker 10>debt issued so far this year, which is up more

0:12:43.360 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 10>than double from twenty twenty five, and that's just year

0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:48.719
<v Speaker 10>to date, and of course in twenty twenty four the

0:12:48.800 --> 0:12:51.439
<v Speaker 10>levels were just about twenty so this is quite a

0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:56.000
<v Speaker 10>big jump. And not only is the debt quite expensive,

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:59.480
<v Speaker 10>but there's so much of it so it's difficult to

0:12:59.760 --> 0:13:02.440
<v Speaker 10>find homes for it. All the crepons have gone up,

0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:05.040
<v Speaker 10>and so many of these companies are now having to

0:13:05.040 --> 0:13:08.520
<v Speaker 10>face much higher borrowing costs than they had initially anticipated

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:09.560
<v Speaker 10>maybe six months ago.

0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:11.920
<v Speaker 2>The reason that I wanted to get you back on

0:13:12.000 --> 0:13:15.520
<v Speaker 2>Spoomberg Tech Science Technology Partners, a long bias fund, just

0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 2>zeroed in on the corners of the technology market we

0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:22.440
<v Speaker 2>care about most. You're coming at this at cost of

0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Speaker 2>capital lens right for lots of people. They go straight

0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:29.400
<v Speaker 2>to the circular financing question. How do you feel about

0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:30.160
<v Speaker 2>that side?

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:33.960
<v Speaker 10>Well, I think it, of course is a concern because

0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:38.760
<v Speaker 10>to offer financing to a customer and in turn expect

0:13:38.800 --> 0:13:42.199
<v Speaker 10>that they will be buying your products is indeed circular financing,

0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:45.720
<v Speaker 10>and so I think that this is a legitimate concern

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.439
<v Speaker 10>for all investors as they are examining these deals.

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:53.319
<v Speaker 2>In the United States, particularly ahead of the midterms, there

0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:55.719
<v Speaker 2>is a lot of societal debate about the impact of

0:13:55.800 --> 0:13:59.360
<v Speaker 2>data centers and there is action to push back against

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.880
<v Speaker 2>specific Do you have to model that into your outlook

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 2>for CAPEX for growth of data center.

0:14:06.679 --> 0:14:08.800
<v Speaker 10>I think this is such a good question because this

0:14:08.880 --> 0:14:11.079
<v Speaker 10>gets at the heart of why we're seeing so much

0:14:11.160 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 10>volatility in the market. It's not only that the cost

0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:19.960
<v Speaker 10>to build out these MEGAAI infrastructure facilities are going to

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:22.560
<v Speaker 10>be higher because the coupon must be higher in order

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:25.600
<v Speaker 10>to get it placed, but also one will be carrying

0:14:25.600 --> 0:14:28.920
<v Speaker 10>that more expensive debt, most likely for longer because of

0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:32.080
<v Speaker 10>two key reasons. One you just mentioned, which is that

0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:36.440
<v Speaker 10>in states like Pennsylvania, New York, Texas, there are data

0:14:36.440 --> 0:14:41.160
<v Speaker 10>centers that are infacing whether it's regulatory or community concerns

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:44.360
<v Speaker 10>that are delaying some of the facility buildouts. There are

0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:48.360
<v Speaker 10>also shortages of workers to build out these facilities, and

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:52.000
<v Speaker 10>there also are chip shortages, so all of this calls

0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:54.840
<v Speaker 10>into question whether or not even these AI data centers

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 10>will be built on time. And every month that goes

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:00.480
<v Speaker 10>by is another month of paying this fare very high

0:15:00.960 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 10>coupon debt that is associated with this buildout ERKA.

0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 2>I would really value the long biased fund's action in

0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:12.480
<v Speaker 2>response to what you see in the markets. Right since June,

0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:17.160
<v Speaker 2>we've seen a correction in everything across the stack, memory, computes,

0:15:17.600 --> 0:15:19.280
<v Speaker 2>other parts of the supply chain.

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:21.120
<v Speaker 3>How do you respond to that?

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:26.120
<v Speaker 10>So as a long buyased fund, we really look out

0:15:26.160 --> 0:15:28.920
<v Speaker 10>over the next three to five years, and despite these

0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:34.000
<v Speaker 10>very serious and legitimate concerns, we see extraordinary opportunity. We

0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:38.040
<v Speaker 10>still think that we're very early on in AI infrastructure

0:15:38.080 --> 0:15:41.320
<v Speaker 10>build out and more importantly AI uptake, And so far

0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:45.800
<v Speaker 10>this quarter we've seen extraordinary results across many different sectors

0:15:46.080 --> 0:15:49.560
<v Speaker 10>where earnings have come in ahead of expectations directly because

0:15:49.920 --> 0:15:52.480
<v Speaker 10>they're using AI to their advantage, whether it is to

0:15:52.560 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 10>control costs or advance innovation. And I think that is

0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:59.240
<v Speaker 10>just the start. So what we do is we look

0:15:59.280 --> 0:16:03.440
<v Speaker 10>at where we think that the most innovation will occur

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 10>in the coming years, and we come up on the

0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 10>technology side in areas like memory, which have really seen

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 10>a pretty sharp correction in many of those companies. We

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 10>look to add to the companies where we think that

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:18.040
<v Speaker 10>there are best in class players. We look for optical

0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:22.720
<v Speaker 10>interconnect as a replacement to copper as an extraordinary, extraordinary

0:16:22.760 --> 0:16:25.760
<v Speaker 10>area of opportunity. We look to robotics, we look to

0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 10>space exploration. And then there are also incredible innovations right

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.880
<v Speaker 10>now in healthcare where companies are really using technology to

0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:38.840
<v Speaker 10>advance their own discovery. So, for example, in areas like diagnostics,

0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 10>we've seen big jumps and we've seen a much more

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:46.280
<v Speaker 10>favorable regulatory backdrop and reimbursement backdrop for many of those

0:16:46.320 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 10>companies as well.

0:16:48.800 --> 0:16:51.760
<v Speaker 2>Erica Klod of Science and Technology Partners is great to

0:16:51.800 --> 0:16:54.280
<v Speaker 2>have you back on the program. Thank you for responding

0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.520
<v Speaker 2>to what is pretty big story in the markets today.

0:16:56.880 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Now coming up, Samsung is following in s k Heinig

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 2>his footsteps in returning shareholders' buybacks in what could be

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:07.600
<v Speaker 2>the largest ever in South Korean history.

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:09.720
<v Speaker 3>More on that next, this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:19.399
<v Speaker 2>Software companies are deploying increasingly aggressive strategies to counter a

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:22.760
<v Speaker 2>crisis of confidence in their outlooks driven by fear that

0:17:22.920 --> 0:17:25.440
<v Speaker 2>AI tools and startups will replace them.

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 3>Some investors, meanwhile, see it is.

0:17:27.200 --> 0:17:30.000
<v Speaker 2>A chance to get the potential survivors of the SaaS

0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 2>apocalypse at a discount to the high flying prices of

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:34.160
<v Speaker 2>the twenty tens.

0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:38.919
<v Speaker 11>And that can be a great opportunity for investors to

0:17:39.040 --> 0:17:42.840
<v Speaker 11>sort among companies that can survive and that maybe might

0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:44.639
<v Speaker 11>not survive, or at least might not survive at the

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:46.800
<v Speaker 11>value they've been at. And so that's an area that

0:17:46.840 --> 0:17:50.200
<v Speaker 11>I think for the long term investor, is really worth investigating.

