1 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,680 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: dot com the radio plus mobile act and on your radio. 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg business flag from Bloomberg World Headquarters. 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellot. The bidding on that lunch for Warren 5 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: Buffett now up to two point eight million dollars. It 6 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: will benefit the Glide Foundation. Out of San Francisco. Stocks 7 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: are lower SMP five hundred index, heading for the steepest 8 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: drop in two months, amid caution over tepid global growth 9 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:34,240 Speaker 1: and a series of looming events with the potential to 10 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: spur renewed market turbulence. Right now, the SMP five hundred 11 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: index down twenty four points to two thousand ninety one, 12 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: a drop there of one point one percent. Nas stackdown 13 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 1: seventy three, a drop of one and a half percent down, 14 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: Industrials down one sixty, a drop of nine tenths of 15 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: one percent, Gold up five ninety the ounce to twelve 16 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: seventy eight, a gain of five tenths of one percent, 17 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 1: and crude down a dollar fifty forty nine oh six 18 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 1: for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate. Looking at a 19 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 1: drop now of three on w T I I'm Charlie 20 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 1: Pellett and that's a Bloomberg business flash. You're listening to 21 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:16,199 Speaker 1: taking stock with pim Box and Kathleen Hayes on Bloomberg Radio. 22 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 1: Apple's not waiting for It's a worldwide developers conference next 23 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 1: week in San Francisco to shake up the market. Today 24 00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 1: we find out that Apple's next iPhone will use motive 25 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 1: chips from Intel, replacing qual comp chips in some versions 26 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: of the new handset. Apparently it's a move by the 27 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 1: world's most valuable public company as that's Apple, to diversify 28 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: its supplier base. Here to talk about it, what it 29 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: means for investors for the industry is on Entrene of 30 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 1: us and he's Bloomberg Intelligence senior semiconductor and hardware analysts 31 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: on on were you surprised by this? Now? This has 32 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: been rumored for quite a while now, and the popular 33 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: press has been talking about it for quite some time 34 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 1: and then use his and intensifying some people have known 35 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 1: for a while that there's something here. Um. The simple 36 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: strokes of it is is that it's good for Intel 37 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: and it's bad for quacom Um. But the Apple supply 38 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: chain seems to be getting more complicated from a supplier 39 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 1: base as well as the number of components and the 40 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: number of suppliers that go into it. So UM, it's 41 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: interesting because Apple thus far has only had three specific 42 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: types of the iPhone UM for each version, and now 43 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: it's it's likely to get a little bit more complicated 44 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: than that. Okay, for lay person like me, are these 45 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: chips that different? I mean, doesn't really make that much 46 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,679 Speaker 1: difference which one actually they are. And the reason why 47 00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: Qualcom has had the share historically that it has had 48 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:50,679 Speaker 1: is because these chips are enormously complex. Um. You have 49 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 1: a number of different bands or spectrums that you operate 50 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 1: in different telecom carriers all over the world. Remember, operate 51 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 1: on a different band. Then you have versions of each 52 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 1: of these. So by the time you put it all together, 53 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 1: you have to have every single flavor of every single 54 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 1: carrier in every single region of the world. And as 55 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 1: you move forward, suddenly it has to work with your 56 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: WiFi chips and it has to work with your Bluetooth chips. 57 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: So UM, to answer the question, yes, it is enormously complicated, 58 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: takes an enormous amount of R and D, but the 59 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 1: smartphone market is slowing. These developments have hit sort of 60 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: a little bit of a plateau coming off of the 61 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 1: three G two four G transitions. So now Apple and 62 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: the other carriers to saying, Okay, what can I get 63 00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 1: what's the best price I can get for these chips? Well, 64 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: and they're going to continue to put the Qualcom chips 65 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: in the phones in China. Absolutely, um so. This is 66 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: this is vendor management. This is exacting the best price 67 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 1: for the best product possible. Do you expect I think 68 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: from the Worldwide Developer Conference next week when Apple gets 69 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,240 Speaker 1: everybody together thousands of people in the Bay Area. Tim 70 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: Cook of course will be orchestrating events. Yeah, this is 71 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 1: going to be more of from an operating system and 72 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 1: an apps standpoint. Um not as much drama on the 73 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 