WEBVTT - AI Versus The PC Industry With GamersNexus

0:00:02.800 --> 0:00:03.560
<v Speaker 1>Zone Media.

0:00:05.440 --> 0:00:08.799
<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to bear Offline. We are not a car.

0:00:09.280 --> 0:00:11.719
<v Speaker 2>This is a podcast, not a car, and I am

0:00:11.840 --> 0:00:27.120
<v Speaker 2>ed Zetra. Today we have returning champions Steve Burke of

0:00:27.200 --> 0:00:29.520
<v Speaker 2>Gamers Nexus joining us to talk about a little company

0:00:29.520 --> 0:00:32.720
<v Speaker 2>called Video. Hey doing Steve, I'm also not a car.

0:00:33.120 --> 0:00:36.040
<v Speaker 2>Good stuff. I was just making sure, just checking are

0:00:36.080 --> 0:00:39.960
<v Speaker 2>you triggered as well, because based on the Stanford video,

0:00:40.800 --> 0:00:43.919
<v Speaker 2>there's an interview with Jensen woggot Stanford. He appears to

0:00:43.960 --> 0:00:46.640
<v Speaker 2>have been both triggered but also not mad at the

0:00:46.680 --> 0:00:47.240
<v Speaker 2>same time.

0:00:47.880 --> 0:00:54.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well, I mean he definitely seemed a little sensitive

0:00:54.600 --> 0:00:55.280
<v Speaker 3>in that one.

0:00:55.360 --> 0:00:57.800
<v Speaker 2>It's interesting, So just to be clear to the audience,

0:00:57.840 --> 0:01:00.480
<v Speaker 2>there was an interview about a month ago or two

0:01:00.520 --> 0:01:03.560
<v Speaker 2>ago with Jensen Huang on the Dwarkesh podcast, which is

0:01:03.600 --> 0:01:07.880
<v Speaker 2>a podcast that's both very fluffy but also occasionally has

0:01:07.959 --> 0:01:11.480
<v Speaker 2>sentient thoughts, and there was this bizarre bit where I

0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:14.360
<v Speaker 2>forget what the question leading in was, It's something about

0:01:14.440 --> 0:01:17.080
<v Speaker 2>China perhaps, and Jensen Wang just gets pissed on goes

0:01:17.200 --> 0:01:19.440
<v Speaker 2>we are not a car. We are not a car,

0:01:19.720 --> 0:01:21.319
<v Speaker 2>and it's just he.

0:01:21.800 --> 0:01:25.040
<v Speaker 3>Also, I think that was the same podcast right where

0:01:25.040 --> 0:01:28.720
<v Speaker 3>he was like, I'm not a loser. America is not

0:01:28.760 --> 0:01:31.880
<v Speaker 3>a loser. We're not losers like he wound this.

0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:33.760
<v Speaker 2>This is I say this as a I was a

0:01:33.840 --> 0:01:36.280
<v Speaker 2>very fat child and I was bullied a great deal.

0:01:36.520 --> 0:01:38.800
<v Speaker 2>Let me tell you something. When someone's saying they're not

0:01:39.000 --> 0:01:43.039
<v Speaker 2>upset that they're not a loser, they are like they

0:01:43.440 --> 0:01:46.680
<v Speaker 2>they are, just that's them saying it. Except I was.

0:01:47.440 --> 0:01:52.000
<v Speaker 2>I was just large. I wasn't a five trillion dollar company.

0:01:52.120 --> 0:01:55.040
<v Speaker 2>It really feels like Jensen is starting to go off

0:01:55.080 --> 0:01:55.880
<v Speaker 2>the wheels a bit.

0:01:56.440 --> 0:01:59.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And I don't know if it's because it could

0:01:59.200 --> 0:02:00.960
<v Speaker 3>I guess it could be all the things. It could

0:02:00.960 --> 0:02:04.360
<v Speaker 3>be he's gotten to a size where he just doesn't

0:02:04.360 --> 0:02:07.160
<v Speaker 3>care anymore. Maybe he is so important he's just dropped

0:02:07.240 --> 0:02:08.840
<v Speaker 3>like that's just how he is, and he's kind of

0:02:08.880 --> 0:02:12.799
<v Speaker 3>dropped the actor, or you know, maybe it's a top

0:02:12.880 --> 0:02:13.920
<v Speaker 3>endicit or I don't know.

0:02:14.320 --> 0:02:16.720
<v Speaker 2>I think it's more likely that because here's the thing.

0:02:16.800 --> 0:02:20.840
<v Speaker 2>If we're talking about this. A few episodes back in

0:02:20.880 --> 0:02:24.360
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty five, he was signing Woman's Boobs. He was

0:02:24.720 --> 0:02:27.240
<v Speaker 2>he was all swaggy. He'd go out on stage at

0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:29.600
<v Speaker 2>GtC and just be like, the more you buy, the

0:02:29.600 --> 0:02:32.840
<v Speaker 2>more you say we're the best, and everyone was cheering

0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:35.840
<v Speaker 2>for him and he was like a rock star. Now

0:02:35.919 --> 0:02:39.760
<v Speaker 2>he seems like Boakeshpottel is twenty three years old. If

0:02:39.760 --> 0:02:41.760
<v Speaker 2>a twenty three year old was it was rude to me.

0:02:41.800 --> 0:02:44.640
<v Speaker 2>Other than the numerous times they are online, I would

0:02:44.639 --> 0:02:47.960
<v Speaker 2>I would just be like, Okay, it's not that not

0:02:48.000 --> 0:02:48.800
<v Speaker 2>that big a deal.

0:02:48.880 --> 0:02:52.600
<v Speaker 3>Especially if your companies worth trillions of dollars.

0:02:52.160 --> 0:02:54.360
<v Speaker 2>And the quote is just a quote. We are not

0:02:54.800 --> 0:02:56.760
<v Speaker 2>we are not a car. We are not a car.

0:02:56.880 --> 0:02:58.680
<v Speaker 2>The fact that I can buy this car brand one

0:02:58.760 --> 0:03:01.000
<v Speaker 2>day and use another car brand the other day easy

0:03:01.200 --> 0:03:04.280
<v Speaker 2>computing is not like that. There's a reason why why

0:03:04.360 --> 0:03:06.919
<v Speaker 2>the XA six deal exists. There's a reason why ARM

0:03:07.000 --> 0:03:10.880
<v Speaker 2>is so sticky. These ecosystems are hard to replace. Oh no,

0:03:11.560 --> 0:03:12.920
<v Speaker 2>if that, I mean, like.

0:03:13.000 --> 0:03:14.480
<v Speaker 3>It's not really a clean analogy.

0:03:15.400 --> 0:03:18.560
<v Speaker 2>It's also the kind of thing. It's also insane that

0:03:18.560 --> 0:03:20.880
<v Speaker 2>they've got to this point without having a cleaner one

0:03:20.919 --> 0:03:21.200
<v Speaker 2>than that.

0:03:22.639 --> 0:03:25.880
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, it's that's easy to poke holes. And

0:03:25.919 --> 0:03:27.360
<v Speaker 3>I get what he's trying to say. I get it.

0:03:27.400 --> 0:03:30.440
<v Speaker 3>Like the architecture is, yes, it's difficult to move off of.

0:03:30.520 --> 0:03:34.880
<v Speaker 3>But also on the consumer side, which is what he's

0:03:34.960 --> 0:03:37.800
<v Speaker 3>talking about with buying a car and then buying a

0:03:37.800 --> 0:03:43.920
<v Speaker 3>different one, you can in fact do exactly that with GPUs.

0:03:44.240 --> 0:03:46.040
<v Speaker 2>So like, yeah, I get what.

0:03:46.000 --> 0:03:50.960
<v Speaker 3>He means more on the business side, but it is uh,

0:03:52.880 --> 0:04:00.480
<v Speaker 3>I don't It's just such a sensitive topic for him lately,

0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:02.880
<v Speaker 3>and I don't understand if that's coming from a place

0:04:02.880 --> 0:04:06.560
<v Speaker 3>of insecurity or I don't know. Just at this point,

0:04:06.880 --> 0:04:09.320
<v Speaker 3>you know who you need to have on It's not me.

0:04:09.560 --> 0:04:15.120
<v Speaker 3>It's like a therapist, Toshy analyze. He's like a therapist

0:04:15.400 --> 0:04:16.880
<v Speaker 3>to break down his mental state.

0:04:17.000 --> 0:04:19.760
<v Speaker 2>A director's commentary style, thinking like well, okay, stop there.

0:04:19.800 --> 0:04:21.400
<v Speaker 2>You see when he says he has a car, this

0:04:21.480 --> 0:04:24.200
<v Speaker 2>is a sign that just like in here, he's he's

0:04:24.200 --> 0:04:27.800
<v Speaker 2>gonna cry. But they paused there. I So my theory

0:04:27.920 --> 0:04:29.640
<v Speaker 2>is and we kin, we kind of talked about this

0:04:29.720 --> 0:04:31.200
<v Speaker 2>and then we're not dipped into it a tom But

0:04:31.600 --> 0:04:33.920
<v Speaker 2>there was a short cell report from Corporate Research that

0:04:33.960 --> 0:04:37.360
<v Speaker 2>came out that suggested that over twenty percent of Nvidia's

0:04:37.920 --> 0:04:41.280
<v Speaker 2>fiscal year twenty twenty six revenue came from China, right

0:04:41.360 --> 0:04:44.640
<v Speaker 2>through a company called Megaspeed. I think what it might

0:04:44.760 --> 0:04:49.000
<v Speaker 2>be is that he really does need China. I think

0:04:49.040 --> 0:04:52.080
<v Speaker 2>it may be as simple as he really needs China.

0:04:52.160 --> 0:04:57.200
<v Speaker 2>He needs China so bad, and Chinese GPUs terrify him

0:04:57.400 --> 0:05:00.920
<v Speaker 2>in a way that that he's like the he's perhaps

0:05:00.960 --> 0:05:04.640
<v Speaker 2>not willing to willing to totally ye talk about. And

0:05:04.720 --> 0:05:08.440
<v Speaker 2>also he's not scared of am D. I don't think them.

0:05:08.480 --> 0:05:12.120
<v Speaker 2>I instincts are gonna get a scare and video at

0:05:12.160 --> 0:05:13.400
<v Speaker 2>all that would require.

0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:16.440
<v Speaker 3>I don't think so. I Also, I think a m

0:05:16.520 --> 0:05:20.359
<v Speaker 3>D is a known quantity at this point for Johnson, Yeah,

0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:25.560
<v Speaker 3>and their strategies are known, their technology is known. It's

0:05:25.600 --> 0:05:31.200
<v Speaker 3>really it's the the unknown technologies and strategy is probably

0:05:31.200 --> 0:05:32.760
<v Speaker 3>what he needs to worry about. And right now, most

0:05:32.760 --> 0:05:36.360
<v Speaker 3>of that's coming from Chinese companies. There's there's a lot

0:05:36.400 --> 0:05:40.839
<v Speaker 3>of them. I we have some coverage coming up on Yeah,

0:05:41.000 --> 0:05:44.080
<v Speaker 3>on Chinese GPUs, the rise of them kind of like

0:05:44.080 --> 0:05:50.080
<v Speaker 3>our rise of Chinese memory video and they get It's interesting.