0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 11>I do think the emphasis is on long term because

0:17:53.320 --> 0:17:56.520
<v Speaker 11>it's hard to imagine that terminal value concerns can be

0:17:56.560 --> 0:17:59.159
<v Speaker 11>alleviated in any one particular earning season.

0:18:00.920 --> 0:18:03.920
<v Speaker 2>Let's discuss the tactics software firms are using with Boombo's

0:18:03.920 --> 0:18:07.680
<v Speaker 2>Brodie Ford, who's published on this this morning, really interesting read.

0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:10.600
<v Speaker 2>Can you just explain the basic tension in the story to.

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:14.879
<v Speaker 12>Us, software companies have had a pretty terrible year and

0:18:14.920 --> 0:18:17.639
<v Speaker 12>a half. Right investors are convinced they're going to get

0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:22.320
<v Speaker 12>replaced by AI. There's been a massive valuation meltdown, and

0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:26.119
<v Speaker 12>by and large, software companies can't convince the market on

0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:30.480
<v Speaker 12>virtue of their business results that their AI products are

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:33.879
<v Speaker 12>growing or accelerating revenue, and so they've turned to some

0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:39.240
<v Speaker 12>kind of zany, cosmetic, sometimes aggressive strategies, you know, swapping

0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:43.760
<v Speaker 12>out their leaders, fighting with analysts on earnings calls, renaming

0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:46.320
<v Speaker 12>products to make them sound more like AI. And so

0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:48.560
<v Speaker 12>in this story, we just kind of compile all the

0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:52.160
<v Speaker 12>different novels, zany, whatever you want to call it, strategies

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:54.760
<v Speaker 12>that they've been trying to use to beat the SaaS apocalypse.

0:18:55.320 --> 0:18:59.000
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so changing business strategy, you're talking up your competence

0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:01.800
<v Speaker 2>in whatever areas different to doing a buy back. Buy

0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:05.000
<v Speaker 2>back is just a very shareholder friendly policy. Yeah, bring

0:19:05.080 --> 0:19:06.680
<v Speaker 2>us to that part of the story.

0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:10.399
<v Speaker 12>Right, Failing all of the strategy we just talked about,

0:19:10.720 --> 0:19:12.480
<v Speaker 12>you do a big buy back and that makes the

0:19:12.520 --> 0:19:16.560
<v Speaker 12>market happy. I think the narliest one we saw was Salesforce,

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:20.680
<v Speaker 12>which borrowed twenty five billion to buy back twenty five

0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:23.360
<v Speaker 12>billion and it's on stock and now you're paying interest

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:25.880
<v Speaker 12>for doing a buy back. And I think that one

0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 12>raised some eyebrows on Wall Street, but it just shows

0:19:29.600 --> 0:19:32.280
<v Speaker 12>that they're really ready to pull whatever lever they can

0:19:32.440 --> 0:19:34.080
<v Speaker 12>to help boost.

0:19:33.720 --> 0:19:37.320
<v Speaker 3>Morale Bloomberg's brady forward. Thank you very much.

0:19:37.440 --> 0:19:40.439
<v Speaker 2>Indeed, let's take a look at today's big number. Eighty

0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:43.840
<v Speaker 2>billion dollars. That's how much Samsung's planning to return to

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 2>investors this year, joining sk Heinex in sharing some AI

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:51.080
<v Speaker 2>win for and putting in motion the largest shareholder return

0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:55.160
<v Speaker 2>program in South Korea's history. Bloomberg Executive editor Pieter Elstrom's

0:19:55.160 --> 0:19:57.800
<v Speaker 2>back with us. You know there was reporting on this,

0:19:57.960 --> 0:20:02.120
<v Speaker 2>but Samsung has followed on from sk Heinex's actions earlier.

0:20:01.800 --> 0:20:02.160
<v Speaker 3>In the week.

0:20:04.200 --> 0:20:06.680
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, talk about pulling levers to try to help your

0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 13>share price. You're seeing this out of South Korea in spades.

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:10.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:20:10.520 --> 0:20:14.560
<v Speaker 13>So today we got Samsung Electronics talking about returning eighty

0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:18.600
<v Speaker 13>billion dollars in cash to their shareholders. That'll be through

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:21.760
<v Speaker 13>dividends and through some buybacks. They haven't said exactly how

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:24.480
<v Speaker 13>they're going to split those numbers, but as you say,

0:20:24.520 --> 0:20:26.840
<v Speaker 13>it's going to be one of the largest buybacks in history,

0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:30.880
<v Speaker 13>the largest ever in South Korea. Comes shortly after sk

0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:33.680
<v Speaker 13>Heinex that it would spend about twenty nine billion dollars

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:37.760
<v Speaker 13>through November in order to buy back shares. Both of

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.920
<v Speaker 13>these companies are making tremendous amounts of money, and they've

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:43.800
<v Speaker 13>said that they want to give about fifty percent of

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:46.399
<v Speaker 13>their free cash flow back to shareholders at this point

0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:48.320
<v Speaker 13>in one form or another, and a lot of that

0:20:48.400 --> 0:20:50.360
<v Speaker 13>is driven by the fact that their shares are down

0:20:50.440 --> 0:20:52.400
<v Speaker 13>quite a bit, so that's interesting.

0:20:52.480 --> 0:20:55.280
<v Speaker 2>In sk Heinex's case, the stock was down fifty percent

0:20:55.320 --> 0:20:57.480
<v Speaker 2>from a June peak, but still up one hundred and

0:20:57.520 --> 0:20:59.760
<v Speaker 2>fifty percent, you'd state, and there was some dilution when

0:20:59.800 --> 0:21:03.919
<v Speaker 2>they to eighty rs. What was Samsung's motivations for why now?

0:21:05.520 --> 0:21:08.320
<v Speaker 13>Samsung's shares are not down quite as much, but they're

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:10.720
<v Speaker 13>still down a lot. They're down about twenty five percent

0:21:10.800 --> 0:21:14.240
<v Speaker 13>from the peak, and they're making a tremendous amount of cash.

0:21:14.280 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 13>They're going to make about two hundred and seventy five

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:20.240
<v Speaker 13>billion dollars an operating profit this year based on analysts estimates,

0:21:20.680 --> 0:21:24.199
<v Speaker 13>huge numbers even for them compared with prior years. And

0:21:24.240 --> 0:21:26.520
<v Speaker 13>they're looking at that share price that's come down quite

0:21:26.560 --> 0:21:28.640
<v Speaker 13>a bit. They don't see the optimism that they saw

0:21:28.640 --> 0:21:30.679
<v Speaker 13>in the past. They'd like to return some of that

0:21:30.760 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 13>money to shareholders, probably buy back some stock. We haven't

0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 13>gotten the specifics on that, but buyback some stock to

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:38.479
<v Speaker 13>be able to push push the shares back up and

0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:40.639
<v Speaker 13>give shareholders a reason to buy the shares again.

0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 2>But isn't Samsung doing super super well tons of profits

0:21:45.600 --> 0:21:46.679
<v Speaker 2>and winning this AI thing?

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:52.080
<v Speaker 13>Well, Samsung is coming from behind, very unusual position for

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:54.960
<v Speaker 13>them compared to ske heinex Eskhynix had jumped out to

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:57.720
<v Speaker 13>a big lead in the HBM memory chips that are

0:21:57.800 --> 0:22:01.400
<v Speaker 13>used in AI data centers, of course, so Samsung has

0:22:01.400 --> 0:22:03.119
<v Speaker 13>gained a lot of momentum.

0:22:02.560 --> 0:22:03.280
<v Speaker 3>In that area.

0:22:03.680 --> 0:22:08.000
<v Speaker 13>They're competing in some cases exceeding s Khunnis in that field,

0:22:08.040 --> 0:22:10.520
<v Speaker 13>but it's a very intense competition at this point. They're

0:22:10.560 --> 0:22:12.520
<v Speaker 13>doing very well on memory chips. They're making a lot

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:15.200
<v Speaker 13>of money because prices have gone up so much. That's

0:22:15.200 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 13>why we're going to see record profits this year from them,

0:22:19.359 --> 0:22:22.320
<v Speaker 13>could be pretty phenomenal numbers going forward, and they'll probably

0:22:22.359 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 13>have a pretty big year next year two. So they

0:22:24.640 --> 0:22:26.439
<v Speaker 13>want to show shareholders that they can give some of

0:22:26.480 --> 0:22:27.159
<v Speaker 13>this money.

0:22:26.920 --> 0:22:27.960
<v Speaker 3>Back to them.

0:22:28.119 --> 0:22:31.640
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Peter Elstrim, thank you very much, indeed, Happy Friday coming.

0:22:31.480 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 3>Up on the show.

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:35.320
<v Speaker 2>The first week of a trial accusing Meta of misleading

0:22:35.320 --> 0:22:38.760
<v Speaker 2>the public and harming children has wrapped up. We'll discuss

0:22:38.800 --> 0:22:42.040
<v Speaker 2>the arguments, what we learned, and what happens next. This

0:22:42.080 --> 0:22:49.000
<v Speaker 2>is Bloomberg Tech. Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. It has

0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:51.280
<v Speaker 2>been a big week in the world of technology. Actually

0:22:51.320 --> 0:22:53.920
<v Speaker 2>then as that one hundred is up modestly this Friday,

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:56.879
<v Speaker 2>but on a weekly basis, down for its first weekly

0:22:56.960 --> 0:23:00.000
<v Speaker 2>drop since the week that ended Friday, July twenty fourth.

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:02.480
<v Speaker 2>There's been a lot of factors in that, and probably

0:23:02.520 --> 0:23:05.760
<v Speaker 2>Bitcoin's the best case study. So Bitcoin is on track

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:09.119
<v Speaker 2>for its biggest or best week in about three years.

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.359
<v Speaker 2>One of the big factors was the Treasury's intervention in

0:23:12.400 --> 0:23:14.840
<v Speaker 2>the bomb market, the Treasury saying it would at least

0:23:14.840 --> 0:23:17.679
<v Speaker 2>double the size of long dated bomb buybacks. That is

0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:21.320
<v Speaker 2>kind of what has been a catalyst outside of technology

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 2>specific factors. We are bracing for a big earnings print

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:28.280
<v Speaker 2>next week from Nvidia, but risk on has taken Bitcoin

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:31.119
<v Speaker 2>with it. There is a big story playing out in

0:23:31.160 --> 0:23:35.399
<v Speaker 2>technology this week, and that is Meta, which just started

0:23:35.400 --> 0:23:38.879
<v Speaker 2>a legal fight. Mary Anne Frank's professor at George Washington

0:23:39.000 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 2>University Law School, joins us to talk about what we've

0:23:41.840 --> 0:23:45.720
<v Speaker 2>learned so far. This trial is an accusation by twenty

0:23:45.840 --> 0:23:50.040
<v Speaker 2>nine states that Meta deliberately designed its platforms to keep

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:54.960
<v Speaker 2>children hooked to them and also deceive the public with

0:23:55.119 --> 0:23:58.760
<v Speaker 2>some privacy breaches. But it's a complicated split of different

0:23:58.800 --> 0:24:02.080
<v Speaker 2>state laws and one federal privacy law. Could you start

0:24:02.119 --> 0:24:05.560
<v Speaker 2>by explaining the distinctions between state and national level.

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:09.199
<v Speaker 14>Sure, So the federal claims have to do with this

0:24:09.280 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 14>federal statute that protects children's privacy under thirteen. Essentially, it

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:16.040
<v Speaker 14>says that if you are a company that wants to

0:24:16.040 --> 0:24:19.120
<v Speaker 14>collect data about children under thirteen, you have to get

0:24:19.240 --> 0:24:22.520
<v Speaker 14>parental consent. So the argument there from a federal perspective

0:24:22.600 --> 0:24:26.840
<v Speaker 14>is that this company Meta and its products have violated

0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:29.960
<v Speaker 14>that federal statute. And then you have these, as you said,

0:24:30.000 --> 0:24:32.440
<v Speaker 14>twenty nine states that are saying in addition to that,

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:36.679
<v Speaker 14>there's violations of state consumer protection laws, and those mostly

0:24:36.720 --> 0:24:39.480
<v Speaker 14>focus on claims that the company has made to the

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:42.840
<v Speaker 14>public about the safety of its products and services, in

0:24:42.880 --> 0:24:46.600
<v Speaker 14>contrast to the internal documents and research that Meta has

0:24:46.760 --> 0:24:48.960
<v Speaker 14>or they claim that they do have, that shows that

0:24:49.000 --> 0:24:50.080
<v Speaker 14>these things are not true.

0:24:51.280 --> 0:24:54.399
<v Speaker 2>Mary, Anne, really grateful for your de meeting expertise. You know,

0:24:54.720 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 2>really simple level twenty nine states sue Meta. But this

0:24:58.640 --> 0:25:01.439
<v Speaker 2>is playing out in a specific coll where there's an

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:05.000
<v Speaker 2>advisory jury, and the judge still needs to take that

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:08.000
<v Speaker 2>advice and decide both state and federal laws, and so,

0:25:08.040 --> 0:25:12.560
<v Speaker 2>like lots of people, that's confusing. How best to simplify it?

0:25:12.560 --> 0:25:15.280
<v Speaker 14>It is really difficult to simplify. It's a complex case.

0:25:15.280 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 14>That's what's known as an MDL, a multi district litigation,

0:25:18.880 --> 0:25:21.560
<v Speaker 14>And it happens when you've got several claims or many

0:25:21.640 --> 0:25:24.240
<v Speaker 14>thousands of claims as we do here, that all seem

0:25:24.280 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 14>to allege similar facts, similar harms, involve the same company

0:25:28.040 --> 0:25:30.360
<v Speaker 14>Meta here, and it's a little bit like the tobacco

0:25:30.440 --> 0:25:33.560
<v Speaker 14>litigation and settlements you saw in the nineteen nineties. And

0:25:33.640 --> 0:25:36.240
<v Speaker 14>so what you have is one judge consolidating all these

0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:39.320
<v Speaker 14>cases and taking what's called a Bellweather trial to take

0:25:39.320 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 14>a look at some of these essential claims and try

0:25:41.960 --> 0:25:44.480
<v Speaker 14>to figure out what the gist of them really is,

0:25:44.760 --> 0:25:47.320
<v Speaker 14>how strong a party's arguments, and then see to go

0:25:47.400 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 14>from there whether you can move these parties to settlements.

0:25:52.119 --> 0:25:54.880
<v Speaker 2>The big headline of the week was that Meta, by

0:25:54.920 --> 0:25:59.160
<v Speaker 2>its own calculation, faces a one point four trillion dollar

0:25:59.280 --> 0:26:03.040
<v Speaker 2>potential penalty, right, which my understanding is just all of

0:26:03.040 --> 0:26:06.479
<v Speaker 2>the potential violations and counts totted up in aggregate if

0:26:06.480 --> 0:26:08.680
<v Speaker 2>they were to be found in breach of every single one,

0:26:09.480 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 2>your your legal experience and expertise of that potential penalty, please.

0:26:15.800 --> 0:26:17.479
<v Speaker 14>I think first of all, it's important to note that

0:26:17.480 --> 0:26:19.639
<v Speaker 14>that's a number that Meta has given. This is not

0:26:19.720 --> 0:26:22.760
<v Speaker 14>the number that the ags themselves, right, So the ages

0:26:22.760 --> 0:26:25.040
<v Speaker 14>are saying we're really looking more at two hundred billion,

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:27.560
<v Speaker 14>which is still it's a lot of money, right, But

0:26:27.600 --> 0:26:29.320
<v Speaker 14>when you think about the fact that you've got what

0:26:29.400 --> 0:26:33.600
<v Speaker 14>eighteen billion dollars in quarterly profits for Meta, not that much, right, So,

0:26:33.720 --> 0:26:36.679
<v Speaker 14>But I think Meta is putting out that number because

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:40.800
<v Speaker 14>it's trying to create the impression that this would be existential, right,

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:43.840
<v Speaker 14>This would be a Meta ending kind of fee. So

0:26:43.880 --> 0:26:45.960
<v Speaker 14>I think that it's important to put that in context.

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:48.000
<v Speaker 14>And the idea that that's going to be the result here,

0:26:48.040 --> 0:26:49.400
<v Speaker 14>I think is highly unlikely.

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:54.160
<v Speaker 2>Are there any precedents in the case law that will

0:26:54.160 --> 0:26:56.040
<v Speaker 2>give us a guide of what might happen here?

0:26:57.440 --> 0:26:59.560
<v Speaker 14>It's really difficult to say. I mean, we all know

0:26:59.760 --> 0:27:01.920
<v Speaker 14>that in the last few months that we have seen

0:27:02.000 --> 0:27:05.040
<v Speaker 14>some really important cases go forward against Meta and other

0:27:05.119 --> 0:27:08.000
<v Speaker 14>social media companies that you know, ten years ago or

0:27:08.040 --> 0:27:11.679
<v Speaker 14>twenty years ago simply would have been inconceivable because the

0:27:11.720 --> 0:27:15.880
<v Speaker 14>way that the tech industry's immunity shield, the Federal Immunity

0:27:15.960 --> 0:27:19.400
<v Speaker 14>Law Section two thirty was interpreted, these cases never even

0:27:19.440 --> 0:27:21.480
<v Speaker 14>got to the stage, and so this is one of

0:27:21.520 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 14>the first times that we're really seeing what's under the

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:27.880
<v Speaker 14>hood of these major social media companies. That's the biggest

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:30.679
<v Speaker 14>deal here, and it is somewhat analogous to some have

0:27:30.800 --> 0:27:33.960
<v Speaker 14>said to some of the tobacco litigation, because there were

0:27:33.960 --> 0:27:37.560
<v Speaker 14>similar claims there that tobacco companies were saying one thing

0:27:37.680 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 14>that they knew something else at the same time, and

0:27:40.000 --> 0:27:41.800
<v Speaker 14>that's what everybody is paying attention to.

0:27:41.920 --> 0:27:42.200
<v Speaker 11>Now.

0:27:44.320 --> 0:27:47.760
<v Speaker 2>You frame this in the distinction between what Meta says

0:27:47.760 --> 0:27:50.920
<v Speaker 2>publicly and the practices it has in place. There is

0:27:50.960 --> 0:27:53.720
<v Speaker 2>also a technology story right about the platforms themselves.

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:55.160
<v Speaker 3>How important will it be?

0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:58.320
<v Speaker 2>Therefore, in terms of what we hear from Meta and

0:27:58.400 --> 0:27:59.680
<v Speaker 2>who Meta we hear.

0:27:59.520 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 14>From, extremely important. Those are going to be the kinds

0:28:02.840 --> 0:28:05.120
<v Speaker 14>of things that are going to have the biggest impact

0:28:05.480 --> 0:28:07.960
<v Speaker 14>not just on the judge, but on the advisory jury

0:28:08.080 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 14>and maybe most importantly on the public. It's going to

0:28:11.280 --> 0:28:14.000
<v Speaker 14>be a question of pointing out that there are documents

0:28:14.040 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 14>where Meta said something publicly, made promises to parents, made

0:28:17.960 --> 0:28:20.480
<v Speaker 14>promises to Congress, and then you look at some of

0:28:20.520 --> 0:28:22.919
<v Speaker 14>the internal documents and say, at the same time you

0:28:23.000 --> 0:28:25.679
<v Speaker 14>said these things, you also knew this was going on.

0:28:25.800 --> 0:28:27.840
<v Speaker 14>It's direct you know. The argument is that this is

0:28:27.840 --> 0:28:31.040
<v Speaker 14>in direct contradiction to what you were saying publicly. So

0:28:31.200 --> 0:28:35.320
<v Speaker 14>what these individuals who represent the company their words and

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:37.800
<v Speaker 14>what it is that they say to themselves when no

0:28:37.840 --> 0:28:39.880
<v Speaker 14>one is looking, is really going to become I think

0:28:39.920 --> 0:28:40.880
<v Speaker 14>the heart of this trial.

0:28:42.480 --> 0:28:44.960
<v Speaker 2>Meta has you know, commented quite regularly in the lead

0:28:45.000 --> 0:28:46.520
<v Speaker 2>up to this case, and again that one point four

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:50.440
<v Speaker 2>trillion dollar potential penalty is a calculation Metas made, not

0:28:50.520 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 2>the states that are suing themselves. Just in fifteen seconds,

0:28:55.040 --> 0:28:57.400
<v Speaker 2>do you see an outcome here that's tangible in the

0:28:57.440 --> 0:28:58.320
<v Speaker 2>first week or not?

0:29:00.040 --> 0:29:02.040
<v Speaker 14>Maybe not in the first week. But again there's the

0:29:02.120 --> 0:29:04.760
<v Speaker 14>question of the ultimate outcome of liability and whatever that

0:29:04.880 --> 0:29:07.440
<v Speaker 14>dollar amount happens to be. But the much bigger question

0:29:07.640 --> 0:29:09.720
<v Speaker 14>is what is the public going to learn? What is

0:29:09.760 --> 0:29:12.520
<v Speaker 14>Congress going to learn about what these companies were actually doing,

0:29:12.600 --> 0:29:14.560
<v Speaker 14>What did they know, when did they know it, and

0:29:14.600 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 14>what are they going to have to change going forward?

0:29:17.200 --> 0:29:20.200
<v Speaker 2>Mary Anne Franks from George Washington University Law School, thank

0:29:20.240 --> 0:29:22.680
<v Speaker 2>you very much. There's message being sued by this pipe

0:29:22.760 --> 0:29:25.400
<v Speaker 2>artisan coalition of states. We mentioned the company says it

0:29:25.400 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 2>can face potential penalties of as much as one point

0:29:28.840 --> 0:29:31.719
<v Speaker 2>four trillion does if it loses the trial, which raises

0:29:31.800 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 2>existential questions about the future of its core business.

0:29:34.800 --> 0:29:35.240
<v Speaker 3>Bloombos.

0:29:35.280 --> 0:29:38.240
<v Speaker 2>Ryan Vselica from the equities desk is with us. You're

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 2>looking at this from the stock perspective, right. Our investors

0:29:41.360 --> 0:29:44.040
<v Speaker 2>really worried about the legal headwind here.

0:29:45.000 --> 0:29:47.480
<v Speaker 7>Well, we've seen the staff come under pressure over the

0:29:47.520 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 7>past several days, and it does seem like it coincides

0:29:50.400 --> 0:29:52.600
<v Speaker 7>with the start of the trial. Like you mentioned, this

0:29:52.640 --> 0:29:56.480
<v Speaker 7>could be a potentially existential risk for the company. The problem,

0:29:56.800 --> 0:29:59.840
<v Speaker 7>according to the investors I've spoken to, said, it's very

0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:03.080
<v Speaker 7>difficult to game out what the ultimate impact is going

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:05.200
<v Speaker 7>to be here. We don't know what a verdict would be,

0:30:05.240 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 7>we don't know what the penalties would be, we don't

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 7>know what appeal systems would look like. There's a lot

0:30:09.600 --> 0:30:12.280
<v Speaker 7>of big questions out there. But it is another risk

0:30:12.320 --> 0:30:14.960
<v Speaker 7>for the company at a time when people are already

0:30:15.000 --> 0:30:16.840
<v Speaker 7>sort of souring on it. We've had a lot of

0:30:16.920 --> 0:30:20.160
<v Speaker 7>questions about how much spending it's doing on AI, and

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:22.640
<v Speaker 7>it seems like the ROI side of things is harder

0:30:22.640 --> 0:30:25.560
<v Speaker 7>for them than it is for other companies like Amazon

0:30:25.640 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 7>or Microsoft or so forth. So this is just another

0:30:28.360 --> 0:30:31.880
<v Speaker 7>element of uncertainty for a company that's already been living

0:30:31.960 --> 0:30:33.040
<v Speaker 7>under a bit of a cloud.

0:30:33.720 --> 0:30:35.400
<v Speaker 3>Right, Ryan, just go back to that key chart.

0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:38.440
<v Speaker 2>The underperformance of Meta gives size and scope on that

0:30:38.520 --> 0:30:39.560
<v Speaker 2>underperformance quickly.

0:30:40.320 --> 0:30:40.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:30:40.720 --> 0:30:42.920
<v Speaker 7>I think it's down double digit percentage this year. I

0:30:43.000 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 7>think Tessa's the only other name in the mag seven

0:30:45.680 --> 0:30:48.480
<v Speaker 7>that sort of comparable to that. Naszek one hundred is

0:30:48.520 --> 0:30:50.440
<v Speaker 7>doing pretty well this year. I mean that's largely due

0:30:50.480 --> 0:30:53.240
<v Speaker 7>to the susseemic conductor sector, but Meta is a very

0:30:53.320 --> 0:30:58.240
<v Speaker 7>dramatic underperformer, especially relative to the other AI spenders Memory chips.

0:30:58.240 --> 0:31:00.360
<v Speaker 2>In the news cycle you've been take can you look

0:31:00.360 --> 0:31:01.720
<v Speaker 2>at the sect So what are you writing about?

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:04.960
<v Speaker 7>Well, we've seen Memory, as has been the case for

0:31:05.000 --> 0:31:07.840
<v Speaker 7>a while, become under a heavy amount of volatility. We

0:31:07.880 --> 0:31:11.680
<v Speaker 7>saw the group kind of try to rebound earlier this month,

0:31:11.800 --> 0:31:14.720
<v Speaker 7>but since then they've really taken another step lower. There's

0:31:14.760 --> 0:31:17.680
<v Speaker 7>a lot of uncertainty out there about how durable is

0:31:17.720 --> 0:31:20.640
<v Speaker 7>AI spending going to be and how durable.

0:31:20.320 --> 0:31:22.040
<v Speaker 3>Is the growth going to be for these companies.

0:31:22.080 --> 0:31:24.640
<v Speaker 7>People still view them as pretty attractively valued, and they

0:31:24.640 --> 0:31:27.200
<v Speaker 7>still see a pretty strong fundamental backdrop. And I would

0:31:27.240 --> 0:31:29.760
<v Speaker 7>note that SanDisk recently had an investor day where it

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 7>gave some very positive long term financial targets. But there's

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:35.600
<v Speaker 7>a lot of debate about here, like maybe they've already

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:39.239
<v Speaker 7>seen peak growth, maybe they've already seen peak enthusiasm, and

0:31:39.400 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 7>what is going to be the next catalyst to help

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:43.600
<v Speaker 7>them regain their leadership Right now, it seems like people

0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:47.040
<v Speaker 7>are having a difficult time answering that question as far

0:31:47.080 --> 0:31:49.320
<v Speaker 7>as what could take these stocks back to the records

0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:50.760
<v Speaker 7>they were at not all that long ago.

0:31:52.000 --> 0:31:56.440
<v Speaker 2>There's rhyme for Sedica, thank you very much. Indeed, coming up, Smikle,

0:31:56.520 --> 0:31:59.120
<v Speaker 2>managing director of Kysla Bench, is going to join us

0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:02.120
<v Speaker 2>to discuss the first investment in Discovery Loop.

0:32:02.360 --> 0:32:03.960
<v Speaker 3>That's the AI startup.

0:32:03.520 --> 0:32:06.880
<v Speaker 2>From Google's former chief scientist, something that was massive in

0:32:06.920 --> 0:32:09.160
<v Speaker 2>the news cycle over the last ten days.

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:10.560
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:32:21.400 --> 0:32:24.440
<v Speaker 2>A new AI startup called Discovery Loop has set out

0:32:24.480 --> 0:32:29.120
<v Speaker 2>to boost the speed of scientific experimentation. It was started

0:32:29.120 --> 0:32:32.880
<v Speaker 2>by former leaders at Google, including the company's chief scientist

0:32:33.000 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 2>Jeff Dean, and has backing from high profile investors, including

0:32:36.640 --> 0:32:40.160
<v Speaker 2>Coast Adventures, which code Let co led the seed round.

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:44.640
<v Speaker 2>KOSA managing director Sam Ule is here to talk about it. Smith,

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:48.640
<v Speaker 2>Welcome to the programs. This is one You're very welcome.

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:51.440
<v Speaker 2>This is one where people kind of want the backstory. So,

0:32:51.560 --> 0:32:53.640
<v Speaker 2>like all good stories, let's start at the beginning. How

0:32:53.640 --> 0:32:54.800
<v Speaker 2>did this all come about?

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 15>Or Yeah, there's a lot of talk about this magical

0:32:57.400 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 15>deck that apparently has been out there for the financee

0:32:59.760 --> 0:33:03.760
<v Speaker 15>and yes, and as the guy that's leading the seed round,

0:33:03.880 --> 0:33:06.280
<v Speaker 15>I'd like to see the deck, which I've yet to see.

0:33:06.480 --> 0:33:10.120
<v Speaker 15>So there's a lot of lare already about this. Look

0:33:10.320 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 15>when guys like Jeff Dean and his team, who are

0:33:13.280 --> 0:33:18.920
<v Speaker 15>responsible for so many innovations at Google, TensorFlow, TPUs, Gemini,

0:33:19.760 --> 0:33:21.720
<v Speaker 15>they come to you and say, look, we're coming up

0:33:21.760 --> 0:33:24.920
<v Speaker 15>with it. We're going to leave after a collective eighty

0:33:25.000 --> 0:33:29.040
<v Speaker 15>years at Google to start a new company that's going

0:33:29.120 --> 0:33:32.960
<v Speaker 15>to be based in engineering and research and improving science.

0:33:34.240 --> 0:33:36.480
<v Speaker 15>How do you say, no, We were just honored and

0:33:36.560 --> 0:33:40.400
<v Speaker 15>thrilled that Jeff considered us to co lead this round.

0:33:41.280 --> 0:33:44.280
<v Speaker 2>You know, Smith, you will appreciate right that the headlines

0:33:44.520 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 2>of Jeff but others leaving Google and the kind of

0:33:47.440 --> 0:33:50.320
<v Speaker 2>the changes in structure they made, that was big news.

0:33:51.200 --> 0:33:54.120
<v Speaker 2>And so what was kind of the latency When did

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 2>these conversations about discovery loops start relative to that period

0:33:58.480 --> 0:33:59.640
<v Speaker 2>of changes at Google.

0:34:01.040 --> 0:34:06.479
<v Speaker 15>It's all relatively recent, So this isn't something that's been

0:34:06.560 --> 0:34:09.080
<v Speaker 15>hatched at least with us for a year or something

0:34:09.080 --> 0:34:11.240
<v Speaker 15>along those lines. It's relatively recent.

0:34:11.360 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 3>It moved very quickly.

0:34:12.680 --> 0:34:15.440
<v Speaker 15>Just because of the caliber of the founders, and it's

0:34:15.560 --> 0:34:19.120
<v Speaker 15>very consistent with our thesis. So we were the only

0:34:19.200 --> 0:34:21.839
<v Speaker 15>venture firm in the first round of open AI because

0:34:21.880 --> 0:34:24.800
<v Speaker 15>we believed in LLLMS. We were the first money in

0:34:24.840 --> 0:34:27.520
<v Speaker 15>a company called General Intuition because we believed in world

0:34:27.560 --> 0:34:32.480
<v Speaker 15>models and RSI. We believe is going to be the

0:34:32.640 --> 0:34:39.840
<v Speaker 15>key to advancing science and engineering principles. RSI.

0:34:39.880 --> 0:34:40.360
<v Speaker 3>It's great.

0:34:41.200 --> 0:34:43.960
<v Speaker 15>AI is going to design experiments, it's going to test

0:34:44.040 --> 0:34:45.920
<v Speaker 15>and figure out what the results of that experience are

0:34:45.920 --> 0:34:48.240
<v Speaker 15>going to be and then it's going to design another

0:34:48.320 --> 0:34:52.200
<v Speaker 15>thousands and thousands of parallel experiments in a closed loop

0:34:52.320 --> 0:34:55.360
<v Speaker 15>system to give you answers about you know, what type

0:34:55.400 --> 0:34:58.480
<v Speaker 15>of magnets should be used for fusion, types of battery

0:34:58.520 --> 0:35:02.960
<v Speaker 15>materials for solid state battery is for electric vehicles, for

0:35:03.120 --> 0:35:06.960
<v Speaker 15>drug discovery, for drug development. I mean, it's just an

0:35:06.960 --> 0:35:12.839
<v Speaker 15>incredible tool like llms, like world models, and to have

0:35:14.440 --> 0:35:16.640
<v Speaker 15>a guy like Jeff and his team lead that efforts

0:35:16.680 --> 0:35:17.720
<v Speaker 15>just a dream.

0:35:18.280 --> 0:35:20.239
<v Speaker 3>So that dream is what I want to get into.

0:35:20.360 --> 0:35:23.399
<v Speaker 2>Because open AI and Thropic, Google Deep Mind, like other

0:35:23.920 --> 0:35:27.040
<v Speaker 2>larger labs, are looking at similar domains. That's not their

0:35:27.080 --> 0:35:31.600
<v Speaker 2>sole focus. So what is the distinction with Jeff and

0:35:31.640 --> 0:35:34.560
<v Speaker 2>the Discovery Loop team. What is their technical advantage?

0:35:34.760 --> 0:35:38.120
<v Speaker 15>Well, they've developed many of the principles that allow you

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:42.440
<v Speaker 15>to do RSI. And second, I think the large companies,

0:35:42.520 --> 0:35:46.520
<v Speaker 15>especially if you're public, you can't be as focused and

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 15>take as many risks as you can as a private company.

0:35:51.239 --> 0:35:54.759
<v Speaker 15>Jeff's sole focus with Sunjay and Oriel and Quack are

0:35:54.800 --> 0:35:58.480
<v Speaker 15>going to be RSI. That's it for science and engineering.

0:35:58.880 --> 0:36:02.240
<v Speaker 15>He doesn't have fifteen other masters to respond to. That's

0:36:02.239 --> 0:36:04.200
<v Speaker 15>going to be his sole focus. He's going to clearly

0:36:04.200 --> 0:36:08.400
<v Speaker 15>be able to recruit a killer team and stay focused

0:36:08.440 --> 0:36:09.480
<v Speaker 15>on that big prize.

0:36:10.840 --> 0:36:14.479
<v Speaker 2>You started this conversation saying if there was a pitch deck,

0:36:14.600 --> 0:36:17.239
<v Speaker 2>I didn't see it. So it sounds like, you know,

0:36:17.640 --> 0:36:20.880
<v Speaker 2>the evaluation of the potential here was on their legacy,

0:36:21.320 --> 0:36:23.200
<v Speaker 2>that their work to date in this field.

0:36:23.280 --> 0:36:23.840
<v Speaker 3>Is that fair.

0:36:24.160 --> 0:36:27.600
<v Speaker 15>Well, it's what the potential opportunity is the company that

0:36:27.640 --> 0:36:30.600
<v Speaker 15>takes We've seen it already, you know, You've talked a

0:36:30.600 --> 0:36:33.640
<v Speaker 15>lot about Anthropic on your show this morning, but Anthropic

0:36:33.680 --> 0:36:38.759
<v Speaker 15>and Opening Eye and pioneering frontier models. You know, it's

0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:42.240
<v Speaker 15>it's been speculated that combined they're already at one hundred

0:36:42.239 --> 0:36:45.239
<v Speaker 15>billion dollars of revenue and nearly two trillion dollars of

0:36:45.280 --> 0:36:48.320
<v Speaker 15>market cap. And if you believe that RSI is equally

0:36:48.640 --> 0:36:52.640
<v Speaker 15>as profound and as impactful, and then you've got you know,

0:36:52.920 --> 0:36:57.480
<v Speaker 15>four gentlemen who are as distinguished as these four, you know,

0:36:57.480 --> 0:37:00.359
<v Speaker 15>it makes it a relatively quick investment decision in our

0:37:00.440 --> 0:37:01.400
<v Speaker 15>investment committee.

0:37:02.680 --> 0:37:06.600
<v Speaker 2>We're getting into the domain of the opportunity as referenced

0:37:06.640 --> 0:37:09.800
<v Speaker 2>by the potential return. And it's so interesting, like Discovery

0:37:09.800 --> 0:37:13.640
<v Speaker 2>Loop is also structured as a public benefit court. Sure, right,

0:37:13.800 --> 0:37:16.319
<v Speaker 2>So going in at that seed stage, how do you

0:37:16.320 --> 0:37:20.600
<v Speaker 2>get sort of the venture scale return from that structure?

0:37:20.800 --> 0:37:23.200
<v Speaker 15>Well, I don't think that structure inhibits that at all.

0:37:23.239 --> 0:37:27.480
<v Speaker 15>In fact, that structure may attract different types of engineers

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:30.239
<v Speaker 15>that want to work on this problem and be it

0:37:30.280 --> 0:37:33.279
<v Speaker 15>a public benefit corporation. I mean, look, we invested in

0:37:33.320 --> 0:37:35.640
<v Speaker 15>an open AI when it was still a nonprofit and

0:37:35.680 --> 0:37:37.960
<v Speaker 15>it may be the most profitable investment we've ever made

0:37:38.000 --> 0:37:38.960
<v Speaker 15>in twenty five years.

0:37:40.200 --> 0:37:40.399
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:37:41.320 --> 0:37:44.160
<v Speaker 2>I appreciate you guys are not disclosing the size of

0:37:44.160 --> 0:37:45.280
<v Speaker 2>the round or the valuation.

0:37:45.360 --> 0:37:47.160
<v Speaker 3>It's a seed stage round, but.

0:37:47.120 --> 0:37:49.600
<v Speaker 2>As we've written about a lot this year, the term

0:37:49.760 --> 0:37:53.239
<v Speaker 2>seed is starting to not really mean anything. A coconut seed,

0:37:53.280 --> 0:37:55.759
<v Speaker 2>a mango seed round. You know, I think about like

0:37:55.840 --> 0:37:58.680
<v Speaker 2>humans and you're laughing, But think about humans and right,

0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:01.920
<v Speaker 2>a group of a small group of individuals raising hundreds

0:38:01.920 --> 0:38:03.960
<v Speaker 2>of millions of dollars out the gate at a very

0:38:04.000 --> 0:38:07.080
<v Speaker 2>lofty valuation. Would you say that Discovery loop is on

0:38:07.200 --> 0:38:08.800
<v Speaker 2>par with that level?

0:38:09.600 --> 0:38:13.440
<v Speaker 15>Well, the prize is big enough that it warrants the

0:38:13.560 --> 0:38:18.360
<v Speaker 15>round and the valuation that Jeff and his team have achieved.

0:38:18.840 --> 0:38:20.440
<v Speaker 15>Let me just put one thing in perspective.

0:38:20.560 --> 0:38:20.640
<v Speaker 1>Ed.

0:38:21.040 --> 0:38:22.960
<v Speaker 15>So, when I moved out to Silicon Valley in two

0:38:23.000 --> 0:38:26.760
<v Speaker 15>thousand and five, soon after the word unicorn was coined

0:38:27.160 --> 0:38:29.560
<v Speaker 15>for a company with a billion dollar valuation, meaning it

0:38:29.600 --> 0:38:32.520
<v Speaker 15>was so rare it was like a unicorn. You fast

0:38:32.560 --> 0:38:35.640
<v Speaker 15>forward a decade or so after that word was coined,

0:38:36.160 --> 0:38:39.839
<v Speaker 15>you now have twenty or so trillion dollar companies and

0:38:39.920 --> 0:38:42.880
<v Speaker 15>a unicorn, by the old definition, is being funded on

0:38:42.880 --> 0:38:46.799
<v Speaker 15>a weekly basis. So you have to reset everything in

0:38:46.880 --> 0:38:50.080
<v Speaker 15>terms of what valuation gives you, venture scale returns, what

0:38:50.280 --> 0:38:54.640
<v Speaker 15>exactly a seed round is because we may be sitting

0:38:54.640 --> 0:38:57.440
<v Speaker 15>here in five years where there's a dozen or so

0:38:58.760 --> 0:38:59.920
<v Speaker 15>ten trillion dollar company.

0:39:02.719 --> 0:39:05.399
<v Speaker 2>Let's catch up in that timeframe and we'll see if

0:39:05.400 --> 0:39:07.759
<v Speaker 2>you were right well, samkl coast of the event.

0:39:07.840 --> 0:39:09.640
<v Speaker 3>Has been great to have you on blombo tech. Thank

0:39:09.680 --> 0:39:10.239
<v Speaker 3>you very much.

0:39:10.400 --> 0:39:13.240
<v Speaker 2>Some other news headlines in Talking Tech, first up Chinese

0:39:13.320 --> 0:39:16.600
<v Speaker 2>robotics startup dex Mile, backed by tech giant Ali Barber,

0:39:17.040 --> 0:39:19.880
<v Speaker 2>is seeking evaluation of three billion dollars in an ongoing

0:39:20.000 --> 0:39:23.760
<v Speaker 2>funding ground, showing strong investor appetite in the country's embodied

0:39:23.800 --> 0:39:27.560
<v Speaker 2>AI advancements. Follows Unitary Robotics raising nine hundred and four

0:39:27.640 --> 0:39:31.080
<v Speaker 2>million in its Shanghai debut. This week, plus, open ai

0:39:31.239 --> 0:39:35.200
<v Speaker 2>released a new feature that would allow chat GPT to read, write,

0:39:35.239 --> 0:39:38.800
<v Speaker 2>and send text messages, in a move sparking privacy concerns.

0:39:39.200 --> 0:39:41.279
<v Speaker 2>Open ai is stressed that the feature would require a

0:39:41.400 --> 0:39:44.440
<v Speaker 2>user's consent and the plug in would run locally on

0:39:44.840 --> 0:39:48.640
<v Speaker 2>Mac and use existing operating system tools. And SpaceX and

0:39:48.680 --> 0:39:51.800
<v Speaker 2>AST space Mobile have expressed interest in acquiring Grain, a

0:39:51.880 --> 0:39:56.040
<v Speaker 2>company providing wireless phone services directly from Space. Sources say

0:39:56.120 --> 0:39:59.839
<v Speaker 2>Grain asked interested parties to submit preliminary offers with hopes

0:39:59.880 --> 0:40:03.560
<v Speaker 2>of reaping six billion dollars from selling its licenses. Elon

0:40:03.640 --> 0:40:07.000
<v Speaker 2>Musk waiting on next responding quote, not true to the

0:40:07.080 --> 0:40:10.080
<v Speaker 2>report coming up. All eyes are on in video as

0:40:10.120 --> 0:40:12.640
<v Speaker 2>the tech giant sets release at second quarter earnings next week.

0:40:12.680 --> 0:40:14.960
<v Speaker 3>It's the big one. This is Sploomberg Tech.

0:40:21.760 --> 0:40:24.200
<v Speaker 2>In videos in early talks with South Korean chip start

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:28.319
<v Speaker 2>up Rebellions about possible collaborations, sources say. In video, CEO

0:40:28.400 --> 0:40:31.000
<v Speaker 2>Jensenwong met with Rebellion's co founder and CEO of Sungian

0:40:31.080 --> 0:40:34.799
<v Speaker 2>Park on the potential deal, which could include a technical partnership.

0:40:35.080 --> 0:40:37.359
<v Speaker 2>The chip firm raised roughly eight hundred and fifty million

0:40:37.400 --> 0:40:41.160
<v Speaker 2>dollars from investors including s ke Heinix, Samsung and Armholdings,

0:40:41.400 --> 0:40:45.080
<v Speaker 2>and was recently valued at two point three billion dollars.