1: hardware side as as as on the software section. How 74 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 1: important is for intels is a big win for them. 75 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 1: This is a big win for Intel because they have 76 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:16,280 Speaker 1: historically been a laggered in the space. Um and they 77 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:19,160 Speaker 1: got booted out of the iPhone a long time ago 78 00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 1: when and Finian was in there. Um so, um so 79 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: it is it is a huge splash for them, and 80 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: it's a loss making division for them, So hopefully this 81 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: will help produce the losses Boston. Thank you so very 82 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,919 Speaker 1: much for joining us senior semi conductor and hardware analysts 83 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Intelligence here in New York City. Have a 84 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 1: great weekend. Thank you YouTube well. Speaking of big wins, uh, 85 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:42,679 Speaker 1: we are at the point now where we can talk 86 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: pretty seriously about who's going to get the big win 87 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: in November when it comes to winning the White House. 88 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 1: We're very happy to welcome back, as we do often 89 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: at this time, John Heilman. He is host, with all 90 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:56,360 Speaker 1: due respect on Bloomberg Television, one of the leading lights 91 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: of Bloomberg politics, and you can catch it every day 92 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: week nights on Bloomberg t e V Bluebrig ninety nine 93 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: one on the radio in Washington. So John's I guess 94 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: it's uh, the historic moment is here. Hilary is the front, 95 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: is leading the Democratic pack, Trump reading leading the Republican pack. 96 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:20,160 Speaker 1: Now what chaos madness? Um? Right, So yeah, we have 97 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 1: now presumptive nominees in both parties, and um, the general 98 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 1: election is on. Today. You had Hillary Clinton giving a 99 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 1: speech at Planned Parenthood and you had Donald Trump giving 100 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 1: a speech to Religious Freedom Conference. Um. Kind of classic 101 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 1: preview of what the fall campaign will look like. Both 102 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: of them, uh, speaking to audiences of the faithful and uh, 103 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: I mean that in both senses of the word uh, 104 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 1: members of the base and using those speeches both to 105 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: uh build energy among their core constituencies and also attack 106 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 1: each other. And um they both went after each other 107 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 1: pretty hard today. Um, but not in a way that 108 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 1: it was I think in a way that I think, 109 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 1: you know, it's suggestive of what we're likely to see 110 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 1: over the course of the next um X number of months. 111 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 1: I don't really even know how many months it is 112 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 1: between now and remember maybe you know that I'm horrible 113 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 1: and like, Okay, well, is this in the category of 114 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: with friends like this, who needs enemies? When Senate Majority 115 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:20,320 Speaker 1: Leader Mitch McConnell, McConnell says Donald Trump needs to pick 116 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 1: and experience running mate because quote, he doesn't know a 117 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 1: lot about the issues and strongly urged him to change 118 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:30,039 Speaker 1: course on his retoric, well, yeah, I mean, look, it's 119 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 1: it's it's now pretty evident that and it has been 120 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 1: for a while, but it's really become dramatically evident in 121 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 1: the wake of the controversies around uh uh Donald Trump's 122 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: racist comments about Judge Curiel that a lot of the 123 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: Republican establishment that kind of tentatively came to embrace Trump 124 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:48,040 Speaker 1: over the course of the last month month and a 125 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:52,119 Speaker 1: half are very uncomfortable with UM, with their standard bearer. 126 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 1: And so you have both Mitch McConnell, Paul Ryan, a 127 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 1: lot of folks UM treading very lightly, and there they can't. 128 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 1: They defend what Trump said, and they say that over 129 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: and over again. They haven't abandoned him yet. So from 130 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 1: the standpoint of Trump, it would be worse if Mitch 131 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: McConnell or Paul Ryan or others did what Centator Mark 132 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: Kirk from Illinois did, which is to withdraw their endorsements 133 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 1: from him entirely. But this is the way it's going 134 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 1: to be, I think throughout this election. I mean, if 135 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: Trump continues to say things that are incendiary and potentially 136 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 1: problematic for the Republican Party UM and it's candidates down ballot, 137 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 1: you're gonna see Republican leaders doing this throughout, which is 138 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: to say, UM, criticizing Trump, sometimes denouncing Trump, distancing themselves 139 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 1: from Trump, but still maintaining at least some kind of 140 00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: superficial level of support. Well, you know, John Howman, you 141 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 1: you know, eight years ago you did a lot of 142 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 1: reporting inside the camps. You know, for for Hillary, for 143 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: Barack Obama, you did produce the great books and all. 144 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 1: So what in this campaign so far was you apply 145 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 1: that kind of reporting skill and that kind of experience. 