0:05:50.120 --> 0:05:53.880
<v Speaker 3>It's interesting to watch companies like Jaoshan, which makes CPUs,

0:05:54.360 --> 0:05:57.120
<v Speaker 3>come to market and when they do in the consumer space,

0:05:57.680 --> 0:06:00.720
<v Speaker 3>they get kind of ship on for being a couple

0:06:00.800 --> 0:06:02.880
<v Speaker 3>generations behind, because I remember when some of their first

0:06:02.880 --> 0:06:06.280
<v Speaker 3>cps came out and the early media reports that tested

0:06:06.320 --> 0:06:08.800
<v Speaker 3>it were, oh, they're about the same as a three

0:06:08.880 --> 0:06:14.400
<v Speaker 3>or four generation old Intel CPU, And like I the

0:06:14.480 --> 0:06:20.000
<v Speaker 3>perspective was one of mockery. But I think that should

0:06:20.080 --> 0:06:23.440
<v Speaker 3>really concern some of these companies because like, if you

0:06:23.560 --> 0:06:28.960
<v Speaker 3>come from nowhere, Silicon is not an easy technology. Architectures hard,

0:06:29.400 --> 0:06:30.960
<v Speaker 3>and if you come out of nowhere and you're like

0:06:31.040 --> 0:06:35.000
<v Speaker 3>four generations back instantaneously, that should be pretty scary, I

0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:38.320
<v Speaker 3>think for the companies that are in the space, because

0:06:38.800 --> 0:06:41.920
<v Speaker 3>it's it's the getting started that's the hard.

0:06:41.720 --> 0:06:44.560
<v Speaker 2>Part, right What do you mean by that? What is

0:06:44.600 --> 0:06:46.239
<v Speaker 2>the getting started in this case?

0:06:46.440 --> 0:06:49.440
<v Speaker 3>The getting started in this case, at least in the

0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:52.240
<v Speaker 3>scope of China, is largely going to be things like

0:06:52.279 --> 0:06:55.320
<v Speaker 3>figuring out your fab. So who's going to make the product?

0:06:55.960 --> 0:06:57.800
<v Speaker 3>Do they have the technology to make it? And if

0:06:57.800 --> 0:06:59.279
<v Speaker 3>they don't, how do you kind of work within the

0:06:59.320 --> 0:07:01.000
<v Speaker 3>limitations of what you have access to?

0:07:01.560 --> 0:07:01.680
<v Speaker 1>Right?

0:07:02.200 --> 0:07:02.360
<v Speaker 2>Right?

0:07:02.440 --> 0:07:07.839
<v Speaker 3>Because technically TSMC is not supposed to make products for

0:07:07.920 --> 0:07:11.000
<v Speaker 3>like Chinese GPUs or I mean sometimes it kind of

0:07:11.000 --> 0:07:15.320
<v Speaker 3>happens anyway, but in the past, but there's limitations of

0:07:15.320 --> 0:07:18.600
<v Speaker 3>the fab that's a big challenge for them. And then

0:07:19.280 --> 0:07:25.760
<v Speaker 3>there's also just the actual first coming up with an

0:07:25.920 --> 0:07:30.120
<v Speaker 3>architectural design. Once you have that, you can iterate on

0:07:30.200 --> 0:07:34.240
<v Speaker 3>it and make changes that advance it. But getting anything

0:07:34.320 --> 0:07:37.520
<v Speaker 3>to work at all, that's that's the hard part, right.

0:07:37.560 --> 0:07:40.200
<v Speaker 3>So once they pass that barrier and they have a

0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:43.040
<v Speaker 3>fab that can make it from there, you just iterate.

0:07:43.120 --> 0:07:45.200
<v Speaker 3>And as long as they have some customers, they yeah,

0:07:45.200 --> 0:07:47.960
<v Speaker 3>they can like any other company, they just iterate. And

0:07:48.600 --> 0:07:52.320
<v Speaker 3>if China has a built in pool of customers because

0:07:52.320 --> 0:07:56.880
<v Speaker 3>they have restricted access to external hardware, then whether or

0:07:56.880 --> 0:08:01.920
<v Speaker 3>not they're competitive, they're they're gonna have buy because yeah.

0:08:02.000 --> 0:08:03.640
<v Speaker 2>Well the other thing is as well, and this is

0:08:04.000 --> 0:08:06.720
<v Speaker 2>one of my own personal things is I also have

0:08:06.760 --> 0:08:09.960
<v Speaker 2>to wonder if there's not this whole thing I've been

0:08:10.000 --> 0:08:12.160
<v Speaker 2>said about data center's not getting built. And when I

0:08:12.200 --> 0:08:14.440
<v Speaker 2>say that, because I always get one comment from someone saying,

0:08:14.520 --> 0:08:18.040
<v Speaker 2>actually I just saw one being built near me, and uh,

0:08:18.600 --> 0:08:21.800
<v Speaker 2>people just with I assume no object permanence, which like

0:08:21.920 --> 0:08:24.800
<v Speaker 2>I sought one, even though I'm saying they're not getting finished.

0:08:25.360 --> 0:08:28.560
<v Speaker 2>If that's the case, I imagine that's quite scary to get.

0:08:28.600 --> 0:08:31.040
<v Speaker 2>Maybe this isn't it, but I imagine that's quite scary

0:08:31.040 --> 0:08:34.480
<v Speaker 2>to Jensen as well, because if these things aren't getting

0:08:34.600 --> 0:08:38.040
<v Speaker 2>built and China is saying we don't need these GPUs,

0:08:38.360 --> 0:08:43.280
<v Speaker 2>then that makes vera Rubin a much weirder proposition as well,

0:08:43.320 --> 0:08:45.720
<v Speaker 2>because it's like, Okay, if China doesn't need these and

0:08:46.080 --> 0:08:47.800
<v Speaker 2>we don't have the space for the new ones, where

0:08:47.800 --> 0:08:50.240
<v Speaker 2>would we buy the new ones or what would we

0:08:50.280 --> 0:08:52.040
<v Speaker 2>do with these old ones? Do we just junk them?

0:08:52.920 --> 0:08:54.719
<v Speaker 2>Is the walls kind of closing infamous to one?

0:08:55.480 --> 0:08:59.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah? I think so, I will say, though on the

0:08:59.679 --> 0:09:01.720
<v Speaker 3>premier of death and are not being built. I'm not

0:09:01.720 --> 0:09:04.720
<v Speaker 3>sure if you saw, but Oracle has a very nice

0:09:04.880 --> 0:09:07.240
<v Speaker 3>beam in the ground, several of them.

0:09:07.520 --> 0:09:10.960
<v Speaker 2>I love that. There's one photo I forget which data

0:09:11.000 --> 0:09:13.680
<v Speaker 2>center is. There's just they put up the first steel

0:09:13.720 --> 0:09:16.320
<v Speaker 2>beam I think in Wisconsin and there's one bloke with

0:09:16.400 --> 0:09:19.160
<v Speaker 2>his hand on it and three others walking up. Yeah,

0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:23.120
<v Speaker 2>And it's just it's so good because it's like, yeah, yeah,

0:09:23.440 --> 0:09:25.680
<v Speaker 2>I've seen this in London a hundred times, like a

0:09:25.679 --> 0:09:28.760
<v Speaker 2>bunch of guys with hard hats going or my yellow

0:09:28.880 --> 0:09:31.560
<v Speaker 2>to it's going to take a minute or is it stable?

0:09:31.559 --> 0:09:34.200
<v Speaker 2>We better lean on it another minute, mate. It's so

0:09:34.679 --> 0:09:37.200
<v Speaker 2>it is funny watching that happen. But it is also

0:09:38.320 --> 0:09:40.880
<v Speaker 2>so very weird that going back to the Stanford thing

0:09:40.920 --> 0:09:43.559
<v Speaker 2>as well, at that moment where it's like, oh, thank

0:09:43.600 --> 0:09:48.320
<v Speaker 2>you for triggering me again. These are children, These are children.

0:09:48.360 --> 0:09:50.560
<v Speaker 2>These are children with questions that you should be ready for.

0:09:50.600 --> 0:09:53.040
<v Speaker 2>But these are children. How do you and your seventeen

0:09:53.120 --> 0:09:56.640
<v Speaker 2>thousand dollars leather jacket not just reflect these unless there

0:09:56.640 --> 0:09:59.560
<v Speaker 2>are like very simple problems.

0:09:59.080 --> 0:10:01.880
<v Speaker 3>Here on that. That one was interesting too because that

0:10:02.360 --> 0:10:04.880
<v Speaker 3>segment he gets into I'm not sure who the guy

0:10:05.000 --> 0:10:08.040
<v Speaker 3>was sitting with him. I assume someone who works for Stanford.

0:10:09.240 --> 0:10:13.880
<v Speaker 3>He's the guy okay, yeah, yeah, yeah right, the guy

0:10:13.920 --> 0:10:17.560
<v Speaker 3>fielding the questions, though he makes a count at one

0:10:17.559 --> 0:10:19.400
<v Speaker 3>point where he says, you know, we at Stanford have

0:10:19.480 --> 0:10:22.600
<v Speaker 3>a forty billion dollar endowment, and he's talking about how

0:10:23.160 --> 0:10:27.920
<v Speaker 3>they're having trouble getting access to compute and GPUs and

0:10:28.720 --> 0:10:32.120
<v Speaker 3>Jensen effectively me paraphrasing it, but not that much. He

0:10:32.160 --> 0:10:36.120
<v Speaker 3>effectively says, you just need money, like you, And he

0:10:36.160 --> 0:10:37.520
<v Speaker 3>talks about how the first thing he would do is

0:10:37.559 --> 0:10:39.280
<v Speaker 3>cut a billion dollars and send it off to a

0:10:39.320 --> 0:10:44.679
<v Speaker 3>cloud data data center service provider for compute, as opposed

0:10:44.720 --> 0:10:48.440
<v Speaker 3>to you know, buying and having their own solution in house,

0:10:49.040 --> 0:10:58.160
<v Speaker 3>which that I think also is it's concerning because it's

0:10:58.360 --> 0:11:00.560
<v Speaker 3>the thing we've been worried about in then ssumer space

0:11:00.559 --> 0:11:02.560
<v Speaker 3>for a while, which is that you'll own nothing. And

0:11:02.679 --> 0:11:03.960
<v Speaker 3>you know, the companies.

0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:06.959
<v Speaker 2>Right right, they want to get away from providing anything

0:11:07.000 --> 0:11:08.760
<v Speaker 2>other than dumb clients, right.

0:11:08.720 --> 0:11:12.160
<v Speaker 3>Except this is we're not talking about a guy who's

0:11:12.200 --> 0:11:14.400
<v Speaker 3>saying he can't get a GPU for video games. We're

0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:20.280
<v Speaker 3>talking about like a university that's considering whatever, hundreds of

0:11:20.280 --> 0:11:23.960
<v Speaker 3>millions or a billion dollars of spend and Jensen's telling

0:11:24.120 --> 0:11:27.959
<v Speaker 3>them to fuck off and use laptops to connect to

0:11:28.000 --> 0:11:32.600
<v Speaker 3>a cloud provider. And to me, it just it kind

0:11:32.600 --> 0:11:36.960
<v Speaker 3>of seems like they're being a lot more open with

0:11:37.400 --> 0:11:44.720
<v Speaker 3>the concept that owning the devices is dead and it's

0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:47.680
<v Speaker 3>all going to cloud, and that is he was talking about. Well,

0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:49.280
<v Speaker 3>you know, you see people today, they all have a

0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:52.640
<v Speaker 3>laptop and they connect and the compute's not local anymore.

0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:56.120
<v Speaker 3>That's what he's talking about, and that should scare a

0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:56.560
<v Speaker 3>lot of people.

0:11:56.559 --> 0:11:59.559
<v Speaker 2>How likely do you think that actually is though, because

0:12:00.320 --> 0:12:06.240
<v Speaker 2>know it just with the speed of internet connections, I

0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:10.720
<v Speaker 2>just don't know what like I don't know how like

0:12:10.840 --> 0:12:13.360
<v Speaker 2>practically it would be. But no, these people don't really

0:12:13.400 --> 0:12:16.280
<v Speaker 2>give a fuck, Like I think that Jensen Wong doesn't

0:12:16.280 --> 0:12:18.439
<v Speaker 2>give a fuck about other countries outside of how many

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:23.040
<v Speaker 2>GPUs they buy. But it's like I was on an airplane. Yes,

0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:24.760
<v Speaker 2>I was on an airplane. It's one hundred years old,

0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:26.960
<v Speaker 2>and like I could barely connect to the internet if

0:12:27.000 --> 0:12:30.880
<v Speaker 2>at all. That alone makes me feel like this might

0:12:30.920 --> 0:12:33.080
<v Speaker 2>not be or is the suggestion that this would be

0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:35.400
<v Speaker 2>like a very classist thing. This would be like if

0:12:35.400 --> 0:12:37.680
<v Speaker 2>you the only laptop you can afford is one that

0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:41.560
<v Speaker 2>is effectively just a device that connects to the cloud.

0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 3>I do think you start to see it cause segregation

0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:50.319
<v Speaker 3>by class in terms of access to hardware, although that's

0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:56.160
<v Speaker 3>maybe not unique to this industry, but the the likelihood

0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:58.880
<v Speaker 3>just to pull a number g fours now, which is

0:12:58.920 --> 0:13:04.280
<v Speaker 3>the low end online gaming service game streaming to basically

0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 3>any device. Yeah, they claim to have thirty million users

0:13:07.600 --> 0:13:10.520
<v Speaker 3>for that hu which seems like a lot.

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:17.959
<v Speaker 2>That also really yeah this is g force now.

0:13:18.240 --> 0:13:20.840
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, g Force now, there's a public document that they

0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:22.560
<v Speaker 3>talk about thirty million users.

0:13:22.640 --> 0:13:27.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, thirty million users. I don't know that that just

0:13:27.559 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 2>feels very I'm just thinking of the PC gaming industry,

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:35.440
<v Speaker 2>like I for something of that scale, you would, I

0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:38.640
<v Speaker 2>just maybe I'm just terribly ignorant. That just feels very

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.720
<v Speaker 2>high to me, because like every other game streaming service.

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:46.439
<v Speaker 3>I mean, they might be pumping their numbers because they

0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:50.199
<v Speaker 3>do have an AD supported free tier.

0:13:50.840 --> 0:13:52.760
<v Speaker 2>Well here's the thing. I just looked this up while

0:13:52.800 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 2>on air. There are thirty five million subscribers to Xbox

0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:56.480
<v Speaker 2>Game Pass.

0:13:57.320 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 2>I'll find it very unlikely that video which has failed

0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:06.400
<v Speaker 2>to like they failed every single other like software like

0:14:07.160 --> 0:14:11.280
<v Speaker 2>the omniverse, you know your for you and my favorite subject,

0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:14.640
<v Speaker 2>the omniverse like a terrible face. Have they ever succeeded

0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 2>with any kind of external thing other than hardware? Yeah,

0:14:20.200 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 2>exactly not. I just I don't believe that they have

0:14:23.440 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 2>nearly as many, even with an AD support thing.

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 3>So they have a PDF called Nvidio dash Story pdf

0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 3>our Story twenty twenty five and in here is where

0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 3>they I'll have to send it to you, and here's

0:14:41.440 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 3>where they. Yeah, over thirty million members in more than

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:48.320
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and ten countries now have access to more

0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:49.400
<v Speaker 3>than nineteen hundred.

0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Ah, there you go, there's your thirty million members over

0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:59.760
<v Speaker 2>a nonspecific period now have access could theoretically use so

0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 2>that thirty million people have signed up and given an

0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 2>email address. Yeah beautiful.

0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:10.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and so like how how likely that is? I'm

0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:13.080
<v Speaker 3>not sure, but that that's an interesting story because I

0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 3>just learned thanks to the recent Force Now partner breach, right, Yeah,

0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 3>that Nvidia has partners to propagate this service kind of

0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:26.239
<v Speaker 3>like some kind of like a Wi Fi range extender.

0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:28.480
<v Speaker 2>Makes sense, That makes some sense.

0:15:28.760 --> 0:15:32.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And I guess that's to try and solve what

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 3>you're talking about, which is the latency issue. I mean,

0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 3>the US is pretty willfully far behind right in a

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 3>lot of places for Internet where it's just non viable.

0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 2>It's all just a very strange time. Actually, before I

0:15:59.040 --> 0:16:01.880
<v Speaker 2>go any further though, what is this g Force breach

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:04.080
<v Speaker 2>you mentioned to me just before we came on the call,

0:16:04.080 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 2>and I realized we should give it some an time.

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's so the hacking group Shiny Hunters, or someone

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 3>at least posing as them. It's kind of the funny

0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:20.240
<v Speaker 3>thing with the hacking groups. It's difficult to verify. Sometimes

0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:22.200
<v Speaker 3>they impersonate each other and there's no real good way

0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:27.680
<v Speaker 3>to verify it. But a user representing Shiny Hunters posted

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 3>on a breach forum basically dark web stuff with an

0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:35.600
<v Speaker 3>offer to sell I think it was for one hundred

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 3>thousand dollars a data packet where they claimed that they

0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:46.720
<v Speaker 3>had breached and harvested data including two factor authentication information,

0:16:47.160 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 3>Jesus access flags, usernames, dates of birth, things like that,

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:56.360
<v Speaker 3>and they're offering it for sale for I think it

0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:58.400
<v Speaker 3>was one hundred grand I'd have to check. And that

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:01.160
<v Speaker 3>was on a forum they said. They wrote it as

0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:04.359
<v Speaker 3>if they had compromised all of Nvidia G Force now

0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:08.000
<v Speaker 3>and Video responded within a couple of days and said,

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:12.560
<v Speaker 3>we've looked into this. Nope, what they've compromised is one

0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:14.919
<v Speaker 3>of our partners representing the Armenia region.

0:17:15.800 --> 0:17:16.240
<v Speaker 2>Uh.

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:18.320
<v Speaker 3>And then Video kind of pointed the finger to just

0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:22.320
<v Speaker 3>Armenia for the breach, that the partner actually does service

0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:25.200
<v Speaker 3>other countries as well and regions, so like, I think

0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:28.320
<v Speaker 3>it's I want to take Kazakhstan and news Backstan. And

0:17:29.160 --> 0:17:31.479
<v Speaker 3>they didn't talk about if any of them were breached,

0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:33.760
<v Speaker 3>so it could actually be wirer than Nvideo is representing.

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:37.320
<v Speaker 2>But anyway, doesn't I find it hard to believe in

0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:39.440
<v Speaker 2>Video would misrepresents something.

0:17:40.800 --> 0:17:44.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, straightforward, Yeah, never any slipper rewording.

0:17:45.320 --> 0:17:51.760
<v Speaker 2>But let's change tag to China, China, China, China, and

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 2>this is so you've got you. We just what matched

0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:58.360
<v Speaker 2>us up for this episode was that GPU smuggling thing,

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:00.640
<v Speaker 2>and we can talk about the super micro stuff, which

0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:04.040
<v Speaker 2>I think rocks. I think that I've this whole time.

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:07.000
<v Speaker 2>All of these scumbags have been scummy, but in a

0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:11.960
<v Speaker 2>very boring way. There's not been any goofy science fiction

0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:16.240
<v Speaker 2>share or hair dryers and the fact that this that

0:18:16.359 --> 0:18:19.080
<v Speaker 2>Wali Leao was going one of the blokes was going

0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:22.720
<v Speaker 2>into the warehouses and just kind of hair drying off

0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:24.280
<v Speaker 2>the cereal them. But I know we might have talked

0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:25.879
<v Speaker 2>about this last time, but it was funny enough to

0:18:25.880 --> 0:18:28.720
<v Speaker 2>go over again. I love it. I think it's hilarious.

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:32.280
<v Speaker 3>And there were a lot of interesting things in the

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:36.200
<v Speaker 3>timeline where a lot of the stuff happened in August

0:18:36.680 --> 0:18:41.320
<v Speaker 3>and some of the investigation in August, and that was

0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:44.280
<v Speaker 3>the same time we ran our report and we were

0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 3>digging into some of that stuff too, and a lot

0:18:46.880 --> 0:18:50.280
<v Speaker 3>of it matched what we found where you know, during

0:18:50.280 --> 0:18:55.840
<v Speaker 3>our Black Market GP report, we did talk to Taiwanese

0:18:55.920 --> 0:19:00.520
<v Speaker 3>company and a company that operates also in Singapore, and

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:02.880
<v Speaker 3>one of the things we learned was that they'll act

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:06.080
<v Speaker 3>as intermediaries where this one company I couldn't show them

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:08.719
<v Speaker 3>or anything on camera back then, but we talked about it. Yeah,

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:13.960
<v Speaker 3>they work to bring in nvidio. I want to say

0:19:13.960 --> 0:19:17.119
<v Speaker 3>it was GB two hundred, Maybee three hundred, GB two

0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:22.919
<v Speaker 3>hundred systems, so like actual racks of hardware. Yeah, like

0:19:23.040 --> 0:19:26.680
<v Speaker 3>actual you know, full racks, and they'll bring them into

0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:31.800
<v Speaker 3>Taiwan and run testing. So it's a testing house. They

0:19:31.800 --> 0:19:36.160
<v Speaker 3>do pre testing before it gets deployed. They do configuration

0:19:36.320 --> 0:19:39.440
<v Speaker 3>stuff like that on behalf of other companies, not for themselves,

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 3>and their clients were in China. I remember talking to

0:19:43.520 --> 0:19:46.080
<v Speaker 3>them about it because there's just showing us these GPU

0:19:46.160 --> 0:19:50.000
<v Speaker 3>racks and explaining that, oh, we test it and you know,

0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:52.360
<v Speaker 3>it's for a company in China that we work with,

0:19:53.119 --> 0:19:57.359
<v Speaker 3>and they seemed somewhat oblivious to the fact that this

0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:00.359
<v Speaker 3>is not supposed to happen as they were giving us

0:20:00.359 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 3>all this information. Was it, yeah, go on, sorry, Yeah,

0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:06.639
<v Speaker 3>So I mean they basically test it, forward it and

0:20:07.640 --> 0:20:11.119
<v Speaker 3>that was what we reported, and that's also exactly what

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:16.520
<v Speaker 3>back last year Jensen was regularly talking about all these things.

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:19.200
<v Speaker 3>They weighed thousands of pounds. It's not like some small

0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:22.520
<v Speaker 3>potato chip you can put in your pocket. Yeah right,

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:27.600
<v Speaker 3>And it's a total misrepresentation to your earlier point. And

0:20:27.680 --> 0:20:30.679
<v Speaker 3>as far as we could tell, like this, this is

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 3>not it's not like they're just smuggling in GPUs and

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:36.720
<v Speaker 3>crates of lobster and shrimp, which has also happened, by

0:20:36.760 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 3>the way, but actually completed server product.

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:43.920
<v Speaker 2>But the thing is, I didn't realize. I guess you

0:20:43.920 --> 0:20:45.840
<v Speaker 2>couldn't have set back then. I didn't realize it was

0:20:45.880 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 2>an MVL seventy two.

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:49.159
<v Speaker 3>I'm not sure if it was an MVL seventy two,

0:20:49.200 --> 0:20:51.000
<v Speaker 3>which it was a two hundred rack, I don't know

0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:52.000
<v Speaker 3>how many were in there.

0:20:52.080 --> 0:20:55.080
<v Speaker 2>But if it was like a full rank, that's still good.

0:20:55.160 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 2>That was last year as well. If they had GB

0:20:57.600 --> 0:21:00.159
<v Speaker 2>two hundreds, yeah, I mean I should have really us

0:21:00.280 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 2>at the time, but like, well, I don't know if

0:21:01.800 --> 0:21:04.639
<v Speaker 2>you could have actually disclosed. But that's the thing, Like,

0:21:05.200 --> 0:21:08.800
<v Speaker 2>because these various reports, the super Micro one, the Culpur report,

0:21:08.960 --> 0:21:10.520
<v Speaker 2>they will come back to a thing which is in

0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 2>video frames. It as oh, nothing has got through or

0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 2>if anything did. It's just a few things. You couldn't

0:21:16.480 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 2>get the big stuff through. But every report seems to

0:21:19.000 --> 0:21:22.280
<v Speaker 2>be like, yeah, entire racks are making it over. Yeah,

0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:25.359
<v Speaker 2>we've got and they have dummy servers, which is the

0:21:25.400 --> 0:21:27.520
<v Speaker 2>craziest shit they have just like fake ones.

0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:29.439
<v Speaker 3>That's fascinating to me.

0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:31.080
<v Speaker 2>I wonder what's in them.

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:36.800
<v Speaker 3>It's yeah, it is, I guess, brilliant and like it's

0:21:36.800 --> 0:21:39.119
<v Speaker 3>a very dumb solution. I don't mean that in a

0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:42.120
<v Speaker 3>mean way, right, Like it's just how do we how

0:21:42.119 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 3>do we trick the inspectors, because basically inspectors will come

0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:49.960
<v Speaker 3>through to ensure compliance, make sure that people who handle

0:21:50.040 --> 0:21:54.760
<v Speaker 3>large amounts of these restricted GPUs, just like I guess

0:21:54.760 --> 0:21:56.480
<v Speaker 3>handling large amounts of I don't know, if you're in

0:21:56.480 --> 0:21:59.320
<v Speaker 3>the pharmaceuticals industry, there's probably some level of inspection also,

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:03.560
<v Speaker 3>and they inspect it, make sure it's compliant, and sign

0:22:03.600 --> 0:22:05.560
<v Speaker 3>off on it. And so you work with third parties

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:11.600
<v Speaker 3>for this process and to pass inspection. They had, like

0:22:11.640 --> 0:22:14.840
<v Speaker 3>you said, used hair dryers to remove serial numbers and labels,

0:22:15.200 --> 0:22:19.119
<v Speaker 3>and then they had staged dummy servers that were compliant

0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:24.480
<v Speaker 3>to kind of disguise the real operation that's the day.

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:27.400
<v Speaker 2>So I guess it's only a physical inspection.

0:22:28.880 --> 0:22:31.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm not sure. I was wondering that too, because

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:36.679
<v Speaker 3>I did read the entire report, and unfortunately the DJ

0:22:36.920 --> 0:22:40.840
<v Speaker 3>had screenshots of the warehouse, but they didn't. It was

0:22:40.880 --> 0:22:44.520
<v Speaker 3>like screenshots of surveillance camera footage, but no actual surveillance

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:48.000
<v Speaker 3>camera footage I can find. So from everything we know,

0:22:48.040 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 3>it looks like a physical inspection. I don't know that

0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:52.679
<v Speaker 3>there's ever a power on. If there is, though, you

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 3>could still do dummy servers for that, but I'm not

0:22:57.400 --> 0:22:59.359
<v Speaker 3>sure you know what it is.

0:22:59.359 --> 0:23:01.760
<v Speaker 2>They It's good to turn out that you do more

0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:05.560
<v Speaker 2>thorough testing than the DOJ, because think about like, I mean,

0:23:05.680 --> 0:23:08.320
<v Speaker 2>you do this, you know obviously hundreds of times more

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:10.960
<v Speaker 2>than this about this than I do. But surely you

0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:13.320
<v Speaker 2>could run a simple like load test on it or

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 2>something that would like be like, okay, this could do this, Yeah, I.

0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:22.440
<v Speaker 3>Mean you could. It's it's easier to make something underperform

0:23:22.640 --> 0:23:25.919
<v Speaker 3>obviously than overperform, so if they need to bring something

0:23:25.960 --> 0:23:28.600
<v Speaker 3>down to look like it's a lower and part, they could,

0:23:28.600 --> 0:23:32.280
<v Speaker 3>But the probably really run into one physical inspection if

0:23:32.320 --> 0:23:34.359
<v Speaker 3>someone knows that they're looking at you'll be able to

0:23:34.400 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 3>identify it anyway, depending on what that entails. But two

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:43.600
<v Speaker 3>is on the software side. You can look at firmware

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:48.520
<v Speaker 3>and you can look at the diagnostics, and that stuff's

0:23:48.560 --> 0:23:53.119
<v Speaker 3>pretty hard to trick. Normally can spoof things, but anyone

0:23:53.119 --> 0:23:58.679
<v Speaker 3>who most yeah, it's just I'm not the government. What

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:01.040
<v Speaker 3>I can say is when I I spoke to people

0:24:01.800 --> 0:24:07.240
<v Speaker 3>in DC last year, they had their tech guy in

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:11.280
<v Speaker 3>the room. These are staffers of Congress, and he seemed

0:24:11.320 --> 0:24:15.639
<v Speaker 3>pretty okay actually, But there was a moment when I

0:24:15.840 --> 0:24:19.720
<v Speaker 3>was talking about memory capacity ninety six gigabyte one twenty

0:24:19.760 --> 0:24:23.960
<v Speaker 3>eight forty eight, things like that, and someone interrupted me

0:24:24.560 --> 0:24:30.560
<v Speaker 3>and asked me to clarify if that number was the bandwidth,

0:24:31.600 --> 0:24:34.159
<v Speaker 3>you know, and we're not talking in per second or anything.

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:38.040
<v Speaker 3>It was just gigabytes. It's like, no, that's capacity. And

0:24:38.440 --> 0:24:40.520
<v Speaker 3>I needed to briefly explain kind of the you know,

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:42.679
<v Speaker 3>the difference. And I'm sure they have people who understand

0:24:42.720 --> 0:24:45.960
<v Speaker 3>this stuff. Maybe just wasn't in the room, but but

0:24:46.040 --> 0:24:48.719
<v Speaker 3>I did learn that they don't really have any sophisticated

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:50.359
<v Speaker 3>testing because the point I made it was like, look,

0:24:50.760 --> 0:24:52.439
<v Speaker 3>restrict him or not. I don't really I don't know.

0:24:52.480 --> 0:24:55.159
<v Speaker 3>I don't know if I care, But if you're going

0:24:55.200 --> 0:24:58.280
<v Speaker 3>to restrict it, like at least do it in a

0:24:58.280 --> 0:25:00.240
<v Speaker 3>way where it makes sense, where you can inform worse

0:25:00.280 --> 0:25:04.520
<v Speaker 3>it And that would require some level of benchmarking, because

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:08.879
<v Speaker 3>right now the restrictions are done entirely based on the

0:25:09.400 --> 0:25:14.840
<v Speaker 3>claimed performance metrics from the manufacturer, and the manufacturer knows

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:18.760
<v Speaker 3>a lot more about these GPUs obviously than the government.

0:25:19.600 --> 0:25:22.720
<v Speaker 3>They can tweak the knobs to comply just barely right.

0:25:22.760 --> 0:25:26.480
<v Speaker 3>And so the point being, yes, I think any bedroom

0:25:26.520 --> 0:25:33.400
<v Speaker 3>benchmarker who's just started their YouTube channel probably is more sophisticated.

0:25:33.920 --> 0:25:36.680
<v Speaker 3>And so yeah, that's why on Nvidia, you know, they're

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:41.040
<v Speaker 3>in just such a dominating position because they're they're up

0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:43.439
<v Speaker 3>against people who don't understand their technology.

0:25:43.560 --> 0:25:47.680
<v Speaker 2>So I'm reading off the Culper report here. So numerous

0:25:47.680 --> 0:25:50.159
<v Speaker 2>experts told us that in Nvidia has long possessed the

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:53.360
<v Speaker 2>means to detect diversion, including pre sale signposts and standwood

0:25:53.760 --> 0:25:57.880
<v Speaker 2>standard stand would Jesus standard KYC checks e g. Recently

0:25:57.880 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 2>incorporated customer suddenly placed in large orders with that warranties,

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:04.200
<v Speaker 2>as well as post sale technical indicators server IP data

0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:07.400
<v Speaker 2>mismatch server latency times and surfers going dark. With that explanation,

0:26:07.880 --> 0:26:10.920
<v Speaker 2>because that's the thing. I assume that in video must

0:26:10.960 --> 0:26:14.400
<v Speaker 2>have some connection to every GPU, right, maybe not completely

0:26:14.440 --> 0:26:15.240
<v Speaker 2>phone home.

0:26:15.080 --> 0:26:18.439
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, they should know. I mean it's they do know.

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:21.359
<v Speaker 2>So I'm not saying they know for sure, because that

0:26:21.400 --> 0:26:25.320
<v Speaker 2>would obviously be impossible to verify. But I don't see

0:26:25.320 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 2>how they don't know.

0:26:26.840 --> 0:26:31.160
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's the professor we spoke with last year

0:26:31.200 --> 0:26:34.520
<v Speaker 3>for a documentary. I asked him the question, you know,

0:26:34.680 --> 0:26:37.040
<v Speaker 3>do you think Nvideo knows? And his response was how

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:40.040
<v Speaker 3>could they not? These things are valuable. You'd think they'd

0:26:40.480 --> 0:26:42.520
<v Speaker 3>keep very good track of every single one of them.

0:26:43.000 --> 0:26:48.119
<v Speaker 2>I just I'm wondering. So let's back to the wider

0:26:48.160 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 2>AI bubble with in video GPS, especially like the next

0:26:52.400 --> 0:26:55.320
<v Speaker 2>generation and then the generation after that, so Vera Rubin

0:26:55.320 --> 0:26:57.800
<v Speaker 2>one and then Vera Rubin two, which is the one

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:03.639
<v Speaker 2>megawatt scale racks. It's I feel like I'm taking crazy

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:06.000
<v Speaker 2>pills when I talk about this stuff, because when you

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:09.360
<v Speaker 2>actually think about it, if they indeed, I think it's

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:12.480
<v Speaker 2>moving to Kuyber racks, they call them the one megawa once.

0:27:12.520 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 3>Okay, Kyber, I'm not familiar with, doesn't.

0:27:14.480 --> 0:27:17.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's it's the next one that will mean that

0:27:17.840 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 2>the majority of I mean, all data centers are useless,

0:27:21.560 --> 0:27:24.200
<v Speaker 2>as in, you can't just install a one megawatt rack

0:27:25.560 --> 0:27:28.920
<v Speaker 2>in a data center that's full of that much more distributed,

0:27:28.960 --> 0:27:32.959
<v Speaker 2>even one hundred megawats because just the power requirements. And

0:27:33.000 --> 0:27:35.639
<v Speaker 2>it's just it feels like at some point in Nvidia

0:27:35.720 --> 0:27:38.280
<v Speaker 2>is going to escalate too far that they just won't

0:27:38.359 --> 0:27:41.400
<v Speaker 2>understand that. They will just think our customers have unlimited

0:27:41.440 --> 0:27:42.800
<v Speaker 2>money and will do whatever we want.

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:48.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, in some way, it seems like I

0:27:48.680 --> 0:27:50.560
<v Speaker 3>feel like they're starting to address some of that by

0:27:50.680 --> 0:27:54.840
<v Speaker 3>having now the government as more of a potential customer

0:27:54.840 --> 0:27:58.960
<v Speaker 3>as well, where I don't know if it's like you

0:27:59.040 --> 0:28:02.240
<v Speaker 3>run out of money from private equity and you turn

0:28:02.320 --> 0:28:04.800
<v Speaker 3>to government or what is going on, but they definitely

0:28:04.840 --> 0:28:07.600
<v Speaker 3>have gotten a lot more interested in military.

0:28:08.119 --> 0:28:11.320
<v Speaker 2>Uh. But even then, if the data center is all

0:28:11.320 --> 0:28:14.400
<v Speaker 2>getting built because Oracles giving them a bunch of GPUs,

0:28:14.480 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 2>we know that, right, And it's just I I don't know,

0:28:20.960 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I don't know how this ends, but I'm

0:28:22.560 --> 0:28:24.800
<v Speaker 2>also just I don't know how this continues.

0:28:25.480 --> 0:28:31.080
<v Speaker 3>I think, to me, the real top indicator, And I

0:28:31.080 --> 0:28:33.679
<v Speaker 3>don't know. I mean, like the market's probably after I

0:28:33.680 --> 0:28:35.439
<v Speaker 3>say that, the market's gonna fucking rip for like the

0:28:35.480 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 3>next yea, three years or whatever, you know. But I'm

0:28:38.320 --> 0:28:41.280
<v Speaker 3>not a market guy. But like the point is to me,

0:28:42.200 --> 0:28:44.800
<v Speaker 3>the thing that jumped out as like, oh this this

0:28:44.880 --> 0:28:48.400
<v Speaker 3>reminds me of like Crypto when it was getting too crazy?

0:28:48.640 --> 0:28:52.000
<v Speaker 3>Is this company Span. Did you hear about them? I'd

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:52.600
<v Speaker 3>never heard of them.

0:28:52.640 --> 0:28:54.760
<v Speaker 2>Oh you mean the distributed thing?

0:28:55.320 --> 0:29:01.560
<v Speaker 3>Yes, Oh they want to do distributed like many component

0:29:01.640 --> 0:29:04.480
<v Speaker 3>of a data center right there in your yard. Yeah,

0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:07.680
<v Speaker 3>right where you want it with RTX pro six thousands,

0:29:07.720 --> 0:29:09.840
<v Speaker 3>which is like I hope they change the power connection

0:29:09.920 --> 0:29:12.800
<v Speaker 3>from twelve high power so it doesn't catch on fire.

0:29:12.880 --> 0:29:16.440
<v Speaker 3>But the plan I don't really get it, Like it's

0:29:16.720 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 3>it seems like so the idea of the concept is

0:29:19.440 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 3>we're gonna put this nice box in your yard that

0:29:22.520 --> 0:29:25.560
<v Speaker 3>kind of resembles like an air conditioning unit on the ground,

0:29:26.040 --> 0:29:29.200
<v Speaker 3>and it's gonna have hardware in it to distribute the

0:29:29.200 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 3>compute capacity across a wider area where there's maybe easier access.

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:35.840
<v Speaker 3>You don't need to go through all these pesky zoning laws,

0:29:35.960 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 3>and maybe you partner with an hoa with three hundred

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:41.760
<v Speaker 3>houses in the neighborhood, or your partner with individual homeowners

0:29:41.840 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 3>or whatever, and they say they'll give you discounts on

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:47.960
<v Speaker 3>your energy, which is silly because it's like the energy

0:29:47.960 --> 0:29:50.200
<v Speaker 3>costs you're going up because of data centers. Yeah, so

0:29:50.240 --> 0:29:53.959
<v Speaker 3>that was a small one in your yard and discounted

0:29:54.000 --> 0:29:56.280
<v Speaker 3>after we've increased it, which is like at best, you're

0:29:56.320 --> 0:30:01.160
<v Speaker 3>back to where you were. And yeah, and the whole thing.

0:30:01.840 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 3>I just it's like the latency. It's not going to

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:09.440
<v Speaker 3>work for massive important projects. It works for smaller stuff,

0:30:09.440 --> 0:30:14.520
<v Speaker 3>I guess, But I don't understand how this idea comes

0:30:14.520 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 3>to fruition. And I also wonder how do you stop

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:21.440
<v Speaker 3>the tweakers from opening the box and stealing all the copper,

0:30:21.800 --> 0:30:22.280
<v Speaker 3>Cause like.

0:30:23.000 --> 0:30:27.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, this is that. And there's also oh no, I

0:30:28.000 --> 0:30:31.720
<v Speaker 2>was unfortunate enough to live in an ha community several

0:30:31.800 --> 0:30:36.680
<v Speaker 2>years ago. It was truly awful. And I'll tell you,

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:40.440
<v Speaker 2>even in a nice place, the electric is bullshit like that.

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:43.720
<v Speaker 2>I had to replace the circuit breaker or whatever you

0:30:43.760 --> 0:30:46.160
<v Speaker 2>call like you're going to have to do that in

0:30:46.240 --> 0:30:49.320
<v Speaker 2>every single house in the development, and probably a bunch

0:30:49.320 --> 0:30:52.080
<v Speaker 2>of the transmission lines just to make sure that I

0:30:52.120 --> 0:30:56.200
<v Speaker 2>don't know if they're generating Marmaduke with a seventh crashing

0:30:56.200 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 2>at seven or seven, like that is going to like

0:30:59.560 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 2>cause a blackout in the neighborhood. How do you prioritize

0:31:02.800 --> 0:31:04.120
<v Speaker 2>power in the neighborhood?

0:31:04.440 --> 0:31:07.200
<v Speaker 3>That was my question too, Like in a winter storm,

0:31:07.240 --> 0:31:09.720
<v Speaker 3>who gets priority right and and.

0:31:10.000 --> 0:31:11.240
<v Speaker 2>You know, just run the JPUS.

0:31:12.480 --> 0:31:18.960
<v Speaker 3>That's true, that's solved it. Yeah, I mean it's but

0:31:19.040 --> 0:31:21.560
<v Speaker 3>that reminds me of the crypto stuff where I remember

0:31:22.440 --> 0:31:25.720
<v Speaker 3>during one of the crypto peaks mining there were these

0:31:26.280 --> 0:31:29.880
<v Speaker 3>space heaters where it's like, buy our space heater and

0:31:30.720 --> 0:31:32.920
<v Speaker 3>it's actually just a miner and it makes you money,

0:31:32.960 --> 0:31:35.160
<v Speaker 3>but also it's a space heater. And there was some

0:31:35.200 --> 0:31:37.400
<v Speaker 3>other one I remember where it was you know, the

0:31:37.520 --> 0:31:40.840
<v Speaker 3>mind money goes to them, like they get that, but

0:31:40.960 --> 0:31:44.160
<v Speaker 3>you get free space heating. And it just sounds an

0:31:44.160 --> 0:31:49.280
<v Speaker 3>awful lot like the distributed data center thing. I just

0:31:49.400 --> 0:31:52.920
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, it seems too we've like lost the

0:31:52.920 --> 0:31:54.080
<v Speaker 3>plot on this, you know.

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:12.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's it feels like one of those theoretical things

0:32:12.400 --> 0:32:15.240
<v Speaker 2>that comes with the end of any era, like towards

0:32:15.240 --> 0:32:17.360
<v Speaker 2>the end of the Metaverse era, there was the whole

0:32:17.360 --> 0:32:20.440
<v Speaker 2>thing about people buying millions of dollars of real estate. Yeah,

0:32:20.520 --> 0:32:22.480
<v Speaker 2>that was one of the last ones. But the real,

0:32:23.840 --> 0:32:26.680
<v Speaker 2>the real final one for me was the Other Side.

0:32:26.720 --> 0:32:29.280
<v Speaker 2>Do you remember other side from the board apes, the

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:32.600
<v Speaker 2>board apes, the board apes, the other side, and it

0:32:32.720 --> 0:32:35.000
<v Speaker 2>was just they were like, look, we've finally done it.

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 2>We've got the Other Side demo, and it was just

0:32:37.400 --> 0:32:40.719
<v Speaker 2>a giant open world. We're just let you And you

0:32:40.760 --> 0:32:42.960
<v Speaker 2>didn't get to go in as the ape you owned.

0:32:43.640 --> 0:32:47.080
<v Speaker 2>Oh great, okay, he went as just a a regular

0:32:47.440 --> 0:32:49.480
<v Speaker 2>not a regular ape. They were like these kind of

0:32:49.480 --> 0:32:50.680
<v Speaker 2>gorillas rip offs.

0:32:51.000 --> 0:32:54.920
<v Speaker 3>So they've realized, yeah, this is like yeah metaverse. I

0:32:54.960 --> 0:32:57.400
<v Speaker 3>had the same feeling. Or it's just you look at

0:32:57.400 --> 0:32:59.840
<v Speaker 3>it and you kind of go, do you You guys

0:32:59.880 --> 0:33:02.480
<v Speaker 3>know that video games have already.

0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:06.000
<v Speaker 2>Ex exactly like I was playing EverQuest like back in

0:33:06.120 --> 0:33:09.200
<v Speaker 2>nineteen ninety nine, like I I know how this goes,

0:33:09.240 --> 0:33:12.000
<v Speaker 2>and I didn't have to pay one hundred thousand dollars

0:33:12.160 --> 0:33:15.120
<v Speaker 2>for my character. I just had to give up most

0:33:15.160 --> 0:33:18.080
<v Speaker 2>of my life. Yeah, I just had to play for

0:33:18.120 --> 0:33:22.480
<v Speaker 2>eleven hours a day to make level fifty. Those of

0:33:22.560 --> 0:33:26.360
<v Speaker 2>us pre kunok people, k u nar k. This is

0:33:26.400 --> 0:33:29.040
<v Speaker 2>the second expansion. It was much harder, very unfair of

0:33:29.080 --> 0:33:29.720
<v Speaker 2>those of us.

0:33:30.400 --> 0:33:31.240
<v Speaker 3>Plans of power.

0:33:31.400 --> 0:33:34.800
<v Speaker 2>So damn do pop was good place of powers? Like

0:33:34.840 --> 0:33:36.600
<v Speaker 2>the end of the end of how good that was?

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:39.760
<v Speaker 2>I like though, the whole planes of time thing. I

0:33:39.800 --> 0:33:40.760
<v Speaker 2>don't know if you followed that.

0:33:41.440 --> 0:33:42.520
<v Speaker 3>I did a little bit.

0:33:42.600 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the collapse of everquests with the fires of Heaven.

0:33:45.120 --> 0:33:47.160
<v Speaker 2>Oh anyway, we shouldn't talk about that, so all I'll

0:33:47.160 --> 0:33:50.120
<v Speaker 2>talk about. But with the other side metaverse, that was

0:33:50.160 --> 0:33:52.840
<v Speaker 2>what I think was the top was when everyone went

0:33:52.880 --> 0:33:55.719
<v Speaker 2>in this big session. But what's crazy is they are

0:33:55.800 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 2>still doing this. They're still doing the metaverse that they're

0:33:58.760 --> 0:34:01.080
<v Speaker 2>still going to limp along, which may which I think

0:34:01.160 --> 0:34:02.760
<v Speaker 2>is what's going to happen with the AI bubble. I

0:34:02.760 --> 0:34:05.640
<v Speaker 2>think it bursts, but there's going to be like a

0:34:05.720 --> 0:34:09.000
<v Speaker 2>cloister of perverts who still try and keep this going.

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:10.759
<v Speaker 2>And it's just insanely expensive.

0:34:12.120 --> 0:34:16.560
<v Speaker 3>That's a that's a brilliant strain of words. You've just.

0:34:18.400 --> 0:34:22.720
<v Speaker 2>Yes, that's just right off the dough. Just think it's

0:34:22.920 --> 0:34:27.279
<v Speaker 2>inspired by these people because it's like, I, have you

0:34:27.320 --> 0:34:29.480
<v Speaker 2>been I realized someone off the topic of GPS, have

0:34:29.480 --> 0:34:31.759
<v Speaker 2>you've been following this git hub co pilot thing as well.

0:34:32.200 --> 0:34:35.120
<v Speaker 3>I only just saw the headlines. Like g hub that

0:34:35.239 --> 0:34:37.800
<v Speaker 3>I've been following lately has been the Bamboo lab situation,

0:34:37.880 --> 0:34:39.759
<v Speaker 3>but I have not seen the one you were.

0:34:39.680 --> 0:34:42.000
<v Speaker 2>Talking about now. It's just that they're switching the token

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:44.880
<v Speaker 2>based bailing on June first, and the subreddit is just

0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:48.000
<v Speaker 2>people being like, hey, so I'm able to burn a

0:34:48.040 --> 0:34:50.520
<v Speaker 2>thousand dollars worth of tokens to ten dollars. Does anyone

0:34:50.560 --> 0:34:53.239
<v Speaker 2>know if there's an alternative to do this? And just

0:34:53.280 --> 0:34:57.880
<v Speaker 2>people being like, yeah, anthropic, I guess, And it's just

0:34:57.880 --> 0:35:00.839
<v Speaker 2>people realizing in real time how much this ca I

0:35:00.880 --> 0:35:04.840
<v Speaker 2>think the I think you're going to see a rush

0:35:04.880 --> 0:35:07.719
<v Speaker 2>of people to try and do this on a hardware,

0:35:08.000 --> 0:35:09.680
<v Speaker 2>and a rush of people to try and like buy

0:35:09.760 --> 0:35:11.960
<v Speaker 2>up old GPUs and try and do the post dot

0:35:12.000 --> 0:35:14.680
<v Speaker 2>com bubble thing. But it's not gonna work because there

0:35:14.760 --> 0:35:18.920
<v Speaker 2>is no there's absolutely nothing, like, there's no way to

0:35:18.960 --> 0:35:22.000
<v Speaker 2>make this economically viable. And I think the lost it's

0:35:22.040 --> 0:35:24.839
<v Speaker 2>gonna be like all I was about, say the Alamo Star,

0:35:24.960 --> 0:35:28.160
<v Speaker 2>but like a just like a final stand of just

0:35:28.200 --> 0:35:31.560
<v Speaker 2>guys burning out the remaining capital until it all falls apart.

0:35:31.960 --> 0:35:38.320
<v Speaker 3>I absolutely do wonder. I mean, it's it's the PC

0:35:38.560 --> 0:35:42.600
<v Speaker 3>industry and the DIY industry. Yeah, seems to be the

0:35:42.640 --> 0:35:47.000
<v Speaker 3>first casualty of AI. And it's it's like AI is

0:35:47.040 --> 0:35:49.600
<v Speaker 3>born and then it immediately kills the thing it was

0:35:49.640 --> 0:35:53.160
<v Speaker 3>born from, you know. Yeah, And so I'm not sure,

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:57.080
<v Speaker 3>like even if the bubble bursts, there's gonna be a

0:35:57.120 --> 0:35:57.880
<v Speaker 3>lot of damage.

0:35:57.920 --> 0:36:01.120
<v Speaker 2>First there was I was gonna was going to ask, like, what,

0:36:01.440 --> 0:36:04.000
<v Speaker 2>let's just see who the bubble busts and the AI

0:36:04.600 --> 0:36:07.440
<v Speaker 2>rolls back and the in video is no longer only

0:36:07.440 --> 0:36:10.680
<v Speaker 2>selling those GPUs. Isn't that like a significant amount of

0:36:10.760 --> 0:36:12.680
<v Speaker 2>damage to the supply chain of PCAs?

0:36:12.800 --> 0:36:17.200
<v Speaker 3>Oh? Yeah, I mean people can't do business with this climate,

0:36:17.239 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 3>because it's interesting where RAM prices are a lot to

0:36:22.680 --> 0:36:25.280
<v Speaker 3>do with where we're at now with the PC industry,

0:36:25.280 --> 0:36:28.640
<v Speaker 3>but a lot of I guess people who aren't in

0:36:28.760 --> 0:36:31.440
<v Speaker 3>PC building may or may not realize, but there's a

0:36:31.480 --> 0:36:33.960
<v Speaker 3>lot of other component manufacturers who have absolutely no control

0:36:34.000 --> 0:36:35.560
<v Speaker 3>over any of this. So even though the RAM is

0:36:35.560 --> 0:36:37.760
<v Speaker 3>expensive and the GPUs are hard to get her expensive

0:36:37.760 --> 0:36:42.880
<v Speaker 3>and whatever, the company that makes cool arty computer cases,

0:36:43.600 --> 0:36:46.680
<v Speaker 3>they don't have any control here. And so they're just

0:36:46.719 --> 0:36:50.759
<v Speaker 3>a loan for the ride. And historically those types of

0:36:50.760 --> 0:36:56.720
<v Speaker 3>companies liquid coolers that you know, enthusiast air coolers, cases, whatever,

0:36:57.400 --> 0:37:02.560
<v Speaker 3>they live and die, buy GPU and CPU launch cycles

0:37:03.080 --> 0:37:04.919
<v Speaker 3>to where they need to have their best product lined

0:37:05.000 --> 0:37:07.359
<v Speaker 3>up for the new architecture launch. So if something comes

0:37:07.360 --> 0:37:10.120
<v Speaker 3>out now, then eighteen to twenty four months for now

0:37:10.440 --> 0:37:13.359
<v Speaker 3>they need to have their next big thing ready. And

0:37:13.880 --> 0:37:16.120
<v Speaker 3>now the cycles are lengthening.

0:37:15.600 --> 0:37:18.239
<v Speaker 2>For those which what do you mean by that? As

0:37:18.280 --> 0:37:21.680
<v Speaker 2>in there is they're skipping a year of conceiving GPUs.

0:37:21.840 --> 0:37:25.680
<v Speaker 3>The architectural cadence for Nvidia has slowed for a while.

0:37:25.760 --> 0:37:28.520
<v Speaker 3>They were like roughly eighteen months. For a little bit,

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:32.400
<v Speaker 3>they tended to average twenty four months between major architectural launches,

0:37:33.239 --> 0:37:37.400
<v Speaker 3>and now they're moving closer to thirty months. And for

0:37:37.840 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 3>a company that relies on that GPU to be there

0:37:40.760 --> 0:37:46.560
<v Speaker 3>to spur sales for enthusiast PC builds for example, that's

0:37:46.600 --> 0:37:48.640
<v Speaker 3>a long time to wait, you know, for your next

0:37:48.640 --> 0:37:51.640
<v Speaker 3>big wave of customers. And if you sell cases and coolers,

0:37:52.120 --> 0:37:55.919
<v Speaker 3>even motherboards, you can't really self generate that much momentumly

0:37:56.000 --> 0:37:59.360
<v Speaker 3>you can if you launch the best case ever killer

0:37:59.400 --> 0:38:03.680
<v Speaker 3>product in the middle of a cycle. Yeah, you'll do okay,

0:38:04.400 --> 0:38:07.160
<v Speaker 3>but there's just far fewer people building a computer at

0:38:07.160 --> 0:38:10.479
<v Speaker 3>that time versus waiting for the next big launch because

0:38:10.520 --> 0:38:12.239
<v Speaker 3>normally so GPU that triggers.

0:38:12.160 --> 0:38:15.120
<v Speaker 2>So that I understand. So a new GPU comes out

0:38:15.160 --> 0:38:18.400
<v Speaker 2>every two years, you're saying, and that launch is what

0:38:18.480 --> 0:38:20.600
<v Speaker 2>spurs people to buy a bunch of new cases. I

0:38:20.640 --> 0:38:22.680
<v Speaker 2>know this sounds obvious. I just want to spell it

0:38:22.680 --> 0:38:26.520
<v Speaker 2>out right. So and that cycle is now broken.

0:38:26.800 --> 0:38:30.239
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, because it's it's that launch that people use that

0:38:30.360 --> 0:38:32.120
<v Speaker 3>as a trigger for when they want to build their

0:38:32.120 --> 0:38:35.719
<v Speaker 3>new system and video or AMD. Same for CPUs. But

0:38:36.360 --> 0:38:39.800
<v Speaker 3>you know, the thing that really dictates your performance, broadly

0:38:39.800 --> 0:38:41.960
<v Speaker 3>speaking for most people is the CPU or the GPU,

0:38:42.920 --> 0:38:46.640
<v Speaker 3>and once you've built, there's not a lot of reason

0:38:46.719 --> 0:38:49.120
<v Speaker 3>to change it until the next big thing comes out.

0:38:49.520 --> 0:38:54.080
<v Speaker 3>So there's that where everyone's along the ride, along for

0:38:54.120 --> 0:38:57.239
<v Speaker 3>the ride for the silicon launches. And then there's also

0:38:57.239 --> 0:39:00.640
<v Speaker 3>the memory prices where even companies like gez Skill, which

0:39:00.680 --> 0:39:04.480
<v Speaker 3>is a memory stick maker, so they don't make the

0:39:04.560 --> 0:39:07.319
<v Speaker 3>actual memory of the silicon, but they put it on

0:39:07.360 --> 0:39:08.920
<v Speaker 3>a stick and put a heat sink on it and

0:39:08.920 --> 0:39:13.280
<v Speaker 3>sell it. Even companies like them. We did an interview

0:39:13.320 --> 0:39:15.920
<v Speaker 3>with them, and they're down just as much as the

0:39:15.960 --> 0:39:19.040
<v Speaker 3>case company is for revenue, even though there's stuff is

0:39:19.800 --> 0:39:22.200
<v Speaker 3>going up in price, and it's because they're not getting

0:39:22.239 --> 0:39:28.400
<v Speaker 3>priority and that's the data centers. And they also obviously

0:39:28.440 --> 0:39:31.680
<v Speaker 3>if they increase their retail cost, fewer people can buy it,

0:39:31.760 --> 0:39:34.919
<v Speaker 3>and so you just run into this volume trap where

0:39:34.920 --> 0:39:38.440
<v Speaker 3>they just can't move enough stuff because no one's buying anything.

0:39:38.520 --> 0:39:40.160
<v Speaker 3>So a lot of the companies we spoke with are

0:39:40.200 --> 0:39:44.359
<v Speaker 3>down on the year forty to sixty percent, and an

0:39:44.440 --> 0:39:46.960
<v Speaker 3>year on year about seventy percent.

0:39:48.120 --> 0:39:51.680
<v Speaker 2>God, it's very fucking grim like. What's left at the

0:39:51.760 --> 0:39:54.400
<v Speaker 2>end of this, genuinely what's left?

0:39:54.520 --> 0:39:58.279
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, A lot of really talented people have lost their

0:39:58.360 --> 0:40:00.800
<v Speaker 3>jobs or will be losing their jobs after for Computex,

0:40:00.840 --> 0:40:04.760
<v Speaker 3>which is in two weeks, like some of the best

0:40:04.880 --> 0:40:09.200
<v Speaker 3>designers I know in the industry, and the companies you know,

0:40:09.280 --> 0:40:11.480
<v Speaker 3>they can't keep them employed because they're not selling anything.

0:40:11.680 --> 0:40:15.200
<v Speaker 2>So that's fucking grim like. I mean, can any of

0:40:15.239 --> 0:40:18.480
<v Speaker 2>this recovery afterwards, because I get the sense that in video,

0:40:18.840 --> 0:40:22.920
<v Speaker 2>let's say they walk away from GPUs at the industrial scale,

0:40:23.440 --> 0:40:28.200
<v Speaker 2>I guess they could return to gamers, but reallocating all

0:40:28.239 --> 0:40:30.640
<v Speaker 2>of that, I don't know. Capex, I guess it would be.

0:40:31.040 --> 0:40:34.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they just can't get that much money out of it.

0:40:34.080 --> 0:40:35.759
<v Speaker 3>So if ny Video wants to be anything like it

0:40:35.840 --> 0:40:39.320
<v Speaker 3>is now, yeah, maybe they whatever ship a couple of

0:40:39.320 --> 0:40:43.000
<v Speaker 3>billion dollars more stuff to gamers, But it's just the.

0:40:43.520 --> 0:40:46.160
<v Speaker 2>Does that revenue exist? Is there that much revenue in

0:40:46.160 --> 0:40:46.840
<v Speaker 2>the gamers?

0:40:47.160 --> 0:40:50.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and there is billions of dollars, but there's not

0:40:50.920 --> 0:40:52.839
<v Speaker 3>tens of billions of dollars, you.

0:40:52.800 --> 0:40:55.400
<v Speaker 2>Know, there's not fifty billion dollars a quarter.

0:40:55.480 --> 0:40:58.960
<v Speaker 3>All right, Yeah, And and so I don't know, even

0:40:59.120 --> 0:41:03.759
<v Speaker 3>if they kind of come back, it's also going to

0:41:03.880 --> 0:41:07.400
<v Speaker 3>leave the market in shambles where whoever survives at the

0:41:07.480 --> 0:41:10.360
<v Speaker 3>end of this. It's not clear if those are the

0:41:10.400 --> 0:41:13.400
<v Speaker 3>companies that are going to be the pro consumer companies,

0:41:13.440 --> 0:41:15.680
<v Speaker 3>because there are actually a lot of companies that do

0:41:15.760 --> 0:41:18.080
<v Speaker 3>the right thing for consumers in the DIY space, but

0:41:18.120 --> 0:41:20.560
<v Speaker 3>they're smaller and I don't know that they can survive

0:41:20.640 --> 0:41:25.400
<v Speaker 3>this type of thing. But you know, if there's a

0:41:25.440 --> 0:41:29.680
<v Speaker 3>situation where I currently, to me, it feels like a

0:41:29.719 --> 0:41:32.040
<v Speaker 3>new player, as a new GPU maker, would have to

0:41:32.800 --> 0:41:38.680
<v Speaker 3>bail out the DIY industry with something or like a

0:41:38.800 --> 0:41:41.919
<v Speaker 3>government would have to come in and do some kind

0:41:41.960 --> 0:41:45.080
<v Speaker 3>of you know, antitrust or whatever bust, which isn't going

0:41:45.160 --> 0:41:47.800
<v Speaker 3>to happen. So I'm not really sure. And the memory

0:41:47.800 --> 0:41:50.480
<v Speaker 3>prices aren't solved with either of those two things, so

0:41:52.040 --> 0:41:55.640
<v Speaker 3>it's unless it seems like the AI bubble has to pop.

0:41:55.719 --> 0:41:57.640
<v Speaker 3>I don't know who's holding the needle though.

0:41:58.320 --> 0:42:01.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I mean when this comes out, it will be

0:42:01.719 --> 0:42:04.360
<v Speaker 2>the day of in video earnings, so there's no point

0:42:04.360 --> 0:42:08.439
<v Speaker 2>of ever. They'll probably be and raise again. And it's

0:42:08.480 --> 0:42:13.640
<v Speaker 2>interesting because without saying anything definitive, it is taking the

0:42:13.719 --> 0:42:17.080
<v Speaker 2>piss a bit like just like it's like beating raised

0:42:17.280 --> 0:42:21.359
<v Speaker 2>every single time, like without fail more than an analysts could

0:42:21.360 --> 0:42:25.160
<v Speaker 2>ever say. All while nowhere near as many data centers

0:42:25.200 --> 0:42:27.920
<v Speaker 2>get built as the chips that have been shipped, it

0:42:28.000 --> 0:42:31.799
<v Speaker 2>feels like something is gonna pop here. It feels like

0:42:31.880 --> 0:42:35.319
<v Speaker 2>something is weird as happening. I think that's actually the

0:42:35.320 --> 0:42:38.040
<v Speaker 2>best one. It's just things feel very goddamn weird.

0:42:38.600 --> 0:42:43.000
<v Speaker 3>It doesn't seem I know, markets aren't rational, this seems

0:42:43.040 --> 0:42:47.239
<v Speaker 3>like beyond irrational. It seems artificial to me.

0:42:47.480 --> 0:42:50.120
<v Speaker 2>Yes, I mean a propos i guess for the name.

0:42:50.200 --> 0:42:54.080
<v Speaker 2>But it's like, but it's it's also all in pursuit

0:42:54.239 --> 0:42:57.040
<v Speaker 2>of what exactly because all of these because at least

0:42:57.040 --> 0:43:00.440
<v Speaker 2>with gaming, people have fun. I think AIL was like

0:43:00.480 --> 0:43:06.080
<v Speaker 2>the least joyful thing ever, Like it's just it's just

0:43:06.640 --> 0:43:08.560
<v Speaker 2>when you would like the we talked about this before

0:43:08.600 --> 0:43:11.239
<v Speaker 2>as well, but this year's GtC when he's like, it's

0:43:11.239 --> 0:43:14.399
<v Speaker 2>a gentic, it's Nemo claw. Hey remember remember open Claw?

0:43:14.520 --> 0:43:19.000
<v Speaker 2>Remember that shit? It's like when when that like remember this?

0:43:19.160 --> 0:43:21.719
<v Speaker 2>If today in video beats some races, which they very

0:43:21.719 --> 0:43:24.359
<v Speaker 2>well made, then if they don't, we but let's say

0:43:24.600 --> 0:43:33.000
<v Speaker 2>remember their big announcement last GtC was we made open Claw, Like,

0:43:33.080 --> 0:43:35.279
<v Speaker 2>this is what this is why people are buying all

0:43:35.280 --> 0:43:38.320
<v Speaker 2>the GPUs. This is the reason I don't know. Something's

0:43:38.360 --> 0:43:39.440
<v Speaker 2>up up man.

0:43:39.560 --> 0:43:43.680
<v Speaker 3>I will say there was. If anybody needs something to

0:43:43.800 --> 0:43:46.160
<v Speaker 3>feel positive and find some.

0:43:46.200 --> 0:43:48.280
<v Speaker 2>Joy, this is a good way to it. Please please.

0:43:48.880 --> 0:43:52.880
<v Speaker 3>There was a great clip that was circulated yesterday today

0:43:53.040 --> 0:43:56.680
<v Speaker 3>of one of the former Google I think CEO right,

0:43:56.719 --> 0:44:02.240
<v Speaker 3>who did a commencement speech. Oh yeah, and he mentions

0:44:02.320 --> 0:44:05.080
<v Speaker 3>AI and immediately gets booed.

0:44:06.200 --> 0:44:10.160
<v Speaker 2>It's and then that happened as well to some McKinsey

0:44:10.239 --> 0:44:12.440
<v Speaker 2>eye person at another school who I don't know if

0:44:12.480 --> 0:44:14.640
<v Speaker 2>some woman went up and had the same thing and

0:44:14.680 --> 0:44:17.600
<v Speaker 2>she just looked. In both cases they looked so surprised.

0:44:18.120 --> 0:44:20.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they looked like and that's how you know they're

0:44:20.680 --> 0:44:22.920
<v Speaker 3>out of touch. I did see some one count where

0:44:22.920 --> 0:44:25.399
<v Speaker 3>a guy was like, Oh, these billionaires don't care about

0:44:25.400 --> 0:44:27.840
<v Speaker 3>getting booed, you know, they get so much money or whatever.

0:44:28.160 --> 0:44:30.279
<v Speaker 3>I actually I do think they care. I think if

0:44:30.280 --> 0:44:33.960
<v Speaker 3>you're that level, you're a begelomaniac and like that probably

0:44:34.080 --> 0:44:37.560
<v Speaker 3>deeply bothers them, which is great because it's like you

0:44:37.600 --> 0:44:40.600
<v Speaker 3>can't take anything else from them, so at least make

0:44:40.640 --> 0:44:42.880
<v Speaker 3>sure they hear the booze echo and they try to

0:44:42.920 --> 0:44:43.520
<v Speaker 3>sleep at night.

0:44:43.680 --> 0:44:45.799
<v Speaker 2>Well that's the thing as well, Like I don't think

0:44:45.960 --> 0:44:50.200
<v Speaker 2>anyone is immune to a group of people booing them. No,

0:44:50.760 --> 0:44:53.879
<v Speaker 2>I think actually that is the best thing we could do.

0:44:54.239 --> 0:44:56.319
<v Speaker 2>But I think it's funny as well, because I was

0:44:56.320 --> 0:44:58.240
<v Speaker 2>watching it as we wrap up here. I was watching

0:44:58.280 --> 0:45:00.560
<v Speaker 2>that and I was thinking, Yeah, you used to be

0:45:00.680 --> 0:45:02.600
<v Speaker 2>that these fuck nuts would get on stage to'd be

0:45:02.640 --> 0:45:05.160
<v Speaker 2>like it's all about hard work. And I remember when

0:45:05.200 --> 0:45:07.960
<v Speaker 2>I sat like by sir Gabrion and Larry Page and

0:45:08.000 --> 0:45:10.719
<v Speaker 2>we're all doing business together and we were just like, wow,

0:45:10.760 --> 0:45:12.840
<v Speaker 2>I love doing hard work so much, and everyone collapse.

0:45:12.880 --> 0:45:15.080
<v Speaker 2>It's like, wow, if I work hard, I could be

0:45:15.120 --> 0:45:17.000
<v Speaker 2>one of these guys, even though that's not how that

0:45:17.040 --> 0:45:22.480
<v Speaker 2>works right now. It's just like ay for a I.

0:45:22.560 --> 0:45:25.680
<v Speaker 2>You don't do this, You're dead everything.

0:45:25.320 --> 0:45:25.560
<v Speaker 4>You know.

0:45:26.360 --> 0:45:29.840
<v Speaker 3>She has her commencement speech like ten days from Lisa

0:45:29.920 --> 0:45:31.560
<v Speaker 3>boom much.

0:45:33.040 --> 0:45:36.800
<v Speaker 2>But that's the thing, Lisa's that's I will be honest, Lisa.

0:45:36.800 --> 0:45:40.920
<v Speaker 2>SU's the biggest disappointment of them because in my history

0:45:40.960 --> 0:45:45.280
<v Speaker 2>of gaming and PC gaming, AMD always seemed more normal.

0:45:45.800 --> 0:45:49.440
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, she says like they gave the turncoat I think

0:45:49.520 --> 0:45:50.200
<v Speaker 3>for a lot of but.

0:45:50.120 --> 0:45:53.120
<v Speaker 2>She turned them around and now she's just like right

0:45:53.160 --> 0:45:54.160
<v Speaker 2>into the void with you.

0:45:55.280 --> 0:45:56.960
<v Speaker 3>Thanks for getting me where I needed to be.

0:45:57.640 --> 0:45:59.719
<v Speaker 2>Now I can make a three hundred. Do you hear

0:45:59.719 --> 0:46:02.919
<v Speaker 2>about they deal with Cruso. Cruso is buying a bunch

0:46:02.960 --> 0:46:07.040
<v Speaker 2>of GPUs and then AMD is going to rent them back. Okay,

0:46:07.239 --> 0:46:09.799
<v Speaker 2>it's so cool. That needs to and but no, I

0:46:09.840 --> 0:46:12.560
<v Speaker 2>think that the booing thing is good. I think we

0:46:12.680 --> 0:46:16.600
<v Speaker 2>need more of that. I think I think it's necessary

0:46:16.680 --> 0:46:20.160
<v Speaker 2>because they clearly are not reading anything that people are

0:46:20.160 --> 0:46:23.800
<v Speaker 2>actually saying or talking to, people having any experiences outside

0:46:23.800 --> 0:46:27.799
<v Speaker 2>of the perimeter of security guards that surround them at

0:46:27.800 --> 0:46:28.160
<v Speaker 2>all time.

0:46:29.040 --> 0:46:33.400
<v Speaker 3>Change like how the schools work on their own programs.

0:46:33.440 --> 0:46:35.320
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you don't know like that kind of response.

0:46:36.320 --> 0:46:37.960
<v Speaker 3>You know, people might look at it and it can

0:46:38.040 --> 0:46:41.920
<v Speaker 3>have a ripple effect where maybe people watching this commencement

0:46:42.440 --> 0:46:46.400
<v Speaker 3>speaker get booed realize like, uh, there's a little more

0:46:46.480 --> 0:46:50.319
<v Speaker 3>nuanced this AI thin beyond just make money and you know,

0:46:50.480 --> 0:46:51.360
<v Speaker 3>replace humans.

0:46:51.840 --> 0:46:54.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I've I mean, I've done a few things with

0:46:54.200 --> 0:46:57.719
<v Speaker 2>a few universities, and it's interesting because it's like a

0:46:57.760 --> 0:47:00.319
<v Speaker 2>fifty to fifty split of the people who clearly don't

0:47:00.320 --> 0:47:02.560
<v Speaker 2>do any work at the university. So people at the

0:47:02.600 --> 0:47:07.560
<v Speaker 2>top are like are like, okay, well here we go. Yeah,

0:47:07.600 --> 0:47:10.120
<v Speaker 2>this is the best thing ever. I love AI so much,

0:47:11.000 --> 0:47:13.600
<v Speaker 2>And then everyone else who actually does the work is like, yeah,

0:47:13.600 --> 0:47:15.799
<v Speaker 2>you've never used that. You've never used this. You talk

0:47:15.880 --> 0:47:17.480
<v Speaker 2>to it and it tells you things you like to hear,

0:47:17.560 --> 0:47:20.319
<v Speaker 2>and you're like, this is amazing, And I think that

0:47:20.320 --> 0:47:23.719
<v Speaker 2>that you're right that the booing is the only thing

0:47:23.760 --> 0:47:25.879
<v Speaker 2>that we'll get to these people but I also think

0:47:25.920 --> 0:47:27.600
<v Speaker 2>that there are some of them who are like, well,

0:47:27.640 --> 0:47:29.799
<v Speaker 2>they just don't get it yet. And I think if

0:47:29.840 --> 0:47:34.760
<v Speaker 2>an executive says that, look the Soul movies, I feel

0:47:34.760 --> 0:47:38.840
<v Speaker 2>like Jigsaw goes a little too far. But I think

0:47:38.880 --> 0:47:41.640
<v Speaker 2>the idea of just keeping someone in one place and

0:47:41.760 --> 0:47:45.360
<v Speaker 2>explaining something vigorously could work on them. I'm not saying

0:47:45.520 --> 0:47:49.920
<v Speaker 2>we totally copy Jigsaw. I'm just saying that the focused

0:47:50.440 --> 0:47:55.320
<v Speaker 2>thing of no, you need to listen might work. Or alternatively,

0:47:56.120 --> 0:48:00.440
<v Speaker 2>we just change the law so that CEOs have personal liability, right.

0:48:00.280 --> 0:48:05.280
<v Speaker 3>But just just for just for speaking of liability, not

0:48:05.560 --> 0:48:07.640
<v Speaker 3>fully endorsing methods.

0:48:07.719 --> 0:48:10.400
<v Speaker 2>No, no, no no, we were just very.

0:48:10.520 --> 0:48:13.080
<v Speaker 3>His They just they don't get them, the people exactly.

0:48:13.160 --> 0:48:15.839
<v Speaker 2>I think that Jigsaw Jigsaw went too far. But the

0:48:15.880 --> 0:48:19.799
<v Speaker 2>focus that Jigsaw got from people is something could be like.

0:48:20.200 --> 0:48:21.600
<v Speaker 2>I think that that's a good place to wrap it

0:48:21.640 --> 0:48:26.160
<v Speaker 2>as well. There this anti saw anti Jigsaw, but considering

0:48:26.320 --> 0:48:29.440
<v Speaker 2>all managerial effects, Steve, where can people find you?

0:48:30.120 --> 0:48:34.040
<v Speaker 3>Uh? YouTube dot com, slash gameras and access? And I hope,

0:48:34.560 --> 0:48:37.120
<v Speaker 3>I hope when the FBI visits both of us to

0:48:37.160 --> 0:48:40.680
<v Speaker 3>ask about our cowents on Jigsaw, you'll have me back.

0:48:40.520 --> 0:48:43.200
<v Speaker 2>On yes, and just to be clear to the to

0:48:43.480 --> 0:48:46.560
<v Speaker 2>everyone that was a bit, we are joking and we're

0:48:46.600 --> 0:48:50.319
<v Speaker 2>not talking with any specificity anyway. Thank you so much.

0:48:50.480 --> 0:48:52.319
<v Speaker 2>You've been listened to better or flower back back with

0:48:52.320 --> 0:49:02.880
<v Speaker 2>a monologue in a few days. Cheers. Thank you for

0:49:02.920 --> 0:49:04.160
<v Speaker 2>listening to Better Offline.

0:49:04.280 --> 0:49:06.719
<v Speaker 4>The editor and composer of the Better Offline theme song

0:49:06.800 --> 0:49:09.439
<v Speaker 4>is Mattersowski. You can check out more of his music

0:49:09.440 --> 0:49:13.120
<v Speaker 4>and audio projects at Mattasowski dot com, m A T

0:49:13.120 --> 0:49:17.560
<v Speaker 4>T O S O W s ki dot com. You

0:49:17.600 --> 0:49:20.120
<v Speaker 4>can email me at easy at Better Offline dot com

0:49:20.200 --> 0:49:22.480
<v Speaker 4>or visit Better Offline dot com to find more podcast

0:49:22.560 --> 0:49:25.880
<v Speaker 4>links and of course my newsletter. I also really recommend

0:49:25.920 --> 0:49:27.840
<v Speaker 4>you go to chat dot Where's youreed dot at to

0:49:27.920 --> 0:49:30.719
<v Speaker 4>visit the discord, and go to our slash Better Offline

0:49:30.760 --> 0:49:31.840
<v Speaker 4>to check out our reddit.

0:49:32.640 --> 0:49:34.000
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much for listening.

0:49:34.800 --> 0:49:37.520
<v Speaker 1>Better Offline is a production of cool Zone Media. For

0:49:37.640 --> 0:49:40.800
<v Speaker 1>more from cool Zone Media, visit our website cool Zonemedia

0:49:40.840 --> 0:49:43.719
<v Speaker 1>dot com, or check us out on the iHeartRadio app,

0:49:43.760 --> 0:50:01.480
<v Speaker 1>Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

0:50:00.040 --> 0:50:03.440
<v Speaker 2>The most Spanish schools