0:40:45.440 --> 0:40:48.000
<v Speaker 2>Let's stick with in video it's highly anticipated second quarter

0:40:48.080 --> 0:40:51.320
<v Speaker 2>earnings the sex comand next week the street sees sales

0:40:51.320 --> 0:40:54.200
<v Speaker 2>of ninety two billion to ninety five billion, either way,

0:40:54.400 --> 0:40:57.160
<v Speaker 2>double what it was one year ago. Let's discuss what

0:40:57.280 --> 0:41:00.920
<v Speaker 2>to expect with Kunjensavani seen Semia ducts ran less for

0:41:00.920 --> 0:41:04.440
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence double a year ago, but a year ago

0:41:04.600 --> 0:41:05.560
<v Speaker 2>is double the year before.

0:41:05.680 --> 0:41:05.839
<v Speaker 14>Right.

0:41:06.000 --> 0:41:08.320
<v Speaker 2>The main point is that you know the momentum in

0:41:08.520 --> 0:41:10.240
<v Speaker 2>video's growth, it seems intact.

0:41:11.080 --> 0:41:11.759
<v Speaker 3>What are you looking for?

0:41:12.040 --> 0:41:14.480
<v Speaker 16>I mean, we again expect decent beaten race, but I

0:41:14.520 --> 0:41:16.640
<v Speaker 16>don't think that will be enough. It never has been.

0:41:16.680 --> 0:41:19.239
<v Speaker 3>In the fort talking about the market reaction for the market's.

0:41:18.960 --> 0:41:21.520
<v Speaker 16>Reaction, yeah, I mean if they get close to the

0:41:21.680 --> 0:41:24.560
<v Speaker 16>hundred mark, that will be something. We don't expect that

0:41:24.640 --> 0:41:27.160
<v Speaker 16>given the supply constraints. But the focus right now is

0:41:27.239 --> 0:41:30.680
<v Speaker 16>on three key areas. One, the concerns around vendor financing

0:41:30.960 --> 0:41:34.279
<v Speaker 16>and off balance sheet obligation. Second, we would love to

0:41:34.360 --> 0:41:38.239
<v Speaker 16>hear something positive on the China end right and one

0:41:38.440 --> 0:41:41.120
<v Speaker 16>positive key impact form, which is the three Q guide.

0:41:41.320 --> 0:41:43.520
<v Speaker 16>This is the first time ever that Vera Rubin we

0:41:43.640 --> 0:41:47.239
<v Speaker 16>now expect to ramp day one at every single hyperscaler,

0:41:47.360 --> 0:41:50.719
<v Speaker 16>frontier lab, cloud provider, neo cloud, you name it, which

0:41:50.760 --> 0:41:53.000
<v Speaker 16>has not happened with Blackwell or the past prevision.

0:41:53.040 --> 0:41:55.200
<v Speaker 2>So let's talk a little bit more about that Vera Rubin,

0:41:55.360 --> 0:41:59.719
<v Speaker 2>VERA CPU, Rubin Accelerator or GPU latest generation. And what

0:41:59.840 --> 0:42:03.200
<v Speaker 2>I see from executive video is constant commentary that it's

0:42:03.239 --> 0:42:05.600
<v Speaker 2>in full production, it's in ramp. So you think that

0:42:05.680 --> 0:42:07.600
<v Speaker 2>this is out there in the real world, is it

0:42:07.719 --> 0:42:09.960
<v Speaker 2>where you think there might be a surprise in terms

0:42:10.000 --> 0:42:11.080
<v Speaker 2>of contribution.

0:42:11.400 --> 0:42:13.560
<v Speaker 16>There could be a positive surprise. We at this point

0:42:13.600 --> 0:42:16.439
<v Speaker 16>do not expect anything negative surprise. Again, the reason they're

0:42:16.480 --> 0:42:18.480
<v Speaker 16>out and about so much is the last time when

0:42:18.800 --> 0:42:20.880
<v Speaker 16>this time of the year black Holes is ranking, there

0:42:20.920 --> 0:42:23.240
<v Speaker 16>were a block of hiccups, So they want to avoid

0:42:23.280 --> 0:42:26.319
<v Speaker 16>any concerns or fears or rumors around hiccups. The only

0:42:26.400 --> 0:42:28.960
<v Speaker 16>one thing on the negative side we're looking for is

0:42:29.080 --> 0:42:33.160
<v Speaker 16>gross margin impact. We don't expect Investors are not hoping

0:42:33.280 --> 0:42:35.640
<v Speaker 16>or bracing for a lot of gross margin impact. Remember,

0:42:35.680 --> 0:42:38.480
<v Speaker 16>whenever a new product rams, it's a gross margin head

0:42:38.480 --> 0:42:41.640
<v Speaker 16>win initially, but from what the company has suggested, it

0:42:41.760 --> 0:42:44.480
<v Speaker 16>might not be as big as for impact this time around.

0:42:44.480 --> 0:42:47.040
<v Speaker 3>Gensen, one will get questions about circular financing. I'm sure.

0:42:47.040 --> 0:42:49.480
<v Speaker 2>So let's go to your China points right now. The

0:42:49.520 --> 0:42:52.640
<v Speaker 2>assumption is zero from China. But you want to see

0:42:52.760 --> 0:42:54.239
<v Speaker 2>in video say this is how we're going to be

0:42:54.280 --> 0:42:55.359
<v Speaker 2>able to do business real quick.

0:42:55.760 --> 0:42:58.040
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, we really want to hear that. I mean, this

0:42:58.160 --> 0:43:00.600
<v Speaker 16>has been something that has been dragged out and we

0:43:00.800 --> 0:43:03.960
<v Speaker 16>just saw news headlines right that China is now enabling

0:43:04.040 --> 0:43:06.120
<v Speaker 16>there our orders in the book. They really want to

0:43:06.200 --> 0:43:09.600
<v Speaker 16>see this come to revenue at least in the tens

0:43:09.640 --> 0:43:10.640
<v Speaker 16>to twenty billion dollars.

0:43:10.680 --> 0:43:14.480
<v Speaker 2>To start with, Bloomberg Intelligence is Conjensabani, who leads our

0:43:14.520 --> 0:43:17.719
<v Speaker 2>research of Nvidia and the other fabulous chip names.

0:43:17.719 --> 0:43:20.759
<v Speaker 3>Thank you so much. That does it for this edition

0:43:20.800 --> 0:43:21.520
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg Tech.

0:43:21.840 --> 0:43:25.719
<v Speaker 2>Seriously, an astonishing week in technology in markets. Also in

0:43:25.760 --> 0:43:28.400
<v Speaker 2>the news flow and Anthropic's been the big one. So

0:43:28.560 --> 0:43:30.320
<v Speaker 2>much to recap on the podcast you knew where to

0:43:30.360 --> 0:43:32.960
<v Speaker 2>find it on the Bloomberg terminal as well as online

0:43:33.040 --> 0:43:36.960
<v Speaker 2>on Apple Spotify, and iHeart markets are ending the week

0:43:37.120 --> 0:43:39.959
<v Speaker 2>higher six percent on an adzack, one hundred bit down

0:43:40.040 --> 0:43:42.120
<v Speaker 2>on the week and set for the first weekly drop

0:43:42.280 --> 0:43:43.960
<v Speaker 2>since that final week of July.

0:43:45.840 --> 0:43:48.520
<v Speaker 3>Have a great weekend, everybody. This is Bloomberg Tech