146 00:07:58,240 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: What are you finding from the Trump camp? Are they 147 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 1: an ready to teach Donald Trump how to be you know, 148 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: big and loud and and you know, be not pleitily correct, 149 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: but not cross over a line. I think that the 150 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 1: there are two fundamental truths that have become clear in 151 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: the last two or three weeks. The first is that 152 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 1: there is no Trump campaign, and the second it is 153 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: is that there's no changing Donald Trump. As you probably 154 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 1: know from your own life, they're not that many men 155 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 1: who are women, who are sixty nine seventy years old, 156 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: who can be trained to be something different from what 157 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:32,080 Speaker 1: they are. So the notion which was popular not that 158 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 1: long ago, which is like Donald Trump wi pivot to 159 00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 1: become a general election candidate. He will be more quote presidential, 160 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:40,679 Speaker 1: he will moderate his tone, he will uh somehow rain 161 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 1: himself in, he will script himself more often. Um. That 162 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 1: is something that may in sporadically work, but it won't 163 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 1: work in a sustained way. Over time, because it's just 164 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 1: not who Trump is, it's not what not just as 165 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 1: a presidential candidate, but as a public figure. I think 166 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:55,959 Speaker 1: that the second thing is that there when I say 167 00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 1: there is no Trump campaign, I mean there are a 168 00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 1: bunch of people around Trump um way fewer than there 169 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:05,200 Speaker 1: would be around any normal presidential candidates still, because the 170 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 1: campaign is having a hard time recruiting serious people to 171 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 1: work there because of the fact that Trump is so 172 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:12,840 Speaker 1: difficult um as a candidate to deal with. UM particularly 173 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,720 Speaker 1: people in the of a younger stripe, which is to say, 174 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 1: like strategists in their twenties, thirties, and forties are staying away. 175 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: But there are a bunch of people they're trying to 176 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 1: corral Donald Trump. But there is no kind of traditional 177 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:27,079 Speaker 1: campaign structure, and the people who would exert a lot 178 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: of authority in a normal presidential campaign exert very little 179 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 1: around Donald Trump. His fundraising apparatus doesn't really is just 180 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 1: starting to come into form, like he's a year and 181 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 1: a half behind in terms of building a fundraising uh infrastructure. 182 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: He has no real field department, he has no data department, 183 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 1: he has no rapid response, he doesn't have a communications director. 184 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 1: He has you know, Hope Picks, who has been his 185 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: press secretary, and the person who deals with the press. 186 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 1: She's a one woman band. Still, you know, the campaign 187 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: manager in chief strategist UM. The two named players there, 188 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:01,920 Speaker 1: Paul Manifert and Korey Lewandowski, UM are you know, have 189 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: some influence over Trump, but nothing like what you would 190 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:08,640 Speaker 1: have seen in the Romney campaign, the Obama campaign, the 191 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 1: Clinton campaign currently. So you know, I think it's to 192 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 1: describe it as chaos is is a little bit probably 193 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 1: not overstated exactly, but that's sort of what's going on 194 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 1: is there's a lot of whaling and nashing of teeth. 195 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: I got a quick file comment from you on the 196 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 1: President's Barack Obama's the videotape piece that was released in 197 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 1: him supporting Hillary Clinton. How would you a grade that? Well, 198 00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: I think the video tape piece is fine for what 199 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:34,839 Speaker 1: it is, but you know, it's a well well done thing. 200 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 1: I think the what you what you really want to 201 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,839 Speaker 1: focus on is just the extraordinary degree of political difficulty 202 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 1: that faced um all of the parties involved coming out 203 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 1: of the California and other primaries on on Tuesday, and 204 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 1: they handled that that minuet, that choreography was handled extraordinarily well, 205 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:53,720 Speaker 1: with a huge amount of cooperation between the White House 206 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 1: and Hillary Clinton's team in Brooklyn. Well John Heileman, I 207 00:10:57,080 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 1: often end to you your job, isn't such a fascinating 208 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,640 Speaker 1: year for politics, And if you're fascinated with politics, you 209 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: better watch with all due respect, Monday through Friday weeknights 210 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: at five pm on Bloomberg Television. You can listen on 211 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:12,559 Speaker 1: Bloomberg in Washington. I'm Kathleen Hayes. This is taking stock 212 